Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-24-19 | Giants v. A's -138 | 10-5 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Oakland starter Chris Bassitt (9-5, 3.61 ERA, 112 SO)limited the Astros to three runs over six innings in a win last Saturday, continuing his strong run over the past month. The right-hander holds a 1.80 ERA over his past four starts and in his current form makes for a viable investment opportunity backing the As.Meanwhile, Bumgarner the Giants starter has struggled a bit of late and is 2-2 with a 6.30 ERA in five lifetime starts in Oakland. With this being the Giants 8th straight road game, Im betting their gruelling schedule will effect them against a streaking squad with their eye on the post season. Giants are 10-22 in Bumgarners last 32 road starts.Giants are 2-5 in Bumgarners last 7 interleague starts.Giants are 1-7 in Bumgarners last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Athletics are 22-8 in their last 30 vs. a team with a losing record.Athletics are 23-9 in their last 32 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Athletics are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Athletics are 4-0 in Bassitts last 4 home starts.Giants are 7-16 in the last 23 meetings in Oakland.Giants are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings. OAKLAND is 37-10 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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08-24-19 | Red Sox -118 v. Padres | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Padres just look like their going through the motions right now as the season winds down. Tonight they will send a hurler in Lamet, that despite of being in decent form is still a little unstable after coming of Tommy John surgery. Here against a BoSox side that grind out at bats like no one else in the majors, Lamet could easily find himself tired and in trouble. Note: The Red Sox are averaging 6 rpg vs right handers like Lamet this season. Padres are 0-7 in Lamets last 7 home starts.Padres are 1-11 in Lamets last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.The Padres got blasted yesterday by the BoSox by an11-0 count. Note: SAN DIEGO is 3-16 against the money line in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs over the last 3 seasons and is 1-7 against the money line revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more this season. SAN DIEGO is 3-18 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 40-16 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.BOSTON is 10-1 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Boston RedSox to win on the ML |
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08-24-19 | Braves v. Mets OVER 8 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Wheeler the NY Mets starter is struggling mightily in his most recent two outings, where he allowed eight earned runs and an opponents’ batting average of .372 in only 10 innings pitched.With that said, Im betting on him continuing to be lit up as fatigue late in the season is rearing its ugly head. Meanwhile, Fried the Braves starter managed to complete five innings after nearly getting the hook during the first inning of Sunday's start against the Dodgers. The southpaw has seen opponents hit .271 against him in his last four starts. I do epect he will bounce back here this week, but that is his overall form, is downtrending , and he should also end up taking on some more damage from the Mets offence this week in what Im betting will br a high scoring affair. Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 road games.Over is 7-1-2 in Wheelers last 10 starts with 5 days of rest. The Braves are 18-0 OVER L/18 on the road off a game as a dog when their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2.00 and an ERA of less than five, their opponent is less than .640 and they are not a 130-plus dog. Play OVER |
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08-23-19 | Angels +240 v. Astros | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The public loves Zach Greinke the Astros starting pitcher, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Halos matchup well vs the veteran hurler. With the Astros getting bitten by the injury bug of late, with shortstop Carlos Correa sidelined indefinitely with back discomfort and utility infielder Aledmys Diaz on the 10-day injured list the Astros are at a disadvantage. Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Angels are 6-0 L/6 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest off a walk-off-loss as a dog. The Astros are 0-4 L/4 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a home 200-+ favorite after playing as a home chalk when their opponent's starting pitcher has same-season-revenge. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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08-23-19 | Nationals v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 9-3 | Loss | -101 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Today 12-14 mph winds blowing in at Wrigley made could make for a type of pitchers’ duel, and for a limited amount of offence, making this a value Totals selection to the under. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%) are 49-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 1 run or less 2 straight games against opponent after a win by 2 runs or less are 36-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-22-19 | Yankees v. A's +102 | 3-5 | Win | 102 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Tanner Roark(7-8, 4.01 ERA, 124 SO) went too to toe with Justin Verlander and turned in six innings of two-run ball in a win over the Astros on Friday. He's posted a 2.55 ERA in three starts since joining the A's via trade and he gets my support here tonight vs Tanaka and the banged up Yanks. This is a momentum play, the As have won 8 of 9 meetings in this series here in Oakland over the last couple of seasons , and have won two straight here, and a third Im betting on tonight agenda vs a Yanks team that has lost 3 straight and looking fatigued and short handed. OAKLAND is 9-4 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 8-1 against the money line in home games in August games this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 29-15 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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08-22-19 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Braves starter Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.41 ERA, 107 SO) has limited the Marlins to three runs ( one earned) over 22 innings this year. He exited Friday's start against the Dodgers one out shy of what would have been his fourth straight seven-inning effort. Im expecting a stellar effort from him today vs a light hitting Miami side that has averaged just 3.4 rpg in offensive production on the road this season. Meanwhile, Marlins starting hurler Sandy Alcantara (4-11, 4.35 ERA, 101 SO)was excellent in a seven-inning start at Coors Field last Friday, giving up just two runs on three hits in Miami’s 3-0 loss. In August, he has a 3.20 ERA, and in his current form a hard guy to face for opposition batting orders. Under is 8-3 in Alcantaras last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Considering the pitching matcup here today, Im betting on these teams to convert on the UNDER for the 7th straight time here in Atlanta this season. MIAMI is 20-9 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored.MIAMI is 21-9 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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08-22-19 | Giants +178 v. Cubs | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Giants starter Jeff Samardzija (9-9, 3.54 ERA, 119 SO)has been one of the best starters in the NL since July 1, posting a 2.09 ERA over his last nine starts and now gets my support here this afternoon in Chicago against the Cubs. SAMARDZIJA is 5-0 ( against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) The Giants are 5-0 on the ML when Jeff Samardzija starts as a underdog when they lost in his last start against their opponent.Giants are 7-0 in Samardzijas last 7 road starts. Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 games with umpire Nauert behind home plate. .The Cubs won yesterday vs the Giants in a 12-11 shoutout, but those kinds of games in the followup have not been kind to the Cubs as they are are 1-7 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game are 38-24 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants ( Late Steam) |
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08-21-19 | Yankees v. A's -112 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
J.A. Happ 10-7, (5.40 ERA, 101 SO) has given the Yankees at least five innings in each of his last four starts, though he has done so with a 6.23 ERA over that span. Meanwhile, As hurler Fiers has not lost a game since May 1 at Boston. Beginning with his no-hitter against the Cincinnati Reds on May 7, Fiers is 9-0 with a 2.40 ERA in 18 starts and deserves our support here tonight at home on a value line. FIERS is 14-2 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is s 11-3 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) FIERS is 9-0 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NY YANKEES are 3-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Athletics are 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Athletics are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League East.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Athletics are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Yankees are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Oakland. MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season are 42-84 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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08-21-19 | Nationals v. Pirates OVER 9 | 11-1 | Win | 105 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Musgrove In his last 11 starts, owns a 4.22 ERA in 59 2/3 innings and Im betting the Nationals sometimes explosive batting order will light him today. Meanwhile, Patrick Corbin despite of being a left hander, which Pittsburgh has struggled against this season, has not been very consistent on the road where he owns a 5.12 ERA in 13 road outings. CORBIN in his career is 20-8 OVER in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) with an average of 10.6 rpg going on the board. Over is 4-0 in Corbins last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League East.Over is 20-6 in Pirates last 26 during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-1 in Musgroves last 5 starts vs. National League East. PITTSBURGH is 27-8 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 12.4 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH in 33 games against left-handed starters this season have seen a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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08-21-19 | Royals v. Orioles -103 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Royals LH Mike Montgomery (3-5, 4.63 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Aaron Brooks (2-7, 6.49) Montgomery, has pitched decently of late, but has a bloated 4.91 ERA in three appearances against the Orioles and from a power ranking pitcher vs batting order perspective does not matchup all that well against the Orioles batting order. His pitching opponent Brooks is fighting for a future rotation spot either here or somewhere else and after some bad efforts will primed to respond like a cornered animal. ( No disrespect intended) KANSAS CITY is 19-30 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. KANSAS CITY is 32-60 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Royals are 19-64 in their last 83 during game 3 of a series. Royals are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings in Baltimore.Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are 20-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML |
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08-21-19 | White Sox +167 v. Twins | 4-0 | Win | 167 | 1 h 10 m | Show | |
Lucas Giolito (13-6, 3.41 ERA, 182 SO) delivered a quality start against the Angels on Friday, fanning 11 in six innings of two-run ball. The right-hander has reached double-digit strikeouts in each of his last two outings and gets my support here this afternoon. The White Sox are 6-0 on the ML in franchise history with Lucas Giolito as a 150-plus road dog when he averaged more than 3.90 pitches per batter in his last start. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MINNESOTA) - after a win by 4 runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 30-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White sox to win on the ML ( Late Steam) |
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08-20-19 | Rockies +140 v. Diamondbacks | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Colorado has been playing a little better of late winning 4 of their L/5 and now they go against a pitcher in Young who has struggled in his past two starts, losing both and giving up a total of nine earned runs in 8 1/3 innings. Thats not a good omen for Arizona backers as the team is just 5-11 (against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. The Rockies offence despite of being inconsistent this season are averaging 5.2 rpg vs LHP and offer us value here tonight vs this type of hurler. Meanwhile FREELAND the Rockies stater is 13-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and gets mys upport here on a value line. Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 road starts vs. Diamondbacks. Rockies are 13-5 in Freelands last 18 starts vs. National League West.MLB team (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game on the season is 37-20 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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08-20-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals +102 | 4-9 | Win | 102 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Cardinals starting pitcher Michael Wacha (6-6, 5.44 ERA) has done well against the Brewers. He is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two starts against them this season and 6-0 with a 3.84 ERA in 13 career appearances against them. I know his presence will not inspire bettors, but what inspires me is not Wacha but the team that surrounds him does . The Cards are a team that finds ways to win, behind usually solid pitching and limited offence. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Gonzalez has not been able to get his team to the promised land against light hitting sides like St.Louis as the following negative trend suggests.GONZALEZ is 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is is 0-8 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ST LOUIS is 16-3 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) this season. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML |
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08-20-19 | Marlins +245 v. Braves | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Braves starter Keuchel is making his 12th start of the season. He has been inconsistent since signing with the Braves as a free agent in June, and despite of being off a quality effort last time out does not inspire me in this spot, and according to my power rankings vs batting orders he does not matchup well vs the Marlins. Note: Keuchel is 1-1 with an 8.18 ERA in two starts against the Marlins this season. KEUCHEL is 4-9 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 2-7 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, his Marlins pitching opponent Hernandez has had seven previous outings this season , two of them starts, against Atlanta, going 1-1 with a 2.00 ERA. He looked good in his most recent start against the Braves on Aug. 8 when he threw six scoreless innings and allowed two hits with two walks and seven strikeouts. MLB team (ATLANTA) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 77-150 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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08-19-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals -123 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Dakota (11-6, 3.82 ERA, 97 SO)Hudson put together one of his best starts of the season Wednesday, shutting out the Royals over six innings and enters this game vs the Brewers with momentum. HUDSON is 10-0 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Brewers light throwing starter Zach Davies (8-5, 3.74 ERA, 78 SO) will return from his two-week stint on the injured list to face the Cardinals. The Brewers thought he needed rest after he allowed 18 runs (17 earned) in three starts before going on the shelf. Truth is the guy throws beach balls, and if it were not for his savvy baseball intelligence and ability o pinpoint his stuff, he would be consistent cannon fodder. I respect Davies, but Im not a fan of his overall arsenal (or lack there of), and considering my power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs the batting order he is fade material in this spot. ST LOUIS is 15-3 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) this season. MIKE is 12-3 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season as the manager of ST LOUIS. MILWAUKEE is 9-18 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 130-71 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a poor starting pitcher (WHI 1.550 to 1.650) -NL, with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are 53-97 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML |
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08-19-19 | Padres +151 v. Reds | 3-2 | Win | 151 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Bauer, the Reds starter vs San Diego has garnered a 7.31 ERA in his L/3 starts . He now goes up against the Fathers for the first time this season. However his experiences vs the Padres have not been good ones as he is 0-3 with a bloated 6.28 ERA in three career starts against the Padres, with batters hitting .348 against him. Meanwhile, the Padres starter Lauer In three career starts against Cincinnati, is 1-1 along with a very stingy 1.93 ERA, and Reds batters are hitting at just a .219 vs him. Padres despite of being without rookie sensation Tatis, are value bets here tonight. Note:The Padres are 4-0 l/4 on the ML as a road 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they hit at least one home run which happened Sunday. MLB team (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 102-151 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Padres ML |
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08-19-19 | Royals +123 v. Orioles | 5-4 | Win | 123 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
John Means(8-8, 3.76 ERA, 84 SO)After a decent mid season run, has now started to down trend and has lost his last three starts. He pitched 3 2/3 innings in his most recent outing, allowing six runs to the Yankees on Aug. 13 and is fade material here today vs the KC Royals. I know Lopez his pitching opponent from the Royals may not inspire bettors, but he has a 1-0 record with a 1.29 ERA in one career appearance versus Baltimore. Baltimore has now has lost 12 of its last 13 games and went 0-7 on a road trip where it also took on the Yankees and while KC is not much better they do matchup well vs the Orioles and my power rankings suggest we have value on this line, making this a green light selection on the Royals. The Orioles have been a 200+ underdog in 13 straight games and are now chalk for the first time in while. It must now be noted that the Orioles are 0-11L/11 on the ML as chalk after a tilt in which they struck out at least ten times which happened last time out. MLB team (BALTIMORE) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a poor starting pitcher (WHI 1.600 to 1.700) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 25-53 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML |
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08-19-19 | Nationals v. Pirates +107 | 13-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
The Nationals have a shot at a play off spot and the Pirates are playing for pride and rosters spots next season. However, it must be noted that the Nats have really racked up alot of innings on their bullpen after some exciting high scoring weekend games, and after some very explosive offensive performances a regression of their out put must be expected as well as they themselves getting lit up because of the above mentioned work placed on their relievers. I know that was a long sentence, but it was a long weekend for the Nats, and a natural letdown scenario vs a non play off side, makes them susceptible in the first game of this series. Note: WASHINGTON is less than a break even venture on the ML going 48-51 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with their betting backers down more than 14.4 units. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 11-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
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08-18-19 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -102 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
There is a divergence in the way both these starting pitchers have done of late as Bumgarner is 5-0 during a 10 game run where the Giants have won 9 of those games, and on the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, that shows Kelly's team has lost 8 of his 10 starts. However, despite of the recency bias, the line on this tilt has been moving overnight, towards the Dbacks. My power ranking pitcher vs batting order is flashing value here with the home team despite of the recent divergent path both hurlers have forged for themselves. Kelly is 1-1 with a 2.76 ERA in three starts against San Francisco and gets my support to his team in this tilt and to help us get the ML win. Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.BUMGARNER is 1-9 against the money line as a opening line road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 10-21 in Bumgarners last 31 road starts. SAN FRANCISCO is 14-24 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. MLB opening line Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona on the ML |
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08-18-19 | Twins v. Rangers -128 | 6-3 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Lynn the Rangers starting hurler today vs the Twins has allowed only one earned run and four hits in each of his last four starts while recording 32 strikeouts in 25 innings of top tier work. Lynn, has been his best at home this season recording a 9-1 record along with a 3.94 ERA in 12 starts and gets my support here today to salvage a win in this series vs the hot hitting Twins. TEXAS is 12-5 against the money line in home games in day games this season. The Rangers are 8-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a home favorite after they hit at least one home run. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 8-41 L/5 seasosn for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML |
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08-18-19 | Dodgers +115 v. Braves | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin will be recalled to make the start against the Braves and Max Fried. Although Gonsolin will start, fellow rookie Dustin May is scheduled to make his relief debut, but could also start. Both are trying out for a postseason role and will be primed to compete here for a future roster job. Meanwhile, Atlanta's starter Fried has struggled against the Dodgers. In an earlier start in Los Angeles this season, he was knocked out after one inning, giving up four runs on four hits and one walk. In two career starts against the Dodgers, Fried is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 39-14 in their last 53 Sunday games.Dodgers are 39-15 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.Dodgers are 51-21 in their last 72 during game 3 of a series.Dodgers are 40-17 in their last 57 vs. National League East.Dodgers are 42-18 in their last 60 games following a loss.Dodgers are 15-7 in their last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 73-34 in their last 107 games on grass.Dodgers are 74-35 in their last 109 overall.Dodgers are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Braves are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Dodgers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Atlanta.Dodgers are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
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08-18-19 | Indians -127 v. Yankees | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Cleveland Indians starter Mike Clevinger, has been in top form since July 1 as is evident by a perfect 6-0 record along with a stingy 2.39 ERA in 8 quality starts. He goes against a banged up Yankees team, that despite of some clutch hitting looks to be in a regression phase. Indians are 4-0 in Clevingers last 4 road starts. Meanwhile, the Yankees will go with veteran CC Sabathia who was 0-2 in July along with a bloated 7.17 ERA in four starts and is now coming of the IL and could easily show some rust. With the added pop in the Tribes batting lineup ie Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes and a packed righty batting order, Sabathia looks like cannon fodder. Indians are 37-17 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML |
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08-17-19 | Twins v. Rangers +145 | 12-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Twins starter Berrios (10-6, 3.29 ERA) is 2-1 with a 5.63 ERA in three career starts against Texas. He lost his only start at Globe Life Park last season when he allowed five runs on three hits, all of them home runs, in four innings of a 7-4 loss and is fade material here in this spot according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Note: BERRIOS is 1-9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BERRIOS is 3-10 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 11-6 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL are 34-23 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML |
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08-17-19 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -116 | 11-6 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
The Giants will start a rookie hurler (L.Webb) in his first ever outing in the big leagues. Im betting despite of his top tier designation as a prospect ,that being here in a unfriendly environment on the road will not serve him well in his debut. Giants are 16-36 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series.Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win. The Giants are 0-10 on the ML when their opponent is seeking immediate revenge for a loss as a home chalk in which they held the lead.( The DBacks lost 10-9 last night) ARIZONA is 26-11 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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08-17-19 | Brewers v. Nationals -125 | 15-14 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Nationals starter Anibal Sanchez (7-6, 3.75 ERA, 99 SO) is on a run mirroring the roll he went on in 2018 to help lead the Braves to a division title. Sanchez has won his last seven decisions and has a 2.93 ERA over his last 14 starts. Im betting he buoys a Nats team that has won 5 straight and 7 of their L/8 overall to another win vs Brewers here in this spot. I know his pitching opponent from the Brewers Lyles has pitched well since his trade from the Pirates , but prior to that trade , he registered a nasty 9.57 ERA in his final nine starts and could easily get nailed her vs a side that matches up well against him according to my power rankings. Nationals are 10-4 in Sanchezs last 14 starts. rewers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
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08-17-19 | Cardinals v. Reds +108 | 1-6 | Win | 108 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Miles Mikolas (7-12, 4.13 ERA, 101 SO)After a consistent start to the second half, Mikolas regressed on Sunday against the Pirates, allowing five runs on seven hits in five innings. He struggled with command which is not a good omen as he exasperates fthe same problems he exhibited earlier this season. I know the Cards are playing well, and the pitching staff has looked strong, but ST LOUIS is just 1-13 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. Cardinals are 0-6 in Mikolas' last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.The Cards crushed the Reds yesterday, 13-4, but in the past that kind of output has not been kind in their followup game, as they have gone 10-20 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons while scoring an average of just 3.5 rpg over that 30 game sample size. Meanwhile, CINCINNATI is 11-3 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more this season with margin out put of 5.0 to 2.9. ST LOUIS is 7-18 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 8-34 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML |
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08-17-19 | Mariners +150 v. Blue Jays | 4-3 | Win | 150 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Jays starter Trent Thornton (4-8, 5.34 ERA, 110 SO) is coming off one of his best starts of the season, where he held the Yankees to just one run on three hits over six innings while striking out six. Thornton's biggest problem in 2019, though, has been consistency between starts. Note: The Blue Jays are 0-7 on the ML with Trent Thornton when he went six-plus innings in his last start. Meanwhile,Reggie McClain (0-0, 4.50 ERA, 5 SO)The 26-year-old rookie has risen from Class A ball to the big leagues this season and now gets his first MLB start, as the Mariners will go with a bullpen game. McClain is a converted starter who has pitched 3 games in relief since being called up and according to scouts deserves a mlb start. Blue Jays are 3-9 in Thorntons last 12 starts on astroturf. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 91-47 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
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08-16-19 | Dodgers +108 v. Braves | 8-3 | Win | 108 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Kenta Maeda(8-8, 4.12 ERA, 128 SO) is coming off arguably his best start of the season, when he scattered three hits over seven scoreless innings in a win over the D-backs last Saturday. Maeda struck out six batters and didn't issue a walk for the first time in four starts. The right handed hurler is looking confident and deserves my backing here tonight on the road vs the Braves. MAEDA is 2-0 in two outings when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 0.68 and a WHIP of 0.825. I know Soroka the Braves rookie hurler has looked tremendous this season, but according to my power rankings the Dodgers batting order matches up well against him. ATLANTA is 9-21 against the money line in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. Dodgers are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.Dodgers are 36-17 in the last 53 meetings. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% are 44-21 L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
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08-16-19 | Padres +117 v. Phillies | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Phillies will send right-hander Vince Velasquez (4-7, 4.30 ERA).Velasquez opened the season in the rotation before moving to the bullpen. He returned in June and is 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA in nine starts since then. He has pitched more than 5 2/3 innings just once in that stretch and is fade material here tonight vs the under rated San Diego Padres. Meanwhile,San Diego will send 23-year-old Chris Paddack to the hill. Paddack is 7-5 with a 3.26 ERA and owns a devastating changeup that pitchers have been laying off on lately, but that good prove fatal as strike zone efficiency could easily increase here down the stretch for Paddock. PHILADELPHIA is 3-15 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season and 9-28 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. SAN DIEGO is 22-14 against the money line in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML |
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08-15-19 | Astros v. A's +109 | 6-7 | Win | 109 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
Oakland has an edge here tonight with top tier starter Mike Fiers (11-3, 3.30 ERA). Fiers will take the mound Thursday riding a 17-start unbeaten streak. He has gone 9-0 with a 2.12 ERA in that run. He goes against Astros starter Aaron Sanchez (5-14, 5.60 ERA allowing 74 hits in 60.1 innings ) and never inspires me, making the As my choice in this spot play. Athletics are 7-2 in Fiers' last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Fiers, own a very solid home ERA of 2.54 this season, including a 1.66 ERA since the first of May. Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. This has been a fairly grueling road trip with a couple of marathons so far for the Astros and Im sure fatigue is taking its toll in them. MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 21-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win on the ML |
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08-15-19 | Mets v. Braves -120 | 10-8 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Atlanta's starter Teheran has recorded a quality start in five of his past seven outings and has the ability to keep his team in all matchups especially here at home. Note: Teheran has been pitching at a high level for most of the season, but he has been especially tough on opposition batting orders in his last seven starts -- all in July and August. During that run, he is 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA.In his latest trip to the hill this past Friday, Teheran gave up one run and struck out seven in seven innings in an 8-4 vcitory at Miami., his pitching opponent, Stroman In two starts since joining the Mets from the Jays, has a bloated 6.10 ERA. He is a quality hurler, but could easily get picked apart by one of baseballs most consistent offences. I know the Mets have been hot, but I still strongly believe they are over rated, especially offensively, and are also being over valued by the public thanks to the media , who has failed to recognize that much of their current hot run has come against losing teams. Note: Mets are 8-21 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning record. METS are 8-22 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. The Mets are 0-21 on the ML as a dog after they had 12+ hits and were not a 150-plus dog and it is not a series opener. Mets are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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08-14-19 | Cubs v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 1-11 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Hamels the Cubs starter is 6-3 with a 3.09 ERA in 19 starts this season. He strained an oblique in late June and missed more than a month. Hamels struggled a bit in his last start , but now should be getting the rust off and ready to go deeper and be fresher.In the southpaws seven previous starts, he was phenomenal , producing a minuscule 1.07 ERA.HAMELS is 18-8 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. Meanwhile, the Phillies will hand the ball Wednesday to right-hander Aaron Nola (10-3, 3.67 ERA). NOLA is 9-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. The Cubs have gone under 13 straight games as a road dog off a game as a favorite when seeking same season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher with the average combined sore of 4.9 rpg scored with no one game seeing more than 8 combined runs scored. Play UNDER |
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08-14-19 | Red Sox v. Indians OVER 9.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Bieber beat the Red Sox on May 29 despite getting smacked around for six runs on eight hits, three of which were home runs, in a sub par five innings. He's 2-1 with an 8.44 ERA in three games (two starts) lifetime versus Boston and Im betting he gets lit up here today by a now desperate Boston Red Sox teams that needs wins badly. Meanwhile, the BoSox starter Johnson will make his fourth straight start for Boston, having been crunched for three runs in 2 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels his last time out. He's pitched more than three innings once in nine appearances this season and once again looks like cannon fodder in this spot. Over is 9-2 in Johnsons last 11 starts overallOver is 8-2 in Red Sox last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 vs. American League Central.Over is 20-7 in Red Sox last 27 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-2 in Indians last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 9-2 in Indians last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.Over is 12-3-3 in the last 18 meetings. Over is 5-1 in umpire Barretts last 6 games behind home plate. Play on the OVER |
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08-13-19 | Dodgers v. Marlins +1.5 | 15-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
The LA Dodgers travelled from the West Coast to the East coast yesterday, and after a gruelling overall schedule should show some jet lag here tonight in Miami and be at a disadvantage. It must be noted that over the L/5 seasons , teams travelling from west coast or mountain west and than playing in the visitors role in Miami have not been a very bad bet going just 3-15 (SU/ML). |
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08-13-19 | Cubs -120 v. Phillies | 2-4 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
Jose Quintana(10-7, 4.23 ERA, 110 SO)Qu beat the A's on Wednesday at home behind seven strong innings. He struck out seven, walked none and allowed one run on two hits. The Cubs are 7-0 in his last seven starts. Quintana is 6-0 with a 3.67 ERA in that span and gets the nod here today vs their hosts the Philadelphia Phillies. Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. PHILADELPHIA is 7-23 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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08-12-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -110 | 8-6 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
Merrill Kelly (7-12, 4.52 ERA, 104 SO) After allowing seven runs in each of his previous two starts, allowed four runs (three earned) on eight hits over six innings in a 7-3 loss to the Phillies at Chase Field and in his current form is fade material entering this tilt vs the Colorado Rockies. Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 road starts.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Diamondbacks are 0-7 in Kellys last 7 starts. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season (NL) are 34-15 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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08-12-19 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -105 | 4-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
This young and talented Toronto team continues to be undervalued and tonight we have more the same value . The Blue Jays are 23 games below .500 but are 20-20 over their past 40 games. Rangers are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Toronto. TEXAS is 4-16 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MLV as a whole is 0-18 on the ML L/18 in the first game of a road series with no rest when they are off a game as a dog in which their starter pitched at least eight innings. The Rangers qualify under these perimeters. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 94-150 L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays on the ML |
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08-12-19 | Reds v. Nationals UNDER 10.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Anthony DeSclafani( 7-6, 4.20 ERA, 120 SO) has faced the Nationals seven times over his career, with four of them starts. He's 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA, nine walks and 21 strikeouts over 29 innings against them. Meanwhile, Nats starter Erick Fedde (2-2, 4.20 ERA, 32 SO)is coming off his best start of the season and one of the best in his young career: six shutout innings with a pair of strikeouts against the Giants on Monday. This will be his third start filling in for Max Scherzer in the Nats' rotation. According to my pitcher vs batting order projections these two pitchers should be able to go fairly deep and limit offensive output vs their respective opposition. CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. CINCINNATI in 24 games on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10.5 this season have seen a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 74 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 9-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (CINCINNATI) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 79-33 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-11-19 | Phillies v. Giants -101 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Arrieta's has bone Spurs and his ailing elbow makes it difficult to know when to pull him from a game. Thats a dangerous recipe for disaster, and I wont be surprised if he had an unhappy ending to this game here in SF tonight.The veteran has now gone six straight starts without a win, recording a 0-2 record and 4.34 ERA. SAN FRANCISCO is 16-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. Giants are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco. KAPLER is 9-24 against the money line in road games against NL West opponents as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
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08-11-19 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-9 | Win | 105 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
RYU the Dodgers starter is 17-2 SU in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Dodgers 5.2 Opp 1.9 ...3.3 rpg average deficit diff. RYU is 18-2 SU in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a average rpg diff of 3.5 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Mike Leake(9-8, 4.24 ERA, 103 SO) pitched around a lot of traffic on the bases in his D-backs debut. He allowed 11 hits and walked one in 5 1/3 innings and to me looks like cannon fodder vs a sometimes explosive Dodgers batting order making this a viable runline wagering opportunity. Dodgers are 7-0 in Ryus last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 4-0 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks are 0-17 SU a road dog of more than 160 off a loss as a underdog in which they never led and it is not a series opener losing by an average of 2.78 rpg. The Dodgers are 28-0 SU in the last game of a series as a 200+ chalk after they won and never trailed winning by an average of 4.4 rpg. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the -1.5 RL |
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08-11-19 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Leake gave up 11 hits and three runs (two earned) while receiving no-decision in his Arizona debut, an 8-4 victory over Philadelphia on Tuesday, but he dealt with alot of traffic in that game, and now today Im betting he feels the brunt of the Dodgers offensive attack in this spot, which will help this score get over the set total. I know Ryu the dodgers lefty hurler is in top form, but Im betting the dbacks do just enough damage to get us over the set total. Note: ARIZONA is 13-4 OVER in road games against left-handed starters this season with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 10 (LA DODGERS) - after shutting out a division rival, a top-level team (62% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 36-13 OVER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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08-11-19 | Indians +140 v. Twins | 7-3 | Win | 140 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Aaron Civale(1-1, 0.75 ERA, 13 SO)will make back-to-back starts for the first time in his Major League career. He allowed one run on three hits in six innings against the Rangers on Monday. Civale threw six scoreless innings in a June 22 start in his only other big league trip to the hill and gets my support here today vs the host Twins. Meanwhile, Twins stater Jose Berrios(10-6, 3.24 ERA, 140 SO)Berrios was crushed for a first-pitch homer by Ronald Acuna Jr. on Tuesday, setting the tone for one an ugly outing in which he allowed a career-high nine earned runs and a season-high four walks in 5 2/3 frames. There were signs of control issues to which could easily signify arm fatigue here late in the season, which could easily continue to translate in excessive offensive production vs opposition batting orders and the Tribe this Sunday. Twins are 0-5 in Berrios' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. MINNESOTA has lost 13 of 21 games against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 road games. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML |
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08-11-19 | A's v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Lucas Giolito had a decent outing last time out , but in July was struggling, and in his L/3 overall starts owns a bloated 5.50 ERA and at home this season record a 4.10 ERA . Im betting that the As do some damage against him today. Over is 4-1 in Giolitos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 7-2 in Giolitos last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Pale Hose offence has come to life of late , averaging 5.7 rpg in their L/7 games, and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the As starter Bassit who owns a a 4.32 ERA in three outings vs the White Sox . Over is 5-1 in Bassitts last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. CHI WHITE SOX are 21-9 OVER in home games after a one run win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.( Yesterday the White Sox upset the As 3-2) Over is 10-4-1 in Bassitts last 15 starts following a team loss in their previous game. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 90-48 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games are 115-63 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-11-19 | Nationals +176 v. Mets | 7-4 | Win | 176 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
There is a battle cry being put out by the Manager of the Nats before this game vs the Mets as a post season spot is being battled for "We're fighting to get in the playoffs, they're fighting to get in the playoffs," Martinez said. "I believe in those boys in that clubhouse. People kicked us, we were down and you saw what they can do. Not by any means are we down." END QUOTE: The Mets, who were tied for 13th place in the NL and eight games out of the second wild card on July 24, have won 15 of their last 16 games to move within a half-game of the Nationals and Milwaukee Brewers, who are tied for the two wild-card spots and are now huge public favs, giving us value with a Nationals team that is 5-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog when they are off a loss in which they held the lead. Im betting the Nats do not get swept today, and do enough damage vs DeGrom to get a win here as hefty underdogs. Nationals are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.Nationals are 22-9 in their last 31 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. DEGROM is 1-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
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08-11-19 | Royals -109 v. Tigers | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
Norris the Tigers starter has never found much success in Comerica Park. He's 4-16 there in his career with a 5.20 ERA in 34 appearances, including 31 starts. Against Kansas City, Norris is 1-2 with a 3.95 ERA in 11 career outings, including 10 starts and is fade material here today. Meanwhile,Jakob Junis (7-10, 4.88 ERA, 130 SO) has thrown at least six innings in six straight starts. In his last outing on Tuesday against the Red Sox, he pitched six innings with seven hits, one run, one walk and four strikeouts and gets my support here today. NORRIS is 0-7 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 8-31 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ER 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL) are 31-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML |
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08-10-19 | Indians +135 v. Twins | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Adam Plutko (4-2, 4.55 ERA, 36 SO) was plugged back into the Indians' starting rotation last Saturday after the club traded Trevor Bauer to the Reds. Plutko earned the win after holding the Angels to one run on five hits with four strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings and will be primed to help his team get us to the promised land on a value line here tonight in Minnesota. Meanwhile, Twins stater Jake Odorizzi(12-5, 3.61 ERA, 120 SO)struggled with an elevated pitch count on Monday against the Bravesand Im betting that messes with his effectiveness and freshness in this spot vs and Indians side that is 8-0 on the ML as a dog after a game in which they left more than fifteen men on base and it is not a series opener. CLEVELAND is 7-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. MINNESOTA is 7-13 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season Cleveland is 41-16 since June 2 while Minnesota is 30-28 and its obvious to me the Indians in their current form are the superior team and offer rare true value tonight. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML |
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08-10-19 | A's -157 v. White Sox | 2-3 | Loss | -157 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Tanner Roark 7-7, 4.14 ERA, 114 SORoark's A's debut on Sunday was a success, as he tossed five innings of one-run ball in a win over the Cardinals and now I look for him to have positive results here again today against a group that has never faced him. The Athletics are 21-0 on the ML as a road 130-plus favorite off a game as a favorite when their opponent's starting pitcher is seeking same-season-revenge. ( Lopez) OAKLAND is 21-2 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 35-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 24-3 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 15-4 against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. Play on the As on the ML |
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08-09-19 | Yankees -157 v. Blue Jays | 2-8 | Loss | -157 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
The Yankees have won their last eight games, and have momentum entering this tilt vs the Jays. The Jays can explode with some offence, and must not be underestimated, but the Yanks are even more explosive and have a deeper bullpen making them viable favs here tonight. Note: The Yankees have average 6.7 rpg on the road this season via a 2.80 team BA. HAPP is 13-1 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HAPP is 13-1 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HAPP is 24-8 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NY YANKEES are 28-8 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL) are 14-49 L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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08-08-19 | Phillies v. Giants +107 | 0-5 | Win | 107 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
Madison Bumgarner(6-7, 3.92 ERA, 142 SO) the Giants starter has seen his team win seven of his past eight starts, including his past four and gets my support here tonight. I know his starting pitching opponent from the Phillies Nola is also in top form, but Im betting home filed advantage for the Giants will be the difference maker. PHILADELPHIA is 7-25 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. PHILADELPHIA is 12-34 against the money line in road games against NL West opponents over the last 3 seasons. SF are 5-0 in Bumgarners last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 6-0 in Bumgarners last 6 home starts. Phillies are 3-12 in the last 15 meetings in San Francisco. MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 to 1.300) -NL, in August games are 121-76 L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
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08-07-19 | Padres -142 v. Mariners | 2-3 | Loss | -142 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Yusei Kikuchi (4-8, 5.49 ERA, 84 SO)After a solid start to his season, the rookie from Japan has gone 1-7 with a 7.65 ERA over his last 12 starts, with opponents posting a .347/.406/.677 line with 24 walks, 35 strikeouts and 20 home runs and is fade material here vs the Padres tonight. Meanwhile, Padres starter Lucchesi is 2-0 with a 3.09 ERA in two career starts against Seattle in his career and gets my support here tonight. The Mariners are 0-22 on the ML in the second game of a series as a dog of more than 130 when they are off a game as a dog in which they scored in at most two separate innings.
MLB Home teams (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games. are 10-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML |
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08-07-19 | Cardinals +120 v. Dodgers | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
St. Louis right-hander Jack Flaherty (5-6, 3.93) is coming off his best outing of the season, allowing no runs and one hit over seven innings in an 8-0 win against the visiting Chicago Cubs on Thursday.He has been red hot since just before the All-Star break. His record is just 1-1 in his past five starts, but he has registered a minuscule ERA of 1.15 in that span and gets my support here on a value line. Note:Flaherty beat Los Angeles on April 10 as part of a four-game sweep against the visiting Dodgers. He allowed one run and three hits in six innings of the 7-2 win, which earned him his first victory of the season.The Cars righty is now 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers. I know the Cards are struggling at the moment but it must be noted that they are pretty resileint group, as MIKE is 24-13 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse as the manager of ST LOUIS. Cardinals are 5-0 in Flahertys last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Cardinals are 40-16 in their last 56 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Cardinals are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 games with umpire Eddings behind home plate.ST LOUIS is 39-26 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML |
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08-07-19 | Braves -116 v. Twins | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Max Fried(12-4, 4.07 ERA, 112 SO) recorded a strike with nearly 70 percent of the 76 pitches he threw over six strong innings against the Reds on Thursday. His curveball induced a 33.3 percent (7 of 21) swing-and-miss rate during this rain-shortened complete game effort and remains a solid hurler to back for now in this current winning form. Meanwhile,Martin Perez( (8-4, 4.58 ERA, 100 SO) struggled with the long ball in his last start, when he matched a season high with three homers allowed for five runs in five innings. His current form has yielded eight HRs in his last four starts making him fade material vs this explosive Atlanta squad. The lefty hurler also own s a very bloated 7.80 ERA in his L/3 starts. Twins are 15-31 in their last 46 vs. National League East.Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 1-9 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB team (MINNESOTA) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 89-160 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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08-07-19 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 9 | 4-3 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Brendan McKay(2-1, 4.38 ERA, 25 SO) will be making his sixth career start at the big league level and his first against the Blue Jays. The left-hander is 1-1 with a 5.65 ERA in three home starts this season and and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings could be in trouble today vs a hot hitting Blue Jays team, Meanwhile, Jays starter Wilmer Font after being converted to a starter by the New York Mets after he was acquired from Tampa Bay in May went 0-1 with a 7.84 ERA in three turns and according to my projections could easily get hammered here today vs a team with top notch scouting report on him. Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 8-1 in Rays last 9 overall.Over is 7-1 in Rays last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 games following a win.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League East.Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 on astroturf.Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-3-1 in Rays last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 Wednesday games.Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 5-2 in Rays last 7 home games. Play OVER |
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08-06-19 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks -133 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Mike Leake9-8, 4.27 ERA, 100 SO was acquired from the Mariners just a couple of minutes before the Trade Deadline. This will be Leake's first start for the D-backs. His last start was on July 30 against the Rangers when he allowed three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings. Meanwhile,Jake Arrieta 8-8, 4.44 ERA, 100 SO is limited because of a bone spur in his right elbow, meaning he typically hits a wall around the fourth or fifth inning, losing velocity and command of his pitches and is fade material in current state of health. LEAKE is 17-8 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Phillies are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings.Phillies are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Arizona.PHILADELPHIA is 7-21 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.Phillies are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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08-06-19 | Braves v. Twins -143 | 12-7 | Loss | -143 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Atlantas starter Mike Foltynewicz(2-5, 6.37 ERA, 50 SO) returns to the Majors for the first time since being demoted to Triple-A Gwinnett on June 23. Foltynewicz has a 1-0 record and 8.74 ERA in three career appearances, including two starts, against the Twins.Meanwhile, Twins starter Jose Berrios(10-5, 2.80 ERA, 133 SO) was over powering in his last start against the Marlins, striking out a season-high 11 batters without issuing a walk as he allowed just two singles -- including an infield hit -- in seven scoreless innings to lower his season ERA to 2.81 and gets my support here today. MINNESOTA is 20-6 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. MINNESOTA is 25-11 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. Braves are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 19-40 in their last 59 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague games.Braves are 7-18 in their last 25 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 4-11 in their last 15 Tuesday games.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Braves are 4-9 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts.Braves are 4-9 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts on grass.Braves are 4-11 in Foltynewiczs last 15 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-9 in Foltynewiczs last 12 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-10 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML |
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08-06-19 | Angels v. Reds UNDER 10 | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Anthony DeSclafani (6-6, 4.07 ERA, 115 SO) has one win to show for his past five starts despite allowing only 10 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings, for a 3.25 ERA. He has racked up 31 strikeouts in those starts and is the type of hurler that can really slow down a struggling offence like the Angels own at this time. Meanwhile, Suarez the Halos starter, despite of some inconsistent starts this season in limited action, actually matches up well vs the light hitting Reds according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. The Angels have scored 3 or less runs in 5 of their L/6 and as a teaming are hitting just .221 over a 7 game span. Meanwhile, the Reds have not seen more than 10 combined runs scored in 7 of their L/9 games. CINCINNATI is 18-3 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season with the combined average score of 7 rpg going on the board. A ANGELS are 11-3 UNDER in an inter-league game this season with an average of 8.1 rpg scored. Under is 11-2 in Angels last 13 during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Angels last 13 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Angels last 14 vs. National League Central.Under is 33-15-4 in Angels last 52 interleague games.Under is 15-7-1 in Angels last 23 interleague road games. Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 10-2-1 in Reds last 13 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 14-4-1 in Reds last 19 interleague games.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 Tuesday games.Under is 19-7-1 in Reds last 27 vs. American League West.Under is 24-9 in Reds last 33 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-3-1 in Reds last 12 interleague home games.Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 27-13-2 in Reds last 42 during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-0-1 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts on grass.Under is 5-0 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-0-1 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts overall. Under is 5-1-1 in DeSclafanis last 7 home starts. Under is 14-6 in umpire Tumpanes last 20 interleague games behind home plate and 4 of his L/5 overall. Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (LA ANGELS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (46 to 49%) are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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08-06-19 | Brewers v. Pirates OVER 10 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Tuesday, Milwaukee right-hander Chase Anderson (5-2, 3.73 ERA) is scheduled to start against Pittsburgh left-hander Steven Brault (3-1, 4.15) in a tilt I have pegged to go over the set total.Brault has been on the injured list since July 6 because of a left shoulder strain but is expected to be activated for the start with rust being the main concern that could easily see him get roughed up which will result in Milwaukee scoring a projected 1.5 runs more than expected by the linesmakers according to my estimates. These teams have gone over in 7 of the L/8 meetings here in Pittsburgh and Im betting on nothing changing tonight. MILWAUKEE is 20-7 OVER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. COUNSELL is 26-12 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more as the manager of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 16-5 OVER in home games against division opponents this season with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.PITTSBURGH is 25-6 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 12.9 rpg going on the score board. HURDLE is 15-4 OVER in home games after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games in all games he has managed with a combined average of 13.1 rpg scored. Pittsburgh has gone over in 7 of their L/8 games and in their L/7 games an average of 13.1 rpg have scored. Play OVER |
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08-05-19 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks -104 | 7-3 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The Phillies are 0-9 on the ML in franchise history with starter Vince Velasquez on the road when he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start and the Phillies lost. He is off back to back quality starts , but that has not been a recipe for success going forward for his team when he starts . VELASQUEZ is 2-10 ( against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Phillies are 7-19 in Velasquezs last 26 starts with 4 days of rest.Phillies are 5-14 in Velasquezs last 19 road starts.Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquezs last 5 starts vs. National League West.Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquezs last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Phillies are 2-9 in Velasquezs last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings.Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona. Play on Arizona to win on the ML |
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08-05-19 | A's v. Cubs -147 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Chicago has captured 11 of its last 13 home games since June 27 and 22 of its last 31 after completing a three-game sweep over Milwaukee with Sunday's 7-2 win. The Cubs are now an impressive 39-18 overall at home and get my support here tonight vs the Athletics. Kyle Hendricks(8-8, 3.07 ERA, 107 SO) logged seven shutout innings in a win over the Cardinals on Wednesday, giving him a 2.25 ERA with 32 strikeouts vs. nine walks in 32 innings in July. The righty has gone 4-2 with a 1.89 ERA in nine home starts this year and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the As.Hendricks' only previous start against the Athletics was Aug. 7, 2016, in Oakland when he allowed one run on three hits in 7 1/3 innings. .HENDRICKS is 16-3 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) CHICAGO CUBS are 22-5 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 8-0 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 24-7 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 50-11 L/L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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08-05-19 | White Sox -125 v. Tigers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Lucas Giolito(11-5, 3.39 ERA, 150 SO) bounced back from his worst start of the season by allowing just one run over seven innings Wednesday vs. the Mets. This kid has proven his consistency and is a quality pitcher that deserves our support here tonight. Note: White Sox are 7-2 in Giolitos last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Meanwhile, Spencer Turnbull (3-9, 3.65 ERA, 88 SO)is expected to be limited to around 75 pitches in his return from the injured list, having been shelved since July 18 with an upper back strain and rust maybe an issue here making him fade material in this spot. GIOLITO is 10-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 4-23 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. DETROIT is 4-19 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. DETROIT is 2-15 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. DETROIT is 1-16 (against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season. DETROIT is 4-24 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team - scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in August games are 6-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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08-05-19 | Brewers -140 v. Pirates | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Lyles will be facing his former club and will have something to prove after they traded him away. Im expecting a top tier effort from a pitcher the Pirates deemed ineffective and expendable. The Pirates are 0-15 on the ML in the history of this database in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a game as a home dog in which they drew one or fewer walks. MILWAUKEE is 22-9 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts are 32-16 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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08-04-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 10 | 4-7 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
David Price(7-4, 3.86 ERA, 123 SO)Price has struggled since the All-Star break, going 0-2 with a 6.52 ERA in four starts. The lefty won at Yankee Stadium on June 2, holding the Yankees to two runs over 6 1/3 innings ad now primed fora bounce back effort I look for Price to limit the pinstripes offence tonight. Meanwhile,J.A. Happ(8-6, 5.19 ERA, 89 SO) returns from the paternity list for his 22nd start of the season. He took the loss his last time out, though he logged a quality start by holding the D-backs to three runs and eight hits over six innings and according to my pitcher vs batting order lineup matches up well vs the BoSox offence.He is 9-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 23 career appearances (22 starts) against Boston. Under is 6-1 in Prices last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in New York.MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 76-39 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-04-19 | Reds +113 v. Braves | 6-4 | Win | 113 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Sonny Gray(6-6, 3.45 ERA, 130 SO) acknowledged not having his best stuff during Monday's 11-6 win over the Pirates. His streak of five straight quality starts ended, but he's still 3-1 with a 2.42 ERA over his last six games and is . viable underdog option this afternoon in Atlanta. GRAY is 10-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) GRAY is 11-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - NL team with a high slugging percentage (.430 of more) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 130-73 L/22 seasons fo a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML |
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08-03-19 | Cardinals v. A's -151 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Cardinals rookie right-hander Dakota Hudson (10-5, 3.88 ERA) goes against A's righty Mike Fiers (9-3, 3.54) this Saturday.Fiers will take the mound riding a 15-game unbeaten streak in which he's gone 7-0 with a 2.30 ERA. He's gone 4-0 in his last eight home starts, not allowing more than three runs in any of them and gets my support here today. Hudson has a 4.63 ERA in his last seven games, allowing 18 earned runs in 35 innings, but he has a 5-2 record in that span. . FIERS is 17-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FIERS is 23-6 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 17-4 against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. ST LOUIS is 0-11 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season MLB teams (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 100-148 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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08-03-19 | Reds v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Bauer the Reds newly acquired starter is leading the majors in innings pitched (156 2/3) and ranks fifth in strikeouts (185). The Reds are hopeful that Bauer can bolster a starting rotation that already ranks third in the National League in ERA. Bauer did have a bad outing last time out, but however overall comes in hot, having allowed three or fewer runs in seven of his past 10 starts. Meanwhile, Keuchel the Braves starter a former Cy Young Award winner has allowed a season-high four earned runs in two of his past three starts, but those Im betting are anomalies, and today against a top tier hurler should have his juices flowing and ready to perform, which Im betting helps this total stay on the low side of the number.
KEUCHEL is 8-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. KEUCHEL is 8-0 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 22-6 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 11-2 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 22-8 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 14-4 UNDER against NL East opponents this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 17-5 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series.Under is 9-2-1 in Reds last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Reds last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 22-6 in Reds last 28 vs. National League East.Under is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 Saturday games.Under is 24-8 in Reds last 32 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 20-7 in Reds last 27 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 45-18-1 in Reds last 64 road games.Under is 17-7-1 in Reds last 25 games following a win.Under is 38-16-1 in Reds last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 52-24-4 in Reds last 80 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 overall.Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 on grass.Under is 40-19-1 in Reds last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-1 in Grays last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-2 in Grays last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-3 in Grays last 10 road starts. Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-0-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 9-1-1 in Braves last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 15-2 in Braves last 17 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 13-3-1 in Braves last 17 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 on grass.Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 home games.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-3-1 in Braves last 13 games following a loss. Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 8-0 in Keuchels last 8 starts on grass.Under is 8-0 in Keuchels last 8 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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08-03-19 | White Sox v. Phillies -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Phillies send their ace on Saturday when Aaron Nola takes the mound. Nola is 9-2 with a 3.72 ERA and over his past eight starts, he is 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA. He has never faced the White Sox , however , my power rankings suggest he matches up vs well vs this inconsistent Pale Hose batting order that is averaging just 3.8 rpg vs righty pitching this season and that overall has scored two runs or less in 9 of their L/13 games. NOLA is 11-1 SU when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with the average score deferential clicking in at 2.9 rpg. CHI WHITE SOX are 9-33 SU after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons with a rpg differential of 2.8 rpg registering on the final scoreboard. Home favorites with a money line of -200 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - in an inter-league game, in August games are 42-4 SU L/22 seasons with a +3 rpg score differential making this a viable RL trend. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies on the -1.5 RL |
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08-03-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 11.5 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Sale faced the Yankees last Sunday, striking out seven and allowing six runs (two homers) in 5 1/3 innings at Fenway Park and was very unhappy after that effort and now with immense talent to back him Im betting he rebounds to limit the Red Sox offence here . Meanwhile,Domingo German(13-2, 4.08 ERA, 107 SO) "was on a mission" in his last outing, according to catcher Austin Romine, as he halted the Yanks' slide by limiting the Red Sox to three runs in 5 1/3 innings at Fenway Park. German tied his season high with nine strikeouts and is capable of limiting the Red Sox offence again. Im expecting a pitchers duel, and not a shootout, and score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 7-0 in Sales last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-1-1 in Sales last 10 road starts. Under is 7-0 in Germans last 7 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Germans last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Five of the L/6 games here in NY have gone under. Under is 47-23-4 in umpire Estabrooks last 74 games behind home plate and 7-1 UNDER in his L/8 in Yankee games. Play UNDER @ 10 or more |
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08-02-19 | Tigers v. Rangers UNDER 10 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Rangers starter Lance Lynn (13-6, 3.83 ERA, 160 SO) has pitched at least six innings in 17 straight starts, going 11-4 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. He has pitched 113 innings in that stretch, striking out 136 and walking just 25 and Im betting he remains on track here limits the Tigers offensive production in this spot. Meanwhile, tigers southpaw starter Tyler Alexander(0-1, 3.86 ERA, 14 SO)After a couple of solid outings to open his Major League career, the rookie was roughed up a bit in his third career start, getting clipped for four runs on eight hits and one walk in 4 1/3 innings against the Mariners on Saturday. However despite of the regression Alexander still showed his prowess with nine strikeouts and has the ability to limit damage here in this spot , which Im betting will help keep this score on the low side of the total. Under is 9-2-1 in Tigers last 12 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games. Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-3-1 in Rangers last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 Friday starts.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Lynns last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Lynns last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Lynns last 13 starts overall.Under is 9-3 in Lynns last 12 starts on grass.Under is 7-3 in Lynns last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 17-5 in Rangers last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 23-9 in Rangers last 32 games following a win.Under is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-02-19 | Brewers v. Cubs -140 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Zach Davies(8-4, 3.56 ERA, 76 SO)has allowed 14 runs (13 earned) over his last two starts, including a loss to the Cubs on Sunday in which he allowed seven earned runs in five innings and is fade material here in this spot in his current form. Brewers are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series. Brewers are 3-10 in their last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Brewers are 4-11 in Davies' last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 48-21 in their last 69 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 69-32 in their last 101 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Cubs are 41-19 in their last 60 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Cubs are 35-17 in their last 52 home game MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 63-17 L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cubs to win on the ML |
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08-01-19 | Rays +114 v. Red Sox | 9-4 | Win | 114 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Right-hander Andrew Cashner (10-5, 4.18 ERA) gets the nod for Boston opposite Tampa Bay rookie left-hander Brendan McKay (1-1, 3.72). Despite of McKays inexperience, Im still betting he does enough to thwart a BoSox team the Rays have played well against of late.Tampa Bay has won five of its last six games and is 8-6 against the Red Sox this season, with seven of those wins coming in Boston, matching a franchise record (2011). Im betting on more TB Rays positive momentum action in this spot. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League East.Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Rays are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Boston. Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. MLB team (BOSTON) - team with an excellent SLG (.450 or more) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 15 games are 17-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 19-49 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML |
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08-01-19 | Blue Jays v. Orioles OVER 10.5 | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Trent Thornton (3-7, 5.45 ERA) gets the start for the Jays in Thursday's game. He is coming off of the injured list (elbow inflammation) and could be rusty today and in the process allow this underrated Baltimore offence to unload on him offensively. In his last three starts Thornton garnered a bloated 7.34 ERA .Thornton owns a 1.54 WHIP and .270 batting average against in 21 starts this season.Meanwhile, Os starter Wojciechowski despite of two recent quality starts, was 0-3 with a 5.74 ERA in his first four games (three starts) with Baltimore after he was acquired from the Cleveland organization July 1 and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this sometimes explosive Toronto offence that is loaded full of young top tier talent. Over is 5-0 in Thorntons last 5 road starts.Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall. MLB team (TORONTO) - a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record, in August games are 220-132 OVER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-31-19 | Giants v. Phillies -130 | 5-1 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The Phillies are my choice to extend their 2 game winning streak, behind right-hander Vince Velasquez. In Velasquez's last start, he thew 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win against the Detroit Tigers last Wednesday . Phillies are 5-0 in Velasquezs last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.Phillies are 7-2 in Velasquezs last 9 home starts. Meanwhile, Giants starter SAMARDZIJA is 1-11 against the money line against NL East opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 4-22 in Samardzijas last 26 starts during game 2 of a series. Philadelphia is 7-1 L/8 vs the SF Giants and gets my backing to win again. Giants are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts are 26-52 L/22 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the ML |
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07-31-19 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 10 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Anibal Sanchez(6-6, 3.63 ERA, 87 SO)will make his fourth start this season against the Braves, after spending last season with Atlanta, and he is 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in his first three outings against them. He has won six straight decisions since May 29. Meanwhile, Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.44 ERA, 91 SO)was cruising against the Phillies on Friday before his night ended early thanks to a 37-pitch fifth inning in which he recorded only two outs. Still, he allowed just one run over 4 2/3 innings and is 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA on the road. The recency of yesterday high scoring game that saw these teams combined for 19 runs, had a bloated line attached to this tilt. Note: WASHINGTON is 13-4 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. SANCHEZ is 21-8 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 12-4 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.8 rpg. WASHINGTON is 12-4 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 Wednesday games.Under is 8-1 in Nationals last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 during game 3 of a series.Under is 10-2 in Nationals last 12 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 9-3-1 in Nationals last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 18-7 in Nationals last 25 overall.Under is 18-7 in Nationals last 25 on grass.Under is 9-4 in Nationals last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts on grass.Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts overall.Under is 7-1 in Sanchezs last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Sanchezs last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Sanchezs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 6-2 in Sorokas last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2-1 in Sorokas last 8 road starts. Play on the UNDER |
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07-30-19 | Blue Jays -108 v. Royals | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
The Royals will start left-hander Mike Montgomery (1-3, 6.09). It will be his third start for the Royals since being obtained from the Chicago Cubs. Both his past two outings were against the Cleveland Indians, and he went 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and Im betting he gets hammered by a under rated Toronto offence. MONTGOMERY the Royals pitcher is 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MONTGOMERY is 6-17 ( against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 0-7 against the money line in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record) MONTOYO is 13-5 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game as the manager of TORONTO. MLB All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - terrible team, winning 38% or less of their games on the season, playing on Tuesday are 41-23 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML |
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07-30-19 | Rays v. Red Sox -131 | 6-5 | Loss | -131 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Price the BoSox starter tonight vs TB comes in off a hard-luck loss against the Rays his last time out, allowing three runs and striking out eight over six innings. However, the Red Sox are also 9-0 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest as a favorite off a game as a favorite when seeking same season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher. The Red Sox are 21-0 on the ML with David Price as a home favorite when he went six-plus innings and gave up three or fewer runs in his last start and gets my support here tonight vs the Rays. MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), after a game where they committed 3 or more errors are 33-8 L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more are 33-82 L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red sox to win on the ML |
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07-30-19 | Giants v. Phillies OVER 10 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Tyler Beede (3-4, 4.85 ERA, 62 SO) allowed career highs of 10 hits and three homers vs. the Cubs last time out, surrendering four runs in 5 2/3 innings and looks unstable entering this game and could easily get lit up vs a batting order Im betting he does matchup well against. Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Drew Smyly (1-5, 7.69 ERA, 60 ) despite a decent effort in his debut with his new team, has still been very inconsistent this season and according to my power rankings does not matchup well against the Giants batting order. Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 11-2-2 in Giants last 15 games following an off day.Over is 15-3 in Giants last 18 Tuesday games.Over is 9-2-1 in Giants last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 7-2-1 in Giants last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 9-3-1 in Giants last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-5-1 in Giants last 19 road games.Over is 18-7-4 in Giants last 29 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-3 in Giants last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 vs. National League West. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia. Play OVER |
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07-29-19 | Dodgers -120 v. Rockies | 1-9 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Maeda has pitched well against Colorado , including three starts this season in which he is 1-0 with a 2.76 ERA. Overall against the Rockies, he's 6-3 with a 2.41 ERA in 18 games (13 starts), with seven of those starts coming in Denver. In 10 career games at Coors Field, he is 5-1 with a 3.12 ERA and he gets my support here on the road vs the Rockies. Meanwhile, Jon Gray (9-7, 4.05 ERA, 128 SO) has struggled a bit of late and been unfortunate .Gray, left his last start with a left calf contusion after being struck by a line drive, was cleared to start Monday's series opener against the Dodgers. The Rockies have lost three of his last four start and is fade material here today. Dodgers are 25-10 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 overall.Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 games on grass.Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.Rockies are 7-23 in their last 30 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. National League West.Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. Dodgers are 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.Dodgers are 5-2 in Maedas last 7 starts vs. Rockies.Dodgers are 5-2 in Maedas last 7 road starts vs. Rockies MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are17-59 L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
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07-29-19 | Blue Jays v. Royals OVER 10 | 7-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Toronto's Thomas Pannone(2-4, 6.39 ERA, 43 SO) is being promoted for Monday's start and return to a full five-man rotation. The lefty allowed four runs over 4 1/3 innings against Boston his last time out, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings could easily give up alot of production the Royals in this spot. Meanwhile, Brad Keller is currently throwing hard, but the Jays are a explosive fast ball hitting team, that I have projected for a positive output . Over is 10-4 in Blue Jays last 14 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-6 in Blue Jays last 19 during game 1 of a series.Over is 17-8-1 in Blue Jays last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games.Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 vs. American League East. KANSAS CITY is 12-3 OVER at home when the total is 10 or higher this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Over |
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07-29-19 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Nats starter Corbin (8-5, 3.25 ERA) has enjoyed plenty of success against the Braves, going 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA in 10 games (eight starts) in his career against Atlanta. He gave up two runs on eight hits in five innings on July 19 at SunTrust Park. Corbin's 1.68 ERA at Nationals Park is the second-best home ERA in the Majors.CORBIN is 10-1 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Braves starter Keuchel is coming off a dominant 12-strikeout performance Tuesday against the Royals. The heavy dose of strikeouts were one shy of his career high and his most in a game since Sept. 6, 2015 the year he went on to win the AL Cy Young Award with Houston.KEUCHEL is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. Im expecting a pitcher duel here today. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 100-43 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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07-28-19 | Astros -136 v. Cardinals | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Astros starter Wade Miley (8-4, 3.18 ERA, 100 SO) carried a shutout into the ninth inning of his previous start Tuesday against Oakland before getting a no-decision. In his last five starts, he's 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.88 WHIP as opposing hitters owns a ugly .159/.236/.295 slash line during that stretch. The southpaw gets my support here today vs the Cardinals vs anyone the Cards can send to the mound. HOUSTON is 27-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. HINCH is 20-7 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (HOUSTON) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, playing on Sunday are 133-53 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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07-28-19 | Rockies +143 v. Reds | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Colorado's starter Peter Lambert(2-2, 5.93 ERA, 31 SO)fastball-changeup combination kept him competitive in his last start, when he struck out eight and gave up three runs in 5 1/3 innings at Washington and has momentum entering this game vs the Reds , making his team a viable underdog investment option. Meanwhile, the Reds starte Alex Wood 0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SOis scheduled to start vs. the Rockies in his season debut. Wood has been on the Reds' injured list all season with a lower back injury. The rust Im betting shows itself here today. Note: In 10career outings vs the Rockies Wood owns a 6.30 ERA. Reds are 18-38 in their last 56 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Reds are 5-11 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter. WOOD is 6-12 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 3-8 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 9-20 against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record) Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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07-28-19 | Braves v. Phillies -135 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Gausman the Braves starter has had little success in his career against the Phillies, going 0-2 with a 5.51 ERA in three career starts against the club. Meanwhile, Nola the Phillies starter has done well vs the Braves as is is evident In 15 career starts against the Braves, he is 9-3 with a 2.26 ERA. In three starts against them this season, he's 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA including a eight-inning scoreless effort on July 2 when he outdueled Atlanta's Dallas Keuchel in a 2-0 win. In five starts in July, Nola is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and gets my support here today in the favorite role. NOLA is 18-5 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 18-30 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA of 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies |
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07-27-19 | Braves -116 v. Phillies | 15-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Zach Eflin (7-10, 4.25 ERA, 91 SO goes to the hill tonight. )The Phillies say Eflin is healthy and everything is fine, but Eflin has complained about a "heavy" body recently. He is 1-3 with a 9.38 ERA in his last five starts, and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, southpaw Max Fried of the Braves(10-4, 4.08 ERA, 102 SO)will return from the injured list to start for the first time since developing a blister during a July 15 win in Milwaukee. The young lefty's arm should be fresh. He's totaled just 10 innings in two starts this month. EFLIN is 0-9 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 29-10 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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07-27-19 | Yankees +131 v. Red Sox | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Sabathia had a rough outing last time out, but was in top form for a long stretch before that and also notched a quality start vs. Boston on June 2, completing six innings of three-run ball while striking out eight in an 8-5 Yankees loss and gets my support in a contrarian spot here this after vs the BoSox in Fenway. I know Rodriguez has pitched well for the BoSox of late, but my own pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Yankees hitters matchup well against him. BOSTON is 13-16 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Yankees are 17-5 in their last 22 during game 3 of a series.Yankees are 67-26 in their last 93 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 28-11 in their last 39 vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 40-16 in their last 56 Saturday games.Yankees are 67-27 in their last 94 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 53-22 in their last 75 games on grass.Yankees are 36-15 in their last 51 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 52-22 in their last 74 vs. American League East.Yankees are 80-36 in their last 116 games following a loss.Yankees are 35-16 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 58-27 in their last 85 overall.Yankees are 92-45 in their last 137 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-26-19 | Orioles +185 v. Angels | 9-3 | Win | 185 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Asher Wojciechowski( 1-3, 3.91 ERA, 31 SO) is coming off the best start of his career. The 30-year-old righty threw 7 1/3 scoreless innings vs. Boston on Sunday, striking out 10 and taking a no-hitter into the seventh. His innings pitched and strikeouts were career highs and has momentum coming into this tilt and gets backing . LA ANGELS are 13-33 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 121-81 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win on the ML |
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07-26-19 | Astros -104 v. Cardinals | 3-5 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Jose Urquidy (1-0, 5.54 ERA, 17 SO ) will make his fourth career start .He earned his first win on Saturday vs. the Rangers, when he allowed one run in seven innings. He's the second Astros pitcher to strike out at least nine with no walks within his first three games. This kids the real deal. Meanwhile, Jack Flaherty the Cards starter despite of pitching decently of late has not garnered a win since May 14 against the Braves and is fade material vs the Astros tonight. He is also just 1-2 with a 5.59 ERA over seven career interleague starts, including a 7.63 ERA over three appearances against the American League this season.Note: The Cardinals are 3-15 L/18 on the ML when Jack Flaherty starts and he threw more strike out than hits allowed in his last start. I know the Cards have been hot, but playing against upper tier competition seems to ignite the Astros to playing their best ball. HOUSTON is 29-10 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 15-1 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. HINCH is 19-6 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON with the average margin of victory coming by 3.1 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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07-26-19 | Cubs -110 v. Brewers | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
When I first looked at this game, I was not sold on the Cubs with Hendricks on the hill as he has struggled a bit on the road this season. But after really running the numbers, my projections and power rankings say we do have some value here with the Cubbies vs the Brewers. Note: Hendricks despite of being winless in July still garnered a 3.60 ERA. In 20 career starts against Milwaukee, Hendricks is 8-6 with a 3.22 ERA. Meanwhile the Brewers starter Gio Gonzalez will make his second start since a stint on the injured list for left shoulder inflammation and in his first start after the injury threw just 74 pitches, and could easily experience rust. Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 games following an off day. CHICAGO CUBS are 30-17 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day.Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.MILWAUKEE is 2-9 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season. MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 37-16 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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07-25-19 | Yankees -115 v. Red Sox | 3-19 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Rick Porcello (8-7, 5.61 ERA, 87 SO) just cant get himself in a groove . Though Porcello is 3-1 in his last five starts, he has a 10.57 ERA over that span. Porcello's last start against the Yankees was a rough outing on June 29 in London, when he retired just one batter and gave up six runs and Im betting against him and home side today vs the explosive Yankees. Meanwhile, Tanaka is undefeated in his L/7 starts, and is more than capable of getting us to the promised land here in this spot even though he will be backed by a tired bullpen. NY YANKEES are 28-8 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season Yankees are 44-14 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 28-9 in their last 37 vs. a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Red Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Yankees are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-25-19 | Cardinals +109 v. Pirates | 6-3 | Win | 109 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Miles Mikolas(6-10, 4.17 ERA, 82 SO) gem got away from him on Saturday against the Reds with a three-run seventh inning, but he threw six scoreless innings prior to that to continue his good start to the second half. He allowed just three hits before the seventh and struck out four and is rounding into top form and has momentum entering this game. Meanwhile, Musgrove his Pittsburgh pitching opponent, is off a strong effort last time out vs the Phillies, but that has proven to be a negative in the past, as the Pirates are just 5-15 in last 20 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. MIKOLAS is 10-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cardinals are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.Pirates are 0-4 in Musgroves last 4 starts vs. Cardinals. PITTSBURGH is 1-13 against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), playing on Thursday are 38-14 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis to win on the ML |
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07-24-19 | Indians -131 v. Blue Jays | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
The Indians will send out right-hander Shane Bieber (9-3, 3.69 ERA) in the rubber match Wednesday against Blue Jays right-hander Marcus Stroman (6-10, 3.06). Stroman is the ace of the Blue Jays rotation, and won his last start , but that has not been a good omen for his team in his career as the following trend indicates. Note: The Blue Jays are 0-17 on the ML as a dog with Marcus Stroman when they won his last start.
Play on the Indians to win on the ML |
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07-24-19 | A's +193 v. Astros | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Chris Bassitt 7-4, 3.96 ERA, 83 SO The right-hander pitched well in a June 2 loss to Houston, holding the Astros to three runs over six innings and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Astros batting order and offers substantial value as an underdog in this spot play. BASSITT is 6-0 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The As found a way to win yesterday, and Im betting they stymie the Astros here. Verlander the Astros starter is top tier hurler but OAKLAND is 10-3 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or worse) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 17-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win on the ML |
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07-23-19 | Yankees -119 v. Twins | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
The Yankees took it on the chin yesterday losing to the Twins in game 1 of this series, but they have proven resilient in the past under the following perimeters. Note: The NY Yankees are 25-0 L/25 on the ML in the second game of a series when they allowed six-plus runs as a 110-plus favorite in the series opener which was the case yesterday in a 8-6 loss to the Twins in game 1 of this series. D. German of the starter for the Yankees has won three straight starts since coming back from the injured list, giving up just three runs and striking out 18 batters in 18 innings pitched and is my choice to silence the Twins here tonight. Meanwhile, Twins starter Kyle Gibson allowed five runs at Yankee Stadium earlier this year, though three were unearned and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this current NYY batting order. Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Yankees are 5-0 in Germans last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.NY YANKEES are 41-14 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. Twins are 0-7 in Gibsons last 7 starts vs. Yankees.Twins are 0-5 in Gibsons last 5 home starts vs. Yankees. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 2 runs or less are 73-22 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-22-19 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 10 | 3-7 | Push | 0 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Sampson the Rangers starter today 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA versus the Mariners in 2019, and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Mariners inconsistent offence. Meanwhile, Mariners starter Gonzales allowed three runs or less in six straight starts before he was reached for six runs in six frames of a loss at Oakland on Tuesday, but Im betting he bounces back today and gets back to his usual consistent form. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games. Under is 13-3 in Rangers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 Monday games.Under is 12-4 in Rangers last 16 during game 1 of a series.Under is 19-7 in Rangers last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 14-6-1 in Rangers last 21 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. TEXAS is 17-5 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 15-5 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. MLB eams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TEXAS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 45-17 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate! Play UNDER |
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07-22-19 | Yankees -114 v. Twins | 6-8 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
CC Sabathia (5-4, 4.06 ERA, 77 SO) will make his 16th start of the season in the series opener on the road against AL Central-leading Minnesota. He has gone at least six innings in each of his last four outings and hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of them and gets my support here tonight in Minnesota. SABATHIA is 22-9 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.211. Yankees are 7-0 in Sabathias last 7 road starts vs. Twins.Meanwhile, my power ranking suggest his pithing opponent form the Twins is over rated.Martin Perez (8-3, 4.10 ERA, 89 SO) Perez’s results finally caught up to his stellar hard-hit rate and exit velocity allowed Wednesday against the Mets, when he allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits in six frames before the defense and bullpen imploded in a blowout loss. Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. NY YANKEES are 21-9 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.NY YANKEES are 26-7 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. SABATHIA is 21-8 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).NY YANKEES are 19-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-22-19 | A's v. Astros UNDER 9 | 1-11 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Homer Bailey (8-6, 4.69 ERA, 87 SO) was sharp in his A’s debut, allowing just two runs over six innings in a win against the Mariners. The right-hander returns to his home state of Texas for a matchup with the Astros, whom he’s 4-0 against with a 1.46 ERA in eight career starts. Meanwhile, Astros starter Gerrit Cole (10-5, 3.12 ERA, 194 SO)has put himself in the American League Cy Young race, going 6-0 with a 2.11 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in his last 10 starts. He has struck out 94 batters in 64 innings in that span. Cole leads the Majors with 194 strikeouts and 13.47 strikeouts per nine innings. COLE is 24-10 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. COLE is 24-10 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season for a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board. OAKLAND is 9-1 UNDER in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season with a combined average 8.4 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 21-9 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. Under is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-3 in Athletics last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 13-5 in Athletics last 18 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 road games.Under is 10-4 in Athletics last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 games following a loss. Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games following a win.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League West.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 home games.Under is 39-17-2 in Astros last 58 Monday games. Under is 4-1 in Coles last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Play UNDER |
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07-21-19 | Nationals v. Braves -145 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Atlanta starter Kevin Gausman (2-5, 6.21 ERA, 64 SO) will return from the injured list to make his first start since June 10. The veteran right-hander has spent the past couple weeks expanding his two-pitch mix with the development of a cutter and curveball and reports say hes come a long way and is my choice here tonight against the Nationals. Meanwhile, Nats starter Joe Ross (0-1, 11.05 ERA, 12 SO) to start Sunday’s series finale to pitch for the injured Austin Voth and Max Scherzer. Ross appeared in 17 games for Washington this year during a failed experiment as a reliever before being sent to Triple-A work as a starter again andvery much looks like cannon fodder here tonight in Georgia. Note:Ross is 1-2 with a 7.40 ERA in six games (five starts) against Atlanta. Current Braves hitters are 19-for-57 (.333) against him. Braves are 4-1 in Gausmans last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 9-3 in Gausmans last 12 home starts. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-33 L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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07-21-19 | Nationals v. Braves OVER 11 | 1-7 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Both these pitchers have not faired overly well vs current batting orders. Washingtons batting order has gone 33-for-100 (.333) versus the Braves starter Gausman and Braves hitters are 19-for-57 (.333) Nats starter against Ross. Gausman's splits are better overall, but all in all both pitchers in tandem should support this total going over the total. GAUSMAN is 8-1 OVER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. We have a high total attached to this game , but rightly so. It must be noted that the last six Sunday Night Baseball games with an over/under of 10 or higher have seen the OVER cash 6 straight times season eclipsing the number by 3.3 rpg. (dating back 13 seasons) Play on the OVER |
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07-21-19 | Marlins v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 0-9 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Marlins rookie starter Jordan Yamamoto(4-0, 1.59 ERA, 34 SO)is the third pitcher in franchise history to open his career with a streak of at least four wins. Yamamoto also has 34 strikeouts in 34 innings and WHIP of 0.94. He has not allowed more than four hits in any of his six starts and Im betting on his momentum to remain intact here today vs the Dodgers.Note: The southpaw owns a 34-to-17 strikeout-to-walk ratio with 15 hits allowed over 34 innings of quality work. , the dodgers top tier hurler,Walker Buehler (8-1, 3.44 ERA, 120 SO) had a ugly start and struggled early on Tuesday, allowing six runs (two earned) in the first two innings against the Phillies. He eventually bounced back and turned a nasty beginning into a quality start (two earned runs over six innings), while taking a no-decision.The Dodgers righty has garnered a 5-1 record along with a stingy 2.79 ERA over his last 12 outings and is more than capable of slowing down a very inconsistent Marlins offence . |
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07-21-19 | A's +123 v. Twins | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
As starter Daniel Mengden (5-1, 4.21 ERA, 34 SO) has gone 5-0 in six starts since losing to Cleveland in his season debut, allowing fewer than two runs in four of the outings and more than three just once. Mengden picked up a win against the Twins on July 2 in Oakland despite allowing five runs over 5 2/3 innings the one time he struggled so far. MENGDEN is 7-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 in his career. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 15-3 against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. MENGDEN is 8-0 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MINNESOTA has lost 12 of 18 games against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. .Athletics are 44-11 in their last 55 vs. American League Central.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 16-5 in their last 21 during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 21-7 in their last 28 road games.Athletics are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Athletics are 36-16 in their last 52 games on grass.Athletics are 38-17 in their last 55 overall. PINEDA the Twins starter has pitched well of late as well but is just 13-23 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings in his career. (Team's Record) Athletics are 5-0 in Mengdens last 5 road starts.Athletics are 5-0 in Mengdens last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 7-0 in Mengdens last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 4-0 in Mengdens last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Athletics are 6-1 in Mengdens last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Athletics are 5-1 in Mengdens last 6 starts vs. American League Central..Athletics are 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 22-8 in Mengdens last 30 starts.Athletics are 21-8 in Mengdens last 29 starts on a natural surface. Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 Sunday games. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |