01-24-16 |
Cardinals v. Panthers -3 |
Top |
15-49 |
Win
|
100 |
81 h 36 m |
Show
|
10* Carolina -3 Carson Palmer made some nice plays last week to beat GB in OT but they must now travel east to face the Panthers, who can run and pass and play solid defense. Cam Newton should be up to the task of facing the Cardinals and going to the Super Bowl.
|
01-17-16 |
Seahawks v. Panthers UNDER 44 |
Top |
24-31 |
Loss |
-108 |
60 h 26 m |
Show
|
10* under 44 We saw 3 of the 4 playoff games last week stay under this number. These two did play a game that reached 50 this year but the last 5 at Carolina stayed under. I hope to see 35 to 42 points and have it stay under.
|
01-09-16 |
Steelers -2.5 v. Bengals |
Top |
18-16 |
Loss |
-105 |
117 h 36 m |
Show
|
10* Pittsburgh -2.5 The Steelers seem to play well at Cincy as they are 9-3 in their last 12 in the Queen City. Big Ben to Antonio Brown has been a solid pairing this year and it looks like Andy Dalton will not start at QB. All we need is for Pitt to win by a field goal. Pitt 24 Cincy 20
|
01-03-16 |
Patriots v. Dolphins UNDER 47 |
Top |
10-20 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 44 m |
Show
|
10 under 47 I like the under as the Patriots are in the playoffs and wont risk another injury and this is a division game.
|
12-27-15 |
Panthers v. Falcons UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
13-20 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 6 m |
Show
|
10* under 47.5 These two played just two weeks ago and Carolina won 38-0. Atlanta has 0 vers, 9 unders and one push in the last 10 games. The last 5 in Atlanta has stayed under and we have seen close to 30% unders when playing the first of back to back division games. I like the under on Sunday.
|
12-26-15 |
Redskins +3 v. Eagles |
Top |
38-24 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 22 m |
Show
|
10 Washington -3 I like the visitors as Kirk Cousins has been hot as he has completed 72% of passes in the last 4 games. DEshaun Jackson hopes to beat his old team.
|
12-20-15 |
Packers -3 v. Raiders |
Top |
30-20 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 50 m |
Show
|
10* Green Bay still has to play Arizona and Minnesota but now they travel to California to face the Oakland Raiders, who are improved but have been up and down. Both Aaron Rodgers and his wide receiver (Rodgers) played college football for the Cal Bears in this area so they should be pumped about it. The Packers should be motivated after beating the Lions on a Hail Mary. Eddie Lacy has run the ball well lately. Oakland has QB Derek Carr and Amari Cooper but their defense is still #25 in the NFL and GB should take advantage and win and cover.
|
12-06-15 |
Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 43.5 |
Top |
39-42 |
Loss |
-102 |
38 h 46 m |
Show
|
10* under 43.5 We have seen plenty of unders in the past when division rivals meet this week in NFL action. I think we see a 21-17 type of game on Sunday.
|
11-29-15 |
Giants -2.5 v. Redskins |
Top |
14-20 |
Loss |
-101 |
17 h 34 m |
Show
|
10 NYG -2.5 I like the Giants to win by 7 behind Eli Manning.
|
11-26-15 |
Panthers +1 v. Cowboys |
Top |
33-14 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 9 m |
Show
|
10* Carolina The Panthers are led by QB Cam Newton who has played well and by a solid defense. Romo is back for Dallas but sometimes they play better on the road that at Jerry World.
|
11-22-15 |
Colts +5.5 v. Falcons |
Top |
24-21 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 58 m |
Show
|
10* Indy +5.5 Hasselback has proven that he is a decent QB as he will replace Andrew Luck. Atlanta has underachieved with QB Matt Ryan struggling at times. I like the Colts to stay within 5 points on Sunday.
|
11-16-15 |
Texans v. Bengals -10.5 |
Top |
10-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 47 m |
Show
|
10* Cincy -10.5 I like the Bengals at home as they are undefeated and getting great play from QB Andy Dalton and RD Gio Bernard. Cincy wins by 14.
|
11-15-15 |
Jaguars v. Ravens OVER 47.5 |
Top |
22-20 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
Jax/Balt #265/266 1pm 10* over 47.5 I like the over 47.5 in this game. Jax has played 6overs and just 2 unders with their last four allowing 28, 31, 31 and 38 points. The Ravens are off a bye and their 3 home games have all gone over. Joe Flacco and the Ravens are out of the playoff picture but can still put up points as the passing game is decent but the running game has lagged. AFC non-division games have seen 21 overs and 8 unders. Hopefully we see close to 50 points on Sunday.
|
11-09-15 |
Bears v. Chargers OVER 49 |
Top |
22-19 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 7 m |
Show
|
10* over 49 We have two QB's who can throw the ball to either team for scores Rivers and Jay Cutler are both gunslingers from teams that don't llok like they will make the playoffs but can put up yards and points on Monday night.
|
11-08-15 |
Rams v. Vikings -2.5 |
Top |
18-21 |
Win
|
100 |
120 h 59 m |
Show
|
10* Minnesota -2.5 The Vikings are a solid team that can run, pass and play good defense. They are 14-3 ATS in their last 17, 7-2 ATS as a home favorite and 11-3 ATS against a non-division foe. The St. Louis Rams are a good team at home but are just 6-12 ATS on the road. RB Todd Hurley has been good for the Rams but the Vikings are led by QB Teddy Bridgewater and RB Adrian Peterson. Look for the Vikings to win and cover.
|
11-02-15 |
Colts v. Panthers UNDER 46 |
Top |
26-29 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
10* under 46 This did drop from 46.5 to 46. Both teams have solid QB's but Carolina has a decent running game as well as a good defense led by Luke Koogily. I think we see a game in the low 40's so take the under.
|
11-01-15 |
Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 41.5 |
Top |
13-12 |
Loss |
-100 |
16 h 11 m |
Show
|
10* over 41.5 Thisjust moved from 41 to 41.5. Dallas will see that the 49ers struggled to score last week but the Cowboys are a decent offensive team at home on turf that is fast paced and Seattle has a decent runner and passer in Russell Wilson and Lynch to gain yards. over 41.5 on Sunday.
|
11-01-15 |
Bucs +7.5 v. Falcons |
Top |
23-20 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 41 m |
Show
|
10* Tampa Bay +7.5 At -115 we will take the Bucs getting more than a touchdown in a division game. Atlanta was off to a hot start but has struggled some lately. They beat Tennessee last week 10-7 as favorites of -4 but went up to -6. Matt Ryan has nice skills but seems to fumble or toss a pick at the most inopportune times. TB isled by young QB Jameis Winston, who won a title and Heisman Trophy at FSU. The Bucs have a solid defense and look to bounce back after a 31-30 loss at Washington in which they led 24-0. Atlanta may win but I like Tampa Bay +7.5.
|
10-26-15 |
Baltimore Ravens +9 v. Arizona Cardinals |
Top |
18-26 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
10* Ravens +9 The Cardinals are a good team led by Carson Plamer and have won earlier games by wide margins but the Ravens won the Super Bowl a few years ago under John Harbaugh and QB Joe Flacco (even though Suggs is out and Ed Reed and Ray Lewis are retired). I think Baltimore stays within 7.
|
10-25-15 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 45 |
Top |
16-27 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
10-25-15 |
Oakland Raiders v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 47 |
Top |
37-29 |
Loss |
-108 |
17 h 21 m |
Show
|
10* under 47 This is a rivalry between two AFC West teams and the Raiders have a decent defense. Look for under 47.
|
10-25-15 |
Buffalo Bills v. Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 40.5 |
Top |
31-34 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
10* over 40.5 Most places have this at over 41. Jax has played in London a few tiomes. I think crowds in London want to see points and this is two non-division teams battling with a low total set below 41. I like our chances for over.
|
10-19-15 |
NY Giants +5 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
Top |
7-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
|
10* NYG +5 Take the underdog in this division rivalry. The Eagles played well last week but Eli Manning has won two Super Bowls in the past and has lost some close games they could have won. I think we see NY stay within 3 or 4 points.
|
10-18-15 |
New England Patriots -7.5 v. Indianapolis Colts |
Top |
34-27 |
Loss |
-100 |
125 h 25 m |
Show
|
10* NE -7.5 This line may go up depending on Luck playing and being close to 100% but the Patriots will be focused playing the Colts who were there opponent last season when Deflategate happened. NE has some the last few meetings by 45-7, 42-20, 43-22 and 59-24. NE has won their last two games by 24 and 34 points Take the Patriots.
|
10-11-15 |
New England Patriots v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 49.5 |
Top |
30-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
23 h 50 m |
Show
|
10* over 49.5 NE is off a bye and has scored plenty of points trying to make a statement after Deflategate. Tom Brady has plenty of targets and the Cowboys will need to score to stay in the game. Hope to see 50+.
|
10-11-15 |
Chicago Bears v. Kansas City Chiefs -9 |
Top |
18-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 19 m |
Show
|
10* Chicago is off a home win vs. Oakland but now must travel to Kansas City, who has lost to some good teams like Green Bay and Denver. I expect the Chiefs to contain Jay Cutler, to run the ball and for Alex Smith to complete plenty of short passes. 10* KC -9
|
10-05-15 |
Detroit Lions v. Seattle Seahawks -9.5 |
Top |
10-13 |
Loss |
-115 |
45 h 42 m |
Show
|
10* Seattle -9.5 The Seahawks are at home and still trail Arizona so I expect them to play hard on offense and defense led by QB Russell Wilson. Detroit is overrated with Matthew Stafford at QB and lost Suh (on defense) to Miami. Detroit 10 Seattle 27
|
10-04-15 |
St Louis Rams v. Arizona Cardinals -7 |
Top |
24-22 |
Loss |
-100 |
20 h 54 m |
Show
|
10* Arizona -7 Arizona is 25-9-1 ATS over the past few seasons and led by QB Carson Palmer on offense. They are well coached on offense, defense and special teams. Larry Fitzgerald has spent less time promoted the University Of Phoenix online and put in more time catching the ball and trying to score touchdowns. Saint Louis has new QB Nick Foles over from the Eagles and he has struggled some. The defense is tough with Howie Long's son but they are a better team at home than on the road. I think Arizona wins by 10 to 14 points.
|
09-27-15 |
Pittsburgh Steelers +1 v. St Louis Rams |
Top |
12-6 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 11 m |
Show
|
10* Pittsburgh I think the Steelers have a better offensive game with Big Ben at QB, Brown at receiver and Bell on the ground. Pitt wins a close one.
|
09-24-15 |
Washington Redskins v. NY Giants -3.5 |
Top |
21-32 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 35 m |
Show
|
10* I like the Giants at home. The Skins are off a home win against St Louis where they were able to run the ball. They now go on the road and face a future Hall Of Fame QB Eli Manning, who has made some poor late game decisions. I think he plays well and the G-Men win by more that 4 points on Thursday night.
|
09-21-15 |
NY Jets v. Indianapolis Colts -7 |
Top |
20-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
31 h 57 m |
Show
|
10* The Colts are off a road loss and now play their home opener. QB Andrew Luck has shown he can win and cover games after a loss. A TD spread can be tough to beat but I like the Colts to win by 10 to 14 points on Monday night.
|
09-20-15 |
New England Patriots v. Buffalo Bills +2 |
Top |
40-32 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 36 m |
Show
|
10* Buffalo Take the Bills at home led by coach Rex Ryan and their solid defense. The Bills were able to beat Andrew Luck and the Colts last week and should have confidence vs. Tom Brady. The Patriot defense is just average so the Bills running game and Tyrod Tyler should gain some yards. I think the Bills win by a field goal.
|
09-14-15 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 54.5 |
Top |
24-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 46 m |
Show
|
10* over the total It is a lot of points but Chip Kelly's team went over in all their preseason games and has a fast paced offense that can run and pass to score points. The game is inside so the weather won't be a factor. Atlanta's Matt Ryan is solid as well.
|
09-13-15 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 45 |
Top |
14-27 |
Win
|
100 |
37 h 44 m |
Show
|
10* under 45 I think we see a game that stays under the total on Sunday. Rex Ryan was known for defense when he was with the Jets. Buffalo starts a young QB in Tyrod Taylor, who starred at Va Tech but has very little pro experience and goes against the Indy Colts and veteran signal caller Andrew Luck. This is the only game in the NFL that features two teams that were in the top 10 of defense last year. It does concern me that the Colts could send this over but I think we see 38 to 42 points and under on Sunday.
|
09-10-15 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots -7 |
Top |
21-28 |
Push |
0 |
30 h 33 m |
Show
|
10* NE -7 I think the home team plays well after Deflategate. Tom Brady is a future Hall Of Famer and the Pats have played well on Monday night. NE by 11
|
02-01-15 |
Seattle Seahawks v. New England Patriots OVER 47.5 |
|
24-28 |
Win
|
100 |
216 h 47 m |
Show
|
10* over 48.5 Both teams can score and it will be at a warm weather venue in Glendale, Arizona. QB Tom Brady is a future Hall Of Famer and Russell Wilson won a Super Bowl last year over Denver. NE should learn from the mistakes Peyton Manning and Denver made last year. Lynch is a solid runner for the Seahawks. 10* over 48.5 points
|
01-25-15 |
TEAM CARTER v. TEAM IRVIN UNDER 67.5 |
Top |
28-32 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 1 m |
Show
|
Sunday: NFL Pro Bowl Carter/Irvin 10* under 67.5 Past Pro Bowls have been high scoring games when AFC played NFC but last year's game was led by captains Jerry Rice and Deion Sanders. It is 22-21 (43 points) as they played hard to win. The rules favor the offense so there should be plenty of points. 87, 100, 96, 75 and 51 points were scored in previous years before last year. We can see a 35-31 game and still win with the under. Thanks and GL on Sunday! 10* under 67.5
|
01-18-15 |
Green Bay Packers v. Seattle Seahawks -7 |
Top |
22-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
95 h 18 m |
Show
|
10* Seattle -7 Seattle -7 is out there but some -7.5's are there too. GB has a quarterback with some health problems and they were just average away from home. Seattle beat GB 36-16 to open the season and only lost one game at home and that was to Dallas, who was 8-1 on the road. Seattle has a great defense, home field advantage, running game and QB Russell Wilson can run as well as pass. I think Seattle wins by 10 to 12 points. 10* Seattle -7
|
01-11-15 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Denver Broncos -7 |
Top |
24-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 10 m |
Show
|
10* Denver -7 I like Denver -7 as they have been off for two weeks to rest injuries and allow Peyton Manning some extra time to prepare. Manning was with the Colts and should bbe motivated facing his old team with the QB that replaced him. Andrew Luck has been solid for Indy, especially atat home but this game will be in the Mile High City where the Broncos were 8-0. Denver has a better defense as well. I think the Broncos win by 10 to 13 points so lay the -7. 10* Denver -7
|
01-03-15 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers -3 |
Top |
30-17 |
Loss |
-113 |
30 h 51 m |
Show
|
10* Pittsburgh -3 Pittsburgh may be without Bell at RB but their home field advantage should help them. QB Big Ben has been solid as he had six TD passes in two separate games and one was vs. this Ravens team. Antonio Brown has been a nice receiver for the Steelers. Baltimore won the Super Bowl two years ago but QB Joe Flacco has been inconsistent ever since. The Ravens won at Denver and then beat San Fran in that final game two seasons ago but this is a different year. I like Pittsburgh to win by 4 to 7 points and cover. 10* Pittsburgh -3
|
12-14-14 |
Dallas Cowboys +3.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
Top |
38-27 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 10 m |
Show
|
10-star Dallas +3.5 The Cowboys are the only undefeated road team and should be embarrassed for their bad loss at home on Thanksgiving. Dallas seems to play better on the road as Tony Romo is more relaxed, the O-line is solid and the running game is one of the best in the NFL. Dallas should be prepared after the Eagles ran all over them with second dtringer Mark Sanchez. Teams have struggled after playing the Seattle Seahawhs as they are the most physical team in the NFL and it takes a lot out of them. I think the Cowboys have a solid chance to win but take the +3.5. 10* Dallas +3.5
|
12-07-14 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Philadelphia Eagles |
Top |
24-14 |
Loss |
-115 |
16 h 43 m |
Show
|
10* Philadelphia This should be a good game. The Seahawks have to travel cross country but still have San Francisco and Arizona left to play again. The Eagles have been off since Thanksgiving after a convincing win over Dallas. QB Mark Sanchez has been good and RB Leshawn McCoy has been good. Sanchez has been hitting his targets and the Eagle defense has done its job. Coach Chip Kelly has the team running the ball and throwing it even without starter Nick Foles running the show. Seattle is the reigning Super Bowl winner and off back to back 19-3 wins with Russell Wilson playing well, Marshawn Lynch doing his thing and the defense almost back to Super Bowl level but I like the home team to win by a field goal or more. 10* Philadelphia -1
|
11-30-14 |
San Diego Chargers v. Baltimore Ravens -6 |
Top |
34-33 |
Loss |
-115 |
23 h 50 m |
Show
|
San Diego at Baltimore #457/458 1pm 10* Baltimore -6
San Diego is a solid team but has struggled on the road in early starts (1pm eastern is 10am west coast). They lost at Miami by 37-0 and lost their previous road game by 35-21 at Denver and are just 2-3 SU on the road while the Ravens are 4-1 at home with doulbe digit wins over Tennessee, Atlanta, Carolina and Pittsburgh.
The Ravens just won by 34-27 at New Orleans and have a nice running game to complement QB Joe Flacco, who helped them win a Super Bowl two seasons ago.
I think we see Baltimore win by 7 or more.
10* Baltimore -6
|
11-09-14 |
NY Giants +10 v. Seattle Seahawks |
Top |
17-38 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
10* NYG +10 The Giants played poorly last week and have many injuries. They are using plenty of youngsters but still have QB Eli Manning. They should be motivated playing the Super Bowl champions who are off a little bit after the Parcy Harvin trade and some complacency. I think Seattle wins but the Giants stay within 10 points. 10* NYG +10
|
11-02-14 |
Oakland Raiders v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 43 |
Top |
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 25 m |
Show
|
over 43 This could end 37-7 or 30-14 and make it over. Seattle is off a low scoring game at Carolina but others reached 52, 51, 46, 44, 53 and 54 while Oakland has played 31-28 with San Diego and 38-14 with Miami. 10* over 43
|
10-27-14 |
Washington Redskins +10 v. Dallas Cowboys |
Top |
20-17 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 0 m |
Show
|
10* Washington +10 The Redskins were able to win last week with Colt McCoy playing QB. There is a chance Robert Griffin 111 may be able to play but he should be rusty. McCoy played college football at Texas so he should be motivated facing the hot NFL team so far in 2014. The Cowboys have played well and led by QB Tony Romo and the running of Murray but this is the NFL and the underdog division rival should step up this week. Alfred Morris is a decent running for Washington and should have some holes. I think Dallas wins but the underdogs stay within 10. Wash 20 Dallas 27 10* Washington +10
|
10-26-14 |
Baltimore Ravens -1.5 v. Cincinnati Bengals |
Top |
24-27 |
Loss |
-109 |
15 h 39 m |
Show
|
10* Baltimore -1.5 This line was -1 most of the week and has moved. The Bengals started 3-0 but then lost at New England in prime time and gone downhill fast. An injury to AJ Green didn't help as he is Andy Dalton's favorite receiver. RB Gio Bernand has done OK but the defense has allowed an average of 31 ppg since the hot start. Balt 24 Cincy 17 10* Baltimore -1.5
|
10-20-14 |
Houston Texans v. Pittsburgh Steelers -3 |
Top |
23-30 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 42 m |
Show
|
10* Pittsburgh -3 The Steelers are off a bad loss at Cleveland and now return home to face Houston on Monday night. Mike Tomlin, the coach and QB Big Ben can't be happy with the offensive results and defensive coordinator Dick Lebeau can't be happy with the defense after allowing 30+ to the Browns. I think we see the Steelers bounce back and win byn 7 to 10 points on Monday night. Take Pittsburgh -3. 10* Pittsburgh -3
|
10-19-14 |
NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
21-31 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 44 m |
Show
|
under 47.5 I think we see an under as Dallas is off a win at Seattle. NYG lost at Philly and did not score. Both teams have solid QB's but their defense should not be surprised by what the offenses do. 10* under 47.5
|
10-12-14 |
NY Giants +3 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
Top |
0-27 |
Loss |
-115 |
23 h 7 m |
Show
|
10* NYG +3 Most books have this at +3. The Giants have played well after an 0-2 start and won at division rival Washington and scored over 40 in that victory. Eli Manning is a future Hall Of Famer and playing well and the defense is solid. The Eagles have many injuries and have scored just 11 TD's on offense. Chip Kelly is a decent coach and Nick Foles is good at QB but they do miss Deshawn Jackson at WR. NYG win by 3 10* NYG +3
|
10-12-14 |
Pittsburgh Steelers +1.5 v. Cleveland Browns |
Top |
10-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 34 m |
Show
|
10* Pittsburgh +1.5 The Steelers held on to win their first meeting after blowing a big lead. Big Ben is very erratic and Brian Hoyer has just a few games experience but the Browns used plenty of energy coming back last week. Pitt 24 Cleve 20 10* Pittsburgh +1.5
|
10-06-14 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Washington Redskins +7.5 |
Top |
27-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
91 h 34 m |
Show
|
Washington +7.5 Seattle is off a bye and defeated Denver in OT at home in their last game but lost at San Diego in their previous road game. Washington is 1-3 after a blowout home loss to the NY Giants. The Skins lost at Philadelphia 37-34 and then had to play an 0-2 NY Giants team. Eli Manning led the Giants to a nice win and NYG are now 2-2. Washington is at home and will have 11 days to prepare for Seattle, the reigning Super Bowl winners. Seattle must travel cross country as well. QB Kirk Cousins played well vs. the Eagles on the road but played poorly against the Giants. Seattle has a solid defense, running game and QB (Russell Wilson) but the Seahawks are not the same team on the road as they are at home in front of their fans. I think we see Washington stay in the game and cover the number. 10* Washington +7.5
|
10-05-14 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. New Orleans Saints -10 |
Top |
31-37 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
New Orleans -10 Drew Brees along with coach Sean Peyton in the Superdome are a tough combination as they are 15-1-1 ATS in their last 17 home games. The Saints need a win to keep up in the NFC South as Carolina and Atlanta are solid teams as well. Brees does miss Darren Sproles but the QB has won a Super Bowl and is a future Hall Of Famer. Tampa Bay won at Pittsburgh last week but I think they fall behind and lose by 14. TB 14 NO 28 10* New Orleans -10
|
09-29-14 |
New England Patriots v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 47 |
Top |
14-41 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 2 m |
Show
|
Monday: NFL 10* New England at KC under 47 New England played a 16-9 game last week at home with Oakland. Tom Brady is a great QB but has struggled so far this year. The last 4 meetings have stayed under and KC's last 5 Monday night games have gone under. Let's hope Brady doesn't go wild this week on national TV. Thanks and GL on Monday. 10* under 47 points
|
09-28-14 |
Miami Dolphins -3.5 v. Oakland Raiders |
Top |
38-14 |
Win
|
102 |
37 h 10 m |
Show
|
10* Miami -3.5 Miami has struggled lately but they are still a much better team than Oakland. This game will be played in London and start at 1pm EDT. The Raiders have lost 11 in a row that began at 1pm. Oakland starts a young QB (Carr) while Tanneyhill has had problems for the Dolhins but Miami has played New England and Buffalo in the division and should relax with a weaker team. Miami wins by 7. 10* Miami -3.5
|
09-21-14 |
Denver Broncos v. Seattle Seahawks -4.5 |
Top |
20-26 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 9 m |
Show
|
Seattle -4.5 10* I expect Seattle to bounce back after a bad loss on the road. Denver is decent and led by Peyton Manning but the Seahwaks crowd and defense should help the home team to a win by 7 to 10 points. Denver 24 Seattle 31 10* Seattle -4.5
|
09-21-14 |
Washington Redskins +6 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
Top |
34-37 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
10* Washington +6 The Redskins should have some confidence with Kirk Cousins at QB and a defense that had 10 sacks last week. RG 111 is out with an injury but Cousins should be able to make the plays. Alfred Morris is a solid runner for the Redskins. The Eagles do have a nice offense led by QB Nick Foles and coach Chip Kelly but I expect this to be a game to be a tough division battle that ends in the 20's. Wash 21 Phil 24 10* Washington +6
|
09-14-14 |
Seattle Seahawks -5 v. San Diego Chargers |
Top |
21-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 0 m |
Show
|
Seattle -5 The Seahawks have been a great team. They won the Super Bowl and then beat Green Bay 36-16 and now play their first true road game in quite awhile. Seattle has been off for 10 days while San Diego played Arizona in the Monday Night game, so they will have less time to prepare. Philip Rivers is a decent QB who played well bs. Denver last year but the Seattle defense should be able to focus on Rivers. Seattle's offense has a solid QB in Russell Wilson, RB Marshawn Lynch and Percy harvin, who can do it all. Seattle 27 San Diego 17 10* Seattle -5
|
09-14-14 |
Dallas Cowboys +3.5 v. Tennessee Titans |
Top |
26-10 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 13 m |
Show
|
Dallas +3.5 The Cowboys lost at home to the 49ers last week and played better on the road last year. The underdog is 40-15 ATS in the last 55 Cowboy games and Dallas is 9-0 ATS vs. the AFC. Tony Romo should make some plays and the running game should do enough to stay within 3 points. 10* Dallas +3.5
|
09-08-14 |
NY Giants +7 v. Detroit Lions |
Top |
14-35 |
Loss |
-130 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
NY Giants at Detroit 7:10pm 10* NY Giants +6.5
Yesterday, we saw teams that played poorly in the preseason bounce back and play well for the win or the cover. I expect the Giants to play well enough to cover in the early Monday Night game. The Giants started poorly in 2013 and never recovered. QB Eli Manning has won two Super Bowls and is borderline Hall Of Fame.
The Lions are at home and led by QB Matthew Stafford, Reggie Bush and Calvin Johnson. The Lions are a little suspect on defense so the Giants will have their chances. Look for the Giants to cover.
NYG 24 Detroit 27
10* New York Giants +6.5 ***Note: Buy up to -7 if possible.
|
09-07-14 |
Cleveland Browns v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Loss |
-115 |
72 h 30 m |
Show
|
10* Pittsburgh -6.5 May have to get this at -7 but there is a 6.5 out there. Big Ben has won two Super Bowls for the Steelers and they should be excited to get a fast start after a 2-6 opening in 2013. Mike Tomlin returns as Pittsburgh's coach. They beat the Browns by 16 and 13 points last year and are 18-3 SU and 13-7 ATS in the last few meetings. Cleveland has a new coach in Mike Pettino and will rely on Brian Hoyer at QB unless Johnny Manziel makes an appearance. WR Josh Gordon is also out for the visitors. Cleveland will use a tight end as a wide receiver. Cleve 13 Pitt 24 10* Pittsburgh -6.5
|
02-02-14 |
Seattle Seahawks +3 v. Denver Broncos |
Top |
43-8 |
Win
|
100 |
194 h 13 m |
Show
|
Take Seattle +3. Buy the extra 1/2 point if you have to. Peyton Manning is a great QB with plenty of weapons and has laready won one Super Bowl but did lose to New Orleans a few years ago.
Seattle has the better defense led by Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor in the secondary. Manning will need to get rid of the ball quickly and does have Thomas and Welker to throw to. And Knowshown to run the ball.
Seattle has played teams like Green Bay with Aaron Rodgers and San Francisco with Kaepernick and Carolina with Cam Newton. They have Russell Wilson at QB and nice running game led by Lynch.
It should be a close game so if Denver lines up to win by a field goal we get a pusk. The game will be played in a cold climate (NY/NJ area) so it looks to be low scoring.
10* Seattle +3
|
01-19-14 |
New England Patriots v. Denver Broncos UNDER 56 |
Top |
16-26 |
Win
|
100 |
96 h 45 m |
Show
|
under 56
This game is to see who goes to the super bowl from the AFC. The last meeing went into OT and made it into the 60's to go over easily. So far, 6 of the playoff games have stayed under as both Indy games were the ones to go over the number.
Denver can run the ball with Lynch and Ball while New England has had solid running action from Blount and that will use up some clock as the offenses will try to control the ball and keep the other team's offense off the field.
Surely we have great QB's that will put up points but all it takes is for one offense to struggle on a few possessions and we get an under. A 30-24 game stays under the number and so does a 27-24 game.
I think we see an under on Sunday with so much at stake. The total was at 55 but now at 56 at most sportsbooks.
10* under 56
|
01-12-14 |
San Diego Chargers +10 v. Denver Broncos |
Top |
17-24 |
Win
|
100 |
120 h 18 m |
Show
|
San Diego at Denver Sunday NFL 10* San Diego +10
Take SD +10 points. The Chargers are off a win at Cincinnati and have won 5 in a row. The two split the games this year as SD won at Denver 27-20 while Denver won on the road 28-20 so the cumulative scores are 48-47. Before SD won 5 in a row they: *lost to Cincy by 7 *won *lost at Miami by 4 *lost at Washington by 6 in OT
The break should help the Broncos and they do have a great QB in Peyton Manning but I am taking the hot team that now has a decent running game and solid defense.
10* San Diego +10
|
01-11-14 |
New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 46 |
Top |
15-23 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 34 m |
Show
|
under 46
New Orleans has played under in their last 6 on the road. They were successful last week due to a decent running game even though Drew Brees is a great QB but he has better numbers at home than on the road. SAeattle runs 55% of the time and has the #1 defense in the NFL. I think we see a score in the low 40's and under.
10* under 46
|
01-05-14 |
San Francisco 49ers -2.5 v. Green Bay Packers |
Top |
23-20 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 59 m |
Show
|
KC was able to win on the road at Indy on Saturday. Aaron Rodgers is back for the Packers but SF seems to have their number as we have seen with Alex Smith and with Colin Kaepernick at QB. The 49ers had some injuries but have Vernon Davis and company back. SF is well coached under Harbaugh and made it to the Super Bowl last year. In the past we have seen the Super Bowl runner-up struggle the next year but I like SF to win and cover.
10* San Fran 49ers -2.5
|
01-04-14 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Indianapolis Colts |
Top |
44-45 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 1 m |
Show
|
I like the Colts at home after they were able to beat the Chiefs two weeks ago in KC and only allowed 7 points. I like Andrew Luck facing Alex Smith in the QB battle. Andy Reid did step up with the Chiefs this year so I give him credit. The Chiefs are probably the better running team but KC only beat losing teams like Oakland and Washington in their last 6 and allowed an average of 30 ppg in that span. Jamaal Charles is a solid runner for the visitors.
I think we see the Colts win by a field goal and move on.
10* Indy Colts
|
12-29-13 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Dallas Cowboys UNDER 53 |
Top |
24-22 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
|
Go with under the total. Both can score points but Tony Romo is out and the Cowboys should look to run and use up clock. Kyle Orton looks to start for Dallas and he has very little experience. The Cowboy's defense will need to step up vs. a decent QN Nick Foles who played well in place of Michael Vick. The Eagles defense has gotten better and I think we see a game in the 40's that stays under.
under 53
|
12-29-13 |
Cleveland Browns v. Pittsburgh Steelers -7 |
Top |
7-20 |
Win
|
102 |
38 h 2 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh -7
The Steelers have been great agianst the Browns as they are 18-2 SU in the last 20 meetings and won at Cleveland 27-11 earlier. The Steelers started off poorly but QB Big Ben and RB Bell have gotten better in the last few weeks. Pittsburgh almost came back and won several key games but stnad at 7-8 with a chance to end 8-8 and a slight chance to make the playoffs.
Cleveland had an injury to their first string QB that started their downward spiral as they have been out of the playoff hunt even with Josh Gordon on their team. The defense has been decent but the offense has played poorly vs. Pitt.
I think we see Pittsburgh win by 10 to 14 and cover.
10* Pittsburgh -7
|
12-22-13 |
Chicago Bears v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 54 |
Top |
11-54 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
NFL Chicago vs. Philadelphia 8:30pm
10* over 53.5
These two have combined for 18 overs and just 10 unders as Chicago has 10 overs and 4 unders and here are their last 4 totals:
69 73 43 63
The Bears can score as well as give up points. The Eagles have reached 78 and 54 in its last two with their opponent.
Look for close to 60 points scored tonight.
10* over 53.5
|
12-22-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers -3 |
Top |
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
Carolina is tough at home while NO has struggled on the road with a 3-4 record. Brees is unbeatable at the Superdome but has lost at Seattle and St Louis in recent weeks.
Car wins by 10.
10* Carolina -3
|
12-15-13 |
Chicago Bears v. Cleveland Browns OVER 43.5 |
Top |
38-31 |
Win
|
100 |
61 h 50 m |
Show
|
Take the over.
Games between AFC and NFC teams have gone over 20-3 in the last 23 meetings. The Bears can score and allow points under coach Marc Tressman. They have forced the least amount of punts in the NFL. The Bears have a second string QB who is playing better than Jay Cutler was. Cleveland has nothing to play for and can go all out on offense.
I think we see a game that makes it to 50 points even if the weather is cold and messy as we saw last week with snow being prevalent at some locations.
My guess is we see a 28-24 final and over.
10* over 43.5
|
12-08-13 |
Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints -3 |
Top |
13-31 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
Take New Orleans -3 at home. The combo of coach Sean Payton and Drew Brees in the Superdome have been close to unbeatable as they are 13-1 ATS in the last 14. And they are off a bad loss at Seattle.
Carolina has played 8 road games and 6 of those were against teams with losing records. Cam Newton may struggle with noise issues in the dome. The Panthers did win by 1 at San Francisco and that was impressive and had to come from behind to defeat Miami.
Take NO to win and cover.
10* NO -3
|
12-08-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Washington Redskins OVER 44.5 |
Top |
45-10 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 5 m |
Show
|
over 44.5
This looks to be either 44.5 or 45. NFC vs. AFC games have seen their share of overs as we have seen 41 overs and just 13 unders in 2013 and the last 23 have seen 20 overs/3 unders.
Also, 11 overs/ 1 unders in the last two years when NFC East home team plays non-division team late in the season.
Washington's defense has struggled and KC started 9-0 and lost 3 in a row. Their defense gave up plenty of yards and points agianst decent teams.
The Redskins are just 3-9 SU but RG111 has gotten healthier in the last few weeks and should be able to scramble for extra yards. I think we see at least 50 points on Sunday afternoon.
|
12-05-13 |
Houston Texans -3 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
Top |
20-27 |
Loss |
-125 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
Houston just lost 13-6 at home and this has been a visitors series as they are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Jax has played well under Chad Henne on the road but now must play at home against a bad Houston team with Case Kennan, RB Ben Tate and WR Andre Johnson. The Texans lost to NE last week 34-31 but did show some offense. Jax has struggled at home with bad losses.
10* Houston -3
|
12-02-13 |
New Orleans Saints +7 v. Seattle Seahawks |
Top |
7-34 |
Loss |
-135 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
Taking New Orleans + points. The Saints are battling the Carolina Panthers for a the division lead. They could be looking ahead to next Sunday night but they are led but future hall Of Fame QB Drew Brees and solid coach Sean Payton. Seattle is without their top cornerbacks and Brees should be able to find Jimmy Graham a few times.
Russell Wilson is a good QB for the home team and the Seahawks are solid at home with their fans and NO has to make the long trek to the northwest to face Seattle. However, I like the underdog getting close to a TD.
10* New Orleans
|
12-01-13 |
Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets -1 |
Top |
23-3 |
Loss |
-120 |
40 h 10 m |
Show
|
The Jets have struggled lately with Geno Smith at QB but will be at home against warm weather Miami off their home loss to Carolina. Rex Ryan should have his team ready as they did beat New England and New Orleans earlier at home. The Jets do have a solid defense and the Dolphins are just an average offensive team.
NY Jets win by a field goal or more to cover.
10* NY Jets
Thanks and GL on Sunday!
|
12-01-13 |
New England Patriots v. Houston Texans +9 |
Top |
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 56 m |
Show
|
Take Houston + the points as they have the best defense in the NFL (statistics wise) and have played poorly this year based on injuries and QB troubles (mostly Matt Schaub).
New England is off a great comeback at home vs. Peyton Manning's Denver Broncos. I think we see the home team show some pride and stay within the number.
Take Houston + points.
10* Houston + points
|
11-24-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 45 |
Top |
11-40 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 42 m |
Show
|
over 45 points
We get a matchup between the NFC and AFC conferenence members and thses games have seen close to 75% go over. Indy has a nice QB in 2nd year Andrew Luck out of Stanford. Arizona has Carson Palmer, who has been up and down but has solid passing numbers and led by great receiver Larry Fitzgerald. Look for a game to reach close to 50 points and go over.
over 45
|
11-24-13 |
Chicago Bears v. St. Louis Rams |
Top |
21-42 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 40 m |
Show
|
Take St. Louis as they are at home and all we need is for the Rams to win by a field goal. Backup up QB Kellen Clemens has been solid and the St. Louis offense has played well recently. Two rookies (returner Tavon Austin of West Va) have come in and provided a lift for the Rams, who are well coached by Jeff Fisher.
The Bears will have a backup as well for Jay Cutler but Chicago is off a 5 hours and 20 minute game last week. Chicago does need to keep up with the Lions in the NFC Central but I like Saint Louis to win and cover.
10* Saint Louis
|
11-17-13 |
Washington Redskins +3.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
Top |
16-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
109 h 50 m |
Show
|
Red Dog Sports
Sunday 1pm
Washington at Philadelphia Eagles 10* Redskins +3.5
Washington lost at home in their opener and will be motivated to play the Eagles again. Philly is 5-1 ATS on the road but a poor 0-4 ATS at home this year and 0-11-1 ATS in the last 12 home games. Alfred Morris of the Skins has 250 yards rushing in his last 2 games and the visitor is 14-2 ATS in the Eagles' last 16 games.
Allso, RG 111 is better prepared this game after sitting out the exhibition and playing poorly in the opener.
I think the Redskins have a good shot to win outright but take Washington at +3.5.
10* Washington +3.5
|
11-17-13 |
Detroit Lions v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 45 |
Top |
27-37 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 1 m |
Show
|
over 45 points
Take the over as we get the NFC facing the AFC and this set up has seen close to 70% overs this year. Pittsburgh has struggled to run the ball and will have Big Ben tossing the ball all over probably playing catchup as Matthew Stafford has Calvin Johnson to throw to and a decent running game.
The Steelers played solid defense last week but gave up 55 to New England two weeks ago.
Look for over 45 to profit.
10* over 45
|
11-10-13 |
Dallas Cowboys v. New Orleans Saints -6 |
Top |
17-49 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 22 m |
Show
|
Take the Saints at home as they are off a bad loss at the NY Jets but had some key injuries, especially Jimmy Graham, who was not 100% and one of Drew Brees' top targets at his tight end position.
The Saints are 13-=0 SU and ATS at home when Sean Payton coaches. He did sit out last year due to Bountygate.
The Cowboys are off a nice comeback win at home over Minnesota. I expect to see Bress play well and for the home team to win by 10 to 14 points.
10* New Orleans -6
|
11-10-13 |
Oakland Raiders v. NY Giants OVER 43.5 |
Top |
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 57 m |
Show
|
over 43.5
This game matches AFC against NFC and we have seen 31 overs and 11 unders in this situation. NYG have Eli Manning and he has been better in recent weeks. Oakland's QB Terrell Pryor can run and pass. He is a threat to be intercepted as well.
I think we see a game in the upper 40's. Take over 43.5 which is available but 44's are at most books.
10* over 43.5
|
11-03-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans UNDER 44.5 |
Top |
27-24 |
Loss |
-114 |
33 h 56 m |
Show
|
Indy Colts/Houston under 44.5 (8:30pm game)
Houston is #1 in the NFL in yards allowed and the Colts are solid on defense and have 6 overs/21 unders in the last 27 games when the total is set at 49 points or less. The last 5 meetings have stayed under.
10* under 44.5 points
|
11-03-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Buffalo Bills OVER 40 |
Top |
23-13 |
Loss |
-107 |
3 h 29 m |
Show
|
Taking the over in this game. Buffalo has allowed at least 20 in every game allowing 35, 21, 27, 37, 20, 27, 23 and 23 points. KC is 8-0 SU and now faces a weaker defense with a bye next week. They should be able to run Jamaal Charles and let Alex Smith throw his short passes.
The Bills look to start backup (#3) Jeff Tuel as Lewis and Manuel are out but they do get CJ Spiller back. These two played a 35-17 game last year with Cassel and Fitzpatrick at QB.
Buffalo has 6 overs in its last 7 games and KC on the road played 43 points at Tennessee and 42 at Philly.
All we need is a 24-17 game to get over the total.
Thanks and good luck as I expect to bounce back after a losing Saturday.
10* over 40
|
10-31-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Miami Dolphins OVER 42.5 |
Top |
20-22 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 54 m |
Show
|
Cincy at Miami #303/304 8:25pm over 42.5
Most places have this at 43. Here are some numbers for this game that favor the over:
*The last 5 Thursday night games have gone over.
*Cincy has reached 51, 51 and 58 points in their last 3 games with their opponent. QB Andy Dalton has been solid all year long and so has rookie RB Gio Bernand and WR AJ Green.
*Miami is at home and averages more ppg in front of their fans. The weather should be warm in south Florida on Thursday night.
I think we see about 48 points scored and an over.
10* over 42.5
|
10-28-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. St Louis Rams UNDER 43.5 |
Top |
14-9 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 46 m |
Show
|
I like the under on Monday night. Seattle has a good defense and the Rams will be without QB Sam Bradford. The Seahawks are good on offense and can put up plenty of points but they can jump ahead and use up clock with their running game.
It is being played inside on a fast surface but I think we see a game in the mid to upper 30's that stays under especially if you can get 43.5.
Thanks and good luck to you!
10* under 43.5
|
10-27-13 |
Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
44-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
Take the under in this division game between the Packers and the Vikings. Ponder looks to start for Minny and can't do any worse than Josh Freeman sis last week. It's a short week for Minnesota. The do have 5 overs/1 under but have the running of Peterson to keep the clock running.
Green Bay offense can be scary under Aaron Rodgers but their running game has improved and so has their defense.
Look for the under tonight.
10* under
|
10-27-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers -1 v. Oakland Raiders |
Top |
18-21 |
Loss |
-117 |
18 h 20 m |
Show
|
This line is anywhere from Pittsburgh -1 to -2.5 and may have some -3's out there. Pitt is 2-0 in their last two games and scored 19 in each but allowed just 6 to the Jets and 16 to the Ravens. Big Ben has been playing well and tossing the rock to Heath Miller, Brown and Cotchery. RB Bell has been running the ball and had 93 yards on the ground recently. The Steeler's defense has played great.
Oakland has lost 3 of 4 and one was a bad home loss to Washington a few weeks ago when the Raiders failed to score in the second half.
Oakland is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after a bye. They have a young QB in Terrell Pryor and this Steeler team should exploit his youth.
The Raiders are a decent running team and if they get the ground game going they deserve to win and cover but I like the road team.
10* Pittsburgh -1
|
10-27-13 |
Buffalo Bills v. New Orleans Saints -11 |
Top |
17-35 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 16 m |
Show
|
Most books have this at -10.5 or -11. Buffalo will use Thaddeus Lewis, who will make his firsdt start in a dome. New Orleans has been deadly at home under coach Sean Payton, as they are 12-0 SU and ATS in his last 12 home games. He did miss last year.
The Saints are off a bye and lost at New England by allowing a late TD pass from Tom Brady. NO will be happy to get back on the field in front of their fans and their improved defense under Rex Ryan's brother (Rob).
Drew Brees is a future Hall Of Famer and solid. I expect we see a 33-14 type of game with the Saints winning and covering. Double digits are hard to cover sometimes in the NFL but I like our chances with New Orleans in this situation.
10* New Orleans
|
10-21-13 |
Minnesota Vikings v. NY Giants -3 |
Top |
7-23 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 47 m |
Show
|
Take the NY Giants as the Vikings look to use Josh Freeman at QB and he won't be 100% familiar with their system. Adrian Peterson surely won't be focused after the death of his child in the last few weeks.
Eli Manning and the Giants get a chance to win on Monday night and get their initial win vs. a team that usually plays in a dome.
NYG win by 7.
10* NYG
|
10-20-13 |
Denver Broncos -6 v. Indianapolis Colts |
Top |
33-39 |
Loss |
-106 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
I think Denver comes out focused after some comments made by Robert Irsay about Peyton Manning. The Broncos should be able to put up at least 30 point with their receivers like Wes Welker. Indy QB Andrew Luck is solid but still only in his sophomore season in the NFL and Von Miller comes back today. Denver wins by 10 and covers.
10* Denver
|
10-20-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Detroit Lions -1 |
Top |
27-24 |
Loss |
-123 |
15 h 33 m |
Show
|
This line is anywhere from -1 to -2.5. I like the home team as it will be the Bengals' only game in a dome. The Lions are 2-0 at home and average 35 ppg with their speed and the athleticism of Reggie Bush and QB Stafford. Calvin Johnson needs to step up at WR.
The Lion defense is led by Suh and they should be able to slow down QB Andy Dalton and WR Green.
Detroit wins by 7.
10* Detroit -1
|
10-20-13 |
San Diego Chargers v. Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 45 |
Top |
24-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 24 m |
Show
|
over 45
I have seen 44.5 to 45.5 but many books have this at 45. I think we see an over after San Diego played Monday night at home vs. Indy and played an ugly under that included strong defense against Andrew Luck. Jax is able to put up points with their QB and with the runing game of Maurice Jones-Drew.
SD does have Philip Rivers who can throw the ball to his own team and is usaully good for a pick 6. All we need is both teams at 23 and we see an over.
over 45
|
10-17-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +7 |
Top |
34-22 |
Loss |
-115 |
44 h 10 m |
Show
|
Take the home dog getting close to a TD. They beat Seattle 20-16 last year but lost 58-0 on the road. Carson Palmer is a decent QB and they have solid runners led by Mendenhall. The defense is led by Tyronne Matthieu. Seattle has played close games so far on the road while AZ is 2-0 at home with wins over Carolina and Detroit.
Hopefully, Larry Fitzgerald can play OK and not focus on promoting the UNiv. Of Phoenix. Look for a close game so take the points.
10* Arizona +7
|
10-13-13 |
Washington Redskins +6 v. Dallas Cowboys |
Top |
16-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
72 h 19 m |
Show
|
Take the underdog. Washington has covered the last 6 vs. Dallas and also covered the last 5 at Dallas. Shanahan is 7-0 ATS vs. Dallas (6-0 ATS with the Skins). The underdog is 32-11 ATS in Dallas games. The road team is off a bye and is 1-3 SU amd needs to win to stay in contention for the NFC East. Tony Romo is off a nice day vs. Denver but tossed a late int. to cost the game even as he had over 500 yards passing.
RG111 is from Texas and played at Baylor, in Waco Texas. He should be closer to 100% healthy off a bye and a win at Oakland. The Redskins allowed no points in the second half.
I think we see a 28-24 game so take the points.
10* Washington + points
|
10-13-13 |
St. Louis Rams v. Houston Texans -7 |
Top |
38-13 |
Loss |
-115 |
99 h 3 m |
Show
|
Take Houston at home at -7. Houston is 0-5 ATS and QB Matt Schaub has thrown a Pick-6 in 4 consecutive games. However, I think they beat the Rams easily on Sunday. The Rams just beat Jax at home and the games before that they allowed 35, 31 and 31 points. Houston should be able to run the ball with Arian Foster while Saint Louis has struggled to run except for last week's game when Zack Stacy did well.
I think Houston wins by 14 and covers.
Thanks and good luck as always!
10* Houston -7
|
10-06-13 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Miami Dolphins OVER 42.5 |
Top |
26-23 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 3 m |
Show
|
over 42.5
Look for an over as these two should both pass the 21 points barrier. Tanneyhill is a decent QB and Baltimore allows more points now they are without Ed Reed and Ray Lewis.
Look for 48 to 51 points scored.
0ver 42.5
|
09-30-13 |
Miami Dolphins v. New Orleans Saints -7 |
Top |
17-38 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 2 m |
Show
|
Take New Orleans at home. This was -6.5 but I still think -7 will win and cover. The Saints are 11-0 at home SU and ATS at home in the last 11 under coach Sean Payton. Drew Brees is a future Hall Of Fame QB and the defense is better under Rob Ryan.
Miami is 3-0 but has been outgained each game and should struggle to keep up with the home team even with an improved QB Tanneyhill.
New Orleans wins by 10 to 14 points.
10* New Orleans -7
|