Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5.5 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 57 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Phoenix to win the Finals. The Milwaukee Bucks finished with the best record in the Eastern Conference in both 2019 & 2020, but each of those seasons ended with post-season disappointment. Are they really any better this year than they were the last two years... or have they just been fortunate that James Harden, Kyrie Irving and Tre Young all got hit by injuries? Their luck may have run out here in the Finals, facing a healthy Phoenix team that finished with the second best record in the NBA this season. Giannis might play, but it's highly unlikely that he will be anywhere near 100 percent. Even when healthy, he's had plenty of struggles, especially at the free throw line. The Suns have won five of their last six versus Milwaukee, and they have covered in six of their last seven versus the Bucks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks | 118-107 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. This series has been all over the map, with injuries playing such a key role. The Bucks proved that they can win without Giannis in Game 5 at home, but they sure didn't rise to the challenge back in Game 4 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog, and the Hawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games. I expect Atlanta to make the necessary adjustments, and Game 6 should look a lot like Game 4. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Suns. The Clippers have had an impressive run since Kawhi Leonard went down, but it could all be over in Phoenix tonight. Chris Paul told reporters after Game 4 that he isn't taking anything for granted with a 3-1 series lead. He's seen how quickly a series can turn around, and he's focused on punching his ticket to the finals right here and now. The Suns are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. They opened up a nine point lead in the first quarter of Game 4, and extended the lead to 14 by halftime. We should expect another fast start for the home team in Game 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +4.5 | 113-102 | Loss | -101 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Hawks were downright awful in Game 2 in Milwaukee, but I expect to see a different team at home in Atlanta tonight. The Bucks might be liking their own smell after they blew the doors off in Game 2, and they could get caught flat footed early on the road here. The Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six Conference Finals games. The Hawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they have covered in four of their last five coming off an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Milwaukee. |
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06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Milwaukee. The Bucks host the Hawks in the East Finals, and I expect this to be a short series. Atlanta found a way to get past a banged up Sixers team that had it's fair share of problems. The Bucks are whole different animal. This is a team that has been favorites to come out of the East for a few years now, and it looks like they may have exercised their demons in Game 7 versus Brooklyn. The Hawks have lost four straight at Milwaukee, and they were a double digit underdog in all four of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-22-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | 103-104 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHX. The Clippers pushed Phoenix to the brink in Game 1, and Paul George played out of his mind. Playoff P scored 34 points on 10-of-26 shooting, and he was 7-of-15 from beyond the arc. So does that mean they are in good shape moving forward? I don't think so! They had a chance to take advantage of a team coming off a long layoff, and they couldn't get it done. They can't count on Paul George to deliver night in, night out. I expect Game 2 to be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-21 | Hawks +7.5 v. 76ers | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 43 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Atlanta. I had Atlanta in the last game, and they came up short. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Sixers are the better team, there's no doubt about that. They just can't seem to finish a game though, and after blowing a big lead in each of the last two games in this series, it could be all over here in Atlanta. The 76ers are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Atlanta." Philly hasn't played well enough to justify a big point spread here in an elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2.5 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Bucks. Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playing defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 31 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Philly. |
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06-06-21 | Hawks +2.5 v. 76ers | 128-124 | Win | 100 | 58 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atlanta. The Sixers managed to get past Washington in five games, even as Joel Embiid sat on the bench in Game 5. Embiid is officially listed as day to day, but a torn meniscus is expected to keep him out of Game 1. Philly won 77 percent of their games with Joel Embiid in the lineup this season, but had a losing record (10-11) in games that he missed. The Hawks won their first rounds series versus New York in five games, winning twice on the road. They closed out the series with a 103-89 win at The Garden in Game 5. The Hawks are 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall. Without Embiid there is no doubt that Tre Young is going to be the best player on the floor in Game 1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-03-21 | Suns +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show |
10* |
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05-29-21 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | 95-115 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Denver. I had Denver in Game 2, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Blazers won big in Game 1 of this series, and we have to decide if that's a preview of what to expect moving forward in this series, or if it was an outlier. I am inclined to say it's likely the later. Portland made 19-of-40 three-point shots in Game 1, and they made 18-of-19 at the free throw line. Denver only made eight free thrown attempts in Game 1, and we should not expect such a disparity here moving forward. The Joker scored a solid 34 points on 14-of-27 shooting in Game 1, and he is likely to have an even better performance in Game 2." The Nuggets come rolling into Portland as an underdog, but they have all the momentum. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-27-21 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | 120-115 | Win | 100 | 31 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Denver. I had Denver in Game 2, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Blazers won big in Game 1 of this series, and we have to decide if that's a preview of what to expect moving forward in this series, or if it was an outlier. I am inclined to say it's likely the later. Portland made 19-of-40 three-point shots in Game 1, and they made 18-of-19 at the free throw line. Denver only made eight free thrown attempts in Game 1, and we should not expect such a disparity here moving forward. The Joker scored a solid 34 points on 14-of-27 shooting in Game 1, and he is likely to have an even better performance in Game 2." The Nuggets come rolling into Portland as an underdog, but they have all the momentum. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-25-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -6 | 127-121 | Loss | -111 | 22 h 53 m | Show | |
8* |
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05-23-21 | Wizards v. 76ers -7.5 | 118-125 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sixers. Despite finishing first in the East during the regular season, the Sixers aren't getting a lot of respect from bookmakers. They will play the Wizards in the first round, and this should be a fairly easy series for them. Washington played incredible down the stretch, but Russell Westbrook gave us a preview of what to expect in the playoffs when he laid an egg in the first play-in game. The Wizards are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games, and they are 1-8 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. The Western Conference is wide open heading into the playoffs. The defending champion LA Lakers are still the favorite, despite facing a play-in situation versus the red hot Golden State Warriors. Steph Curry has played at an MVP caliber all season long, while LeBron has been in and out of the lineup, and doesn't appear to be 100 percent healthy. The Utah Jazz finished first in the standings, and the Phoenix Suns were only one game back. Neither of those teams is getting much respect from bookmakers, who give them the third and fourth best chance to win the West. The media was buzzing when LeBron James was quoted a few weeks ago as saying: "I don't think i'll ever get back to 100% in my career." While I believe that was mostly clickbait, I do think he's already looking for an excuse if he fails to get out of the first round, or gets bounced by the Warriors in the play-in. The Clippers are guilty of tanking in their final few games, a strategic move to avoid facing the Lakers until the Western Conference Final. Kawhi Leonard has had a pretty quiet season, but he has a history of elevating his game in the playoffs. He's also been perhaps the only player in the league to get the better of LeBron James. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-19-21 | Warriors +5 v. Lakers | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 43 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on GSW. The Western Conference is wide open heading into the playoffs. The defending champion LA Lakers are still the favorite, despite facing a play-in situation versus the red hot Golden State Warriors. Steph Curry has played at an MVP caliber all season long, while LeBron has been in and out of the lineup, and doesn't appear to be 100 percent healthy. The Utah Jazz finished first in the standings, and the Phoenix Suns were only one game back. Neither of those teams is getting much respect from bookmakers, who give them the third and fourth best chance to win the West. The media was buzzing when LeBron James was quoted a few weeks ago as saying: "I don't think i'll ever get back to 100% in my career." While I believe that was mostly clickbait, I do think he's already looking for an excuse if he fails to get out of the first round, or gets bounced by the Warriors in the play-in. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-21 | Knicks v. Lakers -5.5 | 99-101 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on LA Lakers. The Lakers were the best team in the NBA, and defending world champions before LeBron and AD suffered nagging injuries. While they have slipped all the way to seventh in the Western Conference, it would be naive to think that they are anything but the favorite to repeat. The Knicks are one of the hottest teams in the league, but I think they are biting off more than they can chew here on the road at LA with LeBron and AD both expected to play. Davis is coming off a 42 point performance in a win over Phoenix on Sunday. The Knicks won by a score of 111-96 at home against LA last month, but neither AD or LeBron played in that game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-21 | UCLA v. Gonzaga -13.5 | 90-93 | Loss | -105 | 92 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Gonzaga. The UCLA Bruins played well enough to win in the Elite 8 versus Michigan, but keep in mind they scored just 51 points and Michigan was playing without their best player. Gonzaga on the other hand scored 85 points in a blowout win over USC. The Trojans were far better than UCLA in the PAC12 this season, beating them in both meetings by a combined 19 points. I'll have to make this analysis brief, because we want to get this bet in quick before the line inevitably gets bet up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-21 | Mavs -6.5 v. Wizards | 109-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Dallas. The Mavs are 5-2 in their last seven overall, and four of those five wins came by a double digit margin. They are in Washington, and the Wizards are coming off back to back double digit losses. The Mavericks are 25-12-2 ATS in their last 39 Saturday games, and they have covered in four of their last five road games. The Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games playing on 1 days rest. History favors Dallas, the Mavericks are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-21 | Bulls +13.5 v. Jazz | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bulls. Chicago is coming off a 121-116 loss at Phoenix, their seventh loss in their last eight overall. They easily covered in what was a very close game, and now they are double digit underdog at Utah. The Jazz have won seven straight, and after suffering a near death experience when their plane was forced to make an emergency landing, we could expect them to suffer a bit of a let down. The Bulls are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog, and the Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-21 | UCLA +7 v. Michigan | 51-49 | Win | 100 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA. |
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03-29-21 | Bucks v. Clippers -1 | Top | 105-129 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. The Clippers have won five straight home games, and Kawhi Leonard scored 28 points in a 122-112 win over the Sixers Saturday. The Bucks are coming off back to back losses, and Giannis has been struggling with a knee injury. The "Greek Freak" had failed to score 20 points in his last two starts, and did not play in Saturday's loss to New York. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-28-21 | Florida State +3 v. Michigan | 58-76 | Loss | -118 | 87 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on FSU. The Wolverines have cruised into the Sweet 16 with back to back wins over Texas Southern and LSU. They will be a favorite against Florida State, but I think the Seminoles have looked like the better team lately. BIG10 teams have disappointed so far, and Michigan is the last of nine teams in the tournament. Michigan will be shorthanded after Isaiah Livers suffered a stress fracture that has him listed as "out indefinitely". The Seminoles are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog, and they appear to be peaking at the right time. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-28-21 | Creighton v. Gonzaga -13 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 109 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Gonzaga. The Bulldogs are the biggest favorite in any of the Sweet 16 games, but I am not sure the bookmakers can set a line high enough. Gonzaga is undefeated (28-0), and the majority of those wins came by double digits. They beat Oklahoma by 16 points in their last game, and the Sooners actually played a helluva game. Even shooting 50% from the field and scoring 71 points wasn't enough to keep that game close. The Bluejays are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games, and they have failed to cover in six straight as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-21 | Oral Roberts +11.5 v. Arkansas | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 90 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oral Roberts. After betting on Oral Roberts in their upset win over Florida, I have to like them as a double digit dog verus Arkansas in the Sweet 16. Here is what I said prior to their game against the Gators: "Oral Roberts was more impressive in their first round upset over Ohio State. Max Abmas scored 29 points on 10-of-24 shooting. He leads the nation in scoring averaging 24.2 points per game. The Golden Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog." They played at Arkansas during the regular season, and that was quite a competitive game. The Golden Eagles have covered in five straight games played at a neutral site. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-21 | Ohio +5.5 v. Creighton | 58-72 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio. I had Ohio in their first round upset win over Virginia, and I like them again here against a Creighton team that just barely avoided a first round upset. The Blue Jays defeated UCSB by a score of 63-62, hitting a pair of free throws in the dying seconds. The Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The Bluejays are 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-21 | Abilene Christian v. UCLA -4.5 | 47-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA. The Bruins are coming off consecutive impressive wins over Michigan State and BYU, and they will face Abilene Christian in the second round. The Wildcats are coming off a 53-52 upset win over Texas, and I expect them to suffer a let down here in their next game. They beat Texas with a pair of free throws with two seconds on the clock, but I doubt they will be as fortunate here against UCLA. The public will be quick to back the underdogs after so many early upsets in this year's tournaments, but the favorite appears to be the play here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-21 | Mavs v. Blazers +1.5 | 132-92 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portland. The Blazers have won four of their last five overall, and star guard CJ McCollum is back from injury. McCollum scored just 21 points in his first two games against New Orleans, but in his third game back he went off for 32 points against Dallas. The Trail Blazers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and I gotta take Portland getting points at home here in the second game of this set versus the Mavs. The Blazers are 14-7 at home, and they have won five of their last seven games against Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-21 | Oregon State +6.5 v. Oklahoma State | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oregon State. I had the Beavers in the first round versus Tennessee, and this is what I said before that game: "The Beavers finished the season hot, winning the Pac12 Tournament and they won six of their last seven overall. The Beavers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog, and they are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall." They didn't just beat the Vols, they spanked them by double digits. Oregon State was 10-of-21 from beyond the arc, and shot 48.2 percent from the field. Who in their right mind would bet against The Beavers as a 6.5 point dog in this spot? GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-21 | Ohio +8 v. Virginia | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 126 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio. The thing about the Virginia Cavaliers is that they can beat anybody on any given day, as evidenced by finishing first in the ACC. They can also lose to anybody on any given day, as evidenced by their loss to San Francisco in non conference play. The Cavs were on the wrong end of one of the biggest upsets in NCAA Tournament history just a few years ago. Ohio is a good team out of the competitive MAC Conference, and they should have good chance to pull off a first round upset. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-21 | Rutgers v. Clemson +1 | 60-56 | Loss | -102 | 117 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Clemson. The Tigers were undefeated in non-conference play, and two of those wins came against Big10 teams (Purdue and Maryland). They are the underdog in the first round versus Rutgers, and the Scarlet Knights pick up most of their wins at home. The Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Clemson has covered in six of their last seven neutral site games, and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 neutral site games as an underdog. There is a lot of talk of all the Big10 teams in the Tournament, but they are already 0-1 after the Spartans lost to UCLA last night. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-21 | Georgia Tech +3 v. Loyola-Chicago | 60-71 | Loss | -108 | 67 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GT. The Loyola Chicago Ramblers have been lights out all year long. They won 18 of their last 19 games overall, and there is no doubt in my mind that they can play with anybody. That being said, I am not convinced that they are better than a Georgia Tech team that won the ACC Tournament, and finished with eight straight wins. The Yellow Jackets finished two games out of first place in the ACC standings, and they won some big games against the best teams in the country. The Yellow Jackets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-21 | Utah State v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 68 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas Tech. The Utah State Aggies had won six straight heading into the Mountain West Tournament Final, but they really struggled offensively in a loss to San Diego State. It won't get any easier against one of the top defensive teams from the BIG12 Conference. Texas Tech has allowed opponents to average just 63 points per game this season, and the Aggies only scored an average of 64 points in their last five games overall. The Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games. The Aggies defense looks great on paper, but they gave up 80+ points in losses to VCU, Boise State and Colorado State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-21 | Heat -6.5 v. Magic | 102-97 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. I bet on the Heat one oft their most recent games, a decisive win over Orlando. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The defending Eastern Conference champs have had their struggles in the first half of the season, but they went into the All Star break as winners of six of their last seven. Jimmy Butler scored 29 points on 10-of-14 shooting in his return to action versus New Orleans last week. The Magic are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games, and rumors are swirling about possible trades involving their top players. Orlando appears ready to sell off talent and concentrate on rebuilding with a lottery pick." GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Houston | 54-91 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cincinnati. We've seen a lot of shockers in the conference tournaments so far. Georgetown winning the Big East, Oregon State winning the Pac12, and Ohio State knocking Michigan out of the Big Ten tournament. So it seems a little surprising to see Cincinnati getting a double digit spread in the final of the American Athletic Conference. It's the largest spread we've seen in any of their previous 10 meetings versus Houston. This comes after they knocked off the first place Wichita State Shockers on Saturday. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-21 | Oregon State +9 v. Colorado | 70-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oregon State. The Colorado Buffaloes are better team on paper, but at this time of the year you can't underestimate the power of momentum. The Beavers are on a roll, coming off upset wins over UCLA and Oregon. They have already proved they can compete with Colorado, losing at home to the Buffaloes by just four points earlier this season. The Beavers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-21 | Pacers v. Suns -6.5 | 122-111 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns are one of the league's hottest teams, winning eight of their last nine overall. They host the Indiana Pacers tonight, and the Pacers are coming off a loss to the Lakers in LA last night. The Pacers are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover in six straight when coming off a loss. The Suns are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 home games, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Caris Levert is expected to return tonight, but he likely will be on a minutes restriction. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-21 | Rockets v. Jazz -14.5 | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Utah. This game appears to be a setup for a beat down of epic proportions. The Jazz have the best record in the NBA, but they lost three of four heading into the All Star break. They host Houston on the back end of a back to back, coming off a 20 point loss at Sacramento. PJ Tucker has left the team, and Victor Oladipo is surely on his way out the door. The Jazz are hungry to get back on track, while the Rockets are mailing it in. The Jazz are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games, and the Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-21 | Magic v. Spurs -7 | 77-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Spurs. Orlando is coming off a loss at Miami, and they head to Texas to play the Spurs on the back end of a back to back. The Magic have lost six straight, and they are rumored to be shopping leading scorer Nikola Vucevic. The Spurs have been up and down, but they still hold a slim lead at the top of the Southwest. The Magic are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games, while the Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Neither of these teams are great, but at least the Spurs still have something to play for. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Rockets v. Kings -4.5 | 105-125 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings. The Kings went into the All Star break winning two of their last four games. While that might not sound impressive, it's a lot better than Houston that has lost 13 in a row. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home. The Kings are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 3 or more days rest, and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS win. DeAaron Fox scored 32 points on 12-of-26 shooting and had a dozen assists against Portland in his last start. The Kings have a lot more talent to work with, and should get a "W" at home versus Houston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Magic v. Heat -6.5 | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. The defending Eastern Conference champs have had their struggles in the first half of the season, but they went into the All Star break as winners of six of their last seven. Jimmy Butler scored 29 points on 10-of-14 shooting in his return to action versus New Orleans last week. The Magic are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games, and rumors are swirling about possible trades involving their top players. Orlando appears ready to sell off talent and concentrate on rebuilding with a lottery pick. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Oregon State v. UCLA -5 | 83-79 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA. The Bruins have lost three straight, and we are often hesitant to back teams that appear to be slumping at this time of year. Those losses came to USC, Oregon and Colorado. The Beavers aren't exactly the same quality of opposition. UCLA has won four of their last five against Oregon State, and seven of the last 10 meetings. Oregon State just lost by 13 at Oregon, and another double digit loss could be in the cards here against UCLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Michigan State +1 v. Maryland | 57-68 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MSU. The Spartans have won five of their last seven, and both losses during that span came on the road. There is no doubt they have been the hotter team here as they get set to face Maryland in the conference tournament. Maryland is coming off back to back losses to Penn State and Northwestern. The Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, and they have struggled offensively during that span. The timing is right to back Sparty as the underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-21 | Miami-FL v. Pittsburgh -3 | 79-73 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Pitt. The Miami Hurricanes are thin in the backcourt with a pair of starting guards sidelined by injury. The Canes faced Pittsburgh twice in 2020, losing both those games. The Hurricanes are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games, and the Panthers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Pittsburgh has lost six of it's last seven games overall, but what is significant about that run is that five of those six losses came in games decided by single digits. Two losses to NC State came by a combined four points, and losses to Virginia and Florida State each came by seven points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-21 | Virginia v. Louisville +2 | 68-58 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Louisville. Virginia has lost three of their last four overall, and back to back games on the road. The Cavs have struggled to score, averaging just 61.6 points per game over their last five overall. This is reminiscent of the Cavs team that was bounced from the NCAA Tournament by UMBC in one of the biggest upsets in history. Louisville has won nine of 10 home games, and they beat the Cavs at home last season by a score of 80-73. The Cardinals are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games, while the Cavs have failed to cover in four of their last five on the road. The home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. I'll take the home dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-21 | Pistons v. Knicks -4.5 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on New York. The Knicks are legit contender to make the playoffs in the East, while the only thing Detroit has a chance of winning is a lottery pick. The Pistons won last night against a group of second and third stringers in a 129-105 win over the Raptors. Playing the second game of a back to back in New York, they should be due for a let down. The Pistons are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win, and they are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games following a double digit win. The Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-21 | Rhode Island v. Dayton -4 | 72-84 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dayton. |
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03-03-21 | UCLA v. Oregon -4 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Ducks. First place UCLA is just a half game up on Oregon in the PAC12, and they play at Eugene as a four point underdog tonight. The Ducks are tough at home, with a 10-2 home record. The Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Ducks are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 home games. Oregon shot 12-of-22 from beyond the arc in an 80-69 home win over Arizona in their last game. They beat the Bruins by 21 points in Eugene last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-21 | Indiana v. Michigan State -2.5 | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. The Spartans last two home games were wins over ranked teams, beating Illinois and Ohio State. They are coming off a road loss at Maryland, but back in East Lansing they should be able to handle Indiana. The Hoosiers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall, and they are 3-5 on the road. The Indiana offense has struggled, averaging just 66.4 points per game in their last five overall. Indiana has lost four of their last five overall, including a home loss to the Spartans. Aaron Henry scored 27 points on 9-of-17 shooting in that game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-21 | Texas v. Iowa State +12 | 81-67 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ISU. The Cyclones have lost 14 straight overall, but their last three losses came in games decided by 10 points or less. They already lost at Texas earlier this year, but they easily covered the spread losing by six as a 12 point underdog. The Longhorns are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and the home team has won outright in seven straight head to head meetings. Expecting Texas to win by double digits on the road here seems to be a bit of a tough ask. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-21 | Iowa v. Ohio State -2 | 73-57 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio State. The Iowa Hawkeyes are coming off a 22 point road loss at Michigan, and they have lost three of their last five road games. Losses came at Indiana, Illinois and Michigan. The Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. The Buckeyes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. The home team has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Cavs v. 76ers -10 | 112-109 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
free play |
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02-25-21 | Northwestern v. Minnesota -5 | 67-59 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. Two struggling teams meet in the BIG10 tonight, but the Gophers appear to be a well deserved home favorite. Here is what I said prior to their last home win: "The Gophers have been world beaters at home, with wins over Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State and Iowa. Overall they have won 12 of their 13 home games this season. The home team has won five of the last six head to head meetings, and the Gophers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. Minnesota scores an average of over 81 points per game at home, while conceding just 68 points per game." The Wildcats are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they are just 1-8 on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-21 | Clemson -3.5 v. Wake Forest | 60-39 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Clemson. The Tigers aren't ranked in the Top 25, but they sure have proved that they can play with the top teams in the country. They've beaten Alabama, Florida State, Louisville and North Carolina (all ranked). They come into today's game as winners of four of five, while Wake Forest is a bottom feeder with just a 3-11 conference record. The Deacons have lost back to back home games by a combined margin of more than 40 points. Clemson has won outright in seven of the last eight meetings, winning three of their last four at Wake Forest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-21 | Davidson v. St Bonaventure -4.5 | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on St. Bonaventure. The Davidson Wildcats come into Sunday's game at Saint Bonaventure as winners of five in a row, but they might struggle against the first place Bonnies. The Bonnies are undefeated at home so far, and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Bonnies are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 home games. The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-21 | Maryland v. Rutgers -4 | 68-59 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights were 18-1 at home last year, and they have won nine of 12 at home this season. They host Maryland Sunday, and the home court should be a big factor. The Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six when coming off a win. The Scarlet Knights are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 home games. Rutgers won by a score of 78-67 at home versus Maryland last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Houston | 52-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bearcats. Cincinnati comes into Houston as winners of four straight, but they are just 7-7 overall. Six of their seven losses have come in games decided by single digits, so the double digit cushion here against Houston looks generous. The Cougars are a strong team that have struggled a bit lately. They are coming off a loss at Wichita State, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record. The underdog has covered in five of the last seven head to head meetings, so I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-21 | California v. Washington | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Huskies. Washington and California are both sitting at the bottom of the PAC12 with just three conference wins. The Bears beat the Huskies in Berkeley earlier this year, but I expect the Huskies to get revenge here in Washington. The Golden Bears are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 road games, and the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. California was an 8.5 point dog at Washington last year, and they lost by 35 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-21 | Auburn v. LSU -4.5 | 80-104 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LSU. Auburn has lost four of their last five games, and the one win came against last place Vanderbilt. Playing on the road at third place LSU Saturday, I don't expect this game to be close. LSU is 9-2 at home, averaging 84.4 points in those games. Auburn has lost six of eight on the road, averaging 71.9 points per game. LSU is coming off a 78-65 home win over Tennessee, shooting 51.9 percent from the field. Auburn won't likely be able to match the Tigers (LSU) scoring. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-21 | Illinois v. Minnesota +5.5 | 94-63 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. The Gophers are coming off back to back road losses, but they have been an absolute monster at home. They are 13-1 overall at home, and they have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games. The home team has covered in five straight head to head meetings, so getting 5.5 points seems like a helluva bargain. Illinois has won six straight, but three of their last five wins have come by five points or less. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-21 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -7 | 70-55 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vols. The Kentucky Wildcats are coming off back to back wins, but neither of those were particularly impressive. I bet on them in their home win over Auburn, and they just barely hung on winning that game by two points. They followed that up with a narrow win on the road at last place Auburn, and that inspires little confidence as they head to Knoxville to take on the #19 ranked Vols. The Wildcats are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven coming off a win. Tennessee has won four of the last five head to head meetings, and the average margin of victory was far greater than seven points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-21 | Minnesota v. Indiana -4.5 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. I bet against the Gophers in their last road game at Maryland, and they got clobbered. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Minnesota Golden Gophers are a real Jeckyll and Hyde team. They are world beaters at home (13-1) but they can't win a road game to save their lives. Maryland has been tough both on the road as well as at home, and they won't make life easy for Minnesota Sunday. They are the only team to beat the Gophers in Minnesota this season, and they are 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings. The Golden Gophers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they shot just 30.4 percent from the field in the loss to home loss to Maryland last month." The Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-21 | DePaul +13.5 v. Seton Hall | 52-60 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on DePaul. The Blue Demons are just 1-9 in the BIG EAST, and they will be a 13.5 point underdog at Seton Hall Wednesday. DePaul has been perhaps more competitive than you would expect for a team with a 1-9 conference record. Their last three losses came by 10 or fewer points to Creighton, Butler and Providence. Seton Hall has failed to cover in four straight home games, and seven of their last eight games against De Paul have been decided by a single digit margin. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-16-21 | Michigan State v. Purdue -5 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Purdue. The Spartans are struggling, coming into Tuesday's road game at Purdue as losers of five of their last seven overall. They have lost all three road games during that span, and they lost at home by a score of 55-54 to Purdue. That was the only time the road team won in the last six head to head meetings. The Spartans have lost their last three at Purdue by double digits. The Spartans are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall, and they are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-16-21 | Providence +5.5 v. Connecticut | 61-73 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play Providence. The Huskies will be a pretty sizeable favorite here at home against Providence, but I think this looks like a tough spot for the home team. The Huskies got off to a strong start, but they have lost four of their last six. Their leading scorer James Bouknight remains sidelined with an elbow injury. They have missed his 20 points per game. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have been decided by fewer than five points. The Friars have played well on the road, going 2-2 in their last four away from home. They won outright at Creighton and lost by a single point to Georgetown. Don't be suprised if they give the Huskies all they can handle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-21 | Cavs v. Warriors -8 | 98-129 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. I bet against the Cavs last night, and they got clobbered by a shorthanded Clippers team. They play their second game of a back to back with Andre Drummond benched, and I think they lose by double digits again in California. Here is what I said last night: "The Clippers are just two games back of the Lakers, and a home game against Cleveland is an opportunity for them to close the gap. The Clippers have won six straight against Cleveland, and five of those wins came by a double digit margin. The Cavs have lost six straight, and all six losses have come by double digits. The Cavaliers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 0-6 in their last six as an underdog. The Cavs have also failed to cover in four straight at LA." GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-21 | Cavs v. Clippers -10 | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. The Clippers are just two games back of the Lakers, and a home game against Cleveland is an opportunity for them to close the gap. The Clippers have won six straight against Cleveland, and five of those wins came by a double digit margin. The Cavs have lost six straight, and all six losses have come by double digits. The Cavaliers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 0-6 in their last six as an underdog. The Cavs have also failed to cover in four straight at LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-21 | Marquette v. Seton Hall -7.5 | 51-57 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seton Hall. The Pirates are 8-5 in the Big East, but they are 8-1 against everyone other than Creighton and Villanova. They host Marquette Sunday, and these teams are trending in opposite directions. The Golden Eagles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in five straight road games. Marquette has lost five in a row to Seton Hall, and the average margin of defeat in those games is over eight points. This should be a comfortable win for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-21 | 76ers v. Suns +1 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Suns. Phoenix was the biggest surprise team in the bubble this summer, but they got off to a slow start to the 2020-2021 regular season. They come into this afternoon's game on a roll though, winners of seven of their last eight overall and five straight at home. They host the Sixers, who aren't that strong on the road. The 76ers are 14-35-3 ATS in their last 52 road games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven versus the Suns. Phoenix has covered in five straight home games, and the Suns are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-21 | Colorado v. Stanford +1.5 | 69-51 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Stanford. Stanford was forced to play home games off campus for a while, but they are back on their home court for tonight's game against Colorado. The home team has won six of the last seven head to head meetings outright, and I don't think the Buffaloes should be laying points on the road in this spot. The Buffaloes are 16-42 ATS in their last 58 road games, and they are 12-39 ATS in their last 51 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Cardinal are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 home games, and the home team has covered in five of the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-21 | Utah v. California +5.5 | 76-75 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cal. The Golden Bears are sitting in dead last in the PAC12 Conference, and they have lost six game in a row. They have been competitive, losing at home to UCLA by four points, and losing their last game by five points at Stanford. The Golden Bears are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games. The Utes are only 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games. Cal has just two win in conference play, but one of those wins came on the road at Utah. The Bears won outright as a home underdog versus Utah last February. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-21 | LSU v. Mississippi State -1 | 94-80 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Mississippi State. The Tigers have struggled on the road, and they come into tonight's game in Starkeville as losers of four of their last five overall. The Bulldogs have been solid at home, with an overall home record of 8-3. The home team has won five of the last six head to head meetings, and the igers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. The have covered the spread just twice in their last eight road games. The Bulldogs are playing well as evidenced by covering in four of their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-21 | West Virginia +5.5 v. Texas Tech | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WVU. The Mountaineers won at home by a score of 88-87 versus the Red Raiders a few weeks ago, and another close game should be expected here in Lubbock. Texas Tech has their fair share of wins, but they aren't exactly a good bet to cover points. The Red Raiders are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite, and they have failed to cover in seven straight as a home favorite. They are 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games. The line of 5-6 seems a little high. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-21 | Cavs v. Suns -7 | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Suns. Phoenix has won five of their last six overall and three straight at home, and they are finally starting to look like the team that took the bubble by storm this summer. They host the Cavs, who had a bit of a solid run despite low expectations early this season. Cleveland is coming off three straight home losses, and they have lost seven of 10 on the road. The Cavs have failed to cover in six straight overall, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven as a road underdog. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Phoenix. It looks like the home team should win this one by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-21 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -4.5 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kansas. The Jayhawks have lost five of their last seven overall, but all five of those losses came on the road. They are still one of the toughest home teams in the country, and a home game against Oklahoma State figures to be a good spot to get back on track. The Cowboys have lost their last three visits to Kansas all by double digits. The home team has covered the spread in six of the last seven head to head meetings, and the Jayhawks are 46-21-3 ATS in their last 70 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-21 | Drexel v. Hofstra -3 | 73-71 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on Hofstra. The Pride bring a five game winning streak into Saturday's home game against Drexel, and history tells us the home team should be a big favorite here. Drexel has lost eight straight to Hofstra dating back to 2017. The Dragons are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 road games, and they are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Pride are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 Saturday games, and they are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and the favorite has covered in six of the last seven. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-21 | Wizards v. Heat -6.5 | 95-122 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Heat. Miami has really suffered an NBA Finals hangover, and they come into tonight's home game against the Wizards as losers of seven of eight. The Wizards upset the Heat 103-100 on Wednesday, but Washington has only won three of their last eight overall. Both previous wins during that span have been followed by double digit losses. This being a revenge game for Miami, it could very well be a blowout. The Wizards are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win, and they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-21 | George Mason v. Dayton -6 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dayton. The Flyers are no longer the top team in the A-10, but they are still one of the big boys in this conference. They proved that by winning their last home game by double digits against Rhode Island. Their previous two home games were nine point wins over Duquesne and George Mason. The Patriots are coming off a 17 point road loss to St. Bonaventure, and they had previous lost by 20 at Rhode Island. Another double digit loss looks likely here against Dayton. The Flyers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, while the Patriots are 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 games versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-21 | Minnesota v. Rutgers -5 | 72-76 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights are a beast at home, and I don't think five points should be tough to cover against a Minnesota team that isn't that strong on the road. The Gophers are 0-5 on the road, and they have failed to cover in six straight road games. The home team has covered in four of the last five meetings and the favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. This should be a double digit win for Rutgers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-21 | LSU v. Alabama -8.5 | Top | 60-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Alabama. The Crimson Tide are undefeated in the SEC, and they spanked LSU by a score of 105-75 in Baton Rouge a few weeks ago. After losing by 30 points at home, you might figure this would be a revenge spot for the Tigers. They might not have a lot of fight in them though, losing their leading rebounder Darius Days to a knee injury in a loss to Texas Tech. Day played 21 minutes in Sunday's game, scoring 11 points and pulling in nine rebounds before suffering a knee injury that will keep him out for at least a month. LSU has lost three of their last four overall, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road. The Crimson Tide are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have covered in five of their last six at home. This should be a double digit win for the Tide. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-21 | North Carolina v. Clemson +4 | Top | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Clemson. The Tigers have lost four of their last five, but three of those losses came on the road. The other was a home loss to first place Virginia, the defending national champions. The Tar Heels on the other hand have won six of seven, but four of those wins came at home. None of those six wins came against teams with a winning record in the ACC. Historically these teams have played close games in recent seasons, and last year Clemson won 79-76 in overtime at Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels last win at Clemson came by just two points, and their previous win at Clemson (2015) came in overtime by three points. The Tigers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-21 | St. John's +4.5 v. Marquette | 75-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-30-21 | Pistons v. Warriors -5.5 | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 24 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. The Pistons are coming off a big home win over the Lakers, but that was a situational advantage for Detroit. Don't expect them to go on a run now, they haven't won back to back games all season. Only one of their five wins have come on the road, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games playing on 1 days rest. The Warriors have covered in five straight home games against teams with a losing record. Each of the last four wins for Golden State came by a double digit margin, and I just don't think 5.5 points will be enough for the Pistons. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-21 | Ball State v. Akron -4.5 | 42-74 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Akron. The Zips already beat Ball State by 15 points on the road earlier this season, and they look like a bargain as a small favorite at home here on Saturday. Akron has won five straight overall, and they are just 1.5 games out of first place in the MAC. They are undefeated at home so far, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Cardinals are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games. Gimme the home favorite all day! GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs +4.5 | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Spurs. The Spurs have been playing pretty solid, winning four of six with losses coming to the Warriors and Mavericks. They find themselves catching a handful of points as a home dog versus a Denver team at the end of a road trip. The Nuggets have won five straight, two of those wins coming in overtime. The Spurs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog, and the home team has won outright in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-21 | Ohio v. Buffalo -2.5 | 76-75 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Buffalo. Buffalo is coming off a comfortable home win over last place Eastern Michigan, but they may have a real fight on their hands Friday when they host Ohio. The Bobcats are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall, but they aren't that strong away from home. The home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Bulls have won six of the last seven head to head meetings outright. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-21 | Rhode Island v. La Salle +6.5 | 73-60 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on La Salle. |
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01-19-21 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -2 | 64-46 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bulldogs. I had the Bulldogs in their last home game, and here is what I said prior to their win over Florida: "Mississippi State is coming off a heart-breaking 1-point loss at home to Texas A&M, and it won't get any easier Saturday as they host the Florida Gators. They did beat the Gators in each of the last two meetings, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss. The Gators are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Saturday games, while the Bulldogs are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 Saturday games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, and I'll take the home dog here." GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-21 | Wolves v. Hawks -7.5 | 97-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks. The Minnesota Timbewolves are 3-8 overall, and six of their eight losses have come by double digits. Karl Anthony Towns has only played four games, and they are 2-2 when he plays. He's tested positive for Covid-19 and will not play Monday in Atlanta. The Timberwolves are 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games overall, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six versus the Hawks. Atlanta won it's last home game by a score of 112-94 versus Philly. They should be able to lay a similar beating on a short-handed T-Wolves team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-21 | Memphis v. Tulsa +2 | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tulsa. Tulsa is sitting in third in the AAC, and the Golden Hurricanes are 7-4 overall. They have won four of five at home, and they have won three of the last four head to head meetings versus Memphis. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. The Golden Hurricane are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. I think this might be a case of Memphis being overrated based on past performance, when they are not quite as strong this season as they have been in the past. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-21 | Florida v. Mississippi State +1 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bulldogs. |
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01-16-21 | Arkansas v. Alabama -2 | 59-90 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Alabama. The Crimson Tide are coming off a massive double digit win at Kentucky, and you might think that sets them up for a let down here on Saturday. I expect them to be all fired up for a home game against Arkansas, a team that they have lost to in six straight head to head meetings. The Razorbacks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and they have lost 15 of 20 road games since the start of last season. Alabama is undefeated (5-0) in conference play, despite playing some of the best teams in the SEC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-21 | Toledo -3.5 v. Akron | 94-95 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toledo. The Rockets are the cream of the crop in the MAC so far, with a 6-0 conference record. They will play on the road at Akron, and asked to cover a few points. Akron isn't the powerhouse it was a year ago, coming off back to back losses to Northern Illinois and Eastern Michigan. The Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Zips are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-21 | Wisconsin v. Rutgers +3 | 60-54 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 8* play on Rutgers. I have been backing Rutgers in their recent home games, and here is what I said prior to their win over Purdue: "The Scarlet Knights won both meetings versus Purdue last season, and they should be even better equipped to take on the Boilermakers this season. Home court advantage should be a huge factor for a Rutgers team that has won 23 of their last 24 home games. The Boilermakers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Scarlet Knights are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 home games, but they aren't asked to cover much of a spread here." The Scarlet Knights are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog, and the home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-21 | Hornets v. Raptors -7.5 | 108-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Raptors are sitting dead last in the Atlantic Division with a record of 2-8 overall. They have lost back to back games by a single point, but they have a home game against Charlotte tonight. This should give the struggling Raptors a chance to get a W, and make a statement with a double digit home win. Charlotte is playing on back to back nights after losing 104-93 at home to Dallas Wednesday. The Hornets are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home. Gordon Hayward leads the Hornets in scoring averaging 22 points per game, and he left last night's game with a hip injury. His status for tonight is in doubt. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-21 | NC State v. Florida State -3.5 | 73-105 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on FSU. The Seminoles might not be the powerhouse they were last year, but they are still a formidable home team. They host NC State tonight, and the Wolfpack haven't covered in any of their last five road games. They have only covered in one of their last six games overall, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. FSU is 21-1 at home since the beginning of last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-21 | Duke v. Virginia Tech +1.5 | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Virginia Tech. The Hokies are 3-1 in the ACC, with their only loss coming at first place Louisville. They host Duke tonight, and the Blue Devils come in as a road favorite. Duke hasn't looked worthy of laying points on the road, just barely beating Boston College at home last week. The Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven overall. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings, and the Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-21 | Ole Miss v. Florida -3 | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Florida. |