Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-03-20 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -273 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (4-1, 1.80 ERA) gets the nod from me today as huge chalk. Its not always about dollar value on a line that counts, but the odds according to my own power rankings that mean the most to me when Im laying down cash on a an event. Yes we are laying a big chunk of our bankroll here, but the odds of return are enormous as compared to our chances of a loss. With Arizona right hander Luke Weaver (1-5, 8.23 ERA) going to the hill for a side that Western side , that has lost 12 of its last 13 games and in free fall this game falls into this type of top tier category.Weaver is 1-1 with a 9.69 ERA lifetime against the Dodgers in four appearances (two starts). He struggled against Los Angeles in an Aug. 1 start, giving up six runs on seven hits and three walks over four-plus innings and is fade material in this spot play. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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09-02-20 | Rangers v. Astros -180 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
The Astros have dominated division opposition at home in the past and nothing changes tonight vs a inconsistent Texas squad. HOUSTON is 61-17 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 42-8 against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 11-33 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games are 12-58 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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09-02-20 | Cardinals +141 v. Reds | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
The Reds are 0-8 L/8 on the ML when their starter Tyler Mahle starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start. MAHLE is 1-10 against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) ST LOUIS is 29-11 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 10 games, in September games are 48-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. ST LOUIS is 5-1 (+4.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season. Play on the Cardinals to win |
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09-02-20 | Blue Jays -113 v. Marlins | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Wednesday's pitching matchup, Toronto left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-1, 2.92 ERA) will face Miami rookie right-hander Sixto Sanchez (1-0, 2.25). My pitcher power rankings favor Ryu vs the Miami batting order. Ryu was scorching hot in August, recording a minsicule 1.29 ERA. Note: in five startsin five career starts against the Marlins, Ryu has a 3-1 record and a 2.23 ERA. He is also backed by a solid bull pen that owns a viavble 3.05 road ERA and has the edge in this matchup. |
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09-01-20 | White Sox -105 v. Twins | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Dallas Keuchel (LHP 5-2, 2.70 ERA, 26 SO )The southpaw finished 3-2 with a 2.48 ERA over five starts in August. He threw 32 2/3 innings and held the opposition to a .530 OPS and gets my support here today. CHI WHITE SOX are 10-1 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 9-1 against the money line in road games after a win this season. The Twins are 0-8 L/8 on the ML as a home dog after they hit at least one home run last game. RENTERIA is 20-6 against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 70-34 L/23 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or less ) (AL), with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games are 62-29 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Chicago White sox |
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08-31-20 | Pirates v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Williams the Pirates start had a nine-hit, three-homer, eight-run dud in Chicago last time out and own a sub par 5.34 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, Brent Suter the Brewers starter a guy that has had Tommy John surgery has been used mostly in relief this season, and despite of experience in the starters role does not matchup well according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings vs the Pirates. WILLIAMS is 15-4 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WILLIAMS is 9-0 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) PITTSBURGH is 20-7 OVER after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings over the last 2 seasons The Pirates have 10 straight overs when Trevor Williams starts after he pitched more than 5 innings in his previous start with a combined average 12.5 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (MILWAUKEE) - a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record, in August games are 80-45 OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% coversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-30-20 | Indians v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 2-7 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
The Indians will start Aaron Civale (3-3, 3.15 ERA), who will face the Cardinals for the first time in his career. In his last outing, Civale struck out eight batters in six innings, last time out.The Cardinals, who have lost four straight games, will counter with Adam Wainwright (2-0, 2.88 ERA). My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest these pitchers and bullpens matchup well here and Im betting on a lower scoring affair. CIVALE is 9-0 UNDER after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 12-3 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 12-2 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)WAINWRIGHT is 11-2 UNDER in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 11-3 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. Play UNDER |
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08-29-20 | Padres v. Rockies +115 | 3-4 | Win | 115 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Senzatela gave up four home runs in his last start at Dodger Stadium so because of recency bias is being over looked and underestimated in this spot. However, he has good recent memories at Coors against the Padres -- six innings, one run, four hits, six strikeouts on Aug. 2. SENZATELA is 12-5 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SENZATELA is 6-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.992. COLORADO is 8-1 against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. MLB sides like the Padres Since August 2018, are 0-9 off a game in which they had scored 10 or more runs without a home run and with twice as many hits than their opponent. The Padres are 0-10 L/10 on the ML off a road game in which they drew 1 or fewer walks. Play on the Rockies to win |
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08-29-20 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 6-7 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Brett Anderson LHP(2-2, 3.52 ERA, 17 SO)Anderson is coming off consecutive quality starts against the Twins and Reds, allowing three runs on 10 hits and a heavy dose of ground balls over 12 innings in those games as he earned the win in both.JT Brubaker (RHP) (0-0, 4.80 ERA, 16 SO) Brubaker's stuff looked sharper in his last start, his longest outing of the season, as he struck out six and gave up two runs while working into the fifth in a win over the Brewers. He should be stretched out to pitch five or six innings. Im betting on both these pitchers providing us with solid efforts and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. ANDERSON is 9-0 UNDER when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Anomaly or not history does have a way of repeating itself .ANDERSON is 13-3 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Play UNDER |
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08-29-20 | Indians v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Jack Flaherty RHP(2-0, 1.98 ERA, 12 SO)Flaherty pitched five shutout innings against the Royals on Monday, allowing just one hit while striking out three. He extended to 64 pitches and will likely be able to go further against the Indians. Corrasco the Indians pitcher has not been that cohesive lately but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here, giving credence to my under recommendation. CLEVELAND is 10-2 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 7-0 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 4.,4 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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08-26-20 | Marlins +235 v. Mets | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Mets starter DeGrom is a top tier pitcher with a fair amount of bad luck attached to his starts overall. Meanwhile, His pitching opponent Hernandez makes his fifth start. He's fanned 25 in 19 2/3 innings this season. A blister issue has been a factor in Hernandez not going past five innings in any start, but the problem is said to be healing. Opponents are hitting .087 vs. his slider and with the Mets a team that hits the fast ball better than junk they Mets are in trouble. DEGROM is 6-13 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DEGROM is 3-8 against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The New York Mets are 0-10 on the ML at HOME with Jacob DeGrom starting, coming off of two games in which the METS went UNDER the total which was the case . ROJAS is 2-8 ( against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game as the manager of NY METS. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (MIAMI) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 33-26 L/24 seasons for a 57% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Marlins to win |
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08-26-20 | Cubs -126 v. Tigers | 6-7 | Loss | -126 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Lester struggled in his last couple of outings and got blasted four homers in 3 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox on Friday and was tagged with his first loss in five starts. He has proven himself a great bounce back pitcher in the past and he gets my support and confidence here today vs the Tigers. LESTER is 12-0 against the money line after getting hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 6-26 against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. In the 2020 season away chalk playing in the 3rd game of a series where they split the first 2 games are 15-1 on the ML. Play on the Cubs to win |
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08-26-20 | Twins -100 v. Indians | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Berríos pitched ilke an ace in his outing against the Brewers on Thursday, tossing six shutout innings during which he allowed just one hit with one walk and nine strikeouts. It was a big improvement after previous starts during which he struggled with his command. The kid has talent and when he gets in a groove teams who sometimes struggle with their offensive consistency like the Indians are in trouble. Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MINNESOTA) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 2 runs or less are 79-23 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. In the 2020 season away chalk playing in the 3rd game of a series where they split the first 2 games are 15-1 on the ML. Play on Minnesota to win |
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08-25-20 | Mariners +180 v. Padres | 8-3 | Win | 180 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Right-hander Chris Paddack (2-2, 4.26 ERA) will get the ball for the Padres on Tuesday against Seattle left-hander Marco Gonzales (2-2, 3.34 ERA). Gonzales, has a 0.876 WHIP this year. He has allowed 14 runs (11 earned) on 23 hits and three walks with 26 strikeouts in 29 2/3 innings. He has a 36-27 career record with a 4.19 ERA in 90 games (82 starts) and has an edge today. The Padres are 0-8 L/8 on the ML when Chris Paddack starts when they won in his last start which is the case. MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - bad AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 36-16 L/23 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mariners to win |
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08-25-20 | A's -158 v. Rangers | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
MANAEA is 6-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.145. The Athletics are 11-0 L/11 on the ML past the first game of a series after a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs. MLB team (TEXAS) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or worse ) (AL), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 13-38 L/23 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (OAKLAND) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 2 runs or less are 78-23 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Athletics to win |
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08-25-20 | Cubs -120 v. Tigers | 1-7 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Tigers starter Turnbull, who will be making his first career appearance against the Cubs, has started 19 games at Comerica Park. He has a 1-13 record and a 5.21 ERA at home and is fade material here today. DETROIT is 15-56 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons DETROIT is 1-11 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Play on Cubs to win |
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08-24-20 | Cubs -123 v. Tigers | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
ALEC MILLS (R) vs. CASEY MIZE (R) DETROIT is 15-55 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. The Tigers are 0-16 L/16 on the ML at home off a game as a dog in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times. Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Cubs are 9-1 in their last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Tigers are 9-50 in their last 59 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Tigers are 2-12 in their last 14 interleague home games. Play on Chicago Cubs to win |
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08-24-20 | Twins -113 v. Indians | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Kenta Maeda (RHP3-0, 2.27 ERA, 33 SO) Maeda is coming off both the best start (he took a no-hitter into the ninth) and the most pitches (115) of his career. He's been a fantastic addition for the Twins, ranking among the Major League leaders in batting average, OBP and OPS against Maeda has been over powering while the Tribes offence has almost non existent making the Twins the right side in this spot play. CLEVELAND is 6-21 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Twins to win |
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08-24-20 | Blue Jays v. Rays -208 | 6-4 | Loss | -208 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Snell gets the ball for the final game of this wraparound series after he allowed three runs over five innings in a winning effort over the Yankees on Tuesday. The left-hander owns a 2.08 ERA over three August starts and gets my support here today vs the Jays. The Rays are 9-0 L/9 at home when Blake Snell starts at home after winning his last two starts. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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08-23-20 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | 3-11 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Rockies Senzatela faced off with the Astros' Zack Greinke in his last start and threw eight scoreless innings with six strikeouts. Senzatela has 24 strikeouts against five walks in 31 innings this season an is capable of slowing the dodgers powerful batting order today. SENZATELA is 20-9 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, dodgers starter STRIPLING is 31-15 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) STRIPLING is 20-6 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 8-0 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 season. BLACK is 16-4 UNDER off a one run loss versus a division rival as the manager of COLORADO. Play on the UNDER |
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08-23-20 | Rockies v. Dodgers -220 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
The Rockies are 0-8 L/8 on the ML when Antonio Senzatela starts on the road when their opponent is on a 3+ game win streak. The Dodgers are 23-0 L/23 on the ML in the last game of a series as a favorite of more than -180 after they won by one run last game. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 38-11 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers to win |
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08-23-20 | Blue Jays v. Rays -132 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Trent Thornton (0-0, 13.50) will have a quick turnaround after a 32-pitch start over two-thirds of an inning against Philadelphia on Thursday in a first inning that saw the Phillies score seven runs - six charged to Thornton.The right-hander is 1-1 with a 6.43 ERA in five career starts against the Rays.In his current form he is fade material. The Blue Jays are 0-16 L/16 on the ML on the road when their opponents starter has an ERA of less than 2.50 on the season. Play on TB Rays to win |
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08-22-20 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Freeland (2-1, 2.56 ERA) has five quality starts in five tries this season and looks much more like the pitcher who finished fourth in National League Cy Young Award voting two seasons ago. FREELAND is 9-0 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more rpg. Kyle Freeland is 0-10 OU in his career starting against the Dodgers .FREELAND is 9-0 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play UNDER |
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08-22-20 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Lyles has allowed 10 earned runs over nine innings in his last two starts. He also started against the Mariners on Aug. 12, allowing four runs in five innings and he is 1-2 with a 5.17 ERA in his career against Seattle. Meanwhile,Sheffield (1-2, 4.12 ERA), winless in his first nine major-league starts, pitched decently of late, but according to my pitcher vs batting order projections does matchup well here, giving credence to the over.He's 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA in one career relief appearance against the Rangers. TEXAS is 7-0 OVER after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. SERVAIS is 8-0 OVER in home games vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game as the manager of SEATTLE MLB Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 34-7 L/5 UNDER seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-22-20 | Angels v. A's -134 | 4-3 | Loss | -134 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
The Angels will start Griffin Canning (0-3, 4.70 ERA), who is looking for his first victory since Aug. 18, 2019.He has faced the A's twice this season among his five starts, losing both while yielding seven runs and 10 hits in 8 2/3 innings and is fade material here again today. OAKLAND is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. OAKLAND is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. OAKLAND is 16-2 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons. The Angels are 0-14 L/14 on the ML as a road dog off a game as a favorite where they did not hit a HR. Play on the Oakland As |
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08-21-20 | Angels v. A's +107 | 3-5 | Win | 107 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
The Athletics are 9-0 L/9 on the ML when their starter today vs the Angels Mike Fiers starts at home after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday. FIERS is 12-2 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, The Angels are 1-4 in Heaney's five starts, including a 6-5 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers his most recent time out. OAKLAND is 24-5 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. LA ANGELS are 4-14 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games 6-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win |
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08-21-20 | Phillies +100 v. Braves | 2-11 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Phillies starting hurler Nola has enjoyed great success against the Braves throughout his career, going 11-5 with a 2.82 ERA in 19 career starts against Atlanta. He was excellent against the Braves on Aug. 10 when he allowed only one run on two hits over eight innings, striking out 10. Rinse and repeat here as the Phillies get my support. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less ) (NL), after a game where they committed 3 or more errors are 7-31 L/23 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. Play on the Phillies to win |
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08-21-20 | Marlins +180 v. Nationals | 3-2 | Win | 180 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Marlins starter Hernandez has struck out 19 batters in just 14 2/3 innings and is over powering his opposition entering this game, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here today vs the Nationals. I know the Marlins have lost 5 straight and look like fade material, but Im betting they go against public bettors and give us a underdog win here. Note: Marlins Manager MATTINGLY is 19-9 against the money line after 5 or more consecutive losses as the manager of MIAMI. WASHINGTON is 1-6 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. MLB team (MIAMI) - starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up 3 or more earned runs is 49-20 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami |
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08-20-20 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Veteran Sonny Gray (4-1, 2.05 ERA) goes to the hill for Reds. Gray has allowed one run or fewer in four of his five starts this season. He beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 8-1 in his most recent outing.veteran Sonny Gray (4-1, 2.05 ERA) to lead the Reds past the distraction.Gray is 1-1 with a 1.08 ERA in three career starts against the Cardinals. Meanwhile, the Cardinals will start Adam Wainwright (2-0, 1.64 ERA) Thursday. Considering the pitching matchup taking an under stance here is a viable wagering opportunity. ST LOUIS is 15-4 UNDER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 0-11 UNDER L/11 when Adam Wainwright starts as a home dog with no combined score eclipsing 7 runs. Play UNDER |
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08-20-20 | Rangers v. Padres -166 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
The season finale between the Padres and Rangers will feature a pair of right-handers -- Dinelson Lamet (2-1, 1.59 ERA) for the Padres and Kyle Gibson (1-2, 3.74 ERA) for the Rangers. In his first four starts this season, the 6-foot-6, 215-pound Gibson gave up 12 runs (nine earned) on 25 hits and seven walks with 17 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings and is fade material here. The Rangers are 0-20 L/20 on the ML 170+ dog off a road game when playing a team that has a better record. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 265-160 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego Padres to win |
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08-20-20 | Tigers v. White Sox -156 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
Tigers starter Spencer Turnbull is off a a rough outing Saturday against Cleveland, when he allowed three runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings with four walks and three strikeouts. In two career starts against the White Sox, Turnbull is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings and is fade material here today against a Pale Hose lineup that matches up well against him. Turnbull is 0-13 L/13 on the ML when facing AL Central opponents. Play on the White Sox to win |
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08-19-20 | Astros v. Rockies +1.5 | 13-6 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Rockies starter Castellani threw four scoreless innings in his debut at Seattle on Aug. 8, and allowed just one run in 4 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers on Friday. Castellani (0-0, 1.04 ERA) has struck out 10 and walked three in his two starts. He gets my support here to keep his team in this game, and for us to cash a ticket on the runline. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +160 to +115) (HOUSTON) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 1 run or less 2 straight games are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate! Play on the Rockies on the runline |
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08-19-20 | Tigers v. White Sox -153 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 37 m | Show | |
The White Sox have won three in a row and five of seven and are looking like contenders with Minnesota and Cleveland for the American League Central crown. This might be the highly anticipated start for young phoneme Mize, but he will face a challenge from the get-go, as White Sox leadoff man Tim Anderson has homered to begin the first two games of the series and went 4-for-5 with three RBIs Tuesday. Considering Motown has lost 7 in a row, it will be easy decision to fade them again here tonight. MLB Road teams (DETROIT) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 6-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. Play on Chicago White sox to win |
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08-18-20 | Cardinals v. Cubs -178 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show | |
Cubs right-hander Yu Darvish (3-1, 1.88 ERA) is scheduled to make his fifth start of the season and his first against St. Louis. In his past three outings, Darvish has allowed two runs in 20 innings for a 0.90 ERA. He has four walks and 27 strikeouts in 24 innings on the season. Value with Darvish on the hill. Play on the Cubs to win |
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08-18-20 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +112 | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
On Tuesday, the Jays will give the ball to Nate Pearson (0-0, 5.11 ERA) a right-hander who has pitched in just three major league game. Advantage Baltimore. MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.70 or more) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games 8-26 L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore Orioles to win |
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08-18-20 | Mets -155 v. Marlins | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
New York snapped a three-game losing streak on Monday with an 11-4 win. Miami has lost six of its past eight games, including the past three in a row. With Mets gaining a little bit of confidence and the Marlins continuing to slump I like the Mets in this spot. MIAMI is 25-57 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. MATTINGLY is 11-31 against the money line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game as the manager of MIAMI. Play on NY Mets |
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08-17-20 | Rockies v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Astros Rookie right-hander Brandon Bielak (2-0, 1.76 ERA) will open the series for Houston. Bielak has , posting a 1.80 ERA and 1.20 WHIP while issuing four walks and recording five strikeouts over 10 innings. Meanwhile, Left-hander Kyle Freeland (2-0, 2.45 ERA) will start for Colorado. The Rockies are 4-0 this season with Freeland on the mound, although Freeland has not recorded a decision in his last two starts despite allowing five earned runs over 13 2/3 innings. Freeland, 7-3 with a 3.46 ERA over 13 career interleague starts.Today Im betting these two viable hurlers do enough to help keep this game on the low side of the total. FREELAND is 26-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 23-11 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. The Rockies are 0-16 UNDER L/16 in a series opener as a road dog with no rest vs a team that has won at least their last four games. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL), with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) are 50-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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08-17-20 | Padres v. Rangers +124 | 14-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
The Rangers are still 7-2 over their last nine games after a 3-8 start and get my support here today. On the other hand, the Padres are 4-8 in their last 12 games and have fallen below .500 for the first time in 2020. They've also tumbled to fourth in the National League West. |
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08-17-20 | Royals +157 v. Twins | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Kansas City, which is 4-2 against the Twins this season are undervalued in this spot play. MINNESOTA is 8-13 against the money line in home games after a win by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case yesterday vs the Royals. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (KANSAS CITY) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 28-16 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Royals to win |
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08-16-20 | Red Sox v. Yankees -149 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
The Yankees are 11-0 \on the ML when JA Happ starts when they lost in his last start. Which is the case here today. The veteran left-hander is 11-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 25 career appearances (24 starts) against Boston, including 4-0 with a 3.06 ERA against the Red Sox with the Yankees. Note: The Bosox T own a 6.10 ERA this season and a 9.90 ERA during their losing streak. They have used 10 starters. Bostons starter today Mazza made nine appearances and had a 5.51 ERA for the New York Mets last season and is fade material here today vs an explosive NYY batting order. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 19-65 L/5 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win |
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08-16-20 | Mariners v. Astros -215 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Right-hander Lance McCullers Jr. (2-1, 6.10 ERA) will start the series finale for the Astros on Sunday.In McCullers' most recent start, on Tuesday against the San Francisco Giants, he carried a no-hitter into the seventh inning, ultimately allowing one hit over seven scoreless innings.McCullers is 7-2 with a 2.93 ERA over 12 career starts against the Mariners, amassing 80 strikeouts over 67 2/3 innings and gets my support here as a favorite. HOUSTON is 37-7 against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games are 57-12 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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08-15-20 | Rangers v. Rockies -160 | 6-4 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
German Marquez (RHP2-2, 2.08 ERA, 27 SO) The last time he faced the Rangers on Opening Day, Márquez limited Texas to two hits and one run in 5 2/3 innings. He hasn't given up more than two earned runs in any of his three starts since and gets my support here today as a favorite. MARQUEZ is 18-2 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Kyle Gibson (RHP 0-2, 4.11 ERA, 15 SO)Gibson is making his first career start against the Rockies. He has made 20 career starts against National League teams and is 4-11 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP. Play on Colorado to win |
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08-15-20 | A's v. Giants +156 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
The Giants right-hander Kevin Gausman (0-1, 4.05), a former American Leaguer who has had his fair share of success against the A's goes to the hill today for the Giants.The first-year Giant is coming off his best of three starts this season, having limited the Los Angeles Dodgers to one run and three hits in 6 1/3 innings in a 6-2 loss last Saturday and more than capable of a top tier effort here.The 29-year-old has fashioned a fine 2.77 ERA in four career starts against the A's. SF manager KAPLER is 26-11 against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent in all games he has managed since 1997. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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08-15-20 | Braves v. Marlins +176 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Fried the Braves starter has been in top form this season, but he had problems vs the Marlins on the past as is evident in four starts against Miami , going 0-1 along with a bloated 6.16 ERA, allowing 29 hits, including four homers, in 19 innings. Look for the upstart Marlins to get to Fried again and to deliver a nice underdog moneyline win. |
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08-14-20 | Nationals v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 15-3 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Tommy MiloneLHP1-1, 3.21 ERA, 16 SOThe veteran lefty was excellent his last time out, firing six shutout frames to beat the Nationals on the road. Since his disappointing Opening Day start, Milone has held opponents to one run over 11 innings.Washington starter Stephen StrasburgRHP0-0, 10.38 ERA, 2 SOStrasburg is dealing with the lingering effects of a nerve issue in his right hand that held him out of his first two scheduled starts of the season. He had a less tahn stellar first outing, but Im betitng alot of the rust will come off here in his 2nd start against a Baqltimore lineup he matches up well against. BALTIMORE is 11-2 UNDER in home games against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 17-7 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BALTIMORE) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, in August games are 42-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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08-12-20 | Padres +141 v. Dodgers | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Gonsolin will make a spot start, following the Dodgers' decision to give everyone in their rotation an extra day of rest. Gonsolin threw four scoreless innings in his lone outing at Arizona on July 31, yielding one hit and a walk, with one strikeout. He gets my support here today behind a Fathers offence that is uptrending. |
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08-12-20 | Royals +102 v. Reds | 5-4 | Win | 102 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Cincinnati starters have given up 32 runs (26 earned) in 93 1/3 innings through 17 games, while the relievers have allowed 50 (44 earned) in 52 2/3 innings and are fde material . MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 77-51 L/23 seasons for a 60%+ conversion rate. Play on the KC royals to win |
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08-12-20 | White Sox -125 v. Tigers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Tigers starer Matthew Boyd has allowed 15 runs over his first 14.2 innings of work this season, and very much looks like fade material. On the flip side , the tigers offence now has a big hole to fill with key N0.4 Hitter Cron injured which makes them less than dependable offensively. The Pale Hose have a definite edge here today.DETROIT is 15-50 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Note: White Sox hurler CEASE is 3-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.438. Play on the Chicago White sox to win |
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08-11-20 | A's +149 v. Angels | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Athletics are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when Mike Fiers starts in August. Halos starter BUNDY is 1-18 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the As to win |
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08-10-20 | Padres v. Dodgers -159 | 2-1 | Loss | -159 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
Dodgers May has dazzling tools, and he harnessed them in his last start against the Padres, striking out eight in six innings and leaving Manny Machado grimacing over a sinker that defied physics. He gets the Padres again in a test of adjustments. Rinse and repeat situation favoring the dodgers. Padres starting hurler RICHARDS is 1-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 9-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 28-8 L/5 seasons for a 79%. conversion rate. Play on LA Dodgers to win |
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08-10-20 | White Sox -147 v. Tigers | 1-5 | Loss | -147 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Dallas Keuchel Pale Hose southpaw became the first White Sox starter to work into the seventh inning in 2020, fanning eight, walking one and allowing one run over seven innings on Wednesday vs. the Brewers Im betting on his momentum to carry into this tilt. Tigers starter FULMER is 0-11 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 2-19 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to cover |
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08-09-20 | Indians -129 v. White Sox | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Bieber will look to continue his scorching hot start. He's fanned 35 batters over 21 2/3 innings through his first three starts, which is the third-most through three starts in MLB history, behind only Nolan Ryan and Gerrit Cole and gets my support here today. The White Sox are 0-12 SU since Sep 12, 2012 in the last game of a series as a home dog when they won the last two games their starter started. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win |
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08-08-20 | Marlins v. Mets -142 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
With solid showings in each of his first two starts, Peterson is making a case to remain in the Mets' rotation even after Marcus Stroman returns from the injured list and gives the Mets a solid precense on the mound here and an advantage on a vlue line. |
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08-08-20 | Orioles v. Nationals -174 | 5-3 | Loss | -174 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Voth has faced the Orioles once in his career, taking the win with six innings of one-run ball and four strikeouts last July 16. He is making his second start of the 2020 season since earning the fifth rotation spot. is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833. |
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08-08-20 | Astros v. A's UNDER 9 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
As starter Montas looks to build off his dominant performance last time out, when he racked up nine strikeouts over seven innings of one-run ball against the Mariners. |
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08-07-20 | Astros v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Bassitt (1-0, 0.93) is the As starter here.The 31-year-old has pitched brilliantly this season, shutting out the Los Angeles Angels over four innings in Oakland's opening series before allowing one run in 5 2/3 innings last week at Seattle. He has struck out 12 and walked just one in his two starts. Bassitt has gone 2-1 with a 3.97 ERA in six games (five starts) against the Astros in his career. Meanwhile, the schedule says the game is on the road for the Astros, but Greinke has been right at home in previous visits to the San Francisco Bay Area to face the A's and San Francisco Giants. The 36-year-old has gone a career 21-5 against the A's and Giants, including 10-1 on the road. He's 8-2 with a 2.78 ERA in 18 games (14 starts) against the A's in his career.
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08-07-20 | Yankees +101 v. Rays | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Tanaka is building stamina after sustaining a concussion on July 4. He tossed 51 pitches in his season debut, allowing two runs (one earned) in 2 2/3 innings to the Red Sox on Saturday. Tanaka should be in the 65-to-70 pitch range for this start and gets my support here today against a lineup he matches up well against. |
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08-06-20 | Cubs -160 v. Royals | 2-13 | Loss | -160 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Chicago's Thursday starter, Tyler Chatwood (2-0, 0.71 ERA), has opened the season in fine form and gets my backing again today as his team is also int top form having won 6 straight. |
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08-06-20 | Rangers v. A's -150 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Oakland starter Fiers went head-to-head twice last September with Rangers hurler Minor, with the A's prevailing both times.The batters ruled the day in their Sept. 14 matchup in Texas, with the A's pulling out an 8-6 win. Minor took the loss in that one while Fiers got a no-decision.Minor struggled again in a rematch in Oakland six days later, but Fiers continued his home-field dominance with eight innings of two-hit, no-walk, no-run ball in an 8-0 triumph, while Minor took the loss in that one, too. Rinse and repeat with the As getting the edge.FIERS is 23-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record). |
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08-05-20 | Dodgers -122 v. Padres | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Padres starter RICHARDS is 3-19 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record) |
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08-05-20 | Giants v. Rockies -160 | 4-3 | Loss | -160 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Rockies are red hot having won 8 of their L/9 and four straight. Considering Colorados form and the fact the Rockies are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when Jon Gray starts as a home favorite when they lost in his last start Im betting we have an edge riding their momentum in this spot play. COLORADO is 21-6 against the money line at home when the total is 12 to 12.5 over the last 3 seasons. Colorado to win on the ML |
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08-04-20 | Indians -148 v. Reds | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Cincinnati starterTyler Mahle (0-0, 4.50 ERA), who has struggled against the Indians in two starts over the past two seasons. He's allowed 10 runs, eight earned, on 12 hits and five walks over 6 1/3 innings while losing both outing. He is fade material here today vs the Cleveland Indians. |
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08-03-20 | Dodgers -130 v. Padres | 4-5 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Dodgers to BUEHLER is 4-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 0.64 and a WHIP of 0.643. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 7-30 L/23 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers to win |
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08-03-20 | Pirates v. Twins -205 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Left-hander Derek Holland (0-0, 3.18) will start Monday's opener for the Pirates. Holland is 3-7 with a 5.56 ERA in 14 appearances (13 starts) against the Twins but has really struggled at Target Field in his career, compiling an 0-5 record and a 7.98 ERA in six starts while allowing six home runs in 29 1/3 innings. ( He is fade material here today vs the Twins) |
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08-02-20 | Pirates v. Cubs -185 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Lester went 3-0 with a 3.16 ERA in five starts against the Pirates last season and Im betting he helps get his team to the promised land again. His pitching opponent Brault has struggled against the Cubs, serving up 10 homers in 38 1/3 innings over 14 appearances (five starts). He is 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA.Brault is 0-1 with a 10.29 ERA in nine appearances (three starts) at Wrigley Field. LESTER is 102-37 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up 3 or more earned runs are 48-16 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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08-02-20 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 9 | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Brault has struggled against the Cubs, serving up 10 homers in 38 1/3 innings over 14 appearances (five starts). He is 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA.Brault is 0-1 with a 10.29 ERA in nine appearances (three starts) at Wrigley Field. Bryant (8-for-16) and catcher Willson Contreras (5-for-11) each have smacked two homers off the 28-year-old.Im betting that the Cubs do enough damage here vs Brault to easily help see this total eclipsed. Note:The Cubs are 8-0 OVER L/8 since Jun 15, 2018 when Jon Lester starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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08-02-20 | Indians v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Clippard is 1-0 with a 0.87 ERA in 12 career appearances against Cleveland and will be making his first career start against the Indians. Right-hander Aaron Civale (1-0, 3.00), who is 0-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two career starts against the Twins both at Target Field -- will try to help the Indians garner a split of the series. Im betting on a lower scoring affair this afternoon. The Twins are 0-12 UNDER L/12 at home off a game as a favorite in which they shut out their opponent with a combined average of 6.67 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 102-49 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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08-02-20 | White Sox v. Royals +110 | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Dylan Cease (0-1, 15.43 ERA) to the mound for Sunday's finale. Cease is one of three White Sox starters with a double-digit ERA and kis fade material in this pot. The White Sox are 0-7 while attempting to win three straight against the same opponent. Play on the Royals to win ML |
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08-01-20 | A's -138 v. Mariners | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The Athletics are 9-0 on the ML when Mike Fiers starts as a favorite when their starter went fewer than 6 innings in each of their last two games with the L/6 having come by multiple runs. FIERS is 33-14 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FIERS is 11-0 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) |
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08-01-20 | Pirates v. Cubs -158 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The Cubs have scored a total of 38 runs in their L/5 games which is 7.6 rpg. Considering their offensive flow it is my recommendation that we back them here vs a Pittsburgh side that has allowed an average of 5+ rpg in their L/4 trips to the diamond. |
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08-01-20 | Padres -105 v. Rockies | 1-6 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Rockies starter FREELAND is 2-11 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) |
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08-01-20 | Astros -160 v. Angels | 4-5 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The Astros are 10-0 L/10 on the ML past the first game of a series on the road after they drew 5+ walks last game which was the case yesterday in their win. |
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07-31-20 | Astros -165 v. Angels | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
The Angels are 0-11 when their opponent is on a 2 game losing streak. Thats not a good omen tonight against a hungry AStros team that needs a win badly. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 2 runs or less are 72-20 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Astros to win |
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07-31-20 | Mets v. Braves -127 | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
The series opener features New York right-hander Rick Porcello (0-1, 27.00 ERA) against Atlanta lefty Sean Newcomb (0-0, 2.70) in a rematch of the third game of the season, which Atlanta won 14-1. Im betting this a rinse and repeat situation. The Braves are 11-0 on the ML on the road off a home win where they never trailed which was the case yesterday. NEWCOMB is 10-0 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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07-30-20 | Mariners v. Angels -195 | 8-5 | Loss | -195 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Under rated Angels hurler Bundy is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA in four career appearances against the Mariners, including two starts -- one of which was a shutout and gets my support here today. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 3-36 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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07-30-20 | Rays v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Rays Yarbrough has made one career appearance against the Braves. He worked five innings and allowed five runs on six hits against Atlanta in 2018. He is 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA in eight career interleague appearances, three of them starts and Im betting he gets tagged here for enough runs for this total to be eclipsed. TAMPA BAY is 11-2 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg going on the board. FRIED the Braves starter is 8-0 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's RecordThe Rays are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a dog off a road game in which they allowed 12+ hits. Play OVER |
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07-30-20 | Royals -129 v. Tigers | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Detroits Nova is 2-3 with a 5.70 ERA in eight career appearances, including seven starts, at Comerica Park.DETROIT is 5-21 against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.The Tigers are 0-10 L/10 after they were tied at the end of 6 innings last game which was the case. Four of the L/6 losses in this subset saw them get shutout. Play on Kansas City to win |
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07-30-20 | Yankees -218 v. Orioles | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
The Yankees dropped two of the first three to the Orioles last season, and then rolled to 16 head-to-head victories in a row in this series. Yesterday the Yanks smashed the Orioles by a 9-3 count in Baltimore in the teams' first meeting of the current season, running the streak to 17 games ahead of the series finale today. With the Orioles starter Means having recorded a horrendous 7.62 career ERA versus the Yankees in five games (two starts) against them in previous meetings, I look at this as another situation to bet on the Yankees to win on the ML. Note:BOONE is 30-12 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters as the manager of NY YANKEES. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-30-20 | Nationals +145 v. Blue Jays | 6-4 | Win | 145 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
The Nationals are 12-0 L/12 on the ML off a game as a favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead. Great value here on the Nationals vs Ryu, and who is getting to much respect here. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), in July games are 19-38 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate!Play on the Nationals to win on the ML |
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07-29-20 | Mariners +193 v. Angels | 10-7 | Win | 193 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The Angels are 0-10 on the ML vs a team like the Mariners that has lost at least their last two games. With Angles starter Heaney who is 1-4 with a 4.32 ERA in nine career starts against Seattle on the hill the Halos are fade material. LA ANGELS are 3-7 ( against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
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07-28-20 | Mariners +1.5 v. Angels | 2-10 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Im not liking the way the Angels have looked early on this season, and Im fading them here today, with a +1.5 runline cushion. |
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07-28-20 | Dodgers v. Astros OVER 9 | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
The Astros enter this game with a tired bullpen that has pitched 11 and 2/3rds innings over the past two games. Meanwhile, the dodgers bullpen is equally tired, after having to trott out their relievers in 10 innings over the past two days. With two viable offenses on the filed here, and two tired pitching staffs Im going to back the over. |
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07-28-20 | Dodgers v. Astros +124 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
The Astros are 17-0 on the ML dating back 3 seasons with no rest in the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last two games which is the case with the Dodgers. My own projections which factor in the starting pitching matchup and the batting orders has me look for Houston to come out on top here in this spot play between top tier teams. LA DODGERS are 5-13 (against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.Play on the Astros to win on the ML |
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07-27-20 | Royals +115 v. Tigers | 14-6 | Win | 115 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
The Tigers have lost 9 straight after they were tied at the end of 6 innings last game which was the case yesterday before they pulled out a 3-2 win vs the Reds. Now in a let down situation Im betting on the Royals having the edge.DETROIT is 1-13 against the money line in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 4-20 (against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons Play on the Royals to win on the ML |
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07-27-20 | Blue Jays v. Nationals -121 | 4-1 | Loss | -121 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Washingtons right-hander Anibal Sanchez, who was 11-8 with a 3.85 ERA last season has an edge here vs the Blue Jays according to my projections. The Nationals are 12-0 L/12 on the ML as a home favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games. Play on the Nationals to win on the ML |
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07-26-20 | Angels v. A's UNDER 9 | 4-6 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Halos starter Ohtani went 4-2 with a 3.31 ERA in 10 starts in 2018, his rookie season in MLB. He's 2-0 in his career against the A's with a 2.08 ERA in 13 innings, striking out 18. Meanwhile, Fiers, his pitching opponent from the As owned 20-6 record along with a 3.86 ERA since joining the A's in 2018 and is a viable starter. Considering both sides pitching and bullpen strengths Im betting on a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. Note:The Athletics are 0-8 UNDER L/8 dating back to last season after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.Home teams (OAKLAND) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games, team that had a winning record last season are 39-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-26-20 | Pirates v. Cardinals -138 | 5-1 | Loss | -138 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
The Pirates have lost 9 straight on the road off a road game in which they had 6 or fewer hits which was the case yesterday. It must also be noted that the Pirates have not won the last game of a series on the road in division since June 9th of last season, and I once again am betting against them here today . Pirates starter Mitch Keller (1-5, 7.13 ERA last season) will face the Cardinals for the first time in his career. Advantage Cards. Play on the Cardinals to win on the ML |
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07-26-20 | Twins -139 v. White Sox | 14-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
07-26-20 | Tigers v. Reds -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
The Cinncinnati Reds lineup was up- graded in offseason with the additions of Nick Castellanos, Mike Moustakas and Shogo Akiyama and are a dangerous group that matchup well vs the Detroit Tigers pitching staff. Tigers are 16-36 in their last 52 interleague games. Tigers are 9-45 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Play on the Cincinnati Reds -1.5 |
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07-25-20 | Diamondbacks +117 v. Padres | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
RAY the Dbacks starter is 16-6 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Padres starter LAMET is 0-7 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 4-15 against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.( The Padres won yesterday 7-2) Expecting a Padres brand that has continually shown signs of up-trending and inconsistency to plague the team once again here tonight. Play on the Diamondbacks on the ML |
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07-25-20 | Rockies v. Rangers -120 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Texas cashed as a short favorite in a 1-0 game yesterday vs the Rockies. Im betting that Colorado once again struggles to score. The Rangers starter Minor has seen his team win his last 2-0 two interleague starts .Minor likes pitching during the day as he went 5-2 with a 3.2 ERA last season.Meanwhile, his Colorado pitching opponent Gray, was a .500 (4-4) pitcher during the day with a 4.59 ERA.The Rockies did not fair well vs southpaws last season going a sub par 25-36 on the ML. Meanwhile, Rockies hitters have also struggled against Minor as is evident by a .138 BA with a .175 (OBP) and .293 (SLG). Meanwhile, Rangers hitters in the lineup that have gone against Gray,have a combined .300 BA average and .391 OBP. Advantage Texas. COLORADO is 4-21 against the money line in road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. Play on Texas on the ML |
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07-24-20 | Angels v. A's -138 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Southpaw Andrew Heaney (4-6, 4.91 ERA ) vs A's righty Frankie Montas (9-2, 2.63) is a mismatch that does not correlate to the actual line. Thus giving us value with the chalk Oakland As. ( Montas has gone 2-0 with a 2.96 ERA in seven career outings (including four starts) against the Angels and gets my support here. OAKLAND is 77-33 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons.OAKLAND is 34-13 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on the As to win vs ML |
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07-24-20 | Twins -104 v. White Sox | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
White Sox Lucas Giolito really made strides last season . He’s got a big arm and can dominate with his fastball . However today he will go against what is an elite group of fast ball hitters on the Twins that can do offensive damage in a hurry. Note: GIOLITO is 0-7 L/7 against the money line in home games after July. Meanwhile, the Twins Berrios , is looked at a possible ace for this team, and must be respected here in this spot. Note: BERRIOS is 11-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.014. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML |
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07-24-20 | Rockies +100 v. Rangers | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Lance Lynn the Rangers starter is fast ball pitcher with. pinpoint control, but the top half of the Rockies batting order crushed these kind of pitchers last year, and Im betting at least for today that will be the case again. With that said, Im betting the Rangers are over rated here against a Colorado pitcher in Marquez who was 7-3 with a 3.67 ERA in 15 road starts last season. Advantage Colorado. Play on Colorado to win on the ML |
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07-24-20 | Marlins +173 v. Phillies | 5-2 | Win | 173 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Sandy Alcantara is one of baseballs under rated hurlers . Alcantara made 32 starts last season and posted a 3.88 ERA / 1.32 WHIP. . In his four career starts against the Phillies, the Marlins are 3-1 (2.80 ERA) with 2 wins coming last season, and Im betting he matches up well here again. Meanwhile, the Phillies starting pitcher Nola is 3-6 with a 3.28 ERA in 13 career outings against the Marlins.NOLA is 3-8 ( against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Phillies are also winless in Nola’s last seven starts dating back to August 25, when he lost to todays opponents the Miami Marlins. Value, Value and more Value here with the Marlins . Play on Miami to win on the ML |
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07-24-20 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Morton the Rays starter here in their home opener , was 8-3 with a 2.59 ERA in 17 starts at home last year. The veteran hurler in three starts against Toronto last season registered a 3.06 ERA. Meanwhile, Left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu will make his first career appearance against Tampa Bay after coming over from the Dodgers in the off season via free agency. The 2019 National League ERA title holder with a (2.32) ERA is an obvious elite hurler who should give the Rays inconsistent batting order some issues here today. Considering both bullpens look viable, according to projections a total score that does not eclipse the number will make for a viable wager. Under is 7-3 in Blue Jays last 10 games as a road underdog. Play UNDER |
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10-30-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - Tied 3-3 Both teams will pull out all the stops tonight in the deciding game 7 of the World Series. Both will also be conservative in their approaches, as one mistake could be disastrous. This Im betting results in a low scoring tilt. GREINKE the Astros starter is 6-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.32 and a WHIP of 0.929. In 10 starts the under is 9-1. SCHERZER the Nats starter is 4-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.065. Under is 9-2 in Scherzers last 11 interleague starts. Under is 4-1 in umpires Wolfs last 5 interleague games behind home plate. WASHINGTON is 17-6 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - average NL hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good AL starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better ), playing on Wednesday are 35-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-29-19 | Nationals v. Astros OVER 7 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - HOU leads 3-2 After going down 2 games -0 the Astros, have come roaring back with 3 straight wins as the Houston offence has also suddenly come back to life, and will be a difficult assignment for Nats starter Strasburg. Houston has averaged 5.7 rpg vs RHP this season. Note: Stasburgs four career starts vs the Astros have gone over the total. Meanwhile, Verlander the expected Astros starter has allowed exactly four runs in three of his last four trips to the hill and comes into this game at 0-5 with a 5.73 ERA in six career World Series starts and could easily get beaten around by a desperate Washington team looking to avoid elimination. Verlanders 3 career starts vs the Astros have gone over the total. Over is 5-1 in Strasburgs last 6 interleague starts.Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 playoff games. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 13-3 in Astros last 16 interleague home games. HOUSTON is 11-3 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 10-2 OVER in home games in an inter-league game this season with a combined average of 12.2 rpg. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 71-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-26-19 | Astros v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Washington's bats were silent last night in game 3 of this series as the club went 0-for-10 with runners in scoring position and stranded 12 for the game. Now tonight Im betting on a rebound by what has become a consistent offence, and much better run production. Note: WASHINGTON is 19-7 OVER in home games after scoring 1 run or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg going on the board in those 26 tilts. MARTINEZ is 36-16 OVER in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs as the manager of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Houston after that 4-1 win last night now has momentum, and Im betting they continue upward in offensive production here today against starter Patrick Corbin who owns a 6.91 ERA and that according to my cross reference power rankings does not matchup well vs this power Astros batting order. Over is 3-0-1 in Corbins last 4 home starts. Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 interleague games.Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 vs. National League East. Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings in Washington. Play OVER |
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10-26-19 | Astros -105 v. Nationals | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Im betting the explosive bats of the Astros do some real damage vs Washingtons Patrick Corbin (6.91 ERA) tonight and even this series at 2-2 games a piece. HOUSTON is 43-14 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 51-13 against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season.WASHINGTON is 9-20 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 8-17 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or more) over the last 2 seasons. Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 10-2 in their last 12 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 40-11 in their last 51 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Astros are 40-12 in their last 52 games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 44-14 in their last 58 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Astros are 40-13 in their last 53 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 38-13 in their last 51 Saturday games.Astros are 14-5 in their last 19 vs. National League East.Astros are 11-4 in their last 15 road games. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (HOUSTON) - very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 30-15 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |