Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-08-22 | Heat v. Suns -8.5 | 123-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Miami Heat, 2-2 in what is scheduled to be a six-game road trip, will face their stiffest test yet on Saturday when they visit the Phoenix Suns. Phoenix has the best record in the NBA at 30-8, and Chris Paul leads the league in assists per game (10.1) while ranking fifth in steals (1.9). The Suns are 25-0 when leading after three quarters, and Paul -- as their veteran point guard -- deserves credit for closing out opponents. Consider that the Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. |
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01-06-22 | Clippers v. Suns -10.5 | 89-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Suns look to record win No. 30 when they host the Los Angeles Clippers tonight as they continue one of the best starts in franchise history. Phoenix's top start through 38 games was 31-7 during the 2004-05 season, a team led by superstar Steve Nash. A win against the Clippers would place the Suns at 30-8. And Phoenix is thriving despite five players being in COVID-19 protocol -- big men Deandre Ayton and JaVale McGee, forwards Jae Crowder and Abdel Nader, along with guard Landry Shamet. Consider that the Clippers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 2 days rest. |
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01-06-22 | Warriors -2.5 v. Pelicans | 96-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game could be Warriors' final one before the return of shooting guard Klay Thompson, who hasn't played in more than two years because of ACL and Achilles tears. Golden State reportedly is optimistic that Thompson will be able to play at home against Cleveland on Sunday night. New Orleans won five of its last six games before New Year's, but the schedule at the start of 2022 has not been kind. The Pelicans' losing streak started with a road loss against defending champion Milwaukee on Saturday. The game against Golden State concludes a homestand featuring the top three teams in the Western Conference in four days. The Pelicans lost to Utah 115-104 on Monday and to Phoenix on Tuesday, 123-110. Consider that the Warriors are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. |
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01-05-22 | Heat v. Blazers +1.5 | 115-109 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Miami Heat continue a six-game road trip on Wednesday when they visit the Portland Trail Blazers. Miami comes in halfway through its road swing, which matches the Heat's longest this season. After starting the trek Dec. 31 with a 120-110 win at Houston, Miami dropped its last two against the Sacramento Kings on Sunday 115-113 and Monday at Golden State 115-108. The loss to the Warriors came with an additional toll. Jimmy Butler was helped off the court in the third quarter having sustained what the team later announced was a right ankle injury. He has been ruled out against the Blazers. Consider that the Heat are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland. |
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01-05-22 | Jazz -3 v. Nuggets | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Denver Nuggets haven't spent as much time at home this season as many other teams. They've played 21 of their 35 games on the road so far this year, most of those without their full lineup intact, and the last two without their head coach. Denver won't have a full complement of players Wednesday night, but it will get a chance to play at home when it hosts the Utah Jazz. The Nuggets haven't dominated at Ball Arena like they have in past years, going just 8-6 with a couple of underwhelming losses tossed in. They'll have to be well-prepared for Utah, as the Jazz lead the Northwest Division so far this season. Consider that the Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. While the Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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01-05-22 | Thunder +7.5 v. Wolves | 90-98 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Thunder with 22.7 points per game to go along with averages of 5.2 assists, 4.8 rebounds, 1.0 steals and 0.7 blocks. Teammate Luguentz Dort, who is dealing with a sore knee and is uncertain for Wednesday, is second with 16.3 points per game. A bright spot for Oklahoma City has been newcomer Josh Giddey, who was named as the Western Conference Rookie of the Month for December on Tuesday. The 19-year-old from Australia averaged 11.8 points, 7.1 rebounds and 6.7 assists during the month. Consider that the Thunder are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as an underdog. |
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01-05-22 | Raptors v. Bucks -7.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After their six-game win streak was snapped on Monday, the Milwaukee Bucks look to get back on track on Wednesday night when they host the Toronto Raptors. The Bucks are coming off a 115-106 loss to the Detroit Pistons, who earned back-to-back wins for the first time this season. Giannis Antetokounmpo paced Milwaukee with 31 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists on 11-of-21 shooting. Jrue Holiday trailed close behind with 29 points, and Bobby Portis had 12 to go with 14 rebounds. Khris Middleton chipped in 10 points after missing Saturday's game due to personal reasons. Consider that the Raptors are 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. |
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01-05-22 | 76ers v. Magic +8.5 | 116-106 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wendell Carter Jr. had 21 points and 10 rebounds against his former team, marking his fourth consecutive double-double and team-high 18th of the season. Carter also scored his 2,000th career point in the loss. Wagner scored a team-high 22 points for his 20th consecutive game in double figures - the second-longest streak by a rookie in Magic history. Gary Harris (19 points) went 5 of 10 from 3-point range and Terrence Ross contributed 15 points off the bench, giving him 48 points in two games since clearing protocol. Consider that the 76ers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Orlando. |
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01-05-22 | Pistons +10.5 v. Hornets | 111-140 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hornets are the worst defensive team in the NBA. They allow 116.7 PPG. The last two games have seen them give up 133 to Phoenix and 124 to Charlotte. Those kind of defensive numbers, coupled with being this large of a favorite, is a bad combo. The back to back wins should have Detroit somewhat confident heading into this game. It's not like Charlotte is some great team either. While the Hornets are currently in eighth place in the Eastern Conference, they've given up more points than they've scored this year and tonight marks just the EIGHTH game where they come in as the favorite. |
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01-04-22 | Kings v. Lakers -6.5 | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sacramento Kings will look to derail LeBron James and the Lakers when they visit Los Angeles for a duel of Pacific Division rivals Tuesday night. James had his run of 30-point games end at seven straight on Sunday, but still managed a game-high 26 as the Lakers won a second in a row, 108-103 at home over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The victory came even though the Lakers were outrebounded 56-28. Consider that Kings are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 1 days rest. |
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01-04-22 | Suns v. Pelicans +8 | 123-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pelicans got their top two scorers -- Brandon Ingram and Jonas Valanciunas -- back Monday. The Pelicans, who began the new year with a 136-113 loss at defending champion Milwaukee on Saturday, are in the midst of three home games against the best teams in West over four days. The stretch concludes against NBA-leading Golden State on Thursday. Consider that the Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. |
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01-04-22 | Pacers +2 v. Knicks | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers put themselves in position for a stirring win Sunday by mounting a 22-9 run to take an 84-73 lead with three minutes left in the third quarter. But the Cavaliers scored the final 15 points of the period and led by as many as nine in the fourth quarter. Indiana fell to 2-7 since a three-game winning streak that ended Dec. 10. That winning streak included a 122-102 victory over the Knicks on Dec. 8. The Knicks haven't been at .500 since entering the game against the Pacers at 12-12. That loss marked the start of a 5-8 stretch for New York, which won three in a row from Dec. 25-29 to move within a game of the break-even mark before falling to the Oklahoma City Thunder 95-80 on New Year's Eve. The Knicks enter Tuesday in 11th place in the East, one game behind the Raptors and Boston Celtics, who are tied for the final two play-in spots. Their attempts to climb the standings have been complicated by a string of injuries and COVID-19 absences. Consider that the Pacers are 20-9-2 ATS in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. |
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01-04-22 | Spurs v. Raptors -6.5 | 104-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With most of their players back in the lineup, the Toronto Raptors will be going for their third straight victory Tuesday night against the visiting San Antonio Spurs. Scottie Barnes, the last regular to return from health and safety protocols for the Raptors, scored 13 points Sunday in a 120-105 victory over the visiting New York Knicks. Slightly more than a week ago, the Raptors were trying to assemble a team while having 10 players in the COVID-19 protocol. With the regulars back, Raptors coach Nick Nurse must figure out his rotations. Consider that the Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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01-03-22 | Nuggets v. Mavs -3.5 | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Denver faces a Dallas team that has gotten key players back, most notably Luka Doncic. Doncic missed 10 games before leading the Mavericks to a 95-86 win at Oklahoma City on Sunday night. It was his first game in 23 days and he was sporting a brace on his left knee. Coach Jason Kidd limited him to 31 minutes, and he finished with 14 points, 10 assists and nine rebounds. Dallas also got Tim Hardaway Jr. and Max Kleber back into the lineup. Both players missed six games in health and safety protocol since testing positive for COVID-19 before Christmas. The win over the Thunder was the second straight for the Mavericks after they dropped five of their previous seven. They went 5-5 without Doncic. |
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01-03-22 | Grizzlies +6.5 v. Nets | 118-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units NBA Play of the Day The Memphis Grizzlies own the notable distinction of being the only team to defeat the heavyweights of the Western Conference in the Golden State Warriors, Phoenix Suns and Utah Jazz this season. Ja Morant played a significant role in those victories, and he and the rest of the Grizzlies will get a crack at another upper-echelon team Monday night in a visit to the Brooklyn Nets. Morant heads into Monday's game averaging 24.7 points a game this season and 26.5 points in six games since returning from a 12-game absence due to a sprained knee and the NBA health and safety protocol. The Grizzlies were 10-2 in his absence, and Morant is averaging 30.5 points during their current four-game winning streak. Morant has scored at least 30 points in three straight games for the first time in his career. He started it by capping a 33-point night with the game-winner in Phoenix on Dec. 27, scored 41 two nights later in a five-point win over the Los Angeles Lakers, and then finished with 30 in Friday's 118-105 win over the San Antonio Spurs. |
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01-02-22 | Wolves +8 v. Lakers | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lakers would appear to need all the help they can get to defeat the Timberwolves. Their rough eight-game stretch started Dec. 17 with a 110-92 defeat at Minnesota, in a game when Davis left in the third quarter with his knee injury and hasn't played since. The Wolves actually have two victories over the Lakers this season, also beating them 107-83 at Los Angeles on Nov. 12. Karl-Anthony Towns averaged 28.5 points in the two victories, but is out in COVID-19 protocol, along with guards McKinley Wright IV and D'Angelo Russell. Minnesota has lost four of its last five games during its COVID-19 issues. Anthony Edwards returned from a six-game absence in a 120-108 defeat at Utah on Friday to score 26 points. Jarred Vanderbilt also returned Friday, while Patrick Beverley and Naz Reid are two games into their return. |
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01-02-22 | Suns v. Hornets +2.5 | 133-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It won't take a Rocket Scientist to figure out that the majority of the public money in this contest will be on the 27-8 Phoenix Suns. But I think there's value here on the 19-17 home side. This is a revenge game for the Hornets after they fell 137-106 in Phoenix on December 19th. Here's a perfect opportunity to get some revenge against a Suns team coming off their worst loss of the year. The Suns fell 123-108 in Boston as 3.5-point favorites last time out. Charlotte enters red hot after three straight victories as well, most recently a 116-108 victory over Indiana. Charlotte averages 115.2 points per game (2nd.) |
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01-02-22 | Heat v. Kings +4 | 113-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings, who are 9-12 at home this season yet started the weekend just a half-game outside the Western Conference playoff picture, are actually in good shape in terms of COVID. Sacramento split two home games against the Dallas Mavericks this week, winning Wednesday on Chimezie Metu's 3-pointer at the buzzer before losing Friday's rematch. In Wednesday's game, the Kings got Davion Mitchell, Alex Len and Louis King back from the COVID list. On Friday, Neemias Queta returned from COVID protocol, and he was the final Kings player on the list. Shooting guard Terence Davis, Sacramento's seventh-leading scorer at 9.5 points per game, missed Friday's game due to left ankle soreness. Otherwise, the Kings are healthy, which is not the case for the Heat. In fact, Miami's game against the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday was postponed because the Heat did not have the NBA's requirement of eight available players. Consider that the Heat are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. |
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01-02-22 | Pacers v. Cavs -3 | 104-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers, meantime, will be trying to recover from having a home win snatched from their grasp on Friday night when the Chicago Bulls' DeMar DeRozan connected on a desperation 3-pointer at the horn for a 108-106 victory. It was Chicago's second win over the Pacers in six days, with Indiana also suffering a 116-108 home loss to the Charlotte Hornets in between. The three-game skid is Indiana's sixth losing streak of the season -- two two-gamers, two three-gamers and two four-game streaks. In the rematch with the Bulls, the Pacers were down five players -- including standout guard Malcolm Brogdon and Kelan Martin, who joined the group Friday -- because of COVID protocol. Consider that the Cavaliers are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games overall. |
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01-01-22 | Warriors v. Jazz -4.5 | 123-116 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day The Jazz will have veterans Mike Conley Jr. and Joe Ingles back in the lineup Saturday after they sat out of Friday's 120-108 win over Minnesota. Donovan Mitchell, who had missed the two previous games with a back injury, returned to score a season-best 39 points with six 3-pointers. Mitchell looks forward to the matchup of NBA heavyweights. "They are a hell of a team led by a hell of a player, Hall of Famer (Steph Curry)," Mitchell said. "We've got to come out ready and prepared. They've had some time off to lock in on us. We've got to come out there, fight and compete. It's going to be a good one. Let's go." Utah is on a six-game winning streak. Mitchell helped make that happen by igniting the Jazz with 12 points during a 22-0 fourth-quarter run against the Timberwolves on Friday. Consider that the Warriors are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Utah. |
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01-01-22 | Clippers v. Nets -12 | 120-116 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units One of the hardest-hit teams was the Brooklyn Nets, but they will be at relatively full strength Saturday night when they host the Los Angeles Clippers. Over the past two weeks, almost the entire Nets roster entered the protocol, forcing the team to scramble to fill roster spots and resulting in three postponements. Brooklyn's missing players included stars James Harden and Kevin Durant, who both made successful returns. The last player to clear the protocol was rookie Kessler Edwards, who was among those to fill in admirably when the Nets started losing players in mid-December. Harden is set to play his fourth game since returning. The star guard came back in immediately registered a triple-double of 36 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists in a 122-115 win over the Los Angeles Lakers on Dec. 25. He followed that up on Monday with 39 points and 15 assists in a 124-108 win over the Clippers, and then he notched another triple-double Thursday with 33 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists in a 110-102 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers. Consider that the Clippers are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. |
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01-01-22 | Bulls -1.5 v. Wizards | 120-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago won its sixth straight game on Friday in the first leg of a back-to-back set, beating the Indiana Pacers 108-106 in Indianapolis. DeMar DeRozan scored a game-high 28 points, five of which came in the game's final 36.4 seconds. DeRozan's 3-pointer as time expired extended the Bulls' longest winning streak of the season and pushed his own run of consecutive games scoring at least 20 points to 11. Since Dec. 19 -- which marked both DeRozan's first game back from a three-game absence due to COVID-19 health and safety protocol and the beginning of the Bulls' win streak -- he is averaging 28.5 points per game. Chicago's Coby White, who also returned from protocol at the start of the winning streak, matched a season-high with 24 points on Friday. Nikola Vucevic grabbed 16 rebounds to go with 14 points. Consider that the Bulls are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss. |
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12-31-21 | Spurs +5.5 v. Grizzlies | 105-118 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that San Antonio is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, and 45-18-1 ATS in their last 64 Friday games. While Memphis is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. |
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12-31-21 | Clippers +7 v. Raptors | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Los Angeles Clippers can assure themselves of a winning three-game road trip Friday night when they face the Toronto Raptors, who are gradually returning to full strength. The Clippers opened their trip with a 91-82 victory Wednesday over the Boston Celtics, who were only 4-for-42 in 3-point attempts. "I just think playing a lot of zone got them out of their rhythm," Clippers coach Tyronn Lue said. "I think that's what hurt them the most." The Raptors are coming off a 114-109 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday that saw the return of Pascal Siakam, Gary Trent Jr. and Malachi Flynn from COVID-19 protocol. Consider that the Raptors are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 2 days rest. |
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12-31-21 | Bulls -4.5 v. Pacers | 108-106 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units COVID-19 has hit the Pacers, who will have to play this game without Malcolm Brogdon, Chris Duarte and Jeremy Lamb. When these two teams played Sunday, the Bulls won by eight points, but could have won by a lot more had Duarte not caught fire in the third quarter to help the Pacers at least stay somewhat in the game. The Bulls have scored at least 130 points in three of their last four games, and since most of the team has already had COVID, we don’t need to worry about any last-minute surprises. The Bulls could run away with this one. |
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12-29-21 | Mavs v. Kings +2.5 | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sacramento Kings will attempt to double up on Dallas, starting when they host the Mavericks in the opener of a three-day, two-game home set Wednesday night. The Kings will open the series on the second night of a back-to-back, having outlasted the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder 117-111 on Tuesday night to snap a three-game losing streak. They will also tangle with the Mavericks on Friday night. Dallas, which has opened a five-game trip with a loss at Utah and a win at Portland, will see a new-look Kings starting lineup that featured Marvin Bagley III against the Thunder. Bagley, who had started just one game previously this season, responded to a promotion from interim coach Alvin Gentry with nine points and 10 rebounds as part of one of the Kings' best team efforts of the season against the Thunder. Consider that Dallas is 7-21-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. |
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12-29-21 | Jazz -7 v. Blazers | 120-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating 2 Units The Utah Jazz and Portland Trail Blazers, who face each other Wednesday night in Rip City, handled adversity a bit differently in their most recent games. Playing without the injured Donovan Mitchell, the Jazz cruised to a 110-104 victory over the Spurs in San Antonio on Monday night. As he did in Mitchell's only other missed game this season, reigning Sixth Man of the Year Jordan Clarkson stepped up to fill in some of the offensive void with a team-high 23 points. He had 30 in Mitchell's previous miss. Rudy Gobert, whose three blocked shots moved him into the NBA's all-time top 50 in the category, led a Jazz defense that sparked Utah's win. Their defense was especially effective in the second quarter while holding the Spurs to 16 points to take a 10-point lead into halftime. Consider that Utah is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. |
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12-29-21 | Lakers +6 v. Grizzlies | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Memphis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. While the Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. |
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12-29-21 | Lakers v. Grizzlies UNDER 226.5 | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The under 6-2 in Lakers last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 22-8-2 in Lakers last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. While the under is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings and 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Memphis. |
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12-28-21 | Cavs -5.5 v. Pelicans | 104-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavaliers are full of crazy stats this season on the wagering side of things. They are 25-7-1 ATS, including 12-4 ATS on the road. To add one more sparkling stat to the pile, they are 9-0 ATS as favorites. That could spell trouble for the Pelicans, especially with Brandon Ingram (Achilles) listed as doubtful and Nickeil Alexander-Walker in the health and safety protocols. |
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12-28-21 | Lakers v. Rockets OVER 224 | 132-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockets had mostly sidestepped COVID-related issues prior to Monday. They played without six rotation players after D.J. Augustin, Kenyon Martin Jr., Garrison Mathews and Jae'Sean Tate all entered health and safety protocols in advance of a 123-99 loss to the Charlotte Hornets. Houston also played without its starting backcourt of Kevin Porter Jr. (thigh) and rookie Jalen Green (rest) while taking a fourth consecutive loss, but both should be available Tuesday. Still, the Rockets were forced to lean on a pair of G-League call-ups (Trevelin Queen and Daishen Nix), while three other rookies logged significant minutes in the loss to the Hornets. Queen put up a team-best 17 points after never scoring more than two in an NBA game previously. Consider that the over is 11-1 in Rockets last 12 games playing on 0 days rest. |
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12-28-21 | Cavs v. Pelicans OVER 212 | 104-108 | Push | 0 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cleveland Cavaliers dominated the depleted Toronto Raptors on Sunday night. The Cavs likely will face another short-handed team when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday night. Cleveland overcame COVID-19 absences of its own to beat the Raptors -- who were missing 10 players due to COVID -- 144-99 in Cleveland. Toronto was missing its top five scorers, all of whom were in the NBA's health and safety protocols. The Raptors had just four players from their regular roster available. Cleveland gained its most lopsided victory of the season despite having seven players in the health and safety protocols, including Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley. Consider that the Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in New Orleans. |
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12-27-21 | Mavs v. Blazers | 132-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Getting Lillard's sidekick, CJ McCollum, back would help, especially with a rugged schedule ahead. After seeing the Mavericks, the Trail Blazers will face the Jazz, Los Angeles Lakers, Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat in their next four games. The good news is McCollum could see action in at least some of those games. The club announced over the weekend that he will be re-evaluated this week in hopes that he'll be cleared to play after suffering a collapsed lung earlier in the month. He has missed the last eight games. The Trail Blazers also are without five players in the league's medical protocols, including Robert Covington, who played 31 minutes in the loss at New Orleans. The teams will meet for the first time this season. The home team has lost four of the last five meetings in the series, with the Mavericks prevailing 132-92 on a trip to Portland last March, when Doncic outscored Lillard 37-19. Consider that the Trail Blazers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 3 or more days rest. |
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12-27-21 | Jazz -6.5 v. Spurs | 110-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jazz head to San Antonio after their 120-116 victory over Dallas on Christmas Day. Mitchell led Utah with 33 points, his ninth 30-point game of the season. Bojan Bogdanovic scored 25 points, Mike Conley hit for 22, and Jordan Clarkson and Rudy Gobert added 12 and 10 points, respectively, in the victory. Gobert also grabbed 11 rebounds for the Jazz, who have won three straight games and 11 of their past 13 outings over the past month. Utah dominated the COVID-compromised Mavericks, who just didn't have the firepower to keep up late in the game. The Jazz have not lost a player to coronavirus this season. Consider that the Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. |
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12-27-21 | Bulls -5.5 v. Hawks | 130-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls will be playing the second game of a back-to-back set with Lonzo Ball (COVID-19) and Alex Caruso (foot) both out. That’s not exactly ideal. However, they are in tremendously better shape than the Hawks, who could be missing 10 players in the health and safety protocols. The biggest names who aren’t expected to play are Trae Young, John Collins and Danilo Gallinari. The Bulls could run away with this one. |
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12-26-21 | Nuggets v. Clippers +4.5 | 103-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The loss to the Hornets was Denver's second straight and a tough one to take. The Nuggets led by 19 in the third quarter and 17 at the start of the fourth but were outscored 38-13 in the final 12 minutes. Denver is just 5-6 in the month and is feeling the absence of several players. Jamal Murray has not played yet, Michael Porter Jr. had back surgery and will miss the rest of the year and several players have been in and out of the lineup recently. Aaron Gordon missed Thursday's game, and rookie Bones Hyland has been battling ankle issues. Hyland gutted out 14 minutes after rolling his right ankle on Wednesday night in Oklahoma City but had just three points. Consider that Denver is 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. |
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12-26-21 | Pacers v. Bulls -7.5 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Indiana Pacers missed the postseason with a 34-38 record last year, after playing in NINE of the previous 10. The Pacers opened 1-6 and will enter this Christmas Day game in Chicago at 14-19, two games out of the "Play In" cut line. The Bulls were 31-41 last season, missing the postseason for the FOURTH consecutive year. However, the Bulls have reinvented themselves as a threat in the Eastern Conference behind Zach LaVine and the free-agent signing of DeMar DeRozan. They also picked up center Nikola Vucevic from Orlando last season (where his talents were wasted) plus added Lonzo Ball as a free agent. Like many other teams in recent weeks, the Bulls have had severe COVID issues but still enter this contest 19-10, battling 22-13 Milwaukee for the Central Division lead. The Bulls currently hold down the No. 2 seed in the East. |
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12-26-21 | Pelicans +1.5 v. Thunder | Top | 112-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day After not having much success in tight games over the first part of the season, the New Orleans Pelicans have turned their fortunes around during their current four-game winning streak. Over the Pelicans' first 29 games, they were just 1-9 in "clutch" games -- games where the score is within five points in the final five minutes. But starting with New Orleans' 113-110 win in Oklahoma City on Dec. 15, a game decided by Devonte' Graham's 61-foot shot at the buzzer, the Pelicans are 3-0 in such games. Today, New Orleans tries to keep its momentum going with a return trip to face the Oklahoma City Thunder in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are coming off a 113-101 loss Thursday in Phoenix. Consider that OKC is 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. |
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12-26-21 | 76ers v. Wizards +3.5 | 117-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the Philadelphia 76ers to be successful, Joel Embiid must play at an ultra-high level every night. Anything less and the Sixers can be defeated -- especially with a shorthanded roster due mostly to health and safety protocols. Philadelphia dropped a 98-96 decision to the depleted Atlanta Hawks on Thursday. The 76ers will look to rebound on Sunday against the host Washington Wizards. Embiid recorded 23 points and 10 rebounds before missing a potential game-tying jumper at the buzzer against the Hawks. Clearly, the Sixers need more. The Sixers currently have four players in health and safety protocols -- Danny Green, Georges Niang, Andre Drummond and Shake Milton. It's unclear if any of them will be cleared to face the Wizards. Consider that Philadelphia is 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. |
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12-25-21 | Warriors v. Suns -6.5 | 116-107 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Warriors will be without Jordan Poole, who had 28 points in the loss at Phoenix, and Andrew Wiggins, who contributed 19 to the home win, due to COVID-19 health and safety protocols. Meanwhile, the Suns will have leading scorer Devin Booker, who suffered a hamstring strain in the second quarter of the first meeting and sat out the rest of the win, as well as the Suns' next seven games, including the rematch with the Warriors. Booker has gotten more productive by the game in his three outings since returning to the lineup last Sunday, scoring 16, 24 and then 30 points in Thursday's 113-101 home win over the Oklahoma City Thunder. Cam Johnson is among the Suns happy with the holiday scheduling, including the early start. Consider that Phoenix is |
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12-25-21 | Celtics v. Bucks -6.5 | 113-117 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Milwaukee Bucks received an early Christmas present in the form of two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo clearing the NBA's health and safety protocols on Friday. However, Antetokounmpo's status remains up in the air for Milwaukee's Christmas Day showdown against the visiting Boston Celtics on Saturday afternoon. With Antetokounmpo sidelined for a fifth straight game in COVID-19 protocols Thursday, the Bucks pulled out a 102-95 road win against a Dallas Mavericks squad playing without superstar Luka Doncic. Khris Middleton finished with 26 points and seven assists and Jrue Holiday had 24 points while dishing out seven helpers to pace Milwaukee. Recently signed center DeMarcus Cousins contributed 22 points and eight rebounds. It was the Bucks' second straight win and third in five games without Antetokounmpo. Whether or not Milwaukee has its star back in time to face Boston in the nationally televised showdown, the Bucks remain a confident bunch. Consider that Boston is 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. |
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12-22-21 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Thunder | 94-108 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is the first game of a back-to-back set for the Thunder, who have been notorious with regards to resting players in such situations. There have been no reports of anyone sitting out yet, but that could change as the day moves along. Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets could dominate this matchup, even if the Thunder are at full strength, so I’ll jump on this now. |
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12-22-21 | Cavs +5.5 v. Celtics | 101-111 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland won't have Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley or Isaac Okoro, but this line still feels steep. The Cavs have won six in a row and covered 14 straight. They were favored in their previous five games. Inconsistent Boston also is missing some frontcourt stalwarts and is just 5-7 ATS as a home favorite. Grab the points. |
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12-21-21 | Pistons +8 v. Knicks | 91-105 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons finally broke their 14-game losing streak with a win over the Heat on Sunday. While they did lose 14 in a row, eight of those losses were by nine or fewer points. When the Pistons have been underdogs by between eight and 11 points this season, they are 6-1 ATS. The Knicks are dealing with an outbreak of COVID-19 that has them shorthanded, and they have lost eight of their last 10 games. While I think the Knicks win this matchup, I think the Pistons can keep things relatively close. |
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12-20-21 | Rockets +7.5 v. Bulls | 118-133 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston is clicking offensively and visits a short-handed Bulls team that gutted out a five-point win over the Lakers on Sunday. DeMar DeRozan could certainly go off for 38 like he did Sunday but Chicago is struggling defensively, which should keep this competitive. Back the Rockets to cover for the ninth time in their last 11 games as underdogs. |
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12-19-21 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 105-100 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trail Blazers finally broke their seven-game losing streak with a win over the Hornets on Friday. That win came at home. They have been awful on the road, posting a 2-10 record there ATS. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have won 10 of their last 11 games with all 10 wins coming by at least seven points. Look for them to keep rolling here. |
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12-18-21 | Warriors v. Raptors -8.5 | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Warriors are basically punting this game. After playing Friday, they have decided to rest Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Otto Porter Jr. and Andre Iguodala. That’s in addition to Jordan Poole being in the health and safety protocols. They are going to have a difficult time generating points with the likes of Damion Lee, Gary Payton Jr. and Nemanja Bjelica leading the way. |
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12-17-21 | Lakers v. Wolves -2.5 | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units As of this writing, we know that the Lakers are without Russell Westbrook, Talen Horton-Tucker, Avery Bradley and Dwight Howard in COVID protocols, although apparently Malik Monk is out of them. I'll take the fully healthy Timberwolves (at least healthy as of this writing) at home. The Wolves are 5-2 ATS in their past seven as favorites and will be amped up to face LeBron. |
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12-17-21 | Grizzlies -6.5 v. Kings | 124-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Grizzlies come into this matchup on a hot streak, winning nine of their last 10 games. All nine of those wins came by at least seven points, as well. Meanwhile, the Kings are dealing with an outbreak of COVID-19 that is expected to sideline De’Aaron Fox, Terence Davis, Marvin Bagley III and Alex Len. That’s in addition to Richaun Holmes (eye) being listed as doubtful and Tyrese Haliburton (back) listed as questionable. This could get ugly for the Kings in a hurry. |
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12-17-21 | Hornets +3 v. Blazers | 116-125 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s difficult to read too much into the Hornets performance lately given how decimated their team has been by an outbreak of COVID-19. Their situation is starting to improve, though, with both Terry Rozier and Mason Plumlee back in the fold. Even LaMelo Ball, who is listed as questionable, could make his return for this game. Portland, on the other hand, has lost 10 of their last 11 games with their only win coming against the rebuilding Pistons. Six of those 10 losses came at home. With CJ McCollum (lung) still out, it’s going to be tough for the Trail Blazers to pull out a win. |
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12-16-21 | Wizards v. Suns -9 | 98-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Devin Booker is expected back Thursday and DeAndre Ayton is playing. While the Suns have been effective without Booker, they become one of the best teams in the NBA with him, along with Golden State and Utah. The Wizards are having some problems lately. They’ve lost seven of their last nine (1-8 ATS). Take the Suns to cover. |
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12-15-21 | Pacers -2 v. Bucks | 99-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I’m not going to lie, rolling with the Pacers here, given what they have done to me this season, makes me feel a little uneasy. With that being said, the Bucks are in rough shape with Giannis Antetokounmpo, Donte DiVincenzo and Wesley Matthews all in the health and safety protocols. To complicate matters, Khris Middleton (knee) is listed as questionable. If he’s out, this line could swing significantly. I’ll take a chance and lock in the Pacers now. |
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12-15-21 | Heat v. 76ers -6.5 | 101-96 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm going to risk picking this one early in the hopes that Joel Embiid plays for Philly because he did participate in the shootaround this morning after sitting out Monday. The Heat already have ruled out Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo among a few other lesser guys. |
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12-14-21 | Warriors -4.5 v. Knicks | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There are a ton of wrinkles to this game. The most notable storyline is Stephen Curry looking to break the all-time three-point record. However, this is a tough spot for the Warriors team, itself. They just played Monday and plane issues will force them to not even travel from Indiana to New York until today. With that being said, the Knicks are also in a less-than-ideal situation with R.J. Barrett, Obi Toppin and Quentin Grimes all in the health and safety protocols. This won’t be easy for either team, but I’ll take Curry to help lead the Warriors to cover. |
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12-13-21 | 76ers -3.5 v. Grizzlies | 91-126 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units As if going up against Joel Embiid wasn’t difficult enough, the Grizzlies will likely have to do it without Steven Adams (ankle), who is listed as doubtful. Brandon Clarke (knee) has already been ruled out, and even Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) is questionable. If Jackson sits out, this game could get out of hand in a hurry. Even if he plays, though, I like Embiid to help the Sixers cover. |
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12-13-21 | Heat v. Cavs -5 | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Give the Heat credit. Even with Jimmy Butler (tailbone) and Bam Adebayo (thumb) out, they have won both of their last two games. One win was a shocker over the Bucks, although their last victory came against a Bulls team that has been ravaged by COVID-19. This is a tall order for them against the Cavaliers, who beat them by 26 points in Miami a couple of weeks ago. The Cavaliers have been beating just about everyone of late, winning seven of their last nine games. All of those wins came by at least 13 points, as well. |
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12-12-21 | Wolves v. Blazers | 116-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trail Blazers have lost seven of their last eight games with six losses coming by at least 10 points. Their only win during that stretch game against the rebuilding Pistons. They are hoping to get Damian Lillard (abdomen) back, but even if he plays, he might be limited and/or rusty. CJ McCollum (lung) will definitely be out, so they will at least be without one of their top two scorers. The Timberwolves haven’t been great, either, with five straight losses, but they’ve had an incredibly difficult schedule. Add in the possibility that D’Angelo Russell (ankle) could return after practicing Saturday and the Timberwolves could break their losing streak. |
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12-11-21 | Warriors -2.5 v. 76ers | 93-102 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Warriors have played the majority of their schedule at home, which has helped them to a 21-4 start. They haven’t exactly struggled on the road, though, posting a 7-2 record there, including 6-3 ATS. The Sixers are a disappointing 5-6 at home, including 1-4 ATS as a home underdog. Despite the matchup problem that Joel Embiid presents, I still like the Warriors to win this in deciding fashion. |
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12-10-21 | Bucks v. Rockets +9 | 123-114 | Push | 0 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I wonder if this is the first time in NBA history that a team on at least a seven-game winning streak is a home dog of at least nine points. I'd be surprised if it has happened before. I fully expect Milwaukee to win, but I have to take this number on Houston considering how well and hard the Rockets are playing. They are 4-0 ATS in their past four as home dogs. |
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12-10-21 | Cavs -1 v. Wolves | 123-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Timberwolves have said that D’Angelo Russell (ankle) probably won’t play in this game, which would mark his third straight absence. Losing one of their top scorers for a matchup with a team that has the third-best defensive rating in the league could have them facing an uphill battle. They will need more scoring from Karl-Anthony Towns, but he’ll likely spend of most of the game being defended by the stout duo of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. I like the Cavaliers chances here. |
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12-09-21 | Lakers -168 v. Grizzlies | 95-108 | Loss | -168 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I had no intention of playing this game, but Memphis just ruled out second-leading scorer Dillon Brooks due to protocols. That's on top of Ja Morant, Brandon Clarke, Ziaire Williams and perhaps Kyle Anderson (missed past four and is questionable) out. There's no way the Lakers should lose even on the road, but I'm not interested in giving four points, either. |
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12-09-21 | Jazz -3 v. 76ers | 118-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both of these teams just played Wednesday, so rest days could be coming. The Jazz didn’t have to push their starters in a lopsided win over the Timberwolves, but the Sixers were forced to battle to the final minute against the Hornets. I think Mike Conley Jr. is the most notable potential rest candidate on the Jazz. On the Sixers, this could be a spot for them to sit Joel Embiid. He’s been healthy for two back-to-back sets this season and in one of them, he missed a game for rest. This line could move a lot if he’s ruled out, so I’ll grab it now and take a chance. |
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12-08-21 | Bulls v. Cavs -135 | 92-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago has won four games in a row but is without DeMar DeRozan, Alex Caruso and Javonte Green again tonight due to injury/COVID. They were able to beat the short-handed Nuggets without them Monday in Chicago but don't think they can win in Cleveland, which is healthy. Let's avoid a potential backdoor cover by using the moneyline. |
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12-07-21 | Celtics +2.5 v. Lakers | 102-117 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Everything points to the Celtics covering this line. First, they are 9-5 ATS on the road. Second, the Lakers are 4-11 ATS at home, including 3-9 ATS as home favorites. They only have four wins this season against teams with a winning record. The last time these teams met, LeBron James, Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook all played, but the Celtics still won by 22 points in Boston. Jaylen Brown sat that game out for the Celtics and he’s questionable for the rematch, but regardless of his status I’ll take the points. |
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12-06-21 | Clippers -3 v. Blazers | 102-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blazers are in trouble. The good news is that C.J. McCollum (ribs) is listed as probable. The bad news is that Damian Lillard (abdomen) and Anfernee Simons (ankle) will be out again, while Nassir Little (ankle) is listed as questionable. With those three out the last two games, the Blazers lost both contests by at least 28 points. Another blowout could be coming. |
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12-06-21 | Cavs +6.5 v. Bucks | 104-112 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavaliers covered as underdogs, yet again, Sunday in a one-point loss to the Jazz. They are now 15-6-1 ATS as underdogs this season. The fact that the Bucks are favored by this much, even with Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) listed as questionable, is surprising. Even if he plays, I think the Cavaliers can cover this line. |
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12-06-21 | Wizards +5.5 v. Pacers | 110-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers come into this game ice cold, losers of four straight. Three of those losses came at home. Their depth chart is limited right now, with both T.J. McConnell (wrist) and Justin Holiday (COVID-19) out, which isn’t helping matters. They have not operated well as favorites this season, posting a 5-9 record ATS in such situations. Despite the expectation that Spencer Dinwiddie sits this game out for the Wizards, who also just played Sunday, look for Washington to keep things close. |
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12-03-21 | Clippers v. Lakers +2 | 119-115 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units his spread opened at Clippers -2 but is now Lakers -1.5 because LeBron James cleared COVID protocols already and will play. I usually wait until as late as possible before picking NBA games these days to see who might be ruled out last minute -- that strategy saved me on the Bucks on Thursday when Giannis was a last-minute scratch -- but I won't be around that late tonight so we will just have to assume that LeBron and Anthony Davis (questionable but always on the injury report) do play. The Clippers enter on a three-game skid. |
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12-03-21 | Heat v. Pacers -5 | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Heat are running out of healthy players. Bam Adebayo, (thumb), Jimmy Butler (back) and Markieff Morris (neck) are all expected to sit out. With them out Monday, the Heat loss by 26 points to the Cavaliers. They have little size up front to battle with Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner, so the Pacers have the chance to earn a decisive victory. |
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11-30-21 | Pistons +9 v. Blazers | 92-110 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons are pretty bad but there's talk that the Blazers will give Damian Lillard tonight off in the second of a back-to-back -- plus, Norman Powell missed Monday's loss to Utah and is in doubt, so I think Detroit can stay within this number if both are true. We'll have to take the chance now, though, because the spread will drop if Lillard becomes official. The Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their past five. |
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11-30-21 | Warriors v. Suns -120 | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Looking forward to watching this game and simply taking the Suns because they are at home. The Dubs are a bit thin right now with Andre Iguodala (still a great defender) and Damion Lee out along with of course Klay Thompson and James Wiseman. Draymond Green may not be 100 percent after taking a hard fall Sunday but is expected to play. Chris Paul defensively tends to give Steph Curry some trouble. |
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11-29-21 | Blazers v. Jazz -7.5 | 107-129 | Win | 102 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trail Blazers have been a disaster on the road, posting a 1-9 record ATS. Things won’t be any easier for them Monday with Norman Powell (quadriceps) out. He’s averaging 16.9 points and Portland doesn’t have many viable scoring options behind him on the bench. The Jazz, who blew out the Pelicans by 22 points at home Saturday, could be lined up for another lopsided win. |
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11-29-21 | Cavs +6.5 v. Mavs | 114-96 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavaliers welcomed back star rookie Evan Mobley from an elbow injury during their 105-92 demolition of the Magic on Saturday. They also have Lauri Markkanen and Kevin Love back from their bouts with COVID-19, adding significant depth. They have played tough, going 11-6-1 ATS as underdogs. The Mavericks are only 3-5 ATS at home and don’t have the size up front to battle with Mobley and Jarrett Allen. Look for the Cavaliers to keep this game close. |
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11-28-21 | Bucks -2.5 v. Pacers | 118-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucks have reeled off six straight wins, which coincides with Khris Middleton’s return from a bout with COVID-19. They are 9-3 with him in the lineup this season, compared to 3-5 without him. He played when these two teams met earlier this season, which was a 10-point win for the Bucks in Indiana. I like them to cover in their rematch, as well. |
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11-28-21 | Warriors -2 v. Clippers | 105-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Warriors are a stellar 11-1 at home, but don’t sleep on them on the road, either. They are 6-1 away from home, including 5-2 ATS. They have been the most dominant team in the league, recording a plus-13.6 point differential. Getting Marcus Morris back is big for the Clippers, but Nicolas Batum (COVID-19) being out is noteworthy. I’ll lay the small amount of points here and look for the Warriors to stay hot. |
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11-27-21 | Hornets -5 v. Rockets | 143-146 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A team that is quietly surging is Charlotte. The Hornets have won eight of their last nine games, including a 133-115 win last night against Minnesota. The 133 points was team's season-high. On Saturday they face the worst team in the NBA in the Rockets. Back the Hornets to continue their winning ways. |
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11-27-21 | Heat v. Bulls +1.5 | 107-104 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Bulls are coming off a solid bounce-back win on Friday against Orlando. They now travel back home to host a Miami team that has not played since Wednesday. I expect the Bulls' recent experience of losing the second game of a back-to-back scenario (they lost to the Pacers on Monday, 109-77) to motivate them to a hot start on Saturday. Take Chicago to hold off the Heat. |
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11-26-21 | Blazers v. Warriors -6.5 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trail Blazers are a dreadful 1-8 ATS on the road, while the Warriors are 8-2-1 ATS at home. It looked like the Warriors were going to suffer a disappointing loss at home to the shorthanded Sixers in their home game Monday but stormed back in the second half to eventually win by 20 points. They now have a +13.5 point differential, which is the best in the NBA. Look for them to keep rolling at home. |
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11-26-21 | Bucks -2.5 v. Nuggets | 120-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It's been a rough stretch for the Nuggets, who have lost five straight games. Three of those games came with Nikola Jokic (wrist) out, and he might not be back for this game, either, since he’s listed as questionable. Even if Jokic is able to return, the Nuggets will still be without Michael Porter Jr. (back), leaving them without one of their best scoring options. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS as road favorites and have a favorable opportunity to cover this small number. |
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11-26-21 | Celtics -165 v. Spurs | 88-96 | Loss | -165 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics tend to crush me more than most teams, but I'm going to risk it here on the road because Jaylen Brown will play, while the Spurs are without both Doug McDermott and Devin Vassell. That's a fair amount of offensive production and Vassell is great defender who likely would have been tasked with Brown or Jayson Tatum. |
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11-26-21 | Wizards v. Thunder UNDER 207 | 101-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Combined, these two teams average 204.6 points per game this season, but OKC is again without star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and his 20.4 points and 4.4 assists. Washington is a Top 10 defensive team and OKC in the Top 16 via rating. |
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11-26-21 | Wolves v. Hornets -133 | 115-133 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Timberwolves roasted me on Wednesday vs. the Heat -- pun intended -- and have won five straight. Is this 2004? If so, I want to buy some Facebook stock and do some blogging! Anyways, four of those Minnesota wins were at home and the fifth at awful New Orleans. Winning in Charlotte is something else entirely. The Wolves also will be without starting point guard Patrick Beverley. |
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11-24-21 | 76ers v. Warriors -11 | 96-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Warriors are rested as they face the shorthanded 76ers. Philly is 2-6 SU and ATS without Joel Embiid, the wins and covers coming against the depleted Nuggets and the lowly Kings. Tobias Harris, Seth Curry and Danny Green all are questionable tonight. Even if they play, I like Golden State to improve to 8-3 ATS at home and 13-5 ATS overall. The Warriors rank first in defensive efficiency, by a wide margin, while Philly is 25th. |
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11-24-21 | Blazers -1.5 v. Kings | 121-125 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trail Blazers have struggled on the road, going 1-7 SU and ATS, but this is a good spot for them against the flailing Kings. After a poor start to the season, Damian Lillard has been outstanding over his last eight games. He had 25 points in 31 minutes last night. Sacramento is 2-7 SU at home and enters this one on a 1-8 SU and ATS skid. The Kings just lost by eight at home to a very depleted 76ers lineup. Back Portland. |
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11-24-21 | Hawks v. Spurs +4 | 124-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hawks hit the road to face the Spurs, who are in complete disarray having lost five straight. Grab Atlanta. |
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11-24-21 | Bulls v. Rockets +9.5 | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls' ascent in the Eastern Conference has been one of the best stories on the young season. But they are coming off their worst loss this season to the Pacers, 109-77. I expect this young team to have a letdown against a Rockets team that is overdue for a competitive game. Take Houston. |
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11-24-21 | Heat v. Wolves | 101-113 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units OK, I understand the Heat are in the second of a road/road back-to-back and that Minnesota is playing much better of late, but the Heat are underdogs? That truly baffles me. Hey, I'll take it. Dating to last season, Miami has covered its past seven in the second of a B2B. |
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11-24-21 | Lakers v. Pacers -4 | 124-116 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a tough spot for the Lakers. They are a veteran-laden team that will be playing the second game of a back-to-back set. They have played two back-to-back sets this season and lost the second game of both. One was an eight-point loss to the Thunder, and the other was an 18-point loss to the Bulls. While LeBron James will return from his suspension, Anthony Davis just played 34 minutes last night while sick, so he might not be in top form. I’ll lay the points with the Pacers. |
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11-23-21 | Lakers v. Knicks -185 | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LeBron James will not play so I only expect this moneyline to rise during the day -- there's also the fact the Lakers play again Wednesday so maybe they rest Russell Westbrook or Anthony Davis (although I doubt it). |
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11-22-21 | 76ers v. Kings -155 | 102-94 | Loss | -155 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings stink but maybe they get the interim coach bump Monday after firing Luke Walton on Sunday -- WAY overdue move, by the way. Alvin Gentry, who has coached about half the teams in the league and is well-respected, takes over. I'm basically going against Philly here, though, without Joel Embiid, Danny Green and now apparently Tobias Harris. I won't be betting my life savings on this play or anything, but if Sacramento can't beat a Philly team in the midst of a long trip and without its three best players (Embiid, Harris and Ben Simmons), well, I don't know what to say. |
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11-22-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -10.5 | 119-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Grizzlies are not expected to have Dillon Brooks or De'Anthony Melton tonight. It's a bad spot for Memphis against a surging Jazz team that's won and covered three straight. Utah has covered those three by an average of 13 points. The Jazz remember that Memphis stole Game 1 in Salt Lake City in last year's playoffs. Lay the points. |
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11-22-21 | Suns -5.5 v. Spurs | 115-111 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day The Suns have won 12 games in a row, and nine of those victories have been by at least seven points. They did just play against Denver on Sunday, but neither Chris Paul, Devin Booker nor Deandre Ayton logged more than 28 minutes in the lopsided win, so they should be relatively fresh. The Spurs have lost seven of their last nine, with the two wins during that stretch coming against bad Orlando and Sacramento teams. I like the Suns to come through with another decisive victory. |
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11-22-21 | Pacers v. Bulls -2.5 | 109-77 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This line looks cheap because the Bulls played Sunday and beat the gritty Knicks 109-103. But tonight it’s just the rudder-less Pacers trying to find themselves in Rick Carlisle’s scheme. They routed the Pelicans on Saturday to end a three-game slide, but I think Indiana's overall road woes (2-9 SU away) weigh more here than the Bulls playing yesterday. |
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11-22-21 | Thunder v. Hawks -10.5 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta is concluding a five-game homestand during which it won the first four contests after losing six straight overall. Three of those victories came against Milwaukee, Boston and Charlotte. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City lost the first two contests of its three-game road trip and is just 2-6 away from home this season. Expect the Hawks to cruise to their fifth straight win. |
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11-21-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -160 | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm going to have to speculate on the status of Luka Doncic as the Mavs say he's a game-time call and I wouldn't like the Clippers as much if he does. I happened to watch a video feed of him going through pre-game warmups and it sure doesn't look to me like he's playing, so we'll back LA. |
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11-20-21 | 76ers v. Blazers -6 | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Doc Rivers has already said Joel Embiid isn’t playing Saturday night at Portland, and the Sixers come off a huge win at Denver without him after five straight losses (0-5 ATS). Last game of a road trip. My theory: the Sixers are content with their Denver win and go back to being lousy without Embiid. The Blazers are 7-1 at home and have covered their last four as favorites. Huge home edge. Blazers to cover. |
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11-20-21 | Jazz -7.5 v. Kings | 123-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After a win over the Pistons, the Kings have reverted back to their struggling ways, losing both of the last two games by at least 10 points. Playing at home hasn’t helped them much this season, either, given their 2-5 record there ATS. This isn’t part of a back-to-back situation for the Jazz, so there shouldn’t be any rest days to worry about. This has plenty of blowout potential. |
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11-19-21 | Mavs v. Suns UNDER 212 | 104-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Unit This total is perplexing considering these teams combined for 203 points in the same gym on Wednesday when the Mavs were without Luka Doncic. He's listed as doubtful tonight. Why would the score change much? Dallas only got 98 points in the first game despite shooting 16-for-32 from deep, and the Mavericks aren't repeating that. |
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11-19-21 | Magic +12.5 v. Nets | 113-115 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Orlando is truly terrible, but there are rumors Kevin Durant will take the game off -- frankly, the Nets should still win, but not by more than 12 points without the NBA's No. 2 scorer. |
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11-19-21 | Pacers v. Hornets -1 | 118-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hornets recently had a tough road trip where they went 1-4. However, they have bounced back on their current home-stand with a 3-0 record. All three wins were against quality opponents in the Knicks, Warriors and Wizards. With LaMelo Ball leading the way, I like the Hornets to continue their recent hot streak at home. |