Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-11-21 | Nationals v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Max Scherzer (RHP)0-0, 6.00 ERA, 9 SO will make his second start of the season after pitching on Opening Day, when he allowed four home runs and struck out nine against the Braves. Meanwhile, Clayton Kershaw despite of a strong effort last time out has been very inconsistent since spring training and could easily get lit up here a Nationals side that my projections estimate matches up well against him. Over is 10-0-1 in Nationals last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog. WASHINGTON is 16-3 OVER against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 12-1 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 20-7 OVER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. Play OVER |
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04-11-21 | Rockies +116 v. Giants | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
German Marquez (RHP0-0, 3.60 ERA, 7 SO)After struggling with command on Opening Day, Márquez was better in his second start, at home Tuesday against the D-backs asnd now with momentum looks like a viable selection in an underdog role.
MARQUEZ is 11-3 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MARQUEZ is 23-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 23-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) Play on Colorado to win |
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04-11-21 | Padres -161 v. Rangers | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Adrian Morejon(LHP)0-0, 4.50 ERA, 2 SOThus far, the Padres' decision to convert Morejon into a full-time starter has been a smooth one. He was excellent all spring and was sharp in his start against the Giants. Morejon allowed two runs before he was pinch-hit for in the fourth inning. In his current form he gives the Padres the needed edge to get us a win here. TEXAS is 9-26 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons.'SAN DIEGO is 23-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (TEXAS) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 31-105 L/24 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego to win |
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04-11-21 | Royals v. White Sox -125 | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Royals lefty Mike Minor(1-0, 6.00 ERA, 6 SO)made it through six innings on April 3 against the Rangers, but he allowed four runs on four hits in his season debut and Im betting the White Sox strong left handed batting order adjusts and even does more damage in the rematch.
CHI WHITE SOX are 18-0 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to win |
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04-10-21 | Phillies v. Braves -128 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Atlanta has won 3 straight and beginning to heat up putting 8 runs on the board in a 8-1 win yesterday vs these same Phillies. More of the same action coming today. ATLANTA is 11-0 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 10-0 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - struggling offensive team - scoring 4.0 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 29-9 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Braves to win |
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04-10-21 | Padres -166 v. Rangers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Padres have faired well vs Interlegue righties of late and Jordan Lyles Im betting will be another one of a long line of starters that feels the heat of the Padres consistent offence this Saturday. Padres are 9-0 in their last 9 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. SAN DIEGO is 22-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. Padres are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Play on San Diego to win |
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04-10-21 | Brewers +102 v. Cardinals | 9-5 | Win | 102 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Adrian Houser (0-1, 3.60 ERA, 4 SO) when he is on, he's a ground-ball machine. He did a good job of that in his season debut against the Twins following a shaky first inning. He'll be seeing the Cardinals with fresh eyes; Houser didn't start against them last year. Im betting his style matches up well vs the Cards. COUNSELL is 24-12 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span as the manager of MILWAUKEE. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 23-53 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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04-10-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 9-5 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
ADRIAN HOUSER (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) Both these teams have gone under the total in their L/4 games, and after comparing the starting pitchers and bullpen my projections give us value on a under wager. MILWAUKEE is 18-4 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 18-6 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) over the last 3 seasons. Under is 8-0 in Brewers last 8 during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 home games. Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis. Play on the UNDER |
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04-09-21 | Reds v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -121 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
Reds right hander Tyler Mahle (1-0, 3.60 ERA), 9 SOIn a 9-6 win over the Cardinals on Saturday, Mahle touched 98 mph with his four-seam fastball, and he was getting strikes, as he fanned nine batters over five-plus innings. In his current form he wont be easily hit. Meanwhile, righty Taylor Widener (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 5 SO was originally scheduled to pitch Saturday but was moved up a day when Caleb Smith was removed from the rotation. He is still pitching on regular rest because of last Monday's off-day. He provides a good arm here, and with the backup of a vialbe bullpene should limit the Reds flaming hot bats. Under is 10-1 in Reds last 11 vs. National League West. Under is 35-15-1 in Reds last 51 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. MAHLE is 16-6 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CINCINNATI is 22-8 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.BELL is 25-12 UNDER in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse as the manager of CINCINNATI.Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall. Play UNDER |
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04-08-21 | Mariners v. Twins UNDER 8 | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Berríos didn't get a third consecutive Opening Day nod, but he'll start Minnesota's home opener after he held the Brewers hitless over six innings and matched a career-high with 12 strikeouts on April 3 Im betting he shuts down the Mariners while Marco Gonzalez and company do just enough to limit the Mariners in a game I have pegged to go under the total. MINNESOTA is 25-7 UNDER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-1 UNDER in home games after allowing 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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04-08-21 | Cubs v. Pirates +1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL), after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 32-4 L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. |
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04-07-21 | Orioles v. Yankees -182 | 4-3 | Loss | -182 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
New York enters Taillon's debut with a major-league leading 1.76 ERA. The Yankees have allowed three runs or less in the first five games of the season for the first time since 1992 and I will recommend we ride the rightys momentum into this tilt vs the Orioles. He was off last season, after Tommy John surgery but looked brilliant in spring training recording a 1-1 record and a 1.08 ERA in four spring games (three starts), striking out 14 against four walks in 8 1/3 innings. NY YANKEES are 15-0 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play on NY Yankees to win |
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04-07-21 | Pirates v. Reds -206 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Castillos last start vs. the Pirates was a seven-inning, three-hit, 10-strikeout performance during a 1-0 win on Sept. 16, 2020. Im betting on a strong effort here today and for the Reds explosive offense to buoy him. PITTSBURGH is 2-20 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 34-74 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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04-06-21 | White Sox -136 v. Mariners | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Lucas Giolito The White Sox ace was solid in his second straight Opening Day start, striking out eight and walking two over 5 1/3 innings. The right-hander’s changeup was especially effective, as he allowed just two runs before leaving and get my support here. GIOLITO is 11-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)Meanwhile, lefty James Paxton who was initially slated to start Game 2 on Friday, but he was pushed back due to what manager Scott Servais summed up to extra rest could easily find the going tough here as his conditioned is in question. Note: CHI WHITE SOX are 17-0 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on Chicago White Sox to win |
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04-06-21 | Dodgers v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Kershaw has made four previous starts against the A's, going 0-0 despite a 1.35 ERA. Kershaw is 21-5 in interleague play, with a 1.71 ERA in three starts in Oakland and today Im betting he holds down the struggling bats of the As after struggling on opening day. Meanwhile, right hander Chris Bassitt drew the first Opening Day assignment of his career last week against Houston. Though he took the loss, the righty kept the A's in the ballgame, allowing three runs on four hits in 5 1/3 innings and will be primed to help his team get its first win of the season.
Play UNDER |
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04-06-21 | Pirates v. Reds -148 | 1-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
The Reds can record a fourth straight victory by handing the visiting Pirates their fourth consecutive defeat when the NL Central foes continue their series on Tuesday night and thats what Im betting happens. Pirates Wade Miley Miley dealt with a hamstring issue that briefly halted his spring. The club moved him back to the fifth spot so he could get extra reps on the side, including an intrasquad scrimmage on Wednesday. In 10 career starts vs. Pittsburgh, he owns a viable 3.98 ERA. He and his bullpen get the nod today vs journeyman Cahil who worked just 3 2/3 innings in spring training.PITTSBURGH is 2-20 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.PITTSBURGH is 2-19 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cincinnati to win |
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04-06-21 | Twins -131 v. Tigers | 3-4 | Loss | -131 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
Twins starter J.A. Happ saw some questioning from the media talking heads as to whether he would be fully prepared for the start of the season, due to a positive COVID-19 test at the start of camp, but he appears to be stretched out and ready to pitch and as far as the covid 19 went showed no real symptoms. Happ had a 3.47 ERA for the Yankees last year. HAPP is 33-15 (+14.2 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Tigers starter Casey Mize their top pitching prospect had to fight for a spot while battling command issues in Spring Training, but he still struck out 21 batters over 14 innings. Mize faced the Twins three times last year, posting an 8.49 ERA with 11 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings and is fade material here. DETROIT is 1-16 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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04-05-21 | White Sox -116 v. Mariners | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
White Sox Carlos Rodon was non-tendered by the White Sox this past offseason but brought back two months later via free agency and had a tremendous Spring Training. He is fully healthy after throwing 42 1/3 innings over the last two seasons and Im recommending we ride his momentum today vs another LHP Sheffield. us Spring Training. He is fully healthy after throwing 42 1/3 innings over the last two seasons. Rodon, who is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA in three career starts against Seattle
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-0 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on Chicago White Sox to win |
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04-05-21 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Astros starter Luis Garcia hadn’t pitched above Class A ball before appearing in five games for the Astros in 2020, posting a 2.92 ERA. That included five scoreless innings in his only big league regular-season start Sept. 9. Meanwhile, Halos starter Jose Quintana is set to make his Angels debut after a strong Spring Training that saw him post a 3.32 ERA in six starts. He was limited to just 10 innings due to injury in 2020 but is fully healthy now. Both hurlers and bullpends according to my projections give us an edge on the under.QUINTANA is 71-44 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)BAKER is 141-100 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) in all games he has managed since 1997.Under is 6-1 in Astros last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3-2 in Angels last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play UNDER |
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04-05-21 | Cardinals v. Marlins -115 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
St.Louis Cards are set to visit the Miami Marlins on Monday night for the start of a three-game series. The Marlins starter Rogers ranked second in the majors with 29 strikeouts, earning praise from Marlins manager Don Mattingly. Tonight we will ride what could easily be a surprise standout in the Miami rotation this season. Meanwhile, Cards starter Ponce de Leon, 29, has made 33 major league appearances, including 20 starts, and his ERA has risen in each of his three seasons (2.73, 3.70 and 4.96). His walk rate per nine innings has also gone up each year (3.5, 4.8 and 5.5) and is fade material according to my projections. MIAMI is 8-0 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. ( Marlins bats exploded yesterday winning by 12-7 count, and that offenive momentum Im betting will buoy them to a win today) Play on Miami to win |
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04-05-21 | Twins v. Tigers UNDER 9 | 15-6 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Jose Urena -The Tigers starter today signed Ureña to provide veteran stability to the rotation, but also because they saw upside in his game. He had an up-and-down Spring Training, including more walks (nine) than hits (seven) over 14 innings, but he showed an electric arsenal. Meanwhile, Matt Shoemaker the Twins starter has only made 18 starts in the last three seasons due to a series of setbacks, but he’s hopeful that his “freak injuries” are behind him, as the 2014 AL Rookie of the Year Award runner-up aims to rebuild his stock with the Twin. He is a quality stable hurler when healthy. Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 14-6-1 in Twins last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 14-6-2 in Twins last 22 road games. MINNESOTA is 27-11 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons.MINNESOTA is 27-10 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.MINNESOTA is 30-16 UNDER against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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04-04-21 | White Sox +1.5 v. Angels | 4-7 | Loss | -168 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
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04-04-21 | Diamondbacks +192 v. Padres | 3-1 | Win | 192 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Widener pitched well for the D-backs out of the bullpen last year, and he will take the spot of the injured Zac Gallen in the rotation to start the year. Widener improved his slider this spring, which should help him be even better in 2021. ARIZONA is 20-8 against the money line in road games with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings since 1997. SAN DIEGO is 9-17 ( against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% or less) over the last 3 seasons. Play on the DBacks to win |
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04-04-21 | Pirates v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh's Mitch Keller (1-1, 2.91 ERA in 2020) is scheduled to oppose Zach Davies (7-4, 2.73 ERA in 2020) in a battle of right-handers. Its another windy April day in Chicago and these two pitchers and their bullpens should provide us with a lower scoring affair in difficult conditions. Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 vs. National League Central. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. UNDER |
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04-04-21 | Twins v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 8-2 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Minnesota will send right-hander Michael Pineda to the mound against Milwaukee right-hander Adrian Houser on Sunday afternoon in the rubber game of their season-opening three-game series in Milwaukee. My projections estimate both hurlers matchup well against the others batting order and should go fairly deep. .Under is 7-2 in Twins last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-2 in Twins last 9 road games.Under is 16-5-3 in Twins last 24 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 39-18-4 in Twins last 61 overall.Under is 39-18-4 in Twins last 61 on grass.Under is 45-22-2 in Twins last 69 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 games following a loss.Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 15-6 in Brewers last 21 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 36-15-3 in Brewers last 54 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 overall. Play UNDER |
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04-04-21 | Indians v. Tigers +1.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Tigers starter Skubal, one of baseball’s top pitching prospects, won a rotation spot in Detroit based on his impressive Spring Training performance and a focus that impressed manager A.J. Hinch. He faced Cleveland once last year, striking out five over 2 1/3 innings of one-run ball and gets my support here today vs the Indians on the RL/ MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - off 2 straight upset losses to division rivals as a road favorite, vs. division opponents are 11-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CLEVELAND) - off 2 straight upset losses to division rivals as a road favorite, vs. division opponents are L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Tigers to cover +1.5 |
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04-03-21 | Giants -114 v. Mariners | 0-4 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Webb dazzled this spring, allowing only one run over 17 innings (0.53 ERA) in five starts during exhibition play and I recommend we ride his momentum into this tilt on a short line .Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games as a favorite.Mariners are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague home games. Play on the Giants to win |
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04-02-21 | White Sox +106 v. Angels | 12-8 | Win | 106 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
The left-hander Keuchel begins his second season with the White Sox, and looks prepared to build off a tremendous debut in which he produced a 1.99 ERA in 11 starts. The veteran feels ready to go after throwing 11 1/3 Cactus League innings. KEUCHEL is 12-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.185. Meanwhile, Angels , southpaw, Andrew Heaney was the club's Opening Day starter in 2020 and had a 4.46 ERA in 12 starts with 70 strikeouts in 66 2/3 innings. He has allowed way to may homers , and is always susceptible to allowing big innings bv opposition offences. CHI WHITE SOX are 15-0 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Play on White Sox to win |
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04-01-21 | Astros v. A's -105 | 8-1 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
Chris Bassitt draws the first Opening Day assignment of his career. The 32-year-old emerged as Oakland’s unlikely ace in 2020, going 5-2 with a 2.29 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 63 innings. The right-hander looked sharp this spring, posting a 1.74 ERA in three starts. Meanwhile, Astros -Zack Greinke will be the fifth Opening Day assignment for Greinke, who started for the Royals in 2010 and the D-backs in ’16-17 and ’19. He’s never won on Opening Day, though, going 0-1 with an 8.20 ERA. That includes two starts with the D-backs in which he gave up seven earned runs. Advantage with As at home behind Bassit as the starter. HOUSTON is 3-12 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 6-20 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Astros are 10-21 in their last 31 games as a road underdog.Astros are 5-12 in their last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter. OAKLAND is 29-13 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. Athletics are 90-37 in their last 127 games as a home favorite.Athletics are 50-22 in their last 72 home games.Athletics are 67-32 in their last 99 games as a favorite. Play on Oakland to win |
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04-01-21 | Braves +105 v. Phillies | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Braves starting hurler here today Max Fried loved facing the Phillies last season. In two starts, the southpaw only allowed one run and struck out 11 on nine hits over 10 total innings of top tier baseball with both tilts ending in a W. FRIED is 16-4 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) . ATLANTA is 13-2 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 3 seasonsBraves are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 17-36 in their last 53 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Nola has not enjoyed his time against the potent Braves batting order over in the recent past as is evident in his 46 2/3 innings of sub par work against the Braves since the 2019 campaign, allowing 23 runs on 42 hits including 23 walks for an ERA 4.00 plus . Advantage Braves. NOLA is 4-10 ( against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on Atlanta to win . |
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10-27-20 | Rays +129 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Rays Im betting will extend their season one more game in Game 6 with left-hander Blake Snell on the mound. Snell had a top tier effort in the Rays' 6-4 victory in Game 2 and gets my support again vs Dodgers starter rookie rookie right-hander Gonsilin who has made three appearances so far this postseason (two starts), giving up eight runs in 7 2/3 innings. Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLWLW irrespective of site order (Dodgers) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2020 MLB Semifinals: Teams like the Dodgers are 1-7 in Game 6s. Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Rays are 18-4 in their last 22 games following a loss. Dodgers are 3-7 in their last 10 World Series games. Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the Rays to win Game 6 |
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10-25-20 | Dodgers v. Rays OVER 8 | 4-2 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Glasnow was smacked around for six runs on three hits over 4 1/3 innings, walking six and striking out eight in game 1 of this series, and Im betting the Dodgers tee off on him again today. Meanwhile, Kershaw will go to the hill again . He looked strong for a win in game 1 but when he came out of the Rays bats started to get fluid . The final score of that tilt was 8-3 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat higher scoring game than the consistent totals outputs from the lines-makers suggest. There has been no adjustment in this series and as a result we get another edge for a over wager cashing. Over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings. Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play OVER |
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10-21-20 | Rays v. Dodgers -147 | 6-4 | Loss | -147 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Ok the Rays have had a nice run, but now against a superior Dodgers side, that can hit their top tier hurlers they are in trouble. Snell according to my projections does not matchup well vs the this Dodgers lineup. Dodgers are 45-17 in their last 62 games following a win.Dodgers are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. American League East. Dodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 interleague games. Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 World Series games. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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10-21-20 | Rays v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
According to my projections this total should be closer to 9. Thus giving us value on an over wager. Dodgers starter Gonsolin has made two shaky outings in the postseason so far, giving up seven runs in 6 1/3 innings for a 9.95 playoff ERA and Im betting the Rays tee off on his here. Meanwhile, the Dodgers explosive bats Im betting will also tee off on Snell, Over is 6-2-3 in Dodgers last 11 interleague games as a favorite. Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. American League East. Over is 10-1 in Rays last 11 vs. National League West. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |
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10-20-20 | Rays +152 v. Dodgers | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 21 m | Show | |
The value here on the Rays in my opinion is tremendous, as they may not be the superior overall side in this matchup, but do have the better bullpen and defense which in a play off series is of ultimate importance. Also today against southpaw Kershaw the Rays have an edge as they have smashed left-handed pitching (.343 wOBA). With that said, the value resides with the Rays here in game 1. Play on TB Rays to win |
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10-17-20 | Braves +145 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
I know how badly the Dodgers want and need this game, to keep their championship hopes alive, but it must be noted that the Braves won this starting pitching matchup in Game 1 by a score of 5-1 and must be respected to close this series out on a value line here and bounce back from their game 5 loss .Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 games following a loss. Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on Atlanta to win |
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10-16-20 | Astros +124 v. Rays | 7-4 | Win | 124 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The Astros’ some times potent bats erupted during the ALDS against the A’s, scoring 33 runs and hitting for a .345 average. Now in this series, the Astros have outhit the Rays, by a 34-24 margin, but have not been fluid , as they have left 55 men stranded in this series. Considering TB is a team that can go into long battling slumps, their is an ominous trend taking place, as the Rays offense has gone into refrigeration mode over the last two games of this series, as is evident by a .212 BA with just five extra base hits. With that said, look for the Astros hot bats to keep up with blake Snell while Houstons pitchers control the frozen bats of the Rays and force a game 7. Play on the Astros to win |
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10-14-20 | Rays v. Astros +132 | 3-4 | Win | 132 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Astros’ offense went in to hyoer drive during the series against the A’s, scoring 33 runs and hitting for a .345 . However, that was then and this is now as the Rays’ pitching staff have held Houston in check. Now with their best pitcher on the hill, Zack Greinke Im betting on the Astros to extend this series for at least one more game. Greinke is high velocity fastball pitcher, thats lost some of his juice but his accuracy is still top notch and and where TB has had problems this season, has been vs these kinds of hurlers ranking 24th against fastballs. On the flipside, Glasnow the Rays starter is also a fast ball pitcher, but as was evident earlier in the post season the Astros were lighting these kinds of pitchers up. The combination of value and desperation has me on the /Astros tonight. Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog. Astros are 11-5 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play on Houston to win |
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10-13-20 | Braves v. Dodgers -155 | 8-7 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Clayton Kershaw will make his fourth career start in the postseason against the Braves. In 14 innings this postseason, he’s allowed three runs and struck out 19. He has a 0.43 career ERA against the Braves in the playoffs and 7-0 in his career overall vs the Braves. With that said, Im betting on him going long and strong and getting us the win in game 2 of this series. Braves are 6-13 in their last 19 playoff games as an underdog.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 League Championship games.Braves are 7-21 in the last 28 meetings in Los Angeles.Dodgers are 47-18 in their last 65 games following a loss. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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10-12-20 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Buehler will start his third Game 1 of the 2020 postseason. He’s allowed three runs across eight innings (four IP in each). He has not thrown more than 95 pitches at any point in 2020 and is extremely fresh and ready to long and strong. Note: The Dodgers have gone UNDER 8 times in franchise history with Walker Buehler at home when they won his last three starts, with the average final score clicking in at 5.25 rpg. Meanwhile, the Braves LH starter Max Friedhas seen the Braves go 12-1 in 13 starts in 2020, including 2-0 in the postseason. After tossing seven scoreless innings in Game 1 of the Wild Card Series hes ready to bring the heat again today in this key game 1 event. The Braves gone under in 8 straight tilt as a underdog in the first game of a series with rest after a game in where they scored 6+ runs and had 8+ hits.ATLANTA is 25-10 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-09-20 | Yankees -149 v. Rays | 1-2 | Loss | -149 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
NYY star starter Gerrit Cole will pitch on short rest for the first time in his big league career, telling manager Aaron Boone, "Give me the ball." The ace fired 97 pitches in his Game 1 victory, permitting three runs on six hits over six innings. He walked two and struck out eight. Im betting he goes long and strong and for the Yankees to get the win here. Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.Yankees are 11-4 in their last 15 games following a win.Yankees are 46-18 in their last 64 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff games.Yankees are 36-16 in their last 52 playoff games as a favorite. Rays are 5-11 in their last 16 Divisional Playoff games. Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 5 of a series. Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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10-09-20 | Yankees v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Im going to be a contrarian here tonight in recommend we take the under. I know based on recency bias the over looks like a viable option. However these types of games are usually hotly contested affairs with both sides having no problem going to their bullpens quickly as they wont want the game to get out of hand. With two viable starters on the hill Cole and Glasnow, the under is my call.Under is 7-2 in Rays last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 8-3 in Rays last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play UNDER |
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10-08-20 | Braves -136 v. Marlins | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
The Marlins just dont offer any value even in a do or die situation.Yes, I know Wright the Braves starter will not inspire bettors but, its obvious to me that the Marlins just dont have the might to take down a up-trending side like Atlanta thats playing like their on a mission. Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. Braves are 40-16 in their last 56 during game 3 of a series. It must be noted that the Marlins are 0-6 on the moneyline at home against a side that has won at least their last three tilts and are also a bankroll depleting 0-13 as a underdog of more than 110 on the ML in at least the 3rd game of a series when they are off a shutout loss and their opponents starter has an ERA of less than six which Wright has. Play on Atlanta to win |
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10-07-20 | Rays v. Yankees -116 | 8-4 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
NYY are 6-0 on the ML L/6 with Masahiro Tanaka on the hill after August when its line is within 20 cents of pickem. Rays are 4-10 in their last 14 Divisional Playoff games.Yankees are 38-17 in their last 55 during game 3 of a series. Play on NYY to win |
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10-07-20 | A's v. Astros -114 | 9-7 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Urquidy will make his second start of the postseason with Zack Greinke out due to right arm trouble. Urquidy went 4 1/3 innings against the Twins in the AL Wild Card Series, allowing one run on two hits in a no-decision. He has a 1.26 career ERA in the postseason and is worth backing here on what I see as a cheap price on a team that is in a groove. Athletics are 3-8 in their last 11 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.Athletics are 2-8 in their last 10 playoff games.Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff games. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 Divisional Playoff games. Play on Houston to win |
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10-07-20 | Marlins v. Braves -200 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
These two starters Lopez and Anderson faced each other almost two weeks ago with the Marlins winning by a 4-2 count. With that said, it must be noted that the Braves are a money making 17-0 as a 120+ moneyline home chalk off a home game when they are seeking same-season revenge vs their oppositions starting hurler. Marlins are 11-30 in their last 41 during game 2 of a series.Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League East. Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff games.Braves are 38-16 in their last 54 games as a favorite. Braves are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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10-06-20 | Marlins v. Braves -189 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 52 h 35 m | Show | |
My projections make the Braves a strong favorite here in game 1 of this series. Braves starter FRIED is 18-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 17-103 L/23 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 56-7 L/23 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to win |
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10-05-20 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 7 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1 - San Diego, CA The Yankees and Rays meet in the postseason for the first time when the American League East rivals open the best-of-five AL Division Series in San Diego on Monday. The Yankees and the Rays offense has been hitting on all cylinders of late. Making this to to very vulnerable total and a positive for us cashing a over bet. Note: The Rays are 8-0 L/8 OVER in the first game of a home series with rest after a tilt where they connected for 12+ hits, producing 7.12 runs per game in offense. Also Cole the Yankees starter despite of going 7-3 with a 2.84 ERA in the regular season has some sub standard efforts vs the Rays recording a 4.96 ERA and allowed five of his 14 homers in three starts against Tampa Bay. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 8-0 OVER L/8 off a game as chalk when their opposition starter has a strike-per-ball ratio of less than 1.6 on the season. The Yankees have seen their offense produce 8 runs ppg and allowed an average of 6.6 rpg under the above perimeters. BOONE is 30-11 OVER after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (NY YANKEES) - after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 40-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-01-20 | White Sox +109 v. A's | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
09-30-20 | Brewers +210 v. Dodgers | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 40 h 42 m | Show | |
Brent Suter will start a bullpen game for the Brewers in Game 1, functioning as the "opener" because Milwaukee's starting rotation has been thinned by injury. In 16 appearances (four starts) this season, Suter posted a 3.13 ERA over 31 2/3 innings, with a 29.4 percent strikeout rate. Im betting he goes long and strong here and helps his team find a way to victory over the dodgers and their starter Buehler who has had blisters problems. BUEHLER is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE.
Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a below avg starting pitcher (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better on the season are just 20-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play Milwaukee Brewers |
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09-30-20 | White Sox +118 v. A's | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Dallas Keuchel (LHP)0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SO---After batting through back spasms and back soreness, the veteran southpaw has allowed one run in 10 innings during his two starts since returning. Keuchel is 4-2 with a 3.47 ERA in his playoff history.The pitching matchup is strength vs. strength, with Bassitt 2-1 with a 0.72 ERA in six home starts this season while Keuchel has pitched his best on the road, going 3-1 with a 1.60 ERA in seven starts. White Sox are primed candidates for a wild car win and upset here today according to my projections. MLB team (OAKLAND) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series, after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 11-29 L/23 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on White Sox |
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09-30-20 | Reds v. Braves -130 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 50 m | Show | |
Braves starter FRIED is 17-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 30-9 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 16-3 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Reds starter BAUER is 3-10 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 16-2 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season.(Which was the case in their L/reg season game) )MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 6-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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09-29-20 | White Sox v. A's +115 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Jesus Luzardo (LHP)0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SO--gets his first playoff start after an electric postseason debut of three shutout innings out of the bullpen in last year’s Wild Card Game. The exhilarating left-hander finished second among rookies with 59 strikeouts, and looks to help his team cash a ticket for us as underdogs. Meanwhile, White Sox starter GIOLITO is 2-10 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 50-16 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. OAKLAND is 6-0 against CHI WHITE SOX over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 over his last 5 starts are 41-15 L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on the Oakland As to win |
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09-27-20 | Mets v. Nationals +136 | 5-15 | Win | 136 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Even with an expanded postseason field, the New York Mets will not play October baseball for the fourth consecutive year and today will be just going through the motions. Good spot to bet against them.Meanwhile, the Nationals will look to avoid becoming only the third defending World Series champion to finish last the following year when they host the Mets in the finale of the pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign. Needless to say the Nats will be more motivated than their opponents. Play on Washington to win |
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09-26-20 | Cubs v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | 5-9 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Jon Lester(LHP)---3-2, 4.40 ERA, 39 SO-- spun six shutout innings in a win over the Pirates on Monday. The veteran lefty struck out one and walked one. He has turned in a 1.06 ERA in 17 innings in his last three turns for Chicago. Meanwhile, Pale Hose Dane Dunning(RHP)---2-0, 3.19 ERA, 33 SO goes for the White Sox who are 5-1 in games started by Dunning this season, although the right-hander finished with a no-decision in a loss at Cleveland on Monday. He has struck out 33 and walked 10 over 31 innings and is in top form. Today Im betting on these two starters to go long and strong and to get enough bullpen support to keep this combined score on the low side of the total here on the Southside today. Under is 6-0-1 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 16-5-1 in Cubs last 22 overall. Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-1-1 in White Sox last 9 games as a favorite.Under is 10-4-1 in White Sox last 15 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 interleague home games. Play on the UNDER |
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09-26-20 | Mets v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Mets will be aggressive here offensively as they need a win to not be be eliminated from post season play. Nats starter Sánchez allowed five runs and exited after 2 2/3 innings against the Mets on Aug. 12 and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs here vs the Mets batting order. The Mets are 8-0 OVER L/8 when Jacob deGrom starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start. Play OVER |
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09-25-20 | Marlins v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
J.A. Happ---(LHP)2-2, 3.25 ERA, 39 SO----Happ has been one of the Majors’ best pitchers over his last six starts, working to a 1.93 ERA with 36 strikeouts against five walks over 37 1/3 innings. Happ fired eight scoreless innings against the Red Sox in his last start, scattering four hits.Meanwhile,Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara-(RHP)3-2, 3.12 ERA, 30 SO---Alcantara has stepped up in September with a 2-1 record with a 2.25 ERA. He will make his seventh start of the season, and it will have big playoff implications. On the road this year, he is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA.Both thse pitchers Im betting will go long today in. tilt that favors an under wager. ALCANTARA is 8-0 UNDER in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5 rpg scored. HAPP is 13-4 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.HAPP is 41-19 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.3 rpg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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09-24-20 | White Sox v. Indians -115 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
. In seven starts this season, Cleveland starter Plesac has pitched to a 1.85 ERA with 50 strikeouts and a 0.781 WHIP in 48 2/3 frames and get the nod in this spot play. White Sox are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings. White Sox are 22-45 in the last 67 meetings in Cleveland. Play on Cleveland to win |
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09-23-20 | Phillies -133 v. Nationals | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Erick Fedde (RHP)(2-3, 4.36 ERA, 23 SO)---Fedde is 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA in two starts (11 innings) against the Phillies this season. He has allowed three home runs and struck out five in the matchups. Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series. WASHINGTON is 3-13 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. WASHINGTON is 9-20 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 against WASHINGTON this season. Play on Philadelphia on the ML |
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09-23-20 | Angels +170 v. Padres | 5-2 | Win | 170 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Jaime Barria(RHP)--(1-0, 3.26 ERA, 27 SO)Barria has been solid, and he gave up two runs over 6 1/3 innings with eight strikeouts against the Rangers on Friday. He's yet to allow more than three runs in any of his six appearances and gets my support in this spot play on a value Mline. Padres are 9-19 in their last 28 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series. Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Angels to win |
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09-22-20 | A's v. Dodgers -162 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Frankie Montas-(RHP)(3-4, 5.86 ERA, 44 SO)Montas will be making his first start in nine days after going on paternity leave. He hasn’t pitched longer than 5 1/3 innings in his last five starts and has a 10.80 ERA in that time. The tired father in his current form is fade material.Athletics are 18-38 in their last 56 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 interleague games as a favorite.Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 vs. American League West.Dodgers are 53-17 in their last 70 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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09-22-20 | Angels +152 v. Padres | 4-2 | Win | 152 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Griffin Canning---(RHP)(1-3, 4.29 ERA, 46 SO)Canning is coming off a solid start against the D-backs, allowing two runs (one earned) over five innings in a win. He's posted a 3.57 ERA over his past four starts with 23 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings and is a viable hurler that matches up well vs the Padres. Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Angels are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Angels to win
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09-22-20 | Angels v. Padres OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Right-hander Zach Davies (7-3, 2.69 ERA) will get the start for the Padres on Tuesday, while the Angels will counter with right-hander Griffin Canning (1-3, 4.29). When comparing both lineups in my hitter vs pitching power rankings a projection of 10 + runs is the call making the over a key wager. Over is 14-4-3 in Angels last 21 interleague games. Over is 7-2-1 in Angels last 10 interleague games as an underdog. Over is 20-6-1 in Angels last 27 games as an underdog. The Padres are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored in at most two separate innings with a combined average of 14.3 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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09-22-20 | Cardinals v. Royals +105 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Brady Singer-(RHP0(3-4, 4.14 ERA, 52 SO)- Singer is coming off two outstanding outings. Two starts ago, he threw eight shutout innings of one-hit ball at Cleveland. Last time out at Detroit, he threw six shutout innings of two-hit ball. Value on the line with this hurler today vs a inconsistent Cardinals side. Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter
Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. .( Cards starter -Austin Gomber LHP) LHP) Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games. |
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09-22-20 | White Sox +156 v. Indians | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Reynaldo Lopez-(RHP)(1-2, 5.40 ERA, 18 SO)-After struggling earlier this season, López has hit a stride with three strong starts this month, allowing four earned runs across 12 September innings. He yielded three runs over 5 1/3 innings in his previous outing, vs. the Twins on Sept. 17. He gets my support in this spot play on a value line .White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. White Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Indians are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Indians are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the White Sox to win |
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09-21-20 | Brewers v. Reds UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Luis Castillo -RHP(3-5, 3.03 ERA, 76 SO)-As Castillo pitches in a pennant race for the first time in his career, he has gotten hot at the right time. Castillo is 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA and one complete game over his last three starts. Meanwhile, the Brewers will turn to Brandon Woodruff (2-4, 3.45 ERA), who is 0-2 over his last four starts but has not pitched badly and is more than capable of slowing down the Reds very inconsistent batting order. Under is 8-3-1 in Reds last 12 vs. National League Central. Under is 9-4-1 in Reds last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter Under is 18-7-4 in Brewers last 29 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.Under is 32-15-5 in Brewers last 52 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in Cincinnati. Play on the UNDER |
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09-20-20 | Padres v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Justin DunnRHP3-1, 4.11 ERA, 30 SOThe rookie right-hander has looked good but there are red flags as he lasted just two innings and walked five in his last outing vs. the D-backs and has 25 walks in 35 innings on the year. I expect the Padres offence to key on this kids inadequacies and a melt down may not be out of th question, as. well as big output that will help this tilt go over the total. Over is 8-2 in Mariners last 10 interleague games as an underdog.Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 8-3 in Mariners last 11 vs. National League West.Over is 8-3-1 in Mariners last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 9-4-1 in Mariners last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 14-4-3 in Padres last 21 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 19-7-1 in Padres last 27 interleague games as a favorite. Over is 8-3-1 in Padres last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 18-7-1 in Padres last 26 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings. The Padres are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored in at most two separate innings with a combined average of 15+ per runs games scored. Play OVER |
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09-20-20 | Yankees -180 v. Red Sox | 2-10 | Loss | -180 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Deivi Garcia (RHP2-1, 3.28 ERA, 24 SO)--García has won his past two starts, each with seven innings and six strikeouts against the Blue Jays. The 21-year-old idolizes Boston icon Pedro Martinez, which should make it a special experience to touch the mound at Fenway Park. Great night to back this kid vs a Boston side that plays most nights with little or no motivation. Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.( BoSox Starter Houck is a righty) Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 overall. Red Sox are 18-43 in their last 61 vs. American League East. The Red Sox are 0-11 L/11 past the first game of a series as a dog after they were shutout. Play on NY Yankees to win |
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09-19-20 | Diamondbacks +152 v. Astros | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
DBacks starter Weaver lost to the Mariners his last time out despite allowing two runs on four hits in five innings and after a very slow start to his season is now in top form and gets my support here vs a down trending Houston side. |
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09-19-20 | Giants v. A's -155 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
09-18-20 | Braves -154 v. Mets | 15-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The Braves will begin their final road series of the regular season by visiting the Mets in the opener of a three-game set between the National League East rivals. Fried (6-0, 1.98 ERA) is scheduled to come off the injured list and oppose Matz (0-4, 8.63), who hasn't appeared in a game since Aug. 29, in a battle of left-handers. This in my humble opinion is a pitching mismatch and worth the extra price of admission on the ML. FRIED is 15-4 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games are 55-21 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Braves to win |
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09-17-20 | Rangers v. Astros -230 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Houston was upended (embarrassed) by Texas last night 1-0, wasting a fine pitching performance and will now be desperate to bounce back making them a viable side to back. Yes, even at these high of a line. TEXAS is 0-11 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. TEXAS is 3-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. The Rangers are 0-17 SU since Aug 26, 2018 as a 140+ dog after they were shut out in the first 6 innings. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 3-32 L/5 seasons for go against for a 92% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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09-17-20 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Nola is is 10-2 OVER with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. I know Nola has pitched well lately but he is 14-5 OVER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Lugo the Mets starting pitcher is also doing decently, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Phillies matchup well against hime. PHILADELPHIA in 8 games with with a money line at home of -100 to -150 this season has seen an average of 10.2 rpg scored. NY METS in 14 games against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season have seen a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. Note: The Phillies are 10-0 L/10 OVER as a favorite off a loss as a dog in which they held the lead with a combined average of 12.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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09-16-20 | Twins +134 v. White Sox | 5-1 | Win | 134 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Minnesota starter Giolito is 4-6 with a 5.21 ERA this season, including 0-1 with a 9.35 ERA in two starts this season and is fade material on this bloated ML. GIOLITO is 3-10 against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series. Twins are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. American League Central.Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Twins are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.Twins are 21-10 in the last 31 meetings. Twins are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season, in September games. are 51-31 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate . Play on Minnesota to win |
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09-16-20 | Rangers v. Astros -205 | 1-0 | Loss | -205 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Right-hander Kyle Gibson (1-5, 6.14 ERA) will make his 10th start Wednesday for Texas. He is 0-3 with an 8.10 ERA over his previous five starts and in his current form is fade material. The Rangers are 0-22 L/22 on the ML as a 170+ dog off a road game when playing a team that has a better record. MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - below avg. hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a below average starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 to 6.20) -AL, in September games are 32-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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09-16-20 | Dodgers -121 v. Padres | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
The Dodgers and Padres own the two best records in the National League. If the season were to end today, they would, respectively, be the first and fourth seeds in the National League playoffs. But today the Dodgers get my support after ending the Padres 8 game winning streak yesterday. Momentum and the value therefore is on the Dodgers side. The Padres are 1-15 L/16 on the ML in rubber match games against the Dodgers. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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09-15-20 | Pirates v. Reds -130 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The Reds (23-26) have won three straight after sweeping a doubleheader Monday against the visiting Pirates 3-1 and 9-4 and Im betting we ride their momentum here in this spot play vs the Pirates. Reds starter Lorenzen is 5-2 with a 2.17 ERA in 35 appearances, three of them starts, against Pittsburgh. Slumping PITTSBURGH is 2-18 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 6-23 against the money line in night games this season. The Pirates are 0-21 L/21 on the ML as a road dog off a game as a dog in which they allowed 5+ walks. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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09-14-20 | Twins -130 v. White Sox | 1-3 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Twins starter Jose Berrios (RHP4-3, 4.40 ERA, 55 SO) has left his shaky start to the season behind. He has held opponents to a .183/.272/.280 slash line across his last four starts, during which he has 31 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings and is a viable starter to back in this spot play. Meanwhile, Pale Hose Dylan Cease RHP (5-2, 3.33 ERA, 30 SO) Cease makes his first start against the Twins in 2020 and third of his career, with an 0-2 record and 16.71 in previous appearances. Cease has allowed five earned runs in 10 innings in September and is in his worst performance zone of the season and fade material in his current form. Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central. Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games as an underdog. BALDELLI is 17-6 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of MINNESOTA. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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09-13-20 | Mets v. Blue Jays -140 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Toronto starter RYU is 23-4 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. RYU is 24-4 ( against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) RYU is 4-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.54 and a WHIP of 0.911. Mets starter David Peterson has been struggling. After the Mets bounced Peterson from the rotation to the bullpen back to the rotation, he responded with his worst start of the season against the Phillies. The lefty has a 7.20 ERA over his last three outings.TORONTO is 8-1 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start this season.( Home teams (TORONTO) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) are 32-9 L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win |
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09-13-20 | A's v. Rangers +135 | 3-6 | Win | 135 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Rangers ace Lance Lynn owns a (5-2, 2.52 ERA) record and is 3-1 with a 4.36 ERA in six lifetime starts against Oakland. The As are the better overall side, but todays top tier starter for the Rangers is a big equalizer offering us value on the line. TEXAS is 22-9 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - below avg. hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a below average starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 to 6.20) -AL, in September games are 31-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Texas to win |
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09-12-20 | Astros v. Dodgers -142 | 7-5 | Loss | -142 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
The Astros have lost 7 of their L/8 and enter this game as fade material vs a LA Dodgers team that is 10-2 in interleague action this season. HOUSTON is 6-15 against the money line in road games this season. BAKER is 4-15 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better), after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base are 27-5 L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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09-10-20 | Giants +167 v. Padres | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Cahill the Giant starter owns a 5-2 record at Petco Park with a 1.74 ERA in 10 appearances (nine starts) and gets my support here today. Fathers starter Paddock is 1-4 over his last six starts, having given up 20 earned runs on 35 hits (including eight homers) and eight walks over 30 1/3 innings for a 5.93 ERA and 1.40 WHIP and is fade material in his current form. MLB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 10 games, in September games are 51-20 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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09-10-20 | Royals v. Indians -192 | 11-1 | Loss | -192 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
09-10-20 | Braves -155 v. Nationals | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
In his career against the Braves, Voth is 0-2 with a 5.33 ERA in six career appearances, five starts and is fade material in his current form. ATLANTA is 22-6 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. WASHINGTON is 0-8 against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive home games this season MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games 53-20 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Atlanta to win |
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09-09-20 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +1.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
NYY starter Deivi Garcia ( 0-1, 3.38 ERA, 12 SO)García is making third big league start. The 21-year-old took the loss in his Friday start, permitting four runs to the Orioles over 4 2/3 innings, though he departed with a lead. My power rankings suggest the Blue Jays explosive offence matches up well against this young hurler giving us an edge on this value runline. Meanwhile, Blue Jays starter ROARK is 15-8 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)NY YANKEES are 3-12 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.
MLB Road teams against a run line of (+1.5, -210) to (-1.5, -255) (NY YANKEES) - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games are 2-35 L/23 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-08-20 | Rockies +207 v. Padres | 5-14 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
González the Rockies starter has made two solid relief appearances since returning from a shoulder injury, and now replaces Jon Gray (right soulder inflammation) in the rotation. González has shown a knack for getting the double play this season and is a vialbe starter to back here against a team that my power rankings suggest he matches up well against. The Padres pulled off a win yesterday vs the Rockies, with a 1-0 bottom of the ninth heart breaker, but it must be noted that the The Fathers are 0-9 L/9 on the ML after they were tied at the end of 6 innings last game. |
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09-08-20 | White Sox -125 v. Pirates | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays (23-18) are two games ahead of the Yankees (21-20) in the division, with the Tampa Bay Rays in first by 4 1/2 games and its now imperative that the Yankees bring their A game tonight.
J.A. HappLHP( 1-1, 4.68 ERA, 15 SO) Happ said that he pitched better than the box score indicated after permitting four runs and eight hits to the Mets over five innings on Thursday. In his previous start on Aug. 29, he held the same club to three hits in 7 1/3 scoreless frames.The Yankees are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when JA Happ starts after they lost in his last start. Play on the NY Yankees |
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09-08-20 | Yankees +104 v. Blue Jays | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays (23-18) are two games ahead of the Yankees (21-20) in the division, with the Tampa Bay Rays in first by 4 1/2 games and its now imperative that the Yankees bring their A game tonight.
J.A. HappLHP( 1-1, 4.68 ERA, 15 SO) Happ said that he pitched better than the box score indicated after permitting four runs and eight hits to the Mets over five innings on Thursday. In his previous start on Aug. 29, he held the same club to three hits in 7 1/3 scoreless frames.The Yankees are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when JA Happ starts after they lost in his last start. Play on the NY Yankees |
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09-07-20 | Rockies +177 v. Padres | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
Padres starter LAMET is 0-8 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LAMET is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.400. Colorado is running hot and are off two straight upset wins vs the LA Dodgers and now Im going to ride their positive flow here this evening vs the Fathers. MLB team (COLORADO) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 straight upset wins over division rivals as a road underdog are 37-13 L.23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (COLORADO) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 straight upset wins over division rivals as a road underdog are 30-10 L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Rockies to win |
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09-07-20 | Rockies v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
This series opens Monday night with right-hander Dinelson Lamet (2-1, 2.62 ERA) starting for the Padres against left-hander Kyle Freeland (2-1, 4.09 ERA) of the Rockies.Both pitchers are capable of long and strong efforts. FREELAND is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 10-0 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) When Rockies starter Kyle Freeland starts as an away dog of more than 140 the UNDER is 1-16-1 . Play on the UNDER |
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09-07-20 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -116 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Zac Gallen the DBacks hurler today has been their best pitcher this season, but with his team scoring just 3.5 rpg on the road this season, behind a lowly .218 BA Im betting against him getting the win here today vs a SF offense that is averaging 5.6 rpg at home this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 5-1 against ARIZONA this season MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 39-12 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SF to win |
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09-07-20 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -125 | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Jays starter RYU is 23-4 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Montgomery is returning from the shortest start of his big league career, recording only two outs in a loss to the Rays on Wednesday and is fade material according to my projections. NY YANKEES are 6-11 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.NY YANKEES are 6-23 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - below avg. hitting team (AVG .265 or better) against a below average starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 to 6.20) -AL, in September games are 30-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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09-07-20 | Cardinals v. Cubs -172 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 59 m | Show | |
Hendricks the Cubs starter faced the Cardinals earlier this season, losing 3-1 in a seven-inning doubleheader game. He allowed three runs on three hits in 6 1/3 innings. He is 8-3 with a 3.00 ERA in 19 career starts against the Cards. Hendricks has been particularly successful against Paul DeJong (3 for 29) and Matt Carpenter (10 for 48, 14 strikeouts). The Cubs are 12-0 on the ML when Kyle Hendricks starts as a favorite after a quality start in a win last start. The Cardinals are 0-15 on the ML past the first game of a series as a road dog of more than +135 when playing a team that has a better record. Play on the Cubs to win |
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09-07-20 | Phillies -117 v. Mets | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Zack Wheeler(RHP)(4-0, 2.20 ERA, 29 SO)Wheeler was brilliant in his last start, shutting out the Nationals over 6 2/3 innings while allowing just three hits. This marks Wheeler's first start back at Citi Field and second overall against the Mets, after he beat his former club with seven innings of two-run ball in Philly on Aug. 16 and gets my backing here again this Monday. PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. PHILADELPHIA is 12-2 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. NY METS are 1-7 ( against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. MLB team (NY METS) - red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 13-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (NY METS) - good NL hitting team (AVG .275 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games are 10-25 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win |
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09-06-20 | Rangers v. Mariners -123 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Justin Dunn (RHP)(2-1, 4.33 ERA, 21 SO) Dunn has been outstanding in his last two starts, throwing 12 scoreless innings with just two hits allowed against the Rangers and Angels. The 24-year-old's two wins have come against Texas (2-0, 1.50 ERA and eight hits in 12 innings). Dunn in his current form gets my support. TEXAS is 0-9 against the money line vs. excellent speed teams - averaging 1 or more SB's/game this season. SEATTLE is 13-1 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mariners to win |
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09-06-20 | Padres v. A's +105 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Angel starter Richards hasn't had much success at Oakland in his career, going 1-3 with a 4.43 ERA in 11 games (nine starts). He's 2-4 with a 4.33 ERA overall against the A's in 17 career meetings (13 starts) and is fade material here today. The Athletics are 10-0 L/10 when their starter Mike Fiers starts at home after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday.Fiers has gone 2-0 in three home starts this season, improving his eye-catching record in Oakland to 14-2 since he was acquired from Detroit during the 2018 season. MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or ,less), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 12-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on Oakland As to win |
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09-05-20 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -132 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Madison BumgarnerLHP0-3, 9.35 ERA, 13 SOBumgarner will be making his first start since Aug. 9 when he sustained a mid-back strain and had to be put on the injured list. In his current form and health issues, Im betting against him today.
Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Diamondbacks are 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. (Giants starter Trevor Cahill is a RHP) MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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09-05-20 | Reds -135 v. Pirates | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
DeSclafani is coming off a performance to forget. In his first start being back from paternity leave, he allowed seven runs, seven hits and four walks, with three strikeouts, in 3 2/3 innings Monday in a 7-5 loss to St. Louis. "I think it was just pretty embarrassing overall," DeSclafani said. No pro likes to be embarrassed and Im betting on him bouncing back in a big effort here against the Pirates. Pirates are 8-24 in their last 32 during game 3 of a series. Pirates are 5-16 in their last 21 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CINCINNATI) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, well rested bullpen - threw 2 innings or less in each of the last 3 games are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati |
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09-05-20 | Padres v. A's -105 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Sean Manaea(LHP) (2-2, 5.64 ERA, 25 SO) appears to be getting back on track, going 2-0 with a 2.35 ERA over his last three starts and gets my support here today. SAN DIEGO is 5-19 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 21-4 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 11-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win |
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09-04-20 | Padres v. A's -138 | 7-0 | Loss | -138 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
As southpaw starter Luzardo will finally return to action Friday on 10 days' rest. Over his seven appearances (five starts) this season, Luzardo has posted a 3.74 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 34:13 K:BB over 33.2 innings. His best starts have been at home where he owns a 2-0 record along with a stingy 1.06 ERA. He gets my support here today. Note: SAN DIEGO is 5-18 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 21-4 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - good NL offensive team ( 4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 11-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win |