Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-25-22 | Packers v. Bucs UNDER 42 | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 41 h 31 m | Show | |
Two future Hall of Fame Qb's will matchup here today as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers take on the TB Bucs and QB Tom Brady. Brady hasn't looked all that sharp thus far and his frustration was on full display in the Saints contest. Lucky for the Bucs, the Saints had no offensive stars left and thus it was a defensive win for the Bucs, 20-10. The Bucs managed just 260 total yards and Brady threw for just 188 yards. The Bucs defense was the star of the game with multiple sacks and five take aways in the game. Green Bay had little issue with the Chicago Bears. The Packers had 414 yards and 211 passing yards by Rodgers. They had 26 first downs to just 11 by the Bears and held the Bears to just 228 total yards. The Tampa Bay offense ranks just 24th overall in the NFL with Green Bay coming in at 11th. The Bucs defense is 5th ranked with Green Bay at 10th. The Packers have gone UNDER in nine of their last 12 games on grass. Tampa has also gone under on grass with a 3-8 O/U record their last 11. I'm still not sold on Brady fully being back with limited targets. With the Bucs defense playing very well and Brady still not looking like his old self, I'll take this game to go UNDER. |
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09-25-22 | Packers +1 v. Bucs | Top | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 40 h 30 m | Show |
Two future Hall of Fame Qb's will matchup here today as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers take on the TB Bucs and QB Tom Brady. Brady hasn't looked all that sharp thus far and his frustration was on full display in the Saints contest. Lucky for the Bucs, the Saints had no offensive stars left and thus it was a defensive win for the Bucs, 20-10. The Bucs managed just 260 total yards and Brady threw for just 188 yards. The Bucs defense was the star of the game with multiple sacks and five take aways in the game. Green Bay had little issue with the Chicago Bears. The Packers had 414 yards and 211 passing yards by Rodgers. They had 26 first downs to just 11 by the Bears and held the Bears to just 228 total yards. The Tampa Bay offense ranks just 24th overall in the NFL with Green Bay coming in at 11th. The Bucs defense is 5th ranked with Green Bay at 10th. The Bucs have won and covered two of the last three in this series. Green Bay is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs a winning team and 20-8 ATS their last 28 on the grass. I'm still not sold on Brady fully being back with limited targets. I'll take the points with Green Bay. |
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09-25-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -115 | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Two teams playing out the season has Arizona hosting the San Francisco Giants today. The Giants and D'backs have split the first two games with San Fran winning on Friday and the D'backs winning yesterday, 5-2. Scott Alexander makes only his 2nd start of the season for the Giants. Alexander only went one inning in his first start, allowing no runs and no hits. Looks like it's another bullpen day for the Giants as Alexander likely won't be around much past another first inning start. Arizona will start Drey Jameson who has only two starts under his belt. However, unlike Alexander, Jameson is a real starter and is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA. He went six solid innings vs the Dodgers in his last start, allowing seven hits and just two runs for the win. He's now beaten both LA and San Diego thus far. I doubt the Giants will give him much of a fight here today. I'll take Arizona and Jameson. |
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09-25-22 | Brewers -142 v. Reds | 1-2 | Loss | -142 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Brewers need every win they can get at this point. The Brewers are in 4th in the NL battle for the Wild Card race where only three teams will make it. The Brewers trail 3rd place Philadelphia by 1.5 games and 2nd place San Diego by 2-games. Freddy Peralta will start today for the Brewers with a 4-3 record and 3.45 ERA. He's been better of late, going 1-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.27 ERA. Nick Lodolo will start for the Reds with a 4-7 mark in his 17 starts and a 3.90 ERA. Lodolo has been good for the Reds though, allowing three runs or fewer in five straight starts. Still, the Brewers need these games and Peralta should be good enough to get the job done today. Play Milwaukee. |
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09-25-22 | Texans +3 v. Bears | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears looked bad last week as they traveled to Green Bay and took the loss to the Packers, 10-27. The Bears managed just 228 total yards with 48 passing yards by Justin Fields. The Packers had 63 offensive plays to just just 38 by the Bears. Houston also came up short, though they gave the Broncos all they could handle last week in a 9-16 loss. All the Texas could manage were three filed goals as they totaled just 234 yards. The Broncos didn't exactly light the stat sheet with 16 points and 350 total yards. The Bears are dead last in the NFL in total offense, though 8th vs the rush and last in passing. The Texans aren't much better at 29th. These teams have met only once in the last five years and that was in 2020 when the Bears won 36-7 as a 1-point dog. The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall games. They are also 11-5 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 15 points or fewer in their previous game. The Bears are now just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. Don't expect a lot of points in this contest and as such I'll take the Texans plus the points. |
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09-25-22 | Lions v. Vikings OVER 51.5 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions have showed a lot of offense the last two week with Jared Goff at QB. The Lions beat the Washington Commanders last week at home, 36-27, going over the posted 48-point line. The Lions scored 35 points in week one loss at home to Philly, 35-38. The Lions offense is ranked 4th overall in the NFL with the rushing game averaging a league's 3rd best 186 yards per game. As for the Minnesota Vikings, they opened the season with a nice home win over the Green Bay Packers, 23-7. However, they came up very short last week at Philly, 7-24. The offense had just 264 total yards and Kirk Cousins tossed three interceptions. The Lions defense has not performed well, ranking 30th in the NFL with 426 yards allowed per game. Three of the last four games in this series have gone over, including last year's 29-27 Detroit win. The Lions have now gone over in four straight games. They are also 8-2 O/U in their last 10 September games. The Vikings are 4-1 O/U in their last five home games and 6-2 O/U in their last eight games vs the NFC. I look for this Detroit offense to get their share of points and the Vikings to exploit the Detroit defense. Take the OVER. |
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09-25-22 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 41 | 14-22 | Win | 100 | 37 h 5 m | Show | |
The Saints piled-up the injuries and it showed in their loss to the Bucs last week. QB Jameis Winston was sacked and hit many times by the Tampa Bay defense and is probable this week though he has a back injury. RB Alvin Kamara is questionable with a rib injury this week after missing last week. QB Tyson Hill is also questionable with a rib injury. The Saints lost at home to Tampa Bay last week, 10-20. They had five turnovers in the game and were sacked six times though they did have more total yards than the Bucs, 308-260. That loss makes them 1-1 S/U and 0-2 vs the spread. The Panthers lost a close game at the NY Giants last week, 16-19 as a 1-point favorite. The stats were almost dead even, though the Panthers had two turnovers to none by the Giants. Carolina's defense is ranked 9th overall and third against the pass. The Saints have now gone under in seven of their last nine games. They are also 4-9 O/U in their last 13 vs the NFC South. Carolina has gone under in five of their last seven vs the NFC South. With the Saints hurting on offense, I'm going to stick with this game to be low scoring. Play the UNDER. |
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09-24-22 | Utah -15 v. Arizona State | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 58 h 25 m | Show | |
Utah coming off a big win last week at home over San Diego State, 35-7, as a 21.5-point favorite. Utah held the Aztecs to just 173 total yards and just 60-yards passing. They also had 22 first downs to just nine for Sdg St. Meanwhile, Arizona State might have been the biggest favorite to get upset last week. The Sun Devils hosted Eastern Michigan and lost at home 21-30 as a 19.5-point favorite. The Devils allowed 458 yards to just 352 yards of their own. They also allowed 305 yards rushing to E.Mich. That's not good since Utah had 174 yards on the ground last week. Utah has covered the last two in this series, winning last year at home, 35-21. Utah is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 PAC-12 games. They are also 12-5 ATS in their last 17 following an ATS win. The Utes have covered six of the last eight in this series and I look for a Utah win and cover here on Saturday. |
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09-24-22 | Arkansas +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 69 h 29 m | Show |
A pair of top 25 SEC teams battle today as No 10 Arkansas takes on No 23 Texas A&M from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Tx. Arkansas will be looking for its second straight 4-0 start to the season today. Arkansas moved into the FCS last week to take on Missouri State and came away with the win, 38-27. That makes wins over Cincinnati, South Carolina and Missouri State to start the season. Texas A&M beat Miami Florida last week, 17-9. The Aggies were 5-point favorites and were outgained in total yards, 264-393 by the Hurricanes. A&M also had only 16 First downs to 27 by Miami. Arkansas is ranked 18th overall in offense with A&M coming in at 109th. A&M does hold the defensive edge, coming in at 30th with Arkansas at 103rd. Arkansas is 5-1-1 ATS their last seven games and 4-0 ATS in their last four in neutral site. Arkansas has covered the last four in this series and I look for the hogs to do just that again here today. Take Arkansas. |
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09-24-22 | Cubs +103 v. Pirates | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs have won four straight games after taking the first two games in this series with the Pirates. That includes last night's win, 6-5. They have not only won four straight, but eight of their last 11 games. Wade Miley looks to keep it going here today with a 1-1 record in his seven starts with a 3.48 ERA. Miley hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of his seven prior starts. The Pirates have now lost eight straight games after last night's loss. Johan Oviedo will take the hill with a 1-2 record in his five starts and a 4.82 ERA. Neither pitcher has a huge resume to draw on this year, but I'll take the team with the momentum here. Take the Cubs. |
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09-24-22 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina -1 | 45-32 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 0 m | Show | |
Notre Dame will have to travel to NCU this Saturday and do so without their QB Tyler Buchner. Buchner was injured last week and will miss the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. That's not good for a Notre Dame team that started this season 1-2. The Irish did get their first win of the season last week with a home win over Cal Bears, 24-17. They failed to cover the 10-point spread however. And, neither team really did much as the Irish held a small yardage lead, 297-296. Cal had one more first down and four more offensive plays. On paper the game was dead even. North Carolina got last week off to prepare for this game. The Tar Heals are 3-0 S/U and 1-1-1 ATS on the season. They beat Georgia State the week prior, 35-38, pushing the 7-point chalk line. North Carolina has the nation's 5th ranked overall offense and an impressive 91% red zone efficiency rating. They have scored 10 TD's in their 11 redzone trips this year. Notre Dame is 113th in offense. With Notre Dame working in a new QB and the Tar Heel having last week off to prepare, I'll lay the very small line with North Carolina. |
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09-24-22 | Clemson v. Wake Forest +7.5 | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 62 h 30 m | Show | |
Two ranked ACC teams battle this week as Clemson hits the road for the first time to take on Wake Forest. Clemson won easily last week over Louisiana Tech, 48-20, but failed to cover the 34-point line. The Tigers had 521 total yards to just 317 by Tech. The Tigers were also a +3 in the turnover battle. Clemson's tough defense held Tech to just six yards rushing on the day, though they did give up 311 yards through the air. Clemson ranks 34th in total defense and 63rd in total offense. Wake Forest took on Liberty last week and just did escape with the win, 37-36 as a 16.5-point favorite. The Demon Deacons were out-gained 346-437, but were +2 in the turnovers. Wake might have had their sights set on this game today and not on Liberty last week. Clemson won last year's battle at home over Wake, 48-27. Clemson has not done well to open seasons, at least vs the spread. The Tigers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 September games. They are also 2-7 ATS their last nine times following an ATS loss. Meanwhile, Wake has covered four of their last five games in September and are 4-0 ATS their last four times following an ATS loss. Getting a TD at home with Wake is too much for me to pass on today. I'll take Wake and won't be surprised if they shock the Tigers with a straight up win. |
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09-23-22 | Giants -164 v. Diamondbacks | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
NL West battle here between two teams that have no shot at any postseason action. Far cry from the Giants team that won the NL West last year with over 100 wins. The Giants are only 73-77 this year though they have won four straight games. Carlos Rondon will toe the rubber today with a 13-8 record in his 29 starts and a 2.85 ERA. Rondon has allowed two runs or fewer in eight of his last nine starts. The Diamondbacks just came off a series with the Dodgers where they split the four games. They could have easily won three of those but couldn't hold a 2-1 lead in the bottom of the ninth last night, finally losing 2-3. That makes five losses in their last seven games. Tommy Henry starts today for the D'backs with a 3-4 record in his seven starts and a 5.50 ERA. He's allowed 12 runs over his last 8 1/3 innings of work. I'll take the Giants here today. |
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09-23-22 | Boise State -15 v. UTEP | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 10 m | Show | |
Boise State went down to the FCS last week to play Tennessee-Martin and walked away with an easy win, 30-7. That makes them 2-1 since their opening week loss to Oregon State, 17-34. UTEP went to New Mexico last week and lost to the Lobos, 10-27. The Miners had SEVEN turnovers in the loss though they did have more yards than then Lobos, 353-299. Overcoming seven turnovers is nearly impossible. These teams have only met once in the last 5-years with Boise winning at home in 2021, 54-13. Boise is 9-3-2 ATS their last 14 games vs a team with a losing record. They are also 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games. UTEP is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games and 6-15-1 ATS their last 22 games against a winning team. I'll lay the points on the road with Boise in this one. |
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09-23-22 | Mariners v. Royals -128 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
The Seattle Mariners sit in third place in the AL Wild Card race, four games ahead of the Baltimore Orioles. The Mariners have lost six of their last seven games as they dropped to third in the race, 1.5-games back of first place Toronto. The Royals trying to play the spoiler role here. They are coming off a 3-game sweep of the Minnesota Twins. Brady Singer will start for the Royals with a 9-4 record and 3.00 ERA. He's been better of late, going 4-0 with a 2.11 ERA over his last seven starts. Seattle will counter with Marco Gonzales, who is 10-14 in his 29 starts with a 4.01 ERA. I'm going to take the Royals here tonight with their best pitcher on the mound. |
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09-23-22 | Angels -148 v. Twins | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
The Mineesota Twins faded down the stretch. Where they once led the AL Central, they are now 10-games back of the Guardians. And in the Wild Card Race they have dropped to 9.5 games back. While not mathematically eliminated, they are pretty much done. They have dropped four games as they host the Angels here tonight. Louie Varland makes his third start of the year tonight. Varland is 0-1 with a 5.23 ERA. Shoehie Ohtani will start for the Angels. Ohtani is 13-8 for the Angels with a 2.43 ERA. He's been very good of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 1.46 ERA. I'll take the Angels here tonight. |
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09-23-22 | Blue Jays v. Rays -139 | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Big series here between two of the three wild card teams in the AL race. The Blue Jays are in 1st place in the Wild Card race, 1-game ahead of the Tampa Bay Rays and 1.5 games ahead of third place Seattle. Toronto lost the opening game of this series last night, 5-10. That makes two losses in a row for the Jays. Mitch White starts for the Jays with a 0-6 record in his 16 starts and a 5.12 ERA. That number goes up to 7.18 over his last eight starts. In fact, he's allowed 11 runs over his last seven innings of work. Jeffrey Springs starts for the Rays tonight with a 8-4 record in his 22 starts and a 2.68 ERA. Those numbers are better of late with a 6-1 record in his last seven starts and a 2.19 ERA. I'll take the Rays again here tonight to tighten the race. |
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09-22-22 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 39 | 17-29 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 6 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers came up just a bit short last week in their game at home against the Patriots losing 14-17 as a 3-point dog. The Steelers had just 243 total yards, 91 passing and 152 passing with two turnovers. The Pitt offense is now ranked 30th in the NFL with the rushing at 26th and passing at 28th. Cleveland has to be kicking itself after losing last week at home to the Jets, 30-31. Not only did they allow 14 points over the few minutes of the game, but they even gave up the on-side kick to the Jets. Both teams finished with just over 400 yards of offense, though the Jets had nine more plays. These teams are very familiar with each other. They have gone under in the last two meetings and five of the last seven meetings. The Steelers have been very good under team on the road, with 18-44-1 O/U record their last 63 games. The Browns have gone under in seven of their last 10 games on real grass. Both teams decent under plays in this situation. I'll take the UNDER on Thursday. |
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09-22-22 | Mariners -1.5 v. A's | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
Seattle with a tough loss on Wednesday to the A's, 1-2. The loss puts the Mariners in 3rd place in the AL Wild Card race, 1/2 game back of Tampa Bay and 2.5 games back of Toronto. However, they still maintain a 4-game lead over 4th place Baltimore. George Kirby will look to get the M's back in the win column today. Kirby is 7-4 in his 22 starts with a 2.98 ERA. He's been very good of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.11 ERA. The A's can continue to be a thorn in the side of the Mariners and Adrian Martinez will try and do just that. Martinez is 4-5 in is nine starts with a 5.77 ERA. Martinez has allowed 11 runs over his last 8 2/3 innings. I'm going to lay the RUN line here today with the Mariners. |
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09-21-22 | Cardinals v. Padres -130 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
The St Louis Cardinals have locked up the NL Central, taking a 8.5-game lead over the Brewers. The Brewers only hope is a Wild Card, but they are 2.5 games out right now. The Padres are in 2nd in the Wild Card race, 1.5 games ahead of their place Philly and four games ahead of Milwaukee. The Cardinals have lost two straight, including last night's open game with the Padres, 0-5. In fact, the Cardinals have now scored just one run combined in their last three games. Miles Mikolas will start tonight with a 11-12 record in 30 starts with a 3.46 ERA. He's been slightly worse on the road with a 4.56 ERA. Meanwhile the Padres have won four straight games. Blake Snell starts tonight with a 7-9 record in his 21 starts and a 3.93 ERA. I'm taking the Padres here as the Cardinals really have nothing to play for at this point. |
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09-20-22 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Dodgers are trying to make history this season. They already have 102 wins and the team's personal record is 106, which looks very easy at this point to possibly break. The All time record in baseball is 116 wins, but that doesn't look realistic, though still possible. The Dodgers also moved into 6th place ALL time in baseball in run differential as they have a +332 mark. The Diamondbacks come into today with a four game losing streak and six of eight. They will start Drey Jameson tonight with a 1-0 record in his only start. He looked very good vs the Padres, going seven strong innings, allowing two runs and no hits with KO's. The Dodgers start Tyler Anderson who is 14-3 on the season with a 2.64 ERA. Anderson went seven strong innings his last start vs these Diamondbacks, allowing five hits and not runs. In fact, it was against Nelson as neither team had scored a run into the 7th inning. I like a rematch here tonight of these pitchers to once again be a pitchers duel. Play UNDER. |
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09-20-22 | Blue Jays -118 v. Phillies | Top | 18-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Two teams both in the Wild Card races meet here on Tuesday in Philly. The Phillies are in 3rd place for that final Wild Card slot in the NL, just a half game back of 2nd place San Diego and 2.5 ahead of fourth place Milwaukee. The Blue Jays are in 1st place in the Wild Card race, a half one game ahead of the Rays and 1.5-games ahead of the Mariners. Every game is critical for both clubs. The Jays took two of three from the Orioles over the weekend, though they did lose on Sunday, 4-5. Ross Stripling starts today with a 7-4 record and 2.82 ERA. Stripling hasn't allowed more than three runs in his last 16 starts. The Phils have lost four straight games as they looks to Kyle Gibson to get them back on the win column. Gibson is 10-6 with a 4.45 ERA. He's not been quite as good as Stripling, nor have the Phillies. I'm going to take the Rays here today. |
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09-19-22 | Vikings +2 v. Eagles | 7-24 | Loss | -105 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
The Vikings had little issues in their week 1 game at home with a win over the Packers, 23-7. The total yards was actually close with the Vikings having the edge, 395-338. It was the two turnover that really hurt the Packers last week. The Vikings offense ranks 8th overall in the NFL. The Eagles are ranked 3rd in the offense, but 14th in passing. Minnesota also holds a slight defensive edge, ranking 14th overall while the Eagles come in at 22nd. The Vikings have won the last two in this series, including their last meeting in 2019 in Minnesota, 38-20. The dog has also done well of late in this series, going 5-1 ATS in the last meetings. This should be an excellent matchup on Sunday. I will take the couple of points with the Vikings here on Monday night. |
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09-19-22 | Titans +11 v. Bills | 7-41 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The last few years has seen that no team starting 0-2 has made the playoffs. The Titans blew a 13-point lead last week and ultimately fell to the Giants. Now they face the real possibility of starting the season 0-2 as they have to go to play at Buffalo. Derrick Henry should get a full dose of play tonight and if the Titans are smart they would run him as much as possible to keep the ball out of Buffalo QB Josh Allen's hands. Good news for Tennessee is that have have done well vs the Bills of late, averaging 27.7 ppg in the last three meetings. Ryan Tannehill threw for 266 yards last week, but I'm sure he'd rather see the 93 yards rushing figure go up considerably. The Bills are coming off their road win over Super Bowl Champion LA Rams. The Bills looked very good in the win, or maybe the Rams just looked very rusty. Still, 10-points are a lot for any NFL team to get, especially a team that doesn't want to start the season 0-2. Tennessee has the talent to keep this game inside the spread and give Buffalo some challenges. I'll take the points here today. |
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09-19-22 | Mariners v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | 9-1 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Seattle now in 3rd place in the ever changing AL Wild Card picture. The Mariners are 1.5 games back of the Rays and 2-games back of the Blue Jays. They have a four-game lead over fourth place Baltimore though. The M's will start one of their best today in Logan Gilbert. Gilbert is 12-6 on the season with a 3.24 ERA. He's been hot of late, allowing just one run over his last three starts (17 Innings) and not allowing more than two runs in any of his last five starts. The Angels will counter with Jose Suarez. Suarez is 5-7 in his 17 starts with a 4.04 ERA. He's not allowed more than three runs in any of his last eight starts. I'll take the UNDER tonight in this matchup. |
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09-18-22 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 42 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 51 h 15 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears played in what was a swamp last week with the rain pounding down for the entire game. They pulled out the win over the SF 49ers, 19-10. The Bears managed just 204 yards in the downpour with the 49ers bringing in 331 yards. Meanwhile Green Bay were manhandled last week in Minnesota, 7-23. The Packers had just 338 total yards and a pair of turnovers in the loss. QB Aaron Rodgers definitely missed his one time top target in WR Davante Adams. Adams had a stellar debut for the Raiders with 140 yard receiving and a touchdown. It will be a tall order for Rodgers to replace those lost yards. Green Bay has covered six straight in this series, but have to wonder without Adams if that will change now. For me, I'm looking at the UNDER here today. The advance weather is showing some issues with the weather and thunderstorms. Add to the wet field two teams that had offensive issue last week and this looks like an an under to me. |
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09-18-22 | Texans v. Broncos OVER 45 | 9-16 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 18 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans started their season with a tie at home last week against the Colts. Considering the Colts had 13 more first downs and 218 more yards than the Texans, maybe they were fortunate to get the draw. The Texans had just 299 yards to 517 by the Colts. Denver's debut of new QB Russell Wilson didn't go quite as planned as they fell to the Seahawks 16-17. The Broncos tried a 64-yard field goal late but came up short. Many criticized Nathaniel Hackett for not going for it on 4th down with their expensive QB who has been able to do much more with both his legs and arm. Instead he opted for a field goal that had a 8% chance historically of being made. Houston's defense is last in the NFL after that performance last week. Something that Wilson and the Broncos should be able to take advantage of this week with the 4th ranked offense. These teams last met in 2019 with the Broncos winning at Houston, 38-24. The Texans have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The Broncos have gone under in nine of their last 12 games. I like this one to stay under here on Sunday. |
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09-18-22 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
Padres and Diamondbacks close out their set here on Sunday. The teams split the first two games of this series with the Padres winning on Friday, 12-3. The Padres best pitcher will take to the hill here on Sunday in Yu Darvish. Darvish is 14-7 on the season with a 3.16 ERA. He's only allowed three total runs over his last three starts (21 innings). Arizona will counter with Ryne Nelson who is 1-0 in his two starts this year. Those were impressive starts against the Dodgers and Padres, allowing no runs over 13 innings. Nelson looks to be the real thing. Two excellent pitchers has me on the UNDER. |
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09-18-22 | Aces v. Sun | 78-71 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 55 m | Show | |
The Connecticut Sun are like a cat with nine lives. They are now 4-0 in elimination games this playoff season. And now they face another one here in game four. The Sun pulled away in the 4th quarter of game four for an easy win to keep the series alive and force another game. So here we are, game four. A win and we go back to Vegas for a decisive game five. I like the Sun to once again show they are not an easy out. Take the Sun to force game five. |
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09-18-22 | Rockies v. Cubs -120 | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
took game one on Friday, 2-1 and the Rockies won game two on Saturday, 3-1. The Rockies will send Ryan Feltner to the hill today. Feltner is 2-8 in his 15 starts with a 6.40 ERA. The Cubs will counter with Javier Assad who is 1-1 in his four starts with a 2.21 ERA. Assad has allowed one run or no runs in three of his four starts. Assad look pretty good so far this year, I'll give him another shot on Sunday. |
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09-18-22 | Rangers v. Rays UNDER 7 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
Texas lost to Tampa Bay on Saturday, 1-5. The two teams have split the first two in this series. Tampa is tied for 2nd in the wild card race right now, 1.5-games back of first place Toronto. Good news is they have opened-up a 5.5-game lead over the Orioles with time running out. Tampa will start Jeffrey Springs who is 7-4 in his 21 starts this season with a nifty 2.65 ERA. He's been even better at home with a 2.01 ERA in nine starts. The Rangers will start Glenn Otto who is 6-8 in 23 starts with a 4.71 ERA. He's been better of late, going 2-0 with a 3.44 ERA in his last seven starts. I like this game under today. |
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09-18-22 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots didn't have much life last week as they were beaten on the road by the Miami Dolphins, 7-20. The Pats could manage just 271 yards though the defense did keep them fairly close by allowing the Dolphins 307 yards. Turnovers did hurt the Pats as they turned the ball over three times to none for Miami. Now they hit the road again, this time to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh pulled off the big upset, beating the Cincinnati Bengals last week, 23-20 as a 7-point dog. The Steelers had a +5 turnover ratio in that game though they were outgained by the Bengals 267-432 yards. The Bengals also had 32 first downs to the Steelers 13. But it was the Steelers defense that bent but didn't break in the win. Both Pittsburgh and New England near the bottom of the league in offense. The Patriots have covered just one of their last five games and are 0-4 ATS in their last four away games. I'm a bit surprised the Steelers are a home dog here today. They are 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a home dog. I'll take the points and look for a Pittsburgh win. |
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09-18-22 | Bucs v. Saints +3 | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay took advantage of a sluggish Dallas Cowboys offense last week and eventually forced Dallas QB Dak Prescott from the game with an injury to pull out the win, 19-3. It wasn't much of a exciting game as the Bucs had just 347 total yards and the Cowboys had 244 yards with just one touchdown scored between the teams. Dallas managed just 71 yards (3.9 rypa). Each team had 60 total plays with the Bucs holding a slight first down advantage of 18-13. Meanwhile, the Saints pulled off the road win at Atlanta, 27-26, but failed to cover the 5.5-point favorite spread. The Saints had 385 total yards to the Falcons 416 yards but won the turnover battle 2-1. The Saints have done well vs the NFC South, going 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games. They are also 35-17 in their last 52 games when installed as the dog. Bucs QB Tom Brady didn't look all that sharp but that was expected in his first action of the season. Still, I like the Saints on their home turf here Sunday plus the small points. |
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09-18-22 | Patriots v. Steelers UNDER 40.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 39 h 11 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots didn't have much life last week as they were beaten on the road by the Miami Dolphins, 7-20. The Pats could manage just 271 yards though the defense did keep them fairly close by allowing the Dolphins 307 yards. Turnovers did hurt the Pats as they turned the ball over three times to none for Miami. Now they hit the road again, this time to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh pulled off the big upset, beating the Cincinnati Bengals last week, 23-20 as a 7-point dog. The Steelers had a +5 turnover ratio in that game though they were outgained by the Bengals 267-432 yards. The Bengals also had 32 first downs to the Steelers 13. But it was the Steelers defense that bent but didn't break in the win. Both Pittsburgh and New England near the bottom of the league in offense. The Pats are 2-5 O/U in their last seven games as a road favorite. They are also 4-10 O/U in their last 14 overall road games. The Steelers are 0-4 O/U in their last four home games and 3-9 O/U in their last 12 games as a home dog. I'll be on the UNDER. |
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09-17-22 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -110 | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Excellent pitchers duel here tonight as the Padres play at Arizona. The Padres holding onto that third and final Wild Card slote. They are 1.5 games back of the Phillies for the 2nd spot and 1.5 games ahead of the Brewers for the third spot. The Padres start Joe Musgrove with his 9-7 record in his 26 starts with a 3.28 ERA. He's been slightly worse of late with a 1-2 record in his last seven starts and a 4.15 ERA. Arizona starts their Ace here today in Zac Gallen. Gallen is 12-2 on the season with a 2.55 ERA. But, unlike Musgrove, he's been amazing of late, going 6-0 in his last seven starts with a 0.57 ERA. I'm taking the D'backs tonight with Gallen on the hill. |
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09-17-22 | UTSA +12.5 v. Texas | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 36 m | Show | |
Texas came oh so close to pulling the big upset last week over No 1 Alabama. Bama had to kick a last second field to pull out the win. Texas had to give their all in that game and wonder what effect that will have on them here this week. They have to have a letdown after that close upset of the Tide. Texas had trouble with the Bama rushing attack that gained 161 yards and 6.7 yards per attempt. The UTSA Roadrunners have a high powered offense. They are Ranked 31st in the nation after two weeks. They average 129 yards rushing and 348 yards passing thus far. They basically picked up where they left off last year as they averaged 36.9 ppg in 2021 which tied them for 11th in the nation. They are led by senior QB Harris who was great last year with 3177 yards and 27 TD's. He should give Texas plenty of problems this week. Add to that the letdown week for Texas and this is a perfect spot for UTSA. |
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09-17-22 | Penn State v. Auburn +3 | 41-12 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 6 m | Show | |
It's a Big-10 vs SEC matchup today as Penn State heads South to take on the Auburn Tigers. Auburn beat San Jose State last week at home, 24-16 as a 22.5 point favorite. The Tigers had 379 total yards with 211 of those coming on the ground. Auburn ranked 56th in the country in offense after two weeks, averaging 438 total yards per game. The defense comes in at 38th and allows 300 yards per game. Penn State played host to Ohio U last week and had little trouble in a 46-10 win as a 24.5-point favorite. The Nittany Lions had 234 yards rushing and 338 yards passing in the win. Penn State ranked 24th in the country in offense after two weeks, averaging 489 total yards. The defense not quite as good, ranked 64th and allowing 345 yard per game. These clubs met last year at Happy Valley and the Nittany Lions won 28-20 as a 4-point home favorite. Auburn had 367 yards in that game while Penn State had 392. Auburn a small home dog here on Saturday. I'll take the points in this one. |
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09-17-22 | BYU +3.5 v. Oregon | Top | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 31 m | Show |
BYU was in a battle last week with Baylor, but came out on top in the end, 26-20, as a 3.5-point home favorite. The Cougars and Bears were pretty even statistically and neither team had a turnover. BYU had 283 yards passing compared to just 137 by Baylor. Oregon got thumped in week one at Georgia, 3-49 as a 16-point road dog. They licked their wounds last week with a win over FCS team Eastern Washington, 70-14. But really what does that tell us? Nothing. They beat up on a team they should have. That beating though by Georgia does loom big to me. Now they are hosting a very good BYU squad. Until I see more out of Oregon I'll have to be on the BYU side here on Saturday. |
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09-17-22 | Oklahoma v. Nebraska +11 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 6 m | Show | |
The 2-0 Oklahoma Sooners travel to Norman to take on the 1-2 Nebraska Cornhuskers this week. The Huskers begin a new era as gone is HC Scott Frost and Mickey Joseph takes over as interim coach. For the players, they can look to turn around a bad start to the season. Oklahoma is playing under a rookie head coach in Brent Venabales. The Sooners are off to a fast 2-0 start and play their first road game of the season here today. Oklahoma has a high powered offense, but it didn't look like it last week as they led Kent State by just a 7-3 halftime score. They did eventually pull away in the 2nd half to beat the Golden Flashes, 33-3 as a 32-point favorite. I believe the coaching change at Nebraska will give some new life to the Huskers this week. Oklahoma has shown they are maybe not as good as expected so this could be a Nebraska upset this week. I'll still take the points with Nebraska. |
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09-17-22 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. Indiana | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 45 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky had the Week off to prepare for Indiana this week. They played in week 1 at Hawaii and walked away with an easy win and cover, 49-17, as a 16.5-point favorite. The Hilltoppers are now 2-0 on the season after winning in week 0 over Austin Peay, 38-37. Indiana ranks 71st overall in offense with Western Kentucky right on their heels at 72nd. Western ranks 61st on defense with Indiana coming in at 86th. One big difference is red-zone efficiency. Indiana is just 49%, scoring TD's in three of their seven red zone ventures. Meanwhile, Western is much better at 74%, scoring TD's on seven of their 10 tries. This is the first meeting in the last five years between these teams. I have to take the dog here today as both teams very even and I even give the edge to Western. So Indiana laying nearly a TD is way too much. Play Western Kentucky. |
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09-16-22 | Mariners -150 v. Angels | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
The Seattle Mariners are tied for first place in the AL Wild Card race with the Toronto Blue Jays. Both teams lead their place Tampa Bay by a half game and fourth place Baltimore by 4.5-games. It's anyone's race as all three teams can finish 1st, 2nd or 3rd. That makes every game very important, especially today at the Angels. The Mariners' had yesterday off and will start Robbie Ray here today. Ray is 12-9 on the season with a 3.56 ERA. He's been hot of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.05 ERA. The Angels will counter with Michael Lorenzen who is 6-6 with a 4.70 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-4 in his last seven with a 6.62 ERA. The M's look to stay in first place in the Wild Card race as they win tonight. |
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09-16-22 | Royals v. Red Sox -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Kansas City travels to Beantown today to face the Boston Red Sox. The Royals are coming off a road loss last night at Minnesota, 2-3. That makes three losses in a row for the Twins and seven of the last nine. Jon Heasley starts tonight for the Sox with a 3-8 record and 5.51 ERA. That number goes up last seven starts with a 2-4 record and 6.75 ERA. Boston plays in the most competitive division in baseball as the other four teams all in playoff contention. Only last place Boston is out of the postseason. Michael Wacha has been the ACE of the staff this year with a 11-1 record and 2.69 ERA. At home he has been even better with a 5-1 record and 1.79 ERA. I'll lay the run line tonight with the Red Sox. |
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09-16-22 | Twins v. Guardians -130 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The AL Central has three teams in contention for the crown and playoff spot with the Guardians in 1st place, the White Sox three games back and the Twins four back. None will be Wildcards since that is being dominated right now by the AL East teams. That makes this a big series, especially for the Twins. The Twins are coming off a sweep of the KC Royals. The will send Bailey Ober to the mound today with a 1-2 record and 4.01 ERA. Cleveland will counter with Triston McKenzie who is 10-10 on the season with a 2.99 ERA. He's been better at home with a 5-3 record and 2.84 ERA. I like the Guardians in this key AL Central matchup tonight. |
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09-16-22 | Rockies v. Cubs -134 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
The Rockies begin a three-game set at Chicago here on Friday after splitting two games at the White Sox. They won on Thursday, 3-0. That was their fifth win in their last seven games. German Marquez will get the start here today with a 8-10 record in his 27 starts and a 5.25 ERA. Marquez got roughed-up in his last start going four innings vs the Diamondbacks and giving up seven hits and nine runs. Meanwhile the Cubs are coming off a sweep over the first place NY Mets, holding them to just six runs in three games. Marcus Stroman will start today. Stroman is 3-7 in his 21 starts with a 3.91 ERA. While neither team or pitcher is all that great, the sweep of the Mets was mighty impressive to me. Lets see if the Cubs can keep the momentum going here today. Play Chicago. |
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09-15-22 | Aces v. Sun -1 | 76-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
The Las Vegas Aces on the verge of bring a first ever major championship banner to Las Vegas as they sit 2-0 in this best of five series. However, Connecticut might still have something to say about the outcome. The Sun have the leagues top 3 offense and defense. The Aces got out to an early lead in game two and never looked back as they cruised to the easy. It would be easy for the Sun to give it up here as they now have to win three straight and that has never happened in this playoff format. Still, I believe their is something left in the tank and they won't go down easy. I'll take a shot with the Sun tonight. |
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09-15-22 | Chargers +4 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers spent a lot of money in the offseason to bolster their defense, with Khalil Mack now anchoring the other side of the defensive line with Joey Bosa. And they sure showed their worth last week vs Las Vegas, sacking Carr six times and getting three turnovers. They also held Vegas to just 64 rushing yards. The offense did suffer one blow when WR Keenan Allen was lost with a hamstring issue. Kansas City looked just as good as every in their win at Arizona last week, 44-21. The defense was very good, holding the Cardinals to just 282 total yards. This looks to be a great matchup tonight with the new Chargers defense against the mighty Chiefs offense. I'm going to take the points with the Chargers as I look for them to stay close and maybe pull out the straight-up win. |
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09-15-22 | Phillies -125 v. Marlins | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
The Braves or Mets will have the top spot in the NL Wild Card locked-up, depending on which team takes the division. That leaves two spots left and the Phillies hold a 2.5-game lead right now over third place San Diego with the Brewers 2-back of the Padres. The Phillies have won five straight games after taking the first two in this series with the Marlins. They have held Miami to just one run in each game. In addition, they have won seven of their last eight games. Noah Syndergaard will start today for the Phils. He's 9-9 in his 22 starts with a 4.09 ERA. The Marlins have lost two straight games and five of their last six. Pablo Lopez will start for the fish with a 8-10 record in his 28 starts and a 4.10 ERA. He's been worse lately with a 1-4 record in his last seven games and a 6.17 ERA. I'll stick with the hot Phillies here tonight. |
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09-14-22 | Yankees -115 v. Red Sox | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
The Yankees had their lead in the AL east dwindle to 4.5-games, but they have not let it slip further as they are now back to 6-games. The Yankees have won three straight games and seven of their last 10 games. Their series continues here tonight with the last place Boston Red Sox. Nestor Cortes will toe the rubber today for the Yankees. Cortes is 9-4 in his 24 starts with a 2.73 ERA. Meanwhile, the RedSox have lost five of their last seven games, including game one of this series last night, 6-7. Brayan Bello will start today for the Red Sox. Bello is 1-4 in his seven starts with a 6.12 ERA. Yankees look to have got back on the winning track and should take this game tonight. |
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09-14-22 | Rays v. Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Very important WIld Card matchup today as the Toronto Blue Jays hold just a half game lead in the race over the Tampa Bay Rays and the Seattle Mariners. Good thing is that fourth place Baltimore is now five-games back. The Rays lost last night at Toronto, 2-7. Every game in this matchup is important. Drew Rasmussen will start today for the Rays with a 10-4 record in 24 starts and a 2.57 ERA. Rasmussen has been hot of late, allowing two runs or fewer in each of his last seven starts. Toronto will counter with Ross Stripling who is 6-4 in his 20 starts with a 2.91 ERA. Should be another great matchup here tonight. I'll be on the UNDER. |
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09-13-22 | Padres v. Mariners -105 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
The Seattle Mariners are tied for the top AL Wild Card spot with Toronto at 79-61. They now have a 5.5-game lead over 4th place Baltimore. Meanwhile in the NL, the Padres holding onto 3rd place in the Wild Card race, 2-games ahead of fourth place Milwaukee. The Padres look to snap a 2-game losing streak as they come off a series with the Dodgers where they lost two of the three games. Yu Darvish has been one of their best this year with a 13-7 record and 3.31 ERA. The Mariners will counter with Logan Gilbert who is 12-5 in his 28 starts with a 3.28 ERA. Gilbert has allowed no runs over his last two starts (12 innings). Should be a very good game and series here tonight. I'll take Seattle in this one. |
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09-13-22 | Sun +4.5 v. Aces | 71-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Game two of this best of five series has the Aces up one game to none. The Aces jumped out to a big lead in game one but found themselves fighting from behind in the 2nd half to finally take the win, but not cover the 6-point line. The first game was a defensive battle and that was expected as the Sun are top 3 in the WNBA in both offense and defense. The Aces struggled at times in their Seattle matchup and a few of the games came down to the wire. In fact, an OT win by Vegas that Seattle could have easily won changed the tide in that series. The Sun have covered 10 of their last 11 road games and are 17-5 ATS overall their last 22 games. Vegas has covered just one of their last five home games and are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 WNBA Championship games. I'm taking the points with the Sun tonight and won't be shocked if they steal game two. |
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09-12-22 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +190 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Dodgers can clinch the NL West by Tuesday, September 13. LA won again on Sunday over the Padres, 11-2, getting a grand slam from Justin Turner. There isn't much bad you can say about the Dodgers. Their starting pitching is excellent, their pen is excellent and they hit like crazy. But, now and then they have letdowns and that's what we need to look for to make some money. Tyler Anderson will start today at 13-3 overall and 2.76 ERA. Anderson has lost two of his last five starts though. Despite being in the NL West, the Arizona Diamondbacks are not a bad team at 66-73. Ryne Nelson has jut one start and it was very good, going seven innings vs the Padres for the WIN, allowing four hits and no runs. I'm going to take the young pitcher at around +2.00 dog here today. Take Arizona. |
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09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks UNDER 44.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 118 h 17 m | Show | |
It didn't take long, in fact week 1 for the Seahawks old QB in Russel Wilson to return home in his first game for his new team, the Denver Broncos. This could be one of the most anticipated games of the start of the season as Wilson returns to Seattle after 10 seasons as the Seahawks QB. Wilson has already elevated Denver to a Super Bowl contender while Seattle appears headed in the opposite direction. With Geno Smith now at QB, this team is in a serious rebuilding mode. Drew Lock is the other QB in Seattle and he spent a lot of time in Denver, most unproductive. The Broncos are already 13-5 in their last 18 vs the Seahawks and that looks to only improve this year. Don't expect many points out of this Seattle team as they look for an identity after the loss of Wilson. I'll take under and hope Denver doesn't run the score up too much. Play UNDER. |
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09-11-22 | Bucs v. Cowboys UNDER 51 | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 94 h 24 m | Show | |
As we begin this new season there will be lots of eyes on QB Tom Brady. Not only is he 45 years old, but he had supposedly retired at the end of last season. He's also missed significant practice time during the preseason due to personal reasons. Will he be ready for the season? Tom is the oldest QB and has offensive line issues at left guard. He's not very mobile and maybe pressured a lot this year. Also gone is his old friend Gronk at TE. The Cowboys were 2-1 in the preseason, playing mainly without their starters. Gone from the Cowboys are WR Amari Cooker and Cedrick Wilson Jr. Michael Gallup will likely miss game one this week. Those three were 40% of the Dallas receiving yards last season. I look for rust to show here on Sunday night with Brady and the Cowboys will have to find a way to replace all that offense. I'll take the UNDER. |
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09-11-22 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 52 | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 30 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders were a perfect 4-0 in the preseason under first year coach Josh McDaniels. The Raiders had the highest points differential in preseason at +41. Right away this Raiders team will be tried by the LA Chargers and Justin Herbert. We can think back to the last game of the regular season when the winner of the Raiders vs Chargers game went on to the playoffs. The game could have easily ended in an OT tie had the Chargers not called that controversial timeout, but instead it allowed the Raiders to setup the winning field goal. Besides McDaniels taking over in Vegas, is the highly anticipated debut of Davante Adams, arguably the best receiver in the NFL. Even though the Chargers are much improved on defense, I expect to see a lot of points in this game with these two offenses. I'm going to take the OVER. |
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09-11-22 | Packers v. Vikings +1.5 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 90 h 28 m | Show | |
The Packers took care of their own controversy when QB Aaron Rodgers signed a new contract. However, his to target in Davante Adams, arguably one of the best in the league. The Packers finished the preseason at 1-2, though that has little effect on what happens here in the regular season. The offense just feels different without Adams. Now they face an offense in Minnesota that is likely better then theirs with Justin Jefferson, Adam Theilen and Dalvin Cook leading the way. With the offensive power of this Vikings team and the issues the Packers will face with Adams departure, I'm taking the points at home with Minnesota in what I expect is a straight up win. These clubs have split their last six games. |
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09-11-22 | Diamondbacks -160 v. Rockies | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Arizona has lost the first two games of this series to the Rockies including last night, 1-4. They have also lost four straight games. Zach Gallen is one of their best pitchers and he will go today with a 11-2 record and 2.48 ERA. He's been almost perfect in his last seven starts, going 6-0 with a 0.57 ERA. The Rockies will try for the sweep here today with Ryan Feltner on the hill. Feltner is 2-7 on the season with a 6.13 ERA. Can't compare these two starters so I'll gladly take Arizona here today to salvage the final game of this set. |
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09-11-22 | Colts v. Texans OVER 45.5 | 20-20 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 4 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts begin the NFL season in a AFC South Clash here on Sunday. The Texans were a perfect 3-0 in the preseason while the Colts where 1-2. Colts HC Frank Reich begins his fifth season as Colts head coach and while his resume is pretty good, he's yet to win an opening day game. Not only are they 0-4 Straight up, but also 0-4 vs the number. We can take that even beyond Reich as they are 1-11 ATS their last 12 season openers. The Texans might have been 3-0 in preseason, but they have the lowest projected wins of any team this year. The Colts have a new QB in 14-year veteran Matt Ryan. I like the upgrade in QB for the Colts this year and expect that to produce more points here today. I'll take the OVER in this opening game. |
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09-11-22 | 49ers v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | 10-19 | Win | 100 | 87 h 3 m | Show | |
The SF 49ers will start the QB they have wanted to since last season, Trey Lance. Lance takes over for Jimmy Garopplo who resigned with the Niners, but for a much smaller amount then he likely wanted. One has to wonder though how much faith the 49ers have in Lance as they wanted to sign Garoppolo again. Will Lance be able to take this team past the NFC Championship game they made last year? The Bears also go with a 2nd year QB in Justin Fields. Fields had a very good preseason but the question remains if the offensive line will be able to afford him the protection and time need to be efficient. Fields was the highest graded QB in the preseason with no turnovers and a 8.1 yards per attempt. Both these teams were good under plays last year and I don't see that changing. Neither has an explosive offense and in these early games I'll be looking at the under. Take UNDER here in game one. |
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09-10-22 | Baylor +3.5 v. BYU | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 17 m | Show | |
Baylor had a softball tossed to them in the form of Albany last week and had little trouble with a easy win, 69-10. The Bears rolled-up 573 total yards with 259 of those coming on the ground. They held Albany to just 237 total yards. BYU had a little more difficult opponent, playing at South Florida, but with the same outcome. The Cougars easily beat SFU 50-21 as 11-point favorites. BYU had 573 total yards and allowed just 279. BYU returns a very good QB in Jaren Hall and in front of him one of the best offensive lines in college football. Baylor and BYU met last season in Waco, with the Bears coming out on top 38-24. Looks to be another wild game here in Provo. I'm sticking with the road dog in Baylor. |
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09-10-22 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 7 | 6-1 | Push | 0 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros have little challenge in the AL West with a 12-game lead over the Mariners. Still, they have to play the rest of the season and today they face the Angels and Shohei Ohtani. Ohtani is 11-8 on the season with a nifty 2.58 ERA. He's been slightly better at home with a 2.19 ERA. In fact, he's allowed one total run over his last two starts (15 innings). The Astros will counter with Jose Urquidy who is 13-5 with a 3.51 ERA. He's been better of late, going 5-2 with a 2.58 ERA over his last seven starts. I'm going to stick with the UNDER here in this one. |
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09-10-22 | Kansas v. West Virginia OVER 59.5 | 55-42 | Win | 100 | 56 h 1 m | Show | |
Kansas opened their season with a home game last week against Tennessee Tech. They had little issues with Tech winning, 56-10. The offense was very balanced with 297 rushing yards and 205 passing yards. They will take on a West Virginia team that had a big test in week 1 vs Pitt. The Mountaineers lost the game, 31-38, but covered the 7.5-point line and moved the ball quite easily as they had 404 total yards. The defense did give up 308 yards to the Pitt passing attack. Both teams should score pretty much at will in this week 2 clash. I'm taking the OVER in this one. |
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09-10-22 | Houston +3.5 v. Texas Tech | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 66 h 2 m | Show | |
This one looks to be a game mostly through the air as both teams lack much of a rushing attack, but both have excellent passing games. Houston escaped last week with a win over UTSA, 37-35, in OT on a two-point conversion. The Cougars will stay on the road this week as they travel to Texas Tech. Texas Tech also won their opening game against Murray State last week, 63-10. The only issue was the loss of QB Tyler Shough, who hurt his shoulder in the game. They will return to the player who started their last game of last season in QB, Donovan Smith. Smith should be fine back in the starting role and both teams should put up plenty of offense here today. I'll take the points with the road dog in this one. Play Houston. |
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09-10-22 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Iowa | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 54 h 2 m | Show |
It's always a great game when these two intrastate rivals clash. Both teams opened with wins in week one. Iowa State Cyclones had little issue at home with SE Missouri State, 42-10. They accumulated 569 total yards with 293 of those through the air. Iowa struggled though in week one, just getting by South Dakota State at home, 7-3. They had a measly 166 totals yards and held SDST to just 120 yards in what surely was a exciting game. The Cyclones have had their way in this series, covering seven of the last 10 in Iowa. I'm taking the visitor as I need to see more out of Iowa before I can lay points with them. Play Iowa State. |
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09-10-22 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Huge series here as the Rays continue to put the pressure on the fading Yankees. The Yankees had a double-digit lead not very long ago and now the Rays have dwindled that down to just 3.5 games in the AL East. The Rays have won four straight, including beating the Yankees last night, 4-2. The Rays pitching has been great, allowing two runs or fewer in seven of their last nine games. The Rays will start Corey Kluber here today who is 10-7 and 4.00 ERA. Kluber is coming off an excellent start where he allowed two hits and no runs over seven innings to the Yankees. The Yankees will start Jameson Taillon who is 12-4 on the season. Taillon has a 3.95 ERA and has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last three starts. Should be another excellent game here today, I'll take the UNDER. |
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09-09-22 | White Sox v. A's UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
The Chicago White Sox are in a 3-team race for the AL Central. The Sox and Twins both trail first place Cleveland by 1.5 games. And really which ever team wins the other two won't be making the playoffs as both teams are 7-games back in the Wild Card race. So these games are important to the Sox. The Sox will start Lucas Giolito who is 10-9 with a 5.21 ERA. He's pitched pretty well of late, allowing two runs or fewer in two of his last three games. Oakland just playing out the season with send James Kaprielian to the hill. He's just 3-9 with a 4.79 ERA in his 22 startss. He's also pitched pretty well of late, allowing two runs in three of this last four starts. While neither pitcher is very good, they have been much better of late. I'll take the UNDER. |
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09-09-22 | Braves v. Mariners +110 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Right now the Seattle Mariners are in the postseason, however things can change in a hurry. The M's are in 2nd place in the 3-slot Wild Card race, just 1-game back of Tampa Bay and a half game ahead of 3rd place Toronto. Right now, 4th place Baltimore is 4.5 games back and fading. The Mariners have won eight of their last 10 games. However, they did lost two of their three-game set to the White Sox, including yesterday's contest, 6-9. Robbie Ray will look to get them back in the win column today with a 12-8 record and 3.45 ERA. He's been very good at home with a 6-3 record and 2.49 ERA. The Braves are breathing down the Mets backs as they sit just a half game back in the NL East. Even if they don't win the conference, they have the top NL Wild card locked-up with a 11 game lead over the Padres. Charlie Morton will start today for the Braves with a 7-5 record and 4.01 ERA. He's been worse on the road with a 2-4 record and 5.24 ERA. I'm a bit surprised that the Braves are a slight road favorite here with Morton. I'll take the home team though. Play the Mariners. |
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09-09-22 | Blue Jays -145 v. Rangers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Toronto is 8-games back of the Yankees in the AL East, but is holding onto that 3rd and final AL Wild Card slote. They are 4-games back of 2nd place Seattle, but 4.5-games ahead of fourth place Baltimore. Toronto will send Ross Stripling to the mound today. Stripling is 6-4 in his 19 starts with a 2.91 ERA. The Rangers finally snapped their 9-game losing streak by taking Tuesday's game against the Astros, 4-3. However, they lost Wednesday's game and their win streak was a brief 1-game. Dane Dunning will start today with a 3-8 record in his 26 starts and a 4.37 ERA. Toronto playing too well and Texas looks like they have packed it in for the season. I'll take the Jays here today. |
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09-09-22 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 7 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay making a huge late season charge at the 1st place Yankees, now just 4.5-games back. Just a few months ago that number was more like 15-games back. The Rays have won eight of 10 and three straight games. They also hold the top AL Wild Card slot right now with a 1-game lead over the Mariners. Drew Rasmussen will start today with a 9-4 record in his 23 starts and a 2.70 ERA. That number is even better during the last seven games with a 3-1 record and 1.85 ERA. The Yankees lost last night to the Twins, 3-4. That did snap a four-game win streak. Frankie Montas will toe the rubber for the Yankees with a 5-11 record and 3.72 ERA. His numbers go up the last seven starts with a 2-2 record and 5.55 ERA. |
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09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams +2.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
The LA Rams begin defense of their 2021 NFL Championship here on Thursday against one of the best teams in the AFC, Buffalo Bills. The Bills still have that finish from last year in the playoffs against the Chiefs where both teams went back and forth in one of the best finishes in NFL history. Josh Allen drove the team down the field in 49 seconds for the go ahead score, only to have the Chiefs go for the tying score in just 13 seconds to force OT. The Chiefs won the toss in OT and scored the TD for the win without the Bills and Allen even getting to take the field. The Good news for the Rams is that Matthew Stafford will play after nagging injuries all preseason. Gone are WR's Robert Woods and Odell Beckham Jr. The Rams have the 2nd toughest schedule in the NFL and this is their first big test. The Bills are hungry to get that bad taste from their mouth in their playoff loss to the Chiefs. The Rams getting 2 1/2 points at home. With their defense they should be in this game until the end. I'll take the Rams plus the points. |
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09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams OVER 52 | 31-10 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
The LA Rams begin defense of their 2021 NFL Championship here on Thursday against one of the best teams in the AFC, Buffalo Bills. The Bills still have that finish from last year in the playoffs against the Chiefs where both teams went back and forth in one of the best finishes in NFL history. Josh Allen drove the team down the field in 49 seconds for the go ahead score, only to have the Chiefs go for the tying score in just 13 seconds to force OT. The Chiefs won the toss in OT and scored the TD for the win without the Bills and Allen even getting to take the field. The Good news for the Rams is that Matthew Stafford will play after nagging injuries all preseason. Gone are WR's Robert Woods and Odell Beckham Jr. The Rams have the 2nd toughest schedule in the NFL and this is their first big test. The Bills are hungry to get that bad taste from their mouth in their playoff loss to the Chiefs. Should be plenty of points in this game with Stafford back at the helm. Play the OVER. |
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09-07-22 | Red Sox v. Rays -162 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Rays are hot on the heals of the Yankees in the AL East. What looked like a longshot just a few months ago when they trailed by 15-games is now down to just 4.5-games. They are also tied for 1st in the AL Wildcard race with the Seattle Mariners, 1.5-games ahead of third place Toronto and 3.5-games ahead of fourth place Baltimore. The Rays have won two straight games and seven of their last 10 games. The Rays will start Jeffrey Springs today who is 6-4 in his 19 starts with a 2.90 ERA. Springs is coming off a win over the Yankees, allowing no runs and four hits over 5 2/3 innings. The Red Sox had their five-game win streak snapped by the Rays on Monday, 3-4 and then lost game two on Tuesday, 4-8. Nick Pivetta will start today with a 9-10 record and 4.37 ERA. Rays just too hot for me to not take them here today. They have momentum to catch the Yankees and they have a very good starter in Springs on the hill. Play Tampa Bay. |
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09-07-22 | Twins v. Yankees -142 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
Game 1 of this doubleheader as the Yankees are desperate to stop their slide. Just a few months ago the Yankees led the AL East by 15 games. Now, it's down to just 4.5-games over the Rays. Domingo German will try and get the Yankees back on the right path in game one here on Wednesday. German is 2-3 in his nine starts with a 3.12 ERA. He's been very good of late, allowing two runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts. The Minnesota Twins are a team that lead a good portion of this only to fall back to second place in the AL Central, 1.5-games back of the Guardians. The Twins will throw Louie Varland into the fire today as he will be making his major league debut here in game one. Varland was the Twins' Minor League pitcher of the Year for 2021. Both teams need wins, but I'll take the Yankees here in game one with German. |
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09-06-22 | Aces v. Storm | 97-92 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Both these teams putting on a great show in the playoffs as the LV Aces can wrap up the West and a spot in the finals with a win tonight. However, Seattle has proven way tougher in the postseason then in the regular season where LV took three of four games. Seattle could easily be the one looking to advance tonight after that heartbreaking loss in OT in game three. Vegas had to tie it up with just under two seconds remaining in regulation to force an OT or this is a different series heading into tonight. Will Seattle be able to come back here tonight after that heartbreaking game three loss? I believe they will. They have played great in all three games and given Vegas all they can handle. I look for this series to go the distance after Seattle wins tonight. |
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09-06-22 | Diamondbacks +148 v. Padres | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondback would like nothing better than to put a crimp in the San Diego Padres Wild Card hopes. Right now the Padres and Phillies are tied for the 2nd and 3rd Wild Card spots with the Brewers the only other team with a real chance, sitting 2-games back. The Diamondbacks took game one from the Padres on Monday, 5-0. In fact, the D'backs have held four of their last five opponents to 1 run or no runs in a 4-1 streak. In addition, they are 9-2 over their last 11 games. Merrill Kelly has been a bright spot for the D'backs this year with a 12-5 record and 2.84 ERA. He is also great on the road with a 8-1 record in his 12 starts and a 2.74 ERA. The Padres hope to snap a 3-game losing streak here today. Juan Soto who they picked up at the trade deadline has been in a terrible slump of late. And with Fernando Tatis missing the rest of the season, Soto has to pick it up if the Padres hope to stave off the Brewers. Joe Musgrove starts for the Padres with a 9-6 record and 3.01 ERA. Musgrove hasn't been as good of late though, going only 1-3 in his last seven starts with a 4.05 ERA. I'm getting a hot Arizona team with their best pitcher on the hill at this kind of plus money? I'll take that shot. Play Arizona. |
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09-06-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondback would like nothing better than to put a crimp in the San Diego Padres Wild Card hopes. Right now the Padres and Phillies are tied for the 2nd and 3rd Wild Card spots with the Brewers the only other team with a real chance, sitting 2-games back. The Diamondbacks took game one from the Padres on Monday, 5-0. In fact, the D'backs have held four of their last five opponents to 1 run or no runs in a 4-1 streak. In addition, they are 9-2 over their last 11 games. Merrill Kelly has been a bright spot for the D'backs this year with a 12-5 record and 2.84 ERA. He is also great on the road with a 8-1 record in his 12 starts and a 2.74 ERA. The Padres hope to snap a 3-game losing streak here today. Juan Soto who they picked up at the trade deadline has been in a terrible slump of late. And with Fernando Tatis missing the rest of the season, Soto has to pick it up if the Padres hope to stave off the Brewers. Joe Musgrove starts for the Padres with a 9-6 record and 3.01 ERA. Musgrove hasn't been as good of late though, going only 1-3 in his last seven starts with a 4.05 ERA. Your free play for Tuesday is on the UNDER. |
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09-06-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
The Houston Astros have the AL West locked-up with a 87-48 record and 11-game lead over the Mariners. They also hold a 6-game lead over the Yankees for the best record in the A.L. So for now there is little pressure on this club. However, whenever their rivals for upstate come to down it's always makes for a great series. The Rangers have been horrible of late, losing 9-straight games, including last night's opener with the Astros, 0-1. Glenn Otto will try to wright the ship today as he's 6-8 in his 21 starts with a 4.82 ERA. Will be a tall order for Otto and the Rangers though as they face one of the best Astros pitchers in Framber Valdez. Valdez is 14-4 on the season with a 2.63 ERA. Valdez has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. He's also allowed more than three runs just one time in his 25 starts this season. Rest assured the Rangers won't score much here today. I'll take the Astros on the Run line against a poor starter in Otto. |
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09-06-22 | Sky v. Sun | 80-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Chicago has had the Connecticut number all season, going 4-0 against the Sun. The last two games winning by three points. Chicago has also covered three of their four matches. These two teams are about as evenly matched as any two teams in the playoffs have been. Their games seem to come down to the final moments. Everyone seems to be siding with Chicago in this one as they have always came out on top against the Sun. I, however, will be on the Sun tonight. I look for them to finally get a win at home against the Sky. You can make a case by the numbers for either team, this one is based on my own numbers and experience. I'm taking Connecticut to pull this game out. |
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09-05-22 | Guardians v. Royals +121 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
Cleveland and Minnesota are now tied for first place in the AL Central at 68-64 after the Guardians loss on Sunday to the Mariners in 11 innings, 3-6. Which ever team wins the Central, that is their only hope at this point since there are four teams ahead of them in them in the AL Wild Card race. Triston McKenzie will start for the Guardians. McKenzie is 9-10 in his 24 starts with a 3.13 ERA. The Royals will start their best pitcher here on this Holiday Monday, Brady Singer. Singer is 7-4 in his 19 starts with a 3.26 ERA. He's been better at home with a 6-2 record in 11 starts and a 2.76 ERA. I like Singer a lot and this is likely their one chance in the series for a win. Play Kansas City. |
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09-05-22 | Clemson -21 v. Georgia Tech | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 339 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clemson Tigers let down a lot of bettors last year. While they were good on defense, the offense just didn't generate enough to cover big numbers. The Tigers made some moves in the offseason to improve the offense and we should see much improvement in that area. Georgia Tech might have a very long day in this one as their defense and in particular the DL, is not very good. Clemson should wear them down on the ground which will also open the passing attack. Meanwhile, the Clemson defense will show how good they are as they stifle this Yellow Jacket offense. Three touchdowns plus seems like a hill to climb, but not for the Clemson team against GT. I'll gladly lay the lumber in this one. Play Clemson. |
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09-04-22 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks -154 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Milwaukee falling back fast in the NL Central, now trailing the Cardinals by 7.5-games. Plus, the WildCard looks bad too as the Braves or Mets will claim the top spot and a host of other teams battling for the final two spots. Jason Alexander will do his best to not pull a "George" here today as he takes to the mound. Alexander is 2-1 in his eight starts with a 4.04 ERA. The D'backs lost to Milwaukee yesterday, 6-8, but have been hot winning seven of their last nine games. They get one of their top two starters on the hill today in Zac Gallen. Gallen is 10-2 in his 25 starts with a 2.59 ERA. He's been great of late, going 5-0 in his last seven starts with a 0.80 ERA. I'll take Arizona today with a red-hot pitcher on the mound. |
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09-04-22 | Aces v. Storm | 110-98 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Game three here in the Western Semi-Finals is a dog fight as the Aces and Storm are tied at one game each. The Storm shocked the Aces in game one by stealing that game on the Las Vegas home court. So that means home court back in the Storm's court now. The Aces have averaged 90.4 ppg this season, much higher than the 78.4 ppg that the Storm have allowed. Breanna Stewart has been amazing for the Storm, as she had 21 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists in game two vs Washington in round one. The Aces have a dominant team, and while I believe we saw the best the Storm could do in game one, I like them to stay close here today with Stewart unstoppable. The Storm are a 1-point home favorite for a reason and I believe that's because they are going to win this game. Take Seattle. |
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09-04-22 | Mariners v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Two teams that are battling for playoff spots meet in the final game of their set as the Guardians host the Mariners. The Guardians have a modest 1-game lead in the AL Central over the Twins and 2-games over the White Sox. Not so good looking in the Wild Card though as the sit 4-games back of the Orioles right now in what is a 4-6 team race for three spots. The Mariners are 2nd in the Wild card race, just one percentage point behind 1st place Tampa Bay. They are 2-games ahead of Toronto and 3.5-games ahead of the Orioles. Seattle has also won six straight games, getting great pitching. The M's have allowed 1 run total in their last three games and no more than three runs in any of their last six and 10 of their last 11. The pen has a solid 3.31 ERA and 3.00 ERA over their last seven games. George Kirby starts today with a 6-3 record in his 19 starts and 3.16 ERA. That drops to 2.11 ERA over his last seven starts with a 4-0 record. The Guardians have lost four straight games, scoring a total of 1-run during that span. Cal Quantrill starts today with an 11-5 record and 3.50 ERA. He has allowed one or no runs in four of his last five starts. This looks to be a very low scoring game with two very good pitching staffs meeting. Take the UNDER. |
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09-04-22 | Rangers v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers are stuck in the middle of a 7-game losing streak after dropping the first three games of this series with the Red Sox. Moreover, they have allowed 23 runs to the Sox in the 3-games. Today, they turn to Dane Dunning to try and end the streak. Dunning, however, is just 3-7 in his 25 starts with a 4.18 ERA and a 0-5 record on the road with a 5.25 ERA. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have won four straight games and have gone over in four of their last five games. Josh WInckowski will start today with a 5-7 record and 5.83 ERA. That number is even worse at home where he is 3-4 with a 7.00 ERA. Neither starter likely around long in this game. I'll take the OVER. |
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09-03-22 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 10-21 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
Marquee matchup here on the Week 1 Saturday college football schedule. Notre Dame's head coach Marcus Freeman is a alum of Ohio State so he will have his own sort of homecoming here tonight. Freeman took over for Brian Kelly last season and took them to the Feista Bowl last season where they lost to Oklahoma State, 35-37. Ohio State was 11-2 last season and won the Rose Bowl. Was this a down season for them? For many, yes it was. They had high expectations of making the playoff four, but missed out. They also lost to rivals Michigan and lost in the Big 10 Championship. However, this year should be different with 11 starters returning. This game today has No 2 Ohio State and No 5 Notre Dame. However, with the oddsmaker posting a 17-point line on the underdog Irish we have to wonder if they are telling us right off the bat that this Irish team isn't a No 5 ranked club. These teams have met six times with Ohio State holding a 4-2 edge. Moreover, all four OSU wins have come by at least 13-points. I believe that OSU has too much firepower for this Notre Dame. In my rankings I have Notre Dame closer to No 20 and not No 5. There is a huge difference between these teams and it will show here on Saturday. I'm taking Ohio State in a blowout win. |
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09-03-22 | Mariners -155 v. Guardians | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Guardians in a three way race for the AL Central. They lead the division by just 1-game over the Twins and 3-games over the White Sox with lots of baseball left. The issue for all three teams is that they likely won't get a Wild Card with four teams above the Twins right now and a 4-game gap. Xzavion Curry makes his second start for the Guardians. Curry has no record with a 5.40 ERA. His one start was on August 15th vs Detroit where he went five innings and allowed eight hits and three runs. The Mariners have the 2nd spot in the AL Wild Card race, and are just a few percentage points behind 1st place Tampa Bay. They have a 2-game lead over the Jays. Robbie Ray will start today with a 11-8 record and 3.58 ERA. Ray has not allowed more than two runs over any of his last five starts. I'm taking Seattle here against a relatively unknown Cleveland pitcher. |
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09-03-22 | A's v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 1-8 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Orioles still fighting for a playoff Wild Card slot, sit in fourth place, just 1.5 games back of third place Toronto. The O's have won three straight and seven of their last 10 to keep pace with the pack. Adam Oller starts for the A's today with a 2-6 overall record and 5.66 ERA. The O's will counter with Austin Voth. Voth is 4-2 with a 4.48 ERA. He's pitched very well of late, allowing just three total runs over his last three starts (17 2/3 innings). I'm taking the UNDER in this one as both pitchers have been very good in recent starts. Play UNDER. |
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09-03-22 | Yankees v. Rays -128 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay and New York are battling in the AL East and what looked like an insurmountable lead by the Yankees now looks vulnerable. The Rays hold the top Wild Card spot right now, percentage points ahead of the Mariners and 2-games ahead of Toronto. But they have a good shot of over taking the Yankees. Thanks to the Yankees lackluster play of late, losing two straight and going 5-5 over their last 10 games, the Rays are just 5-games back. The Yankees will start CLarke Schmidt today, who is 5-3 on the season with a 2.89 ERA. Schmidt went just 4.1 innings in his last start at Oakland, allowing eight hits and four runs for the loss. Tampa will counter with Corey Kluber who is 9-7 on the season with a 4.21 ERA. Kluber has allowed more than three runs just one time in his last five starts. The Rays have momentum and confidence as they play game two of their set with the Yankees. I'm sticking with Tampa Bay here today. |
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09-03-22 | Florida Atlantic -4 v. Ohio | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 53 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic plays their second game of the young season here today after a thorough trouncing of Charlotte last week, 43-13, as a 7-point favorite. FAU had 223 yards rushing and 264 yards passing while holding Charlotte to just 283 total yards. Ohio plays its first game of the season today and looks to improve on a poor 22.6 ppg average last season. The defense is not good, allowing 30 ppg and 431 yards last season. Ohio is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last six non-conference games. With FAU having that game under their belt, I like their offense to get plenty of points here today. Ill take Florida Atlantic. |
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09-03-22 | Texas State +1 v. Nevada | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas State making their 2022 debut here in week 1, while Nevada saw action last week. Nevada Wolfpack played at New Mexico State and came away with the 23-12 win and covered the 7-point spread. However, the Nevada offense was pretty pathetic, gaining 257 total yards against a pretty bad team. They also had just 78 total passing yards in the win. The difference were the five turnovers the Wolfpacked forced last week. Texas State looks to bolster their passing attack this season with transfer QB Layne Hatcher who comes over from Arkansas State. But the bigger problem for this team is its defense, which allowed 33 points per game and 430 yards. Texas State might push the running game here today as New Mexico State highlighted a poor Nevada rush defense that gave up 218 yards on the ground. Nevada has typically started slowly, going just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 September games. Nevada was fortunate last week that they got five turnovers and played offensively weak New Mexico State team. You would have thought a much larger margin of victory given the turnovers. Now they face a much more balanced offense in Texas State. Both teams should get their share of points today but I'll take the visitors in this one. Play Texas State. |
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09-03-22 | North Carolina v. Appalachian State +1 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 54 m | Show | |
North Carolina opened its season last week vs Florida A&M. While the Tar Heels won 56-24, they failed to cover the 43.5-point spread. This is the first time NCU will play at Boone, though the teams did meet in Chapel Hill back in 2019 with App State beating NCU, 34-31. NCU started a freshman QB last week in Drake Maye, who was very good, though it was against a poor Florida A&M squad. Now he will face a App State team that was 33rd in total defense last year. App State returns QB Chase Brice who threw for 3,337 yards and 27 TD's last season. They also had a rushing attack that averaged just under 200 yards per game. Add to the fact that this offensive line returns four starters and they have high expectations for the offense this year. I look for a high scoring game here today especially with App State against a poor NCU defense. I'll take App State today. |
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09-02-22 | Cubs v. Cardinals -1.5 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
These two old rivals begin a 3-game set today from St Louis. The Cardinals have opened up a 6.5-game lead in the NL Central over the Milwaukee Brewers. The Cards took two of their three games from the Reds, including Thursday's contest, 5-3. That makes them 4-1 in their last five games. Jordan Montgomery will start today for the Red Birds with a 7-3 record in his 26 starts and a 3.28 ERA. He is off a tough start where he went five innings vs the Braves and allowed eight hits and five runs. That snapped a streak of four games where he had allowed a total of just one total run. The Cubs were able to salvage the final game of their three game set with the Blue Jays, winning 7-5 to get one win. Adrian Sampson will start today with a 1-4 record in his 12 starts and a 4.35 ERA. The Cardinals have all the momentum and should win this game going away. Lay the Run line with the Cardinals. |
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09-02-22 | Ottawa +4 v. Montreal | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Week 13 of the CFL is upon us as Ottawa takes on Montreal at the Molson Stadium. The Ottawa Redblacks have split their last four games while Montreal has split their last eight games. The Redblacks have covered five of their last six road games and are 4-1 ATS vs the East. Meanwhile, Montreal is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. What's somewhat surprising is that Ottawa is 9-0 in their last nine trips to Montreal. Ottawa getting four points here tonight looks like a lot to me. I'll take the points with the Redblacks. |
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09-02-22 | Yankees v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 0-9 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Yankees had a huge lead in the AL East, but that is now down to 6-games over the Rays. They have hit a bit of slump lately, losing four of their last five games, including last night at the Angels, 2-3. Thus begins a big series with the Rays tonight. Domingo German will start tonight with a 2-2 record in his eight starts and a 3.19 ERA. He's been very good of late, allowing one earned run over his last 14 innings with eight KO's and no Walks. The Rays have won three straight games and look to put a dent in that lead by the Yankees. Jeffrey Springs will start tonight with a 5-4 record in his 18 starts and a 3.08 ERA. Both these pitchers are very good and I will take the UNDER here tonight. |
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09-02-22 | A's v. Orioles UNDER 8 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
The Oakland A's look to snap a 2-game losing streak here tonight as they begin a series at Baltimore. The A's have got decent pitching and their bullpen has a 3.67 ERA over their last seven games. JP Sears will toe the rubber for the A's. Sears is 4-1 in his six starts with a 1.69 ERA. The O's offense has been pretty bad of late, but the pitching has been very good. They have two shutout wins in a row and the bullpen has a 1.69 ERA over their last seven games. The O's are in the hunt for one of the three wild card slots, just 1.5 games back of the pack. Dean Kremer will start tonight for the O's with a 6-4 record in his 15 starts and a 3.24 ERA. He's allowed just two runs over his last 13 innings. This one looks like a dead under to me tonight. 15-Star Total Annihilator. |
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09-01-22 | Penn State v. Purdue UNDER 53.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
Two Bowl teams from the 2021 season meet here tonight. And, both teams have very high aspirations for this season. Penn State started last year 5-0, but struggled down the stretch finishing at 7-6 overall. Purdue won more games last year then they had since 2003 with their 9-4 record. They beat Tennessee in the Music City Bowl, 48-45. Both teams lost some players to the NFL and it's not an easy site to play at Ross-Ade Stadium. I look for a close game, but in this one I'll be taking the UNDER. |
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09-01-22 | Central Michigan +22 v. Oklahoma State | 44-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Central Michigan has a lot to be looking forward to this season after a 6-2 record in the MAC last season. They just missed the MAC Championship game, losing a wild contest to Northern Illinois, 38-39. Oklahoma State must have a bad taste in its mouth after just missing out on a College Football Playoff berth last year. The Cowboys missed beating Baylor in the Big 12 Championship by just two yards, failing to score a TD on four shots from the two. I expect Central Michigan to cover this big spread today as the Cowboys will be slow out of the gate this season. Play Central Michigan. |
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09-01-22 | Dodgers v. Mets +120 | 3-5 | Win | 120 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Game three of this series between the two best National League teams. The Dodgers took game one and the Mets came back with game two on Wednesday, 2-1. LA has the NL West already wrapped-up as they lead the Padres now by 18.5 Games. Clayton Kershaw makes his return today from the IL List. Kershaw is 7-3 in his 15 starts this year with a 2.64 ERA. Kershaw makes his first start since August 4th. The Mets are holding off Atlanta in the NL West, 3-games in first place. Chris Bassitt is 11-7 in his 24 starts with a 3.28 ERA. Kershaw is a question as to how sharp he will be in his return today. I'll take Bassitt as a small dog at home. |
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08-31-22 | Dodgers +149 v. Mets | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
A battle of the top National League teams as the Dodgers and Mets play game two of their series. The Dodgers won game one on Tuesday in a nail-biter, 4-3. Today we get a great pitching matchup as 12-2 Tyler Anderson of the Dodgers will face 3-1 Jacob deGrom of the Mets. The Dodgers won three straight games and Anderson has a 2.71 ERA and a 2.08 ERA in his last seven starts. deGrom has a 2.15 ERA and a 1.53 ERA at home. deGrom has just five starts but has been very good since his return. Dodgers a farily big dog here and how often this year will we get them at this price? Probably not again. I'll take the value with the dog Dodgers here today. |
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08-30-22 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +124 | Top | 3-12 | Win | 124 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
The Phillies look to snap a 2-game losing streak here tonight as they game two of this series in Arizona tonight. The Phillies still hold onto the 2nd NL Wild Card slot right now, 1.5-games ahead of the Padres and 3-games ahead of the Brewers. The Phils will start Aaron Nola tonight who is 9-10 in his 25 starts with a 3.08 ERA. Arizona just came off a three-game sweep of the White Sox and then took game one of this series with the Phillies last night, 13-7, despite trailing 1-7 in the early innings. Zach Gallen has been excellent for the D'backs with a 9-2 record in his 24 starts and a 2.73 ERA. He's been on fire of late, going 5-0 in his last seven starts with a 0.80 ERA. I get Gallen as a dog here tonight, that's too much to pass on for me. Take Arizona. |