Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-14-21 | Yankees -180 v. Orioles | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 9* on YANKEES The Yankees saw their four-game win streak come to an end yesterday. They lost in resounding fashion to the Rays, 9-1. Offense continues to be a bit of a problem for NY as they are averaging less than three runs over the last seven games with a .194 team batting average to boot. But this weekend series in Baltimore seems like a prime opportunity for the Yankees offense to turn it around. In their prior visit to Camden Yards, they could only manage a split of four games. But the Orioles are just 3-11 in home games outside that series. The Yankees are 28-8 their last 36 games vs. the Orioles. Facing Dean Kremer looks to be the key for the visitors tonight. Kremer has a 9.49 ERA and 1.70 WHIP when starting at home this year. That’s why we think the Yankees offense turns it around here. Corey Kluber should be able to handle the rest as he has a 1.33 ERA and 0.98 WHIP his last three starts, all of which have resulted in Yankees victories. The Orioles have scored four runs or less in six of their last eight contests. You’ve got two struggling lineups, but one (New York) has far more talent and is going up against the inferior starting pitcher. It’s really that simple. Plus, the Yankees are 26-12 L38 as a road favorite of -175 or more. Play on NY YANKEES AAA |
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05-13-21 | Canucks v. Flames -149 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 7* on CALGARY Though neither team is going to playoffs, Vancouver and Calgary still have four games against one another. The reason for all the remaining games is the Canucks’ COVID-19 outbreak back in March. Vancouver looked lifeless in a 5-0 loss at Winnipeg Tuesday and we see no reason why they’ll look any better here. Flames coach Darryl Sutter is saying all the right things, talking about “player evaluation” these final four games. Calgary is off a 6-1 win over Ottawa and has had three days off to prepare for tonight’s game. Vancouver has just two wins in its last 10 games and is 1-10 SU this season when coming off three or more straight games on the road. This is a team with only nine road wins, which is tied for second fewest in the league. Play on CALGARY AAA |
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05-13-21 | Clippers v. Hornets +9 | Top | 113-90 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CHARLOTTE The Clippers, who have gone Under the total in nine consecutive games, are just 5-4 straight up during the same stretch. They did defeat undermanned Toronto 115-96 on Tuesday, but look for the Hornets to be a taller order on Thursday. Playing at home, Charlotte will be looking to cement its status as a top eight team in the Eastern Conference. Finishing in the top eight should be the Hornets goal at this point as they’d only have to win once to escape the play-in round and would also get a mea culpa (second game) if they were to lose their first play-in game. The Clippers are pretty much locked into a top four seed out West and don’t have a ton to play for in the next three games, all of which will be on the road. This is the Hornets’ last regular season home game, so expect there to be some level of motivation, or at least more motivation than the Clippers will have. Charlotte has lost two in a row and three of four - all those games coming at home. Not saying they’re going to win tonight, but taking the points is the correct call. Play on CHARLOTTE AAA |
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05-13-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER We’ve got an outstanding pitchers duel on tap for the Cardinals-Brewers finale Thursday afternoon. The undefeated Jack Flaherty (6-0, 7-0 TSR) will be opposed by Corbin Burnes, who has a 1.53 ERA and 0.546 WHIP in five starts. So runs should be at a premium in this one. Under certainly seems like the way to go as Flaherty has allowed one or zero runs in four of his previous six starts. Burnes, despite a 2-3 team start record, has been even better than Flaherty this season. Prior to his last start, which was on 4/28, he had given up only one run on eight hits. He’s been out for two weeks due to COVID-19 and perhaps that’s why he struggled against Miami his last time starting. Burnes has a 49-0 strikeout to walk ratio, which is just incredible and should get back to his dominant ways today. When he pitched against St. Louis earlier in the year, he allowed just one hit. In four of Burnes’ five starts, the losing team has been shutout. Flaherty threw seven shutout innings in his last start, giving up three hits. Runs should be very scarce in this one as they’ve been throughout the series. Milwaukee won 4-1 yesterday after losing the opener 6-1. That opener saw St. Louis score five of its six runs in the 11th. They have only nine hits in the series. Play on UNDER AAA |
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05-12-21 | Wild -114 v. Blues | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA In the final days of the NHL regular season, all the drama seems to rest with who is going to win the West Division (and the President’s Trophy). That race is a two-team one, between Vegas and Colorado. But Minnesota still lurks in the shadows and can steal home ice advantage away from the Avs for the first round of the playoffs. That’s if the Wild can win the final two games and the Avs fail to pick up a point from their final two. An unlikely scenario, but expect Minnesota to play well tonight when their hopes for home ice advantage are still alive. St. Louis, on the other hand, has nothing to play for in these last two regular season games. They are locked into fourth place in the West and will face whoever wins the division - Vegas or Colorado. The Wild’s last seven games have all been decided by one goal, with four going to overtime, but they are 4-0-1 the last five. St. Louis has dropped three of four, it's only win coming Monday in OT against the non-contending Kings. Minnesota is 4-0 its last four times as a road favorite. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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05-12-21 | Wizards v. Hawks -5.5 | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ATLANTA The Hawks beat the Wizards Monday, 125-124, but did not cover the number (-8). It was an interesting game in that the Wizards led 62-61 at halftime, but then Atlanta came storming out of the break to take a 17 point lead after three quarters. But the fourth belonged to Washington as they outscored the Hawks 45-29. Still, Atlanta won despite shooting only 33.3 percent from three (compared to 50% for Washington). The number is a little bit shorter for tonight’s rematch and we will lay the points in this one as Washington isn’t liable to shoot the ball as well as they did Monday. Bradley Beal, who is the NBA’s second leading scorer, has again been ruled out. That the Wizards scored 124 without him on Monday was a surprise. Atlanta has won four of five and is trying to lock down home court advantage for the first round of the playoffs. They are 22-11 SU at home this season, so home court advantage is important to them. Monday was their eighth straight win here. They are 14-2 ATS L16 as a home favorite. Play on ATLANTA AAA |
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05-12-21 | Phillies v. Nationals OVER 8 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -118 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Phillies routed the Nationals last night, 6-2, to stay within a game of first place in the NL East. Washington is last in the division with a 13-18 record. The Nats have played fewer games than everyone besides the Mets but a key issue for them has been scoring runs. They are 27th in MLB at 3.6 runs/game and that was actually going into yesterday, so the number is even smaller now. But even though seven of the last eight games have seen them held to three runs or less, the Nats may surprise at the plate tonight as they are set to face Zack Wheeler, whom they’ve had success against in the past. Wheeler is 6-11 all-time vs. Washington with a 4.64 ERA in 20 starts. Wheeler did throw a complete game shutout his last start, but has struggled to find consistency in 2021 as he’s yet to have consecutive quality starts. The Phillies have scored six runs or more in three of the past four games, so we think they can be counted on to score even though they’ve struggled some in the past against Jon Lester. This isn’t the “same old Lester,” however. This will be just his third start of the year after dealing with COVID-19. He’s yet to make it past the fifth. The Over is 4-0 in the Phillies last four games vs. a LH starter and 6-1 the last seven times they’ve been off a win. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-12-21 | Orioles v. Mets -172 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 7* on NY METS The Mets drew first blood with the Orioles, winning the series opener 3-2 on Tuesday. While it’s true the Mets had a slight advantage as Monday was an off-day for them (while Baltimore was hosting Boston), let’s be honest here: the Mets are just plain better. Now 17-13 overall and 10-4 at home, they lead the NL East. Baltimore is 16-20 overall and last in the AL East, which is where you are likely to find them the remainder of the 2021 season. The Orioles’ 11-7 road record is certainly surprising, but also won’t be maintained. The Mets are giving up just 2.1 runs per game at home. Wednesday’s starter Taijuan Walker has been great so far with a 5-1 TSR and the team is 3-0 his last three with Walker posting a 1.80 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. Walker allowed just one hit in seven innings the last time he started, which was at St. Louis. His last home start saw him toss seven shutout innings of three-hit ball. The Mets’ old teammate Matt Harvey will start for Baltimore today. He has a 4.11 and 1.43 WHIP on the road, so it seems a little lucky that the Orioles are 3-0 in those three starts. The Orioles don’t score all that much to begin with (3.9 runs/game) and don’t get to use the designated hitter in this series. Play on NY METS AAA |
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05-12-21 | Orioles v. Mets UNDER 8 | Top | 1-7 | Push | 0 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER The Mets drew first blood with the Orioles, winning the series opener 3-2 on Tuesday. All five runs were scored in the final three innings. The Mets are giving up just 2.1 runs per game at home, so Baltimore struggling to score last night should not have been a major surprise. Especially with them playing without the DH. It’s not like they are a great offensive team even with the designated hitter in the lineup. They came into Tuesday averaging just 3.9 runs/game. Look for the Orioles to struggle again this afternoon as they face Taijuan Walker, who has been great so far for the Mets with a 5-1 TSR. The team is 3-0 his last three starts with Walker posting a 1.80 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. Walker allowed just one hit in seven innings the last time he started, which was at St. Louis. His last home start saw him toss seven shutout innings of three-hit ball. The Mets’ old teammate Matt Harvey will start for Baltimore today. While we don’t expect he and the Orioles to win today, Harvey may make it tough on the home team. He has a 1.72 ERA his last three starts and Baltimore pitching has kept opposing hitters to a .208 average on the road (entering yesterday). Play on UNDER AAA |
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05-11-21 | Canucks +159 v. Jets | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 9* on VANCOUVER The entire 16-team playoff field is set, but there are still a few more regular season games left, many of which will impact the seeding for the postseason. Here in the all-Canadian North Division, Winnipeg is in the playoffs and trying to be the three seed. That would mean a first round date with Edmonton, as opposed to Toronto if they were to finish fourth. Vancouver has been eliminated from playoff contention, so they’re relegated to the role of spoiler at this point. While a play on the Jets might sound logical today, they are not playing well at all as of late. Losers of nine of their last 10 overall and seven straight at home, this is not a team you want to be backing. They were just beaten by the Canucks 3-1 last night here on home ice. The road team has won all but one of the eight head to head matchups this year. Over the past 10 games, the Jets have scored just 17 goals and the power play is 2 for its last 27. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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05-11-21 | Heat -1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MIAMI This is a really important game in the race for the six seed in the Eastern Conference. Miami has a two-game lead over Boston after beating them (the Celtics) on Sunday 130-124 here in Beantown. The six seed, as a reminder, avoids the play-in tournament. So it’s very significant to finish in the top six in your conference. The Heat have been the hotter team of late with wins in 9 of their last 12 games. The Celtics have dropped six of nine and actually trailed by 30 points in one of those three victories. We’re going with Miami to make it two in a row in Boston tonight on TNT. The Heat led by 26 at halftime Sunday after shooting 65 percent. Boston got some really bad news yesterday when it was announced that Jaylen Brown, who is having a career year, is done for the season because of a wrist injury. Before getting beaten by the Heat 48 hours ago, the Celtics lost by 22 at Chicago. They’ve now used 34 different starting lineups this season, fourth most in the league, and there’s just not a lot of positives for this team right now. Play on MIAMI AAA |
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05-11-21 | Royals v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Kansas City comes into this series having dropped eight in a row. Six of the losses have been by at least three runs and they’ve been outscored 58-21 over the course of the losing streak. They’ve gone from leading the AL Central to having the second worst run differential in the American League. But if ever there was a team you’d want to see when staring at the opposite dugout, it’s the Tigers. They have the worst run differential and worst overall record in MLB. They did win their last game (on Sunday), but before that it was 18 losses in 21 games. Both of these teams allow more than 5.0 runs/game, so this total seems low. Detroit has gone Over in five straight and has allowed 10 or more runs in four of the last nine games. The Royals have allowed seven or more runs five times during the currently losing streak, including nine in back to back games. The two starting pitchers, Singer for KC and Boyd for Detroit, are actually both decent. But Boyd has a 5.71 ERA in 23 career starts vs. KC, who is his most common opponent. Singer’s last two starts have both gone Over. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-10-21 | Rangers v. Giants -134 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
This is an 8* on SAN FRANCISCO Yesterday was not indicative of the kind of season it's been for the Giants. They lost 11-1 to the Padres, but still lead both San Diego and the Dodgers in the National League West. They are 20-14 overall and +6.5 units on the year. Only Texas and Seattle (both surprises) have been better to bet on 2021. The Giants will host the Rangers for two games starting Monday, so we could have a new “most profitable team” by Wednesday. Though Texas is 5-1 its last six games, we like San Francisco big here. The Giants are 10-2 after a loss and giving up only 3.1 runs at home. The Rangers lose the DH in this series. We’ve got two 3-0 starting pitchers set to face off, Kyle Gibson for Texas and Alex Wood for San Fran. Wood has the better ERA and WHIP and both times the Rangers have lost with Gibson (5-2 TSR) starting it has been on the road. The Giants have won both of Wood’s home starts (his overall TSR is 3-1). Texas is 4-17 its last 21 interleague games as an underdog. The Giants have won five of the last six series openers. Play on SAN FRANCISCO AAA |
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05-10-21 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 233.5 | Top | 125-146 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Currently on a five-game losing streak, the Bucks continue their pursuit of a top two finish in the Eastern Conference when they head to San Antonio on Monday. The Bucks are a half game back of Brooklyn right now for second in the East and 3.5 games behind first place Philadelphia. After they finished first in the East each of the last two seasons, it may seem like a step back this year for Milwaukee. But they actually have a better point differential and net efficiency rating compared to the 76ers and Nets. San Antonio is just trying to get into the playoffs. As of right now, they hold the last spot for the play-in tournament. But New Orleans won Sunday, shrinking the gap between them and the Spurs to 1.5 games. The Spurs haven’t played well down the stretch, losing six of their last seven games. We see tonight’s battle with the Bucks being a high-scoring game. Over its last three games, Milwaukee has scored 124, 135 and 141 points. The Spurs just gave up 124 in a loss to Portland on Saturday. At the same time, they shot just 39.8% in that game. We think they’ll shoot better tonight. It was 120-113 (Milwaukee) when the teams played in late March. Neither shot particularly well from three-point range, but at least one team will tonight. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-10-21 | Islanders v. Bruins -159 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BOSTON Of the NHL’s four divisions, the East was the first to have all four playoff spots gobbled up. We now know that Pittsburgh will be the 1-seed and Washington will be the 2-seed. Boston and the Islanders are battling out for the 3-seed. Whoever finishes third will play Washington and whoever finishes fourth will play Pittsburgh, neither having home ice advantage. No matter what happens tonight, the Islanders have already won the season series from Boston as they are 5-2 head to head. But the Bruins have won the last two and are currently one point ahead in the standings. They can clinch third place with a win tonight. We think they will. Boston is off a 5-4 loss to the Rangers while the Islanders are off a 5-1 win over New Jersey. Both those games were played on Saturday. Though off a loss, the Bruins are 9-5 this season after scoring four or more goals and 7-1 L8 home games. The Islanders are 2-7 their last nine road games. Before beating the Devils on Saturday, the Isles lost twice in Buffalo and at home to New Jersey. Those are the bottom two in the division. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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05-09-21 | Pelicans +5 v. Hornets | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NEW ORLEANS The Pelicans desperately need to win Sunday. They are two back of San Antonio, who lost yesterday, for 10th place and the last play-in spot. They’ll head to a place the fans know well, Charlotte, as that’s the franchise’s former home. Neither Zion Williamson or Brandon Ingram will make the trip though as both are injured at the most inopportune time. But without either, New Orleans almost defeated Philadelphia on Friday. They lost that game by only two. Charlotte doesn’t scare us as they too have an injury-depleted roster. The Hornets have won back to back games only one time since April 10th. They are off a win over Orlando on Friday. New Orleans hasn’t dropped consecutive games since a four-game losing streak in mid-April. They are 4-0 ATS off a loss since then. They are 21-9 ATS vs. the Hornets and won the last two times they’ve come to Charlotte. The Hornets are 5-11 ATS their last 16 games. New Orleans is 5-0 ATS its last five road games and 4-0 ATS its last four as an underdog. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA |
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05-09-21 | Wolves v. Magic +7 | Top | 128-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ORLANDO Minnesota laying seven points on the road seems a bit excessive. They’ve won only eight times on the road all season and have the third worst overall win percentage in the entire NBA. We know the Magic have been struggling recently, but they are still a game better than the Timberwolves. And recent Orlando efforts - except the one vs. Boston - have been competitive. They beat Memphis and Detroit last weekend and were neck and neck with Charlotte most of the way Friday. In January, they rallied from a 16-point halftime deficit to win 97-96 at Minnesota. This will be only the fourth time the T’wolves have been favored to win a road game in 2020-21. They are 2-1 SU/ATS in the other three, but the scoring margin is just +2.0 PPG. Play on ORLANDO AAA |
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05-09-21 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER The Phillies and Braves wrap up their three game series Sunday night on ESPN. The Phillies hold the 5-3 head to head edge in season battles, but this series is tied at a game apiece after the Braves rallied for an 8-7 win yesterday. Saturday’s game went 12 innings and it was 3-1 Phillies entering the bottom of the ninth. The comeback was well received on this end as we had Atlanta. If you had the Under, that’s a tough break. But tonight is a good chance to get it back as the pitching matchup of Nola-Ynoa should result in very few runs being scored. Nola already has a complete game under his belt this season and is off another quality where he gave up just one run in six innings. His first start of the year came against Atlanta and he allowed just two runs in 6 ⅔ innings there. Ynoa has started six games in 2021 and if you take away one bad effort at Wrigley, he’s allowed just three earned runs in the other five. In three of the six starts, the opponent has scored one run or less. Play on UNDER AAA |
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05-09-21 | Stars -149 v. Blackhawks | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -149 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DALLAS With Nashville’s win yesterday, Dallas was officially eliminated from playoff contention. COVID-19 really derailed the Stars season from the start and it’s a shame they won’t be competing for Lord Stanley’s Cup as we feel they are a better team than the Predators. They’ll have to take their frustrations out on the Blackhawks Sunday and we see this one going well for the road team. The Stars ended a five-game losing streak with a 5-2 win at Tampa Bay Friday. Chicago ended a six-game losing streak Thursday with a 2-1 win at Carolina. So you’ve got both teams off wins, but not exactly playing well. A reason to still speak highly of the Stars is their goal differential, which is +5 on the year. If they can maintain that, they’ll be one of only two teams with a positive goal differential not in the postseason. A worthless consolation prize, but it still speaks to the fact the Stars are a lot better than the Blackhawks. Chicago is 9-31 SU the last 40 times it has taken on a team that scored five or more goals its previous game. Play on DALLAS AAA |
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05-09-21 | Nationals v. Yankees -155 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the YANKEES The Yankees bounced back from Friday’s ugly 11-4 loss to win 4-3 in extras Saturday. Yesterday’s game went 11 innings with both teams scoring in the 10th and then Gleyber Torres provided his second huge RBI single to win the game in the 11th. (Torres also tied the game in the bottom of the ninth). We like the Yankees to win Sunday’s series finale. If they can overcome 14 strikeouts from Max Scherzer, which they did yesterday, then surely they can overcome Joe Ross. Ross’ season has mostly been good for the Nationals, but he did have one disastrous start where he allowed 10 runs and four homers. The Yankees have won three straight Domingo German starts with him providing a 2.50 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Going into yesterday’s game, visiting teams were hitting below .200 here at Yankee Stadium. Washington is not off to a great start this year. They are last in the NL East. The Yankees have overcome their own slow start to win six of eight and 11 of their last 16 games. A very good home team to begin with, New York is on a 42-14 run when hosting teams with losing records. Play on NEW YORK AAA |
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05-08-21 | Spurs v. Blazers -5 | Top | 102-124 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND Both teams won last night. San Antonio got a much needed win in Sacramento, 113-104, ending a five-game losing streak in the process. Portland won for the sixth time in seven games, beating the Lakers 106-101, but did not cover the spread. We think the Blazers will cover Saturday night as they continue their pursuit of a top six spot in the Western Conference. The win over the Lakers did help as it moved them a game ahead. The difference between finishing sixth and seventh is huge because of the new play-in round. The Spurs can only hope for a play-in round appearance as they are 10th, 2.5 games up on New Orleans. (Ten teams make the playoffs, including the play-in round). The best San Antonio can probably hope for is 8th, but that’s still the play-in round and honestly they don’t want to face the Lakers or Blazers in that situation. (Although the winner of the 7th vs. 8th place game is guaranteed a first round playoff series). But the bottom line is Portland is 7-1 ATS its last eight vs. teams with losing records and going to stop an 0-5 ATS skid as home favorites. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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05-08-21 | Phillies v. Braves -168 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ATLANTA The series opener did not go well for the Braves. The Phillies jumped all over them in the first inning, taking a quick 6-0 lead and ended up winning 12-2. In the first home game with 100% capacity, Atlanta’s fans saw their starter Charlie Morton only able to get two outs. It was Philadelphia’s highest scoring game of 2021. The Phillies have won five in a row, but the Braves also swept their last series, at Washington, and we like them to bounce back on Saturday. Ian Anderson has a 3-0 team start record at home and should give the home team a much better start than they got from Morton last night. Vince Velasquez will be the starter for the road team. The Phillies are 5-2 vs. the Braves this year, but Velasquez is 1-6 in his career against them. The Phillies are also 1-6 the last seven times they’ve been off a game where they allowed two runs or less. Play on ATLANTA AAA |
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05-08-21 | Twins -174 v. Tigers | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -174 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 7* on MINNESOTA We took the Over 9.0 in yesterday’s Twins-Tigers game and the result there was a win as the teams combined for 10 runs. As expected, most of the runs came from the Minnesota side as they won 7-3. It was a rainy night in Detroit, but the Twins hit three home runs as they snapped a three-game losing streak. It’s been a disappointing 12-19 start in the Twin Cities, but the team does a +2 run differential. This looks like the series where they’ll get on track. In addition to scoring the fewest runs in all of baseball, the Tigers have also given up the most runs. Minnesota will have Berrios on the hill this afternoon and he has a 1.01 WHIP in his six previous starts. He’s been more effective on the road where he has an ERA of 1.62 and a WHIP of 0.66. Remember that in his first start, he threw six no-hit innings (before being pulled) with 12 strikeouts. Yesterday’s win means the Twins are 23-10 L33 vs. Detroit and 3-1 this season. The Tigers have Urena starting Saturday and while he’s doing the best he can (four straight quality starts), the result is a 1-5 team start record. The Tigers are 1-8 their last nine games. They are just a very bad baseball team. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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05-08-21 | Rangers v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER We know the four playoff teams in the East Division - Penguins, Capitals, Bruins and Islanders. But the order of finish is far from settled. The Bruins have the most games remaining (3) and trail the Penguins and Capitals by four and two points respectively. The first of the three games is today against the Rangers, who will have the unfortunate distinction of being the best team NOT to make the playoffs. The Rangers are definitely playing like a team that’s been eliminated from contention as they’ve lost five in a row and been shut out three times. The most recent loss came against the Bruins on Thursday and was a 4-0 game. This is the Rangers final game of the year and we don’t expect much of a fight, at least at the offensive end. They managed only seven shots on goal in the first two periods Thursday and just 15 shots total. Lots of injuries on their bench, so there’s missing firepower. Boston has won five of the seven meetings with the Rangers this season and three of the five wins have come in shutout form. Play on UNDER AAA |
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05-07-21 | Knicks v. Suns -7 | Top | 105-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PHOENIX The Knicks have been so successful ATS that they’ve even caught the eye of “mainstream” outlets like ESPN. Coming into tonight’s game with Phoenix, New York has gone 43-23 against the spread this season, a cover rate of 65.1%. Per the ESPN report, only two other teams in the past 30 years have covered 65% of their games in a given season. That’s pretty good for a team that opened the year tied with Cleveland and Detroit as the biggest long-shot to win the NBA Finals (500-1!). But now that they’re getting this kind of recognition, it’s probably a choice time to start fading. Just 48 hours ago, the Knicks got their doors blown off in Denver 113-97, a bad call by us. But we’ve learned our lesson and now are going to fade as the Knicks’ toughest road trip of the season continues tonight in the desert. The Suns have been just as surprising as the Knicks this year, maybe even moreso, as they have the league’s second best overall record. After a shocking 32-point loss to Atlanta on Wednesday, they should be surly. The Suns have won and covered all five matchups with the Knicks the past three seasons including a 118-110 win in Madison Square Garden last month. That ended what was a nine-game Knicks win streak at the time. Phoenix has been great off a loss this year, going 14-4 ATS, so lay the points with confidence. Play on PHOENIX AAA |
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05-07-21 | Blues v. Golden Knights -163 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VEGAS Only three playoff spots are still up for grabs in the NHL with fourth place still to be decided in the Central, North and West Divisions. Here in the West, St. Louis could lock down the fourth spot with a win and a Kings loss (LA is playing Colorado), but the first part of that equation isn’t too likely to happen in our estimation. That’s because they go to Sin City to take on the Knights, who have lost at home only six times this year. Vegas seems likely to win the division, so a first round playoff matchup with the Blues is a possibility. The Knights, who have dropped only two games since April 7th, are off a 3-2 overtime win at Minnesota. They have the best goal differential in the league. St. Louis, even if they do get into the playoffs (and it’s likely they will) have a negative goal differential and would make for an easy first round opponent. Might as well take Vegas now before the price gets inflated come playoff time. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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05-07-21 | Dodgers -156 v. Angels | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -156 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LA DODGERS The Dodgers look to shake off their recent slump and won’t have to travel far to do so as they take on their cross-town rivals. The Angels are slumping even worse right now as they’ve lost five in a row (Dodgers have lost three in a row) and were just swept at home by Tampa Bay. No team is giving up more runs per game this year than are the Angels. Did we mention the Dodgers get to use the designated hitter this weekend. We realize that the Dodgers’ have been slumping at the plate, but they still come in averaging almost five runs per contest. They were 6-0 against the Angels last year. Getting to face Griffin Canning seems like a favorable matchup as he has a 6.00 ERA in four starts. Julio Urias has been good for the Dodgers so far and has been downright dominant on the road where he’s 3-0 and has a 0.48 WHIP. Urias has given up no more than three runs in all but one of his starts and had 10 strikeouts in a 16-4 win against Milwaukee Sunday. Play on LA DODGERS AAA |
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05-07-21 | Twins v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER After an incredibly putrid offensive stretch - which at one point saw 12 straight games stay Under the total - the Tigers offense finally woke up from its season-long hibernation against Boston earlier this week. They totaled 22 runs in three games, but of course still found a way to lose twice as this is the worst team in baseball right now. As bad as the offense has been in Detroit, the team has allowed 10 or more runs in four of its last seven games. The Tigers entertain the Twins this weekend and we’ve got two terrible starting pitchers on the mound for Friday’s opening game. Matt Shoemaker has a 7.83 ERA and 1.57 WHIP for Minnesota while Tarik Skubal has a 7.16 ERA and 1.653 WHIP for Detroit. Shoemaker gave up nine runs in his last start. Skubal allowed three home runs in his, lasting only three innings. That was the second time in three starts Skubal allowed three home runs. Those three starts combine for just 11 innings. The Tigers are 4-0 Over in Skubal starts and the Twins are 4-1 Over in Shoemaker starts. This has all the makings of a high-scoring affair. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-06-21 | Lakers +8 v. Clippers | Top | 94-118 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the LAKERS Betting either the Lakers or the Clippers recently has been hazardous to one’s bankroll. The Lakers are just 1-7 ATS their last eight games, though they did just upset Denver - as a 3.5 point underdog - on Monday. They did so without the services of LeBron James. James returned on 4/30 against the Kings and also played on 5/2 vs Toronto, but those were both Lakers’ losses. They are 2-6 SU those last eight games and have fallen into a tie with Dallas for 5th in the West. Seventh place Portland is lurking just a half game back, so there’s a chance the defending NBA champs could end up in the play-in round. James is not playing tonight, but we’ll still take the points with the Lakers as the league’s “other LA team” has not covered in five straight and should not be laying so many points. The Clippers have lost three of the last five games outright and the two wins - both of which were against non-playoff teams - were by just five points each. They trailed much of the way against Toronto in their last game. Remember the Lakers still have Anthony Davis and are #1 in the league in points allowed per possession. Play on LA LAKERS AAA |
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05-06-21 | Devils v. Islanders -1.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NYI -1.5 We know who the four playoff teams from the East Division will be (Capitals, Penguins, Bruins, Islanders). This is arguably the toughest division in this year’s realigned NHL. The Islanders have spent a lot of time in first place, so for them to be currently fourth has to be disappointing. Since clinching a playoff spot, they’ve lost two in a row to last place Buffalo. But there's still only a five point gap between them and first and a win today could vault them ahead of Boston (who hosts the Rangers) into third. Beating the Devils shouldn’t be hard. After all, they’ve won five of this season’s six meetings including all four that took place in March. They’ve won 10 of their last 12 against New Jersey. This game is in Uniondale and nobody has suffered fewer losses on home ice than the Isles. They’ve been beaten just six times at home all season, only three of those coming in regulation. Both those numbers are tied for league bests. The Devils are out of it and had lost 10 in a row before winning four of the last five. They are 8-21 against teams with a winning record and 4-10 after a game with four or more goals. Not only will the Islanders win tonight, they’ll do so by at least two goals. Play on NY ISLANDERS (-1.5) AAA |
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05-06-21 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 9* on OVER The Braves are looking to complete a three-game sweep this afternoon in the Nation’s Capital. This series is obviously going a lot better than the weekend did vs. Toronto where they lost three times. Unfortunately, it’s tough to be confident in Drew Smyly to get the job done. Smyly, who gets the nod Thursday for Atlanta, has an 0-4 team start record to go along with an 8.05 ERA. A 1.526 WHIP isn’t good either and these numbers are only getting worse with Smyly allowing five or more runs in each of his last three starts. It’s certainly fair to say that the southpaw is a major reason why Atlanta is one of six teams to be allowing at least 5.0 runs/game this year. While Washington hasn’t been putting a ton of runs on the board lately, they are hitting .263 the last seven games. They were 0 for 6 with RISP and left seven men on base yesterday. Jon Lester gets his second start for the Nationals after being a part of the team’s COVID-19 outbreak at the start of the season. He didn’t give up any runs his first time out, but also only had one strikeout in five innings. Look for him to struggle some here. Smyly has allowed eight home runs in the last three starts. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-06-21 | Brewers -117 v. Phillies | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 9* on MILWAUKEE Milwaukee is looking to avoid the sweep today as they have lost three straight one run games here in Philadelphia. Losing three in a row is always going to be frustrating, but when you outhit the opponent in all three games and still go 0-3, that’s REALLY frustrating. Such is the case here for the Brewers, who have 25 hits to the Phillies’ 18 in the three games. They actually doubled them up in hits Wednesday, 8-4, but one of Philly’s hits was a grand slam and that held up in a 5-4 triumph. Milwaukee has now lost four in a row overall, but we like who they are sending out today as Brandon Woodruff has a 1.80 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in six starts. He’s 2-0 while the team is 5-1 in those six starts. The last five have all been quality and seen Woodruff allow only three total runs in 31 innings of work. Four times he’s allowed three hits or less while going six or more innings. This is a red hot pitcher we’re getting at a really short price. Even better is that Woodruff is 2-0 with a 0.50 ERA in three previous turns against the Phillies. We look for Milwaukee to improve upon its awful 7 of 33 hitting with runners in scoring position this series. Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies and only has a 2-4 TSR and there have been some starts where he’s given up plenty of hits. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
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05-05-21 | Jets +109 v. Flames | Top | 4-0 | Win | 109 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WINNIPEG While Winnipeg will likely make the playoffs and Calgary likely will not, it’s the Jets that have more questions than answers heading into this Wednesday night matchup in the North Division. They’ve lost seven in a row and scored only 10 goals during the losing streak. Six of those goals came in two games, meaning they’ve scored just four in the last five. The most embarrassing of the seven straight losses occurred Monday when they fell 2-1 to the last place Senators. Calgary, who has had three days off, not only needs to win all of their remaining games but also has to have either Winnipeg or Montreal lose out. That won’t happen. Desperate for a win, look for the Jets to get the two points tonight and clinch a playoff spot. They outshot Ottawa 29-18 only to give up the game winner with 1:13 left in regulation. The last four times the Jets have been priced as a road underdog, they are 4-0. Play on WINNIPEG |
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05-05-21 | Knicks +3 v. Nuggets | Top | 97-113 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the KNICKS Two hot teams meet in Denver Wednesday night. The Knicks are the hotter of the two and arguably the hottest team in the league currently. They’ve won 12 of the last 13 games, including three straight by double digits. Equally as impressive is the fact they are on a 15-1 ATS run! That goes back to April 3rd. Nine of the last 10 wins have been by 10 or more points. The only game the Knicks have lost since April 8th was to Phoenix, who has the best record in the NBA. New York will visit Phoenix on Friday. But first they are in Denver. Tonight is the beginning of a tough four-game stretch, all of them on the road. In addition to visits to Denver and Phoenix, the Knicks go to LA to face the Lakers and the Clippers. We’re taking the points here as they just won in Memphis 118-104 as a 3.5-point dog Monday. That same night, Denver lost to the Lakers 93-89 in a game where LeBron James rested. The Nuggets had won five in a row and nine of 10 before suffering that loss, but remember PG Jamal Murray is out for the year and that absence will be felt moving forward. The Knicks have covered two-thirds of their games this season, easily the best ATS record in the league. Denver lost another guard (PJ Dozier) to injury on Monday. Play on NEW YORK AAA |
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05-05-21 | Astros v. Yankees -135 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the YANKEES Turns out that the sky was NOT falling in the Bronx as the Yankees have turned things around by winning six of their last seven. They beat Houston 7-3 last night for their fourth straight win and are now just 2.5 back of rival Boston for first place in the AL East. Oddsmakers rightly still consider the Yankees to be the favorite to win the division. Emotions were definitely high at Yankee Stadium for yesterday’s series opener, which was the first meeting between these teams since the 2019 ALCS. You’ll recall that Houston won that series, but later it came out they were cheating. It may take some further chicanery to get by lefty Jordan Montgomery and New York tonight. Montgomery has not allowed more than six hits in a start this season. In the last seven games, Yankees pitching is allowing only 1.7 runs and a .177 batting average. The bullpen has been excellent. Houston’s Luis Garcia has zero career wins. Play on NEW YORK AAA |
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05-05-21 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins -143 | Top | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MIAMI Miami might be in last place in the National League East, but they are the only team in the division with a positive run differential. They’ll look to make it two in a row over Arizona tonight. The Diamondbacks have been a little more competitive than expected through 29 games, but are still a real long-shot to compete in the NL West where you’ve got three strong teams. A six-run eighth proved to be the difference for the Marlins last night in a 9-3 win. They shouldn’t need nearly that many runs today as Pablo Lopez gets the start. Lopez might still be in search of his first win, but he’s pitched remarkably well in five of his six outings. The exception was when he allowed six runs against Atlanta on April 13th. Other than that, he has never given up more than two runs in any start. Three times, he has given up zero earned runs. Yet, Miami has actually lost all three of those games! Look for Lopez to get the elusive win Wednesday as Arizona starter Weaver is not in Lopez’s class. Weaver’s last three starts have produced a 7.62 ERA and 2.08 WHIP. He is just 2-11 since the beginning of last season. Play on MIAMI AAA |
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05-04-21 | Oilers v. Canucks +1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -141 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VANCOUVER +1.5 Edmonton has already clinched a playoff spot. Connor McDavid is going to be the MVP. Barring something unforeseen, the Oilers are finishing second in the North Division. Vancouver, after losing its last five games, must now win out AND get help just to make the playoffs. While this may seem like a mismatch on paper, we believe the Canucks could steal this game or at the very least lose it by only one goal. Last night, they did get within one of the Oilers before McDavid’s empty net goal made it a 5-3 final. COVID-19 may have ravaged the Canucks season, but they won’t go down without a fight. The players know that one more loss and the season is over. So look for maximum effort tonight while the Oilers could very well “phone it in.” Play on VANCOUVER +1.5 AAA |
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05-04-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 239.5 | Top | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER A rematch from Sunday takes place tonight on TNT with the Bucks hosting the Nets. Milwaukee won 117-114 on Sunday as Giannis Antetokounmpo (49 points) outdueled Kevin Durant (42). The teams combined to make 32 three-pointers. A high-scoring game from these teams should not be surprising as they are 1st and 2nd in points per game in the league. The Bucks average 119.3 points while the Nets aren’t far behind at 118.7. As high scoring as Sunday was, this rematch should be even higher scoring. When the teams met in January, they combined for 248 points (Brooklyn won 125-123). Durant being back makes the continued absence of James Harden less of a deal for the Nets. The fact their overall field goal percentage from the past two games is hovering just around 42% probably means they’re in store for some sharpshooting tonight. They are shooting closer to 50% for the year. So is Milwaukee. The Over is 14-6 when the Nets are off a loss and 17-8 Over when the Bucks are off a win. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-04-21 | Dodgers -188 v. Cubs | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -188 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 7* on LA DODGERS After getting rained out Monday, the Dodgers and Cubs will play two on Tuesday. The first game of the doubleheader sees Clayton Kershaw going for the Dodgers and we’ve got no problem taking him as he’s 4-1 in his last five starts. He’s allowed just four total runs in the five starts and three times he didn’t give up any! That’s despite facing the likes of San Diego (twice) and Cincinnati (MLB’s highest scoring team), not to mention also having to once pitch in an AL park (Oakland) where the DH was in play. Kershaw matches up well against a Cubs lineup that is hitting just .199 in games vs. left-handed starters. At home, the Cubs are batting only .219 for the year, so the fact they are somehow averaging 5.3 runs per game here probably isn’t going to last. Kyle Hendricks hasn’t been good at all for Chicago thus far. You’re looking at a 7.54 ERA and 1.764 WHIP from him so far this season and it’s getting uglier with him allowing seven runs in two of the last three starts. Look for the Dodgers to easily take Game 1 behind Kershaw. Play on LA DODGERS AAA |
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05-03-21 | Blue Jays +112 v. A's | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TORONTO Oakland held on for a 7-5 win over Baltimore on Sunday, but that was their only win of the series and they’re just 3-5 since a 13-game win streak was snapped. Remember that they also started the season 1-7. So that 13-game win streak serves as a bit of a “mirage'' in our estimation. Toronto has won seven of nine and just swept the Braves over the weekend. Only four teams are currently allowing a fewer number of runs per game than the Blue Jays are. That seems pertinent with Steven Matz ready to get the nod Monday. Matz has a 4-1 team start record in 2021 and is 3-0 on the road thanks to a 2.60 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. His last start was his only bad one, but we think he’ll shake it off against a lineup that is hitting only .217 this year. These teams did not play last season, but the Jays won all six meetings in 2019. A’s starter Frankie Montas has really struggled so far, especially in his three starts at home where he has a 9.23 ERA and 1.74 WHIP. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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05-03-21 | Warriors v. Pelicans OVER 237 | Top | 123-108 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER This is a really big game when it comes to who will get the last few playoff spots in the Western Conference. Golden State is safely in, for now, as they are 9th with a 32-32 SU record. They trail 8th place Memphis by a ½ game and are also ahead of 10th place San Antonio by a ½ game. Most importantly, they are up three games on New Orleans, who would be the odd team out. But the Pelicans have won two in a row and covered the spread in four straight games. Getting the Warriors at home for two games (today and tomorrow) is huge. The total is high for Monday, but we like the game to go Over anyway. The Pelicans are the league’s top Over team (39-24 all games) including 24-10 when favored. Even when the total is 230.0 or higher, the Over is 16-9 in their games. The last game, a win over Minnesota, did go to overtime. But it was tied at 123 at the end of regulation. Golden State only gave up 87 points in its last game, but they were playing Houston, who shot a horrific 9 of 42 from three-point land. The Warriors have scored at least 113 in five of the last six games. The one time they didn’t, they gave up 133. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-03-21 | Predators -179 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 7* on NASHVILLE Nashville is 4-1-1 its last six games, but no win was bigger than Saturday’s 1-0 triumph over Dallas. That overtime win gave the Predators a three-point lead over the Stars in the battle for the Central Division’s final playoff spot. Look for the Preds to continue riding the hot goaltending of Juuse Saros as they play Columbus Monday night. The Blue Jackets have won only one of their last 11 games with seven of the losses coming in regulation. They’ve lost five of the previous six meetings with Nashville this season. Columbus was eliminated from playoff contention long ago, so they’ve got absolutely nothing to play for here. In last place in the Central, the Jackets’ 16 wins this season are the second fewest in the league (Buffalo has 13). Their only win in the last 11 games was 1-0 against Detroit and that required OT. In fact, the Jackets’ last three games all went to OT, so they may very well have little left in the tank for tonight. Their struggles against Nashville are not confined to this season. The Predators have won 65 of the last 93 meetings. Play on NASHVILLE AAA |
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05-02-21 | Suns v. Thunder OVER 222.5 | Top | 123-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Oklahoma City suffered the largest home loss in NBA history on Saturday, getting beat 152-97 by Indiana. For a while, it appeared as if the Thunder might suffer the worst ever loss in NBA history as they were down 67 at one point, the largest lead by any team in an NBA game in a quarter century. The biggest win in NBA history took place in 1991 when the Cavs beat the Heat by 68. The Thunder let the Pacers shoot 65.5% overall and 63.6% from three-point range. Domantas Sabonis had a triple double by halftime. So the 45-18 Suns very much have to be “licking their chops” heading into this one. We know Phoenix already averages 114.4 points/game and has gone over that number in three of its last four games. Facing an OKC team that’s lost 19 of 21 and showing no sense of pride, the Suns should be able to name the score tonight. The last time they played the Thunder, they scored 140 and shot 60 percent. They don’t need nearly that many to ensure this one goes Over. But they could come close. Play on PHOENIX AAA |
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05-02-21 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Mets and Phillies wrap up a three-game series on “Sunday Night Baseball” and we feel there will be no shortage of runs in this rubber match. The first two games weren’t particularly high-scoring as the Phillies won 2-1 Friday and the Mets 5-4 on Saturday. No team has really distinguished itself in the NL East thus far. Everybody is at least a game below .500. Mets lefty David Peterson looks to be a potential liability for his team in this one, based on his first two starts on the road. He allowed six runs in both of them and one took place here in the City of Brotherly Love. After giving up two home runs, Peterson was gone after four innings and the Mets went on to lose 8-2 to the Phillies that day. It was even worse when Peterson started at Wrigley Field as he was gone after 3 ⅓ and the Mets lost that one 16-4. Zach Eflin will go for Philadelphia and his previous starts against the Mets haven’t gone all that well. He has a 5.24 ERA the 11 times he’s faced them. Eflin allowed five runs in his last start. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-02-21 | Lightning v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Three teams stand out in the NHL’s Central Division and Detroit definitely isn’t one of them. The Red Wings have fallen on “hard times” in recent years and 2021 is no exception as they’ve already been eliminated from playoff contention and have just 45 points. The fact they’re not in last place is about the only positive you can say about them right now. Well, that and the fact they just beat the Lightning yesterday 1-0. The game went to a shootout, meaning no goals were scored in regulation or overtime. That was a terrible loss for Tampa Bay, who is among the top three in the Central but still two points back of Florida and four back of Carolina. We’re gonna call for another low scoring affair in the only game on the Sunday NHL docket. Detroit only had 15 shots on goal, including overtime, yesterday. Only five teams have given up less goals than the Lightning have this season. The Red Wings have scored three goals in their last four games. Will Tampa Bay score 4 or even 5 today? We don’t think so based on the way they played yesterday. Clearly, they are more concerned with getting ready (and staying healthy) for the playoffs than winning these last few games. Play on UNDER AAA |
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05-02-21 | Royals v. Twins -185 | Top | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 7* on MINNESOTA Just when it seemed like the Twins were set to turn things around, they went out and “laid an egg” yesterday against the Royals. After dominant wins both Wednesday (10-2 at Cleveland) and Friday (9-1 here vs. Kansas City), they lost 11-3 on Saturday. That was our only loss on a 4-1 card. We like the Twins to bounce back though. Jose Berrios may have an 0-3 team start record in his last three trips to the mound, but he also has a 0.98 WHIP this year. Berrios hasn’t gotten much run support lately, but should today as the Minnesota offense will get its “licks in” against embattled Royals righty Brad Keller, who has really been struggling with a 9.00 ERA and 2.28 WHIP. Keller did turn in his first quality start of 2021 on Monday, but that was against the Tigers, who have the worst offense in baseball. In three of his first four starts, Keller allowed four or more runs while failing to get out of the fourth inning. The Royals are only hitting .198 on the road, so an offensive effort similar to yesterday seems highly unlikely. They are 47-76 on the road since 2019, including 4-12 in Minnesota. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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05-01-21 | Pelicans -4 v. Wolves | Top | 140-136 | Push | 0 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NEW ORLEANS Minnesota is on a season-best four game win streak. Two of the wins were against Utah. Look for that streak to end tonight though against a somewhat desperate Pelicans team. New Orleans is on a 3-0 ATS run with one SU loss coming by two points. They are 11th in the West, needing to make up a three-game gap to catch Golden State for the final play-in spot. Golden State is who Minnesota just beat, so that helped the Pelicans out. It’s impressive that New Orleans won so comfortably in Oklahoma City as they only shot 5 of 29 from behind the three-point arc. They’ll certainly be better tonight against a T’wolves team that lets opponents hit over 39% from three. Minnesota is still just 2-13 straight up when coming off an upset win as an underdog. The Pelicans have double revenge as they are one of two teams that Minnesota has multiple wins against this season without a loss. New Orleans' last two losses were by two points each, so they could easily be on a five game win streak heading into tonight. This is pretty close to “must win” and they are 27-11 ATS their last 38 road games vs. teams with a home win percentage of .400 or worse. Minnesota is 12-19 at home. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA |
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05-01-21 | Dodgers v. Brewers OVER 7 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 9* on OVER The Dodgers and Brewers have two of the best pitching staffs in baseball. Both are among the top five in runs allowed per game. We’ve seen this play out in the first two games of this series with the Brewers winning 2-1 and 3-1. Having lost seven of their last nine, it’s fair to say the Dodgers are in a slump right now. Going back to 2019, 9 of the last 11 meetings between these teams have seen the Under cash. But not tonight, even with two solid starters going. Brandon Woodruff for Milwaukee has made four straight quality starts, but three of them were against the same opponent (Cubs). He has a 9.39 ERA vs. the Dodgers. Dustin May pitched great Sunday night, but the game still went Over because of the bullpen. Neither bullpen has been great so far. Unless both starters completely dominate, we see this one going Over. The Dodgers’ lineup is too talented to continue struggling like this. Milwaukee has homered in four straight games. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-01-21 | Rangers v. Islanders -130 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the ISLANDERS Unlike all the other divisions, there’s going to be a “good” team left out of the playoffs in the East Division. Five teams in the East have goal differentials that are +23 or better. No other division has more than three. The team that looks to be the “odd one out” is the fifth place Rangers, who are looking at a six point deficit with only five games left. A 4-0 loss to the Islanders on Thursday definitely didn’t help. That was their third time getting blanked by the Isles at Madison Square Garden this season, a new record. The Islanders have won five of the season’s seven prior matchups. A win here gets the Islanders into the playoffs for a third straight year, something that has not happened since 2002-04. Remember they were a Conference Finalist last year. The Islanders are 19-3-3 on home ice. That’s tied for the fewest number of regulation losses in the whole league. Goalie Semyon Varlamov clearly has the Rangers’ number, not to mention a lot of other teams as the Islanders have given up the fewest number of goals in the division and second fewest in the league. Play on NY ISLANDERS AAA |
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05-01-21 | Indians v. White Sox -169 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 7* on CHI WHITE SOX Chicago lost the opener 5-3 to Cleveland, but should gain a measure of revenge this afternoon. It literally starts with Lance Lynn, who has allowed just four runs in 19 ⅔ innings this season and two of them were unearned. Lynn is coming off a two-week stint on the DL but should be ready to go here. He has some personal revenge to exact as he lost his last start to the Indians, even though he only gave up two runs. Lynn has 21 strikeouts and no walks in his previous two starts. Both of those were at home and one was a complete game. The White Sox are giving up 2.8 runs per game at home, which is tops in the American League. Cleveland was lucky to have Shane Bieber starting Friday’s game, but today it’s Triston McKenzie, whose three outings have produced a 4.85 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. He made it only four innings when he faced the White Sox on 4/12 and the Indians lost that game 4-3. Lynn has a 1.41 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 32 previous innings of work versus Cleveland. Play on CHICAGO AAA |
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05-01-21 | Royals v. Twins -130 | Top | 11-3 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 9* on MINNESOTA It’s been a frustrating start to the season in Minnesota, but the Twins look to be getting their act together. After finishing the Cleveland series with a 10-2 win, they opened this three-game set by drubbing Kansas City 9-1. Saturday’s starting pitching matchup may not look to be in their favor, but the Twins hold a 20-10 record against the Royals since 2019 and that includes 12-3 when they are the home team. KC’s 15-9 start seems to be a bit of a mirage. They are 6-1 in one-run games and hitting .198 on the road. They are 46-76 in road games the last three seasons. So while Danny Duffy leads all of MLB with 0.39 ERA, he’s going to have to carry his offense across the finish line today. We don’t think that happens as the Twins have hit eight homers in the past two games alone. Only once in the last six games have the Royals scored more than four times. The Twins go with Matt Shoemaker as their starter today and while it’s been a rough start to 2021 for him, we see him getting the job done against a lineup that just isn’t very good. Shoemaker has had two good starts. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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04-30-21 | Angels -142 v. Mariners | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -142 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 8* on the ANGELS The Angels look to win for a fourth time in five games as they open a weekend series with Seattle. The Mariners had lost four in a row prior to a 1-0 win against Houston yesterday. In those five games, the Mariners have scored a grand total of 11 runs. Five of them came in one game. They don’t figure to score many tonight vs. Andrew Heaney, who has given up all of three (runs) in his last three starts. In fact, he’s allowed just seven hits. Chris Flexen goes for the M’s on Friday. He’s had some good starts this year, but was lucky to only lose 1-0 against Houston two starts ago. He allowed 10 hits in that game. Flexen bounced back with a strong effort vs. Boston, but that was on the road. With the Mariners only hitting .191 at home, Flexen figures to not get much run support. Play on LA ANGELS AAA |
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04-30-21 | Blazers -1 v. Nets | Top | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND Second time in a row we’re going with Portland. They won big for us in their last game, a 130-109 pummeling of Memphis. They were up 33 at one point. It was the Blazers second straight emphatic victory. They also beat Indiana 133-112 earlier in the week. So coming off back-to-back 130+ point efforts, they look to win their third straight game tonight in Brooklyn. The Nets won’t have Durant or Harden and Irving is listed as questionable. They hope to have Irving back, but it’s a gametime decision. The Nets are 4-0 straight up and against the spread their last four games, but Portland comes in more desperate for a win. They are now one game back of Dallas for the six seed and finishing sixth or higher means you avoid the play-in round. Brooklyn is first out East, even though Philadelphia and Milwaukee have better scoring differentials. The Blazers are a good road team (18-12) and can easily beat the Nets when they don’t have two, or maybe all three of their stars. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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04-30-21 | Red Sox v. Rangers OVER 8 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER It’s not often that you can sweep a series when scoring only three runs. But that’s what Boston did in two games with the Mets. Now they were not as fortunate when they scored only one run in the series opener vs. Texas. The Rangers were 4-1 winners Friday as Boston’s hitters seem to be mired in a real slump. That’s just four runs in the last three games for them. But they still are averaging 5.1 runs/game when facing right handed starters. They are up against a righty tonight in Kohei Arihara, who just so happens to be off a bad start. The White Sox scored five times off him in just two innings. But Red Sox starter Nathan Eovaldi also allowed five runs in his last start. He’s also given up nine in the last two starts. There have been only two games in the last eight where the Rangers failed to score at least four runs. Neither starter was throwing many strikes in those last starts and Arihara may have been tipping pitches. Over is 4-1 for Texas if they allowed two runs or less last game. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-30-21 | Jets +102 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WINNIPEG Winnipeg has lost five straight times, all to Toronto and Edmonton, who are the top two teams in the North. All five losses were at home and four of them saw the Jets score 1 or 0 goals. They are still in third place in the division mind you, only three back of second place Edmonton, but a win would obviously be nice. Tonight the Jets will head out on the road to face Montreal, the fourth place team in the division, who is just trying to make it to the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Canadiens have a four-point lead over Calgary. Winnipeg has won six of the previous eight meetings with Montreal this season, including 5-0 the last time they paid a visit here. The Habs are just 1-6 their last 7 when facing an opponent that scored two goals or less in their last game. Play on WINNIPEG AAA |
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04-30-21 | Mets -145 v. Phillies | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the METS The Mets just lost two low scoring games in Boston, 1-0 and 2-1, to fall to one game below .500. But they should rebound here with Marcus Stroman pitching. They’ve won three of the four times Stroman has pitched so far and considering the right hander has a 2.25 ERA and 0.96 WHIP, that’s no accident. While off his worst outing of 2021, Stroman turned in three consecutive quality starts to open the season. The Mets are 10-4 the last three seasons after being shut out, including 2-0 this year. The Phillies, unlike the Mets, played yesterday and they lost 4-3 to the Cardinals. That game went to the 10th inning, so it was extra disappointing, especially since it ended on a wild pitch. Speaking of disappointing, Philadelphia starter Chase Anderson remains winless and has a 7.71 ERA his past three turns. He got hammered for six runs on Sunday. Play on NY METS AAA |
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04-29-21 | Warriors -5.5 v. Wolves | Top | 114-126 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GOLDEN STATE For the first time in 2020-21, Minnesota finds itself on a three-game win streak. The only previous time they’d even won two in a row was when they started the season 2-0. Oddly, two of those wins came against the Jazz, the team with the best record in all of basketball. They are 3-0 vs. Utah this season and just 16-44 against everyone else. The third straight win came on Tuesday against a Houston team that is simply playing out the string at this point. We don’t see the Timberwolves extending this improbable win streak tonight though as they face a Golden State team that’s off an incredibly embarrassing 30 point defeat at the hands of Dallas. The Warriors trailed 62-29 at halftime despite the Mavs coming into the game short-handed and it was at HOME. The loss leaves them 31-31 on the year and clinging on to the last available spot for the play-in round. We expect a big time bounce back performance here from Steph Curry as Golden State has already beaten Minnesota by double digits two different times this year. Coach Steve Kerr ripped his team pretty bad after the Dallas loss and said every game from here on out needed to be treated like a playoff game. Lay a really short number in this one. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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04-29-21 | Red Wings v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Carolina has already clinched a playoff berth and has an almost 90% chance of finishing first in the Central. Those odds do seem high, given that the two Floridian teams chasing them - the Panthers and Lightning - are both within three points of the division lead. But it’s hard not to like the Hurricanes going into the playoffs as they’ve given up the fewest number of goals in the division and fourth fewest in the whole league. But tonight should see the offense get its chance to shine as the ‘Canes face Detroit, a team eliminated from playoff contention. The Red Wings are Central’s lowest scoring club and the league’s second lowest scoring club. So counting on them to score goals here may sound dicey. But they did recently score 7 in a win over Dallas. We will probably only need 1-2 tonight as Carolina comes in averaging 3.8 goals over its last five games. Four of the last six times these teams have played, there have been six or more total goals scored. Detroit was pretty lucky not to give up any goals in regulation in their last game. This is a much tougher opponent than Columbus that they face tonight. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-29-21 | Yankees -180 v. Orioles | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -180 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 7* on NY YANKEES After losing the first game of the series, the Yankees have battled back to take the last two and can now get within a game of .500 by beating the Orioles again today. The last two days have seen Yankee hitters combine for six home runs in 5-1 and 7-0 victories. They are tied for the most home runs hit (30) among American League teams, so the long ball is definitely not a problem. It was just a matter of time before this high-price lineup got going. New York also got a solid outing last night from Domingo German as he went seven innings. We look for another solid effort on the mound today as Jordan Montgomery is set to start. He has a 3-1 team start record and a 1.05 WHIP. Baltimore batters are scuffling right now with only five runs scored in the entire series. In eight career starts against the Orioles, Montgomery holds a 3-1 record and 2.57 ERA. He’ll be opposed here by Jorge Lopez, who hasn’t looked very good in 2021. He’s yet to pitch more than five innings in any start and has already allowed six homers. In four previous starts vs. New York, Lopez’s ERA is 6.62. Baltimore isn’t going to be a good team this season, while the Yankees expect to contend for another AL East crown. Play on NY YANKEES AAA |
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04-28-21 | Coyotes v. Sharks -105 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN JOSE While the top three spots in the Pacific Division have all been clinched, the fourth and final playoff entrant is very much in doubt. Virtually everyone, save for last place Anaheim, is still alive. San Jose enters Wednesday just five points back of fourth place St. Louis. They are also four points behind tonight’s opponent, Arizona. This is a game the Sharks must win and we think that they will. While the Coyotes have taken three of the season’s first five meetings, only one of those was here in San Jose and that was a 6-4 Sharks win. That game was Monday and saw San Jose race out to a four-goal lead. The win snapped the Sharks’ eight-game losing streak. But you can play with confidence here, knowing that the ‘Yotes have now lost six of their previous seven road games. This is a really solid value on San Jose. Arizona averages only 26.8 shots on goal in road games this season. Play on San Jose AAA |
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04-28-21 | Blazers +2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 130-109 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND Big-time revenge game for the Blazers tonight. They’ve lost twice at home to Memphis in the last seven days. This time they face the Grizzlies on the road. They do so on the second night of a back to back. Last night probably could not have gone any better as they boat raced Indiana 133-112. They were 50 of 106 from the field and 20 of 35 from three-point range and took control by outscoring the Pacers 40-16 in the third. They were up 35 at that point, which means key players were able to rest. This race for sixth in the West has gotten quite interesting as Portland lost five in a row, four of them at home, before last night’s win. But they are still 1.5 games up on the Grizzlies and 17-12 SU/ATS on the road. Memphis has a losing home record (13-16 SU) and was blown out in Denver two nights ago. This is their first home game in two weeks. A 24-point loss is not the way you want to end a seven-game road trip and look for that to have an effect on the Grizzlies tonight. They shot really well both games in Portland, but were 4 of 32 from behind the arc in Denver. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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04-28-21 | Nationals v. Blue Jays -155 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -155 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TORONTO Toronto will send the unbeaten Steven Matz out to the mound Wednesday in the hopes of pulling off a quick two game sweep of Washington. Matz is 4-0 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. As a former member of the Mets, he has not had much success in the past against the Nationals. But he’s with a new team now and the Nats just aren’t very good anymore. They’ve been outscored by 28 runs in 20 games. That’s the worst run differential in the National League and second worst (Detroit) in all of baseball. Vladimir Guerrero’s grand slam was the difference in yesterday’s 9-5 Blue Jays victory. Considering they beat Max Scherzer, beating Erick Fedde should not be all that hard. Fedde has yet to go more than five innings this year. Toronto is averaging 6.1 runs per game at home. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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04-28-21 | Reds v. Dodgers -185 | Top | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 7* on LA DODGERS The Dodgers have dropped seven of nine, including three straight. They are 0-2 against the Reds and trying to avoid a sweep this afternoon. It’s their first three game losing streak of the season. Before anyone declares that “the sky is falling,” we will remind you of the fact that Dodger Blue still has the best run differential in all of MLB. They started 13-3 and the defending World Series Champs are considered favorites to repeat for a season. They are loaded with talent. Though the Reds also got off to a hot start this year, they’d dropped seven in a row coming into this series. The difference for us in this game lies in the starting pitching matchup where Clayton Kershaw goes for the Dodgers against Sonny Gray for the Reds. Kershaw had a rough first start (in Colorado), but has since settled down with four consecutive quality efforts. He’s allowed a total of four runs in 26 innings. Gray has only started two games for the Reds in 2021 and he has a 7.87 ERA and 2.13 WHIP after getting tagged for five runs in 3 ⅔ innings at St. Louis last week. The last time the Dodgers lost three in a row was August of 2019. We don’t see this losing streak continuing. Play on LA DODGERS AAA |
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04-28-21 | Twins v. Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER Minnesota is off to its worst start in years and Cleveland will be looking to sweep them today. But finishing the sweep may prove difficult with Logan Allen pitching. Allen has a 6.91 ERA in four starts with the last two being both brief and ugly. The second inning was something Allen couldn’t escape against either the Yankees or Reds as he’s allowed nine runs total in his last 4 ⅓ innings of work. The good thing for the Indians is they are hitting right now. Particularly Franmil Reyes, who is 12 for 27 on the current homestand. He hit a pair of homers in yesterday’s 7-4 win. Also, Jose Ramirez is 8 for his last 21 and has homered in both games of this series. Losers of 13 of their last 15 games, the Twins turn to J.A. Happ on Wednesday. He carried a no-hitter into the eighth for us in the last start. (Twins were our 10* Interleague Game of the Month that day). But that was also against the Pirates. Expect Happ to struggle a bit today facing a lineup that has produced 12 runs the last two games. Happ had not made it past the fifth inning in any of his previous starts to the last one. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-27-21 | Padres -148 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -148 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is an 8* on SAN DIEGO San Diego probably needed Monday off as they pulled out a thrilling come from behind 8-7 victory at Dodger Stadium Sunday night. They trailed 7-1 going into the seventh, but rallied for two runs in each of the next three innings to tie it up, then won it in the 11th. The Padres are now 4-3 vs. the Dodgers in 2021, something they ought to be very proud of. They are also 3-1 against Arizona, who they’ll play each of the next two days. The Diamondbacks were San Diego’s first opponent this season and it was almost a sweep. The Padres lost the final game 3-1 after outscoring the D’backs 19-9 in the first three. Arizona had its own memorable Sunday as they shut the Braves out twice and allowed only one hit over the course of a doubleheader. While only 3-10 the previous two seasons at Chase Field, the Padres turn to Chris Paddack, who has a 1.95 ERA in six starts vs. Arizona. Diamondbacks pitching won’t be as good tonight as it was Sunday because Merrill Kelly is on the mound and his ERA is 7.71 through four starts. Two of those starts have seen Kelly allow six or more runs. Play on SAN DIEGO AAA |
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04-27-21 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the OVER Things have gotten bad in a hurry for the Tigers, who have lost 10 of 11 and five in a row. They went down 3-2 yesterday afternoon at the hands of Kansas City and that marked the ninth time in the past 10 games they were held to two runs or fewer. The job will get no easier Tuesday as the Tigers head to Chicago to face the White Sox. Winners of six of their past seven games, the White Sox are coming off a three-game sweep of Texas and are massive favorites today. While Detroit’s offense has been really bad and a win is highly unlikely, they should be able to break out of their slump a bit as Lucas Giolito hasn’t been very good for Chicago in 2021. Well, he was versus vs. Cleveland on 4/13, but then his last start saw him surrender eight runs in the first inning and it was over from three. We like this game to go Over as well with the White Sox averaging 5.6 runs over the last seven games. They have a .312 team batting average in those seven games as well. Starting for the Tigers will be Jose Urena, who has an 0-4 team start record due in large part to a lack of run support. But his offense HAS to break through sooner or later as they left 23 runners on base Monday vs. Kansas City. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-27-21 | Mariners v. Astros -175 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* on HOUSTON Houston has had Seattle’s number for most of the last three seasons, especially when they get the Mariners at home. Last night was no exception as they prevailed by a score of 5-2. The loss dropped the M’s record here in Houston to 1-17 since 2019. They are 2-2 vs. the Astros so far this season, but both wins came at home. Beating Seattle again probably won’t require a ton of offense by the ‘Stros. They have Cristian Javier starting tonight and he’s been sensational thus far with a 1.32 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. Most importantly, the team is 3-0 in Javier starts. All three wins have come by four runs or more and Javier didn’t allow any runs in either of the last two outings. Left-hander Marco Gonzales will start for the Mariners tonight. He has a 6.05 ERA in his four starts this year and a 5.83 ERA in nine career starts vs. the Astros. Houston, while only 11-11, is actually tied for the best run differential in the American League right now. They have scored 21 more runs than they have allowed. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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04-27-21 | Bucks v. Hornets UNDER 223 | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Milwaukee has had its share of problems with Charlotte this season, losing twice to the Hornets. The more recent loss occurred earlier this month at home, but there was no Giannis Antetokounmpo for that game. The teams still found a way to combine for 246 points though (127-119) after combining for 240 in the first matchup (126-114). We look for a far lower scoring affair the third time around as the Hornets are banged up and unlikely to match the kind of shooting display they put forth against Boston on Sunday. In that 125-104 win over the Celtics, four different Charlotte players made at least four three-pointers. They shot 50.5% overall and assisted on 39 of their 47 made field goals. Milwaukee is one of the better defensive teams in this league as they are top 10 in efficiency. Problem is they only could score 104 in a loss to the Hawks on Sunday. Charlotte is giving up only 107.2 points/game at home this year and their last five games overall have averaged just 210.8 points/game. There have been six games this month where the Hornets failed to score 100 points.The Under has hit in four of the Bucks’ past five road games. Play on UNDER AAA |
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04-27-21 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets -136 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLUMBUS Two teams in the Central Division have been eliminated from playoff contention and they meet Tuesday as Columbus hosts Detroit. The Blue Jackets have lost nine straight to fall below the Red Wings in the standings, a position they would have deemed unfathomable just a couple of months ago. One more loss and the Jackets would set a new single season record for most consecutive losses. They were close to ending the streak on Sunday, but twice blew a one-goal lead and lost in overtime to Tampa Bay. Detroit is also coming off an OT loss, although they were outshot 52-17 by Dallas, so they should be ecstatic to have escaped with a point. We think this is the spot for Columbus to end its losing streak as they are finally back home after playing their last six games all on the road. Their record in the first home game back following a road trip of seven or more days is 5-1. Detroit has won just 9 of its last 56 road games, which is beyond comprehension. Play on COLUMBUS AAA |
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04-26-21 | Marlins v. Brewers -170 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -170 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 7* on MILWAUKEE We don’t think Milwaukee, who is 13-8 to start the year, will have any trouble beating the 9-12 Marlins on Monday. The Brewers have been getting great pitching so far and no one on the staff has been any better than today’s starter Corbin Burnes. It is a crime that Burnes’ team start record is 2-2 this year. He has a 0.37 ERA, 0.33 WHIP, 40 strikeouts and zero walks! Over his last three starts, Burnes hasn’t given up any runs as he’s working on a 18+ inning scoreless streak. The only run he’s given up this season came on a solo home run, in his first start of the season against Minnesota. The Brewers have won five of six following Sunday’s 6-0 beatdown of the Cubs. Miami has lost five of seven while being shut out twice. So they can’t be looking forward to this matchup. They’ll send out Trevor Rogers, who has been great in his own right, but he’s no Burnes. Not only have the Marlins been blanked twice in the last seven games, they’ve also been held to three runs or less five times. Should be easy pickings for Burnes tonight. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
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04-26-21 | Canucks -117 v. Senators | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VANCOUVER Gonna go with the Canucks again tonight as they play their third straight game against the Senators, only this one is in Ottawa. We played Vancouver each of the last two games, which were at home. They went 1-1, losing the first try 3-0 and winning the second 4-2. The second game snapped a very rare three-game winning streak for the Senators, just their second this entire season. Because of injuries, the Sens’ goaltending situation looks quite dire right now and the Canucks should be able to take advantage of that. Vancouver is 6-1 vs. Ottawa so far this season and if they want to make the playoffs, it’s a must win tonight. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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04-25-21 | Kings v. Warriors -9.5 | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GOLDEN STATE Golden State should really “give it” to Sacramento Sunday night. We had the Warriors in a most impressive 118-97 win against Denver on Friday night. That was their sixth win in the last eight games as they continue their push to the playoffs. The two losses were both close games on the road. All six wins have been nine points or greater and this matchup should continue the trend as the Kings won’t have De’Aaron Fox, who is out due to COVID. The Warriors are winning by an average of 9.5 points in the games where they were favored this year. Steph Curry has scored 30 or more in 12 of his last 13 games and should exceed that number again tonight seeing as the Kings are the worst defensive team in the league. The Kings are also 2-10 in their last 12 games with one of the two wins coming earlier this week, by only three points, against last place Minnesota. Seven of those ten losses have been by double digits. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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04-25-21 | Devils v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Out of playoff contention and losers of nine in a row, New Jersey will head to Philadelphia on Sunday. The Flyers will be desperate for a win here as they are still 11 points off the playoff pace after splitting a pair of games with the Rangers. A -36 goal differential seems to say that Philadelphia is not playoff worth. But they shouldn’t have much difficulty scoring goals tonight as New Jersey has given up a shocking 45 of them during the nine-game skid. Every one of those nine games have seen the Devils give up at least three goals. They’ve allowed at least four in all but one and five in all but three. Their last five games have all seen at least six total goals scored. Opponents are scoring on 18.4% of their shot attempts in those last five contests. The Devils are 7-2 Over on the road when the total is 6.0 or higher this season. The Flyers are 9-3 Over at home when the total is that high. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-25-21 | Nationals v. Mets -149 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
This is an 8* on NY METS After picking up a deserved win for Jacob deGrom on Friday, the Mets were promptly beaten 7-1 on Saturday. We expect them to take this rubber match though. A .500 record is good enough for first place in the NL East right now and that’s where the Mets are at (8-8). The Nationals aren’t far behind (8-10), but even after yesterday they still have the worst run differential in the National League at -20. Yesterday’s game was pretty much decided early as Washington scored in each of the first five innings while the Mets threw away some opportunities, leaving two runners on base in both the first and fourth innings. New York had the third highest OBP (.330) in the NL going into yesterday, so that’s not a problem. All 10 of Washington’s hits Saturday were singles. Pat Corbin is off a strong effort for the Nats, which was shocking considering he allowed 16 runs in 6 ⅓ his first two starts. He has a 4.25 ERA in 17 career games vs. the Mets. Taijuan Walker goes for the Mets today, looking to make it four straight starts allowing 2 ER or less to start the year. Walker was one out away from getting through four innings without giving up a hit in his most recent start. Things fell apart, but we think the eventual statline was misleading. Play on NY METS AAA |
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04-24-21 | Senators v. Canucks -133 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VANCOUVER The Canucks get a second crack at the Senators after losing to them 3-0 on Thursday. That result gave Ottawa just its second three-game win streak of the season. All three have been on the road (Montreal, Calgary and here), which is a season first. The Sens have struggled all year, even more so than Vancouver has. Before Thursday, the Canucks were 5-0 against the Senators this year and 8-1 the last nine head to head meetings. They had their season paused recently and came back with a couple wins over first place Toronto. The idea that they would lose two in a row at home to Ottawa seems highly unlikely. The Senators have never won four in a row in 2021. Thursday was just their second shutout of the season. They are 2-6 coming off a win by two or more goals. The last time the team from the capital city won four in a row was March of 2017. The last time they won four straight on the road was 2016. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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04-24-21 | Marlins v. Giants -143 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -143 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* on SAN FRANCISCO The Giants are 2 for 2 in this series with the Marlins as they continue to get exemplary starting pitching, particularly at home. Friday starter Alex Wood allowed a leadoff home run, but then retired 21 of the next 22 hitters he faced and didn’t give up another hit. That effort came on the heels of a 3-0 shutout on Thursday. The team is now 7-1 at home where they are allowing only 2.0 runs/game. Four of SF’s last six wins have come in shutout form, two of those against Miami. It’s Kevin Gausman’s turn Saturday and he comes in with a 2.75 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. He’s allowed one run or less in three of his four starts and the last one was six shutout innings at Philadelphia. The Giants are allowing the fewest number of runs/game in all of baseball right now. Miami’s Pablo Lopez, winless this year, has made just one start on the road and it went poorly with him allowing six runs on nine hits. Lopez did pitch well at home vs. SF last weekend, but still lost the game 1-0. He doesn’t figure to pitch as well here while the Giants pitching just isn’t giving up much of anything right now. Play on SAN FRANCISCO AAA |
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04-24-21 | Phillies -178 v. Rockies | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PHILADELPHIA After losing eight of nine games, Colorado (7-12) has all of a sudden won three in a row. All of their wins this season have been at home. The latest was last night, in come from behind fashion, as they walked off against the Phillies 5-4. Philadelphia is now 9-10 on the young season and has lost three of its last four games. But we look for them to turn the tide Saturday. It starts with Aaron Nola, who they hand the baseball to. Nola tossed a complete game in his last start, a 2-0 win over St. Louis. He’s the best starter the Phillies have right now, so it’s really important that the team wins here. So far, they are 3-1 in Nola starts. Nola has allowed just one home run thus far and has 28 strikeouts vs. just three walks. We know the Phillies have struggled on the road this year and had just one win at Coors Field in 2018/19 (did not visit last season). But they were in position to win last night’s game, which they led 4-2, and should score plenty of runs tonight against Antonio Senzatela. This is the first time that Colorado has won three in a row in 2021 and the win streak is unlikely to last. Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
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04-24-21 | Bulls v. Heat -5 | Top | 101-106 | Push | 0 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MIAMI The Heat’s three-game run (win streak) ended Friday with a 118-113 loss in Atlanta. Now they host Chicago for a couple games. These games will have an effect on the Eastern Conference playoff race as the Heat (31-29) sit in seventh place while the Bulls (25-34) are one game back of 10th, which is where they need to be to make the new play-in round. Although we took them on Thursday and they beat Charlotte 108-91, the Bulls aren’t a very good team. Leading scorer Zach LaVine is still out indefinitely (quarantine). The Bulls last road game resulted in a 16-point loss at Cleveland, who isn’t very good. Miami wasn’t very good defensively on Friday, allowing a shorthanded Hawks team to shoot 53.8% and make 15 threes. They were also outrebounded and -13 in fast break points. They can’t afford to lose a second straight game to a team playing without its leading scorer. Several key players had bad shooting nights in Atlanta and we expect them to bounce back and deliver at home. The Heat won by 11 in Chicago last month. Play on MIAMI AAA |
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04-24-21 | Avalanche v. Blues +1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ST. LOUIS +1.5 (PUCK LINE) After an eight-day pause, Colorado made a successful return to the ice Thursday night in St. Louis, winning here by a score of 4-2. The Avalanche have already clinched a playoff berth and obviously have their eyes on winning the division. But we don’t think Saturday’s rematch with the Blues will be that easy. St. Louis has its own motivation, that being just getting into the postseason. A win today could potentially allow them to leapfrog Arizona for fourth place. (The Coyotes play in LA tonight). At the very worst, a win will keep them just one point behind the ‘Yotes. We like the puck line quite a bit here. For those who have no knowledge of Thursday’s game, it was 3-2 before the Avs added an empty-netter in the final two minutes. Due to COVID-19 protocols, Colorado will still be without number one goalie Philipp Grubauer and two of their top forwards (Donskoi, Rantanen). Won’t deny how good the Avs have been the last month or so, but they’re probably due to slip up. Play on ST. LOUIS +1.5 (PUCK LINE) AAA |
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04-23-21 | Padres v. Dodgers -135 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 9* on LA DODGERS The Dodgers and Padres are renewing their rivalry this weekend and things got off to a good start for the road team with a 3-2 win last night. But the Dodgers remain the class of baseball and aren’t about to lose two straight. While they have lost three of four, at no point this season has LA been beaten by the same opponent two days in a row. In fact, they’ve yet to lose two games in any series! They won two of the three games at San Diego last weekend. Clayton Kershaw is pitching tonight and he’s been dominant over his last three starts, turning in a 0.47 ERA and 0.68 WHIP. Last Saturday he kept San Diego scoreless with six innings of two hit ball to improve to 22-7 against them all-time. That .759 win percentage is Kershaw’s best against any team in his Hall of Fame career. In 41 starts vs. the Padres, his ERA is 1.99. Once again, he faces Yu Darvish. Darvish was also great last Saturday in giving up one run in seven innings. But it’s just tough to envision San Diego winning twice in a row here as the Dodgers 89-34 at home the last three seasons and are allowing only 2.1 runs/game here this season. Very cheap price on the Dodgers at home. Play on LA DODGERS AAA |
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04-23-21 | Nuggets v. Warriors +3 | Top | 97-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GOLDEN STATE Denver enters Friday at 38-20 overall and in 4th place in the Western Conference. They’ve won four straight, but the last two have been by a total of three points and they didn’t cover either of those. Golden State is 29-30 SU this season and coming off a heartbreaking 118-114 loss at Washington Wednesday night. The Warriors are 10th in the West, just barely holding on to a spot for the play-in tournament. So this game would seem more important to them and they’ve got to love the fact it’s at home. Steph Curry and the boys haven’t played a home game in 11 days. The last one was against the Nuggets and they won 116-107 as 5.5-point underdogs. They just completed a successful road trip (3-2) and are 6-3 SU the last nine games overall. In that last meeting, Denver lost point guard Jamal Murray for the season to an ACL injury. We’re surprised they’ve done so well without him. Steph Curry had 53 points in that last meeting and after having an 11-game run of 30+ point games snapped Wednesday, look for him to have another big game tonight. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS the last 7 games vs. Denver. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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04-23-21 | Wild -158 v. Kings | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 9* on MINNESOTA The top two teams in the West Division (Vegas, Colorado) have already clinched. Not far behind them is Minnesota, who has 61 points and is in third place. There’s a huge gap between the Wild and fourth place, so they are going to be a playoff team this year. This gap is something previously discussed when we correctly selected the Wild on Wednesday. They beat Arizona 4-1 for their fifth straight win overall. This five-game win streak has seen them score 22 goals and give up only nine. Now it’s a quick one-game stop in LA to face a Kings team that is second to last in the division. The Kings traded away one of their top goal scorers (Jeff Carter) at the deadline and the only reason they are still in playoff contention is because the West is so weak beyond the top three. Minnesota is 5-2 vs. Los Angeles this season. The Kings have just three wins all month. They did win the last one, but that came against last place Anaheim. The last time the Kings won two straight was back in February. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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04-23-21 | Pirates v. Twins -152 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA The Twins have dropped four in a row coming into this series with the Pirates. The most recent loss was quite painful as they seemed poised to end Oakland’s 10-game win streak on Wednesday. But they made back to back errors, leading to a 13-12 loss in 10 innings. The A’s didn’t even have a hit as they scored three unearned runs in the final frame. That loss came after getting shutout in two straight games. Now Minnesota looks to “dust itself off” here against a Pittsburgh team that’s rebuilding in 2021. The Pirates have won 8 of 12, but do not expect that to last. This is a team that will struggle moving forward. They played yesterday in Detroit (won 4-2) while the Twins were off. JT Brubaker has had three solid starts for the Bucs, but again, that’s something that will probably not continue. JA Happ has pitched well enough for the Twins that he probably deserved a win in his first two starts. Pittsburgh is 5-22 its last 27 interleague games and 0-7 its last seven when facing a left-handed starter. Happ is a southpaw. The Twins are 12-5 their last 17 home games vs. the National League. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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04-22-21 | Marlins v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Marlins won 3-0 yesterday, but six of their last nine games have seen eight or more total runs scored. They average 6.0 runs per game when they take their act out on the road. That’s the highest average for road games among National League teams. The average will be put to the test this evening when they visit San Francisco, who isn’t giving up many runs at home this year. These teams played a three-game series in Miami last weekend where the Giants were held to just one run in two of the games. One was a win (1-0 obviously) and the other a loss (4-1). The middle game, won by the Marlins, ended up being 7-6. We look for something more along the lines of that one tonight. San Francisco has put 15 runs on the board in just the last two games and will get a second crack at Daniel Castano after only managing one run and three hits off him last week. More familiarity with the opposing pitcher should lead to a higher success rate at the plate, plus this game is in their ballpark. Miami will also be seeing Aaron Sanchez for a second time. They scored just one run off him the first time, but that was also the game that ended up 7-6. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-22-21 | Hornets v. Bulls -1.5 | Top | 91-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* on CHICAGO The race for the four play-in spots in the NBA’s Eastern Conference is intensifying. Washington has gotten hot and there are four teams separated by three games gunning for the last two playoff berths. Charlotte is a little bit ahead of those four teams, in eighth place, but fading rapidly as a rash of injuries have hurt literally and figuratively. Just 1-5 the last six games, the Hornets are without LaMelo Ball, Malik Monk and Gordon Hayward. Without three of their top five scorers, the team has failed to even hit 100 points in five of the past 11 games. Really, we didn’t think this team was all that great BEFORE the injuries and this slide should continue tonight in Chicago. The Bulls are desperate after losing in Cleveland last night 121-105. They are one game back of 10th place as they’ve won just twice in their past eight games. Their leading scorer (Zach LaVine) is also out, but they are still a better offensive team than Charlotte. They also held Cleveland and Boston both to just 96 points in recent wins. We just see Charlotte as a team in a free-fall and it's unlikely to end with so many key players still missing. Play on CHICAGO AAA |
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04-22-21 | Pelicans v. Magic UNDER 222.5 | Top | 135-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER We’d like to think the Pelicans will win this game. They desperately need it as they’ve fallen 3.5 games behind the last spot for the play-in round. But we’re not going to lay a near double digit spread on the road with a team that’s lost four in a row and eight games below .500 for the year. Instead, we’ll count on this being a relatively low-scoring affair with the hapless Magic, who know a thing or two about losing themselves. Orlando has lost 9 of their last 10 games and was held to only 96 points in a loss at Atlanta Tuesday night. That was the fourth time this month - and third time in six games - that the Magic were held under 100 points. They are the second lowest scoring team in the league at 104.2 points per game. While the average does go up a bit at home, it’s not by much. So the Pelicans’ often leaky defense should not be an issue tonight. Consider that even with overtime these teams only combined for 225 points when they met in Orlando on April 1st. The total for that game was much lower. The Under is 5-1 the last six meetings here in Orlando. Play on UNDER AAA |
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04-22-21 | Flyers v. Rangers -165 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -165 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NY RANGERS Two teams have already been eliminated from the playoff race in the East Division (Sabres and Devils), leaving six to battle for the four available playoff spots. The fifth place Rangers have to feel like they deserve one of them as they’ve got the best goal differential in the division (+28) and are 6-2-2 the L10 games. But not only are they still six points back of Boston, the Bruins also have two games in hand. That all makes tonight a must-win. Thankfully, they are facing Philadelphia, the one team still in this division race that we think DOESN’T have a shot at making the playoffs. The Flyers have a -34 goal differential, which is closer to the two eliminated teams than the five they are competing with for a postseason spot. That awful goal differential is largely due to how the Rangers have treated them. Who could forget the infamous 9-0 beating NY gave them back on St. Patrick’s Day? The Rangers also won 8-3 in Philly eight days after that. The season series is actually 3-3, but the Rangers really are so much better and we expect them to assert themselves tonight after suffering their worst loss of the season (6-1 to the Islanders) on Tuesday. The Flyers may again be without goalie Carter Hart. Play on NY RANGERS AAA |
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04-21-21 | Wild -141 v. Coyotes | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA Minnesota is in a pretty comfortable spot right as they are third in the West Division with a 14-point cushion between them and fourth place Arizona. Four teams from every division make the playoffs this year and while the Coyotes are currently fourth, their spot is a lot more precarious as St. Louis is just one point back and two other teams are within five. In fact, the gap between the ‘Yotes and last place is narrower than the gap between them and the third place Wild. So the Wild are significantly better, which is why they are favored on the road here. Add in that Arizona has lost six of seven games, the last one 5-2 to the Wild, and that Minnesota has won its last four games. The Wild are 6-1 vs. the Coyotes this season. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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04-21-21 | Warriors -2 v. Wizards | Top | 114-118 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GSW Thanks to the latest virtuoso effort from Steph Curry (49 points), the Warriors were able to defeat Philadelphia Monday night 107-96. They are now 3-1 on the current road trip with Curry averaging 42.8 points/game on 55 percent shooting. Their next game is tonight in the Nation’s Capital against a Wizards team that has been surging of late with five straight wins. That win streak has them tied with Chicago for 10th place, the last available spot for the play-in round of the postseason. Golden State, who has won five of its last six overall, is 9th in the West. So this one is every bit as important to them. We don’t see how you can fade Curry right now, especially in this matchup against the team that gives up the second highest number of points/game in the league. The Warriors have revenge for a three-point home loss 12 days ago. The Wizards have a losing record at home. Golden State is 16-6 SU and 14-8 ATS when favored this season. Washington did snap Utah’s long home win streak earlier in the month, but their last four wins have all been against non-playoff teams, the last two vs. Detroit and Oklahoma City, who might be the worst teams in each conference. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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04-21-21 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER We told you to take the Angels -1.5 yesterday and they came through with a 6-2 victory against the Rangers. Shohei Ohtani threw four shutout innings, while at the plate both Trout and Pujols homered. Texas had just five hits as their offense continues to struggle. They did score six times on Monday, but five of those runs came in one inning, which matched their entire offensive output from the previous 32 innings. So take away that one big inning and this lineup has scored just seven times in 41 innings. But they should break out today facing Jose Quintana, who gave up seven runs in just 1 ⅔ innings against Toronto on April 10th. The result was a 15-1 loss. His first start of 2021, resulted in a 7-6 win for the Angels, but Quintana allowed four runs in 3 ⅓ innings. The Over is obviously 2-0 in Quintana starts. Texas starter Mike Foltynewicz is 3-0 Under, but he’s also 0-3 with a 5.63 ERA. He gave up five runs his last start and has already allowed five home runs. This should be a high-scoring AL West battle. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-21-21 | Cardinals v. Nationals -166 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
This is an 8* on WASHINGTON Washington pulled out a 3-2 win last night, scoring the game winning run in the bottom of the eighth on a bases loaded walk. For 5 ½ innings, no runs were scored by either team. It was a lot different than Monday’s opener when St. Louis won 12-5. Tonight the Nationals have what appears to be a huge edge in the starting pitching matchup with Max Scherzer on the mound. Scherzer has been outstanding in each of his previous two trips to the mound, allowing one run in six innings and no runs in seven innings. He’s allowed just five hits in those 13 innings and had 10 strikeouts last Friday vs. Arizona. The fact Scherzer has yet to earn a victory this season seems rather criminal. Can’t say the same for Carlos Martinez though as Wednesday’s starter for St. Louis is 0-3 with a 7.80 ERA. The Cardinals have lost those three games by a combined score of 30-8. It’s been nearly three years since Martinez last won a start as he was a reliever in 2019, then went 0-3 as a starter (with a 9.90 ERA) last season. He’s 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA all-time vs. the Nationals. Scherzer vs. Martinez looks like a lopsided matchup to us and we’ll play accordingly. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
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04-21-21 | Astros -144 v. Rockies | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -144 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
This is an 8* on HOUSTON The Astros’ nine game win streak over the Rockies, which stretched back to 2018, came to an end Tuesday with a 6-2 loss. The key for Colorado was five RBI’s from CJ Cron as well as seven strong innings by starter Jon Gray. Still winless on the road (0-6), the Rockies are now 5-6 at Coors Field this season. The weather was cold last night and is expected to be so again this afternoon. But we look for Houston to come out a bit hotter. They’ll send Jose Urquidy to the mound. While he hasn’t won any of his previous three starts this season, Urquidy has a 2.87 ERA in three prior Interleague starts. He allowed only two runs on five hits in his last start, which came at Seattle. The Rockies go with Austin Gomber, who has pitched well both of his last two starts, only to not come away with a win either time. Colorado obviously scores more at home, but they are just 1-10 vs. right-handed starters this year and 2-6 in day games. Considering Houston averages almost six full runs per game on the road, they should have a good afternoon at the plate. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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04-20-21 | Clippers v. Blazers OVER 226.5 | Top | 113-112 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER After having a seven-game win streak snapped in Philadelphia Friday night, the Clippers came right back and easily defeated Minnesota Sunday, 124-105 as 10 point favorites. They head to Portland for what should be a tougher test on Tuesday, although the Blazers are going to be without Damian Lillard and Jusuf Nurkic. With one team minus two key players, it may sound strange to be thinking Over here, but consider that Portland’s defense has been very bad for most of the season. Only Sacramento allows more points per possession. Kawhi Leonard is back for the Clippers, who have beaten the Trail Blazers five straight times. Two of those wins came earlier this season at home and LA scored 128 and 133 points. So this could get ugly for the Blazers. Also key here is the fact the Clippers have gone Under in three straight. So far, they are 3-0 to the Over this season when coming off three straight Unders. Portland is 5-1 Under its last six games, also a rarity. Since they are going to be without two key players, the O/U has come down several points, which feels like bettors overreacting. There’s some real nice value with the Over here as Portland games see an average of 229 points. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-20-21 | Ducks v. Kings OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 9* on OVER The bottom two in the Pacific face off on Tuesday with the Kings hosting the Ducks. Though just three points separate the two teams, it sure feels like the Kings are a lot better as they’ve given up only 13 more goals than they’ve scored while Anaheim is -44 in that department. As much as we’d love to back the Kings at this price, we really can’t as they’ve allowed 25 goals in their last six games, all of which have gone Over the total. Anaheim isn’t exactly known for scoring (at least when they’re not playing San Jose), but they just gave up nine goals in two games to Vegas. So this feels like a game where there will be plenty of goals scored by both teams. The Kings haven’t played in nearly a week as two games vs. Colorado got scratched due to COVID-19. So their skaters should be fresh heading into this one. Keep an eye on the Anaheim power play though as it is MUCH better on the road than at home. When these teams played twice in Anaheim last month, the Kings scored five goals in each game, both times leading to an Over. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-20-21 | Rangers v. Angels -1.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on LA ANGELS -1.5 The Angels were upset yesterday by the Rangers, losing 6-4 in a game where they were big favorites. They actually had more hits than Texas, but sloppy defense (three errors) contributed to them falling into a 6-0 hole. Five of those six runs for the Rangers came in one inning (the sixth) and that equaled their entire offensive output from the previous 32 innings combined. So we’re not sold on them being able to duplicate last night’s result. In fact, we think this should be such an easy win for the home team that you should lay the -1.5 on the run line. Ohtani is starting tonight for the Angels. The first start of the year for the two-way player did bring about control issues (five walks) but he only allowed two hits and the Angels won 7-4. The Angels also average 5.9 runs/game at home. Jordan Lyles, who won just one game for Texas last year, has already matched that win total in 2021 as he won his first start. But the last two have seen him give up three home runs and six runs total. He now has a 4.70 ERA. He has a 5.40 ERA in six career starts vs. LA. Play on LA ANGELS (-1.5) AAA |
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04-20-21 | Blue Jays +102 v. Red Sox | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 9* on TORONTO Boston is off to a great start so far at 11-6. Only the Dodgers have outscored their opponents by a greater margin. Yesterday morning, the Red Sox jumped all over the White Sox early en route to an 11-4 win. We had the Over, which was a winner by the second inning when the Red Sox were already up 8-1. But today is a day we expect the Red Sox to struggle as they have to face Hyun-Jin Ryu and the Blue Jays. Monday was an off-day for Toronto, much needed after they lost three of four in Kansas City. Boston not getting any time off between series has them at a disadvantage and Ryu has yet to allow more than two runs in a start this year. He’s given up only five runs in three starts and has 19 strikeouts in 19 innings. We think it’s just a matter of time before the Toronto lineup wakes up and they’ve had success in the past against Eduardo Rodriguez, who gets the start today for Boston. Rodriguez has a 4.64 ERA in 14 previous tries against the Blue Jays. Boston is just 7-20 its last 27 home games vs. lefty starters. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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04-19-21 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets OVER 227 | Top | 137-139 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Both the Grizzlies and Nuggets are dealing with injury concerns entering Monday’s clash. This will be Memphis’ third straight game on the road and they’ve got four more tough ones upcoming. The trip has started out well with them winning at Milwaukee and Chicago. But several players are listed as questionable for tonight, which is why the line has risen. However, lay the points with caution in this one as Denver is still getting over the loss of Jamal Murray, whose season is done. The Nuggets have scored 123 and 128 in their last two games, both wins and both Overs (they beat Miami and Houston). The Grizzlies have scored a few more in their last two games with 126 against the Bulls and 128 against the Bucks. Those two games also went Over. Our bet is that this one will go Over as well. Even with the injuries, both teams have proven they can still score. The Over is 6-0 the last six times Memphis has been off an ATS win. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-19-21 | Blackhawks v. Predators -134 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NASHVILLE Nashville is in fourth place in the Central, which is where you need to be if you want to make the playoffs. But two teams are within three points of them and on Monday they’ll host one of them. Chicago is the invader here and coming off a 4-0 win in Detroit. But the Red Wings are bad (last place) and so are the Blue Jackets, whom the Blackhawks swept a couple games from the previous series. Chicago’s last six games have all been against the three teams below them in the division, so a 4-2 record isn’t all that surprising. The Predators are coming off two losses at Carolina, which isn’t good. But they’ve won six of eight at home with one of those being a 3-0 blanking of Chicago on April 3rd. The Preds last home game was a 7-2 win against Tampa Bay and that’s very impressive. Even more impressive is their 19-4 record this year against teams with losing records. The Blackhawks are 21-19-5, a losing record, and 0-3 this season when they’re off a shutout win. They are also 2-8 after a win by two or more goals. So it’s a bad spot for them against a team they are already 0-5 against in 2021. Play on NASHVILLE AAA |
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04-19-21 | White Sox v. Red Sox OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER The White Sox and Red Sox finish up a four-game series early Monday, in the traditional early start time to help celebrate Patriots’ Day. (Normally, the Boston Marathon would be run today, but that’s been pushed back to October due to the pandemic). The teams played two on Sunday with the White Sox winning 3-2 and 5-1. Both of those were seven-inning affairs with MLB’s new rules in place for doubleheaders. Going back to Saturday, the Red Sox won the opener 7-4. We’re back to nine innings today and we like the Over. Lucas Giolito starts for Chicago. He’s been quite effective so far, including seven shutout innings (in a losing effort) his last trip to the mound. But Boston came into yesterday averaging nearly 6.0 runs/game and 6.7 against right-handed starters. Giolito has given up seven runs in 17 previous innings vs. the Red Sox. The starter for the home team will be Nathan Eovaldi, who is similarly off to a great start to 2021. But he has a 5.59 ERA vs. the White Sox, who were averaging 5.7 runs/game on the road going into Sunday. Watch the line as Boston is 6-1 Over its last seven as home underdog. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-18-21 | Kings v. Mavs -8 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DALLAS Dallas is not only off a 117-109 loss to the Knicks (were 6.5-point favorites), but has also failed to cover four in a row. They have a golden opportunity to turn things around Sunday when they host the Kings, losers of nine straight. Sacramento was at least competitive in its last game, but they still lost by eight in Phoenix. They hadn’t covered in five straight before that. No Marvin Bagley III for tonight either. Very bad defense has been the Kings problem all season. They give up the most points per game in the league. This feels like it should be a big offensive night for Dallas, who has struggled at home, They badly want to move up into sixth place in the Western Conference and thus avoid the play-in round for the postseason. They are two games back of sixth place Portland right now. Off their last 10 straight up losses, the Mavs are 7-3 against the spread. This is a mismatch and the Kings haven’t stayed within seven points of anybody in their past six games. Play on DALLAS AAA |