Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-12-22 | LSU v. Arkansas +4 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The SEC once again the class conference in college football with four teams in the top 10. One of those, the 10th ranked LSU Tigers hope to be in the SEC Championship game as they sit in 1st place in the West division with a 5-1 conference record and 7-2 overall mark. Arkansas is 5th in the West with a 2-3 conference record and 5-4 overall mark. These teams met last year in LSU with the Razorbacks winning the game 16-13. LSU ranked 31st on offense and 42 on defense. Arkansas is 10-4-1 ATS the lst 15 overall meetings between these teams and 5-2 ATS the last seven in Arkansas. I'll take the home team here, play Arkansas. |
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11-11-22 | Bucks v. Spurs -1.5 | 93-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
It's going to be a tough night for the Bucks as they will be short some of their star players. Forward Giannis Antetokounmpo is out with a knee issue, Khris Middleton is out with a wrist injury and point guard Jrue Holiday is also out with an ankle injury. Holiday averages 19.6 ppg and Gio averages almost 32 ppg. That's a lot of points to makeup on the rest of the team. Milwaukee has lost just one game and that was on Monday to Atlanta, 998-117. They are coming off an OT win at OKC, 136-132. The Spurs are 5-7 on the season and look to snap a five game losing streak here tonight, after a 5-2 start to the season. Spurs laying 2-points here tonight. I'll take them with all that firepower missing for the Bucks. Play San Antonio. |
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11-11-22 | East Carolina +5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
East Carolina looks for the upset here on Friday night and also to extend their win streak to five games. ECU Pirates are 6-3 overall and 3-2 in the AAC. They had last week off after beating BYU the previous week, 27-24. Cincinnati struggled against Navy last week but came away with the 20-10 win, improving their record to 7-2 overall and 4-1 in conference. The Pirates looking for a good bowl game berth has been competitive all season long, even in their losses. The Bearcats of Cincinnati has the 64th ranked rushing attack with 141 yards per game. I'm looking for the upset here tonight with Cincinnati. |
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11-11-22 | Villanova -5.5 v. Temple | 64-68 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Local battle among rivals here as a couple of Philadelphia teams battle tonight with Temple taking on Villanova. No 16 Villanova is coing off a win over LaSalle, 81-68. Meanwhile Temple dropped their opener to Wagner, 76-73. Villanova has handled Temple with seven straight wins dating back to 2014, though their last meeting was in 2020 when Villanova won, 76-56. Kyle Neptune is the new coach at Villanova and looks to get some early wins for the team. Temple looked good in the first half of their game vs Wagner, but came out of the half flat and lost the second half and the game. This is not good as they now play one of the better teams in the country in Villanova. The Cats have a great starting five and have all the edges in this game including speed and talent to blowout their intra-city rivals. Take Villanova. |
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11-10-22 | Tulsa +7 v. Memphis | 10-26 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Tulsa not going to any bowls this year as they sit 3-6 overall on the season and near the bottom of the AAC with a 1-4 record. Memphis not much better at 2-4 in conference and 4-5 overall. The Tigers do have a shot at a postseason shot. Memphis looking to snap a two game losing streak including last week's loss at home to Central Florida, 28-35. The Memphis offense is good, ranked 45th overall in the FBS. Tulsa right behind them at 50th in the country. Both teams close on defense too, with Tulsa at 90th and Memphis at 97th. Tulsa also looking to snap a two-game losing streak including last week's home loss to Tulane, 13-27. Tulsa is 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight November games. Memphis is 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games and 0-4 ATS in their last four November games. They are also 3-9 ATS in their last 12 overall games. The Road team has covered seven of the last 10 in this series and the Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Memphis. I'll take the points here tonight with Tulsa. |
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11-10-22 | Mavs -3 v. Wizards | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Dallas Mavericks are in 6th place in the West with a 6-4 record and are coming off a loss at Orlando, 87-94 as a 8.5-point favorite. The Mavs are 0-5-1 ATS their last six games. The Mavs are 5-1 at home but just 1-3 on the road with a -1.8 point differential. The Mavericks are just 3-8 ATS their last 11 road games. The Washington Wizards will remain without Bradley Beal here tonight as the star guard is in quarantine. The Wizards are in 8th place in the East with a 5-6 record and are 2-3 at home. The Wizards are coming off a win at Charlotte, 108-100 on Monday and have had a pair of days off now. The Wizards have covered six of the last seven in this series, but the Mavs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 trips to Washington. I'm taking Dallas here today as Beal continues to miss time for the Wizards. |
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11-09-22 | Cavs -4.5 v. Kings | 120-127 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are in 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a 8-2 record. The Cavs also have the best point differential in the NBA at +10.9 points. The Cavs had their eight game win streak snapped last time out at the Clippers, 117-119, also failing to cover the spread for the first time in their last eieght games. Sacramento is in 13th place in the Western Conference with their 3-6 record. The Kings are coming off a loss at Golden State, 113-116, though they did cover the 8-point dog line. The Kings return home from their four game road trip tonight. They don't usually do well in their first game back home after being away for 7 days or more, going 4-9 ATS the last 13 times. I like the way the Cavs are playing right now and will lay the points with them here tonight. Play Cleveland. |
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11-09-22 | Pelicans v. Bulls +2 | 115-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans are 5-5 and looking to get ablove .500 here tonight at Chicago. The have a +3.9 point differential and have lost two games in a row. The Pelicans have lost the first two games on this road trip at Atlanta, 121-124 and then last game at Indiana, 122-129. They have also dropped four straight vs the line. Chicago is 6th in the East with a 6-6 record and have are coming off a win at home vs Toronto, 111-97. The Pelicans are just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and 1-6 ATS their last seven on the road vs a team with a winning home record. The Bulls are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Thee Bulls a small home dog here tonight and for me they are the better team right now. Your free play is on the Bulls. |
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11-09-22 | Buffalo v. Central Michigan -2.5 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Buffalo in the thick of things in the MAC East division as they trail first place Ohio by just one game at 4-1 and are tied with Bowling Green who also plays tonight. The Bulls are comijng off a loss to that first place Ohio team last week, 24-45 as a 3-point favorite.That loss last week was their only loss vs the spread versus seven spread wins. The Bulls have the 77th ranked offense and 88th ranked defense in the country. Central Michigan is fourth in thee MAC West with a 2-3 record an 3-6 overall mark. They are coming off a nice win last week at Northern Illinois, 35-22, as a 4-point dog. Just three games left on the schedule with Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan left to go. The Chippewas have the 50th ranked defense and the 68th ranked offense. Central really likes playing these early week games, going 14-1-1 ATS their last 16 games on Wednesday. They are also 5-1 ATS vs a team with a winning record. Central Michigan is a small favorite here tonight and the favorite has covered the last four in this series. I'll take Central tonight. |
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11-08-22 | Ball State +11.5 v. Toledo | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Ball State and Toledo are 1-2 in the MAC West as they battle it out for the right to go to the MAC Championship. Ball State is one game back of Toledo and a win here tonight by the Cardinals would put them in a tie for the MAC West. Ball State beat Kent State last week, 27-20 as a 7-point road dog. Ball State has the nation's 67th ranked offense and the 87th ranked defense. The Cardinals are now 10-4 ATS their last 14 games on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Toledo is coming off a road win two weeks at Eastern Michigan, 27-24, as a 7.5-point favorite. After Ball State tonight, the Rockets have a home game vs Bowling Green and then close out the regular season vs Western Michigan. The Rockets had last week off and they are 5-17 ATS their last 22 times they are coming off a bye week. Ball State has covered seven of the last eight meetings in Toledo and the road team has covered 11 of the last 14 overall meetings. I'll take Ball State here tonight. |
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11-08-22 | Rider +13 v. Providence | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
High hopes for both teams after very successful campaigns in 2021-22. Rider returns their top player in Dwight Murry Jr and Allen Powell. They also had several transfers come over to bolster the team. Providence went 27-6 last year and won it's first-ever Big East Regular Season title before making a run in the NCAA tournament to the Sweet 16. Providence will have to rebuild after that excellent season last year. The Friars lost all five starters. Returning experience makes a big difference early in the season and that favors Rider here today. With Providence losing all their starters from last year it might take them a bit to get this team going again. Play Rider. |
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11-07-22 | Ravens v. Saints +1.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens are in 1st place in the AFC North, a half game ahead of the Bengals. A win tonight and they are 1-game in front, a loss and they are tied. The Ravens are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven Monday night games. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs a team with a losing record. The NFC South New Orleans Saints are 3-5 and a win tonight puts them in a three way tie with the Bucs and Falcons in a very weak division. The Ravens have won two straight games after last week's win over the Bucs, 27-22 as a 2-point dog. That break a three-game spread skid by the Ravens. The Saints are coming off a dominating performance last week over the LV Raiders. They held the Raiders very good rushing game to just 38 yards and 183 total yards. They sacked QB Derek Carr four times. The Ravens have the 10th ranked offense in the league, 2nd rushing. The Saints have the 5th ranked offense in the league. The Baltimore defense is 24th and the Saints come in at 10th. The Ravens will be without a key target in this game, TE Mark Andrews who is out with a shoulder injury. They may also be without RB Gus Edwards who is doubtful with a hamstring. I like the home team here though the line is too small. I'll take New Orleans to win the game. |
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11-07-22 | Suns -2 v. 76ers | 88-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns are off to a good start this season at 7-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS. The Suns rebounded from their loss at home to Portland on Friday with a beating of the Blazers on Saturday, 102-82 to cover the 11.5 point line. The Suns might be the deepest team in the NBA as all 12 players scored in their win. The Suns will be without Cameron Johnson who tore his meniscus and will be out indefinitely. Johnson was a finalist for the 6th man award last season. The Philadelphia 76ers have struggled to a 4-6 S/U and ATS mark this year, mainly due to injuries. Their best player, Joel Embiid, has been sideline with a non-covid illness for three games and is close to returning. James Harden is out another month with a tendon issue in his foot. Embiid though is the key to the Sixers winning and right now he's about 50/50 to return, though he struggled in their last practice according to HC Doc Rivers. Rivers is thinking long term and doesn't want to rush Embiid back if it hurts him more. That puts a lot of pressure on the other players to pick up the slack. I look for the Suns to continue their winning ways here on Monday, especially with the Sixers hurting the way they are. Play Phoenix. |
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11-07-22 | Ohio +6.5 v. Belmont | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This will be the second straight season these teams start the season against each other. Last year this was a high scoring game as the Ohio Bobcats came away with a 92-80 home win. Now the venue moves to Nashville. Nine new players will grace the Ohio roster this season. Returning will be Miles Brown and Ben Roderick from last year and a lot will be expected of them. To get his young team ready for the season HC Boals had his team to Spain for a three-game set so he could get the freshmen playing time. They lost all three games, but the minutes of experience could be invaluable early in the season. Meanwhile, Belmont moves to the toucher MVC this season and that will be a big challenge for them. Only one starter returns for this Belmont squad. Moreover, depth will be an issue for the Bruins. Both teams in rebuilding mode this year, but for me I'll take the points with Ohio. |
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11-07-22 | South Dakota State +4 v. Akron | 80-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Akron opening their season at home here tonight. The Zips finished 24-10 last year and 14-6 in the MAC. They lost two big players from that squad, Ali who avg 13.9 ppg and Bryan Trimbles who avg 10.4 ppg. The Zips won the 2022 MAC Tournament last year under 6th year HC John Groce. Akron is 3rd in the preseason MAC Poll. South Dakota coming off a great season that saw the team win 30 games and 21 games in a row. The JackRabbits lost in the NCAA Tournament to Providence in the first round. Both teams had excellent seasons in 2022 but SDK State looks pretty good getting points in this spot. Take South Dakota State. |
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11-06-22 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -10 | Top | 97-103 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
The Washington Wizards hit the road today for a game at Memphis. It's an East vs West contest in the NBA and like usual, the West is just the way better conference. That is panning out again this year. The Wizards are 4-5 S/U and 3-6 ATS on the season. They are coming off a brutal beating in Brooklyn, 86-128 as a 3-point favorite. That makes them just 1-4 S/U and ATS their last five games. The Wizards don't have much magic on the road either where they are 5-11 ATS their last 16. They are also 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Memphis Grizzlies are 6-3 S/U and 3-4-2 ATS on the season. Memphis is 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS at home with a point differential of 14.7 ppg as they score an average of 126. 3 points on their home court. It pans out then that the Griz are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 home games. Memphis is 17-5-1 ATS their last 23 meetings at home vs the Wizards and 5-1 ATS their last six overall. I look for a Memphis blowout here today. Play Memphis. |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks +2 v. Cardinals | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
NFC West Clash here on Sunday has the 5-3 and 1st place Seahawks taking on the 3-5 and last place Cardinals. No one ever expect much out of the Seahawks after Russell Wilson departed in the offseason for Denver. But here they are with Geno Smith at QB and the 7th top rated QB the season. Smith ranks high than both Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow at this point. The Hawks are coming off a win over the Giants last week, 27-13 and have covered three straight games. The Hawks have the 12th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Seahawks have also gone over in four of their last five road games. There were high hopes in Arizona starting the season, however they find themselves in last place right now, though a big win today would close that gap greatly. The Cards are coming off a loss at Minnesota last week, 26-34, as a 4-point dog. They have now lost three of their last four games. Arizona is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. In addition they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five vs the NFC West. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games in Arizona and the road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 in this series. I'm taking the Seahawks here on Sunday. |
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11-06-22 | Colts +5.5 v. Patriots | 3-26 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Longtime rivals meet up here in Foxboro, MA on Sunday as the Patriots host the Colts. Colts will start QB Sam Ehlinger today. The Colts are 3-4-1 and the Patriots are 4-4. Matt Ryan was benched in favor of Ehlinger who looks to be in that role for the rest of the season. The Colts also fired offensive coordinator Marcus Ryan and traded reserve RB Nyheim Hines to the bills for Zach Moss and a draft pick. So things are changing in Indy. The Colts trying to improve on an offense that was ranked just 18th overall. The Patriots are coming off a win at the Jets last week, 22-17, despite giving up 336 yards through the air. The Patriots have been changing QB's too, in was Mac Jones then came Bailey Zappe. Now Jones is back behind center. Jones was at the helm of their win over the Jets. Not sure the Patriots should be laying almost a TD to anyone at this juncture. Their offense ranks just 20th overall and 23rd in passing. Even the Colts offense has been better overall this year. I'll take the points in this one and expect a close finish. Play Indianapolis. |
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11-06-22 | Vikings v. Commanders +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings are 6-1 on the season and cruising in the NFC North with a 3.5 game lead over the Packers and Bears. The Vikes only loss of the season coming at the hands of undefeated Philly, 7-24 in week 2. The Vikings offense is 15th overall in the league, 20th rushing. Surprisingly, the defense ranks just 28th overall, though 9th vs the rush. The Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs the NFC. The Washington Commanders will once again be without QB Carson Wentz, who will miss another game with a injured finger. QB Taylor Heinicke will make his third start of the season. Heinicke is 2-o in that role, having beaten the Packers 23-21 and then last week over the Colts, 17-16. That makes three straight wins and covers for the Commanders. For me, I think I would rather have Heinicke at QB then the way Wentz had played. Washington was 2-4 under Wentz. The Washington offense still ranks just 22nd overall with the defense coming in at 13th. The dog has covered eight of the last 11 meetings in this series. Moreover, I actually like this Washington team more with Wentz out. I'll take the points here today. Play Washington. |
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11-06-22 | Chargers v. Falcons +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers coming off a home loss two weeks ago to the Seattle Seahawks, 23-37, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Chargers had last week off to get over some injuries, however they are still hurting coming into this game. Star WR Keenan Allen will miss another game with a hamstring injury. Also out is their top WR in Mike Williams who has a ankle injury. That leave QB Herbert with his top two wide receivers out of the game. The Chargers offense is ranked 8th, but 27th rushing and 4th passing. That means the loss of those wide outs will put even more stress on a poor rushing game. The Chargers defense is ranked 20th, 27th vs the rush. The Falcons have surprised many this year as they are 4-4 on he season and 6-2 vs the spread. The Falcons are coming off a home win against Carolina, 37-34, though they failed to cover the 4-point favorite spread. The Falcons are only 25th on offense, though they have one of the better rushing attacks, ranked 5th overall. Defense has been a problem though, ranked 31st in the NFL, with the worst passing defense (32nd) allowing 307 yards per game. If the Chargers had their top WR's this might be a issue, though today not as much. Atlanta has been very competitive this year. Getting a field goal at home is more than enough for me to take them today. Play Atlanta. |
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11-06-22 | Dolphins v. Bears +4 | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The Miami Dolphins have won two straight games after dropping three straight. This includes last week over Detroit, 31-27, just covering the 3.5 point favorite line. The Miami offense ranks 7th overall and third in passing. This despite missing QB Tua for a few games with that concussion. The defense isn't as good, ranking 23rd overall, though 6th vs the rush. The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games. The Chicago Bears came off their win at New England two weeks ago, 33-14, with a loss at Dallas last week, 29-49. They gave up 200 yards rushing to a Dallas team that was without Ezekiel Elliot. These teams have only met once in the last five years and that was Miami win 31-28 at home back in 2018. The Bears offense ranks just 27th overall, though they have the league's top rushing attack with 189 yards per game. The defense ranks a bit better at 15th overall and 5th vs the pass. This looks to come down to the Miami rush defense vs the Chicago ground game. I'll take the points at home with the Bears. Play Chicago. |
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11-05-22 | Thunder v. Bucks -7.5 | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team in the NBA left at 8-0 after they easily cruised to another win on Friday over the Minnesota T'Wolves, 115-102. The Bucks have the best point differential in the East at +11.3 and 2nd in the NBA. Milwaukee is coming off a back-to-back set vs the Pistons where they won both but only covered Wednesday's contest, 116-91. The Bucks have covered seven of their eight games this year and are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Bucks will be without Khris Middleton tonight who will sit out with a wrist injury. The OKC Thunder are 4-4 on the season after losing at home on Thursday to Denver, 110-122 as a 6.5-point dog. That snapped a four game s/u and ATS win streak by the Thunder after they started the season 0-3. The Thunder are 1-2 S/U and 3-0 ATS on the road with just a 2-point differential. The Thunder have played well, but I'm sticking with the Bucks who should be 9-0 after this game tonight. Play Milwaukee. |
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11-05-22 | Clemson -3.5 v. Notre Dame | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
No 4 Clemson heads to South Bend to take on the Fighting Irish here on Saturday evening. The Clemson Tigers have been a good road team to bettors, going 20-8 ATS in their last 28 away games. Clemson is coming off a home win over Syracuse, 27-21, but failed to cover the 13-point line. The Tigers are 8-0 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. Notre Dame is coming off a win over Syracuse, 41-24, covering the 2.5-point dog line. The Irish are now 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. With Navy, BC and USC left on the schedule, the Irish should only need to two games to head to another bowl game. Clemson has the 47th ranked offense and the 26th ranked defense. Notre Dame has the 78th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Irish are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Might be one of the best games on Saturday and I will be laying the points on the road with the Tigers. Take Clemson. |
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11-05-22 | Texas -2.5 v. Kansas State | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here today has No 24 Texas taking on No 13 Kansas State. The Texas Longhorns are 5-3 S/U and ATS this season. They had last week off to prepare for today's contest. They lost the week before at Oklahoma State, 34-41 as a 3.5-point dog. The Texas offense is very good, ranked 30-th overall with the defense coming in at 62nd. Texas has won and covered the last two seasons in this series, including last year at home, 22-17 as a 2.5-point favorite. Kansas State had a huge shut-out win last week at home over Oklahoma State, 48-0. The Wildcats held Ok State to just 217 total yards and forced three turnovers. K State is now 6-2 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. They finish the season at Baylor and West Virginia before closing out at home vs Kansas. Should be a good matchup here on Saturday, but I'll take the visitors in this one with Texas. |
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11-05-22 | BYU v. Boise State -8 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 33 m | Show |
BYU looked pretty good as the season got underway, starting out at 4-1. However, a week six loss to Notre Dame, 20-28, seemed to start a downhill slide that has seen the Cougars lose four straight games to now be 4-5 and possibly losing a bowl bid. They only have three games left and two are tough road games at Boise today and their final at Stanford. They do have a softball against Dixie State in between. The Cougars rank 64th on offense and 103rd on defense. Meanwhile, Boise State is 6-2 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. The Broncos have won four straight games and covered those four also. They are coming off a big win over Colorado State, 49-10. The offense ranks 94th while the defense is 2nd in the nation. I don't see this lackluster BYU offense being able to put up much against the Boise State 2nd ranked defense today. BYU hasn't covered any of their last seven games and 0-5 ATS their last five non-conference games. I'll take Boise here today to hand BYU their bowl berth death sentence. Take Boise State. |
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11-05-22 | Michigan State v. Illinois -16 | 23-15 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Big 10 game here on Saturday has Michigan State taking on the fighting Illini at Illinois. The Spartans are coming off two straight losses in which they were outscored 23-57. The Spartans had been producing big up until these last two games, scoring 39 or more points in five of their six games and going 5-1 S/U and ATS. The Michigan State offense, despite all those points, still ranks just 110th overall and the defense at 107th. They are 1-5 ATS their last six games and 1-4 ATS their last five Big 10 games. They also have not covered any of their last five road games. Now they face the nation's top ranked defense in Illinois. In addition, the Illini have one of the best redzone efficiency ratings at just 42.9% on defense. The defense has allowed just three TD's all season in the redzone. They have also held seven of their eight opponents to 14 points or fewer and five of their eight to nine points or fewer. They are coming off a win at Nebraska, 26-9, as a 7-point favorite. Illinois is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games. The favorite has covered seven of the last 10 in this matchup and I don't see the Spartans offense getting many points at all here today. Take Illinois. |
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11-05-22 | Tennessee +9.5 v. Georgia | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
We get to see a preview of what could be a playoff matchup here as AP No 2 Tennessee takes on AP No 1 Georgia on Saturday. One of these teams will fall from the undefeated here on Saturday as both sit at 8-0. In the College playoff Rankings Tennessee is No 1 and Georgia No 3. This likely is the last hurdle for Tennessee with Missouri, South Carolina and Vandy remaining on the regular season schedule. Georgia still has to get by a couple of tough road games in Mississippi State and Kentucky. These are the top two offenses in the nation with Tennessee ranked first and Georgia ranked second. Georgia has the better defense, ranked 4th while Tennessee is ranked 82nd. You can really make a case for either team here on Saturday. What sways my decision is that Tennessee gets over a TD here today at around +8 or +8.5 points. That's too much for me to pass on with this top ranked offense. Take Tennessee. |
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11-05-22 | North Carolina -7 v. Virginia | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The North Carolina Tar Heels once again a force to be reckoned with on offense as they have scored at least 27 points in all eight games this season. They are coming off a home win over Pitt last week, 42-24, covering the 3.5-point line. The Pitt offense ranks 61st overall in the nation with the defense ranked 38th. The Tar Heels are 7-1 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS on the season. Virginia has had offensive struggles of late, not scoring more than 17 points in each of their last four games. During that span they are 0-4 S/U and 1-3 ATS. Overall, the Cavaliers are 2-6 S/U and 2-5-1 ATS overall on the season. The Cavs would have to win out to have a shot at a bowl game and that will be tough with NCS in their path today. The Virginia offense is 92nd in the country with the defense at 30th. Virginia is also 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. The favorite has covered five of the last six in this series and I look for NCU to have little trouble with the Cavaliers today. Play North Carolina. |
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11-04-22 | Bucks -3.5 v. Wolves | 115-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team in the NBA left at 7-0 and sitting atop the Eastern Conference. The Bucks have the best point differential in the East at +11.3 and 2nd in the NBA. Milwaukee is coming off a back-to-back set vs the Pistons where they won both but only covered Wednesday's contest, 116-91. The Bucks have covered six of their seven games this year and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Bucks will be without Khris Middleton tonight who will sit out with a wrist injury. They will have Giannis A though who has nursed a knee injury. The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4-4 on the season and have lost two straight games. They are coming off losses at home to the Spurs, 98-107 and then last time out at Phoenix, 107-116. The Wolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 3-7 ATS their last 10 games coming off a ATS loss. The Wolves also battling injuries. Center Rudy Gobert (Illness) and guard Anthony Edwards (Illness) are both questionable tonight. I'm going to stick with the Bucks until they prove me otherwise. Take Milwaukee |
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11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
The Utah Jazz are in 3rd place in the Western Conference with a 6-2 mark and have won two straight games. The Jazz are coming off back-to-back wins over Memphis at home, 121-105 and 124-123, covering both games. Now they hit the road again where they are 2-2 both S/U and ATS and have allowed 119.5 ppg this season. The Dallas Mavericks are 3-3 so far and coming off a win at home over Orlando, 114-105, pushing the number. The Mavs remain at home where they are 2-1 S/U and 1-1-1 ATS. The Mavs have averaged 120.7 ppg at home while allowing 106.0 point. Even though Utah has the better record, they are just +3.9 point differential this year compared to the Mavs +7.3 point differential. The Jazz have not been kind to bettors on the road, going 8-22-1 ATS their last 31 away games. They are also 4-12 AT in their last 16 games coming off 1-day rest. The Mavs have been good at home, going 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games. The Mavs are 10-1 ATS the last 11 in this series and 5-1 ATS the last six at Dallas. I'll be on the Mavericks here tonight. |
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11-01-22 | Wolves v. Suns -5 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
The Minnesota T'Wolves in 6th in the West with their 4-3 record. The Wolves coming off a loss at the Spurs, 98-107 as a 6-point favorite. The Wolves only have played twice on the road and are 1-1 both S/U and ATS. The Phoenix Suns are tied for 1st in the West with a 5-1 record. They also have the highest point differential at +12.4 points. The Suns have won and covered four straight games including their last game vs Houston, 124-109. The Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games. They have also gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with the T'Wolves and 9-4 ATS the last 13 meetings in Phoenix. Take the Suns here on Tuesday. |
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10-31-22 | Pistons v. Bucks -12.5 | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team in the NBA right now with a 5-0 record. They host Detroit in a home back-to-back series and I fully expect them to be 7-0 after this series. The Bucks have a +10.4 point differential. The Detroit Pistons are 2-5 on the season and coming off a win at home over the Golden State Warriors on Sunday, 128-114. The Pistons have to turnaround and play again here on Monday. The Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. The Bucks had Sunday off after beating the Hawks on Saturday, 123-115, covering the 5.5-point line. The Bucks have covered all five games this season. They have also average 119.3 ppg at home this season. Milwaukee has owned the Pistons, going 14-3-1 ATS their last 18 meetings and 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 meetings in Milwaukee. Look for a Bucks blowout here on Monday. |
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10-30-22 | Knicks v. Cavs -4.5 | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers sit in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference with a 4-1 record and the best point differential thus far in the East and tied in the overall NBA with +11.8 points. The Cavs started the season with a loss at Toronto, 105-108, but have won four straight games including last game at Boston, 132-123. The Cavs have also covered their last four games. The Knicks are 3-2 both S/U and ATS on the season. They lost last time out at Milwaukee, 108-119 as a 6-point dog. I like the Cavs here at home laying the points. |
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10-30-22 | Titans v. Texans | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
AFC South matchup here on Sunday between 1st place Tennessee (4-2) and last place Houston (1-4-1). The Titans won their fourth straight game last week at home vs the Colts, 19-10. Both offenses didn't do much with Tennessee having 254 total yards and the Colts 293. Houston won their first game of the season on Oct 8th vs the Jaguars, 13-6, then had the next week off before traveling to Las Vegas last week and getting beat, 20-38. The Texans gave up 400 total yards, 164 on the ground. The Texans have been competitive though vs the number, going 3-2-1 ATS this season. They are also 4-1 ATS their last five games vs a team with a winning record and 6-2 ATS their last eight vs the AFC. The Houston Texans now have the worst defense in the NFL, allowing 412 yards per game. They are ranked last vs the rush and 21st vs the pass. No wonder the Raiders ran wild on them last week. Tennessee ranks 26th on defense with the fourth best rushing defense and 31st ranked passing defense. Both teams have been poor on offense with Houston ranked 26th and Tennessee ranked 31st. The Titans offense also got a big blow as QB Ryan Tannehill will miss today's game with an ankle injury. QB Malik Willis will make his first career start today for the Titans. Tennessee might be in 1st place, but it's more by virtue of a very weak division. I give the Texas a good shot at winning this game on Sunday. Play Houston. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints +2 | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Raiders used their bye week well to rebound from their loss to the Chiefs to beat Houston last week, 38-20. The Raider offense rushed for 164 yards and passed for another 236 yards in the win. The Raiders did get banged-up though as both QB Derek Carr (Back) and WR Davante Adams (Illness) come into this game as probable but ailing. The Raiders offense has been good, ranked 9th overall in the league while New Orleans comes ranked 3rd overall. The Saints defense is ranked 14th and the Raiders 24th. The Raiders are 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS their last seven on the road. The Raiders have also gone over in their last four games and last five games in October. The Saints have gone over their last 4 and 10-1 O/U their last 11 games in October. These teams have met only once the last five years and that was back in Oakland when the Raiders won 34-24. The Raiders are a small road favorite here on Sunday, but I will be on the Saints. |
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10-30-22 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Vikings | 26-34 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals tied for last in the NFC West with the SF 49ers as both teams are 2-4. However, the Rams are just a half game in front at 3-3 and the Seahawks are just one game in first place at 4-3. The Cards won at home last week over New Orleans, 42-34 as a 2.5 point favorite. The offense had just 326 total yards and the defense allowed 494 yards. But it was three turnovers by the Saints that led to the Arizona win. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Cardinals. Minnesota is the leader in the NFC North with a 5-1 record, 2.5-games ahead of the Packers and Bears. The Vikings are the only team in the division with a plus point differential (+21) this year. The Vikings had last week off after beating Miami the week before, 24-16. The only loss for the Vikings this year coming in their second game at Philly, 7-24. The Minnesota defense isn't very good, ranked just 27th overall and 28th vs the pass. The offense comes in ranked 18th overall. Arizona's offense ranks 15th while their defense is 22nd. Arizona has been good on the road, going 20-8-2 ATS their last 30 away games. The Vikings are just 1-4 ATS their last five games and 1-4 ATS their last five games following a bye week. They are also 2-8 ATS vs a team with a losing record. The dog in this series is 7-2-2 ATS and that's what I will be on here today. The underdog Cardinals. |
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10-29-22 | Hawks v. Bucks -4.5 | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks lead the early standings in the NBA East with a 4-0 record and with Atlanta right on their heels at 4-1. Both teams play yesterday and both teams coming off wins. Atlanta played last night in Detroit, beating the Pistons 136-112, as a 6-point road favorite. Their only loss thus far coming at home vs Charlotte, 109-126. The Milwaukee Bucks are 4-0 after their win last night at home over the Knicks, 119-108 as a 6-point favorite. They have covered all four games this year. The defense has yet to allow more than 109 points and two opponents have been held under 100 points. The Hawks are now just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games and 6-23 ATS in their last 29 games on the road vs a team with a winning home record. The Bucks have covered four of the last five meetings with the Hawks in Milwaukee. I look for another Bucks win and cover here tonight. |
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10-29-22 | Kentucky +12.5 v. Tennessee | 6-44 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 49 m | Show | |
Tennessee had a softball tossed to them last week in the manner of Tennessee-Martin and the Vols had little issue in a 65-24 win. That was coming after the biggest win in maybe Tennessee history when they beat Alabama two weeks ago, 52-49. The Vols are now 7-0 S/U and 6-1 ATS on the season. They have also scored at least 34 points in every game this year and rank 1st in the nation in total offense. Kentucky started the season 4-0 before dropping their fifth game at Ole Miss, 19-22 and then dropping the next game vs South Carolina, 14-24. The Wildcats did rebound last week at home over Mississippi State, 27-17, covering the 7-point favorite line. The offense is ranked just 82nd while the defense is very good at 12th. The Wildcats are 20-5-2 ATS in their last 27 games vs a team with a winning record. They are also 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 overall games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games. As good as Tennessee has been, they are just 9-24 ATS their last 33 home games vs a team with a winning road record. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven in this series and the dog is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series. Lots of points here on Kentucky. I'll take a shot with the Wildcats and see if their very good defense can get them the cover. Play Kentucky. |
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10-29-22 | Missouri +4 v. South Carolina | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 39 h 43 m | Show | |
Missouri snapped a 3-game losing skid last week at home against Vanderbilt, 17-14, failing to cover the 14.5-point favorite spread. Missouri is 3-4 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. The Tigers looking to get back to bowl eligible with five games left on the schedule. South Carolina has won three straight after last week's win over Texas A&M, 30-24 as a 3.5-point home dog. USC had just 286 totals yards in the win and allowed 398 to Texas A&M. Both teams had two turnovers and the Aggies had 10 more first downs and 15 more plays. The Gamecocks are 4-2 S/U and ATS on the season. South Carolina is ranked 81st in offense and 51st on defense. Missouri is 92 on offense and 21st on defense. Missouri has won and covered the last three years in this matchup, including last year's 31-28 home win. Missouri has covered six of their last eight conference games. South Carolina is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 conference games. Missouri is getting about a field goal here on Saturday. I'll take the points in this matchup. |
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10-29-22 | Illinois -7.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 26-9 | Win | 100 | 53 h 15 m | Show |
Who has the best defensive overall unit in the FBS? If you said Illinois you would be correct. The Illini allow a paltry 221 total yards per game and have an outstanding red zone efficiency rating of just 42.9% on the season. In fact, the Big 10 is the defensive conference this year with four teams in the top six defensive units in the country. Alas, Nebraska is not one of them as the Huskers rank 122nd in the nation. Illinois had last week off to rest up for today's contest. The Illini coming off a 26-14 win over Minnesota, covering the 7-point dog line. They have now allowed 14 points or fewer in all but one game this season and that was their only loss of the year back on Sept 2 at Indiana, 20-23. Nebraska has struggled to a 4-4 record but can still go to a bowl if they can get by the Big 10's best teams in the coming five weeks. The problem is this team's defense that gives up a lot of yards and points. Illinois has won and covered the last two seasons vs Nebraska, including last year's 30-22 win at home as a 6.5-point dog. Illinois is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Nebraska is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. Illinois has covered five of the last seven in this series and I fully expect their defense to shut down Nebraska today and get the cover. |
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10-29-22 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State +1.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 39 m | Show | |
Oklahoma rebounded from their embarrassing 0-49 loss to Texas with a big win two weeks ago over Kansas, 52-42 as a 7-point favorite. The Sooners had last week off as they head into the final five games of the regular season. The offense has been very good, ranked 22nd overall in the FBS. It's the defense that has been bad, ranked 115th in the country in total defense. Iowa State looks to snap a four-game losing streak here today. The Cyclones started the season 3-0, but have fallen on hard time recently. They are coming off a very good game at Texas, losing a close one 21-24 as a 16.5-point road dog. The Cyclones have been pretty good to bettors with a 5-2 ATS record this year. The offense has been struggling, ranked 86th overall. However, it's their defense that has been getting them these spread covers as the unit is ranked 10th in the country. The Sooners are just 0-4-1 ATS in their last five conference games and 2-6 ATS their last eight vs a team with a losing home record. Iowa State normally does very well in October, going 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games this month. Iowa State is also 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Sooners. Iowa State a small home dog here and the dog is 5-2 ATS the last seven in this series. I'm taking Iowa State with their very good defense today. |
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10-28-22 | Lakers v. Wolves -8.5 | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers looking for that first win of the season are now 0-4 S/U and ATS. As if things weren't in enough disarray, now they could be without star forward Anthony Davis who is questionable with a back injury. They played their last game without guard Russell Westbrook who has a hamstring issue. Not that Westbrook has contributed much, with just 10 point average in the three games this season. He's hitting 28.9% from the field and 8.3% from three point arc. Westbrook didn't work too well last year either and some are calling for his trade to get someone who can help Lebron get this team back on track. Minnesota is 3-2 S/U and 2-3 ATS so far this season. They are coming off a back-to-back series with the Spurs in which they lost the first game, 106-115, but won the last game on Wednesday, 134-122. The Lakers are so lost right now with injuries, looking to maybe get rid of Westbrook and now they head to The Midwest to take on the Wolves. I'm going to go against the Lakers until they show me some team play. |
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10-27-22 | Ravens v. Bucs -1 | 27-22 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
Who would have believed that entering week 7 in the NFL that both a Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers led teams would both have losing records? Surely not Tom Brady who has shown his frustration on the Tampa Bay sidelines with more broken tables then it seems touchdown tosses this year. The Bucs lost to the Carolina Panthers last week, 3-21 despite playing the worst defense in the NFL and a Panther's team that just traded away their star running back in Christian McCaffrey. The Bucs had just 46 rushing yards though they had 16 more offensive plays and three more first downs then the Panthers. Meanwhile, Baltimore held on to beat the Cleveland Browns last week, 23-20, though failing to cover the 6.5-point favorite line. The Browns had 336 totals yards to just 254 by the Ravens. The Ravens are the 14th ranked offensive team while the Bucs are 21st. The Bucs defense has been the best part of their team this year, ranked 7th overall, though they have dropped a few placed in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Baltimore has struggled to a 23rd ranking on defense. The Ravens are tied for the lead in the AFC North at 4-3 with the Cincinnati Bengals. Despite their poor play, the Bucs are tied for first in the NFC North at 3-4 with the Falcons. No team in the North has a positive point differential. The Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games and 1-6 ATS vs a team with a losing record. The only bright spot for bettors on the Bucs side of the ball is that they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous game. This is a matchup of first place teams, though sure doesn't seem like it. We need little more than a win with the Bucs here tonight so I'll take Brady and a better defense back on the home turf tonight. Play Tampa Bay. |
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10-27-22 | Clippers -7.5 v. Thunder | Top | 110-118 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
These teams play the 2nd of a back-to-back set here on Thursday as the Clippers lost at OKC a few days ago, 94-108. The loss dropped the Clips to 2-2 on the season and got the Thunder their first win, 1-3. LA played without some starts as Kwahi Leonard, Paul George and Marcus Morris (all starters) missed the game. But the defense really shut down OKC, holding the Thunder to just 38% from the field and 13% from three-point arc. It was turnovers and defensive rebounding that killed the Clippers though with 18 give aways and 13 fewer rebounds, especially on the defensive boards where they gave the Thunder 21 offensive boards or 2nd tries. Leonard is out again here tonight, but Paul and Morris are both questionable and likely will try to make it on the floor Thursday. The Thunder are not that good and I don't expect the Clippers to lose two in a row here tonight. They just need to shore up the turnovers and boards and even without Leonard they should pull out the win here tonight. Play the Clippers. |
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10-26-22 | Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
The season is just a few games old and the Lakers are already panicking after starting the season 0-3. They are already considering trades that can help bolster LeBron James and cast to at least be competitive. The Lakers opened the season with a loss at Golden State, 109-123, then lost to the Clippers, 97-103 and then again dropped their last game at home to the Trailblazers, 104-106. The Lakers might be without guard Russell Westbrook who is nursing a hamstring injury. Not that he's contributed much as it is, with just 10 point average in the three games this season. He's hitting 28.9% from the field and 8.3% from three point arc. Westbrook didn't work too well last year either and some are calling for his trade to get someone who can help Lebron get this team back on track. Meanwhile, Denver is 2-2 after four games played, coming off a loss to the Blazers, 110-135. The Lakers have had a couple days off, but they are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 when having two days off. Denver is 3-1-1 ATS the last five vs the Lakers and until this Westbrook situation is cleared up, I believe the Lakers will continue to struggle. Play Denver tonight. |
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10-25-22 | Pistons v. Wizards -5.5 | Top | 99-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
NBA Season just underway and the Detroit Pistons are 1-2 after three games. The Pistons opened with a win over the Washington Magic, 113-109, but have lost two straight games. The Washington Wizards are 2-1 after three games. Washington won its first two games but lost its last game at Cleveland in OT, 107-117. Bradley Beal leads the team with 23 ppg average. Center Kristaps Prozingis is averaging eight rebounds and 1.7 blocks per game. Still early in the season but I like the talent on this Wizards team more than the Pistons. I'll lay the points at home tonight with Washington. |
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10-23-22 | Steelers +7.5 v. Dolphins | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers rebounded from their 3-38 beating at the hands of Buffalo two weeks ago with an improbable win at home over Tampa Bay last week, 20-18, as a 9.5-point dog. Miami lost it's third straight last week with a loss at home to Minnesota, 16-24, as a 3-point dog. It's also the third week they failed to cover the spread and scored fewer than 17 points. Of course this was due to the loss of QB Tua Tagovilioa who had a concussion. Tua is expected to return this week though. The Miami offense was ranked 8th because of that passing game that ranks 2nd while the rushing game is just 30th. These teams have met just once in the last five years with the Steelers winning that game in 2019, 27-14. The dog has covered four of the last five in this series. The Dolphins are now 0-6 in their last six October games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following a s/u loss. I don't know how effective Tua will be in his return here on Sunday. I'll take the points with the Steelers. |
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10-23-22 | Chiefs v. 49ers +1 | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
Big news in San Francisco and potential shift in power is the acquisition of RB Christian McCaffrey from Carolina. McCaffrey returns home to the bay area where he went to college at Stanford. The Panthers in return received a host of draft picks. The 49ers lost last week at Atlanta, 14-28, after being tied 14-14 at one point. The Niners had just 50-yards rushing so the addition of McCaffrey should do wonders for the running game that has been very good overall on the year. The 49ers have the 18th ranked offense and the 11th ranked rushing offense. It's the defense that has been outstanding, ranked 1st overall in the NFL, 2nd in rushing and 2nd in passing. The Chiefs lost the rematch last week with Buffalo, 20-24 as a 2.5-point dog. That makes them 4-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. The KC offense is ranked 6th overall, 20th in rushing and 4th in passing. The defense ranks 20th overall, 4th vs the rush and 27th vs the pass. The 49ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games and 6-0 ATS in their last six overall home games. The Chiefs had issues with the Bills defense last week and they will again here with the NFL's best defense. Play San Francisco. |
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10-23-22 | Colts +2.5 v. Titans | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts are 3-2-1 on the season and just percentage points behind the Tennessee Titans for the lead in the AFC South Division. That makes this game today extra special as the winner will take over sole possession of first place. The Colts have won two straight games after last weeks win over over the Jaguars, 34-27, as a 1.5 point dog. The Colts had a season high in passing yards with 389 and a season low in rushing yards with 45. The reason has been the loss of one of the best running backs in the NFL in Jonathon Taylor who has been nursing ankle injury. The good news is that Taylor is expected back this week. Meanwhile, the Titans had the week off last week after beating Washington the week before, 21-17. The Titans lost their first two games of the season but have since won three straight. The offense has yet to score more than 24 points and ranks 31st overall in the NFL even with Derick Henry rushing. The Colts offense ranks 14th overall in the NFL and 5th passing. The Colts defense is 10th overall with the Titans at 28th overall, 5th vs the rush. The Colts have covered 12 of their last 17 road games and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs a team with a winning record. The Colts have also covered seven of the last 10 meetings in Tennessee and the road team is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings. I'm taking the Colts here with Taylor returning to the rushing game. |
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10-23-22 | Lions +7 v. Cowboys | 6-24 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions had a very good offense through four games of the season. Then two weeks ago they got shut out at New England, 0-29. They had a season low in both rushing and passing. The Lions had last week off to stew over the loss and get healthy. In fact, even with that shutout the offense ranks 2nd in the NFL with a balanced attack. Their rush game is 8th and pass 7th. The defense is the problem, ranking dead last in the NFL, last in rushing and 26th in passing. Good news for the Dallas Cowboys is that QB Dak Prescott looks to return this week. His stand-in, Cooper Rush, did a great job leading the team to 4-1 record in Prescott's absence. The offense still ranked just 27th overall. The defense has been very good, ranked 8th in the NFL and 4th vs the pass. The Cowboys are 10-1 ATS their last 11 games vs a team with a losing record and 16-5 ATS their last 21 games vs the NFC. Lions getting right at a TD here on Sunday. That's a lot of points with the 2nd ranked offense in the NFL. I'll take the points. Play Detroit. |
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10-23-22 | Giants +3.5 v. Jaguars | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
The NY Giants won their third game in a row after last week's win over Baltimore, 24-20, as a 5.5-point dog. The Giants have also gone 5-1 ATS on the season. The Jacksonville Jaguars lost at Indianapolis last week, 27-34, as a 1.5-point dog. That makes three straight losses since their big win at the Chargers Sept 25, 38-10. The Giants offense is ranked 17th overall while Jacksonville is 11th overall. The Giants defense is 15th while Jacksonville is 11th. The Giants are now 19-7 ATS their last 26 games on grass and 18-8-1 ATS their last 27 vs a team with a losing record. The Jags are just 4-9 ATS their last 13 at home and 3-11 ATS their last 14 games overall. I like the way the Giants have been playing and the Jags, while improved, still have a ways to go. Take the Giants. |
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10-23-22 | Falcons +6.5 v. Bengals | 17-35 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Who's the only team in the NFL with a perfect spread record this year? If you guessed Atlanta you guessed right. The Falcons are 6-0 vs the spread this year and one of the surprise teams after beating San Francisco last week at home, 28-14. The Falcons rushing game has been great this year, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL. They have 151 or more yards rushing in all but one game this year. They had 168 yards on the ground against a the NFL's top rated defense in San Francisco last week. The Falcons defense is another story, ranked 27th overall in the NFL and 31 st vs the pass. Good thing the rushing game is so good, they can play keep away and not have their defense on the field as much. Cincinnati came from behind last week to win on the road at New Orleans, 30-26, just covering the field goal line. That was the fourth straight cover the for Bengals. The Bengals offense isn't as prolific this year, ranked just 20th overall, though the passing game behind Joe Burrows is ranked 8th. This looks to be an interesting matchup here on Sunday. But for me, I like this Atlanta rushing game and will take the Falcons plus the points. Take Atlanta |
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10-22-22 | Utah State +5 v. Wyoming | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
Utah State Aggies are 3-4 after winning their last two games over Air Force and Colorado State. The latter as a 10.5 point favorite, failing to cover the 17-13 S/U win. That also makes them 2-4 ATS on the season. Utah State had 390 yards of offense last week to Colorado State's 262 yards. They had 10 more first downs and a +1 turnover ratio. Wyoming snapped their two game losing streak with a win at New Mexico last week, 27-14 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Cowboys are now 4-3 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. The Cowboys offense is not that good, ranked just 120th in the country with a poor 64.7 Red Zone efficiency mark. Utah State has a 89th ranked offense. The Aggies are 69th in defense with Wyoming coming in at 78th. Utah State has covered six of their last eight games and are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games. Wyoming is 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs a team with a losing record. Your free play is on Utah State. |
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10-22-22 | Kansas State +3.5 v. TCU | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 23 m | Show | |
TCU sits atop of the Big 12 Conference with a 3-0 conference record and 6-0 over record this season. Kansas State is right behind them with a 3-0 conference mark and 5-1 overall mark. Winner of this game takes over sole possession of the Big 12 Conference. A bit surprising that the TCU defense is ranked 89th in the country and the K State defense is 44th. TCU does have the third ranked offense in the country with K State coming in at 64th. The Wild Cats have covered the lst four meetings in this series, including a 31-12 win at K State last week. K State is 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 road games and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games on grass. TCU has not done well at home, going 14-30-1 ATS their last 45 home games. Should be a very good battle for the top conference spot, I'll take the points with Kansas State. |
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10-22-22 | Texas A&M v. South Carolina +3.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 66 h 54 m | Show | |
East vs West in the SEC here today as Texas A&M of the West takes on the East's South Carolina. A&M is 1-2 in conference play and just 3-3 overall. South Carolina is also 1-2 in conference play and 4-2 overall. Neither took looks to be contenders in the SEC title, but both are looking to improve their bowl chances. The Aggies lost a close game two weeks ago to one of the best in the country in Alabama, 20-24 as a 24.5-point dog. They had last week off to ponder that loss as they prepare to hit the road today. South Carolina beat a very good Kentucky team two weeks ago on the road, 24-14. They also had last week off to prepare for this game. A&M doesn't have a very good offense, ranked 110th in the nation and a poor red zone efficiency of just 65.5%. South Carolina is 77th in offense and 42nd in defense. A&M is ranked 54th in defense. The Aggies are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 8-21 ATS in their last 29 coming off a bye week. I'll take the home dog here today and that's South Carolina. |
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10-22-22 | Boise State +3.5 v. Air Force | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 65 h 24 m | Show | |
The Mountain West conference is split into the West and Mountain divisions. The Mountain being the much stronger one with both Boise State and Air Force among the list. Boise Leads right now in the Mountain division with a 3-0 conference record and 4-2 overall mark. Air Force is 2-2 in conference play with a 5-2 overall mark. Air Force went to UNLV last week and trounced the Rebels, 42-7 as a 9.5-point favorite. The Falcons had four take aways that all led to points and an easy win. Boise State had last week off after beating Fresno the week before, 40-20 as a 7.5-point home favorite. Air Force took the game last year in Boise, 24-17, breaking a four game Boise streak of winning and covering. The Broncos are 7-2-2 ATS their last 11 games on grass. The strength of this Boise team is their 2nd ranked national defense that has held opponents to just 236 yards per game. Air Force is no slouch though, ranked 9th in the nation. Air Force has the 39th ranked offense which is led by their top ranked rushing attack which averages 360 yards a game. This one really comes down to the Boise defense being able to contain that Air Force rushing attack. I'm going to take the small points here today with Boise. |
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10-22-22 | UCLA +6.5 v. Oregon | Top | 30-45 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 55 m | Show |
UCLA and Oregon face off today in Eugene for the PAC 12. UCLA is 3-0 in conference play and 6-0 overall. Oregon is 3-0 in conference play and 5-1 overall. UCLA had last week off to prepare for today's contest. They are coming off a home win over Utah, 42-32. The Bruins have scored at least 32 in all six games and 40 or more in five games. Oregon also had last week off after demolishing Arizona the previous week, 49-22. The Ducks have scored 41 or more points in every game since their opening week loss at Georgia where they scored just three points. Oregon has the 7th ranked offense in the country and UCLA has the 11th ranked offense. UCLA's defense ranks 33rd overall while Oregon comes in at 60th. UCLA has now covered seven of their last eight road games and are 7-2 ATS overall their last nine games. Oregon is 3-8 ATS their last 11 games following a ATS win. UCLA around a 6-point dog here today. I won't be surprised one bit with a UCLA straight up win. I'll take the points. |
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10-22-22 | Toledo v. Buffalo +7.5 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 59 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a MAC Conference matchup that might be for the conference championship as the MAC East leader, Buffalo, takes on MAC-West leader Toledo. Both teams undefeated in conference play at 3-0. Toledo came into MAC play just 2-2 S/U and 1-2 ATS. But three straight conference wins and covers have changed things. The Rockets have scored 52 points in each of their last two games and 142 so far in three conference games. Buffalo may only be 5-3 S/U overall, but they have a perfect 6-0 ATS mark. Their defense has been excellent, holding their last two MAC opponents to just seven points each. Moreover, they have allowed just 34 total points in three MAC games. Their non conference games though still have them at 73rd overall on defense, though they have risen in the past three weeks. Toledo has the 48th ranked defense and 67th ranked offense. Toledo has covered eight of the last 11 road games. Buffalo is 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 vs a team with a winning record. Clash of first place teams here today, but I'll be on Buffalo as they get at least a TD at home in this contest. |
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10-21-22 | UAB v. Western Kentucky -1.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
Conference USA matchup here on Thursday has the 4-2 UAB Blazers taking on the 4-3 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Both teams are 2-1 in the conference and trail both North Texas and UTSA who are 3-0. UAB is coming off a home win over Charlotte last week, 34-20, though they failed to cover the 23-point spread. The Blazers piled-up 510 yards of offense in the game. Western Kentucky won on the road at Middle Tennessee State last week, 35-17, cover the 7-point favorite line. They held Mid-Tenn to just 291 yards while gaining 443 yards. These teams have met just twice in the last five years with UAB taking the game in 2020, 37-14 and W.Ky taking the 2019 contest, 20-13. Western has the 15th ranked offense in the country with 144 yards rushing and 344 yards passing. UAB comes in at 34th. UAB has the slightly better defense as they are 19th in the nation with Western at 52nd. Western has covered seven of their last 10 home games and are 8-1 ATS in their last nine conference games. I'll take the home team here tonight. Play Western Kentucky. |
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10-21-22 | Pelicans -6.5 v. Hornets | 124-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
The good news for New Orleans is that they will have Zion Williamson in the lineup. He dominated in his Pelicans return last Wednesday night. He had 25 points, nine rebounds and four steels in their 130-108 win over the Nets. The Hornets will be without forward Miles Bridges and point guard LeMelo Bell. Charlotte also looked good in their opener, beating the Spurs in San Antonio, 128-102. The Pelicans are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games. They are also 6-0 ATS in their last six trips to Charlotte and 23-11-1 ATS overall their last 35 meetings with the Hornets. With WIlliamson back, I'll take the Pelicans tonight. |
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10-19-22 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 130 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
The Yankees and Guardians finally got their decisive game five completed on Tuesday with the Yanks taking the contest, 5-1. Houston finally gets back into the game after being off since last Saturday when they took care of Seattle, 1-0 in 18 innings. Justin Verlander will get the start in game one tonight. Verlander had a rare bad start in his last game on Oct 11th vs Seattle where he allowed six runs over four innings of work. Still, he's a favorite for Cy-Young this year with his 18-4 record and 2.01 ERA. The Yankees will counter with Jameson Taillon who is 14-5 overall but has yet to start in the postseason. Tallion has a overall 3.91 ERA but a 4.36 road ERA. Rough series for the Yankees against Cleveland and they might be in for a bit of a letdown here in game one at Houston tonight. I'll lay the Run Line with the Astros. |
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10-18-22 | Lakers v. Warriors -6.5 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Opening night of the NBA season and we get a good one to start with the LA Lakers heading North to take on the Golden State Warriors. Golden State begins defense of their NBA Championship from last year. The season hasn't started and it's back to the same old issues for the Lakers, injuries. The Lakers will be hurting at guard with both Russell Westbrook and Dennis Schroder uncertain about playing. The Warriors will get their Championship rings before the game so the place will be rocking. I'm going to take the Warriors with questions still lingering on the Lakers side. Play Golden State. |
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10-17-22 | Broncos +4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The honeymoon of Russell Wilson in Denver looks to be over as the fans must be wondering what they got for all their money as QB Geno Smith was the highest rated passer in the NFL, taking the place of Wilson. The Broncos lost for the 2nd consecutive game last week to the Colts, 9-12. They could manage just three field goals in the loss. They have scored more than 20 points just once this season and that was 23 against the Raiders in a loss. However, their defense has been great, ranking 3rd overall in the NFL an 1st in the NFL vs the pass. The offense ranks 18th overall. The Chargers have won two straight games since their loss at home to the Jaguars back on Sept 25th. They beat the Browns last week in Cleveland, 30-28 as a 1.5-point favorite. The offense ranks 5th overall in the NFL with their passing game coming in at 2nd. Should be a good matchup of the Denver passing defense against the Chargers passing offense. Denver has covered four of the last six in this series. The Broncos have had 11 days to get ready for this game. Plus all the criticism of Wilson's play might actually motivate him here tonight to play well. This is a AFC West clash and division games are usually played quite tight. I don't believe the Chargers should be this big a favorite against a very good Broncos defense. I'll take a shot with Wilson and the underdog Broncos tonight. |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys +6.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 25 m | Show |
NFC East showdown here between the 5-0 Philadelphia Eagles and the 4-1 Dallas Cowboys. No one really expected much from the Cowboys when they lost QB Dak Prescot early on this year. However, Cooper Rush has come in and led the team to four wins. Who would have thought that one of the worst, if not the worst division in football in recent years would be the best this year with a pair of 4-1 teams and the 5-0 Eagles. With Rush at QB, the Cowboys are 7th ranked on offense while the Eagles are 4th ranked. Philly has the 2nd ranked defense in the league while Dallas comes in at 27th. Dallas beat the Rams last week 22-10, holding their second straight opponent to just 10 points. They held the Rams to just 38 rushing yards last week. Philly just got by the Arizona Cardinals last week, 20-17 as a 5.5-point favorite. Dallas has now covered 10 of their last 11 road games. They are also 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games vs the NFC and 22-7 ATS their last 29 vs the NFC East. The Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 trips to Philly and 7-2 ATS their last nine overall vs the Eagles. I'm going to take the points with the Cowboys here tonight. |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs +3 | 24-20 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
Rematch of that amazing playoff matchup last year between the Bills and the Chiefs. Maybe one of the most exciting games in NFL history as the Chiefs pulled off the comeback in Overtime to shock the Bills. Now we get to see these teams again here in Kansas City. The Chiefs had to hold off the Raiders last week and a late two-point conversion that would have given the Raiders the lead late. KC held on for the win though, 30-29 as TE Kelso had FOUR touchdown receptions in that game. The Chiefs are 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. KC also took over the top spot in the AFC West, one game ahead of the Chargers and two games ahead of the Broncos. Buffalo had little issues at home last week against the Steelers, winning handly 38-3. The Bills had their best offensive output of the season with 120 yards on the ground and 432 yards through the air. The Bills are also 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming at the hands of the Dolphins, 19-21, back on Sept 25th. The Chiefs have covered three of the last four meetings in this series. They will face a Bills team that ranks first in the NFL in offense (15 rushing and 1st in passing) and 2nd in defense (2 vs rush, 4th vs pass). Kansas City has the 6th ranked offense and the 14th ranked defense. The Bills are only 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight vs a winning team and 0-5 ATS in their last five games on grass. The Chiefs are 7-3 ATS their last 10 vs a winning team and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. The Chiefs have covered six of the last eight in this series and getting a field goal here is what I'm going to side with. Take the home dog Chiefs in this one. |
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10-16-22 | Patriots +2.5 v. Browns | 38-15 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
The Patriots in that unusual position of last in the AFC East with a 2-3 record. The Patriots did snap a two game losing streak last week with a shut-out win over Detroit, 29-0, as a 3-poin favorite. New England ranks 17th overall on offense and 16th on defense. The Browns are in 2nd place in the AFC North with a 2-3 record, one game back of Baltimore. Cleveland has the 19th ranked defense and the 4th ranked offense. That offensive united has the NFL's top ranked rushing attack at 192 yards per game. These teams have met just twice in the last five years with the Patriots winning both and covering both games. The Pats are 29-10 ATS their last 39 games vs a losing team. They are also 19-9-1 ATS their last 29 games on grass. The Browns are just 2-5 ATS their last seven games and 2-6 ATS their last eight home games. The Pats are a small road dog here and I expect them to be in this game and get the straight-up win today. Play New England. |
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10-16-22 | Bengals v. Saints +3 | 30-26 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals came up short last week at Baltimore, 17-19, though they did cover the 3-point dog spread. The Bengals saw their two-game win streak snapped as they fell to 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Bengals offense ranks 22nd overall, but 25th rushing. The defense is 13th overall, 7th vs the rush. The Saints beat the Seahawks last week, 39-32, covering the 5.5-point favorite line. The win snapped a three game losing streak to make them 2-3 S/U and ATS overall. The offense had their best output of the year with 438 total yards and 235 rushing yards. The Saints defense ranks 16th overall while the offense is 7th overall. The dog has covered four of the last five in this series and the Saints are a small home dog here today. QB Jameis Winston will miss another game here today with a back injury but ageless Andy Dalton will be behind center. Bengals not exactly looking like the team of last year and with that a small dog at home with the Saints looks good to me. Play New Orleans. |
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10-15-22 | Mississippi State -4 v. Kentucky | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 39 m | Show | |
Mississippi State has been on a offensive explosion of late, scoring 40 points or more in its last three games and 39 or more points in five of its six games. No wonder the offense ranks 26th in the country with one of the best red-zone efficiency marks of 92.5%. The Bulldogs are coming off a blowout win over Arkansas last week, 40-17, easily covering the 8-point spread. They had 568 yards of offense last week vs the Hogs with a +2 turnover ratio. The Dogs are 5-1 S/U and ATS with their only loss coming to LSU back on Sept 17, 16-31. Kentucky lost its second straight game of the season last week to South Carolina, 14-24, failing to cover the -10.5 point line. That coming on the heals of their loss at Ole Miss the week before, 19-22. The losses dropped the team to 4-2 S/U and 3-2 ATS. Miss State beat Kentucky last year, 31-17, doubling them in yards and having a +4 turnover ratio. Miss State is 4-1-1 ATS their last six games and 6-1 ATS their last seven vs a team with a winning record. They have also covered five of their last seven on the road. I'm not happy with the way Kentucky has performed the last two weeks. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs look to be firing on all cylinders. I'll take the visitor in this one on Miss State. |
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10-15-22 | Wisconsin -7.5 v. Michigan State | 28-34 | Loss | -105 | 66 h 7 m | Show | |
The Wisconsin Badgers rebounded from their 10-34 loss to Illinois two weeks ago with a road win at Northwestern last week, 42-7. The Badgers are now 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. A tough Big 10 schedule follows the next six games if they hope to get bowl eligible. Wisconsin had 515 yards of offense last week at Northwestern and a +3 turnover ratio. Michigan State is coming off a loss last week at home to Ohio State, 20-49. The Spartans had just 202 total yards of offense in the loss while allowing 614 yards. The Spartans have now lost four straight games and are 2-4 overall on the season. Wisconsin has covered six of their last seven conference games and 4-0 ATS their last four overall. Michigan State might be the worst team in the Big 10. Their offense is not good, their defense is not good and they don't score many points. I'll stick with the Badgers here today as they need wins against teams like this. Play Wisconsin. |
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10-15-22 | Alabama v. Tennessee +7.5 | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 66 h 48 m | Show | |
Tennessee has their biggest game of the season here this week as they welcome Alabama to town. The Vols are 5-0 S/U and having one of their best seasons. They have also covered four of their five games this year. They are coming off a decisive road win last week at LSU, 40-13, as a -2.5-point favorite. The Vols can go all out in this one as they have Tennessee-Martin up next. Alabama just did get by Texas A&M last week at home, 24-20, not coming close to covering the 24.5 point favorite line. The Tide still are a perfect 6-0 on the season and 4-2 vs the number. Alabama won this game last year in Tennessee, 52-24, covering the 24-point line. This year different story as they are just a 7.5-point road favorite. Alabama is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games vs a team with a winning record. History is on the side of the Tide in this one. But you Tennessee will be rocking on Saturday as the faithful look for a huge upset win of the top ranked Tide. I'm taking the points in this one as I expect Tennessee to be there at the end. Play Tennessee. |
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10-15-22 | Oklahoma State +4 v. TCU | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 66 h 36 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State hits the road this week after a home win last week over Texas Tech, 41-31, as a 9-point favorite. The Cowboys are now 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. The offense has been clicking, now ranked 20th in the nation and having a red-zone efficiency of 81.5%. The defense isn't quite as good, coming in at 104th. TCU got by Kansas last week in the whining moments of the game, 38-31, pushing the 7-point spread. The Horned Frogs are now 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Their offense ranks 3rd in the nation with a 81.2% red zone efficiency. The defense comes in at 93rd. Ok State won last year's matchup with TCU, 63-17, covering the 11.5-points spread. Ok State is now 9-0 ATS in their last nine road games against a winning home team. They are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games and 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 road games. TCU is 2-6-1 in their last nine conference games and 14-29-1 ATS in their last 44 home games. The dog has covered six of the last seven in this series and that's what I look for here today. Play Oklahoma State. |
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10-15-22 | Iowa State +17 v. Texas | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 62 h 10 m | Show | |
Texas looks like the read deal this year as they rolled past Oklahoma last week, 49-0. That made them 4-2 S/U and 5-1 ATS. Their only losses came to Alabama in the final seconds of that game, 19-20 and then lost to Texas Tech, 34-37. Texas ranks 35th overall on offense and 33rd in defense. Iowa State looks to snap a three-game losing streak here today. The Cyclones lost last week to Kansas State, 9-10 and the previous week to Kansas, 11-14. That makes them 3-3 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. Iowa State has covered against Texas the last two years, last year winning 30-7 at home and the previous year winning 23-20 at Texas. Texas is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games. Texas has their big intra-state rivalry game next week at Oklahoma State. They might have their eyes set on that game and not on this one. Big points here with the dog and I'll take a shot with them. Play Iowa State. |
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10-15-22 | Penn State +7 v. Michigan | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 8 m | Show | |
Tough Big 10 matchup here today as Penn State travels to Michigan to take on the Wolverines. The Nittany Lions are coming off a win two weeks ago at home over Northwestern, 17-7, but failed to cover the 25.5-point lines. The Lions are now 5-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Michigan beat Indiana last week, 31-10, but just missed covered the 21.5 point line. The Wolverines improved to 6-0 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Michigan offense ranks 27th in the country with Penn State coming in at 37th. The Michigan defense ranks 4th in the country, making it three of the top four defenses coming from the Big 10. The Penn State defense isn't bad though, ranking 37th overall. Penn State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Michigan is just 4-9 ATS their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. Looks like a good defensive battle here today. I'll take the points in this one and see if the Lions can get in under the line. Play Penn State. |
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10-15-22 | Minnesota v. Illinois +6.5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 62 h 7 m | Show | |
The Illinois Illini are coming off a hard fought home win over defensive Iowa last week, 9-6, though they didn't cover the 3.-5 point line. That makes them 5-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Illinois managed just 316 yards of offense in that game and had a -2 turnover ratio. They did rush for 200 yards though against the 8th ranked Iowa defense. Minnesota came up short last week at home against Purdue, losing 10-20 as a 12.5-point favorite. That makes the Gophers 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS. The loss was their first of the year and the most points they have allowed this year. The Gophers defense still ranks as the best in the nation, allowing just 222 yards per game and with just three TD's allowed in the red zone this year. Illinois though ranks second in the nation in defense and has a 30.2% red zone efficiency on defense, allowing just one red zone TD. Illinois has covered four of their last five home games and is 7-2 ATS their last nine games. This looks to be a great defensive battle between the top two rated defenses in the country. I'll take Illinois though in this one. |
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10-15-22 | Kansas +9 v. Oklahoma | 42-52 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 46 m | Show | |
Kansas saw its undefeated 5-0 mark come to an end last week with a loss to TCU, 31-38. Kansas QB Jalon Daniels left that game with a shoulder injury and is out this week. Jason Bean came in and performed well in the loss. Bean completed 16 of 24 passes for 262 yards and four TD's in relief. Meanwhile Oklahoma got demolished at the Cotton Bowl by Texas last week, 0-49. That was the team's third loss in a row. That dropped the Sooners to 3-3 on the season. The Sooners were outgained by Texas, 195-585 yards. OU QB Dillon Gabriel was injured in that game, but unlike Kansas, the Sooners had no one to replace him at QB. At least quality QB. That Sooners loss was the largest in school history. The Sooners also have lost three straight for the first time since 1998. Not Kansas gets a struggling OU team. Looks like Bean will once again be at the helm for Kansas. The Run game should do well though, as Oklahoma ranks last in the Big 12 and 122nd in the nation in run defense. This game really looks to be a question of whether Oklahoma will show up and it looks like they will do so maybe without their staring QB who is questionable with a concussion. Not sure how the line is OU -9 or thereabouts. I look for a straight up Kansas win, but I'll gladly take the generous points in this one. Play Kansas. |
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10-13-22 | Temple v. Central Florida -23 | Top | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Temple looking to get back to 3-3 today with a win at UCF. The Owls are 2-3 after losing two weeks ago at Memphis, 3-24, as a 20-point dog. Temple has a good defense, 11th in the country. However, you have to take that with a grain of salt when you realize they have played Lafayette, Rutgers, U Mass and Duke, none of which are offensive powerhouses. The offense is not good, ranking 124th in the country. They were shutout by Duke and scored just three points against Memphis. Meanwhile, Central Florida looks to improve to 5-1 with a win tonight. UCF only loss coming against Louisville, 14-20 back on Sept 9th. They are coming off a win over SMU back on Oct 5, 41-19. The UCF offense ranks 17th in the nation with the defense at 40th. Temple is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 conference games and 0-6 ATS in their last six road games. UCF has covered four of the last five in this series and the favorite is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. UCF has too much offense and defense for the Owls here tonight. Lay the points with Central Florida. |
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10-10-22 | Raiders +7 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders finally got Josh McDaniels his first win last week at home over the Denver Broncos, 32-23. The Raiders had 212 yards on the ground and another 173 yards through the air while holding Denver to 299 total yards. Kansas City went to Tampa Bay last week and led the entire way to a 41-31 win. The Chiefs are now 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. They held Tampa Bay to just three rushing yards, though Tom Brady did get 373 yards through the air. The Raiders defense ranks 22nd overall, 10th vs the rush. The Chiefs are 13th overall and top against the rush allowing just 66 yards per game average. The Chiefs are 5th on offense with the Raiders coming in at 13th. For some strange reason, the Chiefs are only 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a losing record. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven vs the AFC. The Raiders have been in every game this year, losing by five to the Chargers, six to the Cardinals and two to Tennessee. Tonight they get at least seven points and the way this offense has played I'll take the points here with the visitor. Play Las Vegas Raiders. |
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10-09-22 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Bengals have had a rough start to the season but they play in the AFC North and right now are tied with the Browns and Ravens for first place at 2-2. The Bengals started the season 0-2, losing to Pittsburgh and then to Dallas. They have rebounded though with wins at the Jets, 27-12, and last week beating Miami, 27-15. The Bengals defense has been very good, ranked 11th overall in the NFL and 4th vs the rush, allowing just 86 yards per game. The offense improving to 16th overall and 8th in passing behind Jeff Burrows. Baltimore has the 2nd most points scored in the AFC with 119, though they rank just 12th overall in yardage. Baltimore jumped out to a lead last week at home over Buffalo, but couldn't hold on as the Bills won late, 23-20. The Ravens offense was held to just 296 yards by the league's top ranked defense. It's the Ravens defense that will have to improve. They are ranked 30th in the NFL and dead last vs the pass. Now they have to face a very good Burrows and the Bengals passing attack. Cincinnati has won and covered both games last year, 41-21 at home and 41-17 at Baltimore. The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 AFC games, 6-1 ATS their last seven road games and 10-2 ATS their last 12 overall games. The Bengals have covered four of the last five in this series and the road team is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings. I don't see Baltimore stopping Burrows and the Bengals offense here today. I'll take Cincinnati. |
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10-09-22 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Rams | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
The surprising Dallas Cowboys bring their 3-1 record to LA this week to take on the 2-2 Super Bowl defending Rams. The Cowboys had QB Dak Prescott go down in week 1, but since they they are 3-0 with backup QB Rush leading the team. Dallas beat the Washington Commanders last week, 25-10 as a 3-point favorite. All four teams in the NL West are at 2-2 with the Rams having come off that Monday Night loss last week to the 49ers, 9-24. Now they are on the short week as they return home to face Dallas. Dallas has a very good defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 5th vs the pass. They should give Rams QB Mathew Stafford all he can handle this week. The Rams defense ranks just 16th. Surprisingly, the Rams offense ranks 28th in the league with the rushing attack 29th. Dallas has covered their last five road games and are 16-5 ATS their last 21 vs the NFC. The Rams are 1-5 ATS their last six games. The Rams still don't look like the team that won the Super Bowl last season while the Cowboys keep winning. I'll take the road dog in this one. Play Cowboys. |
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10-09-22 | Dolphins -3 v. Jets | 17-40 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Miami will be without QB Tua Tagovailoa this week as he will be out with a concussion. Up next with Tua out will be veteran QB Teddy Bridgewater. Tua has bad an excellent season with a 109.9 QB rating this season. Bridgewater took over after Tua had to leave the Bengals contest. Bridgewater finished 14-of-25 for 193 yards and a TD and one INT. Bridgewater played last season for the Broncos. Bridgewater is alwo been amazing on the road, posting a 24-6 record in his last 30 away games. The Dolphins would have been around a 6-7 point favorite in this game, but we have seen the number adjusted to 3 1/2 when Tua was ruled out. For me, that's a way over adjustment here on Sunday and I'm making a big play on the Dolphins in this game. Your free play is on the Dolphins. |
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10-09-22 | Falcons +11 v. Bucs | 15-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
The NFC South is wide open with Tampa Bay and Atlanta both at 2-2 and the Panthers and Saints at 1-3. The winner here today takes over sole position in first place in the division. The Falcons have surprised many as they lead the division in points (103) with the Bucs in 2nd (82). The Falcons offense ranks just 15th, but their rushing attack is 4th. That took a hit last week when Cordell Patterson went down with an injury. He will be out this week, however, two solid rookies picked-up the slack last week and should both see lots of time today. The Falcons beat Cleveland last week, 23-20. They rushed for 202 yards, most of those with their rookie backs. Tampa Bay might be tied for first but they haven't clicked this year. QB Tom Brady has not looked all that good and the offense is ranked 25th after four weeks. The rushing game is just 31st while the passing game is 9th. The best part of the team has been the defense, which ranks 8th in the league. They are 12th rushing and 14th passing. The Falcons have now covered their last four games and are 43-20 ATS their last 63 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing the previous game. Don't expect the Bucs anemic rushing attack to do what the Browns did last week to the Falcons. The Falcons get double digits here today and for me that's too much to give to a team that has been playing very well. The Bucs have lost two straight games and while they likely won't lose today, I look for the Falcons to sneak in under the spread. Take Atlanta. |
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10-09-22 | Chargers v. Browns +2 | 30-28 | Push | 0 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers rebounded from their horrendous home loss to the Jaguars two weeks ago with a win last week at Houston, 34-24. That makes them 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. The offense has been very good, despite playing without a key WR in Keenan Allen. Allen missed his second game last week and will be out again this week. The offense ranks 7th overall in the league and 1st in passing. The Browns are 4th in offense because they have the 2nd ranked rushing attack in the league. The Browns lost last week at Atlanta, 20-23. They have rushed for at least 171 yards in each of their first four games this season. The Browns are 2-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Browns 9th ranked defense will be tasked with controlling Justin Hebert and the Chargers offense. The Browns have covered six of the last eight in this series. The dog has also covered seven of the last eight in the series. It's going to be the ball control rushing of the Browns against the pass attack of Hebert and the Chargers. Whoever wins the turnover battle likely wins this game. I'll take the Browns at home with their great rushing attack to keep the ball out of the Chargers hands. Play Cleveland. |
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10-08-22 | Washington State +13 v. USC | 14-30 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 12 m | Show | |
USC definitely the team in the PAC-12 as the favorite to win the conference. The Trojans really improved with the transfer portal and bringing in a new head coach. The difference has resulted in a 5-0 S/U start and 3-2 ATS mark. The Trojans have failed to cover the last two weeks though as the oddsmaker has really adjusted this team up. I believe they have over corrected and made them bigger favorites then they should be. That's the case here this week as they host Washington State. The Cougars are 4-1 S/U and ATS on the season and coming off a win over Cal last week, 28-9 as a 4-point favorite. The Cougars held cal to just 311 totals yards and had a +2 turnover ratio in the game. The defense ranks 68th overall while the offense is 94th. USC ranks 19th on offense and 55th on defense. Washington State is 20-6 ATS their last 26 games in October, 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games and 4-0 ATS in their last four PAC-12 games. USC is just 1-7 ATS in their last eight conference games and 2-5 ATS vs a team with a winning record. The road team is 7-2 ATS the last nine meetings in this series. I think 12.5 points is too many for the Trojans to be laying to a very good Washington State team. I'll take the points in this one. |
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10-08-22 | Iowa v. Illinois -3 | Top | 6-9 | Push | 0 | 50 h 12 m | Show |
Big 10 action here today as Illinois hosts Iowa. Iowa fell behind early last week at home against Michigan and couldn't quite rebound in their loss to the Wolverines, 14-27, as a 10.5-point dog. The Iowa offense just not good enough to come from behind like that. Iowa has the 129th ranked offense in the country and really has to rely on their 6th ranked defense to keep them in games. Illinois went to Wisconsin last week and put a big-time whipping on the Badgers, 34-10, as a 7-point dog. Take makes the Illini 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. Illinois has the nation's 54th ranked offense and 2nd ranked defense. Iowa is now 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 October games. Illinois is 7-1 ATS int heir last eight overall games and 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. Despite both teams have top 10 defenses, I give the nod here to Illinois. And with the Illini offense much better than Iowa, I'll be on the home team here today. Play Illinois. |
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10-08-22 | Army v. Wake Forest -16.5 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 50 h 11 m | Show | |
Wake Forest rebounded last week from their loss the week before to Clemson, 45-51. They beat Florida State last week, 31-21, as a 7-point dog. The win makes the Deamon Decons now 4-1 S/U and ATS on the season. Army coming off a loss last week at home to Georgia State, 14-31. The Black Knights dropped to 1-3 S/U and 0-3 ATS on the season. Their only win coming against FCS Villanova two weeks ago, 49-10. Army gave up 456 yards to Ga State despite having 19 more plays and four more first downs. It was their three turnovers that contributed to the loss. Army was trounced last year at Wake, giving up 638 yards and 70-points in the 56-70 shootout loss. Army has now covered just one of their last six games overall. Wake is 9-3-1 ATS their last 13 games against a losing team. I look for another Wake blowout this week against an overmanned Army squad. Take Wake Forest. |
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10-08-22 | TCU v. Kansas +7 | 38-31 | Push | 0 | 43 h 41 m | Show | |
TCU coming off a big win over Oklahoma last week. The Horned Frogs were a 7-point dog at home but demolished the Sooners, 55-24. TCU had 668 yards of offense in the win, 361 on the ground and 307 through the air while holding the potent OK offense to just 355 yards. Kansas plays its third home game in a row this week vs the Horned Frogs. The Jayhawks are coming off a win last week at home over Iowa State, 14-11, as a 3-point dog. That makes them 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season. Kansas covered last year's contest in TCU, 28-31, as a 21-point dog. TCU has the nation's 2nd ranked offense while Kansas comes in at 59th. TCU is ranked 64th on defense with Kansas at 78th. TCU is just 4-9 ATS their last 13 on field turf. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight conference games. Kansas has covered their last eight games and is 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games. Not only has the dog covered seven of the last 10 in this series, but the Jayhawks have covered seven of the last 10 at home in this series. I'll take the points here with Kansas. |
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10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers -1.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a losing record. The 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs the NFC. The 49ers have covered the last five vs the Rams and are 5-2 ATS their last seven vs the Rams in San Francisco. I'm going to take the 49ers and their very good defense here today. |
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10-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
This is it for the Milwaukee Brewers. With the final series of the season at hand the Brewers trail the Philadelphia Phillies by two games for the final Wild Card spot. The Phillies have a tough 3-game series at Houston so it's no cake walk for them. However, the Brewers welcomen the Arizona Diamondbacks to town. The D'backs start Tommy Henry tonight who is 3-4 in his eight starts with a 5.98 ERA. Henry has allowed 17 earned runs over his last three starts (13 innings). The Brewers hopes ride with Brandon Woodruff who has been excellent all season with a 13-4 record and 3.05 ERA. He's been very perfect at home with an 8-0 record and 1.98 ERA. I'm taking the Brewers on the Run line tonight in what should be a blowout Milwaukee win. |
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10-02-22 | Broncos +3 v. Raiders | 23-32 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are tied for first in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs at 2-1. That despite a rocky start under new QB Russel Wilson. The Broncos defense has been excellent, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL, 3rd against the pass and 6th against the run. The offense ranks 16th, 11th rushing and 18th passing. As for the Raiders, after a 4-0 preseason they are now 0-3 to start the regular season. They have lost those games by a combined 13-points. Still, have to think Josh Daniels on the hot seat after some questionable calls. Another home loss here and he might be in trouble in Vegas. The Raiders offense one behind Denver at 17th. This with Carr at QB, Adams and WR, Jacobs at RB and Waller at TE. They have the talent, but they have yet to put up the numbers. Vegas has dominated this series going back to when they were in Oakland, covering eight of the last nine times. They have also gone UNDER in eight of the last 10 games. The Raiders are now 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs the AFC. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. This game looks to be close like all the Raiders games have been thus far. But for me, I think I'd rather be on the side getting points. Take Denver. |
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10-02-22 | Chargers v. Texans +6 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers off to a slow start at just 1-2. After beating the Raiders at home to start the season, the Chargers have found it rough the last two weeks. Injuries have played a part though. They lost their star WR Keenan Allen in game two with a hamstring and he could return this week but likely will miss another week. QB Justin Herbert has been playing hurt the last two weeks and it's showed. The Chargers were trounced at home last week by Jacksonville, 10-38. The Jags had 413 yards to just 312 by LA. The Jags also had 18 more plays and nine more first downs as they grinded out 151 yards on the ground. Houston is 0-2-1 S/U to start the season, but they have been competitive. They tied the Colts to start the season, then lost at Denver by seven points and last week lost at Chicago by just three points. They are 2-0-1 vs the number. The Houston offense is just 29th overall and the defense is 29th. The Chargers are 19th on defense and 12th on offense. Houston is 5-0 ATS their last five games vs the AFC. With the Chargers still dealing with some injuries they will continue to struggle here this week in Houston. Take the Texans. |
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10-02-22 | Browns v. Falcons +1 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
The LA Chargers off to a slow start at just 1-2. After beating the Raiders at home to start the season, the Chargers have found it rough the last two weeks. Injuries have played a part though. They lost their star WR Keenan Allen in game two with a hamstring and he could return this week but likely will miss another week. QB Justin Herbert has been playing hurt the last two weeks and it's showed. The Chargers were trounced at home last week by Jacksonville, 10-38. The Jags had 413 yards to just 312 by LA. The Jags also had 18 more plays and nine more first downs as they grinded out 151 yards on the ground. Houston is 0-2-1 S/U to start the season, but they have been competitive. They tied the Colts to start the season, then lost at Denver by seven points and last week lost at Chicago by just three points. They are 2-0-1 vs the number. The Houston offense is just 29th overall and the defense is 29th. The Chargers are 19th on defense and 12th on offense. Houston is 5-0 ATS their last five games vs the AFC. With the Chargers still dealing with some injuries they will continue to struggle here this week in Houston. Take the Texans. |
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10-02-22 | Bills v. Ravens +3.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills are 2-1 and can move into a tie with the Miami Dolphins for 1st place in the AFC East with a win today. They will take on the 2-1 Baltimore Ravens who are tied with the Cleveland Browns for first in the AFC North. After that horrendous collapse in week 1 vs the Dolphins, the Ravens have bounced back with a pair of wins. Last week they won on the road at New England, 37-26, as a 2.5-point favorite. They were out-gained by the pats, 394-447, had five fewer offensive plays and three fewer first downs. The offense has been very good, ranked 4th overall in the NFL. It's their last place defense that has been the problem. Now they face Josh Allen and the Bills offense that is ranked 2nd in the NFL. The Bills also have the NFL's top ranked defense. The Bills are only 1-4 ATS in their last five road games vs a winning home team. The Ravens are 9-4 ATS their last 13 vs a winning team. Ravens have covered four of the last five vs the Bills and the home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. I'll take the Ravens plus the points here on Sunday. |
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10-01-22 | NC State +7 v. Clemson | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
NC State 4-0 to start their season will play their toughest game here on Saturday as they take on Clemson on the road. The Wolfpack beat Connecticut last week, 41-10, but couldn't quite cover the 39-point favorite line. Their toughest game thus far happened two weeks ago when they beat Texas Tech, 27-14. Clemson also 4-0, but they were pushed to the bring last week at Wake Forest, winning 51-45 but not covering the 7-point line. That makes them 1-2 ATS on the season. NC State got the upset last year at home, beating Clemson 27-21 as a 10.5-point dog. NC State is now 11-5 in their last 16 conference games. Meanwhile, Clemson is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 4-19 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. Take NC State plus the points in this one as they stay close to Clemson. |
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10-01-22 | Georgia Southern v. Coastal Carolina -9.5 | 30-34 | Loss | -107 | 42 h 21 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern looks to improve to 4-1 S/U after a win last week at home over Ball State, 34-23. The Eagles are also 3-1 ATS. Southern was actually out gained in yardage last week by the Cardinals, 474-481 and had two fewer plays. Still the Eagles were able to cover the 9.5 point favorite line. Coastal Carolina off to a 4-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS start. Coastal has scored at least 31 points in each game. They handled Georgia State easily last week, 41-24. They had 540 yards to just 309 by Ga State. They also had 25 more plays and 11 more first downs. Ga Southern does have one of the better offenses this year, ranked 10th overall in the country. Coastal coming in at 37th in the nation. Defensively Coastal holds the edge, ranked 65th to Southern's 109th. Coastal has the edge of late in this series, covering four of the last five. Should be a good offensive show here on Saturday. I'm taking Coastal Carolina on their home turf. |
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10-01-22 | Alabama v. Arkansas +17.5 | 49-26 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 13 m | Show | |
Alabama continues its dominance of the FBS with a 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS record Their one close call was a late win at Texas on Sept 10, 20-19 as a 20-point favorite. Since that close loss they beat LA Monroe, 63-7 and last week Vandy, 55-3. The Tide had 628 yards last week to Vandy's 129. They also had 34 first downs to nine and 77 plays to 52. Arkansas had the tough loss last week to Texas A&M in Arlington, Tx, 21-23, but did cover the 2.5-point spread. The Razorbacks had more yards (415-343), more first downs (24-16) and more plays (73-55) than the Aggies. Arkansas is now 3-1 S/U and ATS on the season. Alabama has the nation's 6th ranked offense with Arkansas coming in a 27th. Alabama has the 2nd ranked defense with Arkansas at 89th. Arkansas covered last year in their game at Alabama, losing 35-42 as a 20.5-point dog. Alabama has covered just one of their last five road games and are 1-6 ATS on the road their last seven against a team with a winning home record. Arkansas has covered four of their last five at home. The Hogs getting 17-points at home here on Saturday. I'll take that with a very good Arkansas team. |
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10-01-22 | Michigan v. Iowa +10.5 | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
Michigan puts its 4-0 record on the line as they travel to Iowa to take on the Hawkeyes. The Wolverines have scored 50 points or more in three of their four games. However, that does include Connecticut and Hawaii. They are coming off a home win over Maryland, 34-27, though they failed to cover the 17-point favorite line. The offense ranks 19th overall and will get their first real test against the 5th ranked Iowa defense. Iowa's offense has struggled, in fact they are ranked last in the FBS. Though the offense has scored 27 points in each of their last two games, including their win last week over Rutgers, 27-10. The defense, ranked 5th, has allowed a total of 23 points in four games. Iowa will be looking for some payback after losing at Michigan last year, 3-42. Michigan is just 3-8 ATS their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. If the Iowa defense continues like it has and the offense can get some points, the Hawkeyes can pull the upset here on Saturday. I'll take the points at home with Iowa. |
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10-01-22 | Kentucky +7 v. Ole Miss | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
Kentucky brings a 4-0 record into today's contest at Ole Miss. The Wild Cats are coming off a win over Northern Illinois, 31-23, though they failed to cover the 25.5 point favorite line. They are also 2-1 ATS on the season. Kentucky had 406 yards of offense last week, while holding NIU to 327 yards. The Cats are 87th nationally in offense. The defense does better at 16th nationally. Mississippi also is 4-0 after beating Tulsa last week, 35-27. But, like Kentucky, they couldn't cover the big favorite line of 20.5 points. The Rebels have the 28th ranked defense and 20th ranked offense. Kentucky is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games and 23-7-2 ATS their last 32 games vs a team with a winning record. They are also 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 games in conference play. Ole Miss is just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 2-5 ATS their last seven when having more than 450 yards offense their last game. Both teams have decent defenses and I'll take the points with Kentucky in this one. |
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09-30-22 | UTSA -4 v. Middle Tennessee State | 45-30 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
Texas San Antonio is 2-2 S/U and 2-1 ATS after four games. The Roadrunners are coming off a easy win over Texas Southern last week, 52-24. They lost their opening game in a shootout with Houston, 35-37 and then beat Army, 41-38 and lost to Texas, 20-41. Middle Tennessee State is 3-1 and beat a Top 25 opponent for the first time every last Saturday with a win over No 25 Miami. The Blue Raiders had 507 yards of offense in that win as they won 45-31. UTSA has won three straight in this series, including last year, 27-13. UTSA is led by QB Frank Harris. Harris and the offense lead the Conf-USA in passing yards and are 6th nationally (351.5 ypg). They also rank 2nd in the conference in total offense with 478.5 ypg and 37 ppg. Both these teams have potent offenses, but I look for one defense to make a big play in this game and likely the difference. I like Harris at QB as I believe he will also make a huge difference in this conference game. I'm going to lay the points on the road with UTSA. |
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09-30-22 | Tulane +2.5 v. Houston | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 41 m | Show | |
Tulane lost its first game of the season last week, dropping the Green Wave to 3-1 on the season S/U and 2-1 ATS. Tulane lost at home to Southern Miss, 27-27, as a 13-point favorite. On paper, it looked like a Tulane easy win as they had 451 yards to So.Miss 253 yards. They also had double the first downs (26-13) and ran 24 more plays. The Green Wave did have one turnover to Southern Miss's no turnovers. Houston has scored at least 30 points in each of its first four games. They are 2-2 S/U and 0-3-1 ATS though. The problem is the defense that is ranked 113th in the nation. They did beat Rice at home last week, but did not cover as they won 34-27 as a 17.5-point favorite. Despite their good scoring offense, the unit ranks only 81st overall in he nation with 393 yards per game. Meanwhile, Tulane has the 59th ranked offense in the nation. The Green Wave are now 5-1 ATS in their last five games and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games on turf. Houston is only 2-5 ATS their last seven games and 2-6 ATS vs a team with a winning record. I'm going to take the points tonight with Tulane. |
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09-26-22 | Cowboys +1 v. Giants | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
After losing in week one to the Bucs and losing QB Dak Prescot, things looked bleak for the Cowboys heading into week two vs AFC Champion Cincinnati. However, a solid passing game by backup QB Rush and a defense that held the Bengals to just 89 rushing yards and 165 passing yards, resulted in a Dallas win, 20-17. Now the Cowboys hit the road for the first time as they head to New York to play the Giants in a divisional matchup. The Giants also had a 3-point win last week at home over the Carolina Panthers, 19-16. On paper the game was almost dead even with the Panthers having 275 yards and the Giants 265 yards. The difference were the two Carolina turnovers to none by the Giants. Dallas has covered the last two in this series and eight of the last 10 meetings. The Giants have the 21st ranked offense and the Cowboys have the 25th ranked offense. Dallas has the 6th ranked defense to the Giants 12th ranked defense. The Cowboys have covered their last four road games and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs the NFC and 20-7 ATS vs the NFC East. The Giants are just 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 home games. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall games. I'll take the Cowboys here on Monday night. |