Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-20-22 | Cowboys v. Vikings +1.5 | 40-3 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 16 m | Show | |
Not too often you can get a 8-1 team as a small home dog. But that's the case here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys visit Minnesota to face the Vikings. The Vikings just coming off a huge win at Buffalo in OT, 33-30. That after trailing one of the best defensive teams in the league, 10-24 at the half. As for Dallas, the Cowboys led the Packers 28-14 before the Packers came back with 14 points in the fourth quarter to tie the game and then won in OT, 31-28. I'm sorry, but no way the Vikings should be any dog in this game. I'll take this price early on Minnesota. |
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11-20-22 | Bengals v. Steelers +4 | 37-30 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals sitting at 5-4 and one game back of the Ravens in the AFC North. They will face last place North team Pittsburgh Steelers here today who are 3-6. The Bengals rebounded from their loss to Cleveland three weeks ago, 13-32, with a nice win two weeks ago at home over Carolina, 42-21. The Bengals had last week off to prepare for today. The Bengals offense ranks 8th overall in the NFL with the passing game at 6th. The defense comes in at 10th overall. The Pittsburgh Steelers beat New Orleans last week at home, 20-10, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Steelers rushed for a season-high 217 yards while holding the Saints to just 186 total yards (29 on the ground). The Steelers defense hasn't been that good all season, ranking 27th overall and 30th vs the pass. Though they have been good at stopping the run (6th). The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games. They are also 22-10-1 ATS their last 33 meetings with the Bengals. I'll take the points at home with the Steelers and look for an outright Pittsburgh win today. |
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11-20-22 | Jets +3.5 v. Patriots | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
The NY Jets might be the most surprising team this year with their 6-3 record and just one game behind the Miami Dolphins for the lead in the AFC East. But in the competitive East division all the teams are bunched up with the last placed Patriots at 5-4 and just two games back of first place. That makes a game like this today so important to both teams. Especially when you have the 6-3 Bills in the mix of things. The Jets coming off the big upset last week of the Bills, 20-17, as a 10.5-point dog. The Jets have now covered five of their last six games. The Jets have also had a very good defense, ranked 7th in the NFL. The Patriots coming off a win last week over the Colts, 26-3. They have also covered five of their last six games. The Patriots defense is 12th in the league. The Jets have an edge on offense where they are 18th in the league compared to the Patriots at 26th. I expect a close game here on Sunday. Neither team will run away with this one so the line is important. I'll take the points with a Jets team that can easily win outright. Play the NY Jets. |
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11-20-22 | Panthers +13 v. Ravens | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
It's AFC vs NFC here today as the NFC South Carolina Panthers take on the AFC North Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens are in first place in the division with a 6-3 record. They lead the Bengals by one game. The Ravens have won three straight games, including two weeks ago at New Orleans, 27-13, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Ravens had last week off. That makes two straight covers for the Ravens. The Ravens are just 3-9-1 ATS their last 13 games following an ATS win. They are also 1-4 ATS their last five games following a bye week. The Panthers made some wholesale changes to their team when they traded Christian McCaffery away to the 49ers. Still, they have been competitive, covering three of the last four. The Panthers also had a bye week last week after beating the Falcons the week before, 25-15, as a 2.5-point dog. The Baltimore defense ranks 19th while Carolina comes in at 25th. The Ravens are 12th on offense while the Panthers are 30-th. These teams last met in 2018 when Carolina won at home, 36-21 as a small dog. Panthers getting around 13-points here today. I believe that might be a bit much though the way the Panthers have been covering spreads. I'll take a shot with Carolina here today. |
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11-20-22 | Browns +8 v. Bills | 23-31 | Push | 0 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lose their home stadium here due to the snow issues in the area. The game was moved to Detroit's covered stadium on artificial turf. Buffalo coming off two straight losses, last week they had the lead and couldn't hold on against Minnesota, 30-33, losing in OT as a 6.5-point favorite. The week before they lost to the Jets in New Jersey, 17-20. That makes three straight spread losses for the Bills. Granted, QB Josh Allen has been battling some injuries here of late. Buffalo still has the league's top rated offense overall and the 8th ranked defense. The Browns expect QB Deshaun Watson to start here today after his suspension was finally over. Jacoby Brissett has been good in the QB role though, so should be interesting to see which way they go today. Cleveland looks to bounce back after losing last week at Miami, 17-39, as a 3.5-point dog. That coming after their big win over the Bengals the week before, 32-13. The move has to hurt the Bills more than the Browns here today. I'll take the TD+ today with the Browns. |
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11-20-22 | Browns v. Bills OVER 50 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lose their home stadium here due to the snow issues in the area. The game was moved to Detroit's covered stadium on artificial turf. Buffalo coming off two straight losses, last week they had the lead and couldn't hold on against Minnesota, 30-33, losing in OT as a 6.5-point favorite. The week before they lost to the Jets in New Jersey, 17-20. That makes three straight spread losses for the Bills. Granted, QB Josh Allen has been battling some injuries here of late. Buffalo still has the league's top rated offense overall and the 8th ranked defense. The Browns expect QB Deshaun Watson to start here today after his suspension was finally over. Jacoby Brissett has been good in the QB role though, so should be interesting to see which way they go today. Cleveland looks to bounce back after losing last week at Miami, 17-39, as a 3.5-point dog. That coming after their big win over the Bengals the week before, 32-13. No snow and a fast turf makes be believe we'll see some point being put up here today. The Browns are 6-2-1 Ov/Un their last nine games and 5-1-1 O/U their last seven vs the AFC. I will take a chance on the over here today with the move to an indoor stadium and the faster turf. Play the OVER. |
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11-19-22 | UNLV v. Hawaii +11.5 | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
Late and last game on the board here on Saturday has a Mountain West clash with UNLV playing at Hawaii. UNLV started the season 3-0 and since has gone 1-6. They need to win out their last two games tonight at Hawaii and then at home vs Nevada to be 6-6 on the season and maybe a shot at a bowl game. Hawaii coming off a loss last week at home to Utah State, 34-41, covering the 11.5-point dog line. The Rainbow Warriors have covered five of their last six games, though they are just 3-8 S/U mark. The Warriors will close out their season next week at San Jose State. The Rebels have done well covering spreads, going 10-4 ATS their last 14 games and 4-1 ATS their last five on the road. The problem I have here is that UNLV laying 11-points. They are not the type of team to cover big spreads as a favorite and Hawaii has done well vs the number, especially at home. I'll take a shot here with Hawaii plus the double digit points. |
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11-19-22 | USC v. UCLA +2.5 | 48-45 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
Huge rivalry game here as No 7 USC travels the short distance across town to take on UCLA at the Rose Bowl. USC is in 1st in the PAC-12 standings with a 7-1 conference record and 9-1 overall mark. No 16 UCLA is 5-2 in PAC-12 play and 8-2 overall. USC enters those final two games of the season that always including UCLA and then Notre Dame, so no easy games for the Trojans. USC's only loss this season coming bac, on Oct 15 as Utah came from behind to nip the Trojans, 43-42. UCLA coming off a loss last week at home against Arizona, 28-34, as a huge 19.5-point favorite. It's obvious that the Bruins looked past Arizona to this game this week. They close out the regular season at Cal next week. UCLA beat USC last year in big fashion, 62-33 as a 5-point road dog. That makes UCLA 3-2 ATS the last five meetings. USC is just 6-14-2 ATS their last 22 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven road games overall. UCLA is 8-2 ATS their last 10 conference games and 5-2 ATS their last seven overall. UCLA a small home dog here but I look for them to win this game outright before a packed house of rabid fans at the Rose Bowl. Take UCLA. |
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11-19-22 | Iowa +3 v. Minnesota | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
The Big 10 West is wide open for a winner between four teams and two of them meet here today as 4-3 Iowa takes on 4-3 Minnesota. Both teams heading to bowls no matter what happens. Iowa has the third best defense in college football. It's the offense that has had troubles this season as they rank only 129th. Iowa has won three straight since losing to Ohio State, that includes last week over Wisconsin, 24-10, as a 1.5-point dog. Minnesota has won three straight games, including last week over Northwestern, 31-3. After Iowa they close out at Wisconsin the final week. Iowa is 5-0-1 ATS their last six meetings with Minnesota. They are also 4-1 ATS their last five games at Minnesota. I like this defense of Iowa and as a dog here today they should be right in it until the end. Play Iowa. |
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11-19-22 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. Auburn | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky down to its final two games of the regular season. The Hilltoppers are 6-5 and looking to make it to a bowl with a win in one of the two final games. After Auburn this week they will travel to Florida Atlantic for their final regular season game. Auburn having an off season likely isn't going anywhere this bowl season. The Tigers are just 2-5 in the SEC West and 4-6 overall. They are coming off a narrow win last week at home over Texas A&M, 13-10, as a 2-point home favorite. The Auburn defense ranks only 74th overall this season while Western Ky is 60th. Meanwhile, W.Ky has one of the better offenses in the country, ranked 14th. Western is 7-1 ATS their last eight vs a team with a losing record and 19-7-1 ATS their last 27 road games. Auburn is 2-6 ATS their last eight road games and 0-6 ATS their last six vs a non-conference team. I'm taking Western Kentucky here on Saturday as they still have a bowl berth to play for. |
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11-19-22 | San Jose State +5.5 v. Northern Colorado | 80-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
The San Jose State Spartans hit the road today to take on Northern Colorado. The Spartans are 3-1 to start the season, losing their first game last time out at home to Hofstra, 76-85, as a 2.5-point dog. The Spartans led this game by 10-points at half but couldn't hold on in the 2nd half. Northern Colorado Bears are 1-2 and coming off a road loss to Baylor, 62-95, failing to cover the generous 28-point dog line. They are 0-3 vs the number thus far after failing to cover vs Houston and Texas A&M-Commerce. They lost to Houston in their opener 36-83. Spartans could easily be 4-0 if they didn't go to sleep in the 2nd half of the game against a very good Hofstra team. The Bears just too erratic thus far with some huge losses. I'll take San Jose State today. |
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11-19-22 | Georgia v. Kentucky UNDER 48.5 | 16-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Top Ranked Georgia puts its 10-0 record and 7-0 SEC mark on the line today as they travel to Kentucky. Kentucky is third in the SEC East with a 3-4 conference record and 6-4 overall mark. Georgia coming off a win at Mississippi State, 45-19. The Bulldogs have allowed more than 20 points just two times all year and that was 22 points on two occasions. The Dogs are 3-8-1 Ov/Un in their last 12 games and 1-4 O/U in their last five road games. Kentucky coming off a 21-24 loss at home to Vandy. They close their regular season with a game next week at home against Louisville. Georgia has the 6th ranked defense in the country while Kentucky is ranked 16th. Kentucky is 1-10 O/U in their last 11 games and 1-6 O/U in their last seven home games. Take UNDER today. |
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11-19-22 | Texas v. Kansas +9.5 | Top | 55-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Big 12 action here on Saturday has Texas (6-4, 4-3) taking on Kansas (6-4, 3-4). TCU has the conference wrapped-up at 7-0, but after that only one game separates the next four teams. Texas coming off a loss at home to TCU last week, 10-17, as a 7-point favorite. The Longhorns finish up at home next week vs Baylor. Kansas lost at Texas Tech last week, 28-43 as a 4-point dog. The Jayhawks will finish up at Kansas State next week. Texas just 4-10 ATS their last 14 games in the Big 12. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven road games. Kansas 5-0-1 ATS their last six home games and 10-2-1 ATS their last 13 overall games. Kansas has also covered the last five vs Texas. The dog is also 5-0 ATS the last five meetings. Kansas getting almost 10 points looks like a gift to me. I'll take Kansas plus the points. |
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11-19-22 | Maryland +3.5 v. St. Louis | 95-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Hall of Fame basketball Tip Off Tourney heads into their Semi-Finals today and the early matchup has Maryland taking on St Louis. The St Louis Billikins are 3-0 to start the season after their win over Memphis, 90-84. Same goes for the Maryland Terps, a perfect 3-0 heading into today's contest. Maryland's wins not as impressive with victories over Niagara, Western Carolina and then last game over Binghamton, 76-52. Though they have covered all three games. Billikin wins have been a bit more impressive with an opening win over Murray State, 91-68, Evansville, 83-65 and then last game over Memphis as a 3-point favorite. They are 2-1 ATS in their three games. One big advantage for the Terps today will be in height and that should help them on the defensive boards where they have struggled thus far. St Louis has lost five straight to the Big 10, yet here they are a favorite today. Maryland is 8-3 ATS their last 11 games and I'll take a Big 10 team here on Saturday getting points. Play Maryland. |
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11-19-22 | Illinois +17.5 v. Michigan | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Big 10 clash here on Saturday between two of the best defenses in the nation. Illinois is 2nd in the nation in overall defense, right behind No 1 Michigan. Both teams also have excellent redzone efficiency levels of less than 60%. Illinois is 7-3 overall on the season. The Illini are tied for 1st with Purdue, Iow and Minnesota in the Big 10 West, all with 4-3 conference records. Michigan and Ohio State are tied at 7-0 in the Big 10 East and meet next week in the final regular season game to likely determine the winner of the East and trip to the Big 10 Championship. Have to wonder if the Wolverines have their eyes set to next week on Ohio State. Yes, Illinois is very good, but the aren't quite in the league of Michigan. Michigan coming off an easy win last week over Nebraska, 34-3. Illinois is 9-4 ATS their last 13 games and 8-2-1 ATS their last 11 vs a team with a winning record. The Wolverines are good though, going 12-3-1 ATS their last 16 conference games. The Fighting Illini are 5-2 ATS their last seven games against Michigan and the dog is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings. I have to believe that Michigan looking to next week vs the Buckeyes. I'll take the big points here with a very good defensive Illinois team. |
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11-18-22 | Hornets v. Cavs -9 | 122-132 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Charlotte Hornets just 4-12 so far this season. They are coming off a loss to Indiana, 113-125. That makes 1-8 S/U and 2-7 ATS their last nine games. The Cleveland Cavaliers are 8-6 S/U and ATS on the year. They have played six of their last seven games on the road before returning home here tonight. They have lost five straight games both S/U and ATS after starting the season 8-1. The Cavs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 Friday games and 6-1 in their last seven home games. The Cavs have been in a funk of late, but home cooking looks to be the fix for that. Play Cleveland. |
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11-18-22 | Massachusetts v. Murray State +2 | 71-69 | Push | 0 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
Myrtle Beach Invitational from Conway, SC has second round action here early on Friday as Murray State takes on U Mass. U Mass Minutemen beat Colorado last night in this tourney, 66-63, covering the 5.5-point dog line. That makes U Mass, 2-1 both S/U and ATS on the season. In their lone loss at home to Towson, 55-67, they shot just 34.5% from the field and 21.4% from 3-point arc. They held Colorado to just 34.2% last night in their win. Murray State Racers are 2-1 S/U and 1-1 ATS after beating Texas A&M last night, 88-79 as a 13-point dog. This was by far their best effort of the season as they shot 50% from the field and hit 45.5% of their three-point shots. U Mass a small favorite here today, but my own numbers show that Murray should be the small favorite. I'll take the points. Play Murray State. |
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11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers -170 | 27-17 | Loss | -170 | 25 h 37 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans look to be the favorite to win the AFC South despite having one of the worst offenses in the NFL. The Titans are 6-3 with the Colts in second at 4-5-1. The Jags and Texans are out of it. The Green Bay Packers are in 2nd in the NFC North, but with their 4-6 record they are a ways behind the 8-1 Vikings. The Packers snapped a five-game losing streak last week with a come from behind victory of the Cowboys. The Packers trailed 14-28 before forcing a tie and winning the game in OT, 31-28. The Titans won a low scoring affair over the Denver Broncos, 17-10. Both teams didn't do a lot on offense with the Titans having 307 total yards and the Broncos 313 yards. Right now the Titans have the worst ranked total offense in the NFL with just 282 yards per game. Their passing attack is 31st with 148 yards per game. The Packers rank a much better 13th in the league. Green Bay also has the 9th ranked defense while Tennessee comes in at 22nd. Though the Titans do have the 2nd best rushing defense in the league. However, with the 31st ranked passing defense they could be in for a long night against Aaron Rodgers. These teams have only met once in the last five years and that was 2020 when the Packers won at home, 40-14 as a 3-point favorite. The Packers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games vs a team with a winning record. I like the Packers here at home. I'll take Green Bay but I will lay the Money Ling Price and take the line out of this game. |
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11-17-22 | Towson -1 v. NC-Greensboro | 56-53 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Towson State Tigers look to keep their perfect record in tact as they hit the road to play at NC Greensboro. The Tigers are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the season after beating Penn in their last game, 80-74, as a 3-point favorite. They have played two road games and won and covered both, outscoring the home teams by a 73.5 to 64.5 ppg average. The Greensboro Spartans are 1-1 S/U and 0-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Miami, 65-79, as a 10-point dog. Their win coming at home over J&W Charlotte, 93-60. Towson has been a very good road team, going 15-4 ATS their last 19 away games. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games and 0-6 ATS their last six overall. Towson looks the better team here tonight. Play Towson. |
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11-17-22 | Boise State v. Charlotte +5.5 | 42-54 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Myrtle Beach Invitational first round here tonight from Conway, SC has Boise State taking on NC Charlotte. Boise State is 1-1 this season after winning their last game over Washington State, 71-61, as a 2-point dog. The NC Charlotte 49ers are coming of a win over Maryland Eastern Shore, 80-47, as a 12.5-point favorite. Boise State opened with a loss to South Dakota State. The 49ers look to remain perfect tonight. They have averaged 81 points through two games and hit 56.9% of their field goals and 40% from three point arc. I don't like the way the Broncos have struggled offensively through two games. Meanwhile the 49ers have been hot. It's early but I like the way Charlotte has played. Take Charlotte. |
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11-16-22 | Knicks v. Nuggets -3.5 | 106-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
The Knicks played last night in Utah and despite trailing by double digits at one point they rallied to win the game 118-111, as a 4.5-point dog. Now they come right back tonight and hit another high altitude city as they play at Denver. The Knicks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 overall games. They are also 0-5 ATS their last five games following a straight up win. The Knicks are 7th in the East with a 7-7 record and -1.5 point differential. The Nuggets are 2nd in the West with a 9-4 record and are 4-0 at home. The Nuggets rebounded from their loss at Boston on Friday with a win on Sunday at Chicago, ending their road stint at 3-1 S/U and 1-3 ATS. Now they return home where they have yet to lose and are 3-1 vs the spread with a _14.3 point differential. The Nuggets have covered the last four in this series and six of the last eight in Denver. I give it to the Knicks for winning at Utah last night, but can't see them taking down two of the best teams in West in back-to-back games. Play Denver. |
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11-16-22 | Missouri State +10 v. BYU | 64-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
The Missouri State Bears visit Provo, Utah tonight to take on the BYU Cougars. The Bears are 1-0 while BYU is 1-1. These teams played each other last year in Missouri State with BYU winning that game, 74-68 as a 1.5-point favorite. Mo State beat Missouri Science Tech last week, 82-47. Can't take a lot away from that game though against such an inferior opponent. This early in the season offensive and defensive stats mean little against the teams they are playing. Byu beat Idaho State, 60-56, but didn't come close to the 23.5-favorite line. Then last time out the Cougars lost at No 17 San Diego State, 82-75, this time as a 11-point dog. Missouri State getting almost 10 points here tonight. Considering the BYU outcome against Idaho State, this Mo State team should do better. I'll take the points early in the season. Play Missouri State. |
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11-16-22 | SE Missouri State +2 v. Evansville | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
SE Missouri State Redhawks are 2-0 as they hit the road tonight to play at Evansville. The Hawks opened their season with a win over South Florida, 64-61, as a 11-point dog. Then came back last game against Lyon and won easily, 83-46 with no line on the game. The Evansville Aces are 1-1 on the season, beating Miami Ohio in their opener, 78-74 as a 6-point dog and then lost at St Louis last game, 65-83 as a 23.5 point dog. SE Mo looks the better team early in the season, playing well on both ends of the court. They allow just 53 ppg thus far and their defense should have little issues today with this Evansville team. Looks to me the Redhawks should have been favored in this one, but that's ok, I'll take the small points with the visitors. |
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11-16-22 | Iowa +1.5 v. Seton Hall | 83-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Iowa Hawkeyes (2-0) hit the road today to Newark, NJ to take on the 2-0 Seton Hall Pirates. Iowa coming off an easy win over NC A&T, 112-71. Seton Hall coming into tonight after beating St Peter's, 8-44. Iowa also beat Bethune Cookman to start the season, 89-58. The Hawkeyes covering both spreads as 20+ favorites. Seton Hall beat Monmouth in their opener, 79-52, also covering both games thus far. Tonight will be the first good test for both clubs. Both teams put up excellent numbers against poor opposition. Iowa is 8-2 ATS their last 10 games while Seton Hall is 3-10 ATS their last 13 home games. I'll take the Big 10 team here today. Play Iowa. |
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11-16-22 | Eastern Michigan +7.5 v. Kent State | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
With Toledo losing last night, Eastern Michigan still can't take the AMC West because they still trail the Rockets by two games and lost to them a few weeks ago. Toledo is 5-2 and Eastern is right behind at 3-3. Eastern Michigan finishes with Central Michigan next week. Still, looks like Eastern can make a bowl game as they really only need one win in these last two weeks. Eastern beat Akron last week, 34-28, as a 7-point road favorite. Kent State beat Bowling Green last week, 40-6 and after tonight they finish at Buffalo. The Golden Flashes are in 4th in the MAC East with a 3-3 record and 4-6 overall record. Doesn't look good for the flashes to make a bowl game this year either. Still, not sure how they are a TD favorite here tonight against an equal or better Eastern Michigan team. More on the line for Eastern here tonight so I'll take the points. Play Eastern Michigan. |
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11-15-22 | Knicks v. Jazz -4 | Top | 118-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
The NY Knicks are 10th in the NBA in the East with a 6-7 record. They have a -2.1 point differential and are coming off a loss to OK City, 135-145. The Knicks led that game by double digits in the first half but couldn't contain the Thunder offense. The start a five game road swing tonight at Utah. It's always difficult to play in Utah at the altitude. The Knicks are now 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games and 2-5-1 ATS their last eight after 1 day rest. The Utah Jazz are 3rd in the West with a 10-5 record and have a +4.2 point differential. The Jazz look to snap a two-game losing skid here tonight. Utah won the opener of their three game road trip at Atlanta, but then lost to Washington and last game at Philly, 98-105. Until these last two losses, the Jazz had covered seven straight games. The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Utah is 25-9 ATS in their last 34 vs the Knicks and 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in Utah. Take the Jazz tonight. |
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11-15-22 | Marquette +8.5 v. Purdue | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Two very good teams meet in a marquee matchup here tonight as 2-0 Purdue hosts 2-0 Marquette. It's the Big 10 vs the Big East. Marquette opened with win over Radford, 76-69 and then beat Central Michigan, 97-73. They failed to cover vs Radford but did get the cover against Central Michigan as a 18-point favorite. Purdue opened with an easy win over Wisc Milwaukee, 85-53 and then beat Austin Peay, 63-44, as a 25-point favorite. Purdue is 3-7-1 ATS their last 11 games at home and 3-10-2 ATS their last 15 games overall. Marquette will try to push the pace in this game while Purdue looks for a half court game. Both teams haven't played anyone of consequence yet. I'm going to take the points in this one. Play Marquette. |
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11-15-22 | Bowling Green +17 v. Toledo | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Bowling Green still with a chance to be Bowl eligible at 5-5 overall on the season. They are also 3-6-1 ATS. The Falcons are coming off a loss at home to Kent State, 6-40. The Falcons gave up 201 yards rushing and 214 yards passing. Toledo leads the MAC West with a 7-3 record. The are coming off a win last week over Ball State, 28-21, failing to cover the 13.5 point spread. Bowling Green is just 7-15 ATS their last 22 conference games and 1-3-1 ATS their last five road games. They have also not played well in November, going 2-10 ATS their last 12 in this month. Toledo is 7-3-1 ATS their las 11 vs Bowling Green. I'll take the Rockets here tonight as they look to win the West |
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11-14-22 | Commanders +11 v. Eagles | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
The Washington Commanders are in last in the NFC North with a 4-5 record. THey have the bad luck of playing in what is arguable the best division in football as the other three teams are at least 6-2 in their records. Washington coming off a game they know they could have won last week as they hosted Minnesota and lost, 17-20. The Vikings have the 2nd best record in the NFL and came within minutes of winning that contest. That makes the team 3-1 their last four games all with QB Carson Wentz out. Wentz will again miss tonight's contest with that finger issue. That means Taylor Heinicke will once again be at the helm. For me, I would rather have Heinicke at QB instead of Wentz. For me he's led this team and has performed better. The Philadelphia Eagles are the best team in the NFL right now with the only perfect record at 8-0. They lead the Giants by 1.5 games right now in the NFC East. The Eagles are coming off a win over Houston last week, 29-17, but they failed to cover the 14-point spread. Still, they are 5-3 ATS overall on the season. The Eagles have the NFL's third best offense and third best defense. Washington is 21st in offense and 14th in defense. The dog is 3-1-1 ATS the last five games in this series. I expect the Washington defense to keep them close and Heiniecki to play well enough to cover this spread. Take the double digit points with Washington. |
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11-14-22 | Raptors v. Pistons +5.5 | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here tonight has the Toronto Raptors taking on the Detroit Pistons. The Raptors are in 6th place in the East with a 7-7 record. They have a +2.3 point differential this season. The Raptors are on a road trip and have dropped the first two games of this trip to Oklahoma City, 113-132 and last game at Indiana, 104-118. They look to get back in the win column tonight against the worst team in the East, Detroit. The Pistons are just 3-11 on the season and have the worst point differential at -10.0 ppg. The Pistons have lost their last three games and are 1-4-1 ATS their last five games. They are coming off a loss at home to Boston, 108-117, failing to cover the 8-point dog line. The Raptors have not been good to bettors, going 0-4 ATS their last four games and 3-7 ATS their last 10 games following an ATS loss. Detroit is 4-1 ATS their last five games at home vs a team with a losing road record. The Pistons have also covered the last six games in this series and are 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in Detroit. I'll take a shot here with the points at home on the Pistons and hope the Raptors continue their poor road play. Take Detroit. |
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11-13-22 | Colts v. Raiders -6 | Top | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 58 m | Show |
Have to wonder if Raiders HC Josh McDaniels is on a short leash with his job these days. The Raiders led the Jacksonville Jaguars by 17-points, the second time this year they have blown a 17-point lead. And of course, lost to the Jags last Sunday, 20-27. Have to wonder how many big leads the Raiders can blow before the top of Mark Davis' head blows off. Well, this might be the week for the Raiders to get well. If there was one coach and team that has done worse it has been the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts had a very lackluster performance last week in their loss at New England, 3-26. In fact, it was the last straw for Colts HC Frank Reich who was fired after the game. The Colts named Jeff Saturday interim coach for the rest of the season. I believe the Colts have given up on the season and while the Raiders have blown leads, at least they have the offensive weapons to get leads. The Colts have no one right now, not even running back Jonathan Taylor who missed last weeks game with an ankle injury. Get on this one early as I only see the Raiders line going up. Play LV Raiders. |
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11-13-22 | Colts v. Raiders UNDER 41.5 | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
Have to wonder if Raiders HC Josh McDaniels is on a short leash with his job these days. The Raiders led the Jacksonville Jaguars by 17-points, the second time this year they have blown a 17-point lead. And of course, lost to the Jags last Sunday, 20-27. Have to wonder how many big leads the Raiders can blow before the top of Mark Davis' head blows off. Well, this might be the week for the Raiders to get well. If there was one coach and team that has done worse it has been the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts had a very lackluster performance last week in their loss at New England, 3-26. In fact, it was the last straw for Colts HC Frank Reich who was fired after the game. The Colts named Jeff Saturday interim coach for the rest of the season. I believe the Colts have given up on the season and while the Raiders have blown leads, at least they have the offensive weapons to get leads. The Colts should have Jonathan Taylor back today after missing the last game with an ankle injury. Colts have been very good to under players of late, going 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight road games and 1-11 O/U in their last 12 vs the AFC. I expect a lower scoring game here today with the Colts not having much in the passing game. Take UNDER |
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11-13-22 | Youngstown State +10.5 v. Notre Dame | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Youngstown looking to improve to three wins here today at Notre Dame. The Penquins have wins over Canisius and UT Martin. Not exactly in the same class as today's opponent. Notre Dame Irish had to come from behind in a shaky first start vs Radford, winning 79-76 but failing to cover the 18-point favorite line. This is a very experienced Youngstown team and are shooting a very good 47% from the field this year. Still yet to be seen if this Notre Dame team will get better on defense. We know they have the power on offense, but they will need to cover some big spreads. Once again they are laying double digits today. This should be a very good contest today and I believe Youngstown gives the Irish all they can handle. Take the points with Youngstown St. |
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11-13-22 | Towson -3.5 v. Pennsylvania | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The Towson Tigers off to a 2-0 start to this season will be looking for their second road win here today at Penn. The Penn Quakers are still looking for that first win after dropping their first two games. Towson is coming off a win over U Mass, 67-55 as a 3.5-point dog. Penn is coming off a loss to Missouri, 85-92 as a 12-point dog. Towson has been good defensively thus far, allowing an average of just 58.5 ppg. Penn has averaged just 67.5 ppg, though struggling on defense as they have allowed 85 ppg. The offensive struggling Quakers will play right into the defensive minded Towson Tigers today. Defense makes the difference in this one. Play Towson. |
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11-13-22 | Oklahoma State v. Oakland +8.5 | 91-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Non conference battle here as the Big 12's Oklahoma State travels to Michigan to take on Horizon League's Oakland U. Ok State couldn't quite get there in in their last game at home, losing to Southern Illinois, 60-61. Oakland also coming off a loss at home to Bowling Green, 82-87. Oklahoma State struggled against a mid-major team on their home court and that loss dropped them to 1-1 on the season. The Cowboys only averaging 68.5 ppg thus far. Oakland Golden Grizzlies look to upset the Cowboys for the second straight season. The Grizzlies also dropped to 1-1 after that recent home loss. The Grizzlies are scoring though, averaging 87 ppg thus far. They are also playing well on defense, allowing just 57 ppg. Both teams looking to this game to get them back on track. For me, Oakland getting generous points at home and is able to put points on the board. Play Oakland. |
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11-13-22 | Pacific v. North Dakota State -5.5 | 91-86 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
The Pacific Tigers are just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 road games and 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 overall games. Pacific looks to get into the win column after losing their opening game to Stanford, 78-88. ND State Bison also looking to rebound from an opening loss to Kansas, 59-82. ND State is 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games. Both teams struggled early though the Bison played a very good Kansas team. Have to go against Pacific here as they just are not a good road team. PLay North Dakota State. |
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11-13-22 | Lions v. Bears -2.5 | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
NFC North contest here as last place Detroit Lions (2-6) takes on the next to last place Chicago Bears (3-6). In the North, only the Vikings have a winning record at 7-1 and 4.5-games in first place. The Lions are coming off a improbable win over Green Bay last week, 15-9. Despite having the worst defense in the NFL, the Lions held the Packers to just nine points and picked-off Aaron Rodgers twice in the end zone. The Bears are coming off a loss at home to Miami, 32-35, though they covered the four-point dog line. The Chicago defense is a bit better at 18th in the NFL. The Bears offense ranks 24th while the Lions come in at 7th. The Bears are 3-1-1 ATS their last five home games. The Bears have are also 4-1-1 ATS their last six meetings with the Lions at Chicago. Small home favorite in Chicago, I'll lay the price here with the Bears. |
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11-13-22 | Saints v. Steelers +1 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints are 3-6 overall on the season and in third place in the NFC South. The Saints are coming off a home loss to the Ravens, 13-27. The Saints are now just 3-6 vs the spread on the season. The Pittsburgh Steelers are 2-6 overall and in last place in the AFC North. The Steelers are coming off a loss to instra-state rival Philadelphia, 13-35. The Saints are 6th in the NFL in total offense while the Steelers are 28th. The Saints are also 11th on offense with the Steelers 29th. Still, though the Saints are not having a good season. The Steelers did have last week off to rest and get ready for today. Both teams had poor first halves of the season and both played the Bengals and Bucs. The Steelers beat both those teams while the Saints lost to both. With the week off to prepare and maybe seeing the return of NFL Defensive player of the Year, TJ Watt, I'm taking the Steelers here today. |
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11-13-22 | Jaguars +9.5 v. Chiefs | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars may only be 3-6 in the NFL but they have put scares into some teams this year. The Jags went on the road at beat Vegas last week, 27-20. They just lost to Denver the week before, 17-21 and New York Giants the week before that , 17-23. They have the 8th ranked offense, 7th ranked rushing attack in the league. Kansas City is 6-2 on the season and one game ahead of the LA Chargers for first place in the AFC West. The Chiefs are the only team in the West with a plus point differential (+57). The Chiefs are coming off a home win last week over Tennessee, 20-17, but failing to cover the 14-point favorite line. The Chiefs have the 2nd ranked offense in the league and top ranked passing attack. The Chiefs are now 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs the AFC and 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. Not covering at home shows how over valued the oddsmaker has made them at home this season. And today I believe they are laying too many points once again. Play Jacksonville. |
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11-13-22 | Browns +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
AFC Clash here on Sunday between the Cleveland Browns and the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins are in the most competitive division in football with the Bills, Jets and Patriots, just 1.5 games separate first from last. The Dolphins are a half game in second place with a 6-3 record. Miami won on the road last week at Chicago, 35-32. It was the team's third win in a row after losing to Minnesota four weeks ago. The Dolphins have the fifth best offense in the league and the 22nd best in defense. The Browns are 15th in defense and fourth in offense thanks to their 3rd ranked rushing offense. The Browns are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games vs a team with a winning home record while Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 1-4 ATS their last five games vs a team with a losing record. I think this game will come down to the final minutes and I will take the points in this one. Play Cleveland. |
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11-13-22 | Thunder v. Knicks -4.5 | 145-135 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder are 5-7 on the season and snapped a four-game S/U and ATS losing streak last time out with a win at home over Toronto, 132-113. The Thunder are 1-4 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the road this season and getting outscored 107.8-113.6 thus far. The Knicks look to get above the .500 mark today as they sit at 6-6 overall. The Knicks are coming off a home win over the Pistons, 121-112, pushing the 9-point favorite line. They are 3-2 S/U and 1-2-1 ATS in their last five games. The Knicks are 4-2 S/U and 2-3-1 ATS at home and out scoring opponents 119-116 thus far on their home court. This is the first game of a four game road swing for OKC. I will take the Knicks at home here in this early Sunday start. Always tougher for the West/Mid West teams to make the East coast trip, especially starting at this early time. Play New York. |
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11-13-22 | Seahawks +3 v. Bucs | 16-21 | Loss | -115 | 89 h 1 m | Show | |
These teams playing the first ever game in Germany on Sunday get the early start at 6:30 PT / 9:30 am ET. Who would have figured the Seattle Seahawks to be in first place in the NFC West with the defending champion Rams and the 49ers. But, they are and they are 1.5-games ahead of the Niners with a 6-3 record. Everyone kind of figured the departure of Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos would mean this was a rebuilding period for Seattle. However, Geno Smith has come in and actually played better than Wilson has for the Broncos. Another anomaly is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 4-5 with Tom Brady. But would you believe they are tied for first place in the horrible NFC South? Every team in the division has a sub-.500 record this year. Tom Brady has not looked his old self this year, but part of that is due to injuries to his receivers. The Bucs have the 19th ranked offense and last place rushing offense. They average a paltry 61 yards this year on the ground. Seattle's offense ranks 11th overall and 9th in rushing. Tampa Bay does have the 9th ranked defense, but it was much higher earlier in the season and has steadily declined week by week. Tampa Bay hasn't covered a spread since week 2 of the season vs the Saints. Since then they have gone 0-6-1 ATS. Seattle playing well, they cover spreads and don't look out of sync like the Bucs. Yet, Tom Brady gets the bettors and here the Bucs are a 3-point favorite. Not sure how that happened, but I won't look a gift horse in the mouth. I'll take the points with Seattle. |
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11-12-22 | Rockets v. Pelicans -10.5 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
A pair of Western conference teams face off today as the Houston Rockets play at New Orleans to face the Pelicans. The Rockets are dead last in the West with a 2-10 record and the worst point differential in the West with a -7.5 ppg. Rockets coming off a loss at Toronto, 109-116, though they covered the +10 dog line. The Rockets are just 1-5 ATS in their last six trips to New Orleans. The Pelicans are 6-6 and in 8th in the West. They have a +2.7 point differential. The Pelicans are coming off a loss at Portland, 95-106, as a 9-point favorite. New Orleans is 10-4 ATS their last 14 times they are coming off a straight-up loss. This should be a good spot for the Pelicans tonight against a poor Houston club. Take New Orleans. |
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11-12-22 | Arkansas State +19.5 v. LSU | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Both teams looking for their second wins of the young season after opening with wins. Arkansas State Red Wolves are coming off a dominating win over Harding, 86-55. Ark State dominated both ends of the court as they cruised to the easy win. LSU is coming off a win over Kansas City, 74-63 and was much closer then expected. Not convinced the Tigers are all that great at this juncture of the season as they struggled vs a team they should have dominated. I'll take Arkansas State plus the generous points today. |
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11-12-22 | Louisville +7 v. Clemson | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
A pair of ACC Atlantic teams meet here on Saturday as Clemson hosts Louisville. Clemson is ranked 10th in the nation and is 6-0 and will win the ACC Atlantic with a date for the Conference Championship game. Louisville is 3-3 and in 5th in the Atlantic. The Cardinals have won four straight games both S/U and ATS, including last week over James Madison, 34-10 as a 7.5-point favorite. They are ranked 44th in offense and 29th in defense. Clemson is 8-1 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. The Tigers Have Miami Fl and South Carolina left after today. Clemson has the 61st ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Tigers coming off that loss last week at Notre Dame, 14-35 to break-up their undefeated season. Clemson is just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games. I'm taking the points here today with Louisville. |
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11-12-22 | Ball State +7.5 v. Indiana State | 71-83 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Non-Conference battle here has the MAC and MVC bash heads. Ball State takes to the road to face Larry Bird's Alma Mater at Indiana State. The Ball State Cardinals opened with a win over Earlham College, DIV 3 foe, 109-39. Indiana State also had an easy time against Green Bay, 80-53. I look at these early contests when we are waiting to see how the talent pans out further down the season. I like that Ball State had an easy time while Indiana State had to struggle a bit more. The Confidence in Ball State should be the difference here today. Take Ball State. |
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11-12-22 | Rutgers +10.5 v. Michigan State | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here has Rutgers traveling to Lansing, MI to play the Spartans of Michigan State. Rutgers has lost two straight games, including last week at home to Michigan, 17-52, as a 26-point dog. Rutgers is 4-5 and if they hope to go to a bowl game they have a hill to climb with their remaining games at Michigan State and Maryland and a home game vs Penn State. Meanwhile Michigan State coming off a home win last week over Auburn, 39-33. That snapped a two-game losing skid for the Spartans. Michigan State could be in a look ahead situation here on Saturday. They have no desire to play Rutgers. Instead they have their sights set on next week's showdown at home with Georgia. Rutgers could sneak in under the spread here today if they can catch this Spartans team flatfooted. Take Rutgers |
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11-12-22 | Notre Dame v. Navy +17 | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
We all know that Notre Dame is the far better team here on Saturday then Navy. Notre Dame has won three straight games, including last week's big win over previously undefeated Clemson, 25-14. However, it's that last week game that I believe will be their undoing this week. The Irish won that emotional game and now have to go to Baltimore to face the Middies. Navy is 5-0 ATS in their last five vs a team with a winning record. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall and 22-8 ATS in their last 30 in November. I feel the Irish are in for a big letdown here today. I think they will squeak by but can't cover this big line. Play Navy. |
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11-12-22 | LSU v. Arkansas +4 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The SEC once again the class conference in college football with four teams in the top 10. One of those, the 10th ranked LSU Tigers hope to be in the SEC Championship game as they sit in 1st place in the West division with a 5-1 conference record and 7-2 overall mark. Arkansas is 5th in the West with a 2-3 conference record and 5-4 overall mark. These teams met last year in LSU with the Razorbacks winning the game 16-13. LSU ranked 31st on offense and 42 on defense. Arkansas is 10-4-1 ATS the lst 15 overall meetings between these teams and 5-2 ATS the last seven in Arkansas. I'll take the home team here, play Arkansas. |
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11-11-22 | Bucks v. Spurs -1.5 | 93-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
It's going to be a tough night for the Bucks as they will be short some of their star players. Forward Giannis Antetokounmpo is out with a knee issue, Khris Middleton is out with a wrist injury and point guard Jrue Holiday is also out with an ankle injury. Holiday averages 19.6 ppg and Gio averages almost 32 ppg. That's a lot of points to makeup on the rest of the team. Milwaukee has lost just one game and that was on Monday to Atlanta, 998-117. They are coming off an OT win at OKC, 136-132. The Spurs are 5-7 on the season and look to snap a five game losing streak here tonight, after a 5-2 start to the season. Spurs laying 2-points here tonight. I'll take them with all that firepower missing for the Bucks. Play San Antonio. |
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11-11-22 | East Carolina +5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
East Carolina looks for the upset here on Friday night and also to extend their win streak to five games. ECU Pirates are 6-3 overall and 3-2 in the AAC. They had last week off after beating BYU the previous week, 27-24. Cincinnati struggled against Navy last week but came away with the 20-10 win, improving their record to 7-2 overall and 4-1 in conference. The Pirates looking for a good bowl game berth has been competitive all season long, even in their losses. The Bearcats of Cincinnati has the 64th ranked rushing attack with 141 yards per game. I'm looking for the upset here tonight with Cincinnati. |
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11-11-22 | Villanova -5.5 v. Temple | 64-68 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Local battle among rivals here as a couple of Philadelphia teams battle tonight with Temple taking on Villanova. No 16 Villanova is coing off a win over LaSalle, 81-68. Meanwhile Temple dropped their opener to Wagner, 76-73. Villanova has handled Temple with seven straight wins dating back to 2014, though their last meeting was in 2020 when Villanova won, 76-56. Kyle Neptune is the new coach at Villanova and looks to get some early wins for the team. Temple looked good in the first half of their game vs Wagner, but came out of the half flat and lost the second half and the game. This is not good as they now play one of the better teams in the country in Villanova. The Cats have a great starting five and have all the edges in this game including speed and talent to blowout their intra-city rivals. Take Villanova. |
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11-10-22 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 15-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
NFC South matchup here on Thursday in what is one of the worst divisions in the NFL. No one is out of this division, even the 2-7 Panthers. Both Tampa Bay and Atlanta are currently in 1st place with 4-5 records. The Falcons are coming off a loss last week at home to the Chargers, 17-20. While the Falcons have the 26th ranked offense, they do have the 4th ranked rushing game. The Falcons have been a good under play here on Thursday, going 0-6 O/U in their last six on that day. Meanwhile, Carolina was blown out last week at Cincinnati, 21-42. Though QB Baker Mayfield came into the game and led the team to 21 points. However, despite PJ Walker being benched at halftime, he's expected to make the start here on Thursday. The offense had just 228 total yards. Carolina traded away Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers a few weeks ago. The Panthers have the 30th ranked offense in the league. The Panthers have gone under in seven of their last 10 games vs the NFC South. This has also been a very good under series with the teams going 5-13-1 Ov/Un their last 19 meetings and 5-15-2 Ov/Un the last 22 meetings at Carolina. I'm going UNDER here on Thursday. |
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11-10-22 | Tulsa +7 v. Memphis | 10-26 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Tulsa not going to any bowls this year as they sit 3-6 overall on the season and near the bottom of the AAC with a 1-4 record. Memphis not much better at 2-4 in conference and 4-5 overall. The Tigers do have a shot at a postseason shot. Memphis looking to snap a two game losing streak including last week's loss at home to Central Florida, 28-35. The Memphis offense is good, ranked 45th overall in the FBS. Tulsa right behind them at 50th in the country. Both teams close on defense too, with Tulsa at 90th and Memphis at 97th. Tulsa also looking to snap a two-game losing streak including last week's home loss to Tulane, 13-27. Tulsa is 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight November games. Memphis is 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games and 0-4 ATS in their last four November games. They are also 3-9 ATS in their last 12 overall games. The Road team has covered seven of the last 10 in this series and the Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Memphis. I'll take the points here tonight with Tulsa. |
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11-10-22 | Mavs -3 v. Wizards | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Dallas Mavericks are in 6th place in the West with a 6-4 record and are coming off a loss at Orlando, 87-94 as a 8.5-point favorite. The Mavs are 0-5-1 ATS their last six games. The Mavs are 5-1 at home but just 1-3 on the road with a -1.8 point differential. The Mavericks are just 3-8 ATS their last 11 road games. The Washington Wizards will remain without Bradley Beal here tonight as the star guard is in quarantine. The Wizards are in 8th place in the East with a 5-6 record and are 2-3 at home. The Wizards are coming off a win at Charlotte, 108-100 on Monday and have had a pair of days off now. The Wizards have covered six of the last seven in this series, but the Mavs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 trips to Washington. I'm taking Dallas here today as Beal continues to miss time for the Wizards. |
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11-09-22 | Cavs -4.5 v. Kings | 120-127 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are in 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a 8-2 record. The Cavs also have the best point differential in the NBA at +10.9 points. The Cavs had their eight game win streak snapped last time out at the Clippers, 117-119, also failing to cover the spread for the first time in their last eieght games. Sacramento is in 13th place in the Western Conference with their 3-6 record. The Kings are coming off a loss at Golden State, 113-116, though they did cover the 8-point dog line. The Kings return home from their four game road trip tonight. They don't usually do well in their first game back home after being away for 7 days or more, going 4-9 ATS the last 13 times. I like the way the Cavs are playing right now and will lay the points with them here tonight. Play Cleveland. |
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11-09-22 | Pelicans v. Bulls +2 | 115-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans are 5-5 and looking to get ablove .500 here tonight at Chicago. The have a +3.9 point differential and have lost two games in a row. The Pelicans have lost the first two games on this road trip at Atlanta, 121-124 and then last game at Indiana, 122-129. They have also dropped four straight vs the line. Chicago is 6th in the East with a 6-6 record and have are coming off a win at home vs Toronto, 111-97. The Pelicans are just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and 1-6 ATS their last seven on the road vs a team with a winning home record. The Bulls are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Thee Bulls a small home dog here tonight and for me they are the better team right now. Your free play is on the Bulls. |
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11-09-22 | Buffalo v. Central Michigan -2.5 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Buffalo in the thick of things in the MAC East division as they trail first place Ohio by just one game at 4-1 and are tied with Bowling Green who also plays tonight. The Bulls are comijng off a loss to that first place Ohio team last week, 24-45 as a 3-point favorite.That loss last week was their only loss vs the spread versus seven spread wins. The Bulls have the 77th ranked offense and 88th ranked defense in the country. Central Michigan is fourth in thee MAC West with a 2-3 record an 3-6 overall mark. They are coming off a nice win last week at Northern Illinois, 35-22, as a 4-point dog. Just three games left on the schedule with Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan left to go. The Chippewas have the 50th ranked defense and the 68th ranked offense. Central really likes playing these early week games, going 14-1-1 ATS their last 16 games on Wednesday. They are also 5-1 ATS vs a team with a winning record. Central Michigan is a small favorite here tonight and the favorite has covered the last four in this series. I'll take Central tonight. |
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11-08-22 | Ball State +11.5 v. Toledo | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Ball State and Toledo are 1-2 in the MAC West as they battle it out for the right to go to the MAC Championship. Ball State is one game back of Toledo and a win here tonight by the Cardinals would put them in a tie for the MAC West. Ball State beat Kent State last week, 27-20 as a 7-point road dog. Ball State has the nation's 67th ranked offense and the 87th ranked defense. The Cardinals are now 10-4 ATS their last 14 games on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Toledo is coming off a road win two weeks at Eastern Michigan, 27-24, as a 7.5-point favorite. After Ball State tonight, the Rockets have a home game vs Bowling Green and then close out the regular season vs Western Michigan. The Rockets had last week off and they are 5-17 ATS their last 22 times they are coming off a bye week. Ball State has covered seven of the last eight meetings in Toledo and the road team has covered 11 of the last 14 overall meetings. I'll take Ball State here tonight. |
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11-08-22 | Rider +13 v. Providence | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
High hopes for both teams after very successful campaigns in 2021-22. Rider returns their top player in Dwight Murry Jr and Allen Powell. They also had several transfers come over to bolster the team. Providence went 27-6 last year and won it's first-ever Big East Regular Season title before making a run in the NCAA tournament to the Sweet 16. Providence will have to rebuild after that excellent season last year. The Friars lost all five starters. Returning experience makes a big difference early in the season and that favors Rider here today. With Providence losing all their starters from last year it might take them a bit to get this team going again. Play Rider. |
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11-07-22 | Ravens v. Saints +1.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens are in 1st place in the AFC North, a half game ahead of the Bengals. A win tonight and they are 1-game in front, a loss and they are tied. The Ravens are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven Monday night games. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs a team with a losing record. The NFC South New Orleans Saints are 3-5 and a win tonight puts them in a three way tie with the Bucs and Falcons in a very weak division. The Ravens have won two straight games after last week's win over the Bucs, 27-22 as a 2-point dog. That break a three-game spread skid by the Ravens. The Saints are coming off a dominating performance last week over the LV Raiders. They held the Raiders very good rushing game to just 38 yards and 183 total yards. They sacked QB Derek Carr four times. The Ravens have the 10th ranked offense in the league, 2nd rushing. The Saints have the 5th ranked offense in the league. The Baltimore defense is 24th and the Saints come in at 10th. The Ravens will be without a key target in this game, TE Mark Andrews who is out with a shoulder injury. They may also be without RB Gus Edwards who is doubtful with a hamstring. I like the home team here though the line is too small. I'll take New Orleans to win the game. |
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11-07-22 | Suns -2 v. 76ers | 88-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns are off to a good start this season at 7-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS. The Suns rebounded from their loss at home to Portland on Friday with a beating of the Blazers on Saturday, 102-82 to cover the 11.5 point line. The Suns might be the deepest team in the NBA as all 12 players scored in their win. The Suns will be without Cameron Johnson who tore his meniscus and will be out indefinitely. Johnson was a finalist for the 6th man award last season. The Philadelphia 76ers have struggled to a 4-6 S/U and ATS mark this year, mainly due to injuries. Their best player, Joel Embiid, has been sideline with a non-covid illness for three games and is close to returning. James Harden is out another month with a tendon issue in his foot. Embiid though is the key to the Sixers winning and right now he's about 50/50 to return, though he struggled in their last practice according to HC Doc Rivers. Rivers is thinking long term and doesn't want to rush Embiid back if it hurts him more. That puts a lot of pressure on the other players to pick up the slack. I look for the Suns to continue their winning ways here on Monday, especially with the Sixers hurting the way they are. Play Phoenix. |
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11-07-22 | Ohio +6.5 v. Belmont | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This will be the second straight season these teams start the season against each other. Last year this was a high scoring game as the Ohio Bobcats came away with a 92-80 home win. Now the venue moves to Nashville. Nine new players will grace the Ohio roster this season. Returning will be Miles Brown and Ben Roderick from last year and a lot will be expected of them. To get his young team ready for the season HC Boals had his team to Spain for a three-game set so he could get the freshmen playing time. They lost all three games, but the minutes of experience could be invaluable early in the season. Meanwhile, Belmont moves to the toucher MVC this season and that will be a big challenge for them. Only one starter returns for this Belmont squad. Moreover, depth will be an issue for the Bruins. Both teams in rebuilding mode this year, but for me I'll take the points with Ohio. |
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11-07-22 | Mt. St. Mary's v. West Virginia UNDER 130.5 | 58-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Mount St Mary's finished last year with a 14-16 record and now open at West Virginia for this season. They only hit 44.3% from the field and were 302nd in the nation in scoring. The defense was good, allowing 65.3 ppg (57th in nation). West Virginia coming off a losing campaign last year, going 16-17. The offense was 314th in the nation and the defense was 173rd in the nation. The Mountaineers are 3-12-1 Ov/Un in their last 16 overall games. I look for the defenses to be better early in the season than the offense and I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
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11-07-22 | South Dakota State +4 v. Akron | 80-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Akron opening their season at home here tonight. The Zips finished 24-10 last year and 14-6 in the MAC. They lost two big players from that squad, Ali who avg 13.9 ppg and Bryan Trimbles who avg 10.4 ppg. The Zips won the 2022 MAC Tournament last year under 6th year HC John Groce. Akron is 3rd in the preseason MAC Poll. South Dakota coming off a great season that saw the team win 30 games and 21 games in a row. The JackRabbits lost in the NCAA Tournament to Providence in the first round. Both teams had excellent seasons in 2022 but SDK State looks pretty good getting points in this spot. Take South Dakota State. |
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11-06-22 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -10 | Top | 97-103 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
The Washington Wizards hit the road today for a game at Memphis. It's an East vs West contest in the NBA and like usual, the West is just the way better conference. That is panning out again this year. The Wizards are 4-5 S/U and 3-6 ATS on the season. They are coming off a brutal beating in Brooklyn, 86-128 as a 3-point favorite. That makes them just 1-4 S/U and ATS their last five games. The Wizards don't have much magic on the road either where they are 5-11 ATS their last 16. They are also 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Memphis Grizzlies are 6-3 S/U and 3-4-2 ATS on the season. Memphis is 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS at home with a point differential of 14.7 ppg as they score an average of 126. 3 points on their home court. It pans out then that the Griz are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 home games. Memphis is 17-5-1 ATS their last 23 meetings at home vs the Wizards and 5-1 ATS their last six overall. I look for a Memphis blowout here today. Play Memphis. |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 49 | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
NFC West Clash here on Sunday has the 5-3 and 1st place Seahawks taking on the 3-5 and last place Cardinals. No one ever expect much out of the Seahawks after Russell Wilson departed in the offseason for Denver. But here they are with Geno Smith at QB and the 7th top rated QB the season. Smith ranks high than both Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow at this point. The Hawks are coming off a win over the Giants last week, 27-13 and have covered three straight games. The Hawks have the 12th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Seahawks have also gone over in four of their last five road games. There were high hopes in Arizona starting the season, however they find themselves in last place right now, though a big win today would close that gap greatly. The Cards are coming off a loss at Minnesota last week, 26-34, as a 4-point dog. They have now lost three of their last four games. Arizona is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. In addition they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five vs the NFC West. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games in Arizona and the road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 in this series. I expect both teams to get plenty of points in this contest. Both team's have poor defenses and that will help push this one over. |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks +2 v. Cardinals | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
NFC West Clash here on Sunday has the 5-3 and 1st place Seahawks taking on the 3-5 and last place Cardinals. No one ever expect much out of the Seahawks after Russell Wilson departed in the offseason for Denver. But here they are with Geno Smith at QB and the 7th top rated QB the season. Smith ranks high than both Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow at this point. The Hawks are coming off a win over the Giants last week, 27-13 and have covered three straight games. The Hawks have the 12th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Seahawks have also gone over in four of their last five road games. There were high hopes in Arizona starting the season, however they find themselves in last place right now, though a big win today would close that gap greatly. The Cards are coming off a loss at Minnesota last week, 26-34, as a 4-point dog. They have now lost three of their last four games. Arizona is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. In addition they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five vs the NFC West. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games in Arizona and the road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 in this series. I'm taking the Seahawks here on Sunday. |
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11-06-22 | Colts +5.5 v. Patriots | 3-26 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Longtime rivals meet up here in Foxboro, MA on Sunday as the Patriots host the Colts. Colts will start QB Sam Ehlinger today. The Colts are 3-4-1 and the Patriots are 4-4. Matt Ryan was benched in favor of Ehlinger who looks to be in that role for the rest of the season. The Colts also fired offensive coordinator Marcus Ryan and traded reserve RB Nyheim Hines to the bills for Zach Moss and a draft pick. So things are changing in Indy. The Colts trying to improve on an offense that was ranked just 18th overall. The Patriots are coming off a win at the Jets last week, 22-17, despite giving up 336 yards through the air. The Patriots have been changing QB's too, in was Mac Jones then came Bailey Zappe. Now Jones is back behind center. Jones was at the helm of their win over the Jets. Not sure the Patriots should be laying almost a TD to anyone at this juncture. Their offense ranks just 20th overall and 23rd in passing. Even the Colts offense has been better overall this year. I'll take the points in this one and expect a close finish. Play Indianapolis. |
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11-06-22 | Vikings v. Commanders +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings are 6-1 on the season and cruising in the NFC North with a 3.5 game lead over the Packers and Bears. The Vikes only loss of the season coming at the hands of undefeated Philly, 7-24 in week 2. The Vikings offense is 15th overall in the league, 20th rushing. Surprisingly, the defense ranks just 28th overall, though 9th vs the rush. The Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs the NFC. The Washington Commanders will once again be without QB Carson Wentz, who will miss another game with a injured finger. QB Taylor Heinicke will make his third start of the season. Heinicke is 2-o in that role, having beaten the Packers 23-21 and then last week over the Colts, 17-16. That makes three straight wins and covers for the Commanders. For me, I think I would rather have Heinicke at QB then the way Wentz had played. Washington was 2-4 under Wentz. The Washington offense still ranks just 22nd overall with the defense coming in at 13th. The dog has covered eight of the last 11 meetings in this series. Moreover, I actually like this Washington team more with Wentz out. I'll take the points here today. Play Washington. |
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11-06-22 | Chargers v. Falcons +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers coming off a home loss two weeks ago to the Seattle Seahawks, 23-37, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Chargers had last week off to get over some injuries, however they are still hurting coming into this game. Star WR Keenan Allen will miss another game with a hamstring injury. Also out is their top WR in Mike Williams who has a ankle injury. That leave QB Herbert with his top two wide receivers out of the game. The Chargers offense is ranked 8th, but 27th rushing and 4th passing. That means the loss of those wide outs will put even more stress on a poor rushing game. The Chargers defense is ranked 20th, 27th vs the rush. The Falcons have surprised many this year as they are 4-4 on he season and 6-2 vs the spread. The Falcons are coming off a home win against Carolina, 37-34, though they failed to cover the 4-point favorite spread. The Falcons are only 25th on offense, though they have one of the better rushing attacks, ranked 5th overall. Defense has been a problem though, ranked 31st in the NFL, with the worst passing defense (32nd) allowing 307 yards per game. If the Chargers had their top WR's this might be a issue, though today not as much. Atlanta has been very competitive this year. Getting a field goal at home is more than enough for me to take them today. Play Atlanta. |
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11-06-22 | Dolphins v. Bears +4 | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The Miami Dolphins have won two straight games after dropping three straight. This includes last week over Detroit, 31-27, just covering the 3.5 point favorite line. The Miami offense ranks 7th overall and third in passing. This despite missing QB Tua for a few games with that concussion. The defense isn't as good, ranking 23rd overall, though 6th vs the rush. The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games. The Chicago Bears came off their win at New England two weeks ago, 33-14, with a loss at Dallas last week, 29-49. They gave up 200 yards rushing to a Dallas team that was without Ezekiel Elliot. These teams have only met once in the last five years and that was Miami win 31-28 at home back in 2018. The Bears offense ranks just 27th overall, though they have the league's top rushing attack with 189 yards per game. The defense ranks a bit better at 15th overall and 5th vs the pass. This looks to come down to the Miami rush defense vs the Chicago ground game. I'll take the points at home with the Bears. Play Chicago. |
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11-05-22 | Thunder v. Bucks -7.5 | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team in the NBA left at 8-0 after they easily cruised to another win on Friday over the Minnesota T'Wolves, 115-102. The Bucks have the best point differential in the East at +11.3 and 2nd in the NBA. Milwaukee is coming off a back-to-back set vs the Pistons where they won both but only covered Wednesday's contest, 116-91. The Bucks have covered seven of their eight games this year and are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Bucks will be without Khris Middleton tonight who will sit out with a wrist injury. The OKC Thunder are 4-4 on the season after losing at home on Thursday to Denver, 110-122 as a 6.5-point dog. That snapped a four game s/u and ATS win streak by the Thunder after they started the season 0-3. The Thunder are 1-2 S/U and 3-0 ATS on the road with just a 2-point differential. The Thunder have played well, but I'm sticking with the Bucks who should be 9-0 after this game tonight. Play Milwaukee. |
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11-05-22 | Phillies v. Astros -140 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros are one game away from being World Series Champions. Coach Dusty Baker has been a big league manager for over 20-years and this would be his first Championship as a manager. Standing in the way will be Zack Wheeler for the Phillies. Wheeler is 13-9 overall this season and 3-2 in the postseason. Wheeler had his first bad start this postseason in this series vs the Astros where he went five innings and gave up six hits and four earned runs for the loss. Framber Valdez will try and lock in the championship for the Astros. Valdez is 19-6 overall on the season. He has three postseason starts and has allowed just three runs during that span (19 innings) with 18 KO's and just six walks. The Astros have won all three of his postseason starts. It was a good run for the Phillies, but I believe it ends here tonight. Play the Astros. |
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11-05-22 | Clemson -3.5 v. Notre Dame | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
No 4 Clemson heads to South Bend to take on the Fighting Irish here on Saturday evening. The Clemson Tigers have been a good road team to bettors, going 20-8 ATS in their last 28 away games. Clemson is coming off a home win over Syracuse, 27-21, but failed to cover the 13-point line. The Tigers are 8-0 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. Notre Dame is coming off a win over Syracuse, 41-24, covering the 2.5-point dog line. The Irish are now 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. With Navy, BC and USC left on the schedule, the Irish should only need to two games to head to another bowl game. Clemson has the 47th ranked offense and the 26th ranked defense. Notre Dame has the 78th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Irish are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Might be one of the best games on Saturday and I will be laying the points on the road with the Tigers. Take Clemson. |
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11-05-22 | Texas -2.5 v. Kansas State | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here today has No 24 Texas taking on No 13 Kansas State. The Texas Longhorns are 5-3 S/U and ATS this season. They had last week off to prepare for today's contest. They lost the week before at Oklahoma State, 34-41 as a 3.5-point dog. The Texas offense is very good, ranked 30-th overall with the defense coming in at 62nd. Texas has won and covered the last two seasons in this series, including last year at home, 22-17 as a 2.5-point favorite. Kansas State had a huge shut-out win last week at home over Oklahoma State, 48-0. The Wildcats held Ok State to just 217 total yards and forced three turnovers. K State is now 6-2 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. They finish the season at Baylor and West Virginia before closing out at home vs Kansas. Should be a good matchup here on Saturday, but I'll take the visitors in this one with Texas. |
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11-05-22 | BYU v. Boise State -8 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 33 m | Show |
BYU looked pretty good as the season got underway, starting out at 4-1. However, a week six loss to Notre Dame, 20-28, seemed to start a downhill slide that has seen the Cougars lose four straight games to now be 4-5 and possibly losing a bowl bid. They only have three games left and two are tough road games at Boise today and their final at Stanford. They do have a softball against Dixie State in between. The Cougars rank 64th on offense and 103rd on defense. Meanwhile, Boise State is 6-2 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. The Broncos have won four straight games and covered those four also. They are coming off a big win over Colorado State, 49-10. The offense ranks 94th while the defense is 2nd in the nation. I don't see this lackluster BYU offense being able to put up much against the Boise State 2nd ranked defense today. BYU hasn't covered any of their last seven games and 0-5 ATS their last five non-conference games. I'll take Boise here today to hand BYU their bowl berth death sentence. Take Boise State. |
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11-05-22 | Michigan State v. Illinois -16 | 23-15 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Big 10 game here on Saturday has Michigan State taking on the fighting Illini at Illinois. The Spartans are coming off two straight losses in which they were outscored 23-57. The Spartans had been producing big up until these last two games, scoring 39 or more points in five of their six games and going 5-1 S/U and ATS. The Michigan State offense, despite all those points, still ranks just 110th overall and the defense at 107th. They are 1-5 ATS their last six games and 1-4 ATS their last five Big 10 games. They also have not covered any of their last five road games. Now they face the nation's top ranked defense in Illinois. In addition, the Illini have one of the best redzone efficiency ratings at just 42.9% on defense. The defense has allowed just three TD's all season in the redzone. They have also held seven of their eight opponents to 14 points or fewer and five of their eight to nine points or fewer. They are coming off a win at Nebraska, 26-9, as a 7-point favorite. Illinois is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games. The favorite has covered seven of the last 10 in this matchup and I don't see the Spartans offense getting many points at all here today. Take Illinois. |
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11-05-22 | Tennessee +9.5 v. Georgia | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
We get to see a preview of what could be a playoff matchup here as AP No 2 Tennessee takes on AP No 1 Georgia on Saturday. One of these teams will fall from the undefeated here on Saturday as both sit at 8-0. In the College playoff Rankings Tennessee is No 1 and Georgia No 3. This likely is the last hurdle for Tennessee with Missouri, South Carolina and Vandy remaining on the regular season schedule. Georgia still has to get by a couple of tough road games in Mississippi State and Kentucky. These are the top two offenses in the nation with Tennessee ranked first and Georgia ranked second. Georgia has the better defense, ranked 4th while Tennessee is ranked 82nd. You can really make a case for either team here on Saturday. What sways my decision is that Tennessee gets over a TD here today at around +8 or +8.5 points. That's too much for me to pass on with this top ranked offense. Take Tennessee. |
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11-05-22 | North Carolina -7 v. Virginia | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The North Carolina Tar Heels once again a force to be reckoned with on offense as they have scored at least 27 points in all eight games this season. They are coming off a home win over Pitt last week, 42-24, covering the 3.5-point line. The Pitt offense ranks 61st overall in the nation with the defense ranked 38th. The Tar Heels are 7-1 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS on the season. Virginia has had offensive struggles of late, not scoring more than 17 points in each of their last four games. During that span they are 0-4 S/U and 1-3 ATS. Overall, the Cavaliers are 2-6 S/U and 2-5-1 ATS overall on the season. The Cavs would have to win out to have a shot at a bowl game and that will be tough with NCS in their path today. The Virginia offense is 92nd in the country with the defense at 30th. Virginia is also 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. The favorite has covered five of the last six in this series and I look for NCU to have little trouble with the Cavaliers today. Play North Carolina. |
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11-04-22 | Bucks -3.5 v. Wolves | 115-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team in the NBA left at 7-0 and sitting atop the Eastern Conference. The Bucks have the best point differential in the East at +11.3 and 2nd in the NBA. Milwaukee is coming off a back-to-back set vs the Pistons where they won both but only covered Wednesday's contest, 116-91. The Bucks have covered six of their seven games this year and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Bucks will be without Khris Middleton tonight who will sit out with a wrist injury. They will have Giannis A though who has nursed a knee injury. The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4-4 on the season and have lost two straight games. They are coming off losses at home to the Spurs, 98-107 and then last time out at Phoenix, 107-116. The Wolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 3-7 ATS their last 10 games coming off a ATS loss. The Wolves also battling injuries. Center Rudy Gobert (Illness) and guard Anthony Edwards (Illness) are both questionable tonight. I'm going to stick with the Bucks until they prove me otherwise. Take Milwaukee |
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11-03-22 | Eagles v. Texans UNDER 45.5 | 29-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Philly vs Houston also happens to be the World Series matchup tonight. Though that game should be a lot closer than this one will be. The Eagles look to remain the only undefeated this year and improve to 8-0. With a win tonight they will hold a two-game lead over both the Cowboys the Giants. It was just last year that the NFC East was the worst division in the NFL and now it's the best. The Eagles are coming off a win last week over the Steelers, 35-13 and get the short turnaround this week. Houston is in last in the AFC South with a 1-5-1 record. The Texans won their only game of the season back on October 9th over the Jaguars, 13-6. Since then, they have lost at Vegas, 20-38 and last week at home to the Titans, 10-17. Philly has the league's third ranked offense while Houston comes in at 31st. Philly also has the fourth ranked defense while Houston has the 30th ranked overall defense and 32nd ranked rush defense. I expect to see a lot of the Philly running game, in particular that of Miles Sanders. I will actually be surprised if Houston scores anything over a few field goals here tonight. I'll take a shot with the UNDER and hope that the Eagles look content to run the ball tonight. |
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11-03-22 | Astros -143 v. Phillies | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
We won our World Series Game of the Year on Wednesday with the Astros as Cristiano Javier and the Astros bullpen combined for a NO-hitter en route to a 5-0 win and tied the series at 2-2. Today, Justin Verlander is back on the mound. Verlander had one of his rare bad outings last time out vs the Phillies when he allowed five runs over six innings as the Astros lost 5-6. Today, he's back to redeem himself and get back to that ERA that is 2.18 on the season an d a 19-4 record. The Phillies had five home runs in game three then couldn't get a hit in game four. Noah Syndergaard was scheduled to start earlier in the series but that game got postponed. Now he's back to start only his second postseason game. His first came vs the Braves where he went just three innings and allowed one hit and one run. Syndergaard is just 10-10 on the season with a 3.98 ERA. I look for Verlander to come back with a good game here as he shuts down the Phillies. Play Houston. |
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11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
The Utah Jazz are in 3rd place in the Western Conference with a 6-2 mark and have won two straight games. The Jazz are coming off back-to-back wins over Memphis at home, 121-105 and 124-123, covering both games. Now they hit the road again where they are 2-2 both S/U and ATS and have allowed 119.5 ppg this season. The Dallas Mavericks are 3-3 so far and coming off a win at home over Orlando, 114-105, pushing the number. The Mavs remain at home where they are 2-1 S/U and 1-1-1 ATS. The Mavs have averaged 120.7 ppg at home while allowing 106.0 point. Even though Utah has the better record, they are just +3.9 point differential this year compared to the Mavs +7.3 point differential. The Jazz have not been kind to bettors on the road, going 8-22-1 ATS their last 31 away games. They are also 4-12 AT in their last 16 games coming off 1-day rest. The Mavs have been good at home, going 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games. The Mavs are 10-1 ATS the last 11 in this series and 5-1 ATS the last six at Dallas. I'll be on the Mavericks here tonight. |
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11-02-22 | Astros -108 v. Phillies | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Houston hadn't lost a postseason game until the World Series. Now they find themselves down 1-2 in this best of seven series. The Phillies used the long ball to rout the Astros on Tuesday, 7-0. Bryce Harper got it started with a 2-run shot and the Phils added four more round trippers. The Astros find this to be a pivotal game here as they can ill afford to go down 1-3 in the World Series. They turn to arguably their hottest pitcher in Cristian Javier. Javier is 12-8 on the season, however he's gone five straight starts without allowing a run. That includes a one hit effort over the Yankees in the ALCS that the Astros won 5-0. His streak is now 28 2/3 innings without allowing a run to go with 34 KO's and just 9 walks. The Phillies turn to Aaron Nola who is 13-14 overall on the season. Nola makes his fifth postseason start tonight. He's 2-1 in the postseason. Nola got roughed up in his last two starts, allowing five runs in 4 1/3 innings to the Astros and six runs in 4 2/3 innings to the Padres. That's 11 runs over his last nine innings. I really like the way Javier has pitched and this is a great price and spot for the Astros. My World Series Game of the Year is on the Houston Astros in Game 4. |
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11-01-22 | Wolves v. Suns -5 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
The Minnesota T'Wolves in 6th in the West with their 4-3 record. The Wolves coming off a loss at the Spurs, 98-107 as a 6-point favorite. The Wolves only have played twice on the road and are 1-1 both S/U and ATS. The Phoenix Suns are tied for 1st in the West with a 5-1 record. They also have the highest point differential at +12.4 points. The Suns have won and covered four straight games including their last game vs Houston, 124-109. The Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games. They have also gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with the T'Wolves and 9-4 ATS the last 13 meetings in Phoenix. Take the Suns here on Tuesday. |
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11-01-22 | Astros -115 v. Phillies | 0-7 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
The World Series is tied at 1-1 as the venue moves to the city of Brotherly love. Yesterday's game was postponed to today so both teams got an extra day of rest. The Phillies have also wrestled away home field, at least for now. The Phillies took game one in Houston, 6-5 in extra innings. They did the improbable, coming from a 0-5 deficit against Justin Verlander to tie the game and force extra innings. The Astros had little difficulty in game two, jumping out to an early 3-0 lead before cruising to a 5-2 win. Lance McCullers Jr will toe the rubber for the Astros in game three. He has had two postseason starts, going 11 innings, allowing 10 hits and four runs with 13 KO's and three walks. He also pitched against the Phillies on October 3, going six innings and allowing six hits and one run in a 0-3 loss. Noah Syndergaard was set to start this game on Monday, but being moved to Tuesday. Ranger Suarez will now start game two for the Phils. Suarez had two post season starts, going 3 1/3 innings vs the Braves, allowing three hits and one run but five walks. Then he went five innings vs the Padres and gave up just two runs over five innings. Didn't really matter to me who starts here for the Phillies in game three. I'll be on the Astros here today as they regain home field advantage. Play Houston. |
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10-31-22 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 45.5 | Top | 13-32 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
Bragging rights in Ohio are on the line tonight as the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Cleveland Browns. The Bengals can move into a 1st place tie with Baltimore in the AFC North win a win tonight. Meanwhile, the Browns are 2-5 in the North. The Bengals arecoming off a win at home over Atlanta, 35-17. They have also covered their last five games and have gone under in five of their seven games this season. The defense has been very good, ranked 11th in the NFL, while the Browns are 16th. The Browns rank 6th on offense thanks to their third ranked rushing offense that averages 164 yards per game. The Bengals rank 11th on offense, 4th in passing. Cincinnati has gone under in 10 of their last 12 games and are 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight vs the AFC. This series has favored the under with a 2-6-1 Ov/Un mark the last nine meetings in Cleveland. I'm sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night. |
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10-31-22 | Pistons v. Bucks -12.5 | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team in the NBA right now with a 5-0 record. They host Detroit in a home back-to-back series and I fully expect them to be 7-0 after this series. The Bucks have a +10.4 point differential. The Detroit Pistons are 2-5 on the season and coming off a win at home over the Golden State Warriors on Sunday, 128-114. The Pistons have to turnaround and play again here on Monday. The Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. The Bucks had Sunday off after beating the Hawks on Saturday, 123-115, covering the 5.5-point line. The Bucks have covered all five games this season. They have also average 119.3 ppg at home this season. Milwaukee has owned the Pistons, going 14-3-1 ATS their last 18 meetings and 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 meetings in Milwaukee. Look for a Bucks blowout here on Monday. |
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10-30-22 | Knicks v. Cavs -4.5 | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers sit in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference with a 4-1 record and the best point differential thus far in the East and tied in the overall NBA with +11.8 points. The Cavs started the season with a loss at Toronto, 105-108, but have won four straight games including last game at Boston, 132-123. The Cavs have also covered their last four games. The Knicks are 3-2 both S/U and ATS on the season. They lost last time out at Milwaukee, 108-119 as a 6-point dog. I like the Cavs here at home laying the points. |
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10-30-22 | Titans v. Texans | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
AFC South matchup here on Sunday between 1st place Tennessee (4-2) and last place Houston (1-4-1). The Titans won their fourth straight game last week at home vs the Colts, 19-10. Both offenses didn't do much with Tennessee having 254 total yards and the Colts 293. Houston won their first game of the season on Oct 8th vs the Jaguars, 13-6, then had the next week off before traveling to Las Vegas last week and getting beat, 20-38. The Texans gave up 400 total yards, 164 on the ground. The Texans have been competitive though vs the number, going 3-2-1 ATS this season. They are also 4-1 ATS their last five games vs a team with a winning record and 6-2 ATS their last eight vs the AFC. The Houston Texans now have the worst defense in the NFL, allowing 412 yards per game. They are ranked last vs the rush and 21st vs the pass. No wonder the Raiders ran wild on them last week. Tennessee ranks 26th on defense with the fourth best rushing defense and 31st ranked passing defense. Both teams have been poor on offense with Houston ranked 26th and Tennessee ranked 31st. The Titans offense also got a big blow as QB Ryan Tannehill will miss today's game with an ankle injury. QB Malik Willis will make his first career start today for the Titans. Tennessee might be in 1st place, but it's more by virtue of a very weak division. I give the Texas a good shot at winning this game on Sunday. Play Houston. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints OVER 49 | 0-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Raiders used their bye week well to rebound from their loss to the Chiefs to beat Houston last week, 38-20. The Raider offense rushed for 164 yards and passed for another 236 yards in the win. The Raiders did get banged-up though as both QB Derek Carr (Back) and WR Davante Adams (Illness) come into this game as probable but ailing. The Raiders offense has been good, ranked 9th overall in the league while New Orleans comes ranked 3rd overall. The Saints defense is ranked 14th and the Raiders 24th. The Raiders are 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS their last seven on the road. The Raiders have also gone over in their last four games and last five games in October. The Saints have gone over their last 4 and 10-1 O/U their last 11 games in October. These teams have met only once the last five years and that was back in Oakland when the Raiders won 34-24. Both these teams have better offenses then defenses and I expect a lot of points on the board when these teams get together on Sunday. Take the OVER. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints +2 | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Raiders used their bye week well to rebound from their loss to the Chiefs to beat Houston last week, 38-20. The Raider offense rushed for 164 yards and passed for another 236 yards in the win. The Raiders did get banged-up though as both QB Derek Carr (Back) and WR Davante Adams (Illness) come into this game as probable but ailing. The Raiders offense has been good, ranked 9th overall in the league while New Orleans comes ranked 3rd overall. The Saints defense is ranked 14th and the Raiders 24th. The Raiders are 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS their last seven on the road. The Raiders have also gone over in their last four games and last five games in October. The Saints have gone over their last 4 and 10-1 O/U their last 11 games in October. These teams have met only once the last five years and that was back in Oakland when the Raiders won 34-24. The Raiders are a small road favorite here on Sunday, but I will be on the Saints. |
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10-30-22 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Vikings | 26-34 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals tied for last in the NFC West with the SF 49ers as both teams are 2-4. However, the Rams are just a half game in front at 3-3 and the Seahawks are just one game in first place at 4-3. The Cards won at home last week over New Orleans, 42-34 as a 2.5 point favorite. The offense had just 326 total yards and the defense allowed 494 yards. But it was three turnovers by the Saints that led to the Arizona win. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Cardinals. Minnesota is the leader in the NFC North with a 5-1 record, 2.5-games ahead of the Packers and Bears. The Vikings are the only team in the division with a plus point differential (+21) this year. The Vikings had last week off after beating Miami the week before, 24-16. The only loss for the Vikings this year coming in their second game at Philly, 7-24. The Minnesota defense isn't very good, ranked just 27th overall and 28th vs the pass. The offense comes in ranked 18th overall. Arizona's offense ranks 15th while their defense is 22nd. Arizona has been good on the road, going 20-8-2 ATS their last 30 away games. The Vikings are just 1-4 ATS their last five games and 1-4 ATS their last five games following a bye week. They are also 2-8 ATS vs a team with a losing record. The dog in this series is 7-2-2 ATS and that's what I will be on here today. The underdog Cardinals. |
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10-30-22 | Patriots -145 v. Jets | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
This sure seems to be the bizzaro world in the NFL. Tom Brady and the Bucs are losing, as is Aaron Rodgers. Yet here are the NY Jets in 2nd place in the AFC East with a 5-2 record. They take on the Patriots who are in last place in the division with a 3-4 record. The Patriots have been trying both Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe at QB and last week Zappe came in for a struggling Jones and got 14 quick points. However, the all went away in the 2nd half as the Patriots struggled to a loss to the Bears, 14-33. The Pats had just 260 total yards and 19 fewer offensive plays. Meanwhile, the Jets went into Denver and came away with the win, 16-9, holding the Broncos to three field goals. The Jets had just 260 total yards and 24 fewer offensive plays than the Broncos. The Jets offense ranks 22nd in the NFL with the Patriots coming in at 17th. Pats HC Bill Belichick has already confirmed that Jones will be back at starting QB this week. It might be because Jones currently ranks second among quarterbacks in average target depth (10.4 yards) and throws deep passes at the highest rate in the NFL (20.4%). The Patriots have shown they can bounce back after double digit losses at home, going 7-0 ATS the last seven times. The Jets are just 7-19 ATS their last 26 games against the AFC East. The Pats are also 4-1 ATS the last five meetings with the Jets. I'll take the Patriots on the Money Line to just win the game here on Sunday. |
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10-29-22 | Hawks v. Bucks -4.5 | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks lead the early standings in the NBA East with a 4-0 record and with Atlanta right on their heels at 4-1. Both teams play yesterday and both teams coming off wins. Atlanta played last night in Detroit, beating the Pistons 136-112, as a 6-point road favorite. Their only loss thus far coming at home vs Charlotte, 109-126. The Milwaukee Bucks are 4-0 after their win last night at home over the Knicks, 119-108 as a 6-point favorite. They have covered all four games this year. The defense has yet to allow more than 109 points and two opponents have been held under 100 points. The Hawks are now just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games and 6-23 ATS in their last 29 games on the road vs a team with a winning home record. The Bucks have covered four of the last five meetings with the Hawks in Milwaukee. I look for another Bucks win and cover here tonight. |
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10-29-22 | Phillies v. Astros UNDER 7 | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
Game one went to the Phillies who dug themselves a 0-5 deficit in game one but battled back to tie the game and send it into extra innings where they won 6-5 in 10. Today, Zack Wheeler will start game two for the Phillies. Wheeler has been very good in the postseason, allowing five runs in his four starts (19 1/3 innings) with 25 KO's and just five walks. Wheeler's ERA over his last seven starts is a paltry 1.34 ERA. The Astros will start Framber Valdez who is 18-6 overall on the season with a 2.96 ERA. In his two postseason starts, Valdez has gone `12 2/3 innings and allowed two earned runs. Game one was a slugfest, but I look for the teams to settle down into a pitching duel here in game two. Take UNDER. |
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10-29-22 | Kentucky +12.5 v. Tennessee | 6-44 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 49 m | Show | |
Tennessee had a softball tossed to them last week in the manner of Tennessee-Martin and the Vols had little issue in a 65-24 win. That was coming after the biggest win in maybe Tennessee history when they beat Alabama two weeks ago, 52-49. The Vols are now 7-0 S/U and 6-1 ATS on the season. They have also scored at least 34 points in every game this year and rank 1st in the nation in total offense. Kentucky started the season 4-0 before dropping their fifth game at Ole Miss, 19-22 and then dropping the next game vs South Carolina, 14-24. The Wildcats did rebound last week at home over Mississippi State, 27-17, covering the 7-point favorite line. The offense is ranked just 82nd while the defense is very good at 12th. The Wildcats are 20-5-2 ATS in their last 27 games vs a team with a winning record. They are also 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 overall games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games. As good as Tennessee has been, they are just 9-24 ATS their last 33 home games vs a team with a winning road record. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven in this series and the dog is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series. Lots of points here on Kentucky. I'll take a shot with the Wildcats and see if their very good defense can get them the cover. Play Kentucky. |
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10-29-22 | Missouri +4 v. South Carolina | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 39 h 43 m | Show | |
Missouri snapped a 3-game losing skid last week at home against Vanderbilt, 17-14, failing to cover the 14.5-point favorite spread. Missouri is 3-4 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. The Tigers looking to get back to bowl eligible with five games left on the schedule. South Carolina has won three straight after last week's win over Texas A&M, 30-24 as a 3.5-point home dog. USC had just 286 totals yards in the win and allowed 398 to Texas A&M. Both teams had two turnovers and the Aggies had 10 more first downs and 15 more plays. The Gamecocks are 4-2 S/U and ATS on the season. South Carolina is ranked 81st in offense and 51st on defense. Missouri is 92 on offense and 21st on defense. Missouri has won and covered the last three years in this matchup, including last year's 31-28 home win. Missouri has covered six of their last eight conference games. South Carolina is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 conference games. Missouri is getting about a field goal here on Saturday. I'll take the points in this matchup. |
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10-29-22 | Illinois -7.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 26-9 | Win | 100 | 53 h 15 m | Show |
Who has the best defensive overall unit in the FBS? If you said Illinois you would be correct. The Illini allow a paltry 221 total yards per game and have an outstanding red zone efficiency rating of just 42.9% on the season. In fact, the Big 10 is the defensive conference this year with four teams in the top six defensive units in the country. Alas, Nebraska is not one of them as the Huskers rank 122nd in the nation. Illinois had last week off to rest up for today's contest. The Illini coming off a 26-14 win over Minnesota, covering the 7-point dog line. They have now allowed 14 points or fewer in all but one game this season and that was their only loss of the year back on Sept 2 at Indiana, 20-23. Nebraska has struggled to a 4-4 record but can still go to a bowl if they can get by the Big 10's best teams in the coming five weeks. The problem is this team's defense that gives up a lot of yards and points. Illinois has won and covered the last two seasons vs Nebraska, including last year's 30-22 win at home as a 6.5-point dog. Illinois is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Nebraska is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. Illinois has covered five of the last seven in this series and I fully expect their defense to shut down Nebraska today and get the cover. |