Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -3 | Top | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys hold a two-game lead in the NFC East with three games to play. The Cowboys had to go to OT last week to dispatch Philadelphia, 29-23. Now they have the Colts, Bucs and close out at the Giants. They could easily lose two of these games if not careful. The Colts bounced back from their 0-6 loss at Jacksonville two weeks ago with a big win at Houston last week, 24-21. The Colts can't catch Houston for the AFC South lead, but they are in the running for the last AFC Wildcard. Right now the Chargers have the first wildcard and four teams are tied with a 7-6 record. The Colts have been good at home against winning teams, evidenced by their 16-5-1 ATS mark their last 22 games. The favorite and the home team have each covered four of the last five in this series. I like the Colts and Andrew Luck here in today's game. Play Indianapolis. |
|||||||
12-16-18 | Lions v. Bills -2.5 | 13-14 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions and the Buffalo Bills won't be going to the postseason this year. That doesn't mean they won't be playing this game tough. The Lions are 5-8 and in last place in the NFC North. The Lions snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at Arizona last week, 17-3. Detroit is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. The Buffalo Bills are playing tough after a rough start to the season. The Bills lost at home last week to the Jets, 23-27, but have won two of their last four. QB Josh Allen has this team competing well for head coach Sean McDermott. Since his return from injury, Allen has rushed 31 times for 335 yards, something that gives opposing teams fits. The Bills defense has also been amazing, as they lead the league now in total yards. They also have the best yardage differential in the NFL the last five games. The Lions are banged up these days with Stafford having back injuries and problems at running back. You have to go back eight weeks to find the last time the Lions scored more than 22 points and that was October 21st. I really like this situation for the Bills. Their defense is playing great and they face a hurt Lions team that isn't scoring anyways. Perfect spot for a big win today. Take Buffalo. |
|||||||
12-16-18 | Packers +5.5 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The Packers have to wonder how they will score after watching the high-octane Rams get just six points at Chicago last week. Green Bay has an outside shot at a Wildcard, but too many things have to happen for that to become reality. The Bears clinch the NFC North with a win today or a Vikings loss. But for all intents and purposes, the Bears are the division champions. Have to wonder if it's time for them to start giving some rest to starters with the postseason not far off. The Packers have historically done very well vs the Bears. Just think back to the opening week when they came from way back with an injured Aaron Rodgers to win. The Packers are now 16-5 ATS in their last 21 trips to Chicago. The Packers are also 12-4 ATS in the last 16 overall meetings. I'm going to take the points in today's game with the Packers and see if they can continue to snakebite the Bears. Play Green Bay. |
|||||||
12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
The 8-5 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders take on the 10-2 Appalachian Sate Mountaineers here today in the New Orleans Bowl. I'm taking Middle Tennessee State here for two simple reasons. You can make a case statistically for either team. However, MTSU is getting a touchdown and I just think that's too much to give their senior QB Brent Stockstill. Stockstill has over 12,000 yards in his college career and plays for his dad, who you know he wants to get this last ever win together for him. Stockstill should be a high draft pick in the NFL this coming year. App State will also be without their head coach Scott Satterfield, who has moved on to the head coaching job at Louisville. Just too many intangibles for Middle Tenn State here today. I'm taking the dog in this one. |
|||||||
12-15-18 | Cincinnati +5 v. Mississippi State | 59-70 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
A pair of teams with one loss each meet here on Saturday as Cincinnati plays at Miss State. Cincinnati is 9-1 S/U and 6-4 ATS. The Bearcats only loss so far came on opening day when they lost at home to Ohio State, 56-64 as 4.5-point favorites. Since then, it's been nine straight wins including victories over UNLV, Ole Miss and last game vs Xavier, 62-47. Miss State is 8-1 S/U and 4-5 ATS. The Bulldogs have won five straight after their only loss to Arizona State, 67-72. Unfortunately for the Bulldogs, they have not done all that well vs the numbers, going 2-4 ATS in their last six games. My numbers have this game a toss-up, but the oddsmakers made Miss State a 5-point favorite. I'm taking the points here with Cincinnati. |
|||||||
12-15-18 | Browns +3 v. Broncos | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 32 h 50 m | Show | |
Denver looked like a team poised at a chance to run the table for the rest of the season. Then they hit the 49ers last week and lost 14-20. Now they have the Browns today and then finish up at Oakland and at home vs the Chargers. The loss last week snapped a three-game spread win streak for Denver. The Broncos have not been good at home cover spreads of late, evidenced by their 3-7-1 ATS mark in their last 11 at Mile High. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 December games. The Browns pulled out another win last week, with a home victory over the Panthers, 26-20. That makes three wins in the club's last four games. Both teams ranked right about the same on offense with Denver 15th and Cleveland 16th. Neither team's defense all that good this year, Denver ranked 24th and Cleveland at 31st. I have to think Denver is deflated after losing a game they should have won last week. Cleveland just seems to be happy winning these days. I'm taking the points here today with the Browns. |
|||||||
12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee v. Toledo -14.5 | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State having a rough go of it thus far this season at 3-7 S/U and 0-8 ATS. That's right the Blue Raiders have yet to cover a spread in eight tries this season. In addition, they are 0-6 ATS in their last six away games. They are coming off a home drubbing at the hands of Murray State, 42-64 as 4.5-point dogs. Toledo off to a very good start this year at 9-1 S/U and 5-4 ATS. The Rockets only loss coming at Wright State back in mid-November, 74-84. The oddsmakers made Toledo about a 14-point chalk here. My numbers say that is way too low. Toledo should have not trouble covering this spread on Saturday. Play Toledo. |
|||||||
12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State -4 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
Fresno State ended their season with a big win over Boise State, 19-16 as 2.5-point dogs. The Bulldogs won their last three games after a previous loss to Boise State back in November. Fresno has the 44th ranked offense in the country with a nice 80.5% redzone efficiency. They have been in the redzone 52 times this season with 38 TD's and nine FG's. Fresno has one of the best defenses in the country, ranked 17th. The defense has only allowed nine TD's in the redzone this season. Only Mississippi State has allowed less. Arizona State has the 48th ranked offense in the country with a 70.8% redzone efficiency. They have only been in the redzone 46 times with 27 TD's and 13 FG's. Big difference in these teams is on defense where the Sun Devils are ranked 70th and have allowed 24 TD's in 43 trips. Compare that to just the nine TD's Fresno has allowed. Arizona State has not been a good bowl covering team, evidenced by their 2-7 ATS their last nine bowl games. Fresno State is 26-7-1 ATS their last 34 overall games and 16-5 ATS their last 21 vs a winning team. I'm taking the better defensive team here today and that's Fresno State. |
|||||||
12-15-18 | Penn State v. NC State -3.5 | 78-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
Reason: Boardwalk Classic here from Atlantic City, NJ. The 8-1 North Carolina State Wolfpack takes on the 5-4 Penn State Nittany Lions. Penn State has lost two of their last three games and is coming off a win over Colgate, 76-65. However, the failed to cover the 15-point spread in that game. They have lost three straight to the spread and four of their last five games. NC State has just one loss and that came at the hands of Wisconsin, 75-79. The Wolfpack did cover that game though and has covered three straight and six of eight. NC State just 3.5-point favorite here today. My numbers have this game as a 12-point NC State tilt. I have to go with my own in this spot. I'm taking NC State. |
|||||||
12-15-18 | Rutgers +6.5 v. Seton Hall | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
Rutgers brings a 5-4 record into today's game at Seton Hall. The Scarlet Knights have lost three straight games and are 1-2 ATS their last three. The Seton Hall Pirates are also 5-4 S/U as they come into this game. Just three games left until they enter conference play. The Pirates have won two-straight games and are coming off a big home win over Kentucky, 84-83 in OT as 7-point dogs. That could be an issue here for the Pirates. Seton Hall could be in for a big letdown today. The Scarlet Knights are 14-6-1 ATS their last 21 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. My number has this game closer to a pick and with that big Kentucky win, look for a Seton Hall letdown today. Play Rutgers. |
|||||||
12-15-18 | North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Expect an offensive shootout in this game today as two top offenses collide. Utah State is ranked 11th in offense and has a redzone efficiency rating of 76%. They have been in the redzone 56 times this season and scored 37 TD's. North Texas is ranked 15th and has a 73% redzone efficiency with 59 redzone trips and 37 TD's. These teams are very evenly matched when it comes to offense. One issue here is that the Utah State Aggies haven't done well against winning teams, evidenced by their 4-15 ATS the last 19 times. They are also slowed a bit on the grass, as they have covered just three of the last 10 on the real stuff. Meanwhile, North Texas Mean Green is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games. These teams have a bit of history and the dog has covered five of the last seven meetings. Utah State laying 7.5-points is way too much. These teams are evenly matched and I'm taking the points here today. Play North Texas. |
|||||||
12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
For me, this game comes down to a few things. First, both teams have running back issues. The Chargers likely without Gordon and Eckler while the Chiefs have no Hunt and Ware is hurt. The Chargers get a big revenge game for that loss earlier this season and that really does make more difference in division games. The Chargers have the much better defense and pass rush. Plus, the Chiefs are coming off a very physical OT game last week vs the Ravens. The Chargers coasted last week vs the Bengals. For me, all the positives line up on the Chargers tonight. Take LA Chargers. |
|||||||
12-12-18 | San Diego +8.5 v. Oregon | 55-65 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
San Diego off to an excellent start at 8-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS. The Toreros have been a great covering road team, evidenced by their 21-9-1 ATS mark in their last 31 away games. In addition, they have done well vs winning teams too, posting a 13-6 ATS mark the last 19 times they faced an opponent with a 60% win mark or better. The Oregon Ducks are 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS. The Ducks are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall. They lost at home to Texas Southern 84-89 and at Houston 61-65 in two of their last three games. San Diego getting 8-points here tonight is too many for me to pass on. Take San Diego. |
|||||||
12-12-18 | Murray State +2 v. Southern Illinois | 80-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
Murray State comes into tonight's contes with a 5-1 S/U and 5-0 ATS mark. The Racers are a good covering team; 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 vs the Missouri Valley; 6-1 their last seven road games vs a winning tea; 5-0 ATS their last five non-conf games. Southern Illinois also off to a good start at 7-3 S/U and ATS. My numbers show me that Murray State should be the favorite in this game and the oddsmakers have made Southern Illinois the chalk. That means I'm on the dog here with Murray State. |
|||||||
12-11-18 | Suns v. Spurs -12.5 | 86-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns bring their 4-23 S/U and 9-18 ATS record to the Lone Star state tonight to play the Spurs. The Suns are 0-9 S/U in their last nine games and just 1-8 ATS. The Suns are terrible at covering spread. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games and 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after an ATS Win. They had an ATS win last game, so that means likely a fail here with that horrible record. The Spurs are 13-14 S/U and 13-13-1 ATS on the season. The Spurs have been at home the last two games and that translated to two wins both S/U and ATS. The Spurs have been a good bet at home, where they are 18-7 ATS their last 25 on their home floor. Suns just too bad a team to even look at here. I'm taking the Spurs. |
|||||||
12-11-18 | Georgia Southern v. UCF -10 | 88-95 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern off a win at Mercer, 89-74. That win snapped a two-game losing streak and brings their record to 6-2 S/U on the season and 5-2 ATS. The one issue for the Eagles is that they have not done well against winning teams, evidenced by their 4-9 ATS mark vs .600 teams and above. That's just what they face here today in Central Florida. The Knights are 7-2 both S/U and ATS this season. The Knights are now in the midst of a five-game home stand. Central Florida is now 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs non-conference teams and 37-16 ATS in their last 53 home games. I like the home team here today. Play Central Florida. |
|||||||
12-10-18 | Vikings v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 140 h 55 m | Show |
Monday Night Game of the Year: The Vikings are coming off a loss at New England last week, 10-24. The Vikings are 2-2 in their last four games. The Vikings are in 2nd in the NFC North 1.5 games back of the Bears. The Vikings are still in the hunt for a WildCard spot though as they battle a host of other teams. Seattle has the unfortunate luck of being in the NFC West with the Rams.. However, right now they are 7-5 and holding onto one of the Wild Card spots. The Seahawks have won three straight after last week's win over the 49ers, 43-16. The have average over 30 points a game in their last four outings. The Vikings are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 2-9 ATS here on Monday nights. The Hawks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six vs the NFC and 22-9-1 ATS in their last32 games in December. Seattle laying 3 or 3.5-points here on Monday night. I love the way the Seahawks are playing and the Vikings on the road again here this week. Bad spot for Minnesota. Take the Seahawks. |
|||||||
12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers +4 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 39 h 47 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are still in the hunt for a Wildcard spot at 6-6 this season and one of the easiest scheduled left in the NFL. The bad news is that Emmanuel Sanders, their star WR, was hurt in practice and is out with a leg injury. The Broncos are ranked 15th in offense and 25th on defense. In fact, the 49ers rank much better on defense, 11th, then Denver. San Francisco isn't far behind in offense either, ranked 17th. Denver hasn't been the favorite all that often, in fact, just three times in the last 10 weeks. With San Francisco, Cleveland, Oakland and the Chargers left on their schedule, a 9-7 or 10-6 season is definitely in the cards. The 49ers return home today after two tough road games where they were outscored 25-70. I really like the 49ers coach and he knows how to get the most out of his teams. I'm taking the points here at home with San Francisco. |
|||||||
12-09-18 | Panthers v. Browns +1.5 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 36 h 43 m | Show |
It's been a roller coaster season for the Browns, firing Hue Jackson earlier in the season and having to endure all those OT games. They have won two of their last three games with wins over the Falcons and Bengals. They did lose last week at Houston, 13-29. Now they return home for two of their last four games. They get the reeling Panthers here today. Remember back to week six when the Panthers trailed the Eagles 0-17 in the fourth quarter? Then they rallied to win that game 21-17. It looked like that could be the turnaround of their season. However, since that win, they are 2-4 both S/U and ATS and on a four-game losing streak. The Panthers lost last week to the Buccaneers, 17-24 as 3-point chalks. Now it looks like Carolina is out in the playoff picture with New Orleans twice on the schedule and Atlanta left. Browns have been tough at home and I'm taking them here today against this Panther team that is chasing its own tail at this point. Play Cleveland. |
|||||||
12-09-18 | Colts +4.5 v. Texans | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 36 h 43 m | Show | |
An AFC South matchup here between the division leading Houston Texans and the third place Colts. The Colts are still in the AFC Wildcard hunt at 6-6, but every game is important. After today's game, the Colts play at home against Dallas and the Giants and then finish at Tennessee. None of those will be easy wins. The Texans have the Jets, Eagles and Jaguars left - all very winable games. The Colts season is on the line here and after they were shutout last week, 0-6 at Jacksonville, I expect a much better effort today. Take the Colts. |
|||||||
12-09-18 | Saints v. Bucs +10.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -130 | 36 h 42 m | Show | |
A rematch of week one where these two teams put on a offensive explosion won by the Bucs. Now the Saints travel to Tampa and look for redemption after their worst game of the season last week. Tampa has the top ranked offense in the league with New Orleans not far behind at No 5. Problem is with defense, as the Bucs are 27th and the Saints 15th. The Saints lost last week at Dallas, 10-13, only the third time this year that the Saints have scored less than 30 points. Tampa Bay has gone back to Jameis Winston at QB. It's paid off too, with two straight wins over San Francisco and Carolina. In fact, the defense, which was once the worst in the league, has allowed just 27 points the last two weeks. I look for another high scoring game here this week, but I'm taking the home team. Play Tampa Bay. |
|||||||
12-09-18 | Patriots v. Dolphins +9 | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 36 h 42 m | Show | |
It didn't seem that long ago when the Dolphins were 3-0 and went cruising into New England where they took a good old fashioned whipping, 7-38. Since that loss, it's been tough on the Dolphins, with QB Ryan Tannehill hurt and the team going 3-6. They did win last game out at home over Buffalo, 21-17. It was their second cover in a row after a 2-5 ATS string. The Patriots are cruising to another AFC East division title at 9-3. They lead the Dolphins by three games with four to play. The Pats have won two straight games after that loss at Tennessee, 10-34. They beat the Jets and then last week the Vikings, outscoring both teams 51-23. The Pats really have a easy schedule left with Miami, Pittsburgh, Buffalo and the Jets. Their only test will be that game at Pittsburgh which is next week. We might even see a bit of a look ahead spot here today with the Patriots. The home team has really been the play in this series, covering 13 of the last 16 meetings. In addition, New England is 1-5 ATS in their last five trips to Miami. I'm taking the home team here. Play Miami. |
|||||||
12-07-18 | Nevada -6 v. Arizona State | 72-66 | Push | 0 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Matchup here of ranked and unbeaten teams as No 6 Nevada (8-0 S/U) plays at No 20 Arizona State (7-0). This game being played in Los Angeles in the Hall of Fame Classic. ASU has not covered its last two games vs Nebraska Omaha and Texas Southern. The Sun Devils haven't done well against teams with a winning straight-up record, evidenced by their 4-12-2 ATS mark their last 18 tries. Nevada has been a major power this season. Not only are they 8-0 S/U, but they have covered six and lost just one vs the number. Their lone spread loss coming in a tournament game against Tulsa where they failed to cover the 14-point line. Still, Nevada has been good to bettors, going 39-16-4 ATS their last 59 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Nevada is the real deal while I'm not convinced yet with ASU. Take Nevada here and lay the points. |
|||||||
12-07-18 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -5.5 | 107-103 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies are 14-9 S/U and 10-13 ATS to start the season. The New Orleans Pelicans are 13-13 S/U and 12-14 ATS. Memphis in first place in the West Southwest division. Memphis is 2-4 both S/U and ATS in its last six straight games. The Grizzlies have a day of rest here and they are 0-4 ATS their last four times they are off that day's rest. The Pelicans are in third place in the Southwest division and can gain a game on the leader here tonight. New Orleans is has won and covered two of the last three games. The Pelicans are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games vs the Western Conference and 5-1 ATS vs the Southwest division. I like the Pelicans here on Friday on their home court. Play New Orleans. |
|||||||
12-07-18 | 76ers v. Pistons -1 | 117-111 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Philadelphia off to a 17-9 S/U and 11-15-0 ATS mark this season. The Detroit Pistons are 13-9 S/U and 12-10 ATS. Philly in a tough Atlantic Division where they are in second place to Toronto. Philly is coming off a loss to those Raptors, 102-113 at Toronto last time out. Philly is now 3-5 ATS their last eight games. Detroit is in 2nd place in the East Central Division behind division leading Milwaukee. The Pistons are on a 0-2 S/U and ATS streak. Still, Detroit has been good of late with a 7-3 S/U and ATS mark their last 10 games. Philly has not been a good road team, going 3-12 ATS their last 15 away games. Meanwhile, the Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. The home team has covered four of the last five in this series. In addition, the Pistons are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit. Play Detroit here on Friday. |
|||||||
12-07-18 | NC-Greensboro -12 v. Elon | 75-74 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
UNC Greensboro off a loss to Kentucky, 61-78. However, UNCG still has a nice 7-2 S/U record and 4-2 ATS mark. The Spartans are now 5-0 ATS in their last five vs the Colonial Athletic Conference. They are also 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. Elon comes into this contest at 3-6 S/U and 2-5 ATS. The Phoenix have lost two straight home games both S/U and ATS to Furman and Boston University. Elon's only wins coming against Central Penn College and Milligan, both small basketball schools. Elon has not been good at covering, evidenced by their 5-17 ATS the last 22 games, 0-6 ATS their last six home games and 2-6 ATS their last eight vs the Southern Conference. Greensboro the class of this matchup. Lay the points here with UNC Greensboro. |
|||||||
12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans -4 | 9-30 | Win | 100 | 44 h 57 m | Show | |
Disappointing season for Jacksonville as they sit at 4-8 and last in the AFC South. This despite their win last week over the Colts, 6-0. The win snapped a seven game losing streak for the Jags. Jacksonville still has the 5th ranked defense, it's the offense that has been poor at 22nd. Tennessee was in the AFC South race until the last few weeks. The Titans are now 6-6 and tied for second, 3-games back of the Texans. The Titans did come back last week and beat the Jets, 26-22. That snapped a two game losing streak for Tennessee. Tennessee is now 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games and 6-2 ATS the last eight vs the AFC South. The Titans are 4-1-1 ATS the last six vs Jacksonville. In addition, the home team is 5-2-1 ATS the last eight in this series. Take Tennessee here on Thursday. |
|||||||
12-05-18 | San Francisco v. California +6.5 | Top | 79-60 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
San Francisco in a bit of a tough spot here having played not long again in that Belfast Tournament. They had to make the very long trip from Ireland back to the West Coast and have to be jet lagged still. Now they have to move up in class to play a PAC-12 school in Cal. San Francisco was 7-0 before they lost to Buffalo in that tournament, 81-85 as 4.5-point dogs. Cal is just 2-5 S/U and ATS this season with their two wins coming against Hampton and Santa Clara. I don't think Cal is the better team between these two, at least this early, but with San Fran in this bad spot I look for Cal to win tonight or at least cover the 6-point dog line. Take Cal. |
|||||||
12-05-18 | Middle Tennessee v. Vanderbilt -14.5 | 51-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State (MTS) is 3-5 S/U and 0-6 ATS to start the season. The Blue Raiders are 0-7 ATS in their last seven non-conference games and 0-5 ATS in their last five overall road games. Vanderbilt is 5-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS this far. Vandy is off a tournament loss to NC State, 65-80. This is the kind of matchup where my numbers come into play and my numbers have Vandy a bigger favorite then the points they are laying tonight. It's a tall order, but I look for the Commodores to cover this one. Play Vandy. |
|||||||
12-05-18 | Ohio State -5.5 v. Illinois | 77-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Ohio State is off to a 7-1 S/U and 5-3 ATS start. The Buckeyes only loss coming at home against Syracuse a couple of games ago, 62-72. The Buckeyes will have 10 days off after tonight's contest, so don't look for them to look past this contest. Illinois is not doing well, off to a 2-7 S/U and 3-6 ATS start. The Illini have lost two straight games including their last at Nebraska, 60-75. Today's game being played at Chicago, so it's a neutral site. Illinois is just 2-5 ATS on the last seven neutral sites. Buckeyes laying just 5.5-points here on this neutral court is too good a value for me to pass on. Play Ohio State. |
|||||||
12-04-18 | Wofford +16.5 v. Kansas | 47-72 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Wofford brings its 6-2 record tonight to Kansas tonight to face the Jayhawks. Wofford has won four straight games including a 20-point win over South Carolina. They also played to just 11 points of North Carolina and 11 points to Oklahoma. In fact, they missed covering both of those games by just 2 points or one point. They are 4-2 ATS, but could easily be 6-0 ATS if not for those two close losses. Kansas is 6-0 S/U and 3-3 AST on the season. The No 2 Jayhawks laying 16.5-points here tonight. Wofford is now 7-1 ATS in its last eight road games. I think this is too many points, especially when my own power lines has it below 10. I'm taking a very good Wofford team to stay close in this one. |
|||||||
12-04-18 | Indiana v. Penn State -2.5 | 64-62 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Indiana (6-2 S/U, 2-5 ATS) visits Penn State in a Big 10 clash today. While Indiana has a good record at 6-2, they have lost five straight to the spread. That includes a 21-point loss to Duke as 15-point dogs. In fact, the Hoosiers are now 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games. Penn State is coming off a loss at Maryland, 59-66 as 6.5-point dogs, just missing the cover. They are now 3-3 ATS vs the number. Still, the Nittany Lions have done well in the Big 10, going 10-4 ATS their last 14 vs the conference. In addition, they are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 overall. Indiana also may be without one of their best today in Forward Juwan Morgan (knee) who is averaging 16.3 pts per game. With or without Morgan, I like the Nittany Lions here tonight. |
|||||||
12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers -3 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
The Chargers had little trouble last week with Arizona, winning 45-10. The win got the bad taste out of their mouth from the previous week's loss to the Broncos, 22-23. The Chargers have the 6th ranked offense in the league and the 9th ranked defense in the league. The big loss though is that of RB Melvin Gordon, who is out with a knee injury. That will put all the more pressure on QB Phillip Rivers today. The Steelers enter this game with the 4th ranked offense and the 6th ranked defense. Pittsburgh lost last week to the Broncos, 17-24. The Steelers had four turnovers in that game and no take aways. They outgained the Broncos 527 yards to just 308. The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games. The Chargers are will be hard pressed to score the way they have without Gordon in the lineup. Take the Steelers here on Sunday. |
|||||||
12-02-18 | 49ers v. Seahawks -10 | 16-43 | Win | 105 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers made that big splash three weeks ago with Mullens at QB when they beat the Raiders, 34-3. However, since then, they have lost to the Jets (23-27) and then lost at Tampa Bay, 9-27. The 49ers are now 7-18-1 ATS their last 26 against a team with a winning record. The Seahawks have won two straight games. Seattle is 5-1-1 ATS their last seven games. The Hawks are 12-5-1 ATS their last 18 home games vs a team with a losing record. Seattle has owned this series, going 10-2-1 ATS the last 13 games vs the 49ers and 5-1-1 ATS the last seven at home. I'm on the Hawks here today. Play Seattle. |
|||||||
12-02-18 | Colts -4 v. Jaguars | 0-6 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Colts now have won five straight games with Andrew Luck throw at least three TD's in eight straight games. The Colts offense has been in high gear since week 4. They have scored 27 or more points in seven of their last eight games. Jacksonville now has lost seven straight games. The Colts now have the 9th ranked offense and the 16th ranked defense. The Jags are 22nd ranked offense and 5th ranked defense. The Colts have done well vs losing teams, posting a 32-13-1 ATS mark their last 56 games. The Jags are 0-5-2 ATS their last seven games. I like the way the Colts have been playing and the Jags are just too messed up these days to back. Take Indianapolis. |
|||||||
12-01-18 | Fresno State +1 v. Boise State | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
Mountain West Championship as Fresno takes on Boise State. Boise gets a edge here as the game is played on their home turf at Boise. Fresno had a great spread record of 8-1 until the last three weeks when they have gone 0-3. They lost at Boise State back in early November, 17-24 when these two teams last met. Fresno was a 3-point favorite in that matchup and now they are a 1.5 to 2-point dog. Boise has struggled a bit at times this year, losing to Oklahoma State and San Diego State. Then barely getting by BYU and Nevada. Fresno has been a very good road team, going 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 away games. They are also 14-3 ATS in their last 17 vs a winning team. Boise has not been a good covering home team, getting the money only seven times in 22 attempts. The dog has covered the last six in this series and that's who I'm on today. Play Fresno State. |
|||||||
12-01-18 | Georgia +13 v. Alabama | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
SEC Championship here as Georgia now has come back into the Final Four playoff picture thanks to Michigan losing last week. A loss though by Georgia could let Oklahoma sneak into that fourth spot. Lots on the line for these Championship games. Georgia is 6-0 ATS in their last six neutral site games and 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. Georgia has also covered five of the last seven in this series. The dog is 5-0 ATS the last five in this series. Last season, Georgia lost at home to the Tide, 23-26 as 3.5-point dogs. Georgia getting nearly two TD's here is hard to pass on with the 4th ranked team in the country. I'm going to take the points in what I expect will be a close game. Play Georgia. |
|||||||
12-01-18 | UAB v. Middle Tennessee State -1 | 27-25 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
UAB brings a two-game losing streak into today's Conference USA Championship. The Blazers lost last week against this same Middle Tennessee State team, 3-27. The Blazers lost the prior week at Texas A&M, 20-41. That means the last two weeks they have been outscored 23-68. Middle Tennessee has been a very good covering team this year, evidenced by their 8-4 mark and they have covered their last five straight. The Blue Raiders are also 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. UAB may also be without their top RB in Spencer Brown, who is questionable today. Brown has 15 TD's on the season and nearly 1000 yards rushing. MTSU only a 1-point favorite here and that's good enough for me. Take Middle Tennessee State. |
|||||||
12-01-18 | Texas +8 v. Oklahoma | 27-39 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
Oklahoma has been an offensive powerhouse this year, scoring 50 points or more in six of their 12 games and scoring under 37 points just once all year (28 vs Army). It's not a far stretch then to realize that OU is the top ranked offense in the country. Texas has the 60th ranked offense. The Longhorns can put up points too, but they rely more on their defense, which has held six opponents to 21 or less points. Oklahoma won this matchup last year in Texas, 29-24 as a nine-point favorite. Texas has now covered six straight seasons vs OU. Texas is also 5-2 ATS their last seven trips to Oklahoma. I'm going to take the points here with Texas. |
|||||||
11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3.5 | 30-29 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
Mac Championship pits Northern Illinois vs Buffalo. These teams didn't meet during the regular season. NIU has lost two straight games scoring just 28 total points and giving up 41. Northern Illinois beat Buffalo last year 14-13, but failed to cover the 6.5-point spread. NIU does not do well on neutral sites, posting a 4-16-1 ATS mark in their last 21 tries. Buffalo has been a very good spread team, going 19-7 ATS in the last 26 games, 5-1 ATS last six vs winning teams and 8-1 ATS vs the MAC their last nine tries. Buffalo is coming off a trouncing of Bowling Green last game, 44-14. I like the Bulls here so I'll the points with Buffalo. |
|||||||
11-30-18 | Hawks v. Thunder -13 | 109-124 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
Atlanta is 5-17 S/U and 12-10 ATS to start the season. The Hawks are coming off a loss at Charlotte, 94-108. The Hawks have won just two games in their last 14 games. In addition, the Hawks are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs the West. The OKC Thunder are now 11-4 ATS in their last 15 overall and 6-2 ATS int heir last eight home games. The Thunder are coing off a 100-83 win vs Cleveland. The Thunder have covered 10 of their last 14 games. The Thunder are just 1/2 game out of the Northwest division, while Atlanta is last in the SouthEast division. Big mismatch here tonight as I look for the Thunder to dominate this game. |
|||||||
11-30-18 | Wagner v. American -8 | Top | 64-58 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
American brings a 4-1 record into tonight's contest. American is also 4-0 ATS. Their only loss came in game two at Northweastern, 51-63. Wagner looks to snap a two game losing streak tonight. Wagner lost at home to New Jersey Tech, 60-71 and then at home to Rider, 65-89. In fact, they are just 1-2 at home this season and 1-2 on the road. What I like about an Extra game like this is that the oddsmaker can't make a solid number on every game and this is an example. American just 8-point chalk here tonight and my own numbers have them closer to 20. That's a big edge for me and ulitmately you. Play American. |
|||||||
11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Tough to go against the Saints as well as they are playing. However, the Cowboys looking better and better after their win last week over Washington 31-23. The Cowboys had a +3 tunrover ratio in that game and 404 yards of offense. This is the type of game that the Saints look on paper that they should take. But the line in my opinion is just too high for the way the Cowboys are looking right now. I'm making a very small play on the Cowboys tonight. |
|||||||
11-28-18 | Purdue +4 v. Florida State | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Both of these clubs enter tonight's contest at 5-1 S/U. Purdue is also 4-2 ATS. The Boilermakers have been favored in every game so far this season. This looks to be their first big test of the season. Florida State lost its first game last time out in a tourney game against Villanova, 60-66 as 2.5-point favorites. The Seminoles had to go to OT to beat LSU the game before that, 79-76. The Seminoles are just 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. My numbers show me this line just too high for FSU to be laying. I'll take the dog here, play Purdue. |
|||||||
11-28-18 | Northern Iowa v. Utah State -11 | Top | 52-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
Northern Iowa struggling a bit to a 3-3 S/U record to start their season. The Panthers are now 5-16 ATS their last 21 non-conference games. The are also 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 road games and 2-5 ATS vs the Mountain West. Meanwhile, Utah State comes into tonight's game at 5-1 S/U and 4-1 ATS. The Aggies only loss so far coming last time out vs Arizona State, 82-87. The Aggies are now 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games and 8-2 ATS vs the Missouri Valley conference. My line is pretty much double what the oddsmakers have put here tonight. My top play of the day is on Utah State |
|||||||
11-28-18 | Mavs +6.5 v. Rockets | 128-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
A few injury bugs to look at here tonight. First, for the Mavs, PG Luka Doncic is questionable with an illness. Doncic averages 19.1 ppg. For the Rockets, PG Chris Paul has hamstring issues and is questionable. Paul is averaging 17.9 ppg. That aside, both teams are struggling. The Mavs are 9-9 S/U and 12-6 ATS while the Rockets are 9-12 S/U and 7-12 ATS. Dallas has covered two straight and six of their last seven games. The Rockets have lost three straight games and failed to cover four straight. Houston is also 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs the West. This is a rivalry game so expect the best from both here. However, Dallas has proved they are the better covering team this year. Play the Mavs. |
|||||||
11-28-18 | Bradley v. IUPU-Indianapolis +3.5 | 73-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Bradley Braves off to a 6-1 S/U start and 3-3 ATS mark. The Braves haven't really played anyone other than Penn State, whom they beat 59-56 as 6-point dogs. Indiana Purdue is 4-2 S/U and 6-0 ATS. The Jaguars are now 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games and 4-0-2 ATS vs non-conference opponents. Bradley is just 3-11 ATS in its last 11 road games. Bradley installed as the favorite here, but numbers show that IU Purdue should be the chalk. I'm taking the home team here. Play Indiana-Purdue. |
|||||||
11-27-18 | Raptors -4.5 v. Grizzlies | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
Toronto off to one of the best starts in the NBA at 17-4 S/U and 11-10 ATS. The Raptors are now 2.5 games in the lead for the Eastern Conference title. In addition, Toronto has won five straight games and are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. Minnesota is now 10-11 S/U and 8-11 ATS on the season. The Grizzlies have lost two straight both S/U and ATS. The Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Grizzlies and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five at Memphis. Raptors playing too well to pass on them here. I'm taking Toronto and laying the price. |
|||||||
11-27-18 | East Tennessee State +4 v. Georgia Southern | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
East Tennessee State brings a four game win streak into this game. The Buccaneers are now 12-3-2 ATS their last 17 road games and 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 non-conference games. Georgia Southern brings a 5-0 S/U and 4-0 ATS record into tonight's game. The Eagles haven't played in nine days, which could find them rusty here tonight after such a long layoff. This one promises to be a good matchup between two evenly matched teams. I like the points though with the Bucs as they have been one of the road covering teams. Play East Tennessee State. |
|||||||
11-26-18 | Santa Clara v. California -7.5 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Two teams in desperate need of a win meet today as 1-4 Santa Clara takes on their neighbor 1-3 California. Santa Clara won its first game of the year last time out over San Jose, 71-63. That snapped a four game losing streak which included a 17-point loss at home to Prairie View A&M. Cal has lost two straight, to St Johns and Temple. The Bears are 2-2 ATS on the season. Santa Clara is now just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs non-conference opponents. Santa Clara moves up in class here today as they play a PAC 12 team and that will be tough considering Santa Clara couldn't even beat Prairie View. I'll lay the points here with Cal. |
|||||||
11-26-18 | Titans +4 v. Texans | 17-34 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
Tennessee looking to rebound from that beating they took last week at Indy, 10-38. That loss snapped a two-game win streak for the Titans, including wins over Dallas and New England. In their defense, they ran into a red-hot Colts team and Andrew Luck. Luck has had at least 3 TD passes in each of his last eight games. Houston puts its seven-game win streak on the line here tonight. The Texans are coming off road wins at Denver and Washington (both games by two points). The Titans have covered their last seven Monday Night football games and are 6-1 ATS vs the AFC South. Conversely, the Texans have not done well on Monday Night, posting a 2-10 ATS mark their last 12 tries. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. I look for the Titans to rebound here tonight. I'm taking the 3.5 or 4 points with Tennessee. |
|||||||
11-26-18 | Nebraska +3.5 v. Clemson | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
A pair of 5-1 teams clash here today as Nebraska takes on Clemson. Nebraska has a 3-1-1 ATS mark and is coming off a 73-49 win over Western Illinois though they pushed the 24-point line. The team's one loss was a recent tourney game vs Texas Tech, 52-70. Clemson maybe 5-1 S/U, but hey are just 1-4 ATS on the season. The Tigers lost last time out vs Creighton, 82-87. The Huskers are now 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 vs non-conference teams and 8-2 ATS their last 10 on the road. Nebraska also has a 6-1 ATS mark vs the ACC and is 22-5-1 ATS in their last 28 overall games. Meanwhile, Clemson is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs the Big 10 and 1-5 ATS their last 6 at home. Nebraska has been a great spread team and that's something I'm not going against here tonight. Play Nebraska. |
|||||||
11-25-18 | Miami-FL -5.5 v. Seton Hall | 81-83 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
The Wooden Legacy Final Round here from Fullerton, CA has Miami Florida facing off against Seton Hall. Miami is 5-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS so far on the season. The Canes have beat Lasalle and Fresno State in this tournament, failing to cover their last game vs Fresno as a 8.5-point favorite. Seton Hall is 3-2 S/U and has won both games of the tourney both S/U and ATS. Seton Hall has covered both games in the tourney after failing to cover any of their first three games. Miami is a 5.5-point favorite here today. My own numbers have the Canes at least a 9-point favorite. I'm taking the undefeated Canes on Sunday. Play Miami Florida. |
|||||||
11-25-18 | Packers +3.5 v. Vikings | 17-24 | Loss | -118 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Two teams that were expected to compete for their division titles have both struggled this year. The Packers lost last time out at Seattle, 24-27 but pushed as a 3-point dog. The Packers have a great rushing attack averaging 109 yards per game. The Packers are 8th in the league in offense. Minnesota is 5th in the league in offense, but that is mainly through the air as they average just 92 yards on the ground. Minnesota came up short last week at Chicago, losing 20-25 and failing to cover the 2.5 point line. The Vikings have covered just four games this season. The dog has covered six of the last eight in this series and that's who I'm going with today. Take the Packers plus the points. |
|||||||
11-25-18 | Jaguars v. Bills +3 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Jags have been struggling, going only 0-4-2 ATS in their last six games. They are also 0-3-1 ATS their last four games following a spread loss. The Bills are coming off a 41-10 win over the Jets. That was more points then they scored in the last three games combined. You have to go back to September 30th vs the Jets for the Jaguars to have covered a game. That means they haven't covered in their last six. Buffalo covered this meeting last year at Jacksonville, losing 3-10 but covering the 8-point spread. Jags just not playing well, I'm taking the points here with the Bills. |
|||||||
11-25-18 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Panthers | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Seattle has been a good road covering team, evidenced by their 7-3-2 ATS mark their last 12 away games. In addition, they are 4-1-1 ATS their last six games and 3-0-1 ATS their last four vs the NFC. Seattle got the push last week vs the number when they beat the Packers 27-24 as 3-point favorites. After winning three straight, the Panthers have now lost two straight. They lost last week at Detroit, 19-20 and the previous week at Pittsburgh 21-52. Seattle getting points here has been a good spot for the Hawks. I don't like laying with Seattle, but they covered both times vs the Rams and now get points against a reeling Panthers squad. Play Seattle. |
|||||||
11-25-18 | Giants +5.5 v. Eagles | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Seems like no one wants to win the NFC East. The Dallas Cowboys are tied with the lead with Washington at 6-5, but the Giants are not completely out of it at 3-7 and the Eagles are 4-6. Both these clubs need a win today badly. The Giants have been getting much better play from QB Eli Manning, who has looked more like the QB we saw win Super Bowls then what we have seen the last year and half. The Giants have won two straight games and scored 65 points in the process. They have lots of offensive weapons in Saqon Barkley and Odell Beckham Jr. The Super Bowl Champion Eagles got humbled last week in New Orleans by the Saints, 7-48. It was the team's third loss in their last four games. The defense has been hurting and this team is filled with injuries. Five corner backs are on the injured list and they have running back by committee right now. At this point, the Giants seem to be the team playing better and I'm getting five points. I'm on the Giants today. |
|||||||
11-25-18 | Villanova v. Florida State -2 | 66-60 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
Advocare Invitational final round action here from Orlando Florida as Florida State takes on Villanova. Villanova comes into this contest 4-2 S/U and 3-2 ATS. The Wildcats have won two straight in the tournament, beating Canisius and then Oklahoma State, getting the cover against both. Florida State is a perfect 5-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Seminoles are 2-0 in this tourney, beating UAB in the opener and then going into OT to beat LSU in the last game, 79-76. They failed to cover the 4-point spread vs LSU. The Seminoles are now 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 non conference games. FSU just a 2-point favorite here today while my own numbers make them a 9-point chalk here today. Take Florida State. |
|||||||
11-24-18 | Notre Dame -11 v. USC | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
Win and you're in! That's what it comes down to for No 3 Notre Dame. They beat USC today and they make the College Football Final 4 Playoffs. USC, well it's been a down year for the Trojans at just 5-6. Notre Dame has covered three straight after last week's beating of Syracuse, 36-3. The Irish haven't allowed over 23 points in their last seven games and over that number just once, 27 points to Wake Forest. Meanwhile, USC lost their intrastate rivalry last week to UCLA, 27-34. That makes two spread losses in a row and four of their last five. Really, this game comes down to the motivation of the Irish to get to that playoff series and to see if the Trojans have enough horses to stop this Irish team. I don't believe they do. They couldn't beat UCLA last week, the can't come close to a motivated Irish team this week. Play Notre Dame. |
|||||||
11-24-18 | Colorado -4.5 v. Air Force | 93-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Colorado looks to improve to 3-1 today with a win over their neighbors from the South, Air Force. The Buffaloes started with a pair of wins and then lost last time out at San Diego, 64-70 as 4-point dogs. Meanwhile, Air Force has just two wins and three losses to start the season. The Falcons are off a loss to High Point, 62-69 as a 1-point favorite. Their only two wins coming against J&W Denver and South Dakota. Colorado a 5-point favorite here today and once again I rely heavily on my own power lines which have the Buffaloes as 9-point chalks. I'll lay the price here with Colorado. |
|||||||
11-24-18 | St. Joe's -4 v. William & Mary | 85-87 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
St Joe's looks to snap a two-game losing streak today after starting the season 3-0. The Hawks are 3-2 ATS this season and 8-2 ATS dating back to last season. William & Mary opened the season with a win over High Point, 79-69. However, it's been low points since, going 0-4 S/U and 1-3 ATS. The Tribe's only cover coming at Notre Dame in a 64-73 loss as 11.5-point dogs. St Joe's just a 4-point road chalk here today and my numbers more than double that number. I'm laying the points with St Josephs. |
|||||||
11-24-18 | Temple -30.5 v. Connecticut | 57-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
The Temple Owls will be heading to a bowl game this year. They face the worst defense in the country in U Conn. Temple is coming off a win over South Florida, 27-17 but failed to cover the 14-point line. Still, the Owls are 7-4 ATS on the season. The Huskies are allowing a nation's worst 627 yards per game average and a 83.1% redzone scoring efficiency. Temple looks to avenge their home loss to the Huskies last season, 24-28 as 11-point home chalks. Despite last year's spread loss, Temple is 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings with U Conn. A lot of points to lay here with Temple, but against the worst defense in the country, should be no problem Play Temple. |
|||||||
11-24-18 | Valparaiso +15.5 v. West Virginia | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Valparaiso brings a 3-2 record into today's contest at 2-2 West Virginia. Valp hasn't played all easy games, with a loss against Wake Forest, 63-69 and a loss to Western Kentucky 71-83. They are coming off an overtime win over Southern Illinois, 75-70. West Virginia has losses to Buffalo, 94-99 in OT and Western Kentucky 57-63. They are now 0-4 ATS on the season. West Virginia has yet to cover a spread, so the oddsmakers install them as 16.5-point favorites in today's contest. I think that's a bit much so I'll take the points with Valpo. |
|||||||
11-23-18 | Oklahoma -2.5 v. West Virginia | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Two big top 10 teams clash here on Friday as No.6 Oklahoma takes on No 13. West Virginia. Oklahoma plays its last regular season game today after a 55-40 win against Kansas last week. OU has gone over in seven straight games and 10 of the last 11. OU has also scored at least 40 or more points in all but two of their games. West Virginia is also a offensive powerhouse, going over in four straight games and scoring at least 35 points in all but one game this year. Expect to see an offensive explosion today between these two. I'm taking Oklahoma -3 points here today, but this could come down to the last possession of the game. |
|||||||
11-23-18 | Virginia -4 v. Virginia Tech | 31-34 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
7-4 Virginia takes on their rivals, 4-6 Virginia Tech. Tech would like to put a loss on the Cavaliers record as their last action of the season. Va Tech's disappointing season comes to an end today and they would like nothing more than a win over their rivals to finish it. Tech has lost four straight games and has failed to cover in its last six games. Virginia is bowl eligible either win or lose today. The Cavs are off a loss at Georgia Tech last week, 27-30 so a win today would help put the team on the winning track heading into the bowl season. Plus, Virginia was shut out at home last season by Tech, 0-10. They had just nine first downs and 191 total yards. You know they have a bad taste in their collective mouths from that one. Take Virginia today as they look for some payback. |
|||||||
11-22-18 | Redskins v. Cowboys -7 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show | |
Big NFC EAST contest here as the first place Washington Redskins take on the 2nd place Dallas Cowboys. This division is wide open so this is a big game. The Redskins of course lose QB Alex Smith for the season with that devastating ankle injury last week. QB Colt McCoy will step into the starting spot. The issue is that the new QB has a short week to practice. That's going to cost him a couple of days of normal practice. Dallas coming off a 22-19 win over the Falcons. The Redskins coming off that loss at home to Houston, 21-23. The Cowboys have the bigger edge in this contest because of that QB situation. McCoy is a decent quarterback, but he needs those reps and he won't get them this week. Take the Cowboys. |
|||||||
11-22-18 | Colorado State +15 v. Air Force | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
Big rivalry game here as the Colorado State Rams take on the Air Force Falcons in this intra-city battle of Colorado Springs teams. Colorado State plays what they consider their bowl game here today as they play their last game of the season. The Rams are coming off that near shocking win over Utah State. The Rams looked to connect on the game winning Hail Mary pass at the end of the contest only to have it reversed because the receiver stepped out of bounds. Still, it put a shock into heavily favored Utah State. Air Force is 5-6 coming into this game after losing at Wyoming last week, 27-35. Air Force has to feel deflated after leading the Cowboys 27-14 in the fourth quarter of that loss. That loss cost the Falcons their Bowl season and that means this is the end of the line for Air Force this year. That will be hard for them to swallow as they had that Wyoming game all but in the bag. I look for a letdown here and laying 14.5-points is just too much to in their cross city rivals. Play Colorado State. |
|||||||
11-22-18 | Bears v. Lions +2.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
Tough spot here for the Bears. They played the late game on Sunday, then had to turn around and travel to Detroit to play the earliest game on Thursday. Very short week for them. Add to that the injury to QB Mitchell Trubisky. Trubisky is doubtful for this game with a shoulder injury. That means QB Chase Daniel will have to start in his place. Detroit not only played at home last week, they beat Carolina, 20-19. They didn't have to travel. That to me gives them the advantage here on Sunday. I'm taking the Bears today. |
|||||||
11-21-18 | Harvard v. San Francisco -7 | 57-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Harvard makes the long West Coast trip here tonight to play San Francisco. Harvard is 2-2 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the short season. Harvard is coming off a road loss at Rhode Island, 74-76, but covered the 4-point dog line. Meanwhile, San Francisco has rolled through its first four games to a 4-0 S/U and 3-0 ATS record. The Dons haven't really played any competition, but they have covered all the oddsmakers lines with ease thus far. San Fran is a 7.5 point favorite here tonight, but my numbers have them double that. I'm going to lay the points here with the home team as they play a tired Harvard squad. Play San Francisco. |
|||||||
11-20-18 | Colorado v. San Diego -4 | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Colorado comes into tonight's contest with a 2-0 record after beating Drake in their opener and then Nebraska-Omaha last time out, 79-75. They failed to cover their last game as a 17-point favorite. San Diego is 3-1 S/U and 3-0 ATS. Their lone loss coming at Washington, 63-66 as a 9.5-point dog. Their last game was a win over San Diego CC 95-47 with no line. Colorado is 18-40-1 ATS in its last 59 games. Meanwhile, San Diego is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 non-conference games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall. My numbers have San Diego a much stronger favorite then the oddsmakers have installed them as. I'm taking San Diego here today. |
|||||||
11-20-18 | Wright State +6 v. Penn State | 59-77 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Cancun Challenge action here today has Wright State taking on Penn State. The Raiders of Wright State are 3-1 both S/U and ATS to start the season. Their lone loss coming at Murray State, 54-73 as 2.5-points road dogs. Penn State is 2-1 S/U and 1-1 ATS to start the season. The Nittany Lions are coming off a road loss to Depaul, 70-72 as 1.5-point favorites. Wright State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games and 6-1 ATS their last seven vs a team with a winning record. Oddsmakers have Penn State at 7.5 point favorites, but my own power lines have this game close to a four. I'm taking Wright State tonight. |
|||||||
11-20-18 | Bradley +3 v. SMU | 75-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Bradley opened up the season with three straight wins before losing last time out at Illinois Chicago, 70-71 as a 1-point favorite. Bradley plays in today's Cancun Challenge against SMU. SMU is only 2-2 S/U and 1-3 ATS on the young season. The Mustangs lost at home to Lipscomb last time out, 73-79 as 10-point favorites. In fact, SMU has lost three of its four games on its own home court. SMU is also 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs a team with a winning record. I'm taking Bradley here today. |
|||||||
11-19-18 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Rams | 51-54 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
What a great game we are treated to tonight as both 9-1 teams meet here at the Coliseum in LA. Originally scheduled for Mexico, this game had to be moved to LA because of field conditions. The Chiefs have been great for bettors, going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 overall and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 on grass. They have also been great on the road, covering 20 of their last 27 away games. As good as the Rams have been, they haven't been good against the spread. They are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games; 1-4 ATS their last five vs a team with a winning record and 1-6 ATS their last 7 overall. In addition, the Chiefs have covered the last six in this series. Bottom line here, you can make a case for either team. However, only one of these teams does well for bettors and that's the Chiefs. I'll take the points here with Kansas City. |
|||||||
11-19-18 | Oregon State v. Pennsylvania +4.5 | 74-58 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
Paradise Jam final round from St Thomas Virgin Islands today has Oregon State and Penn facing off. Oregon State had won their first three games of the season before losing yesterday in the tourney to Missouri, 63-69. The Beavers are 2-2 ATS though they failed to cover as a 3-point favorite vs Missouri. Penn also started out without a loss, winning four straight out of the gate before dropping yesterday's game to Kansas State, 48-64. It was also their first loss vs the number as they sit at 4-1 ATS. Oregon State is the 3.5-point favorite here and that goes against my own number which has Penn as a slight favorite. The Beavers are just 8-20 ATS their last 28 vs non-conference opponents and 3-8 ATS vs teams with a winning straight up record. I think this game should be closer to a pick and i'll take the points with Penn. |
|||||||
11-19-18 | Auburn -9 v. Xavier | 88-79 | Push | 0 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
Auburn brings is 3-0 record into today's first round of the Maui Invitational. They will take on the 2-1 Xavier Muskateers. Auburn has had three easy wins against South Alabama, Washington and then Mississippi College. The Tigers have covered both of their spread games easily. Xavier opened with a pair of wins over Indiana Purdue and then Evansville. They lost last time out at home t Wisconsin, 68-77 as a 1-point favorite. The Muskateers are now 0-3 vs the spread. Auburn has shown little trouble in it's three games and my number favors the Tigers today. I'll go with my own power lines here and take Auburn in this opening round of the Maui Invitational. |
|||||||
11-18-18 | Vikings +2.5 v. Bears | 20-25 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
Huge NFC North game here as the first place Bears take on the second place Vikings. Only 1/2 a game separates these teams. The Bears have won three straight games while the Vikings have won one straight. The Bears are more known for their defense, but they have the second highest scoring team in the NFL at 29.9 ppg. The Vikings average 24.6 ppg. The Vikings have also done well on the road, going 8-3 ATS their last 11 away. The Bears are only 2-5-1 ATS their last eight games vs a team with a winning record. Vikings getting 2 1/2 or 3 today. I like Minnesota to win this one outright. Play the Vikings. |
|||||||
11-18-18 | Pennsylvania +10.5 v. Kansas State | 48-64 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Second Round of the Paradise Jam from the Virgin Islands has Penn playing Kansas State. Both these teams are undefeated, with Penn at 4-0 both S/U and ATS and Kansas State at 3-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS. Penn has beaten George Mason, Rice, Lafayette and Northern Iowa, scoring at least 72 points in each game. Kansas State scored just 56 vs Kennesaw State and 64 vs Denver. They did erupt for 95 vs Eastern Kentucky. I don't see that here today as Penn can put up the points and 10.5 is a lot to cover for K State. My personal power lines has this game close to a pick'em, yet the oddsmakers installed K State as a 10.5-point favorite. That's way off my numbers as I see Penn giving K State all it can handle here today. Play Penn. |
|||||||
11-18-18 | Raiders v. Cardinals -5 | 23-21 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
These are two NFL teams that would like to forget 2018. The Raiders have just one win, that coming over the Browns, which they could have easily lost. The Raiders will be without Marshawn Lynch who is out for the rest of the year. They traded away Amari Cooper to the Cowboys and gave their best defensive player to the Bears. The Cardinals have just two wins. They did cover their last two games including playing the Chiefs close last week, 14-26. The problem has been with the offense that has not score more than 18 points in any of their last four games. The Raiders look to be stockpiling draft picks to rebuild. They lost last week to the Chargers, 6-20. That makes nine points the Raiders have score the last two weeks combined. The Raiders are just 7-18-2 ATS their last 27 games overall. The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS their last six. I'll lay the points here with the home team. |
|||||||
11-18-18 | St. Joe's +7.5 v. West Virginia | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
St Joe's brings a 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS record into today's finals of the Myrtle Beach Invitational. St Joe's won its first three games before losing las time out against Central Florida, 57-77. West Virginia is 1-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS to start the season. The bad news for the Mountaineers is that they lost to Buffalo in OT and Western Kentucky. Their lone win coming against Monmouth. Yet, West Virginia is a 8-point favorite here today. My personal power lines have the Mountaineers closer to 4-points. That makes this a play for me on St Joes. |
|||||||
11-18-18 | Texans -3 v. Redskins | 23-21 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
he first place Houston Texans look to extend their AFC South lead as they play an inter-conference game here today at Washington. The Redskins are also in first place at 6-3 in the NFC East. The Texans had last week off to prepare for this game. Houston has also been red-hot, winning six straight games after starting the season 0-3. The Redskins are 4-1 in their last five games. However, they are winless against the AFC. The problem here is that the Redkins have lots of injury problems. They have already lost both starting Offensive guards for the season. In addition OT Trent Williams is out and Morgan Moses is playing through an injury. Add to that RB Chris Thompson and WR Paul Richardson and there are lots of missing pieces for the Redskins. Have to lay three here with Houston, but with all the injuries on the Washington side and Houston coming off a bye week, I don't mind. Play Houston. |
|||||||
11-17-18 | Arizona +11 v. Washington State | 28-69 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
Arizona plays a late Saturday game at Washington State. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. The Cats beat Colorado two weeks ago 42-34 as 4-point favorites. It was the team's third cover in a row. Arizona had last week off to prepare for this game. Washington State beat Colorado last week on the road, 31-7. Arizona still has a shot to win the PAC-12 South under first year coach Kevin Sumlin. They have to get through No 8 Washington State first here tonight. The Cats need to win their final two games. Washington State is 9-1 S/U on the season. Arizona getting double digits here is too good to pass on. Play Arizona. |
|||||||
11-17-18 | San Diego State v. Fresno State -13 | 14-23 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
What a huge loss for San Diego State last week losing at UNLV, 24-27 as 22-point favorites. The Aztecs have now failed to cover the spread in their last five games and are just 2-8 ATS on the season. Fresno also had a setback last week at Boise, 17-24. The Bulldogs led 17-7, but were outscored by 17-0 down the stretch. It was their first cover loss in the last eight games. And unlike San Diego State, the Bulldogs are now 8-2 ATS on the season. Fresno is the 50th ranked offensive team in the country and San Diego State is the 108th offense. Fresno has one of the best defenses, ranked 17th while San Diego State is 11th. Two good defenses here, but the big edge goes to the Fresno offense. And when we look at the two teams covering, a huge edge to the Bulldogs. Play Fresno. |
|||||||
11-17-18 | Utah State -28 v. Colorado State | 29-24 | Loss | -114 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Utah State is the crown jewel of the Mountain West Conference as they continue to just blowout teams. Utah State has the 10th ranked offense in the country and is coming off a 62-24 win over San Jose State, covering the 31-point line. In fact, the Aggies are now 9-1 ATS on the season, their lone loss a 24-16 win over Wyoming as 15-point favorites. Colorado State is in for a long day today. The Rams routinely give up points in bunches (49 last week to Nevada) and have given up over 40 points five times this season. The Rams are 0-3 ATS their last three games and 3-7 ATS on the year. This is not going to be pretty for CSU, lay whatever you need to today with Utah State. |
|||||||
11-17-18 | Northwestern v. Minnesota -2 | 24-14 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Northwestern pulled the big upset last week with a road win at Iowa, 14-10 as 10-point dogs. Just two games left in the regular season with today's game at Minnesota and then closing out at home vs Illinois. At 6-4 the team is Bowl eligible. Minnesota also pulled an upset last week with a blowout win over Purdue, 41-10 as 11.5-point dogs. The Golden Gophers are now 5-5 and need at least one more win to be bowl eligible. They have games at home this week vs Northwestern and then close out at Wisconsin. Assuming a loss next week, that makes today's game imperative to win. Good news for the Gophers is that they have been a good November team, going 24-9-2 ATS their last 35 games. The club is also 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. The Gophers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings with the Wildcats and I'm taking them here today. Play Minnesota. |
|||||||
11-16-18 | Ole Miss v. Butler -8.5 | 76-83 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Ole Miss plays its second game of the season after an opening home win over Western Michigan, 90-64. The Rebels also covered the 14 point line. Butler opened the season with a win over Miami-Ohio, 90-68 as 15.5-point favorites and then followed that with a 84-63 win over Detroit as 26-point favorites. That makes the Bulldogs 1-1 ATS on the season. The Rebels are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. Butler is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 home games and 41-20-1 ATS in the last 62 non-conference games. Butler is scoring in bunches and should have little trouble covering the 9.5-point line today. Plays Butler. |
|||||||
11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks -2.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
Seattle comes off another cover vs the LA Rams last week. It was the teams fourth cover in their last five games. They will host the Green Bay Packers tonight. The Packers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six away games. The Hawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The home team has also covered six of the last seven meetings in this series. The Packers have also had a lot of defensive issues between recent trades and releasing players and injuries. I look for the Seahawks to control this game at home. I'm taking the Seattle. |
|||||||
11-14-18 | Blazers v. Lakers -2.5 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
The Portland Trailblazers enter tonight's game in LA with a 10-3 S/U and ATS mark on the season. The Lakers, despite adding Lebron James in the offseason, are just over .500 at 7-6 S/U and 4-9 ATS. The Blazers just finished a six game home stand that saw the club go 5-1 both ATS and S/U. Their lone loss was to the Lakers, 110-114 on Nov 3. They have already played the Lakers twice this season, both at home, and are 1-1 S/U and ATS. The Lakers have won three straight games and five of their last six. The Lakers are 2.5-point favorites in this game and the favorite has covered 11 of the last 15 in this series. I'm going to lay the short line at home with the Lakers tonight. |
|||||||
11-14-18 | Jacksonville State v. Bradley -5.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State is not a good team. They have played two away games and are 0-2 both S/U and ATS. They opened with a blowout loss at Samford, a team with a seven point lower power rating then themselves. Then their second game was a loss at Penn State, 61-76. Meanwhile, Bradley opened with a win over Wisconsin Parkside, 74-58 and then a home win over SE Missouri State, 68-57. They are 0-1 ATS. The Samford Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS their last seven games while Bradley is 20-5-1 ATS their last 26 at home vs a team with a losing road record. They are also 20-5-2 ATS their last 27 at home. I rely heavily on my own numbers this early in the season and I have Bradley well into the double-digit favorite. Yet, the oddsmakers and bettors have driven this number to just six. That's a bargain for me, I'm taking Bradley. |
|||||||
11-13-18 | Rhode Island +2 v. College of Charleston | 55-66 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Rhode Island playing its second game of the season tonight. They opened with an easy win over Bryant, 97-63. The Rams shot 48.6% from the field and 48.1% from three-point land. The Rams are one of the best Atlantic 10 teams. College of Charleston playing its third game. They opened with a win over Presbyterian College, 85-73. Then they beat Western Carolina on the road, 77-74, but failed to cover the 11.5 point line. They struggled defensively as they trailed by nine-points mid way through the second half. I was alarmed at how Charleston played defensively against a much inferior opponent. The Rams might not be as good this year, but I like them plus the small line tonight. Play Rhode Island. |
|||||||
11-13-18 | Wisconsin v. Xavier +1 | 77-68 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Wisconsin opened its season with an easy home win over Coppin State, 85-63. Xavier were heavy favorites in both of their opening games, a wins over Indiana Purdue, 82-69 and Evansville, 91-85. They failed to cover both games however. Wisconsin had a down year last season, going just 15-18 and 7-11 in Big 10 play. The poor season broke a 19-7 year run of NCAA appearances. Xavier has done well vs the Big 10, going 14-2 ATS their last 16. Will Wisconsin improve this year? I think they will, but not tonight. They play a very good Muskateers team that should win at home over Wisconsin. Play Xavier. |
|||||||
11-12-18 | San Diego +8.5 v. Washington | 63-66 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
San Diego out to a 2-0 S/U and ATS start to its season. SDG opened with a nice home win over Weber State, 83-66 and the followed that up with a blowout win over UC Davis, 76-57. Now they travel to Washington to face the Huskies. Washington won its opener at home over Western Kentucky, 73-55 and then lost at Auburn 66-88 a few nights ago. It's early in the season, but my own power rating numbers show that San Diego shouldn't be more than a 4-point dog. They come as an 8-point dog and that gives me a nice dog play. Play San Diego U. |
|||||||
11-12-18 | Spurs -3 v. Kings | 99-104 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
The Spurs bring a 7-4 S/U and 6-5 ATS mark into Sacramento to face the Kings tonight. The Kings are 7-6 S/U and 8-5 ATS ont he season. The Kings are allowing more points (116.8 ppg) then they score (115.3 ppg). The Spurs are coming off a win over intrastate rival Houston, 96-89. Sacramento got blown out in LA by the Lakers, 86-101. It was the team's third loss in the last four games. The Spurs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven trips to Sacramento and 4-1 ATS in the last five overall meetings. In addition, the road team is 20-8-1 ATS the last 29 in this series. I'm taking the Spurs here on Monday night. |
|||||||
11-12-18 | Giants v. 49ers -3 | 27-23 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
Both teams are facing losing seasons, however, the 49ers have something to smile about in third string starting QB Nick Mullens. Mullens passed for 262 yards and three TD's in last week's win over Oakland, 34-3. The Giants bring a five-game losing streak into tonight's contest. However, three of their last four they could have won. They come off a bye week here. Eli Manning keeps taking all the criticism with his less than stellar play. He can't complain about a lack of run game with Saquon Barkley living up to all expectations this season. Don't expect the Giants to pressure Mullens much, they have only 10 QB sacks on the season, that's only better than the Raiders. The 49ers also can run the ball, averaging 135 yards per game on the ground this season - fourth most in the NFL. Even with a week off, I like the Niners here with Mullens looking very good and a ground game to support him. Play San Francisco. |
|||||||
11-12-18 | UC-Davis v. Arkansas -15 | Top | 58-81 | Win | 100 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
UC Davis already showing it's one of the worst teams in college basketball. Davis got shredded in its opening game by San Francisco, 42-76 and then again by San Diego U in its second game, 57-76, failing to cover the spread in both games. Arkansas didn't open with some pushover team. No, they played at Texas and gave the Longhorns all they could handle. The Hogs took Texas to overtime before losing 71-73 but covering the 6.5-point dog line. Now the Hogs return home to face a very bad Davis squad. With five days off before their next game, I look for the Razorbacks to go all out for their first home win. Lay the points in a blowout win. Take Arkansas. |
|||||||
11-11-18 | Cowboys v. Eagles -7 | 27-20 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
The Eagles return home from their London trip after beating the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-18. That was a rebound from their tough loss the week before to the Panthers, 17-21, a game they led 17-0 in the 4th quarter. Surprisingly, the Eagles didn't make any major moves prior to the trade deadline. Some though they would go after Le'Von Bell or Dez Bryant. The did pick up Golden Tate from the Lions, which should help open up the passing game a bit. The Cowboys are having major issues, now 0-2 their last two games and 1-3 their last four games. The Cowboys lost at home last week to Tennessee, 14-28. Dak Prescott didn't look very good, despite adding Amari Cooper to his receivers the week before. The favorite is 5-0 ATS the last five in this series. While neither team playing great, the Eagles look the better of the two at this stage. Take the Eagles on Sunday night. |
|||||||
11-11-18 | Seahawks +10 v. Rams | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rams coming off that big blowout loss last week at New Orleans, 35-45. The Saints handed the Rams their first loss of the season. It was also the Rams fourth cover loss in their last five games. While the Rams are one of the favorites to win both the NFC and Super Bowl, they have struggled to just a 2-point win over the Packers, three points over the Broncos and two points over these Seahawks. Seattle had been on a roll, winning two straight games by a combined 55-17 margin. Last week the Hawks lost at home to the Chargers, 17-25. The Hawks usually bounce back well after a straight up loss, evidenced by their 12-4-2 ATS mark the last 18 in that situation. The Rams usually fade big numbers and it's reflected in their spread records. They are just 2-5 ATS their last seven at home, 1-5 ATS overall last their last six and 2-5 ATS their last seven after a straight up loss. I'm going to take the points once again in this matchup and see if the Seahawks can stick with them as they did the first time. Play Seattle. |
|||||||
11-11-18 | Dolphins v. Packers -10 | Top | 12-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
Packers definitely in a down season, having just a 3-4-1 record S/U this season. Green Bay has lost two straight, 17-31 to the Patriots and 27-29 to the Rams. Still, they have Aaron Rodgers and when you have Rodgers you have a team that can explode. The Dolphins are having issues here of late, especially with their offensive line that will be missing three starters today. The Dolphins got a win last week over the Jets, 13-6, snapping a two game losing streak. After starting the season 3-0, the Dolphins are just 2-4 since. The Dolphins will still be without QB Ryan Tannehill, who is doubtful with a shoulder injury. Another issue for the Dolphins is their history of playing in cold weather cities. That's what they do today as they go from balmy Miami to Green Bay. The temperatures are expected in the low 30's and dropping to the upper 20's. This game was also moved from a 1pm Eastern start to a 4:25 pm ET start, which means they will be playing in the colder weather. I like the Packers in this situation. They catch the Dolphins in cold weather with a backup QB and a banged-up offensive line. Take the Packers in a romp tonight. |
|||||||
11-11-18 | Falcons -5.5 v. Browns | 16-28 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
The Falcons finally starting to put things together now as they have won three straight games, including last week at division leading Washington, 38-14. The defense, that was so bad through most of the first half of the season, has played much better of late. The Falcons allowed just 14 points to the Redskins and 20 to the Giants the week before. Now they travel to Cleveland to face the Browns. The Browns have been through a lot this season. They changed QB's early on and went to their top draft choice, Baker Mayfield. They also fired head coach Hue Jackson. Still, they continue to lose, dropping last week's game at home to the Chiefs, 21-37. The loss was the team's fourth straight since their upset win over the Ravens. The Browns are now 14-36-1 ATS their last 51 games overall, 7-19 ATS their last 26 at home and 7-23 ATS their last 30 in November. This isn't a matchup we see often. In fact, they have only met once in the last five years and that was a Cleveland win, 26-24 at Atlanta. I don't see that happening here on Sunday. The Falcons have too many weapons on offense for the Browns to stop. I look for an Atlanta blowout here Sunday. |
|||||||
11-11-18 | Jaguars v. Colts -2.5 | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
The Colts easily beat the Raiders last week, 42-28. It was the teams 2nd win in a row. The Jaguars are a team in disarray. After a start that say the team win two straight, they are just 1-5 S/U and ATS since. They offense has also gone South, scoring 32 points over the last three games. The once very good defense allowed at least 20 points in each of the last four games and 30 or more twice. The Colts usually do well against teams with losing records, going 32-13 ATS their last 45 games. They are also 8-3 ATS after a bye week, which they are coming off. That extra rest is going to help the Colts here today. As for the Jags, I don't see anything changing today. Play the Colts. |
|||||||
11-10-18 | South Florida v. Cincinnati -14 | 23-35 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
The wheels have come off the last few weeks for South Florida. After being ranked, they went to Houston and were handed their first defeat of the year. Then last week at home they were trounced by Tulane, 41-15. They allowed 365 yards rushing to Tulane and had three turnovers in the loss. Meanwhile, Cincinnati rolled over Navy last week, 42-0. The Bearcats rushed for 262 yards and passed for another 189 yards in the win. Cincinnati is ranked 32nd in the nation in total offense and South Florida is ranked 11th. The issue with SFU is their defense, which is ranked 104th. South Florida has failed to cover in each of its last four games and is 0-7 ATS after allowing more than 200 yards rushing. They are also 0-5 in their last five conference games. Cincinnati has covered five of the last seven meetings at home vs South Florida and I look for another here on Saturday. Play Cincinnati. |