Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-30-21 | Texas Tech -3.5 v. LSU | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Texas Tech/LSU 2:00: At first glance, LSU getting 3' at home seems like the play; however, a closer look reveals a disturbing 0-5 ATS mark at home vs teams above .500 on the road. And the home blowout vs Alabama revealed lots of weaknesses, especially on the defensive end. Texas Tech is surely no offensive juggernaut but will smother you on the defensive end. LSU has shooters and can score, no doubt; however, poor defensively; consequently, the Red Raiders will finally get some decent looks at the basket after taking on #2 Baylor and the frenetic defense at West Virginia. Tech delivers the goods here. |
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01-30-21 | Texas A&M -1 v. Kansas State | 68-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Texas A&M/Kansas State Noon: Both struggling teams in the bottom tier of the Big 12; however, at a competitive standpoint, Aggies still hustling, playing defense, diving for loose ball and attacking boards. On the other hand, K State, shy of talent, trying less effectively as exhibited by their conference play. They've won one game in the conference against hapless Iowa State and have been blown out in 5 of their last 6 including a 107-59 burial. And that was playing with revenge from their December blowout loss! If they're not motivated there, than got to question competitiveness. Buzz Williams' bunch does sport a 5-1 ATS mark on the road vs a home team with a home win % less than .400. We'll grab the Aggies here. |
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01-30-21 | Alabama -105 v. Oklahoma | 61-66 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Alabama/Oklahoma Noon: This one would go a long way in determining Alabama's seeding come tournament time. The red hot 'Tide should be ready to make an impact here. They've won 10 straight and, during that win streak, looked great in their four road games. Oklahoma no easy task for they have a strong home floor, well coached and playing good defense; however, ever since Josh Primo has been inserted into the starting lineup (off loss to W KY), the 'Tide has been rolling. 'Bama is #6 nationally in 3 point scoring, and although Oklahoma's perimeter defense has improved from earlier in the year, still not able to keep up with Alabama's perimeter attack. Roll Tide! |
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01-28-21 | Belmont -5 v. Austin Peay | 81-76 | Push | 0 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
Belmont/Austin Peay 8:30: Belmont has covered 5 of the last 6 in this series. The one they didn't cover occurred January 25th of last year - an 86-78 outright at the Winfield Dunn Center in Tennessee. We'll look for the Bruins to be more focused this time around; after all, they've covered 9 of their last 10 on the road and that loss sits in the back of their minds. Belmont is equipped with a talented team led by 6'11" Nick Muszynski (15.4 PPG/5.4 RPG), perimeter threat Luke Smith, and all out hustle guy G Grayson Murphy. Austin Peay has a the ever dangerous Terry Taylor but not consistent surrounding help. Governors' defense suspect - allowing 48% from the floor (325th); consequently, that doesn't bode well vs the 15th scoring team in nation averaging 83.2 PPG. And the Bruins are pretty sound defensively. Don't see Austin Peay matching points here. |
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01-27-21 | Thunder +7.5 v. Suns | 102-97 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
01-26-21 | Tulsa +1 v. Temple | 67-76 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Tulsa/Temple 1:00: Offensively challenged Temple struggling to manufacture points (62.7 PPG) lingering at 329th in the nation; as a matter of fact, their leading scorer Damian Dunn does lead the team at 14.6 PPG but shooting just 33.3% from the field. As for Tulsa, not an offensive juggernaut by no means but Rachal (14.8 PPG) has a decent supporting cast. And Tulsa excels on the defensive end where they allow just 62.8 PPG on just 37.8% from the floor. Temple's defense not nearly as good and are yielding on the perimeter at 36.5%. Temple's Coach McKie is no Fran Dunphy who had Temple rolling. McKie struggling in his second year and 0-2 SU/ATS in this series. Tulsa should get back in the win column after taking it on the chin walking into same season revenge last Wednesday. They've had extra prep to stew over it and should hand the Owls another conference loss. |
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01-25-21 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. West Virginia | 87-88 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Texas Tech/West Virginia 9:00: Texas Tech has gotten their Top 5 defense rolling and it's paying off in dividends. McClung has averaged 20.2 PPG this month. And the Red Raiders have won all three of their road conference games (3-0 SU/2-1 ATS). Meanwhile, WV had Covid19 issues and lost their big man - 6'9" Tshiebwe and have to adjust to a four guard lineup around 6'10" Derek Culver. Texas Tech had a bit of a layoff and its usually a good thing under Big 12 Coach of the Year - Chris Beard. We'll grab the points with Tech. |
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01-25-21 | Syracuse v. Virginia UNDER 131 | 58-81 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
Syracuse/Virginia 7:00: Boheim has his boys playing well. Historically for Syracuse basketball under Boheim, it starts with defense. When his zone defense starts clicking, Syracuse starts rolling. On a 2-0 SU/ATS including beating their first ranked opponent (V Tech) in a year. The Orangemen have held their last two opponents to a combined 36% from the floor and just 22.2% from the perimeter. We'll look for a carry over to Virginia where this series has totaled 130/129/118 OT in its last three games at John Paul Jones Arena, respectively. Virginia remains a lock down defense ranked #6 in the nation allowing just 59.6 PPG. We'll stay "under" here. |
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01-24-21 | Bills v. Chiefs -3 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
Bills/Chiefs 6:40: Bills have been one of the great spread winning teams (12-6 ATS) covering 9 of their last 10 games. I caught them in their spread loss to the Colts on January 9th and I should catch them here. Bills didn't catch a break with linesmakers when Mahomes was cleared from concussion protocol; after all, this line stayed pretty hard at -3 with him in question and solidified on the announcement he was a go. And even with Edwards-Helaire upgraded as a go, line still stayed solid, considering Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran roughshod over the Bills run-stop-unit for 161 yards in the first game. The comfort level on the Bills among bettors is high as they anticipate another payday; on the other hand, Chiefs not getting any love for they've burnt money throughout the season for bettors including their 2-8 ATS slide over last 10 games. With no line adjustment, I'll lay a FG here with KC; after all, Buffalo still struggles with covering TEs and Kelce is arguably the best in game now. Bills' secondary coverage had its share of holes last week but was bailed out by poor decisions by Lamar Jackson and his backup. Sure, Chiefs' defense has its yielding moments but has playmakers - Sorensen and Mathieu in; moreover, CB Breeland is cleared (concussion) and a go; furthermore, linemen Clark and Chris Jones usually step up for DC Spagnuolo in these kind of games. Bottom line, Mahomes has too many weapons with Hill, Kelce, Hardman and adding Edwards-Helaire to the mix. Furthermore, RB Darrel Williams showed he can move the football behind the dominant KC offensive line. Value comes back to the Chiefs today as they clear the low number. |
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01-24-21 | Notre Dame v. Miami-FL -2 | 73-59 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -123 | 86 h 16 m | Show |
Bucs/Packers 3:05: Got this one in early in the week with Packers -3. Line moved to -3' to 4 on news Antonio Brown would be out. Will still stay on the Packers here. Run game working very well with Aaron Jones as they gutted a very good LA Rams' defense last week. If Aaron Jones is able to get cranking today, and I believe he will, Buc's defense won't be able to sit back in zone a majority of the time like they did earlier in the year vs Rodgers. Rodgers and company should make the adjustments on their home turf. TB has been fortunate to avoid frigid temperatures this season but will see them Sunday. Sure, Brady and Gronk won't be affected as much but rest of fair weathered team should stiffen up a bit - similar to the Rams last week - just enough for acclimated Packers to gain a step on them. Defensively, Packers defense much better than what it was October 18th. Preston and Za'Darius Smith are in great form up front and a healthy Kenny Clark adds a more formidable pass rush this time around. From a defensive perspective, Packers should attack the right side where TB is most vulnerable. And with TB's AB out, GB's top corner - Alexander - should lock up on Mike Evans. And Packers' defense will need to adjust to Gronk - who had pretty big game on the 18th. With the addition of Tramon Williams (cut from Baltimore last week), he can add depth to Packers' secondary; after all, he had two stints with the Packers (most recently 2018-19) and knows the system. We'll look for GB to push the right buttons today on their home turf and effectively get to Brady. Packers the call. |
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01-23-21 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State +9 | 81-66 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Baylor/Oklahoma State 2:00: When you're at the top, everyone wants a piece of you. And you most likely will get the best effort from the dog. Today, #2 Baylor steps foot in a strong venue -Gallagher-Iba Arena. Okie State has a talented team with future #1 NBA draft choice Cade Cunningham who is a matchup nightmare at the point. He has a good support from his mates including Likekele (12 PPG/7.8 RPG). Sure, Baylor is a beast and the legitimate #2 in the nation; however, Okie State has taken on the best of the Big 12 and fared well including winning outright at Texas Tech, covering easily at Texas and beating Kansas on this floor. The Cowboys have not lost a game this season by more than 3 points. A bit better coaching and they could easily be undefeated with the talent they have. Today, despite the 10 day layoff, we'll look for them to be on their game and give Baylor a run for the money. |
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01-23-21 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +1 | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Kansas/Oklahoma Noon: At first glance, Kansas seems to be the play; after all, Bill Self is a atop the coaching universe with an astounding 82% winning ledger since 2003. And he's an amazing 11-1 ATS on the road in his his last 12 vs teams above .500 at home. But hold everything. Kansas already beat Oklahoma January 9th 63-59 at home. They did so while Oklahoma was without both of their starting forwards Manek and Jalen Hill (Covid19 protocol). Both are back today in a revenge mode. Kansas early season star - Jalen Wilson struggling now (4 of 14 from floor) and won't find great looks against a pretty good Lon Kruger defense. Sure, Self had only two 3 game losing streaks in 2005 and 2013. And guess which team extended it to 3 on both accounts? Oklahoma the call. |
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01-23-21 | Virginia Tech +1.5 v. Syracuse | 60-78 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech/Syracuse Noon: Lots of inconsistencies with Syracuse. They're on one day and off another. They're 1-4 ATS in their last 5 tilts. They're coming off a thrashing of Miami, perhaps their best game of the year. It takes a while for Boheim's zone defense to get in rhythm and they sure suffocated the Hurricanes January 19th. However, bright Hokies' HC Mike Young had a few extra prep days (BC game postponed Wed) to work on dismantling the zone. He's got a big man in Aluma to give the Orange trouble. And the Orange have had trouble with long bodies this year (NC). And Young has some talented scorers in Radford and Cone to aid Aluma. Moreover, the Hokies play defense allowing just 64.7 PPG. Hokies coming off wins vs ND, Duke and WF, we'll look for them to keep rolling. |
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01-23-21 | Auburn +3 v. South Carolina | Top | 109-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Auburn/South Carolina Noon: In this series, Auburn's covered the last 2 and won 3 of the last 4 SU. Ever since Auburn's Sharife Cooper was cleared to play - January 9th, the Tigers have been rolling. They've covered 3 straight and Cooper has 4 teammates who score double-digits to count on. Knock on Auburn is their defense; however, they cover the perimeter well (29.9%) and can condense down near the paint facing an offensively challenged South Carolina team struggling to find an offensive identity. SC 1-4 ATS on Saturday and on a 1-4 ATS slide. We'll grab the points with Pearl and his surging Tigers. |
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01-22-21 | Michigan -3 v. Purdue | 70-53 | Win | 100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
Michigan/Purdue 7:00: Michigan got out of the gate strong with 11 straight wins before getting spanked at Minnesota on January 16th. They responded well, however, with a season sweep of Maryland. We'll look for the Wolves to stay focused here against the heating up Boilermakers which rattled off four impressive SU/ATS wins. Wolves are dominant inside with Dickinson and good perimeter play with Mike Smith and Livers. Purdue does have a solid big man in Trevion Williams but the Wolverines' defense tightens down low, allowing just 37.9% from the floor (12th in nation) and Purdue doesn't have the perimeter game to match Michigan. With Michigan 7-0-1 ATS in this series, we'll stay with Michigan. |
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01-21-21 | St. Mary's -2.5 v. Loyola Marymount | 65-61 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
01-20-21 | Spurs +1.5 v. Warriors | 99-121 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
01-20-21 | Auburn +6 v. Arkansas | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
01-20-21 | Clemson +1.5 v. Georgia Tech | 65-83 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
01-19-21 | Alabama v. LSU +1 | 105-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow...line flipped to underdog and we'll take it! |
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01-19-21 | Seton Hall +9 v. Villanova | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
01-19-21 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -129 | 64-46 | Loss | -129 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
01-18-21 | Kansas +9 v. Baylor | Top | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
Kansas/Baylor 9:00: Kansas struggled at Oklahoma State getting into rhythm but after postponement of Saturday's game vs Iowa State (Covid19), the Jayhawks had time to smooth out their game. Meanwhile, #2 ranked Baylor continues to roll coming off an impressive win at Texas Tech on the 16th. Their length and depth has given teams fits this season; however, Kansas' McCormack and Wilson able to hold their own down low. Need Agbaji to get it going from the perimeter and we'll bet on it. Jayhawks a sweet 11-1 ATS on the road vs a team with a home winning % greater than .600. The road team in this series is 23-8-1 ATS while the dog has covered 7 of the last 9. We'll never underestimate a Bill Self coached team off a loss especially getting this quantity of points. Kansas has covered 3 of the last 4 in this season and, with the additional prep, has the edge. |
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01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints -3 | 30-20 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
Bucs/Saints 6:40: Bucs looking for double-same- season-revenge including an embarrassing blowout defeat November 8th. Bucs have improved offensively since then as Brady has gotten in rhythm with his receivers including vertical threat Antonio Brown. However, run game still a concern ranking in the bottom of the league. And best RB Jones II still in recovery mode but should play. Saints control one of the best run stop units in the league and have a ball hawking secondary. And because of the lack of run game TB has, Saints' aggressive frontline can pin ears back and attack up field as they did so well on November 8th. Brady is great but still needs a run game to aid in an effective play action game. TB's offensive line is not as good as New Orleans' defensive front. Defensively, DC Bowles very aggressive in his defensive scheme and falls into the hands of savvy veteran Brees. His receiving corps is even healthier than it was in November as Tre'Quan Smith has been activated for this one. The weapons for New Orleans are plentiful including matchup nightmares Kamara and Michael Thomas. Technically, Sean Payton 16-2 ATS off double-digit ATS win vs opponent off double-digit ATS win. Moreover, he's 8-1 ATS as a home favorite off back to back SU wins vs greater than .500 opponent with revenge. Saints the call. |
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01-17-21 | Browns +10 v. Chiefs | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
Browns/Chiefs 3:05: Browns have a fighting chance here as they get back a few more important cogs on both sides of the ball. Offensively, All-Pro G Bitonio is back; defensively, Ward and Kevin Johnson are back in the secondary. Bitonio will help aid the powerful ground game that is so important this time of year. And KC run-stop-unit has been in the bottom tier for most of the year allowing 122 YPG. Mayfield has been strong in play action when the run game has been cooking and he's got a pretty healthy receiving corps (Landry, Peoples-Jones, Higgins, TE Hooper, RB Hunt, RB Chubb). Moreover, KC Red Zone defense allowed opponents to score TDs 77% of the time - bottom tier of NFL. Browns' Red Zone offense 3rd in the league reaching pay dirt 74% of the time. Defensively, Cleveland's Ward and Johnson can aid in playing a Cover 2 shell with man underneath. Kelsey is most important to limit for Browns have been 28th in the NFL vs TEs and he deserves big attention. Browns' will need to generate pass rush from Garrett, Richardson to aid in corralling Mahomes. Mahomes has had 20 days off since last snap. We'll hope for the rust. Bottom line, KC's last 7 wins were by one score or less. They've failed to cover in their last 4 home games, and Browns have momentum and confidence with an effective run game. Browns the call. |
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01-16-21 | Ravens v. Bills -2.5 | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
Ravens/Bills 8:15: Faded the Bills last week and delivered with the Colts; tonight, jumping on the Bills; on the other hand, had the Ravens last week but will fade them here. Sure, Baltimore took care of the Bills last season roughing up QB Josh Allen in the process. It was a learning year for Josh Allen completing just 58.8% of his passes; this season, however, a bolstered offensive line with good blitz pick up and the NFL's leading receiver in yardage - Stefon Diggs - helped change all that as Allen completed 69.2% of his passes with 37 TD passes and 421 yards rushing. Moreover, when blitzed, Josh Allen has thrown an NFL high 19 TD passes this season. Blitz happy Baltimore could be in for a challenging night. In addition, cold and possible snow won't help fleet footed Lamar Jackson. Buffalo defense under DC Leslie Frazier, improved as the season progressed. We'll grab the Bills here. |
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01-16-21 | Rams +7 v. Packers | 18-32 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
Rams/Packers 4:35: Weather won't be extreme with 34 degree temperature and near 10 MPH winds. Rams possess a tough bunch who should be able to acclimate. Rams' defense #1 in the NFL for good reason. An excellent secondary equipped with guys who can get after the QB without blitzing; consequently, CB Ramsey can man up on Davonte Adams as DC Brandon Staley can implement a variety of blitzes. And love how the Rams' defensive front maintained lane integrity last west vs Russell Wilson. We'll look for Rams to get after QB Rodgers tonight. Offensively, Rams struggling a bit. Goff managed game alright last week and he's capable of doing it again. McVay should once again put him in a position to succeed; after all, the run game is cooking with Cam Akers and possession receiver Kupp (knee bruise) is good to go. Rams 4-0 ATS in January. McVay 8-1 ATS on the road vs opponent with rest. We'll take the TD. |
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01-16-21 | Kentucky v. Auburn -135 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-16-21 | Missouri v. Texas A&M +4.5 | 68-52 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-14-21 | Warriors +5 v. Nuggets | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-14-21 | Purdue +4 v. Indiana | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 1 h 48 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-13-21 | Texas Tech +2 v. Texas | 79-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
01-13-21 | Lakers v. Thunder +8 | 128-99 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Lakers/Thunder 8:05: Thunder overdue to break their 0-4 mark on 0 rest. They're coming off a loss at home last night to San Antonio but sit at 5-2 ATS as a home dog. They'll be without Horford tonight but have some quality depth (Roby) to make up the difference and be competitive. Gilgeous-Alexander and George Hill give them a shooters chance to stay in this one. As of now AD is questionable with a toe injury and LeBron may opt to sit or limit minutes. We'll look for the Thunder to steal one here. OKC 4-1 ATS the last 5 in this series. |
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01-13-21 | Tulsa +3.5 v. Wichita State | 53-72 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
Tulsa/Wichita State 7:00: Revenge game for Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane lost at home to the Shockers 69-65 on December 15th. Since then, Tulsa has gone on a 6-0 SU / 5-0 ATS. HC Haith usually has his team playing killer defense this time of year and they're in mid-season form. Tulsa is ranked 14th in the nation defensively allowing just 60.2 PPG. They're 3-0 ATS on the road and dangerous. Wichita State is definitely not the defensive team this year that they were in the Greg Marshall days. New HC Isaac Brown has them playing hard but hitting just 40.8% from the floor and not a 3 point threat. We'll grab the points with the Golden Hurricane. |
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01-12-21 | Kansas -3.5 v. Oklahoma State | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
Kansas/Oklahoma State 8:00: Cowboys coming off a satisfying win at Kansas State but should run into trouble here. Oklahoma State finding ways to lose at home as exhibited against TCU and West Virginia - games they should have closed out. Bill Self eats these teams up. His Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS on the road and 11-1 ATS against a team with a winning home record. Kansas 4-1 ATS the last 5 in this series and we'll roll with the Jayhawks. |
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01-12-21 | Duke -1 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 67-74 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
Duke/Virginia Tech 7:00: Now that Coach K is back on the bench, Duke playing with energy and emotion. You can tell because their defense has picked up. They've had double digit steals over last two games and winning battle on the boards. F Hurt is stepping up his game and when he scores in double-digits, Duke is 18-5 SU. Sure, Duke has been overvalued most of the year but value coming back to the Blue Devils. Duke the call. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
Ohio State/Alabama 8:00: Was all over Ohio State against Clemson and I'm staying on them here. Despite the Covid19 issues, the Buckeyes overwhelmed a really good Clemson team. OSU's underrated defensive line held more than its own against a very good Tigers' offensive line. Sure, Alabama's line is arguably the best but All-American C Landon Dickerson (leg) is a big loss. OSU's front 7 generated a nice pass rush against Clemson and will be challenged to do the same vs the Alabama machine. Question is: Can the Buckeye's defensive backs contain Heisman Trophy winner DeVonta Smith, RB Najee Harris and possibly the return of Jaylen Waddle (ankle). Don't think Waddle will play much, limited or at all, but Mac Jones surely plays pitch and catch routinely with receivers throughout 2020. Tonight, they face a pretty good Buckeyes' secondary with Ransom, All-American C Shaun Wade and Sevyn Banks. And OSU is in good hands with FS Josh Proctor in center field. We'll look for them to pick their shots zoning Metchie and Bolden while bracketing DeVonta Smith. As for the Alabama defense, they've been vulnerable to mobile QBs and remember, Ole Miss put 647 yards on this defense. And Florida thrashed their secondary as well. Look for OSU to feed red hot RB Sermon while QB Justin Fields (ribs) will work Alabama's freshmen DBs Moore and Branch with OSU's good receivers led by Chris Olave. Bottom line, OSU capable of trading points with Alabama and will need to win turnover battle and excel on special teams. OSU a perfect 10-0 ATS as dogs of 3 or more points. Buckeyes the call. |
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01-10-21 | Browns +6 v. Steelers | 48-37 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
Browns/Steelers 8:15: Steelers get back some healthy bodies including LB Spillane; however, question his game shape since he hasn't taken the field since December 7th. Steelers' defense not what it was early in the season. And that may be a byproduct of being on the field too much to compensate for a sputtering offense. This is a rare year when the Steelers are not a strong run team; as a matter of fact, the Steelers are in the bottom of the NFL in run production with a measly 84 YPG; consequently, that forces QB Roethlisberger to air it out way too much. Steelers have struggled on 3rd down this season and that won't bode well against a pretty good Browns' pass rush led by Miles Garrett. Offensively, Cleveland won't have HC Stefanski (Covid) on the sidelines. Shouldn't be a problem as OC Alex Van Pelt, who closely worked with Baker Mayfield all season, is up for the task; after all, it starts with the top running duo in the NFL in Chubb and Hunt. Mayfield has been highly effective working play action off the running game this season because of the strong run game. Sure, G Bitonio won't be there but Cleveland OK with depth on O-line. Steelers 2-6-1 ATS last 9 playoff games and 1-3-1 ATS last 5 as playoff chalk. We'll look for the Browns to stick around here. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens -3 v. Titans | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Ravens/Titans 1:05: Big knock on Lamar Jackson is that he can't win in the playoffs. That chatter should end here. Ravens got it together down the stretch rattling off 6 straight covers following OT loss at home vs Tennessee. The road team has covered the last 3 in this series and we'll look for that scenario to unfold today. Tennessee defense has been shaky virtually all season - allowing nearly 400 YPG. We'll look for Jackson and J.K. Dobbins to get the run game going to open up the play action pass now that TE Andrews, Marquise Brown and Boykin are on the same page now. Tennessee secondary has been torched. Titans' inability to generate a pass rush has left the secondary vulnerable. And the return of Adoree Jackson in Week 15 didn't help as the Titans allowed 34.3 PPG from then on. Ravens 6-0 ATS on the playoff road and 8-3-1 ATS in January. Ravens' defense should outscore the Titans and deliver. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans OVER 54 | 20-13 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Ravens/Titans 1:05: Both of these offenses are firing on all cylinders. Derek Henry is virtually unstoppable and the Ravens' defense, at its best, has yet to slow him down. Tannehill has a healthy cast of receivers with A.J. Brown, Corey Davis and TE Jonnu Smith which is capable of torching a thin Ravens' secondary. On the other hand, no longer confident in the Titans' defense which has consistently been yielding this season. And the Ravens are starting to close in the Red Zone again. Lamar Jackson and company should turn it up a few notches here. Titans 22-6-1 O/U last 29 games, 5-0 O/U as a home dog. "Over" it is. |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team UNDER 44.5 | 31-23 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay/Washington 8:15: Washington's top tier defense under DC Del Rio kept them in games and ultimately got them in the playoffs. TB got their pass game cooking as Brady got in rhythm with his talented receiving corps as the season progressed; however, the Buccaneers' run game still a question mark. Ranked 28th in the NFL making Tom Brady, a lot of times, a sitting duck in the pocket. Washington has a pass rush and Chase Young is the real deal. And I don't see Buc's top receiver Evans (knee) being at his best after an ugly hyperextension last week. No one can heal that quickly. Washington defense doesn't give up explosive plays often and their effective pass rush will have Brady checking down more often than not. As for Washington's pedestrian offense, limited vertical threat (McLaurin's ankle) and limited run game (Antonio Gibson's toe) will allow TB's DC Bowles to initiate lots of exotic blitzes behind man coverage. Alex Smith's (calf) mobility limited and not a lot of great offensive options to stretch the field. Washington 0-4 O/U as a dog and 5-11 O/U on the season. We'll stay "under". |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks -3 | 30-20 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 7 m | Show | |
Rams/Seahawks 4:40pm: Like how Seattle's defense got it together late in the year as health, development and discipline came into play. Carlos Dunlap's addition helped significantly with a pass rush, development of WLB Brooks, health of All Pro's MLB Wagner and the versatility of All Pro S Jamal Adams (9' sacks) helped restore order to the start of, perhaps, Legion of Boom II. Not sure who's going to start at QB for Rams but my guess will be Wolford. I backed him and the Rams last week in their easy win and cover over Arizona, but will fade him here. Pete Carroll will have a great defensive game plan to give him trouble. Offensively, Seahawks have their work cut out for them against the NFL's top defense. However, All-Pro QB Wilson will find a way to get the ball to his very good receiving corps - All Pro - Metcalf, Lockett, Moore and quality TE corps and deep backfield. The run game should cook with Carson, Hyde, added from practice squad - Alex Collins and Penny (knee). Seattle the call. |
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01-09-21 | Colts +7 v. Bills | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Colts/Bills 1:05: Bills look unstoppable reeling off 8 straight covers in impressive fashion; however, Colts not intimidated and bring a balanced team to Buffalo. Sure, Josh Allen is tearing up defenses with Diggs, Beasley and McKenzie; however, Colts have a strong front four pass rush with Buckner (ankle), Houston and Autry and a ball hawking secondary with versatile All Pro LB Leonard and All Pro FS Odum that can give Allen problems. Offensively, RB Jonathon Taylor has gotten in a groove behind a solid offensive line led by All-Pro Quenton Nelson. And veteran QB Phillip Rivers has seen just about every defense imaginable in his glorious career. A healthy vertical threat in T.Y. Hilton, and possession receivers Pascal and Pittman with versatile back Hines out of the backfield give the Colts a fighting chance here. Take the TD |
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01-08-21 | Purdue v. Michigan State -4 | 55-54 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
Purdue/Michigan State 7:00: This series has favored the home team (4-0-1 ATS). Sure, Michigan State lost 7 straight ATS up until Tuesday when they got it together vs Rutgers with a 68-45 blasting. We'll look for that momentum to carry over here. Although Michigan State has its share of turnover problems, Purdue is even worse (averaging 1.8 more than opponents). And the Boilermakers are anything but their namesake offensively averaging just 71.6 PPG (201 nationally). Purdue 0-7-2 ATS vs teams above .600. We'll lay a few buckets with Aaron Henry and the Spartans. |
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01-07-21 | Illinois v. Northwestern +7.5 | 81-56 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
Analysis to come... |
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01-06-21 | St. Joe's v. St Bonaventure -12 | 57-83 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
St. Joe's/St. Bonaventure 4:00: Hawks 0-7 SU in Billy Lange's first year at the helm but have taken on a pretty rough schedule. They've been competitive taking Auburn and URI to OT. However, they're facing basically the same team they faced last year 89-73; as a matter of fact, Bonnies have won and covered last 4 in this series with an average margin of victory of 18 points. Hawks poor defensively at the bottom tier in the nation (341st) allowing 89.4 PPG. Offensively, St. Joe's has very little perimeter game and I don't see it heating up at the Reilly Center in NY. Bonnies the call. |
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01-06-21 | Tulsa +1 v. South Florida | 61-51 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
Tulsa/USF 4:00: Tulsa is a streaky team when they get rolling under Haith. They have a very good defense, strong backcourt in Joiner and Rachal, and now have recently developed an inside presence with Idowu. Tulsa has won 9 straight in this series and simply the better team. |
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01-05-21 | Missouri v. Mississippi State +2.5 | 63-78 | Win | 102 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
Missouri/Mississippi State 9:00: #13 ranked Missouri, picked to be a bottom feeder in their conference this season, overachieving. Coming off a big win at Arkansas on Saturday, they now have to go into a tough venue at Humphrey Coliseum vs Mississippi State. Bulldogs are coming off a double overtime loss at home vs Kentucky Saturday. Look for veteran HC Howland to clean up the Bulldogs' turnovers, which cost them late in the game. Iverson Molinar and Stewart Jr. should help lead the way. Bulldogs have covered nine straight in this series and we'll take the points here. |
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01-03-21 | Washington Football Team -3.5 v. Eagles | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
Washington/Philadelphia 8:20: Washington wins and they're in. Football Team made a dramatic opening day come from behind win to start the Eagles downward spiral and they never fully recovered. Eagles' DC Swartz won't be back next year and he has limited arsenal to work with tonight with linemen Cox and Barnett out. His secondary has struggled all year. Washington will have Alex Smith (calf) ready and he's got a good supporting cast to deliver the goods. Defensively, is where Washington accelerates. We'll look for them to be on their game. Washington 6-0 ATS as favorites of less than 6 points off back-to-back losses vs opponent with revenge. Washington delivers. |
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01-03-21 | Chargers -4.5 v. Chiefs | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
Chargers/Chiefs 4:25: Chargers with a slight edge going into this one. Chiefs, locked in #1 seeding, resting a good portion of their starters including Mahomes, Hill, Bell, Watkins and, perhaps, Kelce. That leaves veteran journeyman QB Chad Henne at the helm without much weaponry. Chargers won't have top pass rusher Bosa (concussion) and S Jenkins, but enough of their defensive nucleus to limit the Chiefs' offense; after all, they played a fully loaded KC team to OT September 20th. With the revenge motive and on a 3-0 SU/ATS win streak, we'll ride the momentum of the Chargers. |
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01-03-21 | Cardinals v. Rams +3 | 7-18 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Cardinals/Rams 4:25: Today, Arizona must win or go home for playoffs. Rams need to win or hope for a loss by the Bears. Rams, of course, want to create their own destiny and will fight with who they have. They will be without QB Goff (thumb), leading receiver Kupp (Covid19 list), RB Henderson (ankle). John Wolford makes his first start in the NFL and it obviously will be a pressure cooker environment for the undrafted free agent. Wolford is a gamer. He can air it out and is mobile - as he displayed at Wake Forest. Realize Arizona will throw multiple blitz schemes, mixed coverages, etc to throw him off but he's bright and confident going in. McVay will put him in positions to have success. He should have Cam Akers back and Malcolm Brown (shoulder) also to help take the pressure off him. Moreover, Rams' defense has been awesome virtually all season and it's good to note LB Leonard Floyd (abdominal pain) is good to go. Arizona repeatedly underachieves in moments like these under Kingsbury. QB Murray (knee) is good to go but not 100%. Rams' defense gave him a hard time December 6th and remain a strong force. Rams the call. |
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01-03-21 | Cowboys v. Giants +2 | Top | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Cowboys/Giants 1:00: Winner here gets to sweat it out later tonight hoping the Eagles pull the upset of Washington. If Washington loses, one of these teams, providing it's not a tie, goes into the playoffs. We'll look for the vengeful Giants to deliver. They gave Dallas all they could handle October 11th in a 37-34 loss. Today, Giants have what it takes to beat Dallas. Former Cowboys' HC and current Giants' OC Garrett now back on the sidelines (Covid19 cleared) should get his revenge. He's got a pretty good run game in heavy sets and Daniel Jones should be prepared. Of course, he's limited in mobility (hamstring) but making inroads from the pocket. Defensively, Giants much better and get back OLB Fackrell who is a difference maker. Cowboys did go on a 3-0 run but wins over Cincinnati, Covid19 decimated SF and Philadelphia are not a ringing endorsement. Over the same time frame, Giants has rough sledding against playoff caliber teams Arizona, Cleveland and Baltimore. Giants are on an 0-7 SU skid to Dallas and should upset them today. |
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01-02-21 | North Carolina v. Texas A&M UNDER 66 | 27-41 | Loss | -114 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
North Carolina/Texas A&M 8:00: This total a bit high considering the circumstances. North Carolina has an explosive offense (557 YPG) but will be without both of their star RBs Carter and Williams who accounted for 2,385 yards rushing this season. Brooks and Henderson, their replacements, got garbage time running in blowouts. Moreover, leading receiver Dyami Brown decided to opt out to prep for NFL as well. Sam Howell is a very good QB but not a magician and faces a Top 20 defense in A&M. On the other hand, Tar Heels got better as the season progressed in defense. They face an A&M offense that is not explosive with QB Mond but methodical working its way down the field. Aggies are 1-5 O/U after SU win of over 20+. Tar Heels 0-4 O/U vs SEC and 1-4 O/U as a neutral site dog. We'll stay "under" here. |
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01-02-21 | Oregon +5 v. Iowa State | 17-34 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Oregon/Iowa State 4:00: At first glance, Iowa State was the call for me here; after all, I like HC Matt Campbell and his Cyclones gave me some solid wins this year; however, his bowl resume doesn't cut it. He lost bowls in 3 of his last 4 seasons. Sure, QB Purdy and the nations' leading rusher Breece Hall and solid while the Cyclones' defense fundamentally sound. But Oregon is not easy to prep for. HC Cristobal is gradually building the Ducks into a major contender again. He's won 2 straight bowls, off a PAC 12 Championship win and winning the recruiting war (12th ranked class). Ducks are loaded with speed and QB Tyler Shough should look to work a vulnerable Iowa State secondary that has given up too many explosive plays. On the other hand, defensively, Ducks are led by big time DE Thibodeaux who is a nightmare off the edge. Oregon also has a lockdown corner in Mykael Wright who can take away the Cyclones' top receiver. Ducks 5-0 ATS run vs teams above .500. Take the points. |
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01-02-21 | Ole Miss v. Indiana -9.5 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Ole Miss/Indiana 12:30: Ole Miss had one of the most explosive offenses in the nation and that is always a concern as a go against when laying near double digits. What cost them a winning ledger this year is their defense which gave up a generous 536 YPG! Today, Kiffin will be handcuffed with more concerns: his top two receivers opted out for NFL prep; in addition, another good one - Sanders succumbed to injury in the final game of the season. Moreover, Covid19 issues popped up to sideline more players. On the other hand, Indiana is feeling pretty good about bowling. They landed #7 in the AP rankings and can win their first bowl in 29 years! Covered last year vs Tennessee and Tom Allen raised the bar this year and the team responded. Indiana is a perfect 7-0 ATS / 6-1 SU including a strong performance vs my choice yesterday - Ohio State! Today, of course, they won't have QB Penix Jr. but backup Tuttle was solid in his first start in a win over Wisconsin. Indiana relies much on a ball hawking secondary in a rock solid opportunistic defense which created 17 turnovers and creates good field position for its offense. We'll lay the wood. |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State +7.5 v. Clemson | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
Ohio State/Clemson 8:00: Buckeyes had a banner of last year's 29-23 loss to Clemson posted in their weight room immediately after that loss. To say that they are determined to win this one is an understatement. Then Clemson HC Swinney's comments on the argument that OSU doesn't belong in this game added fuel to the fire. OSU came off a sluggish performance against Northwestern in the Big 10 Championship; however, they had 22 players out for that one and managed to find a way to get it done. That's a testament to solid depth, coaching and discipline. Tonight, a good chance the Buckeyes will be at near full strength. And the Buckeye's offensive line proved how durable they are opening holes for Master Teague's backup Trey Sermon who grinded out a record 331 yards. In last year's game, remember that Clemson was down 16-0 25 minutes into that game. Trevor Lawrence struggled mightily before a questionable roughing the passer call opened the door for them. With QB Fields and WR Olave good to go, Ohio State is a dangerous dog; as a matter of fact, OSU getting more than 3 points is 9-0 ATS. We''ll take the points. |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame +20.5 v. Alabama | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Notre Dame/Alabama 4:00: I realize Alabama is an offensive machine that no team has stopped or, for that matter, contained for four quarters. And Notre Dame has failed on the big stage much too often; as a matter of fact, 0-6 in BCS New Year's Bowl Games since '98 with an average margin of defeat by two touchdowns. And the 42-14 demolition back on January 7, 2013 always comes to mind. And just when you think ND has a legitimate contending team assembled, they get waxed 34-10 by Clemson on December 19th. Oddsmakers have read the script and laid the line. I think it's a bit inflated and here's why: Notre Dame arguably has their best offensive line in years. Didn't do well against a healthy full force Clemson defense on the 19th but can redeem themselves against an Alabama defense that has some defensive weaknesses in its secondary. Ian Book needs a big game when the lights are shining brightest and he should rise to the occasion; after all, he has three AP All-Americans - LG Banks (1st team), T Eichenberg (2nd team), RG Kraemer (3rd team) protecting him and opening holes for 1000+ yard rusher Kyren Williams. And ND has 3 tight ends including Brock Wright and "Baby Gronk" Mayer that can be utilized in condensed formations to pave the way for Williams or open the play action (Javon McKinley) or RPO game. Remember, Alabama's defense is yielding as exhibited on the 19th vs Florida. Defensively, ND is solid but will have its hands full with RB Harris, QB Mac Jones and Heisman Trophy favorite DeVonta Smith. And the offensive line of Alabama is brutal on defenses. There is hope, however, as their All-American center Landon Dickerson (leg) is out! That's a big loss and ND should capitalize. We'll look for ND to hang around in this one. |
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01-01-21 | Auburn v. Northwestern -3.5 | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Auburn/Northwestern 1:00: Auburn comes into this one without the greatest of motivation. Their head coach - Malzahn was fired mid December - and difficult to pinpoint if Auburn is "all in" for this game. Players and coaches wondering about their future after Boise State's Harsin was hired. Auburn's interim HC Kevin Steele (DC) is disappointed he didn't get the HC job. Northwestern, on the other hand, eager to get back on winning track and finish a strong year after giving Ohio State a run for the money in the Big 10 Championship. Northwestern has an awesome defense under longtime DC Hankwitz who is retiring after this game. Wildcats will play hard for him and we'll lay the points. |
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01-01-21 | Cincinnati +8.5 v. Georgia | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Cincinnati/Georgia Noon: At first glance, SEC powerhouse with #1 recruiting class taking on Group of 5 school seems like an easy call; however, Fickell, in his fourth year, has built the Bearcats into a legitimate contender notching bowl wins the last two seasons and coming into this one with a perfect 9-0 record. Fickell has managed to stockpile solid recruiting classes and has assembled an opportunistic defense (15 INTs/4 fumble recoveries) with a Top 20 defense. The Bearcats have a legitimate QB in Desmond Ridder (AAC Offensive P.O.Y) who has a solid supporting cast. Georgia's defense has its flaws - especially in the red zone. And with LB Ojulari out, pass rush is limited. As for Georgia's offense, they found their rhythm when USC transfer QB JT Daniels got healthy. But Cincinnati defense has some dudes and they've made it difficult for offenses to score - allowing just 16 PPG. Bearcats determined to make a case they deserved to be in the CFP but got a #8 ranking. We'll look for them to be competitive here. |
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12-31-20 | Suns +4 v. Jazz | 106-95 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
12-31-20 | Michigan v. Maryland +2.5 | 84-73 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 35 m | Show | |
12-31-20 | West Virginia v. Army +7 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
West Virginia/Army 4:00: West Virginia was prepared to play Tennessee in this Liberty Bowl but Covid19 hit the Tennessee campus; consequently, Army gets their shot. The Black Knights are not an easy team to prepare for and WV has their work cut out for them. Army employs the traditional triple option and run it well. They won the Commander in Chief Trophy by virtue of knocking off Air Force Dec 19th to complete the armed forces season sweep (beat Navy earlier in season). This should be a grind it out game with heavy winds, rain in forecast in Memphis. Army is a statistically good defensive team in the top tier in yards and scoring allowed. WV is a solid defense too but has its deficiencies offensively and that should cost them the cover here. Army is 5-1 ATS vs the Big 12 and 6-2 ATS as a neutral side dog. Army the call. |
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12-31-20 | Ball State v. San Jose State -9 | 34-13 | Loss | -121 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
San Jose State/Ball State 2:00: These teams had breakout seasons but I'll settle for SJS here. The Spartans have a much better defense and can limit Ball State's solid run game that opens up the pass game for Drew Pitt and his top wideouts Hall and Tyler. Spartans possess a good defense that can get after the QB with 3.1 sacks per game led by Cade Hall. Offensively, Spartans are in good hands with QB Starkel. He's got a good supporting cast that can move the football. For the Cardinals, they're soft defensively and that will cost them. Their defense allows 442 YPG and a secondary that's been scorched more often than not. We'll look for the Spartans to deliver here. |
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12-31-20 | Mississippi State v. Tulsa -1 | 28-26 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Mississippi State/Tulsa Noon: Under normal circumstances, Miss State would not be in a bowl but 2020 season has been anything but normal. Granted a bowl bid, Miss State looks to win today in hopes of building on recruits moving forward. They have good young talent already as Leach moved on from the older established veterans; for example, Leach going with Fr QB Will Rogers and has true freshman Jaden Walley as his top receiver in recent weeks. Unfortunately for Miss State, Tulsa plays good defense. A Top 25 defensive team that plays the pass well (allows only 194 YPG). Remember, they did an amazing job against the #1 offense at the time - UCF - Oct 26th in an upset win; moreover, held an explosive Oklahoma State team to just 16 points Sept. 19th. Tulsa, however, will not have Bronko Nagurski Award Winner - LB Zaven Collins who opted out to prepare for the NFL draft. Nevertheless, a solid supporting defensive cast can hold this defense together. And Miss State doesn't have a consistent run game that will scare this defense. On the other hand, redshirt senior QB Zach Smith has a run game to fall back on with RB Corey Taylor and company. Don't like the Tulsa penalties but we'll look for them to get it together after a very competitive last second loss to the Bearcats in the AAC Championship. Golden Hurricane the call. |
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12-30-20 | Florida v. Oklahoma -4.5 | 20-55 | Win | 100 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
Florida/Oklahoma 8:00: What shaped to be a competitive game is now a shifting line to Oklahoma. Florida will be without it's top three receivers TE Pitts, WR Toney, WR Grimes - opting out to prep for NFL draft; in addition, WR Copeland (Covid19) out. That puts pressure on QB Trask who went from a Heisman contender to just mediocre with an Oklahoma defense that stepped up their game for a change this season. Don't see the Gators hanging here vs Rattler and the Sooners' offensive machine. Oklahoma the call. |
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12-30-20 | Wisconsin -9.5 v. Wake Forest | 42-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Wisconsin/Wake Forest Noon: Wisconsin in another bowl and they usually deliver. 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS with HC Chryst leading the charge for the Badgers. Badgers once again keep same offensive philosophy: pound the football, eat clock and play great defense. Wisconsin run game not as potent as it has been in the past but good enough to move the football on the Demon Deacons' defense (107th nationally in yards allowed). WF will also be without their big time DE Carlos Basham who had 23 straight games with a TFL! He's preparing for the NFL draft. Offensively, WF can put points up - typical of a Clawson coached team. However, their top scoring RB Walker III opted out to prep for NFL draft. And besides, WF offense should spend limited time on the field; after all, Wisconsin is #1 in the nation in time of possession. Badgers sport the #1 defense in the nation in terms of yards allowed. They're 4-1 ATS vs the ACC. Badgers the call. |
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12-29-20 | Colorado v. Texas -7 | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
Colorado/Texas 9:00: Good work by Karl Dorrell in guiding Colorado to this bowl with a 4-1 mark; however, this is the first ranked team the Buffaloes will play on the season and I believe this is fair value (-7) with the Longhorns. Texas opened as 11 point favorites but a significant amount of players decided to opt out to prep for the NFL including five team captains. The lone captain - Sr QB Sam Ehlinger - is one that gives us that value; after all, he been a big game winner for HC Herman over the last three years including blowout win in last year's Alamo Bowl over Utah 38-10. Moreover, Tom Herman has won his last 4 bowl games including last 3 with Texas. Finally, Texas is equipped with Top 10 recruiting classes the last three years and has stockpiled enough elite 5* athletes to deliver vs an inferior team. Sure, Colorado has RB Broussard but limited in superstar arsenal outside of him. Texas the call. |
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12-29-20 | Oklahoma State -1 v. Miami-FL | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State/Mia-FL 5:30: Miami U has a history of struggling in December and they're continuing that trend under Diaz. The Hurricanes are coming off a blowout loss to North Carolina. And they're now a money burning 1-6 SU/ATS in bowl games after last year's 14-0 debacle vs LA Tech. Oklahoma State is no LA Tech. They're a veteran team with a deep backfield that despite being without Hubbard (declared for NFL draft), still racks up big yardage on the ground - a tribute to their offensive line strength. And QB Spencer Sanders is coming off torching a Baylor secondary in a 42-3 route. Oklahoma defense is also solid considering playing in a conference that prides itself on putting up video game offensive numbers. Miami U offense is good and has been consistent but not sold on their defense which was lit up vs North Carolina for 778 yards! Gundy is a solid 7-3 ATS in bowl games and we'll grab Oklahoma State. |
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12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | 38-9 | Loss | -112 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
Bills/Patriots 8:15: Heavy "Under" trends support NE. They're 4-10 O/U on the season including 0-6 O/U run. Patriots' offense struggling mightily as passing game in bottom tier of NFL. Patriots will do what they do best offensively and run the football. Bills' defense improving as the season progresses. They've held opponents to 19 or less in 3 of the last 4 games. Patriots' defense in good hands with Belichick. Despite numerous question marks in personnel, the discipline remains in the system. Bills' offense in great rhythm with QB Josh Daniels and WR Diggs leading the way; however, Patriots not going down without a fight and it starts with defense. Bills 0-4 O/U off SU win of 14+. This is the highest 'total' set in this series since 2017. We'll go "under". |
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12-27-20 | Rams v. Seahawks | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
Rams/Seahawks 4:25: Seahawks clinched a playoff birth with win over Washington last week; however, they remain hungry for their first division title since 2016 and want that all important home playoff game that's eluded them since January 2017. Rams, which clinched a playoff birth with the Cardinals losing yesterday, have given the Seahawks trouble since McVay took over as head coach. McVay controls a 5-2 SU edge over his rival Pete Carroll. But Carroll has straightened a few things out on the defensive end since these teams last played. Of course Carlos Dunlap has settled in to be a defensive line sack force. And a healthy S Jamal Adams (9.5 sacks) keeps Seattle in games with his versatility. Offensively, Seattle will have T Shell ready to go and G Simmons did a nice job filling in for Iupati. Seattle's run game still cooking with Carson and Hyde. And Penny, activated a few weeks ago, adds depth to the backfield that's winning the run game almost weekly. Rams will be without RB Cam Akers (ankle). A concern for McVay is his poor 0-6 ATS record on the road vs an opponent off back to back SU wins. Seattle looking to avenge their November 15th beating and we'll take them! |
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12-27-20 | Colts v. Steelers -124 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Colts/Steelers 1:00: Steelers need one more win to secure AFC North title and we'll grab them here. Pittsburgh, on a three game slide, need to get their run game going. They're 31st in the NFL running the football yet found a bit of that old Pittsburgh running attack last week with Benny Snell (84 yards) in their embarrassing MNF loss to Cincinnati. RB Conner is back to add more backfield depth and the Steelers should play better in this spot; after all, they're 9-1 ATS off a double digit SU division loss. Colts are on fire but HC Reich not good in this spot. Colts just 1-8 ATS in last 9 off back-to-back SU wins vs non-division opponent. We'll look for the Steelers to eke out a win here. |
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12-27-20 | Browns v. Jets +7 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Browns/Jets 1:00: Jets were embarrassed last season at MetLife Stadium 23-3 by the Browns and that will be on their minds here. Of course, the Jets are coming off, perhaps, the biggest upset of the year over the Rams. Don't see a fall off here on draft status, etc. They should compete hard. Jets are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games and not as bad as their record indicates. They'll be able to be a bit more competitive as well on account that Cleveland will be without FOUR receivers, including Landry, Higgins, Peoples-Jones and Hodge; consequently, that leaves Mayfield having to pass to guys that were on the practice squad last week. Sure, they have the powerful run game to fall on but Jets should load the box and force Mayfield to go to guys he hasn't developed chemistry with. Sure, Cleveland one win away from first playoff birth since 2002. And it won't be easy to accomplish. Cleveland a mere 1-6 ATS as road chalk and got ourselves a play with Jets here. |
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12-27-20 | Bears -8 v. Jaguars | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Bears/Jaguars 1:00: Big incentive for Bears to deliver after Arizona fell to SF today. It opens the door for the Bears to take a step closer to the playoffs. Bears on a late season surge off two strong wins. They've found their run game after Nagy finally found the right offensive line combination. Bears offensive line busted loose David Montgomery for 100+ yards in 3 of the last 4 games. Today, they face a banged up Jacksonville defense with both starting corners (Jones and Henderson) out. Jacksonville defense allows an NFL worst 418.2 YPG and 30th vs the run allowing 146.5 YPG. Montgomery most likely is a top fantasy pick this week. In addition, Trubisky, who has a respectable 8/3 TD/INT ratio, should stay on track as his top receiver - Allen Robinson is a go. Jacksonville in line for #1 overall pick in draft, sports a 2-11 ATS mark as a non-conference dog of more than 3 points. We will tread lightly however, as Chicago has not been good as a favorite. Nevertheless, we'll ride the winning momentum with Chicago here. |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins -3 v. Raiders | 26-25 | Loss | -102 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
Dolphins/Raiders 8:15: Dolphins earning there stripes as a favorite and we'll roll with them. Miami now 11-3 ATS for the season and we still have value with them here; after all, they're winning the battle of attrition as they need two wins to secure a playoff birth and I don't think the Raiders can stop them. Marinelli took over as DC and like I indicated last week, not an upgrade. Chargers' Herbert lit up the secondary like a torch. Marinelli not adept at coverage and as it showed last week it will rear its ugly head tonight. Tua should establish his rhythm. Most likely, Raiders will emphasize stopping Breida, Gaskin and Ahmed. Perhaps they will with limited success but see the Dolphins grinding out a win and cover. Flores has this defense playing consistently well. On paper, Dolphins defense middle of the pack but strike gold in two key and most important areas: turnovers (26) and points allowed (18.4 PPG) - #1 in the NFL in both areas. And special teams a plus. Dolphins deliver. |
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12-26-20 | Liberty +7 v. Coastal Carolina | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
Liberty/Coastal Carolina 7:30: Two well coached FBS upstarts which overachieved this year. We'll give the edge to the Flames. Both teams are similar with explosive players, good run games, and solid field generals. Liberty has been off since November 27th while Coastal Carolina ended its season with a win over Troy Dec 12th. Advantage Chanticleers; however, Hugh Freeze has worked plenty of magic in his days roaming the sidelines while at Ole Miss and now Liberty. He'll find a way to stay in this one; after all, he's got a really good versatile QB in Malik Willis to deliver a game plan around. |
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12-26-20 | Bucs -9.5 v. Lions | 47-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
TB/Detroit 1:00: Not a fan of laying near double digits in the NFL but I'll make an exception here. Lions' defense is now last in the league in points allowed, trouble rushing the QB, missed assignments in secondary; consequently, we'll look for explosive plays to hit from the embarrassing wealth of riches Brady has at his disposal. Godwin, Evans, Antonio Brown, Gronk should have a field day. TB doesn't have a run game with Ronald Jones out and Fournette is not an adequate replacement; however, a semblance of a balanced attack can be achieved vs a thinning Detroit defense. On the other hand, love Stafford's toughness and grit but without Golladay, Detroit struggles to win games. He is their big hitter and he's out. TB defense gives up the big play too often but Lions lack of run game (30th in NFL) gives Buc's sack men to tee off on him before he can strike deep. Arians 11-4 ATS as a road favorite vs less than .500 team. And the Buc's have covered 3 of the last 4 at Detroit. TB can clinch a rare playoff opportunity here and we'll look for them to take care of business with authority. |
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12-25-20 | Vikings +7 v. Saints | 33-52 | Loss | -118 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
Vikings/Saints 4:30: Vikings clinging to playoff lives (2% chance) desperate for a win while needing help from Chicago and Arizona to lose. Vikings are banged up defensively and very thin at LB and in the secondary. They do, However, have an offense that can move the football. Pro Bowlers RB Cook and WR Jefferson headline athletes who can keep them in the game. Fortunately, the Saints, which are already in playoffs but can improve seeding with win, are not in rhythm off consecutive losses. Brees is working his way back but limited in weaponry with his favorite receiver Michael Thomas on IR. Moreover, they're line is banged up to give the Vikings' struggling defense a chance to stay competitive. Vikings' HC Zimmer is a sweet 21-6-1 ATS in non-division games when coming off a loss. We'll take the TD. |
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12-25-20 | Marshall +4.5 v. Buffalo | 10-17 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Marshall/Buffalo 2:30: Both of these teams were cruising along until running into trouble down the stretch. Buffalo swept through the MAC en route to a 5-0 SU run before being upended by Ball State in the Conference Championship as a 12' point favorite. Marshall dominated for 7 straight games before knocked off by perceivable lightweight Rice as a 24' point favorite. Then got beat by a fired up UAB team in the Conference USA Championship. We'll look for Marshall to be the most resilient today. Marshall still has a very good defense with a #2 run stop unit in nation. They'll need to corral 1000+ yard rusher Jaret Patterson who tweaked his knee vs Ball State. On the other hand, Marshall's star RB Knox opted to sit out to prep for NFL. But Marshall still has a veteran offensive line and some good receivers in Woodyard and Keaton to help freshman QB Wells get over his shaky back-to-back outings. Marshall HC Holliday is 6-1 ATS in bowl games and 6-0 ATS as a dog vs an opponent off a SU loss. Buffalo 1-7 ATS on neutral sites and 1-4 ATS as a neutral site favorite. Marshall the call. |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii +10 v. Houston | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Hawaii/Houston 3:30: Hawaii can be competitive here under veteran coaching gypsy - Todd Graham. Graham took all five of his teams to bowl games: Rice, Tulsa, Pitt, Arizona State and now Hawaii. He has a solid dual threat QB in Cordeiro. The Rainbow Warriors are very creative offensively and had an adequate amount of time to carve up a suspect Houston defense. On the other hand, Houston has only played one game in five weeks and should be out of rhythm. They've been sloppy with turnovers most of the season under Holgorsen. Hawaii has a great LB Muasau who leads the nation with nearly 8 solo tackles per game. Hawaii is more opportunistic defensively than their counterparts and should stay competitive here. Houston has been a horrible favorite this year at 0-5 ATS. We'll grab the points with Hawaii. |
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12-23-20 | Northwestern +9.5 v. Indiana | 74-67 | Win | 100 | 1 h 39 m | Show | |
Northwestern/Indiana 8:30: Northwestern uncharacteristically has an offense this year. They're coming off a huge win over then #4 ranked Michigan State. They've been having success this year (4-1 SU/ATS) by utilizing a Princeton style offense and have 4 shooters on the floor to do it; consequently, they've lit it up from 3 pt range at a 43.5% clip. And yes, they still play great defense holding foes to under 60 PPG. Indiana is tough at home, no doubt; however, Northwestern has covered 4 of 5 in this series including 3 of 4 at Indiana. We'll take the hot Wildcats as Indiana had turnover issues beating Butler in their last game. |
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12-22-20 | Central Florida v. BYU -5.5 | 23-49 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
BYU/UCF 7:00: BYU turned in an outstanding season and much thanks to a great QB, run game behind a solid offensive line and strong defensive front 7. Future NFL draft pick - Zach Wilson has been sensational this year and should guide the #8 offense in the nation to the end zone frequently; after all, UCF defense leaves much to be desired (117th nationally). On the other hand, UCF has the #2 offense in the nation behind Dillon Gabriel who threw for 3,353 yards and 30 TD passes; however, he won't have his best receiver Marlon Williams who caught 71 balls for 1039 yards and 10 TDs. He opted out to prepare for 2021 NFL draft. Sure, Gabriel still has a super run game to fall back on and two other really good receivers in Robinson and Harris. But BYU has a very good defensive front and outstanding linebacker corps. Secondary has held up well but will be stressed tonight. Nevertheless, we'll look for BYU to eat clock with a run game and more magic with QB Wilson to deliver the goods. |
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12-22-20 | Tulane -2.5 v. Nevada | 27-38 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
Tulane/Nevada 3:30: Tulane's HC Willie Fritz has done an outstanding job bringing respectability back to the football program that's been dismal since the Tommy Bowden era of '97-98. When Fritz is a slight favorite (3 or less), he delivers as his perfect 10-0 SU/9-1 ATS mark indicates. And he's delivered on back to back SU/ATS wins in consecutive bowl wins. He's already developed true freshman QB Michael Pratt into a solid field general. Sure, Nevada has a really good QB Carson Strong and solid targets in Doubs and TE Turner. And the line protects its QB well with just 19 sacks given up on the season; however, this game is played in Boise, Idaho with strong wins of 18 MPH expected. Tulane has a great pass rush (36 sacks) led by Patrick Johnson (10). Nevada is not a great run team (112th nation). On the other hand, Tulane can run the rock behind a good offensive line. The Green Wave pounds out 218 YPG on the ground and that should be the difference. Tulane the call. |
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12-21-20 | Steelers -14 v. Bengals | 17-27 | Loss | -116 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
Steelers/Bengals 8:15: Steelers destroyed the Bengals 36-10 back on November 15th. And that was with Joe Burrow at the helm of the Bengals' offense. Sure, the Steelers' defense had a drop off since that game with lots of injuries; however, still some quality depth and enough talent to generate a pass rush. Bengals' offensive line has had trouble virtually all season opening holes and protecting their QB. We'll look for Watt, Tuitt, Heyward and OLB Highsmith to bring relentless heat on third string QB Ryan Finley - who has been shaky, at best, in limited action this season. On the other hand, look for Pittsburgh to establish their run game which has not been good lately. Tomlin wants to establish the run and the tired, broken down Bengals' defense is the perfect elixir. It should enable Ben to work play action to his talented, but lately underachieving, receiving corps. Steelers 7-1 ATS on MNF off double digit straight up loss. Bengals are just 1-4 ATS at home with revenge. Steelers should roll with the extra incentive of clinching division title tonight. |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals UNDER 40.5 | 17-27 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh/Cincinnati 8:15: Bengals should continue to struggle offensively with third string Finley getting the nod. In limited action (4 appearances), Finley looked shaky at best going 10 of 19 for 75 yards with 2 INTs and 0 TDs. Bengals' offensive line not getting it done as Bengals' QBs getting beat up while run game is nearly non-existent. And as banged up as the Steelers' defense is, they still have playmakers and a respectable pass rush to do damage. On the flip end, Steelers run game struggling bad and receivers Diontae Johnson and TE Ebron have the drops while Roethlisberger looks immobile in pocket. This series is 0-4-1 O/U in its last 5 games. Steelers 1-11 O/U vs division opponent off back to back SU losses. They're also 0-4 O/U on MNF. "Under" the call. |
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12-20-20 | Browns v. Giants +6.5 | Top | 20-6 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
Browns/Giants 8:20: Giants have been quite a resilient team this year off losses; as a matter of fact, they have not failed to cover following an ATS loss this season. We'll grab the near TD here despite QB Daniel Jones most likely out. His backup - Colt McCoy has been around for awhile and has veteran poise. He did a nice job at Seattle. Giants should get back to their run game with Gallman, Lewis and Morris. Browns' defense gashed on Monday vs Baltimore and they're operating on a short week here. Need talented wide receivers Shepard, Slayton and Tate to step up their game; moreover, TE Engram needs to get involved. Browns operating with a banged up secondary with FS Sendejo out. Browns 1-9 ATS on the road in their last 10 vs the NFC East. Giants still in the hunt for a playoff spot should play hard. They're defense keeps them in the game. Tonight, Giants should elevate their 8-3 ATS mark as a dog this season. |
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12-20-20 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Saints | 32-29 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
Chiefs/Saints 4:25: If you're been a Chiefs' backer over the last five weeks, you've taken a beating. KC went 5-0 SU but 0-5 ATS. On the other hand, New Orleans went 5-1 ATS over their last 6 games as the party ended last week at Philadelphia. The balancing act should evolve further today; after all, New Orleans sports a money burning 26-39 ATS mark at home in December. KC controls a 15-3 ATS mark on the road off back-to-back SU wins vs. .500 or greater opposition. Sure, Brees is back but his best target Michael Thomas (IR) out. KC overdue for a statement game and should deliver. |
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12-20-20 | Patriots v. Dolphins -1 | 12-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Patriots/Dolphins 1:00: Dolphins a bit banged up but have the depth to deliver here. Miami in a revenge mode, like last year around this time, and should get it done; after all, they're at home this year in that revenge role. Dolphins have been a money ticket to the tune of 10-3 ATS this year and defense has been their ammo. They're the #2 scoring defense in the NFL and #1 in turnovers. They prepare well and have a ball hawking secondary led by CB Xavien Howard. Sure, Belichick is 9-0 SU vs rookie QBs but all good runs must come to an end. We'll grab the revenge minded Dolphins. |
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12-20-20 | 49ers -3 v. Cowboys | 33-41 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
49ers/Cowboys 1:00: 49ers, despite the injuries, overdue to get untracked and it should come here; after all, the 49ers have faced a murderer's row of heavyweight contenders: Seattle, Green Bay, New Orleans, Rams, Buffalo and upstart Washington. Dallas is a major fall off with a still questionable defense and reduced to a mediocre offense. Cowboys rank 32nd vs the run and points allowed. Sure, they beat a Cincinnati team that took a precipitous drop since QB Burrow went down. 49ers should unleash RB Jeff Wilson Jr. on them if Mostert is unable to go. Shanahan works well with QBs and should settle down turnover prone QB Mullens. The well managed SF defense should keep them in this and create turnover opportunities. SF the call. |
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12-19-20 | Panthers +9 v. Packers | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
analysis to follow... |
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12-19-20 | Illinois v. Penn State -15 | 21-56 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
Illinois/Penn State 5:30: Illinois a major disappointment this season will go in to this one with OC Rod Smith as the interim HC after Lovie Smith was let go. Penn State has turned things around since their dismal 0-5 start. They've won 3 straight and, amazingly, in line for a bowl game with a win here. Can't see the pedestrian offense of Illinois moving the football on a pretty good Penn State defense. On the flip end, Illinois defense didn't show up this year (104th ranked) and will struggle vs a heating up Penn State offense that's found their rhythm. |
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12-19-20 | Boise State v. San Jose State +7 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
Boise State/San Jose State 4:30: SJS no longer the MWC whipping boy. Fourth year Spartans' HC Brent Brennan has his men playing good football; as a matter of fact, they're one of only three teams to improve their overall offense by 100+ for two years straight; moreover, also improved 60 YPG defensively. And he's got the Spartans in the MWC Championship despite a mediocre, at best, recruiting class. He does, however, have playmakers on both side of the ball including Arkansas transfer QB Nick Starkel who's thrown for 1,453 yards, 13 TD/4 INTs in 6 games. Defensively, they get after the QB with Cade Hall (8 sacks) leading the rush. Sure, Boise State no joke and another year of being a worthy contender for the MWC title; however, Brent Brennan is 6-0-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit ATS win and we'll roll with the Spartans. |
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12-19-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame UNDER 60 | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Clemson/Notre Dame 4:00: Notre Dame got the best of Clemson earlier this season in a double overtime barn burner 47-40. However, three key defensive starters for Clemson were out. Without Clemson's top defensive lineman - Tyler Davis, defensive signal caller - Skalski, and versatile LB Mike Jones Jr., Irish ran all over the Tigers to the tune of 208 yards; moreover, couldn't get a grasp on QB Ian Book. Tonight, look for DC Brent Venables to have the well rested and healthy Clemson defense on its game. As for Notre Dame, they possess a Top 10 run stop unit - holding Etienne to just 28 yards rushing. Sure, Lawrence is back and he's great. But Notre Dame has an underrated ball hawking secondary and can generate a pass rush. They've also had plenty of time to work a containing scheme on Lawrence and company. ND 2-6 O/U on grass, 1-6 O/U on neutral fields. Tigers 1-6 O/U in December and 2-8 O/U off a bye week. They're also 1-4 O/U as a neutral site favorite. "Under" the call. |
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12-19-20 | Texas A&M -13.5 v. Tennessee | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Texas A&M/Tennessee Noon: A&M has rattled off six straight wins after their blowout loss at Alabama. The Aggies are now in line for a possible entry in the College Football Playoffs sitting at the #5 seed. They'll need a convincing win here and have to rely on some outside influences. We'll at least look for a convincing win. Tennessee is coming off a comfortable win over lightweight Vanderbilt; however, the Volunteers are a money burning 1-10 ATS at home off a SU win of over 14 points. A&M the call. |
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12-18-20 | Nebraska v. Rutgers +7 | 28-21 | Push | 0 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Nebraska/Rutgers 7:30: Rutgers matched their victory total from the past two seasons. In Greg Schiano's second term for Rutgers, he's got them playing competitive football. In their three outright wins over Big Ten foes - Michigan State, Purdue and in OT at Maryland last week, they've been able to win the turnover battle. We'll look for heavy doses of RB Pacheco (100+ last week) and targets to Bo Melton (leading receiver). Starting QB Vedral (ankle) may not be able to go. That will be alright because Sitkowski does a decent job managing the offense. Defensively, Rutgers went off with 7 sacks last week. Nebraska's QB Martinez is more dangerous as a runner than through the air. Rutgers' defense in good hands with defensive minded Schiano. And Nebraska defense surely not worthy of donning the Black Shirts. Huskers 0-5 ATS off a SU favorite loss vs a conference opponent. We'll grab the points. |
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12-17-20 | Chargers +3 v. Raiders | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
Chargers/Raiders 8:20: Both teams banged up and got to go on a short week. We'll give the edge to the revenge seeking Chargers who lost by a step, literally, in the final seconds of the November 8th meeting in Inglewood. TE Don Parham couldn't get his second foot down in the end zone in the Chargers' 31-26 loss. Tonight, like the Chargers' chances. QB Justin Herbert has done an outstanding job guiding a directionless offense. He has a good on field supporting cast to get by a Raiders' defense that is in a disarray. Guenther is finally out. Long overdue! However, Martinelli is not an upgrade. He'll be much more aggressive in his stunts and blitzes tonight but question his ability to handle the secondary. Remember, Martinelli got way too much credit in Dallas for a decent defense with Kris Richard as the Defensive Passing Game Coordinator. Martinelli won't have Richard on the sidelines with him tonight; in addition, he'll be missing some key starters including hard hitting S Abram. Anthony Lynn's staff is by far not coaching geniuses but have the talent to get by here. Lynn is 8-1 ATS vs an opponent off a double digit ATS loss. And the Chargers are 4-1 ATS on Thursday nights. Chargers the call. |
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12-16-20 | TCU +5 v. Oklahoma State | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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12-15-20 | Wichita State v. Tulsa -1.5 | 69-65 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Wichita State/Tulsa 7:00: Wichita State dealing with the fallout of their legendary coach - Gregg Marshall - resignation. Interim HC Isaac Brown having a tough time dealing with Covid 19 issues and getting his team in rhythm. They were sloppy at home on the 12th with turnovers and offensive poor rhythm down the stretch in a winnable game vs Okie State. Tulsa, on the other hand, not polished either but did put together a decent win 11 days ago. Tulsa is ahead in the defensive curve at this point of the season as well. Tulsa has a senior laden team with Rachal (17.3 PPG) and Joiner (11.7 PPG/7 RPG) leading the way. They've covered 8 of their last 11 at home and should deliver. |
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12-15-20 | St Bonaventure v. Akron +6.5 | 81-74 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure/Akron 2:00: No tune up game for the Bonnies on account of Covid 19 restrictions. Akron, however, did get a chance to blow out lightweight Cedarville 97-49. The Zips arguably have the best player in the MAC Loren Christian Jackson on the floor and he's got a decent supporting cast. Bonnies do have a veteran team but they have a good travel here in their first game whereas the Zips have a mere 40 minute bus drive and have experience playing on this Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse floor in Cleveland. We'll grab the 6' points. |
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12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns +3 | 47-42 | Loss | -109 | 44 h 6 m | Show | |
Ravens/Browns 8:15: Browns coming off an impressive performance against Tennessee and we'll roll with them here. Cleveland eager to prove that they belong as a top contender in the league and find the biggest stage - MNF - to do it on. They're seeking revenge from Week 1 38-6 demolition. Browns are much better than in Week 1. Mayfield now getting comfortable with targets Landry, Higgins and Peoples-Jones. And Cleveland has that two headed rushing attack with Chubb and Hunt cooking. Defensively, they're making plays and Myles Garrett and Olivier Vernon remain a beasts off the edge with Sheldon Richardson clogging the middle. Baltimore battled back well last week but remain a question mark in areas on both sides of the ball. Pass game 32nd in the NFL and surely the weak Dallas defense, which they torched last Tuesday, is no indication of an upgrade to the pass game at this stage of the season. And defensively, thinning along the defensive front as Calais Campbell (calf) struggles to stay in. Browns a sweet 5-0 ATS with division revenge off a SU win. Browns the call. |