Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-25-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in all of baseball. In fact, there have been very few bright spots for Miami this season. One of those rare bright spots has been youngster Jose Fernandez. Fernandez has been brilliant at home with an ERA of less than 2 so far in 2013. Kevin Correia isn't a dominating pitcher, but he consistently gives the Twins a quality start. This is one of those games where I expect a lot of quick innings and the starters working deep into the game. Look for a pitchers duel. Take the under.
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06-25-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8 | 1-5 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Matt Moore was amazing at the start of 2013, but things have turned quickly for the worse in his last 4 starts. Moore has an ERA above ten in those last four outings. Toronto's bats have been heating up in a big way of late. On the other side, Mark Buehrle starts for the Blue Jays. Tampa Bay has been great all season against left handed pitching. Both of these offenses are capable of putting up a big inning at any time during this contests. The over is 5-0 in Moore's last 5 starts overall. The over is 4-0 in Moore's last 4 starts at home verses Toronto. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Tampa. The over is 4-1 in Tampa's last 5 games verses a lefty. Take the over.
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06-23-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Cleveland Indians OVER 9 | 5-3 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Mike Pelfrey has an ERA over 6 so far this year. Pelfrey is one of those guys that regularly allows 4 or 5 runs and doesn't get out of the 6th inning. Carlos Carrasco has never been consistent in his big league pitching career, and the Twins have hit the ball well against him in the past. The over is 12-5 in the last 17 games between these two teams at Cleveland. The over is 19-8-2 in the last 29 meetings between these teams overall. Look for both pitchers to give up several here. Take the over.
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06-20-13 | Boston: J Lackey v. Detroit: J Alvarez OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Boston Red Sox and the Detroit Tigers arguably have the two best offenses in the majors. Detroit is averaging 4.94 runs and I expect them to have success against John Lackey. Lackey struggles on the road and I don't consider him a dominating pitcher at this stage in his career. Jose Alvarez will make his second career start for Detroit. Alvarez is a nice prospect, but it is a lot to ask of him to shut down this Red Sox lineup. Boston is averaging 5.08 runs per game this year, which is first in the majors. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Look for a high scoring contest. Take the over.
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06-19-13 | Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8 | 1-4 | Loss | -111 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals have a history of playing some high scoring games against each other. Jake Westbrook just came back from an injury and he didn't look sharp in his first start back. Edwin Jackson has a 4.58 ERA in his career against the Cardinals, and most of the guys in this St. Louis lineup have great numbers against him. This number isn't set very high, so I like the value. The over is 6-0 in Westbrook's last 6. The over is 6-0-1 in Westbrook's last 7 as a -151 to -200 favorite. The over is 4-0 in Westbrook's last 4 against the Cubs. Take the over.
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06-19-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 | 1-2 | Win | 109 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Bronson Arroyo has a nice history against his old team (the Pittsburgh Pirates) and he also has pitched great with Jerry Meals as the home plate umpire. Meals will be behind the plate here. Arroyo has a 1.73 ERA in 7 starts with Meals as the home plate umpire. Jeff Locke has been a great young lefty for the Pirates. In two starts against the Reds, he has a 1.86 ERA. Neither of these offenses are hitting it well right now. The under is 5-0 in the Reds last 5 games. The under is 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati. The under is 7-1 in Locke's last 8 starts. Take the under.
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06-18-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates have a history of playing some very low scoring games against each other. In Mat Latos' career against the Pirates he has a 2.3 ERA. Pittsburgh's lineup isn't very strong from top to bottom this year. Charlie Morton has been very good against the Reds in the past. No one in the Reds lineup sees the ball well against him. The breeze will be blowing in slightly which should help keep it in the yard more than normal. These are two of the best bullpens in baseball. The under is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 as a home favorite. The under is 4-0 in Morton's last 4 starts following a loss for his team. The under is 7-1 in Latos' last 8 as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The under is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati. Take the under.
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06-16-13 | Seattle Mariners v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 | 2-10 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Oakland and Seattle both have a weak lineup from top to bottom. Hisashi Iwakuma has been one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball all year. Dating back to last season he has allowed more than three runs only once in last 16 starts. Bartolo Colon has been dominant of late, and he has great career numbers against Seattle. This is a pitcher's ballpark, and both of these pitchers are good at staying out of the big inning. This is the type of game where I expect to see both starters pitching very deep into the contest. This should be a very low scoring game. Take the under.
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06-15-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Houston Astros UNDER 8 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The single best 'under' umpire in baseball is Doug Eddings. He'll be behind the dish in this one. Eddings has the biggest strike zone in the league and he loves ringing up batters. Both of these pitchers should benefit from an expanded strike zone, because they are nibblers to start with. These offenses have been in a real funk of late. The under is 5-0 in Houston's last 5. The under is 6-0 in Danks' last 6 starts on 6 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 starts against the AL West. The under is 6-1 in the Astros last 7 home games. Take the under.
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06-15-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has shocked a lot of people this year (myself included). The Royals rank first in the American League in team ERA. Kansas City has gotten great work from Jeremy Guthrie all year, and he has been great in Tampa Bay in the past. Alex Cobb is one of the most underrated young pitchers in the league. The under is 5-0 in Guthrie's last 5 on 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Guthrie's last 4 starts. The under is 4-0 in Cobb's last 4 starts when his team scored 2 runs or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Take the under.
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06-14-13 | Washington Nationals v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Masterson has had a couple hiccups this year, but for the most part, he has pitched like an Ace. Masterson has been brilliant at home this season, and the Nationals lineup isn't the same without Bryce Harper. Gio Gonzalez has been rounding into form of late, and he has been spectacular in his career when pitching in Cleveland. In four career starts at Cleveland, Gonzalez has an amazing 0.68 ERA. Neither of these offenses are terrific right now, and I expect a great game from both starting pitchers. Take the under.
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06-13-13 | San Francisco: M Cain v. Pittsburgh: C Morton OVER 7.5 | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The San Francisco Giants have a much better offense than they did a year ago. Charlie Morton hasn't pitched in more than a year and he'll make his return in this one after Tommy John surgery. Matt Cain hasn't been himself this year. He has an ERA above 6 on the road this year. Tim McClelland may well be the best 'over' umpire in the business, and he'll be behind the dish in this one. He has had one of the smallest strike zones for many years, and he'll squeeze both pitchers in this one. I like the value here. Take the over.
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06-13-13 | New York Yankees v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The New York Yankees and Oakland Athletics offenses have both been struggling of late. Hiroki Kuroda has been the Yankees best pitcher all year. Jarrod Parker started the year slowly, but he has six straight quality starts. The A's offense was on fire earlier this year, which made oddsmakers overadjust their totals for this team. Now, the under is a nice value with Oakland playing more like the team from last year. The under is 6-0-1 in the Yankees last 7 Thursday games. The under is 4-0-1 in Kuroda's last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Oakland's last 6 home games against a righty. Take the under.
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06-13-13 | Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Coors Field is still the best park in the majors for hitters when the conditions are right, and they'll be great on Thursday afternoon. The ball really flies well in the afternoon here, and temperatures are expected to be in the upper 80's for this one. Ross Detwiler and Jeff Francis are two lefties who have been struggling of late. Francis has an ERA over 6 this year. Detwiler will have trouble getting through a Rockies lineup that is stacked from top to bottom. The over is 17-7-1 in Francis' last 25 starts at home. The over is 5-1-1 in the Rockies last 7. Take the over.
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06-12-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -111 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Value* Mike Pelfery has an ERA of 6.3 so far this year. It's very rare that he can get through a start without giving up a big inning. The Phillies offense has been much better of late thanks to a surge in production from Domonic Brown. Brown has turned into the star hitting outfielder that many thought he would be a couple years ago. Tyler Cloyd is very inconsistent, and the Twins offense has been good at home this season. The wind will be blowing out center field and with these two pitchers, I think this number is too low. Take the over.
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06-12-13 | Los Angeles Angels v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 | 9-5 | Win | 104 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Los Angeles Angels offense has shown signs of life lately. I still believe the Angels are going to score a ton of runs at some point this year. Jason Hammel has an ERA above 7 at home this year, and he is a guy that the Angels should be able to put up a bunch of runs against. Jerome Williams has been good so far this year, but he has struggled during the day time in his career. This Orioles lineup is much better than most people realize. It'll be a hot day in Baltimore which should help the ball carry well in this contest. The over is 7-0 in Hammel's last 7 starts against a team with a losing record. Take the over.
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06-11-13 | Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Colorado Rockies have one of the best offenses in baseball, and they also have a poor pitching staff. Dan Haren is one of the weak links on the Nationals staff at this point. Coors Field is still the best hitters ballpark when the conditions are right. They can't be more right than they are on Tuesday. A temperature in the upper 80's and a wind blowing straight out to center at 20 miles per hour will really make it rough on these pitchers. Chacin has an ERA above 5 at home. Expect lots of runs in this one. Take the over.
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06-11-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Detroit Tigers have the best offense in baseball. Detroit averages 5.15 runs per game, and they'll get to face Wade Davis in this one. Davis is a very inconsistent pitcher who gives up big innings quite often. Against such a strong offense, I don't expect him to pitch well. The wind is expected to be blowing out 15-20 mph in this one and the temperature will be in the upper 80's. This is perfect conditions for the ball to really travel well here. I like the value here. Take the over.
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06-09-13 | Miami Marlins v. New York Mets UNDER 7.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Miami Marlins and New York Mets just played a ridiculous 20 inning game on Saturday. Generally, the thought is a long game like this would help the over in the following game because of the worn down bullpen. In this case, both Jon Niese and Tom Kohler have a good chance of going deep into the game and saving the bullpen because of their strong pitching. The Marlins average 2.34 runs per game against lefties, which is worst in the majors. The Mets offense isn't good, and Kohler is an underrated youngster. The under is the play here. Take the under.
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06-08-13 | San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks have two of the best pitching staffs in the National League, and they don't have particularly good offenses. Madison Bumgarner doesn't have good numbers of late, but his starts have been against very good offenses. Trevor Cahill has a 2.66 ERA at home this year, and his career numbers against the Giants are very good. Last night's game finished at 3-1 and I see a similar type of game here. The starters should go deep into the game as both lineups struggle to string hits together. The under is 5-0 in Cahill's last 5 starts as a home favorite. The under is 6-1 in his last 7 home starts. The under is 6-1 in Bumgarner's last 7 starts as an underdog. Take the under.
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06-07-13 | Oakland A's v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Jarrod Parker and Chris Sale are both pitching extremely well right now. These two squared off against each other just 5 days a go, and the score was 2-0. Parker started the season slowly, but he has been pitching much like he did last year lately. Parker has a brilliant 0.93 ERA in his career against the White Sox. Sale had one bad start this year, but he has been completely dominant of late. Oakland's offense is overrated at this point, and the White Sox lineup is very weak. The under is 3-0-1 in Sale's last 4 starts. The under is 4-0-2 in the White Sox last 6 games as a home favorite. The under is 5-0-1 in Sale's last 6 starts following a quality start. The under is 4-1 in Parker's last 5 starts. Take the under.
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06-07-13 | Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Chris Archer is a highly touted prospect for the Rays, but he seems to be struggle to make the transition to the major leagues. The Orioles have a much better lineup than most people realize, and I think the over is a great value in many of their games right now. Jason Hammel has been winning games of late, but only because he has been getting great run support. Hammel has really struggled in his last 4 games, and the Rays offense is red hot right now. The over is 5-0 in Hammel's last 5 road starts. The over 4-0-1 in Hammel's last 5 starts as an underdog. The over is 7-0 in the Orioles last 7 games as a road underdog. The over is 7-0 in the Rays last 7 Friday games. The over is 7-0-1 in the Rays last 8 home games verses a righty. In all, a 30-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
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06-05-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Chicago White Sox and Seattle Mariners both have extremely weak lineups. These are teams that can score one or two runs in a game and no one will bat an eyelash. Dylan Axelrod is still developing as a pitcher, but he has good stuff. Hisashi Iwakuma is dominating for the Mariners so far this year. Iwakuma has actually been even better than King Felix for most of the year. Iwakuma has given up more than 3 runs only once in last 15 starts. The under is 4-1-1 in the White Sox last 6. The under is 5-1 in Iwakuma's last 6 against the AL Central. DJ Reyburn is the umpire here and he has a big strike zone. The under is 6-0 in Reyburn's last 6 Wednesday games. Take the under.
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06-04-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 25 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* Josh Johnson is coming back form an injury for the Blue Jays in this one. Johnson has been bad so far this year, and he was bad in his minor league rehab starts as well. He pitched 4 and 2/3 and gave up 6 runs in his most recent minor league tuneup. Tim Lincecum hasn't been himself again this year. Lincecum has given up at least 4 runs in 7 of his 10 starts this year. He has allowed 6 runs in two of his last 3 outings. Both of these offenses are pretty good this year, and neither of these pitchers have proven themselves at all this season. This is too low of a number. The over is 13-3 in the Blue Jays last 16 following a win. The over is 12-4-1 in Lincecum's last 17 starts. The over is 7-1 in the Blue Jays last 8 against a team with a winning record. Take the over big.
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06-04-13 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8 | 1-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Matt Moore is having a break out season for the Tampa Bay Rays. Moore has an ERA just above 2, and the Rays are 12-1 in his last 13 starts this year. Moore pitched well in his only outing against Detroit last season. Anibal Sanchez has been spectacular at home this year with an ERA under 2. Even though both offenses are solid, I think the value is with the under because of the two elite pitchers. The under is 4-0 in Detroit's last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 19-6-2 in the last 27 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
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06-04-13 | New York Mets v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jordan Zimmerman in one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball. Zimmerman has a 1.50 ERA at home so far this year. He is coming off a rare poor start at Baltimore, and I expect him to bounce back with a great start against a bad Mets lineup. Jeremy Hefner isn't a terrific pitcher, but he generally keeps his team in the game. The Nationals offense is hurting right now without Bryce Harper and Jayson Werth. Don't expect the Nationals to put up as many runs without Harper in the middle of the lineup. Take the under.
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06-03-13 | OAK ATHLETICS v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 9 | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Oakland Athletics have been an over machine on the road this year. The over is 19-11 in their 30 road games this season. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff isn't very good, but they have a pretty strong lineup. Milwaukee is particularly strong against lefties. The Brewers hit .272 as a team against lefties. Tom Milone has a 5.55 ERA away from home this year, and he is a guy that the Brewers should be able to get to. Marco Estrada has an ERA above 7 at home this year. Estrada isn't a shut down type of pitcher at this point in his career. The over is 10-1 in the A's last 11 road games against a team with a losing record. The over is 9-1-2 in the Brewers last 12 Interleague home games. The over is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 against a lefty. Take the over.
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06-02-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Jorge DeLarosa has been one of the biggest surprises in baseball so far this year. He is 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA at Coors Field so far in 2013. The Dodgers have hit him well in the past, but this Dodgers' lineup is extremely short handed right now. The Dodgers will be without Matt Kemp, Hanley Ramirez, and A.J. Ellis. Ryu has been excellent for the Dodgers so far this season. He has an ERA under 3, and his past couple games have been his best of the year. This total is too high with two quality pitchers on the hill and so many injuries in the Dodgers' lineup. The under is 8-2 in the Rockies last 10 games as a favorite. The under is 5-2-1 in the Dodgers last 8 games verses a lefty. The under is 5-1 in the Rockies last 6 games following a win. Take the under.
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06-02-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 10 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Betting an over 10 certainly isn't something I like to do on a normal basis, but this number is justified in this particular case. Gausman is a top pitching prospect for the Orioles, but it seems that they've rushed him to the majors. He has given up 11 earned runs in this first 2 starts. Detroit has scored more runs than anyone in baseball so far this year, and this Tigers' lineup is extremely dangerous. Rick Porcello is one of the most inconsistent pitchers in baseball, and his ERA is almost 7 on the road. Baltimore has the second highest scoring team in baseball. The over is 4-0 in Detroit's last 4 road games against a righty. The over is 2-0 in Gausman's first two starts for the Orioles. The over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Baltimore. Take the over.
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05-31-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. San Diego Padres OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Petco Park isn't quite the pitcher friendly park it was a year ago. The fences have been moved in quite a bit here, and it is making a difference. The over is 14-11 in the Padres home games this year. In the past, it has been an easy under bet for Padres home games. Toronto's offense is good and I don't trust Jason Marquis. Jenkins is a youngster who couldn't dominate at the Double A level, and the Padres should be able to do some work against him. Expect a higher scoring game here. Take the over.
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05-31-13 | Houston Astros v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Dallas Keuchel is one of the worst pitchers in the major league at this time. Keuchel isn't very good at home, and he is horrible on the road. He has a career ERA over 5, and this Angels lineup should be licking their chops to face him on Friday night. Tommy Hanson isn't all that impressive, and the Astros beat him up pretty good earlier this year. The Astros have been a good over team this year because their bullpen is so horrific. The over is 7-0 in Keuchel's last 7 road games. The over is 19-9 in the Angels last 28 home games. Take the over.
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05-29-13 | Houston Astros v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 | 6-3 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Houston Astros don't have a good offense, but they have a way of pushing games over the posted total. Houston's pitching staff is the worst in baseball, and their bullpen is atrocious. Erik Bedard has an ERA above 8 on the road this year, and it won't get any easier at Coors Field. Tyler Chatwood has a WHIP of 1.62 in his career at Coors Field, which tells me he allows far too many baserunners to be trusted. Marvin Hudson has a small strike zone and will help the over quite a bit. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings between these two in Colorado. Take the over.
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05-29-13 | Washington Nationals v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8 | 6-9 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Washington Nationals will start Jordan Zimmerman in this one, and Zimmerman is a pitcher I really like. He gives his team a quality start every time out, and he does it without a ton of flash. He just gets the job done by getting ahead in the count and using his great control. Chris Tillman has been great at home this year, and the Nationals lineup is really hurting without Harper or Espinosa right now. The under is 4-0 in Zimmerman's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Tillman's last 5 home starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Zimmerman's last 4 starts against the Orioles. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Baltimore. Take the under.
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05-28-13 | Los Angeles Angels v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Los Angeles Angels got off to a horrible start again this year, but their offense is heating up in a big way of late. When you have guys like Mike Trout, Josh Hamilton, and Albert Pujols your team is going to score a lot of runs. The Dodgers' offense isn't very good, but they'll have a favorable matchup in Angels' starter Joe Blanton. Blanton has a 6.19 ERA this year, and it would be a surprise if they Dodgers didn't put up several runs here. Ryu has been solid for the Dodgers, but I don't think he can completely shut down the Angels' lineup. The over is 37-16 in the Angels' last 53 games following a loss. Take the over.
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05-28-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Kansas City Royals OVER 9 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The St. Louis Cardinals have what I believe is the best offense in the National League. St. Louis has a ton of depth in their lineup, which makes them extremely tough to shut down for an entire game. Ervin Santana has pitched well so far this year, but his past tells us that he's a very inconsistent pitcher. Tyler Lyons will make his second Major League start for the Cardinals in this one. Lyons pitched well in his first start, but his 4.4 ERA in AAA tells me he's unlikely to continue to pitch well in the majors. The Royals hit lefties very well, and I expect them to get to Lyons. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals' last 4 interleague games. The over is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 interleague games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City. The over is 4-0 in the last 5 meetings overall. Take the over.
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05-24-13 | Colorado Rockies v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Colorado Rockies have gotten to Tim Lincecum twice this year. Lincecum has allowed 12 runs in just two starts against the Rockies in 2013. Colorado's lineup has been scoring runs wherever they go this year. Lincecum isn't the same pitcher he was a few years ago. Tyler Chatwood will pitch for the Rockies, and he isn't someone I like to back. Chatwood allows a ton of baserunners and is constantly trying to work out of a jam. The Giants offense is much better than it was a year ago, and they have been a solid over team of late. The over is 4-0 in Lincecum's last 4 starts against Colorado. The over is 6-0 in Colorado's last 6 as an underdog. The over is 4-0 in the Rockies last 4 road games. Take the over.
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05-24-13 | Los Angeles Angels v. Kansas City Royals OVER 9 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Value* The Los Angeles Angels offense appears to have woken up. It was a sleeping giant, and Mike Trout has once again been the main man behind waking this lineup up. He did it last year around this time, and he is doing it again this year. The Angels are very dangerous offensively, but they still have weaknesses in the pitching department. The Royals hit lefties very well and Jason Vargas is bad on the road. In his career he has a 5.22 road ERA. He has an ERA of 6.93 in KC in his career. Look for these offenses to duke it out in this one. Take the over.
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05-22-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. San Diego Padres OVER 7.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The St. Louis Cardinals have the best offense in the National League right now. Burch Smith has looked like he is over his head in his first two starts in the majors. It won't get any easier here. The Cardinals are giving the ball to Tyler Lyons. Lyons had an ERA over 4 in AAA and I can't imagine him coming to the majors and having much success at the beginning of his career. This number is set far too low given the pitchers who are starting this one. Take the over.
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05-21-13 | New York Yankees v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9 | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The New York Yankees offense has held it together pretty well this year while many of their key hitters are hurt. Granderson is now back and Gardner is looking better in his last few at bats. The Orioles bullpen has imploded of late, and Baltimore's pitching staff has been giving up some big numbers. Phil Hughes has been absolutely demolished in his last two starts. He was knocked out of the game after just 2/3 of an inning pitched in his last outing. Hughes has a career ERA of 6.58 at Baltimore. The weather should help as it will be hot with the wind blowing out. Take the over.
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05-20-13 | Washington Nationals v. San Francisco Giants OVER 8 | 0-8 | Push | 0 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Washington Nationals will start Zach Duke in this one. Duke hasn't started a game since 2011, and he has an 8.40 ERA out of the bullpen this year. San Francisco's lineup is much better this year than it was in 2012. Ryan Vogelsong was great in 2011 and 2012, but he has been awful of late. Vogelsong has given up at least 6 runs in each of his last 4 starts. Washington's lineup is much better than it has shown of late, and I think they could break out in this game. The over is 6-0 in Vogelsong's last 6 home games. The over is 5-0 in Vogelsong's last 6 Monday starts. The over is 10-1-1 in Vogelsong's last 12 as a home favorite. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 games between these two teams. Take the over.
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05-20-13 | Seattle Mariners v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8 | Top | 8-10 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB Early Bird TOP Play* The Seattle Mariners are once again a very poor offense last year. They struggled all year last year against lefties, and they have been bad against south paws again this year. Scott Kazmir is a remarkable comeback story this year. Kazmir has upped his velocity again, and his control seems to be improving. Hisashi Iwakuma has been one of baseball's best pitchers this year. Iwakuma is 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA so far this year. Iwakuma hasn't given up more than 3 runs in any of his last 13 starts. That's some amazing consistency. It's get away day for these teams, and that should mean some key guys are out of the lineup in this contest. The under is 7-0 in the Mariners last 7 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 against a lefty. The under is 4-0 in Iwakuma's last 4 against the AL Central. The under is 4-0 in the Indians last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0-1 in the Indians last 5 against a righty. Take the under big!
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05-19-13 | Milwaukee Brewers v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total Domination* The Milwaukee Brewers don't have a very good pitching staff, but with most of their guys healthy they definitely do have a good lineup now. Ryan Braun, Aramis Ramirez, Corey Hart, Carlos Gomez, etc make it difficult on the opposing pitcher. Milwaukee is better against lefties. John Gast will make his 2nd career major league start for the Cardinals here. Gast gave up 4 runs in 6 innings against the Mets in his first start, and this is a much better lineup than the Mets lineup.
Kyle Lohse is a pretty good pitcher, but he has been awful against the Cardinals in his career. Carlos Beltran is 23 for 45 against him. Yadier Molina is 6 for 10. Matt Holliday is 8 for 15. Clearly the Cardinals see the ball well against Lohse. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 Sunday games. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in the previous game. Take the over big! |
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05-18-13 | Washington Nationals v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Washington Nationals are a good team, but they can't hit left-handed pitching. Washington is hitting .192 as a team against lefties this year. They are averaging less than 3 runs per game against left-handed starters. Eric Stults certainly isn't a great pitcher, but he pitches pretty well in Petco Park. Jordan Zimmerman is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and people are finally starting to see that. Zimmerman gives the Nationals a very good start every single time out there. Expect a low scoring game here. Take the under.
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05-18-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers have two of the best offenses in all of baseball. Both of these teams are going to score a ton of runs this year. Detroit is averaging 5.30 runs per game and Texas is averaging 4.62 runs per game. This is the time of the year when the Rangers park starts playing like a hitter friendly park. The wind is blowing out here and it will be nice and warm. Expect the ball to be flying well. Sanchez is a good pitcher, but he has a 7.45 ERA against Texas in his career. Grimm is still a youngster with lots left to prove. Take the over.
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05-18-13 | New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 178.5 | 99-106 | Loss | -103 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star Knicks/Pacers Total Domination* I successfully played the 'under' in Game 6 of the Spurs/Warriors series on Thursday night. History tells us that this potential close out games are generally very low scoring. Why is this? The game is played at a slow pace because of how big the game is, and the defensive intensity is ratcheted up quite a bit as well. Since the 2004 season, the under is 32-12 in a Game 6 or Game 7 of the NBA's playoffs. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 games between these two teams. Expect a defensive battle. Take the under.
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05-16-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 196 | 94-82 | Win | 100 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star Spurs/Warriors Total Domination* History tells us that close out situations are a very good opportunity to bet on the under. Since 2004, potential close out games that are either Game 6 or Game 7 in the series have gone under 31 times versus just 12 overs. The pace of the game slows down and the defensive intensity picks up. The Spurs aren't pushing the tempo nearly as much in this series as they did during the regular season. Both of these teams rank in the top 8 in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. Mark Jackson is going to be preaching defense to his young team in this game. The under is 12-3-1 in the Spurs last 16 road games. Take the under.
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05-15-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 9 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Wade Davis and Barry Enright aren't guys that I would ever trust. Enright had an ERA over 7 in Arizona a couple years ago and he has been a disaster ever since a decent rookie season in 2010. Davis has a 5.86 ERA this year, and he gives up runs in bunches. The Angels offense is starting to look better of late, and they should feast on his mistakes. The Royals offense is very good as well, and Enright hasn't given me any reason to believe he'll slow them down. Take the over.
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05-15-13 | Atlanta Braves v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* It's get away day for these two teams and both of these managers often take starters out of the lineup in these situations. Ian Kennedy and Tim Hudson have proven over the years to be very high quality pitchers who give you a very good effort each time out to the hill. John Hirschbeck is one of the better under umpires in the game because of his large strike zone. The roof will be closed here which definitely helps the under. Take the under in this one.
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05-15-13 | Houston Astros v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Houston Astros have the worst team ERA in all of baseball. This entire pitching staff is a disaster. Dallas Keuchel gets the start in this one and to say he has been horrible in the road in his young career is a major understatement. Keuchel has given up more than 5 runs in almost every road start he has made in his career. Detroit averages 6 runs per game against lefties. The Houston bullpen is the worst in baseball, so if he gets chased early it won't help the Astros at all either. Detroit could put up a big number here. The over is 7-1 in Detroit's last 8 home games when Scherzer starts. The over is 6-0 in Keuchel's last 6 road starts. The over is 9-1-1 in the Astros last 11 games in game three of the series. Take the over.
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05-14-13 | Seattle Mariners v. New York Yankees UNDER 7 | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Seattle Mariners aren't a good offensive team. Seattle does have one of the best pitchers in baseball in King Felix though. Felix Hernandez will start in this one, and he has an ERA of less than 2 in his last 5 starts at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees lineup isn't nearly as strong as normal right now, and Hernandez is really on a roll of late. CC Sabathia has pitched very well this year and the Mariners struggle against lefties. The under is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 games. The under is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. The under is 6-1-1 in Hernandez's last 8 starts. Take the under.
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05-12-13 | Oakland A's v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 8 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Oakland Athletics offense looked amazing at the start of the year, but it was too good to be true. If you look at the A's lineup it doesn't take long to figure out that this team can't lead the majors in runs scored as they did for almost the entire first month. Oakland's offense has started coming back down to earth fast of late. The A's are now 21st in the majors in team batting average at just .243. Joe Saunders has a career 1.75 ERA in 12 starts at Safeco, so he's a tough matchup for the A's. Tom Milone has been very good against the Mariners in the past as well. Dan Bellino is one of baseball's best 'under' umpires. The under is 33-15-3 in Bellino's last 51 games behind the dish. The under is 22-4-1 in Seattle's last 27 Sunday games. Take the under.
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05-09-13 | Atlanta Braves v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 | 6-3 | Win | 106 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total Domination* The Atlanta Braves offense may have slumped for a brief time a couple weeks ago, but they are hitting it very well again right now. The Braves have one of the deepest lineups in baseball, and I expect their offense to be very good in 2013. The Giants offense is much improved from last year, and that has meant a lot of overs. Ryan Vogelsong and Julio Tehran have been struggling to find their best stuff this year, so it seems strange to see such a low number. The over is 8-0 in the Braves last 8 road games. The over is 5-0 in the Braves last 5 games overall. The over is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4 games. The over is 5-0 in Vogelsong's last 5 home starts. In all, a 21-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
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05-08-13 | Atlanta Braves v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 8 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Mike Leake isn't an overpowering pitcher, and I think he is the type of guy that this improved Atlanta Braves lineup can put up a bunch of runs against. Mike Minor is an inconsistent lefty who has struggled on the road in his young career. The Cincinnati Reds have been one of the best teams when it comes to hitting lefties in the past couple years. Cincinnati is plenty capable of putting up a big number themselves. The over is 7-0 in Leake's last 7 starts. The over is 7-0 in the Braves last 7 road games. The over is 8-0 in the Reds last 8 home games against a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in umpire Tim Timmons last 5 games behind home plate. Take the over.
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05-07-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Toronto Blue Jays are a very streaky offense and they've put up 18 runs in the past two days. I successfully played the 'over' in yesterday's game between these teams and the game went well over the posted total. Tampa Bay crushes left-handed pitching, and the Rays should hit well against JA Happ here. Both teams should put up several runs in this one. Take the over.
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05-06-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7.5 | 8-7 | Win | 105 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Toronto Blue Jays lineup should be far better than they have shown of late, but their 10 run output yesterday may be a springboard for better things. Many of the hitters on this team are very streaky, and I think they are very capable of getting on a roll. Tampa Bay isn't a great offense overall, but they have hit left-handers extremely well this year. The Rays are scoring 5.06 runs per game against lefties this season. Mark Buerhle hasn't been very good this year. He has a 6.43 ERA and has given up 44 hits in just 35 innings pitched. The over is 8-1-2 in the Rays last 11 games. This one is set too low. I like the value here. Take the over.
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05-05-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Total Domination* The St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers both have the ability to score runs in bunches. It was a 7-6 final even when the team's two Aces pitched on Saturday. On Sunday, both teams start pitchers who don't have a very good track record against their oppponent. Jaime Garcia often struggles on the road, and he has a 5.55 ERA at Miller Park. The Brewers average almost 6 runs per game so far this year against lefties. Miguel Estrada has an ERA of 4.58 and this Cardinals lineup is one of the best in the National League. With Jon Jay and Allen Craig coming on, the Cardinals can really put up the runs in bunches. The over is 4-0 in Garcia's last 4 starts in Milwaukee. The over is 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 home starts. The over is 17-5-1 in Garcia's last 23 starts as a road favorite. This total is set too low. Take the over.
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05-02-13 | Baltimore Orioles v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 9 | 5-1 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* Chris Tillman and Joe Blanton are both guys who are capable of giving up a lot of runs in a start. These guys put a lot of guys on base and they have both struggled this year. Blanton has an ERA above 7 and this Orioles offense is no longer a weakness. In fact, Baltimore is 5th in the majors in runs scored per game at more than 5 runs per contest. The Angels scored 19 runs in three games in Oakland, and their bats seem to be waking up. This lineup is too good to not hit at some point, and I like this matchup with Tillman. Two good offenses and two shaky starting pitchers here equals some nice value on the over.
The over is 5-0 in the Orioles last 5 games. The over is 6-0 in Baltimore's last 6 against a right-handed pitcher. The over is 4-0-1 in the Angels last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take the over. |
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05-01-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals have had two low scoring games already in this series (both 2-1 finals), and I think this will be a third straight. Homer Bailey has turned into the pitcher the Reds organization thought he would be years ago, and he is arguably the team's number two starter right now. Bailey has a 1.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. Lance Lynn has been great for the Cardinals, and he has been amazing at home. Lynn has a 1.38 ERA at home this year, and no one on the Reds roster has hit him very well. Doug Eddings is behind the plate here and you won't find a better 'under' umpire than him. The under is an amazing 25-4 in Eddings last 29 day games. The under is 5-1 in Bailey's last 6 road starts. Take the under.
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05-01-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Minnesota Twins have been much worse offensively than expected this year, but their starting pitching staff has been much better than expected. Scott Diamond is arguably the team's best young pitcher. Diamond has 3 starts at Comerica Park in Detroit and he has a 2.25 ERA in those games. Anibal Sanchez is pitching extremely well for the Tigers right now. He struck out 17 in his last appearance, and he has a brilliant 1.34 ERA this year. The under is 4-0-1 in the Twins last 5 road games. The under is 4-0-1 in Diamond's last 5 starts. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
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04-30-13 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 179.5 | 103-93 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star Clippers/Grizzlies Game 5 Total* The Grizzlies and Clippers have gone 'over' the posted total in 3 of the first 4 games in this series. The one game that stayed under saw both teams shoot just 38% from the floor. The Grizzlies have been dominating inside and getting a lot of easy buckets of late. Los Angeles has been getting a lot of open looks from deep, but they have been unable to hit those shots. Look for them to hit a few more of those open long range jumpers at home in Game 5. The Clippers will try to push the tempo to wear down the Grizzlies. The over is 7-1 in the Clippers last 8 home games. Take the over.
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04-29-13 | Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 180 | 91-110 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star Bulls/Nets Total Domination* It's Game 5 in Brooklyn and the Nets are facing elimination. You certainly wouldn't have seen this coming if you watched Game 1 when the Nets dominated the Bulls. Chicago's come from behind win in Game 4 really took the wind out of Brooklyn's sails. Still, the Nets are a very good team and they won't go down without a fight. As the games get more important in the NBA playoffs (elimination games are a perfect example) the game slows down. The defenses should take control in this one. Take the under.
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04-28-13 | Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Arizona Diamondbacks offense was one of the weaker offenses in the National League at the beginning of the year, and it is much weaker now that they are so short-handed. Arizona is without Kubel, Eaton, Hill, and Bloomquist. Jon Garland isn't a dominating pitcher for Colorado, but he should be able to hold this DBacks lineup down. Patrick Corbin is one of the most impressive young pitchers in the game. Corbin has a spectacular 1.71 ERA so far this year, and I expect big things from him moving forward. Chase Field isn't nearly as big of a hitters ballpark with the roof closed (and it will be closed on Sunday). The under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. The under is 3-0-1 in Arizona's last 4 games. The under is 3-0-1 in Colorado's last 4 games. Take the under here.
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04-27-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. Washington Nationals OVER 8 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds should finish the season with some of the best offensive numbers in the National League. Having said that, the Reds have totaled just one hit in each of their last two games in Washington. Dan Haren isn't the same pitcher he used to be, and I fully expect the Reds to be much better against him in this one. Mike Leake has a terrible history against Washington, and Leake lacks that dominating pitch to strike batters out. The over is 5-0-1 in Leake's last 6 starts against Washington. The over is 6-0 in the Reds last 6 against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
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04-26-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Yankees OVER 9 | 4-6 | Win | 102 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Ivan Nova and Josh Johnson have both been struggling in a big way this year. Both of them come into this one with an ERA above 6 and a WHIP higher than 1.8. That tells me that these guys are constantly working with runners on base. They are fighting hard to avoid the big inning. Both of these offenses are better than the average MLB offense and big innings in this one shouldn't be a surprise. The Blue Jays hitters have some great career numbers against Nova. Recent unders have given us line value on this play. Take the over.
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04-25-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Chicago Cubs and Miami Marlins may have the two worst offenses in the National League. Miami is averaging just 2.57 runs per game. The Cubs are averaging 3.25 runs per game. Kevin Slowey has been pitching well against quality competition of late, and Edwin Jackson has been good on the road in his career. The under is 4-1 in the Cubs last 5. The under is 12-4-1 in the Marlins last 17 home games. The under is 4-0 in Slowey's last 4 starts. Look for an ugly low scoring game. Take the under.
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04-24-13 | Milwaukee: M Estrada v. San Diego: E Volquez OVER 7 | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Total Domination* Edinson Volquez has been one of baseball's worst pitchers so far this year. Volquez has an ERA of 8.84 so far this year. The Brewers offense is really clicking right now and that is bad news for Volquez. Marco Estrada doesn't have overpowering stuff and he routinely gives up 3 or 4 runs in a game. Paul Emmel is the home plate umpire here, and the over was a stunning 27-6 in his 33 games behind home plate last season. It should be noted that PetCo Park has moved in the fences this year and Padres' home games will likely be quite a bit higher scoring this year than last. The over is already 5-2-1 their this season. The over is 9-0 in the Brewers last 9 road games against a team with a winning percentage less than 40%. The over is 4-0 in the Padres last 4 home games against a righty. The over is 6-0 in Estrada's last 6 starts on the road against a team with a losing record. Take the over here.
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04-24-13 | Houston Rockets v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 212 | 102-105 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star Rockets/Thunder Total Domination* The Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder got to 211 points in Game One despite awful shooting numbers from Houston. The Rockets made 8 out of 36 three's and just 36% of their shots overall in that game. You have to think they'll hit more shots than that here. The Thunder should keep scoring against Houston's very poor defense, and both of these teams love to run and gun. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Look for a score near 220 here. Take the over.
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04-24-13 | Seattle: J Saunders v. Houston: L Harrell UNDER 8 | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros have two of the worst offenses in baseball. These two teams have a really tough time stringing together many hits, so they are reliant on home runs to score. The problem for both of them is they really don't have many home run hitters. Joe Saunders pitched a shutout against the Astros earlier this year. Lucas Harrell has been great at home since the beginning of last year. The under is 8-3 in Harrell's last 11 home starts. The under is 5-2 in the Mariners last 7 road games. Take the under in this one.
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04-22-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 | 4-5 | Loss | -113 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Arizona Diamondbacks are one of the lightest hitting teams in baseball right now. The DBacks didn't have a good offense to start with, and now they are without three of their top hitters due to injuries. At the same time, Arizona's pitching staff is very good. Wade Miley has been great since he arrived in Arizona last year. Miley has been consistently very good. Ryan Vogelsong has been great at home over the past two years and I think he'll be good against this short-handed Arizona offense. The under is 7-0 in the DBacks last 7 games. The under is 8-0 in the DBacks last 8 games as an underdog. The under is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 road games. Take the under.
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04-22-13 | Cleveland Indians v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Justin Masterson has been great so far this year for the Cleveland Indians. Masterson has pitched two brilliant games in three outings this year. One of those was a complete game shutout against the White Sox. Masterson has a brilliant 2.60 ERA in 7 career starts at US Cellular Field in Chicago. The White Sox offense has been ice cold of late. Dylan Axelrod has been steadily improving as a starter, and he has the stuff to be a quality pitcher for the Sox. The wind will be blowing in for this one. The under is 6-0-1 in the White Sox last 7 games. Take the under here.
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04-21-13 | Los Angeles Lakers v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 189.5 | 79-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star Lakers/Spurs Total Domination* The Los Angeles Lakers are a totally different team without Kobe Bryant. They don't just lose his 27 points per game, but they also lose his leadership. If the last two regular season games are any example, the Lakers won't play nearly as fast without Bryant in the lineup. Dwight Howard and Pau Gasol will be a much bigger part of the offense which should mean the Lakers will play more in the half court. San Antonio will have all their main guys back, but they aren't all 100 percent healthy. These two teams have a solid history of picking up the defense when they match up against each other. The under is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
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04-20-13 | Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 181 | 89-106 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Bulls/Nets Total Domination* The Chicago Bulls and Brooklyn Nets play the same style of basketball. Both teams like to slow the game down and win with their defense. The tempo should be even slower than it was in the regular season, because the defenses pick up their intensity in the playoffs. Both of these teams rank in the bottom five in the NBA in terms of pace. Chicago can't win a game by outscoring the opponent, and Tom Thibodeau knows that. They'll be short-handed in this one, but they should still play good defense. I made this total 178 points. Take the under.
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04-20-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 9 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Los Angeles Angels offense has been slumping all year, and everyone has been waiting for them to break out of it. The Angels piled on the runs late in last night's game to win 8-1 over Detroit. By scoring 5 runs late in the game, you have to wonder if this team didn't just open up the flood gates. This Angels offense is too good to struggle for too terribly long. The Tigers offense has the highest batting average in baseball. Umpire Paul Emmel saw the over go 27-6 in his 33 games behind the dish last year. Rick Porcello and Garrett Richards are both capable of giving up the big inning and these are two strong offenses. The over is 7-0 in the Tigers last 7 following a loss. The over is 4-0-1 in Porcello's last 5 starts. The over is 6-0 in the Angels last 6 against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
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04-20-13 | Washington Nationals v. New York Mets OVER 7.5 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The New York Mets are playing like a team with a lot of confidence right now. On paper, Washington may have the best team in baseball. The Mets won last night's big pitching showdown as Matt Harvey pitched a gem. Several New York Mets players have a decent history against Gio Gonzalez who will start Saturday's game for the Nationals. Jeremy Hefner has an ERA of almost 6 against Washington in his young career. The wind is expected to be blowing out at nearly 20 miles per hour during this game, and we have a solid over umpire in Gerry Davis. Take the over.
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04-18-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. New York Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 6-2 | Win | 103 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* Patrick Corbin might not be a name that very many people know right now, but the young DBacks pitcher has a great future ahead of him. He was one of the top prospects for Arizona for several years, and he looks terrific early this season. The Yankees offense is obviously not the same without guys like ARod, Tex, Granderson, and Jeter. Arizona's lineup is one of the weakest in baseball, and I expect them to play a lot of low scoring games this year. Ron Kulpa is one of the better 'under' umpires in baseball. He has a wide strike zone and both Corbin and Phil Hughes should be able to take advantage of that. Both pitchers have pitched well with Kulpa behind the plate in the past. The under is 6-0 in the Yankees last 6 home games. The under is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in New York. Take the under.
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04-17-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. New York Yankees UNDER 8 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Arizona Diamondbacks have one of the weakest lineups in baseball right now. Jason Kubel, Adam Eaton, and Aaron Hill are all on the DL. The Yankees have tons of hitting stars on the DL. Wade Miley has continually defied the odds and pitched well in his first two years in the majors. He has an ERA of 1.60 in the month of April in his young career. C.C. Sabathia is in form early this year, and the DBacks have been struggling to score runs of late (3 or less in 3 of their last 4 games). It will be a cool night in the Bronx and the wind is expected to be blowing in. Phil Cuzzi is behind the dish and he has one of the biggest strike zones in the majors. The under is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 home games. The under is 4-0 in the DBacks last 4 Interleague road games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams in New York. Take the under.
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04-16-13 | LA Anaheim: J Vargas v. Minnesota: M Pelfrey OVER 8.5 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Jason Vargas and Mike Pelfrey are both pitchers who are extremely inconsistent. Both of them are capable of giving up a very big inning at any time. Pelfrey should struggle to get through the Angels very strong lineup. At the same time, Vargas has always struggled on the road and in three starts in Minnesota his ERA is above 8. The over is 7-0-1 in the Twins last 8 games after giving up 2 runs or less in the previous game. Basically, the Twins pitching staff is terrible and it is tough for them to string together too many strong outings. The over is 6-0-1 in the Angels last 7 as a road favorite. The over is 4-0-1 in the Angels last 5 Tuesday games. Take the over.
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04-15-13 | Houston Rockets v. Phoenix Suns OVER 209 | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 32 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Houston Rockets have been the fastest paced team in the NBA for the season, but the Phoenix Suns have actually been playing faster than them over the last couple weeks. Lindsay Hunter's team doesn't have anything to play, and they aren't playing any defense right now. The Suns have been giving up points in huge bunches, and Houston can pile up the points. This game definitely means something to the Rockets who are trying to improve their playoff seed in the Western Conference. I had this one pegged at 215 points. Take the over.
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04-13-13 | Phoenix Suns v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 198 | 93-105 | Push | 0 | 29 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Phoenix Suns have a new style of play under Coach Lindsay Hunter. Phoenix is pushing the tempo at every opportunity. The Suns are scoring a lot more points than they were, but they are also terrible on the defensive end. Phoenix has given up more than 110 points six times in the past month. Minnesota is getting some great play from guard Ricky Rubio. Under Rubio's leadership, Minnesota has been much more efficient on offense of late.This is a game between two teams that have nothing to play for at this point. Don't expect any defense. Take the over.
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04-13-13 | Detroit: Verlander v. Oakland: B Anderson UNDER 7 | 7-3 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* This is a matchup of two teams who are likely to be contenders all season long. They played twelve innings last night with Oakland winning 4-3. Both teams will be looking for a lot of innings from their starting pitcher, which shouldn't be a problem for Justin Verlander or Brett Anderson. Verlander has been baseball's most dominant pitcher over the last few years. Anderson has been injured a lot, but when he is healthy, he is an extremely good pitcher. Anderson has been especially dominant at home. Verlander has an ERA of right around 2 in his career against Oakland. The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Oakland. The under is 6-1 in Verlander's last 7 starts in Oakland. Take the under.
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04-12-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Los Angeles Dodgers offense is better this year, but without Hanley Ramirez healthy they aren't what they will be later in the year. The bottom of the order for the Dodgers is among the worst in baseball, and that is holding them back right now. The Dodgers pitching staff has been the best in the majors so far this year. Clayton Kershaw hasn't given up a run this year, and the Arizona offense isn't going to scare anyone. Patrick Corbin is a budding star for the DBacks, and I expect a quality start from him. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Take the under.
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04-12-13 | New York Knicks v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 200.5 | 101-91 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The New York Knicks offense is absolutely on fire right now. The Knicks are a jump shooting team that can score points as well as anyone in the NBA when they are on, and right now they are on in a big way. Cleveland has quit playing any kind of defense down the stretch, and the Cavs like to play the game fast. Look for lots of open looks for the Knicks here. Kyrie Irving and the Cavs should be able to put up enough for this one to go over. Take the over. *This line has moved up quickly since I picked it Thursday afternoon- I would play this game up to 206, but no higher*
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04-11-13 | Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8 | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total Domination* The Oakland A's offense was one of the worst in baseball last year and the team still managed to get into the playoffs by winning the extremely difficult AL West. The offense has been much much better so far this year. How good have they been? Oakland is first in the majors in runs scored per game at 6.44 runs per game. They obviously won't keep up that pace, but this offense is better than last year. Chris Young and Jed Lowrie were very good additions for the lineup. The Angels arguably have the best lineup in baseball with Trout, Pujols, Hamilton, and others. Jason Vargas dominated at home in Seattle, but he struggled on the road. Vargas won't have quite as friendly of a home field now, and he hasn't been good against Oakland in the past. A.J. Griffin dominated last year, but I think he comes back to earth a bit this season.
The over is 8-0 in Oakland's last 8 games overall. The over is 5-0-1 in Griffin's last 6 starts. The over is 9-0-2 in the Angels last 11 games as a favorite. The over is 4-0-1 in the Angels last 5 home games. The over is 5-0-2 in the Angels last 7 games after scoring at least 5 runs in the previous game. In all, a perfect 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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04-10-13 | Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 | 11-5 | Win | 103 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Total Domination* The Oakland Athletics and Los Angeles Angels put a lot of runners on the bases last night, and I think they will again in this one. Tom Milone has been lights out at home in his young career, but he hasn't been very good at all on the road. The Angels offense hasn't clicked perfectly just yet, but they are mighty dangerous. Joe Blanton is absolutely capable of getting lit up by anyone at this point in his career, and the A's bats are looking better this year than they did last season. The over is 7-0 in Oakland's last 7 games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 against the AL West. The over is 3-0-2 in the Angels last 5 home games. Take the over.
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04-10-13 | Phoenix Suns v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 202 | 102-91 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Phoenix Suns have been pushing the tempo more than any other team in the NBA over the past few weeks. Lindsay Hunter has gotten this team to run and gun, but he hasn't gotten them to play any defense just yet. Dallas' offense is great this year with Mayo, Nowitzki, Carter, etc. The Mavericks are absolutely capable of putting up 120 points on a team like the Suns. Phoenix has been absolutely horrendous on the road of late. The over is a perfect 5-0 in the Suns last 5 games playing on zero days of rest. They were beaten last night in Houston. The over is 5-1-1 in the Mavericks last 7 home games. Take the over.
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04-10-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Here we have a combination of two things working in our favor. The Twins and Royals both have a much better offense than pitching staff and both of these teams are starting guys near the bottom of their rotation in this one. Liam Hendriks was beat around all season last year, and the Royals have several guys who have had lots of success against him. Wade Davis has never been very successful in his attempts to be a starting pitcher in the majors. I think both offenses should be able to quite a bit of damage in this one. Take the over.
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04-09-13 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Texas Rangers OVER 10.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Tampa Bay Rays lost on a brutal call by home plate umpire Marty Foster in last night's game. I expect Joe Maddon's team to be ready to play in this one. Nick Tepesch will be making his major league debut for the Rangers. Tepesch only had a 4.28 ERA in Double A last year, so I'm not convinced he can consistently get out big league hitters right now. Roberto Hernandez will be pitching for Tampa Bay, and he has an ERA over 5 in his career against Texas. The wind tunnel effect in Texas (wind in from right) has caused a lot of high scoring games in the past and the ball should be flying well in this one. The over is 6-0-1 in the Rangers last 7 home games against a righty. The over is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take the over.
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04-09-13 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 186.5 | 75-94 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Memphis Grizzlies have been getting back to the basics over the past week. Memphis struggled for a couple weeks and it was their defense that let them down. Now, they are back to playing the kind of defense that has them leading the league in points per game allowed. Charlotte has given up on this season, and the Bobcats are short-handed right now. I don't expect Charlotte to get above 85 points here. Memphis should be content to just win and move on to their next game with fresh legs rather than running this one up. The under is 5-0 in the Grizzlies last 5. The under is 19-9 in the Bobcats last 28 road games. Take the under.
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04-08-13 | Michigan v. Louisville UNDER 139 | 76-82 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star Michigan/Louisville Total Domination* The Michigan Wolverines and Louisville Cardinals will play for the NCAA Basketball Championship on Monday night. It's no surprise that Louisville is here as they were the top seed overall, but Michigan is a small surprise here as a number four seed. The young Wolverines have really hit their stride in the NCAA Tournament.
Louisville likes to push the tempo, but the Cardinals also have what is arguably the best defense in college basketball. Russ Smith and Peyton Siva are defensive pests on the perimeter, and there isn't a better defensive center in the nation than Gorgui Dieng. Dieng should make it tough for Mitch McGary to score down low in this one, and he'll cut down on Trey Burke's ability to penetrate. Louisville generally scores a lot of points off of opponents turnovers, but Michigan turns the ball over less than any team in the country. Michigan has plenty of ball handlers, and I expect them to handle the Louisville pressure relatively well. On a neutral floor like this one and in a game of this magnitude, we often see the game slow down. Louisville likes to push the tempo, but the Cardinals offense isn't all that great in the halfcourt. If Michigan takes care of the ball, Louisville isn't likely to get nearly as many easy looks as they are accustomed to getting. I had this one projected at 135 points. Take the under here. |
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04-08-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Minnesota Twins have the worst pitching staff in the American League (and probably the majors overall as well). Kansas City has been expected to rise in the AL Central over the past couple years, but it has been their pitching that has held them back each season. Kansas City's offense exploded for 25 runs in their three-game series in Philadelphia, and I do expect the Royals to score a lot of runs this year.
Minnesota's offense isn't great, but when you have Mauer, Willingham, and Morneau in the middle of the order, you are going to put together some good innings. Ervin Santana hasn't been trustworthy over the last couple years, and he was very shaky in his debut for the Royals. Kevin Correia doesn't have dominating stuff, and I expect the Royals to be able to get to him in this one. It doesn't hurt that the wind is expected to be blowing out on a Spring afternoon in Kansas City. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the over. |
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04-07-13 | Oakland A's v. Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Brett Anderson has the stuff to be one of the best pitcher in the American League. When Anderson is healthy he can dominate almost any lineup. He only gave up two runs in this first start of the season and he looked completely healthy. Houston has arguably the worst offense in all of baseball, and it won't surprise me a bit if Anderson complete shuts down the Astros. Lucas Harrell has quietly put together a nice stretch against Houston over the past year. Harrell had a lot of success last year despite pitching on a terrible team. He had an ERA below 2.5 at home last year. Neither offense is strong and both pitchers are consistently good. Take the under.
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04-07-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Total Domination* The Arizona Diamondbacks got rid of a lot of offense in the offseason. The Diamondbacks are going to win quite a few games this year because of their pitching staff, but I suspect a lot of those games are going to stay under the total. Ian Kennedy has turned into one of the better pitchers in the National League the past couple years. He has consistently put up nice numbers against everyone. Yovani Gallardo is a solid pitcher, and his numbers against Arizona are nothing short of stellar. Gallardo owns a 1.02 ERA against the Diamondbacks in 6 career starts. Ryan Braun may miss this game again and Aramis Ramirez is definitely out, so the Brewers offense is short-handed. The under is 5-0 in Arizona's last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in Gallardo's last 4 starts against the DBacks. The under is 4-1 in Kennedy's last 5 starts against Milwaukee. The under is 7-1-1 in Paul Nauert's (a solid under umpire with a relatively large strike zone) last 9 games behind home plate.
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04-06-13 | Michigan v. Syracuse UNDER 131 | 61-56 | Win | 100 | 73 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star Michigan/Syracuse Final 4 Total Domination* The Michigan Wolverines and Syracuse Orange will meet in the late game Saturday night in Atlanta. Michigan pulled off the best comeback of the NCAA Tournament against Kansas, and then dominated Florida. Syracuse took down the number one seeded Indiana Hoosiers and then dismantled Marquette in a really ugly game in the Elite 8 last Saturday.
While it is conventional wisdom to say that Michigan matches up well against Syracuse because the Wolverines have so many three-point shooters, that might not actually be the case. Syracuse has so much length that opposing offenses don't get good three-point opportunities. What they get is contested low percentage three-point shots. In fact, Syracuse allowed opponents to shoot only 28% from beyond the arc this year, which is third best in the nation. Syracuse and Michigan are both comfortable playing at a slow tempo, and things normally slow down even more for games of this kind of importance. Syracuse is excellent defensively, but their offense isn't all that impressive. The Orange have perfected the matchup zone, which makes transition chances few and far between for their opponents. None of Syracuse's postseason games have even gotten close to this posted total. I had this one projected at 127. Take the under here. |
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04-05-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7 | 0-3 | Loss | -104 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF MLB Play of Day* The Pittsburgh Pirates have decided to take a chance on Jonathan Sanchez this year. Sanchez was awful last year for both Kansas City and Colorado. Sanchez had a 9.53 ERA in Colorado and a 7.56 ERA in Kansas City. The problem with Sanchez is his control is horrible. He can't locate the zone in crucial parts of the game, and he misses his location inside the zone a lot as well. Zack Greinke had an ERA above 5.5 this Spring. Greinke was beat up pretty good by the Pirates in his only start against them last year. A total of 7 is usually indicative of a couple Aces against light hitting teams. In this one, we get a total of 7 with two pitchers with big question marks. I like the value here on the over. Take the over.
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04-05-13 | Golden State Warriors v. Phoenix Suns OVER 198 | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show |
*5 Star NBA TOP Play Total Domination* The Phoenix Suns have really started to push the tempo of late, and the oddsmakers haven't been able to catch up to them. Lindsay Hunter's team is putting up shots quickly, and they aren't playing much defense at all. How bad has the Suns defense been? Phoenix has given up at least 112 points in 5 of their last 9 games. That's a ridiculously high number, and a team like Golden State is capable of scoring 115 or 120 on Phoenix. Golden State shoots the three ball as well as anyone in the league, and Phoenix gives up lots of open looks. The over is 9-2 in Golden State's last 11 against the Western Conference. The over is 5-1 in the Suns last 6 games. I made this one 207 points. Take the over big! *Note- This total has moved up steadily since I grabbed it on the open Thursday. I would play this one all the way up to 205 points*
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04-04-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates both have weak lineups. Pittsburgh's PNC Park is a pitcher-friendly ballpark, especially at this time of the season. It should be in the upper 40's with the wind blowing in during this one according to current weather reports. James McDonald has been an underrated starter for Pittsburgh over the last few years. McDonald struggled down the stretch last year, but his history is that he pitches his best in April. Travis Wood is a decent lefty, and the Pirates have struggled against lefties the past few seasons. The under is 7-0 in Pittsburgh's last 7 games. The under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams in Pittsburgh. The under is 4-0 in the Pirates lats 4 against the NL Central. Take the under.
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04-03-13 | Seattle Mariners v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Seattle Mariners and Oakland Athletics are two of the lightest hitting teams in the majors. Doug Eddings has the single biggest strike zone of any umpire in the Majors, and he has been an 'under' bettors best friend for many years. Joe Saunders and Tommy Milone are two lefties who try to paint on the corners a lot. That should serve them well in this one with Eddings behind the dish. Milone was dominating at home last year, and the Mariners haven't hit him well at all in the past. Saunders is a fly ball pitcher, and it's very tough to hit it out in this ballpark (especially early in the season). The under is 5-0 in Milone's last 5 starts as a favorite. The under is 5-0 in Milone's last 5 starts against Seattle. Take the under.
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04-03-13 | Colorado Rockies v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Colorado Rockies are a team that I expect to be playing a lot of overs with this year. A combination of an impressive offense and a horrendous pitching staff should lead to a lot of high scoring games for Colorado. The Rockies have Juan Nicasio on the hill tonight, and he has yet to prove anything in his short MLB career. Nicasio faces a talented Brewers lineup tonight. Peralta starts for Milwaukee and he is a talented young prospect, but I don't think he is polished just yet. The Rockies aren't an easy lineup to ease into the Majors against. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The over is 5-0 in home plate umpire Tony Randazzo's last 5 games behind home plate. Take the over.
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04-03-13 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 204 | 107-98 | Win | 100 | 30 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Milwaukee Bucks have been a very good running team all year, and they have been even faster paced since Jim Boylan took over the team. Boylan is using Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis to really speed up the game for his team. Minnesota has been playing faster of late as well with Ricky Rubio really coming into his own as a point guard. The Timberwolves play virtually no defense, which should mean a big number here for the Bucks. The over is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 against a team with a winning percentage under 40%. The over is 13-3 in the Bucks last 16 games following a win. Take the over.
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04-02-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Jaime Garcia has been a very good pitcher at home, but his road numbers in his career aren't very good at all. In fact, he has a 4.47 ERA in his career on the road. Arizona's lineup isn't all that good this year, but Chase Field is a hitters paradise with the roof open and low humidity early in the year. The ball flies very well in this park with the roof open. Trevor Cahill struggled with the roof open last year, and the Cardinals have one of the best lineups in the National League. The over is 9-2 in Garcia's last 11 road starts against a team with a winning record. The over is 7-1 in the Cardinals last 8 as a road underdog. Take the over.
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