02-20-16 |
Xavier -175 v. Georgetown |
|
88-70 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 7* play on the Xavier Musketeers. The #8 ranked Musketeers have only lost three games all year, and one of those came at home to Georgetown. They get a chance to avenge that loss here at Georgetown Saturday and they might be catching the Hoyas at a good time. Georgetown has dropped five of it's last six overall, and starting center Bradley Hayes has missed the last two games with a broken hand. Prior to the home loss to Georgetown earlier this year, the Musketeers had won four of five in this series. They won both meetings at Georgetown during that span, and they haven't had any problems winning on the road, with a record of 7-2 on the season. The Hoyas are 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall, and 1-6 ATS in their last seven versus teams with a winning record. Xavier has covered the spread in seven of it's last 10 road games versus teams with a winning record. This looks like a good spot to back the visitors. Take XAV. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-20-16 |
Florida v. South Carolina -140 |
|
69-73 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the South Carolina Gamecocks. The Gamecocks are coming off consecutive losses, but I like their chances of getting back on track at home versus Florida today. South Carolina is 13-1 at home, with the only loss coming to SEC leaders Kentucky. The Gators have lost six of nine on the road, and they aren't playing particularly well lately. While they did sneak away with a win over Georgia, they trailed in that game from the opening tip off, and rallied late to steal the game in the final minute. They still only managed to score 57 points in that game, and they have averaged just 67 points on 40.1 percent shooting over their last five. The Gamecocks have averaged over 80 points per game at home, and they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games. Florida is one of the poorest free throw shooting teams in the SEC, and they have hit below 60 percent from the charity stripe on the road this season. The bookmakers have been giving Florida way too much credit, as evidenced by the fact that they are 4-12-1 in their last 17 following a win. Take USC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-19-16 |
Celtics v. Jazz |
Top |
93-111 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Utah Jazz. Utah went into the All Star break hot, winning seven of eight. They struggled in a loss at Washington in their first game back, but I expect them to shake off the rust at home tonight hosting the Celtics. The Jazz have been very good at home, boasting a 17-10 record, which is even more impressive when you consider that they were without Rudy Gobert for an extended stretch. Gobert is back, and making his presence felt. He's recorded four straight double-doubles, and has totaled 49 rebounds in those games. The Jazz have covered the spread in seven straight at home versus teams with a winning record, while the Celtics are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning record. The home team is 7-3-2 in the last 12 meetings in this series, and still the Jazz aren't asked to cover any points at home tonight. I think the bookmakers aren't giving Utah enough credit on their home floor. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-19-16 |
Pistons v. Wizards -110 |
Top |
86-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Washington Wizards. The Wizards have under achieved all season long, but they may be showing signs of turning things around. They won two of four before the All Star break, and then beat a very good Utah team at home in their first game back last night. They host the Detroit Pistons tonight, and Detroit has really struggled on the road. The Pistons are 11-17 overall on the road, and they've lost three of their last four at Washington. They went into the All Star break in poor form, failing to cover in five of their last six. The Wizards have covered in four of their last five, and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 versus the NBA Central Division. Playing on back-to-back night's is normally considered to be a disadvantage, but in this case at home without any travel, I think it's far better than coming off a long layoff, as is the case for the visitors tonight. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-19-16 |
Harvard v. Columbia -7.5 |
|
76-90 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Columbia #Lions. Harvard's days of dominating the Ivy league are officially over, and they currently sit in a four way tie at the bottom the conference with a 2-6 record. The Crimson lost their star PG to a season ending injury before the season started, and now they have lost their starting center and leading scorer Zena Edosomwan. Harvard has failed to cover in eight straight overall, and six of eight on the road. Their last three road games were all double digit losses. They are on the road at at Columbia tonight, and the Lions are one of the top teams in the conference with a 6-2 record. They are coming off a loss in a close game versus Princeton (83-80), and they have covered the spread in 12 of their last 17 when coming off a loss. The Lions are 11-3 at home on the seasons, and they score an average of over 75 points while shooting 40 percent from three-point range at home. A banged up Harvard team could be in four another beating here tonight. Take CLMB GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-18-16 |
Spurs -176 v. Clippers |
|
86-105 |
Loss |
-176 |
21 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 7* play on the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs went into the All Star break as winners of six straight, and this is a team that isn't taking any nights off. Some teams might be coming off a long layoff a little out of focus, but if there is a coach in this league that you can say has his team's complete respect, it's Greg Popovich. The Spurs come to play every night, and if either of these two teams is going to come out sloppy after the layoff, I don't think it's going to be 45-8 San Antonio.
The Spurs are e 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in Los Angeles, and the road team has covered in four of the last five in this series. The Clippers have failed to cover in four straight home games versus teams with a winning record, and they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 versus the NBA Southwest.
Kawhi Leonard leads the NBA with a three point shooting percentage of .482, and he's scored 20+ points in four of his last five games.
Take SA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-18-16 |
Maryland v. Minnesota +10.5 |
Top |
63-68 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Golden Gophers.
After losing 14 straight overall, you might think that his Minnesota team would throw in the towel. Not this team! Not this coach!
The Gophers and head coach Richard Pitino continue to play hard, and they appear to be determined to get that elusive first conference win. Tonight's home game against Maryland will be as good a chance as any for them to do just that. The Terps are 22-4 overall, but they haven't been a good bet as a double digit favorite.
Maryland has failed to cover in four straight versus teams with a winning percentage of less that .400. They have won three of their last five road games, but not one of those games were decided by double digits.
Diamond Stone is Maryland's second leading scorer, and he will be serving a suspension for an incident versus Wisconsin last week. The Gophers lost by just four points against Iowa on Sunday, and seven of their last eight losses have come by eight points or less.
Take MIN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-18-16 |
Jazz v. Wizards UNDER 199 |
Top |
89-103 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UTAH@WAS to go UNDER the total.
The Jazz won seven of eight heading into the All Star break, and they allowed opponents to average just 91 points per game during that span. The Jazz are one of the league's top defensive teams, while the Wizards are one of the worst. That being said, they haven't had much trouble playing defense in recent meetings with Utah. Five of the last six meetings between these two teams have failed to reach the total, and six of Utah's last seven trips to Washington have gone under the total.
The Jazz have played most of the season shorthanded, without center Rudy Gobert and the 23 year old has 37 rebounds and seven blocks in his last three games. Derrick Favors has also missed time, but he's scored 29 points in a 100-96 loss to New Orleans in the final game before the break.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-17-16 |
Boise State v. New Mexico -160 |
|
78-80 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the #UNM Lobos. The Lobos beat the Broncos at Boise State earlier this season, and they are just a slight favorite at home in the rematch tonight. This New Mexico team has been dominant at home, winning 11 of 13 overall this season. They've covered the spread in five of their last six home games, while the Broncos have failed to cover in five of their last six overall. New Mexico has covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings in this series, winning four of five at home during that span.
The Broncos are just 4-5 on the road, and they've lost their last three road games at Colorado State, Air Force and UNLV. They face a daunting task trying to stop a Lobos team that is scoring over 80 points on better than 50 percent shooting at home this season. Boise State has not fared well against the top teams in the conference, failing to cover in five straight against teams with a winning record.
Lobos leading scorer Elijah Brown scored 30 points in the win over the Broncos earlier this year, and he's averaging almost 25 points per game since.
Take UNM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-17-16 |
Oklahoma v. Texas Tech +5 |
Top |
63-65 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
The Oklahoma Sooners reign at the top of the polls has come to an end, but they are still one of the best teams in the country. That doesn't mean they have been a good bet, especially as a road favorite. Oklahoma has failed to cover in four of it's last five road games, and 15 of it's last 20 BIG12 games. The Red Raiders have won three of their last four, with big wins over Oklahoma State, Iowa State and Baylor.
This is a big revenge spot for the Red Raiders, who suffered their worst defeat of the season at Oklahoma last month. These teams have a history of playing hard fought battles here in Lubbock, and last year the Sooners won in overtime by a score of 79-75. Buddy Hield has cooled off, hitting just 12-of-33 shot attempts in the Sooners last two games. He scored just eight points on 3-of-12 shooting in the Sooners last visit to Texas Tech.
Take TTU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-17-16 |
Syracuse +8 v. Louisville |
Top |
58-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange.
The Louisville Cardinals are one of the top teams in the ACC, but they will NOT be playing in this year's tournament. While they boast an impressive record, they haven't been a great bet, failing to cover in 10 of their last 14 overall. They've lost back to back games at Duke and Notre Dame, and I think they are asked to cover way too many points at home to Syracuse tonight.
Here is what I said about Louisville before they played Clemson on January 10: "I think this young Louisville team is overrated. They come in ranked #16 in the polls with a record of 13-2, but they've lost two of their three road games, and they are 0-2 versus Top 25 teams."
They went on to beat Clemson, but failed to cover. The Cardinals will be a missing key big man Anas Mahmoud who is out for the season with an ankle injury. Clemson has covered the spread in four straight on the road, and they should be able to stay close here at Louisville.
Take SYR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-16-16 |
Florida v. Georgia +1 |
|
57-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Bulldogs.
The Gators come into Georgia off a home loss to Alabama, and they've dropped two of their last three. They are just 2-6 on the road, and they've lost three of their last four at Georgia. The Bulldogs are coming off a road win at Mississippi State, and they are 12-3 at home this season. Georgia has covered the spread in seven of it's last 10 home games, and nine of it's last 12 overall. The Gators have been brutal on the road, failing to cover in four straight. They have shot just 59.3 percent from the free throw line on the road, and they've averaged just 62.9 points per game. The home team has covered the spread in seven of the last eight meetings in this series, and I don't think the bookmakers are giving the Bulldogs enough respect here.
Take UGA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-16-16 |
Richmond v. Davidson -130 |
|
79-83 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Davidson Wildcats. The Wildcats come into tonight's home game against Richmond as winners of two of their last three, with the one loss coming on the road by just one point at George Mason. Richmond has won three straight, but all of those wins came against conference bottom feeders. The Wildcats beat the Spiders at Richmond earlier this year 78-70, and I don't see Richmond upsetting them here on their home floor. Davidson is 11-1 at home this season, and the only loss came to conference leaders VCU. The Wildcats have won four of the last five in this series, and both home games during that span. Take DAV. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-16-16 |
West Virginia v. Texas -145 |
|
78-85 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. The West Virginia Mountaineers come into Texas looking to avenge a home loss to the Longhorns earlier this season. It won't be easy, Texas is really in a groove at the moment. They lost to Iowa State on the road on Saturday, but that game was much closer than the final score indicates. Texas trailed by just two points in the final minute, but missed a few late shots allowing the Clyclones to stretch the margin of victory at the free throw line. Texas is 12-1 at home this season, and 7-1 ATS in it's last eight overall. The Longhorns have won four of the last five in this series, and five of their last six home games against West Virginia. The Mountaineers have failed to cover the spread in six of the last seven meetings. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-15-16 |
NC State +12 v. Virginia |
|
53-73 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the N.C. State #Wolfpack. The Cavs saw their seven game winning streak come to and end at Duke on Saturday, and they may have trouble picking up the pieces here at home on Monday. They host conference rivals N.C. State, and Virginia is asked to cover an inflated double-digit spread. Now the Cavs did beat Virginia Tech and Boston College by a combined 32 points in their last two home games, but prior to that they won close games at home against Clemson, Syracuse and Miami. The Wolfpack have lost four of their last seven, but none of those losses came by more than 10 points.
Anthony Barber comes in feeling the hot hand, scoring a whopping 38 points in a 99-88 win over Wake Forest on Saturday. The junior guard has averaged over 32 points per game in his last five starts. The Wolfpack have covered the spread in five of the last six meetings between these two teams, and four straight at Virginia. N.C. State has scored an average of 84 points on 47.6 percent shooting over it's last five games. These teams have a history of playing close games, and I like the Wolfpack as the big underdog.
Take NCST.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-13-16 |
Texas +5 v. Iowa State |
|
75-85 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Texas Longhorns. Texas has been one of the hottest teams in the BIG12 in 2016, and the Longhorns are only a game out of first place. They've won four of their last five overall, with the lone loss coming by just three points at Oklahoma. It has taken some time for this team to adapt to first year head coach Shaka Smart, but they really look like a contender heading into March.
Texas will be an underdog on the road at Iowa State Saturday, and the Cyclones have dropped three of their last four. These teams have a history of playing tight games, as three of the last four meetings were decided by three points or less. The Cyclones lost in overtime at Texas (94-91) earlier in the season. They may want revenge here in the rematch, but they are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight at home. Texas has covered the spread in seven straight overall, and four straight on the road.
Take TEX.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-13-16 |
Louisville v. Notre Dame -1 |
Top |
66-71 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Notre Dame Irish.
Notre Dame comes into tonight's home game against Louisville as winners of three of it's last four. It's last home game was an upset win over the North Carolina Tar Heels. The Irish have also beaten Duke on the road, and they are 11-5-1 in their last 17 versus the ACC. They are 12-1 at home, and they've covered the spread in four of their last five at South Bend. The Cardinals have not been a good bet on the road, failing to cover in six straight. The Irish are scoring over 80 points per game at home, and they are shooting 76.2 percent from the field at South Bend. Louisville is struggling at the free throw line this season, and the Cardinals have trouble scoring at the best of times.
Take ND.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-13-16 |
Texas A&M v. LSU -1 |
Top |
71-76 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the LSU Tigers. The Tigers are hot, coming into Saturday's home game against Texas A&M as winners of four of their last five at home. The one loss came by just two points to #1 ranked Oklahoma in a non-conference game (SEC/BIG12 Challenge). The Aggies are coming off three straight losses, and they have struggled on the road with a record of just 3-4. Home court has been a big deal in this series, with the home team covering in eight of the last 10. LSU is 12-2 overall at home, while the Aggies have only covered once in their last seven on the road. Ben Simmons gets better with every game, and the Freshman will be looking to execute a little revenge after having one of his worst games in a loss at Texas A&M earlier in the year. Despite their struggles away from home, and the fact that they've failed to cover in five straight SEC games, the Aggies aren't getting any sort of a cushion here in today's game.
Take LSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-12-16 |
Dayton -1.5 v. Rhode Island |
Top |
68-66 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* pay on the Dayton Flyers.
The Flyers are sitting in the top spot in the A-10 with a conference record of 10-1. They will be just a slight favorite on the road tonight, facing a Rams team that has a 6-5 record within the conference. Perhaps this line is a little lower than one might expect, and that's likely influenced by the fact that Dayton hasn't won at Rhode Island since 2005. The Rams also have a respectable home record of 11-3. They did come up short in a home loss to St. Joes though, and all of their home wins within the conference so far have come against teams with a losing record. They've also lost three straight in this series versus Dayton, and the last two were blowouts.
Dayton is 5-1 on the road, and the Flyers come in riding an eight game win streak. It's not as though they don't have anything to play for, as a loss here would open the door for VCU and St. Joe's who are tied for second, each with a 9-2 record. The Rams have lost two of their last three, and starting forward Kuran Iverson has missed all three games with a concussion. He's averaging over 10 points per game, and if he can't go tonight it would be a big blow for the home team. The Flyers are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games versus a team with a winning home record.
Take DAY.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-11-16 |
North Dakota v. Eastern Washington -6.5 |
|
85-95 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. I bet on the Eagles in their last home game against Sacramento State, and here is what I said before the game: "Last year's Big Sky champions have failed to impress this year, with a 10-10 overall record and just 4-4 within the conference. The Eagles have been dominant at home though, winning all seven of their games in Washington. The majority of those game were blowouts, such as Thursday's 112-83 shellacking of Portland State. Eastern Washington is averaging and incredible 92 points on 55.9 percent shooting at home." The would win the game, but only by seven points. Inexplicably they shot just 1-for-20 from three-point range on that night. If I live to be 103, I might never see another game where the Eagles shoot 1-for-20 from beyond the arc. They've since won back to back road games by double digits, and I think they'll win big at home tonight. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-11-16 |
Florida State v. Syracuse -154 |
|
72-85 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Syracuse Orange. The Florida State Seminoles have won four straight, and two of those wins have come on the road. Tonight's game at Syracuse should prove to be a much tougher challenge than their wins at Boston College and Wake Forest. The Orange are also hot, winners of six of their last seven, with the only loss coming at Virginia. They've upset the likes of Notre Dame and Duke during that span. Syracuse beat the Seminoles at home 70-57 last year, and won by double digits at FSU the previous season. The Seminoles are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, while the Orange are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take SYR. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-10-16 |
Jazz v. Pelicans -135 |
|
96-100 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on the New Orleans #Pelicans I took a bit of a bad beat least night when the Jazz tied the game with a buzzer beater and went on to win in overtime in Dallas. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Utah Jazz come into Dallas riding a six game win streak, but five of those six wins came at home. The exception was a 98-89 win at Phoenix on Saturday. The Jazz are dominant on defense, ranking second in the NBA allowing just 95.9 points per game. They aren’t nearly as successful on the road though, where they have an 8-15 record. Even Saturday’s win over the Suns saw a total of 187 points, enough to go over the number here tonight. The Jazz are a woeful 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, and they’ve allowed 99.7 points per game in their last seven on the road."
The Pelicans on the other hand have played quite well at home lately, and this is a huge let down spot for the Jazz on back to back nights coming off an overtime win over the Mavs
Take N.O,
GL, Jesse Schule.
|
02-10-16 |
Jazz v. Pelicans OVER 195 |
Top |
96-100 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UTAH@NO to go OVER the total.
I took a bit of a bad beat least night when the Jazz tied the game with a buzzer beater and went on to win in overtime in Dallas. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Utah Jazz come into Dallas riding a six game win streak, but five of those six wins came at home. The exception was a 98-89 win at Phoenix on Saturday. The Jazz are dominant on defense, ranking second in the NBA allowing just 95.9 points per game. They aren’t nearly as successful on the road though, where they have an 8-15 record. Even Saturday’s win over the Suns saw a total of 187 points, enough to go over the number here tonight. The Jazz are a woeful 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, and they’ve allowed 99.7 points per game in their last seven on the road."
The Pelicans on the other hand have played quite well at home lately, and the total has gone over in each of their last four home games against the Jazz. Seven of the last nine meetings between these teams have gone over, and the Pelicans have gone over in 20 of their last 28 home games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule.
|
02-10-16 |
Hornets v. Pacers -165 |
|
117-95 |
Loss |
-165 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 7* play on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers will host Charlotte tonight, and the Hornets are playing well of late. They've won four of their last five, but their only road win during that span came against the cellar dwelling Lakers. The Pacers have won eight of 10 in this series, and all six home games during that span. The Hornets road record is woeful, with just seven wins in 24 games. They come in off back to back home wins over LA and Detroit, and Paul George has been lighting up the scoreboard lately. Indiana's leading scorer has averaged over 27 points over his last three games, and he's having a fantastic season coming off that gruesome leg injury. The Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and I just don't see than streak ending here in Indiana. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-10-16 |
LSU v. South Carolina -155 |
|
83-94 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the South Carolina Gamecocks. The South Carolina Gamecocks have yet to be beaten on their home court, and as good as LSU has looked lately, I don't like their chances of upsetting such an experienced team on the road. LSU is still probably a little overrated due to Ben Simmons, as evidenced by their 2-6 ATS record in their last six conference games. The freshman has played well, and there is no denying his talent. However his decision making has come into question at times, and playing a team loaded with seniors could prove to be a challenge. The Gamecocks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games, and 12-0 at home overall this season. They absolutely dominate on the boards, averaging a whopping 41.2 rebounds per game at home. The Tigers have not been a good bet when playing good teams, going 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record. Take USC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-09-16 |
Jazz v. Mavs OVER 184.5 |
|
121-119 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on UTAH@DAL to go OVER the total. The Utah Jazz come into Dallas riding a six game win streak, but five of those six wins came at home. The exception was a 98-89 win at Phoenix on Saturday. The Jazz are dominant on defense, ranking second in the NBA allowing just 95.9 points per game. They aren't nearly as successful on the road though, where they have an 8-15 record. Even Saturday's win over the Suns saw a total of 187 points, enough to go over the number here tonight.
The bookmakers may have over adjusted here, as this line has dropped from 190 all the way down to 183. The Mavericks have won six straight home games against Utah, scoring 100+ points in five of those games. The Jazz are a woeful 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, and they've allowed 99.7 points per game in their last seven on the road.
Take OVER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-09-16 |
Jazz v. Mavs -125 |
Top |
121-119 |
Loss |
-125 |
13 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Mavericks.
The Utah Jazz come into Dallas riding a six game win streak, but five of those six wins came at home. The exception was a 98-89 win at Phoenix on Saturday. The Jazz are dominant on defense, ranking second in the NBA allowing just 95.9 points per game. They aren't nearly as successful on the road though, where they have an 8-15 record. Even Saturday's win over the Suns saw a total of 187 points, enough to go over the number here tonight.
The bookmakers may have over adjusted here, as this line has dropped from 190 all the way down to 183. The Mavericks have won six straight home games against Utah, scoring 100+ points in five of those games. The Jazz are a woeful 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, and they've allowed 99.7 points per game in their last seven on the road. The Mavericks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a losing road record.
Take Dallas.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-09-16 |
Toledo v. Buffalo -2 |
Top |
71-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bulls.
The Bulls have won four straight, and six of their last seven overall. They have won eight of 10 at home, and they have the second best record in the MAC. They host Toledo Tuesday, and the Rockets have lost three of their last five. One of those losses came at home to Buffalo, with the Bulls jumping out to a 10-point lead in the first half, and hanging on to win 73-68. The Bulls have won four of their last five home meetings versus Toledo, and they have covered the spread in five of the last six overall meetings between the two teams. Buffalo has superior depth, and their bench outscored Toledo's bench 28-17 in the last meeting. The Bulls should also have an advantage on the boards, averaging 36.3 rebounds per game at home.
Take BUF.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-08-16 |
Blazers v. Grizzlies -170 |
|
112-106 |
Loss |
-170 |
20 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 7* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are one of the hottest teams in the league, and they are just a small favorite at home to Portland tonight. The Blazers have also played well, but they are much more competitive at home, and will likely be in over their heads here in Memphis. History certainly favors the Grizzlies, as they have won 15 of the last 18 in this series, and they've covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Portland.
Memphis is 19-8 overall at home, and it ranks 6th in the NBA in points allowing, with an opponent's scoring average of just 99 points. The Blazers have struggled when facing the top teams in the Western Conference, going 2-5 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a winning straight up record. The Grizz lost a close game to Dallas in overtime on Saturday, but they've covered the spread in five straight when coming off a loss.
Take MEM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-08-16 |
Louisville v. Duke -4 |
Top |
65-72 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils.
Defending champions Duke have lost a few key home games already in conference play, and because of that they are just a short favorite at home to Louisville tonight. Duke is coming off a couple wins in a row, beating Georgia Tech and N.C. State by a combined 17 points. The Cardinal are just 3-3 on the road, and they might not have their leading scorer healthy tonight. Damion Lee missed the last game with a knee injury, but he could return here against Duke. Given that Louisville will be serving a self imposed post-season ban, there really is no reason for players to push it if they are anything less than 100%.
Duke has won seven straight at home versus ranked opponents, and Duke is 179-12 (.937) at home since the 2004-5 season, second only to Kansas in winning percentage at home. The come in shooting the ball well from beyond the arc, going 25-of-51 from three-point range in their last two games. They have shot better than 40 percent from beyond the arc at home this season, and score over 90 points per game at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The Cardinals are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
Take DUKE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-06-16 |
Pelicans v. Cavs OVER 209.5 |
Top |
84-99 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NO@CLE to go over the total.
The Cavs have lost back to back games to Boston and Charlotte, and they host New Orleans on Saturday night. The Pelicans are coming off three straight losses, and they are are a significant underdog tonight. New Orleans failed to reach the total in their last game, but each of their previous nine games had gone over. Cleveland’s first game in the Tyronn Lue era was nothing short of a disaster, losing by double digits at home to the Bulls. After the game Lue questioned his team’s conditioning: “I think we have to play faster,” Lue told the team’s official website. “I think we have to utilize Kyrie and LeBron’s one-on-one ability in transition to open the floor more and run in more drags. We just haven’t been accustomed to playing that way …” They went on to score 110+ points in five straight games, and I think they'll have no problem scoring on an inferior opponent tonight.
Take OVER.
GL
Jesse Schule
|
02-06-16 |
Eastern Michigan v. Buffalo -5.5 |
|
70-80 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bulls.
Buffalo has won three straight, and it will host bottom dwelling Eastern Michigan on Saturday. The Eagles are sitting dead last in the MAC West, tied with Western Michigan. The Eagles are coming off home win over Miami Ohio, but they had lost five straight previously. They have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 12 road games, and they have lost eight of 11 on the road this season. The Bulls are scoring 79.5 points on 46.8 percent shooting at home, and the home team is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings between the two teams. The Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Take BUF.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-06-16 |
Iowa State v. Oklahoma State +5 |
Top |
64-59 |
Push |
0 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys.
The Cyclones have lost back to back games, but still they are a road favorite at Oklahoma State here today. The Cowboys may not have a lot of wins on their resume in conference play, but they have certainly been competitive. While they have lost five of seven in conference play, three of those five losses came in games decided by five points or less. These teams have met four times since 2013, and all four of those games were decided by less than five points. Two of those four games required overtime to decide a winner. The Cyclones come in short-handed, with reigning BIG12 player of the year Jameel McKay suspended indefinitely: "I don't feel like I'm getting as high as I would normally," McKay said. "With what's going on with me, you've just got to kind of block it out and remember that it'll get better. ... It's not 100 percent. But it's getting better."
Take OKST.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-06-16 |
Davidson v. Duquesne -2 |
|
93-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes. Duquesne will be just a slight favorite at home to Davidson, and this Wildcats team has really struggled on the road. The Dukes have won three straight, and five of six overall. They are 9-1 at home, and they are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 home games. Davidson has lost six of eight on the road this season, and has failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven road games. They are an absolutely abysmal 3-13 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Davidson has been hit hard by injuries, with forward Jake Belford out for the season, and leading scorer Jack Gibbs battling an ankle injury. Gibbs is expected to play on Saturday, but he might not be at 100%. He's scored 59 points in his last two games, but the Wildcats lost both those games by double-digits.
Take DUQ.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-06-16 |
Virginia v. Pittsburgh +1.5 |
|
64-50 |
Loss |
-106 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Panthers.
The Virginia Cavs won in impressive fashion at Louisville last week, but when you look at their overall body of work, I don't think it justifies them being favored at Pittsburgh today. The had lost four of six on the road prior to their win over the Cardinals, and their win at Wake Forest came by just one point. Pittsburgh is coming off a blowout win at home over Virginia Tech last Saturday, and the Panthers are 13-2 at home this season. They've averaged 82.5 points on 49 percent shooting at home, while Virginia has scored just 65.9 points per game on the road. The Cavs have failed to cover in five of their last six on the road, and five of their last six versus ACC teams.
Take PIT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-05-16 |
Spurs v. Mavs UNDER 197 |
|
116-90 |
Loss |
-107 |
17 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on SA@DAL to go UNDER the total. The Spurs are still the top defensive team in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just over 90 points per game. They've been involved in plenty of high scoring games lately, but I am expecting a more defensive battle in Texas tonight. These state rivals have failed to reach the total in each of the last six meetings, and the Mavs have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games.
Dallas has really struggled offensively, failing to score 100 points in four straight. Their last game was a 93-90 home loss to Miami, and they shot just 39.1 percent in that defeat. With their top two point guards battling injury, they are likely to struggle tonight against the Spurs. The under is 20-7-1 in Mavericks last 28 games playing on 1 days rest.
Dirk Nowitzki scored just four points on 2-of-10 shooting in his last game against San Antonio.
Take UNDER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-05-16 |
Grizzlies -165 v. Knicks |
|
91-85 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Knicks are coming off a loss at Detroit last night, and they really got off to a horrible start, scoring just 36 first half points. They've now lost seven of their last eight overall, and they failed to score 100 points in five of those games. They will play their second game in as many nights at home against Memphis, and the Grizzlies are coming in as winners of eight of their last nine overall.
Memphis is scoring just 97.7 points per game this season, ranking 25th in the NBA. They are ranked 6th defensively though, surrendering just 99 points per game. The Grizzlies have won four straight against the Knicks, and seven of the last eight. Five of those eight games went over the total, but the number for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous eight. The Grizzlies have covered the spread in six straight against Eastern Conference teams, and they've failed to reach the total in nine straight when coming off three or more days of rest. Take MEM.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-05-16 |
Grizzlies v. Knicks UNDER 197 |
Top |
91-85 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@NYK to go UNDER the total.
The Knicks are coming off a loss at Detroit last night, and they really got off to a horrible start, scoring just 36 first half points. They've now lost seven of their last eight overall, and they failed to score 100 points in five of those games. They will play their second game in as many nights at home against Memphis, and the Grizzlies are coming in as winners of eight of their last nine overall.
Memphis is scoring just 97.7 points per game this season, ranking 25th in the NBA. They are ranked 6th defensively though, surrendering just 99 points per game. The Grizzlies have won four straight against the Knicks, and seven of the last eight. Five of those eight games went over the total, but the number for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous eight. The Grizzlies have covered the spread in six straight against Eastern Conference teams, and they've failed to reach the total in nine straight when coming off three or more days of rest. Take UNDER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-05-16 |
76ers v. Wizards UNDER 215 |
Top |
94-106 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PHI@WAS to go UNDER the total. The Philadelphia 76ers have dropped four of their last five and the Washington Wizards have managed only one win over their last six. Odds are we'll see a low-scoring encounter when the two struggling teams match up at Verizon Center Friday night. Five of the last seven meetings in Washington have gone under the total and the 76ers were held to 87.0 points through four meetings overall last season. They've struggled on the ball all season and managed just 86 points in a home loss to the Hawks Wednesday. The Wizards are off a real high-scoring affair as they fell 134-121 to the Warriors two days ago. The under is interestingly enough 8-1-1 in their last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game though and 10-4 in their last 14 at home. John Wall scored a season-high 41 points against Golden State, but Philly managed to contain him pretty well last season holding the point guard to only 15.0 points per game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-05-16 |
Iona -175 v. Canisius |
Top |
84-66 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Iona Gaels. Iona comes into tonight's game at Canisius off a road win at St. Peters, and the Gaels have won nine of 12 in conference play. They are just one game back of the Monmouth Hawks, who sit in first place in the MAAC. Canisius is coming off a double digit loss at Rider, and it got crushed in it's last home game. The Griffins lost by 21 points at home to Sienna, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 at home. Canisius will have it's hands full trying to defend the Gaels star senior A.J. English. The senior scored 19 points at Canisius last season, but he comes into tonight's game averaging 22.3 points per game. Take IONA. GL, Jesse Schuel
|
02-04-16 |
Knicks v. Pistons UNDER 202.5 |
Top |
105-111 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYK@DET to go UNDER the total.
The Knicks head into Detroit coming off back to back losses, and they've won just one of their last seven overall. During that span they've failed to score 100 points in five of the seven games. Both these teams rank better on the defensive side of the ball than they do on offense, and I think tonight's total looks a little inflated. Four of the last five meetings between these two teams has gone over, but the total in each of those games was significantly lower than tonight's number. The total has gone under in six of New York's last eight trips to Detroit. The Knicks have failed to reach the total in each of their last four games, and they shot just 37.8 percent from the field in a 97-89 loss to Boston their last time out.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-03-16 |
Nuggets +7 v. Jazz |
|
81-85 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on the Denver #Nuggets. The Nuggets have been quite competitive recently, winning six of their last 12 overall. During that span they've only suffered one double digit loss, and they've covered the spread in five of their last six road games. They haven't had a lot of success against the Jazz in recent seasons, losing four of the last five in this series, with the total going under in four of five as well. Denver is getting a bigger cushion in tonight's game than in any of those previous five, and they could be catching Utah at a good time.
The Jazz have won three straight, and could be due for a let down after knocking off Chicago by a score of 105-96. Utah owns the league's 4th best defense, holding opponents to just 96.7 points per game. They rank among the worst in the NBA in scoring though, averaging just 97.9 points per game. Six of the last seven meetings between these two teams have failed to reach the total, and I expect a tight, low scoring affair here tonight.
Take DEN.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-03-16 |
Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 195.5 |
Top |
81-85 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DEN@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Nuggets have been quite competitive recently, winning six of their last 12 overall. During that span they've only suffered one double digit loss, and they've covered the spread in five of their last six road games. They haven't had a lot of success against the Jazz in recent seasons, losing four of the last five in this series, with the total going under in four of five as well. Denver is getting a bigger cushion in tonight's game than in any of those previous five, and they could be catching Utah at a good time.
The Jazz have won three straight, and could be due for a let down after knocking off Chicago by a score of 105-96. Utah owns the league's 4th best defense, holding opponents to just 96.7 points per game. They rank among the worst in the NBA in scoring though, averaging just 97.9 points per game. Six of the last seven meetings between these two teams have failed to reach the total, and I expect a tight, low scoring affair here tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-03-16 |
Arkansas +9 v. Florida |
Top |
83-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Arkansas Razorbacks.
The Florida Gators have won four of their last five, but I think they are asked to cover a few too many points at home to SEC rivals Arkansas tonight. The Razorbacks are coming off back to back wins over Texas Tech and Texas A&M. They did lose their last two road games, but by a combined margin of just five points at LSU and Georgia. They've covered the spread in six of their last eight overall, and three of their last four versus Florida. Arkansas scores a ton of points, averaging 81.6 per game. They are a better free throw shooting team that Florida, hitting 71.1 percent from the line. The last two meetings between these teams went right down to the wire, with Florida winning both games by a combined three points. The underdog has covered in four straight in this series, and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five.
Take ARK.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-02-16 |
Buffalo v. Northern Illinois -3 |
Top |
90-78 |
Loss |
-118 |
14 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies.
The Huskies will put their perfect home record to the test once again tonight when they host MAC rivals Buffalo. The Bulls have really struggled on the road, losing seven of 10 this season. The Huskies are one of the better three-point shooting teams in the MAC, hitting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc. They are also dominant on the boards, averaging 37.7 rebounds per game at home. The Huskies are 17-6-3 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they've covered the spread in six of their last seven versus teams with a winning record. They are 26-10-4 ATS in their last 40 versus conference rivals. They also have a dominant defense, holding opponents to just 64.3 points on 39.3 percent shooting at home. They only gave up 49 points in a 58-49 win over Toledo in their last home game.
Take NIU.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-02-16 |
Heat v. Rockets -185 |
|
102-115 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 7* play on the Houston Rockets.
The Heat have won four straight, and they've averaged over 100 points per game during that span. They will have their work cut out for them when they visit Houston tonight, facing a hungry Rockets team that has lost three straight. The Rockets score plenty of points, but they are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA, allowing opponents to score an average of 106.6 points per game. They have a history of of playing well against Miami, especially at home. Houston is 5-2 ATS in it's last seven versus the Heat, and it's covered the spread in six of it's last eight at home versus Miami. Dwight Howard won't have to contend with Hassan Whiteside, as Miami's leading rebounder is sidelined by a back injury. Miami has a losing record on the road, and is 7-17 ATS in it's last 24 road games versus a team with a winning home record.
Take HOU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-02-16 |
Heat v. Rockets OVER 204 |
Top |
102-115 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@HOU to go OVER the total.
The Heat have won four straight, and they've averaged over 100 points per game during that span. They will have their work cut out for them when they visit Houston tonight, facing a hungry Rockets team that has lost three straight. The Rockets score plenty of points, but they are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA, allowing opponents to score an average of 106.6 points per game. They have a history of of playing well against Miami, especially at home. Houston is 5-2 ATS in it's last seven versus the Heat, and it's covered the spread in six of it's last eight at home versus Miami. Dwight Howard won't have to contend with Hassan Whiteside, as Miami's leading rebounder is sidelined by a back injury. Miami has a losing record on the road, and is 7-17 ATS in it's last 24 road games versus a team with a winning home record. They've gone over the total in four of their last five visits to Houston
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-02-16 |
UNLV v. New Mexico -155 |
|
83-87 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the New Mexic #Lobos.
The Lobos come into tonight's home game against UNLV as winners of three straight, and they are asked to cover just a few points against a struggling Rebels team. The Lobos are sitting in second in the Mountain West, while the Rebels are sitting in seventh with a 4-5 record in conference play.
UNLV is just 2-5 on the road, and their last road game was a 65-63 loss at Nevada. New Mexico has been quite formidable at home, with a record of 9-2. They've scored an average of 80.7 points on 51.1 percent shooting in their 11 home games. UNLV on the other hand has scored an average of just over 65 points per game on the road.
This is a big revenge game for New Mexico, as they lost 86-74 at Las Vegas earlier this year. Elijah Brown scored 24 points on 10-of-20 shooting in that game, and he's tallied a whopping 80 points over his last three games.
The Rebels have failed to cover in four of their last five road games, while the Lobos are 6-2 ATS in their last eight overall.
Take UNM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-01-16 |
Texas v. Baylor -5 |
Top |
67-59 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 60 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears. The Texan Longhorns are coming off back to back home wins, and they've won five of their last six overall. They face a daunting task on the road tonight at Baylor though, as the Bears are 14-1 at home, and that one loss came at the hands of #1 ranked Oklahoma. Baylor scores an average of 81.7 points on 48.9 percent shooting at home, and they also average 37 rebounds per game. They should be able to dominate on the boards tonight, as Texas is averaging just 28.8 rebounds per game on the road. They are still without starting center and leading rebounder Cameron Ridley, who hasn't played since mid December. Texas lost at Baylor by 23 points last year, and it's dropped three of it's last four away from home. All four of Baylor's home wins against BIG12 teams have come by at least seven points. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-01-16 |
Bulls v. Jazz UNDER 193.5 |
Top |
96-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHI@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Jazz will host the Chicago Bulls in Salt Lake City tonight, and I expect to see another defensive battle. Each of Utah's last four games have gone under the total, and here is what I said prior to their last game against Minnesota:
"The Jazz will host the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday, coming off a dominant 102-73 win over Charlotte. They held the Hornets to 31 points in the first half, and Charlotte shot just 36.8 percent from the field. The Jazz have allowed opponent's to average just 84.6 points while winning two of their last three games. They own the league's 5th ranked defense, allowing opponents to average just 96.8 points per game for the season. They've been even better with a healthy Rudy Gobert, and the 7"1 center ranks among the league leaders averaging 2.6 blocks per game. Three of the last four meetings between these two teams have seen 190 points or less, and the one exception was a 106-14 overtime win for Minnesota. The under 5-1-1 in Jazz last seven home games, and tonight's total is higher than it was the last three times these teams met."
With Chicago playing on back to back nights, the Bulls might have a tough time solving this Jazz defense. These teams have gone under in each of the last six head to head meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-01-16 |
Grizzlies v. Pelicans -133 |
Top |
110-95 |
Loss |
-133 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Pelicans.
The Grizzlies come into New Orleans tonight as winners of seven of their last eight overall. All but one of those wins came at home, and four of those games were decided by four points or less. The Pelicans have been hot, winning five of their last six, all of those wins coming at home. Anthony Davis scored 20 points and pulled in 16 rebounds in a win over Brooklyn on Saturday, and he's likely to have a big game at home tonight. The Grizzlies have failed to cover in seven of their last eight visits to New Orleans, while the Pelicans are are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Grizzlies are 9-13 on the road for the season, while the Pelicans have won 12 of their last 18 at home. This looks like a let down spot for the visitors, while the Pelicans appear primed for another home win.
Take N.O.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-31-16 |
Hawks v. Heat -102 |
|
87-105 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on the Miami #Heat. The Heat are coming off three straight wins, and they return home Sunday to host the Atlanta Hawks. Miami is 15-9 at home, while the Hawks have a losing record on the road. The Hawks come in as losers of four of their last five, and they've failed to cover in four straight road games against teams with a winning record.
Miami's coach Erik Spoelstra has been impressed with his team's effort lately: "Probably the biggest area we've shown some improvement is (our) grit and some toughness to be able to win some tough games on the road," said Spoelstra. "It's never easy, and it's certainly not easy in the Eastern Conference. These are tough places to play ... you have to earn these games."
It's still unclear if Hassan Whiteside will return after missing the last four games with an oblique injury. Veteran Amare Stoudamire has done a decent job stepping up in his absence, pulling down 25 rebounds during the Heat's three game win streak.
The Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Take ATL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-31-16 |
Celtics v. Magic OVER 204.5 |
Top |
114-119 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BOS@ORL to go OVER the total. The Orlando Magic and the Boston Celtics will take each other on for the back end of a home-and-home series Sunday night. The surging Celtics are riding a five-game winning streak and defeated Orlando 113-94 home at Boston Friday. They've averaged 113.0 points per game in that span and reached triple digits in each of their last 11 contests. The Magic have lost eight consecutive games while surrendering an average of 112.0 points per game in their last four. The Magic are far more effective on offense home at Amway Center than on the road, averaging close to 2.5 points more per contest in front of the home town crowd than their overall season average. Orlando's Tobias Harris was held to 10 points Friday but he is averaging 19.0 points in his last five home matchups against the Celtics. The over is 4-0 in Orlando's last four overall and 4-0 in Boston's last four when visiting a team with a winning home record. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-31-16 |
Richmond v. St Bonaventure -120 |
Top |
68-84 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. The Bonnies will host A-10 rivals Richmond on Sunday, and they will be just a slight favorite. Richmond is coming off an overtime win at George Washington, but dropped back to back home games prior to that. St. Bonaventure has lost three straight, but two of those losses came at the hands of the two top teams in the conference, Dayton and VCU. They are 8-2 overall at home, covering the spread in four of their last five. They are 0-2 ATS in their last 12 vs. Atlantic 10. The Spiders can score points with the best of them, but their defense is suspect. They've allowed 82 points per game on the road this year, and I don't think that's going to cut it here in today's game. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-31-16 |
Maryland v. Ohio State +5 |
Top |
66-61 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes. Maryland has been one of the more overrated teams in the country this season, and I think they are being asked to cover a few too many points on the road at Ohio State. The Buckeyes have won back to back games, and seven straight at home. One of those wins was a 74-67 upset over the #4 ranked Kentucky Wildcats. The Terrapins have lost their last two road games at Michigan State and Michigan, and they have lost their last two trips to Columbus. The Buckeyes are cleaning up on the board, averaging 38 rebounds per game at home. They out-rebounded the Illini 51-34 in their last game, and I expect them to own the glass tonight against a Maryland team that has only averaged 32 rebounds per game on the road. Ohio State is 8-2-1 ATS in it's last 11 home games. Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-30-16 |
Spurs v. Cavs UNDER 205.5 |
Top |
103-117 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SA@CLE to go UNDER the total.
The Spurs own the NBA's best defense, allowing opponents to average just 90 points per game. They've won 14 of their last 15 overall, including a 99-95 win over the Cavs. Cleveland owns the best defense in the Eastern Conference, so it seems reasonable to expect a low scoring game here between these two powerhouse teams. The Cavs have been focused on playing a different style under new head coach Tyronn Lue, and they've played some high scoring games as a result. This will be Cleveland's second game of a back to back though, and Lue has recently acknowledged that his team is in terrible shape: "I just don't think we're in good enough shape right now to play in the style that we want to play," he said. These teams have faced each other three times over the last two seasons, and two of those games failed to reach the total. The exception was a game that the Cavs won at home in overtime. The Cavs have failed to reach the total in five of their last six when playing on no rest.
Take UNDER. GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-30-16 |
Kings v. Grizzlies -140 |
|
117-121 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on the Memphis #Grizzlies. Only three teams in the NBA have more home wins than the Grizzlies, and the Cleveland Cavaliers aren't one of them. That's right, the Grizzlies are money at home, but they still get no respect from bookmakers. Even though they have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, they are just a slight favorite at home to the Kings on Saturday. The Kings are 8-14 on the road, and they've lost nine of their last 10 against the Grizzlies. They scored an average of just 92 points per game in those losses.
They've lost four straight at Memphis, and they've failed to score more than 90 points in seven of their last 10 games against the Grizzlies. The Kings come in as losers of three straight, and another road loss looms large here in Memphis. Rudy Gay has missed the last two games with an eye injury, and he's likely to sit out again tonight. The Grizzlies have won six of their last seven overall, and five straight at home.
Take MEM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-30-16 |
Kings v. Grizzlies UNDER 203.5 |
Top |
117-121 |
Loss |
-102 |
19 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@SAC to go UNDER the total. Only three teams in the NBA have more home wins than the Grizzlies, and the Cleveland Cavaliers aren't one of them. That's right, the Grizzlies are money at home, but they still get no respect from bookmakers. Even though they have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, they are just a slight favorite at home to the Kings on Saturday. The Kings are 8-14 on the road, and they've lost nine of their last 10 against the Grizzlies, and they scored an average of just 92 points per game in those losses. Eight of those 10 games went under the total, and tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those 10 contests.
They've lost four straight at Memphis, and they've failed to score more than 90 points in seven of their last 10 games against the Grizzlies. The Kings come in as losers of three straight, and another road loss looms large here in Memphis. Rudy Gay has missed the last two games with an eye injury, and he's likely to sit out again tonight. The Grizzlies have won six of their last seven overall, and five straight at home. They've gone under in six straight against teams with a sub .500 record.
Take UNDER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-30-16 |
San Francisco +17 v. Gonzaga |
Top |
48-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Dons. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are coming off an 84-67 home win over Santa Clara, but the Broncos are one of the worst teams in the WCC. This year's Bulldogs team hasn't been nearly as dominant as it has been in previous years. They've already suffered three home losses versus Arizona, UCLA and BYU. They are asked to cover an enormous number here against a San Francisco team that is one of the highest scoring teams in the conference. The Dons played them tough in San Francisco earlier in the year, blowing a big lead late, and then losing in overtime. The Bulldogs are one of the most overrated teams in the country, and they have been terrible against the spread this season. They are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games, and 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Don's have covered the spread in seven of their last nine overall, and six of their last eight as a road underdog. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-30-16 |
Kentucky v. Kansas -4.5 |
Top |
84-90 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. Kansas will host Kentucky in the BIG12/SEC Challenge on Saturday night, and the Wildcats have really looked vulnerable on the road. The Jayhawks on the other hand are 10-0 at home, and that includes a win over #1 ranked Oklahoma. Kentucky has lost at UCLA, LSU and Ohio State. The Wildcats have failed to cover in 11 of their last 15 road games, and it doesn't get any tougher than this. Kansas has won and covered four straight non-conference games, while the Wildcats are 2-7 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. The competition in the BIG12 this year appears to be a cut above what the Wildcats have seen in the SEC. Kansas has won 34 straight at Allen Fieldhouse, and I expect that streak to continue here tonight. Take KU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-30-16 |
Pistons v. Raptors UNDER 204.5 |
Top |
107-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The Raptors will host the Pistons on Saturday, and Detroit was roughed up at home by Cleveland last night. Toronto has won a record 10 straight, and they are favored to extend that streak at home tonight. One of the reason's for the Raptors success is their defense, ranking 4th in the NBA allowing opponents to average just 96.5 points per game. They've held opponents to an average of just 89 points while going under in each of their last four games. The Pistons are also above average defensively, and we should see a gritty hard fought battle between two Eastern Conference rivals. The Pistons have lost five straight when playing on the road in the second game of a back to back, and tonight's game looks like a particularly tough spot. I expect Toronto to grind out a win in a low scoring affair.
Take UNDER .
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-30-16 |
CS Sacramento v. Eastern Washington -8.5 |
Top |
67-74 |
Loss |
-106 |
16 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. Last year's Big Sky champions have failed to impress this year, with a 10-10 overall record and just 4-4 within the conference. The Eagles have been dominant at home though, winning all seven of their games in Washington. The majority of those game were blowouts, such as Thursday's 112-83 shellacking of Portland State. Eastern Washington is averaging and incredible 92 points on 55.9 percent shooting at home. Sacramento State comes in as losers of five of it's last seven, and the Hornets are just 3-6 on the road. Starting guard Cody Demps has missed the last five games for the Hornets with a quadriceps injury, and he's questionable to play tonight. The Hornets have failed to cover in seven of their last nine versus the Big Sky. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-30-16 |
Virginia v. Louisville -5.5 |
Top |
63-47 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Louisville Cardinals. The Virginia Cavaliers have been a powerhouse in the ACC in recent years, but they've really struggled this season. They've dropped four of six on the road, and even though they managed to eke out a win at Wake Forest on Tuesday, they trailed by seven points with just 28 seconds remaining in that game. They connected with a trio of three-pointers in the final 14 seconds, including the winner at he buzzer. This should put them in a position for a big let down as they are in a much tougher spot at Louisville Saturday. The Cardinal are sitting in second in the ACC with a record of 6-1 in conference play. They are 13-0 at home, and they've covered the spread in seven of their last 10. Louisville should have an enormous advantage on the glass, coming in averaging more than 39 rebounds per game (10 more than the Cavs). They are lighting up the scoreboard at home, averaging 84.4 points on 51 percent shooting so far. The Cavs are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. Take LOU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-30-16 |
Georgia Tech v. Syracuse -5 |
Top |
57-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. Syracuse crushed Notre Dame at home on Thursday night, and I cashed in a winner in that game. Here is what I said before tip off: "The Orange have won three of four, including a pair of wins on the road, one of those a 64-62 win over Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. They allowed just 52.3 points on 34.2 percent shooting in those three wins. Michael Gbinije leads the Orange in scoring, and he's among the national leaders with 53 steals." The Orange have also been red hot from beyond the arc, shooting 40 percent from three point range over their last five games. They made 10 three-pointers in the win over the Irish. Georgia Tech is coming off a road win at North Carolina State, but had dropped three straight prior to that. After watching the Orange completely dismantle Notre Dame on Thursday, it's hard to imagine that the Yellow Jackets will have much of a chance here on Saturday. Take SYR. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-29-16 |
Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 194 |
Top |
90-103 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIN@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Jazz will host the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday, coming off a dominant 102-73 win over Charlotte. They held the Hornets to 31 points in the first half, and Charlotte shot just 36.8 percent from the field. The Jazz have allowed opponent's to average just 84.6 points while winning two of their last three games. They own the league's 5th ranked defense, allowing opponents to average just 96.8 points per game for the season. They've been even better with a healthy Rudy Gobert, and the 7"1 center ranks among the league leaders averaging 2.6 blocks per game. Three of the last four meetings between these two teams have seen 190 points or less, and the one exception was a 106-14 overtime win for Minnesota. The under 5-1-1 in Jazz last seven home games, and tonight's total is higher than it was the last three times these teams met.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-29-16 |
VCU -125 v. Davidson |
|
79-69 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the VCU #RAMS. The Victoria Commonwealth Rams are still undefeated in the Atlantic-10 Conference, and they put their 7-0 record to the test tonight on the road at Davidson. The Wildcats have failed to impress, sitting sixth in the conference with a 4-3 record. They have yet to lose at home, but not one of their 10 wins so far have come against the likes of VCU. The Rams are coming off an 84-76 win over the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. They already have a pair of road wins against top tier opponents, winning at Richmond and St. Joe's.
The Rams are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 versus A-10 teams, and they won their last game at Davidson by a whopping 20 points. The Wildcats have been underwhelming as a home favorite, failing to cover in 10 of their last 12 home games. The Rams come in averaging over 86 points on better than 50 percent shooting in their last five games, and that's not even the scary part.
Their strength is in defense, and they've allowed opponents to average 69.2 points on 43.9 percent shooting during that five game span. They've covered the spread in seven of their last nine road games, and seven of their last eight overall.
Take VCU.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-28-16 |
Bucks v. Grizzlies -5 |
|
83-103 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on the Memphis #Grizzlies. The Grizzlies will host Milwaukee on Thursday night, and the Bucks are a woeful 7-20 away from home. The Grizzlies on one of the better home records in the league, going 17-7 in Memphis. While Memphis has been involved in more than it's fair share of close games recently, the low number here in a home game against an inferior foe is too temping to pass up. Five of the Bucks last six away from home have failed to go over the total and they're averaging two points fewer per game on the road than home in Milwaukee. They'll be put to the test here by a Grizzlies side that has been very efficient on defense in recent games. The Grizzlies are one of just six teams that allow opponents to average fewer than 100 points per game. Memphis has won eight of the last nine in this series, and it has covered the spread in nine of it's last 11 home games. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five versus the Eastern Conference, while the Bucks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Southwest. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-28-16 |
Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 196 |
Top |
83-103 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIL@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Milwaukee Bucks ended a two-game skid with a 107-100 win against the Magic two days ago. They'll visit the Memphis Grizzlies Thursday night in what should shape up to be a low-scoring contest. Five of the Bucks last six away from home have failed to go over the total and they're averaging two points fewer per game on the road than home in Milwaukee. They'll be put to the test here by a Grizzlies side that has been very efficient on defense in recent games. Good news for the Bucks is that Jason Kidd is back on the bench again as he's now recovered since undergoing hip surgery. He led the team for the first time in 17 games Tuesday when the Bucks held Orlando to 41.3% shooting from the field in a 107-100 win. Eight of the last nine meetings in the series have gone under the total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-28-16 |
Notre Dame v. Syracuse -3.5 |
Top |
66-81 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange.
The Notre Dame Irish are coming into Syracuse as winners of four straight, and that includes a 95-91 upset win at Duke. They haven't had much success in previous meetings with Syracuse, losing six of the last seven meetings and four straight at the Carrier Dome. It's not going to be easy to avoid another loss tonight, with leading scorer Demetrius Jackson sidelined with a hamstring injury. The Orange have won three of four, including a pair of wins on the road, one of those a 64-62 win over Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. They allowed just 52.3 points on 34.2 percent shooting in those three wins. Michael Gbinije leads the Orange in scoring, and he's among the national leaders with 53 steals. That's of particular concern for the Irish, who will rely on junior guard Steve Vasturia to take over ball handling duties with Jackson injured. Notre Dame is 1-4-1 ATS in it's last six games versus teams with a winning record.
Take SYR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-27-16 |
Purdue v. Minnesota +14 |
|
68-64 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Golden Gophers.
The Golden Gophers have lost nine straight, and a 10th consecutive loss seems probable tonight. They host #21 ranked Purdue, and they will be a double digit home dog. While the losses have piled up, it's not as if Minnesota hasn't been competitive. The Gopher's last three losses have all come in close games, losing by five points to Illinois and Michigan, and by just seven points at home to Indiana. "It's tough," said coach Richard Pitino. "You're working hard. You're playing hard. You want to win. And you're just not finding a way to do it." These teams have a history of playing close games, with each of the last four meetings decided by four points or less. The Boiler Makers will be short-handed, with forward Caleb Swanigan nursing a sprained ankle, and Vince Edwards trying to shake off a head injury. Both players may still see action, but guard Kendall Stephens will sit out a second straight game due to personal reasons. I think the Boilers Makers are being asked to cover a few too many points against a BIG10 rival on the road.
Take MINN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-27-16 |
Clippers v. Hawks -160 |
|
85-83 |
Loss |
-160 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks.
The Clippers are coming off a 91-89 win at Indiana, but they play their second game of a back to back on the road in Atlanta tonight. The Hawks have won six of their last seven home games, and they are 15-7 overall in Atlanta. The Clippers have not had much success in this series, losing seven of the last 10 and five straight at Atlanta. They were expecting to have Blake Griffin back from a quadriceps injury, but he's now going to be out for at least another six weeks after breaking his hand in a fight with the equipment manager. Paul Millsap didn't play in a 98-95 loss at Phoenix, but the veteran returned and scored 22 points on 8-of-15 shooting in a 119-105 win at Denver on Monday. He averaged 20 points in a couple of wins against the Clippers last season.
Take ATL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-27-16 |
Louisville v. Virginia Tech +8 |
Top |
91-83 |
Push |
0 |
15 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Virginia Tech Hokies.
Virginia Tech has lost back to back games, but both of those were close. Their last game was a 75-70 loss to North Carolina at home, and before that they lost at Notre Dame by a score of 83-81. They are getting a bunch of points at home tonight versus Louisville, and the Cardinals haven't been all that formidable on the road. They lost at Clemson, and wins at Georgia Tech and N.C. State came by a combined nine points. Louisville has struggled to score points on the road, averaging just 70.8 points on 43 percent shooting. The Hokies are averaging over 78 points per game at home, and they've allowed the opposition to average just 67.7. The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games, and they've failed to cover in six of their last eight overall. The Hokies have covered the spread in four straight at home, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Take VT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-26-16 |
Wizards +8 v. Raptors |
|
89-106 |
Loss |
-102 |
11 h 43 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on the Washington #Wizards. The Toronto Raptors are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, coming off eight straight wins. They host a Washington team tonight that has lost three of four at home. So should we chalk up an easy win for the Dinosaurs? I wouldn't be so quick to lay a bunch of points with a complacent home favorite facing a division rival. There's been plenty of bad blood between these two teams in recent years, and while Toronto has won all three meetings this season, the Wizards are 7-1 ATS in the last eight, and they've covered the spread in four straight at Toronto.
Neither team has managed to score 100 points in any of the previous three games this season, and eight of the last 10 meetings north of the border have come short of the total. The Raptors won their last home game against Washington by a score of 94-91, and Bradley Beal sat out that game with an injury. Beal is questionable to play tonight, after leaving last night's game due to suffering a blow to the head. He just returned after being sidelined for 16 games. The Wizards were 8-8 during that 16 game span.
Take WASH.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-26-16 |
Wizards v. Raptors UNDER 205 |
Top |
89-106 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WAS@TOR to go UNDER. The Toronto Raptors are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, coming off eight straight wins. They host a Washington team tonight that has lost three of four at home. So should we chalk up an easy win for the Dinosaurs? I wouldn't be so quick to lay a bunch of points with a complacent home favorite facing a division rival. There's been plenty of bad blood between these two teams in recent years, and while Toronto has won all three meetings this season, the Wizards are 7-1 ATS in the last eight, and they've covered the spread in four straight at Toronto.
Neither team has managed to score 100 points in any of the previous three games this season, and eight of the last 10 meetings north of the border have come short of the total. The Raptors won their last home game against Washington by a score of 94-91, and Bradley Beal sat out that game with an injury. Beal is questionable to play tonight, after leaving last night's game due to suffering a blow to the head. He just returned after being sidelined for 16 games. The Wizards were 8-8 during that 16 game span.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-26-16 |
Indiana v. Wisconsin +2 |
Top |
79-82 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. The Indiana Hoosiers are 7-0 in conference play, and their stock is on the rise. I think the #19 ranked Hoosiers are a little overrated coming into Wisconsin as a favorite. They just barely escaped with a 59-58 win at home when the two teams played earlier this season. Wisconsin has suffered a few losses at home, but they looked pretty tough in a 63-60 loss to Maryland. Melo Trimble hit a buzzer beater to break the Badgers hearts in that game. The Badgers most recent home game was an upset win over Michigan State, led by Bronson Koenig's 27 point performance. The Hoosiers have really struggled against Wisconsin, going 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings, and losing five straight in Madison. Take WISC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-26-16 |
Virginia v. Wake Forest +7 |
Top |
72-71 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. The Virginia Cavaliers have failed to impress so far, with a 4-3 record in conference play. They've lost three of their last six overall, and all three wins during that span were in games decided by single digits. They snuck by Syracuse at home on the weekend, and now they are asked to cover a big number on the road at Wake Forest. The Cavs only have one win in five games on the road this season, and that was at Ohio State in December. They won that game 64-58, less than the margin they are asked to cover tonight. Virginia has since lost at Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech and Florida State. Not exacty powerhouse teams. Four of the last six meetings between these two teams have been decided by five points or less, and Virginia is 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Take WAKE. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-25-16 |
Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 210 |
Top |
90-120 |
Push |
0 |
14 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SA@GA to go UNDER the total.
The Golden State Warriors get all the headlines, but the Spurs aren't far behind. The Spurs are just two games back in the standings heading into tonight's showdown in Oakland. We'll see if the league's highest scoring team can light up the scoreboard against the NBA's best defense.
The Spurs took two of three meetings last year, and one of those wins came at Oracle Arena. Four of the last five meetings between these two teams have fallen short of the total, and the Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Golden State.
San Antonio comes in as winners of 13 straight, and they've held opponents under 100 points in nine straight. The Spurs are allowing an NBA low 89.8 points per game. The last time these two teams met, the Warriors were held to just 92 points on 42.9 percent shooting in a 107-92 loss.
The Spurs have really locked it down when facing top tier opposition, as evidenced by their 99-85 win over the Cavs. The Warriors also played a tight game against the Cavs at home on Christmas Day, winning 89-83. Chances are, this will be yet another tight, low scoring affair. Take UNDER
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-25-16 |
Spurs +5 v. Warriors |
Top |
90-120 |
Loss |
-104 |
11 h 27 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs.
The Golden State Warriors get all the headlines, but the Spurs aren't far behind. The Spurs are just two games back in the standings heading into tonight's showdown in Oakland. We'll see if the league's highest scoring team can light up the scoreboard against the NBA's best defense.
The Spurs took two of three meetings last year, and one of those wins came at Oracle Arena. Four of the last five meetings between these two teams have fallen short of the total, and the Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Golden State.
San Antonio comes in as winners of 13 straight, and they've held opponents under 100 points in nine straight. The Spurs are allowing an NBA low 89.8 points per game. The last time these two teams met, the Warriors were held to just 92 points on 42.9 percent shooting in a 107-92 loss.
The Spurs have really locked it down when facing top tier opposition, as evidenced by their 99-85 win over the Cavs. The Warriors also played a tight game against the Cavs at home on Christmas Day, winning 89-83. Chances are, this will be yet another tight, low scoring affair. I'll take the points.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-25-16 |
Pistons v. Jazz -121 |
Top |
95-92 |
Loss |
-121 |
19 h 7 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Utah Jazz. The Pistons have struggled on the road all year (9-14), and they coming off consecutive losses at Denver and New Orleans. It won't get any easier tonight in Utah, as the Pistons have been great at home. Even better with Rudy Gobert in the lineup, the 23 year old center had 18 points and 18 rebounds in his last home game, a 109-82 win over the Lakers. The Jazz have won four of their last five home meetings versus Detroit. The Pistons are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, while the Jazz have covered the spread in five of their last six at home. The Jazz are one of the top defensive teams in the league, holding opponents to just 97.4 points per game. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-25-16 |
Wolves v. Cavs OVER 203 |
|
107-114 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on MIN@CLE to go OVER the total. The Cavs are the top team in the Eastern Conference, and under David Blatt they had one of the NBA’s best defenses. Blatt was 83-40 overall during his tenure in Cleveland, and still he was given his marching orders. LeBron denies having anything to do with the decision, but a source close to Cavs has said: “Ty wanted the job from the beginning, and LeBron wanted him to have it,’’ “There was a division within the players, but J.R. [Smith], [Iman] Shumpert, even [Kevin] Love sided with LeBron. Kyrie [Irving] was supportive of Dave, but there were a group the last two weeks trying to get him fired.’’ Cleveland’s first game in the Tyronn Lue era was nothing short of a disaster, losing by double digits at home to the Bulls. After the game Lue questioned his team’s conditioning: “I think we have to play faster,” Lue told the team’s official website. “I think we have to utilize Kyrie and LeBron’s one-on-one ability in transition to open the floor more and run in more drags. We just haven’t been accustomed to playing that way …” They shouldn’t have any trouble picking up the pace against Minnesota, a team that is among the league’s worst defensively. The Wolves have allowed over 100 points in six of their last seven overall. These teams have scored plenty of points in recent meetings, with three of the last four going over the total. Only one of those games was played in Cleveland, and the Cavs that contest by a score of 125-104. They scored an average of 113 points in those games. The over is 6-1-1 in Timberwolves last 8 road games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-25-16 |
Celtics v. Wizards -135 |
Top |
116-91 |
Loss |
-135 |
15 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Washington Wizards. The Wizards have won five of their last seven, but they did lose at home to Boston just last weekend. That game went right down to the wire, with Boston winning 119-117. I like the Wizards at home in the rematch tonight. Bradley Beal didn't play in the last game, but he's played the last two games, scoring 34 points on 11-of-21 shooting. The Wizards could benefit from a four day layoff, as they could get back Otto Porter and Drew Gooden. Washington has been plagued by injuries all year long, and I think this team could go on a run now that it's getting healthy again. We see a short line for the home team in tonight's game, and I think the Wizards should be a bigger favorite. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-25-16 |
Duke +3.5 v. Miami (Fla) |
Top |
69-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. We don't often see Duke as an underdog, but after sufferring three straight losses in conference play, the Blue Devils stock is low. All three of those losses came in close games against hot teams, and they turned things around with a double digit win on the road at N.C. State in their last game. Miami has an impressive record, but there's no denying that the Hurricanes have had a much softer schedule. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in recent meetings between these two schools, as the home team is 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10. The Canes upset Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium last season, which sets up a nice revenge play here in Miami. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-24-16 |
Utah v. Washington +3 |
|
80-75 |
Loss |
-106 |
12 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Washington #Huskies.
The Huskies have been one of the biggest surprises in college basketball this season, sitting at the top of the PAC12 with a 5-1 conference record. They haven't exactly had a soft schedule either, knocking off the likes of Colorado, USC and UCLA. They host Utah tonight, and the Utes have a history of struggling on the road. They've suffered losses at Stanford and California already this season.
Washington has won four of it's last five home meetings with Utah, and the Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight versus the PAC12. Rebounding isn't a strong point for Utah, and the Utes only managed 23 rebounds in a 77-68 loss at Washington in the last meeting. The Huskies have been dominating on the boards, averaging over 40 rebounds per game at home. The Utes have become a little overrated and they've failed to cover in eight of their last 11 games against conference rivals.
Take WASH.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-24-16 |
Syracuse +9.5 v. Virginia |
Top |
65-73 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. The Virginia Cavaliers have failed to impress so far, with a 3-3 record in conference play. They've lost three of their last five overall, and both wins during that span were in games decided by single digits. Still they are asked to win by double digits at home to Syracuse, a team that's coming off big road wins over Wake Forest and Duke. The Orange got off to a slow start, but that's understandable as they were missing head coach Jim Boeheim. Since his return they have turned things around winning three of four, but they can't afford to too many more losses if they want to keep post-season aspirations alive. The Orange have really turned up the heat on defense, allowing just 63 points per game over their last five. That's slightly less than Virginia has surrendered during the same span. "Our rebounding has been better and our defense has been better and those are two things you have to do, especially defense," said Boeheim. Take SYR. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-24-16 |
Providence +13 v. Villanova |
Top |
82-76 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Providence Friars.
The #16 ranked Providence Friars will be a big underdog at Villanova on Sunday, getting a double digit cushion. Providence hasn't had any trouble winning on the road, with a 4-0 record this year. Dating back to last season, they've covered the spread in eight straight on the road. They also have a history of playing close games against division rivals Villanova, as three of their last four versus the Wildcats have been decided by six points or less. The last meeting was a 63-61 home win for the Wildcats, who failed to cover as an 8.5 point favorite. Villanova is 7-0 in the Big East, and 10-0 at home. The Wildcats have been tested though, wins over Georgetown, Butler and Seton Hall all coming by a single digit margin. Providence has covered the spread in seven of the last 10 in this series, and the road team is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings.
Take PROV.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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01-24-16 |
SMU v. Temple +7 |
Top |
80-89 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Temple Owls.
Temple has won six of it's last eight overall, and during that span the Owls upset Cincinnati twice (once on the road). They host the SMU Mustangs in an early game Sunday, and SMU is asked to cover a bunch of points on the road. While Larry Brown's team is still undefeated, they may be vulnerable to an upset here. They did win at Temple last January, but only by five points (60-55). The Owls won 71-64 at home in 2014, and they were an eight point underdog in that game. Temple doesn't have the offensive firepower to match the Mustangs, but the Owls can play defense. In fact they've held the opposition to just 58.8 points on 36.7 percent shooting over their last five games. One of those was an impressive 55-53 win at Connecticut. The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five in this series, and that trend should continue on Sunday.
Take TEM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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01-23-16 |
Bulls +11 v. Cavs |
|
96-83 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on the Chicago #Bulls. The Cavs are sitting in first place in the Eastern Conference, but that hasn't stopped them from firing head coach David Blatt. They have named Tyronn Lue as the interim coach, and he'll take over when the Cavs host Chicago as a double digit favorite on Saturday.
The news has sent shockwaves throughout the league, and not everyone is happy to hear it: "I'm embarrassed for our league that something like this can happen like this," Rick Carlisle said. "It's just bizarre. ... It just leaves you with a bit of an empty feeling, because Blatt's a great guy, and he did a great job there."
Ironically, the writing was on the wall since last year's playoffs, and perhaps Blatt's lowest point came in a win in Game 4 of the East Semifinals versus the Bulls. LeBron hit the game winner at the buzzer, and then later told the media that he completely ignored Blatt's designed play for the final possession: "I was supposed to take the ball out," James said. "I told Coach there was no way I'm taking the ball out unless I could shoot it over the backboard and go in. So I told him, 'Have somebody else take the ball out.' The play that was drawn up, I scratched it. I just told Coach, 'Just give me the ball. We're either going to go into overtime or I'm going to win it for us.'"
There's no doubt who calls the shots in Cleveland, and it isn't Tyronn Lue. Under David Blatt the Cavs showed plenty of discipline, with the best scoring defense in the Eastern Conference. We could see a change of philosophy under Lue, with more emphasis on the offense.
The Cavs offense was well below average in 2015, but they've been one of the league's highest scoring teams since January 1st. It's no coincidence that Kyrie Irving returned on January 2nd.
The Bulls have covered the spread in nine of their last 12 visits to Cleveland, and not one of those games saw a line as big as we see tonight.
Take CHI.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-23-16 |
Bulls v. Cavs OVER 201.5 |
Top |
96-83 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHI@CLE to go OVER the total. The Cavs are sitting in first place in the Eastern Conference, but seemingly out of nowhere they've fired head coach David Blatt. They have named Tyronn Lue as the interim coach, and he'll take over when the Cavs host Chicago as a double digit favorite on Saturday.
The news has sent shockwaves throughout the league, and not everyone is happy to hear it: "I'm embarrassed for our league that something like this can happen like this," Rick Carlisle said. "It's just bizarre. ... It just leaves you with a bit of an empty feeling, because Blatt's a great guy, and he did a great job there."
Ironically, the writing was on the wall since last year's playoffs, and perhaps Blatt's lowest point came in a win over the Bulls in Game 4 of the East Semifinals versus the Bulls. LeBron hit the game winner at the buzzer, and then later told the media that he completely ignored Blatt's designed play for the final possession: "I was supposed to take the ball out," James said. "I told Coach there was no way I'm taking the ball out unless I could shoot it over the backboard and go in. So I told him, 'Have somebody else take the ball out.' The play that was drawn up, I scratched it. I just told Coach, 'Just give me the ball. We're either going to go into overtime or I'm going to win it for us.'"
There's no doubt who calls the shots in Cleveland, and it isn't Tyronn Lue. Under David Blatt the Cavs showed plenty of discipline, with the best scoring defense in the Eastern Conference. We could see a change of philosophy under Lue, with more emphasis on the offense.
The Cavs offense was well below average in 2015, but they've been one of the league's highest scoring teams since January 1st. It's no coincidence that Kyrie Irving returned on January 2nd.
The Bulls have gone over in each of their last six road games, and I expect to see plenty of scoring in Cleveland tonight.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-23-16 |
Arizona -140 v. California |
Top |
73-74 |
Loss |
-140 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Wildcats.
The Golden Bears are struggling, coming into tonight's home game versus Arizona as losers of three of their last four. They are coming off a rather uninspiring 75-70 home win over the Sun Devils, who are sitting in the cellar in the PAC12. They haven't had much success against Arizona in recent seasons, losing four straight and failing to cover in all four of those losses. It won't be easy tonight, as they are missing senior guard Tyrone Wallace, who will miss the next six weeks with a broken hand. Wallace leads the team in scoring with 15.4 points per game, and assists (4.6). Arizona has won three straight, but they absolutely demolished Washington and Washington State at home, and then won by double digits at Stanford in their last game. The Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 versus PAC12 teams. It looks like the Wildcats are catching Cal in a tough spot without it's best player.
Take ARZ.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-23-16 |
Vanderbilt +6 v. Kentucky |
Top |
57-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. Kentucky has looked vulnerable lately, losing on the road at Auburn and LSU, and barely beating Mississippi State at home. The Wildcats may have their hands full at home this Saturday, hosting a Vanderbilt team that has won three straight. The Commodores crushed the Vols in Tennessee on Thursday by a score of 88-74. They hit 13 three-pointers, and out-rebounded Tennessee 50-43. The Vols have lost four of five overall on the road, but they've played some close games. They've actually covered the spread in nine of their last 13 road games. They've also been a great bet against Kentucky, as the Wildcats have failed to cover in seven straight against Vanderbilt. The Commodores will have a huge size advantage with a pair of seven footers, and junior forward Luke Kornet who has been a force during this three game winning streak. Kornet has scored 29 points, 31 rebounds with a whopping 16 blocks over the last three games. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-22-16 |
Toledo v. Northern Illinois -105 |
Top |
49-58 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies.
The Huskies won at Toledo by a score of 71-66 just over a week ago, and tonight they host the same Rocket team. Northern Illinois is still undefeated at home, with a 12-0 record. For some reason the bookmakers aren't impressed by that, as the home team isn't even the favorite tonight. The Huskies have the better record within the conference, as well as the better overall record. They enjoy a size advantage, and should have little trouble out-rebounding Toledo. The Huskies have won three of their last four versus Toledo, and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games. The Rockets scored just 66 points on 40.8 percent shooting, and were 5-of-18 from beyond the arc at home versus NIU, and they might be hard pressed to improve on those numbers here on the road.
Take NIU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-21-16 |
Gonzaga v. St. Mary's -165 |
|
67-70 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is a 7* play on the St. Mary's Gaels.
The Gaels are tied at the top of the WCC with Gonzaga, as each team has a 6-1 record. The Gaels though have the better overall record, and have looked far more impressive than the Bulldogs. St. Mary's leads the nation in field goal percentage (.534), and it's tied for second nationally hitting 44.7 percent from beyond the arc. Their 13-0 home record is even more impressive when you consider that all of those wins came by a double-digit margin. Gonzaga has dominated the WCC over the years, and with a 14-4 record you might think not much has changed. The reality is that this Bulldogs team is a complete mess, nowhere near as good as it was in recent seasons. Their backcourt has really been in disarray after losing Kevin Pangos and Gary Bell Jr, and they've been quite fortunate to avoid losing more games. They needed to mount a furious second half comeback to force overtime in their win at San Francisco, and they beat cellar dwellars Santa Clara by just two points. The Bulldogs are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
Take SMC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-21-16 |
Pistons v. Pelicans -117 |
|
99-115 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on the New Orleans #Pelicans. The Pelicans have won three of their last four overall, and two of those three victories came at home. They host the Detroit Pistons tonight, and the Pistons are coming off a 123-114 win over the Rockets in Houston last night. Detroit isn't a great road team (9-12), and this game on back to back nights could be a bit of a let down spot. The Pelicans are hot, shooting 43.1 percent over their last four games, and they hit 10-of-23 three point attempts in a win over Minnesota on Tuesday. Anthony Davis scored 35 points in that game, and it's no coincidence that the Pelicans have been winning since his return from injury.
New Orleans has dominated this series in recent seasons, winning six straight meetings, three of those at home. While the Pistons came away with a win in last night's game in Houston, the Rockets did expose a major weakness. Andre Drummond broke an NBA record, with 23 misses from the free throw line. Detroit has failed to cover in five of it's last seven when playing on back to back nights, and are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games at New Orleans.
Take N.O.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-21-16 |
College of Charleston v. Towson -185 |
|
40-37 |
Loss |
-185 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 7* play on the Towson Tigers.
The College of Charleston is in rough shape since losing it's leading scorer. They've lost four of their last five, and that's not entirely surprising when you consider that Canyon Barry was averaging almost 20 points per game. Barry will miss the rest of the season as he recovers from shoulder surgery. The Cougars have lost four straight to Towson, and the Tigers are 8-1 at home so far. The Cougars are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games, while the Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last four versus Charleston. Towson has owned the boards at home, with over 39 rebounds per game. They should clean up on the glass tonight, as Charleston has averaged just 30 rebounds per game on the road. The Cougars numbers are way down since the injury to Barry, and I don't think they'll be able to overcome his absence here on the road tonight.
Take Towson.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-20-16 |
Hawks v. Blazers +2 |
|
104-98 |
Loss |
-100 |
15 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on the Portland #Trailblazers. The Blazers are back home after winning two of three on the road, and they will be an underdog to the visiting Hawks. Atlanta is coming off consecutive home wins, but it's lost it's last two road games at Milwaukee and Charlotte. The Hawks have a .500 record on the road, and they've lost four of their last away from Atlanta. They've failed to cover in seven of their last eight versus Northwest Division opponents.
Portland shot a season high 54.8 percent from beyond the arc in a 108-98 win at Washington on Monday, and C.J. McCollum was 6-of-10 with three pointers in the victory. Only the Golden State Warriors are averaging more made three-pointers per game (11.7) than the Blazers (11.1). I don't like Atlanta's chances playing on the road out West against a hot Portland team.
Take POR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-20-16 |
Pistons v. Rockets -147 |
|
123-114 |
Loss |
-147 |
20 h 31 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets are coming off an overtime loss to the Clippers at the Staples Center on Monday, but they won six of seven prior to that. They host the Pistons tonight, and Detroit has lost three of it's last four. The Pistons haven't had a lot of success in previous trips to Houston, losing five straight and failing to cover in five of their last six. They've also struggled on the road, failing to cover in four of their last five, and they are just 8-12 overall on the road. This is also a revenge spot for the Rockets, who lost 116-105 at Detroit earlier in the season. Dwight Howard was manhandled by Andre Dummond in that game, but Howard is now on top form, coming into tonight's game looking for an 11th straight double-double. He's averaging over 20 points and almost 15 rebounds over his last 10 games. The Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games versus a team with a losing road record.
Take HOU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-20-16 |
Celtics v. Raptors -154 |
|
109-115 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 7* play on the Toronto Raptors.
The Raptors have won five straight heading into tonight's home game against the Celtics. Boston has struggled, losing four of it's last five on the road. They've also lost five of their last seven against Toronto. The Celtics are catching Toronto at a bad time, with stars DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry both on a roll. The dynamic duo each scored 30+ points in the win over Brooklyn on Monday. DeRozan totaled 30 on 12-of-25 shooting, while Lowry scored 31, hitting 7-of-9 from beyond the arc. They should get their fair share of points tonight, as Boston has surrendered over 100 points in six of it's last seven overall. The Raptors boast a top 5 defense, holding opponents to just 96.9 points per game, and they are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
Take TOR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-20-16 |
Heat v. Wizards -170 |
Top |
87-106 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards are coming off a couple of tough losses to Boston and Portland, but they might be catching a break tonight hosting a banged up Miami team. The Heat have lost five of their last six, and they have several starters battling injury. Goran Dragic has missed the last four games with a calf injury, and he's not expected back any time soon. Birdman Anderson, Josh McRoberts and Beno Udrih are also expected to be unavailable for tonight's game. The Wizards have battled injury all year long, but have turned things around lately. Bradley Beal has played in three of Washington's last four games, and two of those were wins. The Heat have only managed to score an average of 87.8 points per game over their last six, and this looks like a tough spot to break out of a slump.
Take WAS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-19-16 |
Georgetown v. Xavier -9.5 |
Top |
81-72 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is an 10* play on the Xavier Musketeers.
The Georgetown Hoyas are coming off a home loss to Villanova, and they'll have their work cut out for them on the road at Xavier tonight. The Musketeers are 16-1 overall, and 9-0 at home. They've won their last four games by an average margin of 16 points, and two of those wins came on the road. They've covered the spread in 11 of their last 13 overall, and four of their last five versus the Hoyas. They've been historically great at home, going 41-18 ATS in their last 59 home games. The Musketeers scored 36 points on 12 made three pointers in their last home game, and also shot 80 percent from the free throw line in an 84-64 win over DePaul. The Hoyas will be at a severe disadvantage when it comes to rebounding and perimeter shooting, and I think it's going to be tough to overcome for the visitors.
Take Xavier.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-19-16 |
NC State v. Pittsburgh -8 |
|
78-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Panthers.
Pittsburgh bounced back from a tough loss at Louisville by crushing Boston College 84-61 on Saturday, and they are just a single digit favorite at home to N.C. State tonight. The Wolfpack have lost five straight, and they haven't showed me anything that suggests that they can be competitive on the road against a team like Pitt. N.C. State has lost three straight on the road, while Pittsburgh is 12-1 at home. The Panthers have scored plenty of points at home, averaging 83.7 points on 49.7 percent shooting. They are one of the best free throw shooting teams in the country, hitting just under 80 percent from the charity stripe. They've 10 straight at home, and eight of those wins came by a double digit margin.
Take PITT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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