Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-12-22 | Akron +2.5 v. Kent State | 75-55 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
Zips/Golden Flashes 7:30: Zips on a sweet 7-0 run and took out top seeded Toledo last night. In their last two games, they've gotten off to explosive starts and held on with gritty defense. It's been their moniker most of the season. Kent State is definitely a formidable foe. They've been on a serious run including sweeping the regular season series over Akron. Akron has a veteran team and was here last year only to come close but lose. We'll look for their defense and maturity to carry them here. |
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03-12-22 | Memphis v. SMU +3.5 | 70-63 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Memphis/SMU 5:30: Practically a home game for SMU in Fort Worth. The Mustangs have won this matchup 5 of last 6 SU including sweeping this year's regular season series. You bet we'll take the points. |
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03-12-22 | Texas A&M +6.5 v. Arkansas | 82-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
TX A&M/Arkansas 1:00: Aggies dropped a Top 5 team (Auburn) yesterday to put them in serious contention of punching their ticket to the Big Dance. A win today, most likely will give them an at-large bid. Arkansas, which already punched their ticket to the Big Dance, has had trouble with A&M. Consider this: Aggies now on a blistering 6 game win streak. And even when the Aggies were mired in the early phase of their eight-game losing streak, they managed to cover vs Arkansas in a 76-73 OT loss at Arkansas. As a matter of fact, Aggies are 6-0 ATS in this series. Buzz Williams has them believing and he's getting consistent, great work out of Jackson, Radford and Coleman III. And they're getting great support from their teammates. Arkansas has been a solid play all season, but we'll look for the Aggies to hang tough. |
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03-11-22 | Richmond v. VCU -2.5 | 75-64 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
03-11-22 | TCU +8 v. Kansas | 62-75 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
03-11-22 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -1.5 | 69-63 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Wisconsin 6:30: Izzo doesn't have the greatest team this year; after all, when challenged against quality teams at neutral sites and on the road, they fell short: Blown out on neutral floors vs Kansas and Baylor, and lost handily on the road in conference play at Penn State, Ohio State, Michigan and Iowa. On the other hand, Wisconsin was solid on neutral floors defeating Houston, Saint Mary's and Texas A&M. And they were solid on the Big 10 road with wins at Purdue, Michigan State, Indiana and Rutgers - all strong home floors. The key here is if their big time scorer and facilitator - Jonathan Davis - is OK; after all, he sprained his ankle last Saturday early in the defeat to Nebraska. He's had time to heal and apparently he's good to go. We'll roll with Wisconsin. |
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03-11-22 | St. Louis -1.5 v. St Bonaventure | 57-56 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
03-10-22 | Oregon v. Colorado | Top | 69-80 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
Analysis to follow.... |
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03-10-22 | Miami-OH v. Kent State -6.5 | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-10-22 | Butler +8 v. Providence | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Butler/Providence Noon: Had Butler yesterday and delivered big. Today, I'm back on the Bulldogs. Providence is having a great year and well coached; however, they're solidified in the Big Dance and limited in motivation after sweeping regular season series. Providence just 7-20 ATS vs teams with losing records, 3-13 ATS on neutral sites. Butler may have been swept in regular season series but put-up heavy fight in both games with covers. Butler rises to the occasion vs teams above .600 as they exhibited yesterday. Now 8-1 ATS in that role. We'll grab the points. |
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03-10-22 | Florida v. Texas A&M +2.5 | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Florida/Texas A&M Noon: Aggies went on an 8-game skid in late January through mid-February, yet never gave up hope. HC Buzz Williams held them together and they finished the regular season strong on a 5-1 SU/ATS tear, including the Florida win that ignited the run. Dog is 4-1 ATS in this series and we'll jump on Texas A&M. |
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03-09-22 | West Virginia +1.5 v. Kansas State | 73-67 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
West Virginia/Kansas State 7:00: We won't dismiss the Mountaineers yet despite their disastrous 1-7 SU slide. Bob Huggins doesn't have his most talented bunch, but he's gotten less talented teams to the NCAA Tournament. Of course, the Mounties will need to win the Big 12 Tournament to get the automatic big this year and the odds are stacked against them; however, WV cleaned up their game against TCU Saturday and enter here with a bit of confidence. The Wildcats, however, have lost 5 straight since beating WV February 14th. Their second leading scorer - Nowell - is hobbled with a bad hamstring and that hurts. Mounties play the neutral site dog role well at 4-1 ATS and we'll grab them here. |
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03-09-22 | Butler +5.5 v. Xavier | 89-82 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Butler/Xavier 4:30: Not comfortable with Xavier laying points at MSG. Xavier's 97-75 route of Georgetown on Saturday is clearly no validation that the Musketeers are tournament ready; after all, prior to that, they lost 7 of their last 8 games. Xavier is 0-8 ATS off a SU win, 0-4 ATS as a neutral favorite. On the other hand, Butler is on an 0-5 SU slide; however, they're 5-1 ATS off a SU loss and 9-3 ATS as a dog. They're not an easy out. Sure, Xavier swept them in the regular season; however, the Bulldogs were swept last year by the Musketeers and ended up winning the Big East Tournament First Round in OT after Xavier squandered a 19-point first half lead. A healthy Aarron Thompson gives Butler a fighting chance here. Take Butler. |
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03-08-22 | Delaware v. NC-Wilmington | 59-55 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-08-22 | NC State v. Clemson -5 | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
NC State/Clemson 4:30: These teams are trending in opposite directions coming into this one. Clemson closed on a 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS roll while the Wolfpack plummeted to an 0-4 SU/ATS slide; as a matter of fact, the Wolfpack lost 9 of their last 10 games. Surely that is no way to go into a conference tournament. Wolfpack hasn't displayed a disciplined defense virtually all season. They're in the bottom tier of virtually every statistical category including allowing a generous 47.4% from the field. Clemson offense not prolific but they clamp down defensively and are more equipped to deliver on a neutral floor in this ACC Tournament. Tigers 4-1 ATS as a neutral favorite and we'll roll with them. |
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03-07-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -1.5 | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
Jazz/Mavericks 8:40: Dallas should have Doncic (toe) back for this one. He sat out Saturday vs Sacramento. Fortunately, the Mavericks snuck by. And Dinwiddie, who was a huge pickup from Washington recently, has been nothing short of outstanding since coming over. Saturday, Dinwiddie dropped 36 on Sacramento before Finney-Smith sealed the win with a last second 3 pointer. Dallas covered 3 straight in this series including February 25th - 114-109 SU loss but cover (+6') at Utah. Utah has their own concerns. They're playing in their 4th game this month - all on road. They may be road weary since their last home game was that February 25th win over Dallas. Jazz has Conley struggling with a knee injury too. More pressure on Bogdanovic and Mitchell to perform. Jazz, off win at OKC yesterday, just 1-4 ATS unrested, 2-8-1 ATS as a road dog, and 3-8-1 ATS in Dallas. We'll grab the Mavericks. |
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03-06-22 | Iowa +3.5 v. Illinois | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-06-22 | Tulane +10 v. SMU | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-06-22 | Houston v. Memphis +2.5 | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Houston/Memphis Noon: Memphis has given Houston fits. They've covered 9 of last 10 in this series including 6 straight. Memphis had a horrific stretch in late November and December when they last 4 of 5 games; however, they've come on strong lately; as a matter of fact, they've won 9 of their last 10 games and put themselves on the bubble with even a possible chance of getting an at-large bid with a win here and a few wins in the conference tournament. Houston, on the other hand, is rolling with double digit wins in their last 4 games; however, they've had a long stretch of games including 4 games in 8 days and they're not the deepest team. With the dog at 6-0 in this series, we'll take the points with Memphis on their home floor. |
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03-05-22 | USC +8 v. UCLA | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
USC/UCLA 10:00: UCLA's HC Cronin has yet to beat the Trojans as a Bruin. He's now 0-5 SU and his top gun Juzang sustained a sprained ankle Thursday vs Oregon. I don't believe he'll be at full throttle. USC's Enfield should have his men ready after getting worked over by Arizona. Trojans' talent pool of Peterson, Ellis, Mobley and Goodwin should pick it up vs their crosstown rival. Trojans 13-6 ATS off a SU loss and 4-1 ATS on Saturday. USC the call. |
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03-05-22 | Oregon +2 v. Washington State | 74-94 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
Oregon/Washington State 4:00: Washington State is coming off two SU wins over PAC12 bottom feeder Oregon State. They've played 8 games in 20 days. Oregon, off loss to Arizona, needs to get back on track; after all, they're 2-5 SU since February 17th and need to pick up their game. Altman usually has his team playing well in March and we'll look for his boys to pick it up a notch here. |
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03-05-22 | Davidson +3.5 v. Dayton | 76-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Davidson/Dayton 12:30: Davidson 4-0 SU/ATS despite the loss of Foster Loyer over that span. A testament to the well-developed talent under McKillop. Dayton defense strong but Davidson's strong offense doesn't fall off on the road while maintaining strong defensive discipline. In this series, road team 5-1-1 ATS and dog 3-1-1 ATS. Davidson the call. |
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03-04-22 | Buffalo v. Kent State -2 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
Buffalo/Kent State 6:00: Both of these teams at the top tier of the MAC with Kent State holding a slight edge in the standings. Buffalo defeated Kent 64-51 on January 21st in Buffalo. That was the last time Kent State lost a game. Tonight, Flashes have the Bulls on their home court and should exact revenge. Buffalo, coming off a blowout loss at home vs Toledo, on an 0-5 ATS slide. Bulls just 3-7 ATS on the road. The Flashes control a 5-0-1 ATS home run. Golden Flashes lock teams down defensively at home and should be able to stall out the high scoring Bulls. |
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03-03-22 | UCF v. Tulane +1 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show |
UCF/Tulane 8:00: Ron Hunter has done a nice job bringing back respectability to Tulane basketball. He's recruited well and his players are buying into his system. Green Wave off 2 straight competitive losses should get it back together tonight. Tulane is looking to avenge the January 22nd loss to UCF. They're 7-1 ATS off a SU loss. UCG has failed to cover in 5 of last 6 road tilts and a money burning 1-10 ATS off an ATS win. We'll look for Cook, Cross and Forbes to get a bit more support tonight and deliver for the Green Wave. |
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03-03-22 | Temple +16 v. Houston | 46-84 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
Temple/Houston 7:00: Young Owls growing steadily as the season progresses. They're spreading the ball around and gritting it out defensively. Owls had five guys average double digits in 2 of last 3 games. They're 9-2 ATS on the road vs a home team with winning % above .600. It is Senior Night for #14 ranked Houston, and they're already well positioned in NCAA Tournament Hungry Owls looking to avenge earlier season home loss and position themselves for Conference Tournament. Road team in this series covered 9 of last 13. Take the generous number of points. |
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03-02-22 | Connecticut v. Creighton +4.5 | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-02-22 | Duquesne v. George Washington -6 | 93-98 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
Duquesne/George Washington 7:00: Duquesne in a major rebuilding stage. Dambrot can flat out coach but doesn't have the shooters or long athletes to stay competitive. The Dukes are averaging a poor 63 PPG but give up nearly 75 PPG as a traveler. GW has shooters in Bamisile, Bishop, Adams and Freeman. GW has covered 4 of the last 5 in this series, including 73-52 at Duquesne on February 16th. GW usually puts away losing road teams at home (7-0 ATS) and 4-0 ATS on Wednesday. We'll roll with the Colonials. |
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03-01-22 | Mavs -5 v. Lakers | 109-104 | Push | 0 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
03-01-22 | Toledo +2.5 v. Buffalo | 92-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-01-22 | West Virginia +5.5 v. Oklahoma | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-28-22 | Wolves v. Cavs +1.5 | 127-122 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
T-Wolves/Cavaliers 7:10: Cavaliers on an 8-0 SU home run and we're staying on Cleveland. Sure, they'll be without Garland, Levert and Rondo but Cavaliers manufacturing points through their stifling defense ranked #1 in the NBA. G Okoro is a major disruptive force and part of backcourt that has great offensive support from Mobley, Jarrett Allen and a heating up F Markkanen. T-Wolves Russell, Edwards and Towns don't face this kind of defensive pressure from other NBA teams. They'll have trouble here. T-Wolves just 2-5 after a loss of more than 10+ at home and lost 9 of their last 12 as a traveler. Cavaliers the call. |
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02-27-22 | Mavs +4.5 v. Warriors | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
Mavericks/Warriors 7:40: Heavy action on the Warriors after their decisive win Thursday at Portland. However, Warriors have been consistently sluggish off big wins going just 3-7-1 ATS after wins of over 10+; moreover, have failed to cover in their last 5 as home chalk. Meanwhile, Dallas is coming off another strong road effort with the cover at Utah. Mavericks on a 7-1 ATS run, 9-1 ATS off a SU loss and covered their last 4 dog roles. Dallas defense continues to be strong under HC Kidd, and bolstered their bench scoring picking up Dinwiddie and Bertans who already contributed well on Friday. Dallas has done a good job stalling out Curry the last 2 meetings and we'll ride them here. Mavericks 9-3 ATS last 12 in this series and 5-1 ATS at Golden State. Take the points. |
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02-26-22 | Auburn +3.5 v. Tennessee | 62-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-26-22 | NC-Wilmington +5.5 v. Delaware | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-26-22 | North Carolina -4 v. NC State | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-26-22 | Duquesne v. Rhode Island -11.5 | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-25-22 | Heat -4.5 v. Knicks | 115-100 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
02-24-22 | Temple +11.5 v. Memphis | 64-78 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
Temple/Memphis 7:00: Despite the injuries, Owls' HC Mckie has done a great job coaching his men. Owls are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs a home team with a winning % above .600. Owls in a major competitive stretch and a sweet 15-9 ATS on the year. Memphis was rolling until ran into SMU, which I was all over. Memphis just 2-6 ATS off a SU loss. We'll grab the double digits. |
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02-23-22 | Butler +10 v. Seton Hall | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
Butler/Seton Hall 8:30: Butler is looking to avenge 71-56 beatdown January 4th. The Bulldogs have covered 3 of the last 4 in this series. Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS on Wednesdays, and they're 4-1 ATS on the road vs team with a home winning % above .600. Pirates a money burning 1-6 ATS at home and 3-7 ATS on Wednesday not going to cut it. With the road team and dog at 6-1 ATS in this series, we'll take the vengeful Bulldogs. |
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02-23-22 | Rutgers +5.5 v. Michigan | 62-71 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
Rutgers/Michigan 7:00: Rutgers playing a good stretch of basketball (4-2 SU/5-0-1 ATS) and should be able to keep it competitive at this venue where they lost by 6 on Feb 1, 2020, and 7 on 2/18/21. Meanwhile, Michigan is coming off a bad road loss at Wisconsin where HC Howard slapped a Wisconsin assistant coach. Howard and his F 6'11" Diabate who contributes 9.3 PPG and 5.7 RPG are suspended. Also suspended is bench player Terrance Williams (4.3 PPG/2.5 RPG). Like the chemistry with Rutgers now and that they're 4-1 ATS on Wednesdays. Michigan, 0-4 ATS on Wednesday, we'll fade. Despite playing with revenge from 75-67 beatdown January 4th, we'll take the points. |
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02-22-22 | Michigan State +6.5 v. Iowa | 60-86 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Iowa 7:00: Spartans are losers of 4 of their last 5 including their last 2. Meanwhile, Iowa has won 4 of their last 5 and coming off huge road win at Ohio State. Michigan State overdue to get untracked here while Iowa is due for a letdown. Spartans sport a winning road record and have banked road outright wins at Minnesota, Northwestern, Wisconsin and Maryland. Michigan State almost upended Illinois in Champaign delivering the cover. The Spartans have covered the last 2 trips to Iowa. Iowa just 1-4 ATS at home vs team with road winning % above .600. Spartans are 8-3 ATS off a SU loss and we'll look for Brown and Christie to pick up their game after sluggish outings. |
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02-21-22 | Indiana v. Ohio State -7 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
Indiana/OSU 7:00: Ohio State is coming off their first home loss of the season and despite the quick turnaround time, should get it done here. Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS off a SU loss and eager to atone for their 67-51 blasting they sustained at Indiana on January 6th. Hoosiers, which had ample time to prepare, are a poor 2-11 ATS on the road vs teams with winning home record. During their current 0-4 slide, they've averaged just 59.5 PPG; moreover, Hoosiers' defense drops off 8 PPG as a traveler and that will be trouble vs Liddell and company. The Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS at home vs Indiana and should deliver tonight. |
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02-20-22 | Marquette +1.5 v. Creighton | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-20-22 | Memphis v. SMU +3 | 57-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-20-22 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -2.5 | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-19-22 | Washington +17.5 v. UCLA | 50-76 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-19-22 | Dayton -6 v. St. Joe's | 74-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-19-22 | Texas Tech v. Texas -3 | 61-55 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-18-22 | Ohio v. Kent State | 52-75 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
Ohio U/Kent State 7:00: Kent is rolling on a 7-0 SU / 6-0-1 ATS run. They're looking to avenge the 80-72 loss in Athens on January 7th. Like the Golden Flashes defense which allows just 64 PPG; moreover, over the last 7 games, they've upped their offensive scoring average almost a full 8 points per game on their season average. And with Ohio U's F Jason Carter struggling with knee issues over the last 3 games, we're jumping on the hot Flashes tonight. |
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02-17-22 | Michigan v. Iowa -5.5 | 84-79 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
Michigan/Iowa 7:00: Hawkeyes are firing up the net. They dropped 110 at MD then 98 at home on Nebraska. Iowa is 6-1 ATS after scoring 90+. Michigan not the defense they had last year and struggle on the road 2-5 ATS. They're coming off loss at home to rival OSU. They're just 1-4 ATS off a SU loss. In this series, with the home team at 18-6 ATS, and the favorite at 4-0 ATS, I'm on Iowa. |
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02-17-22 | Minnesota v. Penn State -5.5 | 46-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
Minnesota/Penn State 4:00: Penn State has a strong home venue and have beaten or covered the number vs the best of the best in the Big 10 there. They're coming off a big home win vs Michigan State (62-58) and eager to avenge their 76-70 loss at Minneapolis last Saturday. Meanwhile, Minnesota is on a 1-6 SU slide, their only win last Saturday at home vs Penn State. Minnesota is coming off a blowout loss to OSU. Normally that would fuel the fire for elite teams, but the struggling Gophers are just 4-10 ATS off a SU loss of 20+. With the home team 5-0 ATS in this series and the favorite 4-0 ATS, we'll go with the revenge minded Nittany Lions. |
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02-16-22 | Illinois v. Rutgers +4.5 | 59-70 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
Illinois/Rutgers 7:00: Rutgers took a 35-point beatdown in Illinois December 3rd. Rutgers worked through a sluggish two months but found their rhythm in February rustling off 3 straight wins over Top 25 competition dropping Michigan State, Ohio State and Wisconsin. Fortunately for the Scarlett Knights, they're not reliant on any one player. When Ron Harper Jr. is not on, someone else steps up. And 6'11" C Omoruyi, who has elevated his game this month, is very eager to compete against All-American Cockburn. Rutgers defense is pesky and force teams into ugly shooting performances. Rutgers sports a 6-1-1 ATS at home vs a team with a road winning % above .600. Fighting Illini 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road tilts. With the home team at 4-0 ATS in this series, defensively stifling Rutgers is the call. |
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02-16-22 | St. John's +8 v. Xavier | 86-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-15-22 | Hornets v. Wolves UNDER 244.5 | 120-126 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 60 m | Show | |
02-15-22 | Texas v. Oklahoma +1.5 | 80-78 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
Texas/Oklahoma 7:00: The dog sports a 16-5 mark in this series and the hungry dog tonight is Oklahoma. The Sooners are coming off a hard fought 71-69 loss at Kansas on Saturday. They're eager to not only avenge their 66-52 loss in Austin January 11th. On the other hand, Texas is coming off an 80-63 beatdown at Baylor on Saturday. Their offense, like Oklahoma's, is challenged. Texas relies on their #2 defense which allows just 56.8 PPG to lockdown opponents: however, on the road, the Longhorns give up 69.6 PPG. Oklahoma defense is very well disciplined under Moser as well - allowing just 59.1 PPG at home. Groves and heating up Goldwire should help deliver the goods tonight. TX just 3-8-1 ATS off a SU loss and 2-6 ATS on the road vs a team with a home winning % above .600. We'll look for the Sooners to exact revenge tonight. |
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02-15-22 | VCU -8.5 v. Fordham | 66-61 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
02-15-22 | Iona v. St. Peter's +4.5 | 70-61 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
02-14-22 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -10.5 | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State/Kansas 9:00: Underachieving performance win for the Jayhawks at home vs Oklahoma on Saturday. This time of year, those lackluster Jayhawks' wins usually result in increased production the following game. Meanwhile, Cowboys coming off a blowout win at home vs West Virginia. Not a good spot for the Cowboys; after all, they're 1-6 ATS off a SU win, and 3-8 ATS after a SU win of 20+. Jayhawks have beaten Okie State in Kansas by 10 or more points 4 straight times. Cowboys have matchup problems vs Kansas as exhibited January 4th with Braun, Agbaji and McCormack all scoring 15+ in a 74-63 road win. Kansas should roll at home tonight. |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals +4.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 94 h 39 m | Show |
Rams/Bengals 6:30: Much ado about if the Bengals' offensive line can hold up against the formidable Rams' front line. Hypothetically, if the Bengals decide to employ a consistent deep route passing game, then Burrow will most likely be sacked more often than not. Fortunately for Cincinnati, they have the offensive flexibility to employ a quick pass game with their wealth of skill personnel Chase, Higgins and Boyd; moreover, TE Uzomah (MCL) is good to go to work a Rams' defense that has been vulnerable between the numbers throughout the season. Furthermore, Bengals have 1000+ rusher Mixon and Perine to run under the hard charging Aaron Donald, Floyd and Von Miller. And Burrow has developed a strong track record at quickly processing where his open receivers are. And yes, Jalen Ramsey is a solid corner but it's not within the Rams' defensive system to use him as a lockdown corner. When he has matched up against elite receivers, results were mixed; after all, Tampa Bay's Mike Evans worked him pretty well. And let's not forget that the Rams defense gave up 2,614 yards after catch (YAC) - that's the second most in the NFL! On the other hand, loved how Bengals' DC Anarumo has employed multiple blitz packages on opposing QBs in the playoffs. Hendrickson and company have proved to be a formidable line themselves. And with TE Higbee (MCL) not making the rehab progress the Rams had hoped, one less key target for Stafford to go to in taking off pressure from Kupp. Bengals' secondary has been well disciplined throughout playoffs and pose a serious threat. With Bengals possessing a well-rounded team, including special teams, they're a dangerous Super Bowl dog here and I'm taking the points. |
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02-13-22 | Connecticut v. St. John's +3.5 | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-12-22 | Hofstra v. Delaware +1.5 | 80-66 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
Hofstra/Delaware 6:30: Home team in this series is 5-0 ATS. Delaware is looking to avenge 82-77 loss at Hofstra back on January 15th. Delaware has a potent inside out combo with 6'10" Painter and Jameer Nelson Jr. Pride vulnerable covering the perimeter allowing 36.4% and the Blue Hens have some accurate 3 point bombers. Delaware 5-2 ATS as a dog and we'll roll with them. |
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02-12-22 | Ohio State +2.5 v. Michigan | 68-57 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
OSU/Michigan 6:00: Michigan coming off huge home win over Purdue and due for a letdown here. OSU plays Michigan tough in Michigan where they're 3-1 ATS. OSU is coming off loss at Rutgers where they squandered a lead down the stretch. Look for OSU, with an extra prep day, to maintain focus tonight. Liddell and Branham a dangerous duo in a more rhythmic offense than Michigan possesses. Wolves do not play the favorite role well at 1-5 ATS. Grab the Buckeyes. |
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02-12-22 | Syracuse +9 v. Virginia Tech | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Syracuse/Virginia Tech 6:00: Both of these teams playing well. Unfortunately, Syracuse lost their big man Jesse Edwards (wrist) in their win over BC. But no need to worry. Value added to the Orange in this line. HC Boeheim has a history of losing streaks and also big runs. The Orange are in the midst of a good run as his zone defense is starting to gel and the offensive flow is smooth. He has a few options - he can add minutes with 6'10" Anselem who is productive off the bench, or he can go small to add to the dangerous perimeter game with his son - Buddy and Girard. 6'9" Cole Swider has been a solid mainstay in the post. Not completely sold on VT. They're 1-5 ATS on Saturdays and 1-5 ATS vs teams above .500. Syracuse the call. |
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02-12-22 | Marquette -3 v. Butler | 79-85 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
Marquette/Butler 4:30: Marquette on an 8-2 SU/9-1 ATS run. They're coming off a tough road loss to U Conn where the long and athletic Huskies outmuscled them on the boards. Golden Eagles have now lost the rebound battle in 3 of last 4 road games. And Marquette has scored less than 45% in 4 of their last 7 games. However, Butler is offensively challenged and not a strong rebounding team nor a good scoring team (62.4 PPG). And Butler's leading scorer - Chuck Harris - struggling to manufacture points scoring less than 7 points in 3 of last 4 games. Look for Golden Eagles' HC Smart to step up their defensive game while running a smoother offense tonight. Golden Eagles 7-3 ATS off a SU loss and they've covered 5 of the last 6 in this series. Marquette the call. |
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02-11-22 | Detroit +1.5 v. Youngstown State | 69-82 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Detroit/YSU 7:00: This series has gone to the dog and the road team at 13-3 ATS. Detroit has either won or kept it tight with YSU over the last several years. The Titans possess a formidable duo in playmaking G Antoine Davis and the inside presence of F Akec. Titans lead the Horizon in 3-point shooting % (37%). They maintain composure on the road and present a big challenge to YSU. Take Detroit. |
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02-10-22 | Duke -6.5 v. Clemson | 82-64 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
Duke/Clemson 8:00: Duke is coming off an underachieving performance loss as an 11-point home favorite at Cameron vs Virginia. Coach K has made a career bouncing back off losses, including 4-0 ATS this season in that role. We'll look for the Duke team that showed up at UNC February 5th. Fr Banchero coming off a season low (9 points) vs Cavs, he'll need to step up and should. Clemson, which is offensively challenged down the stretch in games, won't have 6'8" Hunter Tyson's double digit scoring and 5.6 RPG; after all, he's recovering from broken clavicle. Duke gave up an amazing 52 points in the paint vs Virginia. Coach K will surely stress limiting Clemson's low post production and Duke should dominate the glass. It's the Duke way. We'll lay the points on the road with Duke. |
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02-09-22 | Georgia +14.5 v. Florida | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
Georgia/Florida 6:30: Georgia is the bottom feeder of the SEC while Florida is tied for 5th in the conference. We get pretty good value with them this time of year. Florida on a satisfying 3-0 run completing a regular season sweep over Missouri in OT. Georgia starting to get competitive on a 3-1 ATS run, including an outright upset at home vs Alabama on the 25th and missing out on monumental upset over then #1 Auburn by a last second half court miss. A moral victory for the Bulldogs as they go into this one with confidence. With the road team 10-1 ATS in this series, we'll take the generous number of points. |
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02-08-22 | Oklahoma State v. TCU -3 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State/TCU 7:00: Cowboys coming off huge win over intra-state rival Oklahoma on Saturday. Meanwhile, TCU off an underachieving performance at home vs KSU. Jamie Dixon should have his Horned Frogs fired up for this one; after all, they're looking to avenge January 19th one point road loss. Cowboys just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road tilts. We'll lay the trey with TCU. |
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02-08-22 | Marquette +7 v. Connecticut | 72-80 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
Marquette/U Conn 6:30: Golden Eagles gelled with a blend of portal transfers and jucos. HC Smart is doing a solid job playing to their strengths; as a result, they're on a 9-0 ATS run. They're looking to avenge the December 21st loss at home. That was during a rough 4 game stretch from Dec 11th through January 1st. Marquette has gotten it together since and should continue to be competitive here catching U Conn on an 0-3 ATS / 1-3 SU slide. With Marquette 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and the road team 7-2 ATS in this series, Marquette the call. |
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02-07-22 | Kansas +1.5 v. Texas | 76-79 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
Kansas/Texas 9:00: Two coaching heavyweights go at it tonight: Self vs Beard. We'll give the edge to Bill Self's Jayhawks which are a bit ahead of the curve at this time of season. Beard has shaped his team into the fierce defensive stop unit he was accustomed to doing while at Texas Tech. Only problem is that Longhorns foul a bit too much - 206th nationally sending opposition to free throw line. Consequently, Kansas should be in an attacking mode to the rim tonight. Texas is at its best when they can control pace of game and choke teams out with stifling defensive pressure; after all, they're 17-0 SU when holding opponents to 60 points or less. Kansas has a Top 20 offense. Agbaji, Braun and Wilson starting to find a nice rhythm this time of year and difficult to contain for 40 minutes. On the other hand, Kansas defense looked good the last two games and I don't see a letdown tonight. Kansas protecting the ball well and have good veteran floor leadership. Texas offense, 68.2 PPG - 256th nationally, can be painfully stagnant at times. Jayhawks 14-6 ATS on the road vs a team with a home winning % above .600. We'll grab the Jayhawks here. |
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02-06-22 | Houston -6 v. Cincinnati | 80-58 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
Houston/Cincinnati 6:00: Bearcats remain a decent defensive team under HC Miller but lack rhythm offensively, especially down stretch of close, competitive games. Bearcats just 3-9 ATS at home vs teams with a winning % above .600. Houston Cougars well balanced under HC Sampson. They'll lock you down (#1 defense in FG%) and have good flow to their offense despite season ending injuries to their stars Sasser and Mark. Houston has covered 8 of last 9 in this series and I'm not jumping off board here. Cougars 18-7 ATS on Sundays, and 8-3 ATS vs teams with a home winning % above.600. Houston the call. |
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02-06-22 | Providence -6.5 v. Georgetown | 71-52 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Providence/Georgetown Noon: These two teams played a few weeks ago and Georgetown had their full arsenal as sharp shooters Carey and Rice combined for 10 of 16 from 3-point range while Mohammed and Harris chipped in 12 and 8, respectively. And they had the Friars trying to get their legs back after an extended layoff. The Hoyas lost as usual but barely snuck inside the generous number. So, the Hoyas are not devoid of talent. Devoid of coaching - Ewing - yes! They're in the bottom of the nation defensively, as exhibited Thursday at home vs mediocre St. John's which lit them up for 90 points! Hoyas 9-21 ATS off a double-digit loss at home. Well coached Friars, 6-1 ATS on road, should stay hot as overachievers and sweep the season series. |
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02-05-22 | SMU +2 v. Wichita State | Top | 57-72 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
SMU/Wichita State 6:00: Wichita State has maintained a solid defense under Isaac Brown but no longer a functional offensive team like they had with Gregg Marshall. There are no playmakers down the stretch to go to and the offense is sometimes painful to watch vs good competition. With a FG% under 40%, the Shockers will have trouble late in this game sealing the deal. SMU is well guided under Jankovich who has four double digit scorers including the Weathers' brothers, Bandoumel and Davis. Road team has the edge in this series and the dog is 4-0-1. Shockers just 5-13 ATS as road chalk. With SMU covering 5 of their last 6 on the road, we'll grab the bucket with the Mustangs. |
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02-05-22 | Notre Dame +1.5 v. NC State | 69-57 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
ND/NC State 3:00: Notre Dame starting to heat up on an 8-2 ATS run. They came off a devastating loss to Duke and went into Miami to pull the upset Wednesday. This veteran Irish team should maintain focus and follow up strong at NC State to complete the season sweep; after all, NC State's front line is thin and they're struggling defensively. ND maintains their offensive consistency on the road and should deliver. |
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02-05-22 | East Carolina v. Tulane -7.5 | 66-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
East Carolina/Tulane 2:00: After Mike Dunleavy nearly killed the Tulane basketball program, Ron Hunter is bringing it back to respectability this season. Tulane has a chance to get to .500 with a win here and we'll grab them. The Green Wave is coming off a competitive loss to Top 10 ranked Houston. They're looking to avenge January 5th 88-80 OT loss at ECU. The Pirates play well at home but a money burning 9-21 ATS on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Pirates on the road, average a pitiful 59 PPG but give up 77 PPG. Roll with the Green Wave! |
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02-05-22 | Tennessee v. South Carolina +7.5 | 81-57 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Tennessee/South Carolina 1:00: Tennessee coming off a shootout win at home vs TX A&M now goes to South Carolina to scrum in out with the more methodical Gamecocks. Volunteers worked the Gamecocks in Tennessee on January 11th 66-46. SC couldn't stop Garrison Brooks and the Volunteers which out-boarded SC 41-24. That didn't settle well with the fury SC HC Frank Martin. Look for a much more competitive game here. Gamecocks 8-3 ATS at home and much better shooters in their building. Tennessee not the prolific scoring team on the road that they are at home; as a matter of fact, Vol's score 67 PPG on the road and a shaky 28% from 3 point range. Home team 5-0 SU in this series. Look for Gamecocks to exact revenge here. |
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02-04-22 | Creighton +6.5 v. Seton Hall | 55-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Creighton/Seton Hall 7:00: Creighton coming off a big win at U Conn to break a two-game slide. We'll look for the Blue Jays to follow up with a solid outing here. Seton Hall not playing their best ball now on a 3-7 ATS slide. Pirates are coming off a win at Georgetown but that's not a ringing endorsement knowing that the Hoyas are the bottom feeder of the Big East. Much to the chagrin of HC McDermott, the Blue Jays don't have the 3 point marksmanship they're accustomed to having in their history; however, Hawkins led the Blue Jays to 41% from trey land on Tuesday. Seton Hall struggling to close out games now and vulnerable here. Creighton's covered 4 straight in this series and they're 6-2 ATS vs teams with a winning % above .600. The young Blue Jays have grown up fast and have some good road wins this season. We'll look for them to cover here. |
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02-04-22 | Miami-OH v. Akron -7 | 55-66 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
Miami Oh/Akron 6:30: Akron's covered 4 of the last 5 in this series. They're coming off a competitive loss at Toledo - class of the MAC. Akron was stone cold from 3 point land at Toledo shooting 28%. Zips back on their home floor hit 37% at Rhodes Arena. Miami OH has been soft on the defensive end as a traveler allowing 78 PPG and 39% from 3 point land. And Miami Ohio's F Delonte Brown sprained his ankle a minute into Tuesday's game at home vs Kent State. Chances are he'll be limited here if he does go. Miami OH on a 1-11 slide and 3-12-1 ATS off a loss is live bait for the Zips tonight. |
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02-03-22 | St. John's v. Georgetown +5.5 | 90-77 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
St. John's/Georgetown 6:00: Georgetown has lost nine straight games. They're hanging in games but failing to close. St. John's has similar issues but did beat the Hoyas handily January 16th at MSG. However, the Hoyas didn't have their best shooter - Donald Carey in that one. Carey is back in the fold and the struggling Hoyas overdue to be ultra-competitive; after all, they do have talent. Hoyas are 10-3 ATS at home vs a team with a losing road record. The underachieving Red Storm are on a money burning 5-12 ATS slide and do not play well on Thursdays (5-17 ATS). With the home team 14-6-1 ATS in this series, we'll look for the vengeful Hoyas to deliver tonight. |
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02-02-22 | Georgia Tech +10.5 v. Virginia Tech | 66-81 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech/Virginia Tech 9:00: Georgia Tech gives the Hokies trouble. They've covered 4 straight in this series including an outright 69-53 at Virginia Tech. GT HC Pastner doesn't have a whole lot of talent but makes the best of it. And pretty good spot for the Engineers. They're coming off a home loss to Miami. GT is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 road games following 3+ home games. They've covered 8 of their last 10 on the road and a sweet 40-17-1 ATS on Wednesday. VT finally got on the winning track with a satisfying win at Florida State. With the road team at 5-2 ATS and the dog at 6-2 ATS in this series, my money is on Georgia Tech. |
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02-01-22 | Seton Hall v. Georgetown +7.5 | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
Seton Hall/Georgetown 8:30: Two struggling Big East teams trying to get in the win column. Seton Hall has fallen on hard times lately going 3-6 SU/2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. Just bad shooting slump. As for Georgetown, they've lost 8 straight games but did cover 3 of their last 4. Their defense is not good but do have some dangerous 3 point shooters with Carey and Haris. And go-to-guy Mohammed can score from all points of floor. With the home team in this series at 8-2 ATS, we'll look for Georgetown to hang around and deliver. |
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02-01-22 | Texas A&M +11.5 v. Tennessee | 80-90 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
TX A&M/Tennessee 7:00: Aggies getting good value here. Sure, they've lost 4 straight but went 3-1 ATS in the process. Buzz Williams' bunch has comparable skill to Tennessee and actually do well at this venue where they've won and covered 3 of the last 4. A&M shot poorly at home vs SC but played well in their last 2 conference road tilts - taking Arkansas to OT and easily covering at LSU. With the road team at 5-1 ATS in this series, we'll grab the double digits with A&M. |
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02-01-22 | Michigan State -4 v. Maryland | 65-63 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Maryland 7:00: Michigan State on the surge covering 3 straight after an impressive blowout of intra-state rival Michigan. They've covered 6 straight road games. They're now set on atoning for last year's losing efforts at MD and in the Big Ten Conference Tournament. The Spartans are getting good work off their bench which is creating a deep and dangerous team for Izzo. MD still can't garner momentum under interim HC Manning. They're coming off a home loss to Indiana. We'll look for Michigan State to deliver. |
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02-01-22 | Boston College v. Virginia -8.5 | 55-67 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Boston College/Virginia 6:00: Boston College occasionally shows flashes of success; for example, they're coming off a good win at home vs Pittsburgh on Sunday. But they haven't shown that sustainability in their follow up game going 5-13 ATS off those SU wins. And they're now going on the road against a pissed off Virginia team coming off a close loss to ND on Saturday. BC hasn't had success at this venue, and this is the lowest amount of points Virginia will be laying in this series since 2013. Cavaliers very strong off losses recently at 5-0 ATS. Virginia struggles from perimeter but should find a way to the basket with BC giving up a generous 41% from the field (311th nationally). Virgina the call. |
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01-30-22 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
49ers/Rams 6:40: 49ers have beaten their division rival 6 straight times and I'm taking the points today. 49ers' defense better in every aspect of the game and with the healthy SF defensive line rotation led by Nick Bosa, and the solid run stop unit with healthy MLB Warner, SF has what it takes to slow down the Rams' potent offense. They proved their mettle slowing down the #1 offense in the NFL (Dallas) and then going up to the frozen tundra of Green Bay and knocking the top seed out. Special teams, defense and enough offensive play making. Sure, Garoppolo has been quite mediocre throughout the process but ask any of his teammates who they want on the field with them, and it's a resounding affirmative for Jimmy G. And remember this: Garoppolo sports a 71.7 QBR vs the Rams en-route to a perfect 6-0 mark against them -better than any other NFL QB. He's overdue to post some good numbers today. Rams' defense vulnerable; after all, between the numbers (middle of field), Rams' defense has allowed 77% completions and 7 yards per attempt. Consequently, Shanahan will surely work an effective game plan to utilize his big-time weapons of Kittle, Samuel and even Aiyuk, RB Mitchell and FB Juszczyk to exploit that. SF the call. |
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01-30-22 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 46 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
49ers/Rams 6:40: Defense should take precedence today with relatively healthy defensive bodies across the board. 49ers' defense and special teams playing at an elite level while the Rams' defense finally living up to its potential. SF 1-7 O/U last 8 playoff games and 0-4 O/U as a playoff dog. Rams 4-17 O/U as a home favorite. "Under" the call. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -7 | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Bengals/Chiefs 3:05: Amazing season for the Bengals and well deserved but it should end here. Bengals clearly have the skill weaponry to outduel any NFL team as they proved at home vs KC on January 2nd and in playoffs at home vs Las Vegas and on the road in the AFC Divisional Round vs Tennessee. The sack totals on Burrow are a concern, however. Burrow was able to get by with his incredible resilience and ability to find a weakness in coverage. For LV, TE Ozomah came up huge. Against Tennessee, Chase was unstoppable. And Chase absolutely dominated KC's corner Ward, on January 2nd. Today, Chiefs got great news with the return of their S Mathieu (concussion). Chiefs' secondary was torched when he was knocked out of the game early against Buffalo. Chiefs' DC Spanuolo can now be more flexible with his defensive schemes because of him. And a healthy DE Chris Jones helps. And the noise factor in arguably the loudest stadium in the NFL will almost surely play into KC's favor despite Burrow and company practicing with loudspeakers to replicate the noise. Bottom line, Bengals' weakness - offensive line should be deciding factor while Mahomes, unlike Tannehill (3 interceptions last week), will find the creases in the Bengals' secondary with his explosive weaponry. KC the call. |
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01-29-22 | Houston -6.5 v. UCF | 63-49 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
analysis to follow... |
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01-29-22 | Kansas State -1 v. Ole Miss | 56-67 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
analysis to follow.... |
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01-29-22 | Oklahoma +9.5 v. Auburn | Top | 68-86 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Oklahoma/Auburn 2:00: Auburn may be #1 but too many points to give to the dangerous Sooners. Oklahoma, led by the brilliant mind of Porter Moser, in a good spot to be extremely competitive here. The Sooners are coming off a strong win at West Virginia, which is a tough venue to play at. The Sooners have already knocked off 3 Top 15 teams this season, including two SEC opponents Arkansas and Florida; as a matter of fact, Oklahoma is now a perfect 9-0 SU vs the SEC. Auburn, declared #1 before Missouri game, got overconfident and almost lost on Tuesday at lightweight Missouri as a 12' point favorite. Top player Jabari Smith went a miserable 2 of 15 recording just 5 points in the narrow win. Moser's vaunted defense will find a way to keep Smith and company from running away with this one. Oklahoma a sweet 16-5 ATS as a dog should give Auburn a run for the money here. |
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01-28-22 | Ohio +3.5 v. Buffalo | 74-53 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Ohio/Buffalo 7:00: Away team in this series is 4-1 ATS and we're on Ohio U. Bobcats were on a nice roll until they ran into the class of the MAC last Friday vs Toledo. I jumped all over Toledo and the "over" on that in our parlay winner. Tonight, I'm getting back on Ohio U. Bobcats a better team here with a heating up Sears who is the facilitator of the offense. When he's on Vander Plas and Carter play so much better. Bobcats have covered 10 of their last 14 road games while Bulls 0-4 ATS at home vs a road team with a winning road % above .600. Take Ohio U and the points |
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01-27-22 | Purdue v. Iowa +2.5 | 83-73 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
Purdue/Iowa 9:00: Home team in this series is 16-6 ATS. Iowa lost earlier this season (Dec 3rd) in a competitive 77-70 loss as a 14' dog. We'll look for the Hawkeyes, which are 11-1 SU at home, to deliver tonight. Purdue is loaded with talent, including leading scorer Jaden Ivey who is struggling with a hip pointer, and big men Edey and Williams. But Iowa has the athletes to compete and McCaffery can coach them up in a revenge mode. Iowa gets the offense rolling on this floor and should deliver. Purdue has had trouble covering on the road (1-4 ATS) especially vs home teams with a home winning % above .600 at 1-4 ATS. We'll grab the points at home with Iowa. |
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01-27-22 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +7 | 75-64 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
OSU/Minnesota 8:00: Gophers delivered the goods Saturday against Rutgers despite playing without three key starters. Loewe, Thompson, and Payton Willis who dropped 32 points including eight 3 pointers filled the void. Tonight, we're staying with the Golden Gophers at home where they've covered 3 of the last 4 vs the Buckeyes. Buckeyes are coming off a blowout of non-conference lightweight IUPUI but haven't played in 11 days (Covid postponements). Moreover, they've struggled covering in the Big 10 going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Minnesota a feisty bunch that plays well on Thursdays (10-4 ATS). With the home team covering 10 of the last 14 in this series, we'll look for the Golden Gophers to cover their fifth straight in this series. |
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01-26-22 | Texas A&M +8.5 v. LSU | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
Texas A&M/LSU 9:00: Both teams coming off losses. A&M lost two straight while LSU dropped three in a row. Tigers go to guy Pinson (knee) missed the last 4 games and leading scorer Days is struggling with a bad ankle. Meanwhile, Buzz Williams' team staying competitive and should be pumped to get back on track; after all, A&M 5-1 ATS off a SU loss. Aggies now getting key contributions from freshman Taylor IV who dropped 25 on Arkansas on Saturday. He can help alleviate pressure on leading scorer Jackson. LSU has owned this series at 6-1 ATS but A&M on track to cover tonight. |
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01-25-22 | Texas v. TCU +3 | 73-50 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
Texas/TCU 9:00: TCU on a sweet 8-1 ATS run and we'll ride them here. Jamie Dixon has assembled his best team in years and they're playing well together, especially defensively. O'Bannon Jr. leads a disruptive, opportunistic bunch that's creating turnovers and making buckets in transition. Texas is vulnerable to turnovers and despite being well coached on the defensive end by Beard, they're not quite that offensive team that can close out games. Texas 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Longhorns have covered 5 straight in this series but TCU should finally deliver here. |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State +5.5 v. Illinois | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Illinois 7:00: Illinois dependent on 7" Cockburn. When he's on, Illinois is tough to stop. MD, a lightweight in the Big 10, took advantage of his absence on Friday. Cockburn is back tonight, but the Spartans have the big, long bodies to contain him. Izzo should adjust his defense down to the lower block to help disrupt him around the basket. Spartans got their wake up call January 15th in home loss to Northwestern. Spartans came back strong off that with double-digit win at Wisconsin. Look for momentum to carry over here. Spartans 5-0 ATS on the road against teams above .600. Spartans 7-3 ATS on Tuesdays. Illini, on the other hand, just 1-4 ATS vs teams with road winning % above .600. Grab the points with the surging Spartans. |
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01-24-22 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina -5.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech/North Carolina 8:00: Both of these teams coming off losses. VT got beat on the road vs ACC lightweight Boston College. Meanwhile, NC got blown out in their last 2 games, both on the road to Miami and Georgia Tech. Look for UNC's fortune to change tonight; after all, they do their best work at home (9-0 SU) where they've covered 4 straight easily. Hokies are offensively challenged (69 PPG) but play strong defense (16th ranked in nation). Unfortunately for the Hokies, they won't be able to shuttle in enough bodies to effectively counter the up-tempo Tar Heels on this strong floor. UNC's offense gets rolling on this floor and hopefully Bacot (tail bone), who drops nearly 17 PPG and a strong rebounder, is good to go. He's questionable as of now. Nevertheless, like the value with UNC. Holies a money burning 3-13 ATS on the road vs teams with a winning home record and just 1-5 ATS on the road vs a team with a home winning % above .600. UNC the call. |
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01-23-22 | Bills v. Chiefs | Top | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
Bills/Chiefs 6:30: Too much money going on Buffalo as this line softens to a pick. Sure, Bills got their revenge in Week 5 in a convincing 38-20 beatdown in KC. And last week, annihilated New England. Bills are no question serious threat and play well in KC; however, don't believe KC should be a mere pick in this game considering they're still the incumbent AFC Champs with virtually all off those same players healthy. And KC is not the same team they were in Week 5 when they were missing top lineman Chris Jones and CB Ward. Moreover, KC defense has come a long way since; as a matter of fact, KC won 9 of their last 10 games since losing to Tennessee October 24th led by a defense that ranked in the top tier over that time frame. Spagnuolo took Josh Allen out his game in last year's AFC Championship in a 38-24 loss. He'll surely put him to test again with a ball healthy ball hawking secondary. And let's not count out the magic of Mahomes who is equipped with his full weaponry, including welcoming back RB Edwards-Helaire. Andy Reid 16-4 ATS as a favorite off double-digit win and we'll roll with him and the Chiefs here. |
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01-23-22 | Rams +3 v. Bucs | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Rams/Bucs 3:00: Rams' defense starting to look more like we envisioned when Los Angeles acquired Von Miller November 2nd. He's now in game shape and has 6 sacks in nine games with the Rams. Coupled with Floyd, and the interior presence of Aaron Donald, Rams' present a formidable pass rush vs Brady and his line that is banged up. TB C Jenson (ankle) and RT Wirfs (ankle) are Game Time Decisions. And Brady, who should have Fournette back, is operating without a few of his favorite targets - Antonio Brown (cut) and Godwin (ACL). Gronk and Evans were enough to get by Philadelphia, but the better equipped LA defense presents more problems. Offensively, Rams' QB Stafford got the playoff monkey off his back with a strong showing vs Arizona last week. He'll face the defense with the highest blitz rate in the NFL. However, Stafford actually ranks #1 in passer rating vs heavy blitz teams. TB isn't the same defensive front that ate up Mahomes in the Super Bowl. Pierre-Paul is having a down year (2' sacks) as the Bucs are highly dependent on LB Shaq Barrett (10 sacks). Sure, Whitworth (out) is a loss but his replacement Noteboom has a number of starts under his belt and did a decent job. Now that OBJ is settling in as a serious threat to defenses again, #1 receiver Cupp, TE Higbee, RB Cam Akers and Van Jefferson should give TB secondary some trouble. We'll grab the road team and the points. |
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01-23-22 | Xavier v. Marquette +2 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Xavier/Marquette 2:00: Marquette running hot and we're riding them again. The Golden Eagles have now whipped four Top 25 teams and on a 5-game win streak under HC Smart. Playmaker Justin Lewis is hitting the mark and getting great support from starters including the bench. Xavier is dealing with some injuries with Edwards and Miles. We'll look for the Golden Eagles to avenge their December 18th loss and deliver here. |