Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-22-18 | Redskins v. Cowboys -7 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 45 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys got their swagger back after beating the Eagles in Philly, and the Falcons in Atlanta. Now they are back home where they are 4-1 this season, hosting the Redskins and their backup quarterback. Colt McCoy was 6-of-12 for 54 yards in the loss to Houston last week, and he's making his first start since 2014. He's 32 years old, which is still young for a quarterback, but riding the pine for the last four years might make him a little rusty. He will be under heavy pressure, facing the Cowboys Top 10 ranked defense. The injury to Alex Smith isn't the only issue the Redskins have to deal with, they are also banged up on the offensive line, and thin at RB. With Chris Thompson out, they will lean heavily on a 33 year old Adrian Peterson who is bothered by a sore shoulder. Washington has been doing it with smoke and mirrors the last few weeks, and they are like a broken team being held together by duct tape. Things should begin to unravel here in Big D. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-22-18 | Bears -165 v. Lions | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 41 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. Any doubts about whether the Bears are for real would have been silenced when they beat up on the Vikings on Sunday night. They rank 3rd in the NFL in total defense, and 2nd against the run. Kahlil Mack has terrorized opposing quarterbacks, and he's facing a Lions offensive line that hasn't been able to protect Matthew Stafford. In recent losses to Chicago and Minnesota, Stafford was sacked 16 times. Then last week the Lions played Carolina, and the Panthers let them off the hook. Carolina failed to get any pressure on Stafford, and then after their kicker missed a chip shot FG and a PAT, they decided to go for a game winning two-point convert rather than a PAT to tie. I don't think Detroit will be so fortunate here against these bad news Bears. Trubisky was 23-of-30 for 330 yards and three TDs in the last meeting, but even if he's out and Chase Daniel is in, the Lions are without their leading rusher and top wide receiver. Take CHI. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs +143 v. Rams | 51-54 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. Two 9-1 teams will meet in LA tonight, in the most highly anticipated game since Kansas City played at Foxboro earlier this season. The Chiefs lost that game by a score of 43-40, but their defense appears to have improved since then. In fact the Chiefs come in off four straight wins by an average margin of over 16 points. During that span they held opponents to just 17 points per game. The Rams on the other hand have allowed opponents to average over 30 points per game while going 2-1 in their last three games. They narrowly avoided a loss at home to the Packers, then they lost to the Saints at the Superdome, and then barely hung on in a home win over Seattle. Kansas City is playing better football right now, and I like Patty Mahomes a little more than Jared Goff. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-18 | Vikings +3 v. Bears | Top | 20-25 | Loss | -122 | 154 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Bears have looked really good this season, coming into this weekend's home game against the Vikings with a 6-3 record, sitting first in the NFC North. The Vikings are hot on their heels, and at 5-3-1 they have navigated a much tougher schedule. Two of those three losses came against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the league (Saints and Rams). Coming off a bye week, Minnesota is as healthy as it has been all year. Dalvin Cook is back, and he had over 100 yards from scrimmage in the win over Detroit. Minnesota has had success on the road, they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The most significant number to me is ZERO! That's the number of wins Chicago has versus teams with a winning record this season. The Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 versus teams with a winning record. Take MIN. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-18-18 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 56 | Top | 7-48 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@NO to go Over the total. |
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11-18-18 | Texans -133 v. Redskins | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 135 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texans. |
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11-18-18 | Panthers -185 v. Lions | 19-20 | Loss | -185 | 129 h 25 m | Show | |
7* |
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11-17-18 | UNLV v. Hawaii -6 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Hawaii. The Warriors have lost four straight, but I expect them to "run and shoot" all over the Rebels at home tonight. UNLV is just 1-5 in the Mountain West, and they have been lit up for over 38 points per game. The Warriors have feasted on inferior teams, scoring 43 at Colorado State, and dropping 59 in their home opener versus Navy. Cole McDonald has completed 60 percent of his passes for over 3000 yards and 32 TDs, with just six INTs. He ranks among the nation's leaders in passing, and he should pick apart a suspect Rebels defense. This game has "BLOWOUT" written all over it! Take HAW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-18 | Arizona State v. Oregon -161 | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks. The Ducks lost a close game at Utah last week, but they return home where they have won five of six games this season. That includes an upset win over the defending conference champs Washington. Arizona State comes into Eugene with six wins, and five of those came at home. The Sun Devils certainly don't have history on their side, failing to cover in four straight at Oregon, and going 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings. Oregon's starting quarterback Justin Herbert is considered the top quarterback prospect for the upcoming NFL draft, and he's thrown 17 of his 25 TD pass at home. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-17-18 | Iowa State v. Texas -155 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 129 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. After losing by a single point at home to West Virginia, the Longhorns went to Lubbock and won by a score of 41-34. They host a very dangerous Iowa State team in a prime time game tonight. The Cyclones come in as winners of five straight, but three of those wins came at home, and I think their luck runs out in Texas. History certainly favors the home team, as Texas has won six of the last seven head to head matchups. Last year's game was a defensive battle, with the Longhorns winning 17-7. Iowa State will be shorthanded, with their leading rusher David Montgomery riding the pine for at least the first half as he serves a suspension. The Cyclones need all the help they can get, they've totaled just 13 points in their last two games against Texas. Low scoring games have been the theme in this series, with five of the last six in Austin failing to reach the total. Texas has also trended under at home, failing to reach the total in 12 of their last 17. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-17-18 | USC v. UCLA OVER 55 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 108 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on USC@UCLA to go Over the total. Chip Kelly has had limited success in his first year at UCLA, but the Bruins have improved since Wilton Speight took over at quarterback. He threw for 335 yards and two TDs in a 31-28 loss at Arizona State last week, and I think he's going to put up big numbers against at home against USC. He's going to have to if the Bruins want to have any chance of winning this game, because their defense can't seem to stop anybody. UCLA ranks 111th in the country allowing opponents to average 215 rushing yards per game. When these teams met last year, the bookmakers set the total at 70.5, more than two TDs higher than the total for this game. History seems to favor the under, as each of the last four meetings between the two teams have fallen short of the total. That being said, three of the last six meetings saw more than 55 combined points. I think this game will be a shootout, with UCLA digging deep into their bag of tricks. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-17-18 | Michigan State v. Nebraska +1.5 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 120 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nebraska Cornhuskers. It's been a difficult season for Scott Frost and the Cornhuskers, but they come into this Saturday's home game against Michigan State as winners of three of their last four. Even the one loss during that span was impressive, falling just short of an upset in Columbus in a 36-31 loss to the Buckeyes. The Spartans scored just six points in a home loss to Ohio State last week, and their offense is a mess. Brian Lewerke has thrown for more picks (9) than TDs (8) this season. Freshman QB Adrian Martinez has really come into his own in recent weeks, throwing for 9 TD and just two INTs in his last four starts. Nebraska is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings between these two teams, winning the most recent contest by a score of 39-38. I'll take the home dog here. Take NEB. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks -133 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 65 h 44 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-15-18 | Toledo v. Kent State UNDER 59.5 | 56-34 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOL@KENT to go Under the total. The last two meetings between Toledo and Kent State each fell short of 50 points, and the previous two meetings fell short of 60 points. The total for tonight's game is higher than it had been in any of those four meetings. The Under is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 games overall, and the Under is 4-1 in the Golden Flashes last 5 games overall. Kent State ranks 137th in the country in scoring, and they have given up a ton of points as well. The Golden Flashes have been far more competitive at home though, allowing just 21 points per game. A difficult schedule may have resulted in some skewed numbers for this Kent State team. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-14-18 | Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois OVER 48 | 13-7 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on M-OH@NIU to go Over the total. I bet on the under in last week's game in Dekalb, and the Huskies beat Toledo 38-15, just barely falling short of the number. Tonight's total is much lower, meaning a similar score would result in an over. The Redhawks are coming off a 30-28 win over Ohio, and the previous week they scored 42 points in a loss at Buffalo. Gus Ragland has thrown for 512 yards, two TDs and 1 INT on 40-of-67 passing the last two weeks. That's pretty impressive considering the opposition. I think Ragland and the RedHawks will score enough points to push this total over what appears to be quite a low number. The last three head to head meetings between these teams all saw a total over 50. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
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11-12-18 | Giants +165 v. 49ers | 27-23 | Win | 165 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the NYG. It's a battle of the bottom feeders on Monday Night Football when the Niners host the Giants in Santa Clara. San Francisco is the favorite coming off a blowout win over Oakland despite starting a third string quarterback. It was an impressive performance from Nick Mullens, who has since moved up the depth chart and will take over the starting roll from C.J. Beathard. I'm not about to bet on a rookie QB as a favorite, playing on one of the league's weakest teams in a natural let down spot against a team that is coming off a bye week. After everything worked out perfectly for the Niners in their win over Oakland, they might not be so fortunate here this week. The Giants still have plenty of weapons, with Manning, Barkley and OBJ. Coming out of the bye week without any significant injuries, this looks like a good spot for the Giants to get a little bit of swagger back. I'm calling for the upset. Take NYG.
GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-18 | Seahawks +11.5 v. Rams | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 160 h 52 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-11-18 | Dolphins v. Packers -9.5 | Top | 12-31 | Win | 100 | 134 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOM play on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers gave the Rams all they bargained for in LA, and then they went toe to toe with the Patriots at Foxboro. They went into the fourth quarter of last week's game tied 17-17, but the Pats scored two late TDs to make a close game look like a blowout. They return home looking to extend their perfect home record, hosting the Miami Dolphins. The Fish are coming off a 13-6 home win over the Jets, but they weren't all that impressive in that game. They were out-gained by 114 yards (282-168). Brock Osweiler failed to throw for a TD in his second consecutive game, totaling 139 yards on 15-of-24 passing in the win over the Jets. It's not like they can lean on their running game, as they have scored an NFL worst three rushing TDs. A cold weather game at Lambeau Field looks like a tough spot for a Miami team with a serious lack of talent. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-11-18 | Bills +9.5 v. Jets | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 157 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bills. The Bills have looked like the worst team in the NFL for most of the season, but I still can't see how anyone would justify betting on the Jets favored by more than a TD in what looks like a battle of the bottom feeders. It should be a rather meaningless game played in bad weather, and neither of these teams have much of an offense. Sam Darnold is really struggling, but he's still probably better than Nathan Peterman. The Bills will hope that either Josh Allen or Derek Anderson can start this week. The favorite has only covered the spread once in the last six meetings between these teams, and the Jets have only averaged 11 points per game during their three game losing streak. I'll take the points here against a Jets team that ranks 28th in the NFL in passing. Take BUF. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-11-18 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 45.5 | 22-34 | Loss | -115 | 129 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DET@CHI to go Under the total. The Lions are ... "they are who we thought they were." They have a starting quarterback with a career record of 63-70 that they have grossly overpaid for, and they are 3-5 and in last place in the NFC North. After scoring just nine points in a loss at Minnesota last week, they will be hard pressed to do any better in Chicago this week. The Bears defense has allowed a total of 19 points in back to back wins over the Bills and the Jets. The weatherman is calling for a cold and wet day in the Windy City, and the conditions might hinder the passing game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in five of the last six meetings in Chicago. The Bears have gone under in six of their last seven against teams with a winning record. Matthew Stafford was sacked 10 times last week, and his life isn't going to get any easier here in Chicago. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-10-18 | Texas -120 v. Texas Tech | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Texas Longhorns. Texas and Texas Tech are each coming off disappointing losses in games that went right down to the wire. The Longhorns lost a heartbreaker at home 42-41 to West Virginia, but the Red Raiders not only lost 51-46 to Oklahoma, they may have lost their starting quarterback as well. Alan Bowman suffered a collapsed lung in the loss to the Sooners, and spent time in the hospital following the game. His status is in question, and backup Jett Duffey has had trouble protecting the football. The sophomore has thrown as many picks (4) as TDs while starting in three games. Home field advantage might not help the Red Raiders, as the road team has won four straight meetings in this series. The Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last four games at Lubbock. Take TEX. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-10-18 | Oregon v. Utah -170 | Top | 25-32 | Win | 100 | 92 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Utes. Oregon is coming off a 21-point home win over UCLA, but that followed back to back blowout losses by a combined 43 points at Washington State and Arizona. Needless to say, the Ducks aren't nearly as good on the road as they are at home. The Ducks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games, and they are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 when coming off a win. The Utes on the other hand are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Utah is by far the best defensive team in the PAC12, ranking 17th nationally allowing just 19 points per game. The Ducks tend to struggle on the road against strong defenses, and I expect Utah to cause all sorts of problems for the Oregon offense. Take UTAH. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-10-18 | Ohio State -165 v. Michigan State | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 47 h 24 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-09-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State +3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boise State Broncos. The Broncos will host Fresno State tonight, and the Bulldogs come in as road favorites likley because they own a better record (8-1). Boise State has two losses, but I still find it a little shocking that the Broncos would be a home dog on the Blue Turf. The Broncos 21-16 home win over BYU last week is far more impressive than any of the Bulldogs eight wins. The home team has won six straight meetings in this series dating back to 2012. The Broncos have won 15 of their last 17 home games outright, and that includes a pair of wins over BYU and a win over PAC12 powerhouse Washington State. I'll take Brett Rypien and his Broncos as home dogs. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-18 | Panthers v. Steelers -165 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Pittsburgh. The Panthers are 2-1 on the road, but keep in mind that they trailed 17-0 in Philly, and pulled off a miracle comeback late in that game. They come into Pittsburgh off three straight wins, but they looked vulnerable in all three of those games. Starting with the win over the Eagles, they were dominated in that game and got lucky to win. Last week against the Bucs, they gave up 21 unanswered points allowing Tampa to pull within a TD after trailing 35-7. The Steelers on the other hand have improved defensively, and have held their last four opponents to an average of 18 points. They are particularly tough against the run, ranking 5th in the NFL allowing opponents to average just 90 yards per game. Carolina is a run first team, ranking 3rd in the league in rushing. This appears to be a tough matchup on the road for the Panthers. I expect Pittsburgh to hold Christian McCaffrey in check tonight, edging out the Panthers in Steel Town. Take Pit. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-18 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois UNDER 56 | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-07-18 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois -165 | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-07-18 | Ohio -175 v. Miami-OH | 28-30 | Loss | -175 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-06-18 | Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 43 | 14-48 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KENT@BUFF to go Over the total. |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys -4.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Dallas Cowboys. The Boys have gotten a lot of negative press this year, as fans have only recently come to terms with the fact that Dak Prescott is an average at best quarterback. This is not news to me, as I had been saying it since he was named the starter. That being said, Dallas is still a solid team with a stud running back and a better than average defense. They are 0-4 on the road and 3-0 at home, and that's a trend that seems destined to hold true tonight. The Titans are playing their first game since losing in heart-breaking fashion in London, when they missed a two-point conversion in a 20-19 loss to the Chargers. Tennessee has lost three straight, and three of four on the road this season. The Titans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week, and 11-23 ATS in their last 34 road games. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-04-18 | Packers v. Patriots -5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots. The Patriots and the Packers each came into this season as favorites to win the Super Bowl, but while New England is right where they were expected to be heading into Week 9, the Packers are done. The trades sending Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and Ty Montgomery to Baltimore and Washington have some suggesting that the Packers are throwing in the towel. It might be a little too soon to give up on Green Bay when you consider that they are just one game out of first place in the NFC North. That being said, with three of their next four games coming on the road to teams with a winning record, it's hard to see them making up any ground. They are 0-3 on the road, and they have given up a whopping 90 points in their last three games. Aaron Rodgers can only do so much, and he doesn't have the supporting cast to win a battle versus Brady and Belichick at Foxboro. The Patriots are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 home games. Take NE. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints +111 | Top | 35-45 | Win | 111 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints. The Rams bring an 8-0 record into the Super Dome, and this game has all the signs of a let down spot for an undefeated team. LA is actually a favorite against the 6-1 Saints, and that's a little shocking when you consider it's Jared Goff versus All Time Passing Leader Drew Brees. The Saints haven't just been winning, they have beaten the likes of Minnesota and Baltimore on the road during their six game winning streak. The Rams got off to a slow start in last week's home win over Green Bay, a game that could have easily gone the other way. Anybody who knows anything about betting the NFL, would know that almost every team is capable of having a bad game. There's only one team in NFL history to have a perfect season (72 Dolphins). Chances are that the Rams will lose a game, and this looks like the spot for exactly that to happen. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-04-18 | Lions v. Vikings -4.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vikings. The Vikes are coming off a home loss to the New Orleans Saints, snapping a three game winning streak. They host the Detroit Lions Sunday, and Detroit will be without leading wide receiver Golden Tate who was dealt to Philly at the trade deadline. The Vikings have three losses on the season, and two of those came against the Rams and the Saints who have a combined record of 14-1. The other loss was an inexplicable 27-6 home loss to Buffalo. Kirk Cousins ranks second in the NFL in passing behind Patrick Mahomes, and he has better than a 70 percent completion percentage, with 16 TDs and just four INTs. This Minnesota team came into the season as one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl, and they desperately need a win here at home to get back on track. The Lions are 1-2 on the road this season, and both losses came against teams with a losing record. I like Minny to win big here in this spot. Take MIN. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-04-18 | Steelers v. Ravens -130 | 23-16 | Loss | -130 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baltimore Ravens. Pittsburgh is in 1st place in the AFC North with a record of 4-2-1, but they have just one win against a team with a winning record. When you consider that they padded their stats by playing the Browns twice, the Bucs and a banged up Falcons team, their record isn't all that impressive. Baltimore on the other hand is 4-4, but owns the NFL's #1 ranked defense. The Ravens are 2-1 at home, with the one loss coming against Drew Brees and the Saints (by a single point). They completely shut down this Steelers offense in Pittsburgh, winning by a score of 26-14 in Week 4. There will be some people calling this a revenge spot, but the fact that Pittsburgh is 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight versus Baltimore, I caution against backing Big Ben and the Steelers. The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last six coming off a loss, and I expect the NFL's best defense to shine here at home this week. Take BAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-18 | Bucs v. Panthers -6 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Carolina Panthers. It's like Deja Vu All Over Again? Ryan Fitzpatrick came in last week and nearly upset the Bengals, engineering a stunning second half comeback. Remember the last time Tampa fans were excited about Fitzpatrick starting a game? They lost 48-10 at Chicago, and Fitzpatrick was pulled after throwing for 126 yards and an INT in the first half. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Bucs are 2-0, and fans are buzzing about "Fitzmagic". I have seen enough of Ryan Fitzpatrick over the years that I know it would be naive to think he's going to be magical every week" The Bucs are badly in need of some "magic" on defense, as they come into today's game ranked dead last in the NFL allowing 33.3 points per game. This game has "BLOWOUT" written all over it! Take CAR. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-03-18 | Alabama v. LSU OVER 53 | Top | 29-0 | Loss | -115 | 97 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on BAMA@LSU to go Over the total. In previous meetings between Alabama and LSU, my go to move has been to take the under. That has been the right call in eight of the last nine head to head meetings, including last year's 24-10 win for Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Things have changed though, as this isn't the Alabama offense with Jalen Hurts, Jake Coker or A.J. McCarron. Since the arrival of Tua Tagovailoa, the Tide have been an offensive juggernaut. LSU has also improved on offense, coming in averaging over 30 points per game. Alabama leads the country averaging over 54 points per game, but they have only played one ranked team. That was a 45-23 win over Texas A&M. I expect them to drop at least 40 on the Tigers, and LSU is likely to get a few licks in as well. My prediction is a 42-24 win for the visitors. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-18 | UCLA v. Oregon -10 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks. Chip Kelly returns to Oregon with his struggling UCLA squad, coming off a blowout loss at Utah. The Ducks have lost back to back games on the road, but their last home game was a shocking upset win over the Washington Huskies. The Bruins allowed Utah to run for 345 yards last week: "We didn't tackle well in the first half, didn't tackle well in the second half," UCLA coach Chip Kelly said in his post game analysis. They allowed the Arizona Wildcats to run for 289 yards in a 31-30 home win a week earlier. The Ducks still rank in the Top 25 in the country in scoring, and with all their weapons I expect them to light up an inferior UCLA defense at home. The Ducks are 5-0 straight up in five home games against UCLA since 2006, and four of those wins came by a double digit margin. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-18 | Notre Dame v. Northwestern +9.5 | 31-21 | Loss | -105 | 94 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Northwestern Wildcats. The Notre Dame Irish are ranked #3 overall, one of the four teams listed in the first edition of the (Top 4) College Football Playoff Rankings. They have an impressive resume, with an 8-0 record including wins over Michigan and Virginia Tech. While there is no doubt that the Irish are one of the top teams in the country, I think they have become slightly overrated. They are a double-digit road favorite this week at Northwestern, and the Wildcats have already upset the likes of Wisconsin and Michigan State. They also played a close game in a 20-17 loss to Michigan. Notre Dame has four wins by fewer than 10 points: versus Michigan, Vanderbilt, Ball State and Pittsburgh. Another close game here in Evanston should be expected. Take NW. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-03-18 | Utah v. Arizona State UNDER 56 | 20-38 | Loss | -109 | 94 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@ARZST to go Under the total. The Utes ran all over the UCLA Bruins in a 41-10 home win last week, but they face a much toughest test here at Arizona State. Herm Edwards already has a handful of impressive results against top tier teams this year. Arizona State upset Michigan State at home, won on the road at UCLA and covered in a 27-20 loss to the Huskies in Washington. Arizona State has won three of four home games, and have allowed opponents to average just 16 points per game at home this season. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and only one of the last nine head to head meetings have seen more than 55 combined points. Utah has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six when coming off a win, while the under is 4-1 in the Sun Devils last five games in November. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-18 | Utah v. Arizona State +7.5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 90 h 8 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-02-18 | Colorado v. Arizona -136 | 34-42 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona. The Wildcats are coming off a blowout win over Oregon at home, and they host a sad sacked Colorado team tonight. The Buffaloes are coming off a particularly disturbing loss, blowing a 31-3 lead at home versus Oregon State. Arizona has owned Colorado in recent seasons, winning five of the last six head to head meetings. Arizona is 6-2 ATS in it's last eight home games, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall. This will be the third road game versus a PAC12 opponent for Colorado, and the previous two were double-digit losses to USC and Washington. Quarterback Stephen Montez failed to throw for 200 yards in both those games, and had more INTs (2) than TD passes (1). This looks like a good spot for the Wildcats to take advantage of an inferior opponent at home. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-18 | Temple v. Central Florida UNDER 59 | 40-52 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TEMPLE@UCF to go Under the total. The Central Florida Knights own the longest winning streak in the country (20 games). They have proclaimed themselves to be national champions, but they narrowly avoided defeat in a 31-30 win at Memphis a few weeks ago. While they won that battle, they might lose the war if McKenzie Milton misses any more time. The star QB was injured in that game, and didn't play in a 37-10 win at ECU last week. Even if he does return to action tonight, he likely isn't going to push it by running the ball as he normally does. Temple is a strong opponent with a solid defense, and the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated. The last time Temple played at UCF, they lost 26-25. Three of the last four meetings between these teams saw less than 52 combined points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-18 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo -7 | 42-51 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Buffalo Bulls. The 7-1 Buffalo Bulls are ruling the roost in the MAC, winning all four games against opponents within the conference. Their lone loss came at the hands of a scrappy Army team that almost upset Oklahoma earlier in the year. Buffalo has won three straight, all by double digits. The Bulls racked up 493 total yards in a dominant 31-17 road win at Toledo last week, and they look good here at home against the Redhawks. Miami-Oh has a 3-5 record, but their wins come against bottom feeders with a combined record of 2-10 in the MAC. Buffalo will put it's 5-0 ATS run (in the MAC) to the test in this revenge game (lost to Redhawks last year). Take BUF. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-29-18 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 45 | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NE@BUF to go Under the total. |
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10-28-18 | Saints v. Vikings +3 | 30-20 | Loss | -122 | 1 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Vikes. The Vikings defense hasn't been as good this year as it was when they beat New Orleans 29-19 in Week 1 last year. They also won a thriller in the playoffs, winning on a walkoff TD by Stephan Diggs making it 29-24 (still less than 55 points). That game likely should have finished 24-23 if it wasn't for a miracle 61 yard play. Minnesota got off to a good start in that game, taking a 17-0 lead to the locker room at halftime. I expect to see them play well here at home, especially given that Kirk Cousins comes in with a 70 percent completion percentage and a 14-3 TD/INT ratio. I like Minny as a home dog. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-18 | Saints v. Vikings UNDER 54.5 | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@MIN to go Under the total. |
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10-28-18 | Packers v. Rams -8.5 | 27-29 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LAR. The Packers came into this season as one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. I was never buying that, as Aaron Rodgers has battled injuries for most of the past three seasons, and aside from the quarterback position, Green Bay is seriously lacking talent. Their defense was lit up in a rather ugly home win over the Niners two weeks ago. They are in tough this week playing on the road at LA, the last of the league's unbeaten teams. While some might think that a bye week is going to give the Packers a chance to record an upset, I simply believe this team isn't even close to being a true Super Bowl contender. I am looking for Todd Gurley to run all over Green Bay, all day long. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-18 | Bucs v. Bengals -4 | 34-37 | Loss | -108 | 135 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals.
The Bengals are coming off a blowout loss at Kansas City, but they return home to face the league's worst defense. The Bucs won in overtime at home against the Browns, but they really didn't deserve to win that game. They were lucky to hit a 59 yard FG after the Browns missed several chances to win the game. Losing LB Kwon Alexander isn't going to help matters for the Bucs, who have allowed a league worst 32.7 points per game this season. I am looking for the Red Rifle and the Cinci offense to have a field day. Take CINCI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-18 | Jets v. Bears -6.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 135 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. |
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10-28-18 | Eagles -182 v. Jaguars | 24-18 | Win | 100 | 136 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia Eagles. |
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10-27-18 | Texas -165 v. Oklahoma State | 35-38 | Loss | -165 | 96 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. The Longhorns have won six straight since losing their opening game to Maryland. What is even more impressive is that three of those six wins came against Top 25 ranked opponents. The Cowboys are coming off back to back losses, and they have lost three of their four games against BIG12 teams. They have really missed Mason Rudolph, and his replacement Taylor Cornelius is coming off a terrible performance at K-State. He threw for just 184 yards and two INTs on 17-of-35 passing. The Cowboys were likely hoping not to see Sam Ehlinger, but the starting quarterback for Texas has practiced all week and is likely to return to action here in Stillwater. Ehlinger has thrown for 9 TDs without any INTs during the Longhorns six game win streak. Take TEX. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-27-18 | Texas A&M +3 v. Mississippi State | 13-28 | Loss | -120 | 95 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas A&M. The 5-2 Aggies have two losses to teams ranked #1 and #2 overall. Despite their impressive resume, they are getting points here at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs got off to a good start, but have started to fade as the reality of a tough SEC schedule set in. They come in as losers of three of their last four overall, and that includes a 13-6 home loss to the Florida Gators. They have been really struggling to score points, averaging less than 10 points per game over their last four games. Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference game, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. I just can't see asking a team that has so much trouble scoring to cover points against a team like Texas A&M. Take AGGIES. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-27-18 | Washington State +3 v. Stanford | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Washington State. The Cougars are coming off a huge home win over Oregon, and surely that sets them up for a let down here on the road against Stanford. What looks like a let down spot at first glance, actually looks like a pretty favorable matchup for the visitors. Stanford has not looked good this season, and Heisman favorite (pre-season) Bryce Love has failed to live up to expectations. Recent history certainly favors the Cougars, who have won two of the last three meetings outright, and the one loss came by a score of 30-28. Mike Leach is known as an offensive genius, but this Cougars defense has been impressive as well. They held Oregon scoreless in the first half last week. I'll take the Cougars plus the points as they look to move to 8-0 ATS in their last eight. Take WAZZU. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-25-18 | Dolphins v. Texans UNDER 44.5 | Top | 23-42 | Loss | -107 | 42 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@HOU to go Under the total.
The Texans are rolling, coming into Thursday's home game against the Dolphins as winners of four straight. Their defense is playing great, holding their last three opponents to an average of 12 points. They face a banged up Miami offense, missing several key players including starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill. They have already ruled out Kenny Stills and Devante Parker for Thursday night. The Dolphins have failed to reach the total in four straight road games, and the under is 4-1 in the Texans last five home games. Houston has failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-18 | Baylor v. West Virginia -13.5 | 14-58 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WVU. The much improved Baylor Bears will be a two touchdown underdog on the road at West Virginia tonight, but I have my doubts that they can hang with the Mountaineers. Baylor appears to be off to a great start, with a 4-3 overall record and a 2-2 record in the BIG12. Look a little closer though and you can see that their two wins in conference play came against a pair of BIG12 bottom feeders in Kansas and K-State who have a combined record of 1-7. They did manage to hang with both Duke and Texas, but neither of those two teams have the potent air attack that West Virginia has. Perhaps a better comparison would be their 66-33 loss to Oklahoma. They catch the Mountaineers coming off their first loss of the season, and this looks like a spot where the home team should open up a can of whupass! Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-18 | Giants v. Falcons OVER 54 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -120 | 139 h 8 m | Show |
10* |
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10-21-18 | Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 56 | 10-45 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CIN@KC to go Over. The Chiefs defense ranks among the worst in the league when it comes to stopping the run. KC ranks 28th in the league versus the run, allowing over 127 yards per game. They also rank 27th in scoring defense, giving up over 28 points per game. Cinci has scored more than 24.5 points in four of six games so far, and with all their offensive weapons I can't see KC holding them under 27 points. The first half total of 27.5 seems just a little low, as I expect to see a minimum of 4 TDs before halftime. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-18 | Panthers v. Eagles -200 | 21-17 | Loss | -200 | 147 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Eagles.
Philly comes off a commanding road win in New York on TNF, and that gives them a few extra days to get ready for a home game against Carolina. Carson Wentz comes in completing over 68 percent of his passes with 8 TDs and just one INT in four starts. The defending champs have their swagger back, and they appear to be primed for another big win against a Carolina team that struggles on the road. The Panthers are 0-2 on the road this season and have lost four straight road games dating back to the end of last season. Cam Newton faces a tough Eagles defense, and it could be a rough day for the former MVP. Take Philly. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-18 | Vikings -164 v. Jets | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 147 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings.
The Vikes are 3-2-1 with an inexplicable loss to the Bills at home, and then a relatively close loss on the road to Super Bowl favorites LA. While they haven't lived up to expectations, I believe this team is far closer to being a contender than many might think. Kirk Cousins comes into Week 7 completing more than 70 percent of his passes, with 12 TDs and just 3 INTs. The Jets are 3-3, but all three wins have come against teams with a losing record. Rookie QB Sam Darnold has been great at times, but he faces an opportunistic Vikings defense, and a handful of key injuries may make his job even harder. I like the Vikes to roll in NY. Take MINNY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-18 | Browns +3.5 v. Bucs | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 121 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. |
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10-20-18 | Arizona +10 v. UCLA | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 35 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, and the line has been bet up almost five points since opening at -5.5. I'll fade this inflated number. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-18 | Arizona v. UCLA UNDER 56 | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -109 | 83 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 10* play on ARI@UCLA to go Under. Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, but I am focused on the total. Arizona has failed to reach the total in four straight, and six straight within conference. We could see both teams pound away with the run given that neither team has a lot of talent at quarterback at the moment. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-18 | Oregon v. Washington State OVER 66 | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -115 | 90 h 22 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on ORE@WSU to go Over the total. The Ducks are moving up in the rankings after an upset win over the Washington Huskies on Saturday. The Huskies were in position to win the game in the fourth quarter, but Peyton Henry missed a 37 yard (chip shot) field goal in the dying seconds. That allowed Oregon to come back and win in overtime. The Ducks are flying high as they head into Pullman for a date with the Cougars, but this game has all the signs of a classic let down spot for the visitors. Washington State is coming off a bye week, and they are still undefeated at home. One of their three home wins came against a very strong Utah team. The Ducks have lost three straight to Washington State, and their last game at Pullman was a 51-33 loss in 2016. The over is 11-4 in the last 15 meeting between these teams, and the Cougars have gone over in five straight against PAC12 teams. Take Over. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-20-18 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -170 | 28-53 | Win | 100 | 86 h 21 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-18-18 | Stanford v. Arizona State UNDER 57.5 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on STAN@ARZST to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal will be a road favorite tonight at Arizonta State, but we should expect a competitive game between two PAC12 rivals. Previous meetings between the two teams have been pretty hard fought defensive battles, with the under cashing in five of the last six meetings. The Sun Devils are 3-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of less than 15 points in those games. Their 16-13 win over Michigan State was particularly impressive. Four of Stanford's last five visits to Arizona State have gone under the total, and the under is 44-20 in Cardinal last 64 games in October. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -165 | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. |
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10-14-18 | Rams v. Broncos +7 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 134 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Denver. The Broncos aren't rolling over for anybody at home in Mile High Stadium. We saw that two weeks ago when the Broncos held a 10-point advantage in the fourth quarter versus the Kansas City Chiefs. While Kansas City rallied to win that game, it was a lot closer than some might have expected. This week the Rams will travel to Denver, and they are asked to cover even more points than the Chiefs. The Rams have been impressive on offense, but they gave up 31 points to the Vikings and the Seahawks in each of their last two games. LA has yet to be punished for their poor play on defense, coming into Sunday's game with a 5-0 record and the odds on favorite to win the Super Bowl. This looks like a bit of a tricky spot though, and asking them to cover more than a TD seems a little overly optimistic. I'll take Denver plus the points. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-18 | Bucs v. Falcons -168 | 29-34 | Win | 100 | 131 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons really need a win in the worst way after suffering a one-sided loss at Pittsburgh. The good news is that they host Tampa Bay this week, and the Bucs are a hot mess. The "Fitzmagic" now looks like it was nothing more than "smoke and mirrors". Famous Jameis will step back into the starting role after throwing for 145 yards a TD and two INTs in relief of Fitzpatrick in the Bucs last game. It won't matter who plays quarterback if the Bucs last ranked defense can't stop Matt Ryan and the Atlanta offense. The Buccaneers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October. I'll take the home favorite in a must win game. Take ATL. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-14-18 | Steelers v. Bengals -128 | 28-21 | Loss | -128 | 131 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a big home win over Atlanta, but this team still has it's fair share of issues. They should have their hands full in Cincinnati, where the Bengals are 2-0 so far. Cincinnati is in first place in the division with a 4-1 record, and the Red Rifle has this offense firing on all cylinders. Pittsburgh ranks 30th in the NFL against the pass, allowing opponents to average almost 300 yards per game. It could be another big day for Andy Dalton, AJ Green and company. The Steelers are 0-8 in their last eight when coming off a win, and they have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six versus teams with a winning record. I'll take the home favorite in this spot. Take CINCI. GL, Jesse Schule
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10-14-18 | Panthers v. Redskins | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 131 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Redskins. Washington looked brutal in a blowout loss to the Saints on Monday night, but that game might say more about the Saints than it does about the Skins. They host Carolina this week, and the Panthers are coming off a lucky win over the Giants at home. New York rallied from a 20-10 deficit to go ahead 31-30 with just over a minute to play, but a 63 yard FG (YES 63 YARDS) by Graham Gano allowed the Panthers to steal the game on the final play. Washington is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered the spread in six of their last seven when coming off a loss. Carolina on the other hand has failed to cover in four straight when coming off a win. I'll take the home favorite here in Washington. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule
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10-13-18 | Washington -150 v. Oregon | 27-30 | Loss | -150 | 114 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Huskies. The Oregon Ducks blew a big lead in a home loss to Stanford, but they went out on the road a week later and laid a beating on Cal at Berkley. They host the Washington Huskies this week, and Washington comes in as winners of five straight. The Huskies beat Oregon 38-3 last season, but the Ducks didn't have starting quarterback Justin Herbert in that game. Herbert won't have fond memories of the last time he started a home game against Washington. He threw for just 179 yards with 2 TDs and an INT in a 70-21 loss in 2016. Jake Browning went off in that game, throwing six (THAT'S RIGHT SIX) TD passes. The Ducks have failed to cover in five straight home games, and eight of their last nine when coming off a win. Take WAS. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-13-18 | Texas A&M v. South Carolina UNDER 53.5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 114 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TAM@SOCAR to go Under the total. Jake Bentley didn't play in last week's home win over Missouri, after suffering an injury in a 24-10 loss to Kentucky a week earlier. He only threw for 138 yards with a TD and 3 INTs on 13-of-28 passing in that game. He will face a stingy Aggies defense that held Kentucky to just 178 total yards last week. The 4-2 Aggies have losses against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the country. Texas A&M has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 conference games, and eight straight in the month of October. The Gamecocks have also trended toward low scoring games, going under in 16 of their last 22 SEC games, and 17 of their last 21 when coming off a win. Another defensive battle should be expected at Williams Brice Stadium. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-13-18 | Central Florida -191 v. Memphis | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 114 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on UCF. The UCF Knights are 5-0, and their average margin of victory is over 30 points per game. They will be the road favorite at Memphis this week, despite the fact that they needed double OT to beat the Tigers at home last year. This year's Memphis squad isn't as strong as it was a year ago, when they brought a 10-1 record into the AAC Championship game. They have already lost two of three games in conference play, falling to Navy and Tulane. The Knights are Knights are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, and they are 10-0 straight up in their last 10 versus Memphis. The Tigers are just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 versus teams with a winning record. Take UCF. GL, Jesse Schule
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10-11-18 | Eagles -143 v. Giants | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Philadelphia Eagles. The defending Champion Eagles are trying to shake off a Super Bowl hangover, and they face a must win game on the road versus rivals New York tonight. The Giants are 1-4, and they sit in last place in the NFC East. The Eagles have their fair share of problems, but Carson Wentz is not one of them. He's only played in three games this season, and while Philly is coming off back to back losses, Wentz threw for over 300 yards in both of those games. He's thrown for just shy of 1000 yards with 5 TDs and 1 INT on 67.3 percent passing. Wentz will have to carry the load tonight, as the Eagles are thin at running back after losing Jay Ajayi for the remainder of the season. He faces a Giants defense that is tied for the fewest sacks in the league. The Eagles rank 2nd in the NFL against the run, allowing just 66.4 yards per game. Saquon Barkley has averaged only 50.5 rushing yards per game in his last four starts. While he is averaging 4.3 yards per carry, he doesn't get as much of a workload when the Giants are losing. He comes into Week 6 nursing a sore back, and that will likely open the door for backup Wayne Gallman to help carry the load. I like the Eagles to right the ship here against a Giants team that appears to have much bigger problems. Take PHILLY. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-11-18 | Texas Tech +7.5 v. TCU | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 28 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders. The Red Raiders are 3-2, with losses to #12 ranked West Virginia and Mississippi. They have a pair of impressive wins at #15 Oklahoma State and at home over Houston. They lost starting quarterback Alan Bowman midway through last week's game, and backup Jett Duffey was able to move the ball, and they out-scored West Virginia 17-7 in the 4th quarter. If Bowman can't go tonight, there is reason to believe that Duffey will be even better after a full week practicing with the first team offense. Two of the last three meetings between TCU and Texas Tech have been decided on the final play. The Horned Frogs are struggling offensively, and quarterback Shawn Robinson might not start against the Red Raiders. He's thrown more INTs (6) than TDs (4) over the last four weeks. I think this line looks a little inflated when you consider that TCU is 5-16 ATS in it's last 21 home games, and 0-4 ATS in it's last four versus the BIG12. Take TTU. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-08-18 | Redskins +7 v. Saints | Top | 19-43 | Loss | -120 | 163 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins. The Bye Week came at a great time for Washington, allowing several key players to rest up and recover from lingering injuries. Adrian Peterson suffered an ankle injury in Washington's 31-17 win over Green Bay two weeks ago, but still he ran for 120 yards and two TDs in that game. He's surely looking forward to having a chance to stick it to the Saints. Sean Payton signed Peterson prior to last season, and then let him rot on the bench, refusing to give him an opportunity. He then went to Arizona, and has since averaged 76 rushing yards per game in nine starts for Arizona and now Washington. He's averaging a TD per game so far this season, and I expect him to keep that average up. Drew Brees is going to break another record tonight, and Mark Ingram returns from a suspension. The Superdome was once considered the toughest place in the NFL to play, and bookmakers are still giving New Orleans a lot of love at home. When you consider that the Saints were blown out by the Bucs at home in Week 1, that they have failed to cover in four of their last five home games and six straight versus the Skins, the spread for tonight's game appears to be greatly inflated. Take WAS. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-07-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Texans | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. Everyone is talking about how bad the Cowboys are, but is Houston really good enough to be favored by 3.5 points against anyone? I don't think so. The Texans first win of the season came at home in overtime against the Colts last week, and they blew an 11 point lead in the second half of that game. Dak Prescott was never as good as he was hyped up to be in his rookie season, but he doesn't need to be great when he has Ezekiel Elliot to hand off to. Dallas ranks 3rd in the NFL in rushing behind Cleveland and Denver. Houston has failed to cover in eight of it's last nine overall, and four of it's last five home games. I'll take the points here because I just don't think the Texans should be asked to cover more than a FG. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-18 | Rams v. Seahawks +8.5 | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Rams come into Seattle as favorites to win the Super Bowl, but I think this game could be a lot tougher than some think. This division rivalry has been ultra competitive over the last decade. The Rams have failed to cover in eight of their last 11 visits to the Emerald City. Home field advantage has been more significant in Seattle than in most other cities, and the 12th man is still going strong. The home team has covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the underdog is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings. Russell Wilson is still one of the league's best quarterbacks, and after the Rams gave up 422 passing yards and three passing TDs in last week's win over the Vikings, I like Seattle's chances of keeping this close. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-18 | Packers v. Lions +100 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Lions. The Packers are coming off a 22-0 home win over Buffalo, but Aaron Rodgers delivered another pedestrian performance while playing on an injured kee. Green Bay is a road favorite this week at Detroit, and this looks like a tough spot. The Packers are thin at reciever with injuries to Randall Cobb and Geronimo Allisson, and Rogers still isn't practicing. Detroit played hard on the road at Dallas last week, coming up just short in a 26-24 loss. Prior to that they shocked the Patriots in a 26-10 home win. The Lions beat the Packers twice last season, however Rodgers didn't play in those games. The Lions rank dead last in the NFL in run defense, but that might not hurt them against a Packers team that isn't very effective running the ball. I'll take the points with the home underdog. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-18 | Ravens v. Browns +3 | 9-12 | Win | 105 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cleveland. The Baltimore Ravens come into Cleveland with a 3-1 record, tied with Cincinnati for 1st in the AFC North. They are coming off an impressive 27-10 win at Pittsburgh, but I think that sets them up for a let down here in Cleveland. The Browns have just one win in four games, but have yet to lose by more than three points. They have to feel as though they were robbed in a 45-42 loss at Oakland. The officials missed a fumble in overtime that would have given the Browns possesion. Baker Mayfield has the offense firing on all cylinders, scoring 60 points in their last six quarters of football. He was picked off twice last week, but neither of those INTs were his fault, as the ball popped out of the recievers hands into the hands of the defenders. I'll take the points with the home underdog here in this game. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-18 | Utah v. Stanford -180 | 40-21 | Loss | -180 | 37 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Stanford. The Utah Utes have struggled offensively this season, and they have been really limited in the passing game. Tyler Huntley threw for 118 yards on 12-of-20 passing in a loss to Washington State last week. It was his third straight game without a passing TD, and his second consecutive game with fewer than 200 yards passing. Stanford was embarrassed by Notre Dame last week, and a bounce back performance at home should be expected. The Cardinal are 4-1 overall, which is quite impressive considering that they have played three ranked teams (Oregon, USC. Notre Dame). K.J. Costello has played well for Stanford, and with Bryce Love banged up, the Cardinal may need to lean more on their quarterback. He proved he is quite capable, throwing for over 500 yards with 5 TDs and 1 INT in home wins over San Diego State and USC. I can't see the Utes scoring enough points to keep them in this game. Take STAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-18 | Kentucky v. Texas A&M UNDER 51 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UK@TAM to go Under the total. The Texas A&M Aggies are 3-2, but their two losses came against #2 ranked Clemson and #1 ranked Alabama. They host the 5-0 Kentucky Wildcats tonight, and both these teams have been very impressive defensively. The Wildcats are coming off a 24-10 win over South Carolina, and they have allowed a combined 33 points in wins over SEC opponents (Gamecocks, Gators, Bulldogs). Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, and the Aggies have gone under in five straight in October. Texas A&M is coming off a pedestrian performance in a 24-17 win over Arkansas. The Aggies offense could struggle here against a very good Wildcats defense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU -130 | 45-20 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cougars. The Utah State Aggies come into tonight's game at BYU with a 3-1 record, and the nation's 3rd ranked scoring offense averaging over 51 points per game. It's difficult to say how good this team really is however, with all their wins coming against bottom of the barrel teams. The Cougars on the other hand have navigated a difficult schedule that includes a 24-21 upset win at Wisconsin. They were humbled on the road at Washington last week, but I expect them to bounce back here at home. The return of key defenders Zayne Anderson (OLB) and Dayan Ghanwoloku (S) will give them a boost. The Aggies have failed to cover in five straight on the road against winning teams, and the Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last four when coming off a loss. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-18 | Tulsa v. Houston UNDER 70.5 | 26-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TULSA@HOU to go Under the total. The Houston Cougars rank 2nd nationally averaging over 50 points per game, and their high flying offense has them heavily favored against division rivals Tulsa tonight. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings, and they have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings. Not one of those seven contests yielded as much as 70 combined points. Tulsa will rely on it's running game, looking to control the clock and keep the Cougars offense off the field. The Hurricane don't have the offensive weapons to engage in a shootout, their quarterback Luke Skipper has thrown more INTs (6) than TD passes (4). Tulsa has gone under in five straight road games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos +4.5 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos. The Kansas City Chiefs come into Denver as heavy favorites, but I am not ready to completely buy into all the hype. Sure Patrick Mahomes has been lighting it up, but this is a tough road game at Mile High in Denver. The rookie made his debut as a starter in the Chiefs final game of last season here in Denver. He threw for 284 yards and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in a 27-24 win. The Chiefs have won five straight against Denver, and the total has gone over in six straight. The total for tonight's game is almost 20 points higher than it was in last year's game. One reason for the high total is the fact that the Chiefs rank 30th in the NFL in scoring defense allowing 30.7 points per game this season. I'll fade what I consider to be an overvalued road favorite, and an inflated total. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 55 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Kansas City Chiefs come into Denver as heavy favorites, but I am not ready to completely buy into all the hype. Sure Patrick Mahomes has been lighting it up, but this is a tough road game at Mile High in Denver. The rookie made his debut as a starter in the Chiefs final game of last season here in Denver. He threw for 284 yards and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in a 27-24 win. The Chiefs have won five straight against Denver, and the total has gone over in six straight. The total for tonight's game is almost 20 points higher than it was in last year's game. One reason for the high total is the fact that the Chiefs rank 30th in the NFL in scoring defense allowing 30.7 points per game this season. I'll fade what I consider to be an overvalued road favorite, and an inflated total. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-18 | Ravens v. Steelers -147 | 26-14 | Loss | -147 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers earned their first win of the season on the road at Tampa Bay on Monday, and they return home to host rivals Baltimore. The Ravens will play on the road for the second time this season, and previously they were lit up by Andy Dalton in Cincinnati. Home wins over Buffalo and Denver aren't overly impressive, and I am not sure that the Ravens can find enough offense to keep up with Big Ben and the Steelers. Roethlisberger threw for 353 yards on 30-of-38 passing in the win over the Bucs, and he threw for 452 yards and three TDs on 39-of-60 passing in a home loss to the Chiefs. This Ravens team doesn't have the weapons that Kansas City has, and winning a shootout in Steel Town seems too much to ask of Joe Flacco. I like Pittsburgh to win big on Sunday night. Take PIT. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-18 | Bengals +3.5 v. Falcons | 37-36 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are coming off a 31-21 loss at Carolina, and that was the lowest score of any of their games this season. They have scored an average of 29.7 points per game, and Andy Dalton has passed for an average of 287 yards per game. This Cincinnati offense should be primed for a big day against an Atlanta team that has been hit hard by injuries to several key defenders. Drew Brees threw for 396 yards and three scores in a 43-37 come from behind win at Atlanta last week, and safety Ricardo Allen was carted off with a torn Achilles. The Bengals secondary is also banged up, with three corner backs listed as questionable. Both teams are expected to be without their top RB, which provides even more incentive to lean on the passing game. The Falcons have gone over in 15 of their last 21 home games, and the Bengals have gone over in four straight overall. I like the Bengals plus the points. Take Cinci. GL, Jesse Schule
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots OVER 49 | 7-38 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIA@NE to go Over the total. The Patriots need a win here at home against division rivals Miami. The Fish are undefeated at 3-0, and quarterback Ryan Tannehill has the third best QBR in the league. The Patriots defense has been brutal so far, allowing a combined 57 points in back to back losses to Jacksonville and Detroit. You know your defense is bad when Blake Bortles lights you up for over 300 yards. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and the Pats have scored more than 30 points in three of the last four meetings. The Dolphins have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall, while the Pats have gone over in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record. Take Over. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-18 | Bucs v. Bears -140 | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. The Bucs are coming off a home loss to Pittsburgh, and prior to that game I said: "The Bucs are 2-0, and fans are buzzing about "Fitzmagic". I have seen enough of Ryan Fitzpatrick over the years that I know it would be naive to think he's going to be magical every week" Fitzpatrick had another big game throwing for 411 yards and three TDs in a loss to the Steelers, but he also threw three picks in the game. There's nothing "magic" about a 35 year old backup quarterback with a losing record in his career. He's facing his toughest test so far this season on the road in Chicago, facing a Bears defense that has terrorized quarterbacks so far. Chicago leads the NFL in sacks, and ranks 5th in total defense. I like the Bears to earn a third straight win here at home this week. Take CHI. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-18 | Bengals v. Falcons OVER 51 | Top | 37-36 | Win | 100 | 135 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CIN@ATL to go Over the total. The Bengals are coming off a 31-21 loss at Carolina, and that was the lowest score of any of their games this season. They have scored an average of 29.7 points per game, and Andy Dalton has passed for an average of 287 yards per game. This Cincinnati offense should be primed for a big day against an Atlanta team that has been hit hard by injuries to several key defenders. Drew Brees threw for 396 yards and three scores in a 43-37 come from behind win at Atlanta last week, and safety Ricardo Allen was carted off with a torn Achilles. The Bengals secondary is also banged up, with three corner backs listed as questionable. Both teams are expected to be without their top RB, which provides even more incentive to lean on the passing game. The Falcons have gone over in 15 of their last 21 home games, and the Bengals have gone over in four straight overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
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09-29-18 | Oregon v. California OVER 58 | Top | 42-24 | Win | 100 | 121 h 44 m | Show |
10* |
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09-29-18 | Stanford +6 v. Notre Dame | 17-38 | Loss | -108 | 104 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Stanford Cardinal. The Oregon Ducks looked like world beaters in the first half versus Stanford last week, but their defense couldn't hold on to a 24-7 halftime lead. The Cardinal out-scored Oregon 24-7 in the second half, and went on to win 37-31 in overtime.The Cardinal will travel to South Bend to face Notre Dame this week, and history certainly favors the visitors. Stanford has won four of the last five meetings outright, and their lone loss during that span came by a score of 17-14. I can see any reason why another close game shouldn't be expected, and the Irish are asked to cover a handful of points. The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last six meetings in this series. Notre Dame has failed to cover in four of it's last five home games. Take STAN. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-29-18 | Utah v. Washington State -110 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 102 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars. The Cougars are coming off a 39-36 loss at USC, and they were out-scored 15-6 in the fourth quarter of that game. They will be at home this week, hostin the Utah Utes. Utah is coming off a 21-7 loss at Washington, and quarterback Tyler Huntley threw for just 138 yards and an INT in that game. Washington State has won three straight against Utah, and two of those three wins came on the road. The Cougars are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games, while the Utes are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven versus Wazzu. Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-18 | Syracuse +25.5 v. Clemson | Top | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. When Clemson went to Syracuse last year, they were ranked #2 overall nationally. They came in as a 24 point favorite, and left humbled in a 27-24 outright loss. Starting quarterback Kelley Bryant was knocked out of that game due to injury, and backup Zerrick Cooper stepped in and threw for 88 yards on 10-of-14 passing. While this is a revenge game for Clemson, the Tigers are dealing with a quarterback controversy. Bryant was benched in favor of freshman Trevor Lawrence. He has since left the team, citing what he called "crazy racism". This is definitely a troubling development, and one has to wonder if the locker room is divided over this issue. It's quite possible that some of the players agree with Bryan't position on the matter. Lawrence has looked good so far, but this will be the first start of his career. He's under a lot of pressure, and with only a third string freshman backing him up, Dabo Swinney better be careful with his new quarterback. I'll take the 4-0 Syracuse Orange plus the points. Take SYR. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-28-18 | UCLA v. Colorado -9 | 16-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Buffaloes. It's been a terrible start for Chip Kelly at UCLA. The Bruins come into Colorado with an 0-3 record, and starting quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has thrown as many picks (2) as he has TDs so far. Colorado is 3-0, with wins over Nebraska and Colorado State. Junior quarterback Steven Montez is lighting it up with 855 yards, 8 TDs and just two INTs in three games. History certainly favors Colorado, as the Buffaloes have covered the spread in four of their last five versus UCLA. The home team has won four of the last five meetings, and I like Colorado to win comfortably here at home tonight. Take COL. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-27-18 | Vikings +7 v. Rams | 31-38 | Push | 0 | 41 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings didn't show up last Sunday, and the Buffalo Bills made them pay for it. They won't have to wait long for a chance at redemption, playing just five days later on the road at LA. The Chargers are Super Bowl favorites, but this looks like a tough spot for the home team. Injuries to several key defenders might open the door for Kirk Cousins to have a big game. History certainly favors the Vikings, as they have won five straight meetings versus the Rams. LA was the favorite in two of those five games. Previous meetings between these teams have been high scoring, especially in LA where six of the last seven have gone over the total. The Vikings were bailed out by a questionable roughing the passer penalty in Green Bay in Week 2, and given what we saw on Monday night, questionable penalties might continue to be an issue. I'll take the Vikings plus the points. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-27-18 | Vikings v. Rams OVER 49 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 41 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@LAR to go Over. The Vikings didn't show up last Sunday, and the Buffalo Bills made them pay for it. They won't have to wait long for a chance at redemption, playing just five days later on the road at LA. The Chargers are Super Bowl favorites, but this looks like a tough spot for the home team. Injuries to several key defenders might open the door for Kirk Cousins to have a big game. History certainly favors the Vikings, as they have won five straight meetings versus the Rams. LA was the favorite in two of those five games. Previous meetings between these teams have been high scoring, especially in LA where six of the last seven have gone over the total. The Vikings were bailed out by a questionable roughing the passer penalty in Green Bay in Week 2, and given what we saw on Monday night, questionable penalties might continue to be an issue. I'll take the Over. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-27-18 | North Carolina +18.5 v. Miami-FL | 10-47 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the North Carolina Tar Heels. The Tar Heels have overcome a lot of adversity so far this season, weathering the storm of an off season controversy. After losing their first two games, they won outright as an underdog versus Pittsburgh last week. They have covered the spread in each of their last four when getting points, and they have historically been quite competitive in previous meetings versus Miami. They have covered the spread in four of the last five meetings, and they have won outright in three of the last six meetings. Only once in the last six meetings did they lose by double digits. Miami has struggled to run away from inferior opponents so far this season, and I think they will have their hands full here versus a division rival. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-18 | Steelers +1.5 v. Bucs | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers come into Tampa Bay looking for their first win, but there are a long list of controversies plaguing this team. It's time for Big Ben and company to put up or shut up. This is it, do or die. They know their chances of coming back from an 0-2-1 hole aren't great. They know that the only way that people will stop asking questions about locker room issues will be to put a "W" on the board. The Bucs are 2-0, and fans are buzzing about "Fitzmagic". I have seen enough of Ryan Fitzpatrick over the years that I know it would be naive to think he's going to be magical every week. The Bucs are in danger of being humbled here at home by a desperate Steelers team. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule
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