Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-29-11 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State +7.5 | 29-33 | Win | 100 | 95 h 53 m | Show | |
Can Wisconsin bounce back after their last second, heart breaking loss last week? Can they regroup after their hopes of a National Championship were dashed? Normally, behind their solid running game I would say yes, but with their defense being exposed and the follow up game coming in Columbus I don't see it. It doesn't happen often, but the Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and a perfect 6-0 ATS when listed as a dog of 3.5-10 points. Also, the Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and overall Ohio State boasts a 17-4 record ATS in their last 21 games inside Ohio Stadium. Additionally, in this series, the home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games and the underdog is 8-3 ATS over the last 11.
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10-29-11 | Stanford -7 v. USC | Top | 56-48 | Win | 100 | 95 h 3 m | Show |
Stanford is a perfect 7-0 ATS this season and they've done so with ease as there has been only one game in which they been within a TD of not covering. Besides their dominance this season, the Cardinal are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite and 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 overall on the road. Also, Stanford is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at USC and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings overall.
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10-29-11 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -13.5 | 24-59 | Win | 100 | 90 h 19 m | Show | |
The Cowboys continue their hot streak so we're gonna ride it with them! The Cowboys are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or more and 27-9 ATS in their last 36 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Baylor, on the other hand, is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and only 1-5 ATS against a team with a winning record. Also, in the series, the home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and Baylor has lost 6 straight against the number at Okie State. The favorite has covered 11 of the last 12 games in the series as well.
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10-29-11 | Navy +20.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 14-56 | Loss | -108 | 90 h 19 m | Show |
Navy has owned Notre Dame and in the midst of a disappointing season I look for them to rally around this spot against their longtime rival. The Midshipmen have struggled this season but they are still 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog and 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or more points. Against ND, Navy is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings but even more impressively, they have covered 8 straight at Notre Dame! All in all, the road team is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 games of this series. Combine that with the Irish being just 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 home games and only 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or more and we have a guaranteed winner Saturday afternoon!
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10-29-11 | Arkansas -10 v. Vanderbilt | 31-28 | Loss | -104 | 87 h 10 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt is just 1-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall as an underdog. The Razorbacks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 overall. Also, the Razorbacks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 conference games while the Commodores are equally as bad sitting at 2-8 ATS over their last 10 SEC games.
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10-29-11 | North Carolina State +19.5 v. Florida State | 0-34 | Loss | -108 | 87 h 51 m | Show | |
The Wolfpack are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog of 10.5 points or more and 28-11-1 ATS in their last 40 games overall as a road dog. Also, NC State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games at Florida State and 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 overall meetings, all as an underdog. In fact, 7 of the last 10 meetings between these two have been decided by a TD or less. A nearly 3 TD spread is far too much for the Wolfpack who have proven they can play with the 'Noles!
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10-29-11 | Northwestern v. Indiana +9 | 59-38 | Loss | -105 | 87 h 51 m | Show | |
The underdog has won 5 straight in the series and the home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Also, the Hoosiers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10 points and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home dog. The Wildcats are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite and only 6-20 ATS in their last 26 overall as a favorite. The Wildcats have also struggled to a 2-10 record ATS in their last 12 Big Ten games.
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10-29-11 | Michigan State v. Nebraska -3.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 87 h 50 m | Show | |
Michigan State is coming off a huge emotional game in beating Wisconsin last week. This is about the time the Spartans implode and their dream season ends. Last year, after starting 8-0, the 5th ranked Spartans went on the road to Iowa and we're dominated 37-6. Nebraska had an easy blowout of Minnesota and they're used to these big time games. The Cornhuskers are 20-4-1 ATS in their last 25 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Huskers have the defense and the running game to combat Michigan State and that loud Big Red crowd won't hurt either!
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10-22-11 | Oregon State v. Washington State -3 | 44-21 | Loss | -115 | 48 h 36 m | Show | |
The Cougars are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Oregon State, though, has been on a slide going just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. Since being blown out at home by Washington State last year, the Beavers have garnered just 2 SU wins in 9 tries. They have just one win this year and haven't won on the road in two years. The Beavers' pourous defense has hurt them all year and they have suffered many key injuries decimating them even further. Look for the Cougars to run away with this one at home!
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10-22-11 | Wisconsin -7 v. Michigan State | 31-37 | Loss | -105 | 45 h 15 m | Show | |
Michigan State's defense has looked outstanding so far this season as they are atop the nation in yardage and points against. The problem for them is that they haven't faced anything like they'll see this Saturday. The Badgers are multi-dimensional but mainly their big, physical offensive line will overpower the Spartans and push the ball down the field on the ground. The Badgers are rushing for nearly 260 ypg and scoring a nation's best 50 ppg. Wisconsin has been perfect winning 6 straight ATS against a team with a winning record and they're 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Also, the Badgers are now 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Big Ten games and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. Meanwhile, the Spartans are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog and only 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall as an underdog of 3.5-10 points.
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10-22-11 | USC +9.5 v. Notre Dame | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 56 m | Show | |
Notre Dame hasn't beaten USC by double digits in 10 years and they've covered the spread just 3 times out of the last 10 meetings with the Trojans. USC is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10 points and they're 10-3 ATS in their last 13 overall as a road dog. Notre Dame is just 3-10-2 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite and only 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 overall as a favorite. Also, the Fighting Irish are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10 points and only 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 overall as a favorite of 3.5-10 as they are this weekend.
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10-22-11 | Kansas State -10 v. Kansas | 59-21 | Win | 100 | 37 h 57 m | Show | |
After starting the season with two non-conference wins, Kansas has played like the worst team in the nation. They have been outscored by an average of 31 ppg and have lost every game by double digits. Kansas State, meanwhile, has covered 5 straight games and remains undefeated. The Wildcats suprised Miami by gaining their first road win of the season and then followed that up with a win over a very good Baylor squad. Also, the Wildcats are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games against Kansas and the favorite is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings between the two in-state rivals!
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10-22-11 | Oklahoma State -6.5 v. Missouri | Top | 45-24 | Win | 100 | 37 h 57 m | Show |
Over the last two and a half seasons Oklahoma State has won 9 straight games ATS as a road favorite and they are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10 points. Overall, the Cowboys are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games and 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. Speaking of road winners, in this series the road team has covered the number in 6 of the last 7 meetings. Also, the Tigers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take high flying Okie State as they lay less than a TD this Saturday!
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10-21-11 | West Virginia -14 v. Syracuse | 23-49 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 55 m | Show | |
The Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Orange are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 as a home dog and only 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and. West Virginia has won 5 straight ATS at Syracuse and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings overall against the Orange. Also, the Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or more while Syracuse is only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or more points.
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10-15-11 | Arizona State v. Oregon -14 | 27-41 | Push | 0 | 56 h 44 m | Show | |
The Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 points or more and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or more. The Sun Devils, on the other hand, are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and they're only 13-22-1 ATS over their last 36 total as a road dog. Also, ASU is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Oregon (a .5 point cover last season) and have lost by an average of 21 ppg over that 6 game span!
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10-15-11 | Stanford -20.5 v. Washington State | 44-14 | Win | 100 | 53 h 58 m | Show | |
Stanford has dominated its competition this season and over time they've dominated this series as well. The Cardinal are a perfect 5-0 ATS this season and that record includes 3 conference wins by an average of 31 ppg! Stanford is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and they are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 10.5 points or more. Overall, the Cardinal are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games. Also, against Washington State, Stanford is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 games and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Washington State.
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10-15-11 | Northwestern +6 v. Iowa | Top | 31-41 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 30 m | Show |
The Wildcats are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog and 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10 points. Against Iowa, the Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Iowa City and they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings overall. Also, in the series, the underdog has covered 6 straight times as this is usually a very closely played rivalry. The Cats have had the Hawks number, winning 5 of the last 6 years and 3 straight meetings at Iowa. With a healthy and effective Dan Persa running their up-tempo offense, Northwestern has no problem playing on the road and they'll prove that again this Saturday.
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10-15-11 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +6.5 | 38-17 | Loss | -107 | 52 h 60 m | Show | |
Wake Forest has covered 4 straight contests and they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. Also, the Demon Deacons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10 points and show an 11-4 record ATS over their last 15 games overall as a home dog. Wake has taken advantage of an experienced squad, returning 17 starters, and already winning at Boston College and knocking off Florida State at home last week. The Hokies meanwhile have lost 5 straight ATS, all as a favorite. They hung on last week to barely beat a very mediocre Miami team at home. Wake's home field advantage may be enough to pull the SU upset on Saturday!
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10-15-11 | Oklahoma State -7.5 v. Texas | 38-26 | Win | 100 | 49 h 1 m | Show | |
The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 overall. Also, the Cowboys are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10 points and they are 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall as a road favorite! The Longhorns are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games and after another embarrassing loss last week they are now just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games. In Big 12 play, the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS over their last 7 contests while Texas is just 1-6 ATS over the same span. Oklahoma State has taken the place of Texas as a top contender in conference play and they take another step towards that with a beat down on the 'Horns this weekend.
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10-15-11 | South Carolina -3 v. Mississippi State | 14-12 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 51 m | Show | |
South Carolina has won and covered 5 straight against Mississippi State and done so by an average of nearly 2 TD's per contest. The Gamecocks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3 points as they are Saturday afternoon. The Bulldogs, on the other hand, are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and are winless at 0-5 ATS in their last 5 overall. The Bulldogs are also only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record.
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10-13-11 | USC -3 v. California | 30-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
The Trojans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10 points. Also, the Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at Cal and they've covered in 5 of the last 6 meetings overall with the Golden Bears. In the series, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the road team is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings, both trends swaying us towards USC as well. USC has won 7 straight in the series, all by at least a TD and we'll watch that continue this Thursday night in primetime!
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10-08-11 | Washington State +4 v. UCLA Bruins | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 74 h 21 m | Show | |
The Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings at UCLA and they're 8-2 ATS in their last 10 overall meetings with the Bruins. Also, the Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 conference games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 overall. The complete opposite can be said for UCLA as the Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 overall and just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 conference games. Too many trends to ignore for an underdog in a series where the underdog has covered 5 of the last 7 games.
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10-08-11 | Ohio State +11.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 72 h 18 m | Show |
Sure, Ohio State looked terrible last week and had only 7 points and 178 total yards to show for their efforts. The thing that not many people are talking about is the fact that the Spartans' defense is tops in the nation in yards allowed and 3rd in the nation in total points allowed so it's safe to say they had a little something to do with why the Buckeyes looked so bad on offense. Also, the Buckeyes' defense allowed just 320 yards and 10 points to a Michigan State team that was averaging 33 ppg and 400 ypg. Ohio State has a great defense and Nebraska's offense isn't talented enough to run away with this game and cover the double digit spread. The Buckeyes are 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record while the Cornhuskers are just 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Neither of these teams have a great squad but the difference between them is not double digits one way or the other. Look for a low scoring, defensive battle in Nebraska's Big Ten home opener!
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10-08-11 | Colorado v. Stanford -29 | 7-48 | Win | 100 | 72 h 60 m | Show | |
Stanford has won by an average of 34 ppg so far this year and Colorado may very well be the worst team they will play all year. The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS this season and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 overall. Also, the Cardinal are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or more and they're 17-5 ATS in their last 22 overall at home. The Buffs are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and have lost 5 straight against the number as an underdog of 10.5 or more points. Also, Colorado is just 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games as a road dog and only 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games total.
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10-08-11 | Texas A&M v. Texas Tech +9.5 | 45-40 | Win | 100 | 71 h 44 m | Show | |
Texas Tech is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games against A&M and they're 11-5 ATS over the last 16 overall meetings. Also, the Red Raiders have won their last 6 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10 points while the Aggies are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games. Texas A&M started the season off with a bang but against good competition they've come back down to earth. With the Aggies playing on the road again and getting back into conference play, Texas Tech will have enough in the tank to at least keep this in single digits if they can't pull off the SU upset.
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10-08-11 | Miami (Fla) v. Virginia Tech -7.5 | 35-38 | Loss | -100 | 67 h 25 m | Show | |
The Hokies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 40-16 ATS in their last 56 conference games. Also, Virginia Tech is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Miami in Blacksburg and overall the Hokies have covered the spread in 13 of the last 16 meetings with the 'Canes! Also, the Hurricanes are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 overall.
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10-08-11 | Florida +14.5 v. LSU | 11-41 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 16 m | Show | |
The Gators are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and the Gators have posted a 15-5 record ATS in their last 20 road games overall. The Tigers are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or more. Overall, LSU is only 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games in Baton Rouge. In this always huge SEC conference series, Florida holds a 5-1 record ATS in the last 6 meetings and they've covered 6 straight games in Death Valley! In fact, the road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 in the series. Take the 2 TD's as LSU's offense isn't strong enough to blow out Florida. This will be a low scoring affair as both teams' defenses are very good.
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10-07-11 | Boise State -20.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 57-7 | Win | 100 | 49 h 46 m | Show |
The Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 10.5 points or more and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall as a road favorite. Also, Boise has covered 5 straight against the Bulldogs and they're 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Fresno. Besides their struggles against Boise State, the Bulldogs are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home dog and only 16-34-3 ATS in their last 53 home games total.
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10-01-11 | UCLA v. Stanford -20 | 19-45 | Win | 100 | 75 h 36 m | Show | |
The Cardinal are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games. Also, Stanford is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or more and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 overall as a favorite. Against UCLA, Stanford has covered the number in 5 of the last 6 games played on their home turf and they are 9-4 ATS over the last 13 years of the series. The Bruins haven't limited their struggles to playing Stanford as they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record and only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Also, in conference play, the Bruins are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 attempts. Look for the Cardinal to continue their magic and the Bruins will continue their horrid play as a dog and against PAC-12 foes.
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10-01-11 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -9 | 17-48 | Win | 100 | 72 h 17 m | Show | |
Nebraska has been a huge favorite in all 4 of their games this year and they have covered just once. They are being overvalued by the public and Wisconsin will prove that again this weekend. The Badgers are a much more complete team and with their home field advantage I see this as a 2-3 TD win for Wisconsin. The Badgers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and Badgers are 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
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10-01-11 | Alabama -3.5 v. Florida | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 72 h 7 m | Show | |
The Crimson Tide are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games overall. The Crimson Tide are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Gators and have won 5 of the last 7 games SU. 'Bama is 9-6 ATS as a road favorite under Nick Saban and Florida has been a home dog just once in the last 10 years, a game in which they lost. Also, the Tide are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record while the Gators are just 2-5-1 ATS vs. a winning squad.
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10-01-11 | Baylor -3.5 v. Kansas State | 35-36 | Loss | -105 | 68 h 38 m | Show | |
Baylor has won 6 straight as a road favorite and they're 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall as a favorite of 3.5-10 points. The Wildcats are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Kansas State shocked Miami with a huge SU upset as a double digit underdog last week but Miami was in a classic letdown spot. Last week's upset will only help heighten Baylor's awareness in this Big 12 opener Saturday. The Bears know they can't overlook K-State and they will be focused and leave town with a double digit win.
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10-01-11 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -3 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -113 | 68 h 37 m | Show |
The Buckeyes are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 home games and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite. The Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall as an underdog. Also, the Spartans are only 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Ohio State. Ohio State showed they're not as lifeless as many think last week and I look for Braxton Miller to play even better this week after getting his first career start out of the way last Saturday. Ohio State has beaten Michigan State in 7 straight games by an average of 18 ppg with only one game being decided by single digits. The Bucks, at home, deserve more respect than the 3 points we need to cover this week.
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10-01-11 | Air Force v. Navy -2.5 | 35-34 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 8 m | Show | |
Navy has covered 4 straight as a favorite and they're 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Also, the Midshipmen are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3 points and they're 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall as a favorite of 0.5-3 points! Air Force is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and they've lost 6 straight games ATS at Navy. Overall, in the series, the Falcons are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games against Navy!
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09-24-11 | Florida -19.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 48-10 | Win | 100 | 47 h 23 m | Show |
Florida has covered 4 straight against the Wildcats and they're 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings at Kentucky. Florida has beaten Kentucky 11 straight times in Lexington and overall they've won the last 24 meetings with the Wildcats! Over the last 3 years, the Gators have an average margin of victory of 42 ppg and over the last 10 years the margin has been 24 ppg! The Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite and they're 14-5 ATS in their last 19 overall road games. Also, the Gators are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite of 10.5 points or greater.
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09-24-11 | Arkansas +11 v. Alabama | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
The Razorbacks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and an amazing 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games within the SEC! Also, the Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 10.5 points or more and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall as an underdog. Three of hte last five games have been decided by 4 points or less and I look for another one of those battles this week. Arkansas probably doesn't have the firepower to pull off the outright upset here but they will be close throughout the game and cover the double digit spread.
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09-24-11 | California v. Washington | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
The Huskies are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games while the Golden Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. In this series, the home team has won 4 of the last 5 meetings and Cal has lost its last two trips to Seattle by 14 and 32 points respectively. In fact, Cal has lost 4 straight road gamees ATS and they're just 6-14 SU in their last 20 conference road games, losing by an average of 17 ppg. The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Cal and in a home pickem game I'm sticking with that trend on Saturday.
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09-24-11 | Colorado v. Ohio State -16.5 | Top | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 44 h 55 m | Show |
The Buckeyes are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. the Pac-12 and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. The Buffaloes, on the other hand, have a road record of 0-6 since 2005 against non-conference BCS opponents. Their average margin of defeat in those games has been just under 3 TD's. The Buckeyes are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite and they're 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games overall. Again, the Buffs have proven inept away from home going 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games. After a bad loss to Miami last week, Ohio State gets back on track in a big way this weekend!
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09-23-11 | Central Florida +2 v. BYU | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
The Knights have some of the better defensive numbers in the nation through 3 weeks. They are giving up just 166 ypg and less than 7 ppg! They have also moved the ball on the ground, which BYU has had problems stopping. Also, the Knights are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. As a road underdog, the Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. Play on the dog in what I expect to be a low scoring, low possession affair.
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09-17-11 | Stanford -9 v. Arizona | 37-10 | Win | 100 | 53 h 53 m | Show | |
Stanford is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10 points and overall they show a 7-0-1 record ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Also, the Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at Arizona and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings overall. The Wildcats are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and only 1-5 ATS over their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. The Wildcats gave up a ton of yards and points against the big strike passing game of Oklahoma State last week. With that game film, and Andrew Luck behind center, I think Stanford can capitalize the same way the Cowboys did and cover the number again in the series.
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09-17-11 | Utah +4 v. BYU | 54-10 | Win | 100 | 52 h 31 m | Show | |
In the "Holy War", the Underdog is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 games and the Road team is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings. This rivalry game has been decided by a TD or less in 12 of the last 14 meetings which makes the dog a very popular play in my book! The Utes are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games against BYU and they've covered 6 of the last 8 in Provo. Also, it isn't just this rivalry game that Utah has thrived as a road dog. The Utes are 17-6-1 ATS in their last 24 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10 points and 27-10-1 ATS in their last 38 games overall as a road underdog.
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09-17-11 | Oklahoma -3 v. Florida State | Top | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 50 h 17 m | Show |
Oklahoma has won 5 straight games against Florida State including last years' blowout in Norman. While they have to head to Tallahassee this year, the Sooners are 10-3 in their last 13 road openers. As they showed last year, Florida State has not had success facing the top teams in the nation. The 'Noles are just 5-12 over their last 17 games against top 10 rated teams. Oklahoma has had two weeks to prepare for the Seminoles and get ready for their long road trip east. I see no reason to believe OU can handle the 'Noles by a couple TD's again this season.
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09-17-11 | Troy v. Arkansas -22.5 | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 18 m | Show | |
The Razorbacks have won 6 straight as a home favorite and they are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite! Overall, the Razorbacks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games. The Trojans of Troy are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Also, the Trojans are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games and they have a 1-12 record SU against SEC opponents losing by an average of 20 ppg. Troy has lost 3 straight games to Arkansas by an average of 27 ppg.
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09-17-11 | Navy +17 v. South Carolina | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 48 h 58 m | Show | |
The Navy Midshipmen are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and a stellar 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 10.5 or more points. Also, the Gamecocks are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or more while Navy has been just as solid on the road going 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games as a dog of 10.5 or more away from home. The Gamecocks are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games while the Midshipmen have dominated the cash with a 7-1 record ATS over their last 8 attempts against a team with a winning record.
Navy has taken up right where they always leave off, among the nation's leaders in rushing ypg. After two games the year, Navy is 1st in the nation at 400 ypg on the ground. This type of play will obviously shorten the game and play into a large underdog's hands. This is a tough sandwich game for South Carolina after opening SEC play with a big win against Georgia last week. A non-conference game before heading back into SEC play probably doesn't have their full attention. |
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09-17-11 | Michigan State +5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 19 m | Show |
This is always a close rivalry game. In the series, 9 of the last 11 have been decided by single digits and 4 of the last 6 have been within a FG. Also, the Spartans have won 7 straight ATS at Notre Dame and are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 overall meetings. Another important trend in our matchup is the fact that the road team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games in the series! Notre Dame needs a big home win after starting 0-2 but I just don't see it happening. Besides all of their miscues and leading the NCAA in turnovers this year, the Irish are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 3.5-10 points and only 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
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09-17-11 | Pittsburgh v. Iowa -3 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 42 h 49 m | Show | |
The Hawkeyes are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a SU loss and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss ATS. Iowa will be back on their home turf and looking to gain some respect back after being uspet on the road as a TD favorite last week. The Hawkeyes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games while the Panthers are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3 points. Pitt is just 5-12 over their last 17 road openers and they've lost 3 straight non-conference games on the road.
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09-16-11 | Iowa State v. Connecticut -4 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 50 m | Show | |
UConn won all 4 of their games as a home favorite last year and they're 20-7 ATS in their last 27 overall home games. Also, the Huskies are 12-5 ATS over their last 17 games against a team with a winning record. Iowa State is just 2-6 over the last 8 years in their road openers and the Cyclones are only 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10 points. Iowa State is coming off a huge upset over instate rival Iowa and I don't think they can match the emotion and intensity it took to come away with that win. On top of that, the Cyclones have to travel all the way to the East coast, on a short week, for a Friday game. Take the Huskies on their home turf Friday night!
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09-10-11 | Notre Dame v. Michigan +3.5 | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 72 h 44 m | Show | |
The Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings and Notre Dame is just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games. Denard Robinson had a huge day against Notre Dame last year amassing over 500 total yards and leading the Wolverines to a comeback win in South Bend. The home team has won 7 of the last 10 SU in this series and a road favorite has not covered over that time span. Look for these trends to continue in one of the oldest and most tradition filled rivalries in all of sports.
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09-10-11 | Utah +9.5 v. USC | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 71 h 20 m | Show | |
The Utes are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 games as a road underdog and even better showing a 17-5-1 record ATS in their last 23 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10 points. The Trojans are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite and only 3-8 as a home favorite over the last two seasons. USC struggled against a very bad Minnesota team in their home opener and they showed that their talent level and play has really dropped off from what we used to see out of the Trojans. Utah will be out to make a statement in their first game against a PAC-12 opponent and I look for them to be right in this one til the end.
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09-10-11 | Stanford -21 v. Duke | 44-14 | Win | 100 | 67 h 59 m | Show | |
The Blue Devils are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or more points. Overall, at home, Duke is just 18-38-1 ATS in their last 57 games. The Blue Devils gave up 450 yards and 35 points per game last season so against a Cardinal offense led by Andrew Luck is seems clear to me that this is a huge mismatch! Stanford will score early and often on the Blue Devils and move their 6-0-1 record ATS over their last 7 games up another notch. Another interesting trend is the Cardinal's 18-5-1 record ATS in their last 24 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
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09-10-11 | Mississippi State v. Auburn +7 | 34-41 | Win | 100 | 64 h 50 m | Show | |
Auburn looked terrible in their opener last week but let's not be so quick to throw them under the bus. While they may have lost many key components from last year's National Championship team, they do still have quite a bit of talent back that played significant roles in that undefeated season. Also, the Tigers have won 9 of their last 10 against Mississippi State by an average of 20 ppg. The Bulldogs haven't won a SEC opener since 1999 and they won't get it on the road against an Auburn team that got a wake up call last weekend. The Bulldogs are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings with Auburn and the Tigers have won 4 straight games as a home dog and are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10 points.
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09-10-11 | Oregon State v. Wisconsin -20.5 | 0-35 | Win | 100 | 64 h 30 m | Show | |
Wisconsin showed what it could do last week by handling UNLV in every facet of the game before shutting it down early and eventually surrendering the back door cover thanks to an early missed PAT. This week, the Badgers' tremendous rushing attack faces off against an Oregon State defense that gave up 175 yards or more on the ground in half of their games last year. The Beavers averaged giving up 180 ypg on the ground and 4.3 ypc while yielding 27 ppg last season. Look for Wisconsin to have a field day as the reeling Beavers come in after losing to FCS 's Sacremento State in their opener last week.
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09-05-11 | Miami (Florida) v. Maryland -4 | 24-32 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
Planned to stay away from this game with so many unknowns on the Miami side but the more I look at it you have to love the Terps in this spot! They return 7 starters on each side of the ball including the very efficient Danny O'Brien at QB and playmaking RB Davin Meggett. These two will lead Maryland to an ACC home opening win. The Terps are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games overall. Miami was an underdog just twice last year and failed to cover in both attempts.
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09-04-11 | SMU v. Texas A&M -15.5 | 14-46 | Win | 100 | 96 h 36 m | Show | |
Texas A&M returns 18 starters from a 9-4 team that held an average margin of victory of nearly 10 points over its opponents. Included in that number is Aggie QB Ryan Tannehill. Tannehill took over the position in the second half of the season and led A&M to 6 straight wins until being defeated by LSU in the Cotton Bowl. Tannehill brings back 9 other starters on his offense includine RB Cyrus Gray who ran for over 1100 yds last season. The Aggies have covered 4 straight as a favorite and they're 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. SMU is just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Big 12 and the Mustangs have lost 6 straight to the Aggies by an average of 33 ppg. SMU is also just 1-13 in road openers over the last 14 years.
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09-03-11 | Tulsa +25 v. Oklahoma | 14-47 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 50 m | Show | |
Tulsa returns 18 starters from a team that went 10-3 a year ago. The Golden Hurricanes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and have covered 4 straight as road dogs. Overall, Tulsa is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Oklahoma is obviously a very talented team, if not the best in the land, but with the experience that Tulsa returns they won't lay down and be kicked around by the Sooners.
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09-03-11 | Boise State -3 v. Georgia | 35-21 | Win | 100 | 73 h 33 m | Show | |
Boise State lost their top two receivers from last year but other than that they bring back most of their talent on both sides of the ball. With star QB Kellen Moore returning, he'll be able to guide this offense and keep them at the high level we're accustomed to seeing. The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10 points while the Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10 points. Georgia struggled last year finishing with their first losing season in 15 years. While they do return budding star Aaron Murray at QB, they lost alot at the skill positions and 3 of their top 4 tacklers from a team that already had trouble making plays. Look for Boise to get another huge early season win and improve upon their 22-10-1 record ATS in their last 33 non-conference games.
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09-03-11 | Fresno State +10 v. California | 21-36 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 54 m | Show | |
The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road dog of 3.5-10 points and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10 points. Fresno has won 7 straight season openers by an average of 24 ppg, 3 of which were against BCS opponents. Cal is coming off of a losing season and has to replace their starting backfield from an already ineffective offense. Oddsmakers are giving Pat Hill and his Bulldogs too many points on the road in this one as they are used to playing with and upsetting BCS teams on the road.
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09-03-11 | South Florida +10 v. Notre Dame | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 67 h 24 m | Show | |
The Bulls have won 4 straight games as a road underdog and they're 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10 points. The Fighting Irish are just 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 home games and only 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. South Florida is a very talented team with a ton of letterman returning. They will press this overrated Notre Dame team to the wire but in the end the Irish probably get the SU win on their home turf.
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09-02-11 | TCU -4.5 v. Baylor | 48-50 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 55 m | Show | |
As a road favorite, TCU is 13-9 ATS over the last 5 years. Also, the Horned Frogs are 5-1 over the last 6 years in their road openers. Since 2005, the Horned Frogs are 12-2 against BCS teams and beat this Baylor team by 35 points last September. Baylor is just 4-15 as a home dog over the last 6 years. The Bears will be improved with a healthy Robert Griffin but they still don't have the talent to match up against an always tough TCU defense.
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09-01-11 | UNLV Rebels v. Wisconsin -35 | 17-51 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
Wisconsin has won their last 4 games at home ATS and they finished 2010 winning 7 straight overall ATS. The Badgers return 12 starters to that 11-2 team and added QB Russell Wilson to a very talented backfield duo of Monte Ball and James White. UNLV is 14-37-2 ATS in their last 53 road games and 4-15-2 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog of 10.5 points or more. In fact, the Rebels haven't covered as a road dog since 2008. The Rebels defense gave up over 5 ypc and 223 ypg on the ground last year while surrendering 40 ppg. This is a defense the Badgers will pound into submission!
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01-10-11 | Oregon v. Auburn -2 | Top | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 30 h 45 m | Show |
The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3 points. The Tigers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record while the Ducks are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Auburn plays big games week in and week out in the SEC and managed to stay undefeated through them all. Every time they step on the field they are playing against some of the best talent in the country, offensively and defensively. In the PAC-10, Oregon didn't face near as many tests along the way this year, especially with perenial power USC in a down year. Look for the difference maker in this game to come with Auburn's defense, most notably the Tigers' front four. Oregon hasn't seen any defense as fast and physical as they'll face Monday night and their high-powered offense will suffer because of that.
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01-07-11 | Texas A&M +2.5 v. LSU | Top | 24-41 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
The Aggies finished the season off as one of the hottest teams in the nation winning 6 straight and covering the spread in all 6 as well. A&M won those 6 games by beating the likes of Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Nebraska and Texas and did so by an average of 15 ppg! The Aggies strength is their versatile offensive attack but they also boast a very good defense giving up just over 20 ppg, good for a top 25 ranking on the year. LSU has a very solid defense but their offense isn't capable of moving the ball against A&M's D. In the end, I look for a low scoring game in which the Aggies make enough plays to pull out the win.
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01-04-11 | Arkansas v. Ohio State -3 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 53 h 58 m | Show | |
In my opinion, Ohio State has the best defense in the country as they are great against the run and pass. The Buckeys give up less than 100 ypg on the ground and they're only allowing a touch more than 150 ypg through the air. Look for them to confuse and pressure Arkansas QB Ryan Mallett consistently and never let him get in a groove. On offense, Ohio State is balanced with Terrell Pryor maturing enough to become a decent passer. His passing is enhanced by his ability to pull the ball down and run and by the two-headed RB machine the Buckeyes can roll at opponents. Also, the Bucks are helped out by great field position their defense always sets them up with. This is one of the better Buckeye teams we've seen in recent years and they will come out Tuesday night and get a win to save some face for the Big Ten.
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01-03-11 | Virginia Tech v. Stanford -3.5 | Top | 12-40 | Win | 100 | 29 h 9 m | Show |
Stanford's physical style and excellent defense gives them the edge over Virginia Tech. Stanford has shown the ability to stop some of the best offenses in the country while playing in the PAC-10. The Cardinal gave up less than 18 ppg (11th in the NCAA) and over their last 5 games they posted two shutots and allowed less than 9 ppg! With a future #1 draft pick at QB, Stanford has no problem moving the ball when they have the ball as well. The Cardinal averaged over 40 ppg (9th in the NCAA) and they were consistent in doing so as they scored at least 31 points in all but 1 game this year.
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01-01-11 | TCU v. Wisconsin +3 | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
The Badgers have really opened eyes across the nation putting up huge numbers over the last few weeks of the season. Wisconsin finished the season winning their last 6 games ATS but and scoring 50 ppg. While half a hundred certainly makes it easier to win ball games, the Badgers defense is what I see as the difference maker. The Badger D is relentless against the pass and run giving up just 320 ypg and only 20 ppg. This game is won in the trenches and Wisconsin has the best offensive line in the country and one of the best in the land on the defensive side as well.
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01-01-11 | Michigan v. Mississippi State -4 | Top | 14-52 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
Mississippi State is another case of playing such good competition in the SEC they are overlooked by most across the nation. The Bulldogs had 4 losses this year and they all came to teams ranked in the top 15 in the nation, teams with combined records of 42-7! No shame in losing those games, especially a 3 point loss to the #1 team in the nation. Mississippi State has run for nearly 220 ypg this season and the Michigan defense gives up over 170 ypg on the ground. The Wolverines have one of the worst defenses in the nation giving up over 430 ypg and nearly 34 ppg! The Bulldogs don't put up a gawdy number of points but they are efficient and that is more than enough to move the ball against the pourous Michigain defense. Michigan will put some points on the board but the Mississippi defense is very good and they will make enough stops to win this game going away. Their specialty is stopping the run and that will be the deciding factor as the Wolverines can't maintain drives when they have to resort to throwing the ball.
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01-01-11 | Michigan State v. Alabama -9.5 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 50 h 13 m | Show | |
Alabama's defense will be too stout for Michigan State to get their running game going. They will become dependent on the pass and that's when the real trouble will start for the Spartans. Alabama has the talent in the secondary to be able to leave their corners on islands and blitz all day and they have the kind of ability to get pressure on Kirk Cousins early and often when doing so. Michigan State is also without top WR B.J. Cunningham so that will make it even tougher to geth their passing game going. Lay the points on 'Bama New Years Day.
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12-31-10 | Florida State v. South Carolina -3 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 53 m | Show |
The Gamecocks have improved every year under Steve Spurrier with this year being the best yet. The Gamecocks have won their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-3 points and South Carolina is also 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Behind RB Marcus Lattimore, Spurrier has his most balanced team ever and the Gamecocks are very tough for a defense to stop. Florida State gave up over 187 ypg on the ground over their last three games and that is surely to be exploited some more on Friday evening. South Carolina is a top 10-15 team in the nation but with two losses to #1 Auburn and another to Sugar Bowl participant Arkansas, their season record looks much worse than it's really been.
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12-31-10 | Notre Dame +3 v. Miami (Florida) | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
After a mid-season hiccup, the Irish finished the season very strong. Notre Dame won their last three games by giving up just 7 ppg and they beat Utah and USC in the process. The Fighting Irish are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and they were 3-1 ATS away from home this year. Miami finished the regular season going just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and the Hurricanes are only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The Canes really limped home losing their last two games but the biggest thing was their lack of defense. Over their last three games Miami gave up an average of 232 ypg on the ground alone. With Jacory Harris still a little banged up I look for Miami to continue to struggle and Notre Dame will cover the 3 point cushion.
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12-30-10 | Washington v. Nebraska -14 | 19-7 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 11 m | Show | |
Washington was a 3-6 team getting blown out regularly until they finished the season beating teams that were a combined 11-25, hardly an impressive feat. The Huskisd are 107th in the nation against the run, giving up 200 ypg. As we know, Nebraska's offense is based on the run and against the Huskies defense they'll have no troubles. Nebraska gained 385 yards (7.3 ypc) on the ground in their blowout win over Washington earlier this year and I expect the same type of output Thursday.
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12-30-10 | Army +7.5 v. SMU | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
Army is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog and the Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10 points. Army, of course, is based on their option attack and moving the ball on the ground and SMU gives up over 142 ypg on the ground, right in the middle of the pack nationally. The Mustangs aren't used to seeing the types of schemes Army will bring at them. Defensively, Army has played the pass very well when needed. Against the 3 opponents they played that are primarily passing oriented, they held them all below their season average in yards. Overall, Army ranks 23rd nationally giving up just 190 ypg through the air. Army will control the SMU passing game just as they have all year and stay in this game and I look for Army to actually pull off the upset and win SU!
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12-29-10 | Arizona v. Oklahoma State -4.5 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 48 h 27 m | Show | |
As a favorite of 3.5-10 points, Oklahoma State is 24-6-2 ATS in their last 32 games. They have proven to be cash cows in spots like these as the Cowboys also show a 40-16-2 record ATS in their last 58 games as a favorite. This season, the Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. The versatile Cowboys' offense has clearly been firing on all cylinders as they're averaging 45 ppg, good for 3rd best in the nation. They can beat you on the ground or through the air. The Cowboys are also perfect on the road this year going 5-0 both SU and ATS. Look for them to maintain perfection against Arizona Wednesday night.
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12-28-10 | Missouri v. Iowa +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 172 h 37 m | Show | |
Iowa has one of the best coaching staffs in the country and they've proven their worth in bowl games when they have ample time to prepare. The Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games and a perfect 4-0 in bowls when they play as an underdog. Iowa has 5 losses this year but by a total of just 18 points. Also, the Hawkeyes are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games as an underdog and impressive 15-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Tigers are just 5-12 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
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12-18-10 | Ohio +2 v. Troy State | 21-48 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Ohio is very stout against the run, giving up under 100 ypg, good for 6th in the nation. Ohio also has an effective rushing game of their own to rely on. Their ability to control the clock and move the chains on offense plus their ability to make Troy one dimensional when they have the ball will be the key to winning tonight. The Bobcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and they finished up the season going 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. Troy was just 4-8 ATS this year and only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
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12-11-10 | Navy -7 v. Army | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 100 h 11 m | Show | |
Navy has won 8 straight against Army and the Midshipmen are 6-2 ATS during this streak. Also, in those 8 games, the Midshipmen have beaten their service academy rival by double digits every time. In fact, 5 of the 8 wins have been by at least 28 points and the average margin of victory is nearly 4 TDs as well!
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12-04-10 | Nebraska v. Oklahoma -6 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 47 m | Show | |
Long time Big 8 rivals battle for the last time as conference foes. In the series, the favorite is 7-3 ATS over the last 10 meetings. Nebraska had a good showing last week against Colorado but before that it they had played 3 or 4 games below the level I expected out of them. Part of that is due to the injuries the Huskers have sustained. Their offense is still too banged up and one-dimensional to effectively move the ball on the Sooners. After two tough losses on the road, OU bounced back with a dominating win at Baylor and a huge road win against rival Okie State last weekend.
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12-04-10 | Florida State v. Virginia Tech -3.5 | Top | 33-44 | Win | 100 | 73 h 43 m | Show |
The Hokies are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall and also 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. Virginia Tech has won 10 straight games, by an average of 21 ppg. Just two of those 10 wins were not double digit wins, one by a TD and one by 9 points. The Hokies have surged their way back into Orange Bowl contention after starting with 2 disappointing losses to start the season. Look for them to finish off another great season at the hands of their stellar defense and always strong running game.
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12-04-10 | Auburn -5.5 v. South Carolina | 56-17 | Win | 100 | 69 h 9 m | Show | |
Now that it's confirmed that Auburn will have Cam Newton on Saturday I see no reason to think they won't win the SEC Championship going away. The Tigers have already beaten South Carolina and they showed incredible toughness coming back to beat Alabama on the road last week. Auburn will gain momentum headed towards the National Title game while it's this time of year we usually see South Carolina lay an egg.
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12-04-10 | Oregon -16.5 v. Oregon State | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 69 h 42 m | Show | |
Oregon State is giving up 165 ypg on the ground, good for 82nd in the nation. Needless to say they've had trouble stopping the rush and they haven't seen anything like the scheme and speed the Ducks will bring at them. Also, the Beavers' offense is among the nations worst in points and yards per game so they haven't shown the power to be able to keep up in a track meet with rival Oregon. Oregon is winning by over 30 ppg and I look for that to continue this Saturday.
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11-27-10 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -3 | 47-41 | Loss | -105 | 76 h 56 m | Show | |
This season, both of Oklahoma's losses have come on the road and OU is just 1-3 ATS away from home this season and just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games going back to last year. History shows us the favorite has won 5 straight games between these two and also that the home team is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings. The Cowboys are 9-2 ATS this year with a 4-2 record on their home turf. OSU is scoring nearly 51 ppg and outscoring opponents by 18 ppg! This is a great chance for the Cowboys to beat their instate rivals for the first time since 2002 and with the home field advantage they finally get it done.
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11-27-10 | Cincinnati v. Connecticut -1 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 69 h 35 m | Show | |
In the series, the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Also, the Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Cincinnati, on the other hand, is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and the Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. UConn is undefeated at home, scoring nearly 40 ppg. Cincy is 1-3 on the road and giving up over 30 ppg while scoring just 20 per contest.
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11-27-10 | Michigan v. Ohio State -16.5 | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 68 h 21 m | Show | |
While 17 points may seem like a big number, especially in a rivalry game, it hasn't been for the Buckeyes this year. They have won all but one home game by 24 or more points and have outscored opponents at home by an average of 34 ppg on the season. With those numbers it's easy to see how the Buckeyes are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games. Michigan is just 1-3 ATS on the road this season. Also, the Wolverines are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 games overall and a staggering 4-22 ATS in their last 26 conference games! Ohio State has covered 5 of the last 6 against Michigan and I look for them to roll again as they close out another Big Ten Co-Championship.
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11-27-10 | Indiana v. Purdue -3 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 13 m | Show | |
A heated, instate rivalry in which the favorite is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings and the home team is 9-3 ATS over the last 12 meetings. Indiana has beaten Purdue just twice in the last decade and neither of those wins came at Purdue. In fact, the Hoosiers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings at Purdue. Indiana hasn't won a Big Ten game all year long and I don't think they've shown anything to prove they will get it done this weekend either.
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11-26-10 | Boise State -13.5 v. Nevada | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 5 m | Show |
The Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. Overall, Boise State is 8-2 ATS this year and a perfect 4-0 on the road. Also, the Broncos have owned Nevada going 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings including taking 4 straight ATS on the Wolf Pack's home turf. The Broncos know they have way too much riding on this game and they have always stepped up to the big challenge under Chris Petersen. They will coming firing on all cylinders and step up to play their best football of the year.
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11-26-10 | Auburn v. Alabama -4.5 | 28-27 | Loss | -105 | 49 h 19 m | Show | |
Alabama is 5-1 ATS at home this year, giving up less than 7 ppg! It's safe to say Auburn's potent offense will raise that average some with Cam Newton running the show but the 'Bama defense is strong enough to be the difference maker for the Tide. Alabama's offense isn't great but they're good enough to take advantage of an average Auburn defense. They're scoring 35 ppg and with Trent Richardson expected back Friday they get even more explosive. The home team has covered 5 of the last 6 in this rivalry and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games.
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11-25-10 | Texas A&M -3.5 v. Texas | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 18 m | Show |
The Aggies are 5-2 ATS on the road this year and they're on a 5 game win streak against the books. Also, Texas A&M has won 4 of the last 5 ATS vs. Texas. The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and just 2-9 ATS over their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. The 'Horns are giving up over 26 ppg in conference play this year and scoring less than 20 ppg. The Aggies have scored 35 or more in 5 of 7 conference games and against this Texas defense they will do the same Thursday night as they get a double digit win.
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11-20-10 | New Mexico +29.5 v. BYU | 7-40 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 40 m | Show | |
New Mexico is only 1-9 but they haven't been beaten by over 24 points since Septemeber. They've clearly shown improvement and finally got that first W of the season 2 weeks ago against Wyoming. Not only are the Lobos 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings at BYU. Also, in this series, the underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. BYU is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. New Mexico keeps this one under the huge posted number.
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11-20-10 | Virginia Tech -2 v. Miami (Fla) | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 70 h 32 m | Show | |
During their 8 game winning streak, the Hokies are 7-1 ATS, all as the posted favorite like they are again this week. Playing on the road hasn't phased Va Tech as they are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a road favorite and 25-9 ATS in their last 34 road games overall. Also, the Hokies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with Miami. The 'Canes have too many questions offensively too expect to get the job done against the typically tough Hokie defense. Virginia Tech gets a huge road win and continues their great season run towards the Orange Bowl.
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11-20-10 | Ohio State -3 v. Iowa | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 69 h 22 m | Show | |
Iowa has struggled over the last few weeks while Ohio State has taken their play up a notch. The Buckeyes have won 3 straight games since their loss to Wisconsin by an average of 38 ppg while covering all three. Obviously they face a tougher opponent on the road against Iowa this week but the Buckeyes are 8-2 ATS overall this season and they have a Rose Bowl or other BCS bowl squarely in their sights. Also, the Buckeyes are 23-5 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Hawkeyes. It's safe to say Ohio State will be plenty ready for the read test in Iowa City.
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11-20-10 | Wisconsin -4 v. Michigan | Top | 48-28 | Win | 100 | 66 h 21 m | Show |
As much as I normally love a home dog in this spot Michigan just doesn't fit the bill. The Wolverines' defense is far too poor to stop Wisconsin's running game and play action pass attack. Michigan has given up 34 points or more in 6 of 10 games this season, including 5 of 6 Big Ten games. Wisconsin ranks among the nation's best defenses with top 25 rankings in yards allowed and points allowed. They have the physical defense that has negated Denard Robinson throughout the Big Ten conference slate. The Badgers win by double digits and continue their dominance over Michigan as they carry a 6-1-1 streak ATS coming into Saturday's matchup.
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11-13-10 | Oklahoma State Cowboys -5 v. Texas | Top | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 50 h 4 m | Show |
The Cowboys are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a road favorite. Also, the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the Longhorns are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Texas just doesn't have the makeup of a good team. They've been beaten by far less quality teams that what Oklahoma State will bring at them this week. The Longhorns have lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 while giving up at least 28 points in each. The Cowboys are scoring 46 ppg. Here's to saying they continue that streak the 'Horns are allowing as they win going away!
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11-13-10 | Stanford -4.5 v. Arizona State Sun Devils | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 51 m | Show | |
Arizona State doesn't have a quality win all season long and against a Stanford team that has scored over 30 points in every game this one could get ugly. The Cardinal are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. In the series the favorite has covered the number in 4 straight and the Sun Devils are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 3.5-10 points. Lay the chalk as 7 of Stanford's 8 wins have been by 10 points or more.
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11-13-10 | Virginia Tech -3.5 v. North Carolina | 26-10 | Win | 100 | 69 h 41 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech is still the favorite to win the ACC even after the awful start to their season. Not only are they rolling in the wins to stay atop their division, the Hokies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. Also, the Hokies are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a road favorite and 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games overall. Frank Beamer can always get his guys up for big games and the defense the Hokies play is what gives them the edge to win tough conference road games. The lack of talent the Tar Heels are missing due to injury and suspension will show when the play the disciplined Hokies.
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11-13-10 | Penn State Nittany Lions v. Ohio State Buckeyes -18 | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 69 h 32 m | Show | |
The Buckeyes will have problems against tough, physicall teams but thats not this Nittany Lion team. Ohio State has been pulverizing teams at home this season going 6-0 ATS and winning by almost 35 ppg. While Penn State may not be as bad as some of those teams I don't think they're too far from it. Ohio State may not win by 5 TDs but they will win by at least 3. The Nittany Lions are only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 10.5 ooints or more and they're just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Ohio State.
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11-13-10 | Utah -5.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 3-28 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 54 m | Show |
The Utes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Utah doesn't just sneak up on road opponents and come up with back door covers, they have had success on the road as a favorite winning 4 of they're last 5 ATS. Notre Dame is just 2-5-2 ATS this year and has yet to cash in on their home turf. In fact, the Irish are only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10 points and just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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11-13-10 | Iowa State Cyclones v. Colorado +2.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 67 h 0 m | Show | |
A game of who will bounce back better. The Buffs are back at home and it's Senior Day. They are playing after head coach Dan Hawkins was fired and they're 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The Cyclones suffered a heartbreaking missed 2 pt. conversion attempt at home against Nebraska last week. The Cyclones look to avenge that loss by heading on the road where they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Take the home team on the emotional Senior Day.
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11-06-10 | Texas Christian Horned Frogs v. Utah Utes +5 | 47-7 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 29 m | Show | |
Utah's defense will suprise most this weekend. The Utes are known for their skilled offense, and rightly so, but the athletes they have on the defensive side of the ball will make the difference in this one. The Utes are 6-1-1 ATS this year and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Utah is also a solid 27-7-1 ATS in their last 35 games as an underdog.
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11-06-10 | Washington Huskies v. Oregon Ducks -35 | 16-53 | Win | 100 | 68 h 25 m | Show | |
Oregon's average margin of victory this year sits at 37 ppg with half of their victories being of 35 or more points. THe Huskies have been beaten by 30 or more 3 times this year and none of those offenses are as explosive as the Ducks. The Ducks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 conference games. The Huskies are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games and have lost 4 straight ATS at Oregon and 6 straight overall. Another blowout win for the BCS Championship bound Ducks.
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11-06-10 | Nebraska Huskers -18 v. Iowa State | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 8 m | Show | |
Nebraska will be able to name their score agianst this Iowa State defense. The Cyclones have given up at least 5 TDs in half their games this season and are giving up 30 ppg on average. The explosive run game of the Huskers is something Iowa State cannot stop. Nebraska will be out looking for revenge to a loss to the Cyclones in Lincoln last year and their 9-1 record ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or more leads me to believe they'll get it. Also, as a favorite, the Cornhuskers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings with Iowa State.
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11-06-10 | Alabama Crimson Tide -6.5 v. Louisiana St Tigers | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 16 m | Show |
The Crimson Tide are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games overall. Alabama also boasts a 6-1 record ATS in their last 7 meetings in Baton Rouge as the road team has continually cashed in this series with a mark of 11-2-1 ATS over the last 14 games. In fact, LSU is just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games and only 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games. Both teams have great defenses so the offensive advantage 'Bama has over the Tigers becomes the difference. LSU has escaped defeat many times garnering their first loss last week but while Alabama has been dominant all year other than one slip up. Easy win for the Tide as they work towards a chance to get back into the BCS tite game.
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