Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-07-19 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC@OAK to go Over the total. The Raiders have given up over 93 points in their last three games, and both Matt Stafford and Aaron Rodgers threw for over 400 yards against them. During that span their offense has also been productive, and Derek Carr has thrown for over 280 yards with at least two TDs in each of his last three starts. The Raiders host the Chargers on Thursday Night Football, and NFL passing leader Phillip Rivers. The over is 5-1 in the Raiders last six games overall. The over is 37-18-3 in the Raiders last 58 games following an ATS win. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 211.5 | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on PHI@UTAH to go Under the total. The Sixers are coming off their first loss of the season, and they might have trouble scoring here in Utah tonight. The Jazz are undefeated at home this season, and they rank first overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. They have allowed just 95.6 points per game this season, and they have been even tougher at home. Opponents have averaged just 90.6 points in Utah. The under is 5-0 in Utah's last five home games, and the under is 5-0 the Jazz last five games coming off a loss. These two teams have gone under in five straight meetings in Salt Lake City. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-19 | Heat v. Nuggets -4.5 | 89-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Miami Heat come into Denver with a 5-1 record, sitting first in the Eastern Conference. They might be playing a little over their heads though, and it's important to point out that two of their five wins have come against the Atlanta Hawks. This is a tough spot for an Eastern Conference team, playing on the road at altitude in Denver. A lot of people might not realize that Denver had the best home record in the NBA last season, going 34-7 at the Pepsi Center. Denver has won four of the last five head to head meetings, and the Heat are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Denver. The Heat are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine versus the NBA Northwest. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-05-19 | Coyotes v. Flames -155 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Calgary Flames. The Flames lost three of five games on long road trip, but they return home to face the Arizona Coyotes who are coming off an overtime win over Edmonton last night. This looks like a good spot for a team that finished first in the Western Conference last season. The Coyotes are off to a strong start, but it remains to be seen if they have what it takes to make the playoffs. The Coyotes are 2-12 in their last 14 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, and they will have their backup goaltender between the pipes tonight. The Flames are 4-1 in their last five games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take CAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-19 | Blazers -9.5 v. Warriors | 118-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +9 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -130 | 193 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the NYG. The Cowboys will be a huge road favorite in New York on Monday night, despite the fact that Dallas has lost three of it's last four overall. The Giants are just 2-6, but they have improved tremendously since Daniel Jones took over at QB. They are coming off four straight losses after Jones won his first two starts, but both of their last two losses came in games decided by less than seven points. Saquon Barkley was injured for two of the last four losses, but perhaps for the first time Jones will have his star running back at full strength. The Cowboys have lost two of three road games including a loss in New York to the Jets. They have no business being favored by more than a TD here. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
10* |
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11-03-19 | Patriots -155 v. Ravens | 20-37 | Loss | -155 | 46 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the New England Patriots. New England is still undefeated, but experienced bettors know that eventually there will be money to be made betting against the Patriots. Apparently there are many that think this week's game in Baltimore is just such an opportunity. I can't see it myself. Belichick has had plenty of success against young quarterbacks, and this defense is going to make life tough on Lamar Jackson. Tom Brady is 6-1 lifetime against the Ravens during the regular season, and New England simply has more weapons. This is a game where Belichick is likely to scheme his way to victory. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Browns +1.5 v. Broncos | 19-24 | Loss | -115 | 137 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. Everyone is talking about how bad Baker Mayfield is, and how bad the Cleveland Browns are. What people aren't talking about, is who they have played the last three weeks. Their last three losses have come to Seattle, San Francisco and New England. Those three teams have a combined record of 22-2. When you look at the Browns schedule, it's no wonder Baker Mayfield has such poor numbers. They really need a win here in Denver this week, and the Broncos appear to be tanking. Joe Flacco is out for the year and will be replaced by a third stringer Brandon Allen who has no starting experience. This should be the beggining of Baker Mayfield's redemption tour. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Lions v. Raiders -143 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. I bet on the Raiders last week, and here is what I said prior to their loss (and cover) versus Houston: "The Raiders came into Green Bay as a big underdog, and just before halftime they were just a yard away from a go ahead touchdown. Instead Derek Carr fumbled the ball into the endzone, and Aaron Rodgers came back and drove the length of the field to put Green Bay ahead by double digits. The 14 point swing was just too difficult to overcome, as Rodgers simply couldn't be stopped. Here in Houston today they are getting seven points, and I expect them to have a chance to win this game outright." They are back at home after playing five straight on the road (including London). With Detroit at less than full strength, this looks like a great spot to back the Raiders as a home favorite. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Vikings -130 v. Chiefs | 23-26 | Loss | -130 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-03-19 | Texans v. Jaguars +3 | 26-3 | Loss | -125 | 156 h 25 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-02-19 | Canucks v. Sharks -145 | 5-2 | Loss | -145 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the San Jose Sharks. The Sharks are off to a terrible start to the season, and they sit just one point out of last place in the Pacific Division. They host Vancouver on Saturday night at the Shark Tank, and with both teams playing on back to back nights this spot favors San Jose. The Canucks played in Anaheim on Friday, while the Sharks were at home versus Winnipeg. The Canucks are 10-28 in their last 38 games playing on back to back nights, and they are 2-8 in their last 10 versus San Jose. Take SJS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-19 | 76ers v. Blazers -119 | 129-128 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers. Philly comes into Portland with a perfect 4-0 record, thanks to what Brett Bown calls "bully ball defense" and "smashmouth offense". it's real," he said. "Every time we can, we like to point to an example, 'Yup, this is Philly hard. Yup, that thing had an edge.' This is real. There's a spirit amongst our team that's authentic. It is Philadelphia and life moves on. That's part of it." Joel Embiid has been a big part of Philly's success, averaging over 23 points and 10 rebounds per game. He's serving the first game of a two game suspension tonight, and his production will be missed. Portland has won six of the last nine meetings, and five straight at home during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-19 | Nuggets -175 v. Magic | 91-87 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. After losing at home to Dallas and then on the road at New Orleans, the Nuggets coach Mike Malone ripped his team. "We're a great talk team. We can talk before the season starts about all the things we want to accomplish, and we want to be a contending team," Malone said. "It's all bulls---. Don't tell me about it, show me. And right now we've got a lot of guys that aren't showing me much." This should be a focused team tonight in Orlando, and while the the Magic are able to compete with the majority of teams in the East, I don't fancy their chances against one of the best teams from the Western Conference. Denver is 6-0 straight up and 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings versus Orlando. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-02-19 | Utah v. Washington +3.5 | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Washington. It shocks me to see the Huskies getting points at home to Utah. Sure the Utes are ranked in the Top 10, and Washington is unranked. Sure the Utes have a better record. But let's really look at what separates these two teams. Five of Utah's seven wins have come at home, and the one time they played a competitive team on the road they lost at USC. They don't have any wins over teams currently ranked in the Top 25. The Huskies have two losses, one in a weather delayed game versus California, and a close loss to the #7 ranked Oregon Ducks. Washington is 6-1 straight up in the last seven meetings between these teams, and I'll take the points with the Huskies as a home dog. Take WASH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-19 | Georgia v. Florida +6 | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida Gators. |
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10-31-19 | Flames v. Predators -149 | 6-5 | Loss | -149 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nashville Predators. The Flames were the first place team in the Western Conference last year, but they were knocked out in the first round of the playoffs by the Colorado Avalanche. Moves made in the off-season haven't helped Calgary get better, and one deal appears particulalry lobsided. The Flames sent James Neal to Edmonton for Milan Lucic, and while Neal is second in the NHL with 11 goals so far, Lucic is playing just 12 minutes per game and has just three points. The Predators have long been one of the top home teams in the NHL, and Pekka Rinne has incredible numbers at home in Nashville. Rinne is coming off a shutout in a home win in his last start. Take NAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-19 | Nationals v. Astros OVER 7.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 7.5. The bookmakers are calling for a pitcher's duel with Zack Greinke and Max Scherzer starting in Game 7. Both these aces might be vulnerable here and the bats for both teams have been hot. The ball was carrying well last night, with a total of four home runs. Scherzer was scratched from his last start due to injury, but he's going to try to go after having a cortisone shot. He allowed a pair of runs on five hits and three walks in five innings in his last start, and he needed over 100 pitches to get through those five innings. Greinke is 0-2 with a 5.30 ERA in the post-season, and he was fortunate to allow just one run in 4/2 innings in his last start. He gave up a whopping seven hits and three walks in Game 3. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-19 | Nationals +1.5 v. Astros | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Washington +1.5. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Astros lost Game 1 as the big home favorite, and they are still heavily favored in Game 2. I like Washington's chances of at least keeping this game close. Stephen Strasburg will toe the slab for the Nats, and he's 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA in four post-season starts. The Nationals won all four of those games. The Astros hand the ball to Justin Verlander, who has been far from perfect in the playoffs. He's allowed a total of 10 runs while going winless in his last three starts. The Nats have a far better team batting average versus Verlander than the Astros do against Strasburg." The same matchup in Game 6 and I see it the same way. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-19 | Dolphins +15 v. Steelers | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-28-19 | Magic v. Raptors -4.5 | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in tonight's game in Chicago with both teams playing the second game of a back to back. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-19 | Packers -5 v. Chiefs | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Green Bay Packers. The Chiefs came into last week's game in Denver off back to back losses, and then they lost starting quarterback Patrick Mahomes to a serious knee injury. The fact that they won in a blowout with third string quarterback Matt Moore says a lot more about how bad Denver is rather than giving any indication that the Chiefs are in good shape in the absence of Mahomes. The Packers have won three straight, and that includes a double digit road win over Dallas. Aaron Rodgers lit up Oakland last week, throwing for 429 yards and five TDs. He's going up against a Chiefs defense that has allowed opponents to score 25+ points four times in seven games so far. The Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-19 | Raiders +7 v. Texans | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. The Raiders came into Green Bay as a big underdog, and just before halftime they were just a yard away from a go ahead touchdown. Instead Derek Carr fumbled the ball into the endzone, and Aaron Rodgers came back and drove the length of the field to put Green Bay ahead by double digits. The 14 point swing was just too difficult to overcome, as Rodgers simply couldn't be stopped. Here in Houston today they are getting seven points, and I expect them to have a chance to win this game outright. As well as Deshaun Watson has played, Houston has given up a ton of points. The total for this game is one of the highest on the board, and in a projected shootout it might be the last score that wins. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-19 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Liverpool -185 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
7* |
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10-26-19 | Astros v. Nationals +1.5 | 8-1 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Washington Nationals. The Astros are back in the series after winning Game 3, but I still like the Nationals as the home underdog in Game 4. Patrick Corbin will toe the slab for Washington. "These are games I want to pitch in," Corbin said. "I'm really looking forward to the opportunity to go out there and help us win a ball game. This is what you prepare for all offseason, to pitch in these games and just to have the opportunity to go out there, give it my best." He was 8-2 with a 2.40 ERA at home in Washington during the regular season. The Astros will turn to their bullpen, and 24 year old Jose Urquidy will throw the first pitch. The right-hander has allowed a run on six hits and a couple walks in 4 1/3 innings this post-season. Adam Eaton is batting .500 in the series, and he's 2-for-2 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Roberto Osuna. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-19 | Pelicans +11.5 v. Rockets | 123-126 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-26-19 | Raptors -142 v. Bulls | 108-84 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in tonight's game in Chicago with both teams playing the second game of a back to back. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-19 | Notre Dame v. Michigan +1 | Top | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
This is a10* play on the Michigan Wolverines. A lot of the Television talk show hosts will tell you that Jim Harbaugh doesn't win the big games (Colin Cowherd), but I don't think Harbaugh gets enough credit for the games he has won at Michigan. Tonight is a big game for Harbaugh, with a chance to beat a Top 10 team at home in Ann Arbor. Now I am not a big fan of the Notre Dame Irish, and their winning records against inferior opponents. The knock on Notre Dame is the same every year ... they just don't play anybody. They've faced one team currently ranked in the Top 25, and they lost 23-17 to Georgia. Now you could call that a "good loss", but unless you have a handful of "good wins" to go a long with it, then it doesn't impress me. This game also has revenge written all over it, after the Irish beat Michigan in the season opener 24-17 last year. The home team is 8-1 straight up in the last nine head to head meetings, and that trend should continue tonight. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-19 | Blue Jackets v. Flyers -150 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Philadelphia Flyers. The Flyers have won back to back games, and they are 3-1 at home so far. They host the Columbus Blue Jackets tonight, and Columbus is just 2-2 on the road. "It's 10 games -- I don't know who the hell we are," Columbus coach John Tortorella said. "I like this team. I like the enthusiasm they bring. They've got to keep working at it so it becomes who we are, it becomes second nature." The Blue Jackets are 2-6 in their last eight games as an underdog of +110 to +150, while the Flyers are 13-5 in their last 18 games as a favorite. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-19 | Penn State v. Michigan State UNDER 43.5 | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PSU@MSU to go Under the total. The Spartans are coming off a bye week, after getting throttled in a 38-0 loss to Wisconsin. They should be ready to go to war in this home game against Penn State, and both teams have been very comfortable playing low scoring smashmouth football games. The Nittany Lions have won a pair of games already that they failed to score 20 points in, 17-12 at Iowa and 17-10 at home versus Pittsburgh. The Spartans offense rarely scores 20, but their defense at home in games like this has risen to the challenge. I think if either of these teams scores 20 points in this game it will be enough to win. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-19 | Chelsea v. Burnley OVER 2.75 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 2.5 goals. Chelsea comes into Saturday's match versus Burnley in top form, the Blues have won five straight matches in all competitions. Chelsea sits fourth in the Premier League table, and their 19 goals for are just two less than first place Liverpool. The difference is that Chelsea has also conceded 14 goals, which is twice as many as Liverpool. Recent matches versus Burnley have been high scoring, with three or more goals scored in each of the last four meetings. The last time these two teams met the result was a 2-2 draw. I fancy Burnley to get a goal here, but I don't think it will be enough to salvage any points. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-19 | Astros v. Nationals +1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -138 | 31 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Nationals. Washington has been the better team throughout the playoffs, getting clutch hits and excellent starting pitching since day 1. The Astros are still considered the favorite after losing the first two games at home, but my money is on the Nats once again. Anibal Sanchez will toe the slab for Washington, and while he doesn't have the same star power as names like Verlander and Greinke, he's been the more dominant pitcher in these playoffs. He came one inning away from a no-hitter in Game 1 of the NLCS versus St. Louis. The Astros hand the ball to Zack Greinke, who just hasn't been all that sharp in the playoffs. He's given up 10 runs on 15 hits in three appearances, without recording a win. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-19 | Wild v. Predators -171 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nashville Predators. It's no surprise that the Nashville Predators have won four of five home games so far this season, they have been one of the best home teams in the NHL over the last 4-5 years. They should be in a good spot to improve on that record tonight, hosting a struggling Minnesota Wild team without starting netminder Devan Dubnyk. Backup goalie Alex Stalock will be between the pipes tonight, and he was lit up for four goals in a loss to Montreal in his last start. He's 0-4-1 with a 2.80 GAA in five career appearances versus Nashville. Take NAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-19 | Wizards v. Mavs -8.5 | 100-108 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-23-19 | Nationals +1.5 v. Astros | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-23-19 | Toronto FC v. New York -102 | 2-1 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers +3.5 | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Clippers. The Clippers were a playoff team last year and the Lakers were not. The Lakers are expected to be dramatically better with Anthony Davis, and so are the Clippers with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. The Lakers though are old, I don't like their depth, and I think it's inevitable that LeBron loses a step. The Clippers are shorthanded without Paul George, but the Lakers won't have Kyle Kuzma. Anthony Davis isn't 100 percent either, and I think this Lakers team is going to really struggle to live up to all the hype. My money is on Kawhi to become the NEW .. King of LA. Take KAWHI over LEBRON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-19 | Nationals +1.5 v. Astros | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Nationals +1.5. The Nats are the surprise team in the World Series, facing an Astros team that was favored to win it all since the beginning of the season. In a battle of aces, and with Washington having the hotter bats, the underdog looks like the play here. Gerrit Cole will toe the slab for Houston, and he's been untouchable in the post-season. He will face a Washington lineup that has had some success against him in the past. The Nats have been the highest scoring team in the playoffs, hitting for the highest average. Anthony Rendon is batting .385 lifetime versus Cole (13 at bats) and he comes into the World Series with the highest post-season batting average (.375) of any of the active players. The Nats hand the ball to Max Scherzer, who is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in the playoffs. He tossed seven scoreless innings, striking out 11 in his last start. Scherzer averaged nine strikeouts per start in the regular season. Jose Altuve is 2-for-11 lifetime versus Scherzer. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-19 | Ducks v. Predators -159 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nashville Predators. It's been a fantastic start to the season for an Anaheim Ducks team that was one of the worst in the Western Conference last year. It's hard not to peg them as overacheivers at this point, and they are in a tough spot on the road at Nasvhille tonight. The Ducks are 7-21 in their last 28 road games versus a team with a winning home record, while the Predators are 69-23 in their last 92 games as a favorite of -201 or greater. The home team has won five straight in this series, and the favorite in 5-2 in the last seven head to head meetings. John Gibson has lost two of his three starts on the road this year, and he gave up four goals in a loss at Nashville in his only visit last season. Take NAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-19 | Pelicans v. Raptors -6.5 | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in a home opener against the short-handed Pelicans. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-19 | Atalanta v. Manchester City OVER 3.75 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on Atalanta vs Manchester City over 2.5 goals. Manchester City is hosting the third place team from the Series A on UCL Match Day 3, and Atalanta is the highest scoring team in the Italian League. In just eight matches they have 21 goals, a whopping five more than first place Juventus. Their potent offense has made up for their mediocre defending, as they have also conceded 13 goals in eight matches. Manchester City might be behind Liverpool in the Premier League table, but their +20 goal differential is the best in England. We should see a shootout at the Etihad in Manchester. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |