Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-05-23 | White Sox v. Reds -105 | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Interleague action here on Friday has the Chicago White Sox taking on the Cincinnati Reds. The Sox are in fourth place in the AL Central with a 10-22 record. The Sox lost in Friday's game vs the Twins, 3-7. The did take two of three from the Twins in that series. Now they had to Cincinnati to take on the Reds. The Reds are in 4th place in the NL Central with a 13-18 record. They also lost on Friday to the Padres, 1-7. They dropped two of three in their series with the Padres. Hunter Greene will start today for the Reds. Greene is 0-1 in his six starts with a 2.89 ERA. Greene has allowed just one run over his last three starts (14 innings). Lance Lynn will start for the Sox with his 0-4 record and 7.16 ERA. Lynn has allowed fewer than four runs just one time in his six starts. I'm taking the Reds with a very hot Greene on the hill. |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Had to expect the Warriors to come out in game one of their Semifinals match with the Lakers a bit flat. They had just come off an emotional seven game series with the Sacramento Kings and had to win game seven on the road. Their loss to the Lakers, 112-117, has them in a must-win spot here in game two. Lose and go back to LA down 0-2. I don't see that happening. If you look at if from the Lakers point of view, they stole game one and if you asked them, they would be more than happy to go back to LA with home court advantage and the series tied 1-1. That could lead to some complacency here tonight on their part. Too much experience and history winning big games and championships for this Warriors team and Stephen Curry to go down 0-2. I'll take the Warriors in a rebound effort here on Thursday. |
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05-04-23 | Mariners -1.5 v. A's | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
The Seattle Mariners trying to find that success they had last season are jut 13-16 on the season. They have won two straight games, including Wednesday's game over the A's in extra innings. They will look for the sweep against the A's here on Thursday. One strength of this team has been their bullpen, as they have just a 2.92 overall ERA. George Kirby will make his sixth start here today. Kirby is 2-2 on the season with a 2.94 ERA. That goes down on the road to just 1.29 ERA in his two road starts. The A's continue to struggle with the League's worst record at 6-24. They also have the worst run differential in baseball at -118 runs. Drew Rucinski is 0-1 with just one start coming last week against the Reds where he went just 5 2/3 innings and allowed 11 hits and five runs. Doesn't really matter who the A's start here today, I'm taking the Mariners on the Run Line. |
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05-04-23 | Pirates v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates still surprising many with their first place in the NL Central. They have a great run differential of +45 and while they lost on Wednesday to the Rays they are 7-3 their last 10 games. Vincent Velasquez will start today for the Bucs. Velasquez is 4-2 in his six starts with a 3.06 ERA. He's actually been better on the road with a 3-1 record and 2.38 ERA. In addition, he's allowed no runs over his last two starts (13 innings). The Rays continue to just win. They are now 24-6 and have won seven of their last 10 games. They have the best run differential in baseball with a +106 runs. Zach Eflin looks to improve to 4-0 on the season today. Eflin has a 3.00 ERA in his four starts and has allowed over two runs just one time and that was three runs to the A's. I like both pitchers a lot here and will take the UNDER. |
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05-03-23 | 76ers +8 v. Celtics | Top | 87-121 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics blew a big lead in game one of this best of seven series with the Sixers. Now they are in the hole down 0-1 in the series and almost in a must win situation. What's more impressive is that Sixers won this game without their star forward Joel Embiid, who missed the game with a knee injury. Today, Embiid has been upgraded to probable. We are looking at an inflated line here tonight. I can see the Celtics winning this game, but not by the seven or eight points the line is now and was once at 10 points. With Embiid back, I look for the Sixers to once again be in this game. Embiid is rested, is the MVP and will be ready for a big game tonight. I'm taking the points in this one. |
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05-03-23 | Orioles -1.5 v. Royals | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Orioles continue to put up impressive numbers, going 20-9 and in 2nd place in the AL East. The AL East is the toughest division in baseball with all five teams above the .500 mark. The O's have won three straight games and eight of their last 10. Today, they send Kyle Gibson to the hill. Gibson is 4-0 in his six starts with a 3.93 ERA. The Royals play in one of the weakest divisions in baseball, the AL Central. Only one team, Minnesota, is above the .500 mark. The Royals are last in the division with a 7-23 record and have lost two straight and seven of their last 10. Zack Greinke will toe the rubber today. Greinke is 0-4 in his six starts with a 6.10 ERA. He's coming off his worst start of the season, going 3 2/3 innings vs the Twins, allowing eight hits and seven runs. I will have no issue laying the Run line tonight with the Orioles. |
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05-03-23 | Pirates +194 v. Rays | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates continue to surprise as they still sit atop the NL Central division with a 20-10 record. In fact, only Tampa Bay has more wins this year (24). The Pirates also have the best run differential in the division with a +45 runs. Today, Mitch Keller makes his seven start of the season. Keller has five quality starts this year with a 3.53 ERA. Other than his first start, he has allowed two runs or fewer in four starts and three runs in the other. The Rays have the best record in baseball with a 24-6 mark and have won seven of their last 10 games. Shane McClanahan has been a big part of that with his 5-0 record in six starts and 2.12 ERA. The Bucs are a huge dog here today and I can't resist. They have a very good pitcher on the mound and have been playing great. I'll take a shot with them here today. Play Pittsburgh. |
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05-03-23 | Giants v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros are in 2nd place in the AL West with a 16-14 record, 2.5-games back of the Rangers. The Astros have won six of their last 10 games, but lost on Tuesday to the Giants, 0-2. The teams have split their first two games of this series with the rubber game here today. Framber Valdez will start for the Astros today. Valdez is 2-3 in his six starts but has a very good 2.54 ERA. He's been even better at home with a 2.16 ERA though he has a 0-3 record at home in four starts. The Giants are 12-17 and in fourth place in the NL West. They will start Logan Webb here today. Webb is 1-5 in his six starts with a 4.82 ERA. Webb started the season with four straight games where he allowed four run in each game. However, he's gotten much better of late, allowing just two runs in each of his last two games. I'll be on the UNDER here today as both pitchers look to be in much better form. Play UNDER. |
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05-02-23 | Lakers +4.5 v. Warriors | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors survived their best of seven series with the Kings by taking game seven in Sacramento. They used their experience and Stephen Curry to get them to this round. The Lakers might be as healthy as they have been all season and that showed in their series with the Grizzlies as they won four games to two, including a blowout win to get here, 125-85. Both teams look healthy heading into game one. The Lakers two big stars, Lebron James and Anthony Davis, both show up on the injury report, but both are probable tonight. The Lakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs a team with a winning straight up record. They have also covered their last four conference semifinal games. Conversely, the Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference semi's. The Lakers have also covered five of their last seven vs the Warriors. With the Warriors coming off that emotional game seven, I expect them to be in for a bit of a letdown here in game one. I'll take the Lakers plus the points. |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat and NY Knicks play game two of their seven game conference semifinals game here tonight. The Knicks lost at home in game one, 101-108 as a 4-point favorite. While the Knicks had a better overall field goal percentage (47.7 to 42.4), they failed from the 3-point arc, with just a 20.6% to the Heat 33.3%. That was the lowest percentage the Knicks have hit from three in the playoffs. Could be some players missing tonight too. The Heat list their start guard Jimmy Butler as questionable with an ankle injury. The Knicks list Jalen Brunson (ankle) and Julius Randle (ankle) both as questionable. I will take the Knicks here tonight as they can ill afford to lose both games at home as they head to Miami. Play New York. |
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05-02-23 | Twins -1.5 v. White Sox | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Reason: The Minnesota Twins are in first place in what appears to be the weakest division in baseball thus far, the AL Central. The Twins are the only team above .500 at 17-12 and the only team with a plus run differential (+26). The Twins took three of four games from the Royals, including yesterday's game, 8-4. Today, Joe Ryan will get the start. Ryan off to a great start for the Twins at 5-0 with a 2.81 ERA. He's been very good on the road too with a 3-0 record and 2.37 ERA. The White Sox are 8-21 and nine games back of the Twins. They are reeling with a 1-10 record in their last 11 games. Michael Kopech is 0-3 in his five starts with a 7.01 ERA. He's 0-1 in two home starts with a 9.31 ERA. Big difference in starters and teams here today. Everything is on the side of the Twins in this game. I'll lay the Run Line with Minnesota. |
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05-01-23 | Suns +4.5 v. Nuggets | 87-97 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns never really were in game one of this series with the Nuggets. The lost game one at Denver, 107-125 as a 4.5-point dog. The Suns actually hit well from the field with 51.2%. They actually outshot the Nuggets who hit 47.5%. Where they got killed was Denver hitting three-points at a clip of 43.2%. That was the difference in this game one. Will Denver keep up that clip here in game two? The Suns have covered five of their last seven meetings with the Nuggets in Denver. I don't think Denver can hit that percentage again here in game two from the 3-point arc. I'll take the Suns in game two as they look to even the series. |
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05-01-23 | Cubs -1.5 v. Nationals | 5-1 | Win | 131 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs look to snap a recent skid they are in, losing three straight games and seven of their last 10 games. The Cubs were swept at Miami over the weekend, losing the final game on Sunday, 3-4. In fact, all three losses were by one run. Drew Smyly will try and turn around their fortunes today. Smyly is 2-1 in his five starts with a 3.21 ERA. Smyly started the season giving up seven runs over 4 2/3 innings to the Reds. Since then, he's allowed a total of four runs over his last four starts (3-1) with 24 KO's and just four walks. The Nationals are in last place in the NL East with a 10-17 record. The Nats lost two of three games to the Pirates over the weekend, but did take Sunday's contest, 7-2. Mackenzie Gore will start today with a 3-1 record in his five starts. He has a 3.00 ERA and 1.296 WHIP. Gore has been very consistent this season, allowing two or one run in each start except one where he allowed three runs. I like Smyly and the way he's pitching here today. Take the Cubs on the RUn Line. |
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04-30-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Game seven here tonight. The Warriors blew a big chance to advance with their game six at home, but lost 99-118 as a 6.5-point favorite. So now we have game seven back in Sacramento. The Kings lost game five at home, 116-123. So really each team has lost their last game on their home court. Game seven for me comes down to this. The Warriors have been here before, they are extremely experienced in the playoffs and have the veteran players to take over this kind of game. The Kings have not been in this spot, in fact just being in the playoffs. In fact you have to go back to 2005-06 when they lost 2-4 to the Spurs for their last playoff series. So for me, it comes down to experience and the Warriors hold all the cards in this one. I'll take Golden State. |
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04-30-23 | Cubs -150 v. Marlins | 3-4 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Cubs have dropped the first two games of this series, both by just one run. After Friday's 2-3 loss in which they led 2-1, they lost on Saturday 6-7. This time they staked Miami to a 5-0 lead after one inning and never could get full back. The Cubs dropped to 14-12, now 5-games back of division leading Pittsburgh. Miami improved to 15-13 and third place in the NL East, 3.5-games back of the Braves. The Cubbies will start Justin Steeele today. Steele has been their Ace thus far with a 4-0 record and 1.19 ERA with 0.899 WHIP. Steele has only allowed four total runs in five starts. Miami will turn to Bryan Hoeing who is 0-1 with a 9.81 ERA after his only start. Hoeing went just 3 2/3 innings vs the Braves, allowing six hits and four runs in the loss. I like Steele a lot here today and for the Cubs to salvage one game in this series. |
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04-29-23 | Pirates -148 v. Nationals | 16-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
Game two of this doubleheader here on Saturday. Vincent Velasquez will get the start in the nightcap. Velasquez is 3-2 in his five starts with a 3.76 ERA. He's coming off a great start, going seven innings vs the Reds and allowing no runs and two hits with 10 KO's and just two walks. CHad Kuhl will toe the rubber for the Nats. Kuhl is 0-1 in his four starts with a lofty 7.36 ERA. He's been worse at home with a 0-1 record in two starts and a 8.38 ERA. I like the Bucs here in the nightcap with Velasquez on the hill. Play Pittsburgh. |
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04-29-23 | Pirates -131 v. Nationals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Doubleheader on tap today after these teams where rained-out in Friday's game. It hasn't been very often you can say The First Place Pittsburgh Pirates. But, here they sit, with a 18-8 record and 1 game ahead of Milwaukee. They have won nine of their last 10 games and have a +28 Run differential. They will face the Washington National who are in last place in the NL East with a 9-15 record. The Pirates will start Rich Hill here in game one of the doubleheader. Hill is 2-2 with a 4.85 ERA in his five starts. Hill has been slightly better on the road with a 1-1 record and 3.27 ERA. Hill has been even better of late, allowing just two total runs over his last two starts (11 innings) with five walks and 14 KO's. Pat Corbin will start this first game for the Bucs. Corbin is 1-3 in his five starts with a 5.88 ERA. I like this edition of the Bucs, they have excellent hitting and pitching thus far. Play Pittsburgh. |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers can close out this series tonight with the Memphis Grizzlies. The Lakers have a 3-2 lead and definitely don't want to go back to Memphis for game seven. They are coming off a loss at Memphis in game five, 99-116. The Lakers Lebron James and Anthony Davis continue to show up on the injury report, but both will play tonight. The Lakers are a 4 to 5 point favorite tonight. They need to close this series out tonight and I look for a supreme effort to do just that. Play the Lakers. |
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04-28-23 | Angels v. Brewers -131 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
The LA Angels head to Milwaukee to begin their three game set with the Brewers. The Angels got a score from lowly Oakland on Thursday, holding on for a 8-7 win despite jumping out to a 5-0 lead with. Ohtani on the hill. The Brewers had the day off on Thursday after taking just one of three games in their previous set with Detroit. The Angels are 14-12 and in third place in the AL West and have won three straight games. The Brewers are 16-9 and in 2nd place in the NL Central. They have won six of their last 10 games and have a +28 run differential. Wade Miley takes to the hill for the fifth time this year. Miley is 3-1 with a nifty 1.96 ERA and 0.957 WHIP. He's also 2-0 at home with a 1.64 ERA. The Angels with counter with Tyler Anderson. Anderson is 1-0 in his four starts with a 7.20 ERA. Anderson has not pitched well since his opening start. In his last three starts he has allowed 17 runs over must 14 innings. I like the Brewers and Miley here today. Play Milwaukee. |
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04-28-23 | Braves -127 v. Mets | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets look once again to be battling for the NL East title. The Braves are in first place with a 17-9 record and a +39 run differential. The Mets are right behind them with a 15-11 record and a +12 run differential. The Braves will start Max Fried who is 1-0 in his three starts with an excellent 0.60 ERA and 0.933 WHIP. Fried has not allowed a run in his last two starts (11.2/3 innings) and only one run all season. The Mets will counter with David Peterson who his 1-3 in his five starts with a 7.36 ERA. Peterson has allowed 13 runs over his last 11 innings. Fried has been great and I will take him here today. Play Atlanta. |
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04-27-23 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 230.5 | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Game six of this best of seven series sees the Boston Celtics looking to close out and move on to the Conference Semi-finals. The Celtics lost their last game, that being played at Boston, 117-119, as a 13-point favorite. Now they return to Atlanta where they split the prior two games. The last three games of the series have gone OVER with 236, 250 and 252 being scored respectfully. That's what I'm looking at again here tonight, the over. Atlanta games at home this season have averaged 237.7 ppg. Meanwhile, the Celtics road games have averaged 233.8 per game. The Celtics have also gone over in seven of their last eight road games. Atlanta is 7-2-1 O/U in their last 10 games and 5-0 O/U in their last five home games. Both teams look like they want to take this one over tonight and that's what I will go with. Play the OVER. |
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04-27-23 | Orioles -145 v. Tigers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Orioles took Wednesday's game from the Red Sox 6-2. The O's took two of the three game set with the Red Sox as they head to Detroit to open this three game series with the Tigers. Baltimore would be having a great season at 15-8 if not for the division leading Rays overshadowing them in first place. Still the O's off to an excellent start. As for the Tigers, They are 9-13 and in 3rd place in the AL Central. But that placing is more by virtue of the White Sox and Royals doing worse. The O's will start Kyle Gibson tonight and he's having an excellent season at 4-0 fter five starts with a 3.60 ERA. He's coming off a win over these Tigers where he allowed them just two hits over 6 2/3 innings and one run. Joey Wentz still looking for his first win this year for the Tigers after four starts. Wentz is 0-3 with a 7.56 ERA. I like this pitching matchup for the Orioles a lot. Plus Baltimore is just the better overall team. Play Baltimore. |
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04-26-23 | Warriors v. Kings +2 | 123-116 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors best of seven matchup is all tied at 2-2. The Kings took games one and two on their home court before going to Golden State and dropping games three and four. They have covered three of the four games in this set. The venue switches back to Sacramento here on Wednesday. Despite losing games one and two at the Kings, the Warriors still are installed as a 1.5-point favorite tonight. Good news for the Kings, De'Aaron Fox has been upgraded to probable with a finger injury tonight. The Warriors have not been good away from home, not only losing the two games in this series, but going 15-36-1 ATS their last 52 away games. They have also covered just one of their last six Conference quarterfinal matchups. The Kings are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after a straight-up loss. The Kings have covered seven of the last 10 meetings with the Warriors in Sacramento. I'll take the Kings here on their home court tonight. |
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04-26-23 | Padres v. Cubs -104 | 5-3 | Loss | -104 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
The Cubs and Padres play game two of their three game set here on Wednesday. The Cubs took game one on Tuesday, 6-0. The win improved the Cubs to 13-9 on the season and snapped a two-game losing streak. The Cubs are in 3rd place in the AL Central and have the best run differential in the National League at +45 runs. The Padres continue to play sub-par baseball despite being a preseason favorite to win the NL West. The Padres dropped to 12-13 overall and third place in the NL West. They also have a -19 run differential this season. The Cubs will send Drew Smyly to the hill today. Smyly is 2-1 in his four starts with a 3.13 ERA. He has started two games at home and is 1-0 with a 0.71 ERA and 0.316 WHIP. Smyly is coming off a 7 2/3 inning performance vs the Dodgers where he allowed no runs and one hit. He lost his perfect game bid when colliding with catcher Gomes on a dribbler in front of the mound. Smyly opened the season by allowing six runs to the Reds. Since then he has allowed two total runs over his last three starts (18 2/3 innings). The Padres will counter with Michael Wacha today. Wacha is 2-1 in his four starts but has a lofty 7.08 ERA. He's coming off a 4 inning performance at Arizona where he allowed 10 hits and five runs for a no decision. Not really sure how the oddsmaker makes the Padres a small favorite here today. I'll take the gift and laugh all the way to the winner's window. Play the Cubs. |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 220.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks face elimination tonight as the face the Celtics in game five. The Hawks trail one game to three after losing on Sunday at home, 121-129. The last two games in Boston have gone over with 240 and 255 respectively scored. The Hawks have a 6-2-1 Ov/Un record in their last nine games. They are also 41-18-1 Ov/Un in their last 60 conference quarterfinal games. The Celtics are playing on one day rest and when they have done that recently, they have gone over five straight times. They are also 15-7 Ov/Un in their last 22 home games vs a team with a road winning % of 40% or less. The Hawks games have averaged 234.9 ppg on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Celtics average 120.3 ppg at home this year. With tonight's game being at home for Boston, I like this game to go over. |
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04-25-23 | Padres v. Cubs -120 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
The Chicago Cubs have dropped two straight games and to third in the NL Central, three-games back of Pittsburgh. The Cubs have the top run differential in the national league at +39 runs. The Cubs had Monday off as they begin their set at home with San Diego here on Tuesday. The San Diego Padres are just 12-12 on the season and one game back of the Diamondbacks in third place. They have won two straight and have a -13 run differential on the season. The Padres will start Blake Snell here on Tuesday. Snell is 0-3 in his four starts with a 6.00 ERA. Snell has struggled with his control, walking 12 batters compared to just 12 KO's. Justin Steele will toe the rubber today for the Cubbies. Steele is 3-0 in his four starts with a nifty 1.44 ERA. HE's been even better at home with a 1-0 record in two starts and a 0.75 ERA. The Cubs at home today with the much better starter on the hill is who I will be putting my play on. Play the Cubs. |
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04-25-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 230.5 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks face elimination tonight as the face the Celtics in game five. The Hawks trail one game to three after losing on Sunday at home, 121-129. The last two games in Boston have gone over with 240 and 255 respectively scored. The Hawks have a 6-2-1 Ov/Un record in their last nine games. They are also 41-18-1 Ov/Un in their last 60 conference quarterfinal games. The Celtics are playing on one day rest and when they have done that recently, they have gone over five straight times. They are also 15-7 Ov/Un in their last 22 home games vs a team with a road winning % of 40% or less. The Hawks games have averaged 234.9 ppg on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Celtics average 120.3 ppg at home this year. With tonight's game being at home for Boston, I like this game to go over. |
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04-25-23 | Dodgers v. Pirates +112 | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates in a very unfamiliar place as they sit in first place in the NL Central with a 16-7 record. They have won seven straight games and have a +25 run differential. The Bucs get little respect as they are a home dog here today to the LA Dodgers. The Dodgers look to be without one of their hottest hitters and home run bomber in Max Muncy. Muncy is doubtful today as he takes leave from the team on the paternity list. The Dodgers are 12-11 and a half game back of the Diamondbacks in the NL West. LA will start Noah Syndergaard today who is 0-3 with a 4.91 ERA in his four starts. While he's looked good for stretches he has also look bad at times too. In his one road start, Syndergaard gave up eight hits and six runs in a loss to Arizona. Pittsburgh will counter with Johan Oviedo, who is 2-1 in his four starts with a 2.22 ERA. In his one home start he went 6 2/3 innings, allowing six hits an done run with 10 KO's in a win over the White Sox. Big edge in starters here to the Bucs today. And without Muncy, a big bat will be silent for the Dodgers. Take Pittsburgh. |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers look to take a commanding 3-1 lead in this best of seven series here tonight. The Lakers won game one in Memphis, 128-112, lost game two, 93-103 then came back to LA and easily won game three, 111-101. The final score might have been the closest the score was since LA jumped out to a 35-9 lead in the 1st quarter. Memphis shot just 37.6% from the field in game three. The Lakers hit a series low 25% from the 3-point arc despite the blow out win. The Grizzlies are now 4-9 ATS in their last 13 quarterfinal games and 2-6 ATS overall their last eight games. They have also covered just one of their last five road games. The Lakers are now 6-2 ATS the last eight times these teams have met. Grizzlie Ja Morant is back from his hand injury. The Lakers Lebron James and Anthony Davis both remain on the injury report, but probable for tonight's game four. I'm sticking with LA at home against a poor road Memphis club. Play Lakers. |
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04-24-23 | Red Sox v. Orioles +100 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
The Baltimore Orioles improved to 14-7 after their 10 inning win over the Tigers on Sunday, 2-1. The O's are in 2nd place in the AL East, 4.5-games back of the fast starting Rays who are 19-3. Baltimore has won six straight games and eight of their last 10 and have a +18 run differential. The O's begin a 3-game set here today with the Boston Red Sox. Dean Kremer will get his fifth start of the season here today. Kremer is 1-0 with a 6.16 ERA on the season. He's coming off his best start, going 6 2/3 innings vs the Nationals, allowing four hits and no runs for the win. The Red Sox got back above the .500 mark after their win over the Brewers on Sunday, 12-5. The Red Sox are still in last place in the AL East, the toughest division in baseball thus far as all five teams are above the .500 mark. Boston has won seven of its last 10 games and has a +11 run differential. Chris Sale makes his fifth start of the season today. Sale is 1-1 with a 8.00 ERA. Like Kremer, Sale is coming off his best start of the season, going six innings vs the Twins and allowing three hits and one run. Both pitchers looking to keep their good momentum going here today. I'll take the basically pick price on the Orioles at home. Play Baltimore. |
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04-23-23 | Mets -115 v. Giants | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
The NY Mets fell behind 0-4 after one inning on Saturday to the Giants and never got back in the game, losing 4-7. The Win was just the seventh vs 13 losses for the Giants while the Mets dropped to 14-8 overall. The Giants are in fourth place in the NL West while the are a half game back of first place Atlanta in the NL East. The Mets took the first two game sin this series by a 16-4 combined score before losing game three on Saturday. Now it's the final game on Sunday and the Mets will look for the series win behind Tylor Megill. Megill is 3-1 on the season with a 3.00 ERA. He has not allowed more than three runs in any one of his previous four starts. The Giants will start one-time Dodger Ross Stripling today. Stripling has started since April 2nd and that was just five innings in a 0-6 loss to the Yankees where he allowed six hits and four runs. Stripling was moved to the bullpen after that poor outing and returns to the starting lineup today because Alex Wood has been put on the 15-day DL. I don't like the way Stripling has pitched, either starting or from the pen. Megill has look very good and he's the one I'll put my money on here on Sunday. Play the Mets. |
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04-23-23 | Cardinals +102 v. Mariners | 7-3 | Win | 102 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals lost on Saturday at Seattle, 4-5. The Cards led 3-1 into the 6th before Seattle scored two in the 6th and the winning two runs in the seventh. The Cardinals have now lost the first two in this series as they will turn to Jack Flaherty to salvage the rubber game here on Sunday. Flaherty is 1-2 in his four starts with a nice 2.95 ERA. He allowed only three total runs in his first three starts before giving up four runs in his loss last time out to Arizona. The Mariners can get back to the .500 mark with a win here today and a series sweep of St Louis. The will send struggling Chris Flexen to the hill today. Flexen not looking like the pitcher he was last season. He's compiled a 9.45 ERA in his three starts and is 0-3 in the process. Today I will take the Cardinals to salvage one game in the series as they have the much more consistent pitcher on the hill. Take St Louis. |
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04-23-23 | Cavs +2.5 v. Knicks | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
The Cleveland Cavaliers look to even their best of seven series with the Knicks here today. The Knicks lead the series 2 games to 1 after winning on Friday, 99-79. All three games have gone under the total and the Cavs have gone under in five straight games. The Cavs where held to just 38.8% from the field in their 79 points in game three. They also hit just 21.2% from the 3-point arc. The Cavs usually bounce back well after an ATS loss, evidenced by their 13-6-1 ATS record the last 20 times. Cavs have been the better team all season and I don't see them going down 1-3 in this series today. I'll take the few points but look for an outright Cavaliers win here on Sunday. Play Cleveland. |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
It's been an injury plagued NBA postseason thus far and none bigger than the Timberwolves guard Ja Morant who has been battling a hand injury. Morant missed game two but has returned to full practice, though he's considered questionable for game three here on Saturday. The Lakers didn't take advantage of his abscense in game two, never being in the game from the start to the 10-point loss, 93-103. The Lakers had been hot too, taking game one vs Memphis 128-112 and winning eight of their previous nine games before that loss in game two. Their two stars, Lebron James and Anthony Davis both still show up on the injury report but both remain probable here tonight. The Grizzlies are just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall road games. The Lakers have been rebounding nicely of late, evidenced by thei 7-2 ATS record their last nine following a straight-up loss. The Lakers have covered five of the last seven meetings in LA and that's what I'm looking for again here today. Play the Lakers. |
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04-22-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +137 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
Arizona had little trouble taking Friday's contest, 9-0. That win evened the series with the Padres at 1-1 and snapped a 2-game losing streak for the D'backs. Arizona will send Merrill Kelly to the mound today. Kelly is 1-2 in his four starts with a 3.37 ERA. Kelly is coming off a nice start at St Louis, allowing five hits and one run over six innings for the win. The Padres will look to get one game closer to the .500 mark here tonight. They will start Joe Musgrove for the first time this season. Musgrove was 10-7 last year with a 2.93 ERA. This will be his first start back in the big league's since breaking his toe back in last February. Musgrove made two rehab starts in Class A Lake Elsinore. I'll have to see how Musgrove is in his return before I can put money on him. But Kelly has been good and that's what I will stick with here today. Play Arizona. |
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04-22-23 | Astros -102 v. Braves | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros took Friday's game one against the Atlanta Braves, 6-4, rallying late from a 1-4 deficit. The Astros have alternated wins and losses over their last eight games, going 4-4. Framber Valdez will make his fifth start here today. Valdez is 1-2 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.160 WHIP. Valdez has not allowed more than two runs in any of his four starts this season. In addition, he has 25 KO's to just eight walks. The Atlanta Braves had their eight game winning streak snapped by Houston on Friday. Six of those winning coming against the Reds and Royals. Kyle Wright makes his third start of the season. Wright has no record with a 6.23 ERA and 1.730 WHIP. One issue thus far for Wright is control, as he's walked seven batters over just 8 2/3 total innings. I'll take the Astros here on Saturday with Valdez have that excellent 1.80 ERA. Play Houston. |
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04-22-23 | Red Sox v. Brewers -125 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Brewers look to rebound here on Saturday after dropping Friday's contest to the Red Sox, 3-5. The Brewers remained in first place in the NL Central with a 14-6 record and a very good +33 Run differential. The Boston Red Sox got above the .500 mark for the first time this year as they sit 11-10 but in last in the AL East. They have won two straight games and have a +5 run differential. Garrett Whitlock will make his third start for the Red Sox. Whitlock is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in his previous two starts. Wade Miley gets the call for the Brewers. Miley is 2-1 after three starts with a 1.50 ERA and 0.944 WHIP. Miley has allowed three total runs and those gcame in his loss to the D'backs in his second start. I like Miley and the first place Brewers here today. Play Milwaukee. |
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04-22-23 | Reds v. Pirates -140 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates took Friday's with the Reds, 4-2. That makes two straight wins against Cincinnati after Thursday's 4-3 win. That also ran the Bucs win streak to five straight. Rich Hill will make his fifth start of the season here today for Pitt. Hill is 1-2 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.333 WHIP. Hill coming off his best start at Colorado, going six innings, allowing one run to get the win. He's now allowed just three runs over his las 12 innins of work. Cincinnati lost its fourth game in row on Friday. They have scored just five runs over the last four games during their losing streak. Luis Cessa will toe the rubber today for the Reds. Cessa is 0-2 in his three starts with a 13.50 ERA and 2.750 ERA. Cessa was roughed-up last start, going just three innings and allowing 14 hits and 11 runs to the Phillies. I'll take the Pirates today with Hill looking very good over his last two starts and Cessa getting hit hard. Take Pittsburgh. |
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04-21-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +2.5 | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets have taken a 2-0 lead in their series with the Minnesota Timberwolves. Denver held home court by taking game one at home, 109-80 and then game two, 122-113, covering both games. Now the venue switches back to Minnesota. The T'Wolves have had a very good home season, going 36-7 S/U and 26-16-1 ATS on the season. They have also outscored opponents by a 119.2 to 109 margin. This is basically a must-win game for the Wolves. They can't go down 0-3 and look for a series win. However, a win here today and they are right back into the mix. Take Minnesota. |
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04-21-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -101 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks are surprisingly in 1st place in the NL West with a 11-8 record. They lost to the Padres on Thursday, 5-7. The D'backs do have a negative run differential of -7 despite their winning record. Arizona looks to snap a two-game losing streak here tonight and they will turn to Zac Gallen. Gallen is 2-1 on the season with a 3.33 ERA and 0.945 WHIP. After a shaky first two games of the season, Gallen has been great, going 2-0 and allowing just five hits and no runs over his last 13 2/3 innings. A lot was expected of both the Dodgers and Padres as most thought they would be the teams to beat. But both teams have struggled, including the Padres who are 9-11 to start the season. Seth Lugo makes his fourth start today for the Padres. Lugo has been very good also this season with a 2-0 record and 2.70 ERA. He allowed three runs in 3 2/3 innings in his last start vs the Brewers for the no decision. Should be a very good pitcher's duel here today. I'll take the home team in this one. Play Arizona. |
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04-21-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -120 | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Cavaliers and Knicks switch sites here for game three of their quarterfinals matchup. The Knicks took game one in Cleveland, 101-97 and the Cavs came roaring back in to take game two, 107-90. Both offensives have been a bit slower paced than in the regular season as both games have gone under. The Knicks wee 23-18 S/U and 19-20-2 ATS at home this year and outscored visitors by a 117-113. The Cavs were a excellent home team, but had a losing road record. They were 20-21 S/U and 17-21-3 on the road this year. The Knicks have covered in four of the last five meetings. With the small line on the Knicks here today, I'll take the Money line in this game with New York. |
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04-20-23 | Suns v. Clippers +2.5 | Top | 129-124 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
The Clippers return home after splitting the first two games at Phoenix. They took game one, 115-110, but lost game two, 109-123. Now they hold home court advantage as they return to LA. This will actually be the third game in a row between these teams as they met on the final day of the regular season and won at Phoenix, 119-114. LA has been out-shot in both playoff games, 47.6% to 44.1% in their win and 58.8% to 43.8% in their loss. The Clippers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine times following a ATS loss. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. The Suns have been just average on the road this year, going 22-21 S/U and ATS and scoring 114.3 ppg while allowing 115.6 ppg. They are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Yet, here the Suns are a 2 to 2 1/5 point favorite at LA tonight. I'll take the points since I look for the Clippers to win game three. Play LA. |
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04-20-23 | Dodgers v. Cubs -115 | 6-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
The LA Dodgers not coming close to their early season success of last year. With all the free agency losses and little to replace them with other then retreads, the Dodgers look average at best thus far. Sure, they are leading the league in home runs, but that's about it. They are 9-10 and in 2nd place in a surprisingly weak NL West. The Dodgers bullpen, a strength last year, has not been good either. The pen has a 5.01 ERA, 6.45 on the road. Mookie Betts could return here today as he's missed the last few games on paternity leave. Michael Grove makes his fourth start today. Grove has a 0-1 record with a 9.00 ERA. He did have his best start last games, going 5 2/3 innings vs these Cubs and allowing two hits and one run for a no decision. The Cubs have looked good thus far, going 11-6 and riding a four-game win streak. They have the best run differential in the N.L at +39 runs. Jameson Taillon will make his fourth start today. Taillon is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA. He's coming off his best start of the season, allowing just two hits and no runs to the Dodgers in a no decision. Dodgers not instilling a lot of confidence in me with their hitting and their pitching. I'll take the Cubs here today. |
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04-19-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies | Top | 93-103 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
The LA Lakers look to be peaking at just the right time of the season. They took game one of this seven game series at Memphis on Sunday, 128-112 and now look to take a commanding 2-0 lead as they head back to LA. The Lakers have won four straight games and 11 of their last 13 games. Most of this due to the fact that for really the first time all season their stars, Lebron James and Anthony Davis, are both healthy. But they also got their best game out of a player they got mid season from the Wizards, Rui Hachimura, who had 29 points. Austin Reaves was also a standout for LA with 23 points. While both popped up on the injury report with foot issues, they are both probable for tonight. Can't say the same for the struggling Grizzlies. Their star guar Ja Morant, is questionable tonight with a hand injury. Morant missed the final six minutes of game one after the injury occurred. The Grizzlies have lost two in a row and four of their last six games. Also remember that their two best big players, Steven Adams and Brendan Clarke are out for the playoffs. Must win spot for the Grizzlies and with injury concerns. Plus they are facing a resurgent Lakers team! I'll take the Lakers here in game two. |
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04-19-23 | Rangers +105 v. Royals | 12-3 | Win | 105 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers sit in 1st place in the AL West with their 11-6 record. They have the second best run differential in the A.L at +34 and have won seven of their last 10 games. Martin Perez makes his fourth start of the season today. Perez is 2-1 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.595 ERA. Perez has allowed just five earned runs total in his 15 2/3 innings of work. Meanwhile, the Royals are last in the AL Central with a 4-14 record. They have lost five in a row and eight of the last 10 games. They also have one of the worst run differentials at -42 runs. Brady Singer makes his fourth start today. Singer is 1-1 with a 7-88 ERA and 1.438 WHIP. Singer had a excellent first start, but has since been hit hard, allowing 13 runs over his last 11 innings. I like the Rangers here today at this excellent price. Play Texas. |
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04-18-23 | Cubs -1.5 v. A's | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 1 m | Show |
The Cubs rolled yesterday over the A's, winning 10-1. The Win increased their record to 9-6 and 8-3 over their last 11 games. The Cubs also have a nifty +25 Run differential. Marcus Stroman will make his fourth start today. Stroman is 2-1 on the season with a 1.00 ERA and 1.000 WHIP. He's allowed just two runs over his 18 innings. The Rockies dropped to 5-13 on the season and their run differential is a whopping -47 as they have lost seven straight and nine of their last 11 games. The A's will start Ken Waldichuk or the fourth time this year. He has a 0-2 record with a 10.20 ERA and 1.933 WHIP. Waldichuk has been hit hard and Stroman has been great. I'm laying the Run Line here today with the Cubs. |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 215 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The NY Knicks look to take a commanding lead in this best of seven series after taking game one at Cleveland, 101-97. The Knicks were a 5-point dog and won straight-up. The difference was on the boards where the Knicks grabbed 51 rebounds to the Cavs 38. The game easily went under the 216 total. The Knicks have now gone under 16 of 21 times in the conference quarterfinals. This really a must win game for the Cavs who have already lost home court and can ill afford to go back to NY down 0-2. The Cavs have gone under in three straight and six of their last eight games. I look for this pace to be slow like the last game. I'm on the UNDER. |
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04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 240 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Great game one between these teams with the Sacramento Kings coming out on top, 126-123. as a 1-point dog. That win snapped a Kings three game losing streak. The Kings are also 1-3-1 O/U in their last five games. They are also 2-5 O/U in their last seven games playing on one day rest. The loss for the Warriors snapped a three game winning streak. Golden State is now 4-5 O/U in their last nine games. They are also 5-15-1 O/U in their last 21 games vs a team with a winning record. These teams are 1-3-1 O/U in their last five meetings in Sacramento. Very high total here tonight, and with the teams going over in game one I'll take UNDER here tonight. |
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04-17-23 | Pirates v. Rockies -136 | 14-3 | Loss | -136 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
The Colorado Rockies return home here today after being swept at Seattle. The Rockies lost Sunday's game at Seattle, 0-1. The Rockies are in last place in the NL West with a 5-11 record and have now lost five straight and seven of their last 10. Pittsburgh took a 4-3 lead into the bottom of the 10th inning but couldn't hold on as they lost 4-5 to the Cardinals. Pitt dropped to 9-7 on the season. Kyle Freeland will make his third start of the season with a 2-0 record and 0.96 ERA and 0.964 WHIP. Freeland has been the best Rockies pitcher, allowing 10 hits and two runs over 12 2/3 innings. Rich Hill makes his fourth start for the Bucs and is 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA in his 15 innings of work. He's allowed 16 hits and 12 runs thus far. I like Freeland a lot here on Monday. Take the Rockies |
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04-16-23 | Orioles v. White Sox -140 | 8-4 | Loss | -140 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Orioles look to keep their head above the .500 line today with a win. The O's are 8-7 after their loss to the Sox on Saturday, 6-7 in 10 innings. The loss snapped a two-game win streak. They are now 4-2 over their last six games. Grayson Rodriguez starts today for the third time. G-Rod has no record with his 6.75 ERA, allowing seven runs over 9 1/3 innings of work. The Chicago White Sox are 6-9 thus far. Their win on Saturday snapped a three game losing streak. Dylan Cease looks to be the standout on the staff thus far with a 2-0 record in his three starts. Cease has a stellar 1.65 ERA and 0.796 WHIP. He's allowed one earned run in each of his starts. Cease looks to be the Ace and I'll take him here on Sunday. Play Chicago. |
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04-16-23 | Lakers +4 v. Grizzlies | 128-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
Reason: The Lakers got here by virtue of winning their Play-In game against the Timberwolves, 108-102. Despite trailing in each of the first three quarters, the Lakers rallied in the 4th to tie it up and send the game to OT where they came out ahead. The Lakers have really picked it up to end the season too, winning three straight and 10 of their last 12 games. They are 5-5-2 ATS during that span. The Grizzlies finished the season with a 51-31 record. They were 2-3 S/U and 1-4 down the final five games. They are just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games with 3 or more days of rest. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference quarterfinals games. The Lakers are about the healthiest they have been all season. With Lebron James and Anthony Davis both not having any issues the Lakers will be at full force. I'll take the Lakers plus the points here in game one. Play LA Lakers. |
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04-16-23 | Pirates +155 v. Cardinals | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates are shocking everyone thus far as they are out to a 9-6 start and in 2nd place in the NL Central. Almost as shocking is the St Louis Cardinals 6-9 start and last place in the division. The Pirates won Saturday's game with the Cards, 6-3, in 10 innings. They lead this four game set 2-1 and look for the sweep here on Sunday. Mitch Keller gets his third start and is 1-0 thus far with a 3.57 ERA. He's coming off a six inning performance vs Houston, allowing six hits and two runs in a no decision. The Red Birds will counter with Miles Mikolas, who is 0-1 in his two starts with a 10.05 ERA and 2.233 WHIP. He went five innings in his last start at Colorado, allowing 10 hits and six runs in a no decision. Pirates too good thus far and Mikolas too bad thus far to be laying this big a price. I'll take the value dog in the Pirates. |
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04-16-23 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins -121 | 5-0 | Loss | -121 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Two teams doing much better than expected meet here today as the Arizona Diamondbacks take on the Miami Marlins. The Marlins are 8-7 and bring a 4-game win streak into today's contest. They are also 7-3 their last 10 games. The Marlins also get their ACE on the hill today in Sandy Alcantara. Alcantara is 1-1 with a 5.78 ERA. Alcantara was magical in his first start, going nine innings and holding the Twins to just three hits and no runs. But he lost it in his 2nd start vs Philly, giving up nine runs and 10 hits over just 4 innings. The Diamondbacks are tied for first place in the NL West with the Dodgers at 8-7. The D'backs have lost two straight to the Marlins, losing 1-5 on Friday and then 2-3 on Saturday. They will send Zac Gallen to the hill. Gallen is 1-1 in his three starts with a 4.58 ERA and 1.188 WHIP. He's coming off his best start, going seven innings vs the Brewers and allowing just three hits and no runs for the win. Should be a very good pitcher's duel here today. I'll take Alcantara though who should bounce back from that poor performance. Take Miami. |
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04-15-23 | Knicks +5.5 v. Cavs | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Both these teams haven't played since last Sunday on the final day of the season. The Knicks finished with a pair of losses to Indiana and New Orleans. That snapped a 5-game win streak for the Knicks. One of those wins was on March 31 at Cleveland where the Knicks won 130-116. The Knicks have been very good on the road, going 36-15-1 ATS their last 52 away games. They are also 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. The Cavs dropped their season final to Charlotte, 95-106. That snapped a 3-game Cavs winning streak. The Cavs are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games with more than 3 days rest. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven quarterfinals games. The Knicks have done well vs the Cavs, going 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and 5-2 ATS in the last seven at Cleveland. I like the points here on Saturday. Take the Knicks. |
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04-15-23 | Angels v. Red Sox +102 | 7-9 | Win | 102 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
LA Angels are 7-6 on the season and in 2nd place in the AL West. They are 5-5 over their last 10 games. The Angels opened this four game set with the Red Sox with a loss yesterday, 3-5. Tyler Anderson gets his third start of the season here today. Anderson is 1-0 and coming off a no decision vs the Blue Jays where he went 4 2/3 innings and allowed seven hits and five runs. That makes him with a 4.22 ERA and 1.406 WHIP. The Red Sox off to a tough start at 6-8 overall. They are 4-6 last 10 games but did beat the Angels yesterday. That snapped a four game losing streak by the Sox. Nick Pivetta starts today for the third time. Pivetta is 0-1 with a 0.90 ERA and 1.100 WHIP. Pivetta has pitched well with just six hits and one earned run over his 10 innings of work. I like Pivetta to keep that good pitching going here today. Take the Red Sox. |
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04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 231 | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks had to win their play-In game on Tuesday vs the Heat to advance here today. They won 116-105 as a 5.5-point dog. That broke a two-game losing streak, including a loss at Boston last Sunday on closing day, 114-120 with the game going over. They are 4-0-1 O/U their last five games. They are also 20-6 O/U in their last 26 games following a ATS win. The Celtics haven't played since last Sunday when they beat the Hawks. They finished the season winning three straight and eight of their last 10. The Celtics have also gone over in five of their last seven games. With all the rest these teams have had recently they should be ready to push the pace here today. I'll take the OVER. |
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04-14-23 | Thunder v. Wolves -5.5 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
IT's win or go home for these teams tonight as the Timberwolves host the Thunder here tonight. The Thunder The Thunder pulled the road upset in the first play-in game at New Orleans, 123-118 as a 5.5-point dog. Minnesota lost at the Lakers in OT, 102-108 as a 7.5-point dog. It was a tough loss for the Wolves who led a lot of that game at the Lakers. The Wolves should like this matchup tonight though as they have won seven of the last eight meetings and three of four this season. The Thunder and Pelicans traded leads back and fourth in their game with the Thunder taking a 115-114 lead with 28.1 seconds left that they didn't give up. Minnesota led the Lakers at the end of each quarter, except the one that counted most, the 4th. They were up seven after three quarters. The Thunder are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. I'll take the host here tonight as they outplayed the Lakers for most of that game. Take Minnesota. |
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04-14-23 | Bulls +5.5 v. Heat | 91-102 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Winner of this game advances to the NBA Playoffs to face the Milwaukee Bucks. Chicago overcame a 19-point deficit against the Raptors on Wednesday night. The Bulls are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games. The Bulls have done great against the Heat this year, averaging 114 points and shooting 51.2% from the field. In addition the Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings at Miami. The Heat are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. They are also 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games vs a team with a losing record. The Bulls have had the Heat number this season, being outscored by an average of 11 points in their losses. I don't believe they will solve anything here tonight. Take Chicago. |
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04-14-23 | Giants -144 v. Tigers | 5-7 | Loss | -144 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Interleague action here today has the San Francisco Giants traveling to Detroit to take on the Tigers. The Tigers are last in the AL Central with a 3-9 record, though they did beat Toronto yesterday. Still, they have a -40 run differential this year. Joey Wentz makes his third start of the season. He's coming off a terrible start where he went 1 2/3 innings and allowed five runs. That makes 7 total innings with eight earned runs this season. San Francisco is 5-7 on the season and in 4th in the NL West. They are coming off their series with the Dodgers where they lost two of three games. Sean Manaea will make his second start today. Manaea went six innings and allowed three hits and one run to the Royals in a no decision. I like Manaea here today. I'll take the Giants. |
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04-13-23 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
The Toronto Blue Jays are off to a good start at 8-4. But unfortunately they are in the same division as the 12-0 Rays. They have also won three straight games. The Detroit Tigers it's just more of the same thus far with a 2-9 record and six straight losses. They also have the 2nd worst run differential in the AL with a -42 runs. Spencer Turnbull will start today for the Tigers with a 0-2 record after two starts. He's allowed 15 hits and 12 runs over just 8 innings of work. The Jays will counter with Chris Bassitt. Bassitt is 1-1 after two starts with a 10.61 ERA. After allowing nine runs in 3 1/3 innings of his initial start, he settled down at the Angels, allowing two hits and two earned runs over six innings. I'll lay the Run Line today with the Jays and Bassitt. |
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04-12-23 | Thunder +5.5 v. Pelicans | 123-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans and Oklahoma City Thunder finished 9th and 10th respectively. The Thunder finished 40-42 overall and won and covered their last two games. The Thunder were a decent covering team on the road, going 22-17-2 ATS on the season and averaging 114.1 ppg while allowing 117.1 ppg. The Thunder were 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games with two or more days rest. The Pelicans finished 42-40 on the season. They lost their last game at the T'Wolves, 108-113. They are also 1-3 ATS in their last four games. The Thunder have had the upper hand in this series, going 10-4 ATS the last 14 matchups and 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings in New Orleans. I'll take the points here tonight with the Thunder. |
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04-12-23 | Chelsea v. Real Madrid -145 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
UEFA Championship League action here on Wednesday has Chelsea taking on Real Madrid. Real Madrid are the reigning EUFA Champions and have lost just one of their last 10 EUFA games. This is the third consecutive season that these two teams have met. They are 1-1 in the previous two games with Madrid winning in the quarter-finals last season. Chelsea in a bit of a funk, losing to Wolverhampton on Saturday and now winless in their last four games. In addition, they have gone 323 minutes in the Premier league without a goal. Real Madrid at home here today makes a huge difference. With Chelsea's recent form and home field to Madrid, I'll be on Real Madrid here today. |
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04-12-23 | Padres v. Mets -109 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres and NY Mets conclude their three-game series here today from New York. The teams have split the first two games with the Padres winning game two yesterday, 4-2 and the Mets taking the opener, 5-0. The Padres are 7-5 overall and tied for first in the NL West with Arizona. Blake Snell will make his 3rd start here today. Snell went 3 2/3 innings in his last start at Atlanta, allowing six hits and four runs in a no decision. Snell lost his opening start to Colorado, 2-7, allowing six hits and three runs over 4 1/3 innings. The Mets are 6-6 and in 2nd place in the NL East. Tylor Megill makes his third start and looks to improve to 3-0 on the season today. Megill has gone 11 total innings and allowed nine hits and just two runs. I like Megill here today while Snell hasn't looked good in either start. Play the Mets. |
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04-11-23 | Wolves v. Lakers -7.5 | Top | 102-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
The LA Lakers made a late season rush to improve and climb into the play-in picture here tonight. The Lakers finished at 43-39 on the season and won eight of their last 10 games. The Lakers are also 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs a team with a winning record. The Minnesota Timberwolves finished right behind the Lakers at 42-40. They won their last three games and seven of the last 10 games. The bigger question is what is the status of the Lakers big stars. Lebron James (foot) and Anthony Davis (foot) both are expected to play here tonight. T'Wolves Karl Anthony Towns (calf) is questionable. I like the Lakers when they have their stars both in the lineup as they will tonight. I'll lay the points with the Lakers. |
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04-11-23 | Cardinals v. Rockies +150 | 9-6 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
These teams opened their series on Monday with the Rockies taking game one, 7-4 as a small dog. The Cardinals fell to 3-7 overall and are in last place in the NL Central. They have lost two straight and have a -9 run differential. Mile Mikolas will make his second start of the season. Mikolas went six innings vs the Braves to start the season, allowing nine hits and five runs to get the loss. The Rockies won their second straight game to improve to 5-6 in the NL West. Kyel Freeland looks to make it a 3-0 start to his season. Freeland has won both his starts, opening with a win at San Diego and then vs the Nationals. He's gone 10 innings and allowed seven hits and no runs in the process. Yet, here is Freeland and the Rockies a big home dog. I'll take Freeland who has been great and take the nice dog price in the process. Take Colorado. |
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04-11-23 | White Sox v. Twins -140 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
These clubs opened their series on Monday with the White Sox taking game one, 4-3. The win improved the Sox to 5-6 and 3rd place in the AL Central, while the Twins dropped to 6-4 and remain in 2nd place. Lance Lynn will make his second start of the season for the White Sox. Lynn went 4 1/3 innings in his first start vs the Giants, taking the loss after allowing nine hits and eight runs. The Twins will counter with Pablo Lopez who also makes his second start. Lopez went seven innings in his first start at Miami, allowing just three hits and one run in a no decision. Big edge here to Lopez who looked great in his opener. I'll take the Twins to rebound here on Tuesday. |
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04-11-23 | Hawks +5 v. Heat | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat will face off in one of the two play-in games here on Tuesday. The Hawks finished 8th in the East with a 41-41 record while the Heat finished 7th with a 44-38 mark. The Hawks lost their last two games of the season, snapping a 3-game win streak. Despite having a losing road record of 17-24, the Hawks were only outscored by 1.7 points per game this season. The Heat finished the season with a win over Orlando, 123-110. However, they were just 3-5 ATS down the stretch. The Heat also had a very poor home spread record of just 14-25-2 on the season. The Heat are just 6-27-1 ATS in their last 34 games following a ATS WIN as they had vs the Magic. Both these teams are pretty evenly matched and with that I'll be taking the points in this game. Play Atlanta. The Heat could be without guard Kyle Lowry here tonight who is questionable with a knee injury. |
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04-10-23 | Nationals v. Angels OVER 9.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The 3-7 Washington Nationals will travel to the LA Angels tonight. The Angels are 5-4 and tied for first in the AL West. The Angels lost a shootout on Sunday to the Blue Jays, 11-12. The Halos scored 27 runs in their four game set with Toronto, but could only get a split of the four game series. The Angels have also been a good over team, going 5-3-1 in their nine games. Jose Suarez gets his second start tonight. Suarez went just 4 1/3 innings vs Seattle in his season debut, allowing eight hits and seven runs and was collared with the loss. The Nationals split their last series at Colorado, scoring 23 runs over the last three games. They have also gone over in five of their last six games. Their bullpen has been bad, posting a 5.45 ERA and a 6.94 road ERA. Pat Corbin gets the start after going 0-2 in his first two games. Corbin has an 8.00 ERA after two games with a 2.22 WHIP. This has all the markings of another big scoring game. Take the OVER. |
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04-10-23 | Cardinals v. Rockies +131 | 4-7 | Win | 131 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals are off to a slow start this season as they sit in last place in the NL Central with a 3-6 record. The Cards dropped two their three games to the Brewers, including Sunday's 1-6 setback. Steven Matz will get his second start of the season here today. Matz went just 5 1/3 innings in his first start vs the Braves, allowing 10 hits and four runs for the loss. The Rockies have won just four of their first 10 games and are in last in the NL West. They split their series at home with the Nationals, taking the first and last games of the set. That includes yesterday's win, 7-6. German Marquez makes his third start of the season. He is 1-1 after winning his debut with vs the Padres, 7-2 and then losing his last start at the Dodgers, 2-5. Marquez went 5 1/3 innings and allowed four runs in that loss. Marquez would be considered the teams Ace, and losing at the Dodgers isn't unexpected. He returns home today and is a dog vs a Cardinals team I wouldn't have been surprised had he been the favorite. I look for him and the Rockies to get the win vs the Cards. |
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04-10-23 | Mariners -140 v. Cubs | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
The AL West doesn't seem to have any one team making a run as of yet as the top four teams are 1.5 games separation. That includes the Mariners who are 4-6. The M's took two of three games from their set with the Guardians, losing Sunday's game, 6-7. Luis Castillo makes his third start of the season. Castillo has been brilliant thus far, going 11 2/3 total innings and allowing just three total hits and NO runs with 12 KO's and two walks. The Cubs are 4-4 to start the season. Chicago took two of their three games from the Rangers, but lost Sunday 2-8. Drew Smyly makes his second start after a bad first one. He went 4 2/3 innings vs the Reds, allowing nine hits and seven runs for the loss. I like Castillo a lot who looks to be in mid-season for here already. Play the Mariners. |
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04-09-23 | Cardinals v. Brewers -144 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
The Brewers lost for just the second time this season against six wins with their setback on Saturday to the Cardinals, 0-6. The game looked much more even then the -1.55 line on the Cardinals, but the line proved strong. Now the Brewers, who had their six game win streak snapped, look to get back to winning here today. Freddy Peralta makes his second start of the season. He went six strong innings in his first start vs the Mets, allowing just two hits over six innings for no runs in the win. He'll go against the 3-5 Cardinals today who will counter with Jake Woodford. Woodford lost his first start to the Braves, 4-8, giving up seven hits and six runs over his 4 1/3 innings of work. I look for the Brewers to get back to winning here on Sunday. Play Milwaukee. |
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04-08-23 | Cardinals v. Brewers +148 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a confusing game for me. You have St Louis Cardinals who are 2-5 on the season on the road at 6-1 Milwaukee. Yet, the Cardinals are a -1.55 favorite. The Cards Jordan Montgomery did look pretty good in his first start, going five innings and allowing six hits and three runs to the BlueJays for the win. The Brewers only loss came on opening day to the Cubs. Since then they are 6-0 and hove three shutouts in their last four games!! Eric Lauer looked good in his first start, going 5 1/3 innings against the Cubs, allowing five hits and two runs. So why are the Cardinals a 1.55 favorite on the road? I have no idea, but I'm taking the Brewers here on Saturday. |
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04-08-23 | Astros v. Twins -113 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Oddsmakers made this one basically a pick'em between slumping Houston and Minnesota. I have to disagree with them as I made the Twins a much higher favorite, mainly due to Joe Ryan of the Twins. Ryan had a fine first start, allowing just three hits and one run over six innings to get the win. The Twins are 5-2 on the season after taking game one of this series on Friday, 3-2. The pitching and bullpen as been excellent, allowing two runs or fewer in four of their six games. Houston is off to a slow 3-5 start after losing four of their last five games. Luis Garcia making his second start after taking the loss in game one vs the White Sox, 3-6. Garcia went five innings, allowed seven hits and three runs in the loss. I like the Twins here today with Ryan on the hill. |
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04-07-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels -117 | 4-3 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The LA Angels are tied for first in the AL West with the Rangers at 4-2 overall. The Angels are coming off a 2-1 series win over the Mariners. Patrick Sandoval gets his second start of the season tonight. Sandoval won his first start, going five innings and allowing two hits and one run to the A's. Toronto is 4-3 in the AL East trying not to let 6-0 Tampa Bay run away early. After losing two of three to the Cardinals to open the season, the Jays took three of four from the Royals. Chris Bassitt looks to rebound from a poor opening performance. Bassitt went just 3 1/3 innings vs St Louis, allowing 10 hits and nine earned runs in the loss. I like the Angels at home with the better starter on the mound. Play LA |
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04-07-23 | Rangers v. Cubs -120 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
Interleague action here today has the Texas Rangers playing at the Chicago Cubs. The Rangers have the early lead in the AL West with a 4-2 record. They also have the best run differential in the division at +14 runs. They are coming off a win vs Baltimore on Wednesday, 5-2, snapping a two-game losing streak. Nathan Eovaldi will get the start today, his second of the season. Eovaldi went five innings in his first start against the Phillies for the WIN, allowing six hits and three runs. The Cubs are 2-3 on the season. The Cubs got rained out on Wednesday so Marcus Stroman, today's starter, got an extra day of rest. Stroman got the opening day win over Milwaukee, 4-0, going six innings, allowing three hits and striking out 8 batters. I'm going to take the Cubs here on Friday at home with a very good Stroman on the hill. Play Cubs. |
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04-06-23 | Nationals v. Rockies -148 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
The Washington Nationals hit the road for the first time this season as they travel to Colorado. They are coming off a opening season home stand that found them 1-5 and outscored 17 to 38 in the process. They will send Josiah Gray to the hill today. Gray opened the season with a loss to the Braves, going five innings and allowing seven hits and five runs. The Rockies are 2-4 to start the season and play their first home game after a six game stint to open the season on the road. The Rockies opened with two wins before dropping their last four games. Kyle Freeland, who got one of those wins, makes his second start here today. Freeland went six innings and allowed just three hits and no runs to the Padres. He will face a much weaker hitting team today in the Nats. I like the Rockies with Freeland who should have little trouble with this game. Play Colorado. |
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04-05-23 | Rays -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
Tampa Bay is the only undefeated team left in baseball at 5-0. They also have a mind blowing +26 run differential, as they have scored 37 runs and allowed just 11 on the season. They look to sweep this series with the Nationals after taking the first two games. Today then send Shane McClanahan back to the hill. He started on opening day and went six solid innings for the win over the Tigers. He allowed just four hits and one walk in the win. The Nationals are just 1-4 to start the season. They have a -16 run differential and have scored just 15 runs in five games. Pat Corbin makes his second start of the season. Corbin went just three innings in his season debut vs the Braves, allowing seven hits and four runs over just three innings. I will gladly lay the Run-Line here today in what looks like a Tampa Bay blowout win. |
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04-04-23 | Braves v. Cardinals OVER 10 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
The Atlanta Braves off to a 3-1 start after four games. The Braves took two of three from the Nationals to open the season. They opened this set with the Cardinals winning last night, 8-4. Dylan Dodd will toe the rubber for the first time this season. In fact, he makes his major league debut here tonight. Meanwhile the Cardinals are 2-2 to start the season. They took two of three from the Blue Jays to open the season and lost the opener here last night. They have gone over in three of their four games thus far. They have also scored at least four runs in each game. Steven Matz will make his first start this year. Matz was 5-3 with a 5.25 ERA last year. Neither pitcher all that great here today and the way both teams have been hitting, this looks like an over to me. |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut -7 | Top | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
San Diego State was fortunate to get away with a win vs Florida Atlantic on Saturday, as they trailed by double digits for most of the 2nd half. It took a shot with no time left on the clock for the Aztecs to pull out the win and advance. Now they run into the hottest team in the tournament, Connecticut. U Conn has had no trouble in any of it's games thus far. They have won by 24 over Iona, 15 over St Mary's, 23 over Arkansas, 28 over Gonzaga and then yesterday went wire to wire over Miami, 72-59. This is the team in form to win it all. San Diego State has had some luck while U Conn has just been very good and dominating. I'm going to stick with the hot team here tonight. Play Connecticut. |
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04-03-23 | Giants v. White Sox -125 | 12-3 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
The San Francisco Giants continue their interleague play here on Monday after a 3-game set at the Yankees to open the season. The Giants lost two of the three games to the Yankees. Today, they will open by sending Anthony Desclafani to the hill. Desclafani was 0-2 in limited action last year with a 6.63 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. The White Sox split their four game set with the Astros to open the season. They took the fourth game on Sunday 6-3 with Clevinger. Michael Kopech will start here today for the Sox. He was 5-9 last year with a 3.54 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Kopech was 2-5 at home last year with a 3.01 ERA. I'm going to stick with the White Sox here today. Neither starter showed much last year, but Kopech had a decent home ERA last year. |
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04-02-23 | Blue Jays v. Cardinals -110 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
Toronto and St Louis have split the first two games of this 3-game set. The Jays took the opening game 10-9 and then lost game two on Saturday, 1-4. Chris Bassitt will start today for the Blue Jays. Bassitt was 15-9 last season with a 3.42 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Jordan Montgomery will start for the Cards. He was 9-6 last season with a 3.48 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Montgomery was much better at home last year, posting a 7-2 record and 3.31 ERA. I'll take the Cardinals here on Sunday. |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
IT's been quite the run for Conference USA this postseason. First Charlotte wins the CBI tournament and then UAB and North Texas played for the NIT FInals, both from Conference USA. Now, Florida Atlantic looks to keep their Cinderella run going here on Saturday vs San Diego State. Really both these teams not expected to be in the Final Four. Florida Atlantic was great all year while San Diego State is a big, strong and experienced team. FAU Owls are 35-3 overall and you have to go back to Feb 16 for their last loss. They have also gone 8-3 ATS their last 11 games. SDG State Aztecs are 31-6 and have covered six straight games. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight games and 14 of the last 15 games. That's because of this defense and slower game they play. FAU has gone under in five of their last seven games and six of their last eight on a neutral court. I love this game to go UNDER here on Saturday. |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. San Diego State | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
IT's been quite the run for Conference USA this postseason. First Charlotte wins the CBI tournament and then UAB and North Texas played for the NIT FInals, both from Conference USA. Now, Florida Atlantic looks to keep their Cinderella run going here on Saturday vs San Diego State. Really both these teams not expected to be in the Final Four. Florida Atlantic was great all year while San Diego State is a big, strong and experienced team. FAU Owls are 35-3 overall and you have to go back to Feb 16 for their last loss. They have also gone 8-3 ATS their last 11 games. SDG State Aztecs are 31-6 and have covered six straight games. Really you can make a case for either side here today. I'm taking FAU just because I like how scrappy this team has played all season long. Take Florida Atlantic. |
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04-01-23 | Mets v. Marlins +107 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
The Mets and Marlins have split the first two games of this four-game set. The Mets won on opening day, 5-3 and then lost last night 1-2. The Mets will start Tylor Megill today. Megill was 4-1 last year with a 5.13 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. The Marlins will send Edward Cabrera to the hill today. Cabrera was 6-4 last year with a 3.01 ERA. Marlins are a small dog here at home today. With Megill on the hill for the Mets I like the Marlins in this one. Play Miami. |
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04-01-23 | Braves -1.5 v. Nationals | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
The Braves opened their season on Thursday with a convincing win over the Nationals, 7-2. I had them on the Run line in that opening game. They took off yesterday and resume here today against the Nat. They will start Spencer Strider, who was 11-5 last year with a 2.67 ERA. The Nationals will start Josiah Gray, who was 7-10 last year with a 5.02 ERA. Braves expected to contend for the division title again this year. I will lay the Run Line with the Braves again here on Saturday. |
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04-01-23 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
The Braves opened their season on Thursday with a convincing win over the Nationals, 7-2. I had them on the Run line in that opening game. They took off yesterday and resume here today against the Nat. They will start Spencer Strider, who was 11-5 last year with a 2.67 ERA. The Nationals will start Josiah Gray, who was 7-10 last year with a 5.02 ERA. Braves expected to contend for the division title again this year. I expect the Braves to get plenty of runs again here today. I'll take the OVER. |
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03-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -3.5 | 130-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers clinched a playoff spot as they sit 4th in the East with a 48-29 record. The Knicks are right behind them with a 44-33 record, four games back in 5th place. The Knicks have won two straight games after dropping three games. They are now 5-6 S/U and ATS their last 11 games overall. Despite their recent rough patch, the Knicks are still a decent covering team with a 35-17 ATS mark in their last 52 road games. The Cavs have been one of the surprise teams this year in the East. They are coming off a close loss at Atlanta, 118-120, pushing the +2-line. However, they are 6-2 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS their last eight games. They are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight-up loss. They are also 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs a team with a winning road record. I like the Cavs here tonight. Play Cleveland. |
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03-30-23 | Diamondbacks +150 v. Dodgers | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Dodgers lost a lot of offensive firepower in the offseason so it will be interesting to see what effect that has on them. The did pick up JD Martinez who will be the DH, but he had a poor spring training. Two rookies will fill the lineup and a big downgrade at shortstop. The Dodgers finished the Spring with a 14-13 record and lost seven of their last nine games. Arizona looked decent in the spring with a 16-14 record and won their last three and six of the last nine. Zac Gallen starts for the D'backs after a excellent 2022 season that saw him go 12-4 with a 2.54 ERA. Julio Urias gets the start for the Dodgers after a 17-7 mark last season and 2.16 ERA. A bit of a steep line here tonight for the Dodegers with all the questions still lingering. I'll take the dog with Gallen on the hill. Play Arizona. |
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03-30-23 | UAB v. North Texas +2.5 | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
The Conference USA has sure made it's mark this college postseason. First winning the CBI tournament with NC Charlotte. Now, both finalists in the NIT are from the Conference USA and even Florida Atlantic in the NCAA Final Four. The teams know each other well with North Texas taking two of the previous three meetings this year. UAB winning in the conference tournament, 76-69, as a 1-point favorite. That makes UAB 15-2 S/U their last 17 games and 9-4 ATS their last 13 games. North Texas is 12-2 S/U and 11-3 ATS their last 14 games. Both teams have a good shot of winning this game, but North Texas has had the better of it this year so I'll stick with them. Play North Texas. |
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03-30-23 | Blue Jays v. Cardinals -101 | 10-9 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals concluded the spring training with the best win percentage in the Grapefruit League at 17-7 (.708). They won five of their last six games. As for the Blue Jays, they finished 17-15 and a .531 win percentage. The Jays lost four straight to conclude the preseason. Alan Manoah will start for the Jays today. Manoah had a fine year in 2022 with a 16-7 record and 2.24 ERA. The Cards will counter with Miles Mikolas. Mikolas was 12-13 last year with a 3.29 ERA. Cards a small home dog here to start the season. I'll take St Louis here on opening day at this nice price. Play St Louis. |
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03-30-23 | Braves -1.5 v. Nationals | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
The Braves one of the better teams in the preseason, ended up 2nd in the Grapefruit league with a 18-10 record. They finished the preseason with five straight wins and eight of the last nine. As for the Washington Nationals, they ended with a 13-12 mark and 4-4 down the stretch. Max Fried gets the start today for the Braves after a 14-7 mark last year and 2.48 ERA. The Nationals counter with Patrick Corbin who was 6-19 last year with a 6.31 ERA. Atlanta a big favorite here today, so I'll lay the Run Line with the Braves in this early game. |
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03-29-23 | Kings v. Blazers OVER 235 | 120-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings have a solid hold on the third spot in the West with their 45-30 record. They are three games back of 2nd place Memphis and three games ahead of fourth place Phoenix. The Kings are the highest scoring team in the NBA with a 121.0 ppg average. In fact, no other team in the NBA averages over the 120 mark. The Kings are coming off a loss at home to Minnesota, 115-119, as a 6.5-point favorite. They have gone under two straight games after a four game OVER run. The Kings are 8-3-1 Ov/Un in their last 12 with one day rest. They are also 16-7 Ov/Un in their last 24 overall. The Portland Trailblazers are on the verge of elimination from the playoffs as they sit in 13th place in the West and 4.5 games back of the Thunder. They have lost three straight and nine of their last 10 games. They are also 5-5 O/U during that span. They are 12-5 O/U their last 17 vs a team with a winning road record. These teams have gone over in five of their last seven meetings and six of the last seven in Portland. I'll be on the OVER here tonight. |
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03-29-23 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -4 | Top | 141-132 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Western Conference clash has two playoff teams looking to keep or improve their standings in the playoff hierarchy. The LA Clippers are 5th with a 40-36 record, but just 3.5 games separate 4th place from 11th place so anything can happen. The Grizzlies have locked up a playoff spot with their 48-27 record as they sit second in the West, 3-games back of top dog Denver. The Clips have split their last six games, going 3-3 S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over Chicago, 124-112, as a 4.5-point favorite. LA is jus 3-9 ATS their last 12 playing on one day of rest. They are also 3-7 ATS their last 10 road games playing a home team with a 60% or better win percentage. Meanwhile, Memphis has won seven straight games and 11 of their last 12. They are 5-5-1 ATS during that span. They are coming off a win over Orlando, 113-108, as a 7-point favorite. The Grizzlies are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 home games. They are also 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings with the Clippers and 4-1 ATS in their last five at Memphis. I'll take the Grizzlies here tonight. |
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03-28-23 | Heat v. Raptors -3 | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here on Tuesday has Miami taking on Toronto North of the border. Miami is 40-35 and in 7th in the East tied with 6th place Brooklyn. The Raptors come in at 9th just one game ahead of 10th place Chicago. Miami had its two game win streak snapped last game by Brooklyn, 100-129 as a 5.5-point favorite. The Heat are now 7-6 S/U and 5-8 ATS their last 13 games. The Heat are just 14-21 ATS and S/U on the road this season. The Heat are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 8-22-1 ATS their last 31 games vs a team with a losing straight up record. The Raptors are 37-38 on the season and need to win to hold onto a playoff spot. Toronto has won two straight games and five of their last seven. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games .Toronto has also gone 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine home games. Toronto is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings with the Heat. I'll take the Raptors here at home on Tuesday. |
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03-28-23 | Wisconsin v. North Texas -1.5 | Top | 54-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
NIT Semifinal action here on Tuesday has Wisconsin taking on North Texas from Las Vegas, NV. Wisconsin was an early exit from the Big 10 tourney when they lost to Ohio State, 57-65 as a 2.5-point dog. They have three straight in the NIT though, at home over Bradley, 81-62, then at home over Liberty, 75-71, and last game over Oregon, 61-58, as a 1.5-point dog. The Badgers are 3-3-1 ATS in their last seven games. In addition, they are 7-15-2 ATS their last 24 overall games. North Texas lost in the Conference USA tourney to UAB, 69-76. They have gone on in the NIT to beat Alcorn State, 69-53, Sam Houston, 75-55 and then in OT last game they beat Oklahoma State, 65-59, as a 4-point dog. That makes them 11-3 ATS their last 14 games. They are also 14-6 ATS in their last 20 on a neutral site. Really just need to pick the winner here tonight and for me, that's North Texas. |
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03-27-23 | Bulls +4.5 v. Clippers | 112-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls playing their 2nd of a back-to-back spot here tonight. They played the Lakers last night and won, 118-108, as a 5-point dog. No traveling here today as they stay in LA to face the Clippers. The Bulls have won five of their last six and seven of their last nine games. They are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games. They Bulls need to keep winning as they hold onto the 10th and last playoff spot, but now lead the Pacers by 3.5-games. The Clippers are 39-26 and in 5th place in the Western Conference. However, only 3.5-games separate 4th place from 11th place in the conference. The Clippers will also play without Paul George again tonight. George got injured two games ago with knee injury. The injury showed in their last game vs the Pelicans where they were blown out, 110-131. The Clippers had a day off but they are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven in that spot. The Bulls have covered five of the last seven vs the Clippers and four of the last five in LA. I'll take the points with a hot Bulls team here tonight. |
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03-27-23 | Rockets v. Knicks -13.5 | Top | 115-137 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
The Houston Rockets have the 2nd worst record in the NBA at 18-57, only Detroit has fewer wins. The Rockets have also lost five straight and seven of their last 10 games. Houston has also been bad on the road, going 11-23-3 ATS and allowing a whopping 122.3 ppg. The Rockets playing the 2nd of a back-to-back spot here tonight. They played at Cleveland last night and lost 91-108, failing to cover the 14-point dog line. The Rockets are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine with no rest. The Knicks are 5th in the East with a 42-33 and have lost three straight games. They are still 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games and 6-2-1 ATS their last nine home games. The Knicks have covered the last six of seven in this series. I'll lay the big points tonight with New York. |
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03-26-23 | Rockets v. Cavs -14 | 91-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are in 4th in the Eastern Conference with a 47-28 record. They are 8-2 their last 10 games and have won three straight. The Houston Rockets are eliminated from the playoffs with a 18-56 record and in last place in the West. Only Detroit in the East has a worst record. The Rockets have lost four straight and seven of their last 10 games. They are just 11-22-3 ATS on the road this season. That includes a 5-14 ATS mark their last 19 on the road. The Cavs have been excellent at home, going 24-13 ATS this season. The Cavs are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team with a losing record. The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS their last six vs the Rockets and 4-0 ATS in the last four at Cleveland. I'll lay the big number with the Cavs here on Sunday. |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. Texas | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
Elite 8 action continues here on Sunday as Miami and Texas face off in the Midwest Regional Final from Kansas City, MO. After losing to Duke in the ACC tourney, Miami has won three straight NCAA games over Drake, Indiana and last game upending the top seed Houston, 89-75. None of their games have been close, as they have won by 7, 16 and 14 points. The Hurricanes are now 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA tournament games. They are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team with a winning record. Texas won the Big 12 tournament and now has three wins in the NCAA, making their win streak at seven games. They have also covered six of their last seven games. They are coming off a win over Xavier, 83-71, as a 4.5-point favorite. The one knock against this Texas team is that they are just 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 NCAA tourney games. I'm sticking with the dog here on Sunday. Play Miami Florida. |
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03-25-23 | Pelicans v. Clippers -5 | 131-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans holding onto the 9th playoff spot, but a bunch of teams surround them. In fact, the games separating 4th place LA Clippers and 11th place Utah are just 3.5-games. The Pelicans can get back to the .500 mark with a win here tonight. They have won three straight games including last time out vs Charlotte, 115-96, as a 9-point favorite. However, the Pelicans are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games and 7-22 ATS their last 29 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Clippers will be without Paul George, who is out indefinitely with a knee injury. They were without him last game in their win over the Thunder, 127-105, as a 4-point favorite. That made them 5-2 S/U and ATS in their last seven games. Time will tell the long term effects of the loss of George. For tonight though, I'll be on the Clippers. |