Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-02-18 | Rockies v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and St. Louis at 1:15 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in St. Louis on Thursday afternoon. Antonio Senzatela will take the ball for the Rockies. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in four straight starts. He'll be facing a Cardinals club that hasn't scored more than six runs in a game since an 18-5 rout of the Cubs back on July 20th. Miles Mikolas will counter for St. Louis. He has given up three earned runs or less in seven consecutive starts. Mikolas checks in 11-3 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP this season. Like the Cards, the Rockies haven't exactly been lighting up the scoreboard lately. Take the under (10*). |
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08-01-18 | Cubs v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
MLB National League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. Last night's game between these two division rivals crept 'over' the total but I look for a different story to unfold on Wednesday night. Cole Hamels will make his first start for the Cubs since coming over from the Rangers in a pre-deadline deal. Hamels had been laboring a bit lately but was obviously affected by the rumors swirling around him. I look for this move over to the National League, where he spent plenty of years with the Phillies, will serve him well. Nick Kingham will take the ball for the Pirates. He was roughed up by the Mets in his last start but had been pitching well previously, working at least six innings in four of his last five starts, giving up three earned runs or less in four of those trips to the hill. This is a big start with a lot on the line between these two N.L. Central clubs and I look for another tightly-contested affair. Take the under (10*). |
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08-01-18 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Washington at 12:05 pm et on Wednesday. We saw an offensive explosion from the Nationals in last night's 25-4 rout of the Mets. I look for the scoring to settle down significantly on Wednesday, however, as the Mets hand the ball to Noah Syndergaard against the Nationals' Tommy Milone. Syndergaard has worked at least six innings in just two of his last four starts and lasted just five frames in each of his last two outings but did allow just two earned runs combined in those two trips to the hill. Keep in mind, Syndergaard's last turn in the rotation was skipped as he was recovering from hand, foot and mouth disease. I look for a solid outing from him here. The Nats' took a chance on veteran Tommy Milone and he held his own in his first start with the big club, throwing five effective innings, allowing three earned runs. The Mets aren't really hitting right now and I see this as a favorable matchup for the journeyman starter. Take the under (10*). |
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07-30-18 | Phillies v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Boston at 7:10 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' at Fenway Park on Monday night. Aaron Nola will take the ball for the Phillies. He lasted only five innings in his last outing but had worked at least six innings in each of his previous five starts. He'll certainly be up for this rare occasion to pitch at Fenway Park. Nola will be looking for his 13th win and has posted a terrific 2.42 ERA this season. David Price will counter for Boston. His last start was cut short due to rain in Baltimore. Prior to that he had worked into the seventh inning in back-to-back outings, allowing just three earned runs on 10 hits in 13 innings of work. Price has given up three earned runs or less in all three starts at Fenway Park since the start of June. Take the under (10*). |
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07-29-18 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 8 | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and San Diego at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' at Petco Park on Sunday afternoon. Clay Buchholz will take the ball for the D'Backs. He has been a pleasant surprise since joining the Arizona rotation. Buchholz checks in with a 3-1 record and a sub-3.00 ERA. He's worked at least into the sixth inning in five of his last seven starts and has allowed just two earned runs in 17 1/3 innings over his last three outings. On the other side, Joey Lucchesi has held his own for the Padres, going 5-5 with a 3.34 ERA. He's worked into the sixth inning in two of his last three starts and has given up two earned runs or less in five consecutive outings. The D'Backs will be aiming for the series sweep on Sunday afternoon but I do think that Lucchesi can be a thorn in their side to some extent here. Take the under (10*). |
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07-27-18 | Mariners v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Angel Stadium on Friday night. Wade LeBlanc will take the ball for the Mariners. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in four of his last five starts overall. Last time out, LeBlanc worked into the eighth inning, giving up just one earned run on four hits while striking out 10. The last time he faced the Angels he allowed only one earned run on three hits back on July 3rd. Andrew Heaney will counter for Los Angeles. He's on a nice roll right now, having worked at least six innings in four consecutive starts. Heaney has struck out 30 in 26 1/3 innings of work over that stretch. Note that he owns a 2.31 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in nine home starts this season. Take the under (10*). |
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07-27-18 | Rays v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 5-15 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Baltimore at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Camden Yards on Friday night. Chris Archer is essentially auditioning for other teams with less than a week to go before the trade deadline. Last time out he struck out 13 over six innings in a 6-4 victory over the Marlins. The 'over' has now cashed in each of his last three starts, but keep in mind, the 'under' was 3-0 in his previous three outings. Andrew Cashner has been an undervalued commodity in the Orioles rotation, especially of late. Cashner checks in having worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last five starts. He has given up two earned runs or less in three of his last four trips to the hill. Cashner's home starts are averaging just eight total runs this season. Take the under (10*). |
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07-26-18 | Brewers v. Giants UNDER 8 | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and San Francisco at 10:15 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' at AT&T Park on Thursday night. Veteran Wade Miley will get the nod for the Brewers. He's certainly familiar with pitching in this park from his days with the division rival D'Backs. Miley held his own last time out, tossing six innings of four-hit, one-run ball, needing only 83 pitches to get through. In two road starts this season he has allowed only three earned runs in 11 innings of work. Rookie Dereck Rodriguez will counter for the Giants. We won with the 'under' in his last start and I won't hesitate to go back to the well here. Rodriguez is 3-0 with a 2.28 ERA and 1.01 WHIP at home this season. The 'under' is a perfect 4-0 in his last four outings in which he has given up only four earned runs in 26 1/3 innings pitched. Take the under (10*). |
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07-26-18 | Mets v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | Top | 12-6 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
MLB N.L. Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' at PNC Park on Thursday evening. Steven Matz will take the ball for the Mets. He stumbled last time out against the Yankees, allowing nine hits and five earned runs in five innings. However, prior to that he had worked at least into the sixth inning in eight consecutive starts, giving up three earned runs or less in seven of those outings. Matz' road starts are averaging just a shade over eight total runs. Nick Kingham will counter for Pittsburgh. He's 3-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in five home starts this season. He has worked at least six innings in four of his last five starts and has given up just six earned runs in his last 18 2/3 innings of work. The 'under' is 4-2 in his last six outings. Take the under (10*). |
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07-25-18 | Pirates v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Cleveland at 1:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Progressive Field on Wednesday afternoon. Jameson Taillon will take the ball for the Pirates. He has at least worked into the sixth inning in three consecutive starts, allowing just five earned runs in 18 innings of work. Three starts ago he turned in one of his most impressive outings of the season as he worked 6 2/3 innings and needed only 77 pitches to do so. Note that he hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in a start since way back on May 22nd. Trevor Bauer will counter for the Indians. He struggled last time out, giving up four earned runs in just four innings of work. Prior to that, Bauer had worked at least into the seventh inning in eight consecutive starts. Over that stretch, he gave up more than two earned runs only once. Bauer has posted a 2.23 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 10 home starts this season. Take the under (10*). |
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07-24-18 | Pirates v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at Progressive Field on Tuesday night. Joe Musgrove will take the ball for the Pirates. He has worked at least seven innings in two of his last three starts. I also like the fact that he has thrown over 100 pitches just once in his last seven outings. In two road starts this season he has recorded a 1.38 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Shane Bieber will counter for the Indians. He has worked at least six innings in five straight starts. Last time out he held the Yankees to only three earned runs in seven innings. He has yet to throw 100 pitches in a start this season. In four home starts he has posted a 2.81 ERA. Take the under (10*). |
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07-24-18 | Twins v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at Rogers Centre on Tuesday night. Jose Berrios will take the ball for the Twins. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in 13 of his last 14 starts. He did give up six earned runs last time out. The last time he allowed six earned runs in a start was June 29th against the Cubs in Chicago. He followed that up by allowing just three earned runs in seven innings in a 3-2 loss to the Brewers. Ryan Borucki will counter for the Blue Jays. He worked at least six innings in his first three starts before stumbling against the Red Sox in Boston last time out. In two previous starts here in Toronto, Borucki allowed just three earned runs in 14 innings. The 'under' has gone 3-1 in his four previous outings. Take the under (10*). |
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07-23-18 | Dodgers v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' at Citizens Bank Park on Monday night. Ross Stripling will get the nod for the Dodgers. He has been pitching well before getting roughed up in a 1 2/3-inning outing at the All-Star Game. I simply feel this is a tough matchup for him in a hitter's park following the extended All-Star break. The Phillies last three games have totaled 16, 16 and 12 runs. Zach Eflin will take the ball for the Phillies. He has worked beyond the fifth inning just twice in his last five starts. Eflin has faced the Dodgers three times over the course of his career, allowing 14 earned runs in 14 innings of work. The 'over' cashed in all three of those starts. Take the over (10*). |
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07-22-18 | White Sox v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -117 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Seattle at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' at Safeco Field on Sunday afternoon. Reynaldo Lopez will take the ball for the White Sox. He has worked at least 6 1/3 innings in three of his last four trips to the hill. Last time out he did give up five earned runs, but battled for seven innings and it's worth noting that game totaled only five runs. Lopez will be making his first career start against the Mariners. Marco Gonzalez will counter for Seattle. He has worked at least six innings in five consecutive starts. He tossed seven shutout innings of two-hit ball in his most recent start. The 'under' has cashed in each of his last five starts. Gonzalez has faced the White Sox just once in his career - that start coming back in April - and he didn't give up an earned run in six innings of work. Take the under (10*). |
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07-22-18 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Arizona at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' at Chase Field on Sunday afternoon. Antonio Senzatela will take the ball for the Rockies. He has worked at least six innings in both starts this season. Senzatela did allow six earned runs last time out but he was still fairly efficient in that outing, needing 101 pitches to get through six frames. The D'Backs have had a couple of big offensively explosions lately, but haven't been all that consistent at the dish. Zack Greinke will counter for Arizona. He is coming off a fantastic outing, tossing 7 2/3 shutout innings on the road against the Braves. Greinke has worked at least into the seventh innings in three of his last four starts overall. Note that the 'under' has cashed in each of his last four outings. Take the under (10*). |
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07-21-18 | Montreal v. Calgary OVER 48.5 | 8-25 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Montreal and Calgary at 9 pm et on Saturday. All of the trends point to the 'under' in this one but I'm going to go the other way and back the 'over'. The Als have been trending up offensively, scoring 23 and 18 points in their last two games. Meanwhile, the Stampeders have been playing outstanding football defensively, but I'm not sure how long they can keep it up. In fact, I'm anticipating a bit of a letdown here. Offensively, the Stamps continue to roll along and while QB Bo Levi Mitchell's health is a bit of a question mark here, I'm not sure it matters who is under center, they'll produce against the Als porous defense. Take the over (10*). |
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07-21-18 | Indians v. Rangers UNDER 10 | 16-3 | Loss | -113 | 23 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Texas at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' in Arlington on Saturday night. Carlos Carrasco will take the ball for the Indians. He bounced back from a rough stretch in his most recent start, allowing just one earned run over five innings against the Reds. He followed that up with a perfect one-inning relief appearance prior to the All-Star break. Note that Carrasco has actually pitched better on the road than at home, posting a 3.33 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 54 innings of work. Bartolo Colon will counter for Texas. He continues to chug along, having worked at least six innings in four of his last five starts. Colon allowed three earned runs or less in all five of those outings. I like the fact that he hasn't thrown more than 100 pitches in a start since back on May 26th. Take the under (10*). |
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07-21-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Milwaukee at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' at Miller Park on Saturday night. The Dodgers will hand the ball to their ace Clayton Kershaw. He has rounded back into form, pitching at least six innings in each of his last three starts, giving up only five earned runs in 18 2/3 innings of work. Note that he has been at his best on the road this season, where he has posted a 2.25 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Chase Anderson will counter for Milwaukee. He's been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season as far as I'm concerned. Anderson has worked at least into the sixth inning in three of his last four starts. In those four starts he has given up just four earned runs in 22 1/3 innings pitched. Not surprisingly, the 'under' has gone 4-0-1 in his last five outings. Take the under (10*). |
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07-20-18 | Giants v. A's UNDER 9 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Oakland at 9:35 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in Oakland on Friday night. The Giants will hand the ball to rookie Dereck Rodriguez. After struggling early in the campaign, he has responded by working at least into the sixth inning in four of his last five starts, giving up two earned runs or less in four of those outings as well. We won with the 'under' in his most recent start - a 3-2 victory over the Cardinals on July 6th. Veteran Edwin Jackson will counter for Oakland. He has made four starts for the A's this season, working at least into the sixth inning in all four outings. He has yet to give up more than two earned runs in a start this season. The 'under' has gone 2-0-2 in his four starts. Take the under (10*). |
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07-20-18 | Twins v. Royals UNDER 9 | 5-6 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Kansas City at 8:15 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in Kansas City on Friday night. Kyle Gibson continues to be one of the most underrated and undervalued starters in baseball this season. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in 12 of his last 13 starts overall. Gibson has been a force on the road, posting a 2.84 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. On the flip side, Royals starter Danny Duffy has really struggled at home with an ERA north of six. However, Duffy gave up just one earned run over six innings in a 2-1 victory over these same Twins back on May 29th. He has given up just two earned runs in 18 innings of work in his last three outings against Minnesota. Take the under (10*). |
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07-20-18 | BC v. Ottawa OVER 53 | Top | 25-29 | Win | 100 | 47 h 13 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between B.C. and Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Friday. With both teams coming off relatively low-scoring affairs last week I absolutely love the way the 'over' sets up on Friday night. B.C. welcomed back QB Travis Lulay and eked out a 20-17 home victory over Winnipeg. That put an end to a string of back-to-back 'over' results for the Lions. Lulay certainly didn't hold anything back in his return, airing out 41 passes and throwing for 326 yards, one touchdown and one interception. A key here is the fact that the Lions will be without one of the league's best defenders in LB Solomon Elimimian. Ottawa put forth a dreadful offensive performance last week, scoring just three points in a rout at the hands of the Stampeders. Keep in mind, just two games back, the Redblacks scored 28 points against Montreal. Calgary has really been the only opponent to keep the Ottawa offense in check this season. Note that the 'over' has gone 2-0-1 in the last three meetings in this series with each of those games reaching at least 55 total points. Take the over (10*). |
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07-14-18 | England v. Belgium UNDER 3 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between England and Belgium at 10 am et on Saturday. I'm actually fairly surprised we're looking at such a high total here. We've got two dejected squads that had their sights on something much bigger than the consolation prize. Sure, both are capable of opening things up and putting a goal or two on the board, but will we see it play out that way in Russia on Saturday? I'm not so easily convinced. At times in the latter stages of this tournament, I felt it was a real struggle for the English to generate much offensively. I also feel that Belgium's best football is behind it at this point. The French were able to really stymie them in the semi-final. England may not pose the same challenge, however I'm anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair nonetheless. Take the under (10*). |
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07-13-18 | Angels v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Dodger Stadium on Friday night. Felix Pena will take the ball for the Angels. He seems to be getting better with each passing start and has now worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last two starts, giving up just two earned runs in 10 2/3 innings, needing only 76 pitches to get through each of those outings. Walker Buehler will make his return to the Dodgers rotation after a rocky relief appearance. Before he got injured, he had worked seven innings in two of his last three starts. Buehler has posted a 2.87 ERA and 0.83 WHIP at home this season. His arm should be fresh as he has rarely had to be stretched out this season, topping out at 97 pitches. Take the under (10*). |
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07-12-18 | Rays v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
MLB American League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Minnesota at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. We saw a wild, high-scoring affair between these two clubs yesterday afternoon at Target Field but I expect to see a different story unfold on Thursday night. Blake Snell has been considered one of the biggest All-Star snubs this season and I certainly anticipate him pitching with plenty of fire in this one. Snell has been nothing short of brilliant this season, posting a 2.09 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. In 28 2/3 innings of work over his last four starts he has allowed just two earned runs on 14 hits. Kyle Gibson has enjoyed a solid campaign by his own standards for the Twins. Gibson checks in with a 3.57 ERA and 1.27 WHIP and enters this start having worked at least six innings in five of his last six trips to the hill. Last time out he gave up just three earned runs over seven innings against the Orioles. We're not being given a lofty total to work with by any means, but I still see considerable value in the 'under' at the current number. Take the under (10*). |
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07-11-18 | Reds v. Indians UNDER 9 | 4-19 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cincinnati and Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Progressive Field on Wednesday. Tyler Mahle remains an undervalued starter, having worked at least into the sixth inning in four of his last five starts. Last time out he gave up just one earned run over 6 2/3 innings against the Cubs in Chicago. Note that his 10 road starts this season have averaged just north of seven total runs. Carlos Carrasco will counter for Cleveland. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in two of his last three starts, but has admittedly not been at the top of his game since around late May. With that being said, I do look for him to step up after the Reds took the first two games in this series. Carrasco has gone at leats six innings in all four career starts against the Reds. Take the under (10*). |
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07-10-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 11 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
MLB N.L. West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at Coors Field on Tuesday night. The D'Backs will send Patrick Corbin to the mound. He checks in having been in fine form over his last three starts, posting a 0.95 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over that stretch. In seven road starts he has recorded a 2.32 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with those games averaging just north of seven total runs. Note that Corbin has worked at least into the sixth inning in 10 consecutive outings. Likewise, Rockies starter Tyler Anderson has been working deep into ball games, going at least into the sixth inning in six straight starts. He hasn't allowed a single earned run over his last two outings, giving up only six hits in 16 innings. Note that the 'under' has cashed in each of his last three starts. Take the under (10*). |
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07-09-18 | Reds v. Indians UNDER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Cincinnati and Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' at Progressive Field on Monday night. Anthony DeScaflani will take the ball for the Reds. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in four straight starts. While he did allow nine earned runs over his last two outings, he needed only 88 and 82 pitches to get through those starts. In his lone road start this season he gave up just two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in Pittsburgh. Mike Clevinger will make his first start since July 1st for the Indians. He has worked at least six innings in six of his last seven starts. I like the fact that he has thrown more than 100 pitches just twice in his last four outings and has had the extended layoff since his last start. Take the under (10*). |
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07-06-18 | Cardinals v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and San Francisco at 10:15 pm et on Friday. The Cardinals exploded offensively for the second straight game last night, plating 11 runs in a rout of the Giants. I look for things to settle down on Friday as two young starting pitchers take the mound. John Gant will take the ball for the Cards. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in three consecutive starts. Even in his last start, while he did allow four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings he needed just 79 pitches to get through that outing. Gant will be facing a Giants club that isn't scoring right now, having plated just five runs over their last four games - perhaps most alarming is the fact that three of those were played at hitter-friendly Coors Field in Denver. Dereck Rodriguez will counter for San Francisco. After a tough start to the campaign, he has settled in, guiding the Giants to wins in each of his last four starts. Rodriguez has worked at least into the seventh inning in three of his last four outings, allowing just six earned runs in 25 innings over that stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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07-06-18 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 48.5 | 28-18 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Ottawa and Montreal at 7:30 pm et on Friday. We won with the Alouettes last weekend as they pulled out a double-digit underdog victory over Saskatchewan. I won’t hesitate to switch gears and look at the total this week as they return home to host the Redblacks. The Montreal offense has stumbled out of the gate this season. That’s probably an understatement. With that being said, I don’t believe the Als defense is as good as it showed last week, and think the offense will do a good job picking up the slack against a middle of the road Ottawa defense on Friday. The Redblacks will be playing just their third game of the season on Friday and it’s been a mixed bag so far – particularly on offense. This is certainly a favorable bounce-back spot following a loss in Calgary last week and I’m confident we’ll see the Ottawa offense perform well. QB Trevor Harris wasn’t able to follow up on a strong season debut but there’s a big difference between facing the Stampeders and Alouettes. I believe the oddsmakers have this total set a shade too low. Take the over (10*). |
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07-05-18 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan UNDER 51 | 13-18 | Win | 100 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Hamilton and Saskatchewan at 9 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams check in with identical 1-2 o/u records and I look for that early season trend to continue on Thursday night in Regina. Hamilton is coming off back-to-back 30+ point performances but I look for that streak to end here. Jeremiah Masoli is certainly playing well right now under center, and doing an excellent job of keeping Johnny Manziel on the sidelines. With that being said, I'm not sure this is an elite Ti-Cats offense and they'll be facing a Riders defense that knows it has to step up its game with the offense hindered without QB Zach Collaros. The Saskatchewan defense didn't give up much but the Riders still fell by a 23-17 score at home against the Alouettes last week. I'm not sure we're going to see much improvement from the Riders offense here with Brandon Bridge getting another start at QB. Take the under (10*). |
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07-04-18 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 8-4 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Arizona at 10:10 pm et on Wednesday. Neither of these teams are scoring with much consistency right now. With that in mind, I'll call for a relatively low-scoring affair on Wednesday night. Miles Mikolas remains one of the most undervalued starters in baseball. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in seven of his last eight starts. He has also given up an earned run or less in four of his last six outings. The 'under' is 5-1 over that stretch. Patrick Corbin will counter for Arizona. Like Mikolas, he has been lasting deep into games having worked at least into the sixth frame in nine straight starts. The 'under' has cashed in each of his last three starts as he has given up just one earned run in his last 13 innings of work, spanning his last two outings. Take the under (10*). |
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07-04-18 | Mets v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | Top | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a wild, high-scoring affair between these two teams last night but I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday. Corey Oswalt will take the ball for the Mets, making his second big league start. He struggled in his first, but I do look for him to settle down against an inconsistent Blue Jays offense on Wednesday. Note that Oswalt did hold the Cardinals to just two earned runs on two hits over 4 2/3 innings in a relief appearance earlier this season, so he's capable of stepping up. Blue Jays starter Marcus Stroman has rounded back into form since returning from injury, allowing only one earned run over 12 frames in his last two starts. Not surprisingly, the 'under' cashed in both of those games. I like the fact that he hasn't been overworked, needing only 81 and 90 pitches to get through those two outings. Take the under (10*). |
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07-04-18 | Red Sox v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 3-0 | Win | 105 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Washington at 11:05 am et on Wednesday. I'll keep my analysis short with first pitch fast approaching on the Fourth of July. Eduardo Rodriguez has at least worked into the sixth inning in seven of his last eight starts overall. The 'under' is 7-3 in his last 10 starts. Meanwhile, Nats rookie Erick Fedde has at least worked into the sixth frame in five of his last seven outings. The 'under' is 4-1 in his last five trips to the hill. After a wild, high-scoring affair between these two teams last night, look for a lower-scoring contest on Wednesday. Take the under (10*). |
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06-30-18 | Portugal v. Uruguay UNDER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -123 | 41 h 57 m | Show |
World Cup Total of the Year. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Uruguay and Portugal at 2 pm et on Saturday. There is so much star power in this matchup it’s not surprising that we’re dealing with a juiced-out total shaded to the ‘over’. We’ll go the other way and call for a ‘push’ at worst as I don’t see this one settling at anything other than 0-0, 1-0 or 1-1 at the end of 90 minutes. We saw Iran take away a number of Cristiano Ronaldo’s opportunities in the final group stage match and I’m confident we’ll see Uruguay do the same on Saturday. Save for a penalty kick awarded, Ronaldo was frustrated for much of that night against the Iranians. On the flip side, Portugal is capable of keeping the outstanding duo of Suarez and Cavani under wraps, unlike Uruguay’s previous opponents, perhaps save for Egypt, which held up well until added time in their World Cup opener. While the potential is there for both of these squads to bust out offensively, I just don’t see it happening with so much on the line, and so little separating the two teams. Take the under (10*). |
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06-29-18 | BC v. Edmonton UNDER 55.5 | Top | 22-41 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
CFL West Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the ‘under’ between B.C. and Edmonton at 10 pm et on Friday. Edmonton has been involved in a couple of high-scoring affairs to open the season, splitting those two games. I look for the Eskimos defense to step up on Friday night, however, as they welcome the Lions to Commonwealth Stadium. There’s no question the Eskimos defense is better than it has shown in the early going this season. This looks like a fine ‘get right’ game at home against a Lions offense that the jury is still out on, having only played one game – a 22-10 victory over a bad Alouettes squad back in Week 1. On the flip side, I’m confident the Lions defense can hold its own against an Edmonton offense that has yet to find its groove. The Eskimos scored points in bunches against Winnipeg in a wild season-opener but stumbled last week. It’s hard to say which offense we see on Friday night, but I do feel we’re dealing with an inflated total based on the Eskimos high-scoring contests so far. Take the under (10*). |
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06-29-18 | Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 9 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 46 m | Show |
MLB N.L. East Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday. When these two teams met last week they combined to score 36 runs in three games. I expect a different story to unfold on Friday night, however, as two young starting pitchers go head-to-head. Erick Fedde will take the ball for the Nationals. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in five of his last six trips to the hill. I like the fact that Fedde has thrown fewer than 100 pitches in six of his first seven big league starts. His ground ball to fly ball ratio has been outstanding over his last few outings. The 'under' has cashed in each of Fedde's last four starts. Nick Pivetta will counter for Philadelphia. He hasn't been working deep into ball games lately but should take some positives from his most recent start against the same Nats' he'll face on Friday night. In that outing he gave up just two earned runs in five innings and needed only 87 pitches to get through that start. Pivetta has been solid at home this season, posting a 3.04 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. His home starts are totaling just shy of 7.5 runs per contest. Take the under (10*). |
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06-28-18 | A's v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | 4-2 | Win | 102 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oakland and Detroit at 1:10 pm et on Thursday. Just feel that this total is too high considering the current form of both starting pitchers. Sean Manaea will take the ball for the A's. He's come out of a rough patch to work at least into the sixth inning in each of his last four starts, allowing three earned runs or less in all four outings. Note that he owns a solid 3.17 ERA and 1.10 WHIP on the road this season. Michael Fulmer has also bounced back for the Tigers in recent weeks, working at least into the sixth inning in four consecutive starts. He has given up just five earned runs in 19 2/3 innings of work over his last three trips to the hill. The 'under' cashed in all three of those contests. Take the under (10*). |
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06-27-18 | Reds v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cincinnati and Atlanta at 12:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Sun Trust Park on Wednesday afternoon. The Reds will hand the ball to Luis Castillo. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in two of his last three and eight of his last 16 starts overall. So he's not exactly the picture of consistency, but has settled in lately, allowing just 28 hits over his last 32 1/3 innings, and I like the fact that he has thrown fewer than 100 pitches in six of his last seven starts overall. Sean Newcomb will counter for Atlanta. We missed the mark with the 'under' in his most recent start but that was no fault of Newcomb's. In that outing, he lasted seven innings, giving up one earned run on five hits against the Orioles. Note that he has worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last five starts. Over that stretch, Newcomb has allowed more than two earned runs only once. He threw 108 pitches in his last outing - the first time in seven starts he had gone over the 100 pitch mark. The last two times he has thrown over 100 pitches he has given up a combined five hits and one earned run in 12 innings. Take the under (10*). |
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06-26-18 | Cubs v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' at Chavez Ravine on Tuesday night. Jon Lester will take the ball for the Cubs. he tossed seven shutout innings against these same Dodgers at Wrigley Field just last week. While he did need to throw 119 pitches to get through that outing, the good news is that he has had five full days off since. Lester has worked at least six innings in seven of his last nine starts against Los Angeles. Three of his last four starts against them have totaled five runs or less. Ross Stripling will counter for the Dodgers. He continues to be one of the most undervalued starting pitchers in baseball. Stripling has worked at least six innings in three straight starts. Last week against the Cubs he needed only 84 pitches to go six innings, allowing three earned runs in a 4-0 loss (he was matched up against Lester in that one as well). Stripling owns an impressive 1.82 ERA and 0.96 WHIP at Dodger Stadium this season. Take the under (10*). |
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06-26-18 | Royals v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the 'under' in the Royals 2-0 victory over the Angels yesterday afternoon and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play as they travel to face the Brewers on Tuesday night. Jakob Junis will take the ball for the Royals. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in five consecutive starts. He was roughed up in two of those, but has still held five of his last seven opponents to three earned runs or less. Junis' road starts are averaging a total of just under 7.2 runs this season. Freddy Peralta will counter for Milwaukee. He has made three starts since returning to the Brewers rotation, with all three of those coming on the road. He was outstanding in two of those, including his most recent outing in which he allowed only two hits over six shutout innings, striking out seven and not walking a single batter. Remember, in Peralta's first start of the season he allowed just one hit in 5 2/3 innings against the Rockies at Coors Field. He'll be up against a Royals offense that continues to stumble on Tuesday night. Take the under (10*). |
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06-26-18 | Padres v. Rangers UNDER 10 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between San Diego and Texas at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Padres aren't scoring with any consistency right now and while the Rangers have been on a bit of a tear at the dish, I believe they'll be held in check by San Diego starter Tyson Ross. Ross has been effective on the road this season, posting a 3.13 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 54 2/3 innings of work. He enters this outing having worked at least into the sixth inning in nine of his last 10 starts overall. Ross is coming off one of his best starts of the season, having allowed just one earned run over seven innings against the Giants, albeit in a losing effort. Austin Bibens-Dirkx has made three starts this season, working into the seventh inning in two of those. He needed only 81 pitches to go 6 2/3 innings against the Royals last time out. I look for him to build off of that performance against a slumping Padres lineup here. Take the under (10*). |
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06-25-18 | Angels v. Royals UNDER 9 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Kansas City at 4:15 pm et on Monday. The 'under' has cashed in four of six meetings between these two clubs this season and I look for that trend to continue on Monday afternoon. Neither team has been scoring with much consistency lately - particularly the Royals. Kansas City has plated three runs or less in six straight games. Tyler Skaggs will take the ball for the Angels on Monday. Skaggs has posted a 2.27 ERA and 1.11 WHIP on the road this season. He has worked at least six innings in three straight starts, allowing just one earned run in 20 innings over that stretch. He has tossed 14 scoreless frames in two career starts against the Royals. Brad Keller will counter for Kansas City. He's been stretched out over his last two outings after being on a short leash in his first two starts. Keller has given up five earned runs over his last two starts, working into the sixth inning and beyond in each of those two outings. Keep in mind, his second career start came against the Angels, and he held them to one earned run over 4 1/3 innings. Take the under (10*). |
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06-23-18 | Mariners v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Boston at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. We saw a wild, high-scoring game between these two teams last night as the Mariners prevailed by a 14-10 score. I expect things to settle down on Saturday night at Fenway Park, however. Mike Leake will take the ball for the Mariners. He has at least worked into the sixth inning in 10 straight starts and while the 'over' has gone a perfect 3-0 in his last three outings, he has actually held five of his last six opponents to two earned runs or less. Eduardo Rodriguez will counter for Boston. Like Leake, he has been very consistent, working into the sixth inning at least in six straight starts, while allowing two earned runs or less in each of those outings. The 'under' is 3-1 in his four career starts against Seattle. Take the under (10*). |
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06-22-18 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Brewers exploded for 11 runs in a rout of the Cardinals yesterday but I expect a lower-scoring game to play out on Friday night at Miller Park. Jack Flaherty will take the ball for the Cardinals. He has certainly held his own this season, sporting a 2.66 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in nine starts. The 'under' has gone 6-2-1 in those nine contests. Flaherty has faced the Brewers once this season, allowing just one earned run in five innings. Junior Guerra will counter for Milwaukee. He checks in having worked at least into the sixth inning in five straight starts. Guerra hasn't given up more than three earned runs in a start since May 9th against Cleveland. In two outings against the Cards this season he has allowed only one earned run in 11 1/3 innings. Take the under (10*). |
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06-22-18 | Orioles v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
MLB Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Baltimore and Atlanta at 7:10 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in Atlanta on Friday night as two teams that have been struggling to score with consistency lately go head-to-head in an interleague matchup. Baltimore will hand the ball to Alex Cobb. He missed all of spring training so the first part of the regular season was essentially his time to work out the kinks. He certainly struggled as a result. However, he has rebounded lately, working at least six innings in three of his last four starts. Note that he has also thrown fewer than 100 pitches in six of his last seven outings. The 'under' is 3-1 in Cobb's last four starts. Sean Newcomb will counter for Atlanta. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in four straight starts. Last time out, Newcomb threw six innings of two-hit shutout ball. He checks in having allowed two earned runs or less in seven of his last nine outings. Newcomb has been sharp here at home, posting a 3.07 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Take the under (10*). |
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06-21-18 | Mets v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Colorado at 3:10 pm et on Thursday. I'll go the contrarian route and back the 'under' at Coors Field on Thursday afternoon. Steven Matz will take the ball for the Mets. He has pitched well on the road this season, posting a 1.55 ERA. Matz has worked at least six innings in each of his last three starts, giving up only six earned runs in 19 2/3 innings of work. Note that Matz gave up just three earned runs in five innings in his lone previous outing here at Coors Field. Kyle Freeland will counter for Colorado. He has certainly looked comfortable pitching in Denver this season, posting a sub-3.00 ERA. Freeland has worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last 10 starts. The 'under' has cashed in eight of those 10 outings. Take the under (10*). |
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06-20-18 | Marlins v. Giants UNDER 8 | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and San Francisco at 3:45 pm et on Wednesday. The first two games of this series have played 'over' the total but I look for a different story to unfold on getaway day. Jose Urena will take the ball for the Marlins. He has been consistently keeping the Fish in games, working at least into the sixth inning in nine of his last 10 starts. While I don't love the fact that he threw 112 pitches last time out and throws on four days' rest today, he is catching a Giants club that isn't scoring a boatload of runs right now. We won with the 'under' in Giants starter Derek Holland's last trip to the hill. He has allowed two earned runs or less in three straight starts, even if he hasn't been working deep into ball games. Note that the Marlins haven't scored more than five runs in any of their last eight games. I believe Holland can keep them in check again today. Take the under (10*). |
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06-19-18 | Braves v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 11-4 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' as the Braves and Blue Jays open up an interleague series in Toronto on Tuesday night. The Braves continue to win games but aren't exactly tearing the cover off of the baseball right now. They've scored four runs or less in six of their last seven contests. Meanwhile, Toronto is coming off an eight-run outburst on Sunday and a clean sweep of the reeling Nationals at home. They've still scored just a grand total of 21 runs in their last six games, however. They'll be in tough against Braves rookie Mike Soroka on Tuesday. Soroka is coming off arguably the best start of his young career as he needed only 74 pitches to navigate 6 1/3 innings of one-hit shutout ball last week against the Mets. The 'under' is 3-1 in his first four big league starts. Jaime Garcia will counter for Toronto. He's been alternating good and bad starts and is coming off a bad one entering this contest. Note that Garcia has looked comfortable pitching here at Rogers Centre, recording a 3.00 ERA in five starts spanning 27 innings of work. Take the under (10*). |
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06-19-18 | Senegal v. Poland OVER 2 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Senegal and Poland at 11 am et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in this contest as Poland has scored a whopping nine goals in its last three matches heading into this tournament. While Senegal will offer a stiffer challenge than what the Polish have faced in recent months, I still believe it can be broken down and that we'll see both squads find the back of the net in this contest - which would net us a 'push' at the very least. Senegal was shutout in consecutive matches against Bosnia & Herzegovina and Luxembourg but has since bounced back, scoring three goals in splitting a pair of matches against Croatia and South Korea. Look for things to open up early in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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06-19-18 | Japan v. Colombia OVER 2 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Japan and Colombia at 8 am et on Tuesday. The only thing keeping this total in check is the fact that Colombia has been involved in back-to-back scoreless draws heading into the World Cup. I don't believe either of those results were all that shocking, however, coming against Australia and Egypt (minus Mo Salah). I believe we'll see Japan turn this into an up-tempo affair, noting that it has played five matches in 2018, with all five of those reaching at least two total goals and its most recent totaling six goals in a 4-2 win over Paraguay. Take the over (10*). |
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06-16-18 | Red Sox v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Seattle at 8:15 pm et on Saturday. The Red Sox haven't exactly been tearing the cover off the baseball lately, at least not the way they were earlier in the season. They'll hand the ball to knuckle-baller Steven Wright on Saturday night in Seattle. Wright has been terrific since re-joining the rotation, allowing just six hits and no earned runs in 13 2/3 innings of work, covering two starts. Going back to the start of last season, Wright has needed to throw more than 100 pitches just once in seven outings. Wade LeBlanc will counter for Seattle. LeBlanc has allowed two earned runs or less in seven of eight starts this season. He hasn't consistently worked deep into games, but has thrown less than 100 pitches in all eight of his starts. LeBlanc last faced the Red Sox back in 2016, giving up only three earned runs on five hits in six innings. Take the under (10*). |
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06-16-18 | Hamilton v. Calgary UNDER 55 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Hamilton and Calgary at 7 pm et on Saturday. The Stampeders are certainly familiar with this Ti-Cats offense run by QB Jeremiah Masoli. Last year, Calgary took both meetings by a combined 88-26 score. Masoli didn't throw a single touchdown while tossing a pair of interceptions in those two contests. Obviously, the Ti-Cats QB will be feeling some heat here with Johnny Manziel waiting in the wings. I'm not sure Manziel's presence on the bench is a good thing for this Ti-Cats offense. Calgary is of course one of the league's elite teams and a serious Grey Cup contender. However, it's the opening week of the season. I'm just not sure we'll see the Stamps come out all guns blazing in their opener. Note that the 'under' has gone 16-5-1 in the Stamps last 22 season-openers. Take the under (10*). |
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06-16-18 | Twins v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Cleveland at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' at Progressive Field on Saturday afternoon as the Twins send Fernando Romero to the hill against Carlos Carrasco. Romero lasted just five innings in his most recent start but gave up just two earned runs on five hits and threw only 94 pitches. Note that he has thrown fewer than 100 pitches in seven of his eight outings this season. He'll be making his first career start against the Indians. Carrasco has been arguably the best pitcher in baseball over his last two starts, allowing only one earned run on 10 hits in 14 innings pitched, striking out 21 and walking only two along the way. He was roughed up by the Twins in his lone previous start against them this season, but has still given up one earned run or less in four of his last five starts vs. Minnesota. Take the under (10*). |
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06-15-18 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 9 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show |
MLB A.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Yankees were one of the best 'over' bets in baseball for the first two months of the season but that has certainly turned around lately as they've reeled off nine straight 'under' results. I look for that trend to continue on Friday night in the Bronx. Tampa Bay will hand the ball to Nathan Eovaldi. He tossed six innings of no-hit ball in his return from Tommy John surgery and since then has worked five innings in back-to-back outings against the Nationals and Mariners. While we're dealing with a small sample size it is worth noting that his strikeout numbers are up while his walk totals are down. After giving up three home runs in his last two starts he will definitely need to do a better job of commanding the strike zone in order to keep the Yankees All-Star lineup in the ballpark on Friday. Jonathan Loaisiga will make his first big league start for the Yankees. The 23-year old hasn't even started a game at the Triple-A level so it's difficult to say how he'll adapt to facing big league hitters. The good news is he faces a lower-tier opponent in the Rays. It's also worth noting that Loiaisiga has posted an impressive 58:4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in the minors this season. Take the under (10*). |
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06-15-18 | Iran v. Morocco OVER 2 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Iran and Morocco at 11 am et on Friday. Few are expecting much in the way of offensive fireworks between these two countries on Friday, but I fully expect to get at least a 2-1 result. Morocco comes into this tournament having scored multiple goals in four of its five matches here in 2018. Just last week they put three goals on the board in a two-goal victory over Estonia. While they'll be facing a tougher opponent here, I do expect them to break down the Iranian defense on at least a couple of occasions. Meanwhile, Iran has some confidence having won three of its four tune-up matches this year. Last week we saw the Iranians post a 1-0 victory over Lithuania. Again, they'll be up against a tougher opponent here, and I do believe they'll come in with the mindset that they'll need to find the back of the net at least twice to come away victorious. Take the over (10*). |
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06-14-18 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg UNDER 50 | 33-30 | Loss | -107 | 47 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. It's been years since these two West Division rivals have met this early in the season - in fact, they've never met this early as far as the calendar goes as the CFL is kicking off earlier than it ever has before in 2018. That aside, the last time the Eskimos and Blue Bombers met anywhere close to this early in the campaign was 2016 when they hooked up in Week 3 and the result was a 20-16 Eskimos victory here in Winnipeg. I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair to kick off the CFL season on Thursday night. The big news ahead of this one is the injury to Blue Bombers QB Matt Nichols. He is going to miss at least the first month of the season, leaving Winnipeg with Chris Streveler to start - a rookie out of the University of South Dakota. He'll be the first rookie out of college to start since Anthony Calvillo did so back in the early 90's. Don't count on the Bombers opening up the playbook for their unseasoned signal-caller. There's obviously a steep learning curve going from American to Canadian football. The good news for the Bombers is they do possess one of the league's best defenses, on paper at least. The addition of Adam Bighill is big (no pun intended) and I'm confident this unit will perform well in Thursday's opener, even as they face a tall task against arguably the best quarterback in the league in Mike Reilly. Take the under (10*). |
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06-14-18 | Saudi Arabia v. Russia OVER 2.25 | 0-5 | Win | 104 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Saudi Arabia and Russia at 11 am et on Thursday. Much of the talk leading up to the opening match of the World Cup surrounds how bad both of these squads are. Maybe that's a little harsh, but the fact is these are the two lowest-ranked teams in the entire tournament. With that being said, both squads know that they need a positive result to have any hope of moving on to the next round, and this is the match to get it. Russia is known for its defensive tactics but with key injuries at the back-end, I'm not sure we'll see that defensive prowess on Thursday. Saudi Arabia, meanwhile, allowed three goals in a loss to Peru in a World Cup tune-up match earlier this month. While I do believe the Russians will be able to break down the Saudi defense in this one, I'm also confident Saudi Arabia can level the match. The door is open for a 2-1 match, likely in favor of the Russians but that's of little consequence to us as we'll stick with the total. Take the over (10*). |
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06-13-18 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 9 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 102 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
MLB N.L. Central Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Milwaukee at 2:10 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams have been trending to the 'under' this season and I don't see anything changing as they meet in Wednesday's series finale at Miller Park. Mike Montgomery is off to a terrific start for the Cubs this season, having worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his first three starts, allowing a grand total of two earned runs in 17 2/3 innings of work. He has needed just 76, 76 and 95 pitches to get through those three outings so he has been relatively efficient as well. The Brewers haven't been scoring with much consistency over the last couple of weeks so Montgomery may be catching them at the right time here. Jhoulys Chacin wil counter for Milwaukee. He's been sharp here at home this season, posting a 2.79 ERA in 29 innings of work. His five home starts have averaged a total of just 7.6 runs scored. Chacin brings solid form to the table having worked at least into the sixth inning in six of his last seven starts. He hasn't thrown more than 100 pitches in a start since April 20th so his arm should be in fine shape for this one. Take the under (10*). |
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06-12-18 | Nationals v. Yankees UNDER 9 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and New York at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Yankees were the best 'over' bet in baseball for the better part of the first two months of the season but now they check into this series riding a six-game 'under' streak. I look for that trend to continue on Tuesday as the Nationals send Tanner Roark to the hill against CC Sabathia. Roark has been extremely consistent this season, working at least six innings in nine of his last 10 starts and giving up three earned runs or less in seven of those starts. Last time out he allowed only two earned runs over six innings against the Rays. The Nats' gave Roark 11 runs in that game but generally haven't provided him a great deal of run support, putting up four runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts overall. Sabathia bounced back from a rough stretch, allowing only two earned runs on three hits over seven innings against the Blue Jays last time out. He has been fairly consistent at home this season, posting a 3.07 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 29 1/3 innings here at Yankee Stadium. His starts have generally been high-scoring but but here we're dealing with a fairly high posted total as well. Take the under (10*). |
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06-11-18 | Indians v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 109 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
A.L. Central Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Monday. Cleveland exploded for nine runs in yesterday's victory in Detroit, matching its highest offensive output since putting up nine runs in a game on May 31st. Note that the Indians had scored just 20 runs in total over their previous six contests. Meanwhile, the White Sox posted an impressive series win over the Red Sox at Fenway Park but scored only eight runs in the process. They've plated a grand total of 29 runs over their last nine games overall. Carlos Carrasco will take the ball for the Indians. He bounced back nicely following back-to-back shaky outings, allowing just one earned run over seven innings last time out against Milwaukee. Note that he has worked at least into the sixth inning in six of his last seven starts. His road starts are averaging just seven total runs this season. The 'under' has cashed in each of Carrasco's last four starts against the White Sox and he's given up only four earned runs in 29 1/3 innings of work. Lucas Giolito will counter for Chicago. He was rocked for seven earned runs and lasted only 1 1/3 innings against the Orioles back on May 24th. However, since then he has worked six innings in back-to-back outings - last time out allowing just two earned runs in Minnesota. The 'under' has gone 3-1-1 in Giolito's last five starts overall. Take the under (10*). |