09-22-13 |
Detroit Lions v. Washington Redskins |
Top |
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 13 m |
Show
|
Take Washington as the Redskins are 0-2 and outscored badly in the first half. I expect RG111 to play better at home against the Detroit Lions who are 0-16 at DC. Stafford and Calvin Johnson are good but Reggie Bush is less than 100% and the home team should be motivated. Detroit's defense is poor as they have given up 24 points in both games and stand 1-1 while Washington is 0-2.
Det 20 Wash 27
10* Washington
|
09-15-13 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 44.5 |
Top |
3-29 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 10 m |
Show
|
Under 44.5
These two did play a 13-6 game alst year as well as a high scoring game at Seattle. I think we see a focused game on defense as they look to control the division with a win here.
I think we see a 20-17 type of game.
SF/Seattle 20-17
10* under
|
09-15-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 47.5 |
Top |
16-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 23 m |
Show
|
Take NO -3 as they won last year at home by 41-0 and at TB by 7. They have a better QB with future Hall of Famer Drew Brees while Josh Freeman starts for the Bucs. Rex Ryan coached the Jets and they beat TB last week while his brother Rob Ryan is DC for the Saints.
I think we see a win by 7 points by New Orleans.
NO 24 TB 17
10* NO -3
|
09-15-13 |
New Orleans Saints -3 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Top |
16-14 |
Loss |
-105 |
23 h 18 m |
Show
|
Go with NO -3 as they have the better QB with Drew Brees. The Bucs lost at NY last week with Geno Smith, a rookie at QB and now face Brees who beat them by 7 at home last year. Rob Ryan is the NO defensive coach and his brother is Rex Ryan. He should get some tips.
NO 24 TB 17
10* NO -3
|
09-09-13 |
Houston Texans -3.5 v. San Diego Chargers |
Top |
31-28 |
Loss |
-109 |
23 h 7 m |
Show
|
Take the better defensive team on Monday night when SD hosts Houston. Matt Schaub is a solid QB for the Texans and they are well coached. Philip Rivers seems to make key mistakes and even though Norv Turner is long gone, Houston looks to win this by 7 to 13 points.
Houston 23 San Diego 14
|
09-08-13 |
Atlanta Falcons v. New Orleans Saints -3 |
Top |
17-23 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 56 m |
Show
|
Red Dog Sports
NFL
10* New Orleans -3 (1pm Sunday)
Sean Payton is back to coach the Saints after sitting out last year. N.O. still beat the Falcons 31-27 last year during a bad season. Back in 2011, the Saints won and covered all 8 regular season home games. They beat Atlanta 45-16 at home. They are 11-3 in the last 14 vs. their division rival and led by future Hall Of Fame QB Drew Brees. Back in 2011 under Payton they won home games by 17, 7, 55, 11, 25, 14, 29 and 28 points. Atlanta was 0-4 in the preseason but sat plenty of players. Hopefully, we see the defense step up after a terrible year in 2012. Take the home team to win and cover on Sunday.
|
09-08-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Chicago Bears OVER 41.5 |
Top |
21-24 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 52 m |
Show
|
Take the over 41.5 on Sunday. Both teams should be able to score in the 20 points range. Both Andy Dalton and Jay Cutler are solid offensive quarterbacks and the Bears will be without Brian Urlacher.
I think we see a 24-21 finalscore and over.
10* over 41.5
|
09-05-13 |
Baltimore Ravens +7.5 v. Denver Broncos |
Top |
27-49 |
Loss |
-110 |
35 h 5 m |
Show
|
Baltimore has found a way to win under QB JOe Flacco and coach Harbaugh. They have Ray Rice to run the ball and a decent defense even without Ray Lewis. Sure, Peyton Manning is great but getting +7.5 looks solid on Thursday night.
5* Baltimore + points
|
02-03-13 |
Baltimore Ravens +4 v. San Francisco 49ers |
Top |
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
138 h 19 m |
Show
|
Take Baltimore +4. I think we see a close game on Sunday. Hopefully, they line up with a field goal to settle the game so +4 will be a winner. Both teams have played well. Baltimore did defeat some great QB's along the way in Manning and Brady. The SF QB has won games but has only played in 10 games.
10* Baltimore +4
|
01-27-13 |
A F C v. N F C OVER 83 |
Top |
35-62 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 55 m |
Show
|
They play no defense in the Pro Bowl so I would suggest the over even if it is at 83. Hopefully both can reach 40 points and we get close to 90+ points.
over 83
|
01-20-13 |
Baltimore Ravens +9.5 v. New England Patriots |
Top |
28-13 |
Win
|
100 |
91 h 57 m |
Show
|
New England is at home with plaenty of weapons but injuries to their tight end and Danny Woodhead may limit or slow them down. Baltimore did stay within 3 last year. They are well coached by John Harbaugh and have a running game in Ray Rice, a solid kicker in Tucker and nice QB with experience in Joe Flacco.
I think we see a 7 point game.
Balt 24 NE 31
10* Baltimore +9.5
|
01-20-13 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Atlanta Falcons +5 |
Top |
28-24 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 32 m |
Show
|
#301/302 San Francisco at Atlanta 3PM Sunday
10* Atlanta +5
Take the home team. Matt Ryan has won over 80% of this starts at home. The conditions will be fine in the Georgia Dome. SF QB Colin Kaepernick ran all over the Packers last week with the option and with the Pack's defensive backs way downfield. I expect to see the Falcon backs to come up and play some zone and be prepared to see the 49er QB run with the ball.
The SF QB has played less than one season and has much less experience.
I do think Jim Harbaugh is a much better coach than Coach Smith with Atlanta but think we see a game within a field goal.
SF 27 Atlanta 24
10* Atlanta +5
|
01-13-13 |
Houston Texans v. New England Patriots OVER 48 |
Top |
28-41 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 39 m |
Show
|
Houston at New England 4:30pm 10* over 48
Take the over. We saw plenty of action on Saturday with lots of points as both sailed over the total. New England can put up points quickly led by the passing game of Tom Brady and his realm of targets at the wide receiver positon as well as running backs out of the backfield.
Bill Belichick has been an offensive genius and able to allow Brady to make the right decisions from the QB position.
Houston has played poorly lately but should go all out if the get behind. Matt Schaub is a decent QB with Arian Foster at RB.
I think we see 50 to 55 points on Sunday for an over.
10* over 48
|
01-12-13 |
Green Bay Packers +3 v. San Francisco 49ers |
Top |
31-45 |
Loss |
-125 |
33 h 42 m |
Show
|
I like Green Bay +3. They are well coached with Mike McCarthy and just won the Super Bowl a few years ago so they have experience. Aaron Rodgers is a QB who has experience and one of the five best in the NFL. He has Jordy Nelson to throw to. The running game is lacking buth they were with injuries some of the year. On defense, they have Clay Matthews and Charles Woodson, former Heisman Trophy winner.
SF is well coached with Jim Harbough. They had QB Alex Smith but his injury led to Colin Kaepernick behind center. He is a rookie and should run into someproblems on Saturday.
These two met earlier in Green Bay and the 49ers won. I expect a close game but the Packers to win by 3.
GB 23 SF 20
10* Green Bay +3
|
01-05-13 |
Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers -7.5 |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 37 m |
Show
|
Take Green Bay -7.5
The Packers get to play at home on Saturday night. They should be motivated after losing at Minnesota last week and giving up plenty of yards to Adrian Peterson. The Vkings are still without Percy Harvin at wide receiver and will need to count on Christian Ponder for throws.
Green Bay won a Super Bowl a few years ago with Aaron Rodgers at QB. I think he will do enough to help the Packers win by 10 points and cover the number.
GB 27 Minn 17
10* Green Bay -7.5
|
12-30-12 |
Dallas Cowboys +3.5 v. Washington Redskins |
Top |
18-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 26 m |
Show
|
Take Dallas +3.5.
I think we see a field goal game. Washington is playing well and won at Dallas. The Cowboys play poorly at home with all the pressure but have relaxed on the road. Tony Romo has Jason Witten, Miles Austin and Dez Bryant to pass too.
The Skins do have Robert Griffin III but he hurt his knee earlier and won't be 100% for running the ball. The Skins defense has played better and they do have Alfred Morris to run the ball.
Look for a close game so take the +3.5 points.
10* Dallas +3.5
|
12-23-12 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 |
Top |
13-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
85 h 31 m |
Show
|
I like the Steelers as they won at Cincy earlier in the year and hold the tiebreaker advantage in the AFC North if they can win. They dominated the first game with the Bengals and ran for close to 165 yards. Dwyer should do well on the ground and Ben Rothlesberger and Troy Palumalo are getting healthier and should bounce back from a loss at Dallas, where they led 24-17 and lost in OT. We did have the Steelers in that game and feel they owe us one!
Look for Pittsburgh to win by 7 to 10 points and cover.
Pitt 27 Cin 17
10* Pittsburgh -3.5
|
12-17-12 |
NY Jets +1 v. Tennessee Titans |
Top |
10-14 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
New York Jets at Tennessee 8:40pm 5* NY Jets +1
The New York Jets lost to New England in their last prime time game so I expect them to play much better against a team like Tennessee. They were facing Tom Brady of New England in that bad loss and now get Jake Locker tonight.
The Jets have shown they can beat aaverage to bad teams but struggle versus good one like New England and Pittsburgh.
Shon Greenem should be able to run and open up the passing lanes for Mark Sanchez. All we need is for the Jets to win by a field goal on Monday night.
NY Jets 24 Tenn 20
5* NY Jets +1
|
12-16-12 |
Pittsburgh Steelers -1 v. Dallas Cowboys |
Top |
24-27 |
Loss |
-107 |
64 h 11 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh at Dallas Sunday pick: Pittsburgh -1
Look for the Steelers to wuin and cover as the Cowboys have lost their last 9 home games ATS. I expect to see a letdown for Dallas after their 20-19 comeback after being down 16-10 last Sunday. They should have an emotional letdown due to the death of a player.
Tony Romo struggles to play well at home and Big Ben should be better suited for action after a home loss to San Diego last week.
Pitt 28 Dallas 21
Take Pitt -1
|
12-16-12 |
Denver Broncos -3 v. Baltimore Ravens |
Top |
34-17 |
Win
|
110 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
Take Denver -3 as Peyton Manning is 7-0 ATS/SU vs. Baltimore. The Broncos have won their last five road games easily. They last played 10 days ago and will have rest even with the cross country travel and the early 1pm start. Denver's offense and defense have bothe been top 5 this year.
Baltimore started the year hot but have struggled since then as Ray Rice has not had a great rushing season so far. Injuries to Ray Lewis and Ed Reed have hurt the defense.
Baltimore 20 Denver 28
Take Denver -3
|
12-10-12 |
Houston Texans v. New England Patriots -4 |
Top |
14-42 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 45 m |
Show
|
Monday 8:30pm NFL Football Houston at New England pick: 10* New England -4
Take New England -4 on Monday Night Football. The Patriots are a good home team led by QB Tom Brady and coach Bill Belichick. They are running the ball well and putting up plenty of points. They struggled to score vs. Miami last week and should be motivated tonight vs. the Texans. Houston is ahead of the Patriots in the battle for home field advantage in the AFC so I expect to see New England play well and cover the 4 points.
Houston 20 NE 31
10* New England -4
|
12-09-12 |
Detroit Lions v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 49.5 |
Top |
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
Take under as the weather will be close to 25 to 30 degrees with good chance of snow. 5 of the last 7 meetings have stayed under. Both teams are solid on offense but we will need 50 points to get beat.
I think we see it end in the low to mid-40's for an under.
under 49.5
|
12-09-12 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Cleveland Browns -7 |
Top |
7-30 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
Take Cleveland -7 as the KC Chiefs are in a tough situation as they won last week at home but I expect them to struggle as they go on the road after the death of a player. The Browns are an everage team but have a decent defense and should be able to win by 10-14 points.
Cleveland 24 KC Take Cleveland -7
|
12-02-12 |
Pittsburgh Steelers +8 v. Baltimore Ravens |
Top |
23-20 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh at Baltimore 4:25pm 10* Pittsburgh +8
Hopefully, you can get +7.5 as the Steelers look to bounce back today behind injured QB Ben Roethlingsberger, who has been out for several weeks.
The Steeler run offense has been decent as Jonathan Dwywe has been solid and their defense has be adequate even with injuries to key players like Troy Palumalo.
Baltimore is well coached by John Harbaugh and led by QB Joe Flacco and RB Ray Rice. I think we see Baltimore win but the road team stay within the big number in this rivalry game.
10* Pittsburgh +8
|
12-02-12 |
Arizona Cardinals v. NY Jets -4.5 |
Top |
6-7 |
Loss |
-104 |
69 h 41 m |
Show
|
Take the New York Jets -4.5 as our NFL Game Of The Year.
Red Dog Sports is 4-1 in NY Jet games this season. The Arizona Caridnals have had bad luck with QB's lately, as Kevin Kolb did not work out and now Ryan Lindley starts his second NFL game. Arizona must travel to New York to face the Jets in an early 1pm start. Since the Cards are located out west it will seem like 10am to them.
The Cards play the San Francisco 49ers next and will be more focused on a division team than the 4-7 Jets.
NY does have QB Mark Sanchez and they Jets will want to bounce back after a bad home loss to the New England Patriots and Tom Brady.
I think we see NY win by 10 to 14 points.
NYJ 24 Arizona 14
Take the NY Jets -4.5
|
11-25-12 |
Baltimore Ravens v. San Diego Chargers +1.5 |
Top |
16-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
Baltimore at San Diego 4pm San Diego +1
Take the home team to win this late afternoon battle. San Diego won last year 34-14 and should be able to win as a small home underdog, even with Norv Turner at the helm. San Diego is an enigma at times under Philip Rivers but the Chargers do have talent and the Ravens have several key injuries on defense, as Ray Lewis has been out for close to a month.
San Diego wins by 7 points.
San Diego +1 is our 10* for Sunday.
|
11-25-12 |
Tennessee Titans -3 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
Top |
19-24 |
Loss |
-130 |
21 h 33 m |
Show
|
I think Tennessee wins as they are off a bye while Jax has struggled at home being outscored by 31-9 (average) at their own place. Jax did play well vs. Houston last week but lost in OT so it could be a letdown after playing close to 5 quarters while the Titans are rested.
Take Tenn -3 or -4 as I expcet them to win by 10.
Tenn 30 Jax 20
|
11-18-12 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 |
Top |
13-10 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
Take the Steelers +3.5 even without Big Ben. Pittsburgh is 4-0 at home straight up. They have a solid inside/outside running game and even backup QB Byron Leftwich has good size and arm strength. He has been in the league for almost 10 years now mostly as a backup.
Baltimore is without Ray Lewis at MLB and their defense has gotten old. They are a solid home team but I like the Steelers to stay within the number. Baltimore won at home by 23-20 earlier.
Take Pitt +3.5.
|
11-18-12 |
Cleveland Browns +9.5 v. Dallas Cowboys |
Top |
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 34 m |
Show
|
Take the underdog.
Dallas is 0-6 ATS at home as Tony Romo seems to relax and play better on the road. Cleveland is an average team but can run the ball with Trent Richardson and should be able to stay within 7 points.
Dallas 27 Cleve 20
Take Cleveland + points
|
11-11-12 |
Houston Texans +1.5 v. Chicago Bears |
Top |
13-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
Houston should be able to run on the Bears and they only have 6 turnovers so there shouldn't be many easy defensive scores for the Bears as we have seen so far in 2012. Matt Schaub is the Texas QB and he has played well and Andre Johnson is close to 100% and with JJ Watt on defense the Houston team looks stout.
The Bears have Jay Cutler at QB and he should make a mistake they will lead to a loss.
Take Houston in a close game.
|
11-11-12 |
Detroit Lions -1 v. Minnesota Vikings |
Top |
24-34 |
Loss |
-130 |
17 h 38 m |
Show
|
These teams are going in different directions as the Detroit Lions are playing much better, Matthew Stafford has been playing well and had some recent 300 yard passing games while the defense has been staedy lately.
Minnesota may be without Percy Harvin due to an injury. QB Christian Ponder started hot but has struggled lately. He is a young NFL QB and needs to get more experience.
I like for the Lions to revenge an earlier loss.
Detroit wins by 7 and covers the small number.
|
11-04-12 |
Baltimore Ravens -3.5 v. Cleveland Browns |
Top |
25-15 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 39 m |
Show
|
Baltimore should be able to defeat the Browns on Sunday by 10 points and cover the small number. The Ravens are off a bad loss at Houston and should be motivated after the bye. They have a good runner in Ray Rice and solid QB in Joe Flacco. Cleveland won 7-6 last year vs. San Diego.
Clevlenad has failed to score over 10 points in games against Baltimore. The Ravens are without Ray Lewis in the middle but do have Suggs back.
Cleve 14 Baltimore 28
|
11-04-12 |
Arizona Cardinals v. Green Bay Packers OVER 43.5 |
Top |
17-31 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 3 m |
Show
|
over 43.5
Arizona has just one over but they will be forced to pass to stay in the game at Green Bay. I expect the Packers to score close to 30 as Aaron Rodgers has been hot in the last few weeks. Arizona does have John Skelton at QB recently and he has a strong arm and should throw 30-32 times. My guess is me see a 31-17 type of game that goes over.
over 43.5
|
10-29-12 |
San Francisco 49ers -7 v. Arizona Cardinals |
Top |
24-3 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 23 m |
Show
|
L ike SF -7. They are a big road underdog but have a better offense and defense. Coach Harbaugh has his team playing well as they have covered close to 65% of his games as coach of the 49ers. I expect Frank Gore and Alex Smith to play well.
Arizona started well but have lost some recent games.
SF 23-14
10* SF -7
|
10-28-12 |
New Orleans Saints v. Denver Broncos OVER 54.5 |
Top |
14-34 |
Loss |
-103 |
4 h 21 m |
Show
|
New Orleans has played OVERS this year and we get Manning facing Drew Brees. I think we see close to 60 points in this game with solid oofenses and QB's that will be in the Hall Of Fame.
I think both teams get to 28 for an over.
32-28.
over 54.5
|
10-28-12 |
NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys |
Top |
29-24 |
Win
|
100 |
137 h 59 m |
Show
|
SUNDAY NFL 10* New York Giants -1 (4:25 SUNDAY) We had a nice winner on Dallas over Carolina. New York won the Super Bowl last year and plays better on the road while Dallas plays better on the road than at home. Eli Manning is the QB for the Giants and he is one of the top 3 in the NFL. Look for the NY Giants to win.
NYG 24 Dallas 20
|
10-21-12 |
Cleveland Browns v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 45 |
Top |
13-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
96 h 50 m |
Show
|
These two played over 45 last year and both upgraded on offense with the additions of Andrew Luck to the Colts and Brandon Wheedeon for the Browns. Richardson may not be able to run for the Browns but they have a solid backup. The game will be on the fast turf in Indianapolis (RCA Dome) and weather won't be a factor in the dome.
I think we see both teams in the mid-20's and close to 50 points scored.
Cleve 21 Indy 28
over 45
|
10-21-12 |
Dallas Cowboys -1 v. Carolina Panthers |
Top |
19-14 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 24 m |
Show
|
Tony Romo and the Dallas Cowboys play better on the road than at home. The Boys won at the New York Giants to open the season and covered last week at Baltimore 31-29 (+3.5).
Cam Newton has struggled this year. They were able to cover with him last year but he has many turnovers.
Dallas has better offense, defense and special teams.
Dallas -1
|
10-15-12 |
Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers |
Top |
35-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 45 m |
Show
|
Take San Diego at home. The Chargers are off a loss at New Orleans last week and should bounce back at home. Denver does have Peyton Manning at QB but home field with Philip Rivers should be enough for the Chargers and their defense and running game.
I am not fond of Charger coach Norv Turner but like them anyway.
San Diego wins by 3 to 7 points.
10* SD Chargers
|
10-14-12 |
Oakland Raiders v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 48 |
Top |
20-23 |
Loss |
-109 |
85 h 25 m |
Show
|
Take over 48.
This game will be inside the dome so the wind/rain won't effect the passes. Matt Ryan is a top QB and he has Julio Jones to pass to and Michael Turner can pick up yards on the ground. Neither team has a strong defense.
The Oakland Raiders can allow points and can score with carson Palmer at the helm. I think we see 50+ on Sunday.
My guess is 34-20.
over 48
|
10-14-12 |
Dallas Cowboys +3.5 v. Baltimore Ravens |
Top |
29-31 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 51 m |
Show
|
Dallas at Baltimore 1pm 8* Dallas +3.5
Dallas is off a bye and they are 7-1 ATS off a break. The underdog is 9-2 ATS in Baltimore games and 22-4-1 ATS in Dallas games. Dallas just lost at home to Chicago but was able to win at the NY Giants to open the year.
The Ravens are tough at home led by Ray Rice and QB Joe Flacco but their defense is getting old and giving up some yards.
Tony Romo should bounce back after a poor game at home vs. the Bears.
8* Take Dallas +3.5.
|
10-08-12 |
Houston Texans v. NY Jets +9 |
Top |
23-17 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 48 m |
Show
|
Houston at NY Jets 8:25pm 5* NY Jets +9
Take the Jets at home +8 vs. Houston. I think Mark Sanchez and Tim Tebow will figure out a way to shine on Monday Night Football. Rex Ryan can motivate the team after a bad loss last week to San Francisco.
The Houston Texanas are a solid team led by Matt Schuab, out of Virginia. Coach Gary Kubiak has the team playing well on offense and defense as Arian Foster has plenty of skills.
Take the Jets:
NYJ 20 Houston 24
5* NYJ +9
|
10-07-12 |
San Diego Chargers v. New Orleans Saints -3 |
Top |
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
Take NO -3
I like for New Orleans and cover the small number at home. QB Drew Brees and will want to do well. SD is led by Philip Rivers and is 3-1 but lost to Atlanta by 3 TD's at home.
The Chargers' running game is average as Ryan Matthews tends to fumble and the Saints are 0-4 and most likely out of the playoffs but should put up enought points to win.
SD 24 NO 31
|
10-07-12 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Washington Redskins OVER 50.5 |
Top |
24-17 |
Loss |
-108 |
73 h 46 m |
Show
|
I like over 50.5 as the Redskins have played overs in 9 of the last 11. RG3 is Washington's QB and he can run as well as pass for points. Matt Ryan has been solid for the Falcons as they are undefeated and won 30-28 last week.
The Redskins defense is a little overrated and so is the Falcons' defense against the pass and run.
I think we see between 55 and 60 points on Sunday. My guess is 31-27 for 58 points.
Over 50.5
|
10-01-12 |
Chicago Bears v. Dallas Cowboys -3 |
Top |
34-18 |
Loss |
-125 |
28 h 29 m |
Show
|
Chicago at Dallas 8:20pm
10* Dallas -3
Take the home team as you can get Dallas -3. If it moves to 3.5 buy the 1/2 point.
Dallas lost at Seattle and so did Green Bay so that is not a bad loss. Tony Romo helped the Cowboys win 16-10 vs. Tampa Bay and should be comfortable being home again vs. the Bears. Chicago lost at the Packers and now must go to Dallas who should be focused. Jay Cutler has been controversial for the Bears at QB. He has talent but other players are not confident with him.
Look for Dallas to win by 7 to 10 points and cover.
|
09-30-12 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 44.5 |
Top |
27-10 |
Loss |
-104 |
4 h 50 m |
Show
|
Take over 44.5
The Bengals can score and give up points as they are led by Andy Dalton and receiver AJ Green. They were in a recent shootout with the Redskins.
Jax has struggled lately but does have Maurice Jones Drew on offense and did play a 49 point game with Minnesota.
Take over 44.5.
|
09-30-12 |
San Francisco 49ers +1 v. NY Jets |
Top |
34-0 |
Win
|
100 |
117 h 56 m |
Show
|
I like SF to win this game as they have done well bouncing back from losses in the past under Jim Harbaugh. They have a great defense, a decent QB with Alex Smith and RB Frank Gore. The Jets played poorly but won against the Miami Dolphins. We are 2-0 in NYJ games so far. QB Mark Sanchez has been shaky and Tim Tebow hasn't added much. Darrelle Revis is injured and out.
SF 20 NYJ 14
Take San Francisco
|
09-24-12 |
Green Bay Packers -3 v. Seattle Seahawks |
Top |
12-14 |
Loss |
-116 |
23 h 7 m |
Show
|
Take Green Bay on the road. I think they will relax and jump ahead the way New England did last night. Seattle is tough at home but we get rookie QB Russell Wilson vs. MVP Aaron Rodgers.
Green Bay has to focus on the running game and get Cedric Benson and others involved.
GB 24 Seattle 17
|
09-23-12 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Minnesota Vikings +7 |
Top |
13-24 |
Win
|
100 |
119 h 13 m |
Show
|
Take Minnesota +7.
SF is 2-0 after playing two marquee teams. They won at Green Bay by a touchdown and won at home against Detroit by a TD. They are led by QB Alex Smith who has improved greatly and the running of Frank Gore. WR's Mario Manningham and Michael Crabtree are good too. And coach Harbaugh has turned the franchise around.
Minnesota is 1-1 with a win and loss by a field goal (won over Jax at home and lost at Indy). QB Christian Ponder has played well and they have a good RB in Adrian Peterson. Toby Gerhart gets a few carries and Percy Harvin can give the opponent headaches with his running and catching abilities. Let's look at the last 9 home games for the Vikings:
won 3 Jax lost 4 TB lost 3 Detroit won 24 Ariz lost 6 GB lost 6 Oak lost 3 Den lost 22 NO lost 4 Chicago
Several losses but they have lost only one game badly and that was against the high powered Saints' offense. Let's look at the 49ers road games:
won 8 at GB won 5 at Cin won 1 at Phil won 6 at Det won 8 at Wash lost 10 at Balt lost 2 at Ariz won 2 at Seattle won 7 at STL
Their largest road win in their last 9 over the last two years was by 8 points.
The SF 49ers are now the Super Bowl favorites (along with Houston, Green Bay and New England) but things change in the NFL on a weekly basis. Dallas won at New York but was blown out at Seattle. The Patriots lost as big home favorites to Arizona.
I like for the Minnesota Vikings to stay within a touchdown as a home underdog on Sunday.
Minnesota +7
|
09-16-12 |
Detroit Lions v. San Francisco 49ers -6.5 |
Top |
19-27 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 6 m |
Show
|
Take SF as they are the better team and played great last week. They will be on soft grass and not indoor turf of Detroit's home field. The Lions have a slow QB who should be sacked several times and the 49ers have a solid running game with Frank Gore and Alex Smith has improved greatly.
SF by 11 and a cover.
|
09-16-12 |
Kansas City Chiefs +3 v. Buffalo Bills |
Top |
17-35 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
I like KC with Charles and Peyton Hillis running the ball. QB Matt Cassel should play well this week. Atlanta jumped ahead last week and the Chiefs don't have an offense for that.
The Bills beat KC 41-7 last year so the Chiefs should be motivated to stop average QB Ryan Fitzpatrick.
Look for KC to win by 3 but take the points.
KC + 3
|
09-10-12 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens -7 |
Top |
13-44 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 59 m |
Show
|
I like Baltimore to win by 12 14 and cover since they are at home and play great defense and have an experienced QB in Joe Flacco. The Bengals did well last year but this will be one of the best teams on the schedule and QB Andy Dalton is slightly injured and won't be 100%.
The bengals ahve a decent defense but this will be on the road.
Cin 10 Balt 24
|
09-09-12 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Denver Broncos UNDER 46 |
Top |
19-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
I like the under in this game. 46 is a high total for the first game of the season and the marquee game set for Sunday night with Peyton Manning making a return after sitting out last year with the Colts and moving to Denver.
The Steelers have played their share of overs at home at Heinz Field but now they head to the Mile High City and the thin air.
I like a game in the low 40's for an under.
under 46
|
09-09-12 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Chicago Bears OVER 41 |
Top |
21-41 |
Win
|
100 |
1797 h 16 m |
Show
|
I think we see a score in the 31-14 range that goes over. It should be warm in Chicago to start the year and the two QB's look to be Jay Cutler and Andrew Luck. With some "luck" both teams should be able to score and get an over in Game One!
Chi 31 Ind 14
Over 41
|
09-09-12 |
Buffalo Bills v. NY Jets -2.5 |
Top |
28-48 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 60 m |
Show
|
Buffalo at NY Jets Sunday (Sept. 9, 2012) NY Jets -2.5
I like the Jets at home and some -2.5's are available. The Jets and Bills both struggled in the preseason but the Jets were able to score 28 and 27 points in the two meetings last year.
The Jets were 6-2 at home last year as their losses were to the two Super Bowl teams (NYG/NE) and here were the wins:
beat Dallas by 3 beat Jax by 29 beat Miami by 18 beat SD by 6 beat buffalo by 4 beat KC by 27
Last year, the Jets were #5 in defense while the Buffalo Bills were #26. The Bills are 3-14 straight up on the road in the last 17 games. The Jets should come up with some surprises on Sunday after scoring just one touchdown in 4 preseason games. Don't worry too much about those games. This one counts.
The Bills did open with a win at Kansas City last year and beat Tebow's Denver team in Buffalo last year. This is the home opener for the Jets and a division game so it will be important. I expect the Jets to win by 3 or more and cover the small number.
New York Jets -2.5
|
02-05-12 |
NY Giants v. New England Patriots UNDER 54 |
Top |
21-17 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 5 m |
Show
|
UNDER 54
It was 55 last week but I still like the under. These two played a low scoring Super Bowl a few years ago that had 31 points and earlier got to 44 points as all the points were in the 2nd half.
Look for more running than you would think and some early punts.
Take UNDER!
|
01-29-12 |
A F C v. N F C OVER 72 |
Top |
59-41 |
Win
|
100 |
125 h 12 m |
Show
|
The last game was 55-41 as these teams play no defense as they don't allow blitzing. 3 of the last 4 pro bowls have gone over this number which is high at 72. NE and the NYG players will not be there but there should be lots of fireworks!
over 72
|
01-22-12 |
Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots -7 |
Top |
20-23 |
Loss |
-100 |
15 h 37 m |
Show
|
NE is tough at home and face the Ravens on their home field. I like the Pats to score in the 30 range with their tight ends and Wes Welker. The Ravens were at home earlier vs. Houston.
NE wins by 10 to 14 and covers!
|
01-14-12 |
New Orleans Saints -3 v. San Francisco 49ers |
Top |
32-36 |
Loss |
-135 |
74 h 15 m |
Show
|
Look for Drew Brees and company to play well and win by 7. The QB edge goes to NO as Alex Smith is just an average signal caller for the 49ers.
Harbaugh has done a solid job for SF but the Saints have been there before.
NO -3
|
01-08-12 |
Pittsburgh Steelers -8 v. Denver Broncos |
Top |
23-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
72 h 58 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh is used to playing playoff games. They have a solid coach, defense, special teams and QB Ben Rothlensberger. Big Ben won't be 100% be he is smart and even batch would create problems for Denver who will struggle to score. I like the Steelers to win by 10+ and cover this number!
|
01-01-12 |
Dallas Cowboys v. NY Giants -2.5 |
Top |
14-31 |
Win
|
100 |
92 h 44 m |
Show
|
The Biants won earlier at Dallas after falling behind early. Tony Romo sat most of the Eagles game at home. New York hasn't played great at home but did beat the Jets in their last game. I think Eli Manning steps up and leads the G-Men to the win and cover.
|
12-19-11 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. San Francisco 49ers -3 |
Top |
3-20 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 12 m |
Show
|
Look for SF to win and cover as SF is coached by one Harbaugh brother and he will be doing his brother (of Baltimore) a favor with a win. Big Ben is injured and won't be 100%. SF has shown to be a tough home team. SF 49ers by 7 to 10 and a cover.
|
12-18-11 |
Detroit Lions v. Oakland Raiders OVER 47.5 |
Top |
28-27 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 25 m |
Show
|
Both teams can score points. I think we see a game in the 31-28 range that gets to 50+. Oakland can run and Detroit's Matthew Stafford has done well in the passing game. Take the over on Sunday.
|
12-18-11 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Chicago Bears -3.5 |
|
38-14 |
Loss |
-105 |
26 h 42 m |
Show
|
I like the Bears at home as they are still in the hunt for the playoffs and the Seahawks are off a MOnday night game. The Bears lost a close 3 point game at Denver last week and I think they bounce back and win by 7 or more.
Chi 24 Seattle 16
|
12-11-11 |
Chicago Bears v. Denver Broncos UNDER 36 |
Top |
10-13 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
Look for a game in the 17-14 range that stays under. Denver runs the ball to use up clock with Tebow and McGahee. Chi and Denver both have good defenses.
Take the under today!
|
12-11-11 |
Atlanta Falcons -1.5 v. Carolina Panthers |
Top |
31-23 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 25 m |
Show
|
Atlanta has scored 31 points vs. Carolina in the last 3 meetings. Their QB is Matt Ryan and he has more experience than Cam Newton who had 3 int's and 0 TD's in Carolina's 31-17 loss last month. Take Atlanta as our GOM!
|
12-05-11 |
San Diego Chargers v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 39.5 |
Top |
38-14 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
Take the under as Jax has the 5th best defense in the NFL and the Chargers' QB Philip Rivers has struggled. Look for a game below 40 points tonight and under.
|
12-04-11 |
NY Jets v. Washington Redskins OVER 38.5 |
|
34-19 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 52 m |
Show
|
NY Jets have overs in 23 of the last 32 games as they allow more points than you would expect. Redskins have overs in last 2 and are able to run the ball and Grossman is a decent passer. I think both get to 20 and see a game in the 40's and an over.
|
12-04-11 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 |
Top |
7-35 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 13 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh already won at Cincy 3 weeks ago by 7 points. Rookie QB Andy Dalton has done well as the Bengal signal caller but the Steelers will be prepared as they just had a bye week while Cincy played Pitt, Baltimore and Cleveland, all division team and are banged up. The Bengals have lost to 4 winning teams and their schedule has been weak as the record for their wins agianst teams is just 16-39.
I like Pittsbugh by 14.
|
11-27-11 |
Houston Texans -3.5 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
Top |
20-13 |
Win
|
100 |
96 h 6 m |
Show
|
Houston is on the road buth they are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games and playing well as they have the top defense in the NFL and one of the top offesnes along with Green Bay. They have 14 takeaways in the last 5 games and have created a winning style.
Jax is solid but will struggle to keep within 7 of the Texans.
Take Houston as our Game Of The Year.
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