Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-09-17 | St. John's +6.5 v. Georgetown | 55-83 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (St. John's +6.5) I'll gladly fade the Hoyas at home off a heartbreaking overtime loss at home against Butler. Georgetown has started out 0-4 in Big East play for a reason. They aren't a great team. St. John's comes in with a record under .500 but I like the fight in Chris Mullin's squad and see no reason why they can't keep this game close and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. History suggests it's a great spot to jump on the Red Storm after their performance last time out, which saw them lose 82-97 at Xavier, allowing the Musketeers to shooting 58.6% from the field. St. John's is 35-18 ATS in their last 53 road games off a conference loss by 10 or more and a perfect 12-0 ATS in their last 12 road games after allowing a shooting percentage of 55% or better in their last game. Give me the Red Storm +6.5! |
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01-08-17 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -3 | Top | 55-66 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Purdue -3) The Boilermakers are worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Badgers. I really like what I have seen from this Purdue team and I like how they matchup with Wisconsin. So much of what the Badgers do is getting after teams on the offensive boards, but that won't be easy against the size and talent of the Boilermakers frontcourt. It's also worth noting that Purdue is 8-2 at home and the Badgers have not had much luck in recent trips to Mackey Arena. The Boilermakers have won 11 of the last 14 at home against Wisconsin and I really like their chances at making that 12 of 15 this afternoon. Give me Purdue -3! |
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01-08-17 | Wizards v. Bucks -4 | 107-101 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Bucks -4) I'm backing the Bucks at home laying what I think is a short number given how poorly the Wizards have played on the road. Washington is just 3-12 on the highway this season. The Wizards already made one trip to Milwaukee and it didn't go so well, as the Bucks cruised to a 123-96 win. The Bucks had a 3-game win streak snapped in their last game, losing 111-116 in an ugly collapse late. I look for that to have Milwaukee in prime form and this is a team that looks to be playing with a chip on their shoulder as it is. Bucks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games after failing to cover 2 or more in a row and 32-18 ATS in their last 40 at home off a SU loss. Give me Milwaukee -4! |
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01-07-17 | Knicks v. Pacers -7 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA Bookie Dominator (Pacers -7) It's taken a lot longer than expected, but Indiana is finally starting to play like the team that everyone thought we would see out of the gates. The talent is definitely there for this Pacers team to go on a big run and with a mere 19-18 record, there's a lot of work left to do to. Indiana comes in having won and covered in 4 straight games and are in a great scheduling spot playing their 4th home game in their last 5 games. Not the same case for the Knicks. While New York snapped a 6-game losing streak with a 116-111 win at Milwaukee last night, they don't figure to have a whole lot left in the tank. Not only are they playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set, but this is their 3rd game in 4 days. It's also worth noting last night's game took a little extra out of them, as they had to rally from a 18-point deficit. That was also a rare road win, as the Knicks are just 6-12 away from home. Give me the Pacers -7! |
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01-07-17 | Illinois v. Indiana -11 | 80-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer (Indiana -11) I have no problem laying this big number on the Hoosiers at home in what I believe Indiana is going to treat as a must-win. The Hoosiers have started out 0-2 in Big Ten play and also have a lost to Louisville sandwiched around their two conference defeats. This is one of the elite teams in the country and they know if they want to win the Big Ten, this is a game they have to have. I like their chances of laying it on Illinois, who has played just 1 true road game and it was ugly, losing 59-84 to a pretty average Maryland team. We also saw the Illini lose by double-digits in a neutral site game against FSU and get rolled by 32 points in another neutral site game by West Virginia. Give me Indiana -11! |
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01-07-17 | Mississippi State v. LSU -3 | 95-78 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (LSU -3) These two teams come in with identical 9-4 records and I think has created some great value here with the Tigers as a small home favorite. LSU is kind of a forgotten team now that Ben Simmons isn't there. Having lost their conference opener at home to Vanderbilt, I look for the Tigers to be extra motivated to defend their home court here against a pretty average Mississippi State team. That loss to the Commodores was the Tigers first home defeat of the season. As for the Bulldogs, they haven't played a true road game yet this season and also played the much easier schedule of the two. Going this deep into the season and having not played in an opponent's gym is a tall task to overcome. Give me LSU -3! |
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01-07-17 | Creighton -4 v. Providence | 78-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Creighton -4) I see a complete mismatch here in favor of the Bluejays. Creighton is an elite team and every bit deserving of being ranked No. 10 in the country. What this team is doing offensively is hard to ignore. The Bluejays are shooting 53.5% from the field and 42.2% from 3-point range on the season. Which is really impressive considering they are 15 games in. They aren't just feasting on bad opponents. They shot 50% against Wisconsin, 60.6% against NC State, 56.3% against Wash St, 50.8% against Nebraska, 56.6% against Seton Hall and 49.2% against Villanova. Providence is not a great defensive team and have really struggled to stop the better teams they have faced. Virginia shot 59.5% against them, Xavier shot 60.4% and Butler shot 61.9%. I don't think this one is going to be close. Give me Creighton -4! |
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01-06-17 | Knicks +5.5 v. Bucks | 116-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational Dog of the Day (Knicks +5.5) New York comes into this one having lost 6 straight games and last time fell 104-105 at home to the Bucks. Now these same two teams play in Milwaukee and I think we are getting exceptional value given the situation. New York is simply going to want this game more. Not only to get revenge from a crushing loss on a last second shot, but to put an end to their losing streak and get back to playing well. Win or lose, I think the Knicks keep this close and cover the spread. Give me New York +5.5! |
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01-06-17 | Wolves v. Wizards -4.5 | Top | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wizards -4.5) I think we are catching a great number on Washington at home against a Timberwolves team that just keeps getting a lot of love from the books, despite the fact that they are now 11-24 overall and just 14-21 ATS. The Wizards come in off back-to-back losses, but both of those came on the road. One was at Houston, who is an elite team and the other was at Dallas on no rest. Now they return home where they have won 8 straight. Washington is a team on the rise (won 9 of 12) and I just don't trust the Wolves, who are a mere 5-12 on the road. Give me the Wizards -4.5! |
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01-06-17 | Rhode Island v. Dayton -2 | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Rhode Island/Dayton ESPN2 Bookie Knockout (Dayton -2) I'll gladly back the Flyers at home at basically a pick'em. Dayton comes into this one off an impressive 90-74 road win at St Bonaventure as a 2-point dog and have now won 4 straight and 9 of their last 10. The only loss being a 3-point defeat on a neutral court to a talented Northwestern team. They did so without leading scorer Charles Cooke. He's questionable to play, but even if he doesn't I still like the Flyers here. Senior forward Kendall Pollard is finally back to 100% and has responded in the last 2 games with 20 against LaSalle and 21 against the Bonnies. Rhode Island is a quality team, but have lost all 3 of their true road games against legit competition, falling to Valpo, Providence and Houston. The only true road win being against St Louis as a 15-point favorite. Dayton has a great home court edge and are 7-1 at home on the season. Give me the Flyers -2! |
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01-05-17 | Stanford v. USC -7 | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer (USC -7) The Trojans had their perfect 14-0 start to the season come to an end with a 61-84 loss at Oregon. Losing by double-digits doesn't look great, but the Ducks are an elite team and one that can win it all. I still really like the USC team and I expect a big effort here in what will be their conference home opener. On the flip side of this, Stanford is not a team that I think can hang with the Trojans. Last time out the Cardinal got annihilated 52-91 at home to Arizona. That came after an ugly 93-98 loss at home to a bad Arizona State team. Stanford has also lost by 15 to Kansas, 15 to St Mary's 14 to Miami and 23 to SMU. Give me USC -7! |
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01-05-17 | Utah +10.5 v. Arizona | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Late Night ATS Knockout (Utah +10.5) This Utah team isn't getting the respect they deserve right now, as this team just recently added arguably their two best players in transfers David Collette and Sedrick Barefield. Each has played 5 games and are already doing damage. Collette is averaging 15.4 ppg and Barefield is at 14.2 ppg. That gives Utah 6 players who average double-figures. Keep in mind this is a team that played a couple of really good teams in Butler (59-68) and Xavier (69-77) tough without either of these two. Arizona has plenty of talent, but this is simply too many points, as I think these are two very evenly matched teams. Give me Utah +10.5! |
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01-05-17 | Purdue -3 v. Ohio State | Top | 76-75 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Purdue -3) I think we are getting some great value here with Purdue laying a short number on the road against the Buckeyes. This is a prime bounce back spot for the Boilermakers, who are going to be pissed off after losing at home to Minnesota. This is an elite Purdue team that will be there at the end competing for the Big Ten title. I don't think the same way about the Buckeyes, who I feel has benefited from an easy schedule on their way to a 10-4 start. This is also a bad matcup for Ohio State, who doesn't have the size inside or the outside shooting to attack this Purdue defense. I wouldn't be shocked if the Boilermakers won this one going away. Give me Purdue -3! |
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01-04-17 | Heat v. Kings -8 | 107-102 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Kings -8) I look for Sacramento to have zero problem knocking off the Heat at home by double-digits tonight. While both teams are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, the Kings have the big edge here at home. Plus, Miami is decimated with injuries right now and could be missing a number of key rotation players. The biggest being center Hassan Whiteside, who is doubtful. Without Whiteside to patrol the paint, the Kings should get a lot of easy looks and it should lead to a field day for DeMarcus Cousins, as Miami has no one else who can matchup with him. Give me the Kings -8! |
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01-04-17 | Virginia Tech v. NC State +1.5 | 78-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Dog of the Day (NC State +1.5) I think this is a great spot to jump on NC State at home, as we are seeing a big overreaction here based on the results of the last games for both teams. Virginia Tech upset Duke at home 89-75 as a 4.5-point dog, while the Wolfpack lost 63-81 at Miami as a 8.5-point dog. I believe it has NC State primed for a bounce back performance, while the Hokies are poised for a letdown. The Wolfpack are 9-0 at home this season and simply shouldn't be a dog in this one. Give me NC State +1.5! |
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01-04-17 | South Carolina v. Georgia -1.5 | Top | 67-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC Game of the Month (Georgia -1.5) This is a great price to back the Bulldogs at home against the Gamecocks. Georgia went on the road and won 96-84 at Auburn to open up conference play and I look for them to carry over that momentum into this one, as they look to improve on their 6-1 home record. South Carolina got their first real test in a true road game last time out and it didn't go well, losing 54-70 at Memphis. The Gamecocks haven't had much success when traveling to Georgia, as the Bulldogs have won 14 of the last 19 at home in the series. Georgia is also 60-38 ATS in their last 98 home games as a favorite of 6 or less, while South Carolina is 15-30 ATS in last 45 on the road with a line of +3 to -3. Give me the Bulldogs! |
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01-03-17 | Ole Miss +13.5 v. Florida | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer (Ole Miss +13.5) I think we are seeing a big overreaction here due to the Rebels getting absolutely destroyed in a 76-99 home loss to Kentucky. The Wildcats are going to do that to a lot of SEC teams this year. I see this as a big bounce back spot for Ole Miss against a Florida team that they can certainly hang with. Rebels are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a loss by 20 or more and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games after playing the previous game as a home dog. Give me Ole Miss +13.5! |
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01-03-17 | Boston College +15 v. Wake Forest | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Boston College +15) This will be the Eagles first true road game of the season, but they have played 3 quality opponents on a neutral floor. The important thing with BC is how they are playing right now. The Eagles followed up an impressive 79-67 win at home over Providence as a 10-point dog with a 96-81 blowout win at home against Syracuse as a 10.5-point dog. The books clearly haven't made the proper adjustments and BC catches Wake coming off back-to-back losses, where they didn't shoot the ball well. I don't think another outright win as a double-digit dog is going to happen, but I do think the Eagles keep it a lot closer than expected. Give me Boston College +15! |
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12-31-16 | NC State v. Miami (Fla) -6 | Top | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Miami -6) The Hurricanes come in having won 6 straight, but are 0-7 ATS over their last 8 games, which I believe is going to have people looking to back NC State. The Wolfpack have also won 6 straight, but have covered their last 4 lined games. The thing is, NC State has played an easy schedule to this point. Their two toughest games were a neutral site contest against Creighton and road game at Illinois. They lost by 18 to the Bluejays and 14 to the Fighting Illini. I look for them to struggle to keep it close against a Hurricanes team that is a perfect 7-0 on their home floor in 2016. Give me Miami -6! |
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12-31-16 | Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +1 | 78-77 | Push | 0 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Oddsmakers Error (Pittsburgh +1) I really like the value here with the Panthers as a home dog. Both these teams enter at 11-2, but Notre Dame is the only one that is ranked and thus they are getting a little more respect than they deserve in what will be an extremely difficult road matchup. I've watched this Pittsburgh team on multiple occasions and have really been impressed with what I have seen, which includes a 73-59 road win over a talented Maryland squad. The Panthers are a perfect 8-0 at home and the are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games off a game where they won but didn't cover. At the same time, Notre Dame is just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games after 2 or more wins. Give me Pittsburgh +1! |
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12-30-16 | South Carolina v. Memphis +1 | Top | 54-70 | Win | 102 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
50* NCAAB GAME OF THE MONTH (Memphis +1) This is a great spot to jump on the Tigers at home. Memphis is coming off a tough 54-58 home loss to a very talented SMU team as a 2.5-point dog and that's certainly playing into this line being so low. The Tigers have won and covered following each of their previous 3 losses and I look for them to make it 4 straight after tonight. I'm not as big on this South Carolina team as others and this will be their first real test in a true road game. Their only other true road game was at USF, but they are 10.5-point favorite. Give me the Tigers +1! |
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12-30-16 | Knicks v. Pelicans -2 | 92-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Pelicans -2) New Orleans comes in having won 3 straight and 4 of their last 5, but are still way undervalued by the books because of their 13-21 record overall. The key here is that the Pelicans have just recently got healthy and finally have some legit weapons to pair alongside Anthony Davis on a nightly basis. On the flip side of this, the Knicks are getting a lot of love, but they are just 5-10 on the road and have been struggling of late, going just 2-5 in their last 7. Give me the Pelicans -2! |
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12-29-16 | Celtics +7 v. Cavs | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Celtics +7) This Boston team is more than capable of keeping it closer than the spread against the Cavs tonight. The Celtics are finally healthy and playing like the elite team that most expected to see right out of the gate. Boston is 6-1 both SU and ATS in their last 7 games. They also have revenge on their mind from a 6-point loss at Cleveland back in November. This game simply means a lot more to the Celtics than it does the Cavs. It's also worth noting that Cleveland hasn't been shooting the ball great of late, hitting under 39% from the field in each of their last 2 games. Give me Boston +7! |
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12-29-16 | Georgia v. Auburn -1.5 | Top | 96-84 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Auburn -1.5) I really like this Auburn team. They are young and talented. While they have started out 10-2, I still think they are flying under the radar from last year's 11-20 campaign. They have a head coach in Bruce Pearl who knows how to win and it shouldn't come as a surprise that this team has improved as much as it has. They still aren't ready to compete with the top teams in the SEC, but can hang with anyone at home and Georgia is far from elite. Auburn has also been sensational at home, going 6-0 and outscoring opponents by 18.3 ppg. Give me the Tigers -1.5! |
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12-28-16 | UCLA -1.5 v. Oregon | Top | 87-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UCLA -1.5) The Bruins are the real deal, as they come into this one at 13-0. While Oregon is a very talented team and a respectable 11-2 overall, I just don't think the Ducks match up well with the talent of UCLA. Keep in mind this is a Bruins team that went on the road and beat Kentucky in a true road game earlier this month. Give me UCLA -1.5! |
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12-28-16 | Bucks v. Pistons -3 | 119-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Pistons -3) The Pistons are worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Bucks. Detroit was able to snap their 5-game losing streak with a 106-90 win at home over the Cavs last time out. While Cleveland was without James, it was still a big win for the Pistons and getting things turned around. The thing is Detroit is still being undervalued because of their recent poor play. The Pistons are playing much better at home and the Bucks are just 4-8 on the road. Pistons have won 4 of the last 5 meetings at home against Milwaukee and are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games when they have lost 4 of their last 5. Give me Detroit -3! |
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12-27-16 | Thunder v. Heat +3.5 | 106-94 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational Dog of the Day (Heat +3.5) I see this as a really tough spot for OKC to come out and play well. Westbrook and the Thunder really came out with a ton of energy in their 112-100 win at home over the Timberwolves on Christmas Day. Now they have to make the long trip to Miami and face a Heat team that has gone just 3-9 in their last 12. However, Miami has covered their last 2 and 6 of 8 overall. They have the guard play to give Westbrook some problems and Whiteside down low to protect the rim. These two played in OKC earlier this season and the Heat held the Thunder to just 97 points with Westbrook scoring only 14 on 5 of 16 shooting. Miami is well-rested, having not played since last Friday. Give me the Heat +3.5! |
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12-27-16 | Rutgers +19.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 52-72 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Rutgers +19.5) You don't have to look long at the Scarlet Knight's schedule to know this team isn't as good as their 11-2 start, but clearly this is a better team than a year ago. Last year Rutgers was a mere 6-7 when they opened up Big Ten play against Indiana. I look at the Scarlet Knight's most recent game as a big indicator of how much improved this team is. Rutgers just lost 61-72 at Seton Hall, but it was closer than that, as the game was tied with 6 minutes to play. The Scarlet Knight's also played Seton Hall in non-conference play last year, expect they lost 55-84 at home. To go from losing by 29 at home to being in the game with a chance to win late on the road is hard to ignore. Rutgers really gets after it defensively and are a decent rebounding team, averaging 43.9 rpg, including 12 offensive rpg. Last year the Scarlet Knights went just 1-17 in Big Ten play, yet only lost by 22 on the road to Wisconsin and were only a 16.5-point dog. I think Rutgers can hang around and keep this withing 20-points, which is a massive number to be laying in conference play. Give me the Scarlet Knights +19.5! |
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12-26-16 | Suns +13 v. Rockets | 115-131 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA Dog of the Day (Suns +13) I'll gladly back the Suns here at this price. These two teams just played last Wednesday in Phoenix, which the Rockets were able to win 125-111 covering easily as a 6-point favorite. That was a much closer game than the final score would indicate, as Houston only led by 6 at the half and 7 going into the 4th. They won by 14 shooting a ridiculous 18-38 (47.4%) from 3-point range. The Suns showed they can have success offensively and with the Rockets likely not hitting at the same consistency from long-distance, Phoenix should be able to keep this one much closer than the books are suggesting. Give me the Suns +13! |
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12-23-16 | Providence v. Boston College +9.5 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Boston College +9.5) I really like this spot for Boston College at home as a near double-digit dog. The Eagles haven't been great and come in having lost 3 of their last 5, but we can bank on a huge effort here on their home floor against the Friars. Providence comes in at 10-2 and are riding a 6-game winning streak. The thing is that the Friars aren't the same caliber a team as they were a year ago, yet are getting treated like it here with this line. Providence's 6-game winning streak have all come at home. This will be their first true road game since visiting Ohio State back on 11/17. With Christmas around the corner and a huge showdown at Xavier looming next week in their conference opener, I think the Friars come out flat here and could lose this one outright. Give me Boston College +9.5! |
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12-22-16 | South Alabama v. Ole Miss -12 | 58-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS Blowout (Ole Miss -12) The Rebels are a team that I think is flying under the radar right now and should have no problem cashing in a win here against South Alabama by 15+ points. The Jaguars are just 2-5 since starting out 5-0 and haven't really played anybody. In fact, this is only the 3rd time all season they have been listed as a dog and the first time by more than double-digits. That's speaks volumes to their schedule, as this a team that's picked to finish in the bottom 5 of the Sun Belt. Last time out they beat Spring Hill by 21 and that sets them up for an instant fade, as they are 0-7 ATS off a win by 20+ under head coach Matthew Graves. Ole Miss is 6-1 at home and this will be their final tune up before hosting Kentucky next Thursday to open SEC play. Give me the Rebels -12! |
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12-22-16 | Magic v. Knicks -5 | 95-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Knicks -5) I'll gladly back the Knicks at home laying a short number here against a below-average Magic team, who is getting too much respect here after covering 4 of their last 5. New York is 10-4 at home this season with the 4 losses coming against the Rockets, Jazz, Thunder and Cavs. All teams who are currently 5 or more games over .500. I also don't the Knicks are getting enough respect here, as they have really been playing well after a slow start. New York is 12-7 in their last 19 after a miserable 3-6 start. Keep in mind that 4 of their 7 losses during their recent surge have come with Rose either out or playing 10 minutes or less. He returned to the lineup last time out against the Pacers and was sharp with 24 points and 6 assists. Give me the Knicks -5! |
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12-21-16 | Kings v. Jazz -7 | Top | 94-93 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Jazz -7) This is a prime bounce back spot for Utah, who was embarrassed at Golden State last night 74-104. The only positive from that performance was the Jazz were able to save some minutes on their starters, as the game was well in hand by the 4th quarter. Only Gobert played more than 30 minutes and he logged just 31 minutes. The key here is that Sacramento is also playing on no rest, but off a much different game. The Kings used up a ton of energy rallying from a double-digit halftime deficit to stun the Blazers at home 126-121. That game was clearly played at a frantic pace and I just don't see Sacramento having enough left in the tank to keep this game close. Keep in mind Utah had won 11 of 13 prior to last night's loss and are 10-5 at home, while the Kings are just 5-11 on the road. Give me the Jazz -7! |
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12-21-16 | Arkansas State +6.5 v. Alabama | 52-67 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (Arkansas State +6.5) I really like the value we are getting here with the Red Wolves, who come in at 9-2 and have shown the ability to win on the road, going 5-2 away from home, which includes a 78-72 win at Georgetown. Alabama is still in rebuilding mode under head coach Avery Johnson and aren't expected to be a serious threat in the SEC until at least next season. They are just 5-5 on the season and don't have a single player averaging double-figures. I think Arkansas State can hang around and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the won this game outright. Give me the Red Wolves +6.5! |
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12-21-16 | Wizards v. Bulls -4 | 107-97 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Bulls -4) I think the Wizards are getting way too much respect in this one. Washington has covered 4 straight and are 5-2 in their last 7, but that run almost exclusively came on their home floor. The Wizards are miserable 2-9 on the road and it's simply not being reflected in this line. Chicago hasn't been playing great of late, but were as sharp as they have been all season in their last game, knocking off Detroit 113-82. I look for that to carry over here and for the Bulls to win this one going away. Give me Chicago -4! |
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12-20-16 | North Dakota v. Iowa -11 | Top | 73-84 | Push | 0 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Game of the Month (Iowa -11) Iowa comes in at 6-5, which I feel has them still undervalued, despite the fact that they just routed in-state rivals Iowa State and UNI. They crushed the Cyclones at home 78-64 and embarrassed the Panthers on a neutral court 69-46. This is a young Iowa team that lost a lot of talent from last year, so it wasn't all that surprising to see them struggle early with a really tough schedule that included games against Seton Hall, Virginia, Memphis and Notre Dame. The young guys are starting to figure it out and they are getting exceptional play from senior Peter Jok, who ranks 5th in the country in scoring at 23.5 ppg. Iowa still has a lot to prove and should have no problem covering what I feel is a small spread given the mismatch in talent. Give me the Hawkeyes -11! |
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12-20-16 | Pelicans -3.5 v. 76ers | 108-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA -76ers/Pelicans- Bookie ATS Crusher (Pelicans -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans as a short road favorite against the 76ers. Philadelphia is improved over recent years, but are still just 7-20 and missing No. 1 overall pick Ben Simmons. While the Pelicans are just 9-20, they are finally starting to get healthy and have one of the best players in the game in Anthony Davis, who I think is going to torment the young big men for Philadelphia. Coming off back-to-back double-digit losses against the Rockets and Spurs, plus playing with revenge from an earlier loss at home to the 76ers, we should get a max effort here from the road team. Give me the Pelicans -3.5! |
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12-18-16 | Western Michigan v. Washington -12 | Top | 86-92 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Washington -12) This is the ideal spot to jump on Washington, as they are way undervalued after losing 4 straight. The key here is the losses came against some quality teams. Two were against TCU (both away), one was one the road against Gonzaga and the most recent coming at home against Nevada, who is now 9-2 on the season and much better than they get credit for. Western Michigan is a big step down in class from what Washington has been playing and they are poised to lay a beating on them. Keep in mind this is a Huskies team that has a couple of 30-point wins under their belt already this season. The Broncos on the other hand have lost by 23 to Cleveland State, 21 to Boise State, 17 to Oakland and 10 to UTEP. Give me Washington -12! |
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12-18-16 | Raptors -5.5 v. Magic | 109-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA -Raptors/Magic- Bookie Crusher (Raptors -5.5) I'll back the Toronto in this spot. The Raptors are coming off a rare home loss to the Hawks and I look for them to be all business in this one. Toronto hasn't lost back-to-back games since late November. Their previous loss at home came to the Cavs on 12/5 and they responded with a 14-point win and cover of the Timberwolves. Orlando has been playing better of late, but they are no where close in talent and I look for them to struggle to keep this game within 6-points. Note that Toronto has gone 6-1 in the last 7 meetings with the Magic. Give me the Raptors -5.5! |
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12-17-16 | BYU v. Illinois -1.5 | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB -BYU/Illinois- Late Night Bailout (Illinois -1.5) I like the Fighting Illini laying this small number here against the Cougars. Illinois comes in having won 4 straight and have beat some good teams during this stretch, knocking off NC State 88-75 and VCU 64-46. They have shot 50% or better from the field in 3 of their last 4 and I look for that hot shooting to continue here against a BYU defense that is giving up 77 ppg when playing outside of Provo. While technically a road home, this is going to have the feel of a home game for Illinois, as it's being played at the United Center in Chicago. That's a big key here as the Illini are 7-1 at home this season. This is going to be the closes BYU has come to playing a true road game and I don't see them being up to the task. Give me Illinois -1.5! |
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12-17-16 | Knicks v. Nuggets -2 | 114-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NBA -Knicks/Nuggets- Bookie Crusher (Nuggets -2) I'll back the Nuggets laying a small number at home against the Knicks, who are in a bad spot here. New York is running on fumes right now, as they get ready to play their 5th straight road game on a road trip that has now spanned 9 days. Just the thought of returning home is going to make it tough for the Knicks to come out and play well here against a Nuggets team that I feel is about to go on a run. Denver is finally at full strength and they showed some of their potential when healthy in their last game, where they rolled the Blazers 132-120 at home. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Nuggets turned this one into a blowout. Give me Denver -2! |
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12-17-16 | Northern Iowa v. Iowa +3 | Top | 46-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB -UNI/Iowa- Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Iowa +3) I think the books have the wrong team favored here, as this Iowa team is much better than their 5-5 record would lead on. That was evident in their last game, when they knocked then No. 25 Iowa State 78-64 and never really were threatened in that one. What I was impressed with, was the defense, which was a problem early in the year. The Hawkeyes held a talented ISU offense to just 35.7% shooting, while shooting 47.3% against a Cyclones defense that had been exceptional up to that point. UNI has rebounded of late with a couple of solid wins at home, but this isn't the same caliber a team as years past and I just don't think they have the offensive fire-power to knock off Iowa. Give me the Hawkeyes +3! |
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12-16-16 | Hawks +8 v. Raptors | Top | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hawks +8) This is going to look like the books set a bad line on this one. Atlanta has been struggling of late and come in off a 11-point home loss to the Magic, where they gave up 131 points to Orlando. The Hawks also recently made a trip to Toronto on 12/3 and were blown out of the gym in a 84-128 defeat. Toronto on the other hand has won 10 of 11 and it would appear they are in full on cruise control. What's worth noting here is the Raptors were a 8.5-point home favorite in that previous meeting against the Hawks and are now laying fewer points. I believe that's the books hinting on Atlanta being the right side. The Hawks are certainly better than what they have shown of late. I look for them to lay it all on the line in this one. Atlanta is fresh and have had plenty of time to get this straightened out, as they are playing just their 3rd game in the last 7 days. Give me the Hawks +8! |
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12-15-16 | Pacers v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 95-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pelicans -2.5) This is a really bad spot for the Pacers, who had to pack up and hit the road for New Orleans after last night's 89-95 loss at Miami. Not only is Indiana playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but this is also their 5th game in 7 days. I just don't see them having a lot left in the tank here. They are playing short-handed with Ellis and Stuckey both out. Note that Young, Turner and George all played 37+ minutes last night. The Pelicans have been struggling of late, but have played an absolutely brutal schedule during this stretch. While it came in a losing effort, I think this team gained a lot of confidence from their last game, which they only lost 109-113 to the Warriors. With a 3-game road trip on deck, I expect an all out effort here from New Orleans. Give me the Pelicans -2.5! |
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12-14-16 | Kings v. Rockets -9.5 | Top | 98-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Rockets -9.5) Houston has been on an absolute roll, as they come in having won 7 straight and 12 of their last 14 overall. James Harden is playing lights out and this Rockets offense should have their way against a suspect Kings defense. Houston already went into Sacramento and beat up on the Kings by a final of 117-104 and it wasn't really even that close (up 18 at half). Sacramento will be without second leading scorer Rudy Gay and that's a big loss, as they are going to need to put up a lot of points just to keep this game competitive. I don't think they can. Give me the Rockets -9.5! |
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12-14-16 | Lakers +2 v. Nets | 97-107 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA Dog of the Day (Lakers +2) The Lakers were playing some really good basketball early in the season, but injuries to starters D'Angelo Russell and Nick Young really hit this team hard. Both have now been back for a few games and I look for this team to get back to playing well. The Nets are definitely a team they can take advantage of the on the road. Brooklyn is just 2-12 in their last 14 and have struggled to keep games close both at home and on the road. Last time out the Nets played in a high-scoring game against the Rockets (118-122) and that's been a good key of when to go against them, as they are just 5-16 over the last 2 seasons after a game with a combined score of 225 or more points. Give me the Lakers +2! |
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12-14-16 | Pacers v. Heat | 89-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Heat Pick'em) The Pacers continue to get a lot of love, despite the fact that they are just 13-12 and clearly not playing up to their potential. Indiana's biggest struggles have come on the road, where they are 3-8 both SU and ATS. Miami's not a great team, but have been hit hard with injuries. They are starting to get some key guys back and are going to be coming out with some confidence after a 11-point home win over the Wizards last time out. Pacers are 1-13 ATS in their last 14 road games after scoring 110 or more points in their last game and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games after a SU win. Give me the Heat -110! |
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12-13-16 | Knicks v. Suns +2 | 111-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Suns +2) I'm backing the Suns at home against the Knicks tonight. Phoenix comes in off a 119-120 loss at home to the Pelicans as a 2-point favorite, setting them up in a big bounce back spot, which they have cashed in on a regular bases. The Suns are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 after failing to cover in their last game and 21-6-1 ATS in their last 27 after a SU loss. Knicks are playing their 3rd straight on the road and could find it hard to get up for this game with a huge showdown at Golden State coming up on TNT this Thursday. Give me Phoenix +2! |
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12-12-16 | Nets +14.5 v. Rockets | 118-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Blowout (Nets +14.5) I like the value we are getting here with Brooklyn, as a massive road dog against the Rockets. I believe we seeing a big overreaction here with this line, as the Nets come in off a 29-point loss to the Spurs, while Houston just won by 22 as a 12-point favorite against the Mavericks. The Nets are finally starting to get healthy and will be getting back point guard Jeremy Lin, who was really playing well before going down with a hamstring injury. I also think it's going to be really hard for Houston to get up for this game, as the Nets aren't exactly a team that gets your juices flowing. Give me Brooklyn +14.5! |
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12-12-16 | Auburn -9.5 v. Boston College | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Auburn -9.5) This might seem like a big number for Auburn to be laying on a neutral court, but I really like what I have seen from this young Tigers team, who are quietly going under the radar early. Head coach Bruce Pearl continues to win wherever he goes and the Auburn players are going to be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor, as they haven't played since 12/3. They should have no problem beating a horrible BC team by double-digits. The Eagles have lost 4 of 5 with the last two losses coming at home against the likes of Harvard and Hartford. The other two were double-digit losses on a neutral court against K-State and Richmond. Give me Auburn -9.5! |
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12-10-16 | Heat v. Bulls -10 | 100-105 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS Blowout (Bulls -10) It's all about picking your spots with Chicago, as the Bulls have a tendency to not play up to their potential against bad teams. I don't see that being an issue here against the Heat, as Dwayne Wade wants to make sure to remind Miami what they lost by not resigning him. I expect the rest of the Bulls players to also bring their "A" game for their new teammate, as they want to remind Wade he made the right choice leaving them. At the same time, the Heat are decimated with injuries right now and playing on no rest. This one should get ugly in a hurry. Give me the Bulls -10! |
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12-10-16 | North Dakota v. Northern Iowa -10 | 70-78 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Late Night ATS Bailout (Northern Iowa -10) I was upset I didn't pull the trigger on UNI in their last game at home against South Dakota State, as they were only laying 10.5 and went on to win 86-58. The Panthers shot lights out in that game, hitting 51.9% from the field and hit 20 3-pointers. I look for that hot shooting to continue at home against another inferior team in North Dakota. UNI simply isn't getting the respect the deserve because they are 4-4, but two of those losses were against an elite team in Xavier. This team is playing with a chip on their shoulder right now and should turn this into a blowout early. Give me UNI -10! |
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12-10-16 | Valparaiso -2 v. Missouri State | Top | 84-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Valparaiso -2) We are getting Valparaiso at a great price here as a small road favorite against the Bears. The Crusaders are 7-2 and their only two losses have come against power houses on the road in Oregon and Kentucky. The most recent loss being the defeat to the Wildcats. Big bounce back spot for Valpo against an inferior team. Missouri State is simply getting some love here for starting out 5-2, but they have played an easy schedule and already lost to two teams no where close as talented as the Crusaders. Valpo won by 29 at home against these Bears last year and while I don't think it will be that big of a blowout on the road, they should win here comfortably. Give me Valparaiso -2! |
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12-10-16 | Blazers -1 v. Pacers | 111-118 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie ATS Crusher (Blazers -1) Really tough spot here for the Pacers, who are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set after losing last night in Dallas. Indiana also just finished up a 5-game road trip and it's tough for teams to play well in the first game back home after a long road trip. Portland has had the Paers number of late, including a 22-point win at home back on 11/30. Indiana is also just 15-26 ATS in their last 41 against the Western Conference and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 100 or more points in 4 straight games. Give me Portland -1! |
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12-10-16 | Tennessee Tech v. Michigan State -20.5 | 63-71 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Big Chalk No Doubt Knockout (Michigan State -20.5) The Spartans are flying under the radar after a slow start against an absolutely grueling schedule and should have no problem demolishing a bad Tennessee Tech team at home. Tennessee Tech is 4-6 with their wins coming against the likes of Alabama A&M (twice), Hiwassee College and Crowley's Ridge. They were a 16.5-point dog at Ohio earlier this season, which speaks volumes to the value we are getting with the Spartans only laying 4 more points on their home floor. I see Michigan State leading by 20+ at the half in this one and cruising to an easy cover. Give me the Spartans -20.5! |
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12-07-16 | Kings -3.5 v. Mavs | 120-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Kings -3.5) I like the Kings to cover this small spread on the road against the Mavericks. Sacramento isn't as bad as their record would lead on, but clearly have a ways to go. Dallas is awful and I just don't see it getting any better for the Mavericks anytime soon, especially with the injuries they are dealing with. The loss of Bogut is huge for this one, as they are already without Dirk, leaving them no good options to matchup up against Cousins inside. He should absolutely dominate this game and it wouldn't surprise me if this one got ugly in a hurry. Give me the Kings -3.5! |
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12-07-16 | Butler v. Indiana State +10.5 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Non-Conference Game of the Month (Indiana State +10.5) I'm going to back the Sycamores at home as a big double-digit dog in a game I think they not only can cover, but win outright. Indiana State is just 4-4, but could easily be sitting here with an identical 8-0 record as Butler. All 4 Sycamores losses have come by 3-points or less, including a 71-73 loss against a top level Iowa State team (should have won outright). Butler is getting a lot of love for their 8-0 start, but I'm not as impressed with their wins over Vanderbilt, Arizona and Utah as others. Playing on the road is never easy, especially against an elite defensive team like we have here with Indiana State. The Sycamores are holding opponents to just 38.1% from the field and a mere 29% clip from 3-point range. If they can get some shots to fall at home and I think they will, this has the makings of a big upset for the home team. Give me Indiana State +10.5! |
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12-06-16 | Suns +7 v. Jazz | 105-112 | Push | 0 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Suns +7) This is a great spot to back the Suns, who are showing a lot of value here as a decently priced road dog against the Jazz. Phoenix is going to come out motivated here after getting embarrassed in a 109-138 loss at Golden State last time out. They will also have fresh legs, as they have had the last two days off. That's key here, as Utah will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set after playing last night in LA in a hard fought 107-101 win over the Lakers. This is also the Jazz's 3rd game in 4 nights and a big look ahead spot with a huge game against the Warriors on deck. Look for the Suns and their fast-paced attack to give the tired legs of Utah trouble here. Note that Phoenix is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 110+ points in their previous game and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 off a blowout loss by 15 or more points. Take Phoenix! |
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12-06-16 | Spurs v. Wolves +4.5 | 105-91 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
40* NBA Dog of the Day (Wolves +4.5) The books have made the Spurs a short road favorite here trying to entice some action on San Antonio in a bad spot. The Spurs will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set after playing last night in Milwaukee. This is also their 7th game in the last 12 days, which makes this a golden opportunity for Popovich to rest some players against a bad team. While Minnesota has been a major disappointment so far, they have been playing a lot better than their 6-14 record would lead on, as they have suffered a number of close losses. This is a statement game for the Timberwolves at home and with 2 days off before this one, they should be able to take advantage of the tired legs of the Spurs. Give me Minnesota +4.5! |
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12-06-16 | Purdue -11.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 97-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Purdue -11.5) This might seem like a big number for the Boilermakers to be laying on a neutral court, but I see Purdue having no problem turning this into a blowout. The Boilermakers are a legit Top 20 team in the country and have the potential to be a Top 10 team. Their only two losses have come in a 3-point home loss to Villanova and a 7-point defeat in a true road game against Louisville. Arizona State comes in off an impressive 24-point win against UNLV at home, but have not fared well when facing a top tier team, losing by 19 to Northern Iowa and 46 to Kentucky on a neutral court. They also lost by 8 to a decent Davidson team. It's the defense that really concerns me with the Sun Devils, as they allowed both UNI and Kentucky to shoot over 50% from the field and this Purdue team comes in shooting 49.5% on the season and will have a big edge inside with all their size. Give me the Boilermakers -11.5! |
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12-05-16 | Wizards -5.5 v. Nets | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wizards -5.5) Washington isn't as bad as their 6-12 record would lead on, while the Nets are every bit as bad as their 5-14 record. Brooklyn caught a lot of teams off-guard early in the season with their hard play and they opened up 7-2 ATS because of it. That hard play isn't paying off anymore, as the Nets are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10. Not only are they not covering, they are struggling to keep games close. During their current 1-9 SU stretch the closest loss has been 7 points and 7 of the 9 defeats have come by double-digits. The Wizards are a desperate team right now, so there's no overlooking Brooklyn here, which should allow them to win here comfortably. Give me Washington -5.5! |
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12-04-16 | Kings +2.5 v. Knicks | 98-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Kings +2.5) This line is begging you to take the Knicks at home as a small favorite, but my money is on the Kings to get the big road win here. New York has won 7 of 10, but the majority of those wins have come against bad teams or teams that haven't been playing well of late. With a trip to Miami and their warm weather on deck after this one, I look for the Knicks to come out flat here. I also think think this is a bad matchup for New York, as they really don't have an answer inside for Cousins and the defense hasn't been good even during this recent stretch where they have been winning. The Knicks have allowed 100+ in 6 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall. Give me the Kings +2.5! |
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12-03-16 | Heat v. Blazers -6.5 | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Blazers -6.5) This is the time to fade the Heat after pulling off back-to-back road wins over the Nuggets and Jazz. While it's not easy winning at those two venues in consecutive nights, the wins are a little misleading, as Denver isn't playing well and Utah was missing several key players to injury. Miami simply can't have any gas left in the tank for this one. Portland likes to play at a fast pace and can light up it up offensively. The Heat simply won't be able to keep up, as they are team that relies on their defense to keep them in games. It's also worth pointing Miami continues to play short-handed, which only makes this spot that much more difficult, as they get ready to play their 3rd road game in 4 nights against a Blazers team that is out to get their season back on track and playing with fresh legs on two days rest. Give me Portland -6.5! |
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12-03-16 | Bulls -3 v. Mavs | 82-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS Money Maker (Bulls -3) This year's Bulls team has made a point of not suffering let downs against lesser opponents and for the most part they have done just that. Even coming off the huge win at home last night against LeBron and the Cavs, I expect Chicago to show up and take care of business against the Mavs tonight. With Wade not playing, I look for Butler to really take it on himself to deliver a big game in this one. Dallas is 3-15 and have shown little signs of life, as they have dropped 10 of their last 11. Give me Chicago -3! |
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12-03-16 | Gonzaga -4.5 v. Arizona | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Gonzaga -4.5) This is not the same Arizona team that opened the season with a win over Michigan State, as the Wildcats have lost several key players to injury/suspension. Gonzaga on the other hand looks to have not missed a beat, despite losing several key players from last year's team. That's because they reloaded with a strong freshman class and added in some great pieces in transfers from Power 5 schools. They are a perfect 7-0 on the season with impressive wins over Florida and Iowa State. There's also a bit of a rivalry here and the Bulldogs have been on the short end of the stick the last few meetings, so this is a game they desperately want to win. They finally have the edge in talent in this matchup and I expect them to deliver with a comfortable win over the Wildcats. Give me Gonzaga -4.5! |
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12-02-16 | Pistons v. Hawks -2.5 | 121-85 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Hawks -2.5) Love the value here with the Hawks laying less than 3-points at home against the Pistons. Atlanta comes in having lost 7 of 8, but most of those came on the road. The Hawks are 6-2 at home and will be all business in this one. Detroit comes in playing well and off a couple of big road wins at Charlotte and Boston, but this is a bad spot for the Pistons, who will playing their 4th straight on the road and 3rd in the last 4 days. Detroit is still just 3-8 ATS on the road this season and are 2-4 ATS this season when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. Atlanta is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 and 3-1 ATS over the last 3 seasons after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less. Give me the Hawks -2.5! |
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12-01-16 | Magic -1.5 v. Grizzlies | 94-95 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Magic -1.5) It doesn't seem right that Orlando is a road favorite against a Memphis team that has a winning record at 11-8, but it's more than justified. The Grizzlies are playing short-handed and in about as bad of a rest situation as you are going to find in today's NBA. Memphis will be playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 5th in the last 7 days. They will be doing so without starters Mike Conley, Chandler Parsons and James Ennis. They are also without a huge bench player, who plays big minutes in Zach Randolph. Orlando might not be the most talented team, but are certainly capable of winning this game against a depleted and tired Memphis team. The Magic will be playing with a lot of confidence after taking down the Spurs on the road 95-83 last time out. Give me Orlando -1.5! |
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11-30-16 | Pacers +7.5 v. Blazers | 109-131 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pacers +7.5) Indiana is worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Blazers. I believe we are getting value here with Indiana because of Paul George not expected to play. However, the Pacers have been playing well without him of late, including a 118-97 win over Brooklyn and 91-70 win against the Clippers in their last 2 games. This is a deep Indiana rosters that is built to withstand an injury to a key player like George. As for the Blazers, they are not playing great to start the season, as they come in just 9-10. They are only 5-4 at home (2-7 ATS) and their struggles can be pinpointed to their inability to get stops on defense. Portland comes in giving up 113.7 ppg on the season and are even worse at home, where they are allowing 115.3 ppg. When you don't play defense, it's hard to blow teams out. Give me the Pacers +7.5! |
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11-30-16 | Temple -1.5 v. St. Joe's | Top | 78-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Temple -1.5) The betting public is on St. Joseph's, yet the line has flipped in favor of the Owls and for good reason. Temple is playing with all kinds of confidence after winning the NIT Season Tip-off with wins over No. 25 Florida St (89-86) and No. 19 West Virginia (81-77). While the Owls are riding a huge wave of momentum, the Hawks enter off a couple of ugly losses in their first two real tests of the season. St Joseph's fail 68-81 to Ole Miss and 63-73 to NC State. I don't see the Hawks bouncing back here, as they are going to have a tough time getting up for this game with a showdown at defending champ Villanova on deck Saturday. Give me Temple -1.5! |
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11-29-16 | Cavs v. Bucks +7.5 | 101-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Bucks +7.5) Milwaukee is worth a look here as a decently priced home dog against the Cavaliers. Cleveland has been on a mission to start out the season, going 13-2 in their first 15 games, but they also have been overvalued on a consistent basis, as they are just 6-8 ATS. Milwaukee is still trying to get things figured out, but despite their losing record (7-8), they have been competitive against a lot of the upper-tier teams and I expect an all out effort here at home in their first crack against the defending champs. Easy game for the Cavs to overlook with a huge showdown at home against the Clippers on deck Thursday and 3 big road games against the Bulls, Raptors and Knicks following that. Cleveland also figures to be minus two key players here, as Frye is on personal leave and Shumpert is questionable with a hamstring injury (no reason to rush him back). Give me the Bucks +7.5! |
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11-29-16 | Princeton v. VCU -5.5 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (VCU -5.5) This is a great price to back VCU at home against Princeton. The Rams return 4 starters from last year's near Sweet 16 team that won 25-games. They certainly look the part of one of the top tier teams in the country, as they have started out 5-1 with the only loss coming in a neutral site loss to Baylor (63-71), who is ranked inside the Top 10. Princeton is a quality team and should compete for an Ivy League title, but this is a huge step up in competition to what the Tigers will face in the Ivy League, especially with it being a true road game. Princeton has already lost by 9 on the highway to both BYU and Lehigh and neither of those teams are as talented as VCU. Give me the Rams -5.5! |
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11-28-16 | Butler v. Utah +1.5 | Top | 68-59 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Utah +1.5) Everyone is going to be on Butler here, as they are a perfect 6-0, Ranked in the Top 20 and come into this game after winning the Las Vegas Invitational with an upset of No. 8 Arizona in the title game. However, I think this is going to prove to be a tough spot for the Bulldogs against a very underrated Utah team that is not in as bad a shape as people think after losing so much from last year's team. Butler just played two games in Vegas on back-to-back days and have had just two days off before turning around and traveling back west to Utah, which is a very difficult place to play. I believe the size of the Utes will be the difference in this one. Give me the Utah +1.5! |
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11-27-16 | Hawks -4 v. Lakers | 94-109 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational Vegas Line Mistake (Hawks -4) I had my eye on this game and was hoping the books would set a low number here on Atlanta after their dreadful performance last time out against the Jazz. This is the perfect bounce back spot for the Hawks and a game they know they can't afford to lose with a road date against the Warriors looming tomorrow. The Lakers on the other hand just played a home-and-home set against Golden State and were completely outclassed in both meetings, losing 106-149 at Golden State and 85-109 at home. The absence of Russell is huge for LA. Not only is he one of their top scorers, but it takes away from their depth, which is a big reason for their strong start to the season. They could also be missing Julius Randle, which would be another big loss. Atlanta is the better and more motivated team in this one. Give me the Hawks -4! |
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11-27-16 | Iowa State v. Gonzaga -3.5 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Gonzaga -3.5) Both these teams lost some huge pieces from last year's team, but I've been more impressive with Gonzaga in the early going. The Bulldogs dominated their first 4 opponents and last time out beat a very good Florida team. Iowa State comes in off a 73-56 win over Miami, but were very fortunate to beat Indiana State in their previous game. Two big keys here that favor Gonzaga, the Bulldogs are the much bigger team and should have their way scoring inside and on the glass. They are also excellent at defending the 3-point shot, which is what ISU lives and dies off of. Give me Gonzaga -3.5! |
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11-26-16 | Pistons v. Thunder -3.5 | 88-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Thunder -3.5) I think we are getting some great value here on OKC due to a couple of things. Detroit just won at home 108-97 over the Clippers last night as a 6.5-point dog and the Pistons crushed the Thunder 104-88 in an earlier meeting in Detroit. What is getting overlooked is the Pistons don't travel well and are in a horrible spot playing the 2nd of a back-to-back on the road. Detroit is just 1-7 away from home and are giving up 104.9 ppg on the road, which is a staggering difference from what they allow at home, as they are only giving up 96.5 ppg on the season. Thunder have a solid home court edge and should come out with a chip on their shoulder after losing the way they did to the Pistons a few weeks back. Give me Oklahoma City -3.5! |
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11-26-16 | Boston College v. Richmond -6 | Top | 54-67 | Win | 102 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Richmond -6) I cashed in on the Spiders +6.5 last night against Maryland, as they lost 82-88 in OT against Maryland (nearly a horrible bad beat). Richmond really let that one get away, as they had a 12-point lead at the half and were in great position to win in regulation. On the bright side, I believe the loss has helped keep this line lower than it should be. Boston College is just 3-2 and were completely outclassed in their first game against a legit opponent, losing 54-72 to Kansas State yesterday. That's a K-State team that I don't think is as talented as this Richmond team, so only having to lay 6-points is an easy play for me. Give me the Spiders -6! |
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11-25-16 | Richmond +6.5 v. Maryland | Top | 82-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Richmond +6.5) I really like the value here with Richmond catching 6.5-points against the Terrapins, as I see this as more of an evenly matched game and it's being played on a neutral court. Richmond has got back to playing the stingy defense they are known for, as they have held all 4 of their opponents under 70 points after giving up 73.8 ppg last year. They have two big time play makers in big man T.J. Cline (17.0 ppg) and senior guard ShanDre Jones (19.5 ppg). Maryland is 5-0, but the only real legit team they have played is Georgetown, which they were very fortunate to win 76-75. That victory looked impressive at the time, but not so much after watching the Hoyas get manhandled by Wisconsin and Oklahoma State. The Terps have a special player in Melo Trimble, but not a lot of star talent around him. Give me the Spiders +6.5! |
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11-25-16 | Bulls -7.5 v. 76ers | 105-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Bulls -7.5) I like Chicago to make easy work of the 76ers on Friday. I look for the Bulls to come out extremely motivated after losing 107-110 at Denver on Tuesday, a game they feel like they should have won after jumping out to a 31-19 lead in the 1st quarter. This is also the last game of their 6-game road trip and a win gives them a winning record on the trip at 4-2. Philadelphia has been a lot more competitive than the last few years, but are still just 4-11. Their best player so far has without a doubt been big man Joel Embid, but he's on a minutes restriction and won't suit up for this one. Chicago should run away with this one, as they come in averaging 105.3 ppg and will be facing a 76ers defense that is giving up 106.9 ppg. Give me the Bulls -7.5! |
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11-23-16 | Hawks v. Pacers +1 | 96-85 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pacers +1) This is a great price to bet the Pacers at home, especially with most of the key players that have been out with injury expected to return. Indiana may be just 7-8 overall, but they are 6-3 at home and will be extremely motivated here off that ugly 83-120 home loss to the Warriors last time out. Atlanta is getting a lot of respect from their strong start, but the Hawks are in a funk right now. They have lost 3 straight, including a 94-112 loss at home to the Pelicans last night. Atlanta is a tired team that will be playing on no rest here and I look for their struggles to continue. Give me the Pacers +1! |
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11-23-16 | St. John's v. Michigan State -7.5 | Top | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Michigan State -7.5) I believe this is a great spot to jump on the Spartans, who are getting near as much respect after their 2-2 start and mere 1-point win over Florida Gulf Coast last time out. Two of those losses came against two of the elite teams in the country in Arizona and Kentucky. This is a young team that is only going to get better with each game and I expect Izzo to have them ready to roll here against a St John's team that is no where close in terms of talent. Last time out the Red Storm had a huge lead on the road against Minnesota and ended up losing the game 86-92. Michigan State isn't going to let them light up the scoreboard and the Spartans young offense should have their way against a bad St. John's defense. I see no reason why Michigan State doesn't win here by double-digits. Give me the Spartans -7.5! |
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11-22-16 | Bulls -1.5 v. Nuggets | 107-110 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Bulls -1.5) Chicago has been one of the bigger surprises to start the season, as a lot of people thought the Bulls would struggle offensively with the additions of Wade and Rondo with Butler, as none of the three are great 3-point shooters. That hasn't been the case at all, as Chicago ranks in the Top 10 in offensive efficiency. They are also in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency and come into this one clicking on all cylinders. The Bulls are 3-1 to start out their west coast road trip and have won 5 of their last 6 overall. They have also covered the number in all 6 games during this stretch. Denver is just 5-8 overall and 2-4 at home this season. A lot of that has to do with their struggles defensively, as they come in allowing 106.9 ppg overall and 109.0 ppg at home. I'll gladly take my chances with the red-hot Bulls laying a small number. Give me Chicago -1.5! |
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11-22-16 | Wisconsin -5 v. Georgetown | Top | 73-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wisconsin -5) I'll gladly take the Badgers at this price against the Hoyas. Both teams are playing on no rest off a big win yesterday. Wisconsin took care of Tennessee 74-62, while Georgetown stunned Oregon 65-61 as a 9-point dog. The Hoyas have already shown inconsistency early. Prior to their big won over the Ducks, they lost 75-76 at home to Maryland as a 6.5-point dog and then fell 72-78 as a 22-point favorite at home against Arkansas State. They nearly blew a huge lead in the win over the Ducks, as they were outscored 40-27 in the 2nd half. Offense continues to a problem for the Hoyas, as they shot just 34.4% from the field in the win over Oregon. Wisconsin's veteran unit is rock solid on the defensive end and should be able to have enough success offensively to put the Hoyas away from a comfortable win here. Give me Badgers -5! |
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11-21-16 | Rockets v. Pistons +2.5 | 99-96 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pistons +2.5) I'll gladly back the Pistons as a home dog against the Rockets tonight. I believe the Rockets are getting way too much respect here and a lot of that has to do with the fact that they come in having covered 4 straight and 8 of their last 10 overall. At the same time, Detroit is undervalued after losing their last 3 and going just 2-6 in their last 8 overall. The key here is that this bad stretch for the Pistons has come with them playing 6 of their last 8 on the road. Returning home is huge for Detroit, as they are 5-1 at home this season. I expect an all out effort from the Pistons in this one and they should win here rather comfortably. Give me Detroit +2.5! |
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11-21-16 | George Washington v. Georgia -5.5 | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Georgia -5.5) I'll gladly back the Bulldogs at this price against George Washington. Georgia is the much better team in this one, despite having the worse record through 3 games. The Bulldogs have one of the best players in the SEC in senior guard J.J. Frazier and he makes quite a duo with talented junior forward Yante Maten. It's not just these two that make Georgia a great team, it's arguably the best overall talent the Bulldogs have had in the 7 years under head coach Mark Fox. George Washington won 20+ games a year ago, but lost a lot from that team, including 3 starters, who combined to average 35.2 ppg. I see this as a statement game for the Bulldogs and expect them to win here by double-digits rather easily. Give me Georgia -5.5! |
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11-18-16 | St. John's v. Minnesota -6.5 | 86-92 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Minnesota -6.5) I got no problem laying this short number on the Gophers at home against a St. John's team that will be hitting the road for the first time this season. There's a lot of excitement around the Red Storm program under head coach Chris Mullen and he's got them headed in the right direction. However, this is still a team that is lacking talent and are going to struggle to keep games competitive on the road. Minnesota is a team that I think is flying under the radar early, as the Gophers should be greatly improved over last year's team that finished 8-23. It might just be the most well-rounded team that Richard Pitino has had since coming to Minnesota. Give me the Gophers -6.5! |
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11-18-16 | Warriors v. Celtics +6.5 | Top | 104-88 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Celtics +6.5) I'll take the points with Boston at home against the Warriors Friday night. I don't think it's any secret who is going to want this game more. This is a game the Celtics have had circled on the calendar ever since Durant decided not to come to Boston and took his talents to Golden State. I know they might be shorthanded here with Crowder sidelined and Horford potentially out as well, but this is a deep team that's going to lay every once of energy they have to win this game at home. It's also worth pointing out that it's going to be electric inside the Garden with this being a nationally televised game on ESPN. I also like the fact that Boston is a disciplined and efficient team on both sides of the ball, which is critical if you want to have success against this Warriors team. I also like the fact that Boston played the Warriors tough in both meetings last year, losing by just 5 at home and winning on the road at Golden State. Give me the Celtics +6.5! |
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11-17-16 | Providence +6.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Providence +6.5) I believe the Friars are going to show great value early in the season, as the perception on Providence is that they are going to be down after losing Dunn and Bentil to the NBA. While big losses, this Friars team still has a lot of talent left over and I really like the addition of Indiana transfer Emmitt Holt, who showcased his talents in the opener, scoring a team-high 22 points. I also think junior Kyron Cartwright is more than capable of filling the void of Dunn and he dished out 12 assists in the opener. Same goes for junior Rodney Bullock and his ability to fill the void of Bentil. Ohio State is getting a lot of love, due to returning all 5 starters, but this is also a team that missed the postseason last year. They struggled in non-conference play a year ago and have already had two close calls against inferior opponents in Navy and NCCU. I'll gladly take the points here and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Friars won outright. Give me Providence +6.5! |
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11-16-16 | Northwestern +8 v. Butler | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Northwestern +8) I like the value we are catching with the Wildcats in this one. I really like what Chris Collins is doing in Evanston and while Northwestern lost two key players from last year in Demps and Olah, they get back Vic Law, who missed all of last season. He's came out on fire, averaging 22.0 ppg in the Wildcats first two games. I also like their veteran backcourt of Lindsey and McIntosh. Butler is a great program, but I think that's playing into the line here. I think these are two evenly matched teams and Northwestern is fully capable of winning this game outright. Give me the Wildcats +8! |
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11-15-16 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Kansas State -13 | 68-81 | Push | 0 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Kansas State -13) I'm high on Bruce Weber's Wildcats this season, especially early on, as they got to benefit from playing in Europe in August, which I believe is huge. Kansas State also brings back a lot of experience with 6 players who started at least 11 games. Nebraska-Omaha lost two huge pieces to their team from last year in Patterson and White, who combined for 25.3 ppg. They did just cover on the road at USC as a 12-point dog in a 10-point loss, but the Trojans are down this year and were overvalued in that contest. Kansas State was on point in their opener, crushing Western Illinois 82-55 as a mere 18-point favorite. I see now reason why the Wildcats don't win here by at least 20. Give me K-State -13! |
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11-15-16 | Hawks -6 v. Heat | Top | 93-90 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hawks -6) I got no problem laying this big number on Atlanta away from home against Miami. Even though the Hawks come into this game at 7-2, I don't think people realize how well they are playing. Atlanta is outscoring opponents on average by 10.7 ppg. The only team better is the Clippers at 16.6 ppg. They rank in the top 10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. Miami has played well on the defensive side of the ball, but they are 29th in offensive efficiency and figure to be without starting point guard Goran Dragic for this one. Miami also likes to play at a slow pace, but I think it's going to be Atlanta that dictates the tempo and the Hawks rank 4th in pace. The Heat are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 3rd in 4 nights overall. Atlanta on the other hand is well-rested, as this will be just their 2nd game in 6 nights. I look for the Hawks to push the pace and pull away for a comfortable win here. Give me Atlanta -6! |
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11-14-16 | Georgia State v. Auburn -7 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Auburn -7) I think this Auburn team is flying under the radar right now. The Tigers went just 11-20 overall and 5-13 in SEC (13th) play last year, but nothing went right for this team. They were decimated with injuries, had players suspended and even had one player dismissed. Head coach Bruce Pearl used 14 different starting lineups in 31 games. I think this team is on a mission in 2016 and are one of the more young and talented teams that no one is talking about. Georgia State was a great story in the NCAA Tournament a couple years ago, but they are way down from that magical run and have just 2 starters back from last year. Even with this being a neutral site, I think Auburn should roll here and easily take this one by double-digits. Give me the Tigers -7! |
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11-11-16 | CS Sacramento v. Colorado -20 | 53-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt Blowout (Colorado -20) I really like the potential of this Colorado team. Unlike a lot of the other top teams in the country, who are relying on freshman to shoulder a big load, the Buffaloes have a ton of experience on their roster, including 4 seniors who will play a big role. They should be explosive offensively and won't have to rely on 1 guy to shoulder the load. Tad Boyle is singing the praises of this team and I look for them to come out with a statement win at home against Sacramento State, who is coming off 10th place finish in the Big Sky and went just 14-17 overall. Give me Colorado -20! |
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11-11-16 | Raptors v. Hornets -2.5 | Top | 113-111 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hornets -2.5) I'm backing the Hornets as a small home favorite against the Raptors tonight. Charlotte has really been impressive to start the season. They are 6-1 and come in riding a 4-game winning streak. This wasn't a team that was getting a lot of hype coming into the season, so I still think the books aren't giving them the respect they deserve. Toronto on the other hand is a team that was picked to be right behind Cleveland in the east standings and are coming in off a what's perceived to be a big win at OKC. I'm not as big on the Thunder as others and look for the Raptors to come up short in this one. Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings at home against Toronto and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Give me Charlotte -2.5! |
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11-10-16 | Bulls +2.5 v. Heat | 98-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS Blowout (Bulls +2.5) I know the Bulls just lost at Atlanta last night and the Heat have the edge here in rest, but I just like this spot to much with Chicago. This will be Wade's first game back in Miami since jumping ship in the offseason. The Bulls' players understand just how important this game is to Wade and I expect them to lay everything they have on the line in this one to make sure he leaves with a win against his former team. I believe their poor play last night, especially on defense, had a lot to do with them looking ahead to this matchup. Chicago is also the much better team in this one. Miami is just 2-4 and their wins have come against the Magic and at home against the Kings. Give me the Bulls +2.5! |
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11-09-16 | Blazers +9.5 v. Clippers | Top | 80-111 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Blazers +9.5) I like the value here with Portland as a near double-digit road dog against the Clippers. I know the Blazers are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but this is a young team that can handle this spot early in the season. I also think the line here is inflated due to LA coming in off a 32-point blowout win against the Pistons, which followed 24-point win at San Antonio. Not to mention the Clippers are 6-1 ATS on the season, so the books really have no choice here but to make this line a lot higher than it should be. Portland played the Clippers tough at home in back in the opening week of the season and I like the revenge angle here. Give me the Blazers +9.5! |
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11-08-16 | Pelicans v. Kings -5.5 | Top | 94-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kings -5.5) This might seem like a lot of points for the Kings to be laying, but I think we see a dominant performance at home by Sacramento tonight. The Kings are just 3-5, but they have also played 6 of their first 8 on the road and one of their 2 home games was against the Spurs. This team is hungry for a win and are catching the Pelicans in a bad spot, as New Orleans just played last night in Golden State and are depleted with injuries right now. I just don't see the Pelicans having the energy needed to keep this one competitive. Give me the Kings -5.5! |
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11-08-16 | Wolves -4 v. Nets | 110-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Knockout (Timberwolves -4) Minnesota has not got off to the start most expected, as they are just 1-4 in their first 5, but they could just as easily be 4-1, blowing double-digit leads in 3 of those 4 losses. The Nets are playing hard, but are clearly behind the 8-ball in terms of talent. Minnesota isn't going to overlook the Nets in this spot and that should be more than enough for them to get the win here by at least 5 points, as I could see this one getting ugly in a hurry. Give me the Timberwolves -4! |
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11-08-16 | Hawks +9 v. Cavs | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Hawks +9) Atlanta is worth a look here as a near double-digit dog against the Cavs. We knew Cleveland was going to be overvalued coming into the season after winning it all last year and that certainly hasn't changed after they have started out 6-0. They are just 2-4 ATS and have failed to cover in 4 straight. This Hawks team is a lot better than people think and are certainly capable of giving the Cavs a run for their money here. Keep in mind Cleveland's only win this season by double-digits is their opener against the Knicks. Give me the Hawks +9! |
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11-05-16 | Kings +1.5 v. Bucks | 91-117 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Kings +1.5) I believe the books are begging for you to take the Bucks as a small home favorite. Milwaukee comes in having won 2 straight and 3 of 4 overall, including back-to-back outright wins as an underdog. The Kings on the other hand have lost 3 straight on the road, including an ugly 94-102 defeat at Orlando last time out. I know they are just 2-4, but I like what I have seen from the Kings early on and I expect them to bounce back here in what feels like a must-win game with a road game at Toronto on deck tomorrow. On the other side of this, I don't trust this Bucks team, at least not until Middleton returns from injury. Kings swept the season series a year ago, including a 129-118 win at Milwaukee as a 4.5-point dog. There's a reason this line has dropped from it's opening number of the Bucks -4. Give me Sacramento +1.5! |
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11-04-16 | Warriors v. Lakers +11 | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
40* Warriors/Lakers Late Night ATS Bailout (Lakers +11) This situation is just too good to pass up and if you play against teams like the Warriors in this spot, I'm confident you will profit long-term. Golden State just played the biggest game of their season to date last night at home against the Thunder, as Durant got his first crack at his old team. The Warriors laid everything they had into winning that game for their new teammate. I believe they are going to have a hard time matching the intensity of this young Lakers team in another nationally televised game, especially playing on no rest and this being their 3rd game in 4 nights. This is LA's chance to showcase themselves in a primetime game and I expect them to lay everything they have on the line at home tonight. Give me the Lakers +11! |