| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20-23 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 10 | Top | 3-7 | Push | 0 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
|
Two teams that this time of the year are usually figuring in the playoff picture just playing out the rest of the season at this point. The Mets are 58-66 and 23 games back in the AL East. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are in last in the AL Central. The Mets will start Carlos Carrasco today who is 3-6 on the season with a 6.40 ERA. He's been even worse lf late, going 1-3 in his last seven starts with a 7.18 ERA. The Cardinals will start Dakota Hudson who is 3-0 in his four starts with a 4.15 ERA. Not a lot to see on Hudson, though the team has won all four of his starts. I'm taking the OVER in this one on Sunday. |
|||||||
| 08-17-23 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 10 | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
|
Two teams not heading to the postseason meet here tonight as the St Louis Cardinals host the NY Mets. The Mets are 23.5-games back in the NL East while the Cardinals are in last in the NL Central, 11 games back. The Mets coming off a 2-1 series win over the Pirates and scored 19 runs in the three game set. Jose Quintana starts today with a 0-4 record and 3.03 ERA in his five starts. The Cardinals took two of three at home over the A's, scoring 13 runs in the first two games before getting shutout in game three, 0-8. Adam Wainwright will get the start today with a 3-7 record in his 15 starts and a very high 8.77 ERA. That number is horrible over his last seven starts, as he is 0-6 with a 14.87 ERA. I'm taking these two teams to score plenty of runs and go OVER the total. |
|||||||
| 08-16-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
|
The Red-hot LA Dodgers look to run away with the NL West as they now lead the Giants by nine games after a 9-1 run. They beat the Milwaukee Brewers in game one of this series last night, 6-2. The Brewers are 3.5-games in first place in the NL Central. Wade Miley starts today for the Brewers and he's been one of their best this year. Miley is 6-2 in his 15 starts with a 2.90 ERA. He's been better of late, going 3-0 in his last seven starts with a 2.00 ERA. He's also allowed just two total runs over his last three starts (16 innings). Clayton Kershaw makes his second start since coming off the DL. He pitched well in his return to the rotation, going five innings vs the Rockies and allowing just three hits and one run. That win made Kershaw 10-4 on the season with a 2.51 ERA. He's been great at home with a 4-1 record in seven starts and a 1.71 ERA. I like both these pitchers and I'll take the UNDER here tonight at Chavez Ravine. |
|||||||
| 08-14-23 | Pirates v. Mets OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
|
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 11.5 games back in the NL Central behind Milwaukee Brewers. The news is a bit better in the NL Wildcard race as they sit 8.5-games back. However, with seven teams to climb over that doesn't look good either. The Mets cleaned house before the trade deadline as they sit 22.5 games back of the Braves in the NL East. They have also lost seven of their last 10 games. Little bit of question who the Pirates start today, but for it doesn't matter. I'm taking the over no matter who starts. Quinn Priester looks to be the likely candidate. Priester is 2-1 in five starts with a 8.75 ERA. Carlos Carrasco will start for the Mets with a 3-6 record in his 17 starts and a 6.42 ERA. Either way, either starter, take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 08-12-23 | A's v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
|
A battle of last place teams here on Saturday has the AL West last place Oakland A's taking on the NL East last place Washington Nationals. The Nationals have a bullpen that has allowed a 5.01 ERA this year. That doesn't bode well for starter Jake Irvin. Irvin is 3-5 on the season with a 5.04 ERA. Irvin has gone into the 6th inning twice in his last six starts. The A's bullpen isn't any better with a 5.48 ERA and a road mark of 6.28. Luis Medina will start for the A's with a 2-7 record and 5.55 ERA. Two average to poor starters and neither backed up with a good pen. I'll take the OVER here today. |
|||||||
| 08-10-23 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
|
Two last place teams face off here today as the last place AL East Red Sox host the last place AL Central Royals. Boston has won two of the three games in this series after Wednesday's 4-3 win. The Sox will start James Paxton who is 6-3 in his 14 starts with a 3.60 ERA. The Royals made a early Thursday pitching change to Austin Cox. Cox is 0-1 in his two starts with a 7.55 ERA. Cox has allowed seven runs in his 8 2/3 innings but has six walks against just six KO's. Cox hasn't made it out of the fifth inning in either start. That likely means the Royals will rely on their pen a lot here today and that has not been good. The pen has a 8.10 ERA over their last seven games and a 5.26 ERA on the season. The Boston bullpen isn't much better, especially lately where they have a 9.00 ERA over the last seven games. This one has all the appearances of an over play today. Play OVER. |
|||||||
| 08-09-23 | Cubs v. Mets OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
|
The Chicago Cubs beat the Mets on Tuesday 3-2, snapping a three game over run. They are 59-55 and in 2nd in the NL Central, just 1.5-games back of the Brewers. They are also the only team in the division with a positive run differential (+67). The Mets are just playing out the season as they are 21-games back in the NL East and 7.5 games back in the Wild Card. They have eight teams ahead of them in the Wild Card. And, they cleaned the roster of high priced talent at the trade deadline. Kyle Hendricks starts today for the Cubs with a 4-6 record and 4.21 ERA. That number goes up of late with a 1-3 record in his last seven starts and a 5.44 ERA. He is coming off a game vs the Braves where he went just four innings and gave up eight hits and seven runs. The Mets start David Peterson who is 2-7 in his 12 starts with a 6.12 ERA. Peterson has pitched better of late, going 1-4 in his recent seven starts and a 5.12 ERA. However, neither pitcher all that good and I'll take the OVER here today. |
|||||||
| 08-08-23 | Braves v. Pirates OVER 10 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
|
The Braves and Pirates play game two of this set here on Tuesday as the Bucs took Monday's game from the Braves, 7-6. The Braves have a huge cushion in the AL East as they lead by 10-games over the Phillies. The Braves also have the second best run differential in baseball at +162. The Bucs are fourth in the NL Central, nine games back of the Brewers. They are also 7.5-games back in the NL Wild Card race with a lot of teams in front of them. The Braves will start Yonny Chirinos today who is 2-2 in his six starts with a 6.67 ERA. The Bucs will counter with Mitch Keller who is 9-8 in his 23 starts and a 4.35 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-5 in his last seven starts and a 6.58 ERA. He's allowed 24 runs over his last four starts 21 2/3 innings. Don't expect either of pitchers to be around long. I'm taking the OVER. |
|||||||
| 08-06-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 9 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
|
The Dodgers and Padres have split the first two games of this four game set from San Diego. The Dodgers used a big, late rally on Friday to win and the Padres returned the favor on Saturday. The Padres trailed 1-3 in the eighth inning before scoring seven runs to win the game, 8-3. That snapped a five-game winning streak by the Dodgers over the Padres. The Padres are now three-games back in the NL Wild Card race. The Dodgers will start newly acquired Lance Lynn. Lynn makes his second start for the Dodgers after beating Oakland in his LA debut, 7-3 for the win. The Padres will also show off their new arm in Rich Hill. Hill brings a 7-10 record over to the Padres with a 4.84 ERA. Both games have been high scoring with 15 runs on Friday and 11 runs on Saturday. The Dodgers have gone over in four straight games while the Padres have seen two of their last three go over. I don't think either of these pitchers will go much past five in this one. I'll take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 08-04-23 | Rockies v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
|
The Rockies travel to St Louis to being this set with the Cardinals. The Rockies have lost two straight games and are in last place in the NL West. They also have the worst run differential (-160) in the National league. The St Louis Cardinals are also in last place in the NL Central. They will send Adam Wainwright to the hill today. Wainwright is 3-5 with a 7.18 ERA in 13 starts. He's 1-4 in his last seven starts with a 8.42 ERA. The Rockies will star Chris Flexen who is 0-5 this year with a 10.71 ERA. Two bad pitchers on two last place teams. That's a recipe for a lot of runs here on Friday. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
| 08-03-23 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
|
NL West clash here has the 3rd place Arizona Diamondbacks taking on the 2nd place SF Giants. The Giants have taken the first two games in this series with excellent pitching. The Giants have won six of their last 10 while the D'backs have lost seven of their last 10. Arizona starts Brandon Pfaadt today who is 0-4 in his eight starts with a 8.19 ERA. The Giants start Scott Alexander who is 0-1 in his three starts with a 5.39 ERA. While the first two games have been of a pitching duel, I look for tonight's to have plenty of runs. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 07-27-23 | Fever v. Sparks OVER 160 | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
|
The Indiana Fever are next to last overall in the WNBA with a 6-17 record. They have lost two straight games and nine of their last 10 games. They also allow the 2nd most points in the WNBA (85.9 ppg). The LA Sparks are in 9th in the WNBA, one game back in the playoff picture. THey have a 8-15 record and trail 8th place Chicago by one game. The Sparks won their last game but have lost eight of the last 10. The Fever have been a very good road over team, going 11-5 O/U in their last 16 road games. They are also 4-1 O/U in their last five games vs the Western Conference and 8-3 O/U in their last 11 with one day rest. The Sparks are 16-6 O/U in their last 22 vs a team with a losing record and 4-0 O/U in their last four games playing on one day rest. I'm taking the OVER here today. |
|||||||
| 07-24-23 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
|
NL Central clash here today has the top two teams in the division playing for first place. The Milwaukee Brewers are in 1st place, but only by a half game over the Reds. The Reds have won five straight games to pull within a half game. Still, both teams have run differentials in the negative values. The Reds will start Graham Ashcraft here today. Ashcraft is 5-7 in his 18 starts with a 5.76 ERA. The Brewers start Colin Rea with a 5-4 record in his 16 starts and a 4.57 ERA. Both teams can hit the ball and neither pitcher is all that good. I'll take the OVER here today. |
|||||||
| 07-23-23 | Ottawa v. Calgary OVER 44.5 | 43-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
|
CFL Action here on Sunday has the East division Ottawa Redblacks vs the West division Calgary Stampeeders. Ottawa is 2-3 overall and tied for 2nd in the division, but well behind undefeated Toronto which is 5-0. Calgary is also 2-3 and in fourth place in the West. Ottawa is a rushing team led by their QB Dustin Crum who leads with 201 yards and three touchdowns. Calgary also a rushing team as they average 96.2 yards per game. Both teams pretty even with an edge to the home club. But for me I'll just take the over here today. Play OVER. |
|||||||
| 07-17-23 | Dodgers v. Orioles OVER 9 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
|
The Dodgers dropped their third game vs the Mets on Sunday in extra innings, 1-2, snapping their six-game winning streak. The streak did put the Dodgers back into first place with a 1.5-game lead over the Giants and 2-games over Arizona. The Orioles are still chasing Tampa Bay in the AL East, now just one-game back of the Rays. The O's are the top AL Wild Card team too, holding a nice six-game cushion. LA will start Emmet Sheehan today who is 2-0 in his four starts with a 4.35 ERA. That number goes up in his one road start to 5.40 ERA. The O's start Grayson Rodriguez today who is 2-2 in his 10 starts with a 7.35 ERA. That number is 9.56 ERA in his five home starts. I look for plenty of runs to be scored here today. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
| 07-12-23 | Aces v. Sparks UNDER 170 | 97-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
|
No doubt the LV Aces are the best team in the WNBA and defending Champion. They look like the team that will repeat this year. They score a lot of points, 93.9 ppg to be exact. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games and 18-2 overall. The LA Sparks are just 7-12 overall and 2-8 in their last 10 games. They average just 78.5 ppg while allowing 81.4 ppg. The Aces play back-to-back after last night's game. While you would expect a team that scores right at 94 ppg to be a good over play, they are just 1-4 O/U in their last five times on no rest. They are also 2-6 O/U their last eight vs the Western Conference. LA has had two days off and they are 1-5 O/U in their last six times with 2 days of rest and 2-5 O/U in their last seven home games. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight. |
|||||||
| 07-11-23 | National League v. American League UNDER 7.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
|
This series has been a under series for a long time now. The Oddsmaker has dropped this number to 7.5 under knowing just that. So there isn't a lot of value left in the number since you don't find many games under at least a 7 any more. Last year the AL won 3-2, going UNDER. In 2021 the AL won 5-2 with the UNDER or some pushes. No game was played in the 2020 Covid year. In fact, only the 2018 game (14 runs) and the 2014 (8 runs) and 2015 game (9 runs) have really been higher scoring games. Five of the last six games would have gone under this posted total tonight. For me, not a lot of value in any of the lines, but for fun we'll take the UNDER tonight. Play UNDER. |
|||||||
| 07-06-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox UNDER 10 | 6-10 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
|
The Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox have split the first two games of this series with the Rangers taking game one and the Sox taking game two yesterday, 4-2. Both gams have gone under. The Rangers lead in the AL West has dropped to 2-games over the surging Houston Astros. The Red Sox have climbed over the .500 mark in the AL East at 44-43. Every team in the AL East has a winning record and plus run differential. The Rangers will start Nathan Eovaldi today who is 10-3 in his 17 starts with a 2.64 ERA. He's coming off a very nice start over Houston where he allowed no runs over seven innings for the win. Kutter Crawford will toe the rubber for the Red Sox with his 3-3 record in eight starrts and 5.30 ERA. If you throw out the seven runs in his first start, he hasn't allowed more then four runs in any start. Moreover, he's allowed two runs or fewer in five of those eight starts. I'm going to take UNDER here today with two above average pitchers. Play UNDER. |
|||||||
| 07-05-23 | Pirates v. Dodgers OVER 9 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
|
The Pirates and Dodgers have split the first two games of this series from LA with the Dodgers taking game one and the Pirates game two on Tuesday, 9-7. The Dodgers are back in 2nd place in the NL West, 2.5-games back of the Diamondbacks. Despite going just 5-5, the Dodgers have gained some ground thanks to a 4-6 run by the Diamondbacks. The Pirates have passed the Cubs in the NL Central as they moved into third place, 6.5-games back of the Reds. Osvaldo Bido will get his fifth start of the season here on Wednesday. Bido is 0-1 with a 4.74 ERA. The Dodgers will counter with Bobby Miller who is 4-1 in his seven starts and a 4.23 ERA. That number goes up a bit at home to 5.81. Neither pitcher all that great with the ERA and for me that's an OVER play here on Wednesday. |
|||||||
| 07-05-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
|
The 1st Place Texas Rangers are 51-35 and have 4-6 over their last 10 games. They won yesterday over the Red Sox, 6-2. The Rangers have the best run differential in baseball at +159 runs. The Red Sox are 43-43 and in last in the AL East. They have lost six of their last 10 and like every other team in the AL East, they have a positive run differential. The Rangers will start Jon Gray tonight with his 6-4 record in 15 starts and a 3.21 ERA. His road numbers are even better at 4-1 in seven starts with a 1.99 ERA. Brayan Bello will start today for the Sox. Bello is 5-5 with a 3.08 ERA. He's been excellent of late, allowing just three total runs over his last three starts (20 2/3 innings). I like both these pitchers tonight and will go with the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 06-30-23 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
|
Reason: The Boston Red Sox have dropped four straight and six of their last 10 to fall below the .500 mark at 40-41. They are the only team in the AL East to fall below .500. Though all five teams still have positive run differentials. The Blue Jays are just one spot ahead of the Sox at 44-37 and 10 back of the Rays. They are coming off a win over the Giants on Thursday, 2-1. The Sox will James Paxton who is 3-1 in his eight starts with a 3.19 ERA. Jose Berrios will start for the Blue Jays with a 8-5 record in his 16 starts and a 3.60 ERA. That number goes down at home where he is 4-1 in six starts and a 2.48 ERA. Both pitchers are solid here today and I'll be on the UNDER in this one. |
|||||||
| 06-28-23 | Reds v. Orioles OVER 9.5 | Top | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
|
The Cincinnati Reds took Tuesday's contest from the Baltimore Orioles even with a slight rain delay, 3-1. The Reds continue to hold onto 1st place in the NL Central with a 42-38 record and 1/2 game lead over the Brewers. The Reds are the only 1st place team in baseball with a negative run differential as their sits at -20 runs. The AL East 2nd place Orioles have a +30 run differential as they chase first place Tampa Bay. Good news is they sit atop the Wild Card standings in the AL with a 5.5-game lead over the Yankees and Angels. The Reds will start Luke Weaver here today. Weaver is 1-2 in his 12 starts with a lofty 6.86 ERA. Moreover, he's allowed 10 runs over his last 8 1/3 innings. The O's will counter with Kyle Gibson who is 8-5 in his 16 starts and a 4.30 ERA. Gibson has allowed eight runs over his last nine innings. I look for a lot of runs scored in this matchup. I'll be on the OVER. |
|||||||
| 06-23-23 | Brewers v. Guardians UNDER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
|
The Milwaukee Brewers held 1st place for most of the season in the NL Central. However, a 11-game win streak by the Reds now has them 1.5 games back of Cincinnati. The Brewers hope to get back to their winning ways with Wade Miley taking the hill today. Miley is 4-2 in his nine starts with a 3.28 ERA. Miley has allowed just one run over his last two starts. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Guardians have closed to just one-game of the Twins in the AL Central. The Guardians have won four straight games. Shane Bieber will toe the rubber today for the Guardians. Bieber is 5-4 in his 15 starts with a 3.50 ERA. He had his one-run streak of 12 2/3 innings busted last start after allowing five runs over 7 1/3 innings. Despite the poor outing, I still like this game UNDER today. I expect both pitchers to put up good numbers. Take UNDER. |
|||||||
| 06-22-23 | BC v. Winnipeg OVER 49 | 30-6 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
|
I fully expect to see a high scoring game here tonight. The defenses shouldn't really be much of a showing. Winnipeg has scored 40 points or more in back-to-back games and their defense has not been good. Both these teams are 2-0. The BC Lions have the second highest scoring offense behind Winnipeg. And while their defense is much better than Winnipeg, the Blue Bombers 87 points thus far will be too overwhelming. Lets take the over tonight and enjoy the show. Play OVER. |
|||||||
| 06-13-23 | Guardians v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
|
The Cleveland Guardians are in 2nd place in the AL Central with a 31-34 record, 1.5 games back of first place Minnesota. The Guardians beat Houston on Sunday, 5-0, taking two of three games against the Astros. Cleveland will start Tanner Bibee tonight who is 2-1 with a 3.04 ERA. Bibee has allowed more than three runs in just one of his last eight starts this season. The San Diego Padres look to move up the ranks in the NL West as they sit in 4th place right now with a 31-34 record. The Padres start Joe Musgrove tonight. Musgrove is 3-2 in his eight starts with a 4.36 ERA. He's been better at home with a 3.00 ERA in three starts. Musgrove has been especially good of late, allowing just three total runs over his last three starts (17 1/3 innings) with 17 KO's and just four walks. Both pitchers looking very good. For me, I'll take this game UNDER the total. |
|||||||
| 06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 209.5 | Top | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
|
The Denver Nuggets on the verge of winning their first ever NBA Championship here tonight on their home court. After the teams split the first two games in Denver, the Nuggets took the next two in Miami, 109-94 and 108-95. Some good news for the Heat is that guard Tyler Herro will play tonight as he's nursing a hand injury. Denver is the best team offensively in the playoffs and that has showed. But I do believe the coach and management of the Heat are too good to let this team just give up. That's why I'm looking at the over here tonight. Only one game of the four has gone over and that was the Heat win in game two in Denver, 111-108. The Heat shot great from the 3-point line, 48.6% and that's what I believe they have to do again here tonight. They can't go toe-to-toe with this Denver team. They have to outscore them as they did in game two hitting nearly 50% from the 3-point line. They need to do that here again. If they can get near that 50% from 3-point, this game goes over. It's all up to the Heat in this one since I believe Denver will get their points as they have done all series long. Take the OVER tonight in game 5. |
|||||||
| 06-07-23 | Nuggets v. Heat UNDER 214.5 | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 33 h 52 m | Show |
|
I had the over in game 2, but today I'm taking a look at the UNDER. I fully expected the Heat to come out big in game 2 after that lackluster performance in game 1. They did just that, using a huge fourth quarter to not only cover the 8.5-point dog line, but win straight up. They also just made it over the total. Both teams shot very well in game 2, Miami hitting 48.7% from the field and a blistering 48.6% from 3-point. The Nuggets were 52% from the field and 39.3% from 3-points. Despite all that great shooting, they just got the over. Game one went under, not even getting close to the 219 total. Game 2 going over by just three points. Tonight, I expect these teams to slow back down and even if they don't I don't believe they can make the over. Miami has gone under in five of their last six playoff games. Denver is 3-5 O/U in their last eight playoff games. Take the UNDER in game three tonight. |
|||||||
| 06-04-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 215.5 | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
|
No big surprise in game one of the NBA Finals. I was loaded on the Nuggets with them in the game, first quarter and first half - sweeping the board. I expected that Boston series to take a toll on the Heat and for them to come out flat in game one. Plus it takes time to get used to the altitude in Denver. Miami also shot just 40.6% from the field compare do Denver's 50.6% and they had almost no free throws. I expect to see much better from the Heat tonight. They should be better acclimated to the thin air and that Boston series out of their system. With a better Miami game and the Denver's top offensive unit, I look for this game to go OVER the total here in game two. |
|||||||
| 05-30-23 | Royals v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
|
No matter what the standings for these teams it's always a rivalry when Kansas City and St Louis matchup. The Royals are in last the AL Central while the Cardinals are in last in the NL Central. The Royals start Zack Greinke who is 1-5 on the season with a 4.55 ERA. He's been much better of late, allowing three earned runs over his last two starts. Miles Mikolas starts for the Cardinals with a 3-1 record and 4.23 ERA. He's allowed five total runs over his last four starts. Both pitchers pitching well and I will take the UNDER here today. |
|||||||
| 05-28-23 | Dodgers v. Rays OVER 9 | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
|
Game three between these teams here on Sunday as the teams have split the first two games. The Rays took Friday's game, 9-3 and the Dodgers took Saturday's, 6-5. Both games have gone over. For the Dodgers, they have gone over in six of their last seven games. LA starts Gavin Stone for just the third time here today. Stone has no record but a lofty 10.13 ERA. The Rays have gone over in eight straight games. They will start Josh Fleming here today. Fleming has no record after two starts with a 5.63 ERA. Not much to know about Fleming, but Stone has not been good. I'm taking the over here today. |
|||||||
| 05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
|
Game 6 of the NBA East Finals as the Heat now lead 3-2 over the Celtics. Don't tell the Celtics that no team has every come from an 0-3 deficit to win. After losing the first three games, Boston has won the last two, in easy fashion. They won game four, 116-99 and then game 5 110-97. A win here in game 6 by the Celtics and they likely will break that NBA curse of being down 0-3 in a series. If I'm the Miami Heat coaches, I will be drilling into my players that this is the game to win. They can't afford to lose and expect to go back to Boston and take game seven. That all being said, I'll take Miami here plus the points at home to finish this series. I'll also take the UNDER as I don't see the Heat winning a shootout. I look for the two to go hand in hand tonight. Take Heat and UNDER. |
|||||||
| 05-25-23 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
|
We had a winner with the Orioles on Wednesday as they came from behind to get this key AL East win. The AL East is the best division in baseball as it's the only one with all teams above .500 and all teams in the plus run differential. The Rays jumped out to that huge lead, but have seen it dwindle to jus three games over the Orioles and six over the Yankees. These teams have split the first two games of this series, with the Yankees taking game one and the Orioles game two yesterday. Tonight, Kyle Gibson will start for the O's. Gibson is 5-3 on the season with a 4.27 ERA. He's been slightly worse on the road with a 5.09 ERA. The Yankees will counter with Clarke Schmidt who is only 2-4 in his 10 starts with a 6.00 ERA. Both pitchers have been very inconsistent and considering both have excellent hitting teams, I'll take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 05-25-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
|
Another key AFC East clash as the best division in baseball has their top team, the Tampa Bay Rays, taking on Toronto. The Rays once had a huge lead in the East, but it's gone down to just 3-games over Baltimore. The Blue Jays are in last place, but still have a winning record. They are 9.5-games back and need this head-to-head wins to cut into that lead. The Blue Jays have lost two of the first three games in this series, despite outscoring the Rays by a 27-14 margin. Ok, 20 of those runs came in a 20-1 lopsided win. All three games have gone over and in fact, the last five games have gone over for the Jays. Alek Manoah will start today for the Jays with a 1-4 mark in his 10 starts and a 5.15 ERA. The Rays will counter with Zach Eflin who is 6-1 with a 3.45 ERA in his eight starts. I look for both teams to get plenty of runs here tonight. I'll be on the OVER. |
|||||||
| 05-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
|
Arizona continues to hold onto second place in the NL West, three games back of the Dodgers. They have leveled off though, going 5-5 their last 10 games and losing on Tuesday to Oakland, 8-9. The teams have split their first two games of this series with the D'backs winning on Monday, 5-2. The Oakland A's finally got to the double digits in wins with their win on Tuesday. Still, they have the worst record in baseball at 10-34 and worst run differential in baseball at -159 runs. Ryne Nelson will start for the D'backs today with his 1-2 record in eight starts. He also has a 6.20 ERA and 1.549 WHIP. The A's counter with Luis Medina, who is 0-2 with a 8.18 ERA. Neither pitcher is very good and considering how many runs the A's allow, I'll be on the OVER here today. |
|||||||
| 05-14-23 | Rangers v. A's OVER 9 | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
|
The Texas Rangers got back on the winning track with their win on Saturday over the A's, 5-0. They have taken two of the first three in this series as the play the set final here on Sunday. Andrew Heaney will start today for the Rangers with a 2-3 record in his seven starts. Heaney has a 5.25 ERA and a 2.31 road ERA. Drew Rucinski will get the start for the A's. Rucinski is 0-3 in his three starts with a 8.16 ERA. Two poor pitchers here today. For me, that means just one play, take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 101-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
|
It's game six of the NBA Western Semifinals as the Warriors take on the Lakers from LA. The Warriors face elimination again here today. They faced elimination in game five and beat the Lakers at home, 121-106. Now they have to win game six in LA to return home for a game seven. Problem is that they have lost both games in LA by 97-127 and 101-104 scores. Two of the last three games have also gone UNDER. These teams have also gone under in their last four meetings in LA. Lakers forward Anthony Davis has been upgraded to probable for this game with a head injury. I like this game to go under tonight. They seem to play tighter in LA and I look for that again here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 05-12-23 | Cubs v. Twins UNDER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
|
The Cubs and Twins open this series here tonight in Minnesota. The Cubs are coming off a series loss to the Cardinals, losing two of three games. They did take the finale on Wednesday, 10-4. The Cards are still in last place in the NL Central with a 13-25 record, eight back of the Pirates. They have also lost seven of their last 10 games. Drew Smyly gets the start today for the Cubs with a 3-1 record in his seven starts and a 3.05 ERA> Smyly has been very good of late, allowing two runs or fewer in each of his last six starts. The Twins have won two straight and are 21-17 and in 1st place in the AL Central. The Twins took two of three from the San Diego Padres. All three Padre games went UNDER. In fact, the Twins have now gone under in six straight games. The bullpen and starters have been solid, with the pen holding a 3.56 ERA. I like this one to be another low scoring clash. I'll take the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 05-11-23 | Padres v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
|
Both these teams took of Wednesday after playing game on Tuesday with the Padres winning that one, 6-1. The Padres got back above the .500 mark with a 19-18 record, 3.5-games back of the Dodgers in the NL West. The Twins are in 1st place in the AL Central at 20-17 and the only team in the division with a winning record and positive run differential (+22). The Padres will start Yu Darvish who is 2-2 in his six starts with a 3.19 ERA. Darvish has pitched well, allowing one run in three of his last four starts. The Twins counter with Bailey Ober who is 2-0 in three starts with a 0.98 ERA. He's only allowed two total runs in 18 2/3 innings. Two very good pitchers here today. I'll play the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 05-10-23 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 8-1 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
|
The LA Dodgers and Brewers have split the first two games of this series with Milwaukee taking Monday's game, 9-3 and the Dodgers taking Tuesday's game, 6-2. The Dodgers have won eight of their last 10 games and sit in first in the NL West with a 22-15 record. The Brewers are in 2nd in the NL Central with a 20-16 record. Clayton Kershaw looks to rebound from his sub-par performance last time out vs the Padres. He gave up five runs over 4 2/3 innings to take the loss. Kershaw was the player of the Month in April with a 5-1 record. Overall he's 5-2 now with a very good 2.53 ERA. Kershaw might be out to prove something here today after the Padres scoreboard made fun of him after his loss showing him with tears streaming down his face. Bold statement for a team that the Dodgers have owned over recent times and something for the bulletin board when the Padres visit LA this weekend. The Brewers will counter with Wade Miley here today who is 3-1 in his six starts with a 2.31 era. He's been even better at home with a 2-0 mark in three starts and a 1.59 ERA. This one has all the markings of a fine pitcher's duel. For me I'll take the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 05-10-23 | Tigers v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
|
The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians continue their series here on Wednesday after the Guardians took Tuesday's game, 2-0. Cleveland is 17-19 and in 2nd place in the AL Central. The only team in the division with a winning record and positive run differential is first place Minnesota at 19-17. Runs have been at a premium for this Guardian team, as they have scored three runs or fewer in seven of their last eight games. Peyton Battenfield will make his fifth start today for Cleveland. Battenfield is 0-3 with a 3.22 ERA and has received just one run of support in his last five starts. The Tigers are 16-19 and in third place in the AL Central. The Tigers will start Eduardo Rodriguez who is 3-2 with a 1.81 ERA in his seven starts. Like his counterpart today, runs have been hard to get when he starts as the Tigers have three runs or fewer in six of his seven starts. Both pitchers are good and both offenses are poor. I'll take the UNDER here today. |
|||||||
| 05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 228.5 | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
|
Reason: The Lakers escaped from Golden State with a split in the first two games and now have home court on their side. The Lakers took game one of this best of seven series, 117-112 as a 4.5-point dog. The Warriors came roaring back in game two with a blowout win, 127-100 as a 7-point favorite. Now the venue moves back to LA for game three. So far both games have gone over, but that wasn't the case for the Lakers in their first round games. They were 2-4 O/Un in their six games with the Grizzlies. The Warriors were 3-4 O/U in their first series with the Kings. Today's total is right at 228. While this season both teams look to be over plays, they haven't looked like that so far in the playoffs. I'm taking tonight's game UNDER the total. |
|||||||
| 05-04-23 | Pirates v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
|
The Pittsburgh Pirates still surprising many with their first place in the NL Central. They have a great run differential of +45 and while they lost on Wednesday to the Rays they are 7-3 their last 10 games. Vincent Velasquez will start today for the Bucs. Velasquez is 4-2 in his six starts with a 3.06 ERA. He's actually been better on the road with a 3-1 record and 2.38 ERA. In addition, he's allowed no runs over his last two starts (13 innings). The Rays continue to just win. They are now 24-6 and have won seven of their last 10 games. They have the best run differential in baseball with a +106 runs. Zach Eflin looks to improve to 4-0 on the season today. Eflin has a 3.00 ERA in his four starts and has allowed over two runs just one time and that was three runs to the A's. I like both pitchers a lot here and will take the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 05-03-23 | Giants v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
|
The Houston Astros are in 2nd place in the AL West with a 16-14 record, 2.5-games back of the Rangers. The Astros have won six of their last 10 games, but lost on Tuesday to the Giants, 0-2. The teams have split their first two games of this series with the rubber game here today. Framber Valdez will start for the Astros today. Valdez is 2-3 in his six starts but has a very good 2.54 ERA. He's been even better at home with a 2.16 ERA though he has a 0-3 record at home in four starts. The Giants are 12-17 and in fourth place in the NL West. They will start Logan Webb here today. Webb is 1-5 in his six starts with a 4.82 ERA. Webb started the season with four straight games where he allowed four run in each game. However, he's gotten much better of late, allowing just two runs in each of his last two games. I'll be on the UNDER here today as both pitchers look to be in much better form. Play UNDER. |
|||||||
| 04-27-23 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 230.5 | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
|
Game six of this best of seven series sees the Boston Celtics looking to close out and move on to the Conference Semi-finals. The Celtics lost their last game, that being played at Boston, 117-119, as a 13-point favorite. Now they return to Atlanta where they split the prior two games. The last three games of the series have gone OVER with 236, 250 and 252 being scored respectfully. That's what I'm looking at again here tonight, the over. Atlanta games at home this season have averaged 237.7 ppg. Meanwhile, the Celtics road games have averaged 233.8 per game. The Celtics have also gone over in seven of their last eight road games. Atlanta is 7-2-1 O/U in their last 10 games and 5-0 O/U in their last five home games. Both teams look like they want to take this one over tonight and that's what I will go with. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
| 04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 220.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
|
The Atlanta Hawks face elimination tonight as the face the Celtics in game five. The Hawks trail one game to three after losing on Sunday at home, 121-129. The last two games in Boston have gone over with 240 and 255 respectively scored. The Hawks have a 6-2-1 Ov/Un record in their last nine games. They are also 41-18-1 Ov/Un in their last 60 conference quarterfinal games. The Celtics are playing on one day rest and when they have done that recently, they have gone over five straight times. They are also 15-7 Ov/Un in their last 22 home games vs a team with a road winning % of 40% or less. The Hawks games have averaged 234.9 ppg on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Celtics average 120.3 ppg at home this year. With tonight's game being at home for Boston, I like this game to go over. |
|||||||
| 04-25-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 230.5 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
|
The Atlanta Hawks face elimination tonight as the face the Celtics in game five. The Hawks trail one game to three after losing on Sunday at home, 121-129. The last two games in Boston have gone over with 240 and 255 respectively scored. The Hawks have a 6-2-1 Ov/Un record in their last nine games. They are also 41-18-1 Ov/Un in their last 60 conference quarterfinal games. The Celtics are playing on one day rest and when they have done that recently, they have gone over five straight times. They are also 15-7 Ov/Un in their last 22 home games vs a team with a road winning % of 40% or less. The Hawks games have averaged 234.9 ppg on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Celtics average 120.3 ppg at home this year. With tonight's game being at home for Boston, I like this game to go over. |
|||||||
| 04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 215 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
|
The NY Knicks look to take a commanding lead in this best of seven series after taking game one at Cleveland, 101-97. The Knicks were a 5-point dog and won straight-up. The difference was on the boards where the Knicks grabbed 51 rebounds to the Cavs 38. The game easily went under the 216 total. The Knicks have now gone under 16 of 21 times in the conference quarterfinals. This really a must win game for the Cavs who have already lost home court and can ill afford to go back to NY down 0-2. The Cavs have gone under in three straight and six of their last eight games. I look for this pace to be slow like the last game. I'm on the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 240 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
|
Great game one between these teams with the Sacramento Kings coming out on top, 126-123. as a 1-point dog. That win snapped a Kings three game losing streak. The Kings are also 1-3-1 O/U in their last five games. They are also 2-5 O/U in their last seven games playing on one day rest. The loss for the Warriors snapped a three game winning streak. Golden State is now 4-5 O/U in their last nine games. They are also 5-15-1 O/U in their last 21 games vs a team with a winning record. These teams are 1-3-1 O/U in their last five meetings in Sacramento. Very high total here tonight, and with the teams going over in game one I'll take UNDER here tonight. |
|||||||
| 04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 231 | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
|
The Atlanta Hawks had to win their play-In game on Tuesday vs the Heat to advance here today. They won 116-105 as a 5.5-point dog. That broke a two-game losing streak, including a loss at Boston last Sunday on closing day, 114-120 with the game going over. They are 4-0-1 O/U their last five games. They are also 20-6 O/U in their last 26 games following a ATS win. The Celtics haven't played since last Sunday when they beat the Hawks. They finished the season winning three straight and eight of their last 10. The Celtics have also gone over in five of their last seven games. With all the rest these teams have had recently they should be ready to push the pace here today. I'll take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 04-10-23 | Nationals v. Angels OVER 9.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
|
The 3-7 Washington Nationals will travel to the LA Angels tonight. The Angels are 5-4 and tied for first in the AL West. The Angels lost a shootout on Sunday to the Blue Jays, 11-12. The Halos scored 27 runs in their four game set with Toronto, but could only get a split of the four game series. The Angels have also been a good over team, going 5-3-1 in their nine games. Jose Suarez gets his second start tonight. Suarez went just 4 1/3 innings vs Seattle in his season debut, allowing eight hits and seven runs and was collared with the loss. The Nationals split their last series at Colorado, scoring 23 runs over the last three games. They have also gone over in five of their last six games. Their bullpen has been bad, posting a 5.45 ERA and a 6.94 road ERA. Pat Corbin gets the start after going 0-2 in his first two games. Corbin has an 8.00 ERA after two games with a 2.22 WHIP. This has all the markings of another big scoring game. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 04-04-23 | Braves v. Cardinals OVER 10 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
|
The Atlanta Braves off to a 3-1 start after four games. The Braves took two of three from the Nationals to open the season. They opened this set with the Cardinals winning last night, 8-4. Dylan Dodd will toe the rubber for the first time this season. In fact, he makes his major league debut here tonight. Meanwhile the Cardinals are 2-2 to start the season. They took two of three from the Blue Jays to open the season and lost the opener here last night. They have gone over in three of their four games thus far. They have also scored at least four runs in each game. Steven Matz will make his first start this year. Matz was 5-3 with a 5.25 ERA last year. Neither pitcher all that great here today and the way both teams have been hitting, this looks like an over to me. |
|||||||
| 04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
|
IT's been quite the run for Conference USA this postseason. First Charlotte wins the CBI tournament and then UAB and North Texas played for the NIT FInals, both from Conference USA. Now, Florida Atlantic looks to keep their Cinderella run going here on Saturday vs San Diego State. Really both these teams not expected to be in the Final Four. Florida Atlantic was great all year while San Diego State is a big, strong and experienced team. FAU Owls are 35-3 overall and you have to go back to Feb 16 for their last loss. They have also gone 8-3 ATS their last 11 games. SDG State Aztecs are 31-6 and have covered six straight games. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight games and 14 of the last 15 games. That's because of this defense and slower game they play. FAU has gone under in five of their last seven games and six of their last eight on a neutral court. I love this game to go UNDER here on Saturday. |
|||||||
| 04-01-23 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
|
The Braves opened their season on Thursday with a convincing win over the Nationals, 7-2. I had them on the Run line in that opening game. They took off yesterday and resume here today against the Nat. They will start Spencer Strider, who was 11-5 last year with a 2.67 ERA. The Nationals will start Josiah Gray, who was 7-10 last year with a 5.02 ERA. Braves expected to contend for the division title again this year. I expect the Braves to get plenty of runs again here today. I'll take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 03-29-23 | Kings v. Blazers OVER 235 | 120-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
|
The Sacramento Kings have a solid hold on the third spot in the West with their 45-30 record. They are three games back of 2nd place Memphis and three games ahead of fourth place Phoenix. The Kings are the highest scoring team in the NBA with a 121.0 ppg average. In fact, no other team in the NBA averages over the 120 mark. The Kings are coming off a loss at home to Minnesota, 115-119, as a 6.5-point favorite. They have gone under two straight games after a four game OVER run. The Kings are 8-3-1 Ov/Un in their last 12 with one day rest. They are also 16-7 Ov/Un in their last 24 overall. The Portland Trailblazers are on the verge of elimination from the playoffs as they sit in 13th place in the West and 4.5 games back of the Thunder. They have lost three straight and nine of their last 10 games. They are also 5-5 O/U during that span. They are 12-5 O/U their last 17 vs a team with a winning road record. These teams have gone over in five of their last seven meetings and six of the last seven in Portland. I'll be on the OVER here tonight. |
|||||||
| 03-24-23 | Thunder v. Lakers OVER 232.5 | 111-116 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
|
The Thunder play the second of a back-to-back set here tonight and will remain at the Staple's Center as they faced the Clippers last night and the Lakers tonight. The Thunder are tied with the Mavericks, Lakers and Pelicans all holding onto three of the final playoff spots. The Jazz are just a half game back. The West is all bunched at for those final spots with just two-games separating seven teams. The Thunder lost last night to the Clippers, 105-127, as a 4-point dog. They allowed 56% from the field and 48.6% from 3-point arc to the Clippers. That makes them 5-2 S/U and ATS their last seven games. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The Thunder have now gone 10-4-1 Ov/Un in their last 15 games. The Lakers have won two straight games and Six of their last nine. They are coming off a Wednesday win over the Suns, 122-111, as a 1-point favorite. The teams have gone over in nine of their last 13 meetings. I look for another over here tonight. |
|||||||
| 03-19-23 | St. Mary's v. Connecticut UNDER 126.5 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
|
2nd Round NCAA Tournament action has Saint Mary's taking on U Conn. St Mary's lost in their West Coast tournament to rivals Gonzaga, 51-77, as a 2-point dog. They opened NCAA play with a 1st round win over VCU, 63-51, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Gaels are usually known for their defense. They have allowed just 59.7 ppg on the season and 62.3 on neutral sites. After losing their conference tourney matchup to Marquette, Cincinnati opened NCAA play with a win over Iona, 87-63, as a 9-point favorite. They have gone under in three of their last four games. With St Mary's going under in eight of their last 11 NCAA games and the Huskies playing mostly unders in the postseason, I'll take under here on Sunday. |
|||||||
| 03-18-23 | Celtics v. Jazz OVER 231.5 | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
|
Boston is in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference, 1.5-games back of first place Milwaukee. The Celtics are the highest scoring team in the East with a 117.6 ppg average. The Celtics have won two straight games and three of four on this four game road stint. They have also gone over in four of their last seven games. The Celtics had to play last night at Portland and won that game 126-112, covering and going over. Now they play back-to-back in which they are 18-7-1 O/U their last 26 games with no rest. The Celtics are also 20-9-1 O/U their last 30 road games. Utah is tied for the last playoff spot in the West with the LA Lakers at 33-36. The Jazz have lost four of their last 10 games. They also allow 117.2 ppg this season (Only two teams allow more). The Jazz have ton over in three straight games and five of their last six. They are also 8-3 O/U in their last 11 home games. These teams have also gone over in nine of the last 12 meetings. I'll be on the OVER here tonight. |
|||||||
| 03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State OVER 155.5 | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
|
NCAA Tournament begins here on Tuesday with a pair of play-in games. Texas A&M Corpus Christi takes on Se Missouri State in the early game. A&M Islanders finished the season strong, winning four straight games and 12 of their last 13 games. They also went over in four of the last five games. This team averaged over 80 ppg on the season too. The Islanders are 12-4 O/U in their last 16 games following an ATS win. SE Missout State Redhawks finished on a four game win and cover streak. They went over in three of those four games and six of their last seven games. The Redhawks are 13-3 O/U their last 16 games following an ATS win. They are also 21-7 O/U in their last 28 overall games. Both these teams can score and have done well for over bettors. I'll take the over here on Tuesday. |
|||||||
| 03-12-23 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 227 | 93-112 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
|
Eastern Conference clash here on Sunday has Philadelphia hosting Washington. Washington is tied for 10th and the last playoff spot with Chicago as both are 31-36 on the season. The Wizards are coming off a loss at home to Atlanta, 107-114, as a 2-point dog with the game going UNDER. That broke a string where the Wizards have gone 5-0-1 O/U in their last six games. They are also 47-20-1 ATS in their last 68 games vs a team with a 60% or better win percentage. Philly is in third place in the East, 3.5-games back of first place Milwaukee and 2-games back of 2nd place Boston. Philly has won four straight games and gone over in four of their last five games. The Sixers are 11-5-1 O/U in their last 17 home games and 17-7-1 O/U in their last 25 games on one day rest. These teams have gone over in seven of their last nine meetings and 10 of the last 14 in Philly. I'm on the OVER here today. |
|||||||
| 03-09-23 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 235.5 | 110-131 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
|
Western Conference action here tonight has the 5th place Golden State Warriors taking on the 3rd place Memphis Grizzlies. The Warriors look to snap a two game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss at Oklahoma City, 128-137, as a 3.5-point favorite. While that game went over, that snapped a seven game UNDER streak by the Warriors. In fact, they have gone under in their last eight of 10 road games vs a team with a winning straight up record. The Grizzlies look to snap a 3-game losing streak here tonight. They are also on a decent under streak with a 1-6-1 O/U their last eight games. They are also 2-9 O/U in their last 11 games playing on one day rest. These teams have gone under in four of their last five meetings and 15 of the last 22 meetings in Memphis. I'll take the UNDER tonight. |
|||||||
| 03-08-23 | Thunder v. Suns OVER 233 | 101-132 | Push | 0 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
|
Western Conference clash here on Wednesday has the 4th place Phoenix Suns taking on the 11th place Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder are 31-34 overall and have won three straight games both S/U and ATS. The Thunder have also gone over in five straight and 6-0-1 O/U in their last seven games. They are also 4-1 O/U in their last five road games. The Phoenix Suns are 36-29 overall on the season. They have won and covered three straight games. They are also 4-2 O/U in their last six games. They are also 7-3 O/U in their last 10 games vs a team with a losing record. Plus the Suns have gone over in four of their last five home games. I look for a lot of points in this one tonight. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 02-27-23 | Heat v. 76ers UNDER 216.5 | 101-99 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
|
Eastern Conference clash here on Monday has 3rd place Philadelphia hosting 7th place Miami. Philadelphia is 39-20 and four games back of 1st place Boston. They have won seven of their last 10 games. Miami has won just four of their last 10 games and lost four straight. Miami does lead the SouthEast division, but that isn't saying much since no other team in the division has a record above the .500 mark. Miami doesn't score a lot, with just 108 their top mark over their last six outings and two games under 100 points. They are 13-18 O/U in their 31 road games this year, averaging 107.5 ppg. Philly had their five game win and spread streak snapped last game with a loss to the top team in the East, Boston, 107-110. Philly led a lot of that game to lose in a wild finish that saw Philly hit a 3/4 court length shot but time has just expired. These teams have gone under in eight of their last 11 meetings. Philly has gone under in their last two games. Your free play for Monday is on the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 02-26-23 | Lakers v. Mavs OVER 235.5 | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
|
The Lakers still sitting on the outside of the Western conference playoff picture as they sit 13th right now with a 28-32 record. However, they are just 1.5-games back of 10th place New Orleans. The Mavericks are in 6th place with their 32-29 record, with just 3.5 games separating 6th from 13th place in the West. The Lakers have won and covered two straight games after beating New Orleans and then last time over Golden State, 124-111, as a 6-point favorite. The Lakers have been a decent over team on the road, going 18-13 Ov/Un with an average score of 236.8 ppg. Dallas is coming off a win over their instate rivals, San Antonio, 142-116, as a 14-point favorite. The Mavs have now gone over in four of their last five games and scored at least 121 points in five of the last seven games. These teams have gone over in five of the las seven meeting in Dallas. I'll be on the OVER here today. |
|||||||
| 02-24-23 | Cavs v. Hawks OVER 227.5 | 119-136 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
|
Eastern Clash here today has Atlanta Hawks hosting the Cleveland Cavaliers. Cleveland is 4th in the East with a 38-24 overall record. Atlanta is 8th in the East with a 29-30 overall record. The Cavs have lost two straight. They started the second half of the season with a loss yesterday to Denver, 1-9-115, as a 3-point dog. Now they play tonight at Atlanta. They have seen their last two games go over and are 3-1-1 O/U in their last five. The Hawks have lost two straight games as they play their first game of the 2nd half of the season tonight. These teams have a 31-15 O/U mark the last 46 times they have met. I will be on the over here tonight. |
|||||||
| 02-23-23 | Spurs v. Mavs OVER 239 | 116-142 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
|
Texas rivalry here tonight has Dallas hosting San Antonio. Dallas is 6th in the West as we start the second half of the season. San Antonio is next to last in the West with a 14-45 record. They also have the worst point differential in the West with a -10.2 mark. The Spurs have been really bad, losing 14 straight games as we play tonight. They have only covered two of those games, going 2-12 ATS. They are coming off a loss at Charlotte, 110-120, as a 5-point dog. They also allow a whopping 124.1 ppg on the road this year. They have also gone OVER in their last six road games vs a team with a home win percentage of 60% or better. The Mavs look to snap a three-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss at Denver, 109-118, as a 5-point dog. They have gone over in three of their last four games and five of their last seven games. I'm going to pass on a side tonight and look at taking the OVER. |
|||||||
| 02-16-23 | Wizards v. Wolves OVER 234.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
|
The Washington Wizards are 27-30 overall on the season and 28-28-1 ATS. They are 3rd in the SouthEast division. The Wizards are coming off a win at Portland, 126-101 at Portland. They have gone over in two of their last three games. The Wizards have scored at least 126 points in each of their last three games. The Wizards are 5-0 O/U in their last five games vs a team with a winning straight up record. The Minnesota Timberwolves are 31-29 overall and 28-302 vs the spread. They have gone over in four straight and five of their last six games. They average 115.9 ppg but also allow 115.8 ppg on the season. These teams have gone over in their last four games at Minnesota. They are also 16-5 O/U in the last 21 meetings. I'm taking OVER today. |
|||||||
| 02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 26 m | Show |
|
I look at the defenses to be the superior units in this game, especially the Philly defense which has been great. However, it's offenses which win Super Bowls. I also like Andy Reid who has been here many times and knows how to coach in the Super Bowl. Philly has a young coach and young team making their first appearance in some time. You can make a argument for just about any side or total in this contest. For me, I'm looking at a very good Philly defense to keep the score low. Plus, You have Jalen Hurts with that aching throwing shoulder. He hasn't been called on to make many throws the last two games, both of which dominated by the Philly defense. So we'll have to see if that changes much here on Sunday. I'm taking the UNDER in the Super Bowl and going against the historic trends of overs. I look for defense to be the units that take more over in this contest. So lets take the UNDER in the Super Bowl. |
|||||||
| 02-06-23 | Clippers v. Nets OVER 220 | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
|
The LA Clippers have been playing very well, winning seven of their last nine games. They have been on the road for five games, going 3-2 S/U and 4-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over the Knicks, 134-128, as a 2.5-point favorite. They play the final game of their road sweep here tonight before returning to the Staples Center. The Clippers have been a very good over team, with a 17-6 Ov/Un record their last 23 road games. They are also 5-2 O/U in their last seven overall games and 15-7-1 O/U their last 23 vs a team with a winning home record. The Nets rebounded from their loss at Boston on Wednesday with a win over the Wizards, 125-123, as a 1.5-point dog. It was their second straight over game and fifth in their last six games. They are also 5-3 S/U in their last eight games. The Nets have gone over in five of their last six games and are 3-1-1 O/U in their last five playing on one day rest. Both teams are playing well, but I'll just stick with the OVER here tonight. |
|||||||
| 02-04-23 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech UNDER 129.5 | 68-74 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
|
ACC action early on Saturday has a pair of rivals facing off as Virginia Tech host Virginia. Virginia looks headed to another NCAA tournament with a nifty 17-3 overall record. The Cavs are also 9-2 in conference play and a half game behind ACC leading Clemson. Tech is going to need a big last push if they hope to make the Big Dance as they sit 13-9 overall and just 3-8 in conference play. Virginia has won seven straight games and is 4-3 Over/UNDER in that span. One of those is also against Tech back on Jan 18th in which they won at VT 76-68, as a 5-point favorite. Virginia Tech is coming off a loss at Miami, 83-92, as a 3.5-point dog. The Hokies are just 2-8 S/U and ATS in their last 10 games. The Hokies have gone under in five of their last six games when playing a team with a winning record. Same for the Cavs, they have also gone under in five of their last six vs a winning team. While these teams went over last time at Virginia, I'm taking them under here today. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 02-03-23 | Blazers v. Wizards OVER 236 | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
|
Portland can get back to the .500 mark with a win tonight over the Wizards. The 25-26 Blazers are coming off a win at Memphis, 122-112, as a 5.5-point dog. That makes four wins in their last five games. Washington is two-games under .500 with their 24-26 record. The Wizards look to extend their win streak to seven games both S/U and ATS tonight. They have scored at least 113 points in five of those six wins. They have been a decent over team at home, going 35-17-2 O/U in their last 54 home games. These teams have also gone over in 12 of their last 17 meetings. Moreover, five of the last six meetings in Washington have gone over. I'll take OVER here tonight. |
|||||||
| 01-31-23 | Hornets v. Bucks OVER 243.5 | 115-124 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
|
The Charlotte Hornets are just 15-36 overall this season. They have won two straight games though, with wins over Chicago and last game over Miami, 122-117. They have gone over in four of their last seven games. They average 112.2 overall and slightly more on the road, 113.8 ppg. However, they allow 120.4 ppg this year on the road. Charlotte has gone over in 23 of their last 32 road games this season. Milwaukee is 33-17 and has won four straight games and six of their last seven. They have gone over in two straight and three of their last four. The Bucks are 13-3 O/U in their last 16 home games. These teams have also gone over in five of the last six meetings in Milwaukee. Tall number to climb tonight, but I'll take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 01-31-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green OVER 152.5 | 69-60 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
|
Two teams trying to improve their position in the MAC face off today as 4th place Ball State takes on 5th place Bowling Green. Ball State is 5-3 in the MAC and 14-7 overall. Ball State is coming off a win over Northern Illinois, 87-69. They have gone over their last three games. The Cardinals have also gone over in their last four road games and 6-2 O/U their last eight overall games. Bowling Green is 4-4 in the MAC and 10-11 overall. Bowling Green looks to rebound from their loss at Toledo, 77-91. The game went over and they are 4-1-1 O/U their last six games. The Falcons have also gone over in four of their last five home games. I will take the over here tonight between these teams. |
|||||||
| 01-31-23 | Akron v. Buffalo OVER 146.5 | 81-64 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
|
Akron tied for the best record in the MAC right now with a 7-1 conference record and 15-6 overall mark. The Zips have also won six straight games. Buffalo sits in tied for 5th with Bowling Green at 4-4 and 10-11 overall. Akron has gone over their last two games, totaling 160 and 141. The Zips have gone over in five of their last seven overall. Buffalo is only 2-4 their last six games, going over in four of those. The Bulls average 86.7 ppg at home this year while allowing 74.3 ppg. I like this game to go over here tonight. |
|||||||
| 01-30-23 | Hawks v. Blazers OVER 236.5 | Top | 125-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
|
The Atlanta Hawks look to get above the .500 mark as they continue their Western road trip at Portland tonight. The Hawks have dropped to 25-25 with their recent 1-3 slide. They are coming off a loss at home to the Clippers, 113-120, as a 1-point favorite. The Hawks are just 10-24 ATS their last 34 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Portland is 23-26 on the season and is coming off a loss at home to Toronto, 105-123, after wins over Utah and San Antonio. This team can score too, getting 134 vs the Jazz and 147 vs the Spurs. They eclipse 130 quite frequently. The Blazers are 14-9-1 ATS at home and average 119.4 ppg. Five of the last six meetings in this series have gone OVER. The Hawks have also gone over in six of their last seven games. With the points the Blazers can score, this one could be a high scoring affair. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 01-29-23 | Pelicans v. Bucks OVER 233 | 110-135 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
|
Two of the best in their respective conferences meet today as the 3rd place Eastern Conference Bucks host the 5th place Western Conference Pelicans. The Pelicans have a winning record but you wouldn't know it by their play of late, as they are riding a seven game losing streak. They are 9-15 on the road but a good over team on the road with a 16-8 Ov/Un record. They are also 18-4 O/U their last 22 games vs a team with a winning straight-up record. The Milwaukee Bucks are 32-17 overall on the season and bring a 3-game winning streak into today's contest. They have a good home over/under record, going over in 16 of their 24 home games. They are also 12-3 in their last 15 home games. These teams have gone over in their last six meetings in Milwaukee and 26-9 O/U in their last 35 overall meetings. I'll be on the OVER here today. |
|||||||
| 01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 48.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
|
AT this point of the season you can pretty much make a case for either side in a matchup. The Bengals jumped out to a 14-0 lead last week at Buffalo and really shut down one of the best offenses in the NFL and QB's in Josh Allen. It was a complete game for the Bengals who controlled the game from the opening kickoff to the final whistle. If QB Jeff Burrow were to retire today, he would have the highest completion rate EVER in the NFL among QB's. Pretty impressive. The Chiefs hosted the Jaguars last week and while I had KC, the Jags got the back door cover on the last drive. Happens, they could allow a field goals so the Chiefs played a prevent defense and allowed the Jags to march down the field in last minute to get a field goal to cover the spread. But the biggest news was the high ankle sprain to QB Patrick Mahomes. He came out a a brief time, but came back in and finished with 195 yards and two passing td's. QB Chad Henne came into the game and led the Chiefs on a 98-yard touchdown drive while Mahomes was being tended to. Mahomes vows to play this week and I believe he will play. However, we will see a different Mahomes here in this game. One that can't scramble as well and definitely won't be doing a lot of running. He will be more of a drop back passer and will likely have more "dump off" options. This game comes down to QB's. I feel Burrows is arguably the best QB in the NFL and he proved it last week. Yes, Mahomes is great, but how limited will his game be with an injury that some players take weeks off to heal from? With Mahomes hobbled and the excellent rushing of the Bengals, I look for this game to be lower scoring. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
|
The two best defensive teams in the NFL will meet here in the NFL Championship round. The Eagles topped the NFL, allowing just 297 yards per game. They were 17th vs the rush but first vs the pass. That should be good here today against rookie QB for San Francisco Purdy. Purdy has been great this year, but we'll see how he holds up in hostile Philly against the top ranked passing defense. Where the Eagles might get exploited is rushing. The Giants have Christian McCaffrey who could do well here today. San Francisco has the 2nd ranked overall defense, allowing 301 yards per game. They are 2nd vs the rush and 20th vs the pass. They will be tasked with containing Philly QB Jalen Hurts. The 49ers have gone under in their last seven playoff road games. They are also 1-5 O/U in their last six overall playoff games. Philly has gone under in their last four games on grass and are 1-4 O/U their last five overall. The Eagles are 3-12-1 O/U their last 16 playoff games at home. These teams have also gone under the last four times they have met. I like defenses come playoff time and I for both these units to do well here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 01-28-23 | Rockets v. Pistons OVER 236 | 117-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
|
It's a battle of the bottom dwellers as the last place team in the East, Detroit, takes on the last place team from the West, Houston. The Pistons are 13-37 on the season. They are coming off a rare win at Brooklyn, 130-122, as a 8.5-point dog. It was the second straight game the Pistons have scored 130 points, though they gave up 150 to Milwaukee on Monday. The Pistons allow the most points in the East, coming in at 120.3 ppg. The Rockets are 11-38 on the season adn have lost two straight after beating Minnesota last Saturday. They have lost 15 of their last 16 games. Houston also allows a lot of points per game, 117.1 ppg. These teams have gone over in nine of the last 12 meetings in Detroit. I expect a lot of points in this one today. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 01-27-23 | Magic v. Heat UNDER 220 | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
|
Eastern Conference clash here on Friday has Orlando taking on their intrastate rivals, Miami. Orlando is 13th in the East with a 19-29 record and 6-17 road mark. The Miami Heat are 6th in the East with a 27-22 record and 16-9 home mark. Orlando has won two-straight games, beating Boston and then Indiana at home. Overall, the Magic have been a slightly over team with a 25-22-1 O/U mark. However, that changes on the road where they are 10-12-1 O/U and their ppg drops almost four points. Not sure what it is about Friday's, but the Magic are 3-14 O/U their last 17 on this day. Miami has also won two straight, going UNDER in both of those home games. The Heat have gone under their last four at home and are 3-9 O/U their last 12 games overall. Like Orlando, they are also 4-9 O/U their last 13 on Friday. These teams have gone under in five of their last seven meetings in Miami. I'll be on the UNDER here tonight. |
|||||||
| 01-27-23 | Grizzlies v. Wolves OVER 237.5 | 100-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
|
Two playoff bound Western Conference teams meet up today in Minnesota as the T'Wolves host the Memphis Grizzlies. Memphis is 2nd in the West with a 31-17 record, but they have a losing road record of 11-14. Minnesota is 8th right now with a 25-25 record and 16-10 home mark. Memphis saw their 11 game win streak snapped and since have lost four straight games. On that win streak they were also 7-2 O/U the last nine games. Minnesota is coming off a win at New Orleans, 111-102, as a 3-point dog. They average 117.5 ppg at home while allowing 115.7 ppg. Tall total here at 238 or 239, but when Memphis wins they tend to get the overs and that's what I'm looking for here today. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
| 01-26-23 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 221 | 113-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
|
The Cleveland Cavaliers are 5th overall in the Eastern Conference with a 29-20 record. They have been averaging 111.5 ppg while allowing 107.2 ppg on the season. The Cavs are coming off a loss at New York, 103-105, as a 3.5-point favorite. That makes them 4-6 S/U their last 10 games. They have also gone 5-5 Ov/Un their last 10 games. The Houston Rockets are dead last in the Western Conference with a 11-37 record. They have averaged 109.7 ppg while allowing 117.2 ppg. They have lost 13 of their last 14 games. I'll be looking at the over in tonight's contest. The Cavs are 11-5-1 O/U in their last 17 on the road vs a team with a losing home record. Houston has gone over in five of their last seven games. They are 19-8 O/U in their last 27 games playing on no rest. I'll take the OVER tonight. |
|||||||
| 01-25-23 | Xavier v. Connecticut OVER 153.5 | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
|
Xavier looks to keep hold of their top spot in the Big East Conference. Xavier is 16-4 overall on the season and 8-1 in conference. Meanwhile, Connecticut is 16-5 overall and 5-5 in conference and in 5th place. Xavier rebounded from a loss on last Wednesday to Depaul, 72-73 as a 8-point road favorite with a home win over Georgetown, 95-82, but failed to cover the 17-point line. Still, they are 5-2 ATS their last seven games and have lost straight up just one time in their last 13 games. They have also been good on the road, going 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS their five away games, outscoring the home teams by an average of 85.2 to 79.6 points. Xavier has also been a very good over team with a 15-5 O/U record on the season. That makes them 19-7-1 O/U their last 27 overall games. In addition, they are 5-2 O/U their last seven road games. The U Conn Huskies came into conference play with a 11-0 record. However, the Big East hasn't been kind as they have gone 5-5 since. In fact, they are just 2-5 S/U their last seven games and 2-7 ATS their last nine games. They have been a decent over team too, going 3-1 O/U their last four and 6-3 O/U their last nine. They have also gone 36-17 O/U in their last 53 overall home games. Both these teams are good over teams and both can score. I don't think the oddsmaker made a tall enough over/under line for these two. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers OVER 46 | 12-19 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 32 m | Show | |
|
The Dallas Cowboys sent Tom Brady and the Bucs home with their dominating performance in the Wild Card game last week, 31-14. Dak Prescot was red-hot, throwing four TD's and running in another. Now the Cowboys will hit the road for this Divisional game at San Francisco. The 49ers are the hottest team with 11 straight wins and QB Brock Purdy, last man in the draft taken last year, now proving his worth. The 49ers are the best defense in the league and lead in point differential with a +10.6 mark. Don't put a lot of stock into that Cowboys win last week, the Bucs have looked bad all season as they limped into the playoff spot with a losing record. Dallas actually has the short week to prepare having played on Monday night. I expect the 49ers to be run heavy in this game with Chrisitan McCaffrey carrying the load. This team is filled with weapons on offense. I look for a higher scoring game here if the weather permits and it looks good right now. Both teams have been offensive juggernauts thus far and I don't see that changing. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
| 01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs OVER 45 | 31-14 | Push | 0 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
|
Monday Night Football has the Cowboys playing at the Tampa Bay Bucs. For the first time in his career Tom Brady had a losing season with a team. That and the fact that on paper the Cowboys are the better team is why the Bucs are a home dog of a Field goal here on Monday. Yes, you can make many arguments why to back the Cowboys here on Monday. How poorly this Bucs team played this year, how much trouble they had putting points on the board, their last place rushing offense.... and on and on. However, I'm backing the Bucs for one reason and only one reason here on Monday and that reason is TOM BRADY. It's playoff time and that's where Tom shines. And I do expect to see a lot more upempo pace from Brady here on Monday. Brady and this offense has looked stagnant, expect under pressure of late game time clock. I see them doing a lot more no huddle and hurry up here on Monday. And with that I'm taking a shot on the OVER here on Monday Night. |
|||||||
| 01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 42 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
|
The Seattle Seahawks are all Lions fans today after they backed their way into the Playoffs when the Lions went into Lambeau field and beat the Green Bay Packers. If I had a vote, Dan Campbell of the lions would get NFL Coach of the Year. The 9-8 Seahawks don't have to travel far as they play the 13-4 49ers. The Seahawks (9-8) are the No 7 seed in the playoffs. These teams have met two times this year with the 49ers taking both games. The 49ers have been on a roll, winning 10 straight games. The Niners lost both their 1 and 2 QB's when Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo both when down with injuries. However, Rookie Brock Purdy has been excellent in the role of QB with 13 TD's and just three INT's. The 49ers backbone is their defense, with the top ranked defense. They also allow just 16.3 ppg (tops in the NFL) and have held the Seahawks to just 20 points total in both games this year. While the under seems the logical choice here, I'm actually going against that. The Seaahawks have gone over in their last five playoff road games. The 49ers have gone over their last four hme games and 5-1 Ov/Un in five of their last six overall games. I'll take the OVER here today. |
|||||||
| 01-08-23 | Jets v. Dolphins UNDER 37 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
|
For one of these teams they will snap a five game losing streak, the other will finish with six straight losses to end the season. The Jets looked like a team heading for the playoffs until this run of five loss and now they can only play for pride. The Dolphins still have a shot at the playoffs, but need a win coupled with a Patriots loss or tie to the Bills. The Dolphins lost at New England last week, 21-23. Teddy Bridgewater has taken over at QB for injured Tua Tagovailoa. With Tua. Bridgewater was solid, but dislocated his pinky finger and had to be replaced by Skylar Thompson. Still unsure if Bridgewater will go today or back to Thompson. Joe Flacco will start for the Jets with Zach Wilson a huge disappointment in New York. The Jest will also be without three starting offensive linemen today. I don't see the Jets rolling over here today, but do they have the offensive weapons or line for that matter? What I expect is a defense to come out fired-up and ready to play. With Thompson at QB for the Dolphins I don't see a lot of points on that side of the ball either. I'll take this game UNDER. |
|||||||
| 01-08-23 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 40.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
|
A big AFC North game here on Sunday has the Browns playing at the Steelers. The Browns have been eliminated from the playoffs but look to play spoiler and keep the Steelers home too. The Browns did it last week, beating Washington and eliminating them from the playoffs. The Browns have lots of injuries though, especially on the offensive side of the ball so points might be difficult today for Cleveland. The Steelers have won three straight games and five of their last six. The Steelers have the best rushing defense in the league and will look to stop the Browns potent rushing attack. The Steelers offense has struggled though as QB Kenny Pickett has more INT's then TD's. Either way this game goes, I expect a low scoring contest here today. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 01-01-23 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 35.5 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
|
AFC North Clash here on Sunday has the Pittsburgh Steelers not officially elminated from the playoffs but in need in help and a win here on Sunday. The Steelers are 7-8 on the season and have won two straight games. They scored a late touchdown last week to beat the Raiders, 13-10, as a 2.5-point favorite. They held the Raiders to just 201 totals yards and 58 rushing yards. The Baltimore Ravens have secured a playoffs spot with their 10-5 record. The Ravens beat the Falcons last week 17-9, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Ravens will one again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who is out with a knee injury. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five, 16-7-3 ATS their last 26 games in January and 9-4-1 ATS their last 14 in Week 17. The Steelers are also 2-5 Ov/Un in their last seven vs the NFC North and 22-47-1 Ov/Un in their last 70 road games. The Ravens are 1-5-1 their last seven vs the AFC and AFC North. They are also 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Ravens have gone under in their last four games, under in their last eight on field turf and under in six straight at home. The Dog is 20-6-3 ATS the last 29 meetings between these teams. These teams have also gone under in six of the last eight in Baltimore and under in four straight overall. I'm taking the Steelers and the UNDER here today in a must win spot against a Baltimore team that I don't expect to get many points. |
|||||||
| 01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers OVER 47.5 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
|
Just two weeks left in the regular season and the Minnesota Vikings have wrapped-up the NFC North Division with a 12-3 record. They are 5-games ahead of both Detroit and the Packers. Packers need a win here today to keep their postseason hopes alive. The Vikings beat the Giants last week, 27-24, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Packers went to Miami and beat the Dolphins, 26-20, as a 3.5- point favorite. The Packers were +3 in turnover ratio in that game. The Vikings are just 3-10 ATS their last 13 vs a team with a losing record. The Packers do well on the grass, going 17-7 ATS their last 24. The Vikings are 5-1 Ov/Un in their last six vs the NFC North and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine on hte road vs a team with a losing home record. They have also gone over in five straight games. The Packers are 11-5 Ov/Un in their last 16 vs the NFC North and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 games in week 17 of the season. The Packers have covered nine of the last 13 vs the Vikings in Green Bay and the home team is 9-4 ATS the last 13. In addition, these games have gone over in four of their last five Meetings. Take the Over in this matchup today. |
|||||||
| 01-01-23 | Bears v. Lions OVER 52.5 | 10-41 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
|
With just two weeks to play, the Detroit Lions still have an outside shot of the making they playoffs as they are tied with the Packers at 7-8 in the NFC North. The Lions lost last week at Carolina, 23-37, as a 1.5-point favorite. They gave up 570 total yards to the Panthers, 320 rushing and 250 passing. Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears are in last place in the NFC North and eliminated from the playoffs. They lost at home last week to the Bills, 13-35 as a 8-point dog. The Lions have the fourth ranked offense in the NFL while Chicago is 27th. Problem is the Lions have the last ranked defense while Chicago is just slightly better at 23rd. The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 on the field turf. They are also 7-21 ATS their last 28 vs the NFC and 2-6 ATS their last eight road games. The Bears have gone over in their last five road games and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine overall games. The Lions are 8-0 ATS their last eight vs the NFC and 7-1 ATS their last eight overall. Detroit is 7-2 Ov/Un in seven of their last nine home games. They are also 5-1 Ov/Un in five of their last six vs the NFC. Detroit will have to go all out here at home on Sunday to keep those playoff hopes alive. Chicago has no motivation in this one. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
| 01-01-23 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 40.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
|
The Tampa Bay Bucs are only 7-8 on the season but can win the NFC South here on Sunday with a win over the 2nd place Carolina Panthers. This really is a playoff game for both teams because the loser could be out of the playoffs. Tampa Bay has pretty much been a dead under team this year. They are 4-11 Over/Under on the season and their offense has been very vanilla this year. They actually rank ok, 15th overall in the NFL in offense. However, the rushing game is dead last while QB Tom Brady has had to throw for his life this year and has them 4th in passing offense. Carolina has the 29th ranked offense, 10th in rushing and 28th in passing. The Panthers kept their playoff hopes alive with a win over Detroit last week, 37-23. They have already beaten the Bucs once this year so another win here and they hold the tie-breaker. The Panthers are 3-8 Ov/Un in their last 11 vs the NFC South. The Bucs are 4-17 Ov/Un in their last 21 vs the NFC. I look for a low scoring game here on Sunday. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 12-31-22 | Iowa v. Kentucky UNDER 31 | Top | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
|
The Iowa Hawkeyes and Kentucky WildCats will meet here in the Music City Bow, their second straight postseason meeting. The same teams met last year in the Citrus Bowl with Kentucky coming out on top 20-17. Iowa started the season slow, going 3-4 after being pummeled by Ohio State, 54-10. However, after Mark Stoops turned down the Iowa job that seemed to revitalize the team as they went 4-1 the rest of the way with big wins over Purdue, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Kentucky started the season 4-0 and then went 3-5 the rest of the to finish 7-5. Look for a low scoring bowl game here with the impressive Iowa defense on the field. The Iowa offense ranks near the bottom of the nation, scoring just 17.9 points per game. Now add to that the loss of QB Spencer Petras and those numbers likely will be even less here today. QB Alex Padilla would have started, but he entered the transfer portal so the duties fall to third stringer, Joe Labas. No one knows much about Labas so the WildCats can't really prepare for him. Kentucky will also be without their top QB, as Will Levis has opted out of today's game. So has RB Christopher Rodriquez Jr, who led the team in rushing. The Cats also fired OC Rich Scangarello. Hard to play any game under this posted total, but will either team score here today? This will be very low scoring and I'll take a shot under this low posted total. Play UNDER. |
|||||||
| 12-29-22 | Thunder v. Hornets UNDER 239 | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
|
OKC Thunder are 15-19 S/U and 21-13 ATS on the season. The Thunder have won four of the last five games both S/U and ATS. The Charlotte Thunder are 9-26 S/U and 15-20 ATS on the season. They have lost two straight both S/U and ATS. I'll be looking at the total in tonight's contest. The THunder are 2-5 O/U in their last seven road games. Charlotte has been a very good under team, going 5-13-1 O/U in their last 19 home games. The last five meetings between these teams have gone under in Charlotte and six of the last eight have gone under overall. That's what I will on tonight. The UNDER. |
|||||||
| 12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts UNDER 44.5 | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
|
The Indianapolis Colts are officially eliminated with their 4-9-1 overall record. They will host the 8-6 Chargers tonight. Chargers trying for one of those Wild Card games and right now it's theirs to lose. The Chargers are coming off a win last week over the Tennessee Titans, 17-14 as a 3-point favorite. That is two wins in a row and three of their last four games. The Chargers offense is 12th overall, but just 31st rushing and 3rd passing. The defense is 21st, 11th vs pass and 28th vs the rush. The Colts are coming off that devastating loss to the Vikings where they blew the biggest lead in NFL History, 33-0, before losing 36-39 in OT. Have to wonder if they have anything left in the tank here tonight. The Colts will start their third different QB here tonight as Matt Ryan takes a seat. In comes Nick Foles, who has started just once in the last two seasons. Foles will lineup behind the worst pass protection line in the NFL. Foles will also be without Jonathon Taylor who is back on the IR. The Colts offense, despite the 36 points last week, has not eclipsed 20 points in nine of their first 13 games. Tonight a new QB and no Taylor? I think I'll stick with the UNDER here tonight as the Colts have problems putting points on the board. Play UNDER. |
|||||||
| 12-24-22 | Raiders v. Steelers UNDER 38 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
|
That cyclone bomb hitting most of the US will provide one of the coldest games in team's history here in the Raiders vs Steelers game. It's a Special Christmas eved night here at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh as the Steelers celebrate the 50th anniversary of the Immaculate Reception. They expect one of the coldest games in team history with temps in the single digits and with the wind chill that will drop well below the zero degree mark. The previous coldest game came in 1977 when the temp hit -2 degrees. Wind plays the biggest factor for me going to the UNDER and it's going to be windy here today. The Raiders will have lots of troubles in this one in the cold weather. Take the UNDER and stay warm. |
|||||||
| 12-24-22 | Bills v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | 35-13 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
|
Another of these games affected by the weather cyclone bomb hitting most of the country. It's going to be very windy and cold in Chicago on Saturday. There likely won't be any rain/snow, but for me wind plays the biggest factor in NFL totals. Passing becomes difficult and teams will have to rely on their rushing games. In these kinds of games you pretty much toss all the numbers and analytics out the window. The weather is the factor here and the cold and the wind especially. I'm taking under in what should be a blistery, cold day in Chicago. |
|||||||
| 12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns UNDER 32 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
|
The New Orleans Saints will miss their cozy indoor stadium here on Saturday as the face the Cyclone bomb hitting the USA. The weather will be the biggest news maker here on Satudray. It's going to be a frightful night in Cleveland as the teamps will be around 10 degrees and the wind chills could be anywhere from -20 to -30 degrees. Cleveland is no stranger to bad weather in the NFL, but this game likely will go down the history books as one of if not the coldest games. Expect the Browns to showcase plenty of Kareen Hund and Nick Chubb here today. Don't execpt to see a lot of balls being thrown in these conditions. The Browns have used these kinds of weather conditions to their advantage for years. For me though, I'm sticking with the UNDER. |
|||||||
| 12-22-22 | Jaguars v. Jets UNDER 37 | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
|
It's going to be an ugly day in the Meadowlands as the weather won't be good. The Jags, who are used to that Florida weather, will have to put up with cold, rain and wind here tonight. For me it's about the wind and we could see gusts over 20 mph. Anything over 15 and you start to effect totals. Plus it will be soaking rain and cold. The Jets already have the league's third top defense as they keep moving up the standings. The offense is 19th while Jax is ranked 6th. The Jags are 2nd in the AFC South, a game back of Tennessee. Right now the best path for the Jags to the postseason is win the AFC South. Getting Wild Card looks harder than winning the division. They have a week 18 meeting with the Titans and that could determine who wins the division. The Jets are 7-7 and right now trail both the Chargers and Dolphins for the Wild Card who are 8-6. The Jets playoff chances have really been hurt by their 1-4 record their last five games. The Jets need to win their last three games to have a real shot at the Wild Card. Their week 18 matchup at Miami looks to be their most critical game right now. So tonight, both teams need this game. For me, I'm taking the UNDER in what looks to be horrible conditions. |
|||||||
| 12-19-22 | Connecticut v. Marshall UNDER 41 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
|
Just one game on the college bowl schedule here on Monday, The Myrtle Beach Bowl from Conway, SC has Marshall playing U Conn. The U Conn are 6-6 S/U and 9-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss to Army back on Nov 19th, 17-34, as a 10-point dog. The Huskies are in their first season under coach Jim Mora and made their first bowl game since 2015 and with a win their first winning season in 10 years. The Marshall Thundering Herd was 8-4 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Marshall defense was very good this year, allowing just 16.2 ppg on the season. The Herd finished third in the Sun Belt conference behind Coastal Carolina and James Madison. They finished the season winning four straight games and covering three of those. Marshall is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Bowl games and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 on real grass. U Conn is just 0-4 ATS in their last four neutral site games. Marshall is a big running club and I look for them to control the ball on the ground here today. Couple that with their excellent defense and I look for this game to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
| 12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs UNDER 45 | 34-23 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
|
The Cincinnati Bengals will have extra incentive here today after AFC North co-leader Baltimore lost on Saturday at Cleveland, 3-13. A win by the Bengals today and they take over sole place atop the division. Tampa Bay leads the worst division in football, the NFC South. The Bucs might not make the playoffs if they were in any other division, but here they lead the South by one game over both the Panthers and Falcons with their 6-7 record. The Bucs got beat bad last week at San Francisco, 7-35, as a 3.5-point dog. The running game continues to be bad, gaining just 69 total yards. Tampa Bay ranks 18th overall in offense, but last in rushing with just 73 yards per game average. If not for their 5th rank pass attack this unit would be even worse. Cincinnati has the 5th ranked offense, 4th in passing. The Bengals won last week at home over the Browns, 23-10, as a 4.5-point favorite. Just how bad has this Tampa Bay offense been? They have scored over 22 points just one time the entire season and that was a losing effort at home vs the Chiefs, 31-41. The rushing game has gone over 100 yards just two times all season. The Bengals are 4-13-1 Ov/Un in their last 18 games. They are also 6-19-2 Ov/Un in their last 27 road games vs a team with a losing home record and 9-24-3 Ov/Un their last 36 overall on the road. The Bucs have gone under in four of their last five home games and six of their last eight on grass. I'm sticking with the UNDER here today. |
|||||||