Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-15-19 | Penguins v. Devils +105 | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Penguins must figure out how to be competitive without top scorer Sidney Crosby.Crosby leads the Penguins with 17 points (five goals and 12 assists). Meanwhile, New Jersey is 5-4-2 since opening the season with six straight losses and are a becoming alot more cohesive and a dangerous opponent in their current form. The Devils are 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings with the Penguins. Play on the NY Devils to win on the ML |
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11-15-19 | Cleveland State v. South Carolina UNDER 137.5 | 63-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
South Carolina improved to 2-0 on the young season when it posted a 66-32 victory over Wyoming at Colonial Life Arena on Sunday behind a top tier D, which Im betting will once again play a smothering style of basketball. The Gamecock defense is holding opponents to just 24.0 percent from the field thus far, which leads the SEC and ranks third nationally. Needless to say, I expect Cleveland will not do much offensive damage here and only put up 50 points vs Minnesota on the road in their opener and just 53 points on the board vs Missouri state as visitors. Clevelands output and Carolina D and pace make this an under wager. Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 non-conference games. Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-0 in Gamecocks last 6 home games.Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 7-1 in Gamecocks last 8 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Gamecocks last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 9-3 in Gamecocks last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Under is 14-5 in Gamecocks last 19 Friday games. Play UNDER |
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11-15-19 | Louisiana Tech v. Marshall -6 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
I know LA Techs Skip Holtz is known as a cover machine, as an underdog and is on a 8 game win streak overall and obviously red hot, but Marshall is no push overs and the most physical team in the CUSA holding opponents to 3.8 ypc. This Thunder Hered team must be respected here as short faves as Marshall can clinch the East with a win tonight. |
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11-15-19 | CS-Northridge v. Auburn -23 | 70-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Cal State Northridge is going to play this game without the reigning Big West Player of the Year, Lamine Diane. That is a monumental task for a team that is ranked 311th in adjusted defensive efficiency and are allowing a 92.7 pp. Meanwhile, Auburn always seems to play their best at home where they have covered 6 straight times, and considering the mammoth divide in their D, vs the Matadors D, it becomes obvious that this has blow out written all over it. Auburn owns the 45th-ranked adjusted defensive efficiency. Play on Auburn to cover |
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11-14-19 | Hawks v. Suns OVER 227 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Phoenix is 8th in pace in the NBA and 6th in offensive output,(116.6) and will push all comers into speeding up their game, and opening up or be blown off the court. That is exactly the situation we have here tonight as Atlanta visits in their 3rd western road game in 5 nights. Run and gun until the clock tips in at zero. The two most recent meetings between these teams last season saw 230 and 232 combined points cored. Atlanta has gone over in 3 straight games with the combined score of 237.7 ppg scored. Suns have gone over in 4 straight with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 12-2 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 249.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 15-4 OVER after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 25-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-14-19 | Michigan State v. Seton Hall UNDER 140.5 | 76-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Seton Hall will play without star guard Myles Powell and that will adversely effect their offensive flow of a team that is defensive minded in nature. Meanwhile, Michigan State is expected play without senior guard Joshua Langford which will also effect the Spartans offence as he compliments star guard Cassius Winston. With that said, Im taking the under here in a game that should be grinding and physical in nature. MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 UNDER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 100-47 beatdown of Binghamton last time out. Play UNDER |
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11-14-19 | Steelers v. Browns -2.5 | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 35 h 13 m | Show | |
The Steelers have shown their resiliency by winning four games in a row and five of their past six, with back QBs in the lineup. However, this week , they 're main mode of moving the chains starting running back James Conner and rookie Benny Snell are banged up and less than 100% if they play. If QB Mason Rudolph has to go the air more often , because of a lack of ground game he will bump into a up trending Cleveland secondary that must be respected. Meanwhile, I look for a Browns team coming into this with momentum after a late TD win last time out, to come right at the Steelers run D that is ranked 16th in the league behind the legs of Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb and do extensive damage . Tomlin is 6-15 ATS in road games after a win by 6 or less points as the coach of PITTSBURGH which was the case in 17-12 win vs the Rams last time out.Tomlin is 9-18 ATS in road games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of PITTSBURGH. NFL team (PITTSBURGH) - off an upset win as a home underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 3-23 L/36 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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11-14-19 | Mavs -7 v. Knicks | 103-106 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Dallas has revenge on board for a 106-102 loss at home back in November, and Im betting we see them at their best here in the rematch vs a NYK side that ha lost 6 of their L/7 SU overall and 9 of their L/11. NEW YORK is 9-23 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.9 ppg. Carlisle is 21-9 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of DALLAS with the average ppg diff registering at +11.9 ppg.The Mavericks are 12-2 ATS L/14 on the road. NBA Road teams (DALLAS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 PPG or less differential), after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games are 39-9 ATS L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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11-14-19 | Coyotes v. Wild -115 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
The Arizona Coyotes made history by defeating the Capitals in Washington on Monday night and the Blues in St. Louis the next evening and now because of those monumental efforts they are going to be in a big emotional let down spot vs a Wild side that may not motivate them. Add to that this is the Coyotes 3 game and 4 nights, and we have an advantage with a home side that has played their best hockey at home this season notching 3 wins and in 5 tilts as hosts. Minnesota is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Arizona. Play on Minnesota Wild to win on the ML |
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11-14-19 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh UNDER 50 | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh at home this season has averaged just 19.1 ppg on offence with the Defense allowing just 20.8 ppg. Pittsburgh has set the pace of late, and Im betting nothing changes here this week vs North Carolina in what Im betting will be grinding affair. N CAROLINA is 22-9 UNDER vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att. PITTSBURGH is 7-0 UNDER after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 36.9 ppg scored. PITTSBURGH is 12-3 UNDER in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 46 ppg scored. teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (PITTSBURGH) - after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game, with 5 offensive starters returning are 69-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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11-14-19 | Buffalo v. Kent State OVER 56 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Kent State enters this game against Buffalo showing signs of improvement on offence, and overall have averaged 34.7 ppg at home this season behind the arm of QB Duston Crumb and viable run game. Meanwhile the Flashes D, especially their run defence, has been a shambles , allowing 300+ yards to Toledo last week, and ranking 123rd in opponent rushing success rate. Buffalo’s rushing attack, which ranks 52nd in success rate Im betting has a big day , and that in turn will open up more downfield options and big plays for the Bulls. Look for both sides to light up the board tonight in MAC action. BUFFALO is 8-1 OVER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 75.5 ppg scored.BUFFALO is 9-0 OVER after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 59.3 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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11-14-19 | Heat v. Cavs +5 | 108-97 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Cleveland after a slow start to their season have won 2 of their L/3 with the one loss coming to the 76ers by just 1 points. In their current form they are viable underdogs on their own floor here against a Miami team that maybe flashing slightly bloated recency bias favorite status. Cavs are 7-2-1 ATS L/10 overall. NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 10-41 SU L/5 seasons for a less than 20% win ratio. NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 30-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover |
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11-13-19 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 | 94-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Lakers played a aggressive game vs the Suns last night in a big win, that saw the team spread the ball around . Note: The Lakers are 0-14 L/14 UNDER at home after a game as a road favorite in which they had 6+ double digit scorers with a combined average of 193.3 ppg going on the board. Now on tired legs I look for a regression tonight, and for this contest vs the Golden State Warriors to end up on the lower side of the total. LA LAKERS are 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored and are are 11-2 UNDER in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a terrible team (25% or worse ) are 24-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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11-13-19 | Grand Canyon +12 v. San Diego State | 61-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
San Diego State took out BYU 76-71 for their first win in 33 times on the road in that series , and now will be in a monumental letdown spot vs a Grand Canyon hoops program that has beaten all three times they have faced them.There are only six Division I programs that the Aztecs have played at least three times in men’s basketball and never defeated: Duke, Villanova, Tennessee, Stanford, Washington State and last but not least Grand Canyon. I know that Lopes HC Dan Majerle is down to a six-man rotation while awaiting the semester eligibility of three key players, but its going to be very hard for the Aztecs to muster a complete game here vs a side that they just might be over looking, no matter how prepared they say they are. Play on Grand Canyon to cover |
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11-13-19 | Southern Utah +12 v. BYU | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
Brigham Young goes up against Southern Utah in an early season matchup. Both teams last saw action this past Saturday. Southern Utah won 79-78 in overtime at Nebraska, while Brigham Young fell to San Diego State at home, 76-71. Southern Utah is ranked first in Division I with an average of 90.1 possessions per game and must be underestimated in their ability to cover in this spot. SOUTHERN UTAH is 9-0 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons.BYU is 4-12 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.Simon is 18-9 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of SOUTHERN UTAH. Southern Utah to cover |
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11-13-19 | Spurs +2 v. Wolves | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
San Antonio looked asleep at the wheel last time out vs Memphis and lost as DD chalk. Now after that embarrassing effort Im betting on this talented but inconsistent team to step up their game against a Minnesota team that is playing at a high level, but due for regression after some hard fought affairs over a short period of time. SAN ANTONIO is 21-8 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more San Antonio owns an 89-30 all-time series lead on the Timberwolves. The Spurs have won the season series against Minnesota 22 times in 30 seasons, including the last six. SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 49-20 ATS L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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11-13-19 | Eastern Washington v. St. Louis -7.5 | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
The Billikens, who are in the midst of a season-opening six-game home stand, enter Wednesday's game 2-0 after wins against Florida Gulf Coast (89-67) and Valparaiso (81-70). The Billikens have scored 80 or more points in the first two games of the season for just the second time since the 1990s and despite it still being early on the season, look like a very viable group and one of the better ones the program has put o the floor in a while and get my support here on their own home floor. Ford is 30-19 ATS in all home games as the coach of SAINT LOUIS.SAINT LOUIS is 9-2 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. E WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Play on St.Louis to cover |
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11-13-19 | CS Bakersfield +10 v. Northern Iowa | 55-67 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
CSUB (1-1) is coming off a solid start to the season after earning a 50-point win in its regular-season opener and playing a thrilling matchup against South Dakota State. While Bakersfield fell against the Jackrabbits in double overtime, the `Runners put up a strong showing, especially on the offensive end and definitely have earned my respect on a DD dog line.Through the first week of the season, CSUB ranks 11th among all NCAA Division I schools with an average of 97.0 points per game . When looking at underdogs like this you have to feel confident that they have the ability to be competitive and if all else fails have the capability to give us a back door cover. Bakersfield passes with flying colors. N IOWA is 5-14 ATS after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Barnes is 20-8 ATS after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more shots than opponent in all games he has coached since 1997. Take the points with CS Bakersfield |
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11-13-19 | 76ers v. Magic -1 | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
This will be a back to back for the Sixers and their 3rd game and 4 nights and they will now be on tired legs vs a up trending Orlando team that is slowly getting back into a culture of winning. Advantage Orlando. PHILADELPHIA is 11-25 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are just 7-24 L/23 seasons for a 75% SU conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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11-13-19 | Quinnipiac +6 v. Brown | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Quinnipiac went 11-7 in MAAC play during the regular season, earning the No. 3 seed in the league's postseason tournament at the Times Union Center in Albany, N.Y. and Im betting they are improved this season, and matchup well vs Brown on the road here tonight.Brown was picked No. 5 in the Ivy League Preseason Men's Basketball Poll. QUINNIPIAC is 17-7 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons and is 10-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. BROWN is 4-14 ATS L/18 in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5. Play on Quinnipiac to cover |
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11-13-19 | La Salle +8.5 v. Pennsylvania | 59-75 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
These teams are not performing at an optimal level right now and I dont believe that Pennsylvania should be this be a favorite in a rivalry game . La Salle despite of still being in a rebuilding mode has the athletes to keep this close . The visitor is 9-1-2 ATS last 12 in this series and Im betting on LaSalle to cover. Play on LaSalle to cover |
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11-13-19 | Villanova v. Ohio State -1 | 51-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
Villanova (1-0) Im betting are going to have their hands full with a balanced Ohio State(2-0) attack that is extremely under rated. Both these teams have looked good but both have shown some early seasons inefficiencies, but tonight I expect home court advantage to buoy the Buckeyes. Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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11-12-19 | Oilers v. Sharks -130 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
The Oilers arrive in Northern California having won two straight games, the latest a 6-2 thumping of the Anaheim Ducks on Sunday but Im betting they will have a tougher go of things here tonight in San Jose against the Sharks. Edmonton is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Jose. EDMONTON is 12-19 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. Play on San Jose Sharks to win on the ML |
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11-12-19 | Wild v. Kings OVER 6 | 1-3 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
The Wild are on tired legs as they will be playing their 13th road game in 18 outings to start the campaign. That will effect their defensive capabilities tonight here against a LA Kings team that plays a fairly wide open style of hockey and that takes alot of shots on net. The Wild have played 4 straight games that have gone over the total, with a combined 28 goals scored in those game for a 7 gpg combined average output. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 games when playing Minnesota.The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games LOS ANGELES is 9-1 OVER in home games against horrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons. Play OVER |
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11-12-19 | Blazers v. Kings +2 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Sacramento is playing pretty good ball of late, and are well rested, but an injury to starting point guard, De'Aaron Fox has caused what Im betting is an over reaction on the line giving us value with the home dog. Im betting veteran backup Cory Joseph will do just fine filling in tonight and give the Kings an opportunity for a win and more importantly cover for the 4th time in their L/5 games. SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Note: NBA Teams are 0-12 ATS /SU as a road dog off a win as a favorite in which they had overtime (Portland ended a 4 game losing streak with a OT win vs Atlanta last time out) The Kings are 18-1 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. Play on the Sacramento Kings |
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11-12-19 | Pepperdine -5 v. CS-Northridge | 94-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
CS Northrdige has given up 87-plus points in consecutive tilts , and look ripe to get ravaged by the Pepperdine Waves. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 1-8 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. Matadors are 21-44-3 ATS in their last 68 non-conference games.Matadors are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Matadors are 7-20-3 ATS in their last 30 Tuesday games.Matadors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. West Coast.Matadors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.Pepperdine to cover |
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11-12-19 | Nets +7 v. Jazz | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Nets enter this road game against the Jazz having covered at a 15-6 ATS rate in their last 21 vs. Western Conference and are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Jazz on tired legs after playing last night and are vulnerable here vs this type of uptempo side. BROOKLYN is 27-12 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons The Nets are 23-3-1 ATS L/27 on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. NBA Teams like the Jazz are 0-14 ATS L/14 with less than two days rest off a win in which they had at least 5 turnovers less than their season-to-date average. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - in non-conference games, off a road win by 10 points or more are 44-85 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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11-12-19 | Long Beach State +13 v. Stanford | 58-86 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
After Long Beach State won its home opener for the ninth straight season, the Beach will now return to the road to take on PAC 12 opponent Stanford. This is a very young Long Beach State team, but they have enough pure talent to stay competitive here tonight. 49ers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.49ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Pacific-12.49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.49ers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.49ers are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Long Beach State to cover |
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11-12-19 | Memphis v. Oregon -3.5 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
at Moda Center - Portland, OR Memphis’ No. 1 recruiting class will have their hands full with an experienced Oregon backcourt . Lots of talent but a lack of experience will be the Tigers demise in this spot. OREGON is 8-1 ATS in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.Altman is 9-1 ATS in road games after a game with 24 or more assists in all games he has coached which was the case in a DD beat down of Boise State last time out. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 54-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oregon to cover |
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11-12-19 | Avalanche v. Jets -110 | 4-0 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
After going 0-4-1 in a five-game stretch between Oct. 26 and Nov. 5, Colorado rebounded for victories over the Nashville Predators and Columbus Blue Jackets, but are in a bad spot here vs a Jets team that is playing very well and are on a two-game winning streak and are 4-0-1 this month. |
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11-12-19 | North Texas +13.5 v. Arkansas | 43-66 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
North Texas Mean Green returns three under rated starters: Gibson, Roosevelt and Zachary Simmons. Coach McCasland and must be respected here as underdogs vs a SEC group from Arkansas. Despite of the discrepancies on paper this program must not be underestimated in their ability to cover. Note: Rebounding has been a key point of emphasis for the Mean Green this season who during the offseason added considerable size. In a hostile environment , UNT matched the nationally ranked Rams last time out on the boards as each team grabbed 31.UNT turned its 12 offensive rebounds into 16 points while VCU who also grabbed 12 offensive rebounds could only muster up seven second-chance points. Arkansas is going to have their hands full here tonight. N TEXAS is 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. N.Texas to cover |
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11-12-19 | Thunder v. Pacers OVER 213.5 | 85-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City is thundering into top form offensively of late, and as result of their decent Fg conversion rate and uptick in pace have scored 112, 1114, and 119 respectively, with all three going over as their D gets looser allowing 121, 108 , and 121 points. Tonight Im betting on that current form to continue which will force a capable Indiana side that is in top form to push forward offensively and upping their pace and gaining on a recent output of 120, 121, 112, 109 points in their L/4 with 3 of those 4 games eclipsing the total. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-12-19 | Thunder +2 v. Pacers | 85-111 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Indiana has been playing some very good basketball of late, winning, 6 of their L/7 games, but are now on tired legs and prepare to play their 5th game in 8 days. With Oklahoma City beginning to score on a more consistent rate of late, are viable opponents here on this line. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Teams like the Pacers are 1-18-1 ATS L/20 (2-18 SU) with less than two days rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. NBA Teams are 1-14 ATS /SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a win in a road game in which they had 30+ assists. Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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11-12-19 | Panthers +150 v. Bruins | 5-4 | Win | 150 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
In addition to a three-game losing streak, the defending Eastern Conference champions are also dealing with their fair share of injuries. Defenseman Torey Krug will be the latest and now are in a bad spot vs a up trending Florida Panthers teamFlorida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston and get my support here tonight on a value line. Play on Florida to win on the ML |
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11-12-19 | Davidson v. Charlotte +10.5 | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Davidson last at Auburn last time out, failing to live up their early season, hype. After watching parts of that game Im betting there is work be done in Wildcat land and living on reputation alone will not get done. I know Charlotte does not inspire bettors , but getting 10 plus points here on home court according to my projections makes for a viable underdog call. DAVIDSON is 15-30 ATS L/45 in road games after playing a game as a road underdog. Charlotte to cover |
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11-12-19 | Hartford v. Marist -1 | 62-51 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
The home team has won every game in the all-time series and Im betting Marist here on their own home floor gets the job done again. Marist won their first game on the road as underdogs last time out, and have been good bets in the past under these perimeters going 18-7 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog . Play on Marist to cover |
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11-12-19 | American +3.5 v. George Washington | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
American was picked third in the Patriot League Preseason Coaches Poll and are a up trending under rated team getting points. AU is off to a 0-2 start after losses at Siena and against William & Mary, but according to my early season head to head matchup power rankings matchup well vs George Washington. Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Play on American to cover |
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11-12-19 | Missouri v. Xavier -5 | 58-63 | Push | 0 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
Xavier lost 71-56 in Columbia, Mo. last season, and now have revenge on board. Both teams are 2-0 but home court advantage and pay back with a motivated group will be key to a cover for us here today behind what I bet is an improved interior D. XAVIER is 13-3 ATS L/16 in home games off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. Play on Xavier to cover |
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11-12-19 | Northeastern v. Massachusetts +2.5 | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 2 m | Show | |
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11-12-19 | Western Michigan v. Ohio -1.5 | 37-34 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Ohio University Bobcats are 3-2 in the East Division of the MAC. and are not out of contention for their division as they enter this tilt against Western Michigan. However, to achieve their goal this is a must win situation vs a side Im betting they matchup well against especially here at home. The Bobcats offense gets the job done , and while not spectacular are consistent averaging 29 points per game, which ranks 65th in the nation. Ohio averages 407 total yards per game, which ranks 67th in the nation. That includes 208 ypg in the air ( 89th in the nation,( and 198 ypg on the ground (37th in the country). Defensively, the Bobcats allow 29 points per game, which is 78th in the nation. Western Michigan has averaged 36 ppg, and really rumble on the ground, but the same holds true for Ohio. I look for both sides to pound away with their ground games, but for Ohio to make a couple of more key stops on their own home field and to come out on top. Note: Western Michigan is 0-4 on the road this season, and are not performing at the same level they are at home. Play on Ohio to cover |
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11-12-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron +17.5 | 42-14 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
Akron has shown zip this season, (excuse the pun) they have been horrendous and have failed to win or even cover any of their first 9 games, thanks mostly to an undeniably bad offence. However, their defence is viable, and are only allowing 5.4 ypp, ranking in the top-60 nationally. Meanwhile, E.Michigan D, is not as good as Akrons, allowing 6.2 ypp and 4.8 yards per rush. On a night that is supposed to see bad weather in Akron, Im betting the Zips can run the ball down the throat of porous run D, and do enough damage offensively behind their only real offensive dual threat QB Kato Nelson, and get us the cover. Lets be brave here , and take the points. E MICHIGAN is 10-22 ATS after allowing 37 points or more in 2 straight games. Creighton is 2-9 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) as the coach of E MICHIGAN. CFB Road favorites (E MICHIGAN) - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 31 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 34-70 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Akron to cover |
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11-12-19 | Pittsburgh v. Robert Morris +10.5 | 71-57 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
When Pitt plays Robert Morris on Tuesday night, serving as the first guest in the Colonials’ new home, Jeff Capel knows what to expect. “The place will be jumping,” Pitt’s coach said. This is the grand opening of the new 45 million dollar facility for Robert Morris so Im betting on them stepping up their game and getting us the cover . Pittsburgh is off a loss to Nicholls State, 75-70, on Saturday, and showed me their a long way from prime time. PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. Robert Morris to cover |
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11-12-19 | Pacific +4.5 v. Hawaii | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Pacific faces Hawaii in an early season matchup. Pacific blew out Florida A&M by 22 in its last outing. Hawaii lost 81-75 loss at home against South Dakota in its most recent game. Pacifc had a much easier time than Hawaii and will be fresher, after Hawaii worked hard in loss to South Dakota. Advantage Pacific. Warriors are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. West Coast.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Stoudamire is 10-2 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 as the coach of PACIFIC. Play on Pacific to cover |
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11-11-19 | Jazz v. Warriors UNDER 213 | 122-108 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
The Jazz are off a hard fought battle vs Milwaukee last time out(103-100), and subsequent win, and will be in a bit of an emotional letdown state here in Golden State , which Im betting sees them set an even slower pace than usual ( Utah ranks 1st in pace in the NBA). The Jazz are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 since Apr 20, 2019 going under by more than 17 ppg, with the average combined score clicking in at 198.1 ppg, with none of the games, eclipsing this current listed total. Also The Jazz are 0-5 L/5 UNDER on the road with a combined average of 193.4 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile Golden State prepares to play their 4th game in 6 nights, which includes 3 straight road games, and will now also be on tired legs and happy to also set a slower pace. UTAH is 16-4 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 209.4 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games, struggling team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 45-19 UNDER L/5seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games are 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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11-11-19 | Jazz v. Warriors +9 | 122-108 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz enter this game off a big home win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out, and Im betting they will now be in a letdown situation. I know Golden State is also in a funk, and on tired legs , but in a game that will be fairly slow paced and quite probably lower scoring, a 9 point spread for advantage players looks like a viable investment option.The Jazz are 0-4 ATS /1-3 SU L/4 on the road.the lone win came by a 1 point margin vs the Suns. NBA Road teams (UTAH) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 41% or less on the season, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 38-83 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers UNDER 47 | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 107 h 10 m | Show | |
Im betting this divisional rivalry will be a hard fought fairly low scoring battle. I know Seattle has shown itself to have a some problems in the secondary , and that many believe that Jimmy G, can take advantage of them, but with his most dynamic offensive weapon, tight end George Kittle, banged up with a knee issue spreading the field could be an issue. On the other side of the ball, SF has shown issues stopping the run, and Seattle should be out looking to take advantage of this which will keep the clock ticking when the Seahawks have the ball. This above combination will help keep this combined score to the low side of the number. SEATTLE in their L/6 road games where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 season have seen a combined average of 44.2 ppg scored. HC Carroll in 14 road games where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points as the coach of SEATTLE has seen a combined average of 42 ppg going on the score board. Under is 7-2 in Seahawks last 9 Monday games. Under is 12-4 in 49ers last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco. SAN FRANCISCO is 20-7 L/27 UNDER in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or more yards/play with a combined average of 40.8 ppg scored. NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SEATTLE) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 45-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - excellent offensive team (370 or more YPG) against a terrible defense (370 or more YPG) after 8+ games are 26-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-11-19 | Mavs v. Celtics -3.5 | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
Boston enters this game of an upset underdog win on the road vs the San Antonio Spurs last time out by a 135-115 count for their 7th straight win. They are currently in top form and a tough opponent for any team whether it is at home or on the road . Note: BOSTON is 13-2 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites (BOSTON) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 31-1 SU L/23 seasons with a + 13.7 ppg diff. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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11-11-19 | Senators v. Hurricanes UNDER 6.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Ottawa has allowed 2 goals or less in 6 of their L/9 games and have taken part in 3 straight low scoring affairs that have failed to eclipse the total. Meanwhile, Carolina the Senators hosts tonight have been struggling to score finding the back of the net with 2 or less goals in 7 of their 11 overall, and have also gone under in 3 straight games, all three of which were losses. Needless to say this is the kind of game that has lower scoring tilt written all over it. CAROLINA is 13-4 UNDER in home games against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg going on the board. CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the total (OTTAWA) - off a home win, a struggling team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate . Play UNDER |
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11-11-19 | Wolves v. Pistons -2.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Minnesota lost in a hard fought OT game last night to Denver and will now be on tired legs and a letdown spot. Advantage Detroit Pistons with two days rest. Pistons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.Pistons are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference.Pistons are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 2 days rest.Favorite is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings.Timberwolves are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Detroit. The Pistons are 11-0 ATS /SU when they won 4+ straight meetings vs current opponent. The Timberwolves are 0-10 ATS SU as a dog after they scored fewer than 10 fast break points last game. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-11-19 | Kent State v. Towson -2 | 84-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Towson looks to have a special group this season, and leads the Colonial Athletic Association (CAA) in scoring defense (44.5), field goal percentage defense (31.6), 3-point field goal percentage defense (21.1), rebounding (26.0), blocked shots (4.5), steals (13.0), scoring margin (+41.5), rebounding margin (+15.0) and turnover margin (+11.0).Towson is 2-0 for the first time since 2016 and get my support here vs Kent State.Towson is averaging 16 assists in its two games.The Tigers have scored 40 points in three consecutive halves.The Tigers averaged 1.351 points per possession against Bryn Athyn. Gibson has scored 24.2 percent of Towson's 95 bench points. Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Golden Flashes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. KENT ST is 0-7 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Towson to cover |
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11-10-19 | Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 215.5 | 113-104 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
The defending champion Toronto Raptors take on the Lakers in Los Angeles on Sunday short handed with injuries. Two of their top performers went down with injuries in the club's win over the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday.Guard Kyle Lowry, the Raptors' second-leading scorer at 21.8 points per game, sustained a fracture in his left thumb in the first quarter, and forward Serge Ibaka went down with a severe right ankle sprain in the second quarter. Considering this , Im betting their flow will be disrupted, and knowing that they cant run and gun with the explosive Lakers tonight, a more defensive physical posture will be implemented by the coaching staff which will help keep this tilt on the lower side of this total. NBA team (LA LAKERS/TORONTO) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better), on Sunday games are 40-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-10-19 | Oilers v. Ducks -115 | 6-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Anaheim is on 5 days rest and very fresh for this game against visiting Edmonton. Anaheim is 5-0 in its last five home games against opposition with a above 500 record like the Oilers. The Ducks are also 6-2 in their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents and are 9-3 straight up in its last 12 home games overall and get my support here this evening. Anaheim's fresh legs and top tier goal tending behind John Gibson who has recorded a 2.55 goals-against average and a .923 save percentage this season will be the difference maker. Note Gibson has been lights out at home recording a .941 save percentage and a 2.00 GAA at the Duck Pond. Anaheim is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Edmonton. Play on Anaheim to win on the ML |
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11-10-19 | Rams v. Steelers +4 | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 71 h 52 m | Show | |
Ben Rothlisberger was forced to the sidelines earlier this season, with a nasty elbow injury but the Steelers have found a way to jell behind backups Duck Hodges and Mason Rudolph and find themselves in a hunt for a play off spot . It must also be noted that Mike Tomlin is 9-2-3 ATS as a home pup, and also 10-5 SUATS against the NFC West, including 6-1 SUATS a home. Meanwhile, the Rams do not have a great history vs the AFC North going 1-8 SU and 1-7-1 ATS against .500 or better opposition . Steelers as hosts when coming off a win and facing an opponent coming off consecutive wins like the Rams , are 11-0 SUATS versus non-division opposition. NFLFavorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA RAMS) - excellent offensive team (370 or better YPG) against a team with a poor defense (335 to 370 YPG) are 10-59 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA RAMS) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 12-34 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA RAMS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 7-27 ATS L/36 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover |
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11-10-19 | Devils +150 v. Canucks | 2-1 | Win | 150 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
The Canucks have cooled off after a red hot 8-1-1 stretch, sliding to 1-2-2 in their past five games after a 4-1 loss in Winnipeg on Friday night, and Im betting on the regression continuing here tonight against the NJ Devils. I know the Devils are highly inconsistent and on a 2 game losing streak, but from a matchup perspective according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Canucks. Before their negative Alberta run in Calgary and Edmonton, the Devils had allowed the fewest high-danger scoring chances and fifth-fewest expected goals against per 60 minutes at 5-on-5. NEW JERSEY is 5-0-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons including wins in their L/2 visits here. Home teams against the money line (VANCOUVER) - off a road loss by 2 goals or more against opponent off an embarrassing road loss where they were shut out are 47-67 L/22 seasons for a 59% conversion rate! Play on the NJ Devils to win on the ML |
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11-10-19 | Nuggets -2.5 v. Wolves | 100-98 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
The Nuggets' looked impressive last time out vs a top tier Philadelphia 76ers club. They came back in spectacular fashion as they erased a 21-point fourth-quarter deficit to take a 100-97 victory and improve to 6-2 for the season.This is a top quality team that matches up very well vs a up trending but not quite ready prime time Minnesota side. Nuggets are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 vs. NBA Northwest. Nuggets are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 vs. NBA Northwest. Nuggets are 21-5-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Minnesota. Timberwolves are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Timberwolves are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Timberwolves are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Timberwolves are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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11-10-19 | Mississippi Valley State v. Central Michigan -24 | 78-134 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Central Michigan has 3 returning starters while Miss Valley State has no returning starters. MVS lost their first two games, by landslide scores to Iowa State (110-74) and Utah (143-49). MISS VALLEY ST is 1-9 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half . Meanwhile,Central Michigan smashed MICHIGAN-DEARBORN by a 102-62 count in their opener. Davis is 16-3 ATS after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of C MICHIGAN. Bottom line: While I do not expect a record setting 94 point margin of victory like the Utes layed down on the Delta Devils, but I do like Central Michigan to dominate behind a very well balanced offense that ranks 31st in offensive efficiency and a defence that works hard to get better. Mississippi Valley State ranks 346th in defensive efficiency since last season and rank 274th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.208). The Chippewas rank 45th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.190). Advantage Central Michigan. CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (MISS VALLEY ST) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 175 points or more are 7-29 ATS L/22 seasons for go against conversion rate of 81% with the average ppg diff clicking in at 34.8 ppg. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
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11-10-19 | Falcons +14 v. Saints | 26-9 | Win | 100 | 92 h 2 m | Show | |
This looks like a complete mismatch because of the opposite trajectories each of these teams has taken this season. However, it must be noted that New Orleans as a DD home favorite vs division opponents at home is just 3-12 ATS L/15 and 0-6 ATS versus sub .200 opponents. Meanwhile , the Falcons are 5-1 ATS l in their L/6 as double-digit dogs, as well and are 22-3 ATS in this series when they enter with a win percentage of .625 or less.With that said, lets be brave, take the points on what my projections estimate is a mathematical advantage. NFL Road teams (ATLANTA) - excellent passing team (265 or more PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 25-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NF LRoad underdogs or pick (ATLANTA) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, in weeks 10 through 13 are 36-13 ATS L/36 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Falcons |
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11-10-19 | Cardinals v. Bucs -4 | 27-30 | Loss | -115 | 78 h 39 m | Show | |
The hard luck Buccaneers are off back to back losses at Seattle and at Tennessee, respectively, the past two weeks both times in OT. If this was a college team , I would bet they would be emotionally drained, but pros are pros for a reason and they react to adversity a lot different than kids. With that said, Im betting on a top tier effort this week from the Bucs here at home vs a Arizona side travelling from west to east and off a hard fought 28-25 loss against the 49ers last week in prime time. Im betting the Cards are the ones with the emotional hangover , and not the Bucs. Note: Im sure HC Bruce Arians has had this game circled for a while against his old team, and will be well prepared. Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Cardinals are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games in November. Cardinals are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Buccaneers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. NFL Road teams (ARIZONA) - off 1 or more straight overs against opponent off 6 or more consecutive overs are 5-25 ATS L/36 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites (TAMPA BAY) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, after the first month of the season are 102-62 L/10 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to cover |
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11-10-19 | Bills v. Browns -2.5 | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 76 h 17 m | Show | |
These are two teams that have polar opposite records, with the Bills registering a 6-2 record while the Browns are at 2-6. However, the truth is the Browns are a talented team with a QB with a big arm in Baker Mayfield are highly under rated . Note: The Browns have played a much tougher schedule than the Bills, their six losses coming against teams that are a combined 35-17, including 8-0 San Francisco, 8-1 New England and 7-2 Seattle. Cleveland’s roster includes 10 starters who are first- or second-round draft picks, either by the Browns or other teams and despite of some big name media clowns on their sidelines(not going to mention names) they are a team that can get things done if pressured like they are right now in their current form making them dangerous and motivated opponents for the Bills this Sunday.Add to that the activation of running back Kareem Hunt from a 8 game suspension and we have ignitor fuel to bet into. Buffalo is over rated , having played the weakest schedules to date, behind the flimsy arm of quarterback Josh Allen who owns the 28th ranked passer rating and a defence that has had its run D exposed of late.The Bills’ six wins this season have come against opponents whose combined record is 9-42. Four wins have come vs. 0-8 Cincinnati, 1-8 Washington, 1-7 Miami and the 1-7 New York Jets. The Bills are 0-15 ATS/SU L/15 on grass vs a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road. BUFFALO is 9-21 ATS in road games after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers are 45-15 ATS L/36 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Browns to cover |
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11-10-19 | Ravens v. Bengals +10 | 49-13 | Loss | -102 | 75 h 22 m | Show | |
This side investment option is based on a simple premise , that the Ravens after this huge prime time win vs the Patriots last Sunday night will be immensely hungover as they take on Cincinnati this week. Meanwhile, Cincinnati rested and off a bye week and a new QB under center (Ryan Finely) is not as bad as their winless record would indicate, and have shown flashes of being very competitive. The Bengals lost 23-17 at Baltimore earlier this season, and will be primed to pull of an upset in the rematch and extend a positive 9-3 ATS run L/12 in this series. Note: Teams that have defeated a Super Bowl Champ in their L/game, are 7-25 SUATS in division contests going all the way back to 1980. Also froma . team specific trend shows teams that beat the Patriots and then open as a 7+ point favorite in their following tilt are 0-8 ATS dating back 16 seasons. Key injury update: Bengals A.J. Green is expected to make his season debut on Sunday. NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a struggling team (25%) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 67-26 ATS L/36 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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11-10-19 | Giants v. Jets +3 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 55 h 37 m | Show | |
Two struggling teams the NY Jets and NY Giants co tenants of their facility will go head to head here this week, in a game I have pegged as a pickem , thus getting points with the underdog Jets is a value play. Taking the Jets is just the lesser of two evils, but from a mathematical standpoint a prudent decision in my opinion in a game that could easily be won with a late FG. NFL team (NY JETS) - after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 64-28 L/36 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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11-09-19 | Boise State +12 v. Oregon | 75-106 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Coming off a 71-57 win over Fresno State in their season opener, No. 15 Oregon draws another Mountain West Conference opponent at home on Saturday when it faces the Boise State Broncos in Eugene, Ore. This time around Im betting Oregon will have a much tougher time getting a win and more importantly a cover vs a Boise State team that is coming off a 126-49 win over NAIA Life Pacific on Tuesday. The 126 points represent a single-game school record, as is the 77-point margin of victory. Rice is 46-22 ATS after allowing 60 points or less as the coach of BOISE ST. The Broncos are 2-8 all-time against the Ducks, but have won two of the last five meetings. Play on Boise State to cover |
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11-09-19 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma -14 | 41-42 | Loss | -120 | 37 h 36 m | Show | |
After getting upset by Kansas State two weeks ago, there has been alot of soul searching in Sooner land , and now well rested , Im expecting them to come out here and be fired up and ready to lay a beatdown on their visiting conference foes this week Iowa State. Note: Oklahoma is 26-11 ATS as conference home fav of 14 or fewer points, and 36-0 SU and 25-10 ATS during the regular season when coming off a loss since 1999. Oklahoma has not beat anybody of note other than Texas, and they need a big win here to prove their the real deal to the committee, and while the Hawkeyes are no pushovers, Im betting they do end up as sacrificial lambs this week in a bad situational spot. OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +29.7 ppg. CFB Home favorites (OKLAHOMA) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive game are 64-22 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma to cover |
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11-09-19 | Oklahoma -4.5 v. Minnesota | 71-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
at Sanford Pentagon - Sioux Falls, SDOklahoma has been dominant in non-conference play in recent seasons, boasting a combined 23-3 record in its last 26 non-league regular-season games. In non-conference play since 2017-18, Oklahoma is 9-3 against major conference schools (ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Pac-12, SEC) and 12-3 in games played away from Norman. Golden Gophers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.Golden Gophers are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 vs. Big 12.Oklahoma is 16-5-1 ATS L/21 vs non conference oppositon. Play on Oklahoma Sooners to cover |
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11-09-19 | Liberty +17 v. BYU | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
BYU is off back to back big wins vs Utah State and Bosie State the last two weeks, and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown state vs a side they maybe overlooking. Im betting on senior QB Steven Calvert, who has compiled over 11,000 passing yards in his career, to be the key catalyst behind a cover here today for a Bowl eligible Liberty team that has scored 59 or more points three times this season already. BYU is 10-22 ATS in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game CFB Road underdogs (LIBERTY) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG), after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 44-14 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Liberty to cover |
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11-09-19 | Golden Knights +107 v. Capitals | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Washington is coming off a 5-4 overtime victory on the road against the Florida Panthers on Thursday in a gruelling back and forth affair that will have the Capitals in a tired state, here vs a tenacious opponent in the Vegas Knights that has won 4 of their L/6 road games. Note: Vegas has allowed 2 goals or less in 7 of their L/12 games, and are viable counter attackers in transition vs an explosive Washington side. VEGAS is 8-0 ATS after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Vegas Golden Knights to win on the ML |
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11-09-19 | Pelicans v. Hornets OVER 228 | 115-110 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
New Orleans is off a loss last night against the Toronto Raptors and will not be in any shape to play defence, tonight against the Hornets something thats been an issue for them all season long, as they allow the worst ppf average in the league ( 124 ppg) behind the 5th best offence ( 117.4 ppg) and 3rd ranked pace. Meanwhile, Charlotte ranks 23rd in ppg, allowed and 24th in defensive rating and will have to open here tonight against this type of wide open team if they hope to notch a win. Note: The Pelicans are 16-0-1 OVER L/17 with less than two days rest coming off a loss with the average combined score clicking in at 250.1 ppg. Every game during this extensive trend run have all eclipsed the current high total. NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 OVER in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 240 ppg scored. Over is 11-5 in Pelicans last 16 games playing on 0 days rest.ver is 4-0 in Hornets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings. Play OVER |
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11-09-19 | Central Connecticut State v. St. John's -24 | 57-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
St.Joh's under HC Mike Anderson looks tenacious as was evident when the Red Storm smashed Mercer in their home opener by a 109-79 count .The Red Storm high pressured attack can cause teams to break down quickly especially a side like Central Connecticut that ranked 264th in offensive turnover percentage last season. Central Connecticut State is a hoops program in a rebuild mode as head coach Donyell Marshall trys to replace four starters from last season’s 11 win squad.It must be noted the Blue Devils ranked 301st in offensive efficiency and 313th in defensive efficiency last season and could find it hard to get out of their own way here this afternoon vs an explosive side on their own home floor here Carnesecca Arena. This is an easy lay for me. Blue Devils are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Blue Devils are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.Blue Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.Blue Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Blue Devils are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Red Storm are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.Red Storm are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Play on St.Johns to cover |
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11-09-19 | LSU +6 v. Alabama | 46-41 | Win | 100 | 31 h 40 m | Show | |
Could this finally be a turning of the guard in the SEC? Quite possibly yes, but as far as we are concerned covering is much more important. Alabama has dominated this conference for so long, its hard to bet against them. However, LSU is the real deal, both on defence and offence, and are more than capable of hanging tough here vs conference gridiron gods the Crimson Tide. It must be noted that No. 1 ranked teams are 10-2 SU and 9-2-1 ATS since 1981, including 8-0 SUATS as a dog. The Boyou Tigers fit the bill and have the guns to deliver the cash this Saturday. Last season Saban and company pasted the Tigers 29-0 and now with revenge on board LSU will be breathing Cajun fire knowing they are 5-1 ATS L/6 with conference revenge and 5-2 ATS vs undefeated opposition. Note: Alabama is just 3-10 ATS L/13 as 10 point or less conference favs. Look for Joe Burrow to outduelAlabama QB Tua Tagovailoa. Take the points with LSU |
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11-09-19 | Georgia Southern v. Troy +3 | 28-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern now playing back to back road tilts is off a huge upset of Appalachian State last week and Im betting they will be in a letdown situation here this Saturday vs a Trojans team off a tough loss last week and now ready to get back into the win column on their own home field. Im betting Troys QB Kaleb Barker will take advantage of a week Georgia Southern pass D. Troys air attack has been extremely strong this season, and we will see that here today. Note:( Troy has had back to back 500 yard offensive outputs both on the road) Meanwhile, Troy’s run D will get tested again this week for the 2nd straight time and they will be ready and fresh to handle that pressure because of the constant exposure to a ground attack. Coastal Carolina was able to upset Troy last week, because of their ability to balance their run game with key passes, something Georgia Southern just cant do. Note: Georgia Southern is highly over rated as they have been outscored and out yarded this season, and despite of up trending are a little over rated here in this spot a road chalk) Georgia Southern is 3-7 ATS L/10 as road favourites. Troy has won 17 of their L/23 SU at home. Home coming side gets it done today plus the points, Take Troy to cover |
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11-09-19 | Florida State v. Boston College -1 | 38-31 | Loss | -115 | 125 h 35 m | Show | |
BC has been uptrending on my power rankings for a while now, and after accumulating a school record 691 yards in offence last week in a DD blasting of Syracuse they enter this game with a great deal of momentum. Meanwhile, Florida State their visiting opponents can be best described as inconsistent and now completely lost without fired head Coach Will Taggart. Advantage Boston College. Seminoles are 1-8-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Seminoles are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Seminoles are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Eagles are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Eagles are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS win.Eagles are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games on fieldturf.Eagles are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Eagles are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 conference games.Eagles are 39-17-2 ATS in their last 58 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. CFB Home favorites (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 36-1 SU L/10 seasons and a perfect 5-0 SU this season! Play on Boston College to cover |
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11-09-19 | Penn State v. Minnesota +7 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 102 h 37 m | Show | |
The Golden Gophers are averaging 39.9 points and 446.9 total yards per game and have the ability to make the Penn State defence very hard to keep them under control. Im betting the Golden Gophers, who rank 24th in the nation with 232.0 rushing yards per game, to give the Nittany Lions top tier run D all they can handle on their way to a cover for the 6th straight time. PENN ST is 4-14 ATS L/18 in road games versus excellent defensive teams - allowing 285 or less yards/game. PENN ST is 7-23 ATS L/30 in road games after allowing 9 points or less last game. Franklin is 8-17 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49 as the coach of PENN ST. Nittany Lions are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS L/12 after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games. Fleck is 23-9 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game in all games he has coached. Golden Gophers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games.Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Home team is 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 meetings. CFB home team vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against an excellent defensive team (16 or less PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games are 26-6 SU L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team (MINNESOTA) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game.are 50-19 ATS L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Golden Gophers to cover |
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11-08-19 | Portland +23 v. USC | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Public drilling this line with high expectations from the media for USC, and the perception of Portland being a lower tier teams from an inferior conference. The Pilots run with a small lineup, with their tallest player forward Tahirou Diabate standing 6-foot-9, but have an edge here on a slightly bloated line. Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Trojans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Trojans are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Play on Portland to cover |
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11-08-19 | Washington -10 v. Oregon State | 19-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
I know alot of pundits might think that Washington is washed up and an emotional let down state after losing to Utah last time out, for their third home loss this season.... their most in in 4 years. However, it most be noted that Oregon State despite of up trending, just dont matchup well here vs a unfortunate but very good Huskies team that might want to get the pundits off their backs by taking out their frustrations on Beavers. Im betting on Huskies QB Eason to pick apart the Beavers pass defense wit big play after big play. Washington is 22nd in the country in passing explosiveness and Oregon State is 126th at defending it. The Beavers rank outside the top 110 in opponent rush and pass explosiveness and look like fodder for a angry and downtrodden group this Friday night. Play on Washington to cover |
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11-08-19 | South Dakota v. Pacific +6 | 72-62 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
at Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI It will be the season opener for South Dakota, so may they well be rusty. Pacific already won their first game of the season behind an experienced group of retuning players and should be a hand full for South Dakota tonight. Coyotes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.Coyotes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Coyotes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference game.Play on Pacific to cover |
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11-08-19 | Bucks v. Jazz +3 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Reigning NBA Most Valuable Player Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks visit Salt Lake City to take on Utah tonight. The public is loving the Bucks, but are greatly underestimating the tenacity of the Jazz, against a team on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights on the road and in the high altitude of Salt Lake city. Advantage Utah. Take the points. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 26-5 SU L/23 seasons for a 84% conversion rate . NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 4-22 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-08-19 | Illinois v. Grand Canyon +8 | 83-71 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
The burn of losing a home opener for the first time in 17 years stung for Grand Canyon last time out. I believe that this usually well coached group got looking ahead to this this tilt with Illinois. Illinois is the first Power Five visitor to GCU Arena since the Lopes gave Louisville a scare three years ago. QUOTE:"Illinois is a tough team but we'll be ready for it, a lot more ready than we were Tuesday, that's for sure," Jenkins said. "I was talking to my teammates and saying, 'What's done is done.' We can erase all of that by going and winning that game Friday. That's a big game and a big team. It's a tough task but I know we're more than capable of beating them. END QUOTE: Grand Canyon on their own home floor will be a formidable pesky opponent for Illinois and I recommend we take the points. Fighting Illini are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Antelopes are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Grand Canyon to cover |
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11-08-19 | Raptors v. Pelicans UNDER 234 | 122-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors and the New Orleans Pelicans opened the season against each other nearly three weeks ago.with the Raptors taking a 130-122 victory in overtime . Since than both have taken part in some high scoring games which in some ways is skewing this total to the high side, which offers value for under bettors such as ourselves. ( It it was not for OT the above mentioned tilt would have stayed under the total) Gentry is 36-19 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of NEW ORLEANs with a combined average of 219.1 ppg scored. The Raptors have not eclipsed the total in their L/7 as a road favorite with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 50-9 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-08-19 | Harvard v. Northeastern UNDER 142 | 79-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Northeastern won their opener by a 72-67 count vs Boston U while Harvard won their opening tilt by a 84-27 count vs MIT. Both teams modus operandi is based on a solid D, and a methodical pace, which Im betting leads to a lower scoring tilt tonight that remains on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 overall.Under is 7-2 in Huskies last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-2 in Huskies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-0 in Huskies last 7 home games. Amaker is 20-9 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better as the coach of HARVARD with a combined average of 133.6 ppg going on the board.HARVARD is 24-11 UNDER in road games off a home win by 10 points or more since 1997 with a combined average of 131.1 ppg going on the board.HARVARD iin their L/15 after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 133.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-08-19 | Grizzlies v. Magic -7 | 86-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
The desperate Orlando Magic return home to Amway Center on Friday looking to end a four-game losing streak vs a Memphis side that they matchup well against.ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.8 ppg. The Magic are 9-0 SU/ 7-2 ATS L/9 as a home favorite. Play on the Magic to cover |
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11-08-19 | Central Florida v. Tulsa UNDER 69 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
There is value here on the under according to my projections which make this game total closer to 64 than the current number of 69. WE all know how explosive UCFs offence is, but Tulsa behind a much improved 3-3-5 defense that ranks 22nd in opponent passing success rate and ranks 29th in opponent red zone scoring and will not be easily stomped on. This Im betting cues the total towards the under. Note:UCF i L/15 road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) has seen a combined average of 54.9 ppg scored. Also Philip is 9-1 UNDER in home games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of TULSA with a combined average score of 59.2 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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11-08-19 | Davidson +2.5 v. Auburn | 66-76 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Alumni Hall - Annapolis, MD A top tier matchup at the Veterans Classic features No. 24 Auburn vs. Davidson. Two teams that my early season power rankings suggest are very evenly matched .Auburn is down a bit this season after losing three key starters from last years final four group which accounts for 42 points per game of scoring and filling those sharp shooting spots will extremely difficult. Meanwhile, Davidson is very experienced as they return all five starters from last season 24 victory team that will Im betting take advantage of the Tigers inexperienced back court. McKillop is 74-40 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DAVIDSON. Play on Davidson to cover |
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11-08-19 | Davidson v. Auburn OVER 145.5 | 66-76 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
VETERANS CLASSIC - Alumni Hall - Annapolis, MD The Wildcats return all five starters from a 24-10 club that finished second in the Atlantic 10 with a 14-4 conference record last season. This team can really light it up in cohesive fashion, and tonight their going to play to Auburns speed and possibly beat them at their own game in a tilt I have pegged to go over the total. Davidson will be playing its season opener after running past Glenville State 102-94 in an exhibition. Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 neutral site games.Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 non-conference games. Over is 6-2 in Wildcats last 8 non-conference games.Over is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 Friday games.AUBURN is 15-5 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.2 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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11-07-19 | Blue Jackets +140 v. Coyotes | 3-2 | Win | 140 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
The Blue Jackets (5-7-3) have managed just a point from the past five games, which came from an overtime loss at St. Louis. They have lost five consecutive games, and are desperate to get back in the win column, and Im betting that comes tonight in a place ( Arizona, where they have won seven of the last eight meetings . Play on Columbus to win on the ML |
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11-07-19 | Thunder v. Spurs -4.5 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The Spurs have dropped three of their past four, including Tuesday's 108-100 setback in Atlanta and because of this we have a decent recency bias to bet into here with the desperate home chalk. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City have won two in a row and getting some media accolades on a small sample size. Truth is at least from my perspective , is that despite of the Thunders hard work and recent positive results, thye are still over matched here according to my power rankings which take into account variables media polling numbers don't such as matchup discrepancies based on systems. With that said, Im betting on the Spurs to come out here with a top tier effort on their way to a win and cover for the 5th straight time at home in this series.Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. SAN ANTONIO is 17-5 ATS in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Donovan is 8-22 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread are 48-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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11-07-19 | Chargers -1 v. Raiders | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
The Chargers are a team that does not get accolades from the public, and are in some ways homeless and using temporary shelter in LA where no one seems to care about them. So this Chargers team feels more comfortable on the road than when playing hosts . Meanwhile, the future Las Vegas Raiders , are a team that is up trending, and getting alot of respect from the pundits. However, it seems the lines makers are not buying the hype, and have installed the home team in this matchup as essentially a pickem on a short chalk line. It must be noted that Chargers QB Phillip Rivers , has been a ATM machine for his backers when he goes on the road vs division opposition going 27-12-1 ATS , and 16-4 ATS when his team is not favoured by more than 3 points which is the case here this Thursday night. I know Oakland has looked good this season, and are off a impressive win vs the Lions, but it must be noted that the Silver and Black have a long history of failure this series losing 4 straight and 20 of the L/27 meetings SU and if they are off a SU/ATS win and playing at home they are 0-11 ATS . Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November.Chargers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Oakland. Play on the LA Chargers to cover |
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11-07-19 | Celtics v. Hornets +7.5 | 108-87 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Boston is off a 119-113 win vs Cleveland last time out, in a high shooting percentage tilt for the Celtics. Note: BOSTON is 12-23 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Stevens is 5-16 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better as the coach of BOSTON. Meanwhile, Charlotte has won 3 straight , and are more than capable of hanging tough against a Celtics side playing their 3rd straight road game in 5 nights and on tired legs. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 78-125 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover (LATE STEAM) |
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11-07-19 | Temple v. South Florida +1.5 | 17-7 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 4 m | Show | |
The Temple Owls enter this game off a bye week, but prior to their break, they allowed an average 45.3 PPG and 587 YPG in their last three tilts, which had me believing that they are highly over rated especially on D. Meanwhile, USF has won 3 of their L/4 and up trending and needs wins badly to become bowl eligible and will be ready to play a big game here tonight vs a program they have beaten in 3 of their L/4 meetings including the two most recent matchups as hosts. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEMPLE) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-70 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S FLORIDA) - after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USF to cover |
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11-07-19 | UAB v. Troy State UNDER 140.5 | 76-75 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Early season action will have defences in better from than shooters. This is strong instate rivalry that should be hard fought, which will dictate a slower, more physical affair that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 9-1 in Blazers last 10 vs. Sun Belt.Under is 17-7-1 in Blazers last 25 Thursday games.Under is 51-25-2 in Blazers last 78 non-conference games. Under is 6-1 in Trojans last 7 overall. Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. UAB is 50-30 UNDER as a road favorite or pick since 1997 with a combined average `of 137.1 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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11-07-19 | Capitals v. Panthers -110 | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Two red hot teams go head tonight in South Florida as the Capitals visit the Panthers.Both the No. 1 goalies in this matchup ( Florida's Sergei Bobrovsky and Braden Holtby for Washington )have had several days to rest and are expected to start on Thursday. Bobrovsky is 6-2-3 with a 3.36 goals-against average and an .882 save percentage. Holtby is 6-1-3 with a 3.30 GAA and an .895 save percentage. Washington is 9-1 L/9 overall but their recent history vs the Panthers is not a positive one as the Caps are just 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Florida. The Panthers are 3-1-1 at home this season, and play top tier hockey here, and from a projection standpoint on my end matchup very well against the Capitals and get my support here this evening. Play on Florida Panthers to win on the ML |
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11-07-19 | Capitals v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: WASHINGTON - BRADEN HOLTBY, FLORIDA - SERGEI BOBROVSKY Both the No. 1 goalies in this matchup -- Florida's Sergei Bobrovsky and Braden Holtby for Washington -- have had several days to rest and are expected to start on Thursday and despite of some sub par save percentages this season, are top tier goalies who will be fresh and ready to compete in a game between streaking teams. Bobrovsky is 6-2-3 with a 3.36 goals-against average and an .882 save percentage. Holtby is 6-1-3 with a 3.30 GAA and an .895 save percentage. Play UNDER |
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11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz -2 | 104-106 | Push | 0 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
The Jazz have lost two straight both on the road, but still look lie a formidable NBA team, and now on two days rest will be prepared to bounce back here on home court vs a Philadelphia 76ers group playing their 3rd road game in 5 nights , Note: Jazz are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. The Jazz are also 12-0 ATS/SU at home off a road game in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field and are 7-0 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing with 2 days rest are 48-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-06-19 | Virginia -3 v. Syracuse | 48-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
Syracuse is being highly touted as usual under the tut-ledge of Jim Boheim, but he has his work cut out for him early on this season after losing four starters from last years team , while also adding a five-player freshman class. This is now a rebuilding program, with some top tier talent but a great deal of inexperience , which is never great when going against a defending champion such as Virginia. Tonight I am expecting Virginias extremely organized and tenacious pack line D, to dominate and to continue the recent string of Cavalier owner ship over the Orange. Note: Virginia has won three in a row vs Syracuse, which includes their last two visits to the Carrier Dome by an average of 20.5 points. VIRGINIA is 10-1 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons wit the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.4 ppg. and s 9-1 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. Virginia to cover |
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11-06-19 | Miami-OH v. Ohio UNDER 55 | 24-21 | Win | 102 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Miami has proven highly inconsistent of offense ranking 126th in rushing success rate and 116th in passing success rate. Meanwhile, Ohio's offence generates it most effective results when they run the ball, and today I expect that to be their main modus operandi , which in turn will keep the clock ticking . The above combination Im betting results in a score that remains on the low side of this total . MIAMI OHIO is 31-10 UNDER struggling defensive teams - allowing 425 or more yards/game with a combined average of 48.8 ppg scored. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. CFB Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (OHIO U) - after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 102-55 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-06-19 | Kings v. Raptors -7.5 | 120-124 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings the Toronto Raptors matchup well vs the Sacramento Kings , and with the added home court advantage look like very viable favorites here tonight. Torontos SRS: ranks 9th in the NBA ( 4.98) vs Sacramento's 27th ranking ( -7.52). SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Advantage Raptors NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - excellent free throw shooting team (79%or better) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 25-2 SU 23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 ppg which makes this a via-able ATS situation. Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-06-19 | Wizards v. Pacers OVER 224 | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Indiana is exhausted as they prepare to play their 3rd game in 4 nights, and are off a 122-120 OT loss in Memphis last night. Tonight playing defence could easily become an issue on tired legs in a game I have pegged to be a wide open affair vs a Washington side, that is ranked 26th in ppg allowed on D, and 5th in ppg on offence and 8th in pace. Over is 6-0 in Wizards last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-1 in Wizards last 9 vs. NBA Central. Over is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 vs. NBA Southeast. WASHINGTON is 30-16 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-06-19 | McNeese State +7.5 v. Western Michigan | 65-75 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these teams struggled last season, greatly, and are pretty evenly matched according to my projections as this season begins thus giving us value with the underdog here.McNeese, which lost 13 of its last 17 regular-season games including its last three, will put out a different roster compared to last season. The group they now have is under rated. Take the points with McNeese State to cover |
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11-05-19 | Blues +109 v. Canucks | 2-1 | Win | 109 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The defending Stanley Cup champion Blues have been tempering themselves and not working to hard , but their experience at finding ways to win continues , as they have come from behind in seven victories this season. They are a confident group, that must always be respected on as underdogs on a value line. Tonight against a up trending Vancouver team , Im betting the Blues will be motivated to get revenge for a home loss to the Canucks earlier this season on home ice by a 4-3 count. ST LOUIS is 10-5 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 13-6 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 2 season NHL favorite against the money line (VANCOUVER) - off a road win against a division rival, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record are 21-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Blues to win on the ML |
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11-05-19 | Blues v. Canucks UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Canucks are a much-improved offensive team , but they will have to deal with a defending Stanley Cup Champion side that knows how to shut teams down and make life miserable for them in transition. Tonight Im betting on the Blues imposing their defensive will in a big way on their opponents and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. ST LOUIS is 9-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.7 gpg going on the board. ST LOUIS is 9-1 UNDER in road games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 4.3 gpg scored. VANCOUVER is 6-0 UNDER in home games off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.1 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (ST LOUIS) - after a 4 game unbeaten streak, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team in the first half of the season are 56-24 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate! Play UNDER |
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11-05-19 | Michigan State v. Kentucky UNDER 138.5 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
CHAMPIONS CLASSIC - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY Tonight’s No. 1 Michigan State vs. No. 2 Kentucky has a bit of a tainted public leaning totals number attached to it. ( The public loves to bang the over on marquee games) My number on this total is closer to 134 to 136, thus according to my projections we have value to the under. Note: Both teams have been hit with the injury bug, and because of personnel improvisations Im betting a more muted flow and pace which directly effect this total to the under. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MICHIGAN ST) - good rebounding team from last season - outrebounded opponents by 4+ per game, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |