05-10-19 |
Warriors +7.5 v. Rockets |
|
118-113 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
-Golden State hits the road without Kevin Durant; more efficient and a focused effort here -offense is shooting 38.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.3% shooting from 3 -Warriors allow just 43.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% -Houston was down 20 points in Game 5 before coming back to lead; blew a great opportunity -offense is shooting 44.8% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.8% shooting from the field -Rockets allow 46.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that also shoot 46.3% from the field 10* Play WARRIORS (+).
|
05-09-19 |
Nuggets v. Blazers -3.5 |
|
108-119 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
-Denver played a perfect Game 5 at home; 124 points in regulation; most since March 12th -offense is shooting 44.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting -Nuggets defense allows 46.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% -Portland returns home off an ugly 26-point road loss; 36-10 at home; expect a big bounce back -offense is shooting 47.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 46% shooting -Trail Blazers allow 45% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that are shooting 46% 10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).
|
05-09-19 |
Raptors -2 v. 76ers |
|
101-112 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
-Toronto hits the road after dominating Game 5 on their home court; expect the series to end -offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field -Raptors defense allows 33.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3 -Philadelphia failed to show up for the all important Game 5; bad spot here even playing at home -offense has struggled to score points in this series; held to 96 points or less in 4 of the 5 games -76ers defense allows 111.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.6 points per game 9* Play RAPTORS (-).
|
05-08-19 |
Rockets v. Warriors -6 |
|
99-104 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
-Houston won both games at home to tie this series at 2 games apiece; now on the road; bad spot -offense is shooting 44.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 45.8% shooting -Rockets defense allows 46.6% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.3% -Golden State returns home off back-to-back losses; 33-13 at home; expect a focused effort here -offense is shooting 49.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting -Warriors defense allows just 34.9% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3 10* Play WARRIORS (-).
|
05-07-19 |
Blazers +5 v. Nuggets |
|
98-124 |
Loss |
-102 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
-Portland lost Game 4 on their home court; on the road now; expect a strong bounce back effort -offense is shooting 46.5% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field -Trail Blazers allow 45.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46% from the field -Denver bounced back with a solid win off their 4 overtime loss in Game 3; at home; regression -offense averages just 110.5 points per game vs. defenses that give up 111.3 points per game -Nuggets defense has given up 112 points or more in 3 of the 4 games in this series; bad form 10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (+).
|
05-07-19 |
76ers +6.5 v. Raptors |
|
89-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
-Philadelphia hits the road after losing Game 4 on their home court as a favorite; bounce back -offense is shooting 47% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field -76ers defense allows 33% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 -Toronto was in a good spot to win Game 4 off a loss in Game 3; now at home; complacency -offense is getting little production off the bench; second unit scored 12 points in 48 minutes -Raptors defense allows 35.1% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3 9* Play 76ERS (+).
|
05-06-19 |
Bucks v. Celtics -1.5 |
|
113-101 |
Loss |
-106 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
-Milwaukee dominated the 3rd quarter to win Game 3; game was even other than that quarter -offense is shooting 34.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 -Bucks defense allows 36.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 -Boston is now off back-to-back losses in this series; must win game tonight; big bounce back -offense is shooting 47% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting -Celtics defense allows 44.2% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% 10* Play CELTICS (-).
|
05-05-19 |
Raptors +2.5 v. 76ers |
|
101-96 |
Win
|
103 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
-Toronto has now played back-to-back poor games; off a 21-point loss; big bounce back here -offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field -Raptors defense allows 107.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.5 points per game -Philadelphia once again played perfect in Game 3; 6 players scored in double digits; regression -offense shot 51.2% (43-84) from the field, 87% from the free throw line, and they made ten 3’s -76ers defense allows 111.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.6 points per game 10* Play RAPTORS (+).
|
05-04-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets -3 |
|
121-126 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
-Golden State won the first 2 games on their home court by a combined 10 points; bad sign -offense shot 48.2% (80-166) from the field in the 2 games and couldn’t win by margin; regress -Warriors defense allows 111.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.3 points per game -Houston returns home down 0-2 in the series; must win game; expect a big bounce back effort -offense averages 116.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111 points per game -Rockets defense allows 108.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.3 points per game 10* Play ROCKETS (-).
|
05-03-19 |
Nuggets +4 v. Blazers |
|
137-140 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
-Denver played a clunker in Game 2 on their home court; expect a strong bounce back effort -offense is shooting 46.4% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field -Nuggets defense allows 33.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.7% from three -Portland got a complete team effort in Game 2; 6 players scored 10 points or more; regression -offense averages 109.3 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 111.3 points per game -Trail Blazers defense allows 35.7% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 10* Play NUGGETS (+).
|
05-03-19 |
Bucks v. Celtics -2 |
|
123-116 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
-Milwaukee bounced back strong in Game 2 as expected; 3 starters scored 21 points or more -offense is shooting 34.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 -Bucks defense allows 36.4% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 -Boston figured to be flat for Game 2; off that loss expect a big bounce back at home tonight -offense is shooting 47% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting -Celtics defense allows 44% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% 9* Play CELTICS (-).
|
05-02-19 |
Raptors -1.5 v. 76ers |
|
95-116 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
-Toronto hits the road off a home loss in Game 2; expect a focused effort here; bounce back -offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field -Raptors defense allows 107.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.4 points per game -Philadelphia got a complete team effort in Game 2; 5 players scored in double digits; regression -offense scored 54 of their 94 points from 3-point land and the free throw line in Game 2 -76ers defense allows 112.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.6 points per game 10* Play RAPTORS (-).
|
05-01-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets -4 |
|
97-90 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
-Portland lost Game 1 in Denver as expected; this is still a bad matchup, so expect a 2-0 deficit -offense is shooting 35.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3 -Trail Blazers allow 36.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 -Denver has won 4 of their last 5 playoff games after losing 2 of their first 3; in good form now -offense is shooting 48.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting -Nuggets defense allows 103.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.5 ppg 10* Play NUGGETS (-).
|
04-30-19 |
Celtics v. Bucks -7.5 |
|
102-123 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 16 m |
Show
|
-Boston dominated Game 1 and won by 22 points; shocking result; expect major regression here -offense shot 54% (47-87) from the field and they made 13 three’s in Game 1; won’t repeat that -Celtics defense has been worse on the road; give up 107.8 ppg and 45% shooting from the field -Milwaukee played one of their worst games of the season; off that loss expect a big bounce back -offense is shooting 48.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting -Bucks defense allows 43.1% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.7% 10* Play BUCKS (-).
|
04-29-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets -4 |
|
113-121 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
-Portland had it easier than expected in beating Oklahoma City in Round 1; bad matchup now -offense is shooting 35.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3 -Trail Blazers allow 36.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 -Denver lost Game 1 on their home floor to the Spurs in Round 1; expect a focused effort here -offense is shooting 48.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting -Nuggets defense allows 102.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.5 ppg 10* Play NUGGETS (-).
|
04-28-19 |
Rockets v. Warriors -5.5 |
|
100-104 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
-Houston had little trouble in beating Utah in Round 1; taking a huge jump up in class now -offense is shooting 44.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 45.9% shooting -Rockets defense allows 46.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% -Golden State lost 2 games on their home floor in Round 1; expect a focused effort here -offense is shooting 49.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting -Warriors defense allows just 34.8% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3 10* Play WARRIORS (-).
|
04-28-19 |
Celtics v. Bucks -7 |
|
112-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 48 m |
Show
|
-Boston swept Indiana in Round 1; every win came by 10 points or less; massive class jump now -offense is shooting 45.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting -Celtics defense has been worse on the road; 108.2 ppg and 45.3% shooting from the field -Milwaukee dominated Detroit in their Round 1 sweep; every win came by 16 points or more -offense is shooting 48.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting -Bucks defense allows 42.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.6% 9* Play BUCKS (-).
|
04-27-19 |
76ers v. Raptors -6.5 |
|
95-108 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 1 m |
Show
|
-Philadelphia had an easy matchup in Round 1 against the Nets; huge step-up in class now -offense is shooting 33.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3 -76ers defense allows 114.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.6 ppg -Toronto lost Game 1 on their home floor to Orlando in Round 1; expect a focused effort here -offense is shooting 47.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting -Raptors defense allows 106.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 110.4 ppg 10* Play RAPTORS (-).
|
04-26-19 |
Warriors -9.5 v. Clippers |
|
129-110 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
-Golden State lost as 14.5-point home favorites in Game 5; embarrassing result; big effort now -offense is shooting 49.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field -Warriors defense allows 43.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46% -Los Angeles got a complete team effort in Game 6; very unlikely they’ll repeat that performance -offense shot 54.1% (46-85) from the field and made 13 three’s in Game 5; major regression here -Clippers allow 115 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.5 points per game 10* Play WARRIORS (-).
|
04-25-19 |
Nuggets v. Spurs -3 |
|
103-120 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 2 m |
Show
|
-Denver has played 2 perfect games after losing Game 3 in San Antonio; expect regression here -offense is shooting 44.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting -Nuggets defense allows 46.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% -San Antonio returns home off a blowout loss; also lost previous home game; big bounce back -offense is shooting 41.6% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 -Spurs allow just 106.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.2 points per game 10* Play SPURS (-).
|
04-24-19 |
Jazz v. Rockets -8 |
|
93-100 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
-Utah finally got a win in this series in Game 4; off that win expect major regression tonight -offense is shooting 34.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.4% shooting from 3 -Jazz defense allows 36.6% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3 -Houston returns home off an ugly road loss in Game 3; 7-3 at home off a road loss this season -offense is shooting 36.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 -Rockets defense allows 33.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three 10* Play ROCKETS (-).
|
04-23-19 |
Nets v. 76ers -8.5 |
|
100-122 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
-Brooklyn blew a 4th quarter lead in Game 4 at home; off that close loss, expect a flat effort here -offense is shooting 44.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting -Nets allow 113.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111 points per game -Philadelphia lost Game 1 on their home court; won in a blowout in Game 2; focused effort again -offense is shooting 48.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting -76ers defense allows 34.1% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from three 10* Play 76ERS (-).
|
04-22-19 |
Rockets v. Jazz OVER 214 |
|
91-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
-Houston has scored at will in this series; 111 points or more in 9 of their last 10 games overall -offense is shooting 35.6% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from three -Rockets defense allows 46.6% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% -Utah is down 3-0 in this series; expect more of a free flowing game plan tonight; offense first -offense is shooting 46.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting -Jazz defense has given up 104 points or more in 6 straight games; 113 points or more in 4 games 10* Play OVER the total.
|
04-21-19 |
Blazers v. Thunder -5.5 |
|
111-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
-Portland is a much better home team than road team; 13 win difference; expect another loss -offense is shooting 34.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 -Trail Blazers allow 46.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field -Oklahoma City bounced back strong as expected in Game 3; they will match that effort here -offense averages 114.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111.3 points per game -Thunder defense allows 45.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 10* Play THUNDER (-).
|
04-20-19 |
Rockets v. Jazz -2.5 |
|
104-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
-Houston played 2 perfect games at home, and they won by a combined 52 points; regression -offense is shooting 44.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting -Rockets defense allows 46.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% -Utah just played their 2 worst games of the season; return to their strong home court; big effort -offense is shooting 36.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 -Jazz defense allows 104.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that score 111.4 points per game 10* Play JAZZ (-).
|
04-19-19 |
Blazers v. Thunder -7.5 |
|
108-120 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
-Portland has played well above their level in the first 2 games of this series; regression coming -offense is shooting 34.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 -Trail Blazers allow 46.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field -Oklahoma City returns home where they’ve played much better this season; big bounce back -offense averages 114.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111.3 points per game -Thunder defense allows 45.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 10* Play THUNDER (-).
|
04-19-19 |
Celtics v. Pacers -2.5 |
|
104-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
-Boston was extremely fortunate to win Game 2; needed a miraculous finish; regression here -offense is shooting 45.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting -Celtics allowed 165 points in 2 games; gave up 102 points or more in 16 of previous 17 games -Indiana returns home down 2-0 in the series; must win game; big bounce back effort at home -offense is shooting 38.1% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3 -Pacers allow 43.3% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field 9* Play PACERS (-).
|
04-18-19 |
Warriors -8.5 v. Clippers |
|
132-105 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
-Golden State blew a 31-point lead in Game 2 at home; embarrassing result; bounce back effort -offense is shooting 49.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field -Warriors defense allows 43.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46% -Los Angeles won by a fluky result in Game 2; that’s not going to happen again; regression here -offense shot 56.5% (48-85) from the field and 45.2% (14-31) from 3 in Game 2; won’t repeat -Clippers defense allows 114.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game 9* Play WARRIORS (-).
|
04-17-19 |
Jazz +7 v. Rockets |
|
98-118 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
-Utah still has a terrific matchup edge despite losing Game 1 by 32 points; bounce back effort -offense is shooting 46.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting -Jazz defense allows 106.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game -Houston shot 50% from the field and made 15 three’s in Game 1; high variance team; regress -offense is shooting 45% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field -Rockets allow 46.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% from the field 10* Play JAZZ (+).
|
04-16-19 |
Thunder +1.5 v. Blazers |
|
94-114 |
Loss |
-106 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
-Oklahoma City was terrible in Game 1; shot just 15.2% (5-33) from 3; expect big bounce back -offense is averaging 114.3 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111.3 points per game -Thunder allow 45.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% from the field -Portland got a complete team effort in Game 1; 3 players scored 20 points or more; regression -offense made 11 three’s in Game 1; held a +18 point advantage from 3 and only won by 5 points -Trail Blazers allows 35.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three 9* Play THUNDER (+).
|
04-16-19 |
Spurs v. Nuggets -7 |
|
105-114 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 16 m |
Show
|
-San Antonio was in a good spot for Game 1 and they took advantage with a win; opposite now -offense shot 48.2% (40-83) from the field and 46.7% (7-15) from 3; expect regression tonight -Spurs allow 47.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that only shoot 46.1% -Denver was 34-7 SU at home prior to their loss in Game 1; strong home court; big bounce back -offense is shooting 48.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting -Nuggets allows 32.3% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3 10* Play NUGGETS (-).
|
04-15-19 |
Nets v. 76ers -8 |
|
123-145 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 58 m |
Show
|
-Brooklyn is the lone team in the playoffs with a negative point differential; hit 11 3’s; regress -offense is shooting just 44.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting -Nets allow 113.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.9 points per game -Philadelphia was terrible in Game 1; shot just 12% (3-25) from three; expect big bounce back -offense is shooting 37.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3 -76ers allows 44.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.8% from the field 9* Play 76ERS (-).
|
04-14-19 |
Jazz +6.5 v. Rockets |
|
90-122 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
-Utah has a terrific matchup edge here; played the best of any team against Houston; bad line -offense is shooting 47% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting -Jazz allow 106.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game -Houston has been a hit or miss team in the playoffs recently; high 3-point shooting variance -offense is shooting 44.9% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field -Rockets allow 46.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% from the field 10* Play JAZZ (+).
|
04-13-19 |
Spurs +5.5 v. Nuggets |
|
101-96 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
-San Antonio closed the regular season by winning their last 3 games; confidence and good form -offense is shooting 39.2% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from three -Spurs defense allows 110 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game -Denver closed the regular season by going 5-6 SU over their last 11 games; bad current form -offense is shooting 35.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 35.6% shooting from three -Nuggets defense has given up 110 points or more in 4 of their last 6 games; not a good sign 9* Play SPURS (+).
|
04-13-19 |
Magic +9 v. Raptors |
|
104-101 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
-Orlando has a terrific matchup edge here; played the best of any team against Toronto; bad line -offense is shooting 35.6% from three vs. defenses that also give up 35.6% shooting from three -Magic allows 105.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111 points per game -Toronto has a history of underperforming in the playoffs; some new pieces; still question marks -offense shot 50% or better from the field in 4 of their last 6 games; not happening here; regress -Raptors defense allows 35.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 10* Play MAGIC (+).
|
04-09-19 |
Blazers -9.5 v. Lakers |
|
104-101 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
|
-Portland is still playing for playoff positioning, so they are not mailing this game in; focused -offense has scored 110 points or more in 4 straight games; continues vs. a bad Lakers defense -Trail Blazers allow 110.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.3 points per game -Los Angeles comes in off back-to-back SU wins as double digit underdogs; not happening again -offense is shooting 32.4% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3 -Lakers defense allows 113.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.6 points per game 9* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).
|
04-08-19 |
Texas Tech v. Virginia -1.5 |
|
77-85 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
-Texas Tech has been ultra impressive in the tournament; meet their defensive equal here -offense averaged 3.5 points per game less on the road; facing one of the best defenses tonight -Red Raiders defense allows 32% (#176 overall) of points scored to come from 3; bad matchup -Virginia didn’t take full advantage of their matchup edge vs. Auburn; lucky win; undervalued -offense is shooting 39.3% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.1% shooting from three -Cavaliers defense allows 55.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 73 points per game 10* Play VIRGINIA (-).
|
04-07-19 |
Nuggets v. Blazers -7.5 |
|
108-115 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
-Denver has just about clinched their playoff position; resting their starters in this game -offense is shooting 44.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting -Nuggets defense allows 46.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% -Portland returns home off a loss in Denver; 5-2 at home off a road loss; average win by 15 ppg -offense is shooting 47.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up just 46% shooting -Trail Blazers allow just 44.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% 10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).
|
04-06-19 |
Texas Tech +2.5 v. Michigan State |
|
61-51 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
-Texas Tech has been the most impressive team in the tournament; confidence and momentum -offense is shooting 47.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.8% shooting from the field -Red Raiders defense allows 59 points per game vs. offenses that average 73 points per game -Michigan State had an easy path prior to their last game against Duke; another tough out here -offense faced four mediocre defensive teams; now they are facing one of the best in the country -Spartans defense is also terrific, but they had the pace edge in every tournament game; not here 10* Play TEXAS TECH (+).
|
04-06-19 |
Auburn v. Virginia -6 |
|
62-63 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
-Auburn needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; not happening tonight; bad matchup -offense is shooting just 43.5% from the field on the road; facing one of the best defenses here -Tigers defense allows 35.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.4% from 3 -Virginia plays at an extremely slow pace; they grind teams in the half court; excel vs. fast teams -offense is shooting 39.4% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.1% shooting from three -Cavaliers defense allows 55.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.8 points per game 9* Play VIRGINIA (-).
|
04-05-19 |
Kings v. Jazz -10 |
|
98-119 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
-Sacramento comes in off a home win last night over Cleveland; back-to-back in altitude now -offense is shooting 46.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting from the field -Kings defense allows 116.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.2 ppg -Utah is 11-1 SU over their last 12 games; in excellent current form; last night off; blowout here -offense has scored 114 points or more in 11 of their last 12 games; continues vs. a bad defense -Jazz defense allows 43.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that are shooting 46% 10* Play JAZZ (-).
|
04-04-19 |
Bucks v. 76ers +5 |
|
128-122 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
-Milwaukee will conclude their 3-game East Coast road trip tonight; bad spot with season ending -offense is shooting 34.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 -Bucks defense allows 36.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 -Philadelphia returns home off back-to-back road losses; expect a big bounce back effort here -offense is shooting 37.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 -76ers defense allows 44.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.8% 10* Play 76ERS (+).
|
04-03-19 |
Grizzlies +11 v. Blazers |
|
89-116 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
-Memphis comes in off a loss in Los Angeles to the Clippers; 6-2 SU their last 8 when off a loss -offense is shooting 35.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 -Grizzlies defense allows 105.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.9 points per game -Portland returns home from a 4-game road trip; 1 day off since; back on the road after; bad spot -offense just scored 132 points after shooting 54.9% against Minnesota; expect major regression -Trail Blazers defense allows 35.9% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3 9* Play GRIZZLIES (+).
|
04-03-19 |
Celtics +1 v. Heat |
|
112-102 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
-Boston just beat Miami at home on Monday despite shooting 39.6% from the field; good sign -offense is shooting 36.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3 -Celtics defense allows 108 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.8 points per game -Miami returns home for this one off game before playing 3 of their next 4 on the road; bad spot -offense is shooting just 44.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting -Heat defense allows 35.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that are shooting 35.4% from three 9* Play CELTICS (+).
|
04-03-19 |
Raptors v. Nets +2.5 |
|
115-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
-Toronto has won 4 straight games against teams that have quit on the season; different opponent -offense has scored 245 total points in their last 2 games; expect some major regression tonight -Raptors defense allows 45.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% -Brooklyn comes in off a home loss to Milwaukee; won previous 4 home games; bounce back -offense averages 114.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111.2 points per game -Nets defense allows just 33.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 10* Play NETS (+).
|
04-02-19 |
Nuggets +8.5 v. Warriors |
|
102-116 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 43 m |
Show
|
-Denver hits the road off an ugly home loss to Washington; last night off; big bounce back here -offense is shooting 46.6% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field -Nuggets defense allows 106.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game -Golden State is just 11-8 SU over their last 19 games; team is on cruise control into the playoffs -offense scored 268 total points in their last 2 games; regression coming against a good defense -Warriors defense allows 35.7% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3 10* Play NUGGETS (+).
|
04-01-19 |
Magic +7 v. Raptors |
|
109-121 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
-Orlando is 7-1 SU over their last 8 games; in excellent current form; confidence and momentum -offense has scored 119 points or more in 5 of those 7 games; expect more of the same tonight -Magic defense allows 105.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.9 ppg -Toronto has faced the Bulls twice and the Knicks in their last 3 games; big step-up in class here -offense is facing a good defensive team; scored just 98 points on the Magic last time they played -Raptors defense allows 35.4% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 10* Play MAGIC (+).
|
03-31-19 |
Michigan State +2.5 v. Duke |
|
68-67 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
-Michigan State has been dominant in their tournament games; terrific in the half court as well -offense is shooting 39.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.3% shooting from 3 -Spartans allow 37.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.2% from the field -Duke needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; won’t be easy to dictate pace in this game -offense is shooting 27.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 32.9% shooting from 3 -Blue Devils defense was worse on the road this season; allowing 4.1 points per game more 10* Play MICHIGAN STATE (+).
|
03-31-19 |
Auburn +5 v. Kentucky |
|
77-71 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
-Auburn has been quite impressive throughout this tournament; expect another solid game here -offense is shooting 38.1% from three vs. defenses that allow just 33.7% shooting from three -Tigers defense allows 68.8 points per game vs. defenses that average 73.2 points per game -Kentucky won their last 2 games in the final minute; team is now overvalued here by a 2 points -offense is shooting 34.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.2% shooting from 3 -Wildcats defense has been worse away from home this season; allow 3.2 points per game more 9* Play AUBURN (+).
|
03-30-19 |
Texas Tech +4.5 v. Gonzaga |
|
75-69 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
-Texas Tech comes in off an ultra-impressive win over Michigan; confidence and momentum -offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting from the field -Red Raiders defense allows 58.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.6 points per game -Gonzaga has had an easy path to the Elite 8; every win by 12 points or more; big jump in class -offense faced three mediocre defensive teams; now they are facing one of the best in the country -Bulldogs defense has been worse away from home this year; allowing 5.1 points per game more 10* Play TEXAS TECH (+).
|
03-29-19 |
Houston +2.5 v. Kentucky |
|
58-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
-Houston quietly went 31-3 during the regular season; impressive in the tournament so far too -offense is shooting 36.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow just 33.6% shooting from 3 -Cougars defense allows 60.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that average 72 ppg -Kentucky is a very young team, and may be without their starting center; bad pace matchup here -offense is shooting 34.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.1% shooting from 3 -Wildcats defense has been worse away from home this season; allow 3.1 points per game more 9* Play HOUSTON (+).
|
03-29-19 |
Virginia Tech +7 v. Duke |
|
73-75 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
-Virginia Tech plays at a slow pace, so the matchup here is good; beat Duke 77-72 last month -offense is shooting 39.5% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.2% shooting from three -Hokies defense allows 61.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.1 points per game -Duke needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; won’t be easy to dictate pace tonight -offense is shooting 30.7% from three vs. defenses that allow just 32.9% shooting from three -Blue Devils defense was worse on the road this season; allowing 4 points per game more 10* Play VIRGINIA TECH (+).
|
03-28-19 |
Oregon v. Virginia -8 |
|
49-53 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
-Oregon took advantage of 2 easy matchups to reach the Sweet 16; stepping way up in class now -offense averages 66.4 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 71.5 points per game -Ducks defense faced inefficient offenses throughout the season in the Pac 12; skewed numbers -Virginia has yet to play 48 minutes of their best basketball in this tournament; happens tonight -offense is shooting 40.1% from three vs. defenses that allow just 33.1% shooting from three -Cavaliers allowing just 55 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.9 points per game 10* Play VIRGINIA (-).
|
03-28-19 |
Florida State v. Gonzaga -7 |
|
58-72 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 25 m |
Show
|
-Florida State comes in off one of their best games of the season; regression off that blowout win -offense is shooting 43% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.3% shooting -Seminoles defense hasn’t faced many fast-paced teams; allow 70 points or more when they do -Gonzaga had a tough matchup with an undervalued Baylor team; easier matchup here; blowout -offense is shooting 52.5% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow just 44% shooting -Bulldogs defense allows 30.5% shooting from three vs. defenses that shoot 34.9% from three 9* Play GONZAGA (-).
|
03-27-19 |
Lakers v. Jazz -15 |
|
100-115 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
-Los Angeles comes in off a home spotlight TV win last night; 3rd game in 4 nights in altitude -offense is shooting just 32.9% from three vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from three -Lakers defense allows 116.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.2 ppg -Utah is 7-1 SU over their last 8 games; in excellent current form; last night off; blowout coming -offense has scored 114 points or more in 8 straight games; trend will continue vs. bad a defense -Jazz defense allows 43.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that are shooting 46% 10* Play JAZZ (-).
|
03-26-19 |
Celtics v. Cavs +6 |
|
116-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
|
-Boston is 0-4 over their last 4 games; 2-5 their last 7 games; bad current form; no Kyrie Irving -offense is shooting 45.5% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting -Celtics defense has given up 114 points or more in 7 straight games; in terrible form right now -Cleveland comes in off an ugly 22-point road loss in Milwaukee; big bounce back effort here -offense is shooting 36.2% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 -Cavaliers defense has give up just 212 total points in their last 2 home games; in good form 10* Play CAVALIERS (+).
|
03-25-19 |
Thunder v. Grizzlies +6 |
|
103-115 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
-Oklahoma City is just 1-4 over their last 5 games; 6-11 their last 17 games; bad current form -offense is shooting 33.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 -Thunder defense has give up 566 total points over their last 5 games; bad unit all season too -Memphis comes in off an ugly 13-point home loss to Minnesota; big bounce back effort here -offense has scored 337 points over their last 3 games; in good form and facing a bad defense -Grizzlies defense allows 44% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 10* Play GRIZZLIES (+).
|
03-24-19 |
Ohio State v. Houston -5.5 |
|
59-74 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 15 m |
Show
|
-Ohio State was a surprise to make the tournament; win over Iowa State was an upset; run ends -offense is shooting 39.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.5% shooting -Buckeyes defense held a negative efficiency rating in conference play this season; bad sign -Houston quietly went 31-3 during the regular season; easy win over Georgia State; momentum -offense is shooting 37% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow just 33.6% shooting from 3 -Cougars defense allows 60.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that average 72.2 ppg 10* Play HOUSTON (-).
|
03-24-19 |
Oklahoma v. Virginia -10.5 |
|
51-63 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 27 m |
Show
|
-Oklahoma took advantage of an easy matchup on Friday; stepping way up in class for this game -offense needs to play at a fast pace; not happening here; 3-8 SU when held to less than 70 points -Sooners defense allows 34.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.6% from 3 -Virginia was terrible in the first half on Friday; they dominated the second half; blowout here -offense is shooting 40.5% from three vs. defenses that allow just 33.1% shooting from three -Cavaliers allowing just 55.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.9 points per game 9* Play VIRGINIA (-).
|
03-24-19 |
Buffalo v. Texas Tech -3.5 |
|
58-78 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 31 m |
Show
|
-Texas Tech has the goods to make a deep run in this tournament; great pace matchup here -offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting from the field -Red Raiders allow just 59.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.3 points per game -Buffalo needs to play as fast as possible to be their best; not going to happen here; bad matchup -offense has faced a terrible collection of defenses that allow 71.3 points per game; class jump -Bulls allow 74.3 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 72.5 points per game 9* Play TEXAS TECH (-).
|
03-24-19 |
Iowa v. Tennessee -7.5 |
|
77-83 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
-Iowa rallied in the second half to beat Cincinnati on Friday; unlikely they can repeat that effort -offense shot 54.7% (29-53) from the field and 50% from three (11-22) in that game; regression -Hawkeyes allow 46.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.8% -Tennessee struggled a bit with Colgate; that wasn’t unexpected; better matchup for a big win -offense is shooting 49.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.1% shooting from the field -Vols defense allowing 40% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 43.8% from the field 9* Play TENNESSEE (-).
|
03-23-19 |
Auburn v. Kansas +2.5 |
|
89-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 37 m |
Show
|
-Kansas beat Northeastern much easier than expected; facing a better matchup here; undervalued -offense is shooting 46.5% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.2% shooting from the field -Jayhawks defense allowing just 33.2% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from 3 -Auburn’s fatigue from their run in the SEC tournament showed late on Thursday; bad spot here -offense is shooting 42.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.8% shooting -Tigers defense allows 36.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.3% from 3 9* Play KANSAS (+).
|
03-23-19 |
Minnesota v. Michigan State -10 |
|
50-70 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 40 m |
Show
|
-Michigan State didn’t play their best on Thursday; already beat Minnesota by 24; big effort here -offense is shooting 48.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.4% shooting from the field -Spartans allow just 31.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.7% from 3 -Minnesota beat Louisville 86-76 on Thursday; they made 11 three’s in that game; regression -offense is shooting 31.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.1% shooting from 3 -Gophers allowing 45.1% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.1% from the field 10* Play MICHIGAN STATE (-).
|
03-23-19 |
Florida v. Michigan -6.5 |
|
49-64 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 5 m |
Show
|
-Michigan beat Montana by 19 points; that game took nothing out of them; another blowout here -offense is shooting 45.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.4% shooting from the field -Wolverines allow 39.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.3% from the field -Florida took advantage of a shorthanded and sick Nevada team; still fortunate to win; bad spot -offense is only averaging 64.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 70.8 ppg -Gators defense is good and they play slow, but their opponent is much better at doing the same 9* Play MICHIGAN (-).
|
03-23-19 |
Wofford +6 v. Kentucky |
|
56-62 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
-Wofford quietly went 30-4 this season; crushed Seton Hall on Thursday; dangerous team -offense is shooting 41.8% from three vs. defenses that give up 35.3% shooting from three -Terriers defense allows 65.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 73.7 points per game -Kentucky is a very young team, and without their starting center; bad matchup vs. slow team -offense is shooting 34.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34% shooting from 3 -Wildcats allowing 35.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.9% from 3 9* Play WOFFORD (+).
|
03-23-19 |
Maryland +2.5 v. LSU |
|
67-69 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
-Maryland beat a well-coached Belmont team on Thursday; different style of team now is better -offense is shooting 45.3% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.7% shooting from the field -Terrapins allow just 39.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.6% from the field -LSU shot the lights out in the first half in their win over Yale; struggled to hold on; overvalued -offense is shooting 31.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.2% shooting from 3 -Tigers allowing 75.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 73.3 points per game 9* Play MARYLAND (+).
|
03-22-19 |
UCF v. VCU +1 |
|
73-58 |
Loss |
-108 |
17 h 30 m |
Show
|
-Virginia Commonwealth had an excellent season; flew under the radar; dangerous team here -offense is shooting 44.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.2% shooting from the field -Rams defense allows 27% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 33.7% from 3 -Central Florida unexpectedly lost their final two games of the season; stepping-up in class now -offense averages 66.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 70.3 points per game -Knights defense had problems at the end of the season; gave up 146 points in their last 2 games 10* Play VCU (+).
|
03-22-19 |
Liberty +6.5 v. Mississippi State |
|
80-76 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 23 m |
Show
|
-Liberty lost 6 games this season; 4 of those losses came by 9 points or less; tough team to beat -offense is shooting 49% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.4% shooting from the field -Flames defense allows 60.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 71.3 points per game -Mississippi State had a down year based on their preseason expectations; 2-5 to close the season -offense was much worse on the road; shot 3.4% and 3.6% less from the field and from three -Bulldogs allowing 35.3% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot just 35% from three 9* Play LIBERTY (+).
|
03-22-19 |
Washington v. Utah State -3 |
|
78-61 |
Loss |
-102 |
14 h 36 m |
Show
|
-Utah State closed the season by going 17-1 over their last 18 games; terrific tournament team -offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.7% shooting from the field -Aggies allow just 39.1% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44% from the field -Washington likes to play at a slow pace while confusing teams with their zone; bad matchup -offense is only averaging 68.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 70.4 ppg -Huskies defense allowed 70 points or more in 3 of their last 4 road games to close the season 9* Play UTAH STATE (-).
|
03-22-19 |
Cal-Irvine +4.5 v. Kansas State |
|
70-64 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
-UC Irvine quietly went 30-5 this season; they have an efficient offense and a solid defense -offense is shooting 36.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.3% shooting from three -Anteaters defense allows 62.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 71 ppg -Kansas State isn’t built to win games in blowouts; play at a slow pace and rely on their defense -offense is averaging 65.8 points per game vs. defenses that give up 70.3 points per game -Wildcats defense has been a little worse away from home this season; 1.3% more from the field 9* Play UC IRVINE (+).
|
03-22-19 |
Oklahoma +1.5 v. Ole Miss |
|
95-72 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
-Oklahoma went just 19-13 this season; lots of close losses was a big reason for that; tough out -offense is shooting 44.5% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.3% shooting from the field -Sooners allow just 40.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.3% from the field -Mississippi built their record against a weak non-conference schedule; 2-5 to close the season -offense is shooting 32.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.1% shooting from 3 -Rebels defense allowing an ugly 37.2% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from 3 9* Play OKLAHOMA (+).
|
03-21-19 |
St. Mary's +4.5 v. Villanova |
|
57-61 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 40 m |
Show
|
-Saint Mary’s lost 11 games this season, but they’re in excellent form; 9-2 their last 11 games -offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.3% shooting from the field -Gaels defense allows 30.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35% from 3 -Villanova is household name now after recent championships and deep runs in this tournament -offense is shooting 43.9% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.5% shooting from the field -Wildcats allowing 35.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.9% from 3 9* Play SAINT MARY’S (+).
|
03-21-19 |
Abilene Christian +22 v. Kentucky |
|
44-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 5 m |
Show
|
-Abilene Christian lost 6 games this season; 4 of those losses came by 9 points or less; tough out -offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.9% shooting from the field -Wildcats defense allows 63.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 67.8 points per game -Kentucky is extremely talented, but they are also a very young team; bad matchup vs. slow team -offense scored 66 points or less in 3 of their last 5 true road games to close the season; bad form -Wildcats allowing 36.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.8% from 3 9* Play ABILENE CHRISTIAN (+).
|
03-21-19 |
Northeastern +7 v. Kansas |
|
53-87 |
Loss |
-112 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
-Northeastern closed the season with a flourish; 16-2 SU over their last 18 games; one loss in OT -offense is shooting 40% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.2% shooting from 3 -Huskies defense allows just 33.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three -Kansas is talented, but they are extremely young and will be forced into a half court game -offense struggles mightily in slow-paced games; just 3-8 SU when held to less than 70 points -Jayhawks defense faded down the stretch; they allowed 78 ppg over their last 5 road games 10* Play NORTHEASTERN (+).
|
03-21-19 |
New Mexico State +6 v. Auburn |
|
77-78 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
-New Mexico State quietly went 30-4 this season; they have a terrific offense and a solid defense -offense is shooting 47.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 44.5% shooting -Aggies defense allows 64.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 71.3 points per game -Auburn went on a strong run to win the SEC tournament; off that success, expect regression -offense is shooting 42.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting -Tigers defense allows 37.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.4% from 3 9* Play NEW MEXICO STATE (+).
|
03-21-19 |
Yale +7 v. LSU |
|
74-79 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
-Yale had a terrific season with 22 wins; loads of talent, including NBA prospect; very good team -offense is shooting 49.8% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.2% shooting from the field -Bulldogs allow just 29.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.2% from 3 -LSU had an unexpectedly good season; they pulled off lots of upsets along the way; overvalued -offense is shooting just 32.3% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.3% shooting from three -Tigers allowing 75.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 73 points per game 9* Play YALE (+).
|
03-20-19 |
Arizona State v. St. John's +2.5 |
|
74-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
|
-Arizona State played in the weak Pac 12 conference; mediocre team at best out of conference -offense is shooting 42.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 43.5% shooting -Sun Devils defense gave up 74.9 points per game on the road this season; bad matchup here -St. John’s comes in off an ugly 32-point loss to Marquette; 5 days off since; big effort tonight -offense is shooting 36.1% from 3-point land vs. defenses that allow 34.4% shooting from 3 -Red Storm allow 43.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.4% from the field 10* Play ST. JOHN’S (+).
|
03-19-19 |
76ers v. Hornets +2 |
|
118-114 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
-Philadelphia comes in off back-to-back wins where they scored 253 points; regress in a bad spot -offense is shooting 34% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 -76ers allow 114.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.5 points per game -Charlotte comes in off an embarrassing 18-point road loss in Miami; big bounce back at home -offense is shooting 36.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 -Hornets defense allows 34% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 10* Play HORNETS (+).
|
03-18-19 |
Heat v. Thunder -5.5 |
|
116-107 |
Loss |
-104 |
4 h 19 m |
Show
|
-Miami played at home yesterday; now on the road; 3rd game in 4 nights; bad scheduling spot -offense averages 105.6 points per game vs. defenses that give up 111.2 points per game -Heat defense allows 36.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 -Oklahoma City comes in off an ugly 22-point home loss; step-down in class; bounce back effort -offense is shooting 36.8% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 -Thunder defense allows 34.7% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three 10* Play THUNDER (-).
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03-17-19 |
Bulls v. Kings -7 |
|
102-129 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
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-Chicago comes in on a 4-game losing streak; 1-6 SU their last 7 games; in terrible current form -offense averages 105.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 110.5 points per game -Bulls defense allows 47% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field -Sacramento returns home off a 4-game East Coast road trip; taking a big step-down in class here -offense is shooting 37.8% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 -Kings defense allows 34.2% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from three 10* Play KINGS (-).
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03-16-19 |
Oregon v. Washington +2 |
|
68-48 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
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-Oregon will play their 4th game in 4 nights; off an overtime game last night; terrible spot here -offense is shooting 41.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 43.8% shooting -Ducks defense has been better at home; gave up 75, 90, and 73 points in recent road games -Washington lost their season finale at home to Oregon; playing with revenge; big effort tonight -offense is shooting 36.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 34% shooting from 3 -Huskies allow 41.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.3% from the field 9* Play WASHINGTON (+).
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03-16-19 |
Pacers v. Nuggets OVER 213 |
|
100-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
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-Indiana hits the road for the first of a 4-game West Coast road trip; expect a big effort tonight -offense is shooting 47.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting -Pacers defense allows 38.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.2% from 3 -Denver will conclude a 3-game homestand; terrible offense in their last game; big effort here -offense is shooting 48.9% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting -Nuggets gave up 118, 112, and 122 points after allowing less than 100 points; trend continues 10* Play OVER the total.
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03-15-19 |
Iowa v. Michigan -7.5 |
|
53-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
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-Iowa beat Michigan at home in a great spot earlier this season; played last night; bad spot now -offense shot 51.7% (31-60) from the field and 52.2% (12-23) from 3 last night; regression here -Hawkeyes allow 46.4% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.8% -Michigan comes in off a season finale loss plus they are playing with revenge; big effort tonight -offense is shooting 35% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.6% shooting from 3 -Wolverines defense allows 29.4% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 34.4% from three 10* Play MICHIGAN (-).
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03-15-19 |
Blazers v. Pelicans +8.5 |
|
122-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 41 m |
Show
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-Portland comes in off back-to-back wins where they scored 252 points; regress in a bad spot -offense is shooting 35.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 -Trail Blazers allow 37.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 -New Orleans comes in off an embarrassing 17-point home loss to Milwaukee; big bounce back -offense is shooting 47.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting -Pelicans defense allows 35.2% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 9* Play PELICANS (+).
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03-14-19 |
Kings +8 v. Celtics |
|
120-126 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
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-Sacramento comes in off a road loss in Washington; 2 days off since; bounce back effort -offense is shooting 37.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 -Kings defense allows 33.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 -Boston is returning from a 4-game West Coast road trip; beat the Kings by 2 points; bad spot -offense has been poor at home recently; scored just 92, 104, and 107 points in their last 3 games -Celtics defense has given up 356 total points over their last 3 games; in poor current form 10* Play KINGS (+).
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03-14-19 |
USC v. Washington -5 |
|
75-78 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
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-USC won yesterday as an underdog; 2-7 SU their previous 9 games; big step-up in class -offense was really struggling prior to yesterday’s game; scored just 65 points vs. Washington -Trojans defense allows 47% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44.7% -Washington was terrific all season until the last few games; great matchup; bounce back here -offense is shooting 46.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 43.4% shooting -Huskies defense allows 64 points per game vs. offenses that average 73.7 points per game 9* Play WASHINGTON (-).
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03-13-19 |
Stanford -1.5 v. UCLA |
|
72-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
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-Stanford lost their last 2 games of the regular season by a combined 6 points; bounce back here -offense is shooting 45.8% from the field vs. defenses that allow 43.7% shooting from the field -Cardinal defense allows 33.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35% from 3 -UCLA also lost their last 2 games of the regular season, but those came by a combined 36 points -offense is shooting 42.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 43.4% shooting -Bruins defense allows 39.3% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.2% from 3 9* Play STANFORD (-).
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03-13-19 |
Magic +3 v. Wizards |
|
90-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
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-Orlando comes in off a road loss in Memphis; 2 days off since; expect big bounce back effort -offense is shooting 35.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 -Magic defense allows 104.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.1 ppg -Washington just beat the Kings at home in a high-scoring game; lost previous 2 games; bad spot -offense is shooting 34.5% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from three -Wizards defense allows 117.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.8 points per game 10* Play MAGIC (+).
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03-13-19 |
Arizona -1.5 v. USC |
|
65-78 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
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-Arizona comes in off back-to-back losses; conference tournament new season; bounce back -offense is shooting 35.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 34.4% shooting from 3 -Wildcats defense allows 32.7% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 34.8% from three -USC is just 2-7 SU over their last 9 games; hard to just turn things on; in terrible current form -offense has scored 67 points or less in 3 of their last 5 games; facing a bad matchup here -Trojans defense allows 38% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.3% from 3 9* Play ARIZONA (-).
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03-12-19 |
Bucks v. Pelicans OVER 236.5 |
|
130-113 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
-Milwaukee comes in off a loss at San Antonio; offense was bad; last night off; bounce back here -offense is shooting 47.7% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting from the field -Bucks defense allows 37% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 -New Orleans has lost 3 straight games, including their last 2 home games; expect a big effort -offense is shooting 47.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting from the field -Pelicans defense allows 115.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.8 points per game 10* Play OVER the total.
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03-11-19 |
Thunder +3.5 v. Jazz |
|
98-89 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
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-Oklahoma City comes in off an expected loss in Los Angeles; 2 days off since; bounce back -offense averages 115.4 points per game vs. defenses that allow just 111.7 points per game -Thunder defense allows 35% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three -Utah is just 1-2 SU over their last 3 games; won their previous 4 games; bad form; overvalued -offense is shooting just 34.9% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.3% shooting from three -Jazz defense allows 35.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three 10* Play THUNDER (+).
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03-11-19 |
Raptors v. Cavs +9 |
|
101-126 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
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-Toronto played in Miami yesterday; 3rd straight road game; 3rd game in 4 nights; terrible spot -offense is shooting just 35.3% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from three -Raptors defense has given up 104 points or more in 5 straight games; in poor current form -Cleveland returns home off 2 road losses; had 2 days off to rest since; big scheduling edge -offense is shooting 36% from three vs. defenses that allow just 35.4% shooting from three -Cavaliers defense has allowed just 107, 98, and 93 points in 3 of their last 5 home games 9* Play CAVALIERS (+).
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03-10-19 |
Houston v. Cincinnati -2 |
|
85-69 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
-Houston hits the road off an easy blowout last home game win; playing into revenge; bad spot -offense scored 90 points in their last game; one of their best games of the season; regress here -Cougars defense has solid seasonal numbers, but they’ve played a weak schedule; stiff test here -Cincinnati returns home for their last home game; playing with legitimate revenge; big effort -offense shoots 37.8% from 3 at home vs. defenses that only allow 33.5% shooting from 3 -Bearcats defense allows 39.5% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.3% 10* Play CINCINNATI (-).
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03-09-19 |
Nets v. Hawks +4 |
|
114-112 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
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-Brooklyn hits the road for just the 3rd time since February 14th; terrible spot here; overvalued -offense is shooting just 44.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting -Nets defense allows 46.2% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% -Atlanta comes in off back-to-back losses with the last being at home; big bounce back effort -offense averages 113.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 110.8 points per game -Hawks defense allows 35.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 9* Play HAWKS (+).
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03-09-19 |
Oklahoma +7.5 v. Kansas State |
|
53-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
-Oklahoma hits the road for their season finale; 4-1 over their last 5 games; in good current form -offense is shooting 35.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.1% shooting from 3 -Sooners defense allows 41.3% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44.5% -Kansas State returns home off a big road win at TCU; overvalued in this spot; expect tight play -offense is only shooting 32.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 33.8% shooting from 3 -Wildcats defense faced Oklahoma’s offense 2 months ago; a lot has changed since; stiff test here 9* Play OKLAHOMA (+).
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03-09-19 |
Arizona State v. Arizona -1 |
|
72-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 57 m |
Show
|
-Arizona State will be playing their 3rd straight road game; at their in-state rival; terrible spot -offense is shooting 42.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 43.6% shooting -Sun Devils defense allows 75.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 74.1 ppg -Arizona returns home off an ugly blowout road loss; playing with revenge in last home game -offense is shooting 44.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 43.7% shooting -Wildcats defense allows 30% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 34.9% from 3 10* Play ARIZONA (-).
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03-09-19 |
UCF v. Temple -1 |
|
62-67 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
-Central Florida hits the road off a last home game revenge win; 4th road game in last 6 games -offense averages 68.2 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 70.1 points per game -Knights defense gave up 73 points at home to Temple earlier this season; bad sign for rematch -Temple returns home for their last home game; playing with legitimate revenge; big effort here -offense shoots 44.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 43% shooting from the field -Owls defense allows just 29.9% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 34% from 3 9* Play TEMPLE (-).
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03-08-19 |
Thunder v. Clippers -2 |
|
110-118 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
-Oklahoma City comes in off a spotlight win in overtime last night in Portland; terrible spot here -offense is shooting 32.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 -Thunder defense allows 46.4% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% -Los Angeles has had 3 days off to get rest and be ready for tonight’s game; big scheduling edge -offense is shooting 38.5% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 -Clippers defense allows 44.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 10* Play CLIPPERS (-).
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03-07-19 |
Northern Colorado v. Southern Utah +4.5 |
|
70-53 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 29 m |
Show
|
-Northern Colorado hits the road off back-to-back easy home wins; bad spot to be laying points -offense is shooting 44.9% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.3% shooting -Bears defense allows 46.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44.2% -Southern Utah returns home off back-to-back road losses; playing last home game with revenge -offense is shooting 36.8% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.6% shooting from 3 -Thunderbirds allowing 41.3% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43.8% 9* Play SOUTHERN UTAH (+).
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03-07-19 |
Fairfield -3 v. Manhattan |
|
53-57 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 45 m |
Show
|
-Fairfield opens their conference tournament against an opponent they just beat by 13 points -offense is scoring 51.8% of their points from 2-point range in conference play; good matchup -Stags defense allows just 33.6% shooting from 3 in conference play; ranks #1 in the MAAC -Manhattan just won as an 8-point road underdog; 2-5 SU their previous 7 games; regression -offense is shooting 40.6% from the field vs. defenses that allow 44.3% shooting from the field -Jaspers defense allows 37.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.5% from 3 10* Play FAIRFIELD (-).
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