Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-13-19 | Pistons v. Heat -1.5 | 74-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Heat -1.5) I’m a little surprised the number here is so low, but I think it has a lot to do with how overvalued the Pistons are given their recent success both SU and ATS. Detroit is both 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 and had covered 5 straight before a 28-point loss at Brooklyn on Monday. I also think some of value here stems from Miami coming off a disappointing loss at home to the Raptors by 21, as Toronto played that game without their best player in Khawi Leonard. I just think Miami let their guard down and more than anything the Raptors just had one of those nights shooting that there’s not a lot you can do. Toronto shot 57% from the field and were 53% from deep, tying a team record with 21-made 3-pointers. Prior to that Miami had won 4 straight and were 5-1 ATS over their previous 6. This is a team that I think is still flying under the radar. The other big thing is rest. While the Pistons won’t be playing a back-to-back, this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. The Heat on the other hand will be playing on a full 2 days of rest and only their 4th game in the last 9 days. Give me Miami -1.5! |
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03-13-19 | Magic v. Wizards -2.5 | 90-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards laying the short number at home against the Magic. Washington continues to get no love from the books and that's evident by the fact that they have covered 5 straight. Magic caught the eye of a lot of people with how well they payed going into the All-Star break, but they are just 4-5 since returning and have lost 3 of 4, failing to cover in all 4 games. Washington is 11-2 ATS last 13 home games after 2 straight games with a combined scored of 215 or more, while the Magic are 0-5 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road. Give me the Wizards -2.5! |
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03-12-19 | Blazers -2 v. Clippers | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -2) I'll take my chances here with Portland as a small road favorite against the Clippers. This one comes down to rest. The Blazers have quietly been playing some great basketball over the last couple of months, but just don't get talked about all that much, which definitely plays into the line value. They just won 5 of 7 on their last road trip and will be playing here on a full 2 days of rest. Clippers are hot, but will be playing on no rest and 3rd in 4 days. Give me the Blazers -2! |
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03-12-19 | Spurs -5 v. Mavs | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Spurs -5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio as a small road favorite against the Mavs. Star point guard Luka Donic has been downgraded to questionable with a knee sprain and with Dallas having little to nothing to play for, I would be shocked if they risked playing him in this one. Either way, I don't see the Mavs being able to keep this close. They have lost 5 straight and 10 of their last 11 overall. Spurs have won 5 straight and covered 4 of 5. Give me San Antonio -5! |
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03-12-19 | Bucks v. Pelicans +10.5 | Top | 130-113 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
50* NBA UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE MONTH (Pelicans +10.5) I'll take my chances here with New Orleans as a double-digit dog at home against the Bucks. I just think the number here is way too much for Milwaukee to be laying on the road. Bucks have not played well away from home of late (lost 3 straight). They also really don't have a ton to play for right now, as they sit 2.5-games up in the East. I also think the line here is being inflated some for the injuries to Pelicans guards E'Twaun Moore and Jrue Holiday, but Frank Jackson has been balling in Holiday's absence. I don't think it's out of the question the Pelicans win this one outright. Give me New Orleans +10.5! |
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03-11-19 | Celtics -2 v. Clippers | 115-140 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics -2) I'll take my chances here with Boston laying a short number on the road against the Clippers. This isn't just another game for the Celtics. Last time these two teams played Boston blew a 28-point lead in a 11-point loss at home. Those are the games you don't forget about and I pretty confident the Celtics lay one on the Clippers. Boston has won 3 straight, all on the road, including a blowout win at Golden State. Clippers have won 4 straight, but their only win against a current playoff team since that win over Boston is last time out against OKC, who has been playing their worst basketball of the season. Give me the Celtics -2! |
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03-11-19 | Kings -1 v. Wizards | Top | 115-121 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -1) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento getting a road win over the Wizards. The Kings come in off a win at New York and need to get going if they want to have a realistic shot at catching the Spurs for the 8th and final spot in the Western Conference. I know Sacramento is just 3-6 in their last 9 games, but all 6 of the losses came by 7 or less and 4 of those were against the Nuggets, Warriors, Celtics and Bucks. Washington is just 5-10 in their last 15 and those 5 wins have come against the Cavs, Bulls, Nets, Wolves and Mavs. Give me the Kings -1! |
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03-10-19 | Bucks v. Spurs -1.5 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Spurs -1.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio at basically a pick'em at home against the Bucks. The Spurs are an elite team when playing at home. San Antonio has won 7 straight games at home and are 25-7 at home on the season. They also come in having won 4 straight and a big reason they are back on track is Derrick White is back healthy and playing well. Spurs last played on Wednesday, so they are on a full 3 days of rest. Bucks are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and have struggled on the road of late. Milwaukee did win the first meeting, but the Spurs are 8-1 ATS last 9 at home when revenging a same season loss. Give me San Antonio -1.5! |
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03-10-19 | Raptors v. Heat +1 | Top | 125-104 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF TH MONTH (Heat +1) I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami at basically a pick'em. Heat have won 4 straight and are a team that I really like to stay hot down the stretch. Miami didn't have one of their better players in Dragic until after the All-Star break and he's just rounding into form. He's only played 19 games (14 starts) and is now second on the team in scoring at 15.1 ppg. Toronto is the better team in most scenarios, but the Raptors are sitting their best player in Kawhi Leonard and are simply getting too much respect with him not available. Give me Miami +1! |
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03-09-19 | Wizards +7 v. Wolves | 130-135 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +7) I'll take my chances with the Wizards as a decently priced road dog against the Timberwolves. I think we are getting value here with Washington because they are playing the second game of a back-to-back. Nothing new, as the books have routinely undervalued this team in this spot. Wizards are 5-1 ATS last 6 playin on 0 days rest. Minnesota on the other hand, has had 2 days off and you would think would be better off, but they are 1-7 ATS last 8 when playing with 2 days of rest. Give me the Wizards +7! |
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03-08-19 | Pistons v. Bulls +4 | Top | 112-104 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
50* NBA CENTRAL DIV GAME OF THE MONTH (Bulls +4) I'll gladly take my chances here with Chicago as a home dog against the Pistons. Bulls get no love because of their 19-47 record, but they are playing their best basketball of the season right now. Chicago just beat the 76ers 108-107 at home as a similarly priced 3.5-point dog and are 6-3 in their last 9 overall. Detroit has won and covered a bunch, but this a big flat spot for the Pistons. Detroit will host the Bulls on Sunday as these two play a home-and-home. GIve me the Bulls +4! |
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03-08-19 | Jazz -4.5 v. Grizzlies | 104-114 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Jazz -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Utah covering the small number on the road against the Grizzlies. I just think Memphis is getting a little too much respect here. I was on the Grizzlies in their win over the Blazers on Tuesday, but that was more of a fade of Portland than it was a play on Memphis. Even with that win they are just 6-10 in their last 16 and the other 5 wins were all against non-playoff teams. Utah will be without Rubio and Neto, but Mitchell can run the point and has done so effectively this season. I don't think this is close at all. Give me the Jazz -4.5! |
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03-07-19 | Thunder v. Blazers -3.5 | 129-121 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland covering the small number at home against the Thunder. The Blazers have really been playing well of late. Portland just went 5-2 on a 7-game road trip that includes wins at both Philadelphia and Boston, as well as a mere 2-point loss at Toronto. OKC on the other hand is trying to work out of a slump, as the Thunder are just 2-6 SU and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games. Paul George missed a chunk of those games and while he returned against the Timberwolves on Tuesday, he didn't shoot well and figures to take a few games to get back into that MVP form. Give me the Blazers -3.5! |
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03-06-19 | Knicks v. Suns -4 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns -4) I'll take my chances here with Phoenix laying a short number at home against the Knicks. There's not many teams I wouldn't feel pretty good about laying just 4-points at home against New York. I really like it with how well the Suns have been playing. Phoenix has won 3 of their last 4 and all 3 came as underdogs of 7 points or more. The effort and energy has really been there since the All-Star break and I'm willing to bank they show up and win this one without much problem. Give me the Suns -4! |
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03-06-19 | Wolves v. Pistons -5 | 114-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pistons -5) Just a little over a month ago the Pistons were sitting at 22-29. Starting with a blowout win over the Nuggets at home, Detroit has gone 9-2 over their last 11 to get back to .500 at 31-31. With a win over the Timberwolves, they will have a winning record for the first time since they were 13-12 way back in early December. They just beat the Raptors at home in their most recent game and their only two losses during this stretch have come on the road against the Celtics and Spurs. Not only will the be motivated to get above .500, but every game is crucial for this team down the stretch. While Detroit is sitting 6th, they are just 2.5-games ahead of both the Magic, Hornets and Heat, who are all tied for the 8th and final playoff spot. I expect a big effort here from the Pistons, who are also going to go into this contest feeling fresh having had the last 2 days off. Speaking of rest, that’s a big part of why I’m willing to lay the 5 with Detroit. Minnesota will be playing on no rest, as the Timberwolves have to host Russell Westbrook and the Thunder on Tuesday. While they will be coming off a home game, they only had 1-day off after finishing up a 3-game road trip. This will be Minnesota’s 8th game since returning from the All-Star break and they will have had to travel for all 8 games. Going into Tuesday’s game with the Thunder, the Timberwolves are 6-games back of the Spurs for the 8th and final spot in the West with just 19 games left on the schedule and there’s two teams they have to leapfrog before catching San Antonio. I just don’t think this team really cares about making the playoffs, so it’s going to be really easy for them to not show up in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Minnesota is also just 9-24 on the road compared to 20-10 at home. Pistons have covered 5 straight games at home are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 when playing on 2 or more days of rest and a perfect 7-0 in the last 7 meetings with the Timberwolves. Give me the Pistons -5. |
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03-06-19 | Mavs +6 v. Wizards | Top | 123-132 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs +6) I'll take my chances here with the Mavs in this spot. No one is going to want anything to do with Dallas after seeing how this team played in their last two games, but I'm expecting a max effort here from the Mavs in this one. Head coach Rick Carlisle kept the locker room closed extra long after their most recent defeat at Brooklyn. I just feel whenever teams have a come together moment like this, they respond in a positive way. Washington is also a great team for them to get right against, as the Wizards don't play a whole lot of defense and offense has really been the downfall. Give me the Mavs +6! |
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03-05-19 | Blazers v. Grizzlies +6.5 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Grizzlies +6.5) I'll take my chances with Memphis covering the 6.5-point spread at home against the Blazers. It's been quite the road trip for Portland, who are 6-1 to start their 8 game trip that concludes with this contest. I just think it's going to be tough for the Blazers to keep their foot on the gas against a bad Memphis team, knowing that they get to finally go back home after this one is over. Grizzlies have covered 3 of their last 4 and are better than they get credit for. Give me Memphis +6.5! |
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03-04-19 | Knicks v. Kings -11.5 | Top | 108-115 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -11.5) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento covering as a double-digit favorite against the Knicks. Kings desperately need a win after losing 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. No better team than New York to get back on track against. Knicks lost 128-107 at LAC last night. The finally score really doesn't do justice to how lopsided that game was. Knicks trailed 82-46 at the half and I just don't see them being any more interested in playing tonight than they were yesterday. Give me the Kings -11.5! |
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03-03-19 | Rockets v. Celtics -2 | Top | 115-104 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2) I'll take my chances here with Boston laying a short number at home against the Rockets. The Celtics snapped their 4-game losing streak with a 11-point win and cover at home against the Wizards and I like them to carry over that momentum with a home win. Boston is 24-9 on their home floor this season, while the Rockets are just 15-16 on the road. Celtics are 8-0 ATS last 8 when they come in having lost 4 of their last 5. Give me Boston -2! |
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03-02-19 | Nets v. Heat -4 | 88-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Heat -4) I'll take my chances here with Miami laying a short number here at home against the Nets. Brooklyn is in a big slump right now, as they have gone just 4-8 in their last 12. Miami comes in off a loss at Houston, but they easily covered as a near double-digit dog. They have shot 50% or better in each of their last 2. I think this team is only going to get better as they just recently got back Dragic. Miami wins here no problem. Give me the Heat -4! |
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03-01-19 | Bucks -4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 131-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bucks -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Milwaukee going to Los Angeles and covering this relatively short number against the Lakers. I just don't trust this Lakers team at all right now. I think there's some serious problems in the lockerroom, which stem from all those trade rumors. Basically the front office said now that we have LeBron, he's the only thing that's important. These are also young guys who have grown accustomed to losing and don't have that killer mentality that James demands. I also think LeBron is playing at less than 100%. Milwaukee is too good and there's no doubt they show up for this one. Give me the Bucks -4.5! |
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03-01-19 | Clippers v. Kings -3 | 116-109 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Kings -3) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento at this price all day against a team like the Clippers. I still think LAC is a bit overvalued, as this is just not the same team without Tobias Harris. They have won 3 of their last 5, but those 3 wins are against the Mavs, Grizzlies and Suns. So while they aren't as good as their record over their last 5, the Kings are a far better team than their 1-4 mark over their last 5 would suggest. Sacramento's 4 losses during this stretch are a 2-point defeat at Denver, 2-point defeat at Golden State, 7-point loss at Minnesota and a 1-point home loss to the Bucks. This is a legit team that is still flying under the radar of the public eye. Give me the Kings -3! |
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03-01-19 | Hornets v. Nets -3.5 | 123-112 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Nets -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering the small number at home against the Hornets. I know the Nets are coming off an ugly 125-116 home loss to the Wizards as a 5-point favorite, but I still really like this team and they will be getting back a big piece tonight in Spencer Dinwiddie. Not to mention, the fact that they are coming off that ugly loss, increases the likelihood we get a max effort here. On the flip side, Charlotte is a team you want to bet against as a small road favorite. The Hornets are 8-21 SU on the road this season and have covered just 2 out of their last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me Brooklyn -3.5! |
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02-28-19 | 76ers v. Thunder -7 | Top | 108-104 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -7) I'll take my chances here with OKC covering the 7 at home against the 76ers. Philadelphia is still without Embiid and will also be without backup big man Boban Marjanovic. Even with Embiid the 76ers were not a great road team and I'm extremely confident here we get a max effort from Westbrook and Thunder, who have lost 2 straight and 3 of their lat 4. OKC is 21-8 for a reason at home and with this being on TNT, they are going to want to show out. Give me the Thunder -7! |
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02-27-19 | Pistons v. Spurs -4.5 | Top | 93-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Spurs -4.5) It couldn’t have gone much worse for the Spurs on their annual Rodeo Road Trip. San Antonio went just 1-7 on the 8-game trip that was sandwiched around the All-Star break. The last two were especially embarrassing, as the Spurs lost 130-118 at the Knicks and 101-85 at the Nets. Needless to say the perception with San Antonio right now is as bad as it’s been in a while and I believe it has the Spurs showing big time value as a small home favorite. The fact that San Antonio struggled on the road shouldn’t be a huge a surprise. They were just 10-15 on the road before the Rodeo Trip. This is simply a different team at the AT&T Center . The Spurs are 22-7 at home. Only the Bucks, Raptors and Nuggets have fewer home losses on their resume. The players have come out and said how disappointed they are with how they have been playing and one thing is for sure, we can bank on a max effort here from San Antonio. Also, keep in mind that the Spurs played 6 of those 8 games on their road trip without starting point guard Derrick White. He returned late in that trip and was on a bit of minutes restriction. Expect him to play a bigger role against the Pistons. Speaking of Detroit, the Pistons come in having won 3 straight and are 7-1 over their last 8 games. A stretch in which they have gone 6-2 ATS. I think that definitely is playing into this line. I’m just not a big believer in this team and this recent run has come during a very favorable stretch of their schedule. Pistons are also not a great road team by any means. They are just 11-17 away from home and have covered just twice in their last 8 road games against a team that’s won more than 60% of their home games. Give me the Spurs -4.5 |
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02-27-19 | Blazers v. Celtics -2.5 | 97-92 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Boston covering the small number at home against the Blazers. I think we are getting great value here not only because the Celtics got their butts kicked last night in Toronto, but the Blazers come in having won and covered 4 straight. The good thing about the ugly loss for Boston against the Raptors is they were able to avoid anyone playing big minutes, so they should be more than ready to go for this one. I expect a big effort from the Celtics after that embarrassing performance and this is just too good a price to pass up on a team that is 23-8 on their home floor. Give me the Celtics -2.5! |
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02-26-19 | Thunder v. Nuggets -3 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Nuggets -3) I'll take my chances here with Denver laying just 3-points at home against the Thunder. I have all the respect for OKC, but this is just too good a price to pass up on the Nuggets at home. I think if healthy, which they are right now, Denver might just be the second best team in the NBA behind the Warriors. They are 26-4 SU and 21-9 ATS at home this season. Give me the Nuggets -3! |
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02-25-19 | Lakers -4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 105-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Lakers -4.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the Lakers laying the small number at Memphis. LA returned from the All-Star break with an impressive win at home over the Rockets, but then laid an egg in a 13-point loss at New Orleans. I just don't see them coming out flat again and there's just not a lot the Grizzlies can do to stop LA from winning here. LeBron and Rondo have called out the young guys after that loss to the Pelicans, which I believe will have LA 100% locked in for this matchup. Give me the Lakers -4.5! |
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02-25-19 | Spurs v. Nets -1.5 | 85-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets -1.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Brooklyn at basically a pick'em at home against the Spurs. San Antonio has fallen on hard times in February. The Spurs are 1-6 in their last 7 all of which have come on the road. Yesterday they got beat by 12, giving up 130 points to the Knicks, who had lost their previous 18 home games. Brooklyn is 14-4 in their last 18 at home and I wouldn't be shocked if they won this thing by double-digits. Give me the Nets -1.5! |
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02-25-19 | Blazers v. Cavs +9.5 | 123-110 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Cavs +9.5) I'll take my chances with Cleveland covering as a big home dog against the Blazers. I cashed on the Cavs as a slim 2-point home favorite last time out against the Grizzlies. That was Cleveland's 3rd win in their last 4 games. Kevin Love had 32 points and grabbed 12 boards, despite being on a minutes restriction. This is a much better team with Love in the lineup, but because the Cavs were so bad without him and still far from a playoff-type team, it's going to take a minute for the books to make the proper adjustments. Basically as long as the public keeps fading Cleveland, we will continue to get value like we are here. Blazers just played at Brooklyn and Philly and have to go to Boston and Toronto after this. Hard seeing them laying it all on the line here, especially having won the first two on the trip. Give me the Cavs +9.5! |
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02-24-19 | Magic +9 v. Raptors | 113-98 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +9) I'll take my chances here with Orlando getting almost 10-points on the road against the Raptors. Magic were playing as well as anyone going into the All-Star break, as they had won 5 straight and were 7-1 over their last 8. They returned from the break with a 110-109 upset loss at home to the Bulls as a 8-point favorite. Losing to a team like Chicago doesn't look good and I think it's got the Magic showing value here. Note that they really should have won that game against the Bulls, as they shot 50.6% from the field and held Chicago to just 44.4%. Toronto comes in having won 7 straight, which is also playing in to the big number. Easy spot for the Raptors to come out flat with Boston on deck Tuesday. Give me Orlando +9! |
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02-23-19 | Celtics v. Bulls +10.5 | 116-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO BRAINER (Bulls +10.5) I'll take my chances here with the Bulls covering as a double-digit home dog to Boston. Chicago just upset the Magic 110-109 as a 8-point road dog last night and did so despite the Magic shooting 51% from the field. Bulls are now 3-2 since the trade for Otto Porter Jr. and I don't think it's out of the question they win here. Boston is coming off a gut-wrenching 98-97 loss at Milwaukee and I'm starting to get concerns there's some chemistry problems. Just too much talent on that team for Kyrie Irving to be jacking up 27 shots. Either way I think the Bulls at worse keep it competitive. Give me Chicago +10.5! |
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02-23-19 | Pistons v. Heat -3.5 | Top | 119-96 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
50* NBA EASTERN CONF PLAY OF THE MONTH (Heat -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami laying a small number at home against the Pistons. The Heat are a team that desperately needs to get going, as they are sitting 9th in the Eastern Conference standings. It just so happens the team in 8th is the Pistons, who are 1-game up. That alone makes this a massive game for Miami. On top of that, I think we get a huge effort after losing the first game out of the break. Detroit on the other hand is a team I have zero faith, especially in this spot. Pistons are playing in the second game of a back-to-back on the road after last night's 125-122 win over Atlanta. Note that Blake Griffin was ejected early, which forced the other 4 starters to all play 32+ minutes. Pistons are just 6-20 ATS last 26 on the road when they come in having won 3 of their last 4 and 0-4-1 ATS last 5 when their starting 5 combined for 160+ minutes the previous day. Give me the Heat -3.5! |
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02-23-19 | Grizzlies v. Cavs -2 | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Cavs -2) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland at basically a pick'em at home against the Grizzlies. I'll be the first to admit I didn't think I would be laying points with the Cavs any time soon, but I like what I've seen from Cleveland since Kevin Love returned from injury. They laid it on the Suns in their last game, winning 111-98 and the most impressive thing was the defense, which held Phoenix to 41.7%. Memphis is a horrible offensive team and just shot 36.7% in last night's home loss to the Clippers. The Grizzlies are on a free fall since losing Gasol and I don't see them showing up here in the second game of a back-to-back on the road. Give me Cleveland -2! |
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02-22-19 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Mavs | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Denver coming out of the All-Star break and making a statement against the Mavs. I just think this is a complete mismatch. The Nuggets are as healthy as they have been since the start of the season and I just don't think people are fully aware of just how good this team is going to be if they can keep everyone healthy. I believe the only thing keeping this line where it is, is the fact that the Mavs are 20-9 at home. The thing is, this team went from trying to win to really focusing on the future when they traded for Porzingis. Luka Donic is an incredible young player, but he's playing with a bunch of scrubs right now and I just don't see them keeping up with a team like Denver in this spot. Give me the Nuggets -3.5! |
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02-22-19 | Pelicans v. Pacers -5.5 | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -5.5) I'll take my chances with the Pacers covering the 5.5-point spread at home against the Pelicans. I just don't like the mindset with New Orleans right now. They decided not to trade Anthony Davis at the deadline and now have come out and said that Davis and Jrue Holiday's minutes will be greatly reduced. I just think that a big negative for the chemistry of this team. As for the Pacers, they might have lost their star in Oladipo, but they are going to scratch and claw their way to the finish line. Indiana won 6 of 7 going into the All_Star break with the only loss coming to Milwaukee. Pacers are 22-8 at home, while the Pelicans are 9-22 on the road. Give me Indiana -5.5! |
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02-21-19 | Celtics +5.5 v. Bucks | 97-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics +5.5) I'll take my chances here with Boston covering the 5.5-point spread at Milwaukee. No disrespect to the Bucks, who are a great team, I just think Brad Stevens and the Celtics are a lot better than people think and we are going to see this team really take off down the stretch run. They made a statement right before the All-Star break in a 112-109 win at Philadelphia and I think they do the same thing here against Milwaukee. One of the big reasons I like Boston is the fact that the last time these two teams played, the Bucks won 120-107 at Boston. The Celtics are 34-19 ATS over the last 2 seasons when revenging a loss and 15-5 ATS when revenging a loss of 10 or more. Give me Boston +5.5! |
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02-14-19 | Thunder -4.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 122-131 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -4.5) I'll take my chances here with OKC laying the 4.5-points at New Orleans. The Thunder are playing arguably the best basketball of any team in the league right now. They come in having won 4 straight and are 11-1 in their last 12 games. The only loss on the road against a top tier Celtics team. Russell Westbrook has recorded a triple-double in 10 straight games and if it wasn't for James Harden putting up absurd numbers, people would be talking a lot more about Paul George as the MVP. I know there's some concern here with this being the final game before the All-Star break, but Westbrook is one of those guys that just doesn't take nights off and I think the fact that the game will be played in front of a national audience on TNT and OKC coming in on 2 days rest, the effort will be there. Typically you would expect a team like New Orleans to show up in this spot, but the Pelicans are a complete mess. The Anthony Davis trade rumors have taken a massive toll on this team. We saw that first-hand in their last game against Orland, where they lost 118-88 at home. Davis did next to nothing and I have to wonder if he's not a little pissed with the team not trading him. Either way, I don't think this team is going to rally for a meaningless one game before the break. Give me the Thunder -4.5! |
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02-13-19 | Warriors v. Blazers +4.5 | 107-129 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers +4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Blazers covering the small number at home. The Warriors have been coasting into the All-Star break and that’s pretty evident by the fact that they are just 1-5 ATS in their last6 and the only cover during this stretch was against the Spurs when they rested Aldridge and DeRozan. They trailed going into the 4th quarter last night at home against the Jazz and in the two prior to that they were down 17 at Phoenix last Friday and ended winning by just 10 as a 17-point favorite. They then were down 19 in a 120-118 win at home against the Heat as a 13.5-point favorite. The fact that they keep winning is a big reason why I think people are still flocking to bet them. With this game against Portland being their final game before the All-Star break and so many Warriors involved in that game, I think they have a really tough time bringing the energy needed to win on the road against a Blazers team that is playing well and you know will be up for a chance to host the defending champs. Portland also comes in off back-to-back losses, which will only increase the likelihood that we see them lay it all on the line. Another thing here is it just so happens these two teams played in Portland in the final game before the All-Star break for both teams last year. The Blazers won that matchup 123-117 as a 6-point dog and took complete control of that game from the start, as they jumped out to a 40-27 1st quarter lead. Portland has cashed in on the spread in 70% of their last 53 home games, as they have gone 37-16. They are 6-1 ATS last 7 at home vs a team that’s won more than 60% of their road games and the Warriors have failed to cover each of their last 5 when playing on 0 days rest. Give me the Blazers +4.5! |
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02-13-19 | Nets -6 v. Cavs | Top | 148-139 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets -6) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering what I think is a really small number at Cleveland. I don't know that there's a team more ready for the All-Star break than the Cavs, who are in full on tank mode this year. I know Cleveland comes in off a win, but that was at home against the Knicks and they only won by 3. I actually think that makes it that much more likely they don't show up here. Note that when the Cavs lose they almost always lose by double-digits, which is definitely what I'm expecting here (outscored by almost 9 ppg at home this season). The even bigger key here is this game should mean something to the Nets. Brooklyn is fighting for a playoff spot, but have lost 5 of their last 6. I think they are going to be extremely motivated to make sure they go into the break on a positive note. Give me the Nets -6! |
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02-12-19 | Celtics +6.5 v. 76ers | Top | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics +6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Celtics covering the 6.5-point spread against the 76ers. Philadelphia is getting all sorts of praise from their big additions at the trade line. The hype around this team has only grown with their last two wins over the Nuggets and Lakers. Add in the Celtics being without Kyrie Irving and everyone is taking Philadelphia here. Not me. I think the Celtics are going to bring a different type of intensity to this one and while they might not win, I think they at least keep it close. Give me Boston +6.5! |
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02-11-19 | Wizards +5 v. Pistons | 112-121 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +5) I'll take my chances here with Washington at this price. I really like the trade that the Wizards made giving up Otto Porter Jr to get two talented pieces in Jabari Parker and Bobby Portis. Both have really fit in nicely and Washington as a team is lighting it up offensively with 115 or more in each of their last 5. Detroit comes in having won 3 straight, but 2 of those were against the Knicks and the other was against a depleted Nuggets team that was in a major flat spot. Unlike Washington, Detroit got worse at the trade deadline, giving up the likes of Reggie Bullock and Stanley Johnson. Give me the Wizards +5! |
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02-08-19 | Nuggets v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia covering the small number at home against the Nuggets. We can expect a big effort here from the 76ers after losing their last two, including an ugly 12-point home loss to the Raptors last time out. That's a rare home loss for Philadelphia, who is now 21-6 at the Wells Fargo Center. Denver has also lost their last two, but this is a tough spot for them. Nuggets are playing their 4th straight on the road and continue to play short-handed. The defense has really slipped of late. In their last 4 games they have allowed 122 to the Rockets, 106 to the Wolves, 129 to the Pistons and 135 to the Nets. Give me the 76ers -4.5! |
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02-07-19 | Spurs +6 v. Blazers | Top | 118-127 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
50* NBA TNT THURSDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH (Spurs +6) I'll gladly take my chances here with San Antonio cashing in a cover at Portland. In fact, I really like the Spurs to win this game outright. Portland had been playing really well but then had a 5-day break and came out and lost by double-digits to the Heat. I think the momentum was sucked out of this team. I also love the Spurs in this spot. San Antonio is coming off two lopsided losses to the Kings and Warriors and that's a big positive for us, as the Spurs are a perfect 8-0 ATS last 8 off 2 straight losses. They also rested their two best players and limited all their key players minutes in last night's loss to Golden State. Give me San Antonio +6! |
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02-07-19 | Lakers +9 v. Celtics | 129-128 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Lakers +9) I'll take my chances here with the Lakers at least making this respectable against the Celtics. I know LA failed to show up in their last game at Indiana with LeBron in the lineup, but I think a lot of that is because players were so focused on the trade rumors. By the time this thing tips off, whoever is on the team is safe, as the deadline will have passed. The loss to the Pacers was the worst of LeBron's career and he didn't play great. I think he delivers a big time performance here against the Kyrie and the Celtics. Give me the Lakers +9! |
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02-06-19 | Wizards +12 v. Bucks | 129-148 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Wizards +12) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards as a double-digit dog against the Bucks. These two teams just played on Saturday in Washington. Milwaukee won that contest 131-115, which is a big reason why we are seeing them being asked to lay such a big number here. I just think the fact that they just rolled the Wizards is really going to make it tough for the Bucks to get up for this game. This is definitely a flat spot with them just finishing up a 5-game road trip on Monday, which was also their 10th road game in their last 13 overall. Give me Washington +12! |
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02-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers -2.5 | Top | 119-107 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
50* NBA ATLANTIC DIV GAME OF THE MONTH (76ers -2.5) I'll take my chances with Philadelphia as a small home favorite against the Raptors. Anytime you can get the 76ers at basically a pick'em at home, it's hard to pass up. Philadelphia is 21-5 at home this season, which includes a 25-point win over Toronto. Raptors are just 1-3 last 4 on the road and will be playing this game without starting point guard Kyle Lowry, who is doubtful with a back injury. They still are also without big man Jonas Valanciunas. Give me the 76ers -2.5! |
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02-02-19 | Lakers +10.5 v. Warriors | 101-115 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Lakers +10.5) I'll take my chances here with the Lakers. There's just not many times I'm going to pass up on LeBron James as a double-digit dog. I know this is just the second game back for James, but they clearly waited until he was 100%. James played 40 points and nearly had a triple-double with 24 points, 14 rebounds and 9 assists. He's going to give it everything they got in this one. I also think the Warriors are way overvalued right now. They had no business being a double-digit favorite against the 76ers in their last game and they lost outright. Give me the Lakers +10.5! |
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02-01-19 | Rockets v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 122-136 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Nuggets laying the 4.5-points at home against the Rockets. As good as James Harden has been, I think the Rockets are getting a little too much respect here on the road against a very good Denver team. We just saw Houston lose at home to a Pelicans team that was playing a bunch of scrubs and as good as James Harden has been, the Rockets have not been very good on the road. Houstons' 1-3 in their last 4 road games and the lone win is a mere 4-point victory at New York. They lost by 28 at Philadelphia, 7 at Orlando and 9 at Portland. Nuggets are 22-4 at home this season. Give me Denver -4.5! |
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01-31-19 | 76ers +10 v. Warriors | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NBA THURSDAY NIGHT TNT NO-BRAINER (76ers +10) I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a double-digit dog. Warriors have been rolling of late and the books have inflated this number big time. I really like this 76ers team and think they might just be the team to beat in the East. I don't know if they will have enough to pull off the upset and win the game, but I definitely like their chances of keeping it closer than the number. Give me the 76ers +10! |
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01-31-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2.5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Raptors -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Toronto at basically a pick'em at home. No question these are two of the very best the Eastern Conference has to offer. The key here is where the game is being played. Raptors are 21-4 at home this season. Bucks are 8-18 ATS last 26 on the road with a line of +3 to -3, while Toronto is 15-5 ATS last 20 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me the Raptors -2.5! |
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01-30-19 | Pacers v. Wizards | Top | 89-107 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers PK) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Indiana Pacers at a pick’em on the road against the Washington Wizards. I think this is the perfect time to jump on the Pacers, as well as fade the Wizards. Indiana has lost their first two games since Victor Oladipo went down to an injury. The most recent was the most lopsided loss of the season in a 32-point loss at home to the Warriors. I don’t think the perception could be much worse on the Pacers right now and yet the books are begging you to take Washington with this line. Losing Oladipo was a big blow to the Pacers being a serious threat in the East, but don’t think for a second this team is going to just give up because he’s out. There’s still a lot of fight and a lot of talent on this roster and I expect a huge effort here coming off that ugly loss to the Warriors. Wizards are headed into Tuesday’s action having gone 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games and I’ve been on Washington a lot during this run. However, this is the ideal spot to go against them. Washington has to finish up a 3-game road trip at Cleveland on Tuesday, so they will be playing on no rest. It will also be their 5th game in the last 7 days. All of which will have been played at a different venue. Indiana has covered 9 of their last 11 trips to Washington, as the road team has absolutely dominated this series going 23-8 over the last 31 meetings. Give me the Pacers PK! |
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01-29-19 | Bucks v. Pistons +8 | Top | 115-105 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pistons +8) I'll take my chances here with Detroit. The first thing that comes up in the preview for this game is how Milwaukee hasn't lost back-to-back games all season. The betting public will simply see that stat and just roll the dice on the Bucks. The books are on top of it, as they have really inflated the line here to favor a Pistons cover. Keep in mind these two played at Detroit back on Dec. 17 and Milwaukee was a mere 3-point favorite and ended up winning by exactly 3. Winning on the road inside the division is not easy, as long as the other team isn't tanking. Detroit is thinking playoffs not the draft, so I expect a big fight here and maybe even a win. Give me the Pistons +8! |
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01-28-19 | Warriors v. Pacers +8.5 | Top | 132-100 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers +8.5) I'll take my chances here with Indiana as a big home dog against the Warriors. To the better public this looks like a complete mismatch. Golden State is playing their best basketball of the season and just added in DeMarcus Cousins. Indiana just lost their best player in Victor Oladipo and in the very first game without him they lost to a Grizzlies team that had lost 8 straight and 14 of 15. I just think there's a lot of fight left in the Pacers and there's plenty of other talent on the roster besides Oladipo. I think they give everything they got against the defending champs to kinda see what they have to work with going forward. On the other side, this is definitely a game where the Warriors could come out flat. Not only are they coming off a huge win at Boston, where it felt like a playoff game late, but they will be playing the 5th and final road game of a 5-game trip.They haven't lost a game since that shocking 135-134 defeat to the Rockets at home back on Jan. 3rd and after this will host the 76ers, Lakers and Spurs in 3 straight at home. Really easy for this team to not give Indiana their full attention. Give me the Pacers +8.5! |
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01-27-19 | Raptors v. Mavs +5 | 123-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Mavs +5) I'll take my chances here with Dallas getting a decent number at home against the Raptors. I just think we are seeing the public jump all over Toronto, assuming they are going to bounce back after back-to-back losses. The thing is, this is a really tough stretch for the Raptors, who played at Indiana on Wednesday and had to turn around and play at Houston Friday. Both games were very high-paced, as each side attempted 90+ shots in both games. Toronto has to be running on fumes and just ready to get back home and enjoy a 3-day break after this contest. Give me the Mavs +5! |
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01-27-19 | Jazz -4 v. Wolves | Top | 125-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Jazz -4) I'll gladly take my chances with Utah in this one. I made the mistake of going against the Jazz a couple games back against the Nuggets, but I like them in this spot. Utah just beat Minnesota at home on Friday and usually that would have me looking to back the Timberwolves. However, I'm going to stick with the hot hand and back the Jazz. Minnesota is soft and it's easy to see why Jimmy Butler wanted out. Sure the Wolves have won 3 of 4, but two of those wins were against the Suns and the other against a Lakers team that is without the best player on the planet. Give me the Jazz -4! |
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01-26-19 | Pacers -4.5 v. Grizzlies | 103-106 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a small road favorite against the Grizzlies. I think people are hesitant to back Indiana here after they just lost Victor Oladipo to a season-ending knee injury. While that pretty much puts an end to any hope of making it out of the Eastern Conference, I fully expect this team to come out with a chip on their shoulder and show everyone that there's more to them than one guy. No better team to take out your frustrations on than the Grizzlies. Memphis just keeps losing. They are struggling with the idea that both Conley and Gasol could be traded and a lot of times aren't even being competitive. Give me the Pacers -4.5! |
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01-25-19 | Pistons v. Mavs -4.5 | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Dallas as a small home favorite against the Pistons. I'll gladly fade Detroit as a small road dog any time I can get, especially against a team like the Mavs who are playing so well at home. Dallas comes in off a 106-98 win and cover at home against the Clippers and that game marked the return of Dennis Smith Jr. Whatever problems Smith and the Mavs were having seem to be fixed at the moment and I just think there's a good chance this game won't be close. Give me Dallas -4.5! |
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01-25-19 | Raptors -3.5 v. Rockets | 119-121 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Toronto as a small road favorite against the Rockets. James Harden is scoring the ball at a ridiculous rate and that's getting a ton of publicity, which I believe in turn has Houston overvalued at the books. Harden is scoring so much because he has to. He should be scoring 60+ and the Rockets barely holding for a win against a team like the Knicks. I'm excited to see if Kawhi can maybe put an end to this 30+ scoring streak, but either way I think the Raptors will win this game. Houston just isn't the same team without Capella patrolling the paint and Toronto is one of the deepest teams in the league. Give me the Raptors -3.5! |
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01-25-19 | Wizards v. Magic -3.5 | 95-91 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Magic -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Orlando as a small home favorite. You can never fully trust a bad team like the Magic, but the situation here really favors a cover by the home team. Washington has been a covering machine of late. The Wizards are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 and just snuck in a cover at home against the Warriors last night. The problem for Washington is not only are they going to be fatigued from that up-tempo affair against the Warriors on no rest, but there's got to be some letdown going from facing the defending champs on your home court to traveling to face a bad Magic team. I'm not about to say Orlando is a good team, but they have been playing better of late and seem motivated to try and make a run at a playoff spot. I think if they show up here they are going to win this game going away. Give me the Magic -3.5! |
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01-23-19 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Jazz | 108-114 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Nuggets +3.5) I'll take my chances here with Denver as a dog. I think a lot of people are going to look at this line and be tempted to take Utah as a small home favorite. Even though the Jazz just lost at home to the Blazers, Utah had won 6 straight and were 8-1 in their previous 9. This is team that I think people really like to back at home when they are playing well. The thing is, I think their success of late is a little bit misleading and we saw some of that in their loss to Portland. During that 8-1 run, the 8 wins were against the Cavs, Clippers, Pistons, Bulls, Lakers, Magic, Pistons and Cavs. For a lot of that stretch the Jazz were playing short-handed with Ricky Rubio, Dante Exum and Raul Neto all missing significant time. Rubio did return in the loss to the Blazers, but he was on a minutes restriction. He didn’t start and played just 14 minutes. That restriction is likely to get bumped some, but I doubt he makes a big impact. I just think Utah is a tired team and they are going up against a pissed off and well-rested Nuggets team. Denver hasn’t played since Saturday, when they followed up their 135-105 rout of the Bulls with a 124-102 win against the Cavs. Both blowout wins came right after that ugly home loss to the Warriors. I just think that defeat really humbled Denver and has them refocused. This is a team that I think is going to really play well leading up to the All-Star break. It’s also a team that when healthy might just be the second best team in the league behind the Warriors. It’s not just Jokic, who is incredible, but the depth that they have is really strong. This just feels like a statement game for the Nuggets, who have covered 12 of their last 16 division games. Utah is 0-3-1 ATS last 4 at home and 0-4 ATS last 4 vs a team that’s won more than 60% of their games. Give me the Nuggets +3.5! |
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01-22-19 | Clippers v. Mavs -4 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -4) I'll take my chances here with Dallas as a small home favorite against the Clippers. Mavs haven't looked great of late, as they come in having lost 4 straight and are just 5-15 in their last 20. A big part of that is the schedule. Mavs have played an absolutely brutal schedule of late. They have played 12 of their last 18 on the road, where they are 4-20 on the season. Dallas is 16-6 at home and are simply undervalued right now. Clippers come in off a win, but have not been playing well. LA is also expected to be without two of their top 3 scorers in Danilo Gallinari and Lou Williams. Dallas on the other hand is expected to get back Dennis Smith Jr, who hasn't played since early January. Give me the Mavs -4! |
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01-21-19 | Rockets v. 76ers -3.5 | Top | 93-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (76ers -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the 76ers as a small home favorite against the Rockets. James Harden is playing out of this world and Houston is getting a ton of publicity for it. I think it's definitely playing into their lines and creating value on the other side. Houston has only covered 3 of their lats 8 games and all 3 of those were at home. The other key here is the 76ers are going to be pissed off after suffering a rare home loss last time out to the Thunder. Give me Philadelphia -3.5! |
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01-21-19 | Pistons v. Wizards -5.5 | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Wizards -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards covering the 5.5 at home against the Pistons. I think a lot of people have written off Washington, not just because of their poor start to the season, but also the fact they lost All-Star point guard John Wall to a season-ending injury. As good as Wall is, I think there were some serious chemistry issues when he was playing and there's no denying the team has played better without him. Wizards are 7-2 ATS last 9 and have covered 5 straight at home, which includes a stretch of 3 straight home covers against the Raptors (lost by 2), Bucks (won by 7) and 76ers (won by 17). Detroit is not very good, play poorly on the road and are coming off a crushing home loss to the Kings. Give me the Wizards -5.5! |
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01-19-19 | Lakers +7 v. Rockets | 134-138 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Lakers +7) I'll take my chances with the Lakers covering this thing at Houston. LA just won at OkC as a 10-point dog and the Rockets collapsed in a 142-145 overtime loss to Brooklyn. I've mentioned it a lot lately. I think Houston is running on fumes right now and this ridiculous run Harden is on can only last so long. Lakers have been playing really good defense of late and I think they shoot the ball well here. Give me Los Angeles +7! |
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01-19-19 | Kings -2 v. Pistons | Top | 103-101 | Push | 0 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -2) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento as a small road favorite against the Pistons. I wasn't surprised at all to see the Kings lay an egg in their last game at Charlotte. Now it's time to jump back on the bandwagon. Detroit comes in having won 3 of 4 and covered all 4 during this stretch. I don't trust the Pistons in the slightest and look for them to struggle here playing in the second game of a back-to-back set. Give me the Kings -2! |
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01-18-19 | Pelicans v. Blazers -2.5 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Portland as a small home favorite against the Pelicans. Blazers just don't seem to get a lot of love, which has them constantly undervalued, especially at home. Portland is 19-7 SU and 16-10 ATS at home. They have covered 4 of their last 5 and have won 5 straight at home. This is just not a good spot for the Pelicans, who are coming off a crushing 7-point loss at Golden State. A game that saw the two teams combined for a ridiculous 287 points. Give me the Blazers -2.5! |
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01-18-19 | Spurs v. Wolves -1 | 116-113 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Wolves -1) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota at this price all day. No surprise here to see the Wolves undervalued off a 42-point loss against the 76ers, which had to sting a little more with that being where their old teammate, Jimmy Butler, is playing. I expect a very focused and pissed off Minnesota team to take the floor tonight against the Spurs. San Antonio is playing well, but are not the same team on the road. Wolves are 13-4 ATS last 17 home games vs teams who are giving up 106+ ppg and 9-1 ATS last 10 at home vs teams who are shooting 46% or better from the field. Give me Minnesota -1! |
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01-16-19 | Nets +5 v. Rockets | 145-142 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets +5) This is just one of those lines that you look at and know the public is going to flock to laying the short number at home with the Rockets. Houston has been trending in the right direction and come in having won 5 straight in the series, including a 119-111 win at Brooklyn back in early November. Not to mention James Harden is playing out of his mind right now. Harden just scored 57 on Monday against the Grizzlies to pass Kobe Bryant and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar with his 17th straight 30-point game. What I think the books are expecting is for Houston to really struggle to win this game at home. Right before their game on Monday against Memphis, the Rockets learned that Clint Cappella would miss at least a month when they were hoping for a lot less. That’s a huge blow to this team, as they are already without two starters in Chris Paul and Eric Gordon. I think this team was already running on fumes before Capella went down. While the Rockets get Tuesday off, this will still be their 3rd game in the last 4 days. Houston also hasn’t had more than 1-day off at a time since they were out of action the first two days of this month. This will be their 8th game in 14 days. The other key here is Brooklyn has quietly been playing very well over the last 5+ weeks. Starting with a 106-106 overtime win against the Raptors on Dec. 7th, the Nets have gone 14-5 in their last 19 games, which is exactly the same record for the Rockets over their last 19. Last time out Brooklyn got the Celtics best shot and held on for a 109-102 win, so the confidence with this team is through the roof right now. I think they will be extremely motivated to not just keep that momentum going, but they also will be out for revenge and excited to try and put an end to this Harden scoring streak. I’m not sayin I think the Nets are the better team, I just think given the circumstances, Brooklyn simply wants this game a lot more and while it’s hard to see, there’s some value with the line here.The Nets are 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team from the West and a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 trips to Houston. Give me Brooklyn +5! |
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01-16-19 | Raptors v. Celtics -2 | Top | 108-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2) I'll gladly take my chances here with Boston as a small home favorite against the Raptors. The Celtics come in desperate for a win after losing 3 straight and I just think playing a big time opponent like Toronto is just what they need to get on track. Keep in mind that all 3 of their losses during this losing streak were on the road and it started with a game at Miami on no rest. Toronto comes in having won 5 straight, but are really hurting with injuries. Valanciunas and Anunoby are both out, while Miles and VanVleet are both questionable. Celtics are 14-5 ATS as a home favorite this season and 12-3 ATS at home with a line of +3 to -3. Give me Boston -2! |
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01-15-19 | Warriors -1 v. Nuggets | Top | 142-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Warriors -1) I'll gladly take my chances here with Golden State at basically a pick'em at Denver. The Nuggets have held claim to the No. 1 seed in the West for most of the season, but the Warriors can take over the top spot with a win tonight. It takes a lot for Golden State to really get up for a regular-season game, but this is one they will be ready to go. Keep in mind they already lost at Denver earlier this season, so there's no looking past this team this time around. Warriors have also picked their game up of late, as they have won 6 of 7 and come in having scored 119 or more points in 6 straight. Give me Golden State -1! |
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01-14-19 | Blazers v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Kings laying a short number here at home against the Blazers. I've been on Sacramento a lot, as I really like what I have seen from this young nucleus they have put together. Kings have covered 4 of their last 5 and won 3 straight at home. Portland just played a up-tempo game last night at Denver and are not a great road team to begin with. I think the Blazers struggle to keep this close. Give me the Kings -2.5! |
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01-12-19 | Hornets v. Kings -5 | 97-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Kings -5) I really like this Kings team and love them in this spot, as I think they are highly motivated to win and will be catching Charlotte in a really tough spot. The Hornets are in the midst of a lengthy road trip and this will be their 5th straight on the road. They also are on no rest after playing last night in Portland and there's no doubt this west coast trip takes a lot more out of teams from the east. Hornets have failed to cover 5 of their last 6 vs a team from the west are 6-21-1 in their last 28 off a loss by 10 or more and 0-6 ATS last 6 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Kings -5! |
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01-12-19 | Bulls +11.5 v. Jazz | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Bulls +11.5) Chicago comes in off a ugly 146-109 loss at Golden State last night, while Utah won and easily covered in a 113-95 victory at home over LA last night. Who do you think the public is going to take here? The key thing with the Bulls loss is that game was over by the end of the 1st quarter, so Chicago was able to limit players minutes. Utah didn't quite have that luxury and I think they have a hard time going from playing a game on ESPN to trying to get up for this Bulls team. Keep in mind Utah is playing short-handed with their top 3 point guards all out with injuries. Give me Chicago +11.5! |
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01-11-19 | Lakers +8 v. Jazz | 95-113 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Lakers +8) I'll take my chances here with Los Angeles covering the near double-digit spread against Utah on Friday. Lakers young guns are playing well right now and I'm confident they will come out with some serious fight in a game that will televised on ESPN. The even bigger thing here is the injury situation for Utah. Starting point guard Ricky Rubio and backup point guards Dante Exum and Raul Neto are all out with injuries. I think the Jazz' depth will be tested and keep in mind that while they come in off a 13-point win over the Magic, they gave up 63 points and trailed by 17 at the half. Neto also played 31 minutes in that game before hurting his groin. Give me the Lakers +8. |
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01-11-19 | Mavs v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wolves -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota covering what I feel is a really small number at home. I've really liked what I've seen from the Timberwolves under interim head coach Ryan Saunders. You could really see how much the players liked the guy with how they celebrated his first win and players were also praising his in-game coaching. I just don't think it's asking a lot for Minnesota to win here at home against a Mavs team that is simply atrocious on the road. Dallas is 3-18 away from home this season, giving up 113 ppg. T-Wolves are scoring 114 ppg at home. Give me Minnesota -4.5! |
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01-11-19 | Bucks v. Wizards +6 | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +6) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a home dog against the Bucks. There's no denying that Milwaukee is playing great basketball, but I think we are seeing the Bucks overvalued here on the road off their big win over the Rockets. It's one thing to show up on the road against a top tier team like Houston. It's another to face a team like Washington that is a mere 17-25 overall and without one of their best players in John Wall. The thing is the Wizards have been playing very well in Wall's absence and are going to be the more hungry team in this one. Give me Washington +6! |
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01-09-19 | Hawks v. Nets -9 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets -9) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn laying it on the Nets at home. Atlanta is a bad team to begin with and have to be running on fumes right now. Hawks will be playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set, as well as their 3rd game in 4 nights. Last night they were at the Raptors, which they showed up for in honor of veteran teammate Vince Carter, as that figures to be the last time he plays in Toronto. While Atlanta is due to not show up, Brooklyn should be all business after getting embarrassed last time out at Boston. Give me the Nets -9! |
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01-09-19 | Pacers +6.5 v. Celtics | 108-135 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL VEGAS INSIDER (Pacers +6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers covering the number on the road against the Celtics. I think we are getting a good price on Indiana due to the fact the Pacers will be without Myles Turner. The thing is, Indiana is a deep team and can sustain that loss with the likes of youngster Domantas Sabonis stepping into a bigger role. Boston has won 3 straight, but all at home against teams who struggle on the road. Pacers have 13 road wins and while a win here will be tough, I see this coming down to the wire. Give me Indiana +6.5! |
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01-08-19 | Wolves +8 v. Thunder | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK (Wolves +8) I'll take my chances here with the Wolves as a near double-digit dog at OKC. I'm expecting a big effort here from Minnesota after the recent firing of head coach Tom Thibodeau. It's also not like the Wolves weren't playing well leading up to the firing, as they had just won back-to-back games by double-digits at home against the Magic and Lakers. OKC just lost at home by 18 to the Wizards and I just think the Thunder are running on fumes right now. This will be just the 7th home game for OKC since Dec. 3rd. Give me Minnesota +8! |
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01-07-19 | Magic v. Kings -5.5 | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Kings -5.5) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento as a 5.5-point home favorite against Orlando. This is the ideal spot to fade the Magic. Orlando is playing 5th straight on the road, as they continue on their 6-game road trip. They just played yesterday in LA against the Clippers, so they will be on no rest. This is also their 3rd game in 4 nights, so there's not a lot left in the tank. Kings have lost 4 straight, but have played well in defeat and are primed for a bounce back at home against an inferior opponent. Give me the Kings -5.5! |
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01-07-19 | Spurs -3 v. Pistons | 119-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Spurs -3) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio laying a mere 3-points on the road against the Pistons. I get the Spurs aren't the best of road teams, but they are 12-3 over their last 15 games. I think this team has really figured some things out and are a lot better than they get credit for. There's people still talking about whether this is a playoff team or not. That's just more fuel for the fire and it's not like Detroit is playing well. The Pistons are 4-13 in their last 17 games. Give me the Spurs -3! |
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01-06-19 | Wizards +10 v. Thunder | 116-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wizards +10) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a double-digit dog. The Wizards are getting zero love right now. Washington wasn't playing great basketball to begin with and then lost John Wall to a season-ending injury. Whenever a team loses a key guy to injury, there always seems to be an immediate stretch where they play extra hard to show they are more than the guy who got hurt. Wizards have covered 3 straight and I expect them to play hard here. OKC is a really good team, but are back-to-back prime time road wins over the Lakers and Blazers. Big letdown spot here. Give me the Wizards +10! |
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01-05-19 | Pelicans -8 v. Cavs | 133-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pelicans -8) We cashed in on Utah last night as a 8-point road favorite against the Cavs and will make the same play here with the Pelicans. Cleveland is the worst team in the league and their struggles are only being compounded by all the guys they have out of the lineup. They shot just 39% in a 26-point home loss to the Jazz last night, which was their 8 straight loss overall, none of which have been close. Give me the Pelicans -8! |
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01-04-19 | Wizards +7 v. Heat | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +7) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a big dog against the Heat. Wizards just recently lost John Wall to a season-ending injury and that has everyone picking up their game and giving a little extra to try to help make up for the loss. It's great for the short-term, which is why I like Washington here. Miami is also playing well and off a 25-point blowout win at Cleveland. Heat have historically came out flat in this spot, as they are just 5-15 ATS last 20 off a double-digit win. Give me the Wizards +7! |
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01-04-19 | Mavs +5 v. Celtics | 93-114 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MAVS/CELTICS ESPN ATS NO-BRAINER (Mavs +5) I'll take my chances here going against the Celtics at home without Kyrie Irving, as I've really been impressed with I have seen from this Mavericks team. Dallas is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 and while they are just 3-6 in their last 9 they have suffered some heartbreaking losses. They lost by 6 at Denver, by 4 at LAC, by 4 at Golden State, by 3 at Portland and by 2 at New Orleans during this stretch. No reason not to expect more of the same and a good chance they win this one outright. Give me the Mavs +5! |
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01-04-19 | Jazz -8 v. Cavs | Top | 117-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Jazz -8) I'll gladly take my chances here with Utah going into Cleveland and beating the Cavs by double-digits. Cleveland is hands down the worst team in the league. The Cavs come in having lost 7 straight and only one of those was decided by fewer than the number here and that was against another bad team in the Hawks. Utah lost at Toronto in the first of 4 straight on the road. Knowing that they have to go to Detroit tomorrow night, I think they come out with a sense of urgency here to get a win. That should be all it takes for them to win and cover this number. Give me the Jazz -8! |
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01-03-19 | Raptors v. Spurs -2.5 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Spurs -2.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio at basically a pick'em at home. The Spurs aren't getting a lot of media press, but after Monday's 120-111 win at home over the Celtics, San Antonio is now 10-3 in their last 13 games and are now 15-5 at home. Toronto is a good team, but they are way overvalued right now. Raptors just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17. Toronto is also without two key pieces here in Kyle Lowry and Jonas Valanciunas. Give me the Spurs -2.5! |
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01-02-19 | Wolves v. Celtics -6.5 | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Celtics -6.5) ' I'll take my chances here with Boston laying it on the Timberwolves. Minnesota is just 4-8 in their last 12 and will be playing shorthanded in this one. Starting point guard Jeff Teague and backup Derrick Rose are both expected to not play. Minnesota is also likely without Robert Covington. Celtics could be without Kyrie Irving, but with or without him they should have no problem winning this game via a blowout. Boston is off a loss at San Antonio and I'm confident they bounce back here with a big effort. Give me the Celtics -6.5! |
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01-01-19 | Jazz v. Raptors -3 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Raptors -3) I'll take my chances here with the Raptors laying a short number at home. This is just to good a price to pass up on Toronto at Scotiabank Arena, even with Kyle Lowry sidelined. Raptors are 14-4 at home this season and had no problem winning at Utah 124-111 back in early November. Jazz are a mediocre road team at best. Utah might keep it close, but all signs point to a Toronto victory. Give me the Raptors -3! |
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12-31-18 | Grizzlies +5 v. Rockets | 101-113 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Grizzlies +5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis cashing in as a decently priced road dog given the circumstances. Houston has already been playing short-handed with Chris Paul out of action with a hamstring injury. Now they will be without another key piece in guard Eric Gordon. Paul and Gordon both average right around 15.5 ppg and that leaves Harden and Capela as their only double-digit scores in the lineup. Memphis needs a big win to get back on track and this feels like a big flat spot for the Rockets having won 4 straight and 9 of 10 overall. Give me Grizzlies +5! |
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12-29-18 | Nuggets v. Suns +4.5 | 122-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns +4.5) I'll take my chances here with Phoenix covering here as a small home dog against the Nuggets. The line says it all here. The books like the Suns to not just cover the small number, but win the game outright. I do too. I think this is a huge flat spot for Denver off last night's hard fought 102-99 win against the Spurs. Jamal Murray hurt his ankle late in that game and I doubt he plays in this one. Keep in mind the Nuggets are already playing short-handed with a bunch of guys out. As for Phoenix, the Suns are playing great basketball right now. While they lost and failed to cover last night against OKC, they are still 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS last 8. Give me the Suns +4.5! |
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12-28-18 | Nets v. Hornets -4.5 | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Hornets covering this relatively small spread at home against the Nets. This is all about the situation that presents itself and these two having just played a game against each other in Brooklyn two days ago. Revenge is best served in the NBA when there's a short turnaround between meetings. Charlotte simply will want this more and they have been a very strong team on their home floor. Give me the Hornets -4.5! |
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12-27-18 | 76ers v. Jazz -5 | 114-97 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Jazz -5) I'll take my chances here with Utah to cover at home against the 76ers. I just think this is a really tough spot for Philadelphia. Utah is not an easy place to play and the 76ers have to be a bit fatigued after their overtime game against the Celtics on Christmas Day, especially with all the family time and travel that they have had to cram in the last few days. Philadelphia is also not the same team on the road as they are at home and Utah will be out for revenge from an earlier loss at the 76ers. Give me the Jazz -5! |
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12-27-18 | Knicks +14.5 v. Bucks | Top | 96-112 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Knicks +14.5) I'll take my chances here with New York as a massive underdog against the Bucks. This is a rematch from Christmas Day, which Milwaukee won and covered 109-95 as a 10-point favorite. It has the Bucks way overvalued, as I think it will be really hard for Milwaukee to take this game seriously. There's something special about playing on Christmas Day, so they gave max effort against the Knicks on Tuesday. I just don't see them being motivated for the rematch. On the other hand, I think New York will play hard and it's really not asking much for them to keep this within the number. Give me the Knicks +14.5! |
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12-26-18 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3.5 | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Spurs -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with San Antonio as a small home favorite against just about any team in the league right now. The Spurs got off to a shaky start, but are 7-2 over their last 9 games. They did lose at Houston last time out, but shot 48% from the field, while holding the Rockets to 39% from the field. San Antonio's efficiency levels on both sides of the ball are off the charts during this recent run. The only reason this line isn't more, is the Nuggets have the best record in the West. However, Denver has a bunch of key guys out and might have a hard time matching the Spurs intensity knowing they get to host San Antonio in a quick rematch this Friday. Give me the Spurs -3.5! |
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12-26-18 | Pelicans v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
50* NBA SOUTHWEST GAME OF THE MONTH (Mavs -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Mavs as a slim 2.5-point home favorite. I just think this line isn't enough for how good Dallas is playing at home. While the Mavs own a losing record at 15-17 overall, they are a dominant 13-3 at home this year. That's tied with the 76ers, Bucks and Nuggets for the fewest losses at home on the season. On top of that the Pelicans have not been playing great basketball and are just 4-14 on the road this year. New Orleans lost 122-117 at Sacramento last time out and are a mere 2-11 ATS off a road loss. Mavs are 12-4 ATS at home this season, including a perfect 7-0 ATS mark when listed anywhere from +3 to -3. Give me Dallas -2.5! |
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12-25-18 | Lakers +9 v. Warriors | 127-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Lakers +9) I'll take my chances here with the Lakers at worst keeping this game to single digits. It won't be easy beating the Warriors on their home court, but I don't think it's asking a lot for LeBron James to keep LA within the number. Warriors have really struggled in this price range, as they are a mere 2-10 ATS last 12 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Give me the Lakers +9! |
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12-22-18 | Spurs +5.5 v. Rockets | 101-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Spurs +5.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio. The Spurs have come alive in December. They are 8-3 in the month and have won 3 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall. They have been just doing as they please offensively and locking down on the defensive side of the ball. In their last 8 games the Spurs have shot better than 50% from the field in 6 games. On the flip side of this, they have held 7 straight opponents under 44% from the field and fewer than 100 points. Houston had something going, but lost Chris Paul to injury and simply aren't the same team without him on the floor. Give me San Antonio +5.5! |
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12-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Kings -2 | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Kings -2) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento as a small home favorite against Memphis. The Grizzlies have fallen on hard times. While they have a winning record at 16-15, they are a mere 4-10 in their last 14. These two teams have already played twice this year and the home team has won and covered each time. I don't see any reason to expect a different outcome here. I believe the difference will be the Grizzlies inability to keep pace offensively. Memphis averages a mere 101.9 ppg and haven't reached the 100-point mark in 7 straight. Sacramento on the other hand is averaging 115.3 ppg. Give me the Kings -2! |