Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-14-19 | Mavs -7.5 v. Knicks | 103-106 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Dallas Mavericks are off to a 6-4 S/U and 4-6 ATS season. The NY Knicks are just 2-9 S/U and 5-6 ATS to star the year. Dallas is coming off at loss at Boston, 106-116, failing to cover the 3-point dog line. The Mavs are a very good road team though, posting a 4-1 S/U and ATS mark this year and outscoring opponents 121.4 to 114.2. The Knicks wins are few and far between this year. They have lost two straight both S/U and ATS getting blown out at Chicago, 102-120 and also at home vs the Cavs, 87-108. The Knicks are just 1-3 both S/U and AT at home this year and getting outscored 94.8 to 109.3. Mavs tough road team and I don't mind laying those points here tonight. Play Dallas. |
|||||||
11-14-19 | Siena +10.5 v. Harvard | 56-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Both Siena and Harvard have started their respective seasons at 2-1 S/U. Siena opened with a home win over American, 96--80 and then lost on the road to Xavier, 63-81 and followed up with a home win vs St Bonny's, 78-65. Siena is 3-0 ATS on the season. They begin a four-game road trip here tonight at Harvard. Harvard one of the best Ivy league teams. They opened with a laugher against MIT, 84-27 and then lost on the road to Northeastern, 79-84 before returning home for a win over Maine, 68-46. This will be another tough test for Harvard here tonight. Harvard laying a lofty 10.5-points here tonight. Plus, Harvard has injuries. Guard Bryce Aiken is questionable with a calf injury and he's their best player, averaging 22.2 ppg. They are are going to be without Forward Seth Towns also. Not sure why this line is so big with a hurting Harvard team against a decent Siena squad. I'll take the points though. Play Siena. |
|||||||
11-14-19 | Heat -4 v. Cavs | 108-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Miami Heat 7-3 S/U and 6-2-2 ATS to start the season. The Heat have won five of their last seven games including last time out over Detroit, 117-108. The Heat are averaging 111.7 ppg and allowing 105.7 ppgs. The Cleveland Cavaliers are 2-1 S/U and 3-0 ATS their last three games - all on the road. Now they return home where they are 2-2 on the season but allowing 115.0 ppg. Miami the much better team here tonight. I'll lay the points with the Heat. Play Miami. |
|||||||
11-13-19 | Tennessee-Martin +1.5 v. Western Illinois | 98-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Tennessee Martin opened the season with a pair of home games. They beat STLCOP in a lopsided 106-48 win with no posted line. Then they lost to East Tennessee State, 75-92 as a 10-point home dog, failing to cover the spread. They take to the road for a 3-game road swing starting tonight at Western Illinois. Western Illinois opened at Indiana and bog blow out, losing to the Hoosiers 65-98 and failing to cover the 21-point dog line. They then returned home and lost again to Stetson, 75-77 as a 6.5-point home chalk. They will look for their first win of the season here tonight. Western a small favorite here tonight. But my own numbers have TMU as the favorite in this one. I'll take the road team here tonight. Play Tennessee Martin. |
|||||||
11-13-19 | Ohio +5 v. Iona | 81-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Ohio U Bobcats have opened with a pair of wins to start the season. They won their opener at St Bonny's 65-53, covering the spread as an 11-point road dog. Then they returned home and beat Heidelberg, 88-50 with no posted line. Iona has just one game under its belt and that was an OT road loss to LaSalle, 64-70 as a 1-point favorite. Iona is a 5 1/2 point home favorite here tonight. One of my numbers has this about the right line, but my other number has Ohio U as the team to win this game. I'm taking the points and looking for an outright Ohio win. Play Ohio U. |
|||||||
11-13-19 | LSU +3 v. VCU | Top | 82-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
LSU plays its second game of the season here tonight at VCU. The Tigers opened the season at home five days ago with a win over Bowling Green, 88-79, but didn't cover the 13-point chalk line. Not much on tap for LSU after tonight's contest as they have Nicholls State and UMBC on deck. VCU will play six straight home games to start the season. They opened with a win over St Francis-PA, 72-58 and then beat North Texas, 59-56. They failed to covers double-digit spreads in both of those games. One of my numbers has LSU as the team that can win this game tonight. Early in the season I have to lean on those numbers and I will take the points tonight. Play LSU. |
|||||||
11-12-19 | Blazers -2 v. Kings | 99-107 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Portland snapped a four-game losing streak with a win at home over Atlanta in OT, 124-113. They had to cover 9-points in OT, but got there for their first cover in five games too. Sacramento has won three of its last four games and covered four straight. The Kings are off a win at Atlanta, 121-109. The Kings return home after a three game road trip. They are just 1-3 S/U in their last four home games both S/U and ATS. The Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. The Kings are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine vs the Western Conference and 1-6 against the Northwest division. The Blazers are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Kings. I like them here tonight. Play Portland Trailblazers. |
|||||||
11-12-19 | Texas-Arlington +5.5 v. Nevada | Top | 73-80 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
Texas Arlington is 2-0 S/U and 1-0 ATS to start their season. Arlington opened at home with a win over Texas-Dallas and then over a good Tulsa team, 73-59. Now Arlington hits the road for three straight tough opponents starting tonight with Nevada. Then they have to go to Oregon and then Gonzaga. Nevada lost its opener at home to Utah, 74-79 as a 5-point chalk and then beat Loyola Marymount at home, 72-67 but failing to cover the 9-point line. Tonight, Arlington a dog here against a team that has yet to cover. All my indicators are on the Arlington side here tonight. Play Texas Arlington. |
|||||||
11-12-19 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Tulsa | 67-74 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts comes into its third game of the season tonight with a 1-1 S/U and 2-0 ATS mark. Oral Roberts put a bit of a scare into Oklahoma, losing 75-80 on the road as a 16-point dog. Then they returned home for a win over Houston Baptist, 95-81 for their second cover of the season. Tulsa opens with a 1-1 S/U and 0-2 ATS mark in its first two games. Tulsa also played Houston Baptist, winning by the slimmer margin of 80-72. Then they hit the road and lost at Texas Arlington, 59-73 and failing to cover the short 1.5 point dog line. Oral Roberts played Ok State to within just five points and now they get 6.5 at Tulsa. I'll take those points with a Oral Roberts team that looks better then they are getting credit for. Play Oral Roberts. |
|||||||
11-12-19 | Cavs +10 v. 76ers | 97-98 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers could be without a key player tonight in shooting guard Ben Simmons who is suffering with a shoulder injury. Simmons averages 16.5 points per game this year. Even if Simmons plays, have to wonder how effective he will be with that ailing shoulder. The Cavaliers have won and covered two straight games, both on the road. They beat the Wizards 113-100 and then last time out beat the Knicks, 108-87. The Sixers are 6-3 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. Philly snapped a three-game losing streak last time out, beating Charlotte, 114-106. I like the Cavs here tonight, especially if Simmons is ailing. Play Cleveland. |
|||||||
11-12-19 | William & Mary +11 v. Wofford | 80-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Both these teams come into today's game 2-0 on the young season. William & Mary opens with three road games and has wins at High POint 70-56 and then last game at American, 79-70. Wofford opens with three home games and has beat Erskine 86-63 and then High Pint, 89-61, covering the latter. My own numbers have Wofford lower than what the oddsmaker have on this game. I think this game will be much closer than the 11-point Wofford line indicates. I'm taking the points here. Play William & Mary. |
|||||||
11-11-19 | Seahawks +7 v. 49ers | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
Maybe our best MNF matchup of the season has the undefeated 8-0 San Francisco 49ers host their division rivals, 7-2 Seattle Seahawks. The 49ers saw the Patriots perfect season go down last week and they had a scare put into them by the Cardinals. Seattle no longer the great defense of year's past. Now, this is QB Russell Wilson's team. He makes this team go. This is going to be a true test of just how good the San Francisco team and their top ranked defense really is. For me, this game comes down to QB's. Yes, Jimmy Garoppolo is coming into his own this season. However, he's up against the top QB in passer rating in Wilson with a 118. Garoppolo isn't far behind though. My feeling is that getting nearly a TD with a Wilson led team is more than I can pass on. Should be a great game though. Take Seattle. |
|||||||
11-11-19 | Samford +9.5 v. Belmont | 63-95 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Samford is 1-1 S/U and 0-1 ATS on the season. Samford lost their opening game at Morehead State in OT, 86-90 as a 3.5 point favorite. They got their first win last game at home over Kentucky Wesleyan, 68-42. Belmont looking for its first win to go with that one loss. Belmont lost its only game this year, 72-79 at Illinois State as a 5.5 point favorite. My numbers have this game a lot closer than the current 8 to 9 1/2 point line on Belmont. My own personal ratings have Belmont closer to a 3 to 6 points chalk here. Have to rely on my numbers a bit more early in the year with not a lot to go off of. I'm going to take the points with Samford here on Monday. |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Hawks v. Blazers -8.5 | 113-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks are 3-5 and 4-4 to start the season. The Hawks have lost two straight games both S/U and ATS. They are off a loss at home to the Kings, 109-121. They go back on the road today with a long road trip to the West coast to play the Blazers. The Portland Trailblazers are 3-6 S/U and 4-4-1 ATS to start the season. Portland started the season in fine fashion, winning their first two of three and three of five. Since then they have lost four straight games. The Blazers look to snap that losing streak here tonight at home against a poor Hawks club. This is the kind of team that Portland needs to get well again. I'm looking for a blowout win late tonight. Play Portland. |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Rams v. Steelers +4.5 | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are coming off a win over the Cincinnati Bengals, 24-10. But that was against the worst defense in the league and they could only score 24. It was their 2nd win in a row though and their second cover. LA is 5-3 S/U and 6-2 ATS on the season. QB Jared Goff has struggled this year, 19th in QB Ratings. The Pittsburgh Steelers look for their third win in a row after last week's win over the Colts, 26-24. QB Mason Rudolph looks recovered from his concussion. As Rudolph and this offense develops from game to game, it's the defense that's been keeping the team in games. The Steelers are going to be tough at home, especially as a dog here. I'm taking the points with the host. Play Pittsburgh. |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Panthers +5.5 v. Packers | 16-24 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers coming off a win last week over the Titans, 30-20. It was the team's third win in their last four games. In fact, this Panthers team has score 30 or more points in three of those last four games. In addition, Carolina has covered five of their last six. The Green Bay Packers looked bad last week at the Chargers, losing 11-26. It was the team's worst performance of the season. Still, the Packers are 7-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS on the season. The problem with the Packers is which team do you get this week? The Panthers have been great against the pass this year and will be tested here today against Aaron Rodgers. Expect the Panthers to pound the ball on the ground with all purpose back Christian McCaffrey. I like the points here with the Panthers. This could be a shootout today, but the Panthers have enough weapons to stay close. Take Carolina. |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Bucs | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals are 3-5-1 S/U and 6-3 ATS on the season. Rookie QB Kyler Murray continues to shine in the role of starting quarterback. The Cardinals gave a big scare into the undefeated 49ers last week, losing a tough game, 25-28 as a 10-point dog. Tampa Bay is 2-6 both S/U and ATS on the season. The Bucs played very good in Seattle last week and should have covered, losing in OT, 34-40. This team is a bit confusing, they looks great at times and very sloppy at others. They have lost and failed to cover their last four games now. No way the Bucs should be laying these points in this game. The Cardinals are improving game by game and really I believe are the better team right now. Take Arizona. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | San Jose State +8.5 v. Hawaii | 40-42 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
The late game on the board has a pesky San Jose State squad playing at Hawaii late on Saturday. The Spartans are coming off a loss at home to Boise in a shootout, 42-52. The Spartans did cover the 17.5-point line, their second cover in a row. San Jose is 4-5 on the season, but has an outside shot of a Bowl eligible season if they can win here tonight. Meanwhile, Hawaii has lost three of its last four games including last week at home to Fresno State, 38-41. The Warriors give up a lot of points and they also score a lot of points. That's why laying over a TD, as they are tonight, is risky business with this Hawaii club. I believe San Jose has the offense to keep up and therefore I'm taking the points with the visitor. Play San Jose. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | South Dakota State +3.5 v. CS Bakersfield | 93-91 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
South Dakota State is 2-0 S/U and 1-0 ATS to start it's season. The JackRabbits opened with a win at home over Texas Rio Grande, 70-57 and then a home win over Peru State, 86-58. The JackRabbits hit the road now for three straight games beginning with today at Cal State Bakersfield and then to USC and Nebraska. Cal Bakersfield opened with a home win over Notre Dame de Namur Argo, 103-51. The Road Runners won't have an easy as a task here tonight against the Jack Rabbits. South Dakota State was an impressive 24-9 last year and a NIT postseason spot. I'm a bit surprised that Bakersfield is a home favorite here against a tough opponent like SD State. I'm going to take those points. Play South Dakota State. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | Oklahoma v. Minnesota +5 | 71-62 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
Oklahoma began it's season with a home win over Texas San Antonio, 85-67. The Sonners covered the 13-point line. Minnesota also had an easy opponent, winning at home over Cleveland State, 85-50 as a 21.5-point favorite. This game will be played on a neutral site at Sioux Falls, SD. Minnesota will stay on the road after this game, travelling to Butler and then to Utah. Oklahoma has a lot of newcomers this year with just a few players returning. This game will be a matchup of which team will gell the soonest with their core of new players. Both teams have a lot of new faces. Minnesota showed it can shoot well and that should serve them well here. I like the Gophers in this one plus the points. Play Minnesota. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | Appalachian State v. South Carolina -6 | 20-15 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
Applachian State dropped from the top 25 last week after losing at home to Georgia Southern,21-244 as a 16 1/2 point favorite. It was a huge loss for App State since their defense let them down after holding the previous three opponents to a combined 17 points. Now they have to face a very good South Carolina team on the road. South Carolina is coming off a home win over Vanderbilt, 24-7. The Gamecocks improved to 4-5. It's highly unlikely the Gamecocks will make the postseason since they finish the year against Clemson. Still, this is a team they can beat here on Saturday. I'm laying the points with South Carolina. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | Iowa +9.5 v. Wisconsin | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
Iowa improved to 6-2 with a win last week at Northwestern, 20-0. It was the team's 2nd win in a row. Iowa with three tough games left on the schedule including today's game, then at home against Minnesota and a road game at Nebraska. Wisconsin hung in the first half with Ohio State last week, but the 2nd half was a different store as the Badgers lost, 7-38. It was the team's 2nd straight loss after starting the season 6-0, including holding four of those opponents to no points. The 52 points allowed the last two weeks is more than the previous six games combined. Wisconsin laying 8 1/2 to 9 1/2 here today. That to me is too many points for a team that doesn't have the most dynamic offense in the world. I look for a low scoring game and will take the points. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | Kansas State v. UNLV +5 | 60-56 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
Kansas State opened their season with a win at home over North Dakota State, 67-54. The Wildcats were 11-point favorites and just got the cover. Today, they travel to Nevada to take on UNLV. UNLV also opened their season with a win. They beat Indiana-Purdue at home, 86-71, covering the 11.5 point line. UNLV has the much more difficult early schedule with Cal and UCLA on deck. Kansas State has Monmouth then Arkansas Pine Bluff. I like UNLV on its home court getting points. Take the home dog here. Play UNLV. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | San Diego State +4 v. BYU | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
San Diego State opened up the season in fine fashion with a win at home over Texas Southern. The Aztecs are one of the teams expected to content for the title in the Mountain West this year. The Aztecs also got the cover in their first game, covering the 15-point chalk line. Sdg State travels to Provo today to take on BY and then returns home in four days to face Grand Canyon College. BYU opened the season with a home win over Cal State Fullerton. The Cougars play their first three games at home with Southern Utah up next. The Cougars covered their 14.5 point line over Fullerton ina a 76-58 win. Still, my own numbers actually favor San Diego State in this game and we are getting 4 to 5 points. I'm all over the visitor in this one. Play San Diego State. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | Monmouth +8 v. Hofstra | 74-94 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
Monmouth opened its season on the road at Lehigh, winning as a away dog, 66-62. Monmouth actually starts with five straight road games including Kansas State, Kansas and Pittsburgh after today. Hofstra opens with a pair of home games, losing their first game to San Jose State, 71-79. Hofstra was a 17-point favorite and lost outright. That leads to today's game. I know it's early, but my own numbers have a distinct advantage to the visitor here plus the generous points. I won't be surpsed at all with an outright Monmouth win. Play Monmouth. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | USC v. Arizona State +2.5 | 31-26 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 0 m | Show | |
USC ran into a buzzsaw last week at home in the form of Oregon. The Ducks just had too much offense and beat the Trojans, 56-24. It was the 2nd straight cover loss for USC. ASU covered this game last year, winning at USC 38-35 as a 3-point road dog. USC is 5-4 and has three games left to still become bowl eligible. Meanwhile, ASU has lost two straight games both S/U and ATS. The Sun Devils lost two weeks ago at Utah, 3-21 and then last week at UCLA, 32-42. The Sun Devils started the season 3-0 including a road win at Michigan State. Since then, they are 2-4 and now are 5-4 overall. These are two teams that had much higher expectations for the season. I like the home team here tonight. Take Arizona State. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | Louisville +7 v. Miami-FL | 27-52 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 31 m | Show | |
The Louisville Cardinals 5-3 on the season after last week's win at home over Virginia, 28-21 as a 3.5-point dog. The Cardinals are 5-3 vs the spread also this season as they travel to South Florida to take on the Miami Hurricanes. Miami coming off a win over Florida State last week, 27-10. It was the Canes 2nd straight win and their 5th of the season against four losses. The Canes have Louisville as their last home game here on Saturday and then close the regular season with road games at Florida International and Duke. If the Canes want to make a Bowl game, they will need at least two more wins to secure that. These teams have met just one time in the last five years and that was in 2014 with a Louisville home win, 31-13. The 6.5 points with Louisville just too much to pass on here. I'll take the dog. Play Louisville. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | Kansas State +7 v. Texas | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
22nd ranked Kansas State taking on Texas today. Kansas is 6-2 on the season while Texas is 5-3. Kansas State Wildcats are also 6-2 ATs on the season and have won and covered three straight. Texas is coming off a loss at TCU, 27-37. The Longhorns have covered just one of their last five games. K State has covered the last three years against Texas and four of the last five years. I like the road team here today. Play Kansas State. |
|||||||
11-08-19 | Central Florida -17 v. Tulsa | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 55 m | Show | |
Central Florida will be bowling this year again with a 7-2 S/U record and 4-5 ATS mark. That will mark the fourth consecutive year that the Knights will have gone to the Bowl, first time in their history they have done that. This club ranks ninth in the nation in holding opponents to just 29.4% third down conversions. The Knights have scored 151 points in their last three games. Tulsa is 2-7 S/U on the season and winless in conference play. The club's only two wins this season came against San Jose State and Wyoming. The Golden Hurricane have lost five straight games and have allowed 40 or more points in four games this year. I expect Central Florida to score in bunches here on Friday. They have to lay around 17, but that shouldn't be an issue with this offense. Play Central Florida. |
|||||||
11-08-19 | Illinois-Chicago v. Memphis -19 | Top | 46-92 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
Memphis has a young team as they enter 2019-20 season. There will likely be growing pains this season as this team develops. They can build though on what is a very good group of freshmen. Also expect this team to be very quick and uptempo, so covering lines like tonight that approach 20 points shouldn't be a problem. Illinois-Chicago won't shy away from the uptempo offense, so this should really be a high scoring game. But for me, Memphis just has too much talent for this ICU team. Play Memphis. |
|||||||
11-07-19 | Seattle University v. Washington State -2.5 | 54-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Washington State Cougars a small home favorite here over Seattle U. A little of a rivalry of these Washington teams. The Cougars looking to improve on a terrible 2018-19 campaign that saw them go 11-21. Seattle won this game last year, 78-69. Washington State will be guided by new head coach Kyle Smith. They also return five players from last year's team. The Cougars have done well vs the WAC, going 11-1 ATS their last 12 tries. I'm looking for the new Cougars' head coach to make a statement early here against these smaller teams. He doesn't want a repeat of last year. I'm taking Washington State and laying the small number. |
|||||||
11-07-19 | Chargers -1.5 v. Raiders | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers shocked the Green Bay Packers last time out, 26-11 as a 4-point dog. The Chargers actually are playing good defense, allowing 16 and 11 their last two games (both wins). After a terrible spread start that saw the club go 1-5-1 ATS, they have covered their last two games. The Oakland Raiders also coming off a win at home over the Detroit Lions, 31-24. The win snapped a two-game losing streak. The Chargers have the 8th ranked overall defense, compared to Oakland's 27th ranked defense. The Raiders are better offensively, ranked 11th overall with the Chargers coming in a 16th. The Chargers have covered the last four in this series and six of the last seven meetings. I like the Chargers here tonight. Play LA Chargers. |
|||||||
11-06-19 | Magic v. Mavs -7.5 | Top | 106-107 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Orlando Magic now 2-5 S/U and 1-5-1 ATS on the year. The Magic had to play last night at Oklahoma City and while they hung around most of the night, they fell back late in a loss, 94-102. The Magic have yet to crack the 100 point mark this season in their seven games. Might be difficult tonight too. They are playing the second of a back-to-back spot and that's always tough on a team. Conversely, the Mavs have yet to score UNDER 100 points in any of their six games. In fact, they are averaging 116.7 ppg this season. The Magic will have to keep the Mavs scoring down or else they won't come close in this game. Still, bad spot for the Magic playing back-to-back against a high scoring team. Play the Mavericks |
|||||||
11-06-19 | Miami-OH +7.5 v. Ohio | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Nice rivalry here tonight between two Ohio schools as Miami Ohio plays at Ohio University. Miami is ranked 64th in defense and 123rd in offense. Ohio U ranks 111th in defense and 63rd in offense. Last year Miami won this game on the road, 30-28 as a 3.5 point dog. Miami coming off a win at home over Kent State, 23-16. They have covered two straight games now. A lot on the line in this game as the winner will be in first place in the MAC-East. Miami is 3-1 in conference but only 4-4 overall. Ohio is coming off a win over Ball State, 34-21. Ohio is also 3-1 in conference and 4-4 overall. Ohio is a 7-point favorite here tonight. I really expect a close game and with that wouldn't be at all surprised by a Miami outright win. So I'll take the points in a close game. Play Miami-Ohio. |
|||||||
11-06-19 | Notre Dame +11 v. North Carolina | 65-76 | Push | 0 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Both these clubs opening their respective season tonight. Notre Dame did have a couple of exhibition tune-ups, a win over Captial University 72-43 and a win over Bellarime, 61-51. Tonight will be much more difficult as they are a double-digit dog to No. 9 North Carolina. These clubs open with an ACC matchup, first time the conference will be playing so many conference games before January. Notre Dame is led by John Mooney, who led the ACC in rebounds last year. Mooney is also a preseason all-ACC first team. Mooney is one of the few players to average a double-double. North Carolina will be without their guard, Brandon Robinson, tonight who will miss with a ankle injury. Can't go crazy in these early games, but I will take the Irish tonight plus the points. Play Notre Dame. |
|||||||
11-05-19 | St. Mary's -4 v. Wisconsin | 65-63 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Late action on the hardcourt tonight is a good one with 20th ranked St Mary's playing Wisconsin in South Dakota. St Mary's is expecting big things this year as they return 88.2% of their scoring from last season and losing just one starter. This is also a very diverse team with nine international players, more than any other Div 1 team in basketball. Wisconsin coming off a fine season that saw the Badgers go 23-11 and 14-6 in Big 10. The Badgers lost to Oregon in the NCAA tournament. Wisconsin returns three starters but lost it's best player in Ethan Happ. It's been over 40 years since these teams last met. On this neutral court that favors Wisconsin a bit (6 hour drive from Madison), I'm still taking the more talented Gaels here tonight laying a small number. Play St Mary's. |
|||||||
11-05-19 | Georgia Tech +7.5 v. NC State | 82-81 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech opens college play against an ACC opponent, NC State. The Jackets closed last regular season with a win in Raleigh, 63-61 as Moses Wright hit 62 percent from the field for 18 points and eight rebounds. Wright looks to duplicate that effort here tonight in the team's opener in Raleigh. Tech finished last season with a 14-18 overall record and 6-12 in the ACC. They begin their fourth season under HC Josh Pastner. NC State was 24-12 last year and 9-9 in the ACC and begins its third season under HC Kevin Keatts. The Wolfpack made it to the quarterfinals of the NIT last year. What I like about this Tech team is that they return their top three scorers from last year. In fact they return their top 11 players from last year. They bolstered the roster with two nice transfers, Jordan Usher from USC and Bubba Parham from VMI. I like what Tech returns here this year and the points might be more than NC State should lay to a much improved Yellow Jacket squad this year. I'm taking Georgia Tech. |
|||||||
11-05-19 | Magic v. Thunder -2.5 | 94-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Both these clubs off to slow starts at 2-4 on the season. The Orlando Magic are also doing bad vs the number at 1-4-1 ATS. Thunder doing better though at 4-2 ATS. Orlando has lost two straight games including last time out at home vs Denver, 87-91. This Magic team has yet to crack the century mark in scoring in six attempts. They average just 93.5 ppg and allow 98.2 ppg. The Thunder off a home win over New Orleans, 115-104. OKC averaging 104.3 ppg and allowing 101.8 ppg. Don't expect a lot of points in this game with two of the lowest scoring teams in the NBA. I'll take the home team here. Play Oklahoma City. |
|||||||
11-05-19 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Missouri State -13.5 | 67-66 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
Opening night for both of these teams. Arkansas Little Rock begins the second year of Darrell Walker coaching era. Little Rock will have their work cut out for them against a very good Bears team here tonight. Mo State finished among the top of the Missouri Valley conference. Little Rock has never beaten Missouri State, with an 0-7 lifetime record. A lot of new faces this year to the Little Rock squad. For me, Missouri State always returns with a good squad that will compete for the conference championship. I'll lay the points here with the home team. Play Missouri State. |
|||||||
11-05-19 | Bradley -5 v. St. Joe's | Top | 81-86 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Bradley had an exhibition game that doesn't count in their record, but it was an cakewalk over Millikin, 91-52. Now the real season begins here at St Joe's. Bradley had a nice season last year, going 20-15 winning the Missour Valley Tourney title and going to the NCAA tournament. What I like about this year's edition is that the Braves return their top three scorers and five of their top seven from last year. Darrell Brown is back after leading the team in scoring last year. St Joe's was 14-19 last year and just 6-12 in the Atlantic 10. Doesn't look much better this year as the Hawks are picked to finish 13th in the conference. This Bradley team showed it can win on the road, taking 10 away games last year. I like Bradley a lot here tonight. Play Bradley. |
|||||||
11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +7.5 | 37-18 | Loss | -130 | 59 h 48 m | Show | |
Monday Night football is a key NFC East matchup between the Cowboys and the Giants. The NFC East is up for grabs, even the 2-6 Giants are not out of it. The Eagles and Cowboys lead the division with 4-3 records. That makes these division games big. Dallas had a big win two weeks ago at home over the Eagles, 37-10 and then had last week off. Three of the Cowboys next four games are on the road. This will also be the 2nd meeting of the season between these teams with Dallas winning on opening weekend at home, 35-17. The Giants have only two wins but they have been playing better of late, losing by five at Detroit last week and six at home two weeks ago to the Cardinals. Saquon Barkley is back from his injured ankle and QB Jones has been having some big weeks of late. The Cowboys haven't been a good Monday Night football team, covering just 4 of their last 14 on the big stage. Giants getting a TD here at home is too much for me to pass up on. I'll take New York. |
|||||||
11-04-19 | Bucks v. Wolves +6.5 | 134-106 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Bucks are 4-2 S/U and ATS to start the season. The Bucks have won two straight games including their last at home to Toronto, 115-105. The Bucks are averaging 119.2 ppg and allowing 111 ppg for a +8.2 scoring margin this year. The Timberwolves are coming off a road win at Washington, 131-109. The Wolves are avearging 118 ppg and allowing 112 ppg this season. The Bucks are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games vs a team with a winning record. The home team has covered five of the last seven in this series. I like getting 6 or 6.5 points here at home with the Wolves. I won't be surprised at all by a Minnesota straight-up win tonight. Play Minnesota. |
|||||||
11-03-19 | Jazz +4.5 v. Clippers | 94-105 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz and the LA Clippers have both begun the season with 4-2 records. The Jazz are coming off a road loss to the Kings, 101-102. The loss dropped their spread record to 2-4. The Jazz have arguably the best defense in the league once again, holding opponents to just 94 ppg this season. These teams played in Utah this last week with the Jazz taking that game, 110-96. The Clippers are off a home win over the Spurs, 103-97. They are 3-3 vs the spread this year. The Clippers are averaging 114.2 ppg this year and allowing 109.5 ppg. Tough to give a good defensive team points, so I'm going to take those points here tonight with the visitor. Play Utah. |
|||||||
11-03-19 | Bucs +6 v. Seahawks | 34-40 | Push | 0 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks got some much needed help at wide receiver when they picked up Josh Gordon from the waiver wire. Question is, will Gordon be worth the trouble that no other team has been willing to put up with so far. Seattle beat Atlanta last week, 27-20, but failed to cover the 7.5 point favorite line. It was the second week in a row that Seattle has failed to cover and is now 3-5 ATS on the season. Tampa Bay lost its third in a row last week at Tennessee, 23-27. They are just 2-5 ATS on the season. Since their big win at the Rams back on Sept 29th, they have lost three straight both S/U and ATS. Tampa dominated the game in yards, gaining 389 yards to 246. The problem was that the Bucs had four turnovers to just one for Tennessee. Not sure how Seattle won either, they were outgained by Atlanta, 322-512 yards. Again, it was turnovers as the Falcons had three turnovers to none for the Seahawks. Tampa should get its share of yards and points here today. Problem is how Jameis Winston can control turnovers. If the Bucs can keep those down, they can win this game. They have already proved at the Rams they can beat good Western teams on the road. I'm taking the points with Tampa Bay. |
|||||||
11-03-19 | Texans v. Jaguars +2 | 26-3 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
Early game here from across the pond as the Texans and Jaguars matchup in London. The Houston Texans won a narrow game last week at home over the Oakland Raiders, 27-24. They failed to cover the 6.5-point favorite line. It was the second failed cover in a row for the Texans. Jacksonville won its second game in a row both S/U and ATS with a win over the Jets last week, 29-15. It was the teams fifth cover in eight games. The Jags defense held the Jets to just 213 total yards and had three takeaways. Houston ranks 20th in the league in defense, but will be without their star DE in JJ Watt, who will miss the remainder of the season with a tear in his Tricep. Jacksonville ranks 13th defensively. Houston has the better offense though, ranking 4th in the league compared to the Jags 11th ranked offense. The Jags are a 1-point dog, so just need to pick the winner in this one. For me, that's Jacksonville. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | 76ers v. Blazers -1.5 | 129-128 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
Philly takes its undefeated 4-0 record on the road tonight as they make the long trip from the East coast to the Northern Pacific to face Portland. This is the start of a four game Western swing for the Sixers that will take them to Phoenix, Utah and Denver in coming days. The Sixers are 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. They are off a win over the Timberwolves at home, 117-95. Philly is averaging 111.5 ppg and allowing 100.5 ppg. Portland has had a couple nights off to rest up for this game. The Blazers are 3-2 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season. The Blazers are coming off a road win at Oklahoma City, 102-99. In fact, they just finished a four-game road swing that saw the club go 3-1 S/U and 4-0 ATS. Portland is averaging 111 ppg and allowing 110.2 ppg. Portland laying 1.5-points tonight on its home court looks like a bargain to me. Philly had to make the long trip and that's always tough to do. Take Portland. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | BYU +3.5 v. Utah State | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 35 h 33 m | Show | |
Little bit of instate-rivalry as BYU and Utah State matchup here today in Logan. Utah State is coming off a loss last week at Air Force, 7-31. The loss dropped the Aggies to 4-3. Utah State is also 4-3 ATS on the season. BYU had a big win last week over one of the Mountain West's favorites in Boise State. BYU was a 6.5-point home dog and pulled the upset win, 28-25. The win improved the Cougars to 3-4 both S/U and ATS. With Liberty on deck, the Cougars won't be in any look ahead situation and can actually get back into the Bowl picture with a win here this week. They have three easy games after this week with Liberty, Idaho State and U Mass in the coming weeks. That makes this game huge for BYU as a win here today and a sweep the next three weeks will make this team from 3-4 to 7-4 and secure a bowl spot. I like BYU today, they have no reason not to put forth all their effort into this game. Play BYU. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Oregon v. USC +5 | 56-24 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 33 m | Show | |
No 7 Oregon makes the trip down South to take on the USC Trojans at the Coliseum. Oregon is 7-1 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. The Ducks improved to 7-1 with a huge, come-from-behind win last week at Washington State, 37-35. That makes three straight weeks that the Ducks have scored at least 35 points. QB Hebert finally looks to be coming into his own as he leads this Oregon team. Now they have to travel to USC that has had issues this year. The Trojans held on to beat Colorado last week, 35-31, but failed to cover the 13-point favorite spread. The win improved the Trojans to 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. Oregon is ranked 25th in offense with USC 35th. USC is 98th defensively and Oregon is 20th. USC in the rare spot as a home dog here tonight. It's not often you can get points at home with the Trojans. I think this is one of those games that could come down to a last possession. I'm going to take the points with the home team here. Play USC. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Georgia v. Florida +6.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
It's a big SEC Matchup here on Saturday as No 6 Florida takes on No 8 Georgia from Jacksonville in the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. The winner of this game should become the SEC East champion, which will mean an SEC Championship showdown with either Alabama or LSU for the conference championship. To the loser, that means elimination from the top 4 playoff picture. The Gators will rely on pressuring the Georgia QB as they lead the SEC in sacks with 29. They will go up against a Georgia offensive line that has allowed just four sack all season. Georgia is just 3-4 ATS on the season and has failed to cover its last two games. Florida started the season 0-2-1 ATS and has since gone 3-1 ATS. Last year Georgia won this matchup, 36-17 as a 6.5-point dog, outgaining the Gators, 423-275 yards. Georgia has covered the last two seasons with Florida taking the previous three. This should be a great matchup, best of the day in fact. I like the points here with a Florida team I expect to win outright. Play Florida. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Northern Illinois v. Central Michigan +1.5 | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
Central Michigan dropped to 5-4 last week with a loss at home to Buffalo, 20-43. CMU is having a very good year vs the number, now 7-2 on the season. Northern Illinois improved to 3-5 with a win over Akron at home last week, 49-9. The Huskies are now 5-3 ATS. Northern Illinois is 89th ranked in offense with Central Michigan at 53rd. Central Michigan is 50th defensively while NIU is 35th. Northern Illinois won this game last year at home, 24-16 as a 14-point favorite. Central has now covered this matchup the last five years. I like them once again here on Saturday. Play Central Michigan. |
|||||||
11-01-19 | Spurs -6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 127-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
I'll be looking at the NBA game between the San Antonio Spurs and the Golden State Warriors. Well, it's officially panic time in Golden State. Not only are the Warriors just 1-3 to start the season, but they have been blown out in both home games. They are coming off one of those blowout losses at home to the Phoenix Suns of all teams, 110-121. And worse of all, the Warriors fell behind by 20 early in the game and never got close. That was the first game the Warriors were even a favorite. To make matters even worse, now the Warriors will be without their star guard in Stephen Curry who broke his hand. The Spurs are 3-1 S/U and 0-4 ATS on the season. The Spurs lost their first game of the season last time out at the Clippers, 97-103. They had won their first three games, all at home, but failed to cover any of those. The Spurs are averaging 113.5 ppg and allowing 111.5 ppg this season. Until I see some major improvements in the Warrior team and the return of some healthy players, I'll continue to go against them like I have in just about every game this year. |
|||||||
11-01-19 | Lakers v. Mavs +2 | 119-110 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Two teams that have both started the season with 3-1 records meet tonight as the Mavericks host the Lakers. The Lakers are 3-1 both S/U and ATS after four games. LA is coming off a home win over Memphis, 120-91. The Lakers have really had all four games at home since they opened the season vs the Clippers at the Staple Center too but were the visitor. Now the Lakers take to the road for their first away game. Dallas is coming off a home win over Denver, 109-106. The Mavs only loss came at home to the Blazers, 119-121. They are scoring 114.8 ppg and allowing 110.8 ppg. The Mavs are a legitimate contender this year in the West. Tonight they get 1.5 points at home from the Lakers. I like Dallas here to win this one straight up. Play Dallas. |
|||||||
10-31-19 | Nuggets -4 v. Pelicans | Top | 107-122 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
Denver has started the season quickly with a 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS mark. Denver suffered its first loss of the season last time out at home to Dallas, 106-109. The Nuggets are averaging 105.8 ppg and allowing 102.5 ppg this season. Denver has covered both of its road games this year, outscoring those two opponents by 7.5 points. Meanwhile, the New Orleans Pelicans are still looking for their first win of the season after a 0-4 S/U and 1-3 ATS start to the year. The Pelicans give up a lot of points, at least 123 in each of their first four games. They are averaging 121 ppg and giving up 128.3 ppg thus far. The Pelicans are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games and 5-20 ATS their last 20 dating back to last season. I like Denver here tonight laying the small number. Play the Nuggets. |
|||||||
10-31-19 | Heat -6.5 v. Hawks | 106-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Miami Heat off to a 3-1 S/U and 3-0-1 ATS start to the season. The Heat are averaging 118 ppg and allowing 110 ppg. The Heat are coming off a win at home over these same Atlanta Hawks, 112-97 as 7.5-point favorites. Meanwhile, the Hawks have lost two straight games to drop to 2-2 on the year and 3-1 ATS. The Hawks are averaging 105 ppg and allowing 104 ppg. In their two home games the Hawks have averaged 103 ppg and allowed 102. Still early in the season, but I like the way the Heat are playing so far. I'm going to lay the points here tonight. Play Miami. |
|||||||
10-30-19 | Rockets v. Wizards +8 | Top | 159-158 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
Houston Rockets have started the season with a 2-1 S/U and 0-3 ATS record. The Rockets opened the season with three games at home, winning two of the three but failing to cover any of those games. They are off a win over Oklahoma City, 116-112 as a 10-point favorite. Now they take to the road for the first time this year. Washington is 1-2 S/U and 3-0 ATS. The Wizards started the season all on the road, at Dallas, OKC and San Antonio. While they only beat Oklahoma City, they did cover all three. Now they host their first game of the season. The big game is not this Houston vs Washington matchup, but rather the one on the diamond tonight for the World Series crown. Still, these teams might draw some interest and I like the host here. They are getting eight-points and have covered every game thus far. Take the Washington Wizards tonight plus the points. |
|||||||
10-29-19 | Grizzlies +12 v. Lakers | 91-120 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies are 1-2 S/U and ATS to start their season. The Grizzlies won their first game of the young season last time out at home over Brooklyn, 134-133. The Grizzlies are averaging 112.2 ppg and allowing 121.0 ppg. The Lakers are 2-1 both S/U and ATS to start their season. The Lakers lost their opener to the Clippers and have won their last two games. Memphis is 7-3 ATS off one-day of rest as they are tonight. The dog has done well in this series, with the underdog covering seven of the last nine meetings. Grizzlies score a lot of points and give up a lot, but getting double digits might just be too much here tonight. I'll take the visitor. Play Memphis. |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Heat v. Wolves -6.5 | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat are 2-0 to start the season, averaging 113.5 points per game and a point differential of +12. The Minnesota Timberwolves are also 2-0 to start the season with a 124 points for and 112.5 points against. The Wolves have a +11.5 point differential. Something has to give today as one of these teams will suffer their first loss of the year. The Wolves wins impress me more since they were both on the road at Charlotte and Brooklyn. The main reason I'm taking Minnesota here is that Miami had to play last night and win a shootout in overtime over Milwaukee. Then they had to travel to Minnesota and play tonight. I expect them to be a bit tired here tonight. I'm taking Minnesota. |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Panthers +6 v. 49ers | 13-51 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 45 m | Show | |
Carolina playing very well under new QB Kyle Allen. Since Cam Newton went down in game two, the Panthers have won four straight games. Allen has benefited from one of the best all purpose players in the game in Christian McCaffrey. The Panthers last played on October 13th in London where they beat Tampa Bay, 37-26. The Panthers have had plenty of rest for the 49ers today. San Francisco improved to a perfect 6-0 with their win at Washington last week, 9-0. The 49ers defense is one of the best in the league, but the offense could muster just three 2nd half field goals in the win. Now they face a tough stretch of games with Carolina, Seattle, Green Bay, Baltimore and New Orleans on tap in five of the next seven weeks. For this game, I'm going to take the points here with the Panthers. They have had plenty of rest and time to prepare for this game. I expect a tough defensive battle that should be a field goal either way. Take Carolina. |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Giants +7 v. Lions | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 59 h 45 m | Show | |
The Giants fully expected to win last week. They were at home against a weak Arizona club and they were getting back star running back Saquon Barkley. But, things didn't quite work out as they fell behind early and never could catch up, losing 21-27. Barkley performed well in his return from an ankle injury rushing 18 tim3es for 72 yards and a TD. Barkely has been limited in practice this week, but is expected to play on Sunday.The Giants have now lost three straight games both S/U and ATS. Meanwhile, Detroit is coming off a loss at home to the Vikings, 30-42. The loss snapped a four game spread win streak for Detroit. The Giants offense is now ranked 24th in the league and their defense is ranked 28th. The Lions offense is ranked 8th overall and the defense is 31st. This game looks to be fairly high scoring as both teams rank low in defense. The Giants have done well on the road, covering eight of their last 10 away games. The road team has also done well in this series, covering seven of the last nine meetings. I'm going to take the points here on Sunday. Play the Giants. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | San Diego State -13 v. UNLV | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 14 m | Show |
The San Diego State Aztecs look to be the best team in this Mountain West Conference. The Aztecs are 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. The Aztecs have covered three straight games now, mainly because of their defense. SDG State's defense now ranked 8th in the nation in total defense. The clubs only loss came three weeks ago at home to Utah State where they lost to the Aggies, 17-23. Meanwhile, UNLV has a 2-5 S/U on the season and 3-4 ATS. The Rebels do not have a good defense, giving up 30 or more points in four of their six games. UNLV's defense ranked a poor 106th in the nation. UNLV has three of their five remaining games at home, so they do have an outside shot at a record that will make them bowl eligible. However, I don't feel this club will attain that after they lose this week to the Aztecs. Take San Diego State this week. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Clippers -9 v. Suns | Top | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
The LA Clippers won the Kawhi Leonard sweepstakes over the off season. So far it has looked like it has paid off well, with a 2-0 start to the season. The Clippers started off with a win over intrastate rival LA Lakers and then went to Golden State and trounced the Warriors 141-122. Leonard has averaged 25.5 points so far in the two games. Phoenix started with a win at home over Sacramento, 124-95 and then lost at Denver in a close matchup yesterday, 107-108. Playing the Clippers right now looks difficult enough, but add to that fact that the Suns had to play last night and then travel back home tonight and it's a daunting task. I'm taking the Clippers here tonight. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Notre Dame v. Michigan | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 30 m | Show | |
Marquee matchup here on national television Saturday as the 8th ranked Notre Dame Irish travel to take on the 19th ranked Michigan Wolverines. Notre Dame is 5-1 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming at Georgia, 17-23 as a 15.5 point dog. The Irish have the 30th ranked offense in the country and the 37th ranked defense. Michigan ran into a defensive buzzsaw last week, losing at Penn State in a white-out, 21-28. The Wolverines were down 7-21 at half, but did make a rally in the 2nd half but came up short. Michigan is ranked 13th in defense and 80th in offense. Notre Dame covered the last two meetings between these teams over the last five years, including last year 24-17 at home as a 2.5-point home dog. This game is basically a win and cover the spread with the line around Notre Dame laying 1-point. I like the Irish here today against a Michigan team that at times has trouble scoring. Play Notre Dame. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Central Florida v. Temple +11 | 63-21 | Loss | -116 | 48 h 43 m | Show | |
A couple of 5-2 teams matchup here in Philadelphia as Temple hosts Central Florida. Even though these teams have identical records, the Owls are double-digit dogs here. UCF has failed to cover the spread now in four straight games after starting the season 3-0. UCF is coming off a win at home over East Carolina, 41-28, but failed to cover the 32.5-point favorite line. Temple is coming off a loss on the road to SMU, 21-45. The Owls have covered four of the seven games they have played. Temple is a very up tempo team and will run and gun with this UCF team. Don't know why Temple is a double-digit dog here when I think they can actually win this game outright. But, I will take the points. Play Temple. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Western Kentucky +5 v. Marshall | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 43 h 13 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky has been using a stubborn defense to help them to a 5-2 ATS mark and 5-2 ATS mark. The Hilltoppers have covered four straight games. During that process they have allowed no one to score more than 14 points and held two of those under 10 points. WKY now has the 15th ranked defense in the country. Marshall is 4-3 S/U and 2-5 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win at home over Florida Atlantic, 36-31 as a 5.5-point dog. Marshall has the 60th ranked defense in the country and the 48th ranked offense. Marshall won this matchup last season on the road, 20-17, but failed to cover the 3.5-point chalk line. The Hilltoppers have now covered the last five years against Marshall. I like that to happen here again on Saturday. I'm taking Western Kentucky. |
|||||||
10-25-19 | Jazz +3.5 v. Lakers | 86-95 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
The Lakers playing their second game of the season here tonight. LA lost their opener to the Clippers, 102-112. The Lakers added Anthony Davis in the off-season to go with Lebron James. The Jazz started their season a winner over visiting Oklahoma City, 100-95. Though the Jazz did fail to cover the 9-point favorite line. The Jazz held the Thunder to just 38.6% shooting from the field. The Jazz defense looks like it has picked up where it left off last year, which is ranked in the top three in defensive efficiency. Lebron James looked a bit rusty in game one, hitting on only 7-of-19 from the field for 18 points. The big issue is the Lakers lack of a bench. They are missing Kyle Kuzma and Rajon Rondo and Dwight Howard looks horrible. The Utah defense will concentrate on the Lakers two super stars and let the bench do what it can't do anyways. I like the Jazz here tonight with their defense. Play Utah Jazz. |
|||||||
10-24-19 | Clippers -1.5 v. Warriors | 141-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
The Clippers play their second game of the season here tonight. They looked pretty impressive in their win vs the Lakers on opening night, 112-102, as a 3.5 point home dog. The Clippers got good performances out of Davis and Lebron, but not good enough. Now the Clippers are favored at Golden State, something you don't see very often. The Warriors had to face Kawhi Leonard in the finals with Toronto. Now he returns as a Clipper to be a thorn in the side of the Warriors again. The Warriors will look a bit different in their season opener tonight. They will be without Kevin Durant who took his injured Achilles to Brooklyn and Klay Thompson will miss tonight's game with a knee injury. The Clippers have an excellent bench and it showed in the game with the Lakers. They also held the Lakers to just 43% shooting. The Clips are catching the Warriors at their most vulnerable and that's why they are laying a few points here tonight. But I like the new-look Clippers and expect another excellent performance tonight. Play the LA Clippers. |
|||||||
10-23-19 | Wolves +3.5 v. Nets | 127-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Minnesota finished the preseason with a 2-3 record in five games and a -1.8 point differential. The Brooklyn Nets were 3-1 in their four games with a +12.3 point differential. The Nets were busy in the offseason, adding Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant. They will have to break a 3-game win streak by the Wolves over the Nets. Of course they won't have the services of Durant who is out indefinitely with that Achilles injury. So they will have to rely more on Irving if they hope to make the playoffs again this year. Minnesota pretty much looks the same as last year, with the exception of Derrick Rose who is gone from this team. I expect the Wolves to keep this one close and I'll take the points tonight. Play Minnesota. |
|||||||
10-23-19 | Bulls -3 v. Hornets | Top | 125-126 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
Chicago didn't have the best preseason, but we have to not put much into those numbers. They shot just 41% as a team during the preseason in their five games. The Bulls had a 2-3 record with a +0.4 point differential. The Hornets were just 1-4 in the preseason with a -2.6 point differential. Both these clubs missed the postseason last year. The Hornets are much different looking with many players gone from last year. The current roster holds many question marks with unknown players ready to start. The addition of a key few vets to Chicago gives them a bigger edge to start the season. The Hornets are just too inexperienced at this point. I'm going to lay the points on the road with the Bulls. Play Chicago. |
|||||||
10-22-19 | Lakers -2 v. Clippers | 102-112 | Loss | -105 | 60 h 55 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers haven't made the playoffs the last four seasons, this despite adding Lebron James last season. The big move for LA is the acquisition of Anthony Davis. Dwight Howard is also back with another stint with the Lakers. Other new faces are Avery Bradley, Jared Dudley and Quinn Cook. Lets face it, Lebron is getting older and the Lakers need to take advantage of this situation now. The addition of Davis and new faces could just be what the team needed. The Clippers were the big winner in the off season, picking up Kawhi Leonard. They also added Paul George. These superstars will make the Clippers an immediate threat to win the NBA Championship. However, it came at a price. They had to part with a bevy of young players and number one picks. George is out here tonight, he's still recuperating from off season shoulder surgery. The Lakers are a small favorite here on opening night. I'm going to play the Lakers as they take advantage of the Clippers without George in the lineup. Play the LAKERS. |
|||||||
10-20-19 | Eagles +3 v. Cowboys | 10-37 | Loss | -125 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
Dallas has lost three straight games after starting the season 3-0. Now there are accusations being thrown around about play calling and such. Bottom line is that this Dallas team is having some issues. They lost at the Jets last week, 22-24 as a touchdown favorite. Still, despite losing three straight games this game with the 3-3 Eagles is for the division lead. The Eagles lost last week at Minnesota, 20-38. That snapped a two-game win streak for Philly. Dallas has the 2nd ranked offense in the league while Philly comes in at 20th. The Cowboys are ranked 9th defensively with the Eagles being 14th. There must be some internal issues in Dallas with a team ranked as high as they are in both offense and defense, yet with just a 3-3 record and on a 3-game losing streak. I'm not going to play Dallas until I see some unity on this club. Tonight, I'll take the visitor in this one. Play Philadelphia. |
|||||||
10-20-19 | Texans v. Colts | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 60 h 11 m | Show | |
Houston Texans bring their 4-2 record to Indianapolis to the play Colts on Sunday. The Texans are fresh off that win at Kansas City, 31-24. They not only dominated on the scoreboard, but dominated the ball in time of possession. The Texans had 472 total yards compared to the Chiefs 309 yards. Meanwhile, the Colts had last week off after also beating the Chiefs the prior week, 19-13. Houston has the 6th rated offense and the 18th ranked defense. The Colts rank 23rd offensively and 16th defensively. The Colts have covered the last two times they have played the Texans, winning last year at Houston 24-21. That makes four covers for the Colts against the Texans in the last five meetings. The Colts QB Jacoby Brissett has thrown 10 TD's this year with just three INT's. Marlon Mack leads all rushers on the Colts with 470 yards and two TD's. Deshaun Watson has 12 TD's for the Texans with three INT's and adds 5 more rushing TD's. This is a pretty even matchup, but I'm taking the home team here on Sunday. Play the Colts. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Boise State -7 v. BYU | 25-28 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 39 m | Show | |
Boise State comes into today's contest with a perfect 6-0 record and a national No.14 ranking. The Broncos have also covered four straight and five of six games. Their only non-cover came in week two against Marshall at home. They dominated that game statistically, but just failed to cover the 12-point line. Boise ranks 18th offensively in the nation and 33rd defensively. BYU is 2-4 S/U and 2-4 ATS. They have failed to cover in three straight games after losing last week at South Florida, 23-27 as a 6-point chalk. BYU ranks 87th in offense and 83rd in defense. Boise looking for another undefeated season has to weather four of its last six games here on the road. I like Boise though in this one. BYU isn't a very good team and Boise should have little trouble in this one. Play Boise State. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | 45-27 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
18th ranked and 6-0 Baylor puts its perfect record on the line today at Oklahoma State. This looks to be the Bears biggest test thus far, as they have only played on the road at Rice and Kansas State. They did get a scare at home against Iowa State, pulling out a late win on a field goal back on Sept 28th, 23-21. Oklahoma State is 4-2 this year and 4-1-1 ATS. The Cowboys have only played two home games, beating McNeese State and Kansas State. Ok State had the benefit of a week off last week to prepare for this game. That for me is big. Oklahoma State is a 3.5 point home favorite against an undefeated team. That should tell you something, that these teams are pretty evenly matched. I won't be convinced Baylor is as good as its record until the Bears can win this kind of road game. As for today, I'm taking the home club. Play Oklahoma State. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Oregon -2.5 v. Washington | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
PAC-12 matchup here on Saturday between two ranked teams as No 12 Oregon takes on No. 25 Washington. Oregon is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Ducks are coming off an easy win at home over Colorado, 45-3. It's the offense and their QB Justin Herbert that you think of when it comes to the Ducks. However, the defense has been a start this year. Oregon has the 8th overall ranked defense and has held each of its last five opponents to a touchdown or fewer points. The only team to score more was in the season opener at Auburn where they lost 21-27. Should be interesting today for this defense against a Washington team that has scored 40 or more points in four of its seven games. Strangely, despite their big scores, the offense is ranked only 57th in the country in total yards. Moreover, they have a fairly low offensive red-zone efficiency of just 69.2%. Oregon's offense ranks 30th and has a red-zone efficiency of 72.3%. I believe that this Washington team is a bit over rated and will drop out of the rankings after today. I like Oregon, they have a solid defense and Hebert running that offense. Take Oregon. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | North Carolina -3.5 v. Virginia Tech | 41-43 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
North Carolina had last week off to prepare for this game. The previous week they won on the road at Georgia Tech, 38-22 as a 10-point favorite. The Tar Heels have covered four of their six games and are 3-3 S/U. Virginia Tech played at last last week against Rhode Island, an easy win 34-17. The Hokies are now 4-2 S/U and 1-4 ATS. Their only cover of the season came two weeks ago at Miami Florida. Tech is ranked just 90th in the nation in total offense and 59th in defense. NCU is 53rd in offense and defense. I'll be laying the small points here on the road. Take North Carolina. |
|||||||
10-17-19 | Chiefs v. Broncos +4 | 30-6 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 17 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos playing very good all of a sudden with another win on Sunday over Tennessee, 16-0. The Broncos defense held Tennessee to just 39 yards rushing and 165 yards passing. That's two games in a row with outstanding defense. They got their first win two weeks ago at the Chargers, holding them to 35 yards rushing and 211 yards passing. Meanwhile the Kansas City defense has been horrible. They can't stop anyone and proved it again Sunday losing at home to Houston, 24-31. The allowed the Texans 192 yards rushing and 280 yards passing. Their loss two weeks ago at home to the Colts they allowed 180 yards rushing and 151 yards passing. They have now allowed 180 or more yards rushing in four of their five games. That is absolutely horrendous. Add to that fact that QB Patrick Mahomes is banged-up with a ankle injury and the Chiefs look very ordinary at the moment. The Broncos could easily have four wins this season. Vic Fangio finally has this team playing the way he wants, great defense and a conservative offense. Take advantage of the Broncos at +4 or better because I feel this line will go down by gametime. Play Denver. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Titans v. Broncos -2 | 0-16 | Win | 100 | 117 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver finally got in the win column last week and they did it on the road at the Chargers. Denver jumped out to a big lead and pretty much cruised the rest of the way for a 20-13 win over the Chargers. Denver held LA to just 246 total yards while controlling the ball on the ground with 191 rushing yards. Tennessee ran into the defensive buzzsaw called Buffalo, losing to the Bills 7-14. The Titans scored just seven points against the league's second ranked defense and totaled just 252 yards. Denver's defense isn't what it used to be, but they have improved to 7th in the league now while Tennessee is 9th in the league. Both teams struggling on offense though, as Denver ranks 19th and Tennessee 27th. Titans have not done well on the road against losing teams, going 5-15-1 their last 21 vs the spread. These clubs have met just once in the last five years and that was at Tennessee where the Titans won a low scoring game, 13-10. If we look back to the last six meetings between these teams, the Broncos have covered five of those. I expect a defensive game here with two better than average defenses. But now that Denver got that first win, I like them to get another here on Sunday. Play Denver. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Seahawks -1.5 v. Browns | 32-28 | Win | 100 | 114 h 52 m | Show | |
Trouble brewing in Cleveland after that horrible performance last Monday night at San Francisco. QB Baker Mayfield had a terrible night, getting harassed and sacked by the 49ers tough defense. Mayfield took a seat late in the game he was so ineffective. The Browns managed just 180 total yards and 78 passing yards (20 of those by Beckham). The Browns also had four turnovers to the 49ers zero. Now they have to regroup because it doesn't get any easier tonight against a very good Seattle team. Seattle has the extra rest for this one after playing last Thursday night and beating the Rams, 30-29. Seattle rushed for 167 yards and had 429 total yards.Seattle improved to 7th in the league in total offense while Cleveland dropped to 23rd. Seattle's defense is ranked 14th and Cleveland 18th. This Cleveland franchise has issues from owner James Haslem who is not a good owner, to HC Freddie Kitchens who doesn't know how to coach to Mayfield who acts like a child out of control to Odell Beckham Jr who is just a ego maniac. This is no way to run a football team and that's why I will be betting against them this week. This is a perfect situation for Seattle. They are playing great and now face a team and franchise in disarray. Play Seattle. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Panthers -1 v. Bucs | 37-26 | Win | 100 | 40 h 18 m | Show | |
The 3-2 Carolina Panthers travel to Florida to take on the 2-3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Carolina has been playing without QB Cam Newton, who is out with a foot injury. However, since Newton went out the Panthers have won three straight games with QB Kyle Allen. Allen has won all three of his starts for Carolina. But the star of this team is RB Christian McCaffrey who is involved in more offensive plays than anyone in the league. McCaffrey has 587 yards rushing this year and 279 yards receiving with seven total TD's. He ranks first in total yards from scrimmage. McCaffrey is the center of this offense and Allen is just the supporting cast at this point. Tampa Bay pulled the huge upset two weeks ago at the Rams, 55-40, then last week lost at New Orleans, 24-31. This team has been very inconsistent. The Bucs managed just 252 yards in the loss last week. That performance dropped the Bucs to 17th in total offense with Carolina coming in at 14th. The difference here is defense, where the Panthers continue to improve and now rank 8th in the league compared to the Bucs 25th ranking. I expect McCaffrey to give the Bucs all kinds of problems here on Sunday. I'll lay the small price with Carolina on Sunday. take the Panthers. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Navy v. Tulsa | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
Bailout Game of the Week: Navy is 3-1 S/U and ATS this season and travels to Tulsa tonight who is 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS. Navy is always one if not the top rushing team in the nation, and this year is no different. The Middies average 312 yards on the ground and 125 yards through the air. This offense ranks 47th in the country overall. Tulsa's 68th ranked defense will have its hands full of the Navy rushing game. The Golden Hurricanes allow 167 yards per game rushing and that won't be good for them here today. The Tulsa offense only ranks 82nd in the country. I look at this game as a Navy ground attack that Tulsa won't have an answer for. Navy will control the ball against this poor Tulsa rush defense and when they have the ball, Tulsa won't be able to convert enough of those touches into points. Take Navy. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Fresno State +3.5 v. Air Force | 24-43 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
Fresno State comes into tonight's contest with a 2-2 S/U mark and 1-2-1 ATS record. They will face an Air Force team that is 3-2 S/U and 2-3 ATS. The Bulldogs of FSU started the season with a loss at USC, 23-31, and then a lost at home to Minnesota, 35-38. They then hosted Sacramento State and won 34-20 and won two weeks ago at New Mexico State, 30-17. The Bulldogs will have two weeks off to prepare for Air Force today. Air Force is coming off a loss at Navy, 25-34. Th Falcons have failed to cover their last three games after a 2-0 start. With Air Force it's all about the running game with over 200 yards rushing in four of their five games. Air Force ranks 59th in the nation in total offense while Fresno is 69th. Fresno's defense isn't bad ranking 47th in the country. I like the points here today with the visitor. Take Fresno State. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Michigan State +11 v. Wisconsin | 0-38 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Michigan State is 4-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS and takes on Big 10 foe Wisconsin today. Wisconsin is 5-0 S/U and 4/1 ATS. Wisconsin has the nation's top ranked defense and a defensive red-zone efficiency of just 49.2%. Michigan State is no slouch on defense either, ranked 22nd in the nation and a defensive red-zone efficiency of 57.1%. Offensively Wisconsin is 32nd in the nation and Michigan State is 81st. Wisconsin laying double digits here today is what concerns me. This Wisconsin team relies on its defense more than offense and Michigan State should give them enough competition to stay close here. I'll take the double digits with Michigan State. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas +11.5 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 59 h 38 m | Show | |
Two nationally ranked teams meetup in this storied rivalry as No 6 Oklahoma takes on No 11 Texas from Dallas, TX. Oklahoma improved to 5-0 last week with a win over Kansas, 45-20. Oklahoma has the overall top offense in the nation, averaging 644 yards per game. They also have a 89.3% redzone efficiency. Texas will be a big dog here today, currently 11-points. The Longhorns offense ranks 19th overall in the nation. Oklahoma covered this matchup last year, winning 39-27 as a 9.5-point favorite. However, that was the first time the Sooners have covered this Red River Rivalry in the last seven years. Texas has also covered 10 of the last 15 in this series. Texas beat West Virginia last week, 42-31 and improved to 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Texas defense is not very good and that means a lot of Oklahoma points here on Saturday. However, Texas has a offense that can also produce points and with a double-digit line I'm going to take the dog here. Play Texas. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Memphis v. Temple +5.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 38 h 51 m | Show |
Two very good teams meet in Philadelphia today as Temple hosts Memphis. Memphis is 5-0 on the season S/U and 4-1 ATS. This will be the Tigers first real test of the season after wins over LA Monroe, Southern, South Alabama, Navy and Ole Miss. Their biggest test came at home vs Ole Miss where they just got the win, 15-10. Temple plays an upbeat offense that can produce points. They should have got the cover last time vs East Carolina, but poor coaching with the clock at the end of the game gave E.Carolina the back-end cover. Still, this Temple team is tough at hoe where they beat Georgia Tech 24-2, Maryland 20-17 and Canisius 56-12. Temple has a solid defense, ranked 20th in the country. They also have an excellent red-zone efficiency rating of 46.6%, well below the national average. Memphis is ranked 36th in the nation defensively, but has a 74.7% red-zone efficiency. Both teams are also in the top 43 in offense yardage. Not sure why Memphis is this big a favorite as I like Temple to win this game outright. Play Temple. |
|||||||
10-11-19 | Virginia +2.5 v. Miami-FL | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
Virginia travels South to take on Miami Florida. The Cavaliers are 4-1 S/U and 2-2-1 ATS on the season. Miami is 2-3 S/U and ATS on the season. Virginia had last week off to prepare for this game after suffering their first loss of the season at Notre Dame, 20-35. The Cavs have already beat Florida State, 31-24 as they now turn to another powerhouse Florida team. Miami having a sub-par year so far, opening with a loss at Florida 20-24 and then losing at North Carolina, 25-28. They did destroy Bethune Cookman, but then barely beat Central Michigan at home, 17-12. Virginia has an excellent defense, ranked 13th in the country while Miami comes in at a 15th. Miami is 39th offensively, but a lot of that came in a 63-0 win over Bethune Cookman. 23rd ranked Virginia getting two-points is great to me since I look for an easy win out of the Cavaliers. Play Virginia. |
|||||||
10-10-19 | Sun +6.5 v. Mystics | 78-89 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Connecticut Sun have forced a final game five in this Championship series with the Mystics. The Sun took game four at home, 9-86 as a 1.5 point favorite. Now they return to Washington where they did steal game two, 99-87. We've seen the line come down in each Washington home game. Game one the Mystics were a 8.5 point chalk, game two 7.5 and now here in game five 6.5 point favorite. I've been a backer of the Sun in this series and I'm sticking with the dog here in the finale. Play the SUN. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Broncos +7 v. Chargers | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 55 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos might be the best 0-4 team in the NFL. They could easily be 2-2 and should have won the Bears game if not for a bad call at the end. Then last week another late rally by the Jagaurs resulted in a last second loss. The Broncos brought in Joe Flacco to play QB and he hasn't played badly. They also brought in HC Vic Fangio from the Bears and he hasn't performed up to their standards yet. Could a loss here today make Fangio the first fatality of the head coaching ranks this year? We'll see. The Denver defense isn't what it used to be. That's an understatement. It's even been rumored that Von Miller is on the trading block. Star LB Bradley Chubb was injured in the Jags game and is out the rest of the year. As for the Bolts, RB Melvin Gordon returns from his holdout and should start this week. Ekeler has been very good in his place. I think one thing is for sure in Denver this year, we are going to see QB Drew Lock around week 8 when he returns from his injury. The Chargers had the week off last week, also known as playing the Miami Dolphins. The Chargers rolled to a 30-10 win over the Dolphins and evened their season record at 2-2. While I don't see the snake bitten Broncos winning, I think this line is too high for a rivalry game. I'm taking the visiting Broncos plus the points. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 120 h 50 m | Show |
I really learned something last week, that this Baltimore Ravens team is a fraud. Everyone watched in week one as they demolished an overmatched and winless Miami Dolphins team. Then in week 2 we saw that effort get tougher as the winless Arizona Cardinals covered the 13 point dog line and almost won the game outright, 17-23. Then in week 4 when the real competition started, they lost at Kansas City, 28-33 failing to cover the 4-point dog line and then got killed at home last week by the Cleveland Browns, 25-40. This team is not nearly as good as they are now getting credit for. Meanwhile, the Steelers defense and offense both looked very good last Monday night for the win over the Bengals, 27-3. They have now covered two-straight games and now that Mason Rudolph is getting more action from the coach, he's looking like a real NFL quarterback. Let's throw out stats in this one because the Ravens are still inflated by that Miami game. Instead, lets look at who's real and who's a fraud. The Ravens are a fraud and should not be favored at Pittsburgh here in week 5. I personally will have my biggest bet of the NFL season so far on this game. Good luck and GO Steelers! |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Bears -5 v. Raiders | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 51 m | Show | |
If there was a game Khalil Mack had circled on his calendar, it was this one. Mack gets to face down the team that traded him, the Oakland Raiders. This will be the first of four games being played in London England this year. Chase Daniel looks to get the start at QB for the Bears here today as Mitchell Trubisky is out with his shoulder injury. But that's not a bad thing, I actually like Daniel better than Trubisky. He's a much smarter QB and I think brings a whole other dimension to an offense that Trubisky still has trouble running. The Bears defense dominated Minnesota last week in a 16-6 win. They held the Vikings to 222 yards and took two turnovers from them. The Bears have the fifth rated overall defense with Oakland coming in at 22nd. Where the Bears lack is on offense, as they are just 30th in total yards. However, I see that improving with Daniel at the helm today. Oakland is 21st in total yards and led by QB Derrick Carr. They will be without LB Vontaze Burfict who has been suspended for the rest of the year - a huge blow to this defense. Overall, I love the Chicago defense to shut down Carr and the Raiders today. Lay the 5-points with Chicago. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | San Diego State -7.5 v. Colorado State | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
Mountain West action here late on Saturday evening. San Diego State (3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS) travels to Fort Collins to take on Colorado State (1-4 S/U, 3-2 ATS). The Aztecs lost their first game of the season last week at home vs Utah State, 17-23. The defense has been very good for the Aztecs, holding each of their first three opponents to 14 points or fewer before Utah State scored 23 last week. The rush defense has not allowed more than 82 yards in any game. CSU Rams only win came at home over Western Illinois, 38-13. They have covered their last two games at Utah State and at home against Toledo. The defense is terrible, ranking 105th in the nation and allowing 440 yards on average. The offense ranks 16th with 501 yards per game. This one comes down to the SDG State defense against the CSU offense. I believe the Aztecs excellent rush defense will shut down CSU and force them to throw more here. I'm going to lay the points with San Diego State. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Northwestern +7.5 v. Nebraska | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
Big 10 matchup as Northwestern travels to Lincoln to take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Northwestern gave ranked Wisconsin all it could handle last week, losing on the road, 15-24, but covering the 24-point dog line. In fact, the NW defense held Wisconsin to just one touchdown as special teams and the defense accounted for the other 14 Badger points. Nebraska got buried at home last week by Ohio State, 7-48 as a 17.5-point dog. The Huskers are now 1-4 ATS on the season. The Huskers defense has taken a beating this year, with the Black Shirts ranked just 78th in the country. The offense ranks 46th. Northwestern's defense ranks 31st and the offense is 126th. We're getting a TD here with the visitor and I just don't trust this Nebraska defense enough to see them laying that kind of number. I'm taking the dog here today. Play Northwestern. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois -4 | 27-20 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
Both these MAC teams in desperate need of a win after both clubs have started the season 1-3 S/U. Ball State Cardinals are 2-2 ATS after covering last week at NC State as a 19-point dog, 23-34. The Ball State defense is very poor, allowing at least 29 points in each of their four games. The defense is ranked 94th overall, while the offense is much better at 28th. This is a passing team with over 300 yards in three of their four games through the air. Northern Illinois Huskies have covered three of their four games including last week at Vandy as 7.5-point dogs, 18-24. NIU has the 64th ranked defense in the league and 105th offense. NIU won this game last year at home, 24-16 and covered the three-point chalk line. Home field important in this matchup and NIU has it again today. I'm taking the home team again in this one. Play Northern Illinois. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Texas v. West Virginia +10.5 | 42-31 | Loss | -101 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
A pair of 3-1 teams meet here in West Virginia as the No 11 Texas Longhorns take on the Mountaineers. Texas is coming off a win last week at home over Oklahoma State, 36-30, but failed to cover the 7-point chalk line. The Longhorns are now 2-2 vs the number on the season. Problem here today is that the Longhorns might be in a bit of a look ahead spot as they have Oklahoma up next week in their annual meeting in Dallas. West Virginia has won two straight games with a 44-27 win over NC State and then last week a win at Kansas, 29-24, covering both. This game was a shootout last year, with WVU taking an exciting contest, 42-41 as a 1.5-point home dog. Texas has the 19th ranked offense compared to the WVU 118th ranked offense. WVU has a good enough defense to stay close in this contest, with 56th ranked offense. WVU getting 10.5-points here today. I'm going to take the home team with Texas looking past this game to Oklahoma next week. Play West Virginia. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Utah State +28 v. LSU | 6-42 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Utah State brings it's 3-1 record down to the Big Easy to take on fifth ranked LSU in an early start game. Utah State opened the season with a loss at Wake Forest, 35-38 and since then has won three straight games including last week against Colorado State, 34-24. The Aggies defense will have their work cut out for them against the 3rd rated offense in the country. Utah St is no slouch on defense, ranked 58th overall. The Aggies offense is what might keep them close here today, ranking 9th in the country. LSU has been a scoring machine this year, with at least 45 in every game and over 60 points the last two games. The defense does give up some points, as they did last week to Vandy (38) and vs Texas (38). That is what I'm counting on here today as they face a very good Utah State offense. We're getting 27+ points with the Aggies and with Florida coming to town next week they might be looking past this Utah State team. Play Utah State. |
|||||||
10-03-19 | Rams v. Seahawks -1.5 | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 14 m | Show | |
The LA Rams looked like an easy winner last week after the Bucs came to town on the heels of a 18-point come from ahead loss the week before to the Giants. But it was the Bucs that shocked the Rams, 55-40 as 9-point dogs. The Rams trailed at the half 28-17 and cut the lead to 28-20 before the Bucs built another big lead to 45-27 in the 4th. A late rally by the Rams fell short though when Goff was stripped of the ball by Shaq Barrett and returned for a TD by Ndamukong Suh for a 55-40 win. Now the Rams travel to Washington to face the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle won at Arizona last week, 27-10, holding the Cardinals to 321 total yards. Seattle has the 7th ranked defense and the 13the ranked offense. The Rams are 7th ranked on offense and 11th on defense. The last two years these clubs have met four times, with Seattle covering three of those and winning one outright. Last year Seattle lost at home to the Rams, 31-33 as a 7.5 point dog. The key here is for Seattle to control the clock and keep the ball out of the Rams hands. LA will have to do a much better job defensively, especially against arguably the best QB in the league in Russell Wilson. Seattle has performed well on Thursday's, going 7-0-2 ATS their last nine times in the early game. LA is only 1-5 ATS in their last six Thursday games. The difference for me here is that 12th man of Seattle and the home advantage. The Rams defense is struggling and I look for that to continue here on Thursday. I'm taking the Seattle Seahawks. |
|||||||
10-01-19 | Sun +8 v. Mystics | 99-87 | Win | 100 | 31 h 27 m | Show | |
I had the Mystics in game one of the finals and just did get the cover with Washington as a 8 1/2 favorite and winning 95-86. Game two here tonight and the Sun don't want to go down 0-2 in this series. I am a fan of the zig-zag theory in the playoffs and I like to come back against the team that covered the previous game. Here that would mean taking the points tonight with the Sun. I know most trends and even stats favor Washington, but the Sun are a quality team and easily should be able to come in under the 8-point dog line. Let's give it a shot here tonight with the Sun plus the points. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 105 h 3 m | Show | |
The undefeated Dallas Cowboys travel to the Big Easy to take on the New Orleans Saints on Sunday night. The Cowboys looks rather lethargic in their first half against a very overmatched Miami team. However, they exploded in the 2nd half to cover the 22.5-point line, 31-6. Dallas now has wins against the Giants, Redskins and Miami. Really, this matchup here today is their first real test as those previous three games were all against very poor teams. The Saints are 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS after a very nice win on the road last week at Seattle, 33-27. The offense hasn't been all that good since Drew Brees went out with a hurt thumb. The Saints had 265 total yards last week and only 244 totals yards the previous week at the Rams. Teddy Bridgewater is now the starting QB and in his two games he has 342 total yards and two TD's with no INT's. This team still has plenty of weapons with Alvin Kamara at RB and Michael Thomas at Wide Receiver. The Saints should give Dallas their best game of the young season here on Sunday night and I won't be surprised by a Saints straight-up win here. I'll take the 2.5-points with the home team. Play New Orleans. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Seahawks -5 v. Cardinals | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 47 h 16 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks are 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS to start the season. Seattle opened with wins over Cincinnati (21-20) and at Pittsburgh (28-26), then loss last week at home to the Saints, 27-33. The Arizona Cardinals are 0-2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS this season. They opened with that OT tie against Detroit and then back-to-back losses to Baltimore and Carolina. Seattle lost to the Saints despite out gaining them in yards 515 to 265. Both clubs had one turnover and the Hawks had 406 yards passing by Russell Wilson. The Hawks were even down 14-33 in the 4th quarter. The Saints returned a Chris Carson fumble for a touchdown in this game and the defensive line got no sacks of Teddy Bridgewater. The Saints also got a punt return for a touchdown. It was just an ugly game all around for the Seahawks special teams and turnovers. Arizona lost at home to a Newton-less Panthers team last week, 20-38. They were outgained 413 yards to 248 yards. Arizona has the 30th ranked defense in the league allowing 443 yards per game and the 25th ranked offense with just 328 yards per game. Russell Wilson and the Hawks offense should have little trouble against this struggling Cardinals defense here on Sunday. Have to lay 5 1/2 points here with the Hawks, but I won't mind with Wilson on my side against rookie Tyler Murray. Play Seattle. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | Stanford v. Oregon State +3.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
It's been a very disappointing season for Stanford. They started the season with a home win over Northwestern, but were lucky to cover, scoring the covering TD with just seconds left on a fumble recovery. Since then, they are 0-3 both S/U and ATS. The offense is ranked 118th. But of particular concern is the defense, ranked 75th. They have allowed 45 points twice this season and the passing defense has allowed 259, 347 and 377 the last three games. Oregon State won its first game of the season last time out over Cal Poly, 45-7. That followed their two losses at Hawaii (28-31) and vs Ok State (36-52). Oregon State ranks 110th in defense and and 31 offensively. OSU has a very balanced offense, with 229 yards average on the ground and 247 yard through the air. For me, the difference in this game is the offenses. OSU has the much better offense while both teams are struggling defensively. I'm taking Oregon State here today. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | Georgia Tech v. Temple -8 | Top | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
Temple got upset last week at Buffalo, 22-38 as a 14-point favorite. The Owls might have had letdown after beating ranked Maryland the week before. This for a team that ranks 33rd in the country offensively with 470 yards per game. Meanwhile Georgia tech still looking for its first cover of the season after a 0-3 start. Tech's defense isn't the best, ranked 86th in the nation while the offense ranks a dismal 126th in the country with just 284 yards per game. Tech had last week off to stew over its loss to The Citadel, losing 24-27 as a 27-point favorite. GT managed just 118 yards passing in the lass and allowed 320 yards rushing. Temple may have lost to Buffalo last week, but I believe that was in part due to a letdown. This Temple club returns home where they will demolish this Georgia Tech team. Play Temple. |