Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-26-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6.5 | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. |
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05-24-22 | Warriors v. Mavs | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. This isn't the first time in these playoffs that the Warriors have had a chance to sweep. After going up 3-0 on Denver, they came out flat in Game 4. The Nuggets had a double digit lead at halftime, and went on to win by a score of 126-121. In the second round against the Grizzlies, they had a chance to close out the series in Game 5. Memphis jumped all over them early, clobbering them by a score of 134-95 to extend the series. It certainly wouldn't be any shock at all if the Warriors turned in another lackluster effort here, and then take the series back home in Game 5. The old saying goes: "History Repeats Itself". GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston. The Celtics got off to a strong start in Game 1, but the Heat took over the game in the third quarter and went on to win 118-107. Boston has proven the ability to bounce back from a loss, covering in four straight when coming off a loss. The Celtics are 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Miami, and they are are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. While it looks like Al Horford will miss Game 2, Marcus Smart is expected to be in the lineup. I like Boston to even this series at 1-1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -4.5 | 87-112 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on GSW. After crushing the Suns in Game 7, there are no shortage of believers in this Dallas team. The Mavs do look like the real deal, but Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals looks like a let down spot for Dallas. The Warriors have won all six of their home games in these playoffs, and they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six Conference Finals games. Prior to their win in Game 7, the Mavs had lost all three road games in their series versus Phoenix. You might here a lot of talk of how the Mavs won the season series 3-1, but it's important to put those games into perspective. Draymond Green wasn't even in the lineup in three of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-15-22 | Mavs v. Suns -6 | 123-90 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PHX. The home team is 6-0 in this series heading back to Phoenix for Game 7. Historically home court advantage has been quite significant when an NBA series goes to a seventh game. The Mavericks are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Phoenix. They shot just 38 percent from the field and scored just 80 points while losing Game 5 here at the Footprint Center. The Suns are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-15-22 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | 81-109 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Here is what I said before Game 6: "The Celtics are reeling after blowing a big lead late in Game 5, and now they have to win on the road in Milwaukee in Game 6 to avoid elimination. Boston looks banged up with Marcus Smart limping on the floor and Robert Williams siting out the last two games. Don't be fooled by the fact that Jason Tatum is coming off back to back 30 point games. He's just 5-for-21 from beyond the arc in those games. If the Celtics have to rely on Al Horford to be the best player on the floor, my money is on Giannis and the Bucks at home." Neither of these teams has won back to back games in this series, and I expect that trend to continue in Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-12-22 | Suns v. Mavs +2 | 86-113 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Dallas. I said the following before Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinal: "Call me a conspiracy theorist, but it's no secret that it's in the best interest of the NBA to extend a series when one team is facing elimination. That's particularly true when the game is officiated by Scott Foster. Teams facing elimination are 20-5 in such games that he's called in his career. As of now (Tuesday night), there is no guarantee Foster will be the crew chief for this game. Regardless, expect the Grizzlies to get the benefit of the doubt, and a few favorable calls." So fa the home team has won all five games in this series, and there is every indication that trend will continue. The Suns are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite. The Mavericks are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +4.5 | Top | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Grizz. Call me a conspiracy theorist, but it's no secret that it's in the best interest of the NBA to extend a series when one team is facing elimination. That's particularly true when the game is officiated by Scott Foster. Teams facing elimination are 20-5 in such games that he's called in his career. As of now (Tuesday night), there is no guarantee Foster will be the crew chief for this game. Regardless, expect the Grizzlies to get the benefit of the doubt, and a few favorable calls. When it was announced that Ja Morant will not play Game 5, the line moved 2.5 points. Of course Morant didn't play Game 4 in Golden State and that game went right down to the wire. Memphis is now 20-6 straight up in games without Morant this season. The Warriors are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings in Memphis, and the Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -5 | 110-107 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play Boston. The Celtics stole all the momentum in this series with a come from behind win in Milwaukee in Game 4. Al Horford took the game over in the 4th quarter, scoring 30 points on 11-of-14 shooting. A pivotal Game 5 on the road looks like a tough spot for Milwaukee. The Bucks are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six at The Garden. They are are 1-9-1 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings. My money is on the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-10-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | 80-110 | Win | 100 | 45 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHX. I said this prior to Game 2: "The Suns just barely covered in Game 1, after allowing Dallas to score 35 in the fourth quarter. That being said the game was never in doubt, the Suns were up by 13 points at the half and they took a 17 point lead into the 4th quarter. The Mavericks are 8-22 ATS in the last 30 meetings, and they are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Phoenix. The Suns have won 10 straight versus Dallas dating back to 2020. The Suns are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Conference Semifinals games. As impressive as the Mavs were in the first round, they were facing a Jazz team that is notorious for falling apart in the Playoffs. Phoenix is looking to get back to the Finals, and at this point it's tough to see anyone stopping them." The Mavs went on to win both games in Dallas drawing level in the series, and Chris Paul really struggled in those games. CP3 has something to prove here, and I like the Suns to blow the doors off early. The home team has won the first quarter in all four games in this series so far. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-09-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Bucks | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Celtics. The Bucks held on to win Game 3 as the Celtics game tying shot came just after the time expired. There was a lot of talk about controversial calls, and neither team was happy about the officiating. The fact that Jason Tatum scored 10 points on 4-of-19 shooting and the game nearly went to overtime might actually be a good sign heading into Game 4. Surely Tatum will be better here on Monday. The Celtics are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 road games, and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine coming off a loss. The Celtics are 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -6 | 112-142 | Win | 100 | 69 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. The Grizzlies have had trouble with slow starts in these playoffs, and they are strutting into San Francisco with their chests puffed out after a big win in Game 2. This sets them up for a big let down here in Game 3, and I expect the Warriors to blow the doors off early. The Warriors lost once in their first round series versus Denver, and in the next game they started strong leading 30-25 after the first quarter. The Grizzlies are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 playoff games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-03-22 | Bucks +4.5 v. Celtics | 86-109 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bucks. The Celtics had no answer for Milwaukee in Game 1, and it's difficult to imagine how they are going to turn things around a few days later without Marcus Smart. Boston was a 4.5 point favorite in Game 1, and they are again asked to cover points in Game 2. It seems quite clear that even if the Celtics can win this game (and that might be a big if) they shouldn't be asked to cover a bunch of points against a the two time MVP and defending NBA Champions. The Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-02-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHX. The Suns came into the post-season as the best team in the NBA, and in the first round they survived an injury to Devin Booker. They host the Mavs in the second round, and Booker is back at full strength. Chris Paul ia coming off a perfect shooting night, going 14-of-14 from the field in Game 6 versus the Pelicans. The Suns have won nine straight versus Dallas dating back to 2020. The Suns are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games. As impressive as the Mavs were in the first round, they were facing a Jazz team that is notorious for falling apart in the Playoffs. Phoenix is looking to get back to the Finals, and at this point it's tough to see anyone stopping them. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-22 | Hawks v. Heat -7 | 94-97 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. I bet Miami in Game 4, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Hawks win in Game 3 will prevent them from being swept, but I don't think they are back in the series. Trae Young hit the game winner in the final seconds, but it wasn't really a convincing performance. Kyle Lowry might be out with a hamstring injury, but the Heat were 12-7 in games he missed during the regular season. The Hawks are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win. The Heat are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games, and I expect them to want it more here in Game 4." Back in Miami it's going to get ugly for Trae Young and the Hawks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-22 | Bulls +10 v. Bucks | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 31 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bulls. DeRozan after Game 1: "I'm not gonna go 6-for25 again". The Bulls shot 32 % from the field and just 18 % from beyond the arc in Game 1 and still almost won. While I am not convinced the Bulls won't get swept, I think it's asking a lot for the Bucks to be a double digit favorite after nearly blowing the series opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-18-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -6.5 | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Philly. I had high hopes for the Raptors in this series, but losing three key players (Barnes, Trent Jr. and Young) in Game 1 doesn't bode well heading into Game 2 in Philly. The MVP Joel Embiid scored just 19 points on 5 -of-15 shooting in Game 1, and the Sixers won by 20. You can expect Embiid to be better in Game 2, and all of a sudden the Raptors are at a huge disadvantage. Toronto was in foul trouble throughout Game 1, and Van Fleet and Boucher both fouled out. Staying out of foul trouble is going to be that much more difficult with fewer bodies to through out there. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-22 | Raptors +4.5 v. 76ers | 111-131 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. I like the Raptors to steal Game 1 and win this series in six games or less. Philly is the favorite, but it's no secret that they don't match up well with this young, athletic Raptors team. James Harden is a proven playoff performer (proven to underperform). He averaged just over 10 points per game in the Eastern Conference Semi Finals versus Milwaukee last year. He averaged just over 15 points per game in the month of April, and it's obvious that he didn't come into this season in the best shape of his life. The Raptors are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog, and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four versus Philly. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-10-22 | Heat v. Magic +12 | 111-125 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Orlando. The Heat have already clinched first place in the East, so this is a meaningless game in Orlando. Jimmy Butler didn't travel with the team, and this should be a game where the starters give way to the backups. The Magic won their last home game by a score of 120-115 over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Heat have only covered twice in their last seven games at Orlando, and the Magic look good as a double digit home dog in a meaningless game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 34 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. Here is what I said prior to the Tar Heels Final Four win: "Duke will be the favorite in their Final Four matchup versus North Carolina, and the question is how much better than the Tar Heels is this team. They finished with one more win in the ACC, and they both got eliminated by Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament. The Tar Heels upset Duke in Coach K's final home game at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and they have been lighting it up in the NCAA Tournament. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%." As good as Kansas is, they aren't unbeatable. They had their hands full with Creighton and Providence in the tournament, and it seems like a big ask to cover and handful of points here in the Final. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Duke | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 58 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC. Duke will be the favorite in their Final Four matchup versus North Carolina, and the question is how much better than the Tar Heels is this team. They finished with one more win in the ACC, and they both got eliminated by Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament. The Tar Heels upset Duke in Coach K's final home game at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and they have been lighting it up in the NCAA Tournament. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%. The Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite, and I am not sure they are 4.5 points better than UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-22 | St. Peter's v. North Carolina -8 | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC. There isn't a lot of room left on the St. Peters bandwagon, as it seems that everyone is a die hard Peacocks fan these days. It's impossible not to give them credit for making the Elite-8, but the road to the Final Four has a major obstacle ahead. North Carolina has scored an average of 87 points per game in the tournament so far, including a 93-86 win over defending champs and #1 seed Baylor. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%. Everyone loves a Cinderella Story, but we all know how it ends. The clock is about to strike midnight for the Peacocks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL +6.5 v. Kansas | 50-76 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami. While the Hurricanes are one of the few remaining teams that were not projected to be here, keep in mind that they finished just two games behind Duke and a game back of North Carolina in the ACC this year. They beat Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium and won at home versus the Tar Heels. The were bounced from the ACC Tournament in an 80-76 loss to Duke. Kansas survived close games against Creighton and Providence, and they can expect to be challenged once again in the Elite-8 versus Miami. The Hurricanes are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog, and the Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-22 | North Carolina +2.5 v. UCLA | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 140 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on UNC. The Tar Heels scored 90+ points in both their first two games of the tournament. UCLA struggled on offense in their first round matchup versus Akron, scoring just 57 points, and they have averaged less than 70 points over their last five games. The Tar Heels are 8-1 in their last nine games overall, and that includes a win at Duke in Coach K's last home game. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%. I will take the hot team as an underdog here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-22 | Providence +7.5 v. Kansas | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 55 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Providence. I bet on the Friars in their win over Richmond, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Friars finished first in the Big East this season with a 14-3 record, half a game ahead of Villanova. The Wildcats are favored by 15 in their first round matchup versus a 15 seed. The Friars are just a slight favorite here against 12 seed Richmond." They won the game by 28 points, and they look good as a big underdog here versus Kansas. The Friars are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog, and the Jayhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova -4.5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 31 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Villanova. Michigan has got off to slow starts in both their first two games at the NCAA Tournament, but they have manged to come back and win. That might not be so easy in the Sweet-16 versus Villanova. The Wildcats are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games, and they are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. They beat Ohio State by double digits in their last game, and they have won 12 of their last 13 overall. The Wolverines are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-22 | Blazers v. Pistons -7 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pistons. The Pistons are one of the worst teams in the NBA, so it looks a little strange seeing them such a big favorite here tonight. They host a Portland team that is playing on back to back nights at the end of a road trip on the other side of the country. The Blazers have lost 10 of their last 11 and nine of those 1o losses came by at least nine points. The Trail Blazers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Pistons don't win a lot of games, but they have been playing great lately. This is a chance to get a win at home, and I expect them to take full advantage. The Pistons are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and they have covered in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-22 | Spurs v. Warriors -6 | 110-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-18-22 | Clippers +7.5 v. Jazz | 92-121 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. |
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03-16-22 | Raptors v. Clippers +1.5 | 103-100 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. The Raptors have been on a roll, but injuries could put their winning streak in jeopardy. Three of five starters could be out of the lineup in LA tonight. Fred Van Fleet is dealing with knee pain after playing 40 minutes against the Lakers. The injury may explain his 11 points on 3-of-14 shooting. Gary Trent Jr. is questionable due to illness. The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered in 10 of their last 14 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-22 | Notre Dame v. Rutgers | 89-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ND. The Irish won 22 games this season, and finished 15-5 in the ACC (tied with North Carolina for 2nd). The shot over 38 percent from beyond the arc, ranking 2nd in the ACC in three points field goal percentage. They also shot 75.7 percent from the free throw line, second best in the ACC behind the Tar Heels. Rutgers ranked near the bottom of the BIG10 in both three point shooting as well as free throw percentage. The Scarlett Knights struggle to score at the best of times, and they averaged just 64.4 points per game over their last five. The Scarlet Knights are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall, while the Fighting Irish are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-22 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina | 72-59 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
5* |
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03-11-22 | Pistons +14 v. Celtics | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. The Pistons are in dead last in the Central Division Standings, but they've actually been one of the hotter teams in the Eastern Conference lately. Detroit has won six of nine overall, and one of those wins came against the Celtics in Boston. A few days after beating the Celtics at the Garden, the Celtics won at the Palace by a score of 113-104. The Pistons have covered the spread in nine straight games, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. They have also covered in seven straight versus the Celtics, and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in Boston. This line looks a bit inflated all things concerned. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-22 | Suns v. Bucks -7 | 122-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bucks. The Suns are the best team in the NBA, and they are coming off a home win over the Knicks despite playing without their two best players. They are due for a let down here on the road in Milwaukee, and without Devin Booker and CP3 they could be in trouble. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. They have failed to cover in four of their last five at Milwaukee. The Bucks have won three straight, and they have scored an average of 123 points in those games. The Bucks are healthy and the Suns are not, this game should be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-22 | Michigan v. Ohio State -3.5 | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Ohio State. Michigan is 2-2 since the loss to Wisconsin that resulted in the suspension of head coach Juwan Howard for the remainder of the season. This will be their first road game since that loss, and they are just 4-7 on the road this season. The Buckeyes have won 13 of 15 home games this season, and they have outscored opponents by an average margin of 12 points per game on their home court. The Buckeyes are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they seem to draw a favorable matchup in their final home game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-22 | Fresno State v. Wyoming -4 | Top | 64-68 | Push | 0 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys were in first place in the Mountain West a couple weeks ago, but after losing four of their last six overall they sit in fourth. So what happened? Well they had a tough schedule, facing Colorado State and UNLV on the road, and losing a close home game against long time Mountain West powerhouse San Diego State. They are still 15-1 at home, with the only loss coming to the Aztecs. They beat Boise State, Colorado State and Utah State at home, and tonight's game against Fresno State will be their final home game. The Bulldogs have lost five of their last seven, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-22 | Iowa v. Michigan -1 | 82-71 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan. Iowa might be the hottest team in the BIG10. They come into Ann Arbor as winners of seven of their last eight overall. The one loss came at home to the Wolverines. Three of those seven wins came on the road, and all three came against teams in the bottom four in the conference standings. While the Hawkeyes have look great lately, the majority of those wins came against mediocre opposition. Only one of their last seven wins came against a ranked team. They have lost five straight road games at Michigan, and the Wolverines look good as a pickem here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-22 | Minnesota v. Maryland -5 | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Maryland. The Terrapins have won three of their last four, and they play their final home game Wednesday versus Minnesota. The Gophers have lost nine of their last 11 overall, and there isn't much reason to expect them to go all out here on the road at the end of the season. Maryland has won and covered in each of their last six meetings versus Minnesota. The Gophers are coming off back to back 20+ point losses in their last two road games, scoring just 45 and 46 points in those losses. The Gophers have averaged just 61.4 points per game on the road, and I expect them to struggle here at College Park. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-22 | Knicks v. 76ers -10.5 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Philly. It's too early to say that Philly got the better of the Nets in the trade that sent Ben Simmons to Brooklyn in return for Harden. So far it looks good for Philly. After scoring 27 in his Sixers debut, he scored 29 points and recorded a triple-double in a 125-109 win at New York on Sunday. This is just his third game with the Sixers, and his first home game. Expect the Sixers to go hard, as first impressions are important. The Knicks are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-22 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -3.5 | 53-36 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ISU. The Cyclones have won four straight, and their final home game comes against Oklahoma State on Wednesday. The Cowboys have lost eight of 10 road games this season, and they are 6-14-2 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The Cyclones are 14-4 at home, and they have allowed just 59.4 points per game at home. Izaiah Brockington has been on a tear, averaging over 24 points per game in his last five starts. He scored 26 points in a win over the Cowboys earlier this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-22 | Nets v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Nets might be favorites to win the Eastern Conference with a Big 3 of KD, Kyrie and Ben Simmons, but none of them will be in the lineup tonight in Toronto. The only healthy starter for the Nets will be Seth Curry, who has spent the majority of his career coming off the bench. The Nets lost at home last night to the Raptors by 36 points, and traveling north of the border 24 hours later isn't likely to yield a better result. The Raptors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-22 | San Diego State v. Wyoming +2 | 73-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wyoming. Nobody has won at Wyoming this season. Not Boise State, not Colorado State, and not Utah State. San Diego State has lost five of eight road games, losing at Colorado State, Utah State and Boise State. Given their resume, the Cowboys deserve to be a favorite here at home. The Aztecs will come in as a road favorite despite averaging just 60..5 points per game on the road. Wyoming has averaged 82.2 points per game at home. Expect a close game and I got my money on the home team plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Grizzlies v. Bulls -1 | 116-110 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bulls. Chicago has won six straight overall, and DeMar DeRozan has scored 30+ points in nine straight games. The Bulls host the Memphis Grizz Saturday, in a game that features two of the league's biggest stars. The Grizz have lost back to back games and Ja Morant hasn't been at his best lately. He battled a hip injury while scoring 20 points on 7-of-25 shooting in a loss to Minnesota in his last start. He was forced to leave the game in pain in the third quarter, but was able to return. He's listed as questionable, and while he's expected to play he might not be 100%. Not great timing for a head to head duel versus the MVP front runner. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Auburn v. Tennessee -3 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tennessee. The Vols and the Tigers are two of the top dogs in the SEC, and between the two of them they are 29-0 at home. Auburn has a decent road record (7-2), but a close examination of their last four road games suggests they are in big trouble here at Knoxville. They lost at Florida and Arkansas, and prior to that wins at Georgia and Missouri came by a combined three points. History favors the Vols, as the home team is 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-22 | Clippers v. Lakers | 105-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. At the age of 37, LeBron James played a career high 37 minutes in the NBA All Star game on a bad knee. He's listed as questionable for tonight's game against the Clippers. AD is out for sure, and so is Avery Bradley. The Clippers won three of four before the break, and they have managed to remain competitive without PG and Kawhi. The Clippers are 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games playing on 3 or more days rest, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. History favors the Clippers who are 9-0 ATS in the last nine meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-22 | Northwestern v. Penn State -1.5 | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Penn State. Penn State will host Northwestern Friday, and these two teams have plenty in common. They each have six wins in the BIG10. and both these teams are far better at home than they are on the road. The home team has won six of the last eight head to head meetings, and the Wildcats are 0-4 at Penn State during that span. The Nittany Lions are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games, and they have covered in four of their last five as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-22 | Cavs v. Pistons +9.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. The Cavs are just 2.5 games out of first place in the East, but they lost back to back games heading into the All Star break. They have three starters sidelined by injury, and they still come into Detroit as a big favorite. The Pistons have won their last two home games against Cleveland, and two of their last three home losses against the Cavs came in games decided in overtime. Before the break the Pistons upset the Celtics in Boston, with Cunningham, Grant and Bey all scored 20+ points. The young guns are starting to come together, and a competitve game at home against a banged up opponent seems likely here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-22 | Wyoming +6.5 v. Colorado State | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-23-22 | West Virginia v. Iowa State -5 | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa State. The West Virginia Mountaineers have lost 11 of their last 12 games, and that one win came in a home game against Iowa State. Well it's payback time for the Cyclones, who are 13-4 at home. The Mountaineers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, and they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a losing record. The Mountaineers might be looking ahead to a home game against Texas this Saturday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-22 | Penn State v. Maryland -2.5 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MD. Maryland only has four wins in the BIG10, but they have lost a couple big games that could have gone either way. Losing by two versus Michigan State, and losing to Purdue by one point doesn't show up in the standings. They host a Penn State team that has lost seven of eight road games, with the one win coming at Northwestern in a close game. Penn State won at College Park last March (rallying from a double digit halftime deficit), but the home team is 8-1 straight up in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-22 | Washington State v. USC -5.5 | 60-62 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on USC. The Cougars come into this game as losers of four straight, while USC has won five of six. The Trojans are 12-2 at home, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The favorite has covered in seven of the last nine meetings. USC has averaged over 77 points per game at home, and they have won 10 straight versus Washington State. The Cougars only covered in two of those 10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Utah State v. Boise State -4.5 | Top | 57-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Boise State. Boise State sits at the top of the Mountain West, with just a half game lead over Wyoming. They have a home game against Utah State Saturday, and I like the Broncos to win big. The Broncos have won four of the last five meetings versus the Aggies, and Utah State has struggled on the road this season. The Aggies are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Utah State has covered in just one of their last five games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-22 | Wright State v. Oakland -3 | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Grizzlies, Oakland is still undefeated at home, and they host the Wright State Raiders on Friday night. This will be a revenge game for the Grizzlies, who lost by double digits at Wright State a few weeks ago. The Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 as a home favorite. The Raiders are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six as an underdog. Oakland has score an average of just 75.9 points per game this season, but they have scored a whopping 87.5 points per game at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-22 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -1 | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tennessee. The Vols host Kentucky in a revenge game in Tennessee tonight, and this looks like a good spot to back the home team. Tennessee is 13-0 at home, and yet just a slight favorite here versus the Wildcats. They have held opponents to fewer than 60 points per game during their unbeaten run at home. The Wildcats are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Volunteers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-22 | Arkansas v. Missouri +8 | 76-57 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Missouri. The Razorbacks will be a well deserved favorite here at Missouri, coming into this game as winners of nine of their last 10 overall. Missouri has lost two of their last three at home, but those losses each came by a single point versus #1 ranked Auburn and the Florida Gators. The Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog, and they have covered in each of their last five home games. The home team has been the better bet in this series, covering in seven of the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-22 | Wyoming -5.5 v. New Mexico | 66-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys are now in first place in the Mountain West, and they come into tonight's game at New Mexico with a 10-1 conference record. The Lobos are just 2-6 in conference play. While New Mexico has won three of their last four, those wins came against weaker opposition (0-12 San Jose State and Northern New Mexico. The Cowboys are 28-9 ATS in their last 37 road games, and they are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Lobos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a winning road record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-22 | St Bonaventure v. St. Louis -5 | 68-61 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bilikens. The Bonnies are an underdog on the road at Saint Louis tonight, and this looks like a good spot to back the home team. The hosts have won four of the last five meetings, and the Bonnies are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a road underdog. The Bonnies were briefly in the Top 25 early in the season, but the have struggled in conference play sitting in the middle of the pack in the A-10. Saint Louis is 11-3 at home, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. The favorite has covered in five of the last seven head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-22 | Tenn-Martin +3 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 63-71 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UT Martin. The Cougars are the last place team in the OVC, and yet they are a favorite here in a home game against UT Martin. This would be a tough ask at the best of times, but they haven't won a game since losing leading scorer Ray'Sean Taylor for the rest of the season. They scored just 47 points in a home loss to SEMO in their last game. Home court hasn't been an advantage in this series, as the road team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The Cougars have failed to cover in six straight overall. Looks like the wrong team is favored here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-22 | Alabama v. Ole Miss +5.5 | 97-83 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ole Miss. The Rebels will be an underdog at home versus Alabama, and the Crimson Tide have lost four of their last five road games outright. Alabama scores plenty on the road (averaging over 80 points per game) but they have struggled defensively (allowing over 85 points per game). The Crimson Tide are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. The Rebels are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Kansas +1.5 v. Texas | 76-79 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kansas. The Jayhawks are 19-3 overall and 8-1 in the BIG12 heading into tonight's game at Texas. The Longhorns are 5-4 in their last nine overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven. The Longhorns are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in this series, the road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Kansas has faced top 25 teams in each of their last four games, winning three of those. They are coming off a 24-point win over #8 ranked Baylor. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Arizona v. Arizona State +13.5 | 91-79 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. The Sun Devils have played back to back home games against UCLA and USC, and both games were close, decided by a combined eight points. They will be a double digit underdog once again tonight when they host Arizona. They lost 67-56 at Arizona last week, and another close, low scoring game seems likely. The under is 9-2 in the Sun Devils last 11 overall, and they have gone under in 11 of their last 12 home games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-22 | Houston v. Cincinnati +6.5 | 80-58 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cincinnati. The Houston Cougars are cruising, coming into Cincinnati with a 19-2 overall record, and they are undefeated in conference play. The Bearcats are just 5-3 in the AAC, but they are 11-2 at home. They have won outright in three of their last four home games versus Houston. They will be getting a bunch of points here as the home underdog. Cincinnati is allowing just 60.2 points per game, and scoring an average of 74.5 points at home. This is a tough spot for the Cougars, with another road game against second place SMU coming up next. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-22 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arkansas. The Razorbacks have won seven in a row, and they have scored over 78 points per game in their last five. The Bulldogs are 0-4 on the road, and they have averaged just 67 points in those games. Mississippi State is coming off a home win over South Carolina, and they are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. The home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 head to head meetings, and this looks like a potential double digit win for Arkansas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-22 | Rockets +3 v. Spurs | Top | 106-131 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU. The Rockets will be an underdog in San Antonio Friday, and they catch the Spurs on the back end of a back to back. The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog, and the road team has won four of the last five meetings outright. The Spurs have failed to cover in five of their last six home games, and they have just three wins in their last 12 games overall. Three starters missed last night's game against Miami, and the Spurs are in rough shape considering Houston is as healthy as anyone right now. Christian Wood has scored 20+ points in three straight games, and alongside Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green, the Rockets are not short on young talent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-22 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary +8 | Top | 84-61 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWM. |
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01-29-22 | Indiana v. Maryland +1.5 | 68-55 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MD. Maryland will be a home underdog versus Indiana on Saturday, and they are coming off back to back big wins. The Terps shot 12-of-25 (48%) from beyond the arc in a win over Rutgers in their last game. Indiana has lost four of five road games so far this season, and the one win came at last place Nebraska. The Hoosiers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. The home team has won outright in nine of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Hoosiers have no business being a road favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-22 | Maryland v. Rutgers -3 | 68-60 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. Rutgers is 38-6 straight up at home over the last three seasons, and they are 10-1 at home so far this season. Maryland has lost six of eight BIG10 games so far, and they have lost thee of four road games. Their last road game was a 19-point loss at Michigan. Maryland has allowed an average of 81.5 points on the road, while Rutgers has held opponents to just 58.3 points per game at home. Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings versus Maryland, and they appear to be undervalued as the home favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State +5.5 v. Illinois | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Sparty. Michigan State is in first place in the BIG10, and they come into Illinois as winners of 10 of their last 11 overall. The one loss came in a game decided by just two points. The Spartans have won five of their last six versus Illinois, and the one loss came in a game decided by five points. Michigan State has cashed a winning ticket in five straight road games, and they catch Illinois off back to back losses. The Illini leading scorer Kofi Cockburn didn't play on Friday at Maryland, and he's listed as questionable with a concussion. I expect him to play, but whether or not he's at full speed is another question. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-22 | Iowa v. Rutgers +3 | 46-48 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. Iowa has won four of the last five meetings in this series, with two of those wins coming at Rutgers. Those wins each came in games decided by a single bucket. So what will be different about this game? For starters all time great Luka Garza is no longer playing for the Hawkeyes. He scored 25 points in the win at Rutgers last year. The Scarlet Knights are in good shape, with both Geo Baker and Ron Harper Jr. averaging double figures. Rutgers is 9-1 at home, and they have held opponents to an average just 59.5 points in those games. The Hawkeyes are 2-3 on the road, and while they are averaging over 86 points per game, they have averaged just 71.4 points per game on the road. Rutgers is 37-6 straight up at home over the last three seasons, while Iowa is 12-14 straight up on the road over the last three seasons. The underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-22 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -7.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. The Cyclones won 51-47 at home versus Texas Tech just before Christmas, and I was fortunate that I got a good line. Many people would have pushed or lost depending on when they played that game. One of the reasons I decided to bet against Texas Tech in that spot, was that they were missing leading scorer Terrance Shannon. He played 18 minutes in a loss to Kansas State over the weekend, and he should be ready to take on more minutes here in a revenge game against the Cyclones. Texas Tech is 10-0 at home, and the Cyclones have lost two of three on the road. The Red Raiders are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they won their last home game against Iowa State by 27 points. This smells like a double digit win for the Red Raiders. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-22 | Warriors v. Wolves +2.5 | 99-119 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. The Warriors have struggled without Draymond Green, losing four of their last five road games. Minnesota is coming off a loss at Memphis, and the Timberwolves are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Golden State is expected to be missing Steph Curry who is dealing with a sore hand, and fellow splash brother Klay Thomspon is still working his way into shape. The Warriors are 2-7 ATS in the last nine meetings in Minnesota. The Wolves are at full strength, and they have won four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-22 | Blazers v. Nuggets -8 | 108-140 | Win | 100 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Denver. With Damian Lillard looking to have surgery, the mission for the Blazers might be to secure a lottery pick. They come into Denver with a road record of 2-13. When you are struggling on the road, the last place you want to play is in mile high city. The Trail Blazers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog, and they are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games. Denver has covered the spread in five of the last seven head to head meetings. The Blazers might as well throw in the towel, and they just might do exactly that. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-22 | Utah State v. Colorado State -4.5 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on CSU. The Colorado State Rams are coming off their first loss of the season against San Diego State, but they look to bounce back in a home game versus Utah State. The Aggies have failed to cover in four of their last five road games, and they scored an average of just over 75 points in those games. That might not be enough against a Rams team that averages over 86 points per game at home. The Rams have won 17 of their last 18 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-22 | Hornets v. 76ers -5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Philly. The Hornets are coming off back to back home wins over Milwaukee, and they could be due for a let down on the road at Philly. The Sixers have won seven straight, and Joel Embiid has scored 30+ points in all of those games. The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win, and they are 10-0 straight up in their last 10 versus the Hornets. Their last three home wins over Charlotte came by an average margin of 13 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-22 | Cavs v. Warriors -9.5 | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-08-22 | Knicks v. Celtics -7 | 75-99 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Celtics. The Celtics are coming off a 108-105 loss at MSG, blowing an 18 point lead in the second half. Evan Fornier went off for 41 points on 15-of-25 shooting, and this sets up a huge let down spot for Fornier and the Knicks. The Celtics look good here in a revenge spot with the majority of their squad intact. The Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight as an underdog. The home team has won five straight meetings in this series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-22 | Jazz v. Raptors +3.5 | 108-122 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The NBA pushed the pause button shortly after Rudy Gobert tested positive for Covid back in 2020, and now two years later he's again tested positive. With the Jazz playing in Toronto Friday, they could be without their entire starting lineup. In fact it will be a miracle if this game is even played. Toronto on the other hand is playing it's best ball of the season, riding a four game win streak. The Jazz are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Toronto. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-22 | Cornell v. Pennsylvania -3.5 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Penn. The Quakers are 4-10, and they have lost six of their last seven games. They have played a tough schedule, and their last three losses came in games decided by single digits. They are the favorite in a home game against Cornell tonight, and the Big Red are coming off a 79-71 win over Dartmouth. Penn is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Quakers have covered in five straight as a favorite, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-22 | Providence -2 v. Marquette | 56-88 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Providence. The Friars are in first place in the Big East, and they play on the road at last place Marquette. The Golden Eagles are coming off a double overtime loss at home to Creighton, and they should be overmatched here. The Friars have some big road wins already this season, winning at Wisconsin, UCONN and DePaul. Marquette has lost some big games at home, losing to UCLA, UCONN and Marquette. The Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and the Friars are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -6 | Top | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
10* |
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12-23-21 | Wolves v. Jazz -10.5 | 116-128 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Utah. The Jazz are one of a few teams that have yet to be decimated by Covid and injuries, and that's likely part of the reason why they have won nine of their last 11 games. Minnesota comes limping into Salt Lake City without Anthony Edwards, Patrick Beverly and Jarred Vanderbilt and several others. The Jazz are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest, and seven of their last nine wins have come by 10 or more points. The Jazz lead the NBA averaging 115.4 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-21 | Utah State v. Iowa -5 | 75-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes have lost three straight, but two of those losses came against ranked teams on the road. They also lost at home to an Illinois team that is tied for first place in the BIG10. I like their chances of snapping this losing skid against Utah State. The Aggies have only faced one ranked opponent this season, and they lost by double digits at BYU. They have lost four of their last five versus ranked teams, by an average margin of over 10 points. The Hawkeyes held their own in a 77-70 loss at #2 ranked Purdue. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-21 | Arizona State v. Creighton -6.5 | 58-57 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Creighton. Arizona State has failed to impress, losing six of their first eight games. They come into Nebraska as winners of back to back games over Oregon and Grand Canyon, but they appear to be over-matched versus the Blue Jays. Creighton has won four of five home games, and they are coming off a double digit win over a ranked BYU team. The Sun Devils are 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog, and they are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Sun Devils have really missed starting forward Marcus Bagley, who has not played since mid November. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-21 | Iowa v. Iowa State +4.5 | 53-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Iowa State. The Cyclones are 8-0, and they have a pair of wins over ranked teams and a road win at Creighnton. They host the Hawkeyes tonight, and Iowa has lost back to back games. The Hawkeyes are averaging over 90 points per game, but they rank at the bottom of the BIG10 allowing over 70 points per game. The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings straight up, and the Cyclones are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. They underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-21 | Bucks -6.5 v. Heat | 104-113 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Milwaukee. The Heat have lost four of their last five, and the average margin of defeat in those games was more than 10 points. The Bucks have won 10 of their last 11 overall. Miami has struggled with Jimmy Butler battling an injury, and he's out for Wednesday's game against the Bucks. The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite, and they have covered in four of their last five versus the Heat. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-21 | Hornets v. Hawks -4 | 130-127 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-05-21 | Northwestern v. Maryland -4.5 | 67-61 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-01-21 | Washington State v. Arizona State +1.5 | 51-29 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. |
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12-01-21 | Hawks v. Pacers -1 | 114-111 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. It's normal for teams to have a better record at home, but these two teams each have dramatic home away splits. The Pacers are 6-4 at home, and the Hawks are 3-8 on the road. The Hawks are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games, and they are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. The Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. The Hawks are 0-4 straight up in their last four at Indiana. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-21 | Pacers v. Wolves -3 | 98-100 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-22-21 | Ohio State v. Seton Hall +1 | 79-76 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seton Hall. The Pirates are off to a 3-0 start despite losing their leading scorer from last season to the NBA draft. They still have three seniors in the starting lineup, and that experience has been paying dividends early in the season. They come off an upset win at #4 ranked Michigan, and they are the underdog here in a neutral site game against #19 ranked Ohio State. The Buckeyes are coming off a 71-65 loss to Xavier, in a game that they trailed from start to finish. This came after they narrowly avoided losing their season opener to Akron by hitting a game winning shot at the buzzer. The Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss, and the Pirates are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-21 | Hornets v. Hawks -6 | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Hawks. Atlanta didn't start the season off well after an inspired run in last year's playoffs, but they come into Saturday's home game against Charlotte as winners of three in a row. The Hornets are playing on the back end of a back to back, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. The Hawks are 24-4 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite, and they are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-21 | Villanova +4.5 v. UCLA | 77-86 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-11-21 | Heat v. Clippers -2.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC. |
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11-10-21 | Buffalo +16 v. Michigan | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The #6 ranked Wolverines will open their season as a double digit favorite against an unranked team from the MAC, but don't for a second think this game will be easy. Buffalo finished second in the MAC last season, and they are bringing back their leading scorer, their leading rebounder, and their assist leader. The Bulls are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and they have covered in six straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-21 | Kentucky +1.5 v. Duke | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on UK. Kentucky comes in ranked #10, and Duke #9, with the line close to a pickem for the season opener. There isn't much recent history between these teams, with Duke winning the last meeting 118-84 back in 2018. Things change fast for college basketball blue bloods like Duke and Kentucky, with freshmen phenoms arriving year after year, and departing shortly then after. It's the talent that is left behind that should favor Kentucky here this early in the season. Leading scorer Davion Mintz returns with junior Kion Brooks and Oscar Tshiebwe coming over from West Virginia. The Wildcats are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-21 | Blazers +2 v. 76ers | 103-113 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Blazers. The Blazers are an underdog on the road at Philly, and they have dominated the Sixers in recent seasons. Portland is 6-1 straight up in the last seven head to head meetings, and the one loss came in a game decided by one point. Joel Embiid will sit out this game, making it a tough ask for the Sixers to snap this trend. Philly is 1-4 ATS in their last five when coming off a win, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -5 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. The Warriors are off to a helluva start to the season, undefeated with a 4-0 record (9-0 if you include the pre-season). They host the Grizzlies who are coming off a 20 point loss at Portland last night. The Grizz are in a tough spot with another road game in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in four straight versus a team with a winning record. They are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Golden State. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and they have covered in eight of their last 10 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-21 | Magic v. Heat -13 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. The Orlando Magic are not going to win many games this year, and it's not a surprise to see them as a double digit underdog in Miami tonight. Both of their losses so far have come by 20+ points. The Heat are coming off a loss at Indiana, but they beat defending champions Milwaukee by 40+ in their home opener. The Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a win, and the Heat are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite. The Heat will win this game by as many points as they "feel like". GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-08-21 | Bucks +5.5 v. Suns | 108-118 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bucks. I bet Phoenix in Game 1, and I have Phoenix winning the series and Chris Paul to win MVP. That being said, Game 1 wasn't as one-sided as the final score would indicate, and I expect Milwaukee to be better in Game 2. Devin Booker was just 8-of-21 from the field, scoring the majority of his points at the free throw line. A lot has been made about the disparity in free throw opportunities, and the Bucks have been lobbying for more calls in Game 2. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |