03-06-12 |
George Washington +9 v. Dayton |
Top |
50-67 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Atlantic 10 Tourney Punisher on George Washington +9 Bottom Line: GW is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 conference tournament road games. It has won these games by an average score of 73.1 to 69.9. It is also 14-4 ATS in its last 18 road games when out to avenge a loss where it was held to less than 60 points. It is only losing these games by an average score of 67.3 to 65.9. Bet George Washington.
|
03-05-12 |
Gonzaga -2.5 v. St Marys Ca |
Top |
74-78 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy West Coast Conference Game of the Year on Gonzaga -2.5 Bottom Line: After 11 straight seasons of winning the WCC regular season championship, Gonzaga was finally dethroned by St. Mary's. That's not sitting well with the Bulldogs, and they'll be out to prove they're the better team tonight. The Gaels are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games as an underdog, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less. The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less.
|
03-05-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 |
|
109-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Play of the Day on Cavs +2.5 Bottom Line: With as poorly as Utah has played on the road (3-13), I won't hesitate to grab the Cavs in the home dog role. They are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points.
|
03-04-12 |
Denver Nuggets +6.5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
|
99-94 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Nuggets +6.5 Bottom Line: Denver's dominance on the boards last game is a good sign considering it is 8-0 ATS in road games after a game in which it outrebounded an opponent by 15 or more over the last 3 seasons. It hasn't just won in this situation, it's won by an average of 10.6 points. Also, Denver is 14-5 ATS in road games this season and 23-9 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.
|
03-04-12 |
Ohio State +3.5 v. Michigan State |
Top |
72-70 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Month on Ohio State +3.5 Bottom Line: Michigan State's loss to Indiana opened the door for the Buckeyes to earn a share of the Big Ten and I expect them to take advantage. Michigan State won the first meeting but Matta's teams are 11-1 ATS all-time when out for revenge for an upset home loss. His squads have won by an average of 8.1 points in this situation. Also, Izzo's Spartan's are just 1-11 ATS all-time as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pickem. This trend is relevant because the Spartans opened as a 2.5-3.0 point favorite almost everywhere. Sparty has lost these games by an average of 6.6 points. Pound the Buckeyes.
|
03-03-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Dallas Mavericks -7.5 |
Top |
96-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs -7.5 Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Utah following a big win over Miami last night. It's a bounce back spot for Dallas, who is out to snap a 4-game skid. The Mavs are 6-0 SU and ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series with those 6 wins coming by an average of 12.0 points. The Mavericks are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The favorite is 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings, and the home team is 24-8-1 ATS in the last 33 meetings.
|
03-03-12 |
Baylor v. Iowa State -1.5 |
|
72-80 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on Iowa State -1.5 Bottom Line: Iowa State has been sensational at home where it has won 6 straight, a run that includes an 8-point win over Kansas. The Cyclones are 9-0 all-time at home against Baylor and their last 4 home wins against the Bears have come by an average of 15.8 points.
|
03-03-12 |
North Carolina -1.5 v. Duke |
Top |
88-70 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Year (ESPN) on North Carolina -1.5 Bottom Line: I'm confident UNC will avenge its 1-point loss to Duke. The Tar Heels actually led by 10 points with just a couple minutes remaining before they allowed Duke to rally. They won't take their foot off the gas this time around. The Blue Devils are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Duke. Also, the road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pound UNC.
|
03-02-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers +10 |
Top |
112-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Cavaliers +10 Bottom Line: Even if an illness keeps Kyrie Irving out, this is a lot of points for the Bulls to be laying on the road. The Bulls handed Cleveland the most lopsided home loss in franchise history six weeks ago, which assures us the Cavs will leave it all on the floor here. The Cavaliers have been a real nice home dog, covering the spread in 7 of their last 9 in the role. We'll pound Cleveland.
|
03-02-12 |
East Tennessee St +12 v. Belmont |
Top |
61-69 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Conference Tourney *PUNISHER* on E. Tennessee State +12 Bottom Line: The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. The Bruins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite. East Tennessee State has only lost to Belmont by more than 12 points 1 time in the last 15 meetings. We'll pound the Bucs.
|
03-01-12 |
Miami Heat v. Portland Trail Blazers +4.5 |
Top |
107-93 |
Loss |
-104 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Trail Blazers +4.5 Bottom Line: Playing on home underdogs in non-conference games that are extremely well rested playing 3 or less games in 10 days has produced a perfect 9-0 ATS mark the last 3 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 3.7 points on average but have won by an average of 1.7. Also, fading Miami when it enters a contest off 3 of more consecutive home wins has produced a perfect 9-0 ATS run. The Heat are losing by an average of 9.1 points in this spot.
|
03-01-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Orlando Magic +1.5 |
|
105-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT SUREFIRE on Magic +1.5 Bottom Line: The Magic will be out for revenge at home tonight as they look to atone for an 8-point loss in Oklahoma City on Christmas. The home team has had the big edge in this series, covering the spread in each of the last 5 matchups. The Magic have won 7 in a row at home against the Thunder/Sonics by an average of 15.0 points.
|
02-29-12 |
Portland Trailblazers v. Denver Nuggets -3 |
|
95-104 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Nuggets -3 Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games against the Trail Blazers. Denver has won 6 straight at home in the series by 15.0 points on average.
|
02-29-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Utah Jazz -2.5 |
|
83-104 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Jazz -2.5 Bottom Line: The Jazz are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Rockets are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less.
|
02-29-12 |
Golden State Warriors +7 v. Atlanta Hawks |
Top |
85-82 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Warriors +7 Bottom Line: The Warriors are being undervalued here because of last night's embarrassing loss to Indiana. They are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Expect Golden State to take Atlanta right down to the wire.
|
02-29-12 |
Ohio v. Kent State -2 |
Top |
61-68 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Game of the Year on Kent State -2 Bottom Line: It's been a disappointing season for Kent State, which was the favorite to win the MAC East but a battle with Ohio, who embarrassed the Golden Flashes by 22 in the season's first meeting, will get its competitive juices flowing. The Golden Flashes have won 9 of the last 10 at home in this series with those 9 wins coming by an average of 11.6 points. Also, Kent State is 17-6 ATS when out to avenge a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent since 1997. It is 19-3 ATS when out to avenge a same season loss to an opponent since 1997. Pound Kent State.
|
02-28-12 |
Texas Christian v. Wyoming -8 |
Top |
59-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Month on Wyoming -8 Bottom Line: Wyoming is 14-3 at home this season with an average winning margin of 13.3 points. It has also won 6 of its last 7 at home against TCU and the last 4 wins have come by an average of 12.0 points. The Cowboys are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. TCU is riding high after a big upset win over New Mexico and has a big revenge game against SDSU up next. Expect it to fall flat on its face tonight as it gets caught overlooking a team that is very dangerous on its home floor.
|
02-28-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Detroit Pistons +4 |
Top |
97-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *Underdog Shocker* on Pistons +4 Bottom Line: After getting clobbered by the 76ers in the season's first two meetings in Philly, look for the Pistons to take the floor with focus and hunger tonight. The 76ers have lost 5 in a row by an average of 8.6 points. Considering they're recent struggles, I don't believe they are worth of laying this many points on the road. The 76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. The Pistons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less. We'll take the points for insurance but I like Detroit to win this one outright.
|
02-28-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +14 v. Chicago Bulls |
|
95-99 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +14 Bottom Line: The Hornets have covered the spread in 6 straight games and yet they continue to be undervalued by odds makers. An embarrassing 23-point loss to Chicago on Feb. 8 has fueled the Hornets' solid play of late and they will be out for revenge tonight. Prior to that loss, Chicago hadn't won by more than 11 points in 4 straight meetings in this series. We'll take the Hornets and the points.
|
02-27-12 |
Kansas v. Oklahoma State +9 |
Top |
70-58 |
Loss |
-104 |
12 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy *Primetime Punisher* (ESPN) on Oklahoma State +9 Bottom Line: Revenge has been a strong play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS this season when out to avenge a road loss to a foe and have won these games by an average score of 65.4 to 64.0. Also, recent history suggests this is too many points for Kansas to be laying on the road. The Jayhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games when valued as a favorite of 7.0 to 12.5 points.
|
02-26-12 |
Iowa v. Illinois -5.5 |
Top |
54-65 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Week on Illinois -5.5 Bottom Line: Illinois has lost 6 in a row but it will be willing to leave it all on the floor against an Iowa squad that has endured 5 consecutive setbacks on the highway by an average of 15.8 points. The Fighting Illini have won 6 in a row against the Hawkeyes by an average of 11.2 points. They have also won 10 in a row at home in the series with those wins coming by an average of 13.0 points. Iowa guard Matt Gatens have absolutely gone off the last 2 games with 30 and 33-point efforts, and the Hawks needed everyone of those points to fend off late rallies from Indiana and Wisconsin. I just can't see him keeping it up on the road against an Illinois team with enough athletes to make life very difficult for him. Lay the points.
|
02-25-12 |
Missouri v. Kansas -7.5 |
Top |
86-87 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Year (CBS) on Kansas -7.5 Bottom Line: Hungered by a bitter 74-71 defeat in Columbia, MO on Feb. 4 in which the Jayhawks blew an 8-point lead with 2:00 minutes remaining, and with a chance to notch an eighth consecutive Big 12 title, expect Kansas to roll this afternoon. Kansas is 14-0 at home this season with a 22.8-point average margin of victory. Also, the Jayhawks are a perfect 8-0 ATS under coach Self when out to avenge a close loss of 3 points or less to an opponent. They have won these games by a whopping 19.4 points on average. Bet Kansas.
|
02-24-12 |
Marquette v. West Virginia -107 |
Top |
61-60 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on West Virginia -107 Bottom Line: WVU needs a resume-boosting win and I like its chances here. Coach Huggins is a proven motivator and he won't have any trouble getting his kids ready to play following Wednesday's embarrassing 71-44 loss to Notre Dame. Huggins' teams are 14-2 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more since 1997. They have won by an average score of 79.1 to 63.4 in this situation. Also, his WVU teams are 9-2 ATS off an embarrassing road loss in which they were held to less than 60 points. They've bounced back to win by an average score of 78.3 to 62.6 in this situation. The home team has won the last 6 meetings and WVU's 3 home wins during this span have come by an average of 11.7 points. Take the Mountaineers.
|
02-23-12 |
New York Knicks v. Miami Heat -9.5 |
Top |
88-102 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Heat -9.5 Bottom Line: Miami is 14-2 at home and those 14 wins have come by an average of 15.5 points. These wins haven't just come against cupcakes either. The Heat have double-digit wins at home over the Pacers, Spurs, Lakers, 76ers, Magic and Knicks. The Knicks are an improved team with Lin at the point, but they have benefited from a soft schedule. Lin is yet to face a defensive team like the Heat, and I expect him to struggle. Miami has rattled off 7 straight wins by an average of 16.9 points, and it will be out to prove to everyone that the Knicks have been overhyped.
|
02-22-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks +11.5 v. Chicago Bulls |
|
91-110 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 60 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bucks +11.5 Bottom Line: The Bucks played the Bulls to a 7-point game in Chicago last month and I like them to keep this one closer than the odds makers think as well. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 11.0 points or more while the Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 11.0 points or more.
|
02-22-12 |
Atlanta Hawks +7.5 v. New York Knicks |
Top |
82-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks +7.5 Bottom Line: The Hawks are dealing with some injuries and have lost back-to-back games but shouldn't be catching this many points. Atlanta's last two losses came in Portland (arguably the toughest place to play in the West) and at Chicago (arguably the best team in the East). It will be excited to go to battle against a Knicks team that plays no defense. NY is 1-10 ATS in home games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 108.5 to 99.5 in this situation. Bet the Hawks.
|
02-22-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Charlotte Bobcats +6 |
|
102-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bobcats +6 Bottom Line: The Pacers, who are 1-9 ATS in their last 10, shouldn't be getting this much respect on the road, especially against a team that will be out for blood following embarrassing losses in Indiana in the season's first two meetings. The Pacers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-21-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Portland Trail Blazers -4 |
Top |
97-137 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Trail Blazers -4 Bottom Line: Odds makers expect San Antonio's 11-game win streak to come to an end tonight, and so do I. The Spurs have lost their last 6 in Portland and those losses have come by 8.2 points per game. With this in mind, the Blazers are showing good value as just a 4-point fave. Bet bet Blazers.
|
02-21-12 |
New Mexico v. Colorado St +6 |
Top |
63-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *Underdog Shocker* on Colorado State +6 Bottom Line: Colorado State was defeated by 33 at New Mexico, but it is a completely different team at home where it has won 11 straight. The Rams are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS over the last 2 seasons when out to avenge a road defeat to a foe. Bet the Rams.
|
02-20-12 |
Washington Wizards +6 v. Phoenix Suns |
Top |
88-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +6 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Suns following last night's satisfying revenge win against the Lakers. The Wizards have 2 days' rest on their side and will be hungry to end a 9-game skid in the series. Phoenix has constantly been overvalued against weak competition and this remains the case this evening. The Suns are 0-9 ATS in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) over the last 2 seasons. It is barely winning these games by an average score of 108.0 to 107.9.
|
02-20-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Houston Rockets -3 |
|
93-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Rockets -3 Bottom Line: The Rockets have lost their first two meetings with the Grizzlies but both of those were in Memphis. Expect the Rockets to have their revenge at home where they are 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS. Houston has won 10 in a row at home against the Grizzlies with those 10 wins coming by an average of 12.2 points.
|
02-20-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +11.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
93-101 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +11.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder have won the first 2 meetings of the season by 10 points each, and I don't see them winning by more than that here. New Orleans have the benefit of 2 days' rest while Oklahoma City played an overtime game Sunday. The Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days' rest, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater.
|
02-19-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns +3 |
|
90-102 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Suns +3 Bottom Line: The Lakers have defeated the Suns twice this season but both wins have come in LA. The Lakers haven't shown they can be trusted on the road where they are 5-10 SU and 4-11 ATS this season. The Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games when laying points. Take Phoenix in this double revenge spot.
|
02-19-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers +1 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
Top |
91-92 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +1 Bottom Line: Look for Philly to bounce back strong here against a team it has defeated 3 straight times by an average of 17.7 points. Under coach Collins, the 76ers are 10-0 ATS after a playing a game in which 165 total points or less were scored. The Sixers have won by an average score of 100.6 to 85.6 in this situation. Also, Minnesota is only 1-8 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Take Philly.
|
02-19-12 |
Boston Celtics -5.5 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
81-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Celtics -5.5 Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for Boston which lost SU and ATS at Detroit Wednesday. It bodes well for us that Boston followed that loss up with another SU and ATS loss to Chicago because the Celtics are 19-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. They are winning by an average of 9.6 points in this situation. Also, the Celtics are 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit.
|
02-18-12 |
Ohio State v. Michigan +5.5 |
Top |
51-56 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Year (ESPN) on Michigan +5.5 Bottom Line: Michigan is 14-0 at home this season where it has wins over ranked foes Wisconsin, Michigan State and Indiana. I believe the Wolverines add Ohio State to the list today. The Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 6.5 points or fewer. Plus, they have a major advantage from beyond the arc where they average 8 makes on 23 attempts (Ohio State only average 5 makes on 15 attempts). This is significant because the Buckeyes are 0-10 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Take Michigan.
|
02-18-12 |
Golden State Warriors +5.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
103-104 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Warriors +5.5 Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to back the Warriors catching 5.5 points even after last night's double-digit loss in Oklahoma City. Consider that Golden State is 28-9 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 108.2 to 107.4 in these games. In addition, the Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Grizzlies are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Take Golden State.
|
02-18-12 |
Dayton v. Xavier -7.5 |
|
83-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Xavier -7.5 Bottom Line: With 7 days to prepare and motivated by a lackluster performance at Temple last game and an embarrassing 15-point loss at Dayton last month, expect the Musketeers to continue their home dominance in this series. Going back to 1998, Xavier has won 14 in a row at home against the Flyers with those wins coming by an average score of 77 to 66. The Musketeers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite, and the favorite is 15-7 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Lay the points.
|
02-17-12 |
Phoenix Suns +8.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
99-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Suns +8.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers are one of the most frequently overvalued teams because of their huge public following. They have especially been overvalued at home on Friday nights as odds makers look to take advantage of the public's love affair with this team. As a result, LA is just 5-18 ATS in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. We'll take the points.
|
02-17-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Philadelphia 76ers -3 |
Top |
82-75 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on 76ers -3 Bottom Line: I'm confident Dallas' absences will be too much to overcome this evening. The Mavs are expected to be without Delonte West, Rodrique Beaubois and Jason Terry, which really only leaves the aging Jason Kidd to deal with Philly's deep backcourt. Also, playing on home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) off a road loss by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), has produced a 41-16 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation have won by an average of 8.3 points. Take the 76ers.
|
02-17-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +7 v. Toronto Raptors |
|
98-91 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bobcats +7 Bottom Line: The last 2 times the Raptors have been favored by 5.5 points or more they lost straight up to New Jersey and Sacramento. Charlotte is bad, but the Raptors have not proven they can be trusted laying this many points. The Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Toronto.
|
02-16-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Chicago Bulls -8 |
Top |
80-89 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls -8 Bottom Line: I really like the Bulls in this spot. Playing against road teams (BOSTON) off a double-digit loss in a game in which they were favored by 6 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, has produced a 24-5 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting the parameters of this system have lost by an average of 10.7 points. Also, this system is a spotless 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Losing at Boston Sunday can't be sitting well with the team with the best record in the East. Even if Rose can't go, I like Chicago in this revenge spot. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Celtics are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Lay the points.
|
02-15-12 |
Denver Nuggets +7 v. Dallas Mavericks |
|
84-102 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Nuggets +7 Bottom Line: The Nuggets have some momentum on their side following back-to-back wins and will be hungry to pay the Mavs back for last week's loss. Denver 21-6 ATS in its last 27 road games and 21-5 ATS in its last 26 games as an underdog. Also, the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the points.
|
02-15-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Houston Rockets +4 |
|
95-96 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Rockets +4 Bottom Line: Expect the third time to be the charm for the Rockets, who have lost their first two with OKC this season. Houston is 10-3 at home this season and has only lost to the Sonics/Thunder by more than 4 points once in the last 14 home meetings in this series. The home team has certainly been the play considering it is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
|
02-15-12 |
Sacramento Kings +6.5 v. New York Knicks |
Top |
85-100 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* Game of the Month on Kings +6.5 Bottom Line: The Knicks are due for a major letdown following last night's buzzer-beating win in Toronto. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games at Madison Square Garden. Also, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take the points.
|
02-14-12 |
UNLV v. Texas Christian +8.5 |
Top |
97-102 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on TCU +8.5 Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for UNLV, which is coming off a big win over San Diego State and has a big showdown at New Mexico Saturday. TCU will be lacking no motivation here as it was crushed by 23 at UNLV last month. The Runnin' Rebels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, and I don't see them covering this hefty number versus a TCU squad with an 11-2 home mark.
|
02-14-12 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers +3 |
Top |
105-90 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +3 Bottom Line: This is an extremely difficult spot for the Heat, who will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days. The Pacers will have the benefit of 2 days' rest and are guaranteed to leave it all on the floor as they face a 4-game losing streak. The Pacers have won 7 of 10 at home on the season and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The underdog is an incredible 22-8-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings. We'll pound the Pacers.
|
02-13-12 |
Utah Jazz v. New Orleans Hornets +4 |
Top |
80-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +4 Bottom Line: The New Orleans Hornets, who have lost 8 in a row, want a win in the worst possible way. Fortunately, they find themselves in an ideal spot tonight. The Hornets have had 2 full days to prepare while the Jazz just played Sunday. The prep time is key considering New Orleans is 43-25 ATS in its last 68 home games when playing on 2 days' rest. It's winning by an average score of 99.4 to 94.6 in this situation. The Hornets will be lacking no confidence in this one either since they played the Jazz to a 4-point game in Utah last month and since the Jazz are just 3-7 on the road this season. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two, and I expect this trend to continue.
|
02-13-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +5 v. Orlando Magic |
|
89-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Magic +5 Bottom Line: The Timberwolves have been consistently good on the road this season and have covered the number in 8 of their 11 road contests as a result. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-12-12 |
Washington Wizards +6 v. Detroit Pistons |
Top |
98-77 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Wizards +6 Bottom Line: Detroit is getting too much respect here. It has been favored just 3 times all season, and it lost straight up in the 2 games it was favored by 5 points or more. The Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Take the points.
|
02-12-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Boston Celtics +3 |
|
91-95 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Celtics +3 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back loss, the Celtics will be hungry for a win this afternoon, especially against a Bulls team they lost to last month. The Celtics have won 10 of their last 13 at home against the Bulls, and they are a terrific 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less.
|
02-11-12 |
New York Knicks v. Minnesota Timberwolves -6 |
Top |
100-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on T-Wolves -6 Bottom Line: The Knicks are riding as high as they have all season having rattled off 4 straight wins despite injuries to Melo and Stoudermire. Lin-sanity is getting out of control and I expect the T-Wolves to hand the Knickerbockers a reality check this evening. The T-Wolves are the more talented team and will be lacking no motivation following consecutive defeats. They've won 2 straight, 6 of their last 7 and 11 of their last 14 at home against the Knicks. Their 2 most recent home wins in the series have come by 21 and 9 points. Lay the number.
|
02-11-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Charlotte Bobcats +10.5 |
|
111-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bobcats +10.5 Bottom Line: This is a great situational spot for Charlotte against an LA club that will be playing its 7th game in 11 days. Playing on home underdogs of 10 or more points (CHARLOTTE) - after a game in which they failed to cover the spread, well rested team playing 4 or less games in 10 days, has produced a 27-7 ATS record since 1996. Teams in this situation are only losing by an average of 4.9 points. This system is 7-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.
|
02-11-12 |
San Diego St v. UNLV -9.5 |
Top |
63-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Mountain West Conference Game of the Year on UNLV -9.5 Bottom Line: Odds makers are looking to catch the public in a major trap here. SDSU is rated higher than UNLV in the polls and yet it is getting nearly double digits? Exactly! The Aztecs have overachieved all season and I expect the bottom to fall out down the stretch. SDSU was pounded by 17 in its last road game at Colorado State, and I expect a similar result here. The Runnin' Rebels are 13-0 at home where they are winning by 23.2 points on average, and they will show no mercy as they are out to avenge a 2-point loss to the Aztecs. UNLV dominated a very good New Mexico squad at home by 15 points and also crushed Colorado State by 19. The Rebs even beat UNC - arguably the most talented team in the country - by 10 on a neutral floor. Lay the points.
|
02-10-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Utah Jazz +1.5 |
|
101-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Jazz +1.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder are incredible fatigued. We saw it down the stretch last night when they blew a lead and lost to Sacramento. This will be their 7th game in 10 days this month. Utah, meanwhile, has had 2 fulls days to prepare for this one. The Jazz are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days' rest, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less.
|
02-10-12 |
Dallas Mavericks -129 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
|
104-97 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Mavericks ML Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Mavs, who have dropped the first two meetings with Minnesota this season. Considering the road team is 21-5 ATS in the last 26 meetings, I won't hesitate to back Dallas here. Plus, the Timberwolves are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
|
02-10-12 |
Indiana Pacers +1.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
92-98 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake Game of the Month on Pacers +1.5 Bottom Line: I really believe the odds makers have the wrong team favored here. The Pacers have 4 more wins on the season and haven't lost back-to-back games all year. The Grizzlies have lost 7 of their last 10 and aren't the same team without Zach Randolf, who is their best player. Plus, the Pacers have been really good on the road where they have wins over the Celtics, Lakers, Bulls, Magic and Mavs. The Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. Pound the Pacers.
|
02-09-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Sacramento Kings +7 |
|
101-106 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Kings +7 Bottom Line: The Kings have been way undervalued of late and have covered the number in 6 straight as a result. They continue to be undervalued here against a fatigued Oklahoma City squad playing its 6th game already this month. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and we'll grab them in the home dog role tonight.
|
02-09-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Phoenix Suns -3.5 |
|
96-89 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Suns -3.5 Bottom Line: The Suns have won 4 in a row at home against the Rockets by an average of 6.5 points. Plus, Houston is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 at Phoenix. The Suns are playing well and they'll be lacking no motivation after losing by 18 in Houston Friday. Also, the Suns have the big edge at point guard with Kyle Lowry expected to miss with an elbow injury.
|
02-09-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 v. Boston Celtics |
Top |
88-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Lakers +3.5 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses, I expect LA to show up in a big way tonight. Boston has won 9 of 10 but none of those wins have come against elite teams. The Lakers have won three straight and five of six in Boston during the regular season. Boston is just 9-30 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take the Lakers.
|
02-08-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +1.5 v. Denver Nuggets |
|
105-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Mavs +1.5 Bottom Line: Denver has caught a hard case of the injury bug, which opens the door for the Mavs tonight. The loss of Danilo Gallinari especially hurts. He posed the biggest matchup problems for the opposition. The Mavs were embarrassed by the Nuggets in their second game of the season so they'll take great joy in returning the favor here. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
02-08-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Atlanta Hawks -3 |
Top |
87-97 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Month on Hawks -3 Bottom Line: Off 3 consecutive losses, at home no less, the Hawks will be out for some serious revenge tonight. It is also to their benefit that the Pacers just played last night. Indy is just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games when playing on 0 days' rest. The Hawks have won 8 in a row at home against the Pacers and each of those 8 wins have come by at least 4 points.
|
02-08-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Cleveland Cavaliers +7 |
|
92-99 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Cavs +7 Bottom Line: Chauncey Billups' injury deals the Clippers a considerable blow. LA wasn't overly deep to begin with and it will really miss its most clutch performer. The Clippers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
|
02-07-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Golden State Warriors +2.5 |
|
119-116 |
Loss |
-103 |
13 h 47 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Warriors +2.5 Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for the Thunder, who used a lot of energy in last night's overtime win in Portland. The Warriors haven't played since Saturday and they'll be hungry to avenge last month's home loss to the Thunder. The Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing without a day of rest and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Take Golden State.
|
02-07-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Milwaukee Bucks -7 |
Top |
107-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks -7 Bottom Line: This is a really good spot for the Bucks, who haven't played since Saturday. They'll be a lot fresher than the Suns, who just played in Atlanta last night. Milwaukee is 7-3 at home where it has an 11-point win over the Lakers and an 8-point win over the Heat. The fact the Bucks are coming off consecutive losses actually works in our favor. That's because Milwaukee is 29-12 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses under coach Scott Skiles. Lay the number.
|
02-06-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5 v. Portland Trailblazers |
|
111-107 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Thunder -1.5 Bottom Line: Portland has been nearly unstoppable at home, but Oklahoma City has the horses to get the job done tonight. The fact the Blazers upset the Thunder in OKC in the season's first meeting bodes well for us considering the Thunder are 16-3 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. We'll take the Thunder in this revenge spot.
|
02-06-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 |
Top |
89-84 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Southwest Division Game of the Year on Grizzlies -1.5 Bottom Line: The Spurs have struggled away from home where they have fallen in 8 of 11 this season. They have also lost 5 of their last 6 in Memphis. San Antonio has won the first 2 meetings in the 2011-12 season but that actually bodes well for us considering Memphis is 19-8 ATS when playing with double revenge over the last 2 seasons. The Spurs are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games and 2-10-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series. It is also worth noting that San Antonio is now the slight favorite at some books. This encourages me to note that the Spurs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite. Bet Memphis.
|
02-06-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Atlanta Hawks -7 |
|
99-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hawks -7 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses at home and also looking to snap a 3-game slide against Phoenix, there's no doubt in my mind the Hawks will be ready to play tonight. The Suns are a lousy 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and a poor 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600.
|
02-04-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Utah Jazz -2 |
Top |
87-96 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Jazz -2 Bottom Line: Expect a ferocious effort from the Jazz tonight as they look to bounce back from consecutive defeats and to avenge a pair of losses to the Lakers. It has been a strong play of late to fade the Lakers in the road underdog role, and we won't hesitate to do so here as they are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when catching points away from home. It should also be noted that the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. We'll lay the deuce with the Jazz in this incredibly motivated spot.
|
02-04-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs -3 |
|
96-107 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Spurs -3 Bottom Line: The Thunder won the first meeting in the season series at home, but I expect the Spurs to return the favor on their home floor this evening. San Antonio went 36-5 at home last season and it has picked up where it left off with a 12-1 home mark early on this year. The Spurs have won 3 in a row at home in the series by an average of 13.0 points. The Thunder were pushed to the limit by Memphis last night while the Spurs were resting. That also plays in our favor.
|
02-04-12 |
Oakland +1 v. Western Illinois |
Top |
74-70 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Summit League Game of the Year on Oakland +1 Bottom Line: Oakland had won 10 in a row over Western Illinois before suffering a 10-point home loss to the Leathernecks on Jan. 5. As if that loss alone isn't enough motivation, the Golden Grizzlies enter this contest off consecutive narrow defeats. These events set up a terrific spot to back Oakland, who is an awesome 22-6 ATS in road games against conference opponents under coach Kampe. It should also be noted that Oakland is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 14 or less 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. It has defeated these foes by an average score of 79.3 to 68.1. In addition, W. Illinois is 0-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. It's losing to these teams by an average score of 63.4 to 56.6. Take Oakland.
|
02-03-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +8.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
94-101 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Grizzlies +8.5 Bottom Line: The fact Memphis dropped the first 2 meetings in the season series works in our favor considering it is 18-8 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. an opponent - over the last 2 seasons. It's winning by an average score of 100.7 to 97.0 in this spot.
|
02-03-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Detroit Pistons +4.5 |
Top |
80-88 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division Game of the Year on Pistons +4.5 Bottom Line: Hungry to end a 7-game skid and even more motivated by losing the season's first 2 meetings with Milwaukee, I expect the Pistons to put forth an impressive effort tonight. This is a bad sandwich game for the Bucks, who are coming off a big win over Miami and will be looking ahead to a date with Chicago tomorrow. The Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 4.5 points or less and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Pistons are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. Pound the Pistons.
|
02-03-12 |
Washington Wizards v. Toronto Raptors -4 |
|
89-106 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Raptors -4 Bottom Line: The Wizards are 23-49 ATS in their last 72 games as an underdog, 16-36 ATS in their last 52 road games, 15-36 ATS in their last 51 games as a road underdog and 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. Off consecutive blowout defeats and looking to pay the Wizards back for a double-digit loss last month, we'll ride the Raptors at home in this incredible motivated spot.
|
02-02-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Golden State Warriors -5 |
|
101-119 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Warriors -5 Bottom Line: Considering Utah has a 1-point win at Golden State earlier this season, the books clearly want the money coming in on Utah judging by the line. Utah has lost 4 of 6 on the road this season and those 4 losses have come by at least 15 points. Plus, Stephen Curry did not play in the season's first meeting. Lay the points with the Warriors.
|
02-02-12 |
Denver Nuggets +1.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
Top |
112-91 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Nuggets +1.5 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses, and with one of those defeats to the Clippers, Denver will be out for cold hard revenge this evening. The Nuggets are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 road games, 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog and 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog. Also, the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series. Take Denver.
|
02-02-12 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Sacramento Kings +3.5 |
|
92-95 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Kings +3.5 Bottom Line: Portland hasn't shown it can be trusted on the road period, let alone laying points. The Trail Blazers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 4.5 points or less.
|
02-01-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Portland Trail Blazers OVER 183 |
|
68-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Bailout on Bobcats/Blazers OVER 183 Bottom Line: Plays Over on road teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - after 4 or more consecutive losses and playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 31-6 the last 5 seasons. We've seen an average total of 185.3 in this situation but we've seen an average total score of 196.4 points. Take the Over.
|
02-01-12 |
Miami Heat -6.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
|
97-105 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Heat -6.5 Bottom Line: Expect the Heat to get revenge for their Jan. 22 home loss to Milwaukee. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge against a team that is coming off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival are 47-20 ATS since 1996. Teams in this situation are winning by an average of 8.7 points. You might also like to know that this system has produced a 7-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons.
|
02-01-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
95-86 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Thunder +1.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder were not at all happy about the way they played Monday, calling it their worst performance of the season. As if that isn't enough motivation, the Thunder will draw more incentive from a 100-87 loss at Dallas on Jan. 2. OKC is 8-0 ATS in road games when out to avenge a road loss to an opponent since the beginning of last season. It has won these games by an average of 5.4 points.
|
01-31-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +13 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
73-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Bobcats +13 Bottom Line: The Lakers, who have a huge public following, are annually one of the most overvalued teams in the NBA. They are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 14-37 ATS in their last 51 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. The Bobcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater. The underdog is 12-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series. Also, the Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 matchups with the Lakers at Staples Center.
|
01-31-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Memphis Grizzlies +1 |
Top |
97-100 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies +1 Bottom Line: I fully expect Memphis to bring its 4-game skid to an end tonight at home, where it is 34-16-1 ATS in its last 51 games and 15-4 ATS in its last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take Memphis.
|
01-31-12 |
New Jersey Nets +9.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
99-106 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Nets +9.5 Bottom Line: The road team has dominated this series to the tune of 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue. The Nets have really been undervalued following any loss and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a defeat as a result. It's been the opposite for the Pacers, who are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a victory.
|
01-30-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +7 v. Houston Rockets |
Top |
120-108 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Timberwolves +7 Bottom Line: The T-Wolves are a more talented team than the Rockets now that Michael Beasley is back in the lineup, and they'll be very hungry tonight after a poor performance against Houston a week ago. The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
|
01-30-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +13 v. Miami Heat |
|
95-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +13 Bottom Line: The Hornets catch Miami at a good time as it is coming off an emotionally and physically draining win over the Bulls. Plus, the Hornets are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater while the Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater.
|
01-30-12 |
Orlando Magic +7 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
|
69-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Magic +7 Bottom Line: After getting embarrassed in their last 2 games, I like the Magic to show up and give the 76ers a game tonight. The Magic are 26-10-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
|
01-29-12 |
Chicago Bulls +4.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
93-97 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Bulls +4.5 Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to side with Chicago here considering underdogs that has won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a good team (60% to 75%), are 95-48 ATS since 1996. These teams have been underdogs of 3.8 points on average but have lost by just 1.4 points on average. The Bulls, who are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less, have had this one circled ever since getting knocked out of the playoffs by Miami last season. That series loss will be the motivation behind a strong effort this afternoon. Take the points.
|
01-29-12 |
Utah v. USC -12.5 |
Top |
45-62 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Year on USC -12.5 Bottom Line: By making USC, who has lost 9 in a row, a double-digit fave, odds makers clearly want the money coming in on Utah. Here's why. The Utes are 0-10 when playing away from home this season, losing these games by an average of 25.0 points. The Utes have lost their 7 true road games by 21, 30, 29, 40, 3 and 27 points for an average losing margin of 26.6. The Utes are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points and USC is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games 15 or more games into the season versus poor teams that are outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game. It's beating these teams by an average of 21.2 points. Lay the number.
|
01-28-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Phoenix Suns +4 |
|
84-86 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Suns +4 Bottom Line: The value lies with Phoenix considering plays on underdogs - cold team failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 and tired team playing 8 or more games in 14 days - have produced a 44-13 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation have only lost by an average of 1.3 points. It's already been a long road trip for Memphis, which has lost 2 in a row, and the Suns will relish the opportunity to bounce back from last night's embarrassing loss.
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01-28-12 |
New York Knicks +7 v. Houston Rockets |
Top |
84-97 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +7 Bottom Line: We played on the Knicks +11.5 for a cover last night and we'll stick with them here as they continue to be undervalued in the absence of Carmelo Anthony. The Knicks are an awesome 27-10 ATS as a road underdog dating back to the beginning of last season. They are also 15-0 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days under coach D'Antoni. Pound the Knicks.
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01-27-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Golden State Warriors +4.5 |
|
120-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA Bailout on Warriors +4.5 Bottom Line: Golden State has given the Thunder problems because of its athleticism and ability to knock down the three-point shot. Golden State has won its last 2 at home against OKC, and it's last 2 losses in the series have come by just 5 points and 1 point. The Thunder are 0-4 ATS in those 4 meetings. Plus, the Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Take the Warriors.
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01-27-12 |
New York Knicks +11.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
89-99 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Knicks +11.5 Bottom Line: No Carmelo Anthony for the Knicks tonight, but I like them to be really focused and hungry against arguably the best team in the NBA. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing record. This shows you how overvalued Miami has been against lesser opponents. The fact New York has played consecutive games on the road and the fact this will be its 3rd road game in 4 days bodes extremely well for us. The Knicks are 9-0 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games since the start of last season and 14-0 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days since the start of the 2008-09 season. Take the Knicks.
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01-26-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers -3.5 |
Top |
91-98 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 47 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout Game of the Month on Clippers -3.5 Bottom Line: I like the Clipps at home, where they are 8-2, laying a small number against a Memphis squad that has been inconsistent on the road. The Grizzlies are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss. Lay the points.
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01-26-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Orlando Magic -9 |
|
91-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Magic -9 Bottom Line: The Magic will be out for blood tonight after the hurt the Celtics put on them earlier in the week. The Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Also, the home team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Lay the points as Orlando has its revenge.
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01-25-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 |
|
91-96 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA Bailout on Lakers -3.5 Bottom Line: Hungry to get back in the win column following 3 straight defeats and out to avenge an earlier loss to the Clippers, expect the Lakers to take care of business tonight. The team designated as the home team is on a 7-1 ATS run this series. Plus, the Lakers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less.
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01-25-12 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Golden State Warriors -3 |
Top |
93-101 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Warriors -3 Bottom Line: This is a terrible spot for Portland, which will be playing its third game in as many nights on the road, where it is 3-6 SU and ATS this season. The Warriors are 11-1 SU and ATS in their last 11 home games versus Portland, winning those games by an average of 11.3 points. All 11 wins have come by 5 points or more.
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01-25-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Sacramento Kings +6 |
|
122-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *Underdog Shocker* on Kings +6 Bottom Line: The Kings are 4-3 at home this season where they have quality wins over the Lakers and Pacers. Plus, they've won an incredible 24 of their last 28 at home against the Nuggets. The home team is 7-2-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. We'll take the points.
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01-24-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Portland Trail Blazers -5 |
|
84-97 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Blazers -5 Bottom Line: Portland is one of the best home teams in the NBA. Plus, this is a tough spot for Memphis after using so much energy to erase a 20-point deficit in last night's win. Portland will be the much fresher side. The Grizzlies are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Trail Blazers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Lay the number.
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01-24-12 |
Orlando Magic +3.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
Top |
102-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Magic +3.5 Bottom Line: Extremely motivated by last night's embarrassing loss, expect the Magic to take out their frustrations on a team they have owned. Orlando has won the last 5 in this series by an average of 13.6 points. We'll take the points.
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01-23-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Golden State Warriors -1.5 |
Top |
91-90 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Warriors -1.5 Bottom Line: Expect fatigue to be a major issue for Memphis tonight. Playing against underdogs (MEMPHIS) off a home win in which they scored 110 or more points, tired team playing 8 or more games in 14 days, has produced an 80-41 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation are losing by an average of 9.4 points. The Grizzlies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. The Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. Also, the Warriors are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS at home versus Memphis the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 10.7 points.
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