Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-25-18 | Pirates +172 v. Indians | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) Pittsburgh enters this game on fire, having won 11 straight games, while putting up huge offensive numbers in the process. Instead of going against the flow like the lines makers are suggesting Ill ride the wave until it crashes and suggest we back them in this spot play vs the Cleveland Indians. Meanwhile, Pirates starter Taillon has been in top form in his last two trips to the hill , as is evident by giving up two runs on 10 hits and three walks over 11 1/3 innings with 16 strikeouts . The Bucks hurler has also limited 16 opponents to three or fewer runs in his 20 starts this season and has garnered a 3.02 ERA since the beginning of June. Meanwhile, the Indians starter Bauer struggled in his first appearance after the All-Star break, allowing four runs on nine hits and five walks across just four innings of a no-decision at Texas and in his L/3 starts overall has shown sudden command issues permitting 10 walks during that span. He has good numbers but currently looks vulnerable at the worst possible time vs a Pittsburgh batting order that is seeing the ball very well at the moment. Note:Bauer has been the Tribes version of a hard-luck starter when it comes to run support. In his six losses, the Indians have scored a total of seven runs.Indians are 2-9 in Bauers last 11 interleague starts. PITTSBURGH is 9-1 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 12-2 against the money line in an inter-league game this season . Indians are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Pirates are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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07-24-18 | Cardinals -117 v. Reds | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
The Cards lost a heartbreaker yesterday, 2-1 as the Reds rallied late to win, but it must be noted that ST LOUIS is 12-2 against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season. Bailey the Reds starter vs the cards tonight is a ugly 1-7 with a 6.68 In his L/9 starts, and has allowed16 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings over his last three starts, the last coming May 28. He was then sent to Triple-A Louisville to rehabilitate a right knee injury and get himself back on track , but only looked average recording a 2-2 record with a slightly bloated 4.78 ERA in seven games, six of them starts. Whatever his issues were, they still don't look fixed and is fade material here in this spot. BAILEY is 1-9 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Cardinals haven 20 straight as a moneyline favorite off a game as a dog when their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 2.15 on the seasons and it is post All-Star break. CINCINNATI is 8-21 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season and 8-21 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts 36-91 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the moneyline |
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07-24-18 | Red Sox -142 v. Orioles | 6-7 | Loss | -142 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-3, 6.81 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Yefry Ramirez (0-3, 3.09) Pomeranz the BoSox starter comes off the disabled list fresh and ready to get back on track this Tuesday vs the lowly Baltimore Orioles. Pomeranz owns a 1.80 ERA in four career games (two starts) at Camden Yards.The Orioles are 0-4 since trading away All-Star shortstop Manny Machado. and Boston is perfect 9-0 L/9 games played at Camden Yards. The negative trends I'm betting continue for the Orioles tonight. BALTIMORE is 6-32 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Red Sox are 17-4 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. The Red Sox have cashed 22 straight times as a road 140+ favorite off a contest as a chalk when their oppositions starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.62 on the season and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener. Also 20 of those 22 victories came by multiple runs. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 42-15 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-24-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles UNDER 10 | 6-7 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-3, 6.81 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Yefry Ramirez (0-3, 3.09) Pomeranz the BoSox starter comes off the disabled list fresh and ready to get back on track this Tuesday vs the lowly Baltimore Orioles. Pomeranz owns a 1.80 ERA in four career games (two starts) at Camden Yards. meanwhile, Orioles rookie Ramirez, despite of being a hard luck pitcher and not garnering enough support for wins, is a solid hurler who began his career in the majors with 4 1/3 innings of three-run ball against the BoSox on June 13 this season. Ramirez is allowing opposition batters to a .224 average and has 24 strikeouts through his first 23 1/3 innings. I'm betting the kid does just enough to limit the explosive Boston offence from bombing away and embarrassing him in this spot. With that said, look for a combined score that fails to eclipse the bloated number. POMERANZ is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.POMERANZ is 13-2 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. BOSTON is 23-8 UNDER when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. .BALTIMORE is 18-3 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 3-1-2 in Orioles last 6 on grass.Under is 9-3 in Orioles last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 3-1-2 in Orioles last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 14-5 in Orioles last 19 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 19-7-3 in Orioles last 29 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 18-7-3 in Orioles last 28 home games.Under is 25-10-2 in Orioles last 37 games following a loss.Under is 35-16 in Orioles last 51 during game 2 of a series.Under is 33-16-2 in Orioles last 51 Tuesday games. Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games following a win.Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 overallUnder is 5-2 in Pomeranzs last 7 road starts.Under is 5-2 in Pomeranzs last 7 starts overall. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.Under is 4-1-1 in Pomeranzs last 6 starts vs. Orioles. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a terrible starting pitcher (WHIP 1.700 or better ) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 31-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.800 or worse on the season-AL are 52-18 UNDER L/21 season for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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07-23-18 | Braves v. Marlins +123 | 12-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
Braves LH Sean Newcomb (8-5, 3.51 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Jose Urena (2-9, 4.39) Newcomb struggled just before the All-Star break by losing each of his last three outings, posting a 9.75 ERA with 12 walks and four homers allowed in 12 innings of sub par work. I originally thought he should be refreshed after the break, but reports out of Atlanta ...accurate or not have suggested he already has some dead arm issues, and or some discomfort in his throwing arm. Whether their is accuracy to these reports I don't know but their question marks, that could get answered today vs a Miami team that on occasion have proven golden in this role when playing with same season revenge for a walkoff loss which happened the last time these teams met. The Marlins have won 12 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a home series when seeking same season revenge for a walk-off loss.. Braves are 0-5 in Newcombs last 5 starts.Marlins are 4-0 in Urenas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - horrible team, outscored by opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 39-20 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline |
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07-23-18 | Cardinals +118 v. Reds | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Daniel Poncedeleon (ML debut) vs. Reds RH Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.49 ERA) Poncedeleon the Cards starter is 9-3 with a 2.15 ERA and 103 strikeouts in 92 innings at Triple-A Memphis. He has worked 20 frames over his last three outings without allowing an earned run. This hurler underwent brain surgery this past year, after being hit in the temple by a line drive , since than it looks like a miraculous situation unfolded. I'm betting on more wow , action in his big league debut vs a Reds team that was destroyed Reds, ( outscored ) by a 27-5 count during a three-game sweep at the hands of Pittsburgh over the weekend. Castillo the Reds starter is 0-3 with a 5.24 ERA in four career starts against St. Louis in his career. iThe Cardinals have won 12 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a road series with no rest when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and it is post All-Star break. Which was the case yesterday. Cardinals are 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in Cincinnati.Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the moneyline Play on the St.Louis Cards on the moneyline |
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07-23-18 | Dodgers -134 v. Phillies | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
ROSS STRIPLING (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R) Ross Stripling owns a 4-2 record along with a stingy 1.81 ERA on the road while allowing opposition batters to a .235 batting average. He and the Dodgers get my backing here today. EFLIN the Phillies starter despite of a good season is 0-2 in 3 career starts when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.500. His team lost all three of his trips to the hill vs the Dodgers, including a 8-2 blasting earlier this season. The Phillies have lost 17 straight as a 125+ dog off a home game in the first game of a series when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss. Dodgers are 14-2 in their last 16 during game 1 of a seriesDodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 road gamesDodgers are 14-3 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Phillies are 1-5 in Eflins last 6 starts vs. National League West. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 61-154 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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07-22-18 | Astros -117 v. Angels | 5-14 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L) |
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07-22-18 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (7-5, 2.66 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Max Scherzer (12-5, 2.41) Both teams decided not to go with Saturday's starters after yesterdays cancellation/postponement -- Atlanta's Sean Newcomb (8-5, 3.51 ERA) and Washington's Gio Gonzalez (6-6, 3.72) -- and instead stay with Sunday's scheduled pitchers.All-Stars Mike Foltynewicz (7-5, 2.66 ERA) of the Braves and Max Scherzer (12-5, 2.41) of the Nationals. Scherzer the Nationals starter today is 1-1 against the Braves this season and has allowed two earned runs in 14 innings. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves man on the hill owns a decent achievement chart against the Nationals this season, allowing three earned runs in 10 1/3 innings for a stingy 1.40 ERA . The Braves righty ranks fourth in the NL in ERA and fifth in strikeouts per nine innings (10.6), pitched to a 0.87 ERA while holding opposition batters to a .146 average in nine tries. I expect after yesterdays day off, that the offences could find themselves starting slow while the pitchers dominate, as they are well rested and rejuvenated after the break. Under is 7-2-3 in Foltynewiczs last 12 starts vs. National League East.Under is 7-2 in Scherzers last 9 starts overall.Under is 6-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 home starts.Under is 6-2 in Braves last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 22-6 in Nationals last 28 during game 2 of a series.Under is 7-2 in Nationals last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 20-7 in Nationals last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 40-15-3 in Nationals last 58 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game . WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg going on the board.
Play UNDER |
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07-22-18 | Braves +195 v. Nationals | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs M.SCHERZER Foltynewicz the Braves starter had a couple of down efforts before the all star break, but Im expecting he will be refreshed after the break and ready return to the form that has him ranked 4th fourth in the NL in ERA and fifth in strikeouts per nine innings (10.6), pitched to a 0.87 ERA while allowing opposition batters to hit a lowly .146 average in nine tries before his final two outings. Foltynewicz is 2-1 with a 1.40 ERA in three starts against the Nationals this season and matches up very well against them. I'm betting on his out duelling Nats starter Scherzer today. The Braves have defeated Washington five times in the last six meetings and from a team to team matchup perspective are the superior side according to my power rankings. Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. National League East.Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The Braves have won 8 straight on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a dog of more than 150 when they are off a game in which they had 12+ hits and scored five-plus runs.Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-21-18 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R) These teams took part in a 11-10 slugfest yesterday with Colorado winning. I'm betting on more of the same action in this spot. Arizona's starter Godley (11-6, 4.61 ERA) has been ingot form of late, but has been inconsistent this season, as is evident by his slightly bloated ERA. His 1.56 WHIP is the highest among the 39 NL qualifiers, but he has been supported by 4 1/2 runs per game. I expect Colorado's sometimes explosive bats to do some damage against him here today. Over is 8-1-2 in Rockies last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Freeland the Rockies starter is 1-2 with a 4.07 ERA in five career starts against Arizona and despite of being a quality pitcher my own power rankings suggest the Backs should do well against him here today in the desert heat. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a bloated 5.82 ERA and a 4.58 ERA away from Coors Field. Over is 5-1-1 in Godleys last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.The Diamondbacks have gone OVER 11 straight times after a game as a home favorite in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break with a combined average of 15.08 rpg scored, with no game seeing less than 10 runs scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 37-12 OVER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-21-18 | Rockies +140 v. Diamondbacks | 6-5 | Win | 140 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R Godely is a decent pitcher but it must be noted COLORADO is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season averaging 5.6 rpg .With Colorado heating up winning 11 of their L/14 their a dangerous opponent for all comers and a value option on a underdog line. FREELAND is 9-3 against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Rockies are 11-0 L/11 on the moneyline as a UNDERDOG off a road game in which they left 18+ men on base , which happened yesterday and were an average of 148 + dogs on the line in those 11 tilts. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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07-21-18 | Astros -168 v. Angels | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. NICK TROPEANO (R) Verlander the Astros starter after some bad breaks before the all star game, and some down efforts compared to his usual self should be revitalized by the break and continue his domination of the Angels. Verlander owns a 2-0 record with a shutout and a 1.13 ERA in two turns this year vs the Halos and gets the nod here in this spot play. Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. American League West.Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. Angels. The Astros have won 10 of their L/14 and I'm betting they will also capture their 4th straight road win vs a inconsistent and banged up Angels team. Angels are 7-21 in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. LA ANGELS are 1-11 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 2-12 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons. The Astros have won 13 straight on the moneyline as a favorite off a road game in which they did not score after the third inning and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener. HOUSTON is 21-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. LA ANGELS are 1-7 against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (LA ANGELS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75or less), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50or worse over his last 3 starts are 10-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettorsHOUSTON is 20-3 against the money line in road games against division opponents this season Play on Houston to win on the moneyline |
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07-21-18 | Red Sox -158 v. Tigers | 0-5 | Loss | -158 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
BRIAN JOHNSON (L) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R) Johnson makes his fourth start on Saturday, coming off strong showing against the Blue Jays during which he held Toronto to two runs over 4 1/3 innings. Red Sox are 9-0 in Johnsons last 9 starts and get my support again in this spot. BOSTON is 14-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. The Red Sox have won 15 straight as a favorite off a game as a 130-plus favorite in which their opponent left 18-plus men on base. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (DETROIT) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 18-53 L/5 seasons for a 82% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-20-18 | Pirates v. Reds -108 | 12-1 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. TYLER MAHLE (R) Reds right-hander Tyler Mahle (7-7) was 4-0 with a 2.04 ERA in his previous seven starts before making his worst start of the season, a 19-4 loss to the Cleveland Indians on July 11 in which he gave up five earned runs and six hits in 2 1-3 innings. Im betting on him rebounding here vs the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight. Note: The Reds have won 16 in a row when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after playing as a road dog when their starter went less than four innings in his last start. Reds are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Meanwhile, the Reds batting order matches up well vs Pirates starter Taillon. The Pirates right-hander (6-7), who was roughed up for six runs and eight hits in six innings the last time he faced the Reds, in May and is my go against hurler in this spot. Pirates are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati.PITTSBURGH is 21-45 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline |
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07-20-18 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -140 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (6-9, 4.35 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Sam Gaviglio (2-3, 4.58) Bundy the the Orioles starter Is 0-2 in his L/2 trips to the hill along with a ugly 12.27 ERA and is fade material here vs a Toronto side that outscored Baltimore 27-11 while sweeping four game series at home back in June. Orioles are 1-10 in Bundys last 11 starts vs. American League East Meanwhile,Gaviglio, the Jays starter, has a 1.97 ERA in seven games (five starts) at home and looks like a viable pitcher to back here this evening. Blue Jays are 4-0 in Gaviglios last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.Orioles are 11-40 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.Note:The Orioles have lost 15 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a series with rest on the road after they scored in at most two separate innings, which happened before the break. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline |
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07-20-18 | Cardinals v. Cubs -132 | 18-5 | Loss | -132 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
JACK FLAHERTY (R) vs. JON LESTER (L) The Cubs have won 13 of their last 16 games and own a three-game lead over Milwaukee in the National League Central. Meanwhile, the Cards have lost 4 of their L/5 , and 8.5 games behind the Cubs, and once again look like fade material, as they go with Flaherty on the hill who is winless in his last six starts. Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. , Cubs sud starter Lester hasn’t lost since May 23, and has recorded 8-0 record along with a 2.80 ERA in nine starts over that stretch and once again I'm betting on nothing changing here vs the Cards. Cubs are 5-0 in Lesters last 5 home starts vs. Cardinals. LESTER is 11-0 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record)LESTER is 11-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)LESTER is 16-3 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ST LOUIS) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), after allowing 9 runs or more are 19-61 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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07-15-18 | Mariners +145 v. Rockies | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L) The Mariners starter LEAKE is 7-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know Colorado bats have been on fire of late, but in the past they have proven less than productive going forward, as is evident by the following trend that shows COLORADOs won loss futility as being 4-16 against the money line after batting .333 or better over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons. It also seems the Rockies start to get a little to comfortable when playing on extended home stands, as they are is 9-21 against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last couple seasons. Meanwhile, Anderson the Rockies starter is in good form, but lost his last trip to the hill, 5-3 to Arizona, and in his career is just 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 2.600 in his career. COLORADO is 10-16 against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. SEATTLE is 17-3 against the money line after 5 or more consecutive road games this season.SEATTLE is also 9-1 against the money line in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a decent NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 28-12 L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL is 19-37 L/22 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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07-15-18 | Yankees v. Indians OVER 9 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) We have two strong pitchers on the mound today, but we also have two sometimes explosive offences going against these hurlers Tanka of the Yankees and Bauer of the Indians.I'm betting on the offences finding a way to so some damage here today and for this Total to be eclipsed. TANAKA is 13-2 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 23-8 OVER in home games against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Cleveland is 15-4 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg being scored. CLEVELAND is 10-2 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 11-1 OVER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. The Yankees have gone OVER 6 straight times on the road with Masahiro Tanaka when their starter went fewer than six innings in each of their last two games. The average final score in these six games was 15 rpg , with none of those tilts failing to hit the 9 run plateau. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - (AVG or less .260) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or better, WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 82-44 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-15-18 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -142 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. BRIAN JOHNSON (L) The pitching matchup might seem to favour the Blue Jays, but the Jays starter JOHNSON is 7-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Jays flounder a lot at the plate and must not be overestimated here and have struggled against LHP like Johnson , going just 11-23 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. It must also be noted that the the Blue Jays have lost 10 straight on the moneyline with Marcus Stroman as a road dog when they won in his last start. JOHNSON is 8-0 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 22-7 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.BOSTON is 23-5 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season. The Blue Jays have lost 19 straight on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a underdog of more than 130 when they are off a defeat in which they held the lead which happened yesterday at Fenway. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-14-18 | Cubs v. Padres OVER 8 | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. LUIS PERDOMO (R) Padres starter Perdomo's will make his third start since he returned from Triple-A El Paso on July 4. He is 0-1 in his first two outings back, allowing eight runs on 14 hits and seven walks with three strikeouts over 12 2/3 innings and could easily get lit up by the Cubs batting order here today.PERDOMO is 10-1 OVER in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the scoreboard. Meanwhile, Cubs starting hurler Hendricks is 1-2 with a 5.20 ERA during the past month and has given up 17 runs (16 earned) on 30 hits and 12 walks in 27 2/3 innings.I expect the Padres 9 will also do some damage here and will help to contribute to this total being eclipsed. SAN DIEGO is 10-0 OVER in home games after a one run loss over the last 2 seasons, (which happened yesterday ) with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. CHICAGO CUBS are 21-9 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 10.3 rpg scored. MLB Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA of 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 64-35 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. The Cubs have gone OVER the Total 7 straight times as a road 160-plus favorite off a game as a favorite that was tied at the end of the sixth inning. The average final score averaged out to 12.28 rpg. Play OVER |
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07-14-18 | Angels v. Dodgers -154 | 5-4 | Loss | -154 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Heaney (5-6, 3.84) has been one of the rare Angels pitchers to avoid injury. He is one of three Angels starters to make at least 16 starts. He has proved resilient but has not been fortunate enough to garner more wins than losses, and I'm betting he will be on the wrong side of W/L her/his Saturday evening. Note: Heaney yielded three runs over seven innings in his last start against the Dodgers on Sunday. He is 1-2 with a 5.19 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers. HEANEY is 1-10 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Angels are 0-6 in Heaneys last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, Wood enters the rematch hoping to pick up a winning decision after not factoring in the decision vs. the Angels on Sunday. The lefty has tossed six-plus innings in each of his past four starts, a stretch during which he’s 3-0 with a 2.88 ERA. He gets my support here tonight. Dodgers are 17-4 in their last 21 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter. LA ANGELS are 8-17 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Angels are 2-12 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Angels are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. Angels are 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.LA ANGELS are 10-25 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons. Manager ROBERTS of LAD is 54-18 against the money line in home games after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games . Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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07-14-18 | Diamondbacks v. Braves OVER 8 | 3-0 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L) Newcomb (8-4, 3.44 ERA) Is struggling of late as is evident by going a combined 6 1/3 innings and giving up 10 runs in his last two trips to the hill. I'm betting the Backs bats don't let him off easily and accumulate some runs here that will help get us over the total. Meanwhile, Zack Greinke (9-5, 3.39 ERA) comes into the start with momentum, having won six of his past seven , but has still not been his usual dominant self despite of getting all star allocation this season. I expect the Braves a team that have averaged 4.9 rpg this season do also do some damage with this total getting eclipsed. ATLANTA is 10-2 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. (Arizona beat the Braves yesterday 2-1) Over is 9-4-1 in Diamondbacks last 14 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 15-7-1 in Diamondbacks last 23 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Newcombs last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 4-0 in Newcombs last 4 starts overall. Over is 5-2 in Braves last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (ARIZONA) - with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 42-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. The Diamondbacks have gone OVER 11 straight times when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a road game in which they scored 3 runs or fewer and won with a combined average of 10.28 rpg scored, with no game failing to reach the 8 point totals plateau. Play OVER |
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07-14-18 | Reds +130 v. Cardinals | 8-2 | Win | 130 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
The Cards looked completely asleep at the wheel yesterday losing by a 9-1 count, and that does not bode well for them here this afternoon. The Cardinals have lost 14 of their last 23 home games and are far from solid favs as a host. Im betting things don't get much better, with Cards rookie right-hander Jack Flaherty (3-4, 3.34) on the hill to face the surging Reds (42-52), who have won 20 of their last 29 games . .Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Reds Manager RIGGLEMAN is 10-3 against the money line in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities . The Cardinals has lost 5 straight as a 130-plus home favorite after a game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.The Cincinnati Reds has won 6 straight as a moneyline dog after a game in which they scored in at least three innings and hit multiple home runs. Every win was by 2 or more runs. ST LOUIS is 15-20 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ST LOUIS) - off a loss by 8 runs or more to a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are just 16-26 L/21 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline |
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07-14-18 | Diamondbacks v. Braves +100 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Greinke, whose road ERA is 4.31 in nine starts, looks susceptible to being lit up here today, vs a Atlanta team that has proven itself dangerous this season offensively. The Diamondbacks have lost 19 straight when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a game as a dog when their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 1.97 on the season and it is not a series opener , which NewCombe the Braves starterhas. Diamondbacks are 6-14 in their last 20 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 8-22 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.Diamondbacks are 5-14 in their last 19 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a winDiamondbacks are 7-16 in the last 23 meetings in Atlanta. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-14-18 | Royals v. White Sox -126 | 5-0 | Loss | -126 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
The White Sox are well prepared for their third straight win as they send Reynaldo Lopez (4-6, 3.77 ERA) to the hill . The hurler will be looking for his third victory in his past four outings. The 24-year-old right-hander had won back-to-back starts before he allowed three runs and six hits in just 4 2/3 innings last week against the Houston Astros. I'll forgive that effort vs a side that could easily be World Series Champs this season. Lopez is 2-0 with a 3.28 ERA in four career starts against the Royals and gets my support in this spot. White Sox are 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. Royals.Meanwhile, the Royals starter DUFFY is 4-15 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KANSAS CITY is 7-25 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. RENTERIA is 31-18 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed since 1997. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-13-18 | Reds v. Cardinals -148 | 9-1 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Reds RH Matt Harvey (4-5, 4.80 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Carlos Martinez (6-4, 3.05) Martinez won his third straight start Saturday after allowing one run on six hits over seven innings in a 3-2 victory at San Francisco and enters tis game as solid option in top form. The righty thrower owns a 1-1 record along with a stable 2.70 ERA in three starts against Cincinnati this season, and has over powered the Reds batting order recording 23 strikeouts (16 2/3 innings).Reds are 25-55 in their last 80 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Cardinals are 34-16 in Martinezs last 50 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Cardinals are 8-3 in Martinezs last 11 starts vs. Reds. Meanwhile, the Reds starter Harvey is 8-20 L/28 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in his career. (Team's Record) Reds are also 1-4 in Harveys last 5 road starts and are fade material here, where Harvey has pitched his worst ball this season recording a bloated .5.21 ERA in 9 away starts and does not matchup well vs this Cards batting order according to my power rankings data. CINCINNATI is 5-20 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. After exploding for 14 runs in win on Wednesday the Cards followed that up with a clunker and lost a 4-0 decision, but in the recent past have proven resilient off a loss going 4-0 after a defeat the last four times it happened. I'm betting they bounce back today. Note: Reds are 4-17 in the last 21 meetings.Play on the St.Louis Cardinals on the moneyline to win |
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07-13-18 | Rangers -109 v. Orioles | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. ALEX COBB (R) Cobb will make his scheduled start after a blister forced him to leave his previous start early. He took the loss in that outing after allowing five earned runs on seven hits and one walk in five innings and is fade material here in this spot. Cobb is 0-4 at home this season along with a bloated 5.71 ERA. Meanwhile, Cole Hamels the Rangers hurler, despite of struggling of late, is still a decent pitcher, who has his pitched his best ball on the road garnering a steady .2.57 ERA in 9 trips to the hill. Rangers manager Jeff Banister is confident Hamels will bounce back. "Very uncharacteristic," Banister said after the latest poor outing. "For me, Cole looked as strong as he's been all year long. ... Cole will be all right." Rangers are 33-12 in Hamels' last 45 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 20-9 in Hamels' last 29 starts during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.COBB is 0-10 L/10 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record).HAMELS is 11-2 against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB team (BALTIMORE) - bad offensive team (4.2or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70)-AL, in July games are 26-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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07-12-18 | Nationals v. Mets OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Max Scherzer (11-5, 2.33 ERA) vs. Mets LH Steven Matz (4-6, 3.31) This will be Scherzer's first start of the season against the Mets. Although he has been solid this month, he has not been his usual dominant self in his last two outings with a 4.85 ERA and 12 strikeouts in 13 innings and looks ripe to be taken advantage of by a Mets order that despite of struggling to score have on occasion mustered enough talent to light up opposing hurlers. A few added runs will be a totals breaker here, to the upper side of the number. I also know Matz the Mets starter is in top form, but the Nationals cannot be underestimated in their offensive abilities as recently they put up 14 and 18 runs in two separate tilts. Over is 3-1-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts vs. National League East.Over is 15-7-1 in the last 23 meetings.NY Mets In their L/24 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 10.2 rpg go on the board.WASHINGTON I L/66 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 7.7 rpg get scored.The Nationals have gone OVER 15 of the L/16 times in the first game of a series with no rest as a 140+ favorite off a road game in which they scored in at most two separate innings.All games have at least reached the 7 run plateau , with the average combined score of those 16 games clicking in at 10.88 rpg. Play OVER |
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07-12-18 | Yankees -111 v. Indians | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Luis Severino (14-2, 2.12 ERA) vs. Indians RH Corey Kluber (12-4, 2.49) Corey Kluber the Tribes starter tonight has been a home 11 times since 2012, with his team losing 9 of the 11 games. After a fast start to his current campaign, Kluber has been average at best of late going 2-2 with a 4.39 ERA. Meanwhile, Severino (14-2, 2.12 ERA) has not lost since June 10. In five starts since then he is 5-0 with a 1.67 ERA.The Yankees lead the American League with a 2.74 bullpen ERA while Cleveland has a league-worst 5.37 ERA for its relievers. SEVERINO is 15-1 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) .SEVERINO is 16-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 6-10 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season. The Yankees are 3-0 against the Indians this season after and get the nod again Severino on the hill. It must be noted that the Indians have lost 5 straight in the first game of a home series when they are seeking same season revenge for a loss. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the money line |
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07-12-18 | Brewers +122 v. Pirates | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
WADE MILEY (L) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R Miley the Brewers starter will return from the 60-day DL to make his first Brewers start since May 8, when he strained his right oblique against the Indians in his second game back from a groin injury. The coaches say he is healthy and looking strong, and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Pirates. MILEY is 9-1 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over dating back to last season. (Team's Record) Pirates are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.PITTSBURGH is 17-36 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. MILWAUKEE is 18-8 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Meanwhile, Tallion the Pirates starter has been very inconsistent this season, and according to my power rankings data does not matchup well vs the Brewers. Taillon is 1-4 with a 3.70 ERA in eight starts against the Brewers, including a loss and a no-decision this season.TAILLON is 3-9 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Pirates are 0-4 in Taillons last 4 home starts. Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 38-18 in their last 56 games following a loss.Brewers are 21-10 in their last 31 vs. a team with a losing record.MILWAUKEE is 38-16 against the money line in night games this season. The Pirates have lost 14 straight and 12 by multiple runs in the first game of a home series with no rest after a game as a home dog in which they held a multiple-run lead. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA=3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season is 45-15 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win on the moneyline |
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07-11-18 | Dodgers v. Padres +145 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. JOEY LUCCHESI (L) Padres starter Luchessi a rookie left-hander has made four starts since he returned from a right hip strain, and he’s looked very good in the last three.The young hurler , who returned June 20 from a five-week stint on the disabled list with a strained glute muscle, has allowed two runs on five hits and seven walks with 14 strikeouts over 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts. Lucchesi, has pitched 14 2/3 innings against the Dodgers, allowing one run on 11 hits and three walks with 13 strikeouts and looks like a viable underdog option in this spot. The Dodgers have struggled mightily vs LHP this season averaging just 3.7 rpg in production, via a lowly .225 team BA. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will send right-hander Kenta Maeda (5-5, 3.24 ERA), to the hill vs the Fathers. Overall, Maeda is 4-3 with a slightly bloated 4.78 ERA in 11 career appearances (10 starts) against the Padres. Key here however, is that the Padres have hit .327 against Maeda. Note: MAEDA is 3-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) I know the Padres bats have been slumping of late but they have proved resilient after offensive droughts going 13-4 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season. A DODGERS are 5-12 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. The Padres have cashed 7 straight for their backers as a 140-plus home dog after a game in which they hit multiple home runs and it is not a series opener. (Which happened last night) Play on the Padres to win on the moneyline |
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07-10-18 | Mariners v. Angels -145 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. GARRETT RICHARDS (R Richards gave up three runs (two earned) over 5 1/3 innings against the Mariners on Wednesday in his first start since returning from the disabled list. He is 7-4 with a 3.06 ERA in 21 career appearances (13 starts) against Seattle. Angels are 4-1 in Richards' last 5 home starts vs. Mariners.Meanwhile, Leake has faced the Halos three times this season, including his last outing, when he lasted four innings and allowed four runs (three earned) on nine hits. He is 1-2 with a 4.11 ERA in the three games, all at Safeco Field and according to my matchup rankings is fade material in this spot. RICHARDS is 28-8 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 in his career. (Team's Record) LEAKE is 14-24 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 9-4 in their last 13 home games.MLB favorites with a opening money line of -150 or more (LA ANGELS) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 35-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline |
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07-10-18 | Royals v. Twins -162 | 9-4 | Loss | -162 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. AARON SLEGERS (R) Kansas City, has lost 10 straight and 28 of 32. The Royals have lost 11 consecutive series dating back to the end of May and have a record only a mother could love. Meanwhile, the Twins have suddenly awoken to post 5 straight victories, Ian Kennedy the Royals starter has gone 15 starts without a win dating back to April 7, the longest active winless streak in the majors. The righty hurler, was 0-3 along with a bloated 6.43 mark in five outings last season vs the Twins and is fade material here in this spot. KENNEDY is 1-12 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Twins will sendIn a spot-start on Thursday that also served as an audition for Minnesota's fifth rotation spot, Slegers picked up his first career win as he held the Orioles to one run over six innings and in his season debut on May 30 against Kansas City, he allowed just two runs and six hits in 5 1/3 frames of relief. Note: KANSAS CITY is 12-47 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. MINNESOTA is 17-3 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 20% since 1997. Royals are 0-9 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Royals are 0-7 in Kennedys last 7 road starts.Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 29-70 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win on the moneyline |
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07-09-18 | Phillies -165 v. Mets | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
AARON NOLA (R) vs. COREY OSWALT (R) Game #2 Double Header In tonights nightcap of a two game set , ace Philadelphia right-hander Aaron Nola (11-2, 2.41 ERA), is scheduled to oppose New York rookie right-hander Corey Oswalt (0-1, 7.94 ERA). The pitching matchup favours the Phillies vs an opponent that is 8-25 since May 31 -- including 5-21 in June, which was the third-worst month in franchise history. NOLA is 10-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) NY METS are 8-21 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. The Mets have lost 24 straight as a home dog of more than 135 vs a divisional opponent that is ahead of them in the standings and it is not a series opener. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (NY METS) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less ) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 20-86 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Yes, we are laying a little lumber here, but the odds considering the matchup is skewed in our favour and worth the extra outlay. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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07-08-18 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
LUIS CASTILLO (R) vs. JON LESTER (L) Reds RH Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.53 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (11-2, 2.25) Lester has been in fine form this season, but my power rankings suggest the potent Cincinnati Reds batting lineup matches up well against him. Lester in his career is 6-1 vs the Reds but , owns a slightly bloated 4.07 ERA in those meetings. Lesters two last starts overall have been wins, but a combined 21 and 13 runs went on the board in those tilts, ( 11-10) (9-4). His team is backing him with support and I'm betting nothing changes today as the Cubs take care of business vs the up and down right hurler Luis Castillo who isles than dependable as is evident by his 5.53 overall ERA and 6.70 road ERA in 10 starts. Note: The Cubs have averaged 7.9 rpg in their L/7 trips to diamonds. Over is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 20-7-3 in Cubs last 30 Sunday games.Under is 11-4 in Cubs last 15 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 13-5 in Cubs last 18 games following a win.Over is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 overall.Over is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 on grass.Under is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 home games.Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1 in Lesters last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-2-1 in Lesters last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-3 in Lesters last 11 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 8-3-1 in Lesters last 12 starts vs. National League Central.Over is 8-3 in Lesters last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 10-4 in Lesters last 14 home starts. Over is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series.Over is 8-1 in Reds last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-1-1 in Reds last 9 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1-1 in Reds last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 Sunday games.Over is 8-2-1 in Reds last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 12-3-2 in Reds last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 overall.Over is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 on grass.Over is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 games following a loss.Over is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 7-1 in Castillos last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 5-1 in Castillos last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Castillos last 5 Sunday starts.Over is 4-1 in Castillos last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-1 in Castillos last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Castillos last 5 starts vs. National League Central.Over is 6-2 in Castillos last 8 road starts.Over is 7-3 in Castillos last 10 starts on grass.Over is 7-3 in Castillos last 10 starts overall. Over is 8-1-2 in Lesters last 11 starts vs. Reds.Over is 4-1 in Lesters last 5 home starts vs. Reds.Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Chicago.Over is 35-13-3 in the last 51 meetings. The Cubs have gone OVER 8 straight times with Jon Lester as a favorite when they won his last three starts. Chicago has gone over the total by an average of 5.81 runs in these 8 tilts and Im betting on more OVER action today. Play on the OVER |
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07-08-18 | Braves v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Newcomb the Braves lefty starter had a bad outing last time out, but the heat was unbearable as was a swirling wind. Prior that outing he was 7-1 with a 2.07 ERA in the 11 previous starts and I'm betting he will revert back to that form Sunday when he faces Milwaukee. The Brewers have struggled vs southpaws this season, hitting .20 points under the Mendoza line, .230 while collecting just 138 hits in 600 AB . Meanwhile, The Twins couldn’t solve Guerra the Brewers starter when he hurled five shutout innings of two-hit ball. Guerra has allowed more than three runs in a start just once since May 9 and continues to be in top form for the Brewers and Im expecting more top tier work again. He is also backed with a solid bullpen that will aid in his start limiting the Braves offence. Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 during game 4 of a series.Under is 40-19-1 in Brewers last 60 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Guerras last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 4-0 in Guerras last 4 starts vs. National League East.Under is 13-2 in Guerras last 15 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Guerras last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Guerras last 7 home starts.Under is 14-3 in Guerras last 17 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 18-4 in Guerras last 22 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Guerras last 15 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-2 in Guerras last 9 starts on grass.Under is 7-2 in Guerras last 9 starts overall. Under is 19-6-1 in Brewers last 26 Sunday games.Under is 21-7-1 in Brewers last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 vs. National League East.Under is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 during game 4 of a series.Under is 55-22-1 in Brewers last 78 games following a loss.Under is 44-18-1 in Brewers last 63 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game There is a good umpire on board for a low scoring game: Under is 7-1-2 in Wolcotts last 10 games behind home plate. GUERRA is 17-6 UNDER L/23 in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game . (Team's Record) with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 6.3 rpg. GUERRA is 7-0 UNDER in day games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.8 rpg scored.GUERRA is 15-4 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 96-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-08-18 | Marlins v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 10-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
TREVOR RICHARDS (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R) Roark the Nationals starter has not looked all that great of late, but according to my power rankings pitcher vs offence charts matches up well vs Miami, and could have a fast reversal of fortunes in this spot. It must be noted Roark has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts against the Marlins and I'm betting he keeps that momentum alive in this rematch. Meanwhile, Trevor Richards is a pitcher that continues to gain confidence and has shown composure of late. He is not easily rattled, and I expect he will temper the Nats offence here today, as the home teams comes off an offensive explosion yesterday, and could experience a battery draining reversion to the mean that has seen them average just 3.9 rpg in day time games this season. Under is 6-2-1 in Roarks last 9 starts vs. Marlins.Under is 4-0 in Richards' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yesterday the Nationals unloaded the Marlins in a big way winning by a 13-4 count. Previous to that they won 3-2, after winning the first game of the series by a 14-12 count. With that said, the it must be noted that the Nationals have gone UNDER in the last 9 game of a home series after a game in which they hit multiple home runs, staying under by an average of 3.72 rpg. The last 7 games have not seen more than 6 combined runs scored and none of these 9 games have eclipsed the 9 run totals plateau offered here today by the books. Under is 7-0-2 in umpire Reynolds' last 9 games behind home plate. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (WASHINGTON) - after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival, in July games are 88-43 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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07-07-18 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 7 | 4-18 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R) LHP Wei-Yin Chen (2-5, 5.55) starts for the Marlins and has a 9.85 ERA in seven road starts this season and looks like cannon fodder once again, and could easily all by himself facilitate a score that eclipses this beatable number. In his last seven starts, Chen is 1-3 with a 5.85 ERA. Meanwhile, Scherzer has lost four consecutive decisions for the first time since 2009-10, with complaints about of lack of run support. Today he should finally get the help he needs, why he himself may not do all that well vs a Marlins offence that according to my own power rankings actually matches up well against him.MIAMI is 11-2 OVER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 12.7 rpg scored.MIAMI in 28 games as a road underdog of +150 or more this season have seen a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 13-2 OVER vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Chens last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 7-2 in Marlins last 9 road games.Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1-1 in Scherzers last 6 home starts vs. Marlins. The Marlins have gone OVER 16 straight times by an average of 4.88 rpg as a road 170+ dog after they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 or less (MIAMI) - bad offensive team (3.8 runs/game or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 roles earned runs in his last 2 outings are 46-19 OVER L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the OVER |
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07-07-18 | Rangers -115 v. Tigers | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R) The Tigers took out the Rangers yesterday in game 2 of this series . It must be noted however, that the Texas Rangers have won 8 straight on the moneyline in franchise history with Cole Hamels when they are a favorite and seeking immediate revenge for a loss as a favorite. With Hamels pitching his best best ball on the road this season, as is evident by garnering 3-1 record along with a stingy 2.05 ERA in 8 starts, he and is team look like a viable option to keep this streak alive. Hamels owns a singy 1.80 ERA in three career starts at Comerica Park. HAMELS team is 19-3 against the money line when he starts vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. Fiers the Tigers starter owns an 8.10 ERA in seven career outing vs the Rangers (six starts). Rangers are 12-4 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.Tigers are 1-12 in their last 13 games on natural playing surface and have lost 14 of their L/17 overall.DETROIT is 16-36 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 7-22 against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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07-07-18 | Rockies +178 v. Mariners | 5-1 | Win | 178 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rockies are off a a 7-1 win yesterday, where they left a lot of runners on base vs their hosts Seattle. The score could have been even more one sided if thats possible. It must be noted however, the The Rockies have won 10 straight as a dog off a road game in which they left 18+ men on base. COLORADO is also 9-3 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 this season and must not be underestimated. Colorado will send left-hander Kyle Freeland (8-6, 3.25) to the hill to face the Seattle Mariners this Saturday afternoon Freeland has made one career start against the Mariners, a 6-3 victory at Safeco Field last season. He pitched six innings in that game and allowed two runs on six hits. In five career interleague starts, Freeland is a perfect 4-0 while garenring a 2.14 ERA and gets my support here. Yes, the powerful Paxton goes to the hill for the Mariners, but with Colorados bats finally starting to heat up no pitcher is safe. Note: Rockies star offensive weapon Charlie Blackmon is back in form and hit a home run last night.During the Rockies recent' four-game win streak, Blackmon is batting .471 (8-for-17) with two homers.Blackmon has a .305 career average against southpaws like Paxton. Of the left-handed batters with a minimum of 750 plate appearances, the only ones in baseball history with a better average against southpaws are Ichiro Suzuki, Tony Gwynn, Rod Carew and Larry Walker. When this guy is on fire, the Rockies offence feeds off of him. It must also be noted that the Rockies have won 9 straight on the moneyline as a road underdog after a game in which Charlie Blackmon hit a home run. Mariners are 1-7 in Paxtons last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Mariners are 2-5 in Paxtons last 7 interleague starts.Rockies are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.Play on Colorado to win on the moneyline |
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07-07-18 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 8-5 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Two top tier starting pitchers Severino (13-2, 1.98 ERA) and Happ (10-4, 4.03) go to the hill today to face each other in a tilt I have pegged as a pitcher duel.Severino has looked good vs the Blue Jays this season going 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA in two starts and has currently on a 13 2./3 scoreless innings streak. In 17 career starts against the Yankees, Happ is 8-3 along with a 3.53 ERA. Yesterday the Blue Jays started the series with a 6-2 victory , and chased the Yankees starter from the game early. Its very important to note however, that The Yankees have gone under 18 in a row as a road favorite of more than 120 after a game in which their starter pitched less than three innings and it is not a series opener.The last 17 have only seen three games reach the 8 run Totals plateau and non eclipsing it. The average combined score clicked in a 6.89 rpg. NY YANKEES are 15-6 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average score of 7.2 rpg scored.TORONTO is 21-9 UNDER against division opponents this season with the average score of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 9-1 in Yankees last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on astroturf.Under is 24-5 in Yankees last 29 overall.Under is 14-3 in Yankees last 17 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 14-3 in Yankees last 17 road gamesUnder is 35-16-2 in Happs last 53 starts vs. American League East.Under is 36-17-3 in Happs last 56 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 21-10-3 in Happs last 34 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Play UNDER Play UNDER |
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07-06-18 | Braves +122 v. Brewers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs. FREDDY PERALTA (R) Right-hander Mike Foltynewicz gets the nod from me here in tis spot as he starts for the Braves. Foltynewicz owns a minuscule 0.87 ERA over his last nine starts, holding opponents to a .146 average during that stretch with 64 strikeouts in 52 innings.Needless to say , getting him on a value line looks very much like a blue chip investment option. Opponents scored more than one run against him in one of those above mentioned trips to the hill . The top tier right hander has held opponents scoreless in five of them, including his last outing when the Cardinals managed just one hit against him in five innings.Foltynewicz has owned the Brewers during his four seasons in the big leagues, recording a 1.48 ERA in four career starts against Milwaukee. He faced them twice last season, allowing two earned runs (five total) over 11 innings while striking out 15 and is my choice to deliver us some bankroll expanding profits in this spot vs the host Brewers. A key perfect trend also indicates the The Braves are 5-0 on the moneymen with Mike Foltynewicz as a underdog when they won his last three starts , which has just happened. I know the Braves have struggled a little bit of late, but they have proven resilient, and show good fight going forward as is evident by ATLANTA going 10-1 against the money line after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. I also know that the Braves face a good young pitcher in Peralleta but they have proven themselves vs strong pitching opponents, going 10-3 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are just 15-27 L/21 seasons for a long term go against 64% for bettors on the blind. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-06-18 | Rays v. Mets UNDER 7 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
RYAN STANEK (R) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R) Stanek the Mets starter today vs the struggling offence of the NY Mets has been in top form in spot starts as an "opener" for the Rays. he recently had a streak of 12 consecutive scoreless trips to the hill halted in a relief loss at Miami this past Monday . But the confident hurler bounced back quickly with two shut out innings of relief the next day against the Marlins, striking out three in the process. Note: Stanek is the only pitcher in history with seven straight scoreless starts, something I have taken into consideration as have the lines makers. Meanwhile, his Mets pitching opponent Jacob DeGrom, despite of owning the best ERA in the National League, continues to be frustrated, thanks to a lack of run support and clutch hitting by a offence that is averaging just 3.2 rpg on the season at home via a ugly .215 BA. He has made eight starts at home, posting a 2-2 record despite a 1.90 ERA and .199 batting average against. I expect he will be in top form again, vs a TB side that has averaged just 3.2 rpg in interleage action this season. Im expecting both pitchers and their bullpens to highlight what I'm betting will be a lower scoring fair that fails to eclipse the total. Note:The Mets have gone 14 straight times in the first game of a series with rest as a home favorite off a game as a dog when they blew a lead in their starter's last start and lost ( That happened to Degrom last time out). The L/13 have not seen more than 7 runs scored, with the average combined score clicking in at 4.3 rpg. The L/8 have seen 4 shutouts, and a combined average score of 3.5 rpg scored. The Rays had a day off yesterday: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games following an off day. Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15Under is 12-4 in Rays last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 5-0 in Mets last 5 interleague home games.Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 6-1 in Mets last 7 interleague games. Play UNDER |
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07-06-18 | A's +170 v. Indians | 4-10 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
PAUL BLACKBURN (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R) A's will send Paul Blackburn (2-2, 6.46 ERA) to face the Tribe tonight. I know is stats don't look like their of the top tier variety , but what is important here is not his overall numbers, but the facts that in his last start on June 29 in Oakland, Blackburn owned the Indians, pitching 6 1/3 scoreless innings and giving up just three hits in a 3-1 victory. . In two career starts against the Indians, Blackburn is 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA. BLACKBURN is 9-3 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Cleveland will fire back with the rusty Carlos Carrasco (8-5, 4.24), who will make his first start since June 16, a 9-3 loss to Minnesota. It will take him some time to get things going in the right direction, something he wasn't doing before being sidelined. There is a lot of value sitting on the table here, and even though there is never great value with consistently taking dogs on the blind in MLB (myth) , there are obviously consistent spots where underdogs can pay big dividends. This one has the potential to pay out, according to my investment chart parameters. CARRASCO is 3-10 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 13-4 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 9-4 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. The Indians have lost 9 straight in the first game of a series with rest after a win as a road favorite in which they never trailed. MLBRoad underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, starting a pitcher who walked 1 hitters or less each of his last 2 outings are 35-22 L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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07-05-18 | Angels v. Mariners -132 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
JAIME BARRIA (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) |
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07-05-18 | Padres +140 v. Diamondbacks | 6-3 | Win | 140 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
ERIC LAUER (L) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R) |
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07-04-18 | White Sox v. Reds -167 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
DYLAN COVEY (R) vs. SAL ROMANO (R) Covey the Pale Hose starter today is fade material in this spot in his current form which has produced a 0-2 record along with a ugly 12.71 ERA in his last three starts .He is also off allowing nine runs on eight hits in 2 1/3 innings of an 11-3 setback at Texas. White Sox are 1-11 in Coveys last 12 road starts. White Sox are 0-6 in Coveys last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Yesterday Chicago showed rare offensive explosion in a 12-8 win vs the host Reds. But a long term historical trend favours the Reds to bounce back here. The Reds are 27-0 L/27 as a home 135-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed six-plus runs which happened yesterday. CHI WHITE SOX are 3-21 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last couple of seasons. Cincinnati is 7-2 in interleave play this season, and have averaged close to a .300 team BA, and scored an average of more than 7 rpg. I am not a big proponent of laying heavy lumber, in money line situations, but this extra out lay , is worth it, according to my investment chart perimeters . Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the money line |
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07-04-18 | Astros -142 v. Rangers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Garrett Cole . (R) vs. MIKE MINOR (L) Cole the Astros starter today , had a 7 game win streak end lat time out, but will be more than prepared to bounce back in this spot . The righty hurler has allowed just eight hits while going 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 33 strikeouts over 20 innings in three very strong starts against the Rangers this season and is 3-0 with a 1.33 ERA in four career outings.Cole gets the nod vs an inconsistent Texas attack that averages just 4.3 rpg vs righties via a lowly .230 BA. Astros are 14-3 in Coles last 17 startsAstros are 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts vs. American League West.Rangers are 0-4 in Minors last 4 starts vs. American League WestRangers are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rangers are 8-21 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600Astros are 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Texas and have won 7 straight overall in this series.HOUSTON is 13-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.HOUSTON is 19-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. The Rangers are 1-16 L/17 on the money line as a home dog when they are off two losses in which they never led with 15 of those loses coming by multiple runs. MLB Road teams like (HOUSTON) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in July games are a solid long term investment option going 159-105 L/21 seasons for a 60%+ conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the money line |
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07-04-18 | Red Sox -124 v. Nationals | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. ERICK FEDDE (R) |
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07-03-18 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) The Dodgers smashed the Pirates yesterday by a 17-1 count and now I'm expecting a natural letdown situation to occur offensively for the Dodgers here , which I'm betting helps facilitate a lower scoring affair.Note: The Pirates have gone under 10 straight times on the road after they allowed 12+ hits which happened in their last game. No score eclipsed the 7 run plateau, and the 10 games went under by an average of 3.8 rpg. The Pirates are 2-16-1 O/U as a road dog off a road game in which they lost by 5+ runs with no game over the 19 game span eclipsing the 7 run plateau. Two pitchers who have recently come of the DL go head to head tonight in LA as Clayton Kershaw of LA takes on Ivan Nova of the Pirates. In four starts since coming off the DL because of a sprained right finger, Nova is 2-0 with a 1.75 ERA.Nova ince coming off the DL and has given up one or no runs in three of those outings. Note:Under is 15-2 in Novas last 17 starts during game 2 of a series. Meanwhile, Kershaw will be making his third start since coming off the disabled list for his most recent back injury and is showing upward momentum and strength and owns a 2.77 ERA since his return, and I'm betting this will be his strongest start to date as the rust will now completely worn off. .KERSHAW is 17-5 UNDER in his career in home games in July . (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 5.3 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 home starts vs. Pirates. Under is 24-9-4 in Pirates last 37 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 or less (PITTSBURGH) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), in the second half of the season are 73-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. ( The que numbers are even better at 7.5) Play UNDER |
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07-03-18 | Orioles v. Phillies -149 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
Orioles are 3-11 in Cobbs last 14 starts.He owns a ugly 6.75 ERA on the season along with a 2-9 record and has registered an even uglier .6.90 ERA on the road .1730 WHIP allowing 67 hits in just 45 innings of substandard work. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 against the money line in home games with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 12-43 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season and s 6-24 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season.BALTIMORE is 2-18 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season.Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Orioles have lost 14 straight on the money line in the first game of a series with rest on the road after they scored in at most two separate innings. MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 consecutive one run wins over a division rival, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 31-11 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 127-43 L/21 seasons for 74% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win on the money line |
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07-03-18 | Red Sox -101 v. Nationals | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Roark the Nationals hurler has been in a funk for a while now He went 1-4 with a 6.08 ERA in five starts and one relief appearance in June, surrendering 18 earned runs in 26 2/3 innings of sub par work. He looked decent in his last outing but still looked erratic at times in is in unstable form at the moment and fade material vs a Boston Red Sox side that matches up well against him according to my power rankings . Meanwhile his pitching opponent from the BoSox Johnson a southpaw allowed a run in four innings for the Red Sox Thursday night against the Angels in place of Steven Wright, who went on the disabled list with a knee injury earlier last week. With this being Johnson's last chance to show his stuff as a starter in the rotation with Drew Pomeranz close to returning, I'm betting he will be primed to perform.Red Sox are 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts. WASHINGTON is 8-16 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. ROARK is 1-7 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)ROARK is 5-11 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 45-19 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague road games. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the money line |
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07-02-18 | Indians v. Royals OVER 8 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
In his first 14 starts this year, Kluber the Tribes starter tonight vs the Royals was 10-2 with a 1.99 ERA. But in his last three starts, Kluber is 1-2 with a 6.59 ERA and struggling mightily. Meanwhile,Junis the Royals starter has lost his L/6 starts along with a bloated 6.30 ERA and was beaten around for five runs on seven hits , including three homers - and three walks over five innings of sub standard work vs the Brewers last time out.Junis' last start against Cleveland came May 13. In a 6-2 loss to the Indians, he pitched 5 2/3 innings, allowing four runs and six hits with seven strikeouts and two walks.In three career appearances against Cleveland, Junis is 0-1 with a 5.93 ERA and could easily get beaten around again vs a side that my power rankings suggest does not matchup well against. I won't be surprised if the sometimes explosive Indians offence puts enough runs on the board to eclipse this total all by themselves. KLUBER is 8-0 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)with a combined average score of 11.5 rpg scored.KLUBER is 39-22 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with an average of 10 rpg scored. Im betting a struggling KC offence does just enough damage here to help us eclipse the total. . KANSAS CITY is 54-32 OVER L/86 as a home underdog of +175 or more with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. MLBRoad teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 53-21 OVER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-02-18 | Twins v. Brewers -138 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. BRENT SUTER (L) Gibson the Twins starter despite of decent overall numbers this season is beginning to go into a tailspin as is evident when he lost his second straight start and fell to 1-5 in his last eight trips to the hill this past Wednesday after allowing five runs on 11 hits in a 6-1 loss at the Chicago White Sox.With Gibson in a down turn, and the Twins struggling away from home losing 25 of 40 games, this season, they are fade material, especially considering how tired their over used bullpen is. SUTER the Brewers starter is 11-2 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Brewers are 4-0 in Suters last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 5-1 in Suters last 6 home starts. MINNESOTA is 1-9 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.MINNESOTA is 3-14 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season. ( Note: The Twins pitching staff has just allowed 35 runs in a 3 game set vs the Cubs ) MILWAUKEE is 7-0 against the money line after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games dating back to last season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 2.000 the last 5 games are 40-6 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - allowing 4 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 34-7 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the money line |
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07-02-18 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -140 | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. RYAN BORUCKI (L) Fiers the Tigers starter has struggled on the road this season with a 5.15 ERA, nearly two full runs differential than his total at Comerica Park (3.19) and is fade material here in this spot. At the Rogers Centre Fiers, is 0-2 mark and 5.91 ERA in two career starts. Meanwhile, Borucki in his major league debut, allowed just 2 runs vs the explosive Houston Astros in 6 quality innings of work, and should be very well prepared for a far less cohesive offence in this spot. I know the Tigers won yesterday to end a 11 game losing streak, but I'm betting on them reverting back to usual selves this afternoon. The Tigers have lost 18 straight as a 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base.The Tigers have lost 18 straight as a 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent,The Tigers have lost 18 straight games as a road 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base.The Blue Jays have won 6 straight if not playing the first game of a series as a 140+ favorite after they scored first.Tigers are 4-17 in their last 21 during game 4 of a series. Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Blue Jays are 39-18 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Blue Jays are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Blue Jays are 10-2 in their last 12 home games.Tigers are 3-12 in the last 15 meetings in Toronto. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the money line |
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07-01-18 | Rockies +190 v. Dodgers | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
The Dodgers have looked asleep at the proverbial wheel in the first two games of this series vs the Colorado Rockies losing both times as hefty favs. I natural reaction by bettors would no be that the Dodgers will be now primed for a bounce back effort as they look to avoid the embarrassing sweep at home. Unfortunately though its not always easy to just push the start button, and reboot when your crashing, and that is what my contrarian position is in this spot. |
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07-01-18 | Braves v. Cardinals +102 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Atlantas starter Foltynewicz despite of pitching well of late has faced St. Louis three times in his career, going 1-2 with a 9.95 ERA and yielding a whopping 22 hits over 12 2/3 innings which coincides with me fading him as my power rankings suggest the Cards matchup well against him. Meanwhile, John Gant (2-2, 3.48). Gant, replacing the disabled Michael Wacha in the rotation, pitched the best game of his career Monday night, limiting Cleveland to an infield single by Yan Gomes over seven innings in a 5-0 victory. Now with confidence on board, the former Atlanta prospect will be out to show the Braves what they missed out on. |
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06-30-18 | Red Sox -135 v. Yankees | 11-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. SONNY GRAY (R) The ace of the BoSox pitching staff goes against the Yankees after striking out nine or more batters in each of his past four outings. He tallied eight strikeouts, allowed eight hits, walked none and surrendered one run over six innings against the Yankees on April 10 and matches up very well against the Yankees batting order. Note: Sale is getting stronger as the season has progressed ,his average fastball was 92.5 in April, 95.6 in May and 97.0 this month. Meanwhile, the Yanks starter Gray is off a loss in his last start, when he surrendered four runs and six hits in 6 2/3 innings to the Rays at Tropicana Field. He faced Boston on April 12, permitting six runs over three innings in a loss and my own power rankings suggest he will struggle against the Red Sox batting order again. Since joining the Yankees, he is 0-3 with a 7.20 ERA in three starts against the Red Sox. For his career, Gray is 1-5 with a 5.97 ERA in seven games against Boston. GRAY is 6-16 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GRAY is 5-12 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 47-19 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Red Sox are 18-1 L/19 as a 130-plus favorite off a game as a dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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06-30-18 | Indians v. A's UNDER 9.5 | 2-7 | Win | 105 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
ADAM PLUTKO (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R) Plutko the Tribes starter today vs Oakland limited Detroit to two runs on six hits over six innings on Sunday, ending with four strikeouts and no walks. The right-hander has held righty batters to a .186 average with a .620 OPS in six outings this season. I'm expecting he does just fine vs Oakland offense that has struggled offensively at home this season generating just 3.6 rpg via a lowly .223 BA. Meanwhile, the Athletics will respond with Jackson who gave the A’s six innings in his 2018 debut, holding the Tigers to one run on Monday. He allowed just six hits and didn’t walk a batter, while striking out seven in the 80-pitch outing. I expect he gets even stronger today, and continues his past top tier efforts vs the Tribe, as is evident by 9-1 W/L career record along with a solid 2.81 ERA. The Indians have been a Dr.Jekyll and Mr.Hyde offense home and away this season. On the road Cleveland has averaged just 3.8 rpg behind a lackluster .224 BA and I'm betting on Jackson and a stable As bullpen 2.66 ERA at home to keep the Tribe for erupting, thus helping see this game score finish on the low side of the Total. JACKSON the As starter is 11-1 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.
MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 48-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-30-18 | Angels v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R) Skaggs the Angles starter this afternoon took the loss in his last start on Monday despite holding the Royals to one run over seven innings. He has posted a 0.67 ERA over 27 innings in four June starts and I'm betting will make life difficult for the Os offense. Meanwhile, Baltimore's starter Cashner took a no-decision in his last start, against the Mariners, despite going six innings for the third time in four outings. The righty has a 3.68 ERA in June but is winless in four starts, thanks to a lack of clutch hitting and run support by the Os struggling batting order that has produced more than 3 runs only twice in their L/9 games. LA ANGELS are 9-1 UNDER after a win by 6 runs or more this season with the average combined score clicking at 6.4 rpg.BALTIMORE is 14-4 UNDER in home games after a loss by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. BALTIMORE is 20-7 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored and is 16-3 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board. CASHNER is 9-2 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average scoring ringing in at 6.5 rpg. CASHNER is 12-2 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. CASHNER is 15-4 UNDER (+10.8 Units) with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 17-3 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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06-29-18 | Rockies +145 v. Dodgers | 3-1 | Win | 145 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
German Marquez the Rockies hurler has a below average won loss record of 5-8 and a bloated 5.64 ERA, but a lot of that damage has come at Coors field. On the road Marquez is 3-3 along with a stable 3.29 ERA , and is under rated on the line in this spot thus giving us value backing him and his teammates in this spot. It must also be noted that the Dodgers are 0-6 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse this season LA DODGERS are also just 3-10 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season this season. COLORADO is 6-0 against the money line revenging a 3 game sweep, beaten by 3+ runs in each game over the last 3 seasons. Which happened the last time these teams met in early June. LA DODGERS has also not been stable favorites as is evident by a 20-24 record against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. The Rockies have won 8 straight as a 150-plus underdog on the opening line off a road game in which they led by multiple runs, which was the case last time out. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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06-29-18 | Braves v. Cardinals -140 | 5-1 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. MILES MIKOLAS (R) The Braves starter today Teheran vs the Cards is coming off his worst start of the season after giving up 7 runs, including a grand slam in the first, to the O's last Saturday. Since starting the season 4-1, Teheran is 1-4 in his last six outings along with a bloated 6.06 ERA and seven homers allowed in 32 2/3 innings. He will be backed by a Braves bullpen, that has garnered a 5.46 ERA with 14 walks in 29 2/3 innings on the recent homestand. Meanwhile, Mikalos .the Cards starter has been one of major league baseballs pitching surprises this season, and is highly under rated and gives the Cards a strong chance foe victory tonight. The righty thrower has walked just 12 hitters in 97 innings while ranking second in the National League in WHIP (0.97) and sixth in ERA. He should do well vs a mix match banged up Atlanta batting order that is slumping of late, as was evident when they lost 4 of 6 in their recent home stand. TEHERAN is 18-35 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Cardinals are 41-9 L/50 since Sep 15, 2015 as a 140+ favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games, which the Braves have. MLB Teams are 19-4 since Jun 18, 2018 League as a home 140+ favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games. MATHENY is 94-60 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) as the manager of ST LOUIS. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline |
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06-29-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L) Sabathia the Yankee starter tonight has lost his last two starts, both to the Rays, despite limiting them to five runs (four earned) with 14 strikeouts over 13 innings. I'm betting he keeps his team in this game as well and limits the Beantown offense to limited run producing opportunities. Meanwhile, Rodriguez the BoSox starter , despite of a rare substandard effort Mariners, when he allowed 5 runs in 4 innings, the southpaw has been solid, with a 2.97 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in the past seven games. Against the Yankees on May 10, he struck out eight over five scoreless innings. Both hurlers are backed by quality bullpens, and I'm betting on these hurlers providing up with quality work, which will help contribute to us cashing a under ticket here. Under is 9-0 in Sabathias last 9 home starts vs. Red Sox.Under is 5-1 in Rodriguezs last 6 road starts vs. Yankees. Under is 13-3-1 in Yankees last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-0-1 in Yankees last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 23-9-2 in Rodriguezs last 34 starts vs. a team with a winning record. SABATHIA is 26-10 UNDER against division opponents over the last few seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 7.6 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 17-7 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average score of 7.5 rpg scored. RODRIGUEZ is 22-8 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. RODRIGUEZ is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined 5.5 rpg scored. BOONE is 22-4 UNDER L/26 in June games as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. BOONE is 27-9 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. The Red Sox are 3-17-2 OU L/22 by an average of 1.73 rpg in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after they used 5+ pitchers. The Red Sox are 9-27 OU since Jun 15, 2004 on the road off a game as a favorite vs a lefty when they won the last three times they faced a lefty with a combed average of 8.3 rpg scored. RODRIGUEZ is 12-2 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rpg going on the board. NY YANKEES are 20-8 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average score of 7.5 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are a long term good bet for under bettors and are 138-64 to the UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate on the blind. Play UNDER |
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06-28-18 | Brewers -102 v. Reds | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
JUNIOR GUERRA (R) vs. ANTHONY DESCLAFANI (R) The Reds hurler is currently in good form and off a quality start but it must be noted that the Reds are just 1-6 in DeSclafanis last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Meanwhile the Brewer starter Guerra despite of substandard win loss record, has not allowed more than 3 runs in any of his L/8 starts, and almost always gives his side a chance for victory. GUERRA is 21-10 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CINCINNATI is 1-10 against the money line in home games revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years this season.Brewers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. The Reds are 0-13 SU after a game as a road dog in which they scored first, trailed and won. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season are 40-13 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewer to win on the money line |
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06-28-18 | Mariners -142 v. Orioles | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. JIMMY YACABONIS (R) Mike Leake (8-4, 4.11 ERA) will start for the Mariners against Jimmy Yacabonis (0-0, 15.43). Leake has the advantage according to my pitcher vs offense power rankings system. LEAKE is 12-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Seattle has won the first three games of this series, after yesterdays 8-7 victory in 11 innings over the slumping and injury-riddled Orioles and look like viable investment option to sweep this series.SEATTLE is 31-18 against the money line after a one run win over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 0-13 L/13 at home after playing as a home dog when playing a team that has a better record.
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06-27-18 | Cubs v. Dodgers -135 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. ALEX WOOD (L) |
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06-27-18 | Indians +100 v. Cardinals | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R)
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06-27-18 | Twins -138 v. White Sox | 1-6 | Loss | -138 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The White Sox will go to right-hander James Shields (2-9, 4.59 ERA) to make his 17th start of the season, but are at a disadvantage as the Twins return fire with the confident Kyle Gibson who has limited opponents to two earned runs or fewer in each of his past five starts. Gibson owns a solid 6-2 record with a 2.42 ERA vs the Twins in his career.GIBSON is 11-3 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIBSON is 13-4 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIBSON is 25-9 ( against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record)GIBSON is 12-2 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The White Sox are 4-18 since Apr 27, 2013 in not the first game of a series as a dog off a home game when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season including their L/11 in a row under these perimeters. The White Sox are 0-6 L/6 this season and its not the first game of a series as a home dog after a game as a home dog in which they scored 6+ runs.The White Sox are 0-10 L/10 this season and its not the first game of a series as a dog after playing as a home dog when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the money line |
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06-27-18 | Blue Jays v. Astros -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) |
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06-27-18 | Royals v. Brewers -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. BRENT SUTER (L) Brent Suter (8-4, 4.15 ERA) will start for Milwaukee, looking for his fourth consecutive victory. The left-hander has been amazing during his winning streak, recording a 2.84 ERA while holding batters to a .185 average and a .551 OPS. He is in great form and gets my support to help his team cover on the run-in this afternoon vs a Royals that are 4-19 since June 1 and have lost 12 of their last 14 games -- six by four or more runs. It must be noted that the Brewers are 7-0 on the money line in franchise history with Brent Suter as a home favorite when they scored three-plus runs and won in his last start with the victories coming by an average of 5.71 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 7-31 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season losing by an average of 2.3 rpg. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the run line -1.5 ( Late update) |
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06-26-18 | Mariners -132 v. Orioles | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
JAMES PAXTON (L) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) The Mariners have won 25 straight on the moneyline as a road favorite of more than 130 when their opponents starter has an ERA of higher than 3.00 on the campaign, it is not a series opener, and they did not use more than five pitchers in their previous game.
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06-25-18 | Indians v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. JOHN GANT (R) Cleveland and their bats have come to life of late, scoring 50 runs in their L/6 games and could put enough runs on the board vs the Cards starters in bullpen today to eclipse this weak total all by themselves.Over is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. CLEVELAND is 17-4 OVER after 4 or more consecutive home games this season.( The Tribe just played 9 straight as hosts) The Cardinals have gone 7 straight times in the first game of a series with no rest as a underdog after a game as a road pup in which they used 5+ pitchers going over the total by an average of 8 runs per game. Play on the OVER |
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06-25-18 | Padres v. Rangers -140 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
JOEY LUCCHESI (L) vs. COLE HAMELS (L) Hamels is 3-3 with a 2.81 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in his past 10 starts. Opponents are hitting .206 off him in that stretch. He is 9-2 with a 2.25 ERA in 17 career starts against the Padres.Hamels has gone six-plus innings in his past eight starts, his second-longest streak with the Rangers, and has allowed just one earned run in 13 innings in his last two starts. Note: HAMELS is 19-4 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 2-16 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start dating back to last season. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after getting shut out are 30-62 L/21 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB TEXAS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a decent NL starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 36-17 for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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06-25-18 | Mariners -119 v. Orioles | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R) Andrew Cashner (2-8, 4.72 ERA) starts for the Orioles Monday against Felix Hernandez (6-6, 5.14 Despite a career-high ERA of 5.14, the veteran right-hander has pitched better of late, allowing two or fewer runs in three of his last four starts. He’s 4-1 with a 3.09 ERA in seven career starts at Camden Yards. He gives his team an edge, vs a hurler in Cashner that has been both inconsistent and the unlucky recipient of a lack of run support making him and struggling team fade material in this spot. HERNANDEZ team when he starts is 14-3 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record .SEATTLE is 37-21 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.SEATTLE is 9-1 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive road games this season. BALTIMORE is 9-30 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BALTIMORE is 6-23 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. BALTIMORE is 9-23 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. Play on Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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06-25-18 | Yankees -142 v. Phillies | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
JONATHAN LOAISIGA (R) vs. VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R)
Yankees starter Loaisiga (1-0, 3.12 ERA) will make just the third start of his major league career. Note: Phillies starter VELASQUEZ is 0-9 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last season. NY YANKEES are 24-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.NY YANKEES are 14-3 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season MLB Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are a LONG term negative bet as they are 62-105 L/21 seasons for a 62% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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06-24-18 | Phillies +108 v. Nationals | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
NICK PIVETTA (R) vs. JEFRY RODRIGUEZ (R) The Nationals will send the inexperienced Jerry Rodriguez to the hill to make his second career Major League start. The kid like so many young pitchers that get the call-up to the majors have some good stuff, but putting it to proper use is a constant issue as was the case was for Rodrigues , as is evident by allowing five runs on four hits in five innings in his first start. I'm betting he will once again get schooled by a Phillies team that are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Monday against the Cardinals, Pivetta looked rejuvenated after a couple down efforts and generated 11 of 21 strikeouts with his nasty curveball and struck out a career-high 13 in 7 1/3 innings. When the curve is working well he is hard to beat and gets my backing here tonight. Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies have won the first two games of this series by a 17-5 count and are more than capable of completing the sweep with a win tonight in DC vs a struggling Nats team that has lost 7 of their L/9. Note: Philadelphia is 4-0 L/4 in games 3 of a series. PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.WASHINGTON is 9-15 against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. MLB team (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20)-NL, after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR are 57-102 L/21 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the money line |
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06-24-18 | Marlins +157 v. Rockies | 8-5 | Win | 157 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
CALEB SMITH (L) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) German Marquez (5-7, 5.20) will start for the Rockies. He been consistently hit hard this season and is 0-2 with along with the bloated 5.23 ERA in two starts against the Marlins, including April 28 when he gave up three runs (one earned) in six innings in Colorado's 4-1 loss.The Rockies are 7-8 in starts by Marquez, who is 2-4 with a 7.45 ERA in eight starts at Coors Field this season and is fade material in his current lower tier form. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 5-1 in their starters Smiths last 6 starts. Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Rockies are 3-7 in Marquezs last 10 home starts. COLORADO is 7-15 L/22 against the money line in home games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 6-2 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive road games this season.COLORADO is 9-20 against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last couple of seasons.COLORADO is 4-15 against the money line after batting .333 or better over a 5 game span over the last couple of seasons. Marlins are 16-7 in the last 23 meetings. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the money line |
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06-24-18 | Cardinals v. Brewers -131 | 8-2 | Loss | -131 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
LUKE WEAVER (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R) |
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06-24-18 | Tigers +150 v. Indians | 2-12 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
MATT BOYD (L) vs. ADAM PLUTKO (R) |
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06-23-18 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -145 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) The lines-makers know well the odds of the Royals winning this game and have the same trends and data that I have on this tilt which I include here below. The Astros are 32-0 SU as a 200+ favorite after they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent and it is not a series opener.Since the start of 2017 campaign, the Astros have won 14 in a row with Lance McCullers as a 125-plus favorite when he went six-plus innings in his last start.As pertains to the run-in it must be noted that Houston has won 7 straight on the money line in this spot this season with every win by multiple runs. Houston Right-hander Lance McCullers (8-3, 3.77 ERA) gets the nod in the middle game of the series for Houston. He is 1-0 with a 2.33 ERA over four career starts against the Royals. Meanwhile,the Royals will answer back right-hander Ian Kennedy (1-7, 5.31 ERA) on Saturday. Kennedy is winless over his last 13 starts, one behind Athletics right-hander Chris Bassitt for the longest active streak in the majors. He is 0-7 with a 6.12 ERA since his only win on April and is fade material inches current form.KENNEDY is 1-10 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) losing SU by an average of 4 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros on the run-line -1.5 |
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06-23-18 | Dodgers -115 v. Mets | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R) Two star pitchers go to the hill today, but I'm betting the Dodgers behind Kershaw have the edge, because of the more consistent offence, and better clutch hitting I know DeGrom the Mets hurler has been lights out this season, but the Mets have lost 8 of his L/11 starts despite of him garnering a minsucle 0.90 ERA. DeGrom is also 0-3 with a 3.26 ERA in six career regular-season starts against the Dodgers. He has beaten every other team he has faced more than once. Kershaw is 8-0 with a 1.84 ERA in 12 regular-season starts against the Mets and I'm betting he remains perfect after today. NY METS are 9-22 ( against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLBHome teams (NY METS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 14-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA dodgers to win on the money line |
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06-23-18 | Cubs -115 v. Reds | 2-11 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Cubs RH Luke Farrell (2-2, 3.63 ERA) vs. Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (2-1, 4.60) The Cubs have lost the first two games of this series, and will primed to bounce back here with a big effort this afternoon. Luke Farrell will make his first start of 2018 for the Cubs. The right-hander, who was named the starter following Friday's game, has made 12 relief appearances this year, allowing allowing seven earned runs over 17 1/3 innings for a 3.63 ERA and according to my power rankings matches up very well vs the Reds.Reds are 8-21 in their last 29 vs. National League Central. The Reds hurler , Anthony DeSclafani , according to my own rankings does not matchup well vs the Cubbies. It must be noted that the Cubs are 43-19 in their last 62 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Reds are 11-23 in their last 34 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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06-23-18 | Phillies -106 v. Nationals | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Nola the Phillies ace looks like a lock to make the NL All-Star team, and is in rebound mode after a rare forgettable start. He allowed four runs in 4 1/3 innings Sunday against the Brewers, just the second time this season he has allowed more than three runs. Phillies are 9-2 in Nolas last 11 starts.Nationals are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Nationals starter Fedde has given up 10 runs on 19 hits in three starts this season.Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Nationals are 0-4 in Feddes last 4 home starts. Nola is a special pitcher and gives his team a chance at victory every time he goes to the hill. Considering the pitching matchup and the Nationals recent struggles , as is evident by losing 6 of their L/8 the Phillies have an edge. Washington has lost 12 of 18 home games vs teams whose hitters strike out more than 7 times a game this season. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies |
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06-23-18 | Rangers v. Twins -137 | 9-6 | Loss | -137 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Rangers RH Yovani Gallardo (0-0, 15.95 ERA) vs. Twins RH Jake Odorizzi (3-4, 4.38) |
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06-22-18 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. CHRIS STRATTON (R) Padres left-hander Clayton Richard (6-6, 4.31), enters this game in top form and has allowed just six earned runs in his L/ 20 innings of top tier work. Meanwhile, Stratton the Giants starter threw seven shutout innings, allowing just one hit, in a 7-0 victory over the Padres in April and in his career owns a solid 2-1 record along with a stable 3.21 ERA against them in three games, including two starts. Under is 4-1 in Strattons last 5 starts overall. Both pitchers are backed by solid bullpens with SF relievers garnering a 2.87 home ERA and the Padres relievers recording a 2.79 overall ERA. The Giants have struggled against LHP this season like Richards averaging 4 rpg, via a lowly below the Mendoza line .241 team BA. The Fathers, 3.4 rpg on he road, while hitting just .225. SAN DIEGO is 20-9 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with the combined average score clicking in at 6.6 rpg. Under is 8-2 in Padres last 10 overall.Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Everything points to this being a low scoring sleeper that fails to eclipse this total. Play UNDER |
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06-22-18 | Tigers +184 v. Indians | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R) In two starts against the Indians this year, Fiers is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA, having allowed two runs and eight hits in 13 innings with 13 strikeouts and two walks. In six career starts against Cleveland, Fiers is 3-1 with a 2.04 ERA and must not be underestimated in his ability to help his team pull off a nice upset here tonight in Cleveland against the Tribe. FIERS team when he starts is 5-0 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. FIERS team when he starts is also 6-1 against the money line against division opponents this season. Tigers are 5-0 in Fiers' last 5 starts. MLB team (CLEVELAND) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP of 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 10-30 L/21 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline |
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06-22-18 | Cubs -133 v. Reds | 3-6 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R) The Cubs lost last night to Cincinnati blowing a 2-0 lead going into the 6th, eventually running out of gas and losing 6-2. However, the Cubs have proven resilient in the past off a loss vs an opponent, and are also 25-7 against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite dating back last season. Quintana (6-5) was nearly flawless his last time out against the Reds, limiting them to a Scott Schebler single over seven innings while striking out seven and walking four during a 10-0 victory in the second game of a May 19 doubleheader and is my choice to get us the promised land here again tonight. Quintana has pitched extremely well vs Reds, going 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA while striking out 16 in 16 2-3 innings over three career starts.Note:The Cubs are 6-0 on the moneyline when Jose Quintana starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start. Chicago has won these six games by an average of 8.33 rpg. Cubs are 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Reds are 0-4 in Castillos last 4 starts. CINCINNATI is 14-31 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start and is 5-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season and is 17-42 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Cubs are 20-9 in the last 29 meetings in Cincinnati. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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06-22-18 | Mariners +122 v. Red Sox | 10-14 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
WADE LEBLANC (L) vs. STEVEN WRIGHT (R) The Red Sox will play their first home game after an extended road trip and will now be in a bit of jet lagged let down state that puts them at a disadvantage vs a quality opponent. note: Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Mariners starter tonight left-hander Wade LeBlanc pitched a top tier game when he out dueled Steven Wright and handing the Boston Red Sox a 1-0 defeat last time they faced each other last week. LeBlanc, who has been pitching well of late , is 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA and has allowed only 11 earned runs in nine starts. LeBlanc is 1-0 with a 3.24 ERA in three career starts against Boston and gets my support in this tilt vs the Red Sox. LEBLANC is 13-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 10-18 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.
SEATTLE is 11-1 against the money line after a loss by 2 runs or less this season.SEATTLE is 10-4 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.SEATTLE is 21-7 against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season. Play on Seattle to win on the moneyline |
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06-22-18 | Diamondbacks -120 v. Pirates | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
PAT CORBIN (L) vs. IVAN NOVA (R) |
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06-21-18 | Cubs -156 v. Reds | 2-6 | Loss | -156 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R) The Cubs just took 2 of 3 from the LA Dodgers and enter this game with momentum and confidence as they send starter Hendricks to the ill. The righty hurler is 4-1 with a 3.57 ERA in 11 career starts against the Reds.Cubs are 6-1 in Hendricks' last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. Meanwhile, the Reds will send still-inconsistent right-hander Matt Harvey (1-5, 5.92 ERA) to hill. He is 0-3 in his L/4 starts, and is fade material in his current form. HARVEYs team when he starts in his career is 16-32 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record . Cubs are 11-4 in their last 15 road games. Cubs are 43-17 in their last 60 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 20-8 in the last 28 meetings in Cincinnati. Cubs are 46-19 in the last 65 meetings. CINCINNATI is 4-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season and is 4-17 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season this season.Cincinnati is 8-23 L/30 against NL Central sides.Reds are 9-20 in their last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (CHICAGO CUBS) - allowing 4 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 85-22 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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06-21-18 | Mets v. Rockies -145 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. KYLE FREELAND (L) |
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06-21-18 | Red Sox v. Twins +110 | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
Porcello the Bosox starter is 3-3 over the last eight starts with a 5.28 ERA. He far from being in top form and susceptible to being beaten around. Meanwhile, Twins starter Gibson a solid hurler, who was suffering from a lack of run support earlier this season is off a win last time out, outdueling Cleveland ace Corey Kluber by holding the Indians to a run over seven innings. I'm betting on more top tier work here vs a Boston team that is 2-for-22 with runners in scoring position in the series, including 0-for-9 in Wednesday’s setback. GIBSON team is now 9-1 when he starts against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is just 9-18 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. MINNESOTA is 9-3 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. The Twins have won 10 straight on the moneyline as a home dog after playing as a home dog when playing a team that has a better record. Play on Minnesota Twins ( LATE STEAM)
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06-20-18 | Rangers v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
AUSTIN BIBENS-DIRKX (R) vs. JAKE JUNIS (R) There are two very average pitchers on the hill today, but two below average offenses will face them. Texas has averaged 3.9 rpg on the road via a lowly .229 BA while KC has averaged 3.4 rpg on a .234 BA. The Royals have scored more than 3 runs just once in their L/11 games, and struggle with their bats at the best of times and even against the worst of pitchers. My projections once again suggest that topping 3 runs for the this futile KC offense will be hard to achieve, while, Texas will not be far behind or ahead in production , which makes for a viable under wager in this spot. KANSAS CITY is 17-6 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8.4 rpg scored. KANSAS CITY is 18-9 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League Central. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 road games. Under is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 games following a win. Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 7-0 in Royals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 6-2 in umpire Fairchilds last 8 games behind home plate. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season are 72-36 UNDER L/21 seasons for 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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06-20-18 | Mariners +179 v. Yankees | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JONATHAN LOAISIGA (R) |
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06-19-18 | Mets v. Rockies -153 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) Laying a little lumber here tonight, but feel we have a big enough edge to make it a viable wagering opportunity. Jason Vargas the NY Mets starter has pitched decently of late but on the season has garnered a ugly 9.14 ERA on the road this and according to my projections another non quality start here in the launching pad known as Coors Field will find him in a front of a proverbial firing squad here again today. .Vargas, who is 2-2 with an inflated 9.00 ERA in five career starts versus Colorado, including 1-2 with an super bloated 11.40 ERA in three outings at Coors Field. Mets are 2-7 in Vargas' last 9 starts.Mets are 1-5 in Vargas' last 6 road starts. Meanwhile, Colorado's starter Marquez may not also inspire bettors, but the Rockies are 6-1 in Marquezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Vargas owns a 1-0 record along with a 3.75 ERA in two career starts against the Mets, including six quality innings in a victory at Citi Field on May 4. My power rankings suggest he matches up well against this light hitting Mets offense. MLB team (NY METS) - poor NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 34-62 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 65% for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (COLORADO) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL are 41-12 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win on the moneyline |
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06-19-18 | Brewers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
FREDDY PERALTA (R) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R) Milwaukee will recall right-hander Freddy Peralta (1-0, 3.72 ERA) from Triple-A Colorado Springs and give him his third career start Tuesday, against Pittsburgh righty Jameson Taillon (4-5, 3.94 ERA). In his earlier recall, Peralta, , made his major league debut on Mother's Day, recording 5 2/3 scoreless innings against Colorado, while allowing just one hit and setting a Brewers record for a debut with 13 strikeouts. The kid looks good and should have the confidence for a good start here .Meanwhile, Taillon the Pirates starter pitched on Wednesday when he allowed two runs on six hits in seven innings of a 5-4 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks. I'm expecting both hurlers to do their part in what I'm betting will be another low scoring game in this series. Yesterday the Pirates took a 1-0 victory. Note: MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER off a loss to a division rival as a favorite dating back to last season with the combined average score clicking in at 6.9 rpg.MILWAUKEE is 21-8 UNDER after a loss this season with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. These teams have stayed under in 13 of their L/19 games here in Pittsburgh. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 16-4 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. Taillon has stayed under in his L/4 meetings vs the Brewers and his L/4 here at home. Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 Tuesday games.Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 during game 2 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 46-15-1 in Brewers last 62 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 road games.Under is 53-18-1 in Brewers last 72 games following a loss/. Under is 30-12 in Brewers last 42 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 79-34-4 in Brewers last 117 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 35-16-1 in Brewers last 52 vs. National League Central.Under is 36-17-1 in Brewers last 54 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 6-2-1 in Pirates last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2-2 in Pirates last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 during game 2 of a series. Under is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 33-15-3 in Pirates last 51 vs. National League Central. Under is 5-0 in Taillons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 7-1 in Taillons last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Taillons last 7 starts vs. National League Central. Play UNDER |
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06-19-18 | Dodgers -122 v. Cubs | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. TYLER CHATWOOD (R) |
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06-18-18 | Rangers -103 v. Royals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
BARTOLO COLON (R) vs. IAN KENNEDY (R) I know that old timer Bartolo Colon the Rangers starting pitcher may not inspire bettors, but the veteran is resilient, as is evident by him being the most profitable starter in the league this season when his team lost his last start, cashing 5 straight times on the moneyline.The Rangers are also 6-0 L/6on the moneyline off a walk-off win as a dog, which happened yesterday. COLON in his career when he starts is 56-31 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game . Meanwhile, his Royals pitching opponent KENNEDYs team when he starts is 3-14 against the money line in home games in night games dating back to last season. Kennedy is also winless in his last 12 starts overall, and never seems t catch a break no matter what, because of lack of run support and crap clutch hitting. Both these teams are less than impressive but the Rangers enter this game with some momentum after wiining 2 straight in Colorado, and look to be the better of two teams with sub par records. KANSAS CITY is 6-24 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.KANSAS CITY is 4-15 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 39-12 L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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06-18-18 | White Sox +1.5 v. Indians | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
DYLAN COVEY (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) The Tribe has lost 4 of their L/6 overall and have looked a little wobbly of late. In last weeks series vs the White Sox they lost 2 of 4 games, and had lost five straight to the Minnesota Twins - including the first two in their weekend set - before picking up ad desperation 4-1 win in the finale Sunday afternoon. The Indians have scored a total of just 18 runs in their L/6 games ( 3rpg) and could find themselves struggling to move runners again vs the Pale Hose starter Covey who is 3-0 with a 1.84 ERA since being recalled from the minors May 19. He was on the hill when the White Sox beat the Indians in south side Chicago last week by a 3-2 score. Meanwhile, Indians hurler BAUER in his career starts has seen his team go just 13-19 against the money line in home games against division opponents. Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.White Sox are 4-1 in Coveys last 5 starts. CLEVELAND have lost 14 of their L/21 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the +1.5 runline |