Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-15-19 | Vikings +3 v. Packers | 16-21 | Loss | -107 | 97 h 56 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #279 Minnesota Vikings over Green Bay Packers (1p.m., Sunday, September 15 FOX) The Green Bay defense looked impressive last Thursday against Chicago but they will face a team with much better offensive weapons on Sunday. Just do not believe the Packers can beat the Bears and Vikings in successive weeks. Minnesota looks good against Atlanta last Sunday and have beaten Green Bay 3 times in the last 2 years (1 tie). Green Bay is 1-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Minnesota is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played in the month of September. Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games against Green Bay. |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 49.5 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 32 h 17 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #102 Under in Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 12 NFLN) We used the Panthers under last week and it was the proper play. A late flurry got that game over the 50 point total but I just do not see that happening again this week. QB Jameis Winston looked terrible last week and I just do not believe he can put up points on a consistent basis. He needs to not turn over the football (three 2 pick-6’s last week) and we should be able to collect with the under. Tampa Bay has gone under the posted total in 6 of their last 7 games. |
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09-09-19 | Broncos v. Raiders | 16-24 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #481 Denver Broncos over Oakland Raiders (10:15p.m., Monday, September 9 ESPN) The Broncos always seem to get out of the gate well and Oakland is still dysfunctional. Denver needs to play better on the road and this is a very winnable game that can get them off on the right foot. Denver has not suffered an ATS defeat in Week 1 since 2014. The Raiders are 9-19 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 39 games. The Raiders are never a good better as a home favorite going 4-11 in their last 15 home games against divisional teams (LAC, KC, Den). |
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09-08-19 | Steelers v. Patriots -5.5 | 3-33 | Win | 100 | 103 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #478 New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 8 NBC) Pittsburgh is a trendy pick this year despite losing their top wide receiver and running back. But I just cannot go against New England at home when the spread is less than 7 points. New England is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Bill Belichick is a much better coach than Mike Tomlin and Pittsburgh has never defeated New England in Foxboro. New England is 27-12 ATS in their last 39 games against AFC teams. Pittsburgh is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 openers. |
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09-08-19 | 49ers v. Bucs | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #461 San Francisco 49ers over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 8 FOX) Just feel that Jameis Winston is a lost cause at quarterback and even Bruce Arians cannot fix him. Jimmy Garoppolo is back healthy and despite not playing well in practice and preseason game he always seems to turn it on when the lights are on. San Francisco is 6-2 when Garoppolo is under center and score over 27 points per game. Tampa Bay is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 opening games. |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 95 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #468 Carolina Panthers over Los Angeles Rams (1p.m., Sunday, September 8 FOX) Carolina was unstoppable at home when Cam Newton is healthy, and they quietly got better on both sides of the football. Los Angeles will suffer a super bowl hangover as the loser in that game is just 3-16 ATS in Week 1 during this century. We will grab the points with the home underdog and expect the Panthers to win this game straight-up. Los Angeles is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 Week 1 games. |
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09-05-19 | Packers +3 v. Bears | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #451 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 5 NBC) Green Bay is healthy and has a much better quarterback than Chicago does. QB Rodgers is 16-5 ATS against the Bears in his career and has a 45-10 touchdown to interception ratio in those games. Green Bay has won 13 of the last 17 match-ups with Chicago. Expect this game to go down to the wire and we will grab the points in this game. |
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02-03-19 | Patriots -2.5 v. Rams | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 126 h 7 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #101 New England Patriots over Los Angeles Rams (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 3 CBS Super Bowl 53) Just cannot put my money going against QB Tom Brady and Coach Bill Belickick. We saw two weeks ago how New England was able to slow down the high-powered Chiefs for the entire first half and I expect them to have similar success against the Rams. The Patriots have an outstanding offensive line and Tom Brady has not been hit in two playoff games. The Rams are fortunate to be here, and I just do not believe it is there time yet. New England has beaten Los Angeles five straight times (4-1 ATS) dating back to the time they met in the Super Bowl. Expect this to be a double-digit win for the Patriots although they may give up a late score to put it in single digits. The Rams opened as the favorite in this game, but all the early money swing the line to New England. The Rams are 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games after accumulating for than 350 yards in their previous game. Very few people outside of New England want the Patriots to win this game but they will earn their sixth Super Bowl Championship and we will collect in the process as well. |
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01-20-19 | Patriots +3 v. Chiefs | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 125 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #313 New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 20 CBS) The Chiefs have all of the pressure on them in this game and I have not sure they will be able to rise to the occasion and win this game. Coach Andy Reid does not have much success in this championship weekend winning just 1 time in 5 tries. QB Brady is used to playing in the elements unlike QB Luck last week and the cold weather will not affect him. Both teams will give up yards in this game but I do not believe the Chiefs defense will be able to rise to the level they played last week again this week. Despite the win last week, Kansas City is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home playoff games. New England already won at Chicago this year and they are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 road games. |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3.5 | 26-23 | Loss | -108 | 122 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 New Orleans Saints over Los Angeles Rams (3:05p.m., Sunday, January 20 FOX) The Saints were rusty to start last week against Philadelphia, but they dominated the second half and I do not expect them to look back and dominate this game for 60 minutes. Despite being a slight underdog, the Saints won the first meeting this season by double digits and expect a similar result in this game as well. The Rams are just 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The home team has covered 7 straight games in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. I still believe the Saints are due for a breakout game offensively and there is no better time for that to occur than Sunday in the Superdome in front of their fans. |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots -3.5 | Top | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 121 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #306 New England Patriots over Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, January 13 CBS) The Chargers have been on a roll but playing their third straight road games against a rested team will doom them in. The Patriots are a much better team at home and they are the only team that did not lose a home game this season. Los Angeles still seems to be banged up at the skill positions and I am not sure that their wide receivers can stretch the field against New England. QB Rivers is 1-5 in his career against New England and is 0-2 in the playoffs. New England is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against New England. Everyone is doubting the Patriots at this moment, but they still are the Patriots with the best coach/quarterback combo of all time. New England dominates for 60 minutes and wins this game by double digits. |
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01-12-19 | Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 100 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #301 Indianapolis Colts over Kansas City Chiefs (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 12 NBC) The Colts are the offense to tear apart this Chiefs defense and I see them winning this game straight-up on Saturday afternoon. Kansas City has lost 6 straight home playoff games and if they hit adversity early in this game expect their crowd and players to panic. Indianapolis put forth a dominating performance last week on defense and shutdown Houston for much of that game. Indianapolis is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Kansas City. The Chiefs are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. The Colts are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -1 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 80 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #104 Dallas Cowboys over Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 5 FOX) The Seahawks closed out the regular season with back-to-back home games, but they are just not the same team on the road. Seattle beat Dallas earlier this season, but this game will be in the State of Texas. Dallas has they pass rushers to sack QB Wilson, something that happened 51 times this season. Dallas has won 7 of their last 8 games. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games. The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. |
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01-05-19 | Colts v. Texans | 21-7 | Loss | -125 | 76 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #102 Houston Texans over Indianapolis Colts (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 5 ABC) Everyone is one the Colts bandwagon, but I just do not believe that can beat the Texans twice in one season in Houston. The Texans are 11-2 in their last 13 games and they have the pass rushers to get to QB Luck early and often. Beating Blaine Gabbert is not the same as beating DeShaun Watson on the road and Houston will advance to play New England. Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road playoff games. Houston is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
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12-30-18 | Colts -2.5 v. Titans | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 105 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #321 Indianapolis Colts over Tennessee Titans (8:20p.m., December 30 NBC) This is a winner take all game on Sunday Night Football. Not much needs to be said about this game except for this one stat: QB Andrew Luck is 10-0 lifetime against the Titans. Tennessee has QB issues but regardless we are taking Indianapolis. |
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12-30-18 | 49ers +10.5 v. Rams | 32-48 | Loss | -130 | 101 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #331 San Francisco 49ers over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., December 30 FOX) The 49ers appear to be on a carbon copy of their performance last season. They started off terrible only to play much better down the stretch. Most people are off of the Rams bandwagon and I do not see this game being a blowout. LA is 3-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in Week 17 over the last 5 years. The 49ers are pesky and that will be the case again on Sunday. |
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12-30-18 | Dolphins v. Bills -3.5 | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 97 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #320 Buffalo Bills over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 30 CBS) Miami is not the same team on the road especially playing in the cold. Miami may have major changes come Monday and I just do not see their motivation for winning this game. The Dolphins have been outgained 9 consecutive games. Buffalo has a good defense and if they can take care of the football, they should win the game by at least a touchdown. Miami is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Week 17 games. |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 127 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #130 Seattle Seahawks over Kansas City Chiefs (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 23 NBC) Seattle let one get away last week in Santa Clara and still need to win 1 of their final 2 games to ensure a wild card berth. Kansas City has a terrible defense QB Mahomes will struggle to pick apart this defense especially in a night game on the road. Seattle is 23-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 34 games played during December. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games. |
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12-23-18 | Texans v. Eagles -1 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 119 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #114 Philadelphia Eagles over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, December 23 CBS) The Eagles rekindled the magic last week with Nick Foles that they had in 2017 and we will use them again in a must win situation playing at home. Houston has a lot to play for as well, as they can claim the No. 2 seed in the AFC if they win out. But the Texans just cannot be trusted, and they never seem to handle prosperity well under Coach Bill O’Brien. Houston has running back issues and I just cannot see them closing out the season winning 12 of their last 13 games. The line has already moved a lot since the Sunday Night Football game and I just feel that Philadelphia is going to make the playoffs as a wild card team. Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a winning road record. Houston is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games played in December. |
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12-23-18 | Bills v. Patriots -12.5 | 12-24 | Loss | -109 | 119 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #104 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, December 23 CBS) This is a get-well game for the Patriots. If they win their final two games against two terrible teams, they will likely earn the No. 2 seed and a first round bye. New England already beat Buffalo by 19 points this season in upstate New York and they are on a 4-0 ATS run in this matchup. Buffalo will not be able to score enough points to keep this deficit under double-digits. New England is 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games. Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Just too much on the line for the Patriots to take this game lightly. |
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12-22-18 | Ravens +5 v. Chargers | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 103 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #123 Baltimore Ravens over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20p.m., Saturday, December 22 FOX) The Chargers may be the best team in the NFL at the moment, but in order to avoid the No. 5 seed they must win their final two games. Injuries are still a major factor for them on offense and they are facing the best defense in the AFC tonight. Baltimore just has a spark since Lamar Jackson took over as the starting quarterback and I see them taking this game down to the wire. The Chargers do not have a home field edge and they are coming off an emotional win last week against Kansas City. Expect a slight letdown in this game. LA has failed to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 home games (lost to Denver straight-up). The underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 match-ups. |
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12-16-18 | Patriots -2 v. Steelers | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #327 New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) Both teams need to turn the page quickly after bad losses last Sunday. The Patriots seldom lose two games in a row and they are playing a team in disarray at the moment. Pittsburgh has not beaten New England since 2011 and the Patriots are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss in their previous game. Over this winning streak, the Patriots average margin of victory is 11 points against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of December. New England is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in December. |
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12-16-18 | Seahawks v. 49ers +7 | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 123 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #326 San Francisco 49ers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) The 49ers are coming off an impressive win against the Broncos and we will use them again this week against Seattle. Their game last month was closer than what the score would indicate, and Seattle was not that impressive last week on offense against Minnesota especially in the passing game. San Francisco took the foot of the gas last week and thus the final score was not reflected in how they dominated (led 20-0 at half). Seattle does not need to win this game to make the playoffs and I just do not see a blowout by the visitor. The 49ers performed well down the stretch last season after a terrible start and it would not surprise me if history repeats itself in 2018 as well. |
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12-16-18 | Dolphins v. Vikings -7 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 120 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308 Minnesota Vikings over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) A see a lot of comparisons to how Green Bay performed last week. Miami is coming off an unthinkable win last week against New England, but they now must travel north to take on a team desperate for a win. Minnesota played well on defense last week against Seattle and they just fired their offensive coordinator and expect to see a spark on the offensive side of the football this week. Miami is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games when they are an underdog. Remember last year when Minnesota had a remarkable win against New Orleans and then laid an egg the next week against Philadelphia? Expect that to happen to Miami this week, as they will lose by double digits. Minnesota is 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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12-16-18 | Packers +6 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #317 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX) The Packers played much better last Sunday after firing their head coach. Do not see them getting blown out in this game and thus expect them to take it down to the wire decided by only a field goal. QB Rodgers is 17-4 against Chicago and had a remarkable comeback on one leg to beat them in the first game of the season. The Bears have all but clinched the NFC North (need 1 win or 1 Minnesota lost) and thus they have a margin of error in this game. Green Bay is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Chicago. The Bears are 14-40 ATS (1 push) in their last 55 games after accumulating over 150 yards rushing in their previous game. |
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12-16-18 | Bucs v. Ravens -7.5 | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 73 h 16 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #312 Baltimore Ravens over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX) Both of these plays feature a shady home favorite against a terrible team. This is the time of year teams tend to mail it in and I expect Tampa Bay to fire their coach and Arizona just does not have enough weapons to hurt Atlanta. Expect double digit wins by each of these home teams. |
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12-16-18 | Raiders v. Bengals -2.5 | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 73 h 15 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #310 Cincinnati Bengals over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) Somebody must win this game between two terrible teams. It has been 17 games since the Raiders have won two games on the road. Both teams have bad defenses but look for the Bengals to score some points and I just do not believe the Raiders can keep pace with them. Oakland is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Cincinnati. The Bengals are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games played in December. |
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12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -3 | 17-16 | Loss | -103 | 103 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #306 Denver Broncos over Cleveland Browns (5:20p.m., Saturday, December 15 NFLN) The Broncos laid an egg last week against San Francisco but expect them to bounce back in a big way at home against Cleveland. The Browns dominated the NFC South covering every game against those 4 teams, but they are playing a team desperate for a win on Sunday. Denver now has a week to adjust to key injuries on both sides of the football and expect them to be much better on Saturday. Cleveland is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a losing record. Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Cleveland. |
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12-09-18 | Eagles +4 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-29 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #129 Philadelphia Eagles over Dallas Cowboys (1:25p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) Everyone has just given the Cowboys the NFC East and disregarded the defending Super Bowl Champions. We will gladly take the points in this game and look for Philadelphia to come out strong in this must win game for them. The Eagles are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road divisional games when they are an underdog. The Cowboys are 9-18 ATS in their last 27 home divisional games when they are a favorite. The road team has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 match-ups. |
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12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers +4 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 69 h 28 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #124 San Francisco 49ers +4 over Denver Broncos (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK The Broncos have made a rally of late winning three straight games to take some pressure off of Head Coach Vance Joseph. But I just do not trust them to win four straight games with three of those four games coming on the road. Losing Chris Harris Jr and Emmanuel Sanders will be too much for this team to overcome within a week. The Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in December. Denver does not have an explosive offense that can attack this San Francisco defense and if Nick Mullens can take care of the football, they should win this game straight-up. |
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12-09-18 | Giants -3.5 v. Redskins | 40-16 | Win | 100 | 120 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #121 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) The Giants get to face a back-up quarterback for the second straight week but this time it will be Mark Sanchez who was just signed a couple of weeks ago after Alex Smith went down. New York dominated Chicago for most of the game last Sunday before the Bears made a late rally to send it into overtime. If the Giants can stop the run, they should win this game by double digits. Washington is 6-6 and that is truly amazing consider their 52-man roster is terrible. I could see them not winning another game all season. New York is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Washington is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 divisional games. The will be a big public play but I still see the Giants winning this game easily. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots -7.5 v. Dolphins | 33-34 | Loss | -100 | 120 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #117 New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) The Patriots are a tough team to beat come November – December. Miami has played well at home this year, but New England cannot afford to take them lightly if they hope to secure a first round bye this season. The Patriots have been playing much better on defense and if their offense can repeat their past performances from years past this will be the team to beat in the AFC come January. New England has covered the spread in 5 straight divisional games. Miami is 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in December. |
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12-09-18 | Ravens +7 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 120 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #105 Baltimore Ravens over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) The Chiefs were not that impressive against the Raiders last Sunday and now they play a much better team in the Ravens with another big spread. QB Lamar Jackson has not put up great stats but he has inspired this team with three straight wins and we will jump on the bandwagon. The road team has covered 6 of the last 8 meetings. Kansas City will have their explosive moments, but I believe Baltimore will be able to take this down to the wire and easily cover the spread. |
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12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers OVER 51 | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 126 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #354 Over in Los Angeles Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers (8:20p.m, Sunday, December 2 NBC) Both teams have dynamic offenses and thus we expect the scoreboard to be lighten up Sunday night in Pittsburgh. The Steelers have gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 7 home games. This match-up has gone over the posted total in 4 of the last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh. |
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 122 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #376 New England Patriots over Minnesota Vikings (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 2 FOX) These back to back road games on the docket for Minnesota will likely doom them in. Going to New England this week and Seattle the next week is as tough to travel as there is in the league. Minnesota just does not have the same defense that they had last year. New England will be able to score in the thirties in this game and I just do not believe Minnesota will be able to keep pace. The Patriots are starting to get healthy and they are always tough to beat in December (8-1 ATS last 9 December games). Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Patriots have just been going through the motions of late, but this is a game that they will get up for and win it by double-digits. |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 54 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #302 Dallas Cowboys over New Orleans Saints (8:20p.m., Thursday, November 29 FOX) New Orleans is the best team in football but Dallas is the type of team that can contain them on both sides of the football. The Cowboys have won three straight games and I just do not see them getting blowout at home. Dallas needs this game more and thus I think they can take this down to the wire. Dallas has won 4 of their 5 home games this year. The underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between New Orleans and Dallas. |