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| Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs Seahawks | 49ers +7 -105 | Premium | 6-41 | Loss | -105 | Show |
| Bills vs Broncos | Bills +1½ -110 | Top Premium | 30-33 | Loss | -110 | Show |
| Colorado vs West Virginia | Colorado +5½ -110 | Top Premium | 61-72 | Loss | -110 | Show |
| Bethune-Cookman vs Mississippi Valley State | Bethune-Cookman -15½ -105 | Premium | 79-63 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Robert Morris vs Northern Kentucky | Robert Morris +6½ -110 | Top Premium | 92-89 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Iowa vs Indiana | Iowa +2½ -105 | Free | 74-57 | Win | 100 | Show |
My selection is on the first half 'under' between Houston and New England at 3 pm et on Sunday.
Rather than go with the full game total we'll stick with the first half only in this AFC showdown on Sunday in Foxborough. Weather conditions could potentially deteriorate over the course of this game but with not a lot of wind expected, I think any precipitation could actually help slow the defenses a little bit and give the edge to the offenses as this game progresses. Early on, I feel points will be difficult to come by, however. Both defenses match up well against the opposition. Houston's elite stop-unit will of course have its hands full trying to defend Drake Maye and the Patriots offense but I'm not convinced we'll see Maye come out of the gates slinging it. The Pats have found a spark running the football with Rhamondre Stevenson really coming on late in the season to take the reins away from rookie Treveyon Henderson. While I don't expect Houston to have a ton of success running the football, I do think it will try as that's the M.O. of this offense and without WR Nico Collins, the pass game is limited. It makes sense for the underdog Texans to do all they can to effectively shorten proceedings and limit the Patriots possessions in this game and that's especially true early on. Should they fall behind in the second half, obviously all bets are off. Finally, we'll note that the 'under' has gone 8-1 in the first half in Houston's nine road games to date this season. Take the first half under (8*).
My selection is on North Texas over Tulane at 5 pm et on Sunday.
We'll back the Mean Green Eagles on Sunday as they head to New Orleans to take on Tulane. North Texas has had a week to stew over dropping back-to-back games at home against South Florida and on the road against Wichita State. North Texas continues to play terrific defense having held 15 of 17 opponents to 25 or fewer made field goals this season. Of note, only four of its 17 foes have knocked down more than six three-pointers. The Mean Green Eagles have had a week to fine-tune their game at practice and it's worth mentioning that their offense has shown signs of coming around lately as well, making good on 25, 27 and 24 field goals over their last three games. Tulane has shown an interest in playing fast lately, hoisting up 60+ field goal attempts in three straight and six of its last nine games. It will of course be hard-pressed to employ that type of strategy against a North Texas team that has held four straight opponents to 51 or fewer field goal attempts. Even when the Green Wave have gotten out and run they haven't always been able to take full advantage. They've connected on 25 or fewer field goals in eight of their last 10 contests. While North Texas has posted a worse overall record than Tulane this season it has faced a slightly more difficult schedule by most metrics. Look for the Mean Green Eagles to make a statement in this the first meeting between these teams this season. Take North Texas (8*).
Sean Murphy made his professional debut as lead handicapper for Pat Miller Sports in 2003, continuing on with The Miller Group from 2006 through 2009. Sean broke away to found his own sports service in September 2009 and has now delivered 12 of 17 winning NFL seasons. Sean’s also cashed big in NCAA Football, as he’s won each of the last 3 seasons, recording wins with 57% of his overall bets. A key factor in Sean’s success is his knack for Over/Unders, which is no surprise given Sean’s reputation as a ‘numbers guru.’ Indeed, Sean’s knack for handling numbers is deep-rooted. He owns a business degree, with a major in finance, and is a member of the prestigious Beta Gamma Sigma honor society for business students and scholars. Although Sean took a circuitous route to become a professional handicapper, sports betting has been a part of his life for as long as he can remember. In fact, he still fondly recalls his first successful venture into sports betting – a winning three-game NFL ‘Pro-Line’ parlay (offered by the Canadian lottery) when he was just 12 years old. Sean — along with the rest of his 7th grade class — was hooked. His passion for sports is unmatched. The phrase “find something you love to do and you’ll never ‘work’ a day in your life” is Murph's mantra. Sean's love for numbers, combined with his passion for sports, makes a career in sports handicapping the perfect fit. After building The Miller Group from the ground up, and turning it into one of America’s most respected handicapping services, Sean has continued to prosper as an independent, thanks to an honest approach and strong belief in delivering value to the customer. Sean’s selections are based on his extensive knowledge of the game, and his approach is both situational and statistical. He prides himself on going against the majority and thinking outside the box, and his unique analysis keeps his clients coming back. When you purchase one of Sean’s selections, you can always count on insightful and expert information to back it up. Sean rates all of his plays from 8* to 10* with free plays qualifying as 8* releases, and the majority of his selections warranting a 10* designation. As you would expect, the higher the rating, the stronger the play.