Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-10-18 | UCLA v. Arizona State -11 | 28-31 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
UCLA had all kinds of trouble last week at Oregon, losing to the Ducks 42-21 as 9.5 point dogs. The Bruins had three turnovers and no takeaways yet outgained the Ducks 496 yards to 492 yards. Turnovers were the difference in the Bruins loss. Arizona State pulled a big upset over Utah last week, 38-20. The Sun Devils were seven point home dogs and out gained Utah 536 yards to 325 yards. UCLA is only 3-8 ATS in its last 11 road games and 3-8 ATS in the last eight overall. Meanwhile, ASU is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games and 6-2 ATS in its last eight conference games. ASU will have little trouble here at home against an overmatched Bruins squad. Play ASU. |
|||||||
11-10-18 | Wisconsin +9 v. Penn State | 10-22 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Wisconsin coming off a win at home against Rutgers last week, 31-17. The Badgers didn't cover the 29-point spread. They did rush the ball exclusively for 317 yards compared to just 23 yards passing. Penn State ran into a defensive powerhouse last week in Michigan. The Nittany Lions were beat on the road, 7-42. That had just 184 total yards and three turnovers in the loss. Today Wisconsin is getting nine points, which seems like a lot to give a good team. Both teams are 6-3 S/U on the season. The Badgers are also a very good road team, going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 away games. This line is way off to me as these teams are very evenly matched. Take Wisconsin. |
|||||||
11-10-18 | SMU -19 v. Connecticut | 62-50 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
SMU pulled off the big upset last week in the conference with a win over Houston, 45-31. The Mustangs were a 13-point home dog to the Cougars and outgained them 527 yards to365 yards. They also ran 84 plays to just 69 for Houston. Now they get to face the worst defense in the country in U Conn. The Huskies are dead last in total defense, allowing 627 yards per game and a rezone TD efficiency of 81.7%. U Conn got trounced last week at Tulsa, 49-19, allowing 648 yards to the Golden Hurricanes. Likely will get ugly again this week for U Conn that faces a potent SMU offense. Lay the points, take SMU. |
|||||||
11-10-18 | TCU +12 v. West Virginia | 10-47 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
TCU just got by Kansas State last week, 14-13 as eight-point favorites. West Virginia had an emotional game at Texas last week, just getting by the Longhorns 42-41. The game was back and forth with West Virginia pulling it out late. Now they have to turn around and lay 11.5-points to TCU. If there was ever a spot where a team was ready for a letdown, this is it. A huge emotional win last week and now they are big favorites. I like TCU in this spot as they are getting double digits and catch West Virginia in a vulnerable spot. Take the points with TCU. |
|||||||
11-10-18 | Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -11.5 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Texas A&M gave Auburn all it could handle last week, losing at Auburn 24-28 and just covering the 5.5-point spread. Ole Miss found itself in a shootout last week with South Carolina, coming out on the shortend to the gamecocks, 44-48. The two teams combined for 1116 totals yards of offense in that contest. Today, Ole Miss travels to A&M to face the Aggies. A&M snapped an Ole Miss five game spread win streak last year, beating the Rebels 31-24 at Mississippi. The Rebels are just 6-14-1 ATS their last 21 road games and 1-6 ATS their last seven overall. The Aggies are 7-2 ATS int heir last 9 games on grass and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall. Take Texas A&M here today. |
|||||||
11-09-18 | Fresno State -2 v. Boise State | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
Fresno State is atop the Mountain West - West division standings at 8-1 overall, 5-0 in conference. They will play the Mountain division Boise State Broncos. Boise State is 7-2 on the season, 4-1 in conference and in 2nd place to Utah State. Right now it looks like Utah State and Fresno will play for the Mountain West crown. Fresno has covered six in a row and seven of their eight games this season. They are coming off a easy win at Hawai'i last week, 50-20. They have held their last four opponents to a combined 33 points. Boise has covered two straight after beating Air Force last week 48-38. The defense has not bee all that good, though they are ranked 41st in total yards allowed. Fresno is the 13th ranked defense. The Bulldogs have been excellent on the road, going 13-2-1 ATS their last 16 away games and 25-4-1 ATS their last 30 overall games. Meanwhile, Boise is just 5-15 ATS in its last 20 home games. Fresno has covered the last four in this series and the dog is 5-0 ATS the last five. I like Fresno here tonight. |
|||||||
11-09-18 | Celtics v. Jazz -3 | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics are 6-4 S/U and 4-6 ATS on the season. They are bucking the high scoring trend of most teams and averaging just 104.2 ppg. They are also allowing just 101.3 ppg. The Jazz are 5-6 S/U and ATS on the season. Utah is averaging 110.5 ppg and allowing 109.5 ppg. The Celtics have not been all that good on the road, going just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 away games. It's always tough for teams making these long road trips as Boston has today. But going to a high altitude city like Salt Lake is even more of a challenge. The Jazz laying just 3.5 here early, get down on this game before the line moves any higher. Take Utah. |
|||||||
11-09-18 | Wichita State v. Providence -4.5 | 83-80 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
Veteran's Classic action here from Annapolis, MD. Wichita State opened with a home loss to Louisiana Tech, 58-71. The loss was shocking for the Shockers since they were 9-point chalks and got beat by 12. They will take on a Providence team tonight that also failed to cover first time out to Siena. The Friars won at home over the Saints, 77-67, but failed to cover the 19.5 point line. Wichita State is now 7-21-1 ATS in its last 29 games on a neutral site. They have also failed to cover the spread in their last eight games dating back to last season. The Friars are 19-9 AST in their last 28 on a neutral site. Providence looks to be the better of these two early in the season. I'll lay the small price here with the Friars. Take Providence. |
|||||||
11-08-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -5 | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers are 6-4 both S/U and ATS to star the season. LA is averaging 116.2 ppg while allowing 109.8 ppg. They will face the Portland Trailblazers who are 8-3 both S/U and ATS to start the season. The Clippers are in 2nd in the Pacific division, behind the Golden State Warriors. They have won and covered two straight games, including their last one at Minnesota, 120-109. The Clippers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs the NBA Northwest. The Blazers trail the Nuggets by one game in the NBA Northwest division. They have won and covered two straight and five of their last six. The Blazers are also 22-7 ATS in their last 29 home games. Portland has covered four of the last five in this series and I look for that to continue here tonight. Play Portland. |
|||||||
11-08-18 | Siena +7 v. George Washington | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Siena Saints opened its season with a loss at Providence, 67-77, but covered the 19.5-point line. George Washington had a disappointing start to the season, losing at home to Stony Brook, 74-77. Siena lost four of its top 5 scorers from last season. They also have a new head coach in Jamion Christian. Christian will bring a new system with him to Siena that he will start building around Khalil Richard and Evan Fisher who return. Poor GW, they started their game with Stony Brook leading 22-0 to start the game. What looked like a runaway victory turned into defeat as Stony Brook came back to win, despite shooting just 38.6% from the field. GW will have to do much better then that if they hope to improve on last year's 15-18 record. The Saints have been good out of conference, evidenced by their 7-3 ATS mark. Two teams that both looks to have down seasons, but I'll take the points in this one with the visitor. Take Siena. |
|||||||
11-07-18 | Raptors v. Kings +8.5 | 114-105 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Toronto on a roll to start the season at 10-1 S/U and 6-5 ATS. The Raptors could be the team to beat this year in the Eastern Conference. Tonight though could be a bit tough against a improved Kings club that is 6-4 S/U and 7-3 ATS. The Raptors start acquisition in the offseason, Kawhi Leonard, is questionable tonight with a foot injury. Leonard is averaging 26.1 ppg this season for the Raptors. The Kings are 5-1 S/U and ATS in their last six games heading into tonight's contest. That includes a 3-1 S/U & ATS road trip they just finished. The Raptors are making a long road trip to play on the West coast and if Leonard misses tonight I like the host even more in this spot. Take the Kings plus the points. |
|||||||
11-07-18 | Ohio -4.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 28-30 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Ohio dismantled Western Michigan last week, beating the Broncos 59-14 on the road. The Bobcats grabbed six turnovers and committed none. They had 420 total yards to just 270. Miami lost last week at Buffalo, 42-51 in a shootout. Miami played Buffalo pretty even in stats, but just couldn't get there to cover the 7.5-point dog line. Last year, Ohio won this meeting with ease, 45-28 as 7-point favorites. The Cats actually had fewer yards in the game, but had two takeaways to zero turnovers. Ohio is the 25th ranked offense in the country and has 52 Redzone trips this year with 37 TD's. Compare that to Miami's 92nd ranked offense that has only 34 redzone trips and 26 TD's. This one looks to be another shootout, but Ohio is the best team and that's who I'm on tonight. Play Ohio U. |
|||||||
11-06-18 | Duke v. Kentucky -1 | Top | 118-84 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
Opening night of the college basketball season and we are already treated to a marquee matchup here tonight between Duke and Kentucky. This is part of the Champion's Classic from Indianapolis that also features Michigan State and Kansas. Duke had a great recruiting class, landing three top prospects in RJ Barrett, Cam Reddish and Zion Williamson. Kentucky also has some great incoming freshmen including Immanuel Quickley. The difference in this one, the experience of Kentucky. Might take a few games for all this new talent to jell in Duke, but Kentucky returns more experienced players. Sit back, enjoy a great matchup here and take Kentucky. |
|||||||
11-06-18 | Louisiana Tech +10 v. Wichita State | 71-58 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show | |
Opening night in college hoops means a lot of sports going on these days. Today, I am looking at La Tech for one main reason. The Bulldogs had some extra practice time in some Costa Rica exhibition games. Any extra practice these teams can get in before the start of the season is big. Plus, Wichita State is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games and 0-7 ATS in the last seven overall. Can't go crazy in these early games, but there's value in Louisiana Tech tonight. |
|||||||
11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
The Tennessee Titans have lost three straight games after going to London two weeks ago and losing to the Chargers, 19-20. A bit of controversy as the Titans went for two at the end of the game rather than the tie to send the game into overtime. This Titans' club not scoring much, they have more than 20 points just one time in their seven games. Meanwhile, Amari Cooper is expected to make his Cowboys debut tonight. Many believe instant impact will come with his arrival in Big D. The Cowboys lost that big NFC rivalry game two weeks ago to the Redskins. Good news is that the Redskins lost today at home to the Falcons. A win tonight by the Cowboys and they are just one game back in a crowded NFC East. Both these clubs in the bottom five in total offense, though Dallas looking to improve that now that they have a legitimate threat at wide receiver. Dallas does have the better defense, ranked third in the NFL. The Titans are only 11-23 ATS in their last 34 road games. The Cowboys are 13-6 ATS their last 19 following a bye week. I like the fact that the Cowboys have finally got a good threat at wide out. That will take pressure off the running game and I expect to see a bump in Dak Prescott too. Play Dallas. |
|||||||
11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints +1.5 | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 71 h 29 m | Show | |
This is the game of the week as far as I'm concerned. Two of the best in the NFC meet here on Sunday in New Orleans. The 8-0 Rams will put it on the line against the Saints. The Rams survived last week vs the Packers, which ultimately cost Ty Montgomery his job with the Packers after fumbling a kickoff late in the games. Which of course led to the infamous kneel down by Todd Gurley instead of going into the endzone and as a result much money changed hands among bettors and books. That being said, the Saints have been 6-0 since their opening week loss to Tampa Bay. They are coming off a nice road win at Minnesota, 30-20. They also won the previous week on the road at Baltimore, 24-23, two impressive road victories. Now they return home and look to give the Rams their first loss. The Saints are a small favorite, 1 or 2 right now. Which really, you just need to figure out who is going to win. I'm taking the Saints. They have much more to prove in this game and lets face it, they want to be the blemish on the Rams schedule. So take the Saints and enjoy a great game. |
|||||||
11-04-18 | Chargers v. Seahawks | 25-17 | Loss | -115 | 71 h 10 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks have no real chance of winning the NFC West as they trail the Rams by 3.5 games. However, in a bunched up West, a Wildcard is a definite goal for this team. They need to face the 5-2 Chargers here on Sunday first. The Seahawks have won two straight after narrowly losing to the Rams three weeks ago. They have also covered three straight games. The defense has played much better, holding their last two opponents to just 17 total points. The Chargers just got past the Titans two weeks ago in London, 20-19. The Titans opting for a two-point win at the end of the game instead of tying and playing for OT. The Chargers had last week off to prepare for today's game. The Chargers have the 6th ranked offense and the 16th ranked defense. The Chargers are now 3-8 ATS their last 11 vs a team with a winning record. They are also 3-8 ATS their last 11 after a bye week. I'm sticking with the Seahawks at home here on Sunday as they defense has been playing much better. |
|||||||
11-04-18 | Steelers +3 v. Ravens | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 68 h 4 m | Show | |
Have to wonder how the broken finger in the non-throwing hand of Steelers QB Ben Roethlesberger is going to affect him here today. He's going to have to face the top ranked defense in the league on the road. The Ravens allow just 196 passing yards per game, which is 2nd best in the league. The Steelers now have the 4th best offense with 318 yards passing per game. Pittsburgh is coming off that home win over Cleveland last week, 33-18. It was the club's third straight win and cover. The Ravens looks to snap their two game losing streak after losses to New Orleans and the Carolina Panthers. The road team is 4-0 ATS the last four in this series and the dog is 6-1-1 ATS the last eight. Pittsburgh has also been very good on the road, covering 24 of the last 32 away games. Pitt gets about a field goal here on Sunday. The Ravens have been struggling and I don't see that improving here on Sunday. Take Pittsburgh. |
|||||||
11-04-18 | Utah State -19 v. Hawaii | 56-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Utah State looks to be the class of the Mountain West this year as they have scored 40 points or more six of their eight games. They have also covered seven of their eight games with their only straight up loss coming opening week at Michigan State, 31-38. The Aggies dismantled New Mexico last week, 61-19. Utah State has the 19th ranked offense in the country. Hawaii started the season 3-0 SU 2-1 ATS. Since then, the Rainbow Warriors are 2-5 S/U and 1-5-1 ATS. Hawaii lost last week at Fresno, 20-50. Hawaii is just 8-22 ATS their last 30 vs a team with a winning record and 14-39-1 ATS their last 54 in the Mountain West Conference. Plus, they have covered just five of their last 27 home games. The Aggies have covered the last four in this series and I look for that again here on Saturday. Play Utah State. |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Louisiana Tech +23.5 v. Mississippi State | 3-45 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
Louisiana Tech has won three straight games S/U and is 2-1 ATS. The Bulldogs are coming off a road win as a 3.5 point dog to Florida Atlantic, 21-13. The team is now 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS in its five road games. Tech has a solid defense, ranking 35th nationally. Mississippi State ranks 71st offensively and 6th defensively. The MSU Bulldogs allow just a 46.1% redzone efficiency this season. MSU is coming off a home win over A&M, 28-13 following the heals of their loss at LSU, 3-19. The Bullodgs offense has been held to 7 points or fewer in three of the last five games. La Tech is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games and 37-17 ATS in the last 54 road games. This game should be a good defensive battle, but MSU laying way too many with the 23.5-point line. La Tech has already proved they can stand toe-to-toe with the likes of LSU, this line should be easy for them to cover. Take La Tech |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Tulane +6 v. South Florida | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
South Florida dropped from the ranks of the unbeaten last week, losing big at Houston 36-57. The Bulls have now covered just one time in their last six games and twice in eight games this season. The Bulls are also 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs a team with a losing record. Tulane is coming off a road win at Tulsa, 24-17 as 2.5-point road dogs. The Green Wave lost at home to South Florida last season, 28-34, so looking for a bit of revenge here today. Expect a shootout in this one as both teams can put up points. I'll take the six-points with the road dog Tulane today. |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Georgia Southern -6.5 v. UL-Monroe | Top | 25-44 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
Georgia Southern improved to 7-1 with a big win last week over Appalachian State, 34-14. The Eagles were a 9-point home dog in that game, their fifth win in a row. In addition, Ga Southern has covered seven of their eight games this year. The only loss for the team was at Clemson in week three, 7-38. UL Monroe is coming off a win at home over Texas State, 20-14 as 11-point favorites. It was the club's second win in a row. However, they are just 2-5 ATS on the season. In addition, Monroe is just 9-23-1 ATS in its last 33 home games. Georgia Southern laying 6 1/5 or 7 here and that's a good number for me. Take Georgia Southern. |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Michigan State -2.5 v. Maryland | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Michigan State is coming off a big win at home last week against Purdue, 23-13. The Spartans rebounded from their previous week's loss to Michigan, 7-21. Michigan State's offense is just 105th ranked while Maryland is 91st. Michigan State is 40th defensively while Maryland is 29th. The Spartans have been very good on the road, especially versus teams with winning home records - evidenced by their 19-9-2 ATS mar the the last 30. Conversely, the Terrapins are just 4-12 ATS vs a team with a winning record and 6-23 ATS their last 29 games following a ATS win. The Spartans are laying three points here and I'm going to take them over Maryland. |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Louisville v. Clemson -38.5 | 16-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Louisville has really not had much of a defense this year, allowing 160 points over their last three games. Now the Cardinals have to face the NO 2 ranked team in the country and 8-0 Clemson. Clemson should have little problems posting big numbers in this game as the the Tigers have scored 59, 41 and 63 in their last three games - all covers. The defense is stellar, holding each of the last three opponents to 10 points or fewer. In fact, the defense ranks third nationally while Louisville ranks 102nd. Louisville is just 7-20 ATS in its last 27 games and with their terrible defense, it's going to be a long game today. Take Clemson. |
|||||||
11-02-18 | Western Kentucky v. Middle Tennessee State -13.5 | 10-29 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky lost last week to Florida International, 17-38. The Hilltoppers are now 1-7 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season, though they have lost three straight vs the number. Middle Tennessee State (MTS) is coming off a blowout win over Old Dominion, 51-17. It was the club's fourth win in the last five games with the only loss a three point road setback at Florida International. MTS will be looking for a bit of revenge after losing to the Hilltoppers last year in Western Kentucky, 38-41. This has been a home team series of late, with the host covering the last four meetings. MTS is far and above the better team here. I like them in a blowout win. Take Middle Tennessee State. |
|||||||
11-01-18 | Raiders +3 v. 49ers | 3-34 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
Raiders lost their third straight game last week at home to the Colts, 28-42. The game was close through three quarters, but the Colts blew it open in the 4th. The Raiders also dealt WR Amari Cooper before the trade deadline to the Dallas Cowboys. Looks like the Raiders are stock piling their draft picks for the future. But this season isn't even half over yet. So tonight they take on their rivals from across the bay, San Francisco. Oakland ranks 17th in the NFL in offense while the 49ers are 22nd. The Niners are the better defense, ranked 17th compared to the Raiders 26th ranking. These clubs have only met one time in the last five years and that was a Oakland win at home, 24-13. No real history here of late, but you can bet no matter what the records of these clubs, this will be a hard fought game. I'm going to take the points here with the Raiders which is around a field goal. Take Oakland. |
|||||||
11-01-18 | Ohio -3 v. Western Michigan | 59-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Ohio had an easy time last week at home against Ball State, winning 52-14 as 11-point favorites. The Bobcats have a great rushing attack that accounted for 411 yards last week. Ohio has the 22nd ranked offense in the country, averaging a balanced 234 yards rushing and 235 yards passing per game. They also have a 77.7 redzone efficiency rating, scoring 30 TD's in 43 attempts this season. Western Michigan is coming off a home loss to Toledo last week, 24-51. The Broncos saw their six game win streak snapped. The Broncos have not done that well for bettors though, covering just one of the last five games. Ohio is now 13-6 ATS in its last 19 road games and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 conference games. Have to lay a small price here on the road, but I like Ohio to win tonight. Play Ohio U. |
|||||||
10-31-18 | Pistons v. Nets -2.5 | 119-120 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons visit Brooklyn tonight to face the Nets. The Pistons are 4-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS. Meanwhile, the Nets are 2-5 S/U and 4-3 ATS. The Pistons have lost two straight games and are 1-2 ATS their last three games. Pistons are in one of those tough, back-to-back spots here tonight. The Pistons are 2-5 ATS when in this spot with no rest. In addition, the Nets are in a revenge spot. The Nets are 5-2 ATS when they have had one day of rest. The Nets have owned this series of late, going 12-4 ATS the last 16 meetings with the Pistons and 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings in Brooklyn. Take the NETS tonight. |
|||||||
10-30-18 | Clippers +2.5 v. Thunder | 110-128 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder finally got their first win of the season after losing their first four games. The Thunder beat Phoenix at home, 117-110 as 13.5 point favorites. The Thunder have lost four straight vs the spread. The Clippers have won two straight both S/U and ATS and four of their last five S/U and ATS. The Clippers are now 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 road games. Meanwhile, OKC is just 2-8-1 ATS their last 11 at home. Clippers playing much better right now then the Thunder are. Plus we get a few points with the Clippers here. I'm taking the LA Clippers. |
|||||||
10-28-18 | Packers +9 v. Rams | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show | |
Never in the career of Aaron Rodgers has he come into a game this big an underdog. The Packers got a much needed week off last week. That gave Rodgers another week to rest his knee and also maybe get back one of his wide receivers in Randal Cobb. The Packers had a tough game before the break against a stubborn 49ers club that nearly beat them, 33-30. This is a big game for Packers as they trail the Vikings in the NFC North by just one game. The LA Rams looks to keep their unbeaten streak alive today. The Rams are 7-0 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a blowout win over the 49ers, 39-10. The spread win snapped a two-game spread losing streak. The Packers have covered the last five in this series and I just believe this is too many points to give a Packers team and Rodgers after they had an extra week to prepare. Take Green Bay. |
|||||||
10-28-18 | 49ers -1.5 v. Cardinals | 15-18 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
The 49ers have been playing well under backup QB Beathard. Well, until last week when they had to play at the Rams, arguably the best team in the NFL. Once they fell behind, it was tough to generate much of any offense. The 49ers lost the week before at Green Bay, 30-33 and gave the Packers all they could handle. It's been a very disappointing season for the Cardinals, with just one win on the season. So much so, they canned their offensive coordinator and brought in a new one. The offense had scored over 17 points just one time this season. The new OC promises to get running back Johnson more involved in the game plan. That will remain to be seen. As for today, I don't see the new OC making much impact so soon. The 49ers have been playing the much better football and while I believe the Cardinals will improve with their new OC, I don't see that here today. I'm taking the 49ers. |
|||||||
10-28-18 | Seahawks +3 v. Lions | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks had last week off. They week prior, they had little trouble with the Oakland Raiders, winning on the road, 27-3. That came on the heals of their big effort and near upset of the Rams, 31-33. The Seahawks seem to be improving each week. Now they travel to Detroit to take on the Lions. The Lions are coming off a road win last week at Miami, 32-21. It was the team's second win in a row and their fifth cover in a row. Detroit is ranked 10th in offense while Seattle is ranked 6th in defense. The Lions don't usually do well after scoring 30 points or more, evidenced by their 7-19-2 ATS mark their last 28 in that spot. I like the field goal I'm getting here with the Hawks, since I look for them to win this game outright. Play Seattle. |
|||||||
10-28-18 | Ravens v. Panthers +3 | 21-36 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
What am amazing comeback win for the Panthers last week on the road at Philadelphia. Trailing by 17-points in the fourth quarter, the Panthers rallied for 21 unanswered points behind Cam Newton for the win. The win helped to forget the loss the week before to Washington, 17-23. The win also kept the Panthers just one game back of the Saints in the NFC South. Meanwhile, the Ravens suffered a home loss to the Saints last week, 23-24. The Saints also rallying to come back and win that game. Now the Ravens have to go on the road where they have lost at Cincinnati, won at Pittsburgh, lost at Cleveland and beat Tennessee. They are just 2-2 on the road and don't play nearly as well. I'm a bit surprised that the Panthers are a home dog here. The Ravens are not nearly as good on the road and the Panthers playing with a lot of confidence after last week's win. I like the Panthers in this spot. Play Carolina. |
|||||||
10-27-18 | Rice v. North Texas -30 | 17-41 | Loss | -103 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
Rice has seen its offense abandon the club here lately, scoring just 20 points total in the last three games, all blowout losses. The Owls are now 1-7 S/U and 3-5 ATS on the season. The problem is, that once this team gets down, they are not the kind of club that can come from behind. That's going to be a problem here again for Rice today against a very good North Texas team. NTU is 6-2 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. You can expect North Texas to be looking for a blowout here today after losing at UAB last week, 21-29. It was the lowest scoring output this season for NTU. I don't see this one being close at all. NTU in a blowout win here on Saturday. |
|||||||
10-27-18 | Iowa +6 v. Penn State | 24-30 | Push | 0 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
Iowa has been a bettor's friend this year, covering six of its seven games. The Hawkeyes have a very good defense, ranked 3rd in overall yardage in the nation. Only Michigan and Miami-Florida allow fewer yards per game than Iowa. The only blemish on the Hawkeyes' schedule was that 17-28 home loss to Wisconsin. Penn State comes into today's game with a 5-2 S/U record and 4-3 ATS mark. The Nittany Lions are coming off a win at Indiana, 33-28 as 14-point road favorites. Penn State ranks 71st in total defense and 15th in offense. Iowa has now covered eight of its last nine games overall. This game will match the Iowa defense vs the Penn State offense. I like the 5-to-6 points the Hawkeyes are receiving. Play Iowa. |
|||||||
10-27-18 | South Florida v. Houston -8 | 36-57 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
No 21 South Florida brings a perfect 7-0 record into today's contest at Houston. The Bulls are just 2-5 ATS though. If you don't think that this perfect record for USF will have Houston primed, then you are wrong. The Cougars have lost just once this year and look to put a loss on the Bulls record. The Bulls have been fortunate this year, as four of their last five games have been decided by one possession. South Florida can't keep winning games the way they have and today is the day I look for Houston and their 6-1 record to take down this undefeated team. I don't think it will even be close. I'm taking Houston in a blowout win. |
|||||||
10-27-18 | Oregon State v. Colorado -24 | 41-34 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
Oregon State has struggled, losing four straight both S/U and ATS. The Beavers have allowed at least 35 points in those last four losses and their defense is ranked 129th out of 130 teams in the nation. Colorado started the season 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS, but has since lost at USC 20-31 and at Washington, 13-27. The Buffaloes have played well though, even in those losses. Unlike Oregon State, the Buffaloes are ranked 37th defensively and 51st offensively. OSU is now 0-8 ATS in its last eight conference games. I like Colorado to be able to score pretty much at will here tonight and cover this big number. Play Colorado. |
|||||||
10-26-18 | Bucks +1 v. Wolves | 125-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are to a great start at 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS this season. They are averaging 119.5 ppg while allowing 108.5 ppg. They face the Minnesota T'Wolves who are 2-3 both S/U and ATS. The Bucks are led by the "Greek Freek", Giannis Antetokoumpo. GA had a triple-double and 32 points in their win vs the Sixers, 123-108. Giannis now averages a team-high 28.5 ppg. I like the Bucks here today. They are playing great and Giannis is his old "Greek Freak" self. Play the Bucks. |
|||||||
10-26-18 | Louisiana Tech +3.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
La Tech has already showed they can play with the big boys when they gave LSU all it could handle earlier in the season. Florida Atlantic suffering more injuries as they lost one of their best defensive players and their starting QB is hurting. FAU is coming off a loss at Marshall, 7-31 as a favorite. La Tech has won two straight after last week's win over UTEP, 31-24. La Tech will have revenge on it's mind today after last year's beating they took from FAU, 23-48. Especially with FAU piling on the score at the end of that game. I like the points here today with Louisiana Tech. |
|||||||
10-25-18 | Appalachian State -10 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
Appalachian State failed to cover a spread for the first time this season in their last game, a 25-17 home win over La Lafayette. App St couldn't cover the 24.5 point line, now making them 5-1 ATS and 5-1 S/U. This App St team has a very good defense, allowing nine point or less in four of their six games this season. App St has the 8th ranked defense in the country and a very good redzone efficiency of just 58.1%. This club is also excellent offensively, ranking 18th in the country in total offense with a 79.1% redzone efficiency. Can't say the say for Ga Southern, which ranks 110th offensively and 53rd defensively. App State is now 9-1 ATS their last 10 games and 6-0 ATS their last six games vs a winning team. The favorite has covered the last four in this series and I look for App State to score a lot of points here and cover this game. Take App St |
|||||||
10-25-18 | Blazers v. Magic +3.5 | 128-114 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
Portland brings a 2-1 S/U and ATS record into tonight's game at Orland. The Blazers are averaging 124.3 ppg while giving up 117.3 ppg. This will be the Blazers first road game after playing the first three at home. Orlando started the season at home with a pair of games, a win over Miami 104-101 and then a loss to Charlotte, 88-120. They hit the road for the next two, just losing to the Sixers, 115-116 and then an upset win at Boston, 93-90 as 11-point road dogs. The Magic have covered three of their four games this season. The Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games and 2-5 ATS their last seven overall. The Magic showed they can play anywhere with that road win over Boston and nearly a road win over the Sixers. I'll take the points here at home with Orlando. |
|||||||
10-23-18 | Clippers v. Pelicans -6.5 | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
The Clippers have started the season at 2-1 both S/U and ATS. The Clippers opened the season with a loss at home to Denver, 98-107 and then have two straight on their home court against Oklahoma City and Houston. Gone are star offensive players like Griffin and Paul. Now, LA concentrates on defense as all the All-Stars have departed. While this team won't likely have aspirations of a NBA title, they should be decent. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are undefeated in two games, including covering the spread in both outings. They have also gone crazy scoring, with an average of 140 ppg and 120.5 ppg against. New Orleans beat Houston to start the year 131-112 and followed that with a win over Sacramento, 149-129. The Pelicans are 23-7 ATS their last 30 vs the Western Conference. They are also 19-7 ATS in their last 26 overall. The Pelicans have also covered 15 of the last 20 vs the Clipper in New Orleans. Don't see how LA can contain this high flying Pelicans team tonight. Play New Orleans. |
|||||||
10-22-18 | Wizards v. Blazers -4.5 | 125-124 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Portland is off to a 2-0 start to the season, outscoring their opponents by a 124.5 to 113.5 margin. The Blazers opened with a win over the Spurs, 121-108 and then beat the Lakers at home, 128-119. Washington still looking for its first win of the young season at 0-2 both S/U and ATS. The Wizards opened with a loss at Toronto, 113-117 and then a loss at home to Miami, 112-113. The Wizards are now 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games and 0-4 ATS overall their last four. Meanwhile, Portland is 21-6-1 ATS their last 28 home games. I like the home team here, play Portland. |
|||||||
10-21-18 | Rams v. 49ers +10 | 39-10 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers displayed a quick strike ability in their passing attack last Monday night at Green Bay. The Niners lost a game they could have easily won, 30-33 as 9-point road dogs. Now they return home to take on the undefeated Rams. The Rams have lost their last two vs the number, beating Seattle by just two points and then at Denver last week by just three points. The Rams are the best offense in the league, averaging 464 yards per game. San Francisco isn't bad though, ranked 13th. Defensively, the Rams aren't quite as good as many thought they would be at the start of the season, ranking 11th while the Niners are 19th. The Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings with the 49ers and 1-4 ATS in their last five at San Francisco. I like the points here tonight. The Rams haven't blown out either of their last two teams and the Niners can throw the ball. Play San Francisco. |
|||||||
10-21-18 | Panthers +5.5 v. Eagles | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
Philadelphia finally put it all together in their last game, beating the Giants 34-13. It was only the team's second cover against four losses this season. It was also the Eagles' highest point output of the season. Now they return home to face the Panthers. Carolina lost at Washington last week, 17-23. The loss snapped a 2-game win streak for Carolina. Both these teams are evenly matched both on offense and defense. The Panthers are 10-4 ATS their last 14 games following an ATS loss. They are also 5-0 ATS their last five off a straight up loss. Getting 5 or 5.5 here with the Panthers. Carolina can win this game outright, so the points are a bonus. Play Carolina. |
|||||||
10-21-18 | Patriots v. Bears +2 | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
The Bears saw their three-game win streak snapped last week at Miami, 28-31. The Bears didn't know Tannehill wasn't going play. So they prepared for Tannehill, but got Osweiller. Still, the Bears had opportunities to win that game. Now they return home to play the high flying Patriots. The Pats really got it rolling their last three weeks, beating Miami 38-7, then the Colts 38-24 and then winning a shootout last week against the Chiefs, 43-40. Of course, all three of those games were at home. In their two road games this year, they lost at Jacksonville and lost at Detroit. The Bears have now gone 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall. The home team has covered five of the last six in this series. And with the Patriots playing on the road where they have looked totally different this year, I'm taking the Bears today. |
|||||||
10-21-18 | Titans v. Chargers -6.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Early start here on Sunday as the Titans and Chargers will face off from London, England. The Chargers are the 7th best offense in the league led by QB Phillip Rivers. He has plenty of targets plus the running of RB Gordon. Tennessee has struggled offensively, ranked just 30th in the league. The Chargers are coming off a blowout win at Cleveland, 38-14. It was the team's third win in a row and their second cover in a row. The Titans were shut out at home last week against Baltimore, 0-21. They have now scored 20 points or fewer in all but one of their six games. The Titans are now 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs the Chargers. The favorite has also covered three of the last four with one push. I don't see the Titans being able to contain both Gordon's rushing and Rivers' passing. Take LA. |
|||||||
10-21-18 | Nevada +3 v. Hawaii | 40-22 | Win | 100 | 35 h 30 m | Show | |
Late night game here as Nevada makes the trip over the ocean to play at Hawaii. Nevada almost pulled out the upset win at home last week, narrowly losing to Boise State, 27-31 as 14-point dogs. The Wolfpack has won three of their last five games and covered two of the last three. Hawaii started the season 3-0, but since then has gone 2-3 S/U and 1-3-1 ATS. The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a blowout loss at BYU, 23-49 as 10.5-point dogs. The Wolfpack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games. Hawaii is 7-22 ATS vs a team with a losing record and 6-21 ATS at home the last 27 vs a losing team. They are also 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 overall home games. Nevada has covered five of the last six in this series and I look for that again here Saturday night / Sunday morning. Play Nevada. |
|||||||
10-20-18 | USC v. Utah -7 | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 31 h 35 m | Show | |
PAC-12 matchup has USC playing at Utah. Utah has been hitting on all cylinders of late, trouncing Arizona last time out, 42-10 and Stanford the week before, 40-21. The Utes only two losses were at home against highly ranked Washington, 7-21 and at Washington State, 24-28. USC has won three straight after opening the season 1-2. The Trojans are coming off a win over Colorado, 31-20. USC has covered two straight games after starting 0-4 vs the number. The big difference between these two teams is that Utah is ranked 9th in the country in total defense. They also have a very good redzone efficiency rating of 49.1%, holding opponents to just seven TD's in 16 redzone trips. USC is just 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 games and 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 road games. Utah is 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 vs a winning team. The home team has also covered six of the last seven in this series. I'm taking Utah. |
|||||||
10-20-18 | Oregon v. Washington State -2.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 59 m | Show |
|
|||||||
10-20-18 | Wake Forest v. Florida State -9.5 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show | |
Florida State did everything it could to pull out the big upset win two weeks ago at their rival, Miami. The Seminoles led a good portion of the way before giving up the ghost late and losing 27-28 as 14-point dogs. The Seminoles have been playing much better since starting the season 1-2. They have scored at least 27 points in four of their six games and covered two of the last three. Wake Forest also had last week off to stew over the thumping they took at the hands of Clemson, 3-63. Wake has a descent offense, ranked 38th in total offense. However, their rezone efficiency is not that good, scoring 16 TD's in 31 redzone trips. The Deamon Decons are ranked 123rd in defense and have one of the worst redzone efficiencies, allowing 14 TD's in 15 trips. Wake Forest has covered just one of its last eight games overall. The home team has also gone 5-2-1 ATS the last eight in this series. I like Florida State who has been much improved in recent weeks. Play Florida State. |
|||||||
10-20-18 | Tulsa v. Arkansas -5.5 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
Arkansas has covered three straight games, yet they have lost six straight up games in a row. The Razorbacks defense has not been good, but you also have to remember this team plays against SEC opponents. They have given up 65 to Alabama, 34 to Auburn and 37 to Ole Miss. By virtue of playing these powerhouse teams, the Razorbacks are ranked 101st in defense. Tulsa opened the season with a win over Central Arkansas, 38-27. Since then, the Golden Hurricanes have lost five straight games. They have covered the last two however and three of the last five. Tulsa is ranked 78th in defense. Neither one of these clubs will be going to a bowl. However, when you look at the level of competition, Arkansas has played a much tougher group of teams. This game will be like a week off for the Hogs and I'm taking them here on Saturday laying less than a TD. Play Arkansas. |
|||||||
10-20-18 | Michigan v. Michigan State +7.5 | 21-7 | Loss | -129 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
Huge rivalry game here as Michigan State hosts their rivals, Michigan. Michigan opened the season with a loss at Notre Dame, 17-24. Since then, they are 6-0 S/U and 4-2 ATS. They have done this with the nation's 2nd overall ranked defense. The Wolverines allow just 238 yards on the season. The one knock would be they have a fairly high redzone efficiency of 80.6%, allowing 10 TD's in 14 redzone trips. Michigan State is coming off a huge road win last week over Penn State, 21-17 as 13.5-point dogs. The Spartans are now 4-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. Here is the amazing fact in this series. The Spartans have covered the last 10 years against Michigan. That's right, they are 9-1 S/U and 10-0 ATS the last 10 years! To say they have the Wolverine's number would be an under-statment. I'm not going to buck this trend, especially at home getting a touchdown. Take Michigan State. |
|||||||
10-19-18 | Colorado State +24 v. Boise State | 28-56 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Boise State looked to be the odds on favorite to win the Mountain West this year. However, after a 2-0 start that saw the team outscore those opponents 118-27, they have fallen on hard times. The Broncos are just 2-2 S/U and 1-3 ATS since those opening two wins. In fact, they struggled at home against San Diego State two weeks ago, losing 13-19 as 13-point favorites. Then last week they barely survived at Nevada, winning 31-27 as 14-point favorites. Colorado State started the season with two straight losses. However, they have played much better of late, winning their last two games over New Mexico and San Jose State. The Rams are not nearly as good as previous editions of this team, but they have showed improvement as the season has progressed. The Rams are now 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs a winning team. The Broncos are just 9-24 ATS their last 33 at home vs a team with a losing record. They are also 4-14 ATS their last 18 home games. I like the points here tonight with the Rams. Play Colorado State. |
|||||||
10-19-18 | Knicks v. Nets -3.5 | 105-107 | Loss | -123 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
The Knicks bring a 1-0 record into tonight's game at their rival Brooklyn tonight. The Knicks won at home in their opener against the Hawks, 126-107, covering the 4-point line. The Nets lost their opener on Wednesday at Detroit, 100-103, but covered the 6-point line. Good news for the Nets here as Allen Crabbe and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson may both return for this contest. Crabbe set a franchise record with 201 three-pointers last season. Jefferson could also return tonight after missing the preseason. The Knicks scored 72 first-half points in their win against the Hawks. The Knicks started with a 3-guard lineup, led by Tim Hardaway Jr. If the Nets can get these two players back tonight, I like them in this spot. Play Brooklyn. |
|||||||
10-18-18 | Stanford -2.5 v. Arizona State | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Stanford looks to rebound from a lopsided loss loss to Utah, 21-40. The Cardinal were without their top player in Bryce Love. Love missed that Utah game with a ankle injury, but looks ready to return tonight. With Love back, the Cardinal attack looks to get back on the winning track tonight after losses to Notre Dame and Utah. Arizona State had that big week 2 win over Michigan State, 16-13 and since then has gone 1-4 S/U and 2/2 ATS. The Sun Devils have struggled, scoring 21, 20 and 21 in their last three losses. The lone win in the last four games was a blowout home win over Oregon State, 52-24. The Cardinal have usually done well following a loss, evidenced by their 14-4 ATS mark their last 18 in this spot. With Love returning tonight I like Stanford to get back to winning. Play Stanford. |
|||||||
10-18-18 | Broncos v. Cardinals +1.5 | 45-10 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
Arizona lost last week at Minnesota, 17-27, though they did push the 10-point line. They have now covered three of their last four with a push. After a rough start to the season that saw the Cardinals give up 58 points in their first two weeks, they have played solid defense, allowing more than 20 points just one time in their last four games. The Cardinals still have the last ranked offense in the league and the 24th ranked defense, though they have played much better. Denver has now lost their last four games after starting the season 2-0. The Broncos lost at home last week to the Rams, 20-23. You have to wonder how much longer head coach Vance Joseph will be around. Despite adding Case Keenum at QB, the offense has produced more than 20 points just one time this season and that was opening week. The Cardinals are a slight dog here on Thursday. I see this as two teams headed in opposite directions with the Broncos sliding down while the Cardinals look to be improving. I'm taking the Cardinals here on Thursday. |
|||||||
10-16-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -4.5 | 87-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics suffered a lot of injuries last season and still made a very good run into the playoffs. This year, hopes are high for the Celtics who are one of the favorites to win the Eastern Conference. The Celtics came up one game short of the NBA finals last year with a depleted roster. That roster is full and healthy to start this season as Kyrie Irving, Gordon Howard and Daniel Theis all look to rebound from injuries. The Celtics beat the 76ers in last year's semi finals, 4 games to 1. The 76ers had a young team last year that really came into their own. I think this game will be tight, but with the Celtics back at full strength I look for them to cover this five-point spread. Take Boston. |
|||||||
10-15-18 | 49ers v. Packers -9 | 30-33 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
The 49ers lost last week at home to the Cardinals, 18-28 as three-point home favorites. The 49ers season pretty much was blown with the loss of QB Jimmy Garoppolo. Now they rely on CJ Beathard. Beathard ins't bad, but this team really isn't good. They scored 10 points less than Arizona despite having 40 more offensive plays. Of course, the five turnovers they had didn't help. Green Bay meanwhile lost at Detroit, 23-31. They fell behind early and could never catch up. Aaron Rodgers threw for 423 yards, but the Packers magic just didn't happen. Green Bay's offense still ranks 10th in the NFL while San Francisco's is 15th. The Packers have covered the last two meetings with the 49ers in 20015 and 2014. Moreover, the Packers are now 11-4-2 ATS their last 17 meetings with the 49ers. I like the Packers here tonight against a 49ers team that has to start thinking of next year. Play Green Bay. |
|||||||
10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 107 h 32 m | Show | |
Huge matchup here as the 5-0 Kansas City Chiefs take on the New England Patriots. The Chiefs have had an amazing first quarter of the season, covering all five games and going over in three of the five. The Chiefs offense has scored at least 27 points in each game. As good as their offense is, the defense is ranked last in the NFL in yards with 462 per game. That will be tested here this week against Tom Brady and Company. The Patriots started the season 1-2, but since then have beaten Miami 38-7 and last week the Colts 38-24. The offense has scored 76 points over the last two weeks and should do well again here vs the last place defense of the Chiefs. The Pats are laying 3.5 points here and while that may seem like a great take for the undefeated Chiefs, I like the Patriots. Once Tom Brady and Bill Belichick get rolling, they steam roll over teams. I think this is the week for the Chiefs to come back to earth and lose. Take New England. |
|||||||
10-14-18 | Ravens v. Titans +3 | 21-0 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
The Titans come into today's game with a 3-2 S/U and ATS record. They are coming off a last second loss at Buffalo last week, 12-13. If not for that last second loss, the team would be 4-1 and alone at the top of the AFC South standings. As it is now, the Titans are tied with the Jaguars for the AFC South lead, one game ahead of Houston. The Ravens are in 2nd place in the AFC North, one game behind the Cincinnati Bengals. The Ravens are coming off their OT loss at Cleveland last week, 9-12. The Ravens could manage just three field goals against a under rated Browns defense. The Ravens are now 1-2 S/U and ATS on the road. The Titans are now 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 on the grass. Tennessee is 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games vs the Ravens and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five at Tennessee. I like the Titans here against a Ravens team that has struggled on the road. Play Tennessee. |
|||||||
10-14-18 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Raiders | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks gave the LA Rams all they could handle last week, barely losing 31-33. After opening the season 0-2, the Seahawks have put together three straight impressive games. Now they have to travel to Oakland to take on the reeling Raiders. Oakland got its first win of the season two weeks ago, but came away with a very poor performance last week at the Chargers, losing 10-26. The Raiders have the 6th ranked offense, but the 30th ranked defense. Seattle is 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. The Raiders are 5-12-2 ATS int heir last 19 games overall. The Raiders have the offense to play with anyone, but their defense is a liability. Maybe they should have signed Khalil Mack? Ya think? I'm taking the Seahawks here on Sunday. |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Boise State -16.5 v. Nevada | 31-27 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
Boise State will try and regroup this week after losing at home last week to San Diego State, 13-19. Boise could manage just 229 total yards in that loss despite have 21 more offensive plays then San Diego State. The Broncos did commit three turnovers and will have to cut down on those mistakes here today. Nevada has quietly gone 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS this year. The Wolfpack are coming off a loss at home to Fresno State, 3-21 as 16.5 point dogs.Nevada had 34 more offensive plays in that loss, but could only manage three points. They also outgained Fresno, 327 to 271. The problem came on three turnovers for the Pack. The Broncos usually do well on the road, going 8-2 ATS their last 10 away. Nevada is 1-4 ATS on the season and 8-17 ATS their last 25 games in October. I expect a good team like Boise to rebound here against an overmatched Nevada club. Play Boise State. |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Wisconsin +10 v. Michigan | 13-38 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
Wisconsin saw it's playoff hopes likely gone when they lost at home to unranked BYU a few weeks ago, 21-24 as 23.5 point favorites. The Badgers did bounce back with wins at Iowa and then last week at home vs Nebraska, 41-24. The Badgers are 4-1 S/U and 1-4 ATS on the season. Michigan lost it's opening game of the season at home to Notre Dame, 17-24. Since then they are 5-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS. Michigan has the top ranked overall defense in the country with a 231 yards per game average. Their redzone efficiency isn't the best at 79.1%. Wisconsin ranks 40th in the country in total defense and has a better 61.9% redzone efficiency. The Badgers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Meanwhile, the Wolverines are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs a winning team. I think this game will be much closer than the oddsmakers do. The Badgers currently a 10-point dog. I'll take Wisconsin here on Saturday. |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Army -15 v. San Jose State | 52-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
San Jose State is coming off a loss at home to Colorado State, 30-42 as three-point dogs. They are now 3-2 ATS and 0-5 S/U on the season. They have allowed at least 31 points in ever game and over 40 points in three of their five games. Meanwhile, Army has been a very good team all season, posting a 3-2 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS mark. The Black Knights are coming off a impressive win at Buffalo, 42-13 as seven-point road dogs. The Knights played Oklahoma very tough the week before, losing just 21-28 at Norman as 30-point dogs. Army is now 5-2 ATS in its last seven road gaems and 4-1-1 ATS in its last six non-conference games. San Jose is just 4-9 ATs in their last 13 at home vs a winning team and 2-6-1 ATS their last nine games following a ATS loss. I like Army here, they are a much better class of team and it will show today. Play Army. |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Washington v. Oregon +3.5 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
Oregon rebounded nicely from that devastating loss at home three weeks ago to the Stanford Cardinal, 31-38. They had that game in hand before some strange events led to that loss. Still, Oregon has the 15th rated offense behind Heisman hopeful quarterback Justin Herbert. Oregon has scored at least 31 points in all five of their games this season. Washington opened the season with that loss at Auburn, 16-21. Since then, they are 5-0 S/U and 2-3 ATS. The Huskies had some trouble last week with UCLA, winning just 31-24 as 21.5 point road favorites. The defense has been very good, ranked 14th and allowing 24 points or fewer in every game this season. This game promises to highlight the Oregon offense vs the Washington defense. Oregon had the week off to prepare for this game. I like the Ducks here with Hebert at the helm. Play Oregon. |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Louisville v. Boston College -13 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Louisville has struggled offensively this season, ranked just 116th in the country in total offense. They have a decent redzone efficiency, when they get there, with a 70.5% rating. The Cardinals are coming off a drubbing at the hands of Georgia Tech, 31-66. The 31 points did match their season high though. Louisville is just 1-5 ATS and 2-3 S/U on the season. Boston College started the season 3-0, but has gone 1-2 since then. The Eagles are 4-2 ATS on the season. Boston College has the 41st rated offense with 450 yards per game. Louisville is now 3-13 ATS their last 16 games when playing on fieldturf, as they will today. They are also 2-10 ATS against winning teams their last 12 games. Meanwhile, BC is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 10-3-1 ATS their last 14 at home vs a team with a losing record. I like BC here, they have the much better offense and that's what's going to get it done today. Take Boston College |
|||||||
10-12-18 | Air Force v. San Diego State -10.5 | 17-21 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Air Force comes off their big rivalry win over Navy, 35-7. The win was just the second of the season against three losses for the Falcons. Now Air Force must play a very tough San Diego State squad. The Aztecs are also coming off a big road win at Boise State, 19-13. It was the team's fourth straight win after opening the season after a loss at Stanford, 10-31. Air Force has the 96th ranked offense with 371 yards per game while San Diego State is 110th with 350 yards per game. The big difference comes in defense, where San Diego State ranks 17th. They allow a college football 2nd best low of 62 yards rushing per game. Considering that the backbone of this Air Force team is their rushing attack, they will be up against it tonight against one of the best rushing defenses in the county. I like San Diego State to shut down the Falcons ground game here tonight. Play San Diego State. |
|||||||
10-11-18 | Eagles v. Giants +3 | 34-13 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 32 m | Show | |
The NY Giants seem to be in every game this year, but come up just short. They did it again last week, taking a late fourth quarter lead over Carolina, 31-30 before losing on a late field goal, 31-33. The Giants offense ranks just 25th, but they have been much better than that of late. The defense is 12th and is what is keeping them close in these games. Things just keep getting worse for the Eagles. They lost again last week, this time to the Minnesota Vikings, 21-23. Now, they lose starting running back Jay Ajayi for the season with a knee injury. Rumors have it the Eagles are in the trade market for Cardinals back David Johnson or Steelers RB Le'von Bell. The Eagles have also covered just one game this season at 1-4 ATS. Both teams come back on the short week here playing on Thursday night. I think the Giants are healthier and right now look to be the better team. I'll take the Giants as a home dog here on Thursday. Play New York. |
|||||||
10-09-18 | Appalachian State -10 v. Arkansas State | Top | 35-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Appalachian State has covered all four games so far this season and in big fashion. They opened with a tough game at Penn State, giving the Nittany Lions all they could handle in a 38-45 loss as 23.5 point dogs. Then they proceeded to outscore their next three opponents 169-23! Conversely, Arkansas State is 1-4 ATS and has a 3-2 S/U mark. They are coming off a loss at Georgia Southern, 21-28, as 3.5 point road favorites. Ark State will have its hands full with the 11th ranked offense in the country today. Not only that, but their offense will have to face a Appalachian State squad that also has the 6th ranked defense in the country. Sure, you can take that with a grain of salt since they play a weaker than FBS schedule. Still, this is not a good FBS team in Arkansas State. I think this is a very overmatched Arkansas State team here today that will find the going tough. Take Appalachian State. |
|||||||
10-08-18 | Redskins +6 v. Saints | Top | 19-43 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 52 m | Show |
The Redskins have had two weeks to prepare for the Saints, as they had last week off. Washington is 2-1 both S/U and ATS so far after their big win over the Packers, 31-17. Washington is ranked 13th in the NFL in offense with 383 yards per game. It's the defense that has been very good, ranked 3rd in the NFL. The Saints offense is once again very good, ranked 4th in the NFL with 418 yards per game. The defense is ranked 24th, allowing 391 yards per game, of which 311 are through the air. The Saints started the season 0-2, but have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and the Giants. The Redskins have covered the last six in this series and are 4-0 ATS the last four in New Orleans. With the week off to prepare, I like the Redskins here with the points. Play Washington. |
|||||||
10-07-18 | Raiders +6 v. Chargers | Top | 10-26 | Loss | -116 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
Oakland got that much needed first win for Jon Gruden last week at home over the Browns in OT, 45-42. The Browns blew a late lead and the Raiders rallied. The Raiders had come close in just about every game this year, with the exception of the Rams contest on opening day. The Chargers, I fully expected this team to be much better then they have shown thus far. The Chargers did pull out the home win last week over the 49ers, 29-27. However, they were a 10-point favorite, so again they didn't live up to expectations. The Chargers are now 2-2 on the season and 1-3 ATS. The Chargers are now 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. The Raiders have covered seven of the last nine in this series at both San Diego/LA. The dog has also been really good play here, covering 15 of the last 18 meetings. I'm taking the points here with the Raiders who now have that win under their belt. Play Oakland. |
|||||||
10-07-18 | Giants +7 v. Panthers | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
The Giants have pretty much been in every game so far this season. The rebuilding job they did in the off season is evident, though they still have a ways to go. They also need to give Eli Manning more time, as the offensive line has been suspect. Not suspect has been the play of RB Suquon Barkley, who has lived up to every expectation thus far. The Giants are 1-3 S/U and ATS so far, though their play hasn't been reflective of their record. The defense has been much improved this year, ranked 12th in the NFL. Carolina, usually known for its defense, ranks behind the Giants at 14th. Carolina had last week off after beating Cincinnati at home, 31-21 the prior week. The Panthers are 2-1 both S/U and ATS. The dog is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series. In addition, the Giants are 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings. I think the Giants getting 6 1/2 or even 7 here is too many points the way their defense has kept them in games. The Giants have the offensive weapons, they just need to put it all together. Play New York. |
|||||||
10-07-18 | Falcons v. Steelers -3 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Atlanta is in desperate need of a win here today as they have fallen to 1-3 S/U and ATS on the season. The Falcons have given up 80 points in their last two games. Atlanta does have the 7th ranked offense in the NFL with 411 yards per game. But when you have the 27th ranked defense, you can't always outscore the opposition, as they have found out the last two games. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 1-8 ATS in their last nine on grass. Pittsburgh also could use a win here after losing at home to Baltimore last week, 14-26. The Steelers are 1-2-1 on the season and 1-3 ATS. Both teams can look at this game as pivotal if they hope to make the post season. Falcons are not a good grass team and it's always tough playing in Pittsburgh. I'm taking the Steelers here on Sunday |
|||||||
10-07-18 | Packers +1.5 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Green Bay has had to play with QB Aaron Rodgers and his hurt knee all season. Still, Rodgers continues to produce wins as the Packers are now 2-1-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS. If not for that controversial call on Mathews in the Vikings contest, the Pack would be 3-1. The offense has been good, not great, but with Rodgers hurting I'm not surprised they have played more conservatively. The Lions have the 11th ranked offense. The offense is led by Mathew Stafford and once again they have almost no running game to speak of. Detroit has gone over in three of their four games. The Packers have gone over in 21 of their last 27 games, 20 of the last 26 vs the NFC and are 37-17 O/U their last 54 road games. The Lions are 8-3 O/U in their last 11 home games and 8-2 O/U last 10 vs the NFC. The over is 5-0 the last five meetings between these teams. Even though the offenses aren't as good as previous years, I'm taking the OVER here today. |
|||||||
10-06-18 | Notre Dame -6.5 v. Virginia Tech | 45-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
Notre Dame kept their national championship hopes alive with their fifth win last week at home over Stanford, 38-17. The drubbing of ranked Stanford will go a long way to helping them toward an undefeated season. The Irish really have just a season ending road game at USC as their real bump to that undefeated season. Though they can't look past Virginia Tech here today. The Irish have the 48th ranked offense at 442 yards per game and a red zone efficiency rating of 78.6% with 16 TD's in 22 trips. The Irish defense will be tasked with the nation's 27th ranked offense in Va Tech. Tech has 480 yards per game and a red zone efficiency of 79.5%. Va Tech is 3-1 S/U and ATS this season, coming off a 31-14 win at Duke. Tech has the 78th ranked defense, though they have allowed just six TD's in 12 red zone trips this year. This looks to be a very good matchup, but Notre Dame knows how much is on the line with this game. I'm taking the Irish here on Saturday. |
|||||||
10-06-18 | Florida State +14 v. Miami-FL | Top | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
Florida State is 3-2 S/U on the season, but just 1-4 ATS. The Seminoles are coming off a win at Louisville, 28-24, but failed to cover the 5-point spread. Miami is 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS after their win last week at home over North Carolina, 47-10. Miami finally got a win in this season last year, 24-20, snapping a FSU six game wins treak. FSU has also covered three of the last four in this series. Miami is a 14-point favorite here today. Which is strange considering that in the last 16 meetings, this game has been decided by seven points or less 14 times. Personally, I believe this is way too many points to give FSU here today. You can throw out the stats and the records because this is between the two biggest football powers in the state. I'm taking the points here with FSU. |
|||||||
10-06-18 | Iowa -7 v. Minnesota | 48-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
Iowa looks to get back on the winning track after suffering its first loss of the season two weeks ago at home to Wisconsin, 17-28. The Hawkeyes had a week to stew about that loss. They are still 3-1 both S/U and ATS on the season on boast one of the best defenses in the country. Iowa ranks third in the country in total defense, allowing just 261 yards per game. Minnesota is no slouch defensively, allowing a FBS 14th best 300 yards per game. The Golden Gophers are also 3-1 both S/U and ATS and had last week off. Minnesota lost the previous week at Maryland, 13-42, giving up more points to the Terps then they did in the previous three games combined. Iowa is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 road games while Minnesota is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six vs a winning team. The road team is 3-1-1 the last five in this series and that's just what I look for today, an Iowa win and cover. |
|||||||
10-04-18 | Colts v. Patriots -10 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
One thing I realize is that when the Patriots begin to roll, you best get on board or get out of the way. We saw that last week as New England steamrolled over Miami. As for the Colts, they rallied to tie Houston last week and then in OT a 4th and 5 in their own territory didn't work out, giving Houston the ball and the win. It was a controversial move by HC Frank Reich who later stated that he would do that 10 out of 10 times. Well, I'm not sure a tie is a bad thing in that spot, but a loss sure feels worse. Now they play the short week by traveling to Foxboro to play the Patriots. Good news for the Patriots is the return of Julian Edelman after serving his four-game suspension. Edleman has long been a favorite target of Tom Brady. Colts QB Andrew Luck continues to look more and more comfortable. Luck passed for 464 yards last week against the Texans. Luck may be without his top target in T.Y Hilton, who was injured last week. However, even with Luck looking better and better, I like the Patriots here. With Edelman back and the way they looked last week I have no problem laying the number here. Play New England. |
|||||||
09-30-18 | Ravens +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 60 h 29 m | Show |
The Baltimore Ravens improved to 2-1 after last week's win at home over the Broncos, 27-14. Baltimore shut down the Broncos in the second half, holding them scoreless after leading 20-14 at the half. The Ravens have the top rated defense in the league thus far, allowing just 273 yards per game this season. They will put that to the test at Pittsburgh this week. The Steelers were in a dogfight at Tampa Bay last Monday. The Steelers used a lot of pressure to force Bucs QB Ryan Fitzpatrick into first half mistakes that got the Steelers out to a 30-10 halftime lead. The Bucs rallied in the second half, cutting that lead to 30-27 into the fourth quarter. One glaring issue for the Steelers has been penalties. They have had at least 12 penalties in three straight games. Penalties have been a killer for the Steelers this season. The Steelers defense has also been burned by the TD pass, allowing nine in the last two weeks. The Steelers were able to hold onto that late lead in Tampa Bay, but their problems run deep. I like the Ravens, who have the defensive advantage. Play Baltimore. |
|||||||
09-30-18 | Saints v. Giants +3.5 | 33-18 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 24 m | Show | |
The Giants finally put together an entire game, great play calling and execution by QB Eli Manning and running and passing all came together. The Giants beat the Houston Texans last week on the road, 27-20 and never trailed. The Giants were +2 in turnovers and Eli completed 86% of his passes on 25-for-29 on 265 yards. The Saints had to keep coming from behind last week, something they have done all season. The Saints tied the game at Atlanta late and then took the ball in OT and never gave it back, scoring a touchdown for the 43-37 win. It's no surprise New Orleans is fourth in the league in offense with 428 yards per game. However, their defense has been horrible, third worst in the NFL. The Giants still not getting much respect from oddsmakers as they are a 3.5 point home dog here. The Giants have been competitive and the way the Saints give up yardage, I'll take the Giants her with the points. Play New York. |
|||||||
09-29-18 | Oregon v. California +2 | Top | 42-24 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
Can Oregon rebound after last week's shocking home loss to Stanford? I don't know, but they likely will have some carry over here to this game. The Ducks outplayed the Stanford Cardinal the entire game. The Ducks could have taken a 31-7 lead in the third quarter, but a called back TD followed by a fumble and 80-yard Stanford return for a TD started the fall. Now they have to hit the road at Cal. The Bears are 3-0 S/U after beating Idaho State last week, 45-23. The Ducks are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 conference games and 2-5 ATS following an ATS loss. In addition, Oregon is 8-22-1 ATS their last 31 overall. The home team has covered eight of the last 10 meetings in this series. I'm taking Cal here on Saturday. |
|||||||
09-29-18 | Toledo v. Fresno State -9.5 | 27-49 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
Toledo is 2-1 both S/U and ats to start the season. They are coming off a shoot-out win over Nevada, 63-44. Toledo has the 39th rated offense with 466 yards per game and a redzone efficiency rating of 86.9%. Fresno State is also 2-1 both S/U and ATS. The Bulldogs are coming off a win over UCLA, 38-14. Fresno has the 75th rated offense with 402 yards per game and a 79% redzone efficiency. The Bulldogs have been very good vs the number, going 20-5-1 ATS their last 26 overall games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. I like the home team here on Saturday. Play Fresno State. |
|||||||
09-29-18 | Stanford v. Notre Dame -5 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
This is one of the top marquee matchups of the day for Saturday as No 7 Stanford plays at No 8 Notre Dame. Stanford got the miracle win last week at Oregon. The Ducks fumbled late on a play they should have been kneeling on, giving life to the Cardinal who took advantage and rallied for the win, 38-31. That kept Stanford's final four hopes alive as they remained unbeaten at 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Notre Dame hasn't had it as easy, but they are 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS. The Irish are coming off a big win at Wake Forest, 56-27. The Irish have won nine straight home games vs ranked opponents. They are laying just five in this game at home. I like the Irish here. Play Notre Dame. |
|||||||
09-29-18 | Boise State -17 v. Wyoming | 34-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
To put it bluntly, Wyoming is not a good team. They lost Josh Allen to the NFL and now they are not even an average team. The Cowboys barely got by Wofford last time out, 17-14 as 14.5 point favorites. The Cowboys covered their first game of the season vs New Mexico State. However, since then they are 0-3 ATS and have been outscored 95-49. Boise State is the odds on favorite to win the Mountain West. They opened teh season with two blowout wins. Then two weeks ago they went to Oklahoma State and lost, 21-44. They had last week off to stew about that loss. I fully expect the Broncos to take out their frustration this week on Wyoming. Boise has the 6th ranked offense in the country while Wyoming is 122nd. This one won't be close as Boise in a blowout win. Play Boise State. |
|||||||
09-28-18 | UCLA v. Colorado -9 | 16-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
UCLA had a much needed week off after their loss at home to Fresno State, 14-38. The Bruins are now 0-3 S/U and 1-2 ATS in the young season. UCLA has struggled offensively so far under HC Chip Kelly. Kelly, long known as a offensive strategist hasn't been able to get his Bruins offense on track. UCLA has played QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson, a freshman, a lot at QB. However, expect to see both QB's here tonight, both Thompson-Robinson and Wilton Speight. Not sure it will matter much against a Colorado defense that ranks 67th in the country. Colorado has allowed only five trips into their redzone this year with just two of those turning into TD's. UCLA ranks 90th and has allowed 16 trips into the redzone with 13 TD's, one of the worst Redzone efficiencies in the country (86.6%). The Buffaloes can go 4-0 with a win tonight for the first time in 20 years. UCLA has been outscored 52-113 this year and I don't see that changing much tonight. I'm taking Colorado and laying the points. |
|||||||
09-27-18 | Vikings +7.5 v. Rams | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
I think we have to really discard last week's lackluster effort by the Vikings. They were clearly looking past the inept Bills to tonight's game with the Rams. Only problem was, the Bills showed up and kicked their behinds to the tune of 27-6. In fact, the Vikings didn't even score until late in the 4th quarter. Minnesota had three turnovers to no takeaways and rushed for a paltry 14 yards. The Rams, they cruised to victory over their intra-city rivals, the Chargers, 35-23. The Rams offense continues to thrive, however their much anticipated defense took some hits last week.The Rams lost CB Marcus Peters (calf) who will not likely play tonight. They also lost CB Aqib Talib to an ankle injury and the IR list. That's a big loss at both starting corners. The Vikings should get their running game back tonight with the return of Dalvin Cook who returns from a hamstring injury. I believe we get to see the real Vikings tonight. This is just way too many points to give a team of this caliber. With Cook returning I look for the Vikings to cover this number tonight. Play the Vikings. |
|||||||
09-23-18 | Chargers +7.5 v. Rams | 23-35 | Loss | -115 | 79 h 43 m | Show | |
We get our first meeting of this new LA rivalry as the the Rams host the Chargers. The Rams are coming off their shut-out win over the Cardinals last week, 34-0. They lost one of the best place kickers in the league in Greg Zuerlein, who strained his groin. Zuerlein is expected to miss a few weeks. The Chargers lost in week one to the Chiefs, but bounced back last week with a win at Buffalo, 31-20. The Chargers have the third ranked offense right now with the Rams being seventh. Both teams have plenty to offer with the Rams being the better defensive team. The Chargers aren't terrible on defense, currently ranked 9th in yards. I think the seven points is too much here for the Rams to lay to a very good offensive. Play the Chargers. |
|||||||
09-23-18 | Rays -1.5 v. Blue Jays | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Every time Blake Snell takes to the hill from here on out you can expect extra effort on the part of the Rays. Snell won his 20th game last time out and is a top contender for the AL Cy Young award. Snell has been amazing, allowing just four runs over his last four starts (24 innings) and not allowing one run or less in 12 of his last 14 starts. The Blue Jays will counter with Ryan Borucki, who is 4-4 on the season with a 3.86 ERA. Borucki has been very good of late, allowing two runs or less in three straight starts. However, the Jays have won just one of those three in support. I'm sticking with Snell here today as I lay the -1.5 runs. Take Tampa Bay -1.5 runs. |
|||||||
09-23-18 | Colts +7 v. Eagles | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 76 h 37 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia offense needs something to infuse some life into them. The Eagles are 24th in the league in offense after two weeks and this week they look to be without starting RB Jay Ajayi and Darren Spoles. They are already missing their best receiver in Alshon Jeffrey, who is week to week at this point. The only good news is that it looks like QB Carson Wentz is set to make his return. Will he have anyone to throw to, that's the question? The Colts have looked better now that QB Andrew Luck is back and has a couple of games under his belt. The Colts beat the Redskins on the road last week, 21-9. The Eagles lost at Tampa Bay, 21-27. Even though Wentz is back, he's been off a long time and will need game reps to get back into a groove. I'm taking the Colts here against a still, injured Eagles offense. Play Indianapolis. |
|||||||
09-23-18 | Broncos v. Ravens -5 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 76 h 37 m | Show |
The Denver Broncos could easily be 0-2, but instead are 2-0 as they head East to play the Ravens. The Broncos beat the Seahawks in a back-and-forth battle in week one and then came from behind in the second half last week to beat the Raiders, 20-19 on a last second field goal. Raiders QB Carr was very good in this game, hitting on 29-of-32 passes for 281 yards. The loss of LB Kahlil Mack has really hit this Raiders team hard, no matter what head coach Jon Gruden says. The Ravens dismantled the Bills in week one and then lost to the Bengals last week, 23-34. Three turnovers to none hurt Baltimore in this loss. The Ravens had more yards than the Bengals, 425-373 and more offensive plays 77 to 70. But turnovers can be a killer and those three were big in this contest. The Broncos were lucky to be 2-0 and the Ravens are really unlucky to be 1-1. I believe the Ravens are the much better team here early in the season. Take Baltimore. |
|||||||
09-23-18 | Raiders v. Dolphins -3 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 76 h 36 m | Show | |
The surprising Miami Dolphins are 2-0 to start the season. Miami won at the NY Jets last week, 20-12 even though they ran just 54 offensive plays. The Dolphins used their ground game to rush for 135 yards. The 0-2 Oakland Raiders could have easily won at Denver last week, but a missed extra point and a last second Denver field goal did them in, 19-20. Now the Raiders have to make the cross country trip Eastward to play in the very humid heat of Miami. This will be a tough environment for the Raiders to play in today. What even surprises me more is that the Dolphins are just a three-point home favorite here today. Not sure what the oddsmakers are thinking in this one. Sure, it's still the Dolphins, but until they lose and the Raiders win, I'm stick with the home club here. Play the Dolphins. |
|||||||
09-23-18 | Saints +3 v. Falcons | 43-37 | Win | 100 | 76 h 36 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints are fortunate to not be 0-2 going into this big division rivalry game at Atlanta. The Saints needed a late field goal to beat the Browns, 21-18. The Saints trailed by double digits in the 2nd half of their game vs the Browns. Both of these clubs are right in the middle of the NFL in offense, while the Saints are 29th in defense and Atlanta is 11th. The Falcons had to play last week without star running back Devonta Freeman, who missed their game vs the Panthers with an ankle injury. Initially it looked like Freeman was out for weeks, but now he's Day-to-Day. The Falcons beat the Panthers last week at home, 31-24. The NFC South looks to be one of the tightest divisions in football this year with Tampa Bay at 2-0 and then the Falcons, Panthers and Saints all at 1-1. I like the points here today with the Saints. The Saints always seem to start the season slow and I look for them to do even better here today. Take New Orleans. |
|||||||
09-22-18 | Louisiana Tech +21 v. LSU | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Louisiana Tech had last week off after a easy game the week before against Southern U. Tech beat Southern 54-17 and is now 2-0 after their week 1 win over South Alabama, 30-26. The two wins moved the offense up to 17th in the country with 527 average yards per game. They also have one of the highest red zone efficiencies with a 87.3% rating after getting seven TD's in nine red-zone trips. LSU opened the season with a nice win over Miami Florida, 33-17 and then an easy win over SE Louisiana, 31-0 before their big showdown with Auburn last week. LSU beat Auburn 22-21 as 10-point dogs. My issue here is a letdown for LSU following that huge win. Plus, they are playing in-state rival La Tech, which would like nothing better than to beat LSU for recruiting reasons. I'm taking the points here with the Tech. They have a very good offense and I'm look for a LSU letdown. Play Louisiana Tech. |
|||||||
09-22-18 | NC State v. Marshall +6 | 37-20 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
NC State had last week off after opening the season with a pair of wins. NC State looked slugish in their opening game at home vs James Madison, winning just 24-13 as a 14-point favorite. The did play better in week two with a win at home over Georgia State, 41-7. Now they take to the road for their first away game of the season. Marshall also had last week off after beating Eastern Ky the week before, 32-16 and Miami Ohio in week one, 35-28. These teams have met just once in the last 10 years and that was last season. NC State beat Marshall at home, 37-20, but failed to cover the 23.5 point line. NC State is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs a non-conference opponent. Marshall has fared much better, going 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 non-conference games. I like Marshall here on Saturday plus the points. Take Marshall. |
|||||||
09-22-18 | Kansas +7.5 v. Baylor | 7-26 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Kansas should be 3-0 to start the season, but a opening week shocking loss to Nicholls State has them with that one blemish. They did bounce back with a win at Central Michigan, 31-7 and then a blowout win at home over Rutgers last week, 55-14. Baylor opened with a pair of softball games vs Abilene Christian and Texas San Antonio, winning those easily. Then last week, the Bears lost at home to Duke, 27-40 as a 6.5 point favorite. Kansas ranks well defensively, 15th as they allow 294 yards per game. Baylor ranks 68th defensively. Baylor does not do well when installed as the favorite, evidenced by their 5-14 ATS mark the last 19 tries. These teams in my opinion are evenly matched. Yet, the oddsmakers have installed the Bears as a 9.5 point favorite and they have dropped to 7.5. There is still good value in that number since I have this game closer to a 3-point line. Take Kansas plus the points. |
|||||||
09-22-18 | Louisville v. Virginia -5 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
ACC battle here between Louisville and Virginia. Louisville has potential, but the offense has not been good. The Cardinals scored 14 points in their opening week loss at Alabama, then 31 vs Indiana State (as a 42-point favorite) and last week just got past Western Kentucky, 20-17 as a 22-point favorite. The Cardinals are 0-3 ATS and ranked 120th in the country in total offense. Virginia us 3-0 ATS after wins over Richmond, and Ohio U. They lost at Indiana, but covered the seven-point dog line. Virginia is 55th in offense and 42nd in defense. Virginia has covered three of the last four years these teams have met. I'm taking the home team here in Virginia. |
|||||||
09-22-18 | Boston College v. Purdue +7 | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 7 m | Show | |
No 23 Boston College has looked good so far this year, especially on offense where they have scored 55, 62 and 41 points in their three wins. Sure, it's been against U Mass, Holy Cross and Wake Forest. They rank 11th right now in the country with 577 yards per game. Purdue is no slouch on offense, ranking 19th. The Boilermakers came close to a upset at home last week over Missouri, losing 37-40 as 6.5 point home dogs. This will be the fourth straight home game for Purdue, who takes to the road for three of its next four after this week. This is a non-conference game and Purdue is 6-1 ATS the last seven times vs non conference opponents. Purdue should be up for this game after starting the season 0-3 at home. They get a ranked opponent coming into Ross Ade Stadium. BC is ranked, but I like the points here with Purdue who will be ready for them with a good offense. Take Purdue. |
|||||||
09-22-18 | Georgia v. Missouri +15 | 43-29 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
Big game here as Georgia takes on Missouri. Georgia is 3-0 after some easy wins over Austin Peay and Middle Tennessee State. This will be the first real challenge for Georgia. Missouri is also 3-0 with wins over Tenn-Martin, Wyoming and then last week at Purdue, 40-37. Both these teams rank high offensively by virtue of their competition. Missouri is 7th with 589 yards per game and Georgia is 32nd with 488 yards per game. Georgia ranks 7th defensively while Missouri falls to 74th. Missouri is 9-3 ATS their last 12 games and have covered four of the last five times they have met Georgia. I believe Missouri has too good of an offense to be getting 14 points at home here. While I don't expect them to win outright, I wouldn't be shocked if they did. Take the points with Missouri. |
|||||||
09-21-18 | Washington State v. USC -4.5 | 36-39 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
PAC-12 clash here tonight as USC hosts Washington State. The WSU Cougars are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS to start the season. However, I have to take that with a grain of salt. They beat, what is now a bad Wyoming team, 41-19 and then San Jose 31-0 and Eastern Washington 59-24. They really have not had any test yet. So tonight will be their first real test of the season. USC is 1-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS. They opened with a win over UNLV 43-21 and then lost at Stanford 3-17 and at Texas 14-37. Unlike Washington State, the Trojans have had two real tough games and a very pesky UNLV to deal with. They return home here tonight. The Cougars are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 0-5 ATS on their last five grass games. While Washington State has been the better team on paper, they have not really face a good team yet. I'm taking USC to bounce back here tonight. Play Southern Cal. |