Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-12-23 | Monmouth v. Seton Hall OVER 141.5 | 61-70 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After suffering consecutive losses Im betting on the Hall being very aggressive here, and to put forward a start to finish effort to will help this combined score get eclipsed. SETON HALL is 7-0 OVER after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.3 ppg scored. Play over |
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12-12-23 | Long Island +20 v. UMass Lowell | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (UMASS-LOWELL) - a good team (60% to 80%) playing a struggling team (20% or less) are 235-343 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Long Island to cover |
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12-11-23 | Packers v. Giants +7 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 107 h 59 m | Show | |
After three straight underdog wins the Packers are back in the play off race, against a side the NY Giants that are not. Thats not a good thing from my perspective, as the Giants are playing loose while the Packers will now feeling pressure to perform and could easily be in a letdown situation after that trio of surprising victories. Also the Gemn have momentum coming into this prime time affair, after win last week and are now feeling alot more confident about themselves. Daboll is 15-6 ATS vs. sub standard passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse as the coach of NY GIANTS. NFLRoad favorites (GREEN BAY) - in a game involving two sub standard defensive teams (335 to 370 YPG), after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 6-28 ATS L/40 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY GIANTS) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game are 34-12 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Giants to cover |
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12-11-23 | Jazz +13 v. Thunder | 120-134 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
The Thunder are coming off a 138-136 overtime win over Golden State on Friday where they forced 29 turnovers, leading to 35 points and even though they are on a couple days rest Im betting they feel a natural letdown from that affair here tonight vs a Jazz side Im sure their over looking . I know the Jazz are without leading scorer Lauri Markkanen , but are capable of being competitive here tonight as they have had sufficient time to adjust to his absence. UTAH is 17-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.Hardy is 41-22 ATS as an underdog as the coach of UTAH. UTAH is 30-17 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (UTAH) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, first half of the season are 99-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jazz |
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12-11-23 | Red Wings v. Stars -193 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Home Favorites on the opening line of between -200 to -300 against the money line (DALLAS) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 28-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Stars to win |
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12-11-23 | Maple Leafs -120 v. Islanders | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Islanders are off a big OT win at home vs the Kings last time out ending LAs 11 game road unbeaten streak. Now Im betting the Isles will be in a letdown spot vs a Toronto side that is 6-2-2 on the road this season and dating back to last season is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road and that has cashed 3 of their L/4 as visitors in this series. NY Islanders is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home. NHL Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (TORONTO) - off a home win where they shut out their opponent, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 38-10 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Maple Leafs to win |
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12-11-23 | Delaware v. Robert Morris OVER 144 | 73-69 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DELAWARE) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 26-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average 152.1 ppg. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ROBERT MORRIS) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or more ) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 52-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. with a combined average of 149.6 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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12-10-23 | Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 51.5 | 13-33 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 52 m | Show | |
These teams are explosive offensive sides with Dallas averaging 33.2 ppg while Philadelphia is averaging 27.4 ppg. Also recent meetings between these sides have see the manifestation of high scoring affairs, with an average 60.2 ppg scored in the L/6 overall meetings with all 6 going over the total.DALLAS is 7-0 OVER \n home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 62.8 ppg scored. DALLAS is 7-0 OVER in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 season with a combined average of 63.2 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 OVER after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 56.4 ppg scored. Everything points to this being. aback and forth affair that eclipses the total. Play on the over |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | 13-33 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 54 m | Show | |
Its not easy going against a Cowboys side that has won 14 consecutive games at home ,but thats what Im about to recommend we do. I know the Eagles had their clocks cleaned vs the SF 49ers last week, but even top tier teams like the Eagles can have an off week. I also know the Boyz despite of their strong current run still have not beaten an .above .500 team this season, and do most of their damage against sub par sides. With that said and considering the fact that the Eagles when QB Jalen Hurts, is on the field play vs an above .500 squad like the Cowboys the Eagles have gone 14-1 SU L/15 .
NFL Home teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - excellent offensive team (370 or more YPG) against a team with a struggling defense (335 to 370 YPG), after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 8-18 L/10 seasons for ago against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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12-10-23 | Kings v. Rangers -115 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
The Kings are in a huge letdown spot after losing in OT to the Isles last night, after taking a 2-0 lead into the third period. Now on tired legs on the road the Kings are fade material in this spot play vs a Rangers side that are are 9-1 ATS against excellent power play teams like the Kings- scoring on 19% or more of their chances this season. NY RANGERS are 8-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season (lost both times and will be very motivated to bounce back)
NHL team against the money line (LOS ANGELES) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 11-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Rangers to win |
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12-10-23 | Boston College v. St. John's UNDER 151.5 | 86-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Grant is 16-5 UNDER L/21 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game in all games he has coached with a combined average of 125.2 ppg scored.. CBB neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 33-12 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under Play under |
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12-10-23 | Michigan v. Iowa -3.5 | 90-80 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Iowa swept the season series against the Wolverines a season ago, including a 93-84 overtime victory in Carver in January.Iowa is 4-0 inside Carver-Hawkeye Arena this season, averaging 99.8 points per game. The Hawkeyes are shooting 51.1 percent from the floor in four home games Iowa is one the nation’s top offensive teams, averaging 85.3 points in nine games. The Hawkeyes are tops in the Big Ten and 22nd nationally. The team has scored at least 84 points in six games, including 110 points in the season opener against North Dakota. There is just to much fire power here for a struggling Michigan Wolverines side to contain. Since starting out the season with three straight victories, the Wolverines have lost five of their last six games. The Hawkeyes have won seven of the nine meetings between the two schools in Iowa City since 2012 and get the nod again here today.
Play on Iowa to cover |
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12-10-23 | Bills v. Chiefs -1 | 20-17 | Loss | -115 | 72 h 41 m | Show | |
The Chiefs have not performed optimally of late , but don't be mistaken this a top tier team that is capable of capturing a Super Bowl and now in bounce back mode after a down effort vs the Packers last time out. Meanwhile, nothing has come easily for the Bills this season, and Im betting they will find themselves in a tough spot this week in KC. Buffalo has failed to cover 7 of their L/8. BUFFALO is 1-8 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.Reid is 41-21 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of KANSAS CITY. bottom line is here, is that Im big believer in Mahomes and the Chiefs, add to that I have some futures bets on the Chiefs winning the Super Bowl and you might understand why Im taking this position. Play on the KC Chiefs to cover |
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12-10-23 | Vikings v. Raiders UNDER 40.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 54 h 23 m | Show | |
These teams have seen alot of low scoring games this season, thanks in part to a lack of fluid offense and strong up-trending defenses. With back up QBs expected to start today another low scoring event is my bet. The Raiders have gone under in 9 of 12 tilts this season and have gone under in 5 of 6 at home, averaging a just 36.8 combined PPG in the process . Meanwhile the Vikings have also gone 9-3 under and when they are favored have stayed under in all 6 as chalk with a combined average of 35.1 ppg getting scored. Teams like the Raiders and the Vikings both off a bye week dating back 3 season have seen , 15 of the L/17 stay under the offered total for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NFLRoad teams against the total (MINNESOTA) - off a home loss against opponent off a home loss by 10 or more points are 32-10 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 39.2 ppg scored. Play under |
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12-10-23 | Colorado v. Miami-FL UNDER 153.5 | 90-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. COLORADO is 24-11 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136 ppg scored. COLORADO is 15-3 UNDER L/18in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 139.8 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-2 UNDER in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (MIAMI) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower are 42-14 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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12-10-23 | Texans v. Jets +3.5 | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 52 h 53 m | Show | |
Texans behind rookie QB Stroud are getting alot of accolades, but after escaping Broncos last drive last week that stalled on Houstons 8 yard line, they enter into this game as road chalk something that they dont have a great history of being successful at ,as is evident by failing in 6 of their L/7 in the chalk role. Add to that the Texans lost one their top WR Dell, which Im betting will be a blow to them in this spot and you have a situation that could easily see the under performing ( Im being nice here) pulling off the upset and more importantly getting us the cover. HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY JETS) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game are 34-12 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Jets 3-1 ATS L/4 meetings in this series. Play on NY Jets to cover |
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12-10-23 | Colts +2 v. Bengals | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 39 m | Show | |
Bengals QB Browning shocked alot of ppl in his big performance last week that saw him break some records for a back up , but Im betting he will suffer regression here this week, after that miraculous 34-31 OT underdog win vs the Jags. This is an important game for both the Bengals and the Colts, as post season implication prevail in what should be a grueling affair. NFL team (CINCINNATI) - off a huge upset win as a double digit underdog, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 3-21 ATS L/30 seasons for a 88% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colts to cover |
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12-10-23 | Prairie View A&M v. Iowa State OVER 141 | 56-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. IOWA ST is 8-1 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 145.6 ppg scored. PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 10-1 OVER after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157 ppg scored. PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 21-9 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997 with a combined average of 149.2 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PRAIRIE VIEW A&M) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 57-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play over |
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12-09-23 | Pacers v. Lakers UNDER 242.5 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Los Angeles after smothering the Pelicans last time out ( allowing them just 89 points in. a big time victory) will once again be ready to control an Indiana offense that has been the best in the NBA all season. Indiana leads the league with a 128.4 points-per-game average, but the senior laden Lakers Im betting have a plan to slow down the Pacers, and this will result in a much lower scoring tilt that the linesmakers are expecting. The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+15.40 Units / 29% ROI) NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for. a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA LAKERS) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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12-09-23 | Kings -145 v. Islanders | 2-3 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Kings continue to win on the road and are undefeated away from home this season, and once again get my support here vs a very inconsistent Islanders side. LA has won 4 straight meetings in this series and the last two here in the visitors role. The Kings have outscored their opponents 50-18 while winning eight games by two or more goals during their 11 game win streak on the road. Rinse and repeat. LOS ANGELES is 8-0 ATS in road games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on17.5% or better of chances this season.LOS ANGELES is 10-1 ATS against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game this season.LOS ANGELES is 11-0 ATS in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season. Play on the Kings to win |
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12-09-23 | Drake v. Nevada UNDER 147.5 | 72-53 | Win | 100 | 1 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under (Late Steam) |
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12-09-23 | Cincinnati v. Xavier +1.5 | 79-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Xavier University Musketeers, 4-5, and the University of Cincinnati Bearcats, 7-0, will meet for the 91st time on Saturday. Xavier will be looking for its fifth-straight win vs. its crosstown rivals. XU is 9-1 vs. UC at Cintas Center, including nine straight victories. dont be fooled by the Muskies 3 game losing run, this is still a viable side, that is getting acclimated to the new bodies in the lineup. Im betting the competitive juices to be flowing here and for the Musketeers to get the cover. XAVIER is 7-0 ATS in home games against Big 12 conference opponents since 1997.XAVIER is 6-0 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 2-11 ATS against Big East conference opponents since 1997. Play under |
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12-09-23 | Marshall v. Ohio UNDER 162 | 74-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (OHIO U) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a home loss are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with a combined average of 148.2 ppg scored. Play under |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy +3 | 17-11 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
According to my own power rankings these sides are pretty evenly matched . Last season these two military schools played a grueling tilt that Army won 20-17 in OT, and Im betting on the same kind of action this time around, but with the edge going to the revenging side taking points. The revenging side has covered 10 of the L/12 meetings. NAVY is 19-6 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1992.(Army 5-6 on the season) Play on Navy |
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12-09-23 | Central Michigan +31.5 v. Creighton | 64-109 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB favorite (CREIGHTON) - a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against a struggling defensive team (74-78 PPG), after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 8-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Central Michigan to cover |
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12-09-23 | Indiana v. Auburn UNDER 147 | 76-104 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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12-09-23 | Kentucky v. Pennsylvania UNDER 154.5 | 81-66 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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12-08-23 | Kings -1.5 v. Suns | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
The Kings are off a 127-117 loss to the visiting New Orleans Pelicans on Monday during the in-season tournament quarterfinals, while the Suns were beaten by a 106-103 count to the host Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday in another quarterfinal matchup. From a matchup perspective the Kings from my viewpoint stand a better chance of a bounce back, knowing that HC Brown is 17-4 ATS off a home loss as the coach of SACRAMENTO and. 11-2 ATS in road games vs. division opponents as the coach of SACRAMENTO. Meanwhile, ,Vogel is 1-10 ATS versus good shooting teams -like the Kings that convert 46% or better of their shots as the coach of PHOENIX. The Suns have failed to cover in 4 straight. NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are just 5-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 42-12 L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Kings are 3-1 SU L/4 vs Suns. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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12-08-23 | Pistons +11.5 v. Magic | 91-123 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
Detroit is mired in a nasty slump to start their season losing 17 of 19 games, but Im not worried about that as a pretext to me taking them to cover. After-all Im in the business of picking advantageous situations against what the linesmkaers are offering. In this situation the Magic despite of being a team on the rise are a little banged up on the injury front, and have lost two straight while the Pistons, despite of their ugly numbers have covered at a 5-1-1 ATS rate in their L/7 games as underdogs of 9 or more points. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-08-23 | Hawks +8 v. 76ers | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is on extended rest , as they have not played since Dec 1. There is a such a thing as too much time off, and thus getting back into game flow is not an easy transition. Im betting the rust could cause a lack of continuity for the 76ers and for an Atlanta side on two days rest to come out here in give the 76ers all they can handle. I know the Hawks have not been viable bets of late, failing to cover in 5 straight and 9 of their L/10 but 6 of those games were as favorites and 5 of those losses were by 2 points or less. ATLANTA is 21-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Snyder in 16 games against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of ATLANTA has ween a ppg diff of -6.2. Snyder in 14 games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of ATLANTA has seen a average ppg diff of -5 ppg. Snyder in 102 games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game in all games he has in his carrer has seen an average ppf diff of -5. . NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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12-08-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Manhattan UNDER 151.5 | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections place the combined score to fall into the mid 140 range giving us a viable opportunity to cash a under ticket. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FARLEIGH DICKINSON) - an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential) against a terrible team (8 or less PPG differential), after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game are 39-12 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 145.1 . Play under |
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12-08-23 | Stonehill v. Rider UNDER 148.5 | 56-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. STONEHILL is 9-1 UNDER versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 126.8 ppg scored,STONEHILL is 16-5 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 free or less throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 131.6 ppg scored. RIDER is 12-3 UNDER after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 134.2 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RIDER STONEHILL) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two struggling teams (20% or less ) are 51-19 UNDER L/26 seasons with the combined average of 136.7 ppg scored. Play under |
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12-08-23 | North Carolina A&T +22 v. High Point | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. N CAROLINA A&T is 13-4 ATS L/17 in road games after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog . CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (HIGH POINT) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a terrible team (20% or ,less) are 19-53 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on North Carolina A&T to cover |
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12-07-23 | Devils -135 v. Seattle Kraken | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
Seattle has lost 5 straight games, while the Devils are picking up their play and have won 4 of their L/5. These teams are currently playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum giving us a viable edge with a mostly healthy group of Devils that can light the scoreboard up very quickly. NHL Road Favorites against the money line (NEW JERSEY) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, average team (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) vs a poor team (0.4 or less goal/game diff.) are 50-19 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NJ Devils to win |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers -5.5 | 21-18 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Bill Belichick’s Patriots just cant score, they have no flow to their offense what so ever. The Steelers are also not much better, but they have shown some signs of like under new offensive coordinator Canada. . This could easily be a snore fest , and the linesmakers know it setting a total of around 30 points on this tilt. I know most of the general public are not interested in this game, but from a bettors perspective their are some edges that can be isolated giving us the edge needed to cash a ticket. First off the Steelers after a big win feel asleep at the wheel last time out, which brings into play a strong bounce back tendency form HC Mike Tomlin see his team go 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS in his career, off a home loss. Considering New England is just 0-10 SUATS in their last ten non-division contests and 1-12 SUATS in their thirteen games as a pup. Im betting Tomlin weaves his bounce back magic once again, and with Trubisky under center for the Steelers, a new sense of offensive effectiveness may take hole. But whatever the case Im betting the lack of Patriots scoring will doom them here again tonight in this prime time affair. NEW ENGLAND is 0-6 ATS vs. sub par kickoff coverage teams, allowing 24 or more yards per return this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -15.7. NEW ENGLAND is 1-8 ATS passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. this season with a average ppg diff of -11 ppg.NEW ENGLAND is 1-7 ATS as an underdog this season with a average ppf diff of -9.8 ppg. NFL Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - after going under the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record in the second half of the season are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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12-07-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. NC-Greensboro OVER 145.5 | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Hamilton is 30-18 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of E KENTUCKY.Hamilton is 14-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of E KENTUCKY. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UNC-GREENSBORO) - average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG), after a blowout win by 30 points or more are 44-17 OVER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 153 ppg scored. Play over |
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12-07-23 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 256 | 128-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
No way do I see Milwaukee allowing the Pacers to run and gun here in comfortable fashion, and instead I expect the Bucks to become very physical in their attempt to slow down this free wheeling group.Yes, I know the numbers attached to this tilt, favor a very high scoring affair, but in my humble opinion the lines-makers have over adjusted towards a public enticing Total. This Im betting contributes to a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. MILWAUKEE is 29-16 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games are 44-19 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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12-06-23 | SMU v. Arizona State -3 | 74-76 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona State (5-2) is looking to extend a three-game winning streak when they face SMU (6-3). It is the sixth time the Sun Devils and Mustangs have matched up, with ASU winning each of the previous five meetings. Im betting nothing in this series changes tonight as the Sun Devils continue their strong play at home. Arizona State has outscored opponents 232-189 (+43) during the streak, with all three victories coming by double-digits. Coach Hurley has led the Maroon & Gold to nine-straight wins against non-conference opponents at Desert Financial Arena. Rinse and repeat in play. ARIZONA ST is 9-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. SMU is 0-7 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Hurley is 9-0 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less as the coach of ARIZONA ST. CBB underdog (SMU) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 26-60 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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12-06-23 | Rice v. Houston OVER 139.5 | 39-75 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score of between 142 to 147 combined points giving us great value with an over wager. RICE is 7-0 OVER vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 169 ppg scored.Pera is 10-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 as the coach of RICE with a combined average of 147.5 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 33-8 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 156.3 ppg. CBB Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (HOUSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 50-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score coming in at 142.9 ppg. _Play over |
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12-06-23 | 76ers v. Wizards +10.5 | 131-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
After two hard fought games and losses vs New Orleans and Boston the Sixers are on tired legs and in a bit of a letdown situation, which bodes well for us covering this offering with the home dog Washington Wizards. Also the 76ers after. fast start to their campaign have failed to win 6 of their L/10 and are being a little over rated here in this situation. Note: Washington has covered 4 of their L/6 and get my support getting points in this spot play. NBA Home underdogs of 10 or more points (WASHINGTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 44-18 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - a very good team (7 or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 5-25 L/27 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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12-06-23 | Magic +4.5 v. Cavs | 111-121 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The Magic had a 9 game win streak snapped last time out and now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs the Cleveland Cavs here tonight. Quote:"The last couple of games, we've been slipping," Magic forward Franz Wagner said, per the Orlando Sentinel. "That's how we set the tone during the game, that's how we get out and run, and get easy points in the transition. "We got to make sure we get back to that." End Quote: I concerted effort from this very well conditioned and focused Magic side is the bet Im recommending. ORLANDO is 31-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 10-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
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12-06-23 | Stars v. Panthers UNDER 6 | 4-5 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Florida had gone 11 straight games without allowing more than 3 goals and than last time out allowed 4 goals, but now Im betting they get back into their strong defensive groove vs a strong offensive Dallas unit. Panthers starting goalie Sergei Bobrovsky owns a a 2.41 goals-against average this season , and will be key to this being a lower scoring affair. Advantage under.
NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DALLAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 51-18 L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored. Play under |
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12-06-23 | Penn State +7.5 v. Maryland | 75-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After Maryland was outhustled and outplayed by the Hoosiers last time out Im betting despite of wanting to bounce back just do not matchup well enough to cover this number. With 10 new players, including nine transfers, the Rhoades-led Nittany Lions are not a Big 10 team that is getting much respect . They started hot with four straight wins, but have since dropped the same number of games , but are still competitive and must be respected here getting points. Penn State to cover |
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12-05-23 | Suns v. Lakers -1 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
Lakers future HOFer James helped the Lakers to a 4-0 record in group-stage play of the inaugural event and the top seed in the West heading into the win-and-advance quarterfinals and Im betting he will be the difference maker here tonight her vs a Suns side that the Lakers have dominated of late winning 4 straight meetings. The Lakers opened their in-season tournament group-stage schedule with a 122-119 victory at Phoenix on Nov. 10. Los Angeles and according to my projections a rinse and repeart situation is once again in play. Note: PHOENIX is 1-9 ATS revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is also just 1-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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12-05-23 | Wild -110 v. Flames | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
After firing their head coach Dean Evason the Wild have responded by allowing only one goal in each of the past three trips to the golden pond , while outscoring their opponents 13-3.The Wild have put together a strong turnaround and have momentum on their sides entering this tilt. Meanwhile, the The Flames are off a 4-3 home defeat to the Vancouver Canucks and are said to have lost their No. 1 goaltender Jacob Markstrom who left Monday's practice Monday with a lower body issue. Advantage Minnesota. .NHL Road Favorites against the money line (MINNESOTA) - off a home win against a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals are 30-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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12-05-23 | Seton Hall +11.5 v. Baylor | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Seton Hall has some injuries but are still more than capable of being competitive here this evening at Baylor. SETON HALL is 16-6 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons. SETON HALL is 13-4 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons.. Holloway is 32-17 ATS L/49 as a road underdog or pick in all games he has coached SETON HALL is 9-2 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (BAYLOR) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 41-81 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seton Hall to cover |
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12-05-23 | Weber State v. Utah Valley +3 | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UTAH VALLEY ST is 13-1 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH VALLEY ST is 9-1 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.UTAH VALLEY ST is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.UTAH VALLEY ST is 9-1 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH VALLEY ST is 20-3 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons. WEBER ST is 1-10 ATS after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. UTAH VALLEY ST is 5-1 straight up against WEBER ST since 1997. Play on Utah State Valley to cover |
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12-05-23 | Louisiana Tech v. Stephen F Austin -3.5 | 56-49 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SF AUSTIN ST is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons. SF AUSTIN ST is 9-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points Play on Stephen F Austin to cover |
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12-05-23 | Knicks v. Bucks -4.5 | 122-146 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Winners in nine of their past 11 tilts, the Bucks will host the Knicks in an NBA in-season tournament quarterfinal battle on Tuesday. Milwaukee has won their L/8 home games and are 7-1 L/8 overall vs the Knicks and get the nod again here this Tuesday night. MILWAUKEE is 18-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs (NEW YORK) - off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 19-46 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 19-43 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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12-05-23 | Villanova v. Kansas State +2.5 | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. KANSAS ST is 10-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. CBB underdog (KANSAS ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Kansas State to cover |
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12-05-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Illinois UNDER 147.5 | 89-98 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two top tier teams go head to head here in what Im betting will be a physical affair thats see both sides pay special attention to defensive responsibilities in transition.. FLA ATLANTIC is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 137.2 ppg scored. ILLINOIS is 20-8 UNDER L/28 after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more with a combined average of 134.7 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (ILLINOIS) - off an upset win by 15 points or more as an underdog, on Tuesday nights are 32-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 130.7 ppg scored. Play on UNDER |
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12-04-23 | Cal Poly +14 v. Oregon State | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. OREGON ST is 0-6 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. OREGON ST is 3-12 ATS as a home favorite or pick over the last 3 seasons. CAL POLY-SLO is 18-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-04-23 | Arkansas State +25 v. Alabama | 65-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Alabama is off a loss to Clemson last time out and finally looked like they had run out of gas after fast action run and gun affairs. Now in a bit of physical and emotional letdown situation Im betting on them paying more attention to strong defensive ball , which in turn will help is get a strong opportunity for a tilt that that sees the under rated dog stay closer than expected. ALABAMA is 0-9 ATS after allowing 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.ALABAMA is 1-12 ATS after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Oats is 0-11 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games as the coach of ALABAMA. ARKANSAS ST is 13-4 ATS L/17 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (ARKANSAS ST) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 24-4 ATS L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas State to cover |
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12-04-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Pacers | 112-122 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Boston destroyed Indiana by a 155-014 count when they met back in November as their side open style of play back fired on them against a team with a far superior D, and and even more lethal balanced offense. The Pacers despite of looking for revenge, Im betting dont have what it takes to beat the Celtics and more importantly even cover the number. Mazzulla is 23-7 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing a shooting pct defense of 48% or more as the coach of BOSTON with a average ppg diff of +10.3 ppg. Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (INDIANA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road win by 10 points or more are 3-39 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppf per game diff clicking in at -11.5 which easily qualifies in this ATS offering. Play on Boston to cover |
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12-04-23 | Maryland-Eastern Shore +16.5 v. East Carolina | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MD-EAST SHORE is 11-2 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.MD-EAST SHORE is 12-1 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 season.MD-EAST SHORE is 12-1 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 season. Crafton is 9-2 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game as the coach of MD-EAST SHORE. Play on Maryland Eastern Shore to cover |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers UNDER 42.5 | 19-27 | Loss | -107 | 34 h 57 m | Show | |
We have a interesting set up from a recent trends historical data base of late from tonights tilt featuring the Green Bay Packers vs the KC Chiefs. Note: Sunday and Monday night tilts have gone under in 23 of 26 games this season and have cashed to the under in 15 straight games . In the last two seasons the under has been a cash cow grabbing the dough from the books in 32 of the 35 opportunities. Also the under has cashed in 24 of the 29 games for a 83% conversion rate with NFL sides like Green Bay off back-to-back underdog victories . NFL Road teams against the total (KANSAS CITY) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. KANSAS CITY is 7-1 UNDER in games played on a grass field this season with a combined average of 36.4 ppg scored.. KC previous to their last game vs Vegas in a 31-17 win had done under 6 straight times. Im bucking these types of trends and instead will ride with the tide. Play under |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 32 h 21 m | Show | |
The Chiefs have a recent history of not performing optimally off one win exact going 2-9 ATS including 1-5 ATS road games . Kansas City is also 0-9 ATS as a favorite when both teams are coming off an ATS win and is 0-7 ATS after a win by 14 or more points over the last 2 seasons. (Packers won last week as dogs and the Chiefs polished off Vegas by DDS as favs.) On the fliside the Packers are 13-4 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points with HC Matt LaFleur on the sidelines. Also Packers QB QB Jordan Love owns a 3-0 SU/ATS in his young career hosting a non-conference opponent. LaFleur is 8-1 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points as the coach of GREEN BAY. Add to that GREEN BAY is 10-1 ATS L/11 in home games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game in the second half of the season and is s 10-1 ATS L/11 in home games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. in the second half of the season , As well as GREEN BAY is 16-4 ATS L/20 in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season in the second half of the season . .NFL Underdogs or pick (GREEN BAY) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% in the second half of the season are 31-9 ATS L/30 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Green Bay to cover |
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12-03-23 | Avalanche +124 v. Kings | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Colorado seems to leave their best hockey against winning teams cashing 5 in a row vs above opposition. Meanwhile, LA has lost 9 fo their L/13 at home and look like less than viable favs here. Road team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and Colorado is 6-0 L/6 visits to LA and get the nod here on a value line. Note: Colorado will start No. 1 goalie Alexandar Georgiev after Ivan Prosvetov started against the Ducks on Saturday night. Georgiev was the first NHL goalie to reach 10 wins this season and continues to lead the league with 13 victories. Play on Colorado to win |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams OVER 40.5 | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 49 h 37 m | Show | |
Cleveland has played low scoring games at home this season, but have gone over the total in all 5 of their road tilts with a combined average of 54.3 ppg scored. Last week Cleveland played in Denver, and that brings into play a situation where non division road teams that get a whiff of fresh breathable air after coming from the Mile Hight city are 9-0-1 over dating back 4 seasons. Im betting a Cleveland team that has not done much scoring here of late to feel rejuvenated and come out here swinging and put more points on the board than the lines-makers expect. Meanwhile the Rams are a side that is finally getting their offense in gear off scoring 37 points last time out will primed to keep that train going. McVay is 12-4 OVER off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival as the coach of LA RAMS with a combined average of 54.9 ppg scored. Play over |
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12-03-23 | Panthers +3.5 v. Bucs | 18-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bays Bucs' will be with out three top tier defenders for this this game: LB Lavonte David (groin), LB Devin White (foot) and CB Jamel Dean (ankle) making a inept Carolina D, more proficient. Thats not a good omen considering The Bucs D since they came offt heir bye in Week 6, rank last in the NFL in EPA/play (0.069) On the flipside the Bucks offense with Bake Mayfield at the helm have proven to be bad bets when favored cashing just 13 of 38 times for a go against 65% conversion rate for his batting backers. With that said, Ill recommend we take the points with a Carolina team that has not pressure on them what so ever, as their play off hopes are already dead in the water. )TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS L/10 vs. struggling passing teams averaging 5.2 or less passing yards/att in the second half of the season. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CAROLINA) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 17 points or less in 4 straight games are 97-47 ATS L/30 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (CAROLINA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in December games are 87-38 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NFL road pups with one or less wins entering their eighth through 12th contest of the season are 63-30-5 (68%) ATS since 2003, covering by an veage 3.6 points per game. Play on Carolina to cover |
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12-03-23 | Creighton v. Nebraska OVER 149.5 | 89-60 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Both these teams can really shoot it. The Bluejays are a potent offensive club, averaging 83.3 points per game while shooting 50 percent from the field and 40 percent from 3-point range. Meanwhile, the Huskers are 13-3 over the last 16 games dating back to Feb. 1, 2023. A big reason for that is NU's offense, as NU has averaged 77.6 ppg on 48 percent shooting in that stretch.Nebraska is currently averaging 81.6 points per game, which is fourth in the Big Ten as of Dec. 1. The last time NU averaged more points per game in its first seven games was in 1995-96 (89.7 ppg).Hoiberg is 10-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of NEBRASKA.Hoiberg is 14-4 OVER in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 as the coach of NEBRASKA.NEBRASKA is 7-0 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Play over |
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12-03-23 | Fairfield v. Rider UNDER 142.5 | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Play under |
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12-03-23 | Dolphins v. Commanders UNDER 49.5 | 45-15 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Hey I know the Washington D has looked atrocious of late , but the coaching staff have really been focusing on slowing down their game and for a more focused concerted effort on being more physical and disciplined on defense. Yes, I also know how explosive Miami has been, but with this being their 2nd straight away game a little bit of regression must be expected from this road weary group, playing a in division matchup. Only one of the Fins last 7 games has eclisped this totals offering and Im betting on another one staying under the number. the L/3 meetings here in Washington between these sides has stayed on the low side of the offered total. WASHINGTON is 8-1 UNDER in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.1 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 33.6 ppg scored. Rivera is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or better rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 36 ppg .Rivera is 11-1 UNDER in home games in the second half of the season as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 37.6 ppg scored. MIAMI is 26-9 UNDER L/35 against NFC East division opponents with a combined average of 39 ppg scored. NFL Road teams against the total (MIAMI) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 39.4 ppg scored. Play on the under |
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12-03-23 | Broncos +3 v. Texans | 17-22 | Loss | -102 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
Broncos have now won 5 in a row SU after starting the season 1-5 SU and deserve respect here as underdogs this week vs the Texans. Nothing comes easily for the Texans this season, and Im betting if they get the win here this week, it wont come easily. Advantage taking the points. HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS in home games in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home teams (HOUSTON) - excellent passing team (7.3 or more PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA), after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. DENVER is 6-3 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992 and won the most recent meeting here in Texas. Payton is 13-4 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on Denver to cover |
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12-03-23 | Lions v. Saints UNDER 47 | 33-28 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
When you see a Detroit Lions game you want almost automatically look for reasons to bet the over, but this is not one of those games here in New Orleans vs the inept offense of the Saints that are averaging just 18.3 ppg at home this season. Note When team from the NFC are non-division Conference road favorites the total has failed to be eclipsed 9 of the L/10 times. NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 UNDER versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or more yards/play in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 28 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 UNDER in December games over the last 3 season with a combined average of 30.5 ppg scored. Allen is 9-1 UNDER vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. in all games he has coached with a combined average of 41.8 ppg scored. Campbell is 11-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 40.6 ppg scored. NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DETROIT) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 28-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (DETROIT) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 33-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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12-03-23 | Auburn v. Appalachian State UNDER 142.5 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Play under |
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12-03-23 | Lions v. Saints +4.5 | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
The Lions looked bad in their Thanksgiving Day loss to the Packers, and have shown alot of signs of weakness at times this season despite of the consistent accolades they get from the media. From a trends perspectivee the Lions have also failed to cover 5 of their L/6 off a SU chalk loss . Meanwhile, the Saints are desperate and need a victory badly to stay inNFC Playoff race.as well as NFC South contention . I know the Saints have not looked good of late, but they are New s 6-0 ATS when coming off back-to-back SUATS defeats and are 7-2 ATS in this series and 4-0 ATS when getting points . NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS L/20 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game in the second half of the season DETROIT is 16-31 ATSas a road favorite since 1992. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (DETROIT) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 50 or more yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 45-91 ATS L/10 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans Saints to cover |
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12-02-23 | Thunder v. Mavs UNDER 235.5 | 126-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Dallas looked exhausted last night in a 108-94 loss to Memphis and now in back to back games will be even more tired and less likely to be in the shape to run and gun with this sometimes explosive visiting Oklahoma City side. Recently the Mavs have been paying better attention to D, and as a result have not been as proficient offensively, but it was a problem they needed address. Because of thier better defensive efforts they have seen 4 of their L/5 fail to eclipse the total. Here tonight on tired legs and going against a Thunder side that can light the scoreboard up in a hurry another more disciplined D plan should be in place, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-3 UNDER in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.4 ppg scored. DALLAS is 41-26 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS/OKLAHOMA CITY ) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 218.2 ppg scored. Play under |
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12-02-23 | Blues v. Coyotes UNDER 6.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON, ARIZONA - KAREL VEJMELKA The Coyotes have only scored three more than 3 goals in 3 of their L/11 overall and against a St.Louis team that allows an average of just over 3 gpg on the road this season Im betting they stay within their usual fairly low scoring parameters. Yes, the Coyotes started fast offensively this season, but now they are in full regression mode. Also the last time these teams met a 6-5 score went on the board, but both sides will be more weary here in the rematch. ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER after allowing 4 goals or more this season. (St.Louis scored a 6-4 victory last time out and offensive regression and a better defensive effort is a projected expectation) Goaltender Jordan Binnington made 42 saves to earn the victory, but the Blues know they need to give him more help and this will be key here this evening. Under is 11-5-2 in Blues last 18 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-2-1 in Blues last 8 overall. Under is 8-3-1 in Blues last 12 games playing on 1 days rest. NHL team against the total (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 85-43 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 4.9 gpg. Play under |
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12-02-23 | Cal-Irvine +6 v. Utah State | 69-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Sprinkle is 1-10 ATS after 3 straight games where opponent grabbed 31 or less rebounds in all games he has coached since 1997. Turner in his teams last 33 games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points as the coach of UC-IRVINE has seen average ppg diff of -1.4 ppg.UC-IRVINE is 9-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on UC Irvine to cover |
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12-02-23 | Louisville v. Florida State OVER 47.5 | 6-16 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 10 m | Show | |
Florida State has average 38.3 ppg this season while Louisville has scored and average of 33 ppg and an average of 36 ppg on turf. My projections see the Cardinal/Florida State both scoring 28 plus points making this totals offering vulnerable . Note: LOUISVILLE is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average fo 71.3 ppg scored. FLORIDA ST L/18 when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 60.5 ppg go on the board. Note: Cardinal last three matchups to end the regular season - vs. Virginia, at Miami and vs. Kentucky - saw them Cardinal give up and average of 31.0 points and 403.0 yards per game. Even with a third string QB expected to play, Im betting the Seminoles do enough damage to get this score to eclipse the total. LOUISVILLE L/25 games after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games have seen a combined average of 58.6 ppg scored. Brohm is 20-5 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 68.5 ppg scored. Brohm is 10-1 OVER in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 72.4 ppg scored. Play over CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (LOUISVILLE) - quick starting team - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the first half, after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 32-9 OVER L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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12-02-23 | Pacers +3.5 v. Heat | 144-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami took the first game of this back to back series by a 142-132 count, but Im betting they wont come out of this one so easily vs this run and gun Pacers side. That was a big output for the Heat and now regression is expected. However, the Pacers offense never seems to slow down as they are the highest scoring team in the NBA. Advantage Pacers.
NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after a combined score of 235 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (MIAMI) - after a combined score of 255 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 19-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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12-02-23 | Michigan v. Iowa +22.5 | 26-0 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 15 m | Show | |
This is biggest spread in the history of the Big 10 Championship game. This behemoth line is what we get to bet in here with Iowa . Considering Big 10 chalk has failed to cover 8 of the L/12 events , it becomes obvious they we may have some top tier value with a team with a top tier D, playing at home. It thus must be noted that HC Harbaugh vs top tier Ds, who are .800 or better opposition allowing less than 12.5 PPG, is just 1-5 ATS as a big chalk fav of -18 plus points. After taking on the Buckeyes last week in a close win Im not sure Michigan will be 100% after that physical game and could also be in an emotional letdown state at the worst possible time. Im not saying the Hawkeyes will win, but covering is definitely a strong possibility here.Ferentz is in 32 vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game as the coach of IOWA has seen a average ppg diff of - 3 ppg. Play on Iowa to cover |
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12-02-23 | Magic +2.5 v. Nets | 101-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Orlando is on a roll having won 10 straight games, and have the young legs and ambition not to let up here in Brooklyn tonight. Yes, the Magic played last night in a 130-125 win last night but they are one of the NBAs best conditioned teams and deserve respect here as underdogs. Note: ORLANDO is 13-2 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS in all games this season.ORLANDO is 10-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 23-44 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 3-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 22-10 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Orlando to cover |
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12-02-23 | Washington v. Colorado State UNDER 156 | 81-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . COLORADO ST is 11-3 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.8 ppg.COLORADO ST is 9-2 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO ST is 20-9 UNDER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO ST is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 130 ppg scored. Hopkins is 21-11 UNDER in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (COLORADO ST) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a winning record.are 167-103 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-02-23 | SMU v. Tulane -3.5 | 26-14 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 22 m | Show | |
Statistical analysis based on recent performances might make these teams seem closely matched. But from an empirical view point home field advantage and what my power rankings suggest is the more talented side, laying this little lumber makes for a viable wagering opportunity with a team that has been ranked top 25 for much of this season. Add to that SMU QB SMU's star quarterback, Preston Stone, broke his fibula in last week's battle with Navy. The Mustangs will now turn to redshirt freshman Kevin Jennings who despite of being talented is just not as prolific as Stone. Tulane is 9-0 ATS L/9 as a favorite of 7 points or less. SMU is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 0-7 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games. Road underdogs (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games are 12-35 ATS L/31 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tulane to cover |
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12-02-23 | Georgia -4.5 v. Alabama | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
SEC Championship Game - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA Im doing the unthinkable and taking Georgia a program that has won 29 straight games to take out Nick Sabans Alabama this week and more importantly to cover. My power rankings suggest the Bulldogs are the best team in the country, and despite of Alabama looking good down the stretch, did not look like one of HC Sabans more cohesive or even talented groups that he has mentored in his long coaching career. That was most evident to me in the Tides loss to Texas , a side that is of the top tier variety, but not in the same spectrum as Georgia. Key : No opponent reached 150 rushing yards against Georgia the past three seasons and no opponent has scored more than 23 points total against the Bulldogs. Bottom line: This is by far the best defense Alabama has faced this season .On the flipside the Bulldogs get to crack open the gaps behind RB K Milton vs a Tide side that has given up more than 200 yards rushing in two of the last four games. Milton has rushed for 349 yards on 41 carries and 5 touchdowns the last three games with an 8.5 yards per carry average. Saban is 7-20 ATS vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game as the coach of ALABAMA.Saban is 9-18 ATSL/27 in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game as the coach of ALABAMA GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS on a neutral field where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Georgia to cover |
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12-02-23 | Boise State v. UNLV +2.5 | 44-20 | Loss | -104 | 34 h 9 m | Show | |
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels host the Boise State Cowboys this afternoon are playing at home . The Rebels have the better record which sets up a nice trend to continue as coach Odom is 12-1 SU at home in his career in games in where his side owns the better win percentage on the season, which UNLV does. On the season UNLV is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the underdog role. Yes, I know Boise State has won 3 straight but that kind of run has not historically been kind to them as they are 3-6 L/9 SU off a .3 or more game SU/ATS positive run. CFB Road favorites (BOISE ST) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 43-86 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNLV to cover |
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12-02-23 | Detroit +11.5 v. Cleveland State | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Detroit to cover |
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12-02-23 | Marquette v. Wisconsin +3.5 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two experienced sides, in a game my projections estimate will be a close back and forth affair. Wisconsin has not faced the same competition as Marquette, but playing at home here gives them an edge on this line. Last year Wisconsin won by a 80-77 count and here as hosts I wont be surprised if there is a similar outcome. WISCONSIN is 11-3 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 season WISCONSIN is 12-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons. Play on Wisconsin to cover Play on Wisconsin to cover |
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12-01-23 | Nuggets -2 v. Suns | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
The Nuggets are expected to be almost fully healthy tonight as Jokic , and Murray are expected to play . The Nuggets have dominated their opposition when healthy and are 7-1 when Murray plays. I know the suns have played well, but are just 1-8 ATS versus good shooting teams like Denver - making 46% or more of their shots this season. The Suns couldn't stop the Nuggets in last years play offs and Im betting nothing changes today. Play on Nuggets to cover |
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12-01-23 | Connecticut v. Kansas -2.5 | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This will be a back and forth event , but home court advantage is in play here. Kansas enters Friday’s matchup averaging 81.3 points per game with a plus-16.6 scoring margin. Kansas and UConn are meeting for the fourth time in a battle of two big brand programs. Kansas has won all three previous meetings with the most recent matchup coming in the second round of the 2016 NCAA Tournament, a KU 73-61 win in Des Moines, Iowa. Im betting History will repeat itself. Hurley is 4-13 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Kansas to cover |
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12-01-23 | Purdue v. Northwestern +5.5 | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue didn't lose very often last season, but all five of its regular season losses came inside Big Ten action so their not immune to a down performance. Purdue went up to Northwestern as the #1 team in the country and Northwestern pulled off the 64-58 upset. While revenge will be a motivating factor their also the issue of Northwestern knowing what it takes to beat Purdue.
Zach Edey is still at Purdue. Im betting they battle to the end again and getting the points remain golden. NORTHWESTERN is 11-2 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons. PURDUE is 1-10 ATS in December games over the last 3 seasons.PURDUE is 3-11 ATS as a road favorite or pick over the last 3 seasons. Painter is 1-8 ATS in road games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more as the coach of PURDUE. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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12-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 224 | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Both of these teams rank in the top five in offensive rating and should easily both top the 109-114 point plateau according to my projections. BOSTON is 12-1 OVER in home games when they allow 109 to 114 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 33-20 OVER after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 228.1 ppg. Play over |
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12-01-23 | Wizards +11.5 v. Magic | 125-130 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Orlando took out Washington by a 139 -120 count in the first of these back to back games in this series, but I saw enough in the first game to believe that the Wizards can be more competitive in rebound mode. NBA team (WASHINGTON) - after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 55-18 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Wizards to cover |
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12-01-23 | New Mexico State v. Liberty OVER 56.5 | 35-49 | Win | 100 | 26 h 9 m | Show | |
Liberty own an explosive offense that cannot be easily stopped not even from strong defensive units like New Mexico State. The Flames have averaged 39 ppg on offense at home this season, and Im betting they hit in the 30s again today. Meanwhile, New Mexico State has averaged 28.2 ppg this season, and will be forced into opening up , which Im betting results in a higher scoring tilt then the lines-makers are expecting. Note: Liberty's D, I would not describe as being of the top tier variety despite of their 12-0 record as has been evident lately, when allowing UTEP, 28 points and Mass 25 points , so I wont be surprised to see the Aggies put at least that many points on the board. Note: LIBERTY is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 74.3 ppg scored. NEW MEXICO ST is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 74.8 ppg scored. NEW MEXICO ST is 28-14 L/42 OVER in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 with a combined average of 64.6 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-30-23 | Golden Knights +112 v. Canucks | 4-1 | Win | 112 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
The Vegas Knights have not played optimally of late, as is evident by 3 straight losses, but because of that we are getting value on this money-line offering from the books. Meanwhile, Vancouver continues to play solid hockey and have won 8 of 10 home games but according to my power rankings do not match up well vs the defending Stanley Cup champion Knights. Note : The road side has won 5 of the L/6 in this series. VEGAS is 15-5 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the money line (VEGAS) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, with a winning record in the first half of the season are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vegas to win |
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11-30-23 | Stars v. Flames UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Stars generally play a tight defensive system that has seen them allow more than 3 goals just two times in their L/11 games overall. One of those 2 games saw Calgary score 7 goals in a loss, and here today in the rematch Im betting on a more concerted defensive effort from the Stars in a game that points towards a much lower scoring affair. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a road win where they shut out their opponent are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 4.6 gpg. Play on the under |
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11-30-23 | Creighton v. Oklahoma State +8 | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. We are getting value with the underdog here based on the fact that OSU has played the last three-and-half games without their most consistent offesnive threat – senior guard Bryce Thompson (14.3 ppg, 6/12 3pt) – but other weapons have emerged in his absence and they must not be disregarded as viable underdogs here at home.OSU has scored 90+ points in back-to-back games for the first time under Boynton and have the capabilities to had here as pups. OKLAHOMA ST is 31-8 ATS L/39 in home games after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. McDermott is 27-46 ATS in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game as the coach of CREIGHTON. Play on Oklahoma state to cover |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
Because Dallas has been top form of late, and also because they are Americas team they are being over rated here vs the Seattle Seahawks a side that has won 3 of the L/4 meetings vs the Boyz including 4 straight covers. I know Seattle has not performed optimally of late, and lost their last two games both as pups but it must be noted Seahawks teams are 10-0 ATS L/10 when losing consecutive tilts as underdogs. Carroll is 20-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of SEATTLE. Carroll is 20-10 ATS against NFC East division opponents as the coach of SEATTLE. DALLAS is 17-38 ATS L/55 after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - with a good offense - averaging 335 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 12-32 ATS L/5 seasons for. a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
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11-30-23 | Panthers v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Florida enters this game on tired legs , and have had a hard time converting on offense. They take alot of shots but with a very low success rate of 8.6 percent ranks near the bottom of the league. Im betting their woes continue tonight against the Habs. On the flioside the Panthers D , and strong play of goaltenders Sergei Bobrovsky and Anthony Stolarz and a red hot stopping penalty-kill unit which is a perfect 20-for-20 on penalty kills over the past five games and 43-for-48 on the kill over the past 16 games makes this contest vs Montreal a tilt that has a viable chance at staying under the total. Note: FLORIDA is 9-3 UNDER against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or better of their chances this season like the Canadiens. FLORIDA is 6-0 UNDER vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 3.8 opg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (FLORIDA) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 23-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the combined average gpg ringing in at 5.2 . Play under |
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11-30-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson +11.5 v. Fordham | 52-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB team (FARLEIGH DICKINSON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT shooting team (32% or less), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 12-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fairleigh Dickinson to cover |
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11-30-23 | Liberty +8 v. Florida Atlantic | 58-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. FAU is a top ranked team, but this balanced Liberty side is being highly underestimated in their abilities to hang here, vs FAU as Kenpom ranks them 39th in the country.Unbeaten Liberty received seven votes in this week's AP Poll, the second straight week the Flames have received seven votes. Im betting Liberty's slow tempe will pull FAU out of their flow and make this a grinding game that favors the visitors. LIBERTY is 21-8 ATS L/29 after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games . CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LIBERTY) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (+6 or more reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Liberty to cover |
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11-29-23 | Virginia Tech +10 v. Auburn | 57-74 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Hokies only hit 20-60 (33.3%) against No. 19 Florida Atlantic last time out and were just 2-17 (11.8%) from long range. • In Mike Young’s 131 games as Tech’s head coach, the Hokies have shot 35% or worse just nine times. Im expecting a big bounce back here tonight, along with top tier charity stripe conversion to be the diff maker in us covering this number. Pearl is 2-13 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games as the coach of AUBURN. Pearl is 12-25 ATS after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB underdog (VIRGINIA TECH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 35-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. VTech to cover |
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11-29-23 | 76ers -2 v. Pelicans | 114-124 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Philadelphia was hitting on all cylinders in their last game vs the Lakers, and Im betting with that momentum on their sides will continue to push forward here tonight vs a streaky Pelicans side that has lost 2 straight SU/ATS. Philadelphia ranks 2nd in the NBA in SRS with 10.18 mark while, ranks 18th with a 0.45. Considering this the linesmakers in my humble opinion are over estimating the 76ers regression probabilities off a huge game . PHILADELPHIA is 26-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 23-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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11-29-23 | Boston University v. Albany OVER 141 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ALBANY) - after beating the spread by more than 30 points in their previous game, on Wednesday games are 26-5 OVER L/26 seasons for. a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 152.2 ppg. Play over |
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11-29-23 | Gardner-Webb v. Queens NC +2 | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Queens NC to cover |
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11-28-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | 123-124 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an important tournament game between division rivals , and Im betting it will be a hard fought physical affair that keeps this combined score to the low side of the offered total. SACRAMENTO is 25-14 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE L/33 vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 229.8 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 41-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 63-30 L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 229.9 ppg. Play under |
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11-28-23 | Rockets v. Mavs -4.5 | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Houston has struggled with explosive offensive sides like Dallas recently especially on the road where they are here tonight. Advantage Dallas.HOUSTON is 1-12 ATS ) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. I know Houston has been an ATM machine for their backs of late, but now the market has adjusted and laying under 5 at home with the Mavericks according to my projections is viable investment option. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Tuesday nights are 4-38 L/5 seasons for a 90% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (DALLAS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 47-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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11-28-23 | Thunder v. Wolves -3.5 | 103-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
The Wolves rank 3rd in the NBA in SRS with 7.70 mark while the Thunder are ranked 4th with a 7.69 mark. When taking into consideration the home court edge where the Wolves are almost always in top form we have a line as mentioned above that should be closer to 5, thus giving us value laying lumber here with the home fav. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. MINNESOTA is 10-0 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 3-31 L/5 seasons for. a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff registering at +11 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Minnesota to cover |