Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-01-17 | Raptors +7 v. Cavs | Top | 105-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Raptors +7) Toronto is worth a look here in Game 1 of this Eastern Conference showdown. The Raptors played Cleveland tough in the regular season and I still have my concerns with the Cavs right now. Cleveland was fortunate that their first round series against the Pacers ended in a sweep. They had that ridiculous come from behind win in Game 3 and didn't win a single game in the series by more than 6 points. I believe the fact that Cleveland was able to continue to not play their best and still get the sweep works in our favor here. I just don't see this team locking in defensively until they face some kind of adversity and until they play defense it's going to be hard for them to blowout the opposition. Give me the Raptors +7! |
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04-28-17 | Celtics v. Bulls +3 | Top | 105-83 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bulls +3) Even though it came in a loss, I think Chicago showed more than enough in Game 5 on the road that they can send this series back to Boston with a win at home in Game 6. The Bulls were right there an actually had the lead going into the 4th quarter. They should get a lot more out of their role players at home and this figures to be a tough spot for Boston after laying it all on the line to go from down 0-2 to up 3-2. Home dogs over the last 5 years are 61% against the spread when revenging a loss of 10 or more and playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. Give me the Bulls +3! |
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04-27-17 | Spurs -4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Spurs -4.5) I know the home team has won all 5 games in the series, but I think that trend comes to an end tonight, as the Spurs finish off the Grizzlies in Memphis. San Antonio is the better team and could have easily won Game 4, which they ended up losing in OT. All 3 wins by the Spurs in the series have come by double-digits and I wouldn't be shocked if they turned this into a blowout. Note that they won Game 5 by 13 despite allowing the Grizzlies to shoot 51% from the field. I don't see Memphis being able to match that here. Give me the Spurs -4.5! |
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04-26-17 | Bulls +7.5 v. Celtics | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
40* Bulls/Celtics NBA Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Bulls +7.5) As bad as the Bulls looked in Games 3 and 4 without Rondo at home, I still think Chicago is the smart play here with this line. Boston just played their hearts out with their backs against the wall in Chicago and could come out a little flat here after getting the series tied up 2-2. While it came in a lost, the Bulls appeared to figure out how to best replace Rondo on the floor and I look for that to carry over into this one. I look for veteran Dwyane Wade to step up big here and wouldn't be shocked at all if the Bulls won this game outright. Give me Chicago +7.5! |
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04-25-17 | Thunder v. Rockets -7.5 | Top | 99-105 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Rockets -7.5) I got no problem laying what might look like a big number to some in Game 5 tonight. As entertaining and exciting it is to watch Westbrook, Houston is the far superior team in this series. With that said, I'm expecting a huge effort here by the Rockets to finish off OKC at home and not give the Thunder any hope of turning this series around. The impressive thing with the Rockets 3-1 lead in the series is they have really only played one game up to their potential and that was a 118-87 in Game 1. I just think it's going to be hard for Oklahoma City to keep this close. Westbrook has to be running on fumes and he's really all the Thunder got, plus the role players typically don't play as well on the road. Give me the Rockets -7.5! |
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04-24-17 | Bucks +6 v. Raptors | Top | 93-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bucks +6) Milwaukee is worth a look here. Based on what we have seen in the first 4 games of this series, all signs point to this being a closely contested game and one that it wouldn't come as a big surprise if the Bucks won outright. Toronto isn't getting much production from their bench and that puts a ton of pressure on DeRozan and Lowry to play. Note the Raptors barely squeaked out Game 4 and that was with DeRozan scoring 33 on 12 of 22 shooting, while Milwaukee start Giannis Antetokounmpo was just 6 of 19 for 14 points, his lowest output of the series. Look for a big bounce back game for the "greek freak" Give me the Bucks +6! |
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04-23-17 | Celtics v. Bulls +3 | Top | 104-95 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bulls +3) It wasn't pretty for Chicago in Game 2, but I like them in this spot. The Bulls clearly missed Rondo on the floor. I also think the news of the injury and the fact that Chicago had the 2-0 lead coming back home, had them far from locked into at the level needed to compete in a playoff game. I expect to see a completely different Bulls team and I'm still not all that impressed with Boston. If Chicago turns up the defensive intensity, their offense will find it hard to score outside of Thomas. I'll take my chances with Wade and Butler having a big game and delivering a win at home. Give me the Bulls +3! |
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04-22-17 | Wizards v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 98-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hawks -2.5) Washington leads the series 2-0, but both of those games came at home. Atlanta was right there in each game. The Wizards are an exceptional home team, but had a losing record on the road. I look for Atlanta to be a completely different team now that they are at home. The Hawks also have the huge motivational edge. Atlanta knows they can't lose this one if they want any chance to win the series. Washington isn't going to lay down by any means, but will struggle to match the intensity of the Hawks. Give me Atlanta -2.5! |
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04-20-17 | Cavs v. Pacers +3 | Top | 119-114 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
50* Cavs/Pacers NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pacers +3) Indiana is worth a look here. The Pacers covered the spread in each of the first two games of this series and nearly pulled off the upset in Game 1. I see no reason to quit backing them now that the series has shifted to Indiana and Cleveland is comfortably up 2-0. Any hope the Pacers have of winning this series comes down to them leaving with a win in Game 3 and I expect them to do just that, though I still think the Cavs will advance. Indiana might have been the No. 7 seed in the east, but they played like an elite team at home, where they went 29-12. Until Cleveland shows more on defense, I think they will continue to be a great fade in the playoffs. Give me the Pacers +3! |
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04-19-17 | Thunder +8 v. Rockets | Top | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
50* Thunder/Rockets NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Thunder +8) I'm not letting the result of Game 1 cause an overreaction here. These two teams played 4 times during the regular season and 3 of those were decided by 3 points or less. The final score makes it look like Houston dominated Game 1 throughout, but it was really just the final 2 quarters, as the Thunder trailed by a score of just 54-59 at the half. They just couldn't get anything going in the 3rd quarter and with Westbrook struggling they started looking ahead to Game 2. I'm not saying the Thunder will win, but I fully expect this one to go down to the wire. Give me OKC +8! |
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04-18-17 | Jazz v. Clippers -8.5 | Top | 91-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
50* Jazz/Clippers NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Clippers -8.5) Despite losing Game 1, the Clippers are a bigger favorite at home in Game 2. A big reason for this is the injury to Utah's Rudy Gobert, who isn't expected to play. Gobert only played 17 seconds in Game 1 and the Jazz won. The public is going to see this as an overreaction by the books and jump on the points with Utah. Not me. This game has Clippers blowout written all over it. Los Angeles will have a gameplan in place to attack Utah without Gobert, something they weren't expecting to see in Game 1. I also don't think the Jazz can match their shooting from Game 1 and are going to be happy just going back to Utah with the series at 1-1. Give me the Clippers -8.5! |
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04-17-17 | Pacers +8.5 v. Cavs | Top | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
50* Pacers/Cavs NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pacers +8.5) I believe the fact that Cleveland was able to hold on for the win in Game 1, has created value once again on the Pacers. Indiana isn't going to hang their heads after coming so close in the opener. If anything, that's going to motivate them even more. As for the Cavs, I don't see them flipping that so called switch everyone is talking about until the face some adversity. I also need to see this game play some legit defense before I'm going to feel confident laying a big number with them, even at home. Give me the Pacers +8.5! |
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04-16-17 | Bulls +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
50* Bulls/Celtics NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bulls +6.5) The news regarding Isaiah Thomas' sister is sad and unfortunate. The star point guard is expected to play and while I applaud him for that, I think this situation is going to prove to be too much for him to overcome. Even if he does play well, which isn't out of the question, I still like the points here with the Bulls, who I think are capable of not only winning this game but winning this series. Chicago has got their offense going and have the veteran leadership in Wade and Rondo that have won titles an know how to get their teams to take their games to the next level this time of year. Give me the Bulls +6.5! |
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04-11-17 | Nuggets v. Mavs +1 | 109-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mavs +1) Denver's hopes of making the playoffs came crashing to an end with their 105-106 home loss to Oklahoma City on Sunday. For a team that really believed they were going to the playoffs, it's nearly impossible for them to get up for a road game against a bad team like Dallas, who has lost 4 straight and are a mere 1-8 in their last 9 overall. This is the Mavs final home game and while they have struggled of late, I don't think they are tanking with no real shot at a top 5 pick given their record. Give me the Mavericks +1! |
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04-10-17 | Pacers -8 v. 76ers | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Big Money ATS Blowout (Pacers -8) This game has blowout written all over it. Indiana desperately needs to win to ensure a spot in the playoffs. This is essentially a playoff game to them, as there's a good chance a win here could lock them into the postseason. The 76ers have been a great story and a covering machine for a good portion of this season, but that was before all their top players ended up sidelined. This team has tanked down the stretch, losing 6 straight and have gone just 1-5 ATS during this stretch. Give me the Pacers -8! |
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04-07-17 | Heat +6 v. Raptors | 94-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Heat +6) I feel like the value here is clearly with Miami as a 6-point dog. This game means so much more to the Heat than it does the Raptors. Miami is fighting for the final playoff spot, while Toronto is locked into at worst home court in the first round. This is also a bit of a flat spot for the Raptors, who are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and returning home after a 2-day road trip. Toronto is also adjusting back to playing with starting point guard Kyle Lowry. They were very fortunate to win their last game against the slumping Pistons, as they had to overcome a 20-point deficit. I like the Heat to win here, but will gladly take the points for a little extra insurance. Give me Miami +6! |
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04-06-17 | Bulls -6 v. 76ers | 102-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt ATS Knockout (Bulls -6) I backed the Bulls in an ugly 91-100 loss at New York, which snapped their 4-game winning streak. I see that as more of a blimp on the radar than a sign of things to come. Chicago is still 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games and will be 100% locked in for this one. As for the 76ers, they have been a great surprise, but are running out of gas down the stretch. Philadelphia has basically all of their good players out with an injury or playing hurt. They come in having lost 4 straight and the most recent being a home loss to the Nets, where they allowed a ridiculous 141 points. That was the third straight game in which they allowed their opponent to shoot 53% or better from the field. Give me the Bulls -6! |
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04-05-17 | Mavs +11.5 v. Clippers | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
40* Mavs/Clippers ESPN ATS Knockout (Mavericks +11.5) While the Mavericks are out of playoff contention, they aren't the type of team to just throw in the towel and not compete down the stretch. Especially in a prime time game like we have here with these two facing off in the second game of tonight's ESPN double-header. Another key factor here is we are getting great value with this line, as the books have no choice but to inflate this number knowing that the public will be all over the Clippers. Note that Dallas has won each of the last two meetings in the series and LA is a mere 2-12 ATS in their last 14 home games when playing with double-revenge. Give me the Mavericks +11.5 |
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04-04-17 | Bulls -3.5 v. Knicks | 91-100 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Bulls -3.5) Oddsmakers didn't give Chicago any respect in their last game, as they were a 8.5-point dog at New Orleans and won 117-110. Now they are only a 3.5-point favorite at New York against a Knicks team that is out of playoff contention and not exactly showing a lot of life down the stretch. This would have been a game the Knicks got up for had Rose and Noah been healthy, but both are out, so that motivation card can be thrown out the window. Chicago needs every win they can get to ensure a playoff spot and given how well they are playing right now, it's worth the risk to play them at this price in this spot. Give me the Bulls -3.5! |
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04-04-17 | Bucks v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 79-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
50* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month (Thunder -4.5) Oklahoma City comes into this game having lost their last two, both at home, and are going to be playing with a chip on their shoulder in this one. Backing this up is the fact that favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more home losses are 35-11 (76%) ATS in April games dating back to 1996. Milwaukee has been playing well, but have failed to cover in 4 of their last 6 and aren't exactly coming in with a good frame of mind off a 105-109 home loss to the Mavericks. Bucks are also not a great road team and OKC is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the Thunder -4.5! |
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04-02-17 | Wizards +9.5 v. Warriors | 115-139 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA Big Money ATS No Brainer (Wizards +9.5) Washington is worth a look here as a big dog against the Warriors. The Wizards are fighting for playoff position and are going to show up to play against what everyone believes to be the favorite to win it all. I can't say the same for the Warriors and their motivation coming into this one. Golden State is due for a letdown after their last 3, which included two against the Rockets sandwiched around a game at San Antonio. They are now comfortably in the No. 1 spot in the west and are going to start worrying more about resting up their stars than blowing teams out. Washington should be in this one all the way and I could see them leaving with a victory, making them an easy play at this line. Give me the Wizards +9.5! |
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04-02-17 | Hornets +5.5 v. Thunder | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Hornets +5.5) I'll gladly take my chances with Charlotte at this price. The Hornets are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They come in having won 6 of their last 8 and this run includes wins over the Wizards, Hawks, Raptors and Nuggets. OKC always gets a lot of love from the books because of all the attention Russel Westbrook gets. I just think Westbrook and the rest of the Thunder are running on fumes right now. Having already clinched a playoff spot and off a huge game against the Spurs, this is a big letdown spot for OKC against what should be an extremely motivated Charlotte side. Give me the Hornets +5.5! |
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03-31-17 | Rockets +9.5 v. Warriors | Top | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Rockets +9.5) Sure the Rockets are playing on no rest after last night's loss in Portland, but I actually think that's only adding value here. Golden State has been playing well and just erased a 22-point deficit in a 110-98 win at San Antonio. That came one day after they won at Houston 113-106. That win over the Spurs all but locked up the No. 1 seed for the Warriors and considering they just beat the Rockets a few days ago, I think there's a good chance Golden State comes out flat. I don't think that will be the case for Houston, who will be out for revenge and to make a statement against what everyone is calling the favorite to win it all. I'll gladly take the points, but I wouldn't be shocked if Houston won this game outright. Give me the Rockets +9.5! |
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03-31-17 | Kings v. Pelicans -10.5 | 89-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Pelicans -10.5) New Orleans playoff hopes are slim, as they are 5-games back of 8th place Portland and 3.5 behind 9th place Denver with just 7 to play. Regardless of where they stand, this is a game the Pelicans are going to show up for and give everything they have. It's the first game for newly acquired big man DeMarcus Cousins against his old team and his new teammates are going to do whatever it takes to help him win this game. An inspired Pelicans team should be all it takes to win here by more than the number, as the Kings are not a good team. They just lost by 30-points at home to the Jazz in their last game. Sacramento really struggles to score and New Orleans can lock down defensively when they want to. Give me the Pelicans -10.5! |
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03-31-17 | Nuggets +2 v. Hornets | 114-122 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nuggets +2) I see this is a good spot to back Denver, as they are undervalued coming off two straight losses. Prior to the recent setback the Nuggets had won 9 of their previous 13 with two of those losses coming to the Rockets. They also had an ugly 10-point home loss to these Hornets sandwiched in there and it's certainly won they haven't forgot. I'm simply not a believer in this Charlotte team and look for them to struggle to keep this competitive at home against the Nuggets. Hornets haven't exactly been playing well at home, as they are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games. Denver on the other hand is 5-1 ATS in their last 8 away from home and 6-2 in their last 8 against the east. Give me the Nuggets +2 |
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03-29-17 | Bucks v. Celtics -8 | Top | 103-100 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Celtics -8) Big number for Boston to be laying against the Bucks, but I believe it's for good reason. Milwaukee got a big road win last night at Charlotte and are now primed for a letdown in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set on the road. On top of that, Milwaukee is playing their 6th game in the last 9 days overall. The Celtics on the other hand are playing on a full 2 days of rest, plus have a ton to play for here now that they are sitting No. 1 in the east standings. Boston has won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall and I just don't see them leaving this one to chance. I look for the Celtics to jump all over the Bucks early and cruise to a double-digit win. Give me the Celtics -8! |
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03-26-17 | Thunder v. Rockets -5.5 | 125-137 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Rockets -5.5) I think this is a great spot to back Houston at home against the Thunder. Westbrook has been able to keep OKC respectable in terms of competing in the west, but they are not a legit threat to Golden State in the postseason. The Rockets on the other hand are a team that is capable of winning it all. Westbrook and the Thunder are simply outclassed against the elite teams, especially on the road, where they are just 14-20 on the season. Give me the Rockets -5.5! |
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03-24-17 | Hawks v. Bucks -6 | 97-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA Big Money ATS Blowout (Bucks -6) Milwaukee is worth a look here against the Hawks. Atlanta is in a free-fall right now and it doesn't figure to improve with Millsap and Bazemore both still sidelined. Not to mention the Bucks are playing some of their best basketball right now. Milwaukee is 10-2 over their last 12 and have won 5 straight at home. The Hawks have lost 5 in a row with 3 of the 5 coming by double-digits. The fact that Atlanta is short-handed won't have the Bucks overlooking their opponent, as Milwaukee has some serious revenge on their minds after losing each of the first 3 meetings to the Hawks this season. Give me the Bucks -6! |
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03-23-17 | Raptors +5 v. Heat | 101-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Raptors +5) Toronto is worth a look here as a dog against the Heat. The Raptors will be without Ibaka due to suspension and are still without Lowry, but this team has started to figure out how to win without their star point guard. Miami comes in off a 15-point win over the Suns at home, but I think this team is in trouble with the injury to Waiters. Keep in mind that Phoenix is tanking to close out the season and prior to that win they lost at home to the Blazers by 11 and Portland is an awful road team. Give me the Raptors +5! |
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03-22-17 | Cavs v. Nuggets +4 | Top | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nuggets +4) Most are going to see the Cavs as a short road favorite and jump on Cleveland. I actually feel the value here is clearly with the Nuggets. Denver has quietly been playing extremely well of late and are fighting for their playoff lives. The Nuggets are going to treat this as a must-win and I'm just not buying the Cavs having that same level of interest in this game. Cleveland has the best record in the east, but are just 18-16 on the road. The Cavs won 125-120 against the Lakers in their last game as a 11.5-point favorite and are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 after a win as a favorite where they failed to cover the spread. Give me the Nuggets +4! |
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03-21-17 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 82-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
50* NBA Southwest Game of the Month (Pelicans -2) This is a great price to back the Pelicans at home against the Grizzlies. New Orleans has finally figured out some chemistry with Cousins and the results have been impressive. The Pelicans are 4-1 in their last 5 games and that includes a 128-112 win over the red-hot Houston Rockets at home. They also knocked off the Blazers 100-77 (3/14) and Wolves 123-109 (3/19) at home. Both of those teams had been playing well (Portland is 8-2 in their last 10). Memphis has won 4 straight and are off a big win over San Antonio, but I believe that's what's creating the value here with the Pelicans. Memphis should suffer a bit of a letdown after the win over the Spurs and could be looking ahead to their two huge road games on deck against San Antonio and Golden State. Give me New Orleans -2! |
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03-20-17 | Nuggets +9 v. Rockets | 124-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NBA Big Money Dog of the Day (Nuggets +9) Denver lost by 4-points at home to the Rockets on Saturday. With some injuries piling up and the rematch in Houston, I think the value is clearly with the Nuggets. Denver has a deep and talented roster that can overcome the guys who are out. Most importantly, big man Nikola Jokic will be in action and he's one of the best players most people don't know about. The Rockets have nothing to play for right now, as they going to be the No. 3 seed in the west. Denver has also played well against teams like the Rockets. The Nuggets are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 in the 2nd half against teams who shoot 36% or better from behind the 3-point line and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games against teams who allow 106 or more points/game. Give me Denver +9! |
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03-20-17 | 76ers v. Magic -5 | Top | 109-112 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Magic -5) The 76ers are primed for a letdown here on the road against a team like the Magic. Philadelphia clearly isn't tanking like they have in year's past, but I just don't see them being all that interested in this one. The 76ers put a lot of energy and effort into beating division rival Boston yesterday at home. Not only are they playing on 0 days rest, but this will be their 3rd game in 4 days overall. Orlando on the other hand is playing on a full 2 days of rest and are fresh off a road win over the Suns. 76ers are just 13-24 ATS in their last 37 road games after playing a game at home and a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games when playing against a bad team like the Magic, who have won less than 40% of their games. Give me Orlando -5! |
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03-16-17 | Clippers v. Nuggets +1.5 | 114-129 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nuggets +1.5) Those that aren't hardcore NBA fans will have a hard time believing that the Nuggets are a playoff team right now. Denver holds the No. 8 seed in the west by a full 2-games and have really been playing some great basketball of late. They come in having won 3 straight and 7 of their last 10 overall. Big key here is they are catching the Clippers in a bad spot. Los Angeles is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd in the last 4 days overall. That's an even tougher challenge in the thin air of Denver. I just don't see LA having much left in the tank for this one and they also could have a hard time not looking ahead to Saturday's primetime showdown at home against the Cavaliers. Give me the Nuggets +1.5! |
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03-15-17 | Mavs +7 v. Wizards | 112-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt Underdog Annihilator (Mavs +7) I like this spot for the Mavericks. Dallas comes in off an ugly 78-100 loss at Toronto, but are still a respectable 6-3 over their last 9. I expect a much better effort here and more importantly they are catching the Wizards in a bad spot. Washington just finished up a brutal 5 game road trip over a span of just 7 days (included overtime games on back-to-back days). While they are home now, they had just 1-day off making this their 6th game in 9 days and I just don't think the energy level will be there to turn this into a blowout. Give me the Mavericks +7! |
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03-12-17 | Bulls +7.5 v. Celtics | 80-100 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
40* Bulls/Celtics Early Bird ATS Knockout (Bulls +7.5) It's going to be hard for anyone to take Chicago here, as the Bulls come in having lost 4 straight and have scored 95 points or less in each of those defeats. The most recent was an embarrassing 21-point home loss to the Rockets and I believe that is going to bring out the best in the Bulls today. Boston is without question the better team, but this is not a great spot for the Celtics, who have had just 1-day off since returning home from a brutal 5-game road trip that clearly got the best of them, as they lost 99-119 at Denver in the final stop. Would't surprise me at all if the Bulls won this one outright. Give me Chicago +7.5! |
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03-11-17 | Raptors v. Heat -5 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie ATS Knockout (Heat -5) Miami is worth a look here at home against the Raptors. Given the overall records and the fact that Toronto is viewed as a power in the Eastern Conference, this might seem like a big number for Miami to be laying. However, the Heat are playing the better basketball right now and have a huge advantage in the scheduling department. Miami is playing on 2 days of rest, while the Raptors are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set which is also their 5th straight on the road and last of their trip. Give me the Heat -5! |
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03-10-17 | Raptors v. Hawks -2.5 | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA Big Money ATS No Brainer (Hawks -2.5) This is a great price to back Atlanta at home against the Raptors. This is a huge game in terms of seeding in the Eastern Conference and the Hawks aren't getting enough respect here at home, especially with this being the Raptors without one of their best players in Kyle Lowry. Toronto did win last time out at New Orleans, but keep in mind they benefited from Davis missing the 2nd half. The previous game saw them lose at Milwaukee by 7 and that's how I'm expecting this one to play out. Give me the Hawks -2.5! |
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03-09-17 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 114-98 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Grizzlies -2.5) The Grizzlies come into this game having lost 3 straight and none of those stung more than their last game, which they lost 109-122 at home to the Nets as a 10-point favorite. Those are the types of losses that don't sit well and with Memphis coming off a full 2 days of rest, I'm calling for a maximum effort here. The Clippers figure to struggle to match that intensity, as they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 5th game in the last 7 days overall. Give me the Grizzlies -2.5! |
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03-08-17 | Raptors v. Pelicans -2 | 94-87 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pelicans -2) The Pelicans have started to get this thing going in the right direction. They got their first win with Cousins and Davis on the floor together in a 105-97 victory at LAL. While they lost their next contest, it was by just 5-points at Utah. I like their chances of getting their first win at home with their new duo and still think there's a lot of room for this team to grow. I also think the Raptors are a good team to fade down the stretch, as they just aren't the same team without Lowry, especially on the road. Give me the Pelicans -2! |
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03-06-17 | Pacers v. Hornets -3.5 | Top | 88-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hornets -3.5) *Analysis Coming* |
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03-05-17 | Pelicans -5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 105-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pelicans -5.5) New Orleans has yet to win a game with Cousins and Davis on the floor together (only win since All-Star break was with Cousins suspended). The Pelicans should have won at home on Friday against the Spurs, but gave the game away late and lost in OT. This team still believes they can make a run at the playoffs and to do so this is a game I feel they absolutely have to win to get things turned around. Lucky for them, the Lakers are in a major funk right now. LA has lost 6 straight and during this run haven't scored more than 104 points, while allowing 109 or more in each of their last 5. Give me the Pelicans -5.5! |
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03-04-17 | Hornets v. Nuggets -5 | 112-102 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Nuggets -5) I really like what I have seen from the Nuggets of late, as they have won 3 of their last 4. I see now reason why Denver shouldn't be able to make easy work of the Hornets at home. Charlotte is getting way to much respect on the road for a team that is a mere 3-14 over their last 17 games and just 10-22 away from home on the season. Denver is 32-19 ATS in their last 51 against the Eastern Conference, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Give me the Nuggets -5! |
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03-03-17 | Clippers -4.5 v. Bucks | Top | 101-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
50* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month (Clippers -4.5) It's been a rough go of things for the Clippers out of the break, as they are just 1-3 in their first 4. That's to be expected given they played 3 of those 4 against the Rockets, Spurs and Warriors and were working on regaining that chemistry with Paul. It's only a matter of time before they turn it on and I think the Bucks are a great team to get it going against. Milwaukee has been in their own funk of late and just haven't been the same since losing Parker to a season-ending injury. I just think a motivated Clippers team will be too much to overcome, even at home. Give me Los Angeles -4.5! |
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03-01-17 | Nuggets v. Bucks -2.5 | 110-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Bucks -2.5) Milwaukee is worth a look here at home against the Nuggets. I'm expecting a big effort here from the Bucks after a tough loss at Cleveland last time out and based on history there's a good chance we get a comfortable win, as Milwaukee is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games off a loss to a division rival. It certainly helps they catch the Nuggets in a bad spot, as Denver is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 5th in 7 nights since returning from the All-Star break. Give me the Bucks -2.5! |
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02-27-17 | Raptors -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 92-91 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Raptors -3.5) I believe we are getting a good enough price here on Toronto given the uncertainty around starting point guard Kyle Lowry. The thing is, Corey Joseph and Delon Wright are playing very well in his absence. I just think Toronto is a team that really improved at the trade deadline and with DeRozan back healthy this team is poised to finish out the regular season on a roll. The Knicks are a complete mess right now and while they beat the 76ers in their last game, they haven't won back-to-back games since before Christmas. New York is also still without Porzingis and just released a key part of the rotation in Brandon Jennings. Give me the Raptors -3.5! |
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02-26-17 | Celtics -1.5 v. Pistons | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Celtics -1.5) Boston is worth a look here as a short road favorite. The Celtics let one get away at Toronto in their first game back from the break and that has them in a prime bounce spot. Boston has been surging since late Jan, as they are 11-3 over their lat 14. Detroit has played well of late, going 7-3 in their last 10, but it's not as impressive as you might think. The schedule has definitely aided them during this run. Only 1 of the 7 wins came on the road and almost all the wins were against teams with losing records. Give me the Celtics -1.5! |
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02-26-17 | Blazers v. Raptors -4.5 | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Raptors -4.5) Even with Kyle Lowry sidelined, I really like the Raptors at this price at home against the Blazers. Portland won 112-103 at Orlando in their first game out of the break, which is nothing to get excited about. The Magic are trending way down and don't have much of a homecourt edge. It was just the 10th road win of the season for Portland, who is 10-20 away from home. Toronto on the other hand is 20-10 at home and I look for them to make easy work of the Blazers, who were just 1-5 in their final 6 before the break. Give me the Raptors -4.5! |
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02-25-17 | Hawks -2.5 v. Magic | 86-105 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Annihilator (Hawks -2.5) The Hawks are worth a look here against the Magic. After trading away Ibaka, the only team worse than Orlando right now is the Nets in my opinion. In their first game out of the break they lost at home to the Trail Blazers 103-112 and Portland is bad road team. Atlanta also lost their first game back, but against a surging Miami team and they were without starting PG Schroder, who will be back in action tonight. Atlanta is simply the more talented team and will be locked in for a victory. I see this getting ugly in a hurry. Give me the Hawks -2.5! |
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02-24-17 | Wizards -7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 112-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
50* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month (Wizards -7.5) I just think the 76ers are getting way too much respect here given everything that's happened of late. The team traded away two of it's better players in Ersan Ilyasova and Nerlens Noel. The only thing they essentially got back outside of picks was Justin Anderson and it's up in the air if he even plays. Joel Embiid is still not ready to come back from a knee injury and the team just found out the Ben Simmons will not play this year. Washington is an elite team and have to be excited about the moves they made to bolster their bench by adding in Bogdanovic and McCullough. It's also up in the air if they play, but either way the Wizards core they had before the break is in tact. Washington should be able to have their way and win here by double-digits without any problem. Give me the Wizards -7.5! |
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02-23-17 | Hornets v. Pistons -4 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Pistons -4) Detroit is worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Hornets. Both these teams have been disappointments to this point, but most of the problems have come on the road. Charlotte is just 8-19 on the road compared to 16-13 at home. Detroit is 17-11 at home compared to just 10-19 on the road. Pistons won the most recent meeting at home on 1/5 and the Hornets are a mere 5-13 ATS in their last 18 when revenging a road loss. Charlotte is also a mere 7-16-2 ATS in their last 25 road games against a team with a winning record, while Detroit is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the Pistons -4! |
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02-15-17 | Pacers +6 v. Cavs | 104-113 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Pacers +6) Cleveland is playing on no rest and are short-handed right now with the Love injury. Indiana should be able to dictate the tempo here and the Pacers are out for revenge here from a recent loss to the Cavs. I just don't see Cleveland being all that interested in this one with this being their final game before the All-Star break. This game means more to the Pacers and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against the east and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 on the road. Cavs are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 when their starters combine for 160 or more minutes in their last game and playing on no rest. Give me Indiana +6! |
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02-13-17 | 76ers v. Hornets -7.5 | 105-99 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Hornets -7.5) This is do or die time for the Hornets, who are 1-9 in their last 10 and now 6-games under .500. It's hard to believe that the 76ers are the public side here, but that's the case, as Philadelphia has been a covering machine in 2017. Still, I think this is a tough spot for the 76ers, who won't have Emiid until after the All-Star break and aren't expected to have Okafor available. This is also a bit of a letdown spot for the 76ers, who just snapped the Heat's 13-game wining streak at home last time out. Philadelphia is also still just 7-18 on the road this season. Charlotte will be desperate for a win and I expect them to win here by double-digits rather easily. Give me the Hornets -7.5! |
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02-10-17 | Warriors -7.5 v. Grizzlies | 122-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Warriors -7.5) The perception here is the Warriors aren't going to be 100% locked in on this game because of the big showdown tomorrow in OKC, where Durant plays for the first time on the road against his old team. Sure that game is big, but I'm not buying Golden State looking past the Grizzlies. The Warriors are 44-8 on the season and yet are 0-2 against Memphis. The last lost certainly can't sit well with Golden State, who blew a 24-point lead at home in a 119-128 overtime loss. I don't see the Warriors messing around with the Grizzlies this time around and winning here by double-digits. Give me Golden State -7.5! |
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02-10-17 | Nuggets v. Knicks -1.5 | Top | 131-123 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Knicks -1.5) Things aren't going well in the eyes of the media in New York and I think it's got the Knicks way undervalued here at home against a injury depleted Nuggets team. Denver won't have Faried, Mudiay or Gallinari, which are 3 big pieces. On top of that they are playing on the road, where they are just 10-17 in their last 27. New York desperately needs a win and I look for a big time effort here behind what I think will be a rowdy home crowd. Knicks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 against the west and 10-2 TS in their last 12 after playing their previous game as a home dog. Give me New York! |
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02-09-17 | Jazz v. Mavs +4 | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mavericks +4) I'm taking Dallas as a home dog against the Jazz tonight. Utah is coming off a 127-94 blowout win on the road at New Orleans last night, but are a mere 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 when playing on 0 days rest. They are also just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 against the Western Conference and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 on the road. The Mavericks come in off back-to-back losses, but have been playing much better of late, as they are 9-5 in their last 14. This one has a little extra meaning for Dallas, who recently lost at home to the Jazz 107-112 back on 1/20. Mavs are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 when revenging a same season loss, while Utah is 5-14 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the Mavericks +4! |
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02-07-17 | Blazers -1.5 v. Mavs | 114-113 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS Blowout (Blazers -1.5) I think the situation here heavily favors the Blazers to pick up a road win over the Mavericks. Dallas has been playing better of late and just won at Portland 108-104 last Friday. It's covering up the fact that this is not a good spot for the Mavs, who just played in the thin air of Denver last night. Dallas isn't a deep team and are a mere 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when their starters combine for 160 or more minutes in their previous game. I'll take my chances on the Blazers getting their revenge on Dallas tonight. Give me the Blazers -1.5! |
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02-06-17 | Jazz -1 v. Hawks | 120-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Jazz -1) Almost all the action is coming in on the Hawks as a short home dog, but my money is on Utah to come into Atlanta and leave with a win. The Jazz absolutely owned the Hawks in Utah earlier this season, beating them 95-68. Clearly they matchup well with Atlanta and I think those edges on the floor will be too much for the Hawks to overcome. Utah is 44-16 ATS in their last 70 road games in the 2nd half the season against teams who allow 103+ ppg and we also find a great system in play going against Atlanta. Home dogs who had a 20+ point lead at the half in their last game are 35-73 (32%) ATS since 1996. Give me the Jazz -1! |
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02-04-17 | Pelicans +8 v. Wizards | 91-105 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas ATS Annihilator (Pelicans +8) Washington has really turned their season around and were an excellent team to back for the last two months, but I think the books have made their adjustments and it's time to start fading the Wizards. We saw Washington fail to cover an inflated line last time out at home against the Lakers and I see a similar type of outcome against the Pelicans. Adding value here is that New Orleans will be locked in with revenge from a recent home loss to the Wizards on 1/29. Give me the Pelicans +8! |
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02-03-17 | Mavs +5.5 v. Blazers | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mavericks +5.5) I like the points with Dallas in this one. The Mavericks have really been playing well of late. They come in having on 3 straight and 8 of their last 11 overall, which includes wins over the liks of the Spurs and Cavaliers. As good as they are playing, no one believes in this team because of how bad they were expected to be and how bad they were to start the year. Portland only has 3 more wins and I feel are getting a little too much respect here at home in a prime time game. Keep in mind Dallas has already beat the Blazers on their home court this season. Give me the Mavericks +5.5! |
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02-03-17 | Bulls +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bulls +6.5) Chicago has won back-to-back games since basically hitting rock bottom when Wade and Butler were calling out their teammates for a lack of effort. A team meeting followed and the Bulls have looked like a different team. After putting up 121 in a 13-point win over the 76ers, they went into Oklahoma City and crushed the Thunder 128-100. Now they catch Houston playing on no rest and fresh off a shocking 108-113 loss to the Hawks after leading by 20+. I'll gladly take the points, but I think Chicago could easily win this game outright. Give me the Bulls +6.5! |
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02-01-17 | Bulls +3.5 v. Thunder | 128-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas ATS Shocker (Bulls +3.5) The Bulls responded from their player meeting with a 121-108 win and cover at home against the red-hot 76ers and I look for them to carry over some of that momentum here against the Thunder. I just don't see OKC have a whole lot in the tank for this one. The Thunder just laid everything they had on the line in their last two at Cleveland and San Antonio. That game against the Spurs was their 8th road game over their last 9 overall and it came last night. Playing on no rest against a Bulls team that will be playing on 2-days of rest, gives the edge here to Chicago. The Bulls are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 when playing on a full 2-days of rest. Give me Chicago +3.5! |
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01-31-17 | Hornets v. Blazers -3 | 98-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Blazers -3) The Blazers are worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Hornets. I see these two teams headed in different directions. While Portland comes in off a loss, it was by a mere 2-points against the Warriors. Prior to that they had won 3 straight, with one of those on the road against the Celtics and the other at home against the Grizzlies. This will also be the Blazers 4th straight game at home and with 2 days off after this one, there's no reason for them to not lay it all on the line here. Charlotte on the other hand has lost 4 straight and are a mere 8-15 on the road this season. Give me the Blazers -3! |
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01-29-17 | Rockets v. Pacers +4 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pacers +4) There's no arguing that the Rockets are the better team here, but I think Houston has a tough time matching the intensity of the Pacers in this one and the books appear to agree with low line begging for public money on the Rockets. Indiana has won two straight and are 9-3 over their last 12 and I don't think they are going anywhere anytime soon. The Pacers are finally playing up to their potential and this is big test for them to see where they are. Houston will be playing the 5th and final game of a road trip and their 10th road game in their last 14 overall. After this game the Rockets go home for 4 games that stretches over a week. I think their focus here is more on getting on the plane back home than laying it all on the line to win this game. Give me the Pacers +4! |
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01-29-17 | Wizards v. Pelicans +1.5 | 107-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational Dog of the Day (Pelicans +1.5) As well as the Wizards have been playing, I think the value here is with New Orleans as a home dog. The Pelicans come in off a 119-103 home win over the Spurs and also have a 124-122 win over the Cavs during their 6-game homestand, which concludes today. While New Orleans gets to benefit from no travel here of late, Washington will be playing their 5th road game out of their last 6 overall and while they have won a few here of late, the Wizards are just 7-14 on the road this season. With a much-needed 4-game homstand on deck, I think Washington has a tough time matching the intensity of the Pelicans in this one. Give me New Orleans +1.5! |
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01-28-17 | Nuggets v. Suns -3.5 | 123-112 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Suns -3.5) Revenge is a sweet thing and I expect Phoenix to get just that when they take on the Nuggets tonight. The Suns just lost 120-127 at Denver on Thursday and that was a tough one to swallow as they had a 4-point lead going into the half. Jokic of the Nuggets owned the Suns, scoring 29 points with 14 rebounds and 8 assists. Big key here is Jokic got injured late in that game and didn't even make the trip to Phoenix. Give me the Suns -3.5! |
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01-27-17 | Grizzlies -1 v. Blazers | Top | 109-112 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
50* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month (Grizzlies -1) Grizzlies comes into this one off a 101-99 win at home over the Raptors, where they failed to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. That was a tough loss for Memphis backers, as they really had control of that game. I believe it has the Grizzlies undervalued here on the road against the Blazers. This is the first of a 6-game road trip and I look for Memphis to do whatever they can to make sure they start the trip off on the right foot. I also love how the Grizzlies matchup with Portland. So much of what the Blazers do is about Lillard and McCollum. Memphis can counter those two with Conley and Allen. On the flip side, Portland really has no answer for Grizzlies big man Marc Gasol. Memphis is 7-3 ATS in last 10 games at Portland and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 against the west. Give me the Grizzlies -1! |
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01-26-17 | Pacers +3.5 v. Wolves | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS Shocker (Pacers +3.5) I'm backing the Pacers as a short road dog against the Timberwolves tonight. Indiana comes in having lost 3 straight, but I still like what I see from this team, as they are 7-4 in their last 11. Minnesota has been playing much better of late as well, but this is a young team that can't be trusted. The Timberwolves have won 3 straight, but could have easily lost all 3. Each of those wins came by 3-points or less. I believe Indiana is the better team and I also believe this is a top spot for Minnesota. They finished up a 3-game road trip in LA on 1/19, returned home for one game against the Nuggets, flew back out west for one game against the Suns and now are back home against the Pacers. Give me the Pacers +3.5! |
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01-25-17 | Raptors v. Grizzlies -5.5 | Top | 99-101 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
50* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month (Grizzlies -5.5) I'll gladly back Memphis at this price at home against a Raptors team that is not only running on fumes, but without their best player in DeMar Derozan, who is averaging 27.9 ppg on roughly 10 made field goals a game. That's a lot of offense for Toronto to replace and to make matters worse they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Not to mention they are catching the Grizzlies in a foul mood, as Memphis was just embarrassed on their home floor 95-119 by the Rockets. Give me the Grizzlies -5.5! |
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01-24-17 | Clippers v. 76ers +5 | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA Dog of the Day (76ers +5) No Embiid for the 76ers and Blake Griffin is making his return for the Clippers, the books are begging for you to take Los Angeles as a short road favorite. The thing is, when a star player like Griffin comes back to the lineup after a long time being out, there's some rust and it messes up the chemistry. Not to mention the Clippers aren't exactly going to be locked into this game with a showdown against the Warriors in Golden State on deck. Emiid might not be in the lineup tonight, but he's got this Philadelphia team and fan base believing they are a legit team. I think they keep playing with that same fire and wouldn't be shocked if they won here outright. Give me the 76ers +5! |
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01-23-17 | Wizards v. Hornets -4.5 | Top | 109-99 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hornets -4.5) After a miserable stretch, where the Hornets went just 1-7, they have since bounced back with 3 straight wins. All at home and I look for the streak to continue here against the Wizards. Washington has been a different team since December, but are still not a great road team. The Wizards are just 5-14 on the road this season and are facing a Charlotte team that owns a 15-7 record at home. Hornets have really turned up the intensity on the defensive side of the ball, as they are allowing just 95.6 ppg over their last 5. Wizards are giving up 108.4 ppg on the road and 105.1 ppg against division opponents. Give me the Hornets -4.5! |
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01-22-17 | Lakers v. Mavs -5.5 | 73-122 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Mavs -5.5) Dallas has been playing much better here of late and while they have lost their last 2 following a 3-game winning streak, but defeats have been by 5-points or less. Lakers come in off a 108-96 win at home over the Pacers, but it came at a cost, as D'Angelo Russell suffered an MCL injury and is out indefinitely. LA just can't seem to get back to full strength and that injury has to hurt the psyche of this team. Not to mention the Lakers are just 5-18 on the road this season and already lost by 12-points at home to the Mavericks earlier this season. Give me Dallas -5.5! |
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01-21-17 | Suns v. Knicks -5.5 | 107-105 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Knicks -5.5) I think this is a great spot to back the Knicks at home. I know New York hasn't played great of late, but I'm seeing some positive signs that they are getting back to playing at the level we saw earlier this season. The Suns are also a great opponent to get back on track against. Phoenix is just 5-12 in their last 17 and 1-4 over their last 5. Not to mention the Suns are a miserable 6-18 on the road, while New York has a winning record at home at 12-10. Knicks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 off a home loss and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 off a loss by 3 points or less. Give me New York -5.5! |
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01-20-17 | Jazz -6 v. Mavs | 112-107 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Jazz -6) I'm backing the Jazz as a decently priced road favorite at Dallas. It's no secret that Utah is the much better team. The Jazz are 27-16, while the Mavericks are 14-28. The big key here is the schedule and it should allow Utah to win here by double-digits. Utah will be playing on a full 3-days of rest, while Dallas will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Utah's going to be able to push the pace offensively and Dallas isn't going to have the energy defensively. On top of that, this Jazz defense is the real deal and should have no problem shutting down this limited Dallas offense. Give me Utah -6! |
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01-19-17 | Mavs v. Heat -2.5 | 95-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Heat -2.5) I'm backing the Heat as a small home favorite against the Mavericks tonight. Miami comes in off a big 109-103 win at home over the Rockets as a 7-point dog, but are still being undervalued here due the fact that they were just 1-10 in their previous 11. Dallas on the other hand is getting some love after going 3-0 both SU and ATS in their last 3 games. The key here is the Mavs aren't a great road team (6-16) and I just don't see them winning back-to-back games on the road after stealing one in Chicago last time out. Give me the Heat -2.5! |
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01-17-17 | Nuggets v. Lakers +1 | 127-121 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA Late Night ATS Knockout (Lakers +1) I think this is a great spot to jump on the Lakers at home at basically a pick'em against the Nuggets. Denver is getting some love here off a couple of blowout wins over the Pacers (in London) and at home against the Magic. LA on the other hand is getting no love at this time, as they have lost 4 straight, failing to score 100 points in all 4 losses. Getting the offense going against the Nuggets won't be a problem. Denver is giving up 111.2 ppg and don't figure to play with a ton of energy on the defensive side of the ball playing on no rest. Los Angeles is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games after 4 or more losses, while the Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when playing on 0 days of rest. Give me the Lakers +1! |
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01-16-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 91-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Warriors -7.5) Golden State has lost 4 straight to the Cavs, the final 3 of the Finals last year and that crushing 1-point loss at Cleveland on Christmas Day, where they blew a 14-point 4th quarter lead. Needless to say this is a statement game for the Warriors at home. I expect them to play with as much intensity as you will see for a regular season game. Cleveland isn't just going to lay down, but this is not an ideal spot for the Cavs, who are still getting use to playing with their new addition of Korver and this is their 6th and final game of a long road trip that started with a game in Brooklyn before playing 5 straight out west. I just don't see Cleveland being able to match the intensity of the Warriors in this one. Give me Golden State -7.5! |
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01-12-17 | Bulls v. Knicks -3 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Knicks -3) It's been a dreadful stretch here for the Knicks, but I like the value we are getting with New York at home in this one. We know the Knicks are going to show up, as Noah and Rose get another crack at their former team. More than anything, the Bulls are going to be without their best player and MVP-candidate Jimmy Butler, as well as one of their top reserves in Nikola Mirotic. I just don't think the line has been adjusted enough for what the Bulls are playing with. New York is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games after a division game and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 after a game where they failed to cover the spread. Give me the Knicks -3! |
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01-11-17 | Magic +11 v. Clippers | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster ATS No Brainer (Magic +11) I'll take the double-digits here with Orlando as I see them giving the Clippers some problems here. LA is still without the services of Blake Griffin and Chris Paul is on minutes restriction as he just recently returned from a hamstring injury. Typically bad teams like the Magic don't perform well on the road, but Orlando is actually playing better on the road than they are at home. They are 9-10 on the road, compared to 7-13 at home. Clippers have won and covered 4 straight and the books haven't hesitated to inflate this number, knowing all the public money will be coming in on LA. Clippers are just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 home games as a favorite of 9.5 to 12 points, while Orlando is 23-10 ATS in their last 33 road games against the Western Conference. Give me the Magic +11! |
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01-10-17 | Hawks v. Nets +8 | 117-97 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Nets +8) I know the Nets haven't been great of late and the Hawks are playing well at the moment, but I believe it's resulted in a ton of value here with the Nets. Brooklyn has shown they aren't a team that's just going to lay down and they have some hidden motivation here. Nets head coach Kenny Atkinson was previously an assistant in Atlanta and will be playing the Hawks for the first time. This game means a little more to him than others and more times than not the players respond in this spot. I don't see the same emotional edge for the Hawks, who could easily take this game lightly after winning 6 straight and a much bigger game on deck Friday night at home against the Celtics. This is also the last game of a 4-game road trip, which they have already secured a winning record on at 3-0. Give me the Nets +8! |
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01-09-17 | Thunder v. Bulls -1 | 109-94 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Bulls -1) I'll gladly back the Bulls at home at basically a pick'em against the Thunder. Chicago has got things turned around since the benching of Rondo and come in having won 3 straight. None more impressive their their 123-118 overtime win over the Raptors, where they overcame a 12-point deficit to start the 4th quarter. OKC gets a lot of love from the books because of all the attention Westbrook is getting and are typically overvalued on the road, where they are just 8-10 SU and 8-10 ATS. This is also not an easy spot for the Thunder, who after playing 3 straight on the road, played one game against the Nuggets before having to return right back to the road to face Chicago. Give me the Bulls -1! |
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01-08-17 | Wizards v. Bucks -4 | 107-101 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Bucks -4) I'm backing the Bucks at home laying what I think is a short number given how poorly the Wizards have played on the road. Washington is just 3-12 on the highway this season. The Wizards already made one trip to Milwaukee and it didn't go so well, as the Bucks cruised to a 123-96 win. The Bucks had a 3-game win streak snapped in their last game, losing 111-116 in an ugly collapse late. I look for that to have Milwaukee in prime form and this is a team that looks to be playing with a chip on their shoulder as it is. Bucks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games after failing to cover 2 or more in a row and 32-18 ATS in their last 40 at home off a SU loss. Give me Milwaukee -4! |
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01-07-17 | Knicks v. Pacers -7 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA Bookie Dominator (Pacers -7) It's taken a lot longer than expected, but Indiana is finally starting to play like the team that everyone thought we would see out of the gates. The talent is definitely there for this Pacers team to go on a big run and with a mere 19-18 record, there's a lot of work left to do to. Indiana comes in having won and covered in 4 straight games and are in a great scheduling spot playing their 4th home game in their last 5 games. Not the same case for the Knicks. While New York snapped a 6-game losing streak with a 116-111 win at Milwaukee last night, they don't figure to have a whole lot left in the tank. Not only are they playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set, but this is their 3rd game in 4 days. It's also worth noting last night's game took a little extra out of them, as they had to rally from a 18-point deficit. That was also a rare road win, as the Knicks are just 6-12 away from home. Give me the Pacers -7! |
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01-06-17 | Knicks +5.5 v. Bucks | 116-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational Dog of the Day (Knicks +5.5) New York comes into this one having lost 6 straight games and last time fell 104-105 at home to the Bucks. Now these same two teams play in Milwaukee and I think we are getting exceptional value given the situation. New York is simply going to want this game more. Not only to get revenge from a crushing loss on a last second shot, but to put an end to their losing streak and get back to playing well. Win or lose, I think the Knicks keep this close and cover the spread. Give me New York +5.5! |
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01-06-17 | Wolves v. Wizards -4.5 | Top | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wizards -4.5) I think we are catching a great number on Washington at home against a Timberwolves team that just keeps getting a lot of love from the books, despite the fact that they are now 11-24 overall and just 14-21 ATS. The Wizards come in off back-to-back losses, but both of those came on the road. One was at Houston, who is an elite team and the other was at Dallas on no rest. Now they return home where they have won 8 straight. Washington is a team on the rise (won 9 of 12) and I just don't trust the Wolves, who are a mere 5-12 on the road. Give me the Wizards -4.5! |
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01-04-17 | Heat v. Kings -8 | 107-102 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Kings -8) I look for Sacramento to have zero problem knocking off the Heat at home by double-digits tonight. While both teams are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, the Kings have the big edge here at home. Plus, Miami is decimated with injuries right now and could be missing a number of key rotation players. The biggest being center Hassan Whiteside, who is doubtful. Without Whiteside to patrol the paint, the Kings should get a lot of easy looks and it should lead to a field day for DeMarcus Cousins, as Miami has no one else who can matchup with him. Give me the Kings -8! |
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12-30-16 | Knicks v. Pelicans -2 | 92-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Pelicans -2) New Orleans comes in having won 3 straight and 4 of their last 5, but are still way undervalued by the books because of their 13-21 record overall. The key here is that the Pelicans have just recently got healthy and finally have some legit weapons to pair alongside Anthony Davis on a nightly basis. On the flip side of this, the Knicks are getting a lot of love, but they are just 5-10 on the road and have been struggling of late, going just 2-5 in their last 7. Give me the Pelicans -2! |
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12-29-16 | Celtics +7 v. Cavs | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Celtics +7) This Boston team is more than capable of keeping it closer than the spread against the Cavs tonight. The Celtics are finally healthy and playing like the elite team that most expected to see right out of the gate. Boston is 6-1 both SU and ATS in their last 7 games. They also have revenge on their mind from a 6-point loss at Cleveland back in November. This game simply means a lot more to the Celtics than it does the Cavs. It's also worth noting that Cleveland hasn't been shooting the ball great of late, hitting under 39% from the field in each of their last 2 games. Give me Boston +7! |
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12-28-16 | Bucks v. Pistons -3 | 119-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Pistons -3) The Pistons are worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Bucks. Detroit was able to snap their 5-game losing streak with a 106-90 win at home over the Cavs last time out. While Cleveland was without James, it was still a big win for the Pistons and getting things turned around. The thing is Detroit is still being undervalued because of their recent poor play. The Pistons are playing much better at home and the Bucks are just 4-8 on the road. Pistons have won 4 of the last 5 meetings at home against Milwaukee and are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games when they have lost 4 of their last 5. Give me Detroit -3! |
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12-27-16 | Thunder v. Heat +3.5 | 106-94 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational Dog of the Day (Heat +3.5) I see this as a really tough spot for OKC to come out and play well. Westbrook and the Thunder really came out with a ton of energy in their 112-100 win at home over the Timberwolves on Christmas Day. Now they have to make the long trip to Miami and face a Heat team that has gone just 3-9 in their last 12. However, Miami has covered their last 2 and 6 of 8 overall. They have the guard play to give Westbrook some problems and Whiteside down low to protect the rim. These two played in OKC earlier this season and the Heat held the Thunder to just 97 points with Westbrook scoring only 14 on 5 of 16 shooting. Miami is well-rested, having not played since last Friday. Give me the Heat +3.5! |
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12-26-16 | Suns +13 v. Rockets | 115-131 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA Dog of the Day (Suns +13) I'll gladly back the Suns here at this price. These two teams just played last Wednesday in Phoenix, which the Rockets were able to win 125-111 covering easily as a 6-point favorite. That was a much closer game than the final score would indicate, as Houston only led by 6 at the half and 7 going into the 4th. They won by 14 shooting a ridiculous 18-38 (47.4%) from 3-point range. The Suns showed they can have success offensively and with the Rockets likely not hitting at the same consistency from long-distance, Phoenix should be able to keep this one much closer than the books are suggesting. Give me the Suns +13! |
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12-22-16 | Magic v. Knicks -5 | 95-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Knicks -5) I'll gladly back the Knicks at home laying a short number here against a below-average Magic team, who is getting too much respect here after covering 4 of their last 5. New York is 10-4 at home this season with the 4 losses coming against the Rockets, Jazz, Thunder and Cavs. All teams who are currently 5 or more games over .500. I also don't the Knicks are getting enough respect here, as they have really been playing well after a slow start. New York is 12-7 in their last 19 after a miserable 3-6 start. Keep in mind that 4 of their 7 losses during their recent surge have come with Rose either out or playing 10 minutes or less. He returned to the lineup last time out against the Pacers and was sharp with 24 points and 6 assists. Give me the Knicks -5! |
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12-21-16 | Kings v. Jazz -7 | Top | 94-93 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Jazz -7) This is a prime bounce back spot for Utah, who was embarrassed at Golden State last night 74-104. The only positive from that performance was the Jazz were able to save some minutes on their starters, as the game was well in hand by the 4th quarter. Only Gobert played more than 30 minutes and he logged just 31 minutes. The key here is that Sacramento is also playing on no rest, but off a much different game. The Kings used up a ton of energy rallying from a double-digit halftime deficit to stun the Blazers at home 126-121. That game was clearly played at a frantic pace and I just don't see Sacramento having enough left in the tank to keep this game close. Keep in mind Utah had won 11 of 13 prior to last night's loss and are 10-5 at home, while the Kings are just 5-11 on the road. Give me the Jazz -7! |
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12-21-16 | Wizards v. Bulls -4 | 107-97 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Bulls -4) I think the Wizards are getting way too much respect in this one. Washington has covered 4 straight and are 5-2 in their last 7, but that run almost exclusively came on their home floor. The Wizards are miserable 2-9 on the road and it's simply not being reflected in this line. Chicago hasn't been playing great of late, but were as sharp as they have been all season in their last game, knocking off Detroit 113-82. I look for that to carry over here and for the Bulls to win this one going away. Give me Chicago -4! |
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12-20-16 | Pelicans -3.5 v. 76ers | 108-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA -76ers/Pelicans- Bookie ATS Crusher (Pelicans -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans as a short road favorite against the 76ers. Philadelphia is improved over recent years, but are still just 7-20 and missing No. 1 overall pick Ben Simmons. While the Pelicans are just 9-20, they are finally starting to get healthy and have one of the best players in the game in Anthony Davis, who I think is going to torment the young big men for Philadelphia. Coming off back-to-back double-digit losses against the Rockets and Spurs, plus playing with revenge from an earlier loss at home to the 76ers, we should get a max effort here from the road team. Give me the Pelicans -3.5! |
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12-18-16 | Raptors -5.5 v. Magic | 109-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA -Raptors/Magic- Bookie Crusher (Raptors -5.5) I'll back the Toronto in this spot. The Raptors are coming off a rare home loss to the Hawks and I look for them to be all business in this one. Toronto hasn't lost back-to-back games since late November. Their previous loss at home came to the Cavs on 12/5 and they responded with a 14-point win and cover of the Timberwolves. Orlando has been playing better of late, but they are no where close in talent and I look for them to struggle to keep this game within 6-points. Note that Toronto has gone 6-1 in the last 7 meetings with the Magic. Give me the Raptors -5.5! |
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12-17-16 | Knicks v. Nuggets -2 | 114-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NBA -Knicks/Nuggets- Bookie Crusher (Nuggets -2) I'll back the Nuggets laying a small number at home against the Knicks, who are in a bad spot here. New York is running on fumes right now, as they get ready to play their 5th straight road game on a road trip that has now spanned 9 days. Just the thought of returning home is going to make it tough for the Knicks to come out and play well here against a Nuggets team that I feel is about to go on a run. Denver is finally at full strength and they showed some of their potential when healthy in their last game, where they rolled the Blazers 132-120 at home. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Nuggets turned this one into a blowout. Give me Denver -2! |
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12-16-16 | Hawks +8 v. Raptors | Top | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hawks +8) This is going to look like the books set a bad line on this one. Atlanta has been struggling of late and come in off a 11-point home loss to the Magic, where they gave up 131 points to Orlando. The Hawks also recently made a trip to Toronto on 12/3 and were blown out of the gym in a 84-128 defeat. Toronto on the other hand has won 10 of 11 and it would appear they are in full on cruise control. What's worth noting here is the Raptors were a 8.5-point home favorite in that previous meeting against the Hawks and are now laying fewer points. I believe that's the books hinting on Atlanta being the right side. The Hawks are certainly better than what they have shown of late. I look for them to lay it all on the line in this one. Atlanta is fresh and have had plenty of time to get this straightened out, as they are playing just their 3rd game in the last 7 days. Give me the Hawks +8! |
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12-15-16 | Pacers v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 95-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pelicans -2.5) This is a really bad spot for the Pacers, who had to pack up and hit the road for New Orleans after last night's 89-95 loss at Miami. Not only is Indiana playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but this is also their 5th game in 7 days. I just don't see them having a lot left in the tank here. They are playing short-handed with Ellis and Stuckey both out. Note that Young, Turner and George all played 37+ minutes last night. The Pelicans have been struggling of late, but have played an absolutely brutal schedule during this stretch. While it came in a losing effort, I think this team gained a lot of confidence from their last game, which they only lost 109-113 to the Warriors. With a 3-game road trip on deck, I expect an all out effort here from New Orleans. Give me the Pelicans -2.5! |
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12-14-16 | Kings v. Rockets -9.5 | Top | 98-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Rockets -9.5) Houston has been on an absolute roll, as they come in having won 7 straight and 12 of their last 14 overall. James Harden is playing lights out and this Rockets offense should have their way against a suspect Kings defense. Houston already went into Sacramento and beat up on the Kings by a final of 117-104 and it wasn't really even that close (up 18 at half). Sacramento will be without second leading scorer Rudy Gay and that's a big loss, as they are going to need to put up a lot of points just to keep this game competitive. I don't think they can. Give me the Rockets -9.5! |