Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers +4 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 69 h 28 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #124 San Francisco 49ers +4 over Denver Broncos (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK The Broncos have made a rally of late winning three straight games to take some pressure off of Head Coach Vance Joseph. But I just do not trust them to win four straight games with three of those four games coming on the road. Losing Chris Harris Jr and Emmanuel Sanders will be too much for this team to overcome within a week. The Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in December. Denver does not have an explosive offense that can attack this San Francisco defense and if Nick Mullens can take care of the football, they should win this game straight-up. |
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12-09-18 | Giants -3.5 v. Redskins | 40-16 | Win | 100 | 120 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #121 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) The Giants get to face a back-up quarterback for the second straight week but this time it will be Mark Sanchez who was just signed a couple of weeks ago after Alex Smith went down. New York dominated Chicago for most of the game last Sunday before the Bears made a late rally to send it into overtime. If the Giants can stop the run, they should win this game by double digits. Washington is 6-6 and that is truly amazing consider their 52-man roster is terrible. I could see them not winning another game all season. New York is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Washington is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 divisional games. The will be a big public play but I still see the Giants winning this game easily. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots -7.5 v. Dolphins | 33-34 | Loss | -100 | 120 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #117 New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) The Patriots are a tough team to beat come November – December. Miami has played well at home this year, but New England cannot afford to take them lightly if they hope to secure a first round bye this season. The Patriots have been playing much better on defense and if their offense can repeat their past performances from years past this will be the team to beat in the AFC come January. New England has covered the spread in 5 straight divisional games. Miami is 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in December. |
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12-09-18 | Ravens +7 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 120 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #105 Baltimore Ravens over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) The Chiefs were not that impressive against the Raiders last Sunday and now they play a much better team in the Ravens with another big spread. QB Lamar Jackson has not put up great stats but he has inspired this team with three straight wins and we will jump on the bandwagon. The road team has covered 6 of the last 8 meetings. Kansas City will have their explosive moments, but I believe Baltimore will be able to take this down to the wire and easily cover the spread. |
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 122 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #376 New England Patriots over Minnesota Vikings (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 2 FOX) These back to back road games on the docket for Minnesota will likely doom them in. Going to New England this week and Seattle the next week is as tough to travel as there is in the league. Minnesota just does not have the same defense that they had last year. New England will be able to score in the thirties in this game and I just do not believe Minnesota will be able to keep pace. The Patriots are starting to get healthy and they are always tough to beat in December (8-1 ATS last 9 December games). Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Patriots have just been going through the motions of late, but this is a game that they will get up for and win it by double-digits. |
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12-01-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State -2.5 | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #318 Boise State Broncos over Fresno State Bulldogs (7:45p.m., Saturday, December 1 ESPN) The Broncos are the best team in the MWC and playing the championship on the blue turf is a big advantage that the Bulldogs will not be able to overcome. Boise State has won 7 straight games and they have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games against Fresno State. This will not be a blowout, but Boise State just has a knack for pulling out close games especially at home. Usually the Broncos are double digits favorites at home, but we have used them the last two times the spread was low. QB Rypien will go out a winner and we will collect in the process as well. |
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12-01-18 | Memphis +3.5 v. Central Florida | 41-56 | Loss | -113 | 98 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #309 Memphis Tigers over UCF Golden Knights (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 1 ABC) It ends tonight! The winning streak for the Golden Knights will come to an end on Saturday against a team that nearly beat them in the regular season. It will be imperative for the Tigers to stop the Golden Knights rushing attack and make Darriel Mack beat them through the air. Memphis is 15-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 AAC games. UCF just does not have a path to the College Football Playoff and that will show up in this game, as Memphis wins it straight-up. |
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12-01-18 | Stanford -2.5 v. California | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 97 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #333 Stanford Cardinal over California Golden Bears (3p.m., Saturday, December 1 PAC-12 Network) Stanford has won 8 straight in this series by an average of 20 points per game (6-2 ATS). Stanford has had a brutal schedule this year, but they have regrouped of late having won their last two games. This game comes down to Stanford being efficient on offense and if they can score in the twenties, they will likely win this game. Stanford plays better on the road going 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 road games. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 7 Big Games! |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 54 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #302 Dallas Cowboys over New Orleans Saints (8:20p.m., Thursday, November 29 FOX) New Orleans is the best team in football but Dallas is the type of team that can contain them on both sides of the football. The Cowboys have won three straight games and I just do not see them getting blowout at home. Dallas needs this game more and thus I think they can take this down to the wire. Dallas has won 4 of their 5 home games this year. The underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between New Orleans and Dallas. |
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11-25-18 | Packers +3.5 v. Vikings | 17-24 | Loss | -120 | 121 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #271 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 25 NBC) The Packers have extra days to prepare for this game and I just do not see a blowout by the home team. Green Bay has yet to win a road game this season, but they always seem to take it down to the wire and this game should be no different. Green Bay has an easy schedule after this game and they could run the table if they can beat Minnesota in Minneapolis. The underdog has covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 meetings. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. QB Rodger is still the best player on the field and the extra rest should allow some of his playmakers to get healthy for this game. |
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11-25-18 | Steelers v. Broncos +3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 117 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #270 Denver Broncos over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 25 CBS) We used the Broncos last week and won the game straight up despite being around a touchdown underdog. Pittsburgh is coming off a remarkable comeback against Jacksonville but playing in Denver is always a tough task. 4 of the Broncos losses have come against top teams in the NFL by a combined 16 points. Pittsburgh is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games played during Week 12 of the regular season. Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. The underdog is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 9 meetings. |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks v. Panthers -3 | 30-27 | Loss | -119 | 114 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Carolina Panthers over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, November 25 FOX) The Panthers have lost two straight games, but they are a perfect 5-0 this season at home. The Hawks are still rebuilding around QB Wilson and they just do not have many playmakers on either side of the football. Carolina needs this game more to ensure they reach the playoffs as a Wild Card team. Carolina is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Seattle is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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11-24-18 | Notre Dame -10.5 v. USC | 24-17 | Loss | -107 | 97 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #225 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over USC Trojans (8p.m., Saturday, November 24 ABC) USC has a lame duck coach and Notre Dame continues to cover spread and show they are one of the top 4 teams in the country. A win by the Irish will allow them to reach the College Football Playoff. USC has lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played at the Coliseum. The talent would indicate a single digit spread but USC has quit and this will be the last game they play in the 2018 season. The favorite has covered the spread in the last 6 meetings. Notre Dame is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 road games. USC is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 nonconference games. |
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11-24-18 | LSU v. Texas A&M -2 | 72-74 | Push | 0 | 97 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #210 Texas A&M Aggies over LSU Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 24 SECN) LSU still gets a lot publicity for beating Georgia but they still have the same issues that have plagued this team for years. Their offense is vanilla and Texas A&M has the much better offensive mind in Jimbo Fisher. If the Aggies defense can stop the running attack of the Tigers they will win this game by double-digits. The favorite is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 8 meetings. The previous regime struggled in November and Coach Fisher knows the importance of finishing strong and getting the 8th victory of the season. Texas A&M is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. |
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11-24-18 | Arizona State v. Arizona +2 | Top | 41-40 | Win | 100 | 93 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #234 Arizona Wildcats over Arizona State Sun Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 24 FS1) PAC 12 GAME OF THE YEAR The home team has won the last 5 meetings in the Territorial Cup. Arizona needs to win this game to become bowl eligible and they have played much better down the stretch winning 2 of their last 3 games (both wins have come against teams that beat ASU). Arizona State should not be favored as they are just 1-4 straight-up on the road in 2018. There will be a lot of points in this game, but I like the way QB Khalil Tate has been playing over his last three games (12 touchdown and 3 interceptions). Arizona is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Arizona State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. The underdog is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 Territorial Cup meetings. |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +4.5 | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 89 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #162 Ohio State Buckeyes over Michigan Wolverines (12p.m., Saturday, November 24 FOX) Just have a feeling Ohio State is due for a complete 60-minute game. If they cannot get up for this game, then this team is just not very good. Michigan has not won in Columbus since 2000 and Ohio State has won 13 of the last 14 meetings. Michigan still has a monkey on their back and Harbaugh has yet to win the Big 10 or beat his hated rival. This will be the best offense Michigan has seen this year and likely even better than Notre Dame. Michigan is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Coach Meyer has never been a home underdog at Ohio State and I feel they will not only cover the spread, but win this game straight-up. |
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11-23-18 | Washington +3 v. Washington State | 28-15 | Win | 100 | 74 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #143 Washington Huskies over Washington State Cougars (8:30p.m., Friday, November 23 FOX) The Apple Cup takes place in Pullman, WA on Friday night. The Huskies have owned this series winning 8 of the last 9 meetings by an average of 22 points per game. Washington State still has an outside chance to reach the College Football Playoff, but I just feel Washington is the better all-around team. Washington is 8-3 yet nobody is talking about them. A win by Washington will put them in the PAC 12 Championship Game with he potential to reach the Rose Bowl. Washington is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played in Pullman. |
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11-23-18 | Nebraska +10 v. Iowa | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 65 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #123 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Friday, November 23 FOX) Just like the way Nebraska has been playing over the last month. We have hit two top plays with them and feel they can keep this game closer than the posted number. This will be the final game for Nebraska and you can bet Coach Frost wants to set the tone for 2019 in this game. Nebraska got embarrassed by Iowa last and pride will be on the line in this game. The future looks much brighter for Nebraska and Iowa appears destined to be an 8-4, 7-5 type of team. The road team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. |
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11-22-18 | Bears v. Lions +4.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -115 | 42 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #106 Detroit Lions over Chicago Bears (11:30am, Thursday, November 22 CBS) The Bears are the team to beat in the NFC North, but I still do not believe in them. Throw in the face the Mitch Trubisky may not play and I feel that the wrong team is favored. The Bears have super short rest after playing on Sunday Night Football and now must play the first game of the day on Thanksgiving. Detroit is 3-1 straight-up (3-1 ATS) in their last 4 games played on Thanksgiving. Chicago is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings at Ford Field. |
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11-18-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Falcons | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 119 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #453 Dallas Cowboy over Atlanta Falcons (1p.m., Sunday, November 18 FOX) Both teams have been streaky, but it appears Dallas is trending up whereas Atlanta laid an egg last week at Cleveland. Dallas should be able to run the football in this game and that will allow them to have success passing as well off of play action. Atlanta will put up some points and yards in this game but in the end, Dallas will pull it out by a field goal. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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11-18-18 | Bucs v. Giants -1 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 119 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #466 New York Giants over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, November 18 FOX) The Giants just have to many playmakers to be this bad. They picked up a big win last Monday in San Francisco and should be able to make it two in a row against another bad team in Tampa Bay. Tehir offensive line played their best game of the season last time out. The Buccaneers have lost 6 of their last 7 games and not being able to decide on a quarterback has cost them dearly. Their last two games have been over early and I just do not see them being able to win on the road at the Meadowlands. Tampa Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. New York is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against Tampa Bay. |
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11-18-18 | Steelers -5 v. Jaguars | 20-16 | Loss | -108 | 119 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #471 Pittsburgh Steelers over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday, November 18 CBS) Things have gotten bad in a hurry for Jacksonville as they have been flexed out of Sunday Night Football in favor of a better match-up. Pittsburgh is currently on pace for a bye in the playoffs and cannot afford to look past this game. Jacksonville beat Pittsburgh twice last year and that just makes this a strong play for us with the visitor. The Jaguars are 11-22 ATS (1 push) in their last 34 home games when they are an underdog. Pittsburgh has covered the spread in 5 straight games and I just do not believe Jacksonville can beat them again. The road team has covered 5 straight games in this series. |
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11-17-18 | Cincinnati +7.5 v. Central Florida | 13-38 | Loss | -114 | 103 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #353 Cincinnati Bearcats over UCF Golden Knights (8p.m., Saturday, November 17 ABC) Both teams have explosive offenses, but they difference in this game will be the play of the Bearcat defense. If they can get a lead in this game and make UCF play from behind, they will win it straight-up. Cincinnati has the fifth ranked defense in FBS and UCF will finally have some resistance on offense. UCF is 2-8 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of November. UCF will have their moments in this game and there will be some points scored but getting around a touchdown is just too good to pass up with Cincinnati. |
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11-17-18 | Pittsburgh -5.5 v. Wake Forest | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 95 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #321 Pittsburgh Panthers over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (12p.m., Saturday, November 17 ACCN) The Panthers are for real having won three straight games against better competition from what they will see today in Winston – Salem. They just need to win one of their two remaining games to earn a spot in the ACC Championship Game. Wake Forest is coming off a major upset against NC State last Thursday and because of that this line is three points shorter from what it should be. Wake Forest is 0-3 ATS this year as a home underdog. The Demon Deacons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Pittsburgh has covered the spread in 5 straight games. |
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11-17-18 | Ohio State v. Maryland +15 | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 95 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #350 Maryland Terrapins over Ohio State Buckeyes (12p.m., Saturday, November 17 ABC) Ohio State has not looked good in recent weeks and this is a classic look ahead situation with a winner take all game on deck against Michigan. Ohio State won last week against Michigan State, 26-6 but that score is very misleading as Michigan State self-destructed in the second half. Maryland needs win victory in their last two games to become bowl eligible. They will not accomplish that but would be able to keep this game around a 10-point deficit. Ohio State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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11-17-18 | Michigan State v. Nebraska +2.5 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 94 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #416 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Michigan State Spartans (12p.m., Saturday, November 17 FOX) Nebraska is one of the most improved teams in the country and they have a good chance to win their remaining two games on the schedule. They have been playing a home heavy schedule of late and this has allowed them to get healthy. Michigan State has a terrible offense and I just do not believe they will be able to attack and score consistently on this suspect Husker defense. Nebraska has covered the spread in 5 straight games including our top play a few weeks ago when they blew out Minnesota. This is just a classic case of two teams heading in different directions. QB Arian Martinez can play and will be a force to be reckoned with for years to come in this conference. Nebraska is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Michigan State (4-1 in Lincoln). |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks -2.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 55 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308 Seattle Seahawks over Green Bay Packers (8:20p.m., Thursday, November 15 FOX) Both teams need this game in order to remain in the playoff hunt for a wild card spot in the NFC. Green Bay has had no recent success in Seattle and they will be playing their third road game in the last four weeks. The home team is a perfect 6-0 straight-up and against the spread in the last six match-ups. It is always tough to play on the road on Thursday nights and I feel that the team that runs the ball the best will win this game. That will be the Seahawks. Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Seattle is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played on Thursday. |
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11-11-18 | Falcons -4 v. Browns | 16-28 | Loss | -103 | 117 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Atlanta Falcons over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, November 11 FOX) the new look Cleveland Browns coaching staff could not light a spark and they got blown out by Kansas City at home. Now they face another high explosive offense that is coming off their best performance of the season last week in Washington. The Browns have lost 4 straight games with 3 of those 4 setbacks being blowouts. Atlanta can score their way to a victory on Sunday and if they do not give the Browns a short field, Cleveland will not be able to keep pace. The Browns are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against teams from the NFC. Cleveland is 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games in November. |
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11-11-18 | Patriots -6.5 v. Titans | 10-34 | Loss | -102 | 117 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #259 New England Patriots over Tennessee Titans (1p.m, Sunday, November 11 CBS) The Patriots in November is always a strong play and they should be healthier this week in Nashville. Tennessee is coming off a short week and had no success against the Patriots last year in the playoffs. New England has covered the spread 6 straight times with a bye week on deck. This will not be a blowout, but New England just has more talent on offense and their defense should be able to frustrate QB Marcus Mariota. Tennessee is 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played in November. New England is 5-0 ATS and straight-up in their last 5 games against Tennessee. |
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11-11-18 | Cardinals +17 v. Chiefs | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 117 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #267 Arizona Cardinals over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, November 11 FOX) This is a very similar setup to Buffalo and Minnesota earlier in this season. We used Buffalo in that game and cruised to a victory (beat Minnesota straight-up). Arizona will not win this game straight-up, but I do expect them to stay below the humongous number. This is the classic look ahead situation for Kansas City, as they have the LA Rams on deck. Arizona is terrible, but they have been covering the spread of late going 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games. |
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11-10-18 | LSU v. Arkansas +14 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #200 Arkansas Razorbacks over LSU Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 10 SECN) Take a flier with Arkansas in this game as we expect lingering effects from LSU’s loss to Alabama last week to show up in this game. Arkansas is terrible, but LSU is not explosive at all on offense and thus I wonder if they can cover this big spread on the road. Look for Arkansas to take care of the football and keep this deficit under double-digits for 60 minutes. The Razorbacks have had good success against the Tigers covering the spread in 8 of the last 11 games. |
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11-10-18 | Temple v. Houston -4.5 | 59-49 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #116 Houston Cougars over Temple Owls (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 CBSSN) Houston has dominated this series as AAC opponents going 3-0 ATS. This is the second straight road game for Temple and they are facing another explosive offense in Houston. The Cougars are coming off a head scratching loss to SMU last week but expect them to rebound in a big way against Temple at home. Houston is just too explosive on offense for Temple to keep pace. Houston is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Playing back-to-back road games against two explosive offenses will doom in Temple during the second half of this game. |
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11-10-18 | Miami-FL +3.5 v. Georgia Tech | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #139 Miami Hurricanes over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 ESPN) Mark Richt may not be a great coach but he sure has had success against Georgia Tech and their option attack. He has beaten Georgia Tech 15 of 17 games and getting points with Miami is too good to pass up on Saturday night. Miami is in desperate need of a victory today in order to salvage their season, as they enter this game having lost 3 straight games. If they can stop the option and force Georgia Tech to pass, they will win this game straight-up. Miami has covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games against Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. |
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11-10-18 | South Florida v. Cincinnati -12 | Top | 23-35 | Push | 0 | 99 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #156 Cincinnati Bearcats over USF Bulls (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 ESPN U) The Bulls are in freefall at the moment having lost two straight games after a 7-0 start to the season. They will not get out of that funk tonight against Cincinnati a team that is a sneaky 8-1 on the season. USF is getting no respect from the linemakers evident by being a big underdog two of the last three weeks. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. USF played cupcakes to open the season and their defense will provide little resistance against the Bearcats. USF is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 AAC games. This is going to be a double-digit blowout for the Bearcats and we will collect big with them in the process. |
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11-10-18 | Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -11 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 92 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #124 Texas A&M Aggies over Ole Miss Rebels (12p.m., Saturday, November 10 CBS) Both teams are coming off loses but expect the Aggies to rebound at home against Ole Miss. Texas A&M has a defense and that is something lacking on the Ole Miss sideline. This is an important game for Jimbo Fisher to keep the emotions high and not let the season get away from them. The Rebels have had trouble scoring points against the top defenses in the SEC. The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in College Station. Ole Miss is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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11-10-18 | Kansas +12 v. Kansas State | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 92 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #142 Kansas State Wildcats over Kansas Jayhawks (12p.m., Saturday, November 10 FSN) Both teams are struggling, and Kansas has a lame duck coach that has been told he will not return in 2019. The Wildcats have won 9 straight games against the Jayhawks (7-2 ATS) and Bill Snyder needs a victory in the worst way on Saturday. K-State has had a brutal schedule, but it lightens up to close out the season and they must win all three of their remaining game to become bowl eligible. The favorite in this game is 18-5 ATS in the last 23 meetings. Kansas State has been beating Kansas by 29 points per game in the last nine meetings and expect them to win this game by 14-17 points. |
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11-09-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State +3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 78 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #114 Boise State Broncos over Fresno State Bulldogs (10:15p.m., Friday, November 9 ESPN2) Cannot remember the last time Boise State was an underdog at home in MWC play (18 years!). That being said it is not warranted, as Boise State is far and away the best offense Fresno State will see this year. Fresno State has an outstanding defense, but you just do not go into Boise in a night game and expect to come out on top. If the Broncos can take care of the football, they will have a great chance to win this game straight-up. Fresno State has been on an outstanding ATS run in a variety of categories but that will all come to an end Friday night. Boise has not played many complete games this season but they will be up for this game. |
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11-04-18 | Texans +1.5 v. Broncos | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 120 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Houston Texans over Denver Broncos (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) Houston is clearly the team to beat in the AFC South and just picked up some added ammunition at the wide receiver position for this game. Denver is just not the same team at home in November compared to September and their head coach is likely on the way out come January. Houston is 5-0 in their last 5 games and Denver is 1-5 in their last 6 games. The Broncos do not have the same defense as they had the last few years and Houston will be able to move the football on them. Denver is 5-14 ATS in their last 20 games. |
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11-04-18 | Chargers v. Seahawks -1 | Top | 25-17 | Loss | -115 | 120 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #468 Seattle Seahawks over Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) The Seahawks have been playing outstanding football of late and will enter this game having won 4 of their last 5 games. It could be 5-0 if not for a 2-point loss to the Rams. QB Wilson is getting the job done with a bunch of unheralded playmakers around him. They were dominate for three quarters last week against the Lions and look for more of the same this Sunday at home against the Chargers. LA is still banged up on both sides of the football and might be without some key playmakers for this game. LA is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye. Seattle still has a lot of home games remaining this season and I look for them to win all of them and make the playoffs as a wild card. The Chargers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Seattle has covered the spread 4 of their last 5 games. |
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11-04-18 | Lions v. Vikings -4.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 117 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 Minnesota Vikings over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 4 FOX) The NFC North is still anybody’s division to win and the Vikings will bounce back in a big way against the Lions. Minnesota has already lost two games at home this season and cannot afford any more home setbacks. Detroit has a habit of getting down big early and if that happens on Sunday they will not be able to recover. Minnesota is 16-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games as a home favorite. Detroit has had some success against Minnesota in recent years but that will change on Sunday. The quarterbacks are a wash, but the Vikings defense will be the difference in this game. |
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11-04-18 | Chiefs v. Browns +9 | 37-21 | Loss | -105 | 117 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #454 Cleveland Browns over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) The Browns have had an eventful week firing their head coach and offensive coordinator. The Browns have a good defense and now that their defensive coordinator is the head coach expect them to be aggressive attacking this young explosive quarterback. Just feel the Chiefs will look past this game with a game against the Rams on the slate in two games. This is the definition of a flat spot for Kansas City. They will go through the motions and win this game by 6-7 points. The underdog has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games in this match-up. |
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11-03-18 | Oklahoma -12 v. Texas Tech | 51-46 | Loss | -121 | 99 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #349 Oklahoma Sooners over Texas Tech Red Raiders (8p.m., Saturday, November 3 ABC) The Sooners are starting to turn it on and put up 702 total yards against Kansas State last Saturday. They will not be able to fully shutdown the Red Raiders in this game, but I truly believe they will outscore them and win this game by double digits. Oklahoma has played two great games after losing to Texas and they have scored 53.5 points per game over their last 4. The Sooners have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games played in November. |
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11-03-18 | Alabama v. LSU +14.5 | 29-0 | Loss | -105 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #420 LSU Tigers over Alabama Crimson Tide (8p.m., Saturday, November 3 CBS) Just too many points for Alabama to be giving on the road against a team full of athletes on defense. It will be important that LSU not beat themselves in this game with turnovers and special teams. Coach Orgeron is 15-4 in SEC games and this is likely the only chance Alabama has to lose a game during the regular season. There is just something special about night games in Baton Rouge and the fans into the game from the start. Alabama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of November. LSU is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. |
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11-03-18 | UCLA v. Oregon -7.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 99 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #382 Oregon Ducks over UCLA Bruins (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 3 FOX) The Chip Kelly game takes place Saturday afternoon in Eugene, OR. The Ducks laid an egg last week in Tucson and need to bounce back in a big way against an inferior opponent. UCLA is in full rebuild mode and they will enter this game having lost 10 of their last 11 conference road games by an average of 16 points per game. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between UCLA and Oregon. Many fans are still skeptical about Mario Cristobal and this can be his chance for a statement win against a former coach that has great success with Oregon. |
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11-03-18 | Missouri v. Florida -6 | 38-17 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #338 Florida Gators over Missouri Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, November 3 SECN) Expect Florida to bounce back in a big way after losing to Georgia last Saturday in Jacksonville. The Tigers have trouble when playing conference opponents (0-4) and have trouble moving the football against teams with speed on defense. The Gators have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 SEC games. Florida jumps on them early and wins this game by double digits. |
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11-03-18 | Georgia Southern -7.5 v. UL-Monroe | Top | 25-44 | Loss | -104 | 94 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #377 Georgia Southern Eagles over ULM Warhawks (3p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 3) The Eagles continue to cover spread (7-1 ATS run) and the oddsmakers cannot get a handle on the talent they have. They will enter this game having won five straight games and have been controlling the time of possession in nearly every game that they play. Georgia Southern has beaten ULM all three times they have faced each other as conference opponents. This selection is simple, ULM has trouble stopping the run and Georgia Southern is an outstanding triple option team. The Warhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. The Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in the month of November. |
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11-03-18 | Michigan State -1 v. Maryland | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 91 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #347 Michigan State Spartans over Maryland Terrapins (12p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 2) The Spartans have the defense that can contain the Terrapins and become bowl eligible after a victory on Saturday. Maryland is 3-19 ATS in their last 22 games following a victory in their previous game. QB Rocky Lombardi appeared to give the Spartans life on offense last week and look for that to continue this Saturday. This game comes down to the fact that Michigan State is great at stopping the run and if that holds true again they will win this game going away. Maryland is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. |
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10-28-18 | Packers +9.5 v. Rams | Top | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 123 h 16 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #271 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 28 FOX) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK. This is one of the largest spreads you will ever see against the Packers with Aaron Rodgers has quarterback. I believe it is too big considering the Packers are coming off a bye and should be able to get some key players back for this game. The Rams have been struggling to cover big numbers despite last week’s romp against an inferior opponent (San Francisco). Expect a shootout int his game that goes down to the wire. Green Bay will have a ton of fans in Los Angeles for this game and the Rams struggled to win home games last year. 56% of the early money is coming in on the Packers and that seldom happens with an underdog with this big of a number. Green Bay has covered the spread 5 straight times against the LA Rams. |
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10-28-18 | Colts v. Raiders +3 | 42-28 | Loss | -104 | 123 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #268 Oakland Raiders over Indianapolis Colts (1:05p.m., Saturday, October 28 CBS) We got a few extra points when the Raiders traded away WR Cooper early this week. The fact remains the Colts should not be giving points to any team on the road. The Colts did not look impressive at all in their last two road games against the Jets and Patriots. This is an important game for the Raiders to keep the faithful coming to games and expect a much better effort coming off a bye week after laying an egg in London two weeks ago. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against the Colts. Oakland is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a victory in their previous game. |
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10-28-18 | Seahawks v. Lions -3 | 28-14 | Loss | -108 | 120 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #262 Detroit Lions over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 28 FOX) Detroit needs this home game with road games against Minnesota and Chicago on deck. The Lions are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a home favorite. Seattle has not impressed me much this year as this began a rebuild under Russell Wilson. They are 3-3 but those wins have come against Arizona, Dallas, & Oakland. If Detroit can stop the run, Seattle will have trouble moving the football. The home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings between Seattle and Detroit. The Hawks are 4-16 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games played during Week 8 of the regular season. |
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10-28-18 | Redskins v. Giants +1 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #260 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, October 28 FOX) The Redskins sit atop the standing of the NFC East yet still do not garner much respect from the oddsmakers. The Giants covered the spread against the Falcons last Monday night but still to 1-6 on the season. New York played well on defense and if they can hold Matt Ryan down they can certainly hold down Alex Smith. Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. New York is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during Week 8 of the regular season. The Giants are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Redskins. |
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10-27-18 | Washington State v. Stanford -3 | 41-38 | Loss | -103 | 102 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #162 Stanford Cardinal over Washington State Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, October 27 PAC-12N) Washington State is just not the same team on the road as they are when they play in Pullman. This will not be a blowout, but Stanford should be able to control the game if they can get a lead in the first half. Stanford is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 game against teams with a winning record. Washington State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on grass. |
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10-27-18 | South Florida v. Houston -7.5 | 36-57 | Win | 100 | 98 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #184 Houston Cougars over USF Bulls (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 27 ABC) Houston has beaten USF three straight times and No. 4 will come by double digits on Saturday. The Bulls are undefeated and ranked yet enter as a sizable underdog in this game. That is a great indicator that we are on the right side with the Cougars. USF has played a very weak schedule thus far and they will struggle to run the football against Houston in this game. USF is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 AAC games. Houston is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 AAC games. |
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10-27-18 | Wisconsin -6.5 v. Northwestern | 17-31 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #139 Wisconsin Badgers over Northwestern Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, October 27 FOX) The Badgers are going to win the Big 10 Western Division and the only game I see them losing in the regular season is at Penn State. Northwestern does not have the weapons on either side of the football to threaten Wisconsin’s quarterback or their secondary. All of Wisconsin’s 5 victories have come over today’s posted number. Wisconsin is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Northwestern is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games. |
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10-26-18 | Wyoming v. Colorado State -2.5 | 34-21 | Loss | -102 | 81 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Colorado State Rams over Wyoming Cowboys (10p.m., Friday, October 26 CBSSN) We have gone against Wyoming most of the season and will continue to fade them again on Friday. They have lost 4 straight games and they same thing happens keeps happing. Their offense is terrible and if Colorado State does not beat themselves with turnovers they will win this game by double digits. The Rams have had an up and down season, but they close out the season with 4 winnable games and have an outside chance to reach a bowl game. Wyoming is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. The offense of the Rams will allow them to win this border battle. |
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10-21-18 | Cowboys +2 v. Redskins | 17-20 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #471 Dallas Cowboys over Washington Redskins (4:25p.m., Saturday, October 21 CBS) Dallas appeared to right the ship in a big way last week against Jacksonville. Now they head on the road to play a team that have had great success in recent years. Dallas has beaten Washington 5 straight games. Washington is just 1-6 ATS in their last 6 divisional games. The Cowboys have the better running back and the better defense and that should be enough to win this game straight-up. Washington seems to alternate wins and losses this season and expect that to continue Sunday. Dallas has covered the spread 4 straight games in Landover. The underdog is 30-10 ATS in the last 40 match-ups. Really believe that the wrong team is favored, and we will take the points with the better team. |
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10-21-18 | Patriots -3 v. Bears | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 118 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #453 New England Patriots over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 21 CBS) The Patriots are following a similar formula as in past years. After a couple of losses early in the season they put it together in October and cruise to another 13-3, 12-4 season. New England is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games. The Bears just do not have the offense to attack the Patriots defense like Kansas City did last Sunday night. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Chicago is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during Week 7 of the regular season. |
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10-21-18 | Panthers v. Eagles -4.5 | 21-17 | Loss | -106 | 118 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Philadelphia Eagles over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, October 21 FOX) The Eagles need to continue to win games if they have hopes of making the playoffs and defending their championship. They won last Thursday night to even their record at 3-3 and now have extra rest for this home game against Carolina. The Panthers did not play well last week against Washington and expect a double-digit road loss this week at Philadelphia. The Eagles are 17-4 at home under Doug Pederson and 13 of those 17 victories have come by more than a field goal. If the Eagles can stop the run, they should win this game easily. Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Carolina. |
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10-20-18 | Memphis v. Missouri -9.5 | 33-65 | Win | 100 | 97 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #398 Missouri Tigers over Memphis Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, October 20 SECN) We will side with the power 5 conference in this battle of Tigers. Memphis put a lot of effort into their game last week against UCF trying to knock them off for the first time since 2016. They feel shot in that game and I do not believe they will be able to get back up for this game in Columbia. QB Lock has picked apart non-power 5 teams and expect that to continue on Saturday. Memphis is 4-3 but they have not beaten anybody this season (UCONN, Mercer, Georgia State, & South Alabama). Missouri is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Memphis is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against SEC teams. |
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10-20-18 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -3.5 | Top | 28-53 | Win | 100 | 97 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #380 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 20 BTN) TOP COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. It ends tonight! Nebraska will put together a 60-minute game against a similar opponent talent wise and record their first victory of the season and first with Scott Frost as head coach. Minnesota played well last week at Ohio State, but I just do not believe they can put forth that same effort in this game. They did not play as well the last two games before that getting blown out by Maryland and Iowa. This will be their third road game in their last four games and both of their road games have come by double digits. I still like freshman QB Martinez and believe he will have success against this Gopher defense. The favorite in Gopher games has covered the spread 9 of the last 10 games. Nebraska had a 231-32 edge in rushing last week. Today is the day the stats reflect the result and Nebraska will win this game by double digits. We will hit a big play in the process as well. |
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10-20-18 | Miami-OH v. Army -7.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #330 Army Black Knights over Miami Redhawks (12p.m., Saturday, October 20 CBSSN) Army has beaten the teams that they are supposed to beat this season and expect that trend to continue Saturday afternoon in West Point, NY. The Black Knights have won 5 straight home games. Miami is 0-3 ATS in their nonconference games this season. The Redhawks have played every week of the season and it is hard to prepare for the triple option on short notice. Army is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games. |
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10-20-18 | Auburn -4 v. Ole Miss | 31-16 | Win | 100 | 93 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #399 Auburn Tigers over Ole Miss Rebels (12p.m., Saturday, October 20 ESPN) Auburn is been a great disappointment of late but playing Ole Miss is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track. The Tigers dominated this game last year winning 44-23 (led 35-3 at half) and this will be another double-digit victory for a team and coach desperate to get back on track. The Rebels have been giving up 263 yards per game rushing in conference play. Auburn has the better defense in this game and Ole Miss will struggle to move the football and keep up in scoring. Auburn is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in Oxford. |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 127 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 14 NBC) Just a strong gut feeling that the Chiefs will come back to earth in this game. That has been the history under Andy Reid after another fast start to the season. If New England has any hope of being the No. 1 seed this year in the AFC they must win this game. Both teams have impressive ATS runs but New England has revenge from last year against Kansas City and they are tough to beat at home (35-14 ATS run). I just feel that when good teams met, generally the team that needs it more gets it. Do not like to lay this many points against Kansas City but feel confident that New England will win this game straight-up and should be able to cover the spread as well. |
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10-14-18 | Rams v. Broncos +7 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 123 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #270 Denver Broncos over Los Angeles Rams (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 14 FOX) The Broncos are just a different team at home especially early in the season. LA struggled to put away Seattle last week and now face a better defense in Denver at high elevation. The Broncos got embarrassed last week in New York and expect pride to set it and they play much better in Week 6. This is an important game for Coach Joseph to save the 2018 season and likely his job going forward. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Rams and Broncos. Denver lead another high-powered offense by double digits in their last home game and expect them to take this game down to the wire as well. Back-to-Back road games will catch-up with the Rams somewhat in this game. |
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10-14-18 | Seahawks v. Raiders +3 | 27-3 | Loss | -115 | 120 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #266 Oakland Raiders over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 14 FOX) The Raiders once again give away a home game for this trip to London. That being said, the Seahawks are not good enough to be laying points against anyone in the league for a neutral site game. Both teams have issues but I feel Oakland has more weapons on offense and will be able to put up some points and yards against a Seahawk defense that is a shell of its former self. Seattle is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games played during Week 6 of the regular season. Oakland is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against Seattle. |
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10-13-18 | Wisconsin +9.5 v. Michigan | 13-38 | Loss | -106 | 57 h 40 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. #169 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 13 ABC) TOP COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. Wisconsin just does not get blown out much in there games. Getting this many points against a team still searching for a marquee win is too good to pass up. Michigan has a brutal schedule remaining with games against Michigan State, Penn State, and Ohio State still on deck. Playing the west division allows Wisconsin to avoid upsets when there are not at their best. Wisconsin has yet to play a complete game this season, but I expect them to put forth a big effort Saturday night. The number keeps rising since their secondary is banged up, but I do not believe Michigan will be able to take advantage of this. Wisconsin is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Michigan is 18-37 ATS in their last 55 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Wisconsin is 9-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against Michigan. |
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10-13-18 | New Mexico v. Colorado State +1 | 18-20 | Win | 100 | 99 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #150 Colorado State Rams over New Mexico Lobos (4p.m., Saturday, October 13 ATTSN) The Rams have been one of the most disappointing teams in the conference this season but they have played a difficult schedule and should be able to get back on track in MWC play. They have talent and have owned this series winning 8 in a row against the Lobos. New Mexico dominated UNLV last week but the Rebels were without their starting quarterback. New Mexico is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The home team is 7-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 10 matchups between New Mexico and Colorado State. |
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10-13-18 | Washington v. Oregon +3.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 98 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #160 Oregon Ducks over Washington Huskies (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 13 ABC) Oregon is legit and has a quarterback that can attack this Washington defense. The Ducks should be undefeated except for a collapse against Stanford in their last home game. Now they are coming off a bye whereas Washington did not look impressive at all against a terrible UCLA team. Oregon has been pounded in the last two meetings, but they are still 12-2 straight-up and against the spread in the last 14 meetings. Washington has been on the road a lot this year and that will catch up to them in this game. Washington is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Oregon is 6-1 ATS (1 push) against Washington in the last 8 meetings in Eugene. |
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10-13-18 | Georgia v. LSU +7.5 | Top | 16-36 | Win | 100 | 98 h 10 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #198 LSU Tigers over Georgia Bulldogs (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 13 CBS) SEC GAME OF THE YEAR Georgia has yet to be tested this season but their schedule ramps up from here on out. Playing at LSU is never an easy task and except them to be in for a 60-minute game today in Baton Rouge. LSU has covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games in October. The Tigers have the speed to contain Georgia and I just do not see a blowout in this game. We will gladly grab the points and not worry about who pulls this game out by a field goal. |
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10-13-18 | Pittsburgh v. Notre Dame -20.5 | 14-19 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #154 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Pittsburgh Panthers (2:30p.m., Saturday, October 13 NBC) I have said the last two weeks that you must continue to ride Notre Dame until they fail to cover a spread. We have used them the last two weeks and won easily and expect more of the same on Saturday against an inferior team. Pittsburgh is coming off an overtime win against Syracuse but the talent level they face is much stronger in this game. Since QB Brook has been named the starting quarterback the Irish appear to be unstoppable (3-0 ATS). Pittsburgh is 6-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 nonconference games. Notre Dame is 40-18 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 60 games played during October. |
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10-13-18 | Florida -7 v. Vanderbilt | 37-27 | Win | 100 | 95 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #191 Florida Gators over Vanderbilt Commodores (12p.m., Saturday, October 13 ESPN) The Gators have been on a roll since losing to Kentucky winning 4 straight games including beating LSU and Mississippi State in the process. Vanderbilt has been pounded in their last 2 SEC games and this will be a double digit loss as well. Florida has not lost at Vanderbilt since 1988 (13 straight wins) and have covered the spread in 70% of their last 10 games in Nashville. The Commodores have trouble defending the pass and expect Coach Mullen to pick them apart. Vanderbilt is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 SEC games. |
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10-07-18 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Chiefs | 14-30 | Loss | -115 | 119 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #453 Jacksonville Jaguars over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, October 7 CBS) This low number wants to entice bettors to play the Chiefs. We will not bite and gladly take the points with the best defensive team in the league. Kansas City started off 4-0 last season before struggling to make the playoffs and losing in the wild card round. Kansas City has a short week and Jacksonville is the type of team that can slow down QB Mahomes. Jacksonville is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Kansas City is 1-4 ATS when playing on Sunday following an appearance on Monday Night Football. |
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10-07-18 | Broncos v. Jets | 16-34 | Win | 100 | 119 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 New York Jets over Denver Broncos (1p.m., Sunday, October 7 CBS) The Jets have revenge on their minds as they lost to the Broncos in 2017. That victory by Denver ended an 8-game losing streak but Denver is a much different team on the road. Coach Joseph has only won 1 road game in his year plus as coach of the Broncos. The Jets have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games. A 1-3 team is favored against a 2-2 team, that tells me a great deal about being on the right side of this game. Denver suffered a devastating loss last Monday against Kansas City, a game which they led by 10 points in the fourth quarter. There will be a carryover in this game, as they Jets will win it by 7-10 points. Denver is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games. This is only the Jets second home game this season and they will put forth a good effort on Sunday afternoon in East Rutherford. |
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10-07-18 | Packers v. Lions +1.5 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 119 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #464 Detroit Lions over Green Bay Packers (1p.m., Sunday, October 7 FOX) The Packers lost to the Redskins in their last road game and they have major issues at the wide receiver position. The underdog has covered all 4 of Detroit’s games this season and I truly believe they have the more talented roster in this game. QB Rodgers has been sacked 12 times this season and they are not facing a rookie quarterback in this game. Detroit pounded in the Patriots in their last home game and I expect them to play from in front in this game. The Lions have had some decent success against the Packers beating them both times last year. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 divisional games. |
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10-07-18 | Wyoming v. Hawaii -3 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 106 h 56 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #414 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors over Wyoming Cowboys (11:59p.m., Saturday, October 6) Wyoming has a major problem on offense and if Hawaii does not beat themselves with turnovers, they will win this game by double digits. Hawaii took Wyoming into overtime last year with QB Allen playing for the Pokes. He will not be on the island this year and the Cowboys are averaging just 18 points and 300 total yards. Hawaii is coming off a 5OT win on the road last Saturday and they now are on pace to make a bowl game this season. When Wyoming loses, it tends to be big as their three losses this season have come by 22, 27, & 20 points. Wyoming put a lot into their game last week against Boise State in Laramie and they performed poorly. The oddsmakers have not caught onto how bad Wyoming is this season, as they have not covered a spread in their last 4 lined games. |
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10-06-18 | Notre Dame -5 v. Virginia Tech | 45-23 | Win | 100 | 102 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #349 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Virginia Tech Hokies (8p.m., Saturday, October 6 ABC) Until Notre Dame loses a game we will continue to ride them on these short numbers. Virginia Tech is without their starting quarterback and already lost to Old Dominion this season. They played better last week against Duke but the Blue Devils are not a powerhouse whatsoever. Virginia Tech has a weak defense this year and Notre Dame will get their offense rolling at some point in this game and I just do not believe the Hokies will be able to keep pace. Notre Dame is 39-18 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 59 games played in October. |
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10-06-18 | San Diego State v. Boise State -14.5 | 19-13 | Loss | -106 | 97 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #354 Boise State Broncos over San Diego State Aztecs (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 6 ESPN U) Boise State is far and away the best team in the MWC and we will continue to ride them. We hit out top play with them last week against Wyoming and now they play a very similar team in San Diego State. The Aztecs need to keep this game low scoring and that will be impossible to do facing QB Rypien. Boise State had a 506-214 yardage advantage last week against Wyoming and they should have won by more than 20 points. San Diego State was favored last year against Boise State and lost 31-14. The same holds true as last week, if Boise State does not beat themselves they will win this game by 20 points. San Diego State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Boise State has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. |
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10-06-18 | Maryland v. Michigan -17.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 95 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #338 Michigan Wolverines over Maryland Terrapins (12p.m., Saturday, October 6 ABC) Maryland is improved but Michigan owes this series of late under Coach Harbaugh. Michigan is 3-0 ATS in their last three games against Maryland with a combined score of those games being 122-13. Michigan now has balance on offense with a quarterback that can move the football through the air. Maryland will not be able to run the football for 315 yards like they did against Minnesota. Michigan came out flat against Northwestern last week but turned it on in the second half and expect them to carry that into this early start on Saturday. Maryland is 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following a victory in their previous game. Michigan is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played at Michigan Stadium. |
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10-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU -2.5 | 45-20 | Loss | -107 | 79 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 BYU Cougars over Utah State Aggies (9p.m., Friday, October 5 ESPN 2) BYU has a much better team this year than last year and should be able to beat Utah State at home on Friday night. BYU turned over the football 7 times in that game last year and still only lost by 16 points (led by 14 points in the second quarter). BYU has played a brutal schedule thus far and they always have a home field advantage in Provo. This is a game BYU needs in order to save their season and expect them to get it. Utah State is 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. BYU has covered the spread 4 straight games against MWC teams. 71% of the early money is coming in on BYU and we expect them to bounce back as well. |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos +5.5 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 146 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #278 Denver Broncos over Kansas City Chiefs (8:15p.m., Monday, October 1 ESPN) Kansas City has won 4 straight in this series but this will be the toughest defense they have faced all season long. QB Mahomes has played outstanding thus far in the season but his defense has been giving up a ton of points this year as well (30.7 per game). The underdog has covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 match-ups. Denver has some weapons on offense and should be able to keep this game close with a good chance to pull the upset in the fourth quarter. |
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09-30-18 | Browns v. Raiders -1.5 | Top | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 118 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #270 Oakland Raiders over Cleveland Browns (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 20 CBS) The Raiders have had chances in all three of their games but sit at 0-3. This is a very important game for the Raiders and a must win if they have any chance of making the playoffs this season. QB Baker Mayfield will get the start after a nice performance at home against the Jets. Playing in the Black Hole is a much harder task. Cleveland is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Cleveland and Oakland. |
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots -6.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #252 New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, September 30 CBS) This is a popular newsletter play early in the week and I am included in expecting the Patriots to play much better at home this week. The Dolphins are 3-0 and a win in Foxborough might give them the division title but I just cannot trust them to win this game. New England has won 9 straight games against Miami in Foxborough (7-2 ATS) by an 18 point margin of victory. The favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Miami is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games played on fieldturf. |
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09-30-18 | Texans +2 v. Colts | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 115 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Houston Texans over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, September 30 CBS) The Texans are the most disappointing team in the league, but they are going to win games this year and the AFC South is not out of reach at the moment. The Colts fought hard against the Eagles last week but they offense was horrible with only 209 total yards. That will not get the job done today against the Texans and if they can muster a pass rush they will win this game by double digits. Houston is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games played in Week 4. The road team is 5-1 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 8 meetings. |
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09-30-18 | Bucs v. Bears -3 | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 115 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Chicago Bears over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, September 30 FOX) Tampa Bay came back down to earth last Monday getting behind big against Pittsburgh with 4 turnovers. Now they are on the road with a short week against a much better defense. Tampa Bay is just 2-7 ATS with a bye week on deck. The Bears should be 3-0 if not for poor coaching in their home opener. Tampa Bay has secondary injuries and that should allow QB Trubisky to have success in the passing game. Chicago came out slow against Arizona last week and I just feel they are due to a complete game in all facets of the game (offense, defense, special teams). Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played during Week 4. |
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09-29-18 | Boise State -17 v. Wyoming | Top | 34-14 | Win | 100 | 97 h 15 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #203 Boise State Broncos over Wyoming Cowboys (7p.m., Saturday, September 30 CBSSN) The Cowboys and their fans will be up for this game but the fact remains they just do not have the offensive firepower to keep pace in this game. Wyoming is 2-2 this season but their wins have come against a terrible New Mexico State team and an FCS team in Wofford by just three points. If Boise State does not turn over the football they will win this game by 21+ points. Wyoming is 117th in the country in points per game and they have gotten pounded by Washington State and Missouri. I believe Boise State is better than both of those teams. Boise State has won 11 of the last 12 meetings. The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. |
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09-29-18 | Florida v. Mississippi State -7.5 | 13-6 | Loss | -105 | 96 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #194 Mississippi State Bulldogs over Florida Gators (6p.m., Saturday, September 29 ESPN) One of the more surprising results last week was Mississippi State getting destroyed by Kentucky. Florida one by default last week against Tennessee who turned the football over six times. The only had 186 yards passing in that game and just 14 first downs. But this is a game the Bulldogs want in the worst way to show Coach Mullen made the wrong decision leaving Starkville for Gainesville. Mississippi State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Florida is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Florida has not covered the spread against Mississippi State in the last 4 match-ups. |
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09-29-18 | Pittsburgh v. Central Florida -13.5 | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 94 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #140 UCF Golden Knights over Pittsburgh Panthers (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 29 ESPN U) UCF just wins and expect them to win this game at home by double digits. The Panthers have been terrible in the second halves this year and expect that to continue in this game. The Golden Knights can still score points and the Panthers will not be able to keep pace in this game. UCF is fifth in total offense at over 587 yards per game. Pittsburgh is 7-19 ATS in their last 27 nonconference games. UCF is 8-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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09-29-18 | Bowling Green v. Georgia Tech -28.5 | 17-63 | Win | 100 | 90 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #124 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets over Bowling Green Falcons (12p.m., Saturday, September 29 ACCN) The Falcons really struggle to stop the run and that is pretty much all Georgia Tech does. Bowling Green is 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog and sooner or later Georgia Tech will cover a spread in 2018. Bowling Green is allowing 334 yards per game rushing and 6.44 yards per rushing attempt. The Falcons are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games. The line has already moved 4+ points towards the Yellow Jackets and it is still not enough. It will be a 30-point home victory in Atlanta, GA. |
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09-28-18 | Memphis v. Tulane +14 | 24-40 | Win | 100 | 74 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #106 Tulane Green Wave over Memphis Tigers (8p.m., Friday, September 28 ESPN 2) The Green Wave is better than what their record is, and I just do not see a blowout in this game. Memphis has allowed points and they like to win games by outscoring their opponent and that becomes a tougher task once conference play opens up. Tulane runs the spread option and a running team has already beaten Memphis this season (Navy). Tulane is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Memphis is 2-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. |
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09-27-18 | Vikings +7 v. Rams | 31-38 | Push | 0 | 51 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #101 Minnesota Vikings over Los Angeles Rams (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 27 FOX) The Vikings suffered the worst loss in years last week against Buffalo. They were obviously looking ahead to this game and I expect a much better effort in this game. Talent wise I put Minnesota as an equal to Los Angeles and they beat them by 17 points last year. The Rams lost a bunch of home games last year including in the playoffs and we will gladly take the points in this game. The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Vikings are 43-21 in their last 64 games. |
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09-24-18 | Steelers v. Bucs +1.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 149 h 44 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #490 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:15p.m., Monday, September 24 ESPN) We will ride the Fitzmagic train in this game. Many are expecting Pittsburgh to break out of this funk but you just cannot trust their defense whatsoever. Big Ben is having to throw the football every play since they are getting down early and Pittsburgh is just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of less than 7 points. QB Fitzpatrick has put up monster passing numbers in the first two games and this will be the weakness defense he has faced year to date. Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Tampa Bay is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS victory in their previous game. |
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09-23-18 | Bengals v. Panthers -2.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 118 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #464 Carolina Panthers over Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, September 23 CBS) Just do not believe that the Bengals can handle prosperity. Everything went right for the Bengals last Thursday night getting a three-touchdown lead, but they still had to hang on for the victory against Baltimore. Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games preceding their bye week. Carolina is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Carolina is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against AFC teams. |
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09-23-18 | Giants v. Texans -6 | 27-22 | Loss | -107 | 118 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Houston Texas over New York Giants (1p.m., Sunday, September 23 FOX) The Giants have major offensive line issues and this is not the defense that will allow them to get back on track. Houston needs a victory in the worst way after falling just short in their first two games on the road. QB Eli Manning cannot be successful without a strong offensive line and Houston is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games as a favorite against a nondivisional team. New York is 3-16 ATS in their last 19 games. Houston is better on both sides of the football and they cannot afford to look past this Giants team. New York is playing their second straight road game in Texas and they will lose this game by double digits. |
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09-23-18 | Bills +17.5 v. Vikings | 27-6 | Win | 100 | 117 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #477 Buffalo Bills over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, September 23 CBS) The Vikings are in disarray of missing three field goals last week against Green Bay. It will be hard for them to get up for this game against the worst teams in the league. With the Rams on deck for the Vikings expect them to just go through the motions in this game and win it by around 10-13 points. Buffalo made the right decision to start QB Josh Allen and they are 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against NFC teams. Not much good can be said about Buffalo but they made the playoffs last season and pride will set in and I believe they will put forth a good effort in this game. |
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09-22-18 | Stanford v. Oregon +3 | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -115 | 101 h 37 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #356 Oregon Ducks over Stanford Cardinal (8p.m., Saturday, September 22 ABC) This is a game that can put Oregon on the national radar once again. A win will likely prevent Stanford for reaching the PAC-12 Championship Game and set up a battle between Washington and Oregon on October 13. The Ducks result last week was misleading as they were clearly looking ahead to this game and have revenge on their minds after getting pounded last year in Palo Alto. Getting rid of Willie Taggert can only be beneficial evident by this lack of success at Florida State. Stanford is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played in September. Oregon has the weapons to attack this Stanford defense and expect them to win straight-up. The Line has swing too much and the value now clearly lies with Oregon. |
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09-22-18 | Mississippi State -9.5 v. Kentucky | 7-28 | Loss | -115 | 100 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #359 Mississippi State Bulldogs over Kentucky Wildcats (7p.m., Saturday, September 22 ESPN2) The Bulldogs are for real in 2018 and they may be the second-best team in the SEC West. The SEC East appears to be Georgia and a bunch of pretenders and thus we will gladly lay the points on the road with the better overall team. QB Fitzgerald had 6 touchdowns last week and he has lighten up the scoreboard since coming off an opening game suspension. The Bulldogs are 8-1 straight-up (6-2 ATS) in their last 9 meetings with the Wildcats. Kentucky has not done well in Lexington going 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games at Commonwealth Stadium. Mississippi State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. |
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09-22-18 | TCU v. Texas +3.5 | 16-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #380 Texas Longhorns over TCU Horned Frogs (4:30p.m., Saturday, September 22 FOX) TCU got shell shocked in the third quarter last week in a defacto home game against Ohio State. Texas is coming off an impressive win against USC and it is imperative that they follow that up with a victory this week to keep the momentum going. TCU has not played in Fort Worth since September 1st and that will catch up with them in this game. Texas has played a home heavy schedule as this is their fourth game of the season and their third game Texas Memorial Stadium. Coach Herman cannot afford to look past any opponent as he did not have a good season last year and already has a lost to Maryland this season. TCU is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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09-22-18 | Clemson -16.5 v. Georgia Tech | 49-21 | Win | 100 | 96 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #337 Clemson Tigers over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 22 ABC) The Tigers have the defensive line that will be able to stop the rushing attack of the Yellow Jackets. Clemson has won 5 of the last 6 meetings (4-2 ATS) by an average margin of victory of 18 points per game. Clemson is allowing just 89 yards rushing each game (about 2.1 yards per carry). Georgia Tech has scored just 17 combined points in their last 2 games against Clemson. Georgia Tech is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Yellow Jackets are in a serious downturn and this may be the year they make a coaching change, as Paul Johnson does not inspire an exciting brand of football. |
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09-22-18 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -26.5 | 23-45 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #406 Alabama Crimson Tide over Texas A & M Aggies (3:30 p.m., Saturday, September 22 CBS) I guess you have to keep riding Alabama until they do not cover a spread. The Tide has looked dominating on all levels of play and we will lay the wood in this game against a rebuilding Texas A&M squad. The Aggies had their Super Bowl two weeks ago against Clemson, but that game was a home and I just do not believe they can put forth that big of an effort on the road. Alabama has won 20 straight home games by an average of 32 points per game. A&M is 4-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 SEC games. Alabama has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games. |
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09-22-18 | Louisville v. Virginia -4.5 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 93 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #348 Virginia Cavaliers over Louisville Cardinals (12:30p.m., Saturday, September 22 ACCN) The Cardinals appear to be in a downward trend and this year they have no Lamar Jackson to bail them out. They were outgained last week against Western Kentucky and now face a better defense in Virginia this Saturday. Louisville is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games. Virginia has a chance to make a bowl game this year but must win this game in order to accomplish that. Virginia is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Louisville is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games played during September. |