Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-02-22 | Chiefs v. Bengals OVER 49 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 115 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #115 Over in Kansas City Chiefs @ Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, January 2 CBS) Both teams can light up the scoreboard and a top seed in the AFC is on the line when these two teams meet in the Queen City. Kansas City has gone over the posted total in 5 of their last 6 games played during the month of January. Cincinnati has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 home games. |
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01-02-22 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Titans | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #119 Miami Dolphins over Tennessee Titans (1p.m., Sunday, January 2 CBS) Both teams are coming off impressive wins, but the Dolphins are the hottest team in the league having won 7 straight games. Tennessee still is not the same team without Derrick Henry and I do not see them blowing out red-hot Miami team in this game. The Dolphins are 20-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 29 games as an underdog. The Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against the Dolphins. |
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12-26-21 | Broncos +1 v. Raiders | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #477 Denver Broncos over Las Vegas Raiders (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 26 CBS) Both teams must win this game to keep their playoff changes alive, but I just trust the Broncos more in this game. Denver will likely have Drew Lock as quarterback, but I do not see much off a drop-off with him compared to Teddy Bridgewater. Las Vegas is just 3-4 at Allegiant Stadium this season and Denver is 6-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 road games. Denver has not had good success against Las Vegas in recent years, but they will turn the tide on Sunday. Las Vegas is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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12-26-21 | Ravens +2.5 v. Bengals | 21-41 | Loss | -105 | 116 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Baltimore Ravens over Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, December 26 CBS) The AFC North continues to be bunched up and Baltimore cannot afford to get swept by Cincinnati in 2021. Baltimore has lost 3 consecutive games by a total of 4 points and I feel this game will go down to the wire as well. Cincinnati is banged up at linebacker and I like how the Ravens defense played against Aaron Rodgers last week. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between Baltimore and Cincinnati. The Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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12-26-21 | Bills v. Patriots -2 | 33-21 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, December 26 CBS) Just do not believe Buffalo is mentally tough enough to win this game. New England already won at Buffalo by hardly throwing a pass in that game and I feel they will sweep the season series against the Bills. Buffalo is both on both lines of scrimmage and I feel that will be the difference in this game. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. New England is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. The Patriots take control of the division and win this game by double-digits. |
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12-25-21 | Colts v. Cardinals | Top | 22-16 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #257 Tennessee Volunteers over Purdue Boilermakers (3p.m., Thursday, December 30 ESPN) MUSIC CITY BOWL Just believe Purdue underachieved this season and now will be without David Bell and George Karlaftis for this game. Throw in the face this game is played in Nashville giving the Volunteers a big home field advantage and I expect Tennessee to win this game by double-digits. Purdue was in this same bowl in 2018 and got run over by a so-so SEC team and that same situation presents itself on Thursday. Tennessee held their own in the SEC West and has a first year head coach that wants to finish off the season the right way. They have won 3 of their last 4 games (only loss to Georgia) and should be able to outscore Purdue in this game. Purdue struggles to score points and they need their defense to create situations for their offense. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. Purdue is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games. |
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12-20-21 | Vikings v. Bears +3.5 | 17-9 | Loss | -100 | 148 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #332 Chicago Bears over Minnesota Vikings (8:15p.m., Monday, December 20 ESPN) Just do not trust the Vikings in this situation on the road. Minnesota is 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games at Soldier Field. Chicago looked good against the Packers in the first half before falling apart in the second half. QB Cousins usually does not play well in primetime games and I see this one going down to the wire as well. Minnesota is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games played on Monday. Chicago is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played on Monday. |
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12-19-21 | Panthers v. Bills -10 | Top | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 117 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308 Buffalo Bills over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, December 19 FOX) The Bills have been struggling of late but Carolina should allow them to get back on track. When Buffalo wins games this season it tends to come via blowouts and today should be no different. Buffalo is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against NFC teams. Carolina has lost 3 straight games and 8 of their last 10 overall. All of Buffalo’s 7 wins this season have come by at least 15 points, over today’s posted number. |
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12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts -2 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 100 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 Indianapolis Colts over New England Patriots (8:20p.m., Saturday, December 18 NFLN) The Patriots have been on a roll and will enter this game having won 7 straight games. But I believe that the right team is favored, as Indianapolis needs this game more. RB Taylor has been on quite a roll of his own, scoring a touchdown in 10 straight games. The Colts have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. New England is not going to run the table the rest of the regular season and a loss here might do them some good in the long run. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between New England and Indianapolis. |
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12-12-21 | Bills v. Bucs -3 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 120 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #126 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 12 CBS) Buffalo is coming off a bad loss to New England on Monday Night Football and now must travel to face one of the top teams in the league. The favorite is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 games between the Bills and Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is 12-3 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 17 games played during the month of December. The Bills chances of winning the NFC East are low and this team will be lucky to make the playoffs as a wild card. |
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12-12-21 | Raiders v. Chiefs -9.5 | 9-48 | Win | 100 | 116 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #106 Kansas City Chiefs over Las Vegas Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, December 12 CBS) The Chiefs are rolling right now having won 5 straight games including the last three by double digits. That includes a 41-14 win against the Raiders in Sin City. The Raiders have scored 16 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games and all four of those games were losses. Las Vegas is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games between Las Vegas and Kansas City. Sooner or later the Chiefs offense will get going and it will start on Sunday. |
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12-12-21 | Seahawks v. Texans +7.5 | 33-13 | Loss | -109 | 116 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #120 Houston Texans over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, December 12 FOX) Just do not believe that the Seahawks should be favored by this many points, especially when the game is taking place on the road. Seattle is 3-8 in their last 11 games and are not very good on either side of the football. Houston has been playing better defense of late and if they can keep Seattle in the teens or low twenties, they should be able to cover this spread. Seattle is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Houston is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. |
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12-09-21 | Steelers +3.5 v. Vikings | Top | 28-36 | Loss | -117 | 52 h 50 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #101 Pittsburg Steelers over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Thursday, December 9 AMAZON) The Vikings are coming off a bad loss to the Lions that greatly damaged their playoff chances for this season. They also have injuries for this short week game and I do not see them blowing out the Steelers on Thursday night football. Coach Tomlin has never had a losing record and I do not see that occurring in 2021 either. Minnesota is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games when the are favored. Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games played on Thursday. Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in December. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots +3 v. Bills | Top | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 148 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #475 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (8:15p.m., Monday, December 6 ESPN) First place in the AFC East is on the line in this game as New England travels to Buffalo to take on the Bills. New England will enter having won 6 straight games and if they can keep it close they will likely win it straight up. All of Buffalo’s 7 wins this season have come via blowouts. That means if New England can keep it close early, Buffalo will likely find a way to lose it. The road team is 22-8 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 32 meetings between New England and Buffalo. |
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12-05-21 | Ravens -4 v. Steelers | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #469 Baltimore Ravens over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 5 CBS) Just have no confidence in Pittsburgh at this moment, especially on the offensive side of the football. Baltimore struggled on offense last week against Cleveland, but I feel they are better on both sides of the football in this game. The Steelers defense is not what it appears to be, as they rank close to the bottom in a bunch of defensive categories. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Baltimore and Pittsburgh. The Ravens are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games played during the month of December. |
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12-05-21 | Vikings v. Lions +7 | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 117 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 Detroit Lions over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, December 5 CBS) Minnesota is coming off a loss last week to San Francisco and playing on the road for a second straight week will doom them in. This was a 2 point game when these teams met earlier this season and I think this game will go down to the wire as well. Detroit has extra rest and playing a familiar division foe should allow them to be competitive for 60 minutes. Minnesota is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
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12-05-21 | Eagles -6.5 v. Jets | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 117 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #461 Philadelphia Eagles over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, December 5 CBS) No play against the Jets is a bad play and they are facing a team that has won 2 of their last 3 games. Philadelphia cannot afford to lose to both New York teams in consecutive weeks. The Jets have never beaten the Eagles going 0-11 lifetime. The Jets have quarterback issues and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against NFC teams. Philadelphia will take care of the football and win this game by double digits. The Eagles have covered the spread in 5 straight games against the Jets. |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints UNDER 46 | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #301 Under in Dallas Cowboys @ New Orleans Saints (8:20p.m., Thursday, December 2 FOX) Both teams come into this game struggling and expect it to be a low scoring game. That is how New Orleans will need to win game going forward, as they have issues at quarterback and will also be without their running back. Dallas has gone under the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games when they are a road favorite. New Orleans has gone under the posted total in 9 of their last 11 games (1 push) played on Thursday. |
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11-28-21 | Browns v. Ravens -3.5 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 103 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Baltimore Ravens over Cleveland Browns (8:20 p.m., Sunday, November 28 NBC) Cleveland is in disarray at the quarterback position, as Baker Mayfield continues to play poorly and is also injured. Baltimore survived last week without their starting quarterback and should play much better this week with Lamar Jackson back behind center. Cleveland is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games prior to a bye and had to hang on for dear life last week against the winless Lions. Cleveland is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against the NFC North. Baltimore is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Cleveland. |
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11-28-21 | Chargers -2.5 v. Broncos | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #265 Los Angeles Chargers over the Denver Broncos (4:05 p.m., Sunday, November 28 CBS) Denver returns after their bye week to host the Chargers, a team that is much better than them on offense. Denver is 11-23 ATS in their last 34 divisional games. Philadelphia won at Denver last time out, and Los Angeles won a Philadelphia a couple of weeks ago. Denver is just 2-5 in their last 7 games, and they will likely be making a coaching change come season’s end. |
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11-28-21 | Titans +6.5 v. Patriots | 13-36 | Loss | -101 | 96 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #251 Tennessee Titans over New England Patriots (1 p.m., Sunday, November 28 CBS) Everyone is on the Patriots bandwagon with the way they have been playing of late. Tennessee was embarrassed last week at home against Houston, but good teams usually bounce back when that happens, and today will be no different. New England has not been as strong of a team at home compared to on the road, and this is just too many points to be giving against an 8-3 team. Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. |
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11-25-21 | Raiders v. Cowboys UNDER 51.5 | 36-33 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #108 Under in Las Vegas Raiders @ Dallas Cowboys (4:30 p.m., Thursday, November 25 CBS) This line has been coming down all week, and we still like the under. The Raider’s offense has left the building, and I do not see things getting any better in this game against a strong Cowboys defense. Las Vegas has gone under the posted total in 7 of their last 10 games when they are a road underdog. Dallas has gone under the posted total in 4 straight games. |
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11-25-21 | Bears v. Lions +3 | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #106 Detroit Lions over Chicago Bears (12:30 p.m., Thursday, November 26 FOX) Detroit has been playing better of late, and this is their last chance for a national audience in 2021. The Bears have not been a good team on Thanksgiving, either, losing five straight games on Turkey Day. The Bears had a great opportunity to beat Baltimore last week, a team that was without their starting quarterback and they fell flat at the end. Chicago is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against NFC North teams. Detroit is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. |
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11-21-21 | Steelers +6 v. Chargers | Top | 37-41 | Win | 100 | 124 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #475 Pittsburgh Steelers over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 21 NBC) Just do not trust the Chargers as this big of a favorite over a traditional powerhouse team like Pittsburgh. The Steelers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog. Big Ben should be back for this game and thus we can look past their tie against the Lions last season. Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at the Chargers. Los Angeles is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played during Week 11 of the regular season. They are also 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of November. |
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11-21-21 | Cardinals v. Seahawks +3 | 23-13 | Loss | -120 | 120 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 21 FOX) QB Wilson was rusty last week in Green Bay but should play much better this week at home against a familiar opponent. The underdog is 9-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 12 meetings between Arizona and Seattle. The Cardinals are 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games played in November. Seattle is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games when they are an underdog. Seattle has a major edge in coaching and that will be the difference in this game as they win it straight-up. |
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11-21-21 | Bengals v. Raiders +1 | 32-13 | Loss | -104 | 120 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #470 Las Vegas Raiders over Cincinnati Bengals (1:05p.m., Sunday, November 21 CBS) Just not buying the Bengals, especially when they are expected to win. Both teams looked bad of late, but I can forgive a loss to the Chiefs compared to losing to the Jets. The Raiders will be playing their second straight home game and look for them to bounce back this week. The Bengals are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 years in their next game following a bye. Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Las Vegas is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. This will likely be a high scoring, but I still trust Derek Carr more than I do Joe Burrow and that will be the difference in this game. |
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11-21-21 | Packers -2.5 v. Vikings | 31-34 | Loss | -105 | 117 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #467 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, November 21 FOX) Most Vikings games go down to the wire, especially when the lose and that is something I expect to happen today. When QB Rodgers plays, the Packers dominate the NFC North having covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 divisional games. Minnesota is just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 divisional home games. Rodgers will rusty last week and expect him to be much better today with a full week of practice under this belt. This play comes down to who would you rather back, Kirk Cousins or Aaron Rodgers? We will side with the visitor. |
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11-14-21 | Eagles v. Broncos -2.5 | Top | 30-13 | Loss | -119 | 122 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #262 Denver Broncos over Philadelphia Eagles (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 14 CBS) Both teams are limited on offense, but I just feel Denver is the better all-around team. Philadelphia could not stop Justin Herbert whatsoever last week (Chargers never punted) and I see Teddy Bridgewater putting up big number in this game as well. Denver is coming off one of the most impressive and shocking results of the season, beating Dallas in Arlington. That game was never competitive and look for them to follow that up with another strong performance in this game. Philadelphia was lucky to hang around against the Chargers last week and if the Broncos can stop the run they will win this game by double digits. The Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS int their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-07-21 | Chargers -1 v. Eagles | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #467 Los Angeles Chargers over Philadelphia Eagles (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 7 CBS) Philadelphia got back on track last week but that was against Detroit, a winless team in 2021. Los Angeles is coming off a disappointing loss to New England last Sunday but look for them to bounce back. They have a major edge in talent on the offensive side of the football. Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against AFC teams. The Chargers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Los Angeles needs this game more and they get it by double digits behind a strong performance from QB Herbert and company. |
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11-07-21 | Patriots v. Panthers +4 | 24-6 | Loss | -114 | 95 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #458 Carolina Panthers over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, November 7 CBS) Not yet ready to crown the Patriots as being back. This is their second straight road game and they are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against NFC teams. Carolina has some questions about the status of Sam Donald, but either way I believe they take this game down to the wire. New England is 2-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Carolina is 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games played during Week 9 of the regular season. |
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10-31-21 | Jaguars v. Seahawks -3 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 121 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #268 Seattle Seahawks over Jacksonville Jaguars (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 31 CBS) The Seahawks have not won a have game this season but look for that to change on Sunday against one of the worst rosters in the league. Losing on Monday night dropped the spread in this game and now we can attack it. Jacksonville is just 8-30 ATS in their last 38 games against NFC teams. Seattle is playing better on defense holding a much better New Orleans offense to just 13 points on Monday Night Football last time out. If they do that again they will win this game by close to double-digits. |
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10-31-21 | Eagles v. Lions +3.5 | 44-6 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #256 Detroit Lions over Philadelphia Eagles (1p.m., Sunday, October 31 FOX) Philadelphia looked terrible last week against Las Vegas and trading away their best tight end did them no favors. Detroit is winless on the season but most games they have played hard except for the Cincinnati game. They have been close numerous times to winning a game and they will finally get over the hump on Sunday. Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Detroit is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Philadelphia. |
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10-31-21 | Bengals -10 v. Jets | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #261 Cincinnati Bengals over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, October 31 CBS) The Jets are terrible and now have quarterback issues. Cincinnati is coming off one of the most dominating wins of the season against Baltimore. Look for them to follow that up with a double-digit win on Sunday against one of the worst teams in the league. Cincinnati pounded Detroit by 23 points two weeks ago and should be entering having won 5 straight if not for a missed field goal in overtime against the Packers. Cincinnati has outscored New York 94-37 in their last 3 meetings. Look for that to continue against on Sunday. |
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10-31-21 | Panthers v. Falcons -2.5 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -120 | 117 h 23 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #254 Atlanta Falcons over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, October 31 FOX) NFL Game of the Year The Panthers are in freefall now having lost 4 straight games. They are backing their turnaround on Christian McCaffrey coming back later in the season, but I do not see things getting any better until then. Atlanta has won 3 of their last 4 games and played well last week against Miami leading for most of that game before turnovers got the Dolphins a late lead. They will clean that up on Sunday and win this game by close to double digits. Carolina has had turnover issues and I do not expect that to be cleaned up in this game either. QB Donald is not a top tier player and Carolina did much of their damage at the start of the season against bad teams. Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Carolina. The Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Atlanta is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. |
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10-24-21 | Eagles +3 v. Raiders | 22-33 | Loss | -107 | 98 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Philadelphia Eagles over Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 24 FOX) Just feel that the Raiders cannot handle prosperity. The Eagles have extra rest for this game, and I feel that they will be able to take it down to the wire. Las Vegas played well last week against a fraud team in Denver but in their last home game they were dominated by Chicago. The Bears and similar to the Eagles and I feel this game will go down to the wire. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Philadelphia and Las Vegas. The Raiders are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games following a victory in their previous game. |
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10-24-21 | Falcons -2.5 v. Dolphins | 30-28 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #459 Atlanta Falcons over Miami Dolphins (1 p.m., Sunday, October 24 FOX) Miami is not very good this year on either side of the football and have gone 0-5 straight-up since their opening game win at New England. Miami is returning home from London (most teams get a bye after playing in London) and they have a coach clearly on the hot seat. The favorite is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Atlanta is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. |
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10-24-21 | Washington Football Team v. Packers UNDER 49 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 95 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #455 Over in Washington Football Team @ Green Bay Packers (1 p.m., Sunday, October 24 FOX) Just do not feel Washington can be competitive in this game unless they keep the scoring down. I do not expect them to win a shootout against the Packers, and thus we will side with the under. Washington has gone under the posted total in 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Green Bay has gone under the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games as a favorite. |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +4 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -105 | 119 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #272 New England Patriots over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 17 CBS) Just feel Dallas is due for a regression having covered the spread in every game that they have played in 2021. Dallas has not won a game in Foxboro since the 1980s and they have also lost 6 straight games to New England. Also do not believe the Patriots will lose 4 straight home games. This game will go down to the wire and we will cover the spread with whoever comes out on top. Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. New England is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog. |
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10-17-21 | Packers -4.5 v. Bears | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 115 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 17 FOX) The Packers have won 10 of their last 11 games at Soldier Field and the disparity at quarterback will be too much for Chicago to overcome. QB Rodgers has gone 20-5 against Chicago and has a 55-10 touchdown to interception ratio in those games. Green Bay has covered the spread in 9 of their last 13 divisional games. QB Fields still makes mistakes and that will be his undoing in this game. Green Bay is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games in Chicago. The Bears are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. |
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10-17-21 | Vikings v. Panthers +1 | 34-28 | Loss | -102 | 115 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #260 Carolina Panthers over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, October 17 FOX) Just feel Carolina will bounce back and not lose three straight games. The Panther should get some skill players back on offense a loss he could send them spiraling down. Minnesota struggled to put away Detroit last week at home and I just do not trust them to win consecutive games. The Vikings are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games. The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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10-17-21 | Bengals v. Lions +3.5 | 34-11 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Detroit Lions over Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, October 17 FOX) Just do not believe the Bengals should be favored over anyone in a true road game. Both teams are coming off heartbreaking losses last Sunday and sooner or later Detroit will finish off one of these games. The Lions are happy to be back at home and the Bengals have just been a road favorite twice in the last 4 years. The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The Bengals have some key people injured on offense and will not be a full strength. Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Detroit is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games during Week 6 of the regular season. |
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10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs -2.5 | 38-20 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #478 Kansas City Chiefs over Buffalo Bills (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 10 NBC) This is a rematch of the AFC Championship Game from last season. The Chiefs already have two losses and play in a much better division and thus I feel this game means more to them. Buffalo has been beating up on bad teams during this three game winning streak and they have not seen a quarterback like Patrick Mahomes all season long. Kansas City has won 5 of the last 6 games against Buffalo. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of October. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of October. |
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10-10-21 | Broncos v. Steelers -1 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 113 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #464 Pittsburgh Steelers over Denver Broncos (1p.m., Sunday, October 10 CBS) Points may be hard to find for both teams in this game. Denver had an easy schedule and thus their 3-0 record is inflated, and I just do not trust them. QB Bridgewater is in concussion protocol, and I just do not trust his backup quarterback whatsoever. Coach Tomlin has a knack for winning games when he does not have a talented roster and always seem to finish at least .500 come January. Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during Week 5 of the regular season. Denver is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games against teams with a losing home record. |
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10-10-21 | Patriots v. Texans +9 | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 113 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #468 Houston Texans over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, October 10 CBS) Everyone feel in love with Mac Jones on Sunday Night Football when he outplayed Tom Brady. But he still lacks a running game and a deep threat wide receiver, and I just do not see them routing the Texans in a true road game. Houston has beaten New England two straight games and I feel this game goes down to the wire. Not much good can be said about how Houston is playing of late, but they are professionals and expect a bounce back from last week’s game. The Texans are 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 home games against the Patriots. New England is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. |
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10-10-21 | Saints -1 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 33-22 | Win | 100 | 113 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #457 New Orleans Saints over Washington Football Team (1p.m., Sunday, October 10 FOX) Just do not believe in Washington especially on the offensive side of the football. New Orleans plays better on the road going 16-7 ATS in their last 16 road games when they are the favorite. They still have more playmakers compared to Washington and that will be the difference today. The Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Washington is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Jameis takes care of the football and the Saints take advantage of a couple of key injuries on offense for the Football team. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders v. Chargers -3.5 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 104 | 129 h 32 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #280 Los Angeles Chargers over Las Vegas Raiders (8:15p.m., Monday, October 3 ESPN) Just do not feel the Raiders will be able to handle prosperity. They enter this game at 3-0, but needed to survive last week at home against the Dolphins, a team that was playing a backup quarterback. The Chargers are coming off an impressive victory at Kansas City last Sunday and have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games (1 push). Las Vegas is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played during the month of October. Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 divisional games. |
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10-03-21 | Bucs v. Patriots +7 | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 105 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #278 New England Patriots over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 2 NBC) Everyone is expecting the Buccaneers to bounce back after suffering their first loss of the season last week in Los Angeles. I just do not see a blowout in this game, as Tampa Bay is playing their second straight road game and New England is playing their second straight home game. New England has beaten Tampa Bay 4 straight times and I see this game going down to the wire as well. Emotions will be high for QB Brady and I believe the Patriots will want to win just as badly. New England is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. Tampa Bay is 3-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games played during the month of October. |
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10-03-21 | Lions +3 v. Bears | 14-24 | Loss | -120 | 97 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Detroit Lions over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 3 FOX) Just do not feel that the Bears should be favored over any team in the NFL at the moment. Chicago has three quarterbacks that may play on Sunday and to me that means none of them are any good. Detroit has an established quarterback in Jared Goff and should have beaten Baltimore last week if a delay of game was properly called. Detroit played hard last week, and I believe that they will get over the hump this week and record their first victory on the season. Chicago is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite. |
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10-03-21 | Panthers +5 v. Cowboys | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #261 Carolina Panthers over Dallas Cowboys (1p.m., Sunday, October 3 FOX) The Panthers have a defense that should be able to slow down the Cowboys and I see this game going down to the wire. The Panthers have some injuries, but I just cannot overlook how they are playing early in 2021. They are 3-0 with a win against the Saints and have confidence on both sides of the football. Carolina has beaten Dallas in the last two meetings and the Cowboys are 2-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 home games when not facing an NFC East team. Carolina is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Dallas is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. |
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09-26-21 | Packers v. 49ers -3.5 | Top | 30-28 | Loss | -100 | 104 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #496 San Francisco 49ers over Green Bay Packers (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 26 NBC) Green Bay pulling away late on Monday Night Football gave us the value we like for this game. The favorite has dominated this match in recent years covering the spread at an 80% clip. Just am not sold on this Green Bay defense, as new coordinator Joe Barry seems lost as the leader of the defense. Just do not believe the Packers will be able stop the rushing attack of the 49ers and thus I do not expect Jimmy G to have to win this game with his arm. Green Bay must travel on short rest should allow the 49ers to win this game by around double-digits. |
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09-26-21 | Jets v. Broncos -10.5 | 0-26 | Win | 100 | 100 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #490 Denver Broncos over New York Jets (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 26 CBS) The Broncos drew an easy schedule to open the 2021 season and that will certainly continue today against the Jets. This is Denver’s home opener, and the Broncos are always tough to beat at home during the month of September. New York is averaging just 10 points through two games this season and if Denver takes care of the football, they will win this game by close to 20 points. The Jets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. |
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09-26-21 | Saints v. Patriots -2.5 | 28-13 | Loss | -118 | 97 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #478 New England Patriots over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, September 26 FOX) Just do not trust Jameis Winston going against a Bill Belickick defense and expect the Patriots to win their second straight game and first game at home. New Orleans has dropped 5 of their last 6 games against the Patriots. This is the Saints third straight games away from the Superdome and playing on the road that much usually catches up with teams. The Saints will need to run the ball effectively to win this game, but Alvin Kamara is off to a slow start this season. The Patriots are 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 games following a victory of more than 14 points in their previous game. |
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09-26-21 | Ravens v. Lions OVER 49.5 | 19-17 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #474 Over in Baltimore Ravens @ Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, September 26 CBS) Both teams gave up a ton of points last week and thus we expect the combined score of this game to go over 50 points. The Lions have gone over the posted total in 13 of their last 16 home games. The Ravens have gone over the posted total in 5 straight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. |
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09-19-21 | Titans +5.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 117 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #291 Tennessee Titans over Seattle Seahawks (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 19 CBS) Tennessee getting blown out was one of the most shocking results in week 1 of the 2021 Regular Season. The Titans have beaten the Seahawks in 2 of the last 3 meetings and they are 6-2 ATS over the last 8 years in their road opening game. Seattle is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game. Just think pride sets in for Tennessee and they take this game down to the wire. |
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09-19-21 | Raiders v. Steelers -5.5 | 26-17 | Loss | -100 | 114 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 Pittsburgh Steelers over Las Vegas Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, September 19 CBS) The Raiders are coming off an exciting win, but this franchise has never seemed to handle prosperity well. Pittsburgh has a major edge on the defensive line, and I do not seen Derek Carr going up and down the field in the fourth quarter like he did against Baltimore. Pittsburgh will make some key plays on offense to control this game for 60 minutes and win it by double digits. Las Vegas is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a Monday Night Football game in the previous week. The Raiders are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games following a win in their previous game. The Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a win in their previous game. |
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09-19-21 | Rams v. Colts +4 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 114 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #280 Indianapolis Colts over Los Angeles Rams (1p.m., Sunday, September 19 FOX) The love Matt Stafford is getting this week has been over the top. He is who he is after playing in the NFL since 2009 and that game on Sunday Night Football was closer than what the final score would appear. Now the Rams was a desperate Colts team that does not want to start the season 0-2, with both losses coming at home. The Rams are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. The Colts are 9-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home in their previous game. |
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09-19-21 | Patriots -5 v. Jets | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 114 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #285 New England Patriots over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, September 19 CBS) The Patriots have beaten the Jets 18 of the last 20 games, and I see this game being a double-digit victory as well. The Jets got a late touchdown to make that game look closer than what it was last week, but Carolina was never in danger of losing that game. Bill Belichick is 9-1 the last 10 times he has faced a rookie quarterback. The Patriots have expectations of making the playoffs in 2021 and this is a game they must win if they want to make the playoffs. The Patriots are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games against teams with a losing record. The Jets are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games against AFC East teams. |
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09-13-21 | Ravens -4.5 v. Raiders | 27-33 | Loss | -100 | 126 h 5 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #481 Baltimore Ravens over Las Vegas Raiders (8:15p.m., Monday, September 13 ESPN) The Ravens dominated the preseason for five straight years, and we expect them to get off to a good start in the 2021 regular season. Baltimore returns most of their 2020 team and the Raiders defense has ranked in the bottom four each of the last four seasons. Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 opening week games. The Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Just do not trust the coach and gm with the Raiders and feel this may be the end of the line for Jon Gruden in Las Vegas. Lay the points and take the better all-around team in Baltimore. |
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09-12-21 | Dolphins v. Patriots -2.5 | 17-16 | Loss | -125 | 98 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #474 New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 12 CBS) Just feel that the Patriots are better in the trenches in this game and that will allow QB Mac Jones to make some plays in the passing game. Will Fuller is suspended for this game, and I just do not have a lot of faith in QB Tagovailoa making enough plays to win this road game. Miami is 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games on field turf. Miami is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games @ Foxboro. The Patriots have covered 4 of their last 5 opening week games. |
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09-12-21 | Steelers v. Bills -6.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -108 | 95 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #454 Buffalo Bills over Pittsburgh Steelers (1p.m., Sunday, September 12 CBS) The Steelers feel apart at the end of 2020 including a defeat at Buffalo and we see this game being a double-digit game as well. Pittsburgh will have to be able to throw the football down field to win games in 2021, as defenses will stack the line of scrimmage. The Steelers are 2-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 season openers the last decade. Buffalo is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. QB Allen made great strides last year and look for that to continue in 2021, especially early in the season. |
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09-12-21 | Seahawks -2 v. Colts | 28-16 | Win | 100 | 95 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Seattle Seahawks over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, September 12 FOX) Seattle will travel east but I just feel they are in a better situation for Week 1. QB Wentz was injured during camp and then got covid last week. Wentz was 0-5 straight up against Seattle with the Eagles. Indianapolis also has offensive line issues and I see Seattle winning this game by double-digits. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between Seattle and Indianapolis. The Colts are 1-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 season opening games. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 102 | 126 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #102 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Kansas City Chiefs (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 7 CBS) SUPER BOWL 55. Just feel Tampa Bay is the better all-around team and Tom Brady seems to be the destined winner of this game. Tampa Bay has won three straight road games to get to this point or being the first team ever to host the Super Bowl in their own stadium. Kansas City is loaded on offense, but they have offensive line injuries, and the Buccaneers have a pass rush capable of putting pressure on QB Mahomes for the entire 60-minute game. Kansas City has been winning games of late, but they have not been covering the spread and I just do not see them being able to move the football at will against this Tampa Bay defense. These two teams met earlier this season and Kansas City jumped out big before Tampa Bay rallied, and had they gotten a stop might have been able to win that game. Tampa Bay has gotten revenge on two teams in the playoffs and I expect them to get revenge on Kansas City as well. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between Tampa Bay and Kansas City. The Chiefs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Tampa wins this game straight-up and gives Brady his 7th Super Bowl. |
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01-24-21 | Bills v. Chiefs -3 | 24-38 | Win | 106 | 123 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #314 Kansas City Chiefs over Buffalo Bills (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 24 CBS) The Chiefs have struggled to cover spreads of late despite winning games and I just feel Any Reid will get his team back to the Super Bowl for the second consecutive year. Sooner or later the Chiefs will cover a spread and I do not see them losing this game straight-up and thus expect to win and cover the spread. Kansas City has gone 6-0 straight-up against teams with a winning record. Buffalo has been playing great of late, but they are a young team and I just do not believe QB Allen is ready to lead this team to a Super Bowl at the age of 24. Kanas City is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Buffalo. |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -118 | 119 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #312 Green Bay Packers over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3:05p.m., Sunday, January 24 FOX) This line has been creeping down since it opened Sunday night and I now like the Packers even more. QB Brady has played in cold weather for most of his career but he just is not playing at the same level as QB Rodgers is now. Tampa Bay benefited greatly from 4 New Orleans turnovers last week and I just do not believe Green Bay will do the same thing. The Packers have not only been winning games of late, they also have been covering the spread in those games as well. Now we get them at home (with fans) and a low number. Green Bay is 8-1 straight-up at home this year (6-3 ATS) and I see them jumping out early and winning this game by double-digits. Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of January. Green Bay is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played during January. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 matchups between the Buccaneers and Packers. |
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01-17-21 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | 30-20 | Win | 103 | 124 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #307 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over New Orleans Saints (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 17 FOX) Round 3 of Tom Brady vs. Drew Brees takes place Sunday night at the Superdome in New Orleans, LA. Just feel it is impossible to beat Tom Brady 3 times in 1 season and thus we expect Tampa Bay to not only cover the spread but win this game straight-up. The Saints did not look that impressive last week and if the Bears had a functional offense, they would have taken that game down to the wire. QB Brees still has trouble moving in the pocket and throwing the deep ball and the Buccaneers have the defense to put pressure on him for 60 minutes. New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-16-21 | Ravens +2.5 v. Bills | 3-17 | Loss | -106 | 102 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #303 Baltimore Ravens over Buffalo Bills (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 16 NBC) Both teams are playing well down the stretch and you could make a case for Buffalo, but the experience of the Ravens will prevail in this game. Buffalo looked shaky last week against Indianapolis at home and both times they appeared to have control of that game; they gave up a touchdown in a matter of one minute. QB Jackson got his first playoff win last week at Tennessee and I just feel the Ravens defense is playing better now. Baltimore is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road playoff games. Buffalo is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games played during the month of January. |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 98 h 10 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #302 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Rams (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 16 FOX) NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR We used the 49ers has our top play last year right out of the gate in the Divisional Round and will follow that formula again in 2021. The Rams are banged up and the game time temperature for this game should be around 30 degrees. The Packers are rested and QB Rodgers knows the importance of having the No. 1 seed in the NFC (only had it 1 other time in his career). Green Bay is 13-1 in their last 14 home games. QB Rodgers has a 23-2 touchdown to interception ratio at home this year. Green Bay led the league in points this year and I just do not believe Los Angeles will be able to match them score for score in this game. The Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against the Packers. The favorite is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings as well. Green Bay is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-10-21 | Bears v. Saints -10 | Top | 9-21 | Win | 100 | 101 h 36 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #150 New Orleans Saints over Chicago Bears (4:40p.m., Sunday, January 10 CBS) The Bears backed into the playoffs this season with a soft schedule down the stretch before getting pounded at home last week against the Packers. The Saints are simply better on both sides of the football and they will win this game by double-digits. New Orleans lost last year in the wildcard round and thus they will not take this game lightly. QB Trubisky has played better of late, but neither the coaching staff or fans have much confidence that he will perform well in this game. He is not the quarterback of the future and this may be the end of the road for him in Chicago as the starter. New Orleans is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 7 games against Chicago. The Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens -3 v. Titans | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 97 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #147 Baltimore Ravens over New Orleans Saints (1:05p.m., Sunday, January 10 ABC) The Ravens are everyone’s sleeper picks, and it would not surprise me in they make some noise in the 2021 playoffs this season. QB Jackson has yet to win a playoff game in his career and I expect him to finally get that monkey off his back on Sunday. Tennessee does not have a strong defense and they just are not particularly good in any layer on defense. The road team is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 4 matchups between Baltimore and Tennessee. The Titans are 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 home playoff games. |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8.5 | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 80 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #146 Washington Football Team over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 9 NBC) Nobody is giving Washington much of a chance in this game, but teams that host playoff games with a record of .500 or less have been well in this spot. Alex Smith is a capable NFL quarterback and expect him to bounce back in a big way on Saturday night. The strength of the football team is their defense and expect them to contain QB Brady and company for much of this game. These teams have met twice before in the playoffs and both of those games have been decided under tonight’s posted number. The underdog is 5-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 6 games between Tampa Bay and Washington. The Buccaneers are 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games played on Saturday. |
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01-09-21 | Colts v. Bills -6 | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #142 Buffalo Bills over Indianapolis Colts (1:05p.m., Saturday, January 9 CBS) Just do not feel that Phillip Rivers will be able to keep up with the high scoring Bills offense in this game. Buffalo finished the season on fire, winning 6 straight games and all of them came over today’s posted number. Buffalo went 5-2 ATS this season against teams with a winning record. Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS this season against teams with a winning record. The Colts are 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games as an underdog. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Colts and Bills. Finally, the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games in this series. |
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01-03-21 | Jaguars v. Colts -14 | 14-28 | Push | 0 | 119 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #104 Indianapolis Colts over Jacksonville Jaguars (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 3 CBS) The Colts need to win and also need help or they will be on the outside looking in when it comes to the AFC playoffs. Jacksonville is terrible and has already thrown in the towel on their 2020 season getting the No. 1 draft pick. This will be a 20+ point victory for the Colts and we will not hesitate to lay the points in this game. |
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01-03-21 | Packers -5 v. Bears | Top | 35-16 | Win | 100 | 119 h 7 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #105 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 3 FOX) The Packers will need to win this game to clinch the No. 1 seed and earn the only bye in the NFC. Green Bay has won 8 of the last 9 games against Chicago and crushed them in the first meeting in November at Lambeau Field. The favorite is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings between Green Bay and Chicago. The Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. QB Rodgers cements his legacy as the 2020 MVP with another outstanding performance and a double-digit Packers victory. |
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01-03-21 | Steelers v. Browns -7.5 | 22-24 | Loss | -100 | 116 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #110 Cleveland Browns over Pittsburgh Steelers (1p.m., Sunday, January 3 CBS) The Browns got a gift with Pittsburgh winning last week and now the Steelers can rest up for the playoffs and not try and win this game. The line has skyrocketed but it will not matter with Cleveland winning this game by double-digits. Pittsburgh has dominated this series, but this is not the same Cleveland doormat that they have been for the last two decades. Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Steelers will show some fight early but in the end Cleveland will pull away and make the playoffs with a dominating win. |
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01-03-21 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Bills | 26-56 | Loss | -106 | 116 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #123 Miami Dolphins over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, January 3 CBS) The Dolphins have a lot more to play for in this game, as Buffalo will likely be the No. 2 seed with Pittsburgh not playing to win on Sunday. It would be a remarkable accomplishment for this Miami team to make the playoffs and they will do that with a win. Miami is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against AFC teams. Buffalo is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games played during the month of January. |
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12-27-20 | Titans v. Packers -3 | Top | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 125 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #480 Green Bay Packers over Tennessee Titans (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 27 NBC) Green Bay has the No. 1 seed in sight if they win this game tonight and I see no reason not to lay this small number with the best team in the NFC. QB Tannehill has played outstanding this season but he is not in the same league as Aaron Rogers, the likely MVP of the league. Green Bay has been jumping out early on teams of late and I see them doing the same as well in this game. They will need to stop the run-on defense, but their defense last been playing better of late as well. The Titans are 3-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games played during Week 16 of the regular season. Green Bay is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. The Packers win this game by 7-10 points and lay claim to the No. 1 seed in the NFC. |
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12-27-20 | Rams v. Seahawks | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 121 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #476 Seattle Seahawks over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 27 FOX) This is an important game in the NFC West with the winner likely winning the NFC East and hosting a playoff game. Everyone expects to the Rams to bounce back after an embarrassing loss to the Jets last Sunday, but I just do not see them going into Seattle and winning this game. The Hawks have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 home games. Seattle is also 9-4 ATS against Los Angeles in the last 13 games against them in Seattle. |
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12-27-20 | Panthers v. Washington Football Team -2.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #470 Washington Football Team over Carolina Panthers (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 27 CBS) Carolina is just playing out the season and will enter this game having lost 3 straight games and 8 of their last 9 games. They are competitive in some of those losses, but they are still losses and that eventually takes its toll on a team. Washington has so much on the line in this game and with Alex Smith expected to be back I think they have enough to win it. Washington has beaten Carolina each of the last two seasons. The Football Team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. The Panthers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a losing record. Finally, Coach Ron Rivera wants to win this game in a big way since he was fired by the Panthers last year. |
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12-27-20 | Colts v. Steelers | 24-28 | Loss | -125 | 118 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Indianapolis Colts over Pittsburgh Steelers (1p.m., Sunday, December 27 CBS) Pittsburgh is in freefall now and not much analysis is needed to describe why we are picking against them. They have lost 3 straight games including 2 against inferior opponents in Washington and Cincinnati. They are banged up on defense and have not been able to run the football whatsoever. The Colts need this game more and want to end their 6 games losing streak to the Steelers. Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Pittsburgh is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of December. |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins v. Raiders +3 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 101 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #462 Las Vegas Raiders over Miami Dolphins (8:15p.m., Saturday, December 26 NFLN) Just do not trust the Dolphins as a favorite on the road. They are coming off a big win over New England last Sunday and it will not surprise me if they have a letdown in this game. The Raiders have extra rest and I do not see much of a drop-off with Mariota as quarterback. Miami is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games during Week 16 of the regular season. Las Vegas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played during Week 16 of the NFL season. |
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12-20-20 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Saints | 32-29 | Win | 100 | 119 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #365 Kansas City Chiefs over New Orleans Saints (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 19 CBS) The Saints are coming off a devastating loss at Philadelphia last week and now will likely not earn the top seed in the NFC (only 1 team gets a bye this year). The Chiefs have been winning games but not covering the spread of late, but now they have a low number where they likely just need to win the game. QB Brees have been eyeing this date to return but I do not think it will matter. Kansas City is an offensive machine and New Orleans will have to score in the high twenties to have a chance to cover this spread. Kansas City is 11-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-20-20 | Texans v. Colts -7 | 20-27 | Push | 0 | 115 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #342 Indianapolis Colts over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, December 20 CBS) This is the second meetings in three weeks for the Texans and Colts. Houston is just playing out the string and I see them losing this game by many more points than the first game. Indianapolis got right last week in Las Vegas and expect them to continue their success. They have the ability to beat teams running the ball or throw the air and I just do not have any confidence in this Texans defense. QB Watson did not throw a touchdown pass in the first meeting (only time this season that happened). Houston is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Indianapolis is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games divisional teams. |
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12-20-20 | Patriots v. Dolphins -1 | 12-22 | Win | 100 | 115 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #354 Miami Dolphins over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, December 20 CBS) This is a bad situation for the Patriots, as they have fallen out of playoff contention in the AFC and will be playing their third straight road games. Teams have figured out the Patriots, and you can beat them by not turning over the football and making Cam Newton beat you through the air. Miami has covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 games against New England in Miami. This is by far the worst Patriots squad they will have faced during the last 8 years. Miami put the final nail in the coffin for New England and wins this game convincingly. |
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12-19-20 | Bills v. Broncos UNDER 50 | Top | 48-19 | Loss | -108 | 95 h 39 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Under in Buffalo Bills @ Denver Broncos (4:30p.m., Saturday, December 19 NFLN) The Bills will be making their second trip west in three weeks and it would not surprise me if they come out a little flat after such an emotional win on Sunday Night Football. The Bills have gone under the total in 4 of their last 5 games against AFC teams. The Broncos have gone under the posted total in 23 of their last 33 games against AFC teams (1 push). |
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12-13-20 | Cardinals v. Giants +2.5 | Top | 26-7 | Loss | -100 | 116 h 47 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #158 New York Giants over Arizona Cardinals (1p.m., Sunday, December 13 CBS) Just believe these two teams are heading in opposite directions. Arizona is a fluke play away from losing 5 straight games and they may need to win 3 of their last 4 to make the playoffs. The Giants have won 4 straight and have control of the NFC East since they own the tiebreaker with Washington. They are coming off their best performance of the year beating Seattle in the Emerald City last time out. It goes not matter who the Giants start at quarterback, they are going to win this game. Arizona has been easy to run on of late and Wayne Gallman should put up big numbers. Arizona is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. The Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. |
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12-10-20 | Patriots +4.5 v. Rams | 3-24 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #101 New England Patriots over Los Angeles Rams (8:20p.m., Thursday, December 10 Amazon Prime) Look for the Patriots to play a competitive game in Los Angeles after pounding the Chargers on Sunday. The Patriots have beaten the Rams 6 straight times (5-1 ATS) and I see them taking this game down to the wire. New England is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Thursday. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played on Thursday. |
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12-07-20 | Bills -2.5 v. 49ers | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 147 h 25 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #477 Buffalo Bills over San Francisco 49ers (8:15p.m., Monday, December 7 ESPN) Buffalo has already won in Arizona this season and now they get a huge advantage with the 49ers having to play on the road as well. Just not sold on the 49ers, especially on offense. QB Mullins has limitations and if Buffalo does not turn over the football, the 49ers will struggle to score points. Buffalo has gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against NFC teams. They have already beaten the Rams and Seahawks, and had the Cardinals beat before giving up a Hail Mary pass with just seconds remaining. They will make it 3 of 4 on Monday night against the NFC West with a double-digit victory. |
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12-06-20 | Eagles v. Packers -9 | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 120 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Green Bay Packers over Philadelphia Eagles (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 6 FOX) The Eagles had no business being less than a double-digit underdog to the Packers at Lambeau Field. Philadelphia is coming off a 6 point loss to Seattle on Monday Night Football, but at no point in that game did anyone believe they had a chance to win it. Their offense is terrible and sooner or later QB Rodgers will get hot and cruise to a double-digit victory. Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against NFC teams. |
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12-06-20 | Patriots v. Chargers +1 | 45-0 | Loss | -106 | 120 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #474 Los Angeles Chargers over New England Patriots (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 6 CBS) The line tells me that the Chargers have the better talent in this game, but the Patriots have the better coach. QB Newton had another terrible performance last week but got bailed out late by a missed field goal and a questionable late hit out of bounds. The Patriots must play three straight road games and I do not believe that they have the talent to make the playoffs this season. New England is 2-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games played during the month of December. The opening team favored has covered the spread in 4 straight games between New England and Los Angeles. |
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12-06-20 | Lions v. Bears -3 | 34-30 | Loss | -109 | 116 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, December 6 FOX) The Lions are a mess and I do not see things getting better under Darrel Bevel as interim coach. Chicago cannot beat the Packers, but they still have a capable defense and already beat the Lions in Detroit earlier this season. Chicago has covered the spread against Detroit in 4 of their last 5 meetings. Detroit has 4 of their last 5 games and all 4 of those losses have come by double-digits. |
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12-02-20 | Ravens v. Steelers -10 | 14-19 | Loss | -102 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #278 Pittsburgh Steelers over Baltimore Ravens (4:30p.m., Wednesday December 2 NBC) Just do not see the Steelers losing their unbeaten streak to the Ravens at home on Thanksgiving. The Steelers are the best team in the league mainly due to their defense, and I expect the Ravens to struggle moving the football in this game. Baltimore is coming off a devastating loss on Sunday to Tennessee, and I just do not believe they can recover in 4 days. Pittsburgh has covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games and already beat Baltimore on the road this season. Baltimore is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss in their previous game. Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. |
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11-30-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles +6.5 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 Philadelphia Eagles +5 over Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Monday, November 30 ESPN) Just do not trust the Seahawks defense, especially on the road against a desperate team. QB Wilson has thrown 7 interceptions over his last 5 games and he has fallen out of the MVP race. QB Wentz has been poor as well, but I trust that he will play better at home. The Eagles still sit atop the standings in the NFC East. And if they can win games like this, they will win the division. Just do not believe they Seahawks can beat the Eagles 7 straight times. They have been similar teams over the last decade, and Philadelphia is the more desperate team tonight. |
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11-29-20 | Bears v. Packers -7.5 | 25-41 | Win | 100 | 125 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #274 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 29 NBC) The Bears are a sinking ship now, and this just cannot find a quarterback that can consistently win game. The Packers have won 7 of the last 8 games against the Bears (5-3 ATS) and this is just a complete mismatch at the quarterback position. Both Bears quarterbacks have injuries, and it does not matter who starts for them, the Packers are winning this game by double digits. |
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11-29-20 | Cardinals v. Patriots +2.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 118 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #254 New England Patriots over Arizona Cardinals (1p.m., Sunday, November 29 FOX) This is just a coaching mismatch to the highest degree. The Cardinals have had an easy schedule this season and should have a better record than 6-4 (losses to Carolina, Detroit, & Miami). New England has won 6 of the last 7 games against Arizona and getting them as an underdog is too good to pass up. The Patriots still have a chance to make the playoffs and they have covered the spread in every home game that they have been an underdog in since 2005. Arizona is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. New England is 36-17 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 56 games when they are an underdog. |
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11-29-20 | Giants v. Bengals OVER 42 | 19-17 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #256 Over in New York Giants @ Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, November 29 FOX) The total has been adjusted with the Joe Burrow injury but the Bengals have been an over team this year. Prior to last week the Bengals have gone over the posted total for today’s game in 4 straight games. The Giants have gone over the posted total in 4 straight road games when they are favored. The Bengals have gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 9 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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11-26-20 | Washington Football Team +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 49 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #123 Washington Football Team over Dallas Cowboys (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 26 FOX) Nobody can handle prosperity in the NFC East and I look for this game to go down to the wire. Dallas had a medical emergency on Tuesday and thus they were not able to practice for a team already on a short week. Washington won the first meeting by 22 points and having a stable quarterback in Alex Smith should allow this team to win some games down the stretch. The underdog is 28-13 ATS in the last 41 meetings between Washington and Dallas. |
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11-22-20 | Falcons v. Saints OVER 51 | 9-24 | Loss | -109 | 115 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #454 Over in Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, November 22 FOX) No Drew Brees for this game and thus the Jameis Winston era gets underway in New Orleans. Unlike San Francisco last week, the Falcons have a capable quarterback and dynamic offense. Both teams have traditional been over plays because of their offense and expect a lot of points in this game. The Falcons have gone over the posted total in 20 of their last 26 games played on turf. The Saints have gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 9 games. |
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11-22-20 | Patriots -2 v. Texans | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #457 New England Patriots over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, November 22 CBS) The Texans are one of the most disappointing teams in the league in 2020, as they have already fired their coach. JJ Watt wanted out before the trade deadline and now he is just playing out the season making sure he stays healthy. Houston has only beaten New England one time since 2009 and New England will enter having won two straight games and still is alive for playoffs. This line has swing 5 points after the Patriots beat the Ravens Sunday night and we will follow the movement. The Patriots are 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against the Texans. |
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11-22-20 | Titans v. Ravens -6 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #466 Baltimore Ravens over Tennessee Titans (1p.m., Sunday, November 22 CBS) Everyone is down on both teams, but I will side with the Ravens at home bouncing back. Baltimore has revenge on their minds, as Tennessee knocked them out of the playoffs in 2019. The Titans have lost 3 of their last 4 games including two home games. The Ravens dominated the stats against the Titans in January last year but were done in by turnovers. QB Jackson needs to prove that he has beat the good teams in the league and today is a perfect opportunity for him to do that. Tennessee is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. When Baltimore wins, they usually cover, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against AFC teams. |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 50 h 24 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #322 Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals (8:20p.m., Thursday, November 19 Amazon Prime) Everyone is down on the Seahawks after two straight losses but those came against likely playoff teams in Los Angeles and Buffalo. Seattle gave away the first meeting blowing a double-digit lead late in the fourth quarter. Arizona is coming off a huge win when a miraculous finish to beat Buffalo last time out. Everyone is buying Arizona stock now, but I believe there is no carryover week to week in the NFL. Seattle needs this game more and they will get it behind the best player on the field in Russell Wilson. Seattle is 7-1 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 10 games played on Thursday. |