Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-17-23 | Tennessee -5.5 v. Mississippi State | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
More SEC action tonight has Tennessee hitting the road to take on Mississippi State. 9th ranked Tennessee is 14-3 S/U and 9-8 ATS on the season. The Volunteers look to rebound from just their third loss of the season after dropping a home game to Kentucky, 56-63 as a 11-point favorite. They hit a season low 14.3% from the three-point line in the loss. The Vols usually rebound nicely after a straight-up loss, going 5-1 vs the spread the last six games. Mississippi State is 12-5 S/U and 7-9-1 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs look to snap a two-game losing skid here tonight vs the Vols. They are coming off a loss at Auburn, 63-69, as a 7-point dog. That makes them 1-5 S/U their last six and 2-6 ATS their last eight games. The Dogs are also 4-9 ATS their last 13 home games vs a team with a winning road record. Moreover, they are 3-9-1 ATS their last 13 games overall and 1-7-1 ATS their last nine home games. I'll lay the points here with Tennessee. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs OVER 45 | 31-14 | Push | 0 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Monday Night Football has the Cowboys playing at the Tampa Bay Bucs. For the first time in his career Tom Brady had a losing season with a team. That and the fact that on paper the Cowboys are the better team is why the Bucs are a home dog of a Field goal here on Monday. Yes, you can make many arguments why to back the Cowboys here on Monday. How poorly this Bucs team played this year, how much trouble they had putting points on the board, their last place rushing offense.... and on and on. However, I'm backing the Bucs for one reason and only one reason here on Monday and that reason is TOM BRADY. It's playoff time and that's where Tom shines. And I do expect to see a lot more upempo pace from Brady here on Monday. Brady and this offense has looked stagnant, expect under pressure of late game time clock. I see them doing a lot more no huddle and hurry up here on Monday. And with that I'm taking a shot on the OVER here on Monday Night. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +3 | 31-14 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Monday Night Football has the Cowboys playing at the Tampa Bay Bucs. For the first time in his career Tom Brady had a losing season with a team. That and the fact that on paper the Cowboys are the better team is why the Bucs are a home dog of a Field goal here on Monday. Yes, you can make many arguments why to back the Cowboys here on Monday. How poorly this Bucs team played this year, how much trouble they had putting points on the board, their last place rushing offense.... and on and on. However, I'm backing the Bucs for one reason and only one reason here on Monday and that reason is TOM BRADY. It's playoff time and that's where Tom shines. Now he is a home dog.... I'll take that shot here tonight. Give me the points at home with Tom Brady in the playoffs anytime. Take Tampa Bay tonight. |
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01-16-23 | Hofstra +2.5 v. Towson | 47-68 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
Hofstra Pride returned three starters to this year's edition of their team. They were 21-11 S/U and 13-5 Colonial Conference. The Towson Tigers were 25-9 last year and tied for first in the Colonial Athletic Conference with a 14-4 record. They made the NIT, but lost in the first round. Hofstra is 12-7 this season and 10-8 ATS. They have won four straight games including last time out over Delaware, 86-62, as a 9.5-point favorite. The Price have also covered four straight games and held all four opponents to 62 or fewer points while scoring at least 67 or more in each game. Towson is 9-9 S/U and 8-10 ATS this season. The Tigers rebounded from their loss to Delaware on the 11th with a win over Monmouth on Saturday, 64-48, as a 18-point favorite. The Tigers are now 3-5 ATS in their last eight games. Hofstra getting points here today and I think they should be the favorite. I'll take Hofstra. |
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01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -8.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
If you look strictly at the best covering teams in the NFL this year, then you need look no further than the Bengals. They were 11-4 on the season vs the spread and only the Giants had a better spread covering percentage. Can't say the same for the Ravens who where just 7-9 vs the number. The Ravens closed out their season with a loss to the Bengals on the road, 16-27, but covered the 12-point dog line. That makes six games in a row they have scored more than 17 points. Most of that is due to Lamar Jackson being out of the lineup. Right now it's a question if Jackson will be able to play this week. If he doesn't it could get ugly for the Ravens offense. Baltimore finished 16th in total offense while Cincinnati was 8th (4th in passing). The Bengals have been very good at home, going 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. They are also 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf. I like the Bengals here on Sunday, especially if Jackson isn't in the lineup again. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
The NY Giants covered their fourth straight game and six of their last seven after losing to Philadelphia in the regular season finale, 16-22, as a 16.5-point dog. The Giants offense was mediocre all season, finishing 19th overall though 5th in rushing. The Vikings were 7th ranked on offense, 28th rushing and 6th passing. The Giants defense ranks 25th while the Vikings are 31st. This will be the first time in six years that the Giants will have made the postseason. These teams met just three weeks in Minnesota with the Vikings winning a close game, 27-24. The Vikings closed out their regular season with a win over the Bears, 29-13, covering the 6.5-point line. That cover snapped a four game spread losing streak. The Giants have covered their last four road games and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff road games. The Vikings are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs the NFC. The road team has covered nine of the last 13 in this series and I'll be on the road team here today. Play the Giants. |
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01-15-23 | Maryland +5.5 v. Iowa | 67-81 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Big 10 Action here on Sunday has Maryland playing at Iowa. The Terrapins look to improve on last year's 15-17 record and 7-13 Big 10 mark returning two starters to the team. Maryland is 11-5 S/U and 10-6 ATS on the season. They snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Ohio State last game, 80-73, as a 1.5-point favorite. Maryland has had the last week off so they are plenty rested for today's contest. This team has one of the most experienced teams in the nation with 3.1 years of experience on the entire roster. The Iowa Hawkeyes are 11-6 S/U and 10-7 ATS on the season. After losing three straight games, two in conference, the Hawkeyes have won three straight in conference. They are coming off a win over Michigan, 93-84, as a 5.5-point favorite. Iowa returned three starters to a team that was 26-10 last year and 12-8 in conference. They lost in the NCAA first round. The Terps are getting 5.5-points here today. I'll take the dog in this one. Play Maryland. |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins make the trip North to take on the Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins just did get into the postseason with their close win over the Jets in the final week. These teams split the two regular season games. The Dolphins beat the Bills back in Week 3 in Miami, 21-19. covering the four-point dog line. They lost on Dec 17 at Buffalo, 29-32, as a 7-point dog. There is a possibility that they could get Tua Tagovailoa back this week after he's missed time with a concussion. The Dolphins look for the huge upset against a Bills team that has won seven straight games. Buffalo has the 2nd ranked offense and the fourth ranked defense in the NFL. They also have the best point differential in the league at +10.6. Meanwhile, the Dolphins defense didn't do well down the stretch, allowing five of the final six opponents to score at least 23 points. Their defense has dropped to 18th in the NFL. The Dolphins are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games on turf and 0-4 ATS in their last four playoff games. Buffalo is 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 at home vs the Dolphins and have won the last six straight up. The Dolphins have not found an answer for Bills QB Josh Allen who has torched them. In his 10 games vs the Dolphins he as 27 TD's and 5 INT's. At home, Allen has a +16.6 average margin of victory over the Dolphins. I'm taking the Bills here on Sunday as my Wild Card Game of the Year. |
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01-15-23 | Northwestern +4.5 v. Michigan | 78-85 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
Northwestern Wildcats look to rebound from their 4th loss of the season on Wednesday vs Rutgers, 62-65, as a 1-point dog. The Cats are 12-4 S/U and 9-7 ATS on the season. This will only be their fourth road game, but they are a perfect 3-0 S/U and ATS away this season and outscoring opponents by a 76.3 to 69.7 margin. There was much optimism for Northwestern this year as they returned four starters to this team. This team lost a lot of close games last year and looked to change that this season. They are 2-2 S/U and ATS so far in the Big 10 this year. The Michigan Wolverines are just 9-7 and look to snap a 2-game losing streak after their most recent setback at Iowa, 84-83, as a 5.5-point dog. The Wolverines are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games vs a team with a winning road record. I see Northwestern as the better team and with them getting points here today I'll take them. Play Northwestern. |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 35 h 58 m | Show | |
This playoff game will feature two of the young, emerging QB's in the NFL with Justin Herbert for the Chargers taking on Trevor Lawrence of the Jags. The Jaguars had an incredible run this season just to make the playoffs. HC Doug Peterson has done a great job with this team after the debacle left by Urban Meyer. Jacksonville was 4-8 at one juncture of the season and was already looking toward the NFL draft. However, five straight wins later they took control of the AFC South. And, for the first time since 2018, they will host a playoff game. Also look for the Jags to take advantage of a poor Chargers rush defense that allows 145.8 ppg this year. Also, I'm not a fan of Chargers HC Staley. I feel he's made some bad coaching decisions and this is one intangible that goes to the Jags. I'm looking for Jacksonville to control the ball on the ground and keep Herbert and his receivers off the field. I'll take the Jags at home here in week one of the playoffs. |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 42 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks are all Lions fans today after they backed their way into the Playoffs when the Lions went into Lambeau field and beat the Green Bay Packers. If I had a vote, Dan Campbell of the lions would get NFL Coach of the Year. The 9-8 Seahawks don't have to travel far as they play the 13-4 49ers. The Seahawks (9-8) are the No 7 seed in the playoffs. These teams have met two times this year with the 49ers taking both games. The 49ers have been on a roll, winning 10 straight games. The Niners lost both their 1 and 2 QB's when Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo both when down with injuries. However, Rookie Brock Purdy has been excellent in the role of QB with 13 TD's and just three INT's. The 49ers backbone is their defense, with the top ranked defense. They also allow just 16.3 ppg (tops in the NFL) and have held the Seahawks to just 20 points total in both games this year. While the under seems the logical choice here, I'm actually going against that. The Seaahawks have gone over in their last five playoff road games. The 49ers have gone over their last four hme games and 5-1 Ov/Un in five of their last six overall games. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers -9.5 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks are all Lions fans today after they backed their way into the Playoffs when the Lions went into Lambeau field and beat the Green Bay Packers. If I had a vote, Dan Campbell of the lions would get NFL Coach of the Year. The 9-8 Seahawks don't have to travel far as they play the 13-4 49ers. The Seahawks (9-8) are the No 7 seed in the playoffs. These teams have met two times this year with the 49ers taking both games. The 49ers have been on a roll, winning 10 straight games. The Niners lost both their 1 and 2 QB's when Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo both when down with injuries. However, Rookie Brock Purdy has been excellent in the role of QB with 13 TD's and just three INT's. The 49ers backbone is their defense, with the top ranked defense. They also allow just 16.3 ppg (tops in the NFL) and have held the Seahawks to just 20 points total in both games this year. I don't see any problem here today for the 49ers. Take San Francisco. |
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01-14-23 | Fordham +1.5 v. La Salle | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
The Fordham Rams look to improve on their 13-4 record as they head to La Salle today. The Rams have stumbled a bit of late, going 1-3 in their last four games including losing last time out to Dayton, 58-82, as a 7.5-point dog. The Rams were 16-16 last year and 8-10 in the Atlantic 10 as they return three starters to this year's team. This team is based on defense as they have in the past. They have allowed 67.9 ppg this season while scoring 72.5 ppg. The La Salle Explorers have won two straight games, covering both. Still, the team is just 3-4 over their last seven games. La Salle is just 5-2 S/U and 4-3 ATS at home this year and about even in scoring with a 70.9-70.4 average. La Salle did pick up a big win in their last game at U Mass, 78-77, as a 9-point dog. These teams are pretty evenly matched but my numbers favor the dog in this matchup. Take Fordham. |
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01-14-23 | Wisconsin +4.5 v. Indiana | 45-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday has Wisconsin taking on Indiana from Bloomington. Wisconsin is 11-4 S/U and 8-7 ATS on the season. They have lost their last two games, both in conference to Illinois and then last game to Michigan State, 65-69, as a 1.5-point dog. The Badgers returned three starters to a team that was 25-8 S/U and 15-5 in the Big 10 last season. The Badgers lost in the 2nd round of the NCAA tournament. Wisconsin was the king of close games last year, winning 12 straight games that were decided by five points or fewer. They are 5-3 this year in games decided by 5 point or fewer. Indiana is 10-6 S/U and 6-9-1 ATS this season. The Hoosiers look to snap a three-game losing streak after they dropped games at Iowa, vs Northwestern and last game at Penn State, 66-85, as a 2-point dog. They have also failed to cover the spread in seven straight games. I'll take the points here today with Wisconsin. |
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01-14-23 | West Virginia +4.5 v. Oklahoma | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
A pair of 10-6 Big 12 teams meet here today as West Virginia takes on Oklahoma. The WV Mountaineers had just one player return this year to a team that was 16-17 last year and 4-14 in the Big 12. West Virginia has lost all four of their Big 12 games, but three of those losses where by single digits and an OT loss to Kansas State. Oklahoma would like to forget their start to the season, losing to Sam Houston State as a 16-point favorite. They have just one Big 12 win and that was over Texas Tech last Saturday in OT. Oklahoma has lost three of its last four games including last time out to Kansas, 75-79, as a 10.5 point dog. Both teams struggling in conference play. But I'll take the dog in this one with West Virginia and not be surprised by a straight up win. |
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01-14-23 | Kentucky +12 v. Tennessee | 63-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Kentucky looks to improve to 11 wins as they hit the road to take on the Tennessee Volunteers today. The Wildcats are 10-6 S/U and 4-12 ATS on the season. They look to snap a two game losing streak here today after dropping a pair of conference games to Alabama and then last time out to South Carolina, 68-71. The Wildcats were 26-8 last year and finished second in the SEC with a 14-4 mark. They lost in the first round of the NCAA tournament. HC John Calipari usually has great defensive teams that has been his key to success. Last year this team was 98th in defense and that was due to shot blockers in the middle. Calipari's teams are usually near the top in shot blocking and this year they look to return to that echelon. Tennessee is 14-2 S/U and 9-7 ATS this season. They have won five straight games including last game over Vandy, 77-68, as a 16.5-point favorite. The Vols are 3-4 ATS in their last seven. Kentucky getting double digits here today. I'll take a Calipari team with this many points. Play Kentucky. |
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01-14-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. NC State | 81-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
A pair of ACC teams that are having a fine season meet today as Miami Florida takes on North Carolina State. The Miami Hurricanes are 14-2 S/U and 9-7 ATS on the year. The Canes rebounded from only their second loss this year at Georgia Tech, 70-76, as a 6.5-point favorite with a win over Boston College, 88-72, as a 11-point favorite. The Canes are 3-1 S/U and ATS on the road and outscoring their opponents by a 73-64.5 ppg average. Miami only returned 2 starters to a team that was 26-11 last year and 4th in the ACC with a 14-6 record. They lost in the NCAA Elite 8 with a nice run. NC State is 13-4 S/U and 8-7-2 ATS on the season. The Wolfpack have won two straight games both S/U and ATS. They are 8-1 S/U at home but just 4-4-1 vs the spread. They returned three starters to a team that was 11-21 last year and 4-16 in the ACC. Miami is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Pack are only 6-23 ATS in their last 29 Saturday games. Miami is a very good team and getting some points here today. I'll take the Hurricanes. Play Miami. |
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01-13-23 | Rockets v. Kings -9.5 | 114-139 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
The Houston Rockets make the trip to Sacramento tonight to face the Kings. The Rockets are 10-31 S/U and 16-22-3 ATS on the year. They have lost eight straight games since their last win on Dec 26th over Chicago, 133-118. They are also just 1-7 ATS their last eight games. Meanwhile the Sacramento Kings are having a decent season with a 22-18 S/U and 23-17 ATS mark. They are 1st place in the Western Conference Pacific Division. They have won two straight games both S/U and ATS including last time out against these Rockets, 135-115 as a 9-point favorite. Back-to-back spot here tonight in Sacramento and I don't see any other outcome than the first time these teams met on Wednesday. Your free play is on the Kings. |
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01-12-23 | Utah +12.5 v. UCLA | 49-68 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
PAC-12 clash here late tonight has Utah playing at UCLA. The Utah Utes are 12-5 S/U and 10-7 ATS on the season. The Utes had their three-game win streak snapped last game by Oregon, 60-70, as a 4.5-point favorite. They are 3-1 S/U and ATS on the road and outscoring opponents by a 65.5 to 62.3 margin. They are also 4-1 S/U and ATS in the PAC-12 thus far. UCLA is 14-2 S/U and 9-7 ATS on the season. They have won 10 straight games and are 5-5 ATS during that span. The Bruins are coming off a win over USC, 60-58, but failed to cover the 11-point line. The Bruins are 9-0 S/U at home but just 5-4 vs the spread. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. A lot of points for the Bruins to by laying here tonight. I like Utah to stay close in this one. Play Utah. |
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01-12-23 | Pepperdine +2.5 v. San Diego | 89-92 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference clash here late on the Thursday schedule has Pepperdine (7-10 S/U, 5-10 ATS) traveling South to play San Diego (8-10 S/U, 5-11 ATS). The Pepperdine Waves look to snap a four-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss vs Pacific, 75-80, as a 7.5-point favorite. The San Diego Toreros look to snap a 2-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss to BYU, 48-68, as a 5-point home dog. They shot jus 31.6% in that loss to the Cougars and 13% from three-point arc. The Toreros are just 3-6 ATS in their nine home games and 7-18-1 ATS their last 26 overall games. The road team is 9-4 ATS the last 13 meetings between these teams. I'll take a shot here tonight plus the points with that road team. Play Pepperdine. |
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01-11-23 | TCU +6.5 v. Texas | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
TCU and Texas both come into tonight's contest with 13 wins each and just two losses. The TCU Horned Frogs are 8-6-1 vs the spread. The Horned Frogs are coming off a home loss to Iowa State, 67-69, as a 5.5-point favorite. They had 18 turnovers in that game and missed 12 free throws, hitting jus 57.1% from the charity stripe. TCU allows just 63.5 ppg this season while scoring 79 ppg. They are also 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. In addition, they are 21-8-1 ATS their last 30 road games. Texas rebounded from their loss to Kansas State last Tuesday with a win over Oklahoma State, 56-46 as a 3-point favorite. Texas ranks in the top 20 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. They have to recover from losing HC Chris Beard who was fired over alleged domestic violence charges. The Longhorns average 82.3 ppg and will give the TCU defense one of their best tests this season. This should be a great game between two very good teams. I'm going to take TCU here tonight plus the points with their very good defense. |
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01-11-23 | Florida State +8.5 v. Wake Forest | 75-90 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
ACC Action here tonight has Florida State taking on Wake Forest. The Seminoles have had a tough time thus far, going 5-11 S/U and 7-9 ATS. They started the season real bad, going 1-9 through the first 10 games. Since then they are 4-2 S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over Georgia Tech, 75-64, as a 2.5-point home favorite. FSU only had one returning starter to a team that was 17-14 last year and 10-10 in the ACC. So it could have taken time for the new players to come together as they have lately. Wake Forest is 11-5 and 8-8 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Louisville, 80-72, as a 9.5-point favorite. They have struggled a bit of late, going 4-4 S/U and 3-5 ATS their last eight games. FSU getting decent points here today and they are improving. I'll take the shot with the dog in this one. Play Florida State. |
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01-11-23 | Virginia Tech v. Syracuse +3.5 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
ACC battle here as Syracuse hosts Virginia Tech. The Va Tech Hokies are 11-5 but bring a four game S/U and ATS losing streak into tonight's contest. The Hokies are coming off a loss vs NC State, 69-73, as a 5.5-point favorite. Not a good start to conference play for the Hokies as they have lost three straight. They haven't played well on the road either, going 7-19-1 ATS their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Syracuse is 10-6 S/U on the season and coming off a loss at Virginia, 66-73, as a 13-point dog. The Orange return home where they are 7-3 S/U and 6-4 vs the spread this season. The home team has covered five of the last seven in this series. The way Tech is playing of late and especially on the road, I'll take Syracuse here tonight. |
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01-10-23 | Dayton v. Fordham +7.5 | Top | 82-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Atlantic 10 matchup here has the 11-5 Dayton Flyers taking on the surprising 13-3 Fordham Rams tonight. Dayton is 3-0 in conference play after their win over St Joseph's, 75-56, as a 14-point favorite. They have also covered six straight games since their crushing loss at Virginia Tech on Dec 7, 49-77, as a 6.5-point dog. Meanwhile, Fordham is coming off a win over St Joe's, 66-54, as a 4-point favorite. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Rams which included losses to Rhode Island and Davidson. Dayton shoots pretty poorly on the raod at just 36.4% and average just 56.7 ppg. Difficult to cover mid-size spread when you don't shoot well or score well on the road. I'll take the points here at home with Fordham. |
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01-10-23 | Florida v. LSU +1.5 | 67-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
SEC action tonight has Florida hitting the road at LSU. The Florida Gators are 8-7 S/U and 6-9 ATS on the season. The Gators are coming off a win over Georgia, 82-75, but failed to cover the 8.5-point chalk line. That makes Florida, 1-3 S/U their last four games and 4-7 ATS their last 11 vs the number. The win over Georgia was their first SEC win vs two losses. LSU was 12-1 to start the season before losing its last two games including last game at Texas A&M, 56-69. LSU has had an easy non-conference schedule, however they did have a quality win over a very good Arkansas team 60-57 at home as a 4-point dog. With the line basically a pick'em, I like LSU on their home floor. Play LSU. |
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01-09-23 | TCU +13 v. Georgia | 7-65 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 55 m | Show | |
College Football Championship game here has TCU a big dog to defending Champion Georgia. Georgia really could not be here if the Ohio State kicker made that last second 50-yard Field Goal. Ohio State truly deserved to be here as much as Georgia as they led a lot of the way in that semi-final game. Yet, Georgia survived that missed field goal and here they are. TCU surprised everyone with a dominating performance over Michigan. TCU will have to contend with a Georgia team, though torched by Ohio State, still ranks 5th in the nation in scoring defense. TCU is no slouch though, ranking 5th in the nation in scoring defense (14.8 ppg). They also rank fifth in the FBS in scoring (41.1 ppg). Both teams you can make an argument for. But for me, I have to take these points with TCU. They have a great defense and offense and can stay with Georgia tonight, just as they did with Michigan. Take the points here with TCU. |
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01-08-23 | Houston v. Cincinnati +10 | 72-59 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
The No Houston Cougars would like to get back to the top spot but they have to play here at Cincinnati today. The Cougars have won six straight games after their last win over SMU on Thursday, 87-53. No 1 Purdue lost earlier this week so they could get back that top spot with a win here today. Houston leads the nation in offensive rebounds and it showed in their win over SMU as they held a 21-7 advantage on the offensive glass. A win here today by Cincinnati and that would do wonders for their resume. The Bearcats have won eight of their last 10 games and five of the last six. They have also covered the spread in nine of the last 10 games including eight straight covers at home. Cincy a big home dog here today and I will look for them to stay close and get inside that big number. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-08-23 | Jets v. Dolphins UNDER 37 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
For one of these teams they will snap a five game losing streak, the other will finish with six straight losses to end the season. The Jets looked like a team heading for the playoffs until this run of five loss and now they can only play for pride. The Dolphins still have a shot at the playoffs, but need a win coupled with a Patriots loss or tie to the Bills. The Dolphins lost at New England last week, 21-23. Teddy Bridgewater has taken over at QB for injured Tua Tagovailoa. With Tua. Bridgewater was solid, but dislocated his pinky finger and had to be replaced by Skylar Thompson. Still unsure if Bridgewater will go today or back to Thompson. Joe Flacco will start for the Jets with Zach Wilson a huge disappointment in New York. The Jest will also be without three starting offensive linemen today. I don't see the Jets rolling over here today, but do they have the offensive weapons or line for that matter? What I expect is a defense to come out fired-up and ready to play. With Thompson at QB for the Dolphins I don't see a lot of points on that side of the ball either. I'll take this game UNDER. |
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01-08-23 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 40.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
A big AFC North game here on Sunday has the Browns playing at the Steelers. The Browns have been eliminated from the playoffs but look to play spoiler and keep the Steelers home too. The Browns did it last week, beating Washington and eliminating them from the playoffs. The Browns have lots of injuries though, especially on the offensive side of the ball so points might be difficult today for Cleveland. The Steelers have won three straight games and five of their last six. The Steelers have the best rushing defense in the league and will look to stop the Browns potent rushing attack. The Steelers offense has struggled though as QB Kenny Pickett has more INT's then TD's. Either way this game goes, I expect a low scoring contest here today. Play the UNDER. |
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01-08-23 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs are 8-8 on the season and just 3-4 on the road as they head to Atlanta for this AFC South contest. The Bucs beat the Panthers last week, 30-24 while the Falcons beat the Cardinals, 20-19. The Bucs QB Tom Brady has never lost to the Falcons and who can forget that NFL Super Bowl combeack he led when with the Patriots. The Bucs are the 4th seed in the playoffs. HC Todd Bowles said he will play the starters here today. Though have to wonder how long Brady will be in the game. Should he come out Blaine Gabbert would take over. The Bucs average just 18.5 ppgs this season and are last in rushing. The Falcons have lost six of their last eight and play for pride here today. Desmond Ridder will make his fourth pro start today. The Bucs already have offensive line issues so with that I don't expect Brady to be in this game a long time. The Bucs are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. I have to believe this game means more to the Falcons then the Bucs. Play Atlanta. |
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01-08-23 | Vikings v. Bears +7.5 | 29-13 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Final week of the season and the Bears only can look to break a nine game losing streak here today at Soldier Field. As for the Vikings they are still playing for position in the NFC playoff picture. The Bears got clobbered last week by the Lions, 10-41 for their ninth straight loss. The Vikings are also coming off a loss last week as the Packers pounded them, 17-41. The Bears will be without QB Justin Fields who will sit out with various injuries today. Nathan Peterman will get the start. A lot of Bears younger players will try to impress for better roles next season with this team or another team. The Vikings looked like one of the best after nine weeks, going 8-1. Then Dallas beat them badly, 3-40. Since then, they are just 4-3. The Vikings have the division won, but a win today could improve their playoff position. I believe the Vikings will do just enough to win here today, but not be able to cover this big line. Play Chicago. |
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01-07-23 | Titans +7 v. Jaguars | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
The AFC South title is on the line as the final week of the regular season begins here on Saturday with a pair of games. The Titans can salvage a bad finish to the season with a win here and playoff berth, while the Jaguars are looking to win five straight. The Jaguars have a one-game lead over the Titans with their 8-8 mark and the Titans 7-9. A Tennessee win and they would take the division because of their better AFC South record. A Jags loss and they could still make the playoffs, but they need help with losses by the Pats, Dolphins and Steelers. With Ryan Tannehill out at QB for the Titans, Mike Vrabel will start Joshua Dobbs over his rookie backup. Dobbs will be making only his second start of his six season NFL career. But I like this move from Vrable as Dobbs is highly intelligent, though lacking starter experience. The only issue is that Dobbs has only been with the team a few weeks. What I also like about this spot is that Vrable has had two weeks to prepare for this game with the Titans off last week. The Pressure is on the Jags today as they are a pretty big favorite. The Jags have done well as a dog, but as much as the chalk. In all likelihood a Jax loss puts them out of the playoffs. Vrable also had done great with teams in the dog role, covering at a very high rate. Plus add the fact that RB Derrick Henry is healthy for this game and I believe the Titans have a great shot here today to win. But lets take the points anyways. Play Tennessee. |
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01-07-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +9.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -114 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
The Kansas City Chiefs will have all hands on deck here on Sunday as a win will give them the AFC best record and home field throughout the playoffs. The Raiders season is done, QB Derek Carr likely done with the Raiders as Jarrett Stidham makes his second straight start here today. Stidham did well vs the NFL's top defense last week with both his arm and legs, but the Raiders came up just short at home. Stidham passed for 365 yards in that loss. Another potential big loss is that of AFC leading rusher Josh Jacobs. While Jacobs has some nagging injuries, it's a personal issue that may keep him out today. These teams last met back in week 5 and the Raiders comeback fell just short in the loss at KC, 29-30. Jacobs rushed for 154 yards in that contest. KC qb Patrick Mahomes has dominated the Raiders, going 8-1 in career with 26 TD's and just three INT's. The Vegas defense is 29th in the league so look for Mahomes to torch them again here on Saturday. Chiefs should win here today, but can they cover the big spread? I look for the Raiders with Stidham to at least stay inside the number as the KC starters might be pulled if they get up by double digits in this game. No pressure on the Raiders also, and that also helps. I'll take Vegas here on Saturday. |
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01-06-23 | Detroit +5 v. Wright State | 85-90 | Push | 0 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Detroit Mercy looks to improve on last year's 14-16 overall record with two starters returning to this year's edition of the team. The Titans were 10-7 in Horizon League play. The Titans are just 6-9 S/U and 7-7 ATS overall this season. The Titans are coming off a home loss over Wisconsin Milwaukee, 81-84, as a 7-point favorite. This team has had to play a lot of road games thus far, nine in all. They are 2-7 S/U and 4-5 ATS on the road . Wright State returns three starters to their team this year after a 22-14 campaign last year and 15-7 and 4th place Horizon finish. Wright made the NCAA tournament, but lost in the first round. Wright State is 8-7 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. The Raiders are coming off a road win at IUPUI, 82-68, as a 15.5-point favorite. They failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven posted games. They are just 1-3 ATS at home overall this season. Wright State not as good as they have been in previous seasons and this year doesn't look like they have a NCAA caliber team. I'll take the points here today with Detroit. |
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01-05-23 | Bryant +3.5 v. Vermont | Top | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Extra board action today has the Bryant Bulldogs looking to improve to 11 wins tonight. The Dogs are 10-4 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games and four of their last five including last time out over Binghamton, 82-78 as a 13-point favorite. The Bulldogs return just one starter to a team that was 22-10 last season and 16-2 in the Northeast division. The won the Northeast and then lost in the opening round of the NCAA tournament. The Vermont Catamounts are 7-8 and looking to get back to the .500 mark tonight. The Catamounts are 7-7 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over MD Balt County, 74-61, as a 2-point favorite. They are also 5-1 S/U and 4-1 ATS their last six games. Vermont also returned just one starter to a team that was 28-6 last season and finished first in the America East Conference. Like Bryant, they lost in the NCAA first round. Vermont is 3-13 ATS their last 16 games as at home vs a team with a winning road record. My own numbers had this closer to pick or even Bryant a small favorite. But I will gladly take the 3-points or thereabout that the oddsmaker is giving me. Take Bryant. |
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01-05-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee +6.5 v. Cleveland State | 68-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Two teams near the top of the Horizon league meet here tonight as 8-7 (3-1) Cleveland State hosts 9-5 (3-1) Wisconsin Milwaukee. The Milwaukee Panthers are 6-5 vs the number this season and look to build on their win over Detroit, 84-81 as a 7-point dog. The Panthers have won seven of the last nine games and covered five of their last eight posted games. Milwaukee had to replace all five starters off a team that was just 10-22 last year and lost in the Horizon first round. The Cleveland State Vikings returned two starters to a 20-11 team from last year. They finished tied for 1st in the Horizon with a 15-6 record and lost in the NIT first round. They are 8-7 overall this season and 7-6 vs the number. The Vikings are coming off a win over Robert Morris, 63-54, as a 2-point dog. They are 2-4 S/U and 1-4 ATS over their las five games. Milwaukee getting some decent points here today and I'll take that price. Play Wisconsin Milwaukee. |
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01-04-23 | Lindenwood v. Arkansas-Little Rock -6.5 | 67-62 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
The Lindenwood Lions are 6-9 to start their season. The Lions are 6-5-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Tennessee Tech last time out, 82-64. That win snapped a three game losing streak. Their biggest game thus far was at BYU, where they lost 61-90 as a 23.5-point dog. Arkansas Little Rock looks for their sixth win of the season here tonight. The Trojans are 5-10 overall and 7-6 vs the spread. They are coming off a loss to Tennessee State, 69-94, as a 4.5-point dog. This team is undefeated at home, going 4-0 S/U and 2-0 vs the spread and outscoring their opponents by 80.8 to 67.8 margin. I like the Trojans on their home court where they have flourished. Take Arkansas Little Rock. |
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01-04-23 | Belmont v. Illinois-Chicago +4.5 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
The Belmont Bruins returned just one starter to a team that was 25-8 last year and 15-3 in the Missouri Valley Conference. The Bruins lost in the NIT first round last year. Belmont is 9-6 this season and 7-7 vs the spread. The Bruins had their three-game win streak snapped last game by Southern Illinois, 45-63, as a 4.5-point dog. The Bruins are just 2-4 on the road with a 2-4 spread mark in their six away games. They have also been outscored on the road by a 6.5 point margin. Illinois Chicago Flames look to hit the 10 win mark today after a 9-6 start. The Flames are also 10-4 vs the spread. They are coming off a loss at Bradley, 45-79, as a 15-point dog. The Flames are 5-2 S/U and 5-1 ATS at home and outscoring opponents by a 67-61.3 mark. The Flames play well at home while the Bruins have not played well on the road. I'll take the home club here today. Play Illinois Chicago. Illinois Chicago |
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01-04-23 | Auburn v. Georgia +7.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Two SEC powerhouses meet tonight as 11-2 Auburn takes on 10-3 Georgia. The Auburn Tigers are 11-2 S/U and 5-8 ATS on the season. They have played just two away games and are 1-1 S/U and ATS, but getting outscored by 10 points on the road. They have won two straight games, including last time out vs Florida, 61-58, as a 5.5-point favorite. Georgia looks to extend their win streak to four games here this evening. The Bulldogs are coming off a win over Rider, 79-72, as a 10-point favorite. The Dogs have also been perfect at home, going 8-0 S/U, but covering just three of those games. They have yet to be a home dog and here tonight they will be getting around 7 points. I'll take that with a team that hasn't lost on their home court yet. Take Georgia. |
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01-03-23 | Ball State +8.5 v. Toledo | 90-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
MAC action here today has Toledo hosting Ball State. Ball State begins conference play after a 9-4 S/U and 6-5 ATS mark heading into today's contest. Ball State started the season at just 4-4 before winning their last five games and covering four of their last six games. They are coming off a win over Chicago State, 70-63, as a 11.5-point favorite. The Cardinals returned three starters to a team that was 14-17 overall and 9-10 in the MAC last year. The Cardinals lost in the MAC quarterfinals and did not play in any postseason tournaments. HC Lewis played for Bobby Knight and brings a tough mentality to this team and will rely almost exclusively on a man-to-man defense. Meanwhile, high hopes for a Toledo team that returns four starters to a club that was 26-8 last year and won the MAC with a 17-3 record. The Rockets got snubbed by the NCAA and lost in the first round of the NIT tournament. The Rockets have won the MAC twice in a row and are predicted to win it again this year. They are 9-4 S/U and 7-5 ATS so far this season as they head into conference play today. They have won two straight games and four of their last five. However, they have covered just two of their last five. The dog has done well in this series, covering 16 of the last 23. That's who I am on here today, Ball State. |
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01-03-23 | Marquette v. St. John's +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
A pair of teams with identical 11-4 records meet here today as St Johns hosts Marquette. The Marquette Golden Eagles returned two starters to a team that was 19-13 last year overall and 11-8 in the Big East. The Eagles made the NCAA tournament last year but lost in the first round. They have started well with those 11 wins this year and are also 9-5-1 ATS. They have won two straight games both S/U and ATS and four of the last five games. They are coming off a win at Villanova, 68-66 as a 2.5-point dog. They have played four road games and are just 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS away from home. They have also been outscored by 1.8 ppg on the road. Yet, here they are a favorite at another 11-win team. St Johns returned three starters to a team that was 17-15 overall last year and 8-11 in the Big East. The Red Storm looks to break a three game losing streak here today. They have also lost three streak vs the spread. They are coming off a road loss to Seton Hall, 66-88, as a 3-point dog. They have been good at home, going 8-1 S/U but only 3-6 vs the spread and outscoring visitors by a 82.6 to 67.1 margin. Don't really care about the spread record at home since the Storm as a dog here today. I'll take them to just win the game tonight. Play St Johns. |
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01-02-23 | West Virginia +3 v. Oklahoma State | 60-67 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The West Virginia Mountaineers look to build on an already impressive early season with a 10-3 record and 7-6 spread mark after 13 games. The Mountaineers four game win streak was snapped last time out at Kansas State, 76-82, as a pick'em. West Virginia looks well improved over a team that went 16-17 last season and just 4-14 in the Big 12. They returned just one starter to this year's edition. The moves made this year look to have improved the teams depth and better offensively. So far that looks to be just the case. Oklahoma State is 8-5 S/U and 7-6 ATS to start the season. The Cowboys are coming off a loss at Kansas, 67-69, as a 10-point dog. OK State returned four starters to a team that was 15-15 overall and 8-12 in the Big 12 last year. The Big 12 is one of the toughest conference in basketball with two National Championships in the last two years with Baylor and Kansas. Looks like West Virginia and Ok State will want to throw their respective hats into that pool too this year. I'm taking West Virginia here today. |
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01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State +1.5 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
The Rose Bowl has the PAC-12 Champion Utah taking on Penn State from the Big 10. The Utah Utes are 10-3 on the season and look to win their first ever Rose Bowl here on Monday. They won the PAC-12 in back-to-back seasons. They rank in the top 20 in both the offense and defense. Penn State will be making its fifth trip to the Rose Bowl and its first win since 1995. Penn State was third in a very good Big 10 in both scoring 35.8 ppg and total offense. Utah though will be hampered a bit here on Monday as both their top rusher and receiver from the regular season will not play here today. Will we see the same Utah team that took down USC in the PAC-12 Championship? I see this Penn State team as being very well balanced and with those two key players missing on Utah, I'll take the Nittany Lions here today. Play Penn State. |
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01-02-23 | Mt. St. Mary's +3 v. Canisius | 64-60 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
The Mount St Mary's Mountaineers look to climb closer to the .500 mark with a win tonight at Canisius. The Mountaineers are 5-9 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. They have lost three straight games after their last loss at Niagara, 55-67, as a 2.5-point dog. They return three starters to a team that finished 14-16 overall last season and 9-9 in the Metro Atlantic. Mt St Mary's was a dominant factor in the NorthEast conference before accepting a invitation to the MAAC conference this season. They lost in the NEC conference semi-finals last season. With the upgrade in conferences this season, the Mountaineers will rely on their solid defense to keep them in games. Even though they are 2-5 their last seven, none of their opponents have scored more than 69 points. Now they face the Canisius Golden Griffins who are just 2-10 S/U and 5-6 ATS on the season. The Griffins have lost eight straight games including last time out to Rider, 64-66, as a 2.5-point dog. The Griffins didn't do well last year either, going 11-21 overall and losing in the MAAC first round. Even though they returned three starters they look to be playing much worse this year. If there is a team that Mt St Mary's should be able to dominate in the MAAC, this is one of them. Play Mt St Marys. |
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01-02-23 | Purdue v. LSU -14 | 7-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
One big thing you have to keep in mind for these bowl games is which teams have players that want to play. We see it more and more where players either enter the transfer portal or opt out to prepare for the NFL draft. Some still will play for their team, but most don't. Purdue will get hit by that today in the Citrus Bowl. The Boilermakers were 8-5 on the season. Former Purdue QB and Saint's all star Drew Brees will be an assistant coach today as HC Jeff Brohm moves on to Louisville. They will also be without QB Aidan O'Connell and WR Charlie Jones (the Nation's leading receiver in receptions) along with three other full-time starters. All five of those players opted out to enter the transfer portal. LSU was 9-4 and while they will also miss a few players, they weren't hit nearly as hard as Purdue. WR Kayshon Boutte will be their biggest player opting out for the NFL Draft. LSU was happy to welcome back QB Jayden Daniels who announced he would return for 2023. Purdue's offense will be a big question here today without HC Brohm and the combo of O'Connell to Jones also gone. I'm taking LSU here today as they will have a big edge at the QB position. Play LSU. |
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01-02-23 | Mississippi State -3 v. Illinois | 19-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Early game on the Monday Bowl schedule has Mississippi State taking on Illinois. The Bulldogs will be playing with heavy hearts here today after the passing of their coach, Mike Leach. Both these teams did more than expected of them this year. Illinois started the season with a 7-1 record but then had three straight losses to Michigan State, Purdue and Michigan. They did finish the season with a win over Northwestern to get to eight wins. Miss State also started fast, getting out of the gate to a 5-1 start, but they could only play .500 ball the rest of the way. Have to wonder how this Miss State will rebound since the passing of their coach on Dec 12. DC Zach Arnett will take over the heac coaching duties here today. Miss State decided to play this game despite losing their coach. That makes me believe that want to win this one for the coach. That can be a strong motivating factor and I will be on them here today. Play Mississippi State. |
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01-01-23 | Steelers +2.5 v. Ravens | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
AFC North Clash here on Sunday has the Pittsburgh Steelers not officially elminated from the playoffs but in need in help and a win here on Sunday. The Steelers are 7-8 on the season and have won two straight games. They scored a late touchdown last week to beat the Raiders, 13-10, as a 2.5-point favorite. They held the Raiders to just 201 totals yards and 58 rushing yards. The Baltimore Ravens have secured a playoffs spot with their 10-5 record. The Ravens beat the Falcons last week 17-9, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Ravens will one again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who is out with a knee injury. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five, 16-7-3 ATS their last 26 games in January and 9-4-1 ATS their last 14 in Week 17. The Steelers are also 2-5 Ov/Un in their last seven vs the NFC North and 22-47-1 Ov/Un in their last 70 road games. The Ravens are 1-5-1 their last seven vs the AFC and AFC North. They are also 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Ravens have gone under in their last four games, under in their last eight on field turf and under in six straight at home. The Dog is 20-6-3 ATS the last 29 meetings between these teams. These teams have also gone under in six of the last eight in Baltimore and under in four straight overall. I'm taking the Steelers and the UNDER here today in a must win spot against a Baltimore team that I don't expect to get many points. |
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01-01-23 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 35.5 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
AFC North Clash here on Sunday has the Pittsburgh Steelers not officially elminated from the playoffs but in need in help and a win here on Sunday. The Steelers are 7-8 on the season and have won two straight games. They scored a late touchdown last week to beat the Raiders, 13-10, as a 2.5-point favorite. They held the Raiders to just 201 totals yards and 58 rushing yards. The Baltimore Ravens have secured a playoffs spot with their 10-5 record. The Ravens beat the Falcons last week 17-9, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Ravens will one again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who is out with a knee injury. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five, 16-7-3 ATS their last 26 games in January and 9-4-1 ATS their last 14 in Week 17. The Steelers are also 2-5 Ov/Un in their last seven vs the NFC North and 22-47-1 Ov/Un in their last 70 road games. The Ravens are 1-5-1 their last seven vs the AFC and AFC North. They are also 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Ravens have gone under in their last four games, under in their last eight on field turf and under in six straight at home. The Dog is 20-6-3 ATS the last 29 meetings between these teams. These teams have also gone under in six of the last eight in Baltimore and under in four straight overall. I'm taking the Steelers and the UNDER here today in a must win spot against a Baltimore team that I don't expect to get many points. |
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01-01-23 | Ohio State v. Northwestern +2.5 | 73-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Big 10 matchup late on the Sunday schedule has Northwestern hosting Ohio State. The Ohio State Buckeyes are 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Buckeyes have won two straight and four of their last five games. The one loss in that group was a setback to North Carolina, 84-89 as a 2.5-point dog. This team has really only played one away game and that was at Duke in a 72-81 loss as a 5-point dog. The Northwestern Wildcats enter conference play with a 10-2 S/U and 7-5 ATS record. The Cats have won five straight games and covered three of those. That includes last time out vs Browns, 63-58, as a 13.5-point favorite. The Cats are also 7-1 S/U and 3-5 ATS at home. This will also be their first home games installed as the dog. I like Northwestern here, they have a good home record and will get a few points here today. |
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01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers -3 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
Just two weeks left in the regular season and the Minnesota Vikings have wrapped-up the NFC North Division with a 12-3 record. They are 5-games ahead of both Detroit and the Packers. Packers need a win here today to keep their postseason hopes alive. The Vikings beat the Giants last week, 27-24, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Packers went to Miami and beat the Dolphins, 26-20, as a 3.5- point favorite. The Packers were +3 in turnover ratio in that game. The Vikings are just 3-10 ATS their last 13 vs a team with a losing record. The Packers do well on the grass, going 17-7 ATS their last 24. The Vikings are 5-1 Ov/Un in their last six vs the NFC North and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine on hte road vs a team with a losing home record. They have also gone over in five straight games. The Packers are 11-5 Ov/Un in their last 16 vs the NFC North and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 games in week 17 of the season. The Packers have covered nine of the last 13 vs the Vikings in Green Bay and the home team is 9-4 ATS the last 13. In addition, these games have gone over in four of their last five Meetings. Take the Packers today. |
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01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers OVER 47.5 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
Just two weeks left in the regular season and the Minnesota Vikings have wrapped-up the NFC North Division with a 12-3 record. They are 5-games ahead of both Detroit and the Packers. Packers need a win here today to keep their postseason hopes alive. The Vikings beat the Giants last week, 27-24, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Packers went to Miami and beat the Dolphins, 26-20, as a 3.5- point favorite. The Packers were +3 in turnover ratio in that game. The Vikings are just 3-10 ATS their last 13 vs a team with a losing record. The Packers do well on the grass, going 17-7 ATS their last 24. The Vikings are 5-1 Ov/Un in their last six vs the NFC North and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine on hte road vs a team with a losing home record. They have also gone over in five straight games. The Packers are 11-5 Ov/Un in their last 16 vs the NFC North and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 games in week 17 of the season. The Packers have covered nine of the last 13 vs the Vikings in Green Bay and the home team is 9-4 ATS the last 13. In addition, these games have gone over in four of their last five Meetings. Take the Over in this matchup today. |
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01-01-23 | Jets v. Seahawks +2 | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Two teams in desperate need of a win to keep their playoff hops alive meet today as the Seahawks host the Jets. Both teams are 7-8 and both have a narrow slot at make the Wild Card playoffs, but both must win here today. The Jets lost their last home game of the season last week to the Jaguars, 3-19. It was their fifth loss in the last six weeks. Seattle also lost last week to the Cheifs, 10-24. The Jets would be eliminated from the playoffs with a loss and will also need the Pats to lose a game. The Seahawks are 8th in the West but will need to not only win, but will also need a Washington and Green Bay loss to get in. These two teams are very evenly matched and with Zach Wilson benched again that actually will help the Jets. But I think it's the Seattle defense that will step up today and do just enough to get the Seahawks the win in what will be a close finish. Take the point or so with Seattle here today. |
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01-01-23 | Tulsa +8.5 v. SMU | 67-92 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Two teams looking to climb back near the .500 mark meet here today as SMU hosts Tulsa. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are just 4-8 and 1-10-1 ATS on the season. They are still looking for their first road win of the season after three losses. They have lost two straight games including to highly ranked Houston, 50-89, as a 20-point dog. This will be a AAC Conference matchup as the SMU Mustangs play their first conference game of the Year. The Mustangs are 5-8 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Hawaii, 57-58, as a 4-point dog. That snapped a 2-game win streak. Two teams having poor seasons thus far and both look to turn things around as conference play begins. I'll take the points as I think this is just too much for this SMU to be laying today. Tulsa can play as we saw them lose earlier in the season to Oregon, 70-73. Take Tulsa. |
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01-01-23 | Bears v. Lions OVER 52.5 | 10-41 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
With just two weeks to play, the Detroit Lions still have an outside shot of the making they playoffs as they are tied with the Packers at 7-8 in the NFC North. The Lions lost last week at Carolina, 23-37, as a 1.5-point favorite. They gave up 570 total yards to the Panthers, 320 rushing and 250 passing. Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears are in last place in the NFC North and eliminated from the playoffs. They lost at home last week to the Bills, 13-35 as a 8-point dog. The Lions have the fourth ranked offense in the NFL while Chicago is 27th. Problem is the Lions have the last ranked defense while Chicago is just slightly better at 23rd. The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 on the field turf. They are also 7-21 ATS their last 28 vs the NFC and 2-6 ATS their last eight road games. The Bears have gone over in their last five road games and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine overall games. The Lions are 8-0 ATS their last eight vs the NFC and 7-1 ATS their last eight overall. Detroit is 7-2 Ov/Un in seven of their last nine home games. They are also 5-1 Ov/Un in five of their last six vs the NFC. Detroit will have to go all out here at home on Sunday to keep those playoff hopes alive. Chicago has no motivation in this one. Take the OVER. |
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01-01-23 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 40.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs are only 7-8 on the season but can win the NFC South here on Sunday with a win over the 2nd place Carolina Panthers. This really is a playoff game for both teams because the loser could be out of the playoffs. Tampa Bay has pretty much been a dead under team this year. They are 4-11 Over/Under on the season and their offense has been very vanilla this year. They actually rank ok, 15th overall in the NFL in offense. However, the rushing game is dead last while QB Tom Brady has had to throw for his life this year and has them 4th in passing offense. Carolina has the 29th ranked offense, 10th in rushing and 28th in passing. The Panthers kept their playoff hopes alive with a win over Detroit last week, 37-23. They have already beaten the Bucs once this year so another win here and they hold the tie-breaker. The Panthers are 3-8 Ov/Un in their last 11 vs the NFC South. The Bucs are 4-17 Ov/Un in their last 21 vs the NFC. I look for a low scoring game here on Sunday. Play the UNDER. |
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12-31-22 | Ohio State +6 v. Georgia | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Ohios State Buckeyes looked like the team to beat in the Big 10 before Michigan dismantled them in their annual matchup. Really Ohio State is lucky to be here with USC losing and opening the door for them to slide back in. There is no pressure on the Buckeyes here today since really they shouldn't even be here. The Buckeyes were 2nd in scoring offense with a 44.5 ppg average. They also had a very good defense, ranked 13th in scoring, holding opponents to just 19.2 ppg. Meanwhile, Georgia was perfect on the Year and had little trouble in the SEC. Stetson Bennet led the team with 3,425 yards passing and 20 TD's. Of course you can make a case for either team. But for me, this high scoring Ohio State team as a nice dog is too much for me to pass up on. I believe Ohio State can win this game, but I'll take the points anyways. Play Ohio State. |
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12-31-22 | TCU +8 v. Michigan | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Look for defense to be the name of the day here as TCU takes on Michigan. The TCU defense has been great, especially in a secondary that forces a lot of INT's. On offense, they are led by QB Max Duggan, the Heisman Trophy runner up. Duggan had 30 TD's this year and over 3,300 yards passing and just four INT's. But his legs also get him lots of yards with 404 rushing and six TD's on the ground this year. They also will be healthy for this game as everyone is available. For Michigan, they will miss their best running back in Blake Corrum (1,463 yards and 18 TD's after he injured his knee vs Illinois and will not play today. For me, it's all about the TCU offense led by Duggan and their excellent defense. I can get a TD or even better here with the Horned Frogs looks to be a steal to me. Play TCU. |
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12-31-22 | San Jose State +9 v. Colorado State | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Two Mountain West teams face off this afternoon as Colorado State hosts San Jose State. The San Jose State Spartans are 10-4 S/U and 9-4 ATS on the season. The Spartans have won two straight games and four of their last five. They have covered five straight. They are coming of the upset win over UNLV, 75-72, as a 5-point dog. The Spartans are 6-1 S/U and 4-2 at home this season and have outscored opponents by a 71.,0-60.1 margin. The Colorado State Rams are 8-6 S/U and 5-8 ATS on the season. The Rams have lost two straight games both S/U and ATS, including their last game at New Mexico, 69-88, as a 6-point dog. The Rams are just 2-4 S/U their last six and 4-6 their last 10 games. In addition, they are 1-4 ATS their last five games and 3-6 ATS their last nine games. I like the Spartans here today as a nice dog. Take San Jose State. |
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12-31-22 | Kansas State +7 v. Alabama | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Bowl has Alabama taking on the Big 12 Champion, Kansas State. The Alabama Crimson Tide might be in for a bet of a letdown here today. Winning bowl games is about the players that want to be there and play in the game. I have to wonder about Alabama. They finished with 10 wins and made a case for their being in the playoff final four, but find themselves instead in the Sugar Bowl. Most teams would relish the kind of season Alabama had, but this isn't any team. Most surprising is that neither team looks to without players opting out or going into the transfer portal. Alabama is loaded at offense with last year's Heisman winner Bryce Young leading them at QB. This team averaged 40.8 ppg during the regular season. The Tide look to be a heavy favorite with their offense, but I still wonder if they will have motivation here today. Kansas State can take solice in that the Tide allowed 318 yards to Auburn in their last game, 181 yards rushing to Ole Miss and 185 yards rushing to LSU, all three of those over their last four games. Kansas State won 10 games too this year and might figure to be the be dog as everyone counts them out. I'm going to take the points with the Wild Cats here today and see which Alabama team shows up. Play Kansas State. |
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12-31-22 | Iowa v. Kentucky UNDER 31 | Top | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
The Iowa Hawkeyes and Kentucky WildCats will meet here in the Music City Bow, their second straight postseason meeting. The same teams met last year in the Citrus Bowl with Kentucky coming out on top 20-17. Iowa started the season slow, going 3-4 after being pummeled by Ohio State, 54-10. However, after Mark Stoops turned down the Iowa job that seemed to revitalize the team as they went 4-1 the rest of the way with big wins over Purdue, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Kentucky started the season 4-0 and then went 3-5 the rest of the to finish 7-5. Look for a low scoring bowl game here with the impressive Iowa defense on the field. The Iowa offense ranks near the bottom of the nation, scoring just 17.9 points per game. Now add to that the loss of QB Spencer Petras and those numbers likely will be even less here today. QB Alex Padilla would have started, but he entered the transfer portal so the duties fall to third stringer, Joe Labas. No one knows much about Labas so the WildCats can't really prepare for him. Kentucky will also be without their top QB, as Will Levis has opted out of today's game. So has RB Christopher Rodriquez Jr, who led the team in rushing. The Cats also fired OC Rich Scangarello. Hard to play any game under this posted total, but will either team score here today? This will be very low scoring and I'll take a shot under this low posted total. Play UNDER. |
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12-30-22 | Clemson v. Tennessee +6 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
It's the SEC vs the ACC in the Orange Bowl here today as Tennessee faces off against Clemson. This is a fitting bowl for two teams that will be all orange playing in a sea of orange here today. Both teams will also play with QB's that didn't play most of the season. Joe Milton will start for Tennessee after taking over for injured Hendon Hooker in the Vols loss to South Carolina. He did lead the Vols to a lopsided win over Vanderbilt, 56-0. True Freshman Cade Klubnik came in the ACC Championship game win over North Carolina, 39-10. That lead to previous starter, DJ Uiagelelei's entry into the transfer portal that takes him to Oregon State. The Vols had the nation's third ranked passing attack under Hooker, so it will be interesting to see how they attack the Clemson defense. While these teams look a bit different then they did earlier, still should be a very good Orange Bowl. I'm going to stick with Tennessee though in this game. Play Tennessee. |
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12-30-22 | NC State +2 v. Clemson | 64-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
The NC State Wolfpack off to a nice start this season as we exit the holiday break. The Pack are 11-3 S/U and 6-6-2 ATS. They have won three straight games including last game vs Louisville, 76-64. They are just 1-4-1 ATS though during their last six games. The Pack returned three starters to a team that was just 11-21 last year and 4-16 in the ACC. The 21 losses was a school record. HC Keatts said they needed to get bigger, stronger and older if they were to compete this year. So far, it looks like they are doing just that. The Clemson Tigers finished last season at just 17-16 overall and 8-12 in the ACC. They lost in the ACC second round. The Tigers also looked improved as they are 10-3 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. The Tigers headed into the holiday break with a win over Georgia Tech on Dec 21, 79-66. That made two wins in a row and six of their last seven. Both these teams look improved over last year's editions. But I'm a bit more impressed with the big turnaround that NC State has had. I'll take them here today plus the small points. |
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12-30-22 | South Carolina +3.5 v. Notre Dame | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish can end the season with 9 wins with a win today over South Carolina. The Gamecocks look to win their third straight game here today at the Gator Bowl. South Carolina started the season slow, going 1-2 after three games. However, the finished with a 5-2 mark the final seven games. They also averaged just under 40 points per game in those final five wins. Their biggest win was a dominant performance over Tennessee for their 7th win, 63-38 with over 600 yards of offense. They then finished the season by beating Clemson on the road, 31-30 as a 14 point dog. Notre Dame lost their last game of the regular season at USC, 27-38, as a 4.5-point dog. Both these offenses are very good. But I have been impressed at how S.Carolina performed those final two weeks as double digit dogs in both games. I'll take the points here today with South Carolina. |
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12-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. UCLA -7.5 | Top | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Panthers and UCLA Bruins meet for the first time in football in 50 years as they play in the Sun Bowl from El Paso Texas. The No 18 Bruins had a fine season under Chip Kelly, finishing the regular season at 9-3. If not for a pair of late season losses, the Bruins might have made the NCAA playoff picture. The Bruins should be at full strength despite many players declaring for the NFL Draft or entering the transfer portal. THe Panther on the other hand will be missing seven key players due to the draft and transfers. Pitt finished 8-4 on the season. The big player here today will be UCLA QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson and RB Zach Charbonnet - both of which will play in this Bowl. This UCLA offense is as good as any in the country, especially with DTR and Charbonnet leading the way. Pitt will have trouble staying with this UCLA team with so many good players missing today. I'm taking UCLA. |
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12-30-22 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh +6.5 | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 1 h 51 m | Show | |
The North Carolina Tar Heels are 9-4 to start the season and 4-9 vs the spread. The Heels have won four straight games including last game vs Michigan, 80-76, as a 5-point favorite. This four game streak snapped a four game losing streak and a 5-game spread losing streak. N.Carolina returned four starters to a team that was 29-10 last year and lost in the NCAA Championship game. A lot is was expected of this team this year and so far it's been an up and down and up season. The Pitt Panthers returned three starters to a team that was not good last year, going 11-21 overall and 6-14 in the ACC. They lost in the first round of their conference tournament. The Panthers have almost as many wins as they did all of last year with a 9-4 record so far. They have also been very good to bettors, going 9-2-2 ATS. The Panthers have covered eight in a row and haven't lost in 10 games to the spread. The Panthers have also won three in a row and eight of their last nine games. I think the six-points as a dog are worth the shot here this morning on the Panthers. Play Pittsburgh. |
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12-29-22 | Washington +3.5 v. Texas | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 5 m | Show |
Alamo Bowl here on Thursday has Washington taking on Texas. Texas finished the regular season at 8-4 after back-to-back wins in the final two games. The Huskies finished with six straight wins. The Longhorns will miss one of their best running backs in Bijan Robinson (6.1 ypc and 18 TD's). Robinson decided to sit out the bowl game as he prepares for the NFL draft. This will put more pressure on QB Quinn Ewers. Washington had 10 wins under one-year coach Kalen DeBoer. And Washington has been playing as good as any team in the country. They have one of the best offenses in the country and an improving defense. The offense is 2nd in the nation in total offense and first in passing offense. Neither team will have much rushing, so the passing edges goes to Washington here today. I think it's a gift getting points with the Huskies today. Take Washington. |
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12-29-22 | Thunder v. Hornets UNDER 239 | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
OKC Thunder are 15-19 S/U and 21-13 ATS on the season. The Thunder have won four of the last five games both S/U and ATS. The Charlotte Thunder are 9-26 S/U and 15-20 ATS on the season. They have lost two straight both S/U and ATS. I'll be looking at the total in tonight's contest. The THunder are 2-5 O/U in their last seven road games. Charlotte has been a very good under team, going 5-13-1 O/U in their last 19 home games. The last five meetings between these teams have gone under in Charlotte and six of the last eight have gone under overall. That's what I will on tonight. The UNDER. |
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12-29-22 | Oklahoma v. Florida State -9 | 32-35 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 40 m | Show | |
Cheez-It Bowl here on Thursday has Oklahoma taking on Florida State. This will be the fifth ever postseason meeting between these two teams. Florida State enjoyed a rejuvenated season after four straight losing campaigns. The Sooners on the other hand had a down season under first year HC Brent Venables, finishing just 6-6. A loss here today and it will be the team's first losing season since 1998. FSU had a nice season under HC Mike Norvell, going 9-3 and can have their first 10-win season since 2016. OU running back Eric Gray has opted out of this game as he declared for the NFL draft. That's a big loss on the ground for the Sooners. FSU ranked top 25 nationally in sacks with 34. They also have a top 20 total scoring defense that yielded the fewest yards per game in the ACC. These teams headed in different directions and with the Sooners missing a key running back they will have troubles against this top defense of the Seminoles. I'll lay the points here with Florida State. |
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12-28-22 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +1.5 | 78-67 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
A pair of SEC basketball powerhouses meet today as 10-2 Alabama travels to Mississippi State to take on the Bulldogs who are 11-1. Alabama rebounded from their 2nd loss of the season on Saturday the 17th to Gonzaga, 90-100, with a win over Jackson State, 84-64 on the 20th but failed to cover the 29.5-point favorite line. The Tide have failed to cover the spread in three straight. Alabama returned three starters to a team that was 19-14 last year and 9-9 in the SEC. They made the NCAA, but lost in the first round. Miss St is 11-1 S/U and 5-6 ATS. They also have failed to cover their last three games. They are coming off their first loss of the season the 20th to Drake, 52-58, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs returned two starters to a 18-16 team from last year. They lost in the NIT first round. The Dogs had Chris Jan take over the helm and he has a reputation of rebuilding teams on Junior College players and transfers. And so far that looks to be just what he has done with the Dogs now at 11-1 on the season. Basically pick the winner here tonight with the Tide a 1-point favorite. I like the home team here. Play Mississippi State. |
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12-28-22 | Ole Miss -3.5 v. Texas Tech | 25-42 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Ole Miss comes in losing three straight games while Tech has won three straight. Speculation that Ole Miss HC Lane Kiffin might be headed to SEC foe Auburn. But Kiffin has come out and said he's staying at Ole Miss. So with that settled, Ole Miss can get back to how they started the season. The Rebels won seven straight to start the season. This Tech team has had a Jekyl and Hyde season. They looked like they would make a bowl. At one stage the Red Raiders were 4-5 as they came down the stretch. But the Raiders rallied in November and ended up rattling off three straight wins to end the year. Texas Tech hit their peak against TCU and Oklahoma. It's hard to get up again for a game like today. Ole Miss has much more desire to play for a win. Take Ole Miss. |
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12-28-22 | Kentucky v. Missouri +3 | 75-89 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
Reason: Two teams having fine seasons meet here on Wednesday as Missouri hots Kentucky. The Kentucky Wildcats are 8-3 S/U and 4-7 ATS on the season. The Cats have won five of their last six but covered just one of those games. They are coming off a win over Florida A&M last Wednesday, 88-68, as a 37.5-point favorite. The Missouri Tigers are 11-1 S/U and 7-5 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming on Dec 10 to Kansas, 67-95, as a 3.5-point home dog. They are coming off a win over Illinois last Thursday, 93-71, as a 6.5-point home dog. Kentucky returned only two starters to a team that went 26-8 last year and 14-4 in the SEC. The Cats lost in the NCAA first round last year. Missouri had just one returning starter this year after a 12-21 campaign last year. They finished 12th in the SEC and lot in the SEC 2nd round tournament. One more win and they will have as many wins as they did all of last season. The Tigers playing very well and getting a few points at home is a nice bonus today. Take Missouri. |
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12-27-22 | East Carolina -7 v. Coastal Carolina | 53-29 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Despite their proximity, this will be the first meeting between East Carolina and Coastal Carolina in the Birmingham Bowl. East Carolina is 7-5 and with a win will have their most wins since 2014 and their first bowl win since 2013. Coastal won in the Bowls last year. Coastal QB Grayson McCall has entered the transfer portal, but is expect to play one more game for Coastal here today. McCall has 24 TD's this season. The problem with Coastal is their defense, which ranks 98th in the nation. East Carolina has a top 25 offense and should move the ball easily today vs this Coastal defense which allows 459 yards. That for me is the key in this game, the inability for Coastal to contain the East Carolina offense. Take East Carolina. |
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12-27-22 | Georgia Southern -5 v. Buffalo | 21-23 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
Crampton Bowl today has two teams that have never met before as Buffalo takes on Georgia Southern. Ga Southern has lost three of their last four as they head into today's contest. The Eagles had to beat App State to qualify for this game in what was a back-and-forth scorefest, 51-48. Buffalo also limped into this game. After starting the season 5-3 they lost three in a row and had to come from a 0-16 deficit to Kent State to rally and get into this game. Ga Southern has the fourth ranked passing attack in the nation and that will give Buffalo lots of problems here today. The Eagles can also run the ball with Jalen White who had 914 yards and 10 TD's this year. That will be against a Buffalo defense that had lots of problems stopping the run as they allowed 175 ypg on average. Could be a very high scoring game with both offenses very good. But for me, I give the edges in this one to Ga southern because of their passing game. Play Georgia Southern. |
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12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts UNDER 44.5 | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts are officially eliminated with their 4-9-1 overall record. They will host the 8-6 Chargers tonight. Chargers trying for one of those Wild Card games and right now it's theirs to lose. The Chargers are coming off a win last week over the Tennessee Titans, 17-14 as a 3-point favorite. That is two wins in a row and three of their last four games. The Chargers offense is 12th overall, but just 31st rushing and 3rd passing. The defense is 21st, 11th vs pass and 28th vs the rush. The Colts are coming off that devastating loss to the Vikings where they blew the biggest lead in NFL History, 33-0, before losing 36-39 in OT. Have to wonder if they have anything left in the tank here tonight. The Colts will start their third different QB here tonight as Matt Ryan takes a seat. In comes Nick Foles, who has started just once in the last two seasons. Foles will lineup behind the worst pass protection line in the NFL. Foles will also be without Jonathon Taylor who is back on the IR. The Colts offense, despite the 36 points last week, has not eclipsed 20 points in nine of their first 13 games. Tonight a new QB and no Taylor? I think I'll stick with the UNDER here tonight as the Colts have problems putting points on the board. Play UNDER. |
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12-25-22 | Packers +3.5 v. Dolphins | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
The Miami Dolphins can take a step closer to a Wild Card slot in the AFC with a win today over the Green Bay Packers. The Dolphins are 8-6 in the AFC East, but with the Buffalo win on Saturday they Bills locked up the division. The Packers are 6-8 overall and while not mathematically eliminated, they have a tall task to get the playoffs and a must win here today. The Packers are coming off a win over the Rams last week, 24-12 as a 7.5-point home favorite. That made two wins in a row for thee Packers. Miami lost a close game to the Bills last week in Buffalo, 29-32, as a 7-point dog. That loss makes three losses in a row for the Dolphins. If the Packers can win here today on the road, they will finish the season at home on Lambeau Field for their final two games. Dolphins' center Mitch Morse did not return after being evaluated for a head injury in the second half of last week's game vs the Bills. He is listed as questionable today and he's the one that calls out the lanes and blocking assignments in audibles among snapping the ball. The Dolphins rank 27th in opponent third-down conversion percentage and they rank near the bottom of the league in passing defense (27th), scoring defense (26th), and red-zone defense (25th). The Pack has won four of the last five vs the Dolphins and today I'll take the points with the visitors. Play Green Bay. |
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12-24-22 | Raiders v. Steelers UNDER 38 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
That cyclone bomb hitting most of the US will provide one of the coldest games in team's history here in the Raiders vs Steelers game. It's a Special Christmas eved night here at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh as the Steelers celebrate the 50th anniversary of the Immaculate Reception. They expect one of the coldest games in team history with temps in the single digits and with the wind chill that will drop well below the zero degree mark. The previous coldest game came in 1977 when the temp hit -2 degrees. Wind plays the biggest factor for me going to the UNDER and it's going to be windy here today. The Raiders will have lots of troubles in this one in the cold weather. Take the UNDER and stay warm. |
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12-24-22 | Eagles +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
With the cyclone bomb hitting most of the country this weekend, we can fully expect the retractable roof here in Dallas to be closed for this game. Other than the weather, the big news here is that QB Jalen Hurts (shoulder) will miss today's game at Dallas. Garner Minshew is expected to make the start in his place. Both these teams have clinched a playoff spot as the Eagles are 13-1 with the best record in the NFL and the Cowboys are 10-4. The Cowboys lost to the Eagles back in October when Cooper Rush was filling in for Dak Prescott. The Dallas defense, once one of the best in the league, has suffered injuries and it showed in their loss last week to the Jaguars. The Eagles clinch the NFC and Home field advantage and a first round bye with a win here today ad Dallas. The Cowboys would have to win out the rest of the way if they hope to get the East title. While Minshew won't bring the rushing dynamic to the Eagles, he is deadly accurate as a thrower and will change the game plan here today for the Eagles. Even without Minshew here today I like the Eagles who have the better defense and they want to lock up everything so they can rest a few weeks. Play Philly. |
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12-24-22 | Texans v. Titans -163 | 19-14 | Loss | -163 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
While this one doesn't expect to be quite as cold as other games, it's still expected to be one of the coldest between these two AFC South Rivals in their history. The temperature at kickoff is expected to be around 19 degrees. Houston has little experience playing in these frigid conditions. For Tennessee expect Henry to see plenty of carries in this game. The Texans play in a dome and now face the top rush defense in the Titans. They are 0-4 in their four game against the top ranked rush defenses this year. The Texans have one of the worst rush defenses and Henry has torched them in the past. I expect Henry to do much of the same here on a cold day in Tennessee. Take the Titans on the Money line as part of this 2-team parlay. |
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12-24-22 | Bills v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | 35-13 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Another of these games affected by the weather cyclone bomb hitting most of the country. It's going to be very windy and cold in Chicago on Saturday. There likely won't be any rain/snow, but for me wind plays the biggest factor in NFL totals. Passing becomes difficult and teams will have to rely on their rushing games. In these kinds of games you pretty much toss all the numbers and analytics out the window. The weather is the factor here and the cold and the wind especially. I'm taking under in what should be a blistery, cold day in Chicago. |
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12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns UNDER 32 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints will miss their cozy indoor stadium here on Saturday as the face the Cyclone bomb hitting the USA. The weather will be the biggest news maker here on Satudray. It's going to be a frightful night in Cleveland as the teamps will be around 10 degrees and the wind chills could be anywhere from -20 to -30 degrees. Cleveland is no stranger to bad weather in the NFL, but this game likely will go down the history books as one of if not the coldest games. Expect the Browns to showcase plenty of Kareen Hund and Nick Chubb here today. Don't execpt to see a lot of balls being thrown in these conditions. The Browns have used these kinds of weather conditions to their advantage for years. For me though, I'm sticking with the UNDER. |
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12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns -150 | 17-10 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints will miss their cozy indoor stadium here on Saturday as the face the Cyclone bomb hitting the USA. The weather will be the biggest news maker here on Saturday. It's going to be a frightful night in Cleveland as the temps will be around 10 degrees and the wind chills could be anywhere from -20 to -30 degrees. Cleveland is no stranger to bad weather in the NFL, but this game likely will go down the history books as one of if not the coldest games. Expect the Browns to showcase plenty of Kareen Hund and Nick Chubb here today. Don't except to see a lot of balls being thrown in these conditions. The Browns have used these kinds of weather conditions to their advantage for years. The Saints do not like these conditions and for me this gives a huge advantage to the Browns here today. Take Cleveland on the Money Line as part of this 2-team parlay. |
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12-23-22 | Wizards v. Kings -8.5 | Top | 125-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
It's been a rough stretch for the Washington Wizards as they are just 1-11 S/U and 3-8-1 ATS their last 12 games. They are coming off a loss at Utah last game, 112-120, as a 6-point dog. More bad news, the Wizards could be without one of their best players here tonight in Forward Kristaps Purzingis who is battling an illness. Purzingis is averaging 22 points a game this season. Meanwhile, Sacramento is having a decent season with a 17-13 S/U and 19-11 ATS record. The Kings are coming off a win over the Lakers, 134-120, as a 7.5-point favorite. That makes three wins in the last four games both S/U and ATS. The Kings have averaged 123.7 ppg at home this season and if they come close to that tonight I can't see the Wizards keeping pace, especially if they are missing that key cog. Take the Kings. |
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12-22-22 | Jaguars v. Jets UNDER 37 | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
It's going to be an ugly day in the Meadowlands as the weather won't be good. The Jags, who are used to that Florida weather, will have to put up with cold, rain and wind here tonight. For me it's about the wind and we could see gusts over 20 mph. Anything over 15 and you start to effect totals. Plus it will be soaking rain and cold. The Jets already have the league's third top defense as they keep moving up the standings. The offense is 19th while Jax is ranked 6th. The Jags are 2nd in the AFC South, a game back of Tennessee. Right now the best path for the Jags to the postseason is win the AFC South. Getting Wild Card looks harder than winning the division. They have a week 18 meeting with the Titans and that could determine who wins the division. The Jets are 7-7 and right now trail both the Chargers and Dolphins for the Wild Card who are 8-6. The Jets playoff chances have really been hurt by their 1-4 record their last five games. The Jets need to win their last three games to have a real shot at the Wild Card. Their week 18 matchup at Miami looks to be their most critical game right now. So tonight, both teams need this game. For me, I'm taking the UNDER in what looks to be horrible conditions. |
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12-22-22 | Air Force +3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 30-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
Armed Forces Bowl here today is the lone college game on the slate. Air Force takes on Baylor. The AF Falcons bring a four-game win streak into this game and are 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Falcons averaged 27.7 ppg while holding opponents to just 13.2 ppg. Air Force coming off that fine defensive effort in their win over Navy, 13-3, as a 2.50 point favorite. They held Navy to -1 yard rushing and just 188 yards passing. They will face a Baylor Bear team that had a down season at just 6-6 S/U and 7-5 ATS. The Bears averaged 33.6 ppg while allowing 26.6 ppg. The Bears tied for 6th in the Big 12 standings with just two teams having a worse record. The Bears bring a 3-game losing streak into today's contest, coming off a loss at Texas, 27-38, as a 10-point dog. These teams haven't met since 1977. Air Force is led by RB Brad Roberts, who had 1612 rushing yards and 15TD's this season. Motivation is a key in these bowl games and Acacdemy's usually have plenty of that because their seniors will likely be the last time they wear the football uniform. Plus getting points with a team that can win 10 games is more than enough for me. I'll take Air Force here today. |
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12-21-22 | USC v. Colorado State +3 | 73-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
This is the late game on the college hoop slate tonight as Colorado State hosts USC. The USC Trojans are 9-3 S/U and 5-7 ATS on the season. USC has won five straight games, covering just two of those. They are coming off a win over Auburn, 74-71, as a 1.5-point dog. USC has played only one away game this season and that was a win at Cal, 66-51, as a 9.5-point favorite. Colorado State is 8-4 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. The Rams are coming off a big upset win at St Mary's, 62-60, as a 11.5-point dog. The Rams are 6-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS at home this season and outscoring their opponents by 85-65.7 marching. This will be the Rams first game at home where they are installed as the dog. Colorado State only returned one starter to a team that went 25-6 last year and lost in the NCAA tournament first round. The Rams look loaded again in their back court. The Rams looking for another NCAA bid are doing their part with that big win over St Mary's. They know another win here tonight against USC will also pad their resume. I like Colorado State here tonight on their home floor. |
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12-21-22 | Denver +8.5 v. Oregon State | 52-57 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The Denver Pioneers look to rebound from their loss at Nebraska-Omaha, 66-83, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Pioneers having a decent season at 9-4 S/U and 6-5 ATS. They have covered four of their last five spread games. Denver returned two starters that went 11-21 last year and 7-11 in the Summit Conference. With a big step last year they are expect to finish in the top four of the conference this year and thus far they are showing worthy of that. They face an Oregon State team that really has no where to go but up after a 3-28 season last year and 1-19 PAC-12 mark. However, they return just one starter to this year's team. They have already surpassed last year with a 6-6 mark this season. They are also 5-5-1 ATS. The Beavers are coming off a win over Wisconsin Green Bay, but failed to cover the 16-point line, 65-56. The Beavers definitely a better team this year than last, but laying eight points tonight to a decent Denver team is just a bit much for me. I'll take the dog in Denver. |
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12-21-22 | South Alabama -3 v. Western Kentucky | 23-44 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Reason: Lone game on the Bowl slate tonight has the New Orleans Bowl between South Alabama and Western Kentucky. The Sun Belt rep in this game has won five straight New Orleans Bowls and the South Alabama Jaguars look to make that six in a row here tonight. Western Kentucky had a lot of replacing to do on offense this year as OC Zach Kittley, QB Bailey Zappe and their top two receivers all departed. However, they did a good job replacing them as they are back in the Bowl game again this year with a 8-5 record. South Alabama is under 2nd year coach Kane Wommack and he had them at 5-7 last year but stepped up this year to a 10-2 mark as both sides of the ball saw great improvements. One of their losses came by just one point to UCLA. One area that could be a problem for Western tonight is their rush defense, that allowed 155.9 yards per game and their 2nd leading tackler will be out as he declared for the NFL Draft. This game will be the South Alabama outstanding defense against the Western Ky offense. Look for South Alabama to control the ball on the ground and their defense to stiffle the Hilltoppers. I expect South Alabama to come out on top here tonight. |
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12-21-22 | Auburn v. Washington +4 | 84-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
A pair of nine win teams face off tonight from Washington as the Huskies host the Auburn Tigers. The Tigers make the long trip West with their 9-2 S/U and 4-7 ATS records. The Tigers are coming off a loss at USC on Sunday, 71-74, as a 1.5-point favorite. That was the teams third straight game that they haven't covered and fifth of their last six games. Washington is 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Huskies have won two straight games including last time out over Idaho State, 90-55, as a 14.5-point favorite. Washington is 7-1 S/U at home this season and has only been a home dog once and they won that game over Colorado, 73-63. I like Washington tonight to win this game straight0up, but I'll take the points. Play Washington. |
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12-21-22 | Bucks v. Cavs -1.5 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Two of the Eastern Conference heavyweights will clash here tonight as the 22-8 Milwaukee Bucks travel to Cleveland to take on the 21-11 Cavaliers. The Bucks are 17-11-2 ATS on the season and have covered their last two games. They are coming off a win at New Orleans, 128-119, as a 1-point dog. The Bucks have won seven of their last nine games and are 5-3-1 ATS during that span. The Cavs are 18-13-1 ATS this season and have won four straight games after their win over the Jazz, 122-99, as a 7-point favorite. What I like most about this Cavs team is their play at home. The Cavaliers are 15-2 S/U and 13-4 ATS at home this year and outscoring opponents by a 113.7-1-3.4 margin. Both teams are good and you can make a case for either, but I will take the Cavs at home tonight. |
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12-21-22 | St. John's +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
The St John's Red Storm having an excellent season as they are off to a 11-1 S/U mark and 6-6 spread record. The Red Storm only loss coming at Iowa State on Dec 4, 60-71, as a 6-point dog. St John's is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Red Storm returned three starters to a team that went 17-15 last year and 8-11 in the Big East. This team has a bitter taste after last season where they lost six of their final seven games, missed out on the NCAA and didn't even get a NIT invitation. Villanova was a preseason top 25 team, but has not lived up to their expectations. The Wildcats return three starters to a team that was 30-8 last year and lost in the NCAA Final Four. They have struggled to a 6-5 S/U and 3-8 ATS mark so far this season. They have won four straight games, but covered just two of those including last game at St Joe's, 71-64, as a 13-point favorite. Villanova laying around five-points here today. I'm taking the points with a very good St John's team that has something to prove and is doing just that. Take St John's. |
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12-20-22 | Air Force +3 v. Northern Colorado | Top | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The Air Force Falcons are 8-4 S/U and ATS on the Season. The Falcons started the season 1-3 both S/U and ATS and since have gone on a 7-1 streak both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over Tarleton State, 81-67, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Falcons also outscoring their opponents 70.3 to 61.2. The Falcons returned three starters to a team that was 11-18 last year and just 4-13 in the Mountain West. Air Force utilizes the Princeton offense which has been likened to facing a knuckleball pitcher or the Triple option in football. It seems to be working for Air Force this season. The Northern Colorado Bears return just two starters to a team that was 22-16 last year and 13-7 in the Big Sky. The went to the CBI tournament and lost in the semifinals. The strength of this team is their backcourt, considered the best in the Big Sky conference and again will be relied on heavily this season. Thus far its been a tough season for the Bears who are 5-6 S/U and 5-4 ATS. They are coming off a loss to Colorado, 77-88 as a 15.5-point dog, covering their third in a row and fifth of the last six. One loss that stands out big this year was a loss at home to Colorado Christian College, 69-70, with no spread. They have improved since that loss, but it will be a tough task here today against a very good Air Force team. I'll take the points in this matchup. Play Air Force. |
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12-19-22 | Rams +7 v. Packers | Top | 12-24 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
The LA Rams might not be mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, but realistically their 4-9 record is not going to be good enough at this point. They did put some excitement into the game last week with the dramatic come-from-behind win over the Raiders with newly acquired QB Baker Mayfield. Mayfield led them to a pair of late fourth Quarter TD's, the last with just seconds to go to get the win. The Packers also having a bad season at just 5-8 overall. The Packers had last week off after beating the Bears the week before, 28-19, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Packers are just 3-7 ATS their last 10 games and 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. It looks to be a cold and possibly snowy night in Green Bay around 20 degrees with some snow likely. Mayfield should be used to it from his days in Cleveland. Lets see if the magic is there again for Mayfield and the Rams. I'll play the Rams. |
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12-19-22 | Jazz v. Cavs -6 | 99-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz are in 8th place in the Western Conference standings and have gone 5-5 their last 10 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers are in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference and are 7-3 their last 10 games. The Jazz had their two game win streak snapped last game at Milwaukee, 97-123, as a 2.5-point dog. That makes the Jazz 6-10 S/U on the road this year. The Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on one day rest. The Cavaliers have won three straight games, though covered just one of them. They are coming off a win over Dallas, 100-99, as a 8.5-point favorite. The Cavs are a six point favorite here tonight at home. They have been very good at home, going 14-2 S/U and 12-4 ATS on the season with a 8.6 point differential. With the Cavs at home here tonight I'll lay the points with them Play Cleveland. |
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12-19-22 | Connecticut v. Marshall UNDER 41 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Just one game on the college bowl schedule here on Monday, The Myrtle Beach Bowl from Conway, SC has Marshall playing U Conn. The U Conn are 6-6 S/U and 9-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss to Army back on Nov 19th, 17-34, as a 10-point dog. The Huskies are in their first season under coach Jim Mora and made their first bowl game since 2015 and with a win their first winning season in 10 years. The Marshall Thundering Herd was 8-4 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Marshall defense was very good this year, allowing just 16.2 ppg on the season. The Herd finished third in the Sun Belt conference behind Coastal Carolina and James Madison. They finished the season winning four straight games and covering three of those. Marshall is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Bowl games and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 on real grass. U Conn is just 0-4 ATS in their last four neutral site games. Marshall is a big running club and I look for them to control the ball on the ground here today. Couple that with their excellent defense and I look for this game to go UNDER the total. |
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12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs UNDER 45 | 34-23 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals will have extra incentive here today after AFC North co-leader Baltimore lost on Saturday at Cleveland, 3-13. A win by the Bengals today and they take over sole place atop the division. Tampa Bay leads the worst division in football, the NFC South. The Bucs might not make the playoffs if they were in any other division, but here they lead the South by one game over both the Panthers and Falcons with their 6-7 record. The Bucs got beat bad last week at San Francisco, 7-35, as a 3.5-point dog. The running game continues to be bad, gaining just 69 total yards. Tampa Bay ranks 18th overall in offense, but last in rushing with just 73 yards per game average. If not for their 5th rank pass attack this unit would be even worse. Cincinnati has the 5th ranked offense, 4th in passing. The Bengals won last week at home over the Browns, 23-10, as a 4.5-point favorite. Just how bad has this Tampa Bay offense been? They have scored over 22 points just one time the entire season and that was a losing effort at home vs the Chiefs, 31-41. The rushing game has gone over 100 yards just two times all season. The Bengals are 4-13-1 Ov/Un in their last 18 games. They are also 6-19-2 Ov/Un in their last 27 road games vs a team with a losing home record and 9-24-3 Ov/Un their last 36 overall on the road. The Bucs have gone under in four of their last five home games and six of their last eight on grass. I'm sticking with the UNDER here today. |
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12-18-22 | Bengals -3.5 v. Bucs | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals will have extra incentive here today after AFC North co-leader Baltimore lost on Saturday at Cleveland, 3-13. A win by the Bengals today and they take over sole place atop the division. Tampa Bay leads the worst division in football, the NFC South. The Bucs might not make the playoffs if they were in any other division, but here they lead the South by one game over both the Panthers and Falcons with their 6-7 record. The Bucs got beat bad last week at San Francisco, 7-35, as a 3.5-point dog. The running game continues to be bad, gaining just 69 total yards. Tampa Bay ranks 18th overall in offense, but last in rushing with just 73 yards per game average. If not for their 5th rank pass attack this unit would be even worse. Cincinnati has the 5th ranked offense, 4th in passing. The Bengals won last week at home over the Browns, 23-10, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bengals are now 9-1 ATS their last 10 on grass, 13-3 ATS their last 16 on the road and 14-3 ATS their last 17 following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Bucs are just 1-6-1 ATS their last eight at home, 1-9-1 ATS their last 10 games overall. Cincinnati just a much better team than this Tampa Bay club is right now. I'll take the Bengals. |
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12-18-22 | Titans v. Chargers OVER 46.5 | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans are just 7-6 overall on the season, but by virtue of playing in one of the weakest divisions in the NFL, they lead the AFC South by 2-games over the Jaguars. That includes three straight losses by the Titans too. The Titans coming off a loss to the Jags last week, 22-36 as a 3-point favorite. The Titans defense ranked just 25th overall while the Chargers are 23rd. The Chargers are 12th on offense while the Titans are 29th. The Chargers are coming off a win last week at home over Miami, 23-17, as a 3-point dog. Tennessee has been a good over team on the road where 15 of their last 22 away games have gone over. The Chargers are 7-3 Ov/Un in their last 10 home games and 10-3 O/Un in their last 13 on field turf. Five of the last seven between these teams have gone over and that's what I'm looking for today. Play the OVER. |
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12-18-22 | Patriots +1.5 v. Raiders | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots look to continue their dominance vs the Raiders here on Sunday. The Pats have won six straight vs the Raiders and now it's mentor vs mentee as Josh McDaniels looks to beat his old coach in Bill Bellichick. Somehow the Raiders collapsed (again) last week and let Baker Mayfield lead the Rams on two late TD drives to pull out the win, 17-16. A unsportsmanlike penalty on Raiders' Perryman sure helped in the defeat as the play was a sack and ended up 15 yards and a first down all because he slapped the ball out of the players hand. It's bad enough when physical mistakes hurt you, but stupid mental ones really are hard to take. That loss ended any hope of a Raiders playoff as they dropped to 5-8. While not mathematically eliminated, they sure look to be done as a Thanksgiving Turkey. The Pats need a win here today to improve on their 7-6 record and keep their playoff hopes alive. The Pats are a good bounce back team, evidenced by their 23-5 spread mark the last 28 times they have got 250 yards or fewer the previous game. They are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games and 7-3 ATS their last 10 overall. Not only has the road team covered four of the last five in this series, but the Pats are 5-1 ATS their last six meetings. I'm taking the Patriots as the Raiders just keep finding ways to lose games. |
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12-18-22 | Cardinals v. Broncos UNDER 37 | 15-24 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Two teams with a lot of expectations this year just didn't come through on what was expected as the Arizona Cardinals visit the Denver Broncos. The Russell Wilson experiment has been a bust in Denver this year. The Broncos are in last place in the AFC West with a 3-10 record and have lost five straight games. The defense has been good, ranked 7th overall in the league. It's the 27th ranked offense that has been brutal. The Broncos finally had an over play when they played the Chiefs last week in a 28-34 loss. That broke a string of eight under plays. Still, the Broncos are 2-11 Ov/Un on the season. The 28 points last week was a season high and the first time over 21 points since October 2nd. The Cardinals offense hasn't been the same without Kyler Murray at QB. Murray has been hurt with a ACL injury and missed the last few weeks. He will be out again here today. Without Murray the Cards have scored 13, 24 and 10 points the last three weeks. The offense has dropped to 20th in the NFL. Can't really see many points in this one. The Denver defense should keep the score low today. Play UNDER. |
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12-18-22 | Elon +9 v. Valparaiso | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 2 h 49 m | Show | |
The Elon Phoenix are just 2-9 S/U this season and 2-7 ATS. They are coming off a loss to Prebyterian, 63-69, just missing the cover at +5.5-points. Elon only returned one starter to a team that was 10-22 last year and 7-11 in the CAA. They lost in the first round of the CAA tournament. Billy Taylor took over as head coach after Mike Schrage resigned at the end of last year to return to Duke. Taylor has 11 years as a NCAA coach so he brings experience to the team. Valparaiso returns three starters to a team that was 14-18 overall and 6-12 in the Missouri Valley last year. The Beacons are 4-7 this season and 2-8 ATS on the year. They are coming off a loss to Ole Miss, 61-98 as a 15-point dog. The club has been installed three times as the favorite this year and were 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS in those games with a +2.3 point differential. Now today here they are laying around eight points to this Elon club. Neither team is very good but I don't see any way that Valpo should be laying these kinds of points. I'll take Elon here plus the points. |