Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-11-17 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin UNDER 124.5 | Top | 48-76 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Northwestern Wildcats (731) and the Wisconsin Badgers (732). Northwestern (23-10) has won two straight games with their 72-64 win over Maryland as a 2-point underdog yesterday. The Wildcats shot a sizzling 55.3% from the field in that game which was the third time over their last four games where they made at least 52.9% from the field. Regression is likely for this team that makes just 43.8% of their shots this season — and that number drops to only a 43.2% mark when away from home. As it is, Northwestern has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Under is 9-2-1 in the Wildcats’ last 12 games as an underdog. And in their last 13 games played on a neutral court, Northwestern has played 10 of these gams Under the Total. Now they face this Badgers team that outscores their opponents by +10.8 PPG — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG. |
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03-11-17 | Alabama v. Kentucky UNDER 136 | Top | 74-79 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 17 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (737) and the Kentucky Wildcats (738). Kentucky (26-5) has won nine games in a row with their 71-60 win over Georgia yesterday as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats held the Bulldogs to just a 33.3% shooting percentage but they shot just 38.3% from the field themselves. John Caliper has slowed the pace down for this team after engaging a blistering pace earlier in the season. There were 72 possessions in that game yesterday which was actually the highest total for the Wildcats over their last four games. Kentucky has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points. |
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03-10-17 | Maryland-Eastern Shore v. North Carolina Central UNDER 139.5 | Top | 49-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
At 6:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (593) and the North Carolina-Central Eagles (594). MD-Eastern Shore (15-19) has three straight games in Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference play after their 68-66 win over Hampton yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite. That game finished far below the 143.5 point Total which made it there 4 boarded game in a row that MD-Eastern Shore has played a game Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. The Hawks have also played 4 straight boarded games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Additionally, MD-Eastern Shore has played 8 of their last 9 boarded games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 10 boarded games Under the Total as an underdog in the 7-12.5 point range. |
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03-08-17 | Charlotte v. UAB UNDER 150 | Top | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte 49ers (535) and the Alabama-Birmingham Blazers (536). Charlotte (13-16) has lost five of their last seven games entering the Conference USA Tournament with their 74-67 loss at UTEP last Saturday as a 6-point underdog. The 49ers committed only 10 turnovers in that game which made it the thirteenth straight time that they did not commit more than 14 turnovers in a game. Charlotte has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not committing more than 14 turnovers in at least three straight contests. Now the 49ers stays on the road where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record after fifteen games into the season. Additionally, Charlotte has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. And in their last 7 games as an underdog, the 49ers have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, while the Blazers shoot 46.5% from the field, Charlotte has played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams that shoot at least 45% from the field. |
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03-06-17 | Pacers v. Hornets UNDER 207.5 | Top | 88-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (513) and the Charlotte Hornets (514). Indiana (32-30) has won three of their last five games with their 97-96 win at Atlanta yesterday as a 3-point underdog. The Pacers have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Indiana has played 5 straight games Under the Total on the road. And in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record, the Under is 9-2-1. |
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03-06-17 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan OVER 140.5 | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies (525) and the Eastern Michigan Eagles (526). Northern Illinois (15-16) has lost three straight games entering the first-round of the Mid-American Conference Tournament with their 87-82 loss at Ball State as a 5.5-point favorite. The Huskies have then played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Northern Illinois has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing at least three straight games. Now the Huskies begin on the road in this tourney where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Northern Illinois has also played 9 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5-6 points. |
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03-03-17 | Canisius v. St. Peter's UNDER 135 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
At 9:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Canisius Golden Griffins (889) and the St. Peter’s Peacocks (890). Canisius (18-14) advanced in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference last night with their 77-73 win over Marist as a 9-point favorite. Despite the victory, the Golden Griffins have failed to cover the point spread in four straight games — and they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in at least three straight games. The Under is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. Moving forward, Canisius has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on a neutral court. The Golden Griffins have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog on a neutral court. And in their last 5 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, the Under is 3-1-1. |
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03-03-17 | Columbia v. Brown OVER 152 | Top | 68-88 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Columbia Lions (843) and the Brown Bears (844). Brown (12-16) has lost six of their last seven games with their 77-58 loss at Harvard as a 12-point underdog on Saturday. The Bears have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. This Brown team has the Ivy League’s worst Defensive Adjusted Efficiency in conference play. For the season, they allow their opponents to shoot 49.6% from the field with this number a higher 52.1% mark in Ivy League play. The Bears return home where they have okayed 11 of their last 15 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 9 home games as an underdog getting no more than 6 points, Brown has played 8 of these games Over the Total. |
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03-02-17 | UC-Santa Barbara v. CS-Fullerton UNDER 129.5 | Top | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (743) and the Cal-State Fullerton Titans (744). UC-Santa Barbara (5-21) has won two of their last three games with their 68-61 win over UC-Riverside last Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Gauchos have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. And while that game went Under the 123.5 point-Total, UC-Santa Barbara has still played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in Big West play. Now the Gauchos go back on the road where they shoot only 35.8% which explains why the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games on the road as an underdog. UC-Santa Barbara has also seen the Under go 13-3-1 in their last 17 games as an underdog. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 4-1-1. |
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03-01-17 | Kansas State v. TCU UNDER 135.5 | Top | 75-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas State Wildcats (555) and the TCU Horned Frogs (556). Kansas State (17-12) has lost two straight games with their 81-51 blowout loss at Oklahoma on Saturday. The Wildcats shot just 25% from the field but that does not look like much of an aberration considering that they have shot 36.7% or less in three of their last five contests. Kansas State has then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Wildcats have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in Big 12 play after that game with the Sooners fell below the 138 Total. Kansas State stays on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, the Wildcats have played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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02-28-17 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky UNDER 150 | Top | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (745) and the Kentucky Wildcats (746). Vanderbilt (16-13) has won four games in a row with their 74-48 blowout win over Mississippi State as a 7.5-point favorite. The Commodores held the Bulldogs to just a 29.8% shooting mark — and that appears to not be an aberration considering that they held Tennessee to just a 29% shooting mark in their previous contest. Vanderbilt has played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Commodores have played 8 straight games Under the Total after a win on their home court. And in their last 8 games after allowing no more than 50 points in their last game, Vandy has played 6 of these games Under the Total. The Commodores have also played 5 straight games on the road Under the Total. |
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02-26-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Wright State OVER 155 | Top | 49-87 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 34 m | Show |
At 2:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Illinois-Chicago Flames (823) and the Wright State Raiders (824). Illinois-Chicago (14-16) has lost three straight games with their 90-82 loss at Northern Kentucky on Friday. The Flames have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Illinois-Chicago now stays on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total. The Flames have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 7-12.5 points. And in their last 5 games agains teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Illinois-Chicago has played 4 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-18-17 | South Florida v. Tulane OVER 145 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
At 2:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the South Florida Bulls (533) and the Tulane Green Wave (534). South Florida (7-18) enters this game coming off a 68-54 loss to Cincinnati on Wednesday as a 20.5-point underdog. The Bulls have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. Now South Florida goes back on the road where they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Over the Total as an underdog of less than 7 points. And in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Bulls have played 13 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-14-17 | Richmond v. George Mason OVER 150 | Top | 70-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Richmond Spiders (709) and the George Mason Patriots (710). Richmond (15-9) has won four of their last five games with their 64-52 win at Lasalle as a 3-point underdog on Saturday. The Spiders have then played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total when playing just their second game in eight days as they are doing here. Richmond has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as a favorite. And while the Patriots hold their opponents to just a 41.7% shooting percentage, the Spiders have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or less. And while Richmond is looking to avenge an 82-77 loss to George Mason back on January 22nd, they have then played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total when playing with same-season revenge. |
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02-13-17 | Spurs v. Pacers UNDER 206 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (509) and the Indiana Pacers (510). San Antonio (41-13) saw their two-game winning streak snapped yesterday in their 94-90 loss at New York against the Knicks. The Spurs allowed the Knicks to shoot 50% from the field which was their worst defensive effort in their last eight games. Expect a better defensive performance tonight. San Antonio has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. And while the Spurs have failed to cover the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then played 28 of their last 43 games Under the Total after only covering the point spread once in their last four games. Additionally, San Antonio has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 43 road games as a favorite of 6 points or less, the Spurs have played 28 of these games Under the Total. |
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02-12-17 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech UNDER 130.5 | Top | 78-80 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (857) and the Virginia Tech Hokies (858). Virginia (18-5) has won two of their last three games with their 71-55 win over Louisville last Monday as a 6-point favorite. The Cavaliers have then seen the Under go 21-7-1 in their last 29 games after a straight-up win. The Under is also 19-6-1 in Virginia’s last 26 games after a point spread victory. The Cavaliers lead the ACC with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 96.3. Virginia also holds their opponents to just 39.1% shooting. Moving forward, the Under is 20-7-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 29 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Under is also 5-2-1 in Virginia’s last 8 road games as a favorite of less than 7 points. |
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02-11-17 | Buffalo v. Bowling Green OVER 153.5 | Top | 88-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (529) and the Bowling Green Falcons (530). Buffalo (12-12) has won three straight games with their 65-45 win over Northern Illinois. Despite that strong defensive effort where they Bulls held the Huskies to just a 32.1% shooting percentage, they have still played 4 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. Buffalo has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against Mid-American Conference opponents. Furthermore, in their last 6 road games as a favorite, the Bulls have played 5 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-10-17 | Monmouth v. Manhattan UNDER 151 | Top | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Monmouth Hawks (883) and the Manhattan Jaspers (884). Monmouth (20-5) has won ten straight games with their 74-69 win at Rider on Monday as an 8.5-point favorite. The Hawks won that game despite shooting 36.4% from the field. The held the Broncs to just a 44.3% shooting mark on the other end of the court — and that was actually their worst defensive effort in their last eleven games. Monmouth holds their conference opponents to shooting just 39.9% from the field. Expect a tighter defensive effort tonight. Not only have the Hawks played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win but the Under is 27-12-1 in their last 40 games after a point spread victory. Monmouth has also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. The Hawks now stay on the road where they have played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total. Monmouth has also played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total as a favorite in the 7-12.5 point range. The Hawks have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. And in their last 7 games against conference opponents, Monmouth has played 5 of these games Under the Total. |
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02-08-17 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 170 | Top | 89-78 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana-Purdue University Jaguars (585) and the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks (586). IUPUI (10-14) snapped a three-game losing streak with an 86-81 win over North Dakota State as a 2-point underdog. Their defense field goal percentage of 44.6% was their best defensive performance in their last nine games. But regression on the defensive end of the court is likely for this Jaguars team that allows their home hosts to shoot 49.0% from the field. IUPUI has played 8 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Now the Jaguars go on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. IUPUI has also played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog. |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons UNDER 59.5 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -115 | 126 h 10 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in Super Bowl between the New England Patriots (101) and the Atlanta Falcons (102). In this game between two explosive offenses that has produced the highest Total in Super Bowl history, it is tempting to expect this game to be a shootout that will pay off Over tickets. However, don’t be surprised if the pressure of the Super Bowl along with the extra week of preparation slows the momentum of both offenses. This second week of practice and preparation should also help both defenses — and remember that both Bill Belichick and Dan Quinn are defensive wizards. Furthermore, the Under is supported by a strong historical angle that has been 71% effective since 1983. The Falcons covered the point spread in both their NFC Playoff games — and in games with the Total set at least at 49.5, teams with a winning percentage who have covered the point spread in two straight games now facing a team with a winning record have then played 29 of the last 41 situations where these conditions applied. |
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02-04-17 | UC-Davis v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 134.5 | Top | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cal-Davis Aggies (693) and the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (694). UC-Santa Barbara (3-17) has lost five in a row in a lost season after their 79-53 loss to Cal-State Fullerton on Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Under is then 8-1-1 in the Gauchos’ last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread setback. The biggest problem for this team is on offense. UC-Santa Barbara is last in the Big West with Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of .876 — and this team is last in both 3-point and 2-point shooting which results in an effective field goal percentage of 39.2% which is also last in the conference. Moving forward, the Gauchos have played 7 straight home games Under the Total. This team has also played 17 of their last 22 home games Under the Total when the underdog — and when UC-Santa Barbara is getting less than 7 points, then they have seen fifteen of these eighteen home games finish below the total. |
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01-31-17 | Vanderbilt v. Texas A&M UNDER 135 | Top | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (749) and the Texas A&M Aggies (750). Vanderbilt (10-11) has won two of their last three games with their 84-78 win over Iowa State on Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Commodores have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while Vandy nailed 13 shots from behind the arc in their victory over the Cyclones, they have then played 14 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after hitting at least 13 shots from 3-point land. Moving forward, the Commodores have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Under is 23-9-2 in Vanderbilt’s last 34 road games as an underdog of under 7 points. |
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01-31-17 | Sabres v. Canadiens OVER 5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Sabres (63) and the Montreal Canadiens (64). Buffalo (20-19-4) is getting outstanding play from Evander Kane whose emergence from a load of potential can makes this a dangerous team in the second half of the season. Kane has produced 9 points over his last nine games before the All-Star break last weekend. The Sabres have played 4 straight games when playing with at least three days off. The Over is also 6-0-1 in Buffalo’s last 7 games on the road which includes a 3-1-1 mark against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on home ice. Goalie Robin Lehner has a 2.57 Goals-Against-Average along with a .921 save percentage — but those marks decline to a 2.75 GAA along with a .917 save percentage when on the road. Furthermore, the Over is 3-1-1 in the Sabres’ last 5 games against Eastern Conference opponents. |
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01-30-17 | Rider v. Canisius UNDER 157 | Top | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rider Broncs (531) and the Canisius Golden Griffins (532). Rider (12-10) has lost five of their last six games with their 80-67 loss at Niagara on Saturday as a 1-point favorite. The Broncs have then played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Rider has also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Broncs shot just 36.8% in that game which does not bode well for them as they stay on the road where they shoot only 41.6% from the field. That helps explains why Rider has played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 11 road games as an underdog of under 7 points, the Broncs have played 9 of these games Under the Total. |
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01-29-17 | Virginia v. Villanova UNDER 126 | Top | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (849) and the Villanova Wildcats (850). Virginia (16-3) has won five games in a row with their 71-54 win at Notre Dame as a 2-point underdog. The Cavaliers have then played 20 of their last 27 games after a straight-up win — and they have also played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Under is a decisive 53-19-1 in Virginia’s last 73 games as an underdog of under 7 points. And in their 27 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 19-7-1. |
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01-28-17 | Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 221.5 | Top | 98-144 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (507) and the Golden State Warriors (508). Los Angeles (30-17) has lost three of their last four games with their 121-110 loss at Philadelphia on Tuesday as a 4.5-point favorite. The Clippers have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Los Angeles has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. The Clippers have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Moving forward, Los Angeles has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Without the injured Chris Paul and Blake Griffin, this team is limited on offense. But expect head coach Doc Rivers to demand a better effort on defense tonight after seeing the 76ers shoot 50% from the field on Tuesday. |
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01-28-17 | Central Michigan v. Kent State OVER 173 | Top | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 0 h 26 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Central Michigan Chippewas (619) and the Kent State Golden Flashes (620). Central Michigan (13-7) has won three of their last four games after their 82-76 win over Bowling Green as a 6-point favorite on Tuesday. The Chippewas held the Falcons to just a 30% shooting percentage from the field which was their best defensive effort in their last eleven contests. Except regression from this team considering that home teams shoot at a 47.2% clip against CMU. As it is, Central Michigan has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, the Chippewas have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And in their last 4 games as an underdog of less than 7 points, CMU has played all 4 games Over the Total. |
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01-26-17 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 202 | Top | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
At 10:35 on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and the Utah Jazz (708). Los Angeles (16-33) has lost seven of their last eight games with their 105-98 loss in Portland last night as an 8-point underdog. The Lakers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Lakers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Over their last two contests, the absence of D’Angelo Russell is impacting this team on the offensive end of the court as they are shooting only 38.9% from the field and a mere 28% from behind the arc. Additionally, in the last 14 games in the second-half of the season against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-70% range, the Lakers have played 12 of these games Under the Total. |
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01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots UNDER 51 | Top | 17-36 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 8 m | Show |
At 6:40 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (313) and the New England Patriots (314). Pittsburgh (13-5) has won nine straight games with their 18-16 win at Kansas City last week as a 2.5-point underdog. Big Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers’ prolific offense may get most of the attention but the Pittsburgh defense is underrated. They held the Chiefs to just 227 yards on their home field last Sunday night. For the season, they are holding their opponents to only 19.7 PPG. On the road, they limit their opponents to just 311.2 total YPG and they are allowing a minuscule 248.5 total YPG when playing on field turf — and that explains why the Steelers have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total on the road and 5 straight Unders playing on turf. Additionally, not only has Pittsburgh played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread win but the Under is 20-6-1 in their last 27 games after a straight-up win. Furthermore, the Under is 4-0-1 in the Steelers’ last 5 games in the playoffs. |
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01-22-17 | Lakers v. Mavs UNDER 206 | Top | 73-122 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (833) and the Dallas Mavericks (834). Los Angeles (16-31) has lost five straight games after their 108-96 win over Indiana on Friday as a 3.5-point underdog. The Lakers have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a points spread victory. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Now the Lakers go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record at home. |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons UNDER 61.5 | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 49 m | Show |
At 3:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (311) and the Atlanta Falcons (312). Green Bay has won eight games in a row — with the last six contests finishing Over the Total — with their 34-31 win in Dallas last week. With Aaron Rodgers on fire and the Packers’ dealing with a banged up secondary — and with this being a rematch of a 33-32 shootout in Atlanta won by the Falcons back on October 30th — it is very tempting to take the Over. That’s why the number is in the high-50s and approaching 60. But the pressure of these championship contests tend to produce Unders. Green Bay has covered the point spread in four straight games — but in games involving a team with a winning percentage in the 60-75% range who have covered the point spread in at least two straight games now facing a team with a winning record, these games finished Under the Total in 29 of the last 39 situations (74%) where these conditions applied. Furthermore, while the Packers have generated at least 406 yards in their last three games, they have then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after gaining at least 400 yards in each of their last two games. |
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01-21-17 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota UNDER 132 | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
At 4:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (601) and the Minnesota Golden Gophers (602). Wisconsin (15-3) has won two straight games with their 68-64 win over Michigan on Tuesday as a 10.5-pont favorite. The Badgers have then played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Wisconsin has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while that game barely finished above the closing 131.5-point Total, the Badgers have still played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total against Big Ten opponents. Moving forward, Wisconsin has played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total as a favorite of 7 points or less. |
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01-20-17 | Predators v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
At 9:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (9) and the Edmonton Oilers (10). Edmonton (25-15-4) has won four in a row with their 4-3 win over Florida in overtime on Wednesday. The Oilers have then played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total after a game that needed overtime to resolve. The Under is also 24-9-1 in Edmonton’s last 34 games after a straight-up win. Moving forward, the Under is a decisive 33-15-3 in the Oilers’ last 51 games on their home ice — and the Under is 15-5-2 in their last 22 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 16 home games with the Total set at 5.5, Edmonton has played 13 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Oilers have seen the Under go 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. |
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01-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 45 | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:20 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (305) and the Kansas City Chiefs (306). Pittsburgh (12-5) looks to build off their 30-12 win over Miami last week in the Wild Card round as a 11-point favorite. The Steelers have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a victory by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, Pittsburgh has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Now the Steelers go back on the road where they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. And in their last 26 games against teams with a winning record, the Under is 19-6-1. |
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01-14-17 | Seahawks v. Falcons OVER 52 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
At 4:35 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (301) and the Atlanta Falcons (302). Atlanta (11-5) has scored at least 28 points in six straight games which has helped them lead in the NFL with a 33.7 PPG scoring average. But the Falcons do give up their share of points and yards as well — they allow 27.7 PPG along with 371.5 total YPG when playing at home. That helps explain why Atlanta has played 8 straight games Over the Total at home. The Over is also 10-1-1 in the Falcons’ last 12 games against NFC opponents. Atlanta comes off a 38-32 win over New Orleans to end the regular season as a 7.5-point favorite. The Over is then 3-0-1 in the Falcons’ last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Atlanta has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. |
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01-09-17 | Clemson v. Alabama OVER 51 | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (151) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (152) in the National Championship Game. These two teams played a scoring fest last season in Alabama’s 45-40 victory with that Total set in closing in the 50.5 point range. With both defenses coming off outstanding efforts — and with both coaches having a full calendar year to reconsider and make adjustments to their defensive game plans last year January 11th — it might be tempting to take the Under. However, major bowl games in the month of January between two major 1-A non- conference opponents have finished Over the Total in 58 of the last 86 situations where these conditions applied. Clemson (13-1) seems to be clicking on all cylinders on offense after generating 470 yards against an outstanding Ohio State defense in their 31-0 victory. Remember that Deshaun Watson passed for 478 yards last year while leading the Tigers to scoring 40 points against another elite Crimson Tide defense last year. And while Nick Saban has had a full year to fine-tune his potential defensive game plan, that has been the same old story for his defenses facing mobile quarterbacks for years going back even before Johnny Manziel. Moving forward, the Tigers have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after winning at least four straight. And Clemson has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. |
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01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks UNDER 45.5 | Top | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Lions (103) and the Seattle Seahawks (104). Detroit (9-7) has lost three straight games with their 31-24 loss to Green Bay last week. The Lions did surrender 448 yards in that contest — but they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Detroit did pass for 336 yards in that contest — but they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. The lack of a credible rushing attack with Theo Riddick the latest casualty in their backfield leaves this team one-dimensional on offense. Now the Lions go out west on a short week where they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total including ten of their last twelve road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. |