Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-15-19 | Patriots v. Bengals +10.5 | 34-13 | Loss | -130 | 158 h 54 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-14-19 | Army v. Navy UNDER 41 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ARMY@NAVY to go Under the total. Few things are sure in life. There is death, taxes and a low scoring Army vs Navy game. At least that's been the case for the last decade, with each of the last 10 head to head meetings going under. Last year Army led 7-0 at halftime, and went on to win 17-10. Both the midshipmen and the Black Knights are coming off high scoring games. Navy won 56-41 at Houston, while Army lost 52-31 at Hawaii. The weather will be a problem for both these offenses today though, with plenty of wind and rain in the forecast in Philly. The under is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles UNDER 45 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYG@PHI to go Under the total. The Eagles secondary has been a glaring weakness this season, and they were exposed in a 37-31 loss to the Dolphins last week. Prior to that game though, they had held four straight opponents to fewer than 20 points. Eli Manning has been riding the pine for the majority of the season, and it's asking a lot of him to come in and compete on the road in Philly in bad weather in the middle of December. The Eagles are 5-0 straight up in the last five meetings versus New York, and the under is 7-2 in the Giants last nine visits to Philly. Another low score should be expected in the City of Brotherly Love tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LA Rams. The Seahawks come into LA with a better record, and they will be the favorite. Keep in mind that when the Rams played in Seattle earlier this season, the difference was a missed field goal by Greg Zuerlein. The Rams have since quietly turned their season around, winning four of their last six overall. They have allowed 20+ points just once in those six games. The Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings in Los Angeles. This looks like a potential let down spot for Seattle, a team that I think comes in slightly overrated. My money is on the home dog. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Chiefs v. Patriots UNDER 49.5 | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@NE to go Under the total. Last year we saw these teams play twice, and both games were high scoring. Things might be different here in December in Foxboro, as both teams have struggled on offense of late. The Patriots though are getting it done with their defense, leading the NFL in points allowed (12.1 per game). The Chiefs have showed some improvements with their defense, holding their last two opponents to a combined 26 points. The Chiefs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games, and the under is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 home games. Last year the Chiefs lost by three points at New England during the regular season, and they lost in overtime to the Patriots in the playoffs. I wouldn't be surprised if this game was decided by a kicker. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Chiefs +3 v. Patriots | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@NE to go Under the total. Last year we saw these teams play twice, and both games were high scoring. Things might be different here in December in Foxboro, as both teams have struggled on offense of late. The Patriots though are getting it done with their defense, leading the NFL in points allowed (12.1 per game). The Chiefs have showed some improvements with their defense, holding their last two opponents to a combined 26 points. The Chiefs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games, and the under is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 home games. Last year the Chiefs lost by three points at New England during the regular season, and they lost in overtime to the Patriots in the playoffs. I wouldn't be surprised if this game was decided by a kicker. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills +7 | 24-17 | Push | 0 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on the Buffalo Bills. The Bills came into Dallas on Thanksgiving day with an 8-3 record, but critics (including myself) said they had a soft schedule. After they completely dismantled the Cowboys, that's no longer a valid argument. They have the 3rd best defense in the NFL, and they should have a puncher's chance at home versus the Ravens today. Baltimore has been piling up the wins, but they aren't always covering the spread. The Ravens are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. The Bills are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. The home team has won all six meetings between these teams dating back to 2006. Take BUF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 57 | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 78 h 48 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin +16.5 v. Ohio State | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-07-19 | Virginia +29.5 v. Clemson | 17-62 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Virginia. The Clemson Tigers have taken advantage of a soft schedule, and even though they have won six straight by 20+ points, they are still ranked #3 behind the Buckeyes and Tigers. They barely escaped with a 21-20 win over North Carolina, and this will be just their second game against a Top 25 team. They beat Texas A&M by a score of 24-10 early in the season. Virginia has three losses, and they are getting almost as many points versus Clemson as the combined margin of defeat in all of their three losses (30). I like Virginia to make this game at least somewhat interesting, especially in the first half. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-19 | Georgia +7.5 v. LSU | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UGA. There are plenty of reasons to like LSU in this game. They haven't really looked vulnerable since escaping with a 23-20 win over Auburn in a home game at the end of October. The Bulldogs handled Auburn a few weeks later, winning by a score of 21-14. We have already seen the likes of Alabama, Oregon and Oklahoma lose games they should have won. Even Ohio State has had some close calls, but the Tigers have really yet to have a bad game. To suggest it can't happen here in Atlanta would be tempting fate. The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last nine neutral site games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 conference games. I will take the points. Take UGA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-19 | Baylor +9.5 v. Oklahoma | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. The Bears took a 30-10 lead into the locker room at the half at home versus Oklahoma a few weeks ago. They completely fell apart, and were out-scored 24-0 in the second half. So what does that tell us about both these teams? It tells me that there is no way that one team should be asked to win by double digits here in the rematch. The Sooners have been playing with fire for weeks now, falling behind early in games and needing to mount miraculous comebacks to escape with the win. Three of their last four wins have come in games decided by four points or less. The Bears are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog. The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take BAYLOR. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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12-06-19 | Oregon +7 v. Utah | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks. Utah will be a heavy favorite in the PAC12 Title Game, and they are still alive in the playoff race. A win for the Ducks would only ensure that the BIG12 would slide into the last spot. People are down on the Ducks after suffering an upset loss on the road at Arizona State, but that was a far tougher game than a lot of people realize. I bet on the Sun Devils in that game, and here is what I said prior to kickoff: "The Oregon Ducks have their eye on a playoff spot, currently sitting 6th in the College Football Playoff Rankings. They need a bit of help to get in, so their destiny isn't necessarily in their own hands. They will hope that LSU defeats Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, and that Alabama struggles without Tua. Of course they still need to win their remaining two games, something that could be easy to lose sight of. Tonight's game at Arizona State could be trouble, as Herm Edwards team already has a pair of wins over ranked teams, and their last home game was a close loss to USC. The last time the Sun Devils played Oregon at home they won by a score of 35-37." The Ducks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. I'll take the points here. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys +6.5 v. Bears | 24-31 | Loss | -102 | 104 h 54 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-01-19 | Patriots v. Texans +3.5 | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 69 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texas. |
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12-01-19 | Chargers -155 v. Broncos | 20-23 | Loss | -155 | 52 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Chargers. The Chargers are coming off back to back losses in close games, and Philip Rivers has to take most of the blame. The veteran quarterback was picked off seven times in losses to Oakland and Kansas City. The coaching staff though should share the blame, as they could have used Melvin Gordon more in both of those losses. This week they play at Denver, and they will get some reinforcements on defense. Derwin James and Adrian Phillips will be active this Sunday, bolstering a defense that already ranks 3rd in the NFL in total yards. Rivers doesn't have to win this game for LA, he simply needs to avoid losing it for the Chargers. Take LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-19 | Jets v. Bengals +3.5 | 6-22 | Win | 100 | 41 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are the only remaining NFL team that hasn't won a game this season, and they have a pretty good shot of getting their first W today at home. The Jets are in town, and they are coming off a blowout win over the Raiders. This is a huge let down spot for a team that has lost four of five on the road. The Jets are asked to cover a handful of points here, and I think they have become overrated. The Bengals are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games in December, and today we will see the return of the Red Rifle. My money is on the home dog. Take CIN. GL. Jesse Schule |
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12-01-19 | 49ers +6 v. Ravens | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 41 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SF 49ERS. As much as I have a ton of respect for the Ravens and Lamar Jackson, I think it's clear that they have become a prohibitive favorite. The hype train has arrived at the station in Baltimore, and the fans and the media are ready to hand Lamar Jackson the MVP before Christmas. Meanwhile, the 49ers have a better record, and a better defense. The Ravens are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games, and I think this line is way out of whack. This game should be closer to a pickem. I'll take the points. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-19 | Browns -119 v. Steelers | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -119 | 144 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cleveland Browns. After losing 21-7 at Cleveland two weeks ago, you might call this a revenge game for the Steelers. The truth is that they might not have the personnel to compete with Cleveland. This isn't the same team that has won five of their last six overall. They will miss their leading rusher, their top wide receiver and they have a third string quarterback under center. Cleveland is now looking for a fourth straight win, and Baker Mayfield has turned his season around. He's thrown seven TD passes with just one INT in his last three starts. The Browns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six versus Pittsburgh. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-19 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 69.5 | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 2-team teaser with Cowboys + Under. Historically when you think of bedlam you think about all the high scores these teams have posted over the years. They have score more than 80 combined points in three of the last four head to head meetings, but both of these teams are a lot better defensively than they have been in past seasons. The Cowboys are riding a four game win streak, with not one of those games seeing a combined 70 points. The Sooners have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games in November. The under is 5-1 in Oklahoma's last six road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-19 | Alabama v. Auburn +4 | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 54 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Auburn Tigers.
Alabama comes into this year's Iron Bowl as the road favorite, and they look as vulnerable as they ever have. Sure the Crimson Tide have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, but since 2012 the home team has won outright in six of seven meetings. The Tigers are perhaps the most underrated team in the country, as the 5th best team in the SEC. They have one of the best defenses in the country allowing only 16 points per game despite such a challenging schedule. Alabama has failed to cover in five of their last seven at Auburn, and without Tua I don't think they should be a favorite here. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-19 | Washington State +7.5 v. Washington | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars. The Huskies have had the better of this rivalry over the past decade, but they come into this year's annual Apple Cup as losers of four of their last six overall. It's a bitter disappointment for a team that was favored to win the PAC12 before the season started. Beating the Cougars here at home isn't going to change anything for Washington, this season will go into the books as a failure. The Cougars on the other hand have won back to back games, scoring over 100 points in the process. Their last two losses came by a combined nine points at Oregon and California. The Huskies are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 conference games, and this line looks a little inflated to me. Take WAZZU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-19 | Bills v. Cowboys -6 | 26-15 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. People have been asking all year... Are the Bills for real? Even after starting the season 3-0, nobody really believed in the Bills. It appeared that they proved their doubters wrong when they lost a close game to New England at the end of September. While they lost, they looked great defensively holding the Patriots to just 16 points, and limiting Tom Brady to just 150 passing yards. So does this mean that the Bills who are statistically one of the top defensive teams in the NFL are the real deal? Hell no! The Patriots are coming off back to back games failing to score 20 points in wins over Dallas and Philly. The Bills have been padding their stats against the league's weakest teams. When their wins include games against the Bengals, Giants, Redskins, Jets and Miami twice, it's hard to be a believer. They are on the road today against a legit contender with the NFL's leading passer under center, and an elite running back in the backfield. Dallas needs this win, and I don't think today will be a good day for Buffalo fans. Take Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-19 | Bears -4 v. Lions | 24-20 | Push | 0 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. The Bears have been losing an awful lot of games lately, but you can't blame their defense. They are only allowing 17 points per game this season, only New England and San Francisco have allowed fewer. They come into Thanksgiving Day off three straight games allowing 14 points or less. One of those games was a home win over the Lions, and Mitch Tribisky actually played quite well in that game. Tribisky might not have to be great here today, as Detroit has been hit hard by injuries. It's not yet clear if backup quarterback Jeff Driskel will play hurt with an injured hamstring, or if third string quarterback David Blough will face the mighty Chicago defense. Either way, this game should be ugly, and I like the Bears to win a low scoring battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-19 | Western Michigan -7.5 v. Northern Illinois | 14-17 | Loss | -117 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Western Michigan Broncos. The Northern Illinois Huskies might not have a lot to look foward to on Seniors Night. They host first place Western Michigan, and they will be without senior quarterback Ross Bowers who is still suffering from a concussion. His backup Marcus Childers was brutal in a 44-17 home loss to Eastern Michigan. He threw for just 99 yards with a TD and three INTs on 12-of-26 passing. A lot of teams respond well after a big home loss, but not the Huskies. Northern Illinois is 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home. Take WMU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-19 | Ravens v. Rams UNDER 47.5 | 45-6 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-24-19 | Packers +3.5 v. 49ers | 8-37 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Green Bay Packers. The 49ERS unbeaten run came to an end at home in a 27-24 loss to Seattle two weeks ago. Russell Wilson outplayed Jimmy G in that game, and now the Niners must try to stop Aaron Rodgers and the 8-2 Geen Bay Packers. Rodgers is having himself another fine season, and he threw for 435 yards and two TDs in a 33-30 win over San Francisco last year. He played his college ball at the university of California, so these games in Santa Clara are like a home coming for Rodgers. The Packers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine meetings in San Francisco, and they are 11-5-2 ATS in the last 18 head to head meetings. Anytime you got the better QB and you're getting points, the odds are in your favor. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-19 | Cowboys +6 v. Patriots | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Cowboys. During the Brady and Belichick era, no matter who the Patriots played on any given Sunday, they could always say they have the better quarterback. Now 10 games into the 2019 season, and it's a tough argument to make that Brady is better than Dak (currently). Even in a 28-24 loss to the Vikings, Prescott threw for 397 yards and three TDs. While Zeke has been underperforming, Prescott has been carrying the Cowboys. The Patriots on the other hand have had to lean on their defense, and Belichick's genius. The result has been an offense that is ranked 17th in the NFL in total yards. The Cowboys rank 1st overall in total yards. New England is tough to beat at home, but I think they are being asked to cover too many points here against a dangerous opponent. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-19 | Steelers v. Bengals +7 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Steelers pulled off a shocking turnaround, winning four straight after starting the season 1-4. They suffered a heartbreaking loss in Cleveland last week, which likely put the playoffs out of reach. This sets them up for a massive let down here on the road as a big favorite against the winless Bengals. Cincinnati isn't just any winless team, this is the Steelers most hated rival. The Bengals will have all the motivation in the world to go for a W here at home. While Pittsburgh is the better team when healthy, they come into this week's game with a backup QB, missing their #1 WR, a key offensive lineman, and their leading rusher. I'll take the points. Take CIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-19 | Oregon v. Arizona State +14 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. The Oregon Ducks have their eye on a playoff spot, currently sitting 6th in the College Football Playoff Rankings. They need a bit of help to get in, so their destiny isn't necessarily in their own hands. They will hope that LSU defeats Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, and that Alabama struggles without Tua. Of course they still need to win their remaining two games, something that could be easy to lose sight of. Tonight's game at Arizona State could be trouble, as Herm Edwards team already has a pair of wins over ranked teams, and their last home game was a close loss to USC. The last time the Sun Devils played Oregon at home they won by a score of 35-37. Take ARZST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-19 | Texas +6 v. Baylor | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. The 9-1 Baylor Bears should be on top of the world here heading into this home game against Texas, but they way they lost last week is going to be tough to recover from. They were held scoreless in the second half in a 34-31 loss to Oklahoma. That was a game in which they led by 25 points. Now they host a hungry Texas team that has lost one possession games to the likes of #1 ranked LSU and #9 ranked Oklahoma. Asking the Bears to win this game is tough enough as it is, never mind asking them to cover a handful of points. I'll take Texas as a live dog. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-19 | Texas A&M +13.5 v. Georgia | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas A&M. The 9-1 Georgia Bulldogs know what it's going to take to get into the Playoffs. They will have to upset LSU in the SEC Championship Game. First though they will need to avoid any slip ups at the end of the regular season. They are a double digit favorite here at home against the Aggies, but I am not sure Georgia is 13 points better than Texas A&M. The Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games, while the Aggies are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 versus a team with a winning record. This looks like a game where the Bulldogs could get caught with their pants down. Take TAM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans -176 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Houston Texans. Houston is coming off a blowout loss at Baltimore on Sunday, but I really think the Texans can regroup here at home against a banged up Colts team. The Colts will be without leading ruaher Marlon Mack, and star wideout T.Y. Hilton is listed as a game time decision. The Texans are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss, and they are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Carlos Hyde has been playing well for the Texans in recent weeks, and I also like him to go over his yards total of 61.5 (BET365). GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 53.5 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@LAC to go Under the total. The Chargers will play Kansas City in Mexico City tonight, and they will be wary of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs high flying offense. Mahomes threw for 446 yards and three TDs in a loss at Tennessee last week, and the only way to stop him is to keep the ball out of his hands. This has been proven by the Colts, who ran for 180 yards in a 19-13 win over the Chiefs. The Texans ran for 192 yards in a win over the Chiefs a week later. Melvin Gordon is coming off back to back games with 20+ carries and 80+ yards, so the Chargers should be well equiped to put this plan into action. LA also boasts the #4 ranked pass defense in the NFL, allowing just over 200 yards per game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC. The Chargers will play Kansas City in Mexico City tonight, and they will be wary of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs high flying offense. Mahomes threw for 446 yards and three TDs in a loss at Tennessee last week, and the only way to stop him is to keep the ball out of his hands. This has been proven by the Colts, who ran for 180 yards in a 19-13 win over the Chiefs. The Texans ran for 192 yards in a win over the Chiefs a week later. Melvin Gordon is coming off back to back games with 20+ carries and 80+ yards, so the Chargers should be well equiped to put this plan into action. LA also boasts the #4 ranked pass defense in the NFL, allowing just over 200 yards per game. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Bears v. Rams -6 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LA Rams. The Rams have struggled this season, but they have a home game against a Bears team that appears to have far bigger problems. As good as their defense is, they rank 30th in the NFL in passing averaging just over 180 yards per game, and their running game isn't a lot better. Chicago's leading rusher David Montgomery is listed as a game time decision with an ankle injury. If the Bears need Mitch Tribisky to do all the heavy lifting, they will likely be in trouble. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Patriots -175 v. Eagles | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 157 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. The Patriots suffered their first loss of the season in Baltimore, but they've had a week off to regroup. They take on the Eagles here on Sunday, and Philly looks vulnerable. The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. The over is 6-1 in Patriots last seven games following a bye week. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Cowboys -175 v. Lions | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 154 h 57 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-17-19 | Bills -6 v. Dolphins | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 154 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. Oakland is coming off back to back wins, and a home game against the lowly Bengals looks like a potential for a blowout. Cincinnati ranks dead last in the NFL in total defense, allowing 429 yards per game. They are particularly bad against the run, allowing opponents to average more than 170 rushing yards per game. The Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa -140 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes. Minnesota came into last week's home game versus Penn State with an 8-0 record, but they hadn't beaten any Top 25 teams. They have now established themselves as a legitimate contender, but they are vulnurable to a let down here in a tough road game at Iowa a week later. Iowa is a gritty team that has been getting down and dirty with the big boys all season long. When the Gophers were beating up on Rutgers and Illinois, the Hawkeyes were battling the likes of Michigan and Wisconsin. Iowa still ranks among the best defensive teams in the country, allowing just over 11 points per game. That's quite impressive considering their tough schedule. Take IOWA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-19 | Georgia v. Auburn +3 | 21-14 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Auburn Tigers. The Georgia Bulldogs are now sitting #4 overall in the College Football Playoff Rankings. They come into this road game at Auburn with an 8-1 record, and they are the favorite over the 7-2 Tigers. Auburn lost by just three points against #1 ranked LSU, and they lost on the road at Florida. The Tigers have had an extra week to prepare for this matchup, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. The Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. I'll take the points in a game where I think the wrong team is favored. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-19 | Navy v. Notre Dame -7 | 20-52 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish. I have a ton of respect for the Navy Midshipmen, and I have never been a fan of the Irish and their soft schedule as an independent school. As much as I normally like to bet against Notre Dame, I can't deny that the gap in talent here is just too large to consider the underdog getting just single digits. This looks like it should be a comfortable double digit win for the home team. The Midshipmen are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 versus a team with a winning record. The Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. The play is on ND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-19 | Steelers +3 v. Browns | 7-21 | Loss | -113 | 44 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers have completely flipped the script after losing four of their first five games. They have since won four straight, and they have a real shot to make the playoffs. The Browns are a team looking to turn their season around, and last week's home win over Buffalo was perhaps a step in the right direction. The pessimist might see the glass half full though, and while they beat the Bills they were not all that impressive in doing so. They trailed 16-12 with less than two minutes to play, but Mayfield was able to score on a game winning drive with just 1:44 left on the clock. The Steelers have been in every game they have played since being blown out in New England in Week 1. They lost by two points to the Seahawks, by points to the 49ers and by three points against the Ravens. Those teams have a combined record of 22-5, so it seems rather generous that they are getting three points here against a team that is 3-6. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 47 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SEA@SF to go Over the total. The Seahawks defense has struggled this season, and that is especially true lately. Over their last five games they have allowed 28 or more in four of five games. The 49ers defense ranks first overall in the NFL in yards allowed, but they face a Seattle quarterback that has thrown for 22 TDs and one INT so far this season. The over is 6-2 in the Seahawks last eight road games, and the over is 13-5 in the Seahawks last 18 games overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-19 | Bills v. Browns -140 | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. I predicted Baker Mayfield's redemption tour last week, and that didn't work out well at all: "Everyone is talking about how bad Baker Mayfield is, and how bad the Cleveland Browns are. What people aren't talking about, is who they have played the last three weeks. Their last three losses have come to Seattle, San Francisco and New England. Those three teams have a combined record of 22-2. When you look at the Browns schedule, it's no wonder Baker Mayfield has such poor numbers. They really need a win here in Denver this week, and the Broncos appear to be tanking. Joe Flacco is out for the year and will be replaced by a third stringer Brandon Allen who has no starting experience. This should be the beggining of Baker Mayfield's redemption tour." Surely the Browns have hit rock bottom, and there is nowhere to go but up? The Bills are 6-2 and I gotta believe they are terribly overrated. Call me a glutton for punishment, but I am back on the Browns this week. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-19 | Giants -145 v. Jets | 27-34 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NYG. I had the Giants +7.5 on Monday Night Football, and they looked great early in the game. When play was stopped because of a black cat on the field, I knew my bet would take a turn for the worst. Here is what I said prior to kickoff: "The Giants are just 2-6, but they have improved tremendously since Daniel Jones took over at QB. They are coming off four straight losses after Jones won his first two starts, but both of their last two losses came in games decided by less than seven points. Saquon Barkley was injured for two of the last four losses, but perhaps for the first time Jones will have his star running back at full strength. " This week the Giants face a New York Jets team that is playing as bad as any team in the league. Injuries to several key players have derailed the Jets, and I don't think they have much fight left in them. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-19 | LSU +6.5 v. Alabama | 46-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on LSU. The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't been tested yet, but they also haven't played anybody currently ranked in the Top 25. LSU on the other hand comes in battle tested, with a pair of wins over Top 10 teams (Florida and Auburn). The Tigers will be looking to avenge a 29-0 loss to Alabama last year, and they do have history on their side. The Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Alabama, and the Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings. Take LSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-19 | LSU v. Alabama UNDER 65 | Top | 46-41 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LSU@BAMA under 65. The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't been tested yet, but they also haven't played anybody currently ranked in the Top 25. LSU on the other hand comes in battle tested, with a pair of wins over Top 10 teams (Florida and Auburn). The Tigers will be looking to avenge a 29-0 loss to Alabama last year, and they do have history on their side. The Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Alabama, and the Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-19 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC@OAK to go Over the total. The Raiders have given up over 93 points in their last three games, and both Matt Stafford and Aaron Rodgers threw for over 400 yards against them. During that span their offense has also been productive, and Derek Carr has thrown for over 280 yards with at least two TDs in each of his last three starts. The Raiders host the Chargers on Thursday Night Football, and NFL passing leader Phillip Rivers. The over is 5-1 in the Raiders last six games overall. The over is 37-18-3 in the Raiders last 58 games following an ATS win. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +9 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -130 | 193 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the NYG. The Cowboys will be a huge road favorite in New York on Monday night, despite the fact that Dallas has lost three of it's last four overall. The Giants are just 2-6, but they have improved tremendously since Daniel Jones took over at QB. They are coming off four straight losses after Jones won his first two starts, but both of their last two losses came in games decided by less than seven points. Saquon Barkley was injured for two of the last four losses, but perhaps for the first time Jones will have his star running back at full strength. The Cowboys have lost two of three road games including a loss in New York to the Jets. They have no business being favored by more than a TD here. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Patriots -155 v. Ravens | 20-37 | Loss | -155 | 46 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the New England Patriots. New England is still undefeated, but experienced bettors know that eventually there will be money to be made betting against the Patriots. Apparently there are many that think this week's game in Baltimore is just such an opportunity. I can't see it myself. Belichick has had plenty of success against young quarterbacks, and this defense is going to make life tough on Lamar Jackson. Tom Brady is 6-1 lifetime against the Ravens during the regular season, and New England simply has more weapons. This is a game where Belichick is likely to scheme his way to victory. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Browns +1.5 v. Broncos | 19-24 | Loss | -115 | 137 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. Everyone is talking about how bad Baker Mayfield is, and how bad the Cleveland Browns are. What people aren't talking about, is who they have played the last three weeks. Their last three losses have come to Seattle, San Francisco and New England. Those three teams have a combined record of 22-2. When you look at the Browns schedule, it's no wonder Baker Mayfield has such poor numbers. They really need a win here in Denver this week, and the Broncos appear to be tanking. Joe Flacco is out for the year and will be replaced by a third stringer Brandon Allen who has no starting experience. This should be the beggining of Baker Mayfield's redemption tour. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Lions v. Raiders -143 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. I bet on the Raiders last week, and here is what I said prior to their loss (and cover) versus Houston: "The Raiders came into Green Bay as a big underdog, and just before halftime they were just a yard away from a go ahead touchdown. Instead Derek Carr fumbled the ball into the endzone, and Aaron Rodgers came back and drove the length of the field to put Green Bay ahead by double digits. The 14 point swing was just too difficult to overcome, as Rodgers simply couldn't be stopped. Here in Houston today they are getting seven points, and I expect them to have a chance to win this game outright." They are back at home after playing five straight on the road (including London). With Detroit at less than full strength, this looks like a great spot to back the Raiders as a home favorite. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Vikings -130 v. Chiefs | 23-26 | Loss | -130 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-03-19 | Texans v. Jaguars +3 | 26-3 | Loss | -125 | 156 h 25 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-02-19 | Utah v. Washington +3.5 | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Washington. It shocks me to see the Huskies getting points at home to Utah. Sure the Utes are ranked in the Top 10, and Washington is unranked. Sure the Utes have a better record. But let's really look at what separates these two teams. Five of Utah's seven wins have come at home, and the one time they played a competitive team on the road they lost at USC. They don't have any wins over teams currently ranked in the Top 25. The Huskies have two losses, one in a weather delayed game versus California, and a close loss to the #7 ranked Oregon Ducks. Washington is 6-1 straight up in the last seven meetings between these teams, and I'll take the points with the Huskies as a home dog. Take WASH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-19 | Georgia v. Florida +6 | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida Gators. |
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10-28-19 | Dolphins +15 v. Steelers | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-27-19 | Packers -5 v. Chiefs | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Green Bay Packers. The Chiefs came into last week's game in Denver off back to back losses, and then they lost starting quarterback Patrick Mahomes to a serious knee injury. The fact that they won in a blowout with third string quarterback Matt Moore says a lot more about how bad Denver is rather than giving any indication that the Chiefs are in good shape in the absence of Mahomes. The Packers have won three straight, and that includes a double digit road win over Dallas. Aaron Rodgers lit up Oakland last week, throwing for 429 yards and five TDs. He's going up against a Chiefs defense that has allowed opponents to score 25+ points four times in seven games so far. The Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-19 | Raiders +7 v. Texans | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. The Raiders came into Green Bay as a big underdog, and just before halftime they were just a yard away from a go ahead touchdown. Instead Derek Carr fumbled the ball into the endzone, and Aaron Rodgers came back and drove the length of the field to put Green Bay ahead by double digits. The 14 point swing was just too difficult to overcome, as Rodgers simply couldn't be stopped. Here in Houston today they are getting seven points, and I expect them to have a chance to win this game outright. As well as Deshaun Watson has played, Houston has given up a ton of points. The total for this game is one of the highest on the board, and in a projected shootout it might be the last score that wins. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-19 | Notre Dame v. Michigan +1 | Top | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
This is a10* play on the Michigan Wolverines. A lot of the Television talk show hosts will tell you that Jim Harbaugh doesn't win the big games (Colin Cowherd), but I don't think Harbaugh gets enough credit for the games he has won at Michigan. Tonight is a big game for Harbaugh, with a chance to beat a Top 10 team at home in Ann Arbor. Now I am not a big fan of the Notre Dame Irish, and their winning records against inferior opponents. The knock on Notre Dame is the same every year ... they just don't play anybody. They've faced one team currently ranked in the Top 25, and they lost 23-17 to Georgia. Now you could call that a "good loss", but unless you have a handful of "good wins" to go a long with it, then it doesn't impress me. This game also has revenge written all over it, after the Irish beat Michigan in the season opener 24-17 last year. The home team is 8-1 straight up in the last nine head to head meetings, and that trend should continue tonight. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-19 | Penn State v. Michigan State UNDER 43.5 | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PSU@MSU to go Under the total. The Spartans are coming off a bye week, after getting throttled in a 38-0 loss to Wisconsin. They should be ready to go to war in this home game against Penn State, and both teams have been very comfortable playing low scoring smashmouth football games. The Nittany Lions have won a pair of games already that they failed to score 20 points in, 17-12 at Iowa and 17-10 at home versus Pittsburgh. The Spartans offense rarely scores 20, but their defense at home in games like this has risen to the challenge. I think if either of these teams scores 20 points in this game it will be enough to win. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets +11.5 | 33-0 | Loss | -135 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NYJ. You look at the New England Patriots, and they look unbeatable. They have cruised to a 6-0 record, and they boast the leagues top rated defense. Remember though that just a few weeks ago they really struggled in a game on the road in Buffalo. That was against the same Bills team that played a game decided by a single point here in New York versus the Jets. This Jets team is just 1-4, but three of their losses came without starting quarterback Sam Darnold. Last week's win over the Cowboys brings new found confidence and should be a spark. While New England is without a doubt the better team, absolutely capable of blowing out the Jets (as they did earlier this year), in this spot I'll take the points. Take NYJ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-19 | Eagles +3 v. Cowboys | 10-37 | Loss | -125 | 40 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Philly. The Cowboys are a hot mess at the moment, and Jason Garrett is on borrowed time. Rumors had him being canned mid-week, and surely he's gone if they lose here on Sunday night. Dak Prescott might want to reconsider the multi-million dollar contract offer he turned down in the off-season, as he's been terrible lately. It won't get any easier this week as his receiving corpse is banged up. The Eagles are a team with one glaring weakness, but Dallas might not be in a position to take advantage of a struggling Philly secondary. The Cowboys might have trouble running on this stout defensive line, and if Zeke doesn't get going it will be a disaster for Dallas. I'll take Philly plus the points. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-19 | Raiders +7 v. Packers | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 135 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. Oakland is flying high after a dominant win over the Chicago Bears in London, and coming off a bye week they should be ready to put up one hell of a fight in Green Bay. The Packers were very lucky to win a MNF game against the Lions, and they come limping into this Sunday's game on short rest with a ton of injuries. Devante Adams is out, and both Geronimo Allison and Valdez-Scantling are questionable. The Raiders might now fancy themselves as a contender in the AFC West, now that first place Kansas City is going to be without Patrick Mahomes for the next several weeks. Oakland is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a bye week. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-19 | Cardinals v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 27-21 | Loss | -143 | 179 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the #NYG. The Giants are just 2-4, but they still have a shot in the NFC East, with Dallas and Philly sitting at just 3-3. The Cardinals on the other hand aren't going anywhere, with a stranglehold on last place on the NFC West. Both Daniel Jones and Kyler Murray have given their teams reason to be optimistic about the future, but Jones has showed the world why he was drafted 6th overall in the first round, and he's been more consistent than Murray. When you consider what he's had to work with, his performance is even more impressive. This week he's going to have Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram back. He's going up against an Arizona defense that ranks 30th in the NFL against the pass. While the Giants defense is stastically just as bad, they have played tougher opposition, and they have scored significantly more points of their own. This is a tough spot for an NFC West team traveling to the East Coast for an early game. All signs point to a blowout win for the Giants. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-19 | Michigan v. Penn State -7.5 | 21-28 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Penn State. The Wolverines have bounced back from a devestating loss to Wisconsin, by winning three in a row including a 10-3 home win over Iowa. There is little reason to expect a better result than the game against Wisonsin, as the Wolverines have a terrible record against BIG10 rivals under Jim Harbaugh. The Nittany Lions come in ranked 7th, and Harbaugh is 1-10 against teams ranked in the Top 10. The home team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven head to head meetings, and the Wolverines have failed to cover in four of their last five at Happy Valley. Take PSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -168 | 45-27 | Loss | -168 | 28 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oklahoma State. The Cowboys got down early on the road at Texas Tech, and they just couldn't come back in a 45-35 loss. They are back home this week, hosting the Baylor Bears, and I like Oklahoma State to bounce back in a "get right" game. Chuba Hubbard ran for 156 yards and three scores last week in Lubbock, and he ran for 296 yards in the previous game, a double digit home win over Kansas State. The home team is 8-1 straight up in the last nine head to head meetings between these teams, and the Cowboys have covered in five straight home games. Oklahoma State has also been a great bet when coming off a loss, covering the spread in five straight such situations. Take OKST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-19 | Oregon -140 v. Washington | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 123 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks. When the Ducks lost to Auburn in Week 1, their stock was low. I was actually quite impressed with the way Oregon played for the majority of that game, and that's why I jumped on this game so early. Back in Week 2 the Huskies were considered the favorite to win the PAC12, but it's now Oregon that has emerged as the clear favorite. Justin Herbert is expected to be one of the top quarterback prospects in the upcoming NFL draft, and so far he's had a fine season. Herbert has thrown for over 1600 yards on better than 75 percent passing with 17 TDs and just one INT. As good as the Ducks are offensively, it wasn't expected that Oregon would actually come into this game with the better defense. The Ducks have allowed opponents to average fewer than 10 points per game, and they have given up a total of 16 points in three games against PAC12 teams. The Ducks have double digit wins over California and Stanford, two teams that beat the Huskies outright. This line has moved a great deal, but for good reason. Oregon should win this game comfortably. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-19 | Florida -200 v. South Carolina | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
5* |
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10-18-19 | Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 50 | 52-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OSU@NW to go Under the total. The Wildcats are 1-4, but they might be a lot better off if they could score any points. Their defense has kept them in a lot of games, but their offense simply hasn't been able to get any points on the board. They are a huge underdog at home versus Ohio State on Friday, but they are coming off their bye week and they have covered the spread in back to back games. They held Wisconsin and Nebraska to a combined 37 points, and both games fell well short of the total. The under is 42-14-1 in Wildcats last 57 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine conference games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers -183 | 22-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers are 4-1, and their only loss was in a Thursday night game against the Eagles, and they just didn't appear ready to play on that particular day. Every other game has been an impressive display defensively, and their offense has been well balanced with Aaron Jones carrying the load when needed. Jones has been taking on a bigger role since the injury to Davante Adams, and he caught seven passes for 75 yards last week. Detroit has been competitive so far, but they failed to beat Arizona in Week 1, and despite outplaying Kansas City in their last game, they couldn't hang on for a win. I think the Lions may keep it close, but the Packers should win this game at home. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-19 | 49ers v. Rams -175 | 20-7 | Loss | -175 | 110 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Rams. The Rams are coming off a loss at Seattle, but when Greg Zuerline was preparing to kick a 40 yard field goal at the end of the game, there was roughly a 90 percent chance the Rams would win and move to 4-1. Instead we are talking about the 5-0 San Francisco 49ers, who have exactly zero wins versus teams with a winning record. I am not ready to write off the Rams just yet, and in a must win game at home against a banged up opponent playing on short rest, I like Sean McVay and the Rams. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-19 | Eagles v. Vikings -140 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 141 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Eagles are flying high after winning back to back games over Green Bay and the New York Jets. The Vikings got a feel good win in a "get right" game against the Giants, getting their passing game going again. A home game against the Eagles might be a good spot for the Vikings to do some damage in the air. The Eagles pass defense was lit up for over 400 yards in the win over Green Bay, and they weren't a lot better in a home loss to the Lions. The Vikings have won both their home games by double digits, and they are 38-16-1 ATS in their last 55 home games. The last time the Eagles played in Minnesota they lost 48-30, and I expect the Vikings to win another high scoring game here this week. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-19 | Panthers -135 v. Bucs | 37-26 | Win | 100 | 138 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers come rolling into London as winners of three straight, while Tampa has lost two of three. This is a big revenge spot for Carolina, who lost at home to the Bucs by a score of 20-14. Since replacing Cam Newton with Kyle Allen, the Panthers have score and average of 29 points per game. Christian McCaffrey is the NFL's leading rusher, so I don't expect the Bucs to have as much success stopping the run as they did the last time these teams met. It was good news and bad news for Jameis Winston last week. He didn't throw an interception, but he was sacked six times in the loss to the Saints. If the Bucs can't protect Winston, he's inevitably going to turn the ball over. Take CAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-19 | Florida v. LSU UNDER 55 | Top | 28-42 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 5 m | Show |
10* |
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10-12-19 | Penn State -180 v. Iowa | 17-12 | Win | 100 | 105 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Penn State. The Iowa Hawkeyes are coming off an ugly loss to Michigan last week. They turned the ball over four times and managed to score just three points. It won't get any easier against Penn State this week, the Nittany Lions are ranked 5th nationally in scoring, averaging 47 points per game. I don't think Iowa has the offensive prowess to keep up with a team that can score in a hurry. Penn State has won five straight head to head meetings, covering the spread in four of those games. The Nittany Lions are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games, while Iowa has failed to cover in five of their last seven in the BIG10. Take PSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-19 | Florida State +26 v. Clemson | 14-45 | Loss | -109 | 121 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida State Seminoles. The season started poorly for the Seminoles, but things are on the up and up in Tallahassee. FSU has won back to back games, and they have a new starting QB under center. Alex Hornibrook is an experienced starter, playing three seasons at Wisconsin. In his first season with the Badgers he had four starts against teams ranked in the Top 10. He was 2-2 in those games, losing in overtime to #2 ranked Ohio State and losing by a TD to #4 ranked Michigan. The Tigers are asked to win this game by a whopping 4 TDs, which might be tough given the play of Trevor Lawrence. The Sophomore jinx has hit him hard, and he's been a major disappointment this season. Clemson was an 18-point favorite against the Seminoles last year, and that was the biggest number we had seen in the previous 10 head to head meetings. This has all the markings of an inflated point spread. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas +11 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 81 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. There are few things that are certain in life. There is death, taxes ... and Texas will give Oklahoma a run for it's money in the Red River Rivalry game. This line opened at 3.5 in the futures market, and despite the fact that Texas is 4-1 with a 7-point loss to LSU, the line has moved as high as double digits. Oklahoma appears to be the better team through the first six weeks of the season, which is nothing new in recent seasons. History doesn't bode well for those who lay double digits with the Sooners though. Oklahoma has failed to cover in six of the last seven meetings, and the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Texas has won outright three times during that span. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL OVER 42.5 | 9-17 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UVA@MIA to go Over the total. The Hurricanes were lit up for 21 points in first quarter at home versus Virginia Tech last week. Quarterback Jarren Williams was just 4-of-7 for 47 yards and three INTs before getting pulled. His backup N'Kosi Perry stepped right in and threw for 422 yards and four TDS on 28-of-47 passing, tying the game with three minutes left to play. The Canes defense couldn't hold and the Hokies ran in the game winning TD with a minute left on the clock. The Cavs bring a 4-1 record into tonight's game, and their quarterback has played well, even in their loss to Notre Dame. Bryce Perkins threw for 334 yards and two scores on 30-of-43 passing in a 35-20 loss at South Bend. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this pivotal ACC game Friday night. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers -185 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 164 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the San Francisco 49ERS. The Browns are coming off a huge win on the road at Baltimore, and Baker Mayfield threw for 340 yards on 20-of-30 passing with a TD and an INT. Mayfield has thrown at least one INT in all four of his starts this season, and he threw 10 INTs in seven starts on the road last year. He's thrown nine INTs in his last six starts on the road. Playing on the West Coast against an undefeated 49ers team coming off a bye week surely won't be easy for Cleveland. The San Francisco defense has allowed just 283 yards per game so far, and only two teams have allowed fewer. The 49ers are 26-7 ATS in their last 33 Monday Night Football games. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers UNDER 48 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLE@SF to go Under the total. The Browns are coming off a huge win on the road at Baltimore, and Baker Mayfield threw for 340 yards on 20-of-30 passing with a TD and an INT. Mayfield has thrown at least one INT in all four of his starts this season, and he threw 10 INTs in seven starts on the road last year. He's thrown nine INTs in his last six starts on the road. Playing on the West Coast against an undefeated 49ers team coming off a bye week surely won't be easy for Cleveland. The San Francisco defense has allowed just 283 yards per game so far, and only two teams have allowed fewer. The 49ers have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games, and these teams have gone under in six straight head to head meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-19 | Colts +12 v. Chiefs | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 140 h 19 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-06-19 | Packers +4 v. Cowboys | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 161 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Green Bay Packers. The Cowboys looked like Super Bowl favorites after starting the season with three straight wins. The problem is that while they looked great against the Dolphins, Giants and Redskins, they were held to just 10 points in a loss at New Orleans last week. The Packers are also coming off a loss, but they scored 27 points against Philly and came two yards away from tying the game. The Packers defense was sharp in wins over Chicago, Minnesota and Denver, but they appeared to be out of sorts on a short week versus Philly. The will have had a few more days (than Dallas) to prepare for this game, and I like their chances of pulling off an upset. I really like getting the points. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-19 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Panthers | 27-34 | Loss | -105 | 158 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Jacksonville. Both the Jags and the Panthers have won back to back games since their backup quarterbacks took over. The difference is that Gardner Minshew is winning games for the Jags, while the Panthers are winning games with Kyle Allen. Minshew was brilliant in a come from behind win over the Broncos at Mile High, and I love getting points here with the Jags. Take JAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-19 | Bears v. Raiders UNDER 41.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -106 | 133 h 1 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-06-19 | Ravens v. Steelers +4 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 133 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. |
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10-05-19 | Washington v. Stanford UNDER 52 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WASH@STAN to go Under the total. Stanford has been brutal this season, and they are a double digit home dog this week against Washington. Historically these teams have played close low scoring gamses, and the total has been under 50 in each of the last five meetings. The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five at Stanford, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. Stanford's last home game was a 26-6 loss to Oregon, and I can't see the Huskies doing much better here than the Ducks. Take Under. GL. Jesse Schule |
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10-05-19 | Michigan State v. Ohio State OVER 49 | 10-34 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MSU@OSU to go Over the total. The Spartans have lost by 20+ points to Ohio State in each of the last two seasons, but historically they have not been an easy opponent for the Buckeyes. Michigan State has won outright in 2015, 2013 and in 2011. The last time they were getting 20+ points in this matchup was in 2016, and they lost that game by a score of 17-16. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. This year's Spartans team should be a lot better than the team that lost 26-6 to Ohio State last year. That game was also a lot closer than the final score would suggest, and the Spartans trailed by just three points at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Brian Lewerke finished the 2018 season with eight TD passes and 11 INTs in 11 starts. So far after four games this season he has 10 TD passes and just one INT. The over is 8-2 in the Buckeyes last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-05-19 | Auburn -142 v. Florida | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -142 | 106 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Auburn Tigers. Of all the undefeated teams in the Top 25, which one is the biggest fraud? It could be Iowa, it might be Wake Forest or SMU, but I think it's Florida that will be exposed this week. The Gators are 5-0, but they did not look good in wins over Miami and Kentucky. We will find out exactly what they are made of this week, hosting an established SEC Powerhouse in Auburn. The Tigers have earned their Top 10 ranking, beating Oregon in a thriller in Week 1, and then winning on the road at College Station two weeks ago. They have a balanced attack with plenty of talent on both sides of the ball, and their strength is their defensive line. This should be a complete mismatch against the struggling Gators offense. The Tigers also have an edge at quarterback, with Bo Nix establishing himself by winning a couple big games early this season. The quarterback position is far from a strength for Florida. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-19 | Central Florida v. Cincinnati +4 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-30-19 | Bengals v. Steelers -4 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 180 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Pittsburgh. |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 31 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the New Orleans Saints. Jesse Schule |
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09-29-19 | Patriots -6 v. Bills | 16-10 | Push | 0 | 193 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NE Patriots.
I've seen this story before. The Bills look good a few weeks into the season, and now they gotta get over the hump in a home game against the Patriots. Just when you think they might have a chance, they get a cold hard dose of reality. The reality is that beating the Jets and the Giants isn't any indication that they can compete with New England. This line looks a little short. Take NE, GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-19 | Redskins v. Giants -135 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 192 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYG.
The Giants host the Redskins in Week 4, and this looks like a good spot for the new starting QB to get a W at home. Washington is on a short week, and after a tough MNF game against the Bears, they should be vulnerable. Case Keenum is expected to play through an injury, after throwing three INTs in a loss to the Bears. You look at the success the Bills are enjoying with their young quarterback Josh Allen, and I think Daniel Jones has a chance to be even better. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-19 | Browns v. Ravens -3.5 | 40-25 | Loss | -120 | 192 h 31 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-28-19 | Virginia v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5 | 20-35 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UVA@ND to go Under the total. The Irish played admirably in a 23-17 loss at Georgia last week, and they don't have any time to feel sorry for themselves. They host a 4-0 Virginia Team this Saturday, and the Cavs appear to be for real. Two of their four wins come within conference, beating Pittsburgh and Florida State. They held Pitt to just 14 points, and they have allowed an average of just 18 points per game. The trends suggest a low scoring game here, as the Irish have gone under in five of their last seven when coming off a loss. The under is 5-1 in their last six non-conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five versus ACC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-28-19 | Indiana v. Michigan State -14 | 31-40 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. After a shocking loss to Arizona State, the Spartans responded by beating Northwestern on the road by a whopping 21 points. Now they are back home to host the Indiana Hoosiers, and I like Sparty to roll. The Hoosiers lost at home to Ohio State two weeks ago, and what stands out about that loss is that the bulk of the yards were gained on the ground. The Buckeyes ran for over 300 yards, and they scored 30 of their 51 points in the first half. Michigan State has covered the spread in five of the last six head to head meetings, and they are 6-0 straight up in those games. The Hoosiers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven at East Lansing. Take MSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-28-19 | Iowa State -142 v. Baylor | 21-23 | Loss | -142 | 54 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Iowa State Cyclones. The Baylor Bears are off to a nice 3-0 start, but forgive me for not being too impressed. It's the same story every year for this Baylor team. The Bears schedule cupcakes at the beginning of the year, padding their stats prior to the start of conference play. Last year they scored a combined 92 points in wins over Abilene Christian and UTSA, before losing at home by double digits to Duke. The Cyclones come in already battle tested, with a one-point loss to #14 ranked Iowa. Quarterback Brock Purdy threw for 276 yards and a TD on 24-of-34 passing in the loss, and he appears primed for another big game against Baylor. The Cyclones were 8-1 in the nine games that he played in last year, losing only to Texas. The Cyclones are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 road games, and they have covered the spread in four of the last five head to head meetings. They won 23-13 in their last game here at Waco. Take ISU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-27-19 | Arizona State v. California -181 | 24-17 | Loss | -181 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on California. Arizona State shocked the Spartans in East Lansing two weeks ago, but then suffered a let down at home a week later, losing 34-31 to Colorado. Now they are on the road at California, and I think they are going to have trouble scoring points on this Bears defense. Freshman quarterback Jayden Daniels threw for 345 yards and a pair of TDs in last week's loss to the Buffaloes, but he threw for just 140 yards and no TDs on 15-of-26 in his only road start at Michigan State. The Sun Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last six Friday games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six overall. The Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home meetings versus Arizona State. Take CAL. GL, Jesse Schule |