Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-21-23 | Akron +2.5 v. Drake | 59-79 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Final Round of the Cayman Island Classic has Akron taking on Drake. The Akron Zips are 4-1 on the Season S/U and 2-2 vs the number. The Zipps coming off a loss last night to Utah State in this tournament, 63-65, as a 2-point dog. This will mark their third game in three days as they won on Sunday vs Fla International, 77-71. The Zips had their worst shooting performance of the season in their loss last night, hitting on just 37.7% of their shots and 20.8% from 3-point arc. Drake is 3-1 S/U and 0-3 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs lost big last night to Stephen F Austin, 68-92, as a 3.5-point favorite. That was the first loss for Drake this season after wins over Lipscomb, SW Minnesota State and Oakland. Akron played much better last night then Drake faired. I'll take the points here today with the Zips. Play Akron. |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs -2.5 | 21-17 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
One of the better Matchups of the NFL season here tonight as the KC Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are 8-1 S/U and 5-2-2 ATS on the season with five of nine going over. The Chiefs are 7-2 S/U, 6-3 ATS and 2-7 O/U on the season and coming off a win over Miami, 21-14 in Frankfurt. The Eagles coming off a win over the Cowboys, 28-23, despite being outgained by Dallas, 292-406. The Eagles average 28 ppg (3rd in the NFL) and 376.8 ypg (5th in the NFL). They allow 21.7 ppg and 323.3 ypg. The Chiefs defense has been excellent, which takes a lot of pressure off the offense. They only average 23.1 ppg (13th) and 368.7 yards (8th). But they allow just 15.9 ppg (2nd in the NFL) and 288.2 yards (4th). This is a rematch of last year's Super Bowl that the Chiefs won. Can they get the rematch here today? I look to their defense to keep Jalen Hurts under control and that's the key. They held the best scoring offense in the NFL (Miami) to just 14 points. They can do it again here tonight. Take Kansas City. |
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11-20-23 | Wisconsin v. Virginia -2.5 | 65-41 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Tourney action here on Monday in college hoops has Wisconsin taking on Virginia. The Wisconsin Badgers are 2-2 S/U and 1-3 ATS thus far this season. They bounced back from a 2-game losing skid with a win over Robert Morris, 78-68, but failed to cover the 20-point spread. The Badgers also have losses to Providence, 59-72, and at home to Tennessee, 79-80. Now they will face the 4-0 Virginia Cavaliers. Virginia is coming off a win over Texas Southern, 62-33, as a 22.5-point favorite. The Cavs have covered three of their four games this season. The Cavs biggest win was over Florida, 73-70, as a pick'em. They have shot at least 43% in every game and over 38.9% from three-point arc in three of their four games. I'm going to lay the short number here on Monday with Virginia. |
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11-19-23 | Vermont +5 v. Liberty | 61-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
The Myrtle Beach Invitational Final Round from Conway, SC goes today and Vermont takes on Liberty. The Vermont Catamounts are 4-0 on the season after wins over College of Charleston, 73-64, and then St Louis, 78-68, in this tournament. They also have covered both games. While they shot only 36.8% vs Charleston, they hit 55.8% vs St Louis with 45.8% from 3-point arc. They will face a 4-0 Liberty Flames team that has also won both games in this tournament. The Flames beat Furman in the opener, 88-74 and then Wichita State on Friday, 83-66. They have covered all three of their spread games this season. Both teams have played great thus far and today one of them will drop from the undefeated ranks. For me, I like siding with the dog and that's Vermont here today. |
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11-19-23 | Steelers +1.5 v. Browns | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
Bad news for the Cleveland Browns as QB Deshaun Watson is done for the year after needing shoulder surgery. The Browns were coming off a huge win over the Baltimore Ravens as they came from behind to get the AFC North victory, 33-31, as a 5.5-point dog. That win brought the Browns to 6-3, just one game back of the Ravens in the division. The Browns also had won two straight and four of their last five both S/U and ATS. Now the QB job goes back to P.J. Walker with rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson as the backup. This could be the end of the season for the Browns as they likely will regret not getting a better backup QB. This could open the door even more for the Steelers who are tied with the Browns at 6-3. Pittsburgh coming off a win last week over Green Bay, 23-19, as a 3-point favorite. That makes four wins in their last five games both S/U and ATS for the Steelers. Even though Pittsburgh goes to Cleveland, I have to take the Steelers here today now that Watson is gone. Get this one early as the line will move quickly as the game time approaches. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-19-23 | Raiders v. Dolphins -13.5 | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
The LV Raiders look to go 3-0 under interim coach Antonio Pierce. Pierce was a Super Bowl Champion and Pro Bowler as a player and has been quite the showman taking over for the Raiders after they fired Josh McDaniels. Don't count too much into this though as their wins have come against both New York teams. They beat the Giants at home, 30-6 and then last week beat the Jets, 16-12, covering both games. They also removed Jimmy Garoppolo at QB and replaced him with Aidan O'Connell. But is the honeymoon period over? We'll see today as they have to face the high flying Miami Dolphins. The Raiders, 5-5, still have a shot at a Wildcard, but they need lots of wins down the stretch. They face the AFC East 1st place Miami Dolphins today. The Dolphins are 6-3 and one game ahead of the Bills. They average 31.7 ppg and 435.3 yards per game. Not the pathetic offenses they have faced the last two weeks. The Dolphins will look to rebound after losing at Kansas City last week, 14-21. For me, I believe the Dolphins offense will dominate this game and be way too much for the Raiders. The Raiders offense isn't built to come from behind and we'll see that here today. Play Miami. |
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11-18-23 | Texas v. Iowa State +7.5 | 26-16 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here on Saturday has Iowa State hosting Texas. Texas is 9-1 S/U and 4-5-1 ATS on the season. The Longhorns leading the Big 12, one game ahead of Oklahoma. Iowa State is 6-4 S/U and 4-6 vs the spread and in 4th place in the Big 12. The Longhorns only blemish to their record coming at Oklahoma in a 30-34 loss as a 5-point favorite. Texas will finish the regular season with a home game next week against Texas Tech. Iowa State Cyclones have won four of their last five games after last week's win at BYU, 45-13, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Cyclones average 25.7 ppg and 348.2 ypg while allowing 19.9 ppg and 331.6 ypg. Iowa State needs a win today or next week at Kansas State to keep a winning record. I think that win can come this week, but I'll take the points with Iowa State. |
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11-18-23 | Washington v. Oregon State -1 | 22-20 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
PAC 12 matchup here between undefeated and 10- Washington as they travel to take on the 8-2 Oregon State Beavers. Washington Huskies looking for a CFB playoff bid with just Oregon State and then at home vs Washington State next week. In reality, this is the final hurdle for the Huskies as they will be huge favorites next week vs their instate rivals. Washington might be perfect in the W/L column but the Huskies are only 4-5-1 vs the spread. They average 41 ppg and 504.9 ypg on the season. They are coming off a win over Utah last week, 35-28, but failed to cover the 9-point line. That makes them just 1-3-1 ATS over their last five games. Oregon State is 8-2 S/U and 6-4 ATS. The Beavers also have a dynamic offense, averaging 37.9 ppg and 453.9 ypg. Their defense is better than Washington as they allow just 20.5 ppg and 333.2ypg. They are coming off a win over Stanford last week, 62-17, covering the 21-point spread. The Beavers have outscored their opponents at home by a 40-12.8 margin as they are a perfect 5-0 on the home turf and 4-1 vs the spread. I'm going to take Oregon State here on Saturday as they ruin the Huskies playoff bid hopes. Play Oregon State. |
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11-18-23 | Florida +11.5 v. Missouri | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
SEC action here on Saturday has Florida taking on Missouri. The Gators are 5-5 on the season and 3-7 vs the spread. Florida looking to snap its three-game losing streak here today. The Gators are coming off a loss at LSU last week, 35-52, as a 15.5-point dog. The Gators have averaged 29.5 ppg this year and 420.4 ypg. They allow 27.4 ppg and 386.6 ypg. The Gators will finish their season next week at home vs Florida State. With no bowl game this year, they will look to finish strong with wins today and next week. The Missouri Tigers are 7-3 S/U and 5-4-1 ATS on the season. Missouri is 2nd in the SEC East, two games back of 10-0 Georgia. The Tigers are averaging 32.8 ppg and 443.3 ypg. They allow 22.3 ppg and 344 yards. They are coming off a win last week at home to Tennessee, 36-7, as a 2-point dog. That follows that loss at Georgia two weeks ago, 21-30. Missouri will finish the regular season next week at Arkansas. Nothing really to play for here for Missouri as they can't win the SEC East and they have secured a bowl. I'll take the points with the visitor in this one. Take Florida. The Missouri Tigers are 7-3 S/U and 5-4-1 ATS. |
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11-18-23 | UNLV +3 v. Air Force | Top | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
It's not very often this can be said, but UNLV controls its own destiny. It can win the Mountain West on its own without any other help. But standing in the Rebels way is Air Force. Air Force is tie with UNLV and Fresno State in the conference at 8-2. However, the Falcons have lost two games in a row to a pair of teams they were 18 and 20 point favorites to. They lost at home to Army, 3-23, as a 18-point favorite then lost at Hawaii, 13-27, as a 20-point favorite. The Falcons score nearly 29 ppg and totaled just 16 points in the two losses. UNLV having its best season in recent memory. The Rebels will go to a bowl game but they want to win the conference. They have won two straight games since their loss to Fresno State. They beat New Mexico 56-14 and then last week beat Wyoming, 34-14. The Rebels offense has been great with 36.4 ppg and 423 ypg this season. This will be a great game, but I will take the points with the Rebels. Play UNLV. |
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11-18-23 | Utah +1.5 v. Arizona | 18-42 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
Another great PAC-12 matchup here on Saturday has a pair of 7-3 teams meeting up as Utah travels to Tucson to face Arizona. These teams tied for 4th in the PAC-12 behind Oregon State, Oregon and Washington. The Utah Utes are 6-3 vs the spread this year as they average 25.3 ppg and allow just 17.8 ppg. They also average 356.5 ypg while allowing a very good 300.2 ypg. Arizona is 7-3 S/U and also 8-2 vs the spread. The Wildcats have averaged 31.1 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg this season. They also average 438.4 ypg while allowing 335.1 ypg. Arizona coming off a win at Colorado last week. 34-31, but failing to cover the 8-point favorite spread. This looks to be a good defensive battle as both teams have done well on that side of the ball this year. I'll take the Utah Utes as a small dog here on Saturday. |
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11-18-23 | Seattle University +8.5 v. VCU | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
The Seattle Redhawks look to improve to 3-1 here today as they travel East to face Virginia Commonwealth. The Hawks lost their first game of the season last game vs Northern Arizona, 60-62, as a 13.5-point favorite. They hit just 35.3% from the field and 18.8% from 3-point arc. The VCU Rams are also 2-1 and looking to improve to 3-1 today. The Rams lost their opening game to McNeese State, 65-76, as a 10.5-point favorite. They have since won two straight over Samford, 75-65, and then last game over Radford, 73-50, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Rams have played good defense, holding Radford to 33.3% from the field and Samford to 34.8% Now the Rams are laying right around 8-points today. This is the most they have laid since their loss to McNeese State. I'll take the points with Seattle in this one today. |
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11-17-23 | Towson +4.5 v. Wake Forest | 61-71 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Charleston Classic Tourney action here on Friday from Charleston, SC has Towson State taking on Wake Forest. The Towson Tigers are 2-2 and looking to rebound from their loss to Houston, 49-65, as a 20.5-point dog. Their other loss coming in the opening game at Colorado, 57-75, as a 14.5-point dog. Those two big dog game were both spread losses too. Their wins coming against Robert Morris, 66-62, and Coppin State, 70-49. The Tigers losing last night to Houston in the first round of this tourney. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 1-2 on the season after losing in last night's tourney game to Utah, 70-77, as a 5.5-point dog. The Deacons opened the season with a win over Elon, 101-78, but have since lost two straight games. Both teams here today coming off losses last night. I'll take the pints in this one with Towson. |
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11-17-23 | Denver +5 v. South Alabama | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
The Denver Pioneers hit the road here on Friday to face South Alabama. The Pioneers are 2-2 on the season. They opened with a loss to Cal San Diego in their opener, 87-95, as a 7-point dog. They then beat Cal Poly, 97-76 as a 10-point favorite and Nicholls State, 91-85, as a 1-point dog. They are coming off a loss to SIU Edwardsville, 74-77, pushing the 3-point dog line. This team can score as 74 points have been their fewest this season. They have done well from 3-point arc too, hitting at least 31% in every game thus far. The South Alabama Jaguars are just 1-3 to start their season with losses to Mobile U, 74-83, Alabama, 46-102 and last game to Nicholls State, 97-102. Their only win coming at Buffalo, 70-56. That has also been their only cover too against a pair of spread losses. Losing to Mobile really stands out to me as they hit just 35.5% against this team and allowed a whopping 60% shooting ad 41.7% from the 3-point arc. They also got lit up by Alabama which hit 61.8% from the field and 52.2% from 3-point. The Jags have given up back-to-back 102 point games and now face a very fast paced and high scoring Denver team. I'll take Denver in this one. |
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11-17-23 | St. John's v. Dayton | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Charleston Classic tourney action here today from Charleston, SC has St Johns taking on Dayton. Both teams are 2-1 thus far. St Johns Red Storm now led by Rick Pitino who comes over from his stint as HC at Iona. The Red Storm rebounded from their loss to Michigan, 73-89, with a win over North Texas last time out, 53-52, failing to cover the 5.5-point line. The Red Storm have not hit well from the field in their last two games with 36% and 34% respectively. They allowed Michigan to hit 51.6% in their loss and 42.3% from the 3-point arc. They improved the defense last game allowing only 32.7% from the field to North Texas with 31.6% from 3-point. Dayton opened the season with a win over SIU Edwardsville, 63-47, failing to cover the 17.5-point line. Then they lost at Northwestern, 66-71, pushing the 5-point dog line. They rebounded with a win last game vs LSU, 70-67, as a 1-point favorite. They beat LSU despite shooing just 39.3% from the field and allowing the Tigers 52.1% shooting and 43.8% from 3-point. Dayton a very small favorite here today. I'll take the Flyers in this one. Play Dayton. |
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11-17-23 | Norfolk State +4.5 v. Fordham | 64-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Paradise Jam first round action from the Virgin Islands has the early game here between Norfolk State and Fordham. The Norfolk State Spartans look to improve to 4-0 on the young season here today. The Spartans opened with a win over PSU Wilks-Barre, 102-55 then Newport News, 90-56 before their last win over Hampton, 75-68. The only game with a line was their win over Hampton, which they failed to cover the 10-point chalk line. Have to toss out those first two softball games. The Spartans won vs Hampton despite just 34.5% from the field shooting and 17.6% from the 3-point line. The Fordham Rams are 1-1 with a win in their opener over Wagner, 68-64, as a 10.5-point favorite. Then they lost to Cornell last game, 73-78, as a pick'em. They allowed Cornell to shoot 54% from the field and 38.9% from 3-point arc. Fordham didn't fair too well vs Cornell, while Norfolk has had a pretty easy go of it. A bit surprised that Fordam around a 4-5 point favorite. I'll take the points with Norfolk State. |
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11-16-23 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
AFC North clash here tonight has the 5-4 and last place Cincinnati Bengals looking to make ground on first place 7-3 Baltimore Ravens. The Bengals lost last week at home to Houston, 27-30, as a 5-point favorite. That snapped a nice 4 game win streak both S/U and ATS. The Bengals have average 20.2 ppg and 301.7 ypg this season. They have allowed 21.3 ppg and 383.7 ypg. The Ravens have to be kicking themselves after leading big last week at home against Cleveland, only to lose to the Browns, 31-33, as a 5.5-point favorite. That snapped a four game win streak for the Ravens. Baltimore averages 27 ppg and 362.7 ypg on the season. They have allowed 15.7 ppg and 273.6 ypg. Both teams looking to rebound from tough losses last week. The Bengals need this one more as a win puts them right into the thick of the AFC North race. I'll take the points with the Bengals tonight. |
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11-16-23 | Wichita State v. Coastal Carolina +9.5 | 86-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Third game in the Myrtle Beach Invitational has Wichita State taking on Coastal Carolina from Conway, SC. Wichita State Shockers looking to improve to 4-0 here today. The Shockers opened with a win over Lipscomb, 76-59, covering the 9.5-point line. Then they beat Western Kentucky, 71-61, also covering the 7.5-point line. Last game they played Friends University and cruised to a 95-65 win with no posted line. The Shockers have shot about the same from the field in each game, hitting 47.7%, 481.% and last game 49.3%. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have just one game this season and that was a win over Piedmont, 88-86 with no line. They shot 44.1% from the field and 30% from the 3-point stripe. The two areas they need to improve are defense, allowing 86 points to Piedmont and free throws as they shot just 52.8% in that win. I see the Chanticleers being able to use their offense to stay close in this game. And, with nearly double digit line, I'll take the points. |
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11-16-23 | St. Louis v. Wyoming +3 | 79-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
First round of the Myrtle Beach Invitational has St Louis taking on Wyoming from Conway, SC. Both teams come into today's matchup having won all their early season games. TGhe St Louis Billikins are 3-0 after wins over Southern Indiana, Lincoln and last game over Illinois State, 80-71, as a 8.5-point favorite. They are also 1-1 vs the spread. After shooting lights out in their first two games, they came back down to earth last game with a 42.3% mark and 28.6% from 3-point. They will face a 2-0 Wyoming Cowboys team tonight. Wyoming opened with a win over Northern New Mexico and then last game over Cal Poly, 80-66, as a 15.5-point favorite. Wyoming has shot 62.1% and 52.1% in the two games with 56.5% from 3-point in their first game and 38.9% from 3-point the last game. Both teams looking to build on a good start with their toughest matchup to date. I'll take the small points in this one with Wyoming. |
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11-15-23 | Cornell +2.5 v. George Mason | 83-90 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
The Cornell Big Red are 3-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS to start their season. The Big Red opened with a win over Lehigh, 84-78, but just failed to cover the 7-point favorite line. They then beat Suny-Morrisville, 107-86, before going to Fordham in their last game and winning, 78-73, covering the pick'em line. They have shot well from the field, hitting 54% vs Fordham and 38.9% from 3-point. They have hit at least 36.7% from 3-point in all three games. The George Mason Patriots are 2-0 S/U and 1-0-1 ATS after two games. The Patriots opened with a win over Monmouth, 72-61, pushing the 11-point line. Then last game they beat Austin Peay, 67-45, covering the 6.5-point line. They only shot 39.6% vs Austin Peay and 28% from the 3-point arc. However, they held them to just 28.8% from the field and 15.8% from the 3-point arc. I've been more impressed with Cornell to this juncture then George Mason. I'll take the couple of points with the road dog here today. Play Cornell. |
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11-15-23 | Richmond +5.5 v. Boston College | 61-68 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
A pair of teams both looking to start the season 3-0 matchup here tonight as Boston College hosts Richmond. The Richmond Spiders have started 2-0 both S/U and ATS. They opened the season with a win over VMI, 93-75, covering the 17-point line. Then last time out the Spiders beat Siena at home, 90-48, easily covering the 13-point chalk line. The Spiders shot 59.3% from the field and 55.6% from the 3-point arc in that win over Siena. Boston College Eagles also are 2-0 S/U, but 1-1 ATS. They opened with a win over Fairfield, 89-70, covering the 14-point spread. Then last time out beat Citadel, 75-71, but failed to cover the 9-point line. They hit 53.3% from the field last game, but just 26.7% from the 3-point arc after a 40.7% mark in their win over Fairfield. Both teams have played well, but I will take the points with Richmond as I believe they can win this game outright tonight. Play Richmond. |
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11-14-23 | Appalachian State +2.5 v. Oregon State | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Appalachian State Mountaineers look to rebound from their first loss of the season as they head to Oregon State tonight to face the Beavers. App State is 1-1 S/U and 0-1 ATS after their loss at Northern Illinois, 78-91, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Mountaineers shot 41.6% from the field and 26.3% from the 3-point arc. However, the defense wasn't good, allowing 50% shooting and 39.1% from 3-point to the Huskies. They will look to get back to winning tonight at 2-0 Oregon State. The Beavers had an easy win in their opener vs Linfield, 82-46. However, it was down to the wire in their last game, a narrow win at home over Troy, 81-80, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Beavers shot 42.4% in that win over Troy and 23.8% from 3-point. They didn't do any better vs Linfield, hitting on just 26.1% of their 3-point shots. These teams evenly matchup here tonight, but I'll be on the road team. Take App State. |
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11-14-23 | Western Kentucky +1.5 v. Murray State | 86-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers look to get back in the win column here tonight as they hit the road to face Murray State. W.Ky opened with an easy win over Kentucky Wesleyan, 90-64, with no line on the game. Then they lost last time out at Wichita State, 61-71, as a 7.5-point dog. They hit just 29.6% from the field in that loss. The Murray State Racers look to improve to 3-0 tonight after wins over Midway Univeristy (91-58) in their opener and then over Tennessee Tech last time out, 78-72, as a 12.5-point favorite. They have shot over 50% from the field in both games and 33.3% from the 3-point stripe in their last game. The issue vs Tenn Tech was that they allowed 50.8% shooting to Tech and 33.3% from the 3-point stripe. Western Kentucky is a little bigger favorite according to my numbers. I like them here tonight as a 1-point dog or pick'em. Play W.Kentucky. |
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11-14-23 | Wisconsin v. Providence +1.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
The Wisconsin Badgers look to rebound tonight at Providence after losing at home last game to Tennessee, 70-80, as a 2.5-point dog. The Badgers are 1-1 with their win coming on opening night at home over Arkansas State, 105-76, as a 14-point favorite. After hitting 65% from the field in that win, they hit just 41% vs Tennessee and 25% from 3-point. This will be the Badgers first road game as they go to 2-0 Providence. The Friars opened the season with a win over Columbia, 78-59, but failed to cover the 19-point line. Then last game they beat Wisconsin-Milwaukee, 76-69, but again failed to cover the 13.5-point home line. The defense has been very good, holding WI-Milwaukee to just 37.7% from the field and 17.6% from 3-point. They did even better vs Columbia, holding them to 29.6% from the field. Providence hasn't been able to cover those big double digit lines, but I like them here today as a small home dog. Play Providence. |
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11-13-23 | South Dakota State +10.5 v. Kansas State | 68-91 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
A pair of 1-1 teams face off tonight in college hoops as the South Dakota State Jackrabbits take on the Kansas State Wildcats. The Jackrabbits opened with a loss at home to Akron, 75-81, as a 2-point favorite. They followed that with their first win over Dakota Wesleyan, 83-55 with no line. They have shot well in both games, hitting 50% vs Akron and 47.2% vs D.Wesleyan. Kansas State opened with a loss at home vs USC, 69-82 as a 3-point home dog. They got their first win last time out vs Bellarmine, 83-75, but failed to cover the 16-point line. The Cats shot just 31% vs USC but a improved 44.4% vs Bellarmine. Both teams struggled vs better opponents and won vs the softball teams. Still, I like the dog here today and will be on South Dakota State. |
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11-12-23 | UC-Davis +4 v. Montana | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
The UC Davis Aggies have started the season 2-0 and look to keep that perfect record in tact today at Montana. Davis opened the season with a win over William Jessup, 86-51, but then followed that win with a win over Pepperdine, 79-78, but failed to cover the 8-point spread. The Aggies shot 44.4% from the field vs Pepperdine and 54.2% from the 3-point arc. The problem was they got out rebounded by the Waves, 22-32. The Montana Grizzlies are 1-1 after two games, winning their opening game over NWIC, 107-59, with no posted line. Then they came back and lost at Oregon, 61-75, but just did cover the 15-point dog line. They didn't shoot well in that Oregon game, hitting just 37.9% from the field and 25% from the 3-point stripe. Now they face a UC Davis team that has shot well in both games. I have these two teams pretty much even today and therefore I'll take the points with the dog in this one. Play UC Davis. |
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11-12-23 | Giants v. Cowboys -16.5 | Top | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
NFC East matchup here on Sunday has the last place 2-7 NY Giants traveling to Texas to take on the 2nd place 5-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Giants have lost two straight games after losing last week in Las Vegas, 6-30, as a 1.5-point dog. The Giants offense has been horrible, scoring 14 points or fewer in each of their last four games. They had just 277 total yards last week. The Giants average 11.2 ppg and 268.9 ypg on the season. They allow 24.1 ppg and 338.3 ypg. Now they face a Dallas team that has averaged 27.5 ppg on the season and 346.5 yards. They are coming off a loss at Philadelphia last week, 23-28, as a 3-point dog. They will return home where they are 3-0 both S/U and ATS this season and average 37 ppg while allowing just 11 ppg. Bad spot for the Giants today. Not only do they not score but they face a Dallas team that will be looking to rebound from that loss last week. I'll lay the big points here today with Dallas as I believe the line should be at least a touchdown more than it is now. Play Dallas. |
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11-12-23 | Elon +5 v. North Dakota | 68-85 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
The Elon Phoenix looks to improve to 2-1 today with a win at North Dakota. Elon is coming off it's first win of the season over East Tennessee State, 79-76, as a 1.5-point dog. The Phoenix shot 50.8% in the game and a blistering 47.4% from the 3-point arc. They held ETS to 43.3% from the field and 33.3% from 3-point arc. This coming after their opening game loss at Wake Forest, 78-101, as a 19.5-point dog. They shot well in that game too at 47.5% from the field and 43.5% from the 3-point arc. The North Dakota Fighting Sioux are 0-1 after losing their opening game at Iowa, 68-101. The Sioux shot 40.3% from the field but just 16% from the 3-point arc. They gave up 50% shooting to Iowa from 3-point. That doesn't look good for ND State today as Elon proved they can shoot the three pointers and hit them. I'll take the points here with the road dog. Play Elon. |
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11-11-23 | USC v. Oregon -15.5 | Top | 27-36 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
USC having a fine season, but they have struggled against the best teams. The Trojans are 7-3 S/U and 2-8 ATS and score 45.5 ppg with 485.5 yards per game. The problem is the defense, which allows 34.5 ppg and 436.5 yards. That was apparent again last week as their offense tried to stay with Washington, but couldn't keep them from scoring in a Huskies 52-42 win. The Trojans have now allowed a whopping 101 points in their last two games. It won't get any easier this week at they travel to Eugene to face the high scoring Oregon Ducks. The Ducks are 8-1 in and in 2nd place in the PAC 12 behind 9-0 Washington. Oregon averages 47.4 ppg and 540.1 yards. They are coming off a blowout win over Cal last week, 63-19, as a 27-point favorite. The Ducks should have little trouble scoring on this USC defense today. The Oregon defense is much better than USC, as they allow just 16 ppg and 301 yards. USC likely will get their points in this one, but they won't be able to match this Oregon offense. Play Oregon. |
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11-11-23 | Montana State +11.5 v. Seattle University | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
The Montana State Bobcats look to improve to 2-0 on the young season. They are coming off a win over NWIC in an easy 103-63 win with no line on the game. They had an easy time, hitting 55.4% from the field and 44.1% from the 3-point arc. They will get their first real test here today at Seattle. Seattle opened up with a win over Prairie View A&M, 71-60, but failed to cover the 16.5-point chalk line. They hit 43.1% from the field and 37.5% from the 3-point arc. The held A&M to just 30.4% shooting and 18.2% from the 3-point arc, yet weren't able to cover the double digit line. Now here they are again, double digit favorites. I have Montana State a better team then A&M was and I doubt the Bobcats will shoot worse then A&M did. I'll take the double digits with Montana State. |
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11-11-23 | Auburn v. Arkansas -2.5 | 48-10 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
SEC Matchup here on Saturday has Auburn looking to become bowl eligible as they sit at 5-4 on the season and 4-5 vs the number. The Tigers have won two straight games after a three-game losing streak. They are coming off a win over Vanderbilt, 31-15, as a 12.5-point favorite. They have covered their last two games. The Tigers average 27.2 ppg while allowing 21.7 ppg. They also average 357.8 ypg while allowing 357.6 ypg. They sit tied for fourth in the SEC West standings. After today's contest, only two games remain on the schedule, at home vs New Mexico State and then a home game vs Alabama. Arkansas is 3-5 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. The Razorbacks snapped a four game losing streak last week at Florida, 39-36, as a 3-point dog. The Hogs had one of their best offensive games of the season with 481 yards, well above their 327.4 ypg average. They also were above their season 27.9 point average. The Hogs are last in the SEC West with games at Florida International and at home vs Missouri to close the season. Not out of the question to get to six wins, but they have to win out to do that. I'll take Arkansas here today. |
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11-11-23 | Appalachian State v. Georgia State -2 | 42-14 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Sun Belt Conference action here today has the 5-4 App State Mountaineers taking on 6-3 Georgia State. James Madison has this conference locked-up with a 9-0 record and Coastal Carolina, Ga Southern and Ga State all right behind at 6-3. App State has won two straight games after winning last week at home over Marshall, 31-9, as a 3-point favorite. They have struggled on the road though, going 1-3 S/U and 1-2-1 vs the spread. They have also been outscored 28.8 to 32.5 on the road this year. The Georgia State Panthers should be going to a bowl but after today they do have to go to LSU before finishing at Old Dominion. A win here today would go a long with with two tough road games coming up. The Panthers look to snap a two game losing streak. They lost at home to conference champ James Madison, 14-42 and two weeks ago at Ga Southern, 27-44. This is a important game for Ga State and it's their last home game of the season so I expect a great effort today before the home faithful in their final game of the season on the home turf. Play Georgia State. |
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11-11-23 | Campbell +13.5 v. East Carolina | 63-77 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
The Campbell Fighting Camels have started their season 1-0 as they head to East Carolina today for their second game. They started with a win over Navy, 59-48, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Camels shot 52.5% from the field but just 22.2% from the 3-point arc. They held the Middies to just 33.9% shooting and 18.2% from the 3-point arc. The East Carolina Pirates installed as a double-digit favorite here today. They opened with a win over Ferrum, 91-61 with no line on the game. They hit 51.9% from the field and held Ferrum to 45.8%. Early like this I tend to look for live dogs. Campbell should be able to stay inside the double digit line today. Play Campbell. |
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11-10-23 | Chattanooga +4 v. Louisville | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The UT-Chattanooga Mocs look to build on their win over Covenant in their opening contest, 89-44. They hit 54.2% from the field though just 68% free throws and 28.6% from the 3-point arc. They held Covenant to just 25.8% shooting, though considering the opponent they have to take that number with a grain of salt. Louisville also started with a win, but a much tougher game as they just got by MD-Baltimore County, 94-93, as a 7.5-point favorite. They did hit 50% from the field but a dismal 14.3% from the 3-point arc. They did allow MD Bal County to hit on 47.8% of it's 3-point shots, something they have to improve on. The Mocs made it all the way to the conference Championship last season before losing to Furman and missing out on that automatic NCAA bid. Louisville was horrible last year, going 4-28 overall and 2-18 in the ACC. Not sure Louisville is ready to return to the glory days of old after that one-point win over UMBC. I'll take UT-Chatt here on Friday plus the points. |
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11-10-23 | Monmouth +14.5 v. West Virginia | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
I'll be on Monmouth here in this game on Friday. The Hawks are coming off a loss in their opening game at George Mason, 61-72, pushing the 11-point dog line. They had a poor field goal shooting night, hitting just 34.6% of their shots from the field. They will face a West Virginia team that won its first game of the season over Missouri State, 67-59 as a 4-point favorite. They didn't shoot well either, just 34.9% from the field though they held State to just 35.4%. But the main reason for liking the dog here today is that West Virginia will be without three plays, two of which are starters. Guard RaeQuan Battle (Eligibility), forward Akok (heart) and guard Kerr Kriisa (suspension) will all miss tonight's contest. A lot of points to lay with that many key cogs missing from the lineup. Take Monmouth. |
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11-10-23 | Pennsylvania +7 v. St. Joe's | 61-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Penn looks to improve to 3-0 after winning its first two games of the season. The Quakers have averaged 91 points and hitting 51.5% thus far. They are also hitting 35.3% from the 3-point arc. They have wins over Bucknell (80-61) and John Jay (102.57). St Joe Hawks also started with a win in their first game over Lafayette, 81-60 as a 14-point favorite. Penn looks very good early in their two games and here they are a decent dog tonight. I'll take the road dog in tonight's contest. |
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11-09-23 | Tarleton St +5 v. Florida International | 82-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Tarleton State Texans started off their season with a loss to Virginia, 50-80. The Texans shot jut 33% from the field and 23% from 3-point arc. Florida International didn't fare any better, losing to UCF in their first game, 62-85. FIU shot 36.2% from the field and 22.2% from the 3-point arc. Both these teams struggled out of the gate and both had offensive issues. FIU was 2-4 ATS last year when favored by 4.5-points or more. I'll take the dog here in this one as it could go either way. Play Tarleton State. |
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11-08-23 | Raptors v. Mavs -4.5 | Top | 127-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
The Toronto Raptors visit Dallas tonight to take on the Mavericks. Toronto looks to get back to the .500 mark with a win tonight as they sit 3-4 overall on the season. They are also 4-3 vs the spread. The Raptors are averaging 107.1 ppg while allowing 107.4 ppg. This will be their third straight game on the road as they are coming off a win at San Antonio, 123-116, as a 3.5-point favorite. Dallas is off to a nice start at 6-1 on the season. They are coming off a blowout win on the road at Orlando, 117-102, as a 1-point favorite. Their lone loss of the season thus far is to defending champ Denver, 114-125. The Mavs are also 4-3 vs the spread and are outscoring opponents at home by 6.7 ppg. I like the Mavs tonight. Play Dallas. |
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11-07-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne +11.5 v. DePaul | Top | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
First game of the season for both the IPFW Mastodons and the DePaul Blue Demons. IPFW won 17 games last year as they play their 10th season under HC Jon Coffman. DePaul won only 10 games last season. The Blue Demons lost three of their four double-digit scorers from last season. They have a number of transfers coming in this year but it might take a few games for the new players to gel. I believe DePaul will be better this year but not in this first game. Don't believe that they should be laying double digits to this IPFW squad. Play the road dog here today. Take IPFW. |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +3.5 | 27-6 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers are trying to catch the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West but it's not going so well. The Chiefs won on Sunday in Frankfurt over Miami, improving to 7-2 on the season. Now the Chargers can just get back to the .500 mark at 4-4 with a win here on Monday Night in New York vs the Jets. The Chargers average 24.9 ppg while allowing 24.0 ppg. They also average 362.4 ypg while giving up 390.9 ypg. The Chargers snapped a two-game losing and spread streak last week with their win over the Bears, 30-13, as a 9.5-point favorite. The Jets are 4-3 S/U and 4-2-1 vs the spread this season. The Jets trail the Dolphins and Bills in the AFC East. However, both the Bills and Dolphins lost on Sunday, so this is a key spot for the Jets to improve to 5-3 and pick up a game on both the teams ahead of them. The Jets have a excellent defense, which allows 18.4 ppg and 329.3 ypg. The offense isn't so good, scoring just 18 ppg and 273.3 ypg on the season. The Jets have won three straight games though, going 2-0-1 ATS vs the spread. They are coming off a win over the Giants, 13-10. They also led the high flying Eagles offense to just 14 points in that win two weeks ago. Now the Jets find themselves a home dog to a team with a losing record. I'll take the points at home here on Monday. Play the NY Jets. |
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11-06-23 | Towson +15 v. Colorado | 57-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Towson coming off a decent campaign last year where they went 21-11 S/U and 16-15 ATS and 12-6 in the CAA conference. Colorado was 18-17 S/U and 13-17-1 ATS. The Towson Tigers will have to replace three starters. They did pick up transfer Messiah Jones from Wofford. This team ranked 41st in the country last year in 3-point shooting. Colorado looks to improve this year around their best player from last year, Tristan daSilva, an All-Pac 12 selection. They added TCU transfer Eddie Lampkin. Early season pick for me here is with the dog, Towson State. |
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11-06-23 | Monmouth +11.5 v. George Mason | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Monmouth opens its season at George Mason here tonight. George Mason was 18-15 ATS last season and covered two of three times as a double digit favorite. Monmouth was just 12-21 vs the spread last season and 7-26 S/U. It's the second season for Monmouth in the CAA conference. The Hawks improved once the new year started, winning five of six games. They also return several players to this season including their best player, 6'5" sophomore Jack Collins. George Mason has a new HC in Tony Skinn. The Patriots will have a rebuilding task this year as they have a new starting five. Taking the point early here with Mommouth against this rebuilding George Mason team. |
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11-05-23 | Bills v. Bengals -1 | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
The Buffalo Bills hit the road on Sunday for their game at Cincinnati. The Bills are 5-3 on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC East, one game back of Miami. They have a +86 point differential. The Bills also average 27.7 ppg while allowing 17 ppg. They average 376.9 ypg while allowing 326.1 ppg. The Bills are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last week, 24-18, but failed to cover the 10-points spread. In fact, they are 0-4 against the number the last four games. The Cincinnati Bengals are in 3rd place in the AFC North, behind 5-3 Pittsburgh and 6-2 Baltimore. They average 18.7 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg on the season. The Bengals finally put together a complete game last week, beating San Francisco on the road, 31-17, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes three straight wins both S/U and ATS. They have also gone over in two of their last three games. The Bengals have also scored 31 points or more in two of the last three. I like the Bengals at home here on Sunday night. Play Cincinnati. |
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11-05-23 | Colts v. Panthers +2.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
The AFC South is one of the worst divisions in football as three of the four teams have just three wins. That includes the Indianapolis Colts who are 3-5 and have a -24 point differential. The Colts are trailing 6-2 first place Jacksonville by three games. The Colts average 25.6 ppg while allowing 28.6 ppg. They average 362.4 ypg while allowing 371.3 ypg. QB Anthony Richardson is out for the rest of the season after sustaining a shoulder injury. That leaves Gardner Minshew as the starter. The Colts have lost three straight games, including last week at home to New Orleans, 27-38, as a 2-point dog. Now they hit the road to face the Panthers. Carolina won its first game of the season last week at home over Houston, 15-13, covering the 3.5-point dog line. The Panthers average just 18.1 ppg while allowing 28.4 ppg. They also average 284.6 ypg and allow 326 ypg. QB Bryce Young had one of his better starts, completing 22-of-31 passes for 235 yards, one TD and no INT's. With Richardson out, I like the Panthers to get win number two here on Sunday. Play Carolina. |
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11-04-23 | Washington v. USC +3 | 52-42 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Huge PAC 12 contest here today as #5 Washington travels to LA to take on #20 USC. The Huskies are a perfect 8-0 and looking to get into the playoff picture while USC is 7-2 and hopes to play spoiler here today. Two of the best QB's in college will matchup with Washington Michael Penix Jr taking on USC QB Caleb Williams. The Huskies coming off a win at Stanford last time out, 42-33, but didn't come close to covering the 27.5-point spread. USC had to come from behind last week to eek out a win at Cal, 50-49. Right now Huskies' QB Penix Jr leads the nation in passing and is the odds on favorite to win the Heisman. Williams is second in passing and will be considered in the Heisman voting. Both these teams have great offenses led by future NFL QB's. You can make a case for either side here tonight. For me, I like a home dog like USC that wants nothing more than to spoil Washington's chances at that playoff bid. I'll take the points in this one. Play USC. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State -3 | 28-21 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
The Big 12 is loaded with teams that can be bowl eligible so wins will be important for all these teams. That includes these two today. Kansas is 6-2 and tied for 2nd with Oklahoma State. Iowa State is 5-3 and tied wit BYU and West Virginia. The Jayhawks coming off that big win last week over Oklahoma, 38-33. First time in ages that the Jayhawks have beaten the Sooners and the fans tore down the goal posts at the end of the game. Now they take on Iowa State that has won and covered three straight games, including last week at Baylor, 30-18, as a 3-point road dog. The Cyclones last loss came to Oklahoma, 20-50. Iowa State averages 23.9 ppg while allowing 19.7 ppg. They don't pile up the yards though with just 338.3 ypg while allowing 329.6 ypg. Kansas averages 35.7 ppg and 443 ypg. Big offensive advantage here to the Jayhawks. Iowa State has the better defense and I look for that to be the difference here today. I'll lay the small points with the home team. Play Iowa State. |
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11-04-23 | Penn State v. Maryland +9 | 51-15 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday has Maryland hosting Penn State. Penn State is 7-1 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. The Nittany Lions only loss coming a few weeks ago at Ohio State, 12-20 as a 4-point dog. The Lions won last week at home over Indiana, 33-24, but failed miserably to cover the 31-point chalk line. The loss carried over to last week's game as the offense had just 342 total yards of offense. Penn State is behind both 8-0 teams in the Big 10 East, Michigan and Ohio State. Maryland is 5-3 S/U and sits behind the aforementioned teams and Rutgers too. The Terapins have lost three straight both S/U and ATS, including last week at Northwestern, 27-33, as a 14.5-point favorite. The Terps can score, averaging 32.6 ppg and 418.5 ypg of offense. They are holding opponents to 20.4 ppg and 341.4 ypg. Maryland getting almost double digits at home here today. I expect their offense to give the Lions all they can handle. Take the points with Maryland. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas State +3.5 v. Texas | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here today as Kansas State takes on the Longhorns of Texas from Austin. Kansas State is 6-2 S/U and ATS on the season and one of the best rushing teams in the nation with a 226 ypg average. The Wildcats average 37.4 ppg while allowing only 15.9 ppg. They also average 464.8 ypg while allowing 344.3 ypg. They are coming of a rout of Houston last week, 41-0 where they held the Cougars to just 208 total yards. They will face a 7-1 S/U and 4-4 ATS Texas team here today. The Horns also one of the best rushing teams, averaging 180.3 ypg. They are tied with Oklahoma for the Big 12 conference title with Kansas State, Kansas and Oklahoma State all one game back. The Horns average 34.5 ppg while allowing just 16 ppg. Texas coming off an easy win over BYU last week, 35-6, covering the 20.5-point spread. Still, they have covered just one of their last three games. Should be a great game here today. If Kansas State can use their running game to control the ball and clock they should be in this one at the end. I'll take the points with Kansas State. |
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11-04-23 | Arkansas +3 v. Florida | 39-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Arkansas looks to get a much needed win here today as they are just 2-6 overall on the season. The Razorbacks are also 4-3-1 vs the number as they head to Florida to face the Gators. The Hogs are last in the SEC West with a 2-6 conference record, which doesn't bode well in the bowl picture. They average 26.5 ppg while allowing 22.9 ppg. They also average 308.3 ypg while allowing 334.5 ypg. The Hogs need a win desperately after dropping six straight including last week vs Mississippi State, 3-7 as a 6.5-point favorite. The defense keeps them in games though, allowing just 24 points to Alabama, 27 to Ole Miss in their last two weeks. Florida is 5-3 on the season and fourth in the SEC East. They are coming off that loss last week at home to Georgia, 20-43, failing to cover the two TD dog line. That snapped a two game win/spread cover for the Gators. Florida averages 28 ppg while allowing 22.9 ppg. I'm taking the road dog here today. Play Arkansas. |
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11-03-23 | Boston College +3 v. Syracuse | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
A couple of former Big East schools meet here today as Syracuse hosts Boston College. BC coming off a win over U Conn last week, 21-14, but failing to cover the 14.5-point spread. Syracuse coming off a loss at Virginia Tech, 10-38. The BC Eagles started the season at 1-3 but have since won four straight. Syracuse started the season 4-0 and have since dropped four straight games to even their record at 4-4. The have been outscored in those four games 34-150. They have also dropped all four vs the spread. Momentum seems to be all on the side of Boston College as we come into this contest. I'll take BC here plus the points. |
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11-02-23 | Titans v. Steelers -2.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans look to climb back to the .500 mark here on Thursday night as they visit the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Titans have a -8 point differential this season. The Titans will also be without QB Ryan Tannehill who will miss this game with a ankle injury. In his place will be Will Levis. Levis will make his second NFL start here tonight. Levis made his debut last week at home vs the Atlanta Falcons and threw for FOUR touchdowns in the win, 28-23 as a 2.5-point dog. That win snapped a two-game losing streak for the Titans. It also eclipsed a 18.9 ppg average for this Titans team. Still, they are a good deal back of first place and 6-2 Jacksonville. The Steelers are tied with Cincinnati and Cleveland in the AFC North at 4-3. They all trail the 6-2 Baltimore Ravens. The Steelers also have a -34 point differential. They average just 16.1 ppg and allow 21.0 ppg. The Steelers offense manages just 271.7 ypg while allowing 382.6 ypg. The Steelers coming off a loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars, 10-20 last week. They managed just 261 total yards in the loss. That loss snapped a two-game winning streak by Pittsburgh. I'm taking the Steelers at home. The Steelers and J.J Watt have a better defense then the Falcons so we likely won't see Levis throw for another four TD's here tonight. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-01-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green -5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
It's a Big MAC attack here on Wednesday as this conference takes center stage as Ball State and Bowling Green face off. Ball State comes into this game 2-6 S/U and 3-4-1` ATS on the season. Bowling Green comes in 4-4 S/U and 5-3 vs the number. The Ball State Cardinals are last in the MAC West and won't be going to the Bowl season. The Cardinals offense is pretty pathetic, averaging 16.1 ppg and 295.1 ypg. The defense allows 29 ppg and 361.9 ypg. The Cardinals snapped a four game losing streak last week with a win over Central Michigan at home, 24-17, as a 5.5-point dog. The Bowling Green Falcons can still make a bowl, but they need to wi here tonight. They sit third in the MAC East. The Falcons average 22.2 ppg and 302.9 ypg. They allow 25 ppg and 331.0 ypg. The Falcons have won two straight games including last week over Akron, 41-14 as a 7.5-poing home favorite. This is a running team, as they have over two hundred yards in each of the last two wins and fewer than 100 yards passing. Ball State allows 125 rushing yards per game and that should be good news for this Bowling Green running game. I'll take the home team in this one. Play Bowling Green. |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions -7 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
The LV Raiders couldn't have looked much worse then they did last week in their loss at Chicago, 12-30. They hade just 39 yards rushing and without their starting QB they had just 196 yards passing. They couldn't stop the Chicago rushing attack as the Bears piled-up 173 yards on the ground. Good news is that QB Jimmy Garoppolo (back) has been upgraded to probable after missing that game last week. How effective he will be will remain to be seen however. The 5-2 Detroit Lions having one of their best seasons in many years. They are in first place in the NFC North and can extend that tonight over the second place Vikings who just lost their QB Kirk Cousins for the season. The Packers and Bears look to be no show as both have just two wins. The Lions will look to rebound from their worst performance of the season last week at Baltimore, 6-38. It was their worst offensive output and they allowed over 500 yards to the Ravens. That loss snapped both a four game win streak S/U and against the number. I look for the Lions to rebound from that bad performance last week. The Raiders have no answer if they lose their QB again, which could happen with every play. I'll take Detroit. |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers +3.5 | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans look to get above .500 with a win today at Carolina. The Texans are 3-3 and in 2nd place in the AFC South behind 5-2 Jacksonville. The Texans have a +22 point differential. Meanwhile, Carolina looking for its first win of the season at 0-6 and in last place in the NFC South. The Panthers have a -74 point differential this season. Houston is coming off a win at home over the Saints last week, 20-13 as a 2-point dog. They had just 297 yards compared to the Saints 430 yards. Carolina coming off a loss at Miami last week, 21-42, as a 14-point dog. The Panthers average 18.7 ppg while allowing 31 ppg. This will be a battle among the top two QB draft picks from last season with the Panthers Bryce Young against the Texans CJ Stroud. Everyone keeps waiting for Young to make an impact. Growing pains can be difficult for a rookie in the NFL. I'm going to take the home dog here with Carolina and see if Young can finally be a factor. Play Carolina. |
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10-29-23 | Jaguars v. Steelers +2.5 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
The Jacksonville Jaguars won their fourth straight game after last week's win at New Orleans, 31-24, as a 2.5-point dog. The Jags haven't been dominating, but good enough. They average 24.7 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. They also average 336.3 ypg while giving up 354.4 ppg. The rushing defense has been very good, allowing just 80.6 ypg on the season. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is 4-2 S/U and ATS despite averaging just 17.2 ppg while giving up 21.2 ppg. The Jags 5-2 record has them in first place in the AFC South, with Houston and Indy the next closest teams at 3-3 and 3-4. Pittsburgh is in a crowded AFC North where the Ravens lead with a 5-2 record. Pittsburgh and Cleveland are at 4-2 and Cincinnati at 3-3. The Steelers have a -24 point differential, but somehow keep winning. This is a strange one for me. Not sure why the Jags are favored. But, that's ok, I'll take it. Play Pittsburgh! |
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10-28-23 | Oregon State v. Arizona +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
Late evening action here on the Saturday schedule has a pair of PAC-12 teams facing off as Arizona hosts Oregon State. Oregon State comes into this contest with a 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS record. Arizona is 4-3 S/U and 6-1 vs the spread. Oregon State won at home two weeks ago against UCLA, 36-24, as a 3.5-point favorite. They had last week off. That makes three wins in row since their loss to Washington State for the lone blemish on their record. The Beavers average 38.1 ppg while allowing 20.3 ppg. They also average 445.1 ypg while allowing 343.9 ypg. Arizona also had last week off to prepare for this game. They snapped a two game losing streak two weeks ago at Washington State, 44-6, as a 7.5-point road dog. They have now covered their last three games, all as underdogs. Arizona averages 31.9 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg. They have 452.4 ypg and allow 333.4 ypg. Arizona covers spreads, especially as a dog. They are a home dog here today and I'll be on the points with this one. Play Arizona. |
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10-28-23 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +14.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
Big 10 clash here on Saturday has Wisconsin hosting Ohio State. Ohio State kept its perfect record in tact as the Buckeyes improved to 7-0 a big win last week over Penn State, 20-12, covering the 4-point favorite spread. That was a huge win for the Buckeyes and will have them in the current playoff picture. It was also the teams third cover in a row and 4-0-1 ATS their last five games after starting the season 0-2 vs the number. Not only does the Buckeyes offense rank 33.7 ppg, but they have one of the best defenses in the country, allowing just 10 ppg and 260 total yards. Ohio State has its sights set on that Nov 25th clash with currently 8-0 Michigan in the regular season finale. Wisconsin lucky to be in the Big 10 West where they don't have to contend with either Ohio State or Michigan. The Badgers are 5-2 and a half game back in the West behind Iowa. Wisconsin averages 26.9 ppg while allowing 18.3 ppg. They also average 396.4 ypg while allowing 334.9 ypg. Getting somewhere around two TD's at home with Wisconsin too much to pass up on here today. The Buckeyes should be in a bit of a letdown spot after that big win last week. I'll take the points with Wisconsin. |
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10-28-23 | Wyoming +4.5 v. Boise State | 7-32 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
Two teams with postseason aspirations meet today in this Mountain West clash between Wyoming and Boise State. Wyoming can take a big step to a Bowl game with a win today that would improve them to 6-2 on the season. As for Boise, a win and they even their season at 4-4, a loss and they could be behind the eight ball for the postseason. Wyoming is 4-2-1 vs the spread after last week's loss at Air Force, 27-34, though they covered the 12.5 point dog line. That snapped a three game win streak for the Cowboys. Wyoming averages 26.3 ppg while allowing 25.6 ppg. They also allow more yards then they gain with a 324.7-380.7 mark. Boise State looks to rebound after their loss at Colorado State two weeks ago, 30-31, as a 8.5-point chalk. The Broncos had last week off to stew over that loss, their second in their last three games. The Broncos average 29.7 ppg but allow 30.9 ppg on the season. They also allow 428.3 ypg while averaging slightly less at 425 ypg. I like the Cowboys getting points in this since I believe they can win straight up. Play Wyoming. |
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10-28-23 | Purdue +2 v. Nebraska | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday as a pair of West division teams matchup. Purdue is last in the West with a 2-5 conference record, while Nebraska is fourth at 4-3. Purdue had last week off to prepare for today's contest. They looks to snap a two-game losing streak, including last game vs Ohio State, 7-41. The Boilermakers average 23 ppg while allowing 29.9 ppg on the season. They also average 370.7 ypg and allow 396.3 ypg. The Huskers coming off a win last week at home vs Northwestern, 17-9, but failed to cover the 11-point line. That makes them 1-3 ATS in their last four games. Nebraska averages just 18.7 ppg and allows 19.3 on the season. They also average 330 ypg while allowing 313.6 ypg. I'll take the well rest Purdue team in this one plus the points. Play Purdue. |
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10-28-23 | Oregon v. Utah +6.5 | 35-6 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
Huge PAC-12 contest here as Oregon travels to the Beehive state to face Utah U. Both teams come into this contest at 6-1 S/U. Oregon rebounded from their first loss of the season two weeks ago at Washington (33-36) with a win over Washington State, 38-24, but failed to cover the 19.5-point chalk line. This Oregon team is very dynamic with Nix at QB after transferring to Oregon this year. They average 553.4 ppg and 47 ppg on the season. They are also very balanced with over 200 yards rushing average. Utah coming off a big win over USC last week, 34-32, as a 7-point dog. That's two wins in a row that they have scored 34 points. They only allow 296 ypg and 15 ppg this season. This should be one of the marquee games on Saturday. Utah getting almost a TD at home too much for me to pass on. I'll take Utah and see if they can keep the ball out of the hands of this dynamic Oregon offense. Play Utah. |
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10-25-23 | UTEP +3.5 v. Sam Houston State | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Not sure how the oddsmakers favor a team by a field goal or more when they are 0-7 on the season. But, that's just what they did with Sam Houston State tonight who is still looking for its first win of the season after seven losses. The Bearkats lost last week to Florida International, 27-33, again a favorite, this time 5.5-point chalk. The Kats are also 3-4 vs the number and 1-4 ATS their last five games. They average just 13.4 ppg while allowing 25.9 ppg. The Kats also average just 283.1 ypg while allowing 383.3 ypg. UTEP isn't great either, in fact the Miners won't be going to a bowl as they sit at just 2-6 S/U and ATS. The Miners lost to New Mexico State last week, 7-28, as a 3-point dog. The Miners average more yards then the Bearkats with 353.8 ypg. They average 16.4 ppg and give up 26.4 ppg. The Miners are a run first offense and average around 40 rushing attempts per game so I look for them to control the ball and the clock in this game. Conversely, Sam Houston doesn't have much of a run attack which will find them behind the sticks a lot in this one. This is a good matchup for UTEP as I look for the Miners run game to control the ball, the clock and the final score. Play UTEP. |
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10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -2.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
Sunday night football has the AFC vs the NFC as the Dolphins take on the Eagles. The Miami Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East with a 5-1 record. They have a point differential of +67 and have won two straight after last week's win over Carolina, 42-21, as a 14-point favorite. Their lone loss coming in that AFC East showdown with the Bills a few weeks ago, 20-48. The Eagles are in first place in the NFC East with a 5-1 record. They lead the Dallas Cowboys by one game. They have a +31 run differential and are a perfect 2-0 at home. The Eagles lost their first game of the season last week at the NY Jets, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. They held the Jets to just 89 yards rushing and 155 yards passing. Should be an excellent game here on Sunday night. I'll take the Eagles at home. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
AFC West clash here on Sunday has the first place Kansas City Chiefs looking to take a commanding lead in the division. The Raiders are 3-3 while the Chargers are 2-3. The Chargers, despite having a losing record, have a +3 point differential. They rallied late last week, but Herbert's INT on the final drive locked the win for the visiting Cowboys, 17-20, as a 1.5-point dog. The loss snapped a 2-game win streak for the Chargers. The Kansas City offense hasn't been as explosive this year as in recent seasons. However, the defending champions defense hasn't allowed more than 20 points in any of their last five games. The Chiefs have a +59 point differential this season thanks in big part to the defense. Chargers already in a must win spot this early in the season. I'll take the points with LA here on Sunday. |
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10-22-23 | Falcons +3 v. Bucs | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
NFC South meeting here between the top two teams in the division. The Bucs are 3-2 and in first place with a +2 point differential. The Falcons are 3-3 with a -21 point differential. The Falcons are just 1-5 vs the spread and average 331 yards per game while allowing 278.2 yards. They also average 16.5 ppg while giving up 20.0 ppg. The Falcons lost last week at home to Washington, 16-24, as a 1.5-point favorite. They held Washington to just 72 rushing yards and 121 passing yards despite losing. Tampa Bay also coming off a loss last week as the dropped their home game to the Detroit Lions, 6-20, as a 3-point dog. They had just 46 rushing yards and 205 passing yards. They average 18 ppg while allowing 17.6 ppg on the season. Weak division here so the winner could be .500 or even below. I'll take the Falcons plus the points in this one. |
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10-21-23 | Duke +14.5 v. Florida State | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
ACC Clash here on Saturday as 5-1 Duke taking on 6-0 Florida State. The Blue Devils are 4-2 vs the number while FSU is also 4-2 ATS. Duke's only loss was that seven point loss at home to Notre Dame, 14-21, as a 5.5-point dog. FSU expects to win the ACC with an undefeated season thus far. Duke goes as their QB goes in Riley Leonard. Leonard has been nursing an ankle injury with his status questionable for today. Duke has an excellent rushing game, ranking 19th in the country. The FSU Seminoles have a well balanced offense, ranking 37th in passing and a running game around the middle of the pack in the nation. Duke getting double digits looks like a gift here today. But only if Leonard actually plays. They do have the rushing game to lean on, but that also opens up with Leonard in the game. I'll take the points with Duke today. |
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10-21-23 | Minnesota +3.5 v. Iowa | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
Big 10 West clash as Minnesota take on 24th ranked Iowa from Ames. Iowa is 6-1 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. Minnesota coming off a bye week after losing to Michigan, 10-52 as a 18.5-point dog. Iowa is coming off a win over Wisconsin, 15-6. Minnesota will rely on the ground game, ranking 5th in the Big 10 in rushing with 180.5 yards per game. The defense ranks 10th in the Big 10 allowing 21.7 ppg. Iowa lost it's high profile transfer QB, Cade McNamara to a torn ACL. Deacon Hill has had to step into the starting position. Hill has averaged just 87.3 ypg passing thus far. The Hawkeyes rank 11th in the Big 10 in scoring with 20.9 ppg. They are last in passing with 116.6 ypg through the air. Hard to lay points with a Iowa team that will struggle to put TD's on the scoreboard. I'll take the points here with Minnesota. |
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10-21-23 | Central Florida +17.5 v. Oklahoma | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Big 12 showdown from Gaylor Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium as the Sooners host Central Florida. Central Florida Golden Knights started the season 3-0 before dropping their last three games. They are coming off a loss at Kansas, 22-51, as a 2.-5 point favorite. Oklahoma is coming off one of its biggest wins in some time in the Red River Classic as they beat Texas, 34-30 as a 5-point dog. That makes the Sooners a perfect 6-0 on the season both S/U and ATS. Now have to think they could be in for that letdown week after that emotional win last week. The Sooners have all the great numbers, they average 45.2 ppg while allowing just 14 ppg. They average 506.7 yards while allowing 353 yards. Central Florida can score, averaging 35 ppg and 516 yards per game. The Knights getting 17.5-points here on Saturday. I feel Oklahoma will be somewhat flat in this game and take this 3-3 UCF team for granted. Take the points with UCF. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -2 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Week 7 of the NFL begins tonight with the Jacksonville Jaguars traveling to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints are 3-3 S/U and 1-4-1 ATS on the season while the Jags are 4-2 S/U and ATS. The Jags are coming off a easy win over the Colts last week, 37-20. QB Trevor Lawrence was injured late in the game, but came back to finish up. There was some doubt on his status tonight, but he looks to play. The Jags defense has been very good vs the run (3rd in NFL) but bad vs the pass (31st). Meanwhile the Saints look to get some consistency after losing last week at Houston, 13-20. They were without star RB Alvin Kamara for the first suspended early on and then QB Derek Carr dealing with a shoulder injury. Despite just 13 points last week the team had 24 first downs and 430 total yards. How healthy will Lawrence be tonight could be the big question. The team has logged a bunch of miles traveling this year. With a poor rushing game a lot might be on a hobbling Lawrence. I'll take the Saints tonight in this one. |
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10-18-23 | Aces +6.5 v. Liberty | 70-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Game 4 of the WNBA Championship Finals from the Barclays Center in New York. Las Vegas can win their second consecutive title with a win here tonight as they lead this series 2-1. The Liberty looking to send this series back to Vegas for a decisive game five. Vegas is led by A'ja Wilson who averages 23.8 ppg and Kelsey Plum's 19.8 ppg. The Aces will be without their star guard in Chelsea Gray, who injured her foot. That's a huge loss to this Aces team. The Liberty are led by Breanna Stewart and her 19.3 ppg and Jonquel Jones and her 18.2 ppg. Vegas is 5-2 ATS their last seven games while New York is 3-8 ATS their last 11 games. Vegas went to a six-point dog once Plum was ruled out for this game. Still, lots of firepower left for Vegas and getting that many points just too much to pass on. I'll take Vegas and the points here tonight. |
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10-17-23 | Middle Tennessee State v. Liberty -14 | Top | 35-42 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Conference USA clash this week between Middle Tennessee State and Liberty. Mid Tenn State Blue Raiders are just 2-5 S/U and 1-4 ATS. They are coming off their first cover of the season vs Louisiana Tech, 31-23, as a 3-point favorite. Now they face their biggest challenge of the season in undefeated Liberty Flames. The Flames are also 5-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville State, 31-13, as a 7-point favorite. The Flames average 35.3 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. They average 479.3 yards while allowing 315.3 yards per game. Mid Tenn gets outscored 31.9 to 22.1 on the season. The Blue Raiders offense is not that good, ranking 75th in total offense and 112th in rushing. The defense ranks 95th in the country and they give up the yards through the air as they rank 112th. They have to face Liberty's 12th ranked offense and a viscous ground game that is 3rd in the country. Also don't expect many turnover from this Liberty team as they protect the ball well, ranking 5th in the country in turnover differential. I fully expect Liberty to extend to 7-0 tonight and to easily cover this spread. Take Liberty as your Conference USA Game of the Year! |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +2 | 20-17 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys can cut the Philadelphia Eagles NFC East lead down to just one game with a win here on Monday night. The Eagles lost their first game of the season on Sunday opening the way for the Cowboys to close the gap. Dallas is 3-2 S/U and ATS after losing last week at the 49ers, 10-42. The Cowboys defense gave up more points to the 49ers then they did in the previous four games combined. They will face a Chargers team that started the season 0-2 but have since put together wins over the Vikings and then two weeks ago over the Raiders, 24-17. The Chargers had last week off to prepare for this game. The Chargers average 27.5 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have averaged 388.8 ypg while giving up 404 ypg. Dallas has lost its last two road games by a combined 26-70 score. Now they hit the road again. I'm taking the Chargers who had a week off to prepare for this game and are a small home dog. Play LA Chargers. |
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10-15-23 | Colts +4 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
Jacksonville back on US soil after two straight weeks playing in London. The Jags might want to go there for a new home as they won both games in London. The Jags beat the Bills there last week, 25-20, and the Falcons the previous week, 23-7. That improved the team to 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Jags offense has averaged 21 ppg this season while allowing 20.4 ppg. They have also averaged 358.2 ypg and allowed 344 ypg. The Indianapolis Colts got good news last week with the return of Jonathon Taylor after missing the first four games with a contract dispute. The Colts went right out last week and beat the Titans, 23-16. That makes them 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They have scored 24 ppg while allowing 23 ppg. These teams are pretty evenly matched. However, have to think the Jags might be a bit Jet lagged from their trips to London. I'm going to take the points here with the Colts. |
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10-14-23 | USC +3 v. Notre Dame | 20-48 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
The big annual rivalry between USC and Notre Dame will take place today from South Bend, IN. USC puts its 6-0 record online here Saturday and hopes of a college playoff berth. A loss could pretty much sink those playoff hopes. USC is only 2-4 vs the number, but that's mainly because they have been laying big numbers. While they have won their last three, they have failed to cover as 21-point favorites or more. That includes a close call at home vs Arizona last week in which the Trojans just got by with a 2-point win as a 21-point favorite. USC allowed 506 yards to the Wildcats while gaining just 365 themselves. Notre Dame is 5-2 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. The Irish have averaged 34.1 ppg while allowing 15.9 ppg on the season. They have averaged 437.9 ypg and allowed 279.7 ypg. The Irish lost their second game of the season last week at Louisville, 20-33, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Irish had just 44 yards on the ground and 254 passing yards. The Trojans can't let their guard down here on Saturday evening if they want that playoff berth. I'll take USC plus the few points. Play USC. |
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10-14-23 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +7.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
The Louisville Cardinals improved to 6-0 S/U and 3-3 ATS with a big win and statement last week at home over Notre Dame, 33-20, as a 6-5-point dog. The Cardinals rushed for 185 yards and passed for another 145 yards in the win. They held the Irish to just 44 rushing yards. Louisville now averages 193 yards on the ground this year and 36.3 ppg. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has bad a rough go thus far at 1-4 both S/U and ATS. The Panthers coming off a loss two weeks ago at Virginia Tech, 21-38, as a 2.5-point favorite. They got the week off to rest and prepare for this week's game. Pitt averages 23.4 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have also averaged 308.8 ypg and allowed 303.8 ypg. Pitt has played better then its record shows. Pitt getting around or just over a TD at home. With the week off and getting the points, I'll take a shot with the Panthers here on Saturday and look for Louisville to have a letdown after that big win last week. Play Pittsburgh. |
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10-14-23 | Illinois +13.5 v. Maryland | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
The 2-4 Fighting Illini will travel to to the 5-1 Maryland Terps in this Big 10 battle. Illinois is coming off a loss last week to Nebraska, 7-20, as a 3-point favorite. The Illini have yet to cover a spread this season. They have averaged 377.3 ypg while allowing 401.8 ypg. The Illini average 19.2 ppg and give up 28.8 ppg. Maryland is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off their first loss of the season last week at Ohio State, 17-37, as a 18 point dog. They held the Ohio State team to just 64 rushing yards, but gave up 320 passing yards. Maryland has averaged 429.3 ypg while giving up 337.5 ypg. They also score 35 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. Have to think their might be a big of a letdown here this week after that tough game at Ohio State last week. I'll take the points with Illinois in this one. |
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10-14-23 | Michigan State +5 v. Rutgers | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Early Big 10 Action here on Saturday has Michigan State playing at Rutgers. Michigan State has pretty much owned Rutgers, winning nine of the last ten meetings between these teams. Michigan State started the season by winning its first two games, but have since dropped three straight, including two weeks ago at Iowa, 16-26, as a 10-point dog. The Spartans had last week off to prepare for this game. The Spartans are 2-2-1 vs the spread. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are 3-2 S/U and 4-0-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Wisconsin last week, 13-24, as a 13-point dog. Rutgers has averaged 336 ypg while allowing 283.7 ypg this year. The Big 10 East is tough this year with four teams having five wins while Rutgers comes in with four wins and Michigan State is last with a 2-3 record. I like this Spartans team off the bye week to prepare for this game. I'll take the points in this one. Play Michigan State. |
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10-13-23 | Fresno State -4 v. Utah State | 37-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Mountain West clash here tonight has Fresno State visiting Utah State. Fresno is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The have a turnover ratio of +7 this season and have outscored their opponents by a 33.5-18.2 margin. The Bulldogs have averaged 408 yards per game while allowing 289.8 yards per game this season. Fresno looks to rebound from its first loss of the season after last week's setback at Wyoming, 19-24, as a 5-point road favorite. The defense has allowed over 10 points twice in their five games this year. The Utah State Aggies are 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They have a +2 turnover ratio and have average 38.2 ppg while allowing 32.2 ppg. The Aggies average 462.8 ypg while allowing 407.2 ypg. Utah State has won two straight games after last week's win over Colorado State, 44-24. Utah State lost at home to James Madison and on the road at Air Force, both as dogs. Their wins have been when they are the favorite. As the dog tonight I expect another loss for the Aggies tonight. Play Fresno State. |
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10-08-23 | Eagles v. Rams +4 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Eagles look to keep their perfect record in tact as they visit the LA Rams here on Sunday. The 4-0 Eagles just did get by the Washington Commanders last week in OT, 34-31, failing to cover the 9-point favorite line. The Eagles have a +28 point differential as they have scored 118 points and allowed 90. They will face a 2-2 Rams team that has a +13 point differential, scoring 98 points and allowing 85. Some good news for the Rams as they return their best WR in Cooper Kupp who has missed the season with a hamstring injury. Kupp was upgraded to probable for today's contest. The Eagles have averaged 392 yards this year while allowing 323 yards. They have relied more on their rushing game this year led by Kenneth Gainwell who has averaged more than 100 yards per game. The Rams are coming off a win at the Colts last week, 29-23 as they rsuhed for 164 yards and passed for another 303 yards. WR Puka Nacau has been a leader in the NFL this year with over 119 yards in three of his four starts. Now he gets Kupp back and that should only help both receivers. I'm taking the points here today at home with the Rams. |
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10-08-23 | Jaguars +6 v. Bills | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Early game from London England here on Sunday. The Jags will be playing their second straight game from London. The Jags had little trouble in last week's game over the pond as they beat the Atlanta Falcons, 23-7. The defense held the Falcons to just 287 total yards. That improved the Jags to 2-2 and tied with the other three teams in the AFC South, all with 2-2 records. The Jags have a +2 point differential as they have scored 72 points and allowed 70. The Buffalo Bills have a +84 point differential, scoring 139 points and allowing only 55. They are coming off that showdown with the Miami Dolphins last week in which they dominated from start to finish in a win, 48-20. The Bills have dominated their last three opponents since that opening week shocking loss at the Jets, 16-22. One thing in this game is the possible letdown the Bills might have after that emotional win over the Dolphins last week. I'll take the points with the Jags who seem to play very well in London. Play Jacksonville. |
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10-07-23 | Fresno State -5.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
Mountain West clash here today has Wyoming hosting Fresno State from Laramie, WY. The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this game 24th in the nation at 5-0 and will face a 4-1 Cowboys squad. Fresno has beaten Wyoming in four straight games, including last year in a 30-0 shutout. Fresno coming off a tough outing last week vs Nevada, failing to cover the 25.5-point favorite spread in a 27-9 win. Still, the Dogs average 36.4 ppgs this season, ranking them 26th in the nation. They average 304.8 ypg passing (14th in nation) and 120.2 yards rushing (108th). Their defense is very good, allowing just 17 ppg (23rd in country) and allowing just 282 yards per game (14th). Wyoming coming off a fine start to the season at 4-1, with their only loss coming against Texas, 10-31. They won their first conference game last week against New Mexico, 35-26, failing to cover the 14.5-point line. Wyoming averages 26.6 ppg (84th) and 324.6 ypg (115th). The Wyoming offense will have troubles against this very good Fresno defense. I'll take Fresno and lay the points in this one. |
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10-07-23 | Marshall +6.5 v. NC State | 41-48 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
Non-Conference matchup here on Saturday. The Marshall Thundering Herd come into today's contest at North Carolina State with a 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS record. They have rushed for an average of 169 yards per game this season while passing for 243.3 yards per game. Marshall is coming off a win over Old Dominion, 41-35, but failed to cover the 14.5 point spread. NC State is 3-2 S/U and 1-4 ATS on the season. The Wolfpack averages 151 yards on the ground and 194.2 yards passing. The Wolfpack is coming off a loss at home to Louisville, 10-13, covering the 3.5-point dog line. It was the Pack's first cover of the season after four straight losses to start the season. NC State trying to rebound from a 4-9 campaign last season. Marshall is 58th in the country in passing offense and 53rd in rushing offense. NC State is 3-2 on the season but just 1-2 at home and 1-1 in the ACC. The Pack are just 106th in passing offense and 71st in rushing offense. Marshall getting 6.5-points here today and for me I can see the Herd winning this game outright. I'll take the points though. Play Marshall. |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Conference USA matchup here on Thursday night has Louisiana Tech hosting Western Kentucky from Joe Aillet Stadium. The La Tech Bulldogs are 3-3 S/U and 2-0 in conference play. The W.Ky Hilltoppers are 3-2 and 1-0 in conference play. W.Ky rebounded from a loss the week before with a win over Middle Tennessee State, 31-10 last week. They average 31.6 ppg this year, ranking 55th in the nation. They do allow 29.2 ppg, which is 98th in the nation. La Tech also won last week, snapping a 2-game losing skid by beating conference opponent UTEP, 24-10. The Dogs average 27 ppgs, good for 81st in the country. They allow 25.7 ppg, 76th in the country. QB Hank Bachmeier (shoulder) is listed as questionable here tonight. Western Ky is a 6-point road favorite. I'll take the points in this one. Play La Tech. |
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10-01-23 | Chiefs -8 v. Jets | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
Sunday Night football has this AFC battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and the NY Jets. The Chiefs were shocked at home in their opener by the Lions, but since that loss have rebounded with wins over Jacksonville, 17-9, and then last week over Chicago, 41-10. The offense finally clicked last week with 303 yards passing and 153 yards rushing. They held the Bears to just 203 total yards. QB Patrick Mahomes looked very sharp last week with 272 yards passing, three TD's and no INT's. Since his favorite targer Travis Kelce returned in game two, the offense has been much more sharp. The Jets had high hopes to start the season with QB Aaron Rodgers coming over from the Packers RB Dalvin Cook coming over from the Vikings. However, the Jets lost Rodgers 75 seconds into the season with a season ending injury and Cook has been less then effective in three starts with a high of 33 yards rushing in game one. Zach Wilson resumed at QB and has been poor at best with three INT's and Two TD's in his three games. Not sure how the Jets offense will keep up with Mahomes and company in this one. Might take a miracle. take Kansas City. |
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10-01-23 | Cardinals +14.5 v. 49ers | 16-35 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
NFC West matchup here on Sunday has the 1-2 Arizona Cardinals playing at the 3-0 San Francisco 49ers. The Cardinals are forced to play with their QB in Kyler Murray who will miss this game. However, he could return for their next game. Surprisingly though, the Cardinals are 3-0 vs the spread. They covered the 7-points in their opener at Washington, then covered vs the Giants and then shocked everyone last week with an outright win at home over the Dallas Cowboys as a 11-point dog. RB James Conner has been great with 98 yards last week and 106 the week before. The 49ers look like one of the best teams in the NFL right now. They have scored 90 points while allowing just 42 for a +48 point differential. Only the Buffalo Bills have a better point differential (+56). Brock Purdy has been efficient at QB with FOUR TD's and no INT's. He had 310 yards last week vs the Giants. But it's RB Christian McCaffrey who leads the team with 117 rushing yards per game and three TD's. The Niners are 14 point favorite or there about. With Dallas up next for the 49ers I expect them to not really concentrate much on this big dog today. I'll take the Cardinals and see if they can remain perfect vs the number. Play Arizona. |
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09-30-23 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
A pair of 3-1 teams meet here on Saturday as TCU hosts West Virginia from the Amon Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX. TCU won this matchup last season, 41-31 as a 7-point road favorite. West Virginia lost its opener to Penn State, 15-38. However, they have ton three straight over Duquesne, Pitt, and last week over Texas Tech, 30-13, as a 6-point dog. They have at least 146 yards rushing in each game. They have also covered their last three games. TCU also opened with a loss to Colorado, 42-45, but have since beaten Nicholls State, Houston and last week over SMU, 34-17. They are 2-2 vs the spread. The Horned Frogs have averaged 208.3 yards on the ground and 292.8 yards through the air. Their defense has held opponents to just 85.8 rushing yards. TCU has averaged 38.3 ppg, good for 23rd in the nation. They are 23rd in passing and 20th in rushing. I don't see West Virginia being able to move the ball well against this TCU defense and keep up with the dynamic TCU offense. TCU a double digit favorite but I have to believe that they will cover this game by at last a TD over that number. Play TCU. |
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09-30-23 | Notre Dame v. Duke +6 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
One of the marque games on the schedule for Saturday has Notre Dame taking on Duke. The Notre Dame Irish are 4-1 on the season after a tough game at home last week vs Ohio State, 14-17, pushing the 3-point dog line. The Irish are now 3-1-1 vs the number. Notre Dame had 176 yards rushing and 175 yards passing vs Ohio State for 351 yards. They held the Buckeyes to 366 yards. Their rushing attack ranks 30th in the nation this year. Duke was 9-4 last year and returned 18 starters this year. It's no wonder they have looked very good as they start 4-0. They are also 3-1 vs the spread with their only loss coming against Lafayette as they failed to cover a 43-point line. They have held three of their first four opponents to just seven points each and 14 to Northwestern. The defense allows just 276 total yards per game while the offense is averaging 424 yards. The offense ranks 49th in the nation and 26th in rushing. QB Riley Leonard has 778 yards with Two TD's and no INT's. He can also run the ball as he has 238 yards and four TD's on the ground. Duke a nice home dog here on Saturday. I have to wonder if that late loss to Oklahoma last week by the Irish will have any carry over effects this week. I'll take the points with Duke in this one. |
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09-30-23 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +6.5 | 34-22 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
SEC Classic here from AT&T Stadium as Arkansas hosts Texas A&M. The Aggies have won nine of the last 10 meetings with the Razorbacks. A&M is 3-1 S/U and ATS with their lone loss coming at Miami in week 2, 33-48 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Aggies had a nice win to go to 1-0 in the SEC last week over Auburn, 27-10, as a 10-point favorite. The Aggies have one of the best rushing attacks in college football, averaging 149.5 ypg and getting 209 last week vs Auburn. Arkansas opened the season with a pair of wins over Western Carolina and then Kent State. However, they lost in week three to BYU, 31-38, and then last week last at LSU, 31-34, covering the 17.5-point dog line. They played their best game last week at LSU with 137 yards on the ground and 289 yards passing. Arkansas is a 6-point dog here on Saturday. A&M will be without QB Conner Weigman who has a foot injury. QB Max Johnson is probable and expected start. I'll take the points here with Arkansas. |
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09-30-23 | Clemson v. Syracuse +7 | 31-14 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
Two ACC teams meet here on Saturday as the 4-0 Syracuse Orange host the 2-2 Clemson Tigers. The Tigers are 9-1 their last 10 vs the Orange, including last year's 27-21 win as a 14-point favorite. Clemson looking to rebound from that wrenching loss last week at home to Florida. They led all the way until OT when Florida pulled out the win, 31-24. Clemson kicker Jonathan Weitz missed a 29-year field goal late in the 4th that could have won the game for the Tigers. Clemson lost their opening game at Duke, 7-28 before winning games vs Charleston Southern, 66-17, and Florida Atlantic, 48-14. Syracuse is 4-0 after beating Army last week, 29-16, pushing the 13-point line. The Orange are now 3-0-1 vs the number. They had an easy win vs Colgate, 65-0, then beat Western Michigan, 48-7, and a nice win at Purdue, 35-20. These two team very close in the power ranking and Syracuse a TD home dog here. I think Syracuse makes this a close game and possibly pulls out their 5th win. Play Syracuse. |
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09-29-23 | Cincinnati v. BYU +1.5 | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
Two new members of the Big 12 will meet here on Friday as Cincinnati plays BYU in Provo. The Cincinnati Bearcats are 2-2 and 0-1 in the Big 12 after losing at home last week to Oklahoma, 6-20. The Cats had 376 yards of offense, but could manage just two field goals. What has hurt the team most thus far are turnovers, as they rank 84th in the nation in turnover differential. BYU is 3-1 after losing its first game of the season last week to Kansas, 27-38. The Cougars led at halftime, 17-14, but were outscored 21-3 starting the second half and never could come back. BYU is 41st in turnover differential. The offense has looked good, though the defense has had some issues thus far. BYU at home as a dog here on Friday is a bit more than I can pass on. The Cougars have the offensive weapons to stay in this game and I look for an outright win by BYU. Play BYU. |
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09-29-23 | Liberty v. Sun +4.5 | 92-81 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
Game 3 of this WNBA best of five series plays in Uncasville, Connecticut with the teams tied at 1-1. Connecticut took game one, 78-63 at New York then lost game two 77-84. Connecticut has covered the first two games as 8.5 and 8.5 point dogs. The NY Liberty shot just 34% from the field in game one before a 45% night in their win in game two. The Sun have covered the first two of the series and while the line has dropped here in game three, I like the Sun to even win this game outright. The Sun are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games with 2 days of rest. They have also covered five of their last seven at home vs the Liberty. I'll take another shot here with Connecticut. |
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09-25-23 | Rams +3 v. Bengals | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
The Bengals a far cry from the team that went to the Super Bowl. They are 0-2 and have scored 27 points in two games. Now QB Joe Burrows has been hurt and while it looks like he will play tonight, he can't be close to 100%. The Rams are 1-1 after their two games. The Rams opened with that come from behind week 1 win at Seattle, 30-13. Then last week came up a big short at home against the 49ers, 23-30, pushing the spread. QB Matthew Stafford has looked good for the most part, though he did have two picks last week by the 49ers and just one TD on the season. The Bengals Joe Burrow only had 82 yards in their season opening loss at Cleveland, 3-24. Then last week in the loss to Baltimore, 24-27, he had 222 yards with two TD's and one INT. Coaching edge goes to the Rams. The Rams have looked better overall and I can't be sure that Burrow can give 100% here. Take the Rams. |
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09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | 25-11 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
Week three of the NFL concludes here tonight with the Buccaneers hosting the Eagles. With Dallas and Washington both losing on Sunday, a win by the Eagles will put them alone in first in the NFC East with a 3-0 record. Tampa Bay is also 2-0 and with Atlanta and New Orleans both losing Sunday the Bucs can be the only team in the NFC South with a 3-0 record. The Eagles have average 178 yards on the ground this year and 162.5 yards through the air. Their defense has allowed just 52 rushing and 326 passing. Tampa Bay's defense has also been very good, allowing 54 yards rushing and 248.5 yards passing. Philly QB Jalen Hurts has two TD's and one INT on the season. He passed for 170 yards in the opener at New England and 193 yards last week vs Minnesota. Baker Mayfield came over to the Bucs in the offseason. He has three TD's and no INT's. At Minnesota in week one he threw for two TD's and 173 yards. Last week vs the Bears he threw for 317 yards and one TD. Both teams have played well early in the season, but the difference for me here tonight is getting points at home with Tampa Bay. I'll take the points in this one. Play Tampa Bay. |
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09-24-23 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4.5 | Top | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
The Seattle Seahawks host the Carolina Panthers here on Sunday. The Panthers making the long trip from the East coast to the Pacific Northwest. Seattle is 1-1, scored 50 total points and allowed 61 points for a -11 point differential. They return home after their upset win at Detroit last week as a 4.5-point dog, 37-31. This coming after blowing a first half lead in week 1 at home to the Rams and losing 13-30. QB Geno Smith has played well, with three TD's and no INT's. He threw for 328 yards on the road last week. Carolina is 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS after a pair of games. They opened with a loss at Atlanta, 10-24 and then lost last week to New Orleans, 17-20. They failed to cover week one and pushed week two. The Panthers offense has just 281 yards in game one and 239 last week at home. Don't see the Panthers offense being able to stay with this Seahawks team that has lots of weapons on offense. I'll lay the points with Seattle. |
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09-24-23 | Titans +3.5 v. Browns | 3-27 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans are 1-1 to start the season as three teams are all tied for the AFC South with a 1-1 record. The Titans averaged just 21 ppg thus far while allowing 20 ppg. The Titans opened the season with a loss at New Orleans, 15-16 and then won last wee at home over the Chargers, 27-24. They covered both games. They have rushed for 245 total yards and passed for another 381 total yards. Ryan Tannehill tossed three INT's in the opener but rebounded with None in their win over the Chargers to go with one TD. Derrick Henry is one of the best backs in the league, but he's yet to hit 100 yards. He rushed for 63 in the opener and then 80 yards last week. The Cleveland Browns had high hopes this season with Watson finally getting a full season at QB and arguably the best running back in Nick Chubb. Well, Chubb went down last week and will miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. That will lead Jerome Ford to pickup the slack. Ford did rush for 106 yards after Chubb went down last week. Still, huge loss for this team. What made the injury even worse was losing the game to the Steelers, 22-26, even though they held Pittsburgh to just 255 yards of offense. I'm going to take Tennessee this week and see if Ford can really pick up the huge hole left by Chuff. Play Tennessee. |
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09-24-23 | Falcons +3.5 v. Lions | 6-20 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions pulled the big upset in week one when they went into Kansas City and got the win, 21-20, as a 4-point dog. They fell off last week, losing at home as a 4.5-point favorite to the Seattle Seahawks, 31-37. They have outgained their opponents on the ground, 110-86. They also have more passing yards per game at 283-268.5. QB Jared Goff has four TD's and just one INT. Atlanta off to a 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS start. The Falcons play their first road game here today after winning at home over Carolina, 24-10 and then at home over Green Bay, 25-24. The Falcons have been great on the ground, with 170.5 yard average. They haven't had to put much pressure on rookie QB Desmond Ridder who has been effective. Ridder has 2 TD's and just 1 INT this season. The Detroit defense has only allowed an average of 86 yards on the ground so this should be an interesting matchup. I'll take the points with Atlanta. -------------------------------------------------------- |
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09-23-23 | Texas -16.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
Big 12 action here today has Baylor hosting Texas. Texas comes into this game 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS. Baylor looking for its first win at 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS. Texas opened the season with a win over Rice, 37-10 as a 35.5-point favorite, then pulled the big shocker win with a 34-23 win at Alabama as a 7-point dog. They had a bit of a letdown last week in a much closer game then it should have been, win over Wyoming, 31-10. They failed to cover the 30.5-point spread vs the Cowboys. Texas is outscoring their opponents 34-14.7 this season. They are out gaining their opponents 409.3 to 276.3 ypg. The Longhorns defense is holding opponent rushing to just 2.9 ypa. Baylor opened the season with a loss to Texas State, 31-42 as a 26.5-point favorite. Then two weeks ago they lost to Utah, 13-20, as a 7-point dog, pushing the line. The Bears had last week off to prepare for today. The Bears are outgaining opponents 431.5 to 409 ypg but getting outscored 22 to 31 ppg. The Bears better hope they found a better offense and defense after with their week off. I really don't expect that but do expect the Longhorns to roll here on Saturday. Play Texas. |
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09-23-23 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +3.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
One of the marquee matchups on Saturday has Notre Dame hosting Ohio State. The Irish faithful will be in full force for this one. Both teams are undefeated as Ohio State is 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS while the Irish are 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Ohio State opened the season with a win over Indiana, 23-3, failing to cover the 30-point line. Then beat Youngstown State, 35-7, also failing to cover the 45.5-point line. And then last week beat Western Kentucky, 63-10, covering the 29-point line. This will be their toughest matchup of the season at Notre Dame. The Buckeyes have out gained their opponents 474.7 ypg to 223.7 ypg. They also have outscored opponents, 40.3 to 6.7 ppg. Notre Dame is coming off a win over Central Michigan last week, 41-17, failing to cover for the first time this year. The Irish biggest win was two weeks ago over NC State where they won 45-24 as a 7-point favorite. The Irish are out gaining opponents 508.8 to 234.8 ypg this year. They have outscored their opponents 46-11.7 ppg. This is a game that could really pad a resume for the playoffs at the end of the season. For me, I can't pass on the points at home with Notre Dame. Play the Irish plus the points. |
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09-23-23 | Oregon State v. Washington State +3 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
A pair of undefeated PAC-12 teams meet here on Saturday as 3-0 Oregon State takes on 3-0 Washington State. The Oregon State Beavers are 2-1 vs the spread and 2-1 over/under this season. Oregon State opened with a winner over San Jose, 42-17, then beat Cal Davis, 55-7 and then last week got by San Diego State, 26-9, but failed to cover that 24.5-point spread. The Beavers are outgaining their opponents 466 yards to 257 yards. They also rush for 6.3 yards per carry while holding the opponents to just 2.0 ypg. They outscore their opponents 41-11 on the season. Meanwhile, Washington State opened the season with a win and cover vs Colorado State, 50-24 and then a upset win at Wisconsin, 31-22 and last week beat Northern Colorado, 64-21, but failed to cover the 47.5-point line. The Cougars outgain their opponents 535.7 to 363.7 yards per game. They have also outscored opponents 48.3 to 22.3 ppg. Both these teams have been great on offense and solid on defense. I'm taking the home dog here on Saturday. Play Washington State. |
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09-22-23 | White Sox v. Red Sox -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Red Sox not officially eliminated from the playoffs but with 8.5 games back in the Wildcard race they are pretty much done. Chris Sale will try and build off an excellent start last time out. Sale went six innings and allowed just two hits and one run at Toronto. He's 6-4 on the season with a 4.66 ERA. Touki Toussaint will toe the rubber for the White Sox. He's 4-7 on the season with a 6.05 ERA. Those numbers are a bit worse of late at 7.12 over his last seven starts. I'll lay the Run Line here on Friday with the Red Sox. |
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09-20-23 | Tigers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Tigers playing out the season while the Dodgers prepare for their first round of the playoffs. The Tigers are not officially eliminated from the playoffs but in reality it's over for them. The Tigers have lost two straight games including the last two night's in LA, 3-8 and last night 2-3. That snapped a four game win streak for Detroit. Reese Olson starts tonight for Detroit with a 4-7 record and 4.73 ERA. He has pitched well of late, allowing three runs over his last three starts. The Dodgers will start Bobby Miller tonight who is 10-3 in his 19 starts with a 4.02 ERA. He's been better of late with a 5-2 record and 3.68 ERA in his last seven starts. I'm going to lay the run line with the Dodgers here on Wednesday. |