Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-09-18 | Central Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 140 | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan has lost four of their last five as they host rival Central Michigan. The Eagles offense has been extremely hot and cold this season. They had a stretch of five straight games where they scored 80 or more points in early December, but have had some problems against the better opponents as of late. The Eagles are led by Elijah Minnie, Paul Jackson, James Thompson IV and Tim Bond. Central Michigan has gone over in two of their last three true road games. They allowed 85 at Kent State, 86 at UMKC, 86 at Southern Utah and 72 at Michigan. This team has scored 70 or less three times this season with one of those being 69 points. The Chippewas are led by Cecil Williams, David DiLeo and Shawn Roundtree. They have gone over in 18 of their last 28 as an underdog. These two played a pair of high scoring games last year 109-81 and 85-63. I think this one is going to go over as well. |
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01-07-18 | Davidson v. George Mason OVER 141 | 86-59 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
The winner of this one gets to .500 as Davidson travels to Virginia to play George Mason. The Patriots offensively have struggled this season and that has carried over to the defensive side where they are allowing 73.1 points per game. Mason has gone over in 29 of their last 41 Atlantic 10 games. Their first two A10 games this season were an 80-72 win over UMass and an 83-64 loss to Rhode Island. Otis Livingston II, Jaire Grayer, Goanar Mar and Justin Kier are all double digit scorers. Peyton Aldridge and Kellan Grady are the two big scorers for Davidson who is struggling to string together victories. The Wildcats have lost four of their last six and have allowed 75 points or more seven times this season. They have the potential to top that as well against the right opponent. I think this one goes over the total.
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01-06-18 | Old Dominion v. North Texas OVER 131 | 63-60 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
Old Dominion is a fascinating study as they still are one of the slower playing teams according to Ken Pomeroy's numbers, but they've played seven overs in their last eight games. The Monarchs have left their defense at home on the road giving up 75 at Rice, 77 at Fairfield, 82 at VCU and 79 at William and Mary. They've been able to score though with an offense that is led by BJ Stith, Ahmad Caver and Trey Porter. With better health this season, they've been able to withstand the nights that the defense isn't there. North Texas is also one of the slower paced teams, but they've got a pretty solid offense. The Mean Green are led by Roosevelt Smart and Ryan Woolridge who join Shane Temara and A.J. Lawson as players who average double digits. ODU has gone over in 20 of their last 30 road games and five of their last six games when the total is in the 130s. Last year this was a 73-67 win by the Monarchs in Denton Texas. Two years ago they won 76-70 so I think that trend continues. |
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01-06-18 | Fresno State v. Colorado State OVER 138 | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
Fresno State has been on my card a lot with either their spread or the over as this team's offense can do some good things. They've cracked the 80 point mark seven times already this season as they have several weapons. The problem for the Bulldogs has been their defense which has let them down in their last two losses to Utah State and Nevada. FSU has gone over in all four of their true road games this season. Colorado State lost a lot from last season, but still have some options themselves. They've gone over in four of their last seven and it's because they've had their problems on defense too. Both teams are moderately paced so there should be plenty of possessions. Prentiss Nixon will have his hands full with the Bulldogs who can put five double digit scorers out there. CSU has gone over in six of their seven games as an underdog. I think this one goes over the total. |
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01-06-18 | Washington v. Washington State OVER 153 | 70-65 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Wazzu looks for their third straight win in the Apple Cup on Saturday as they host Washington. The Huskies are playing their third straight road game as they look to bounce back after a 74-53 loss at UCLA. This is a team that is capable of scoring with seven performances of 80 points or more this season. They've struggled at times with the zone and could do so against a Cougars team that wants to bomb away from long range. Carter Skaggs shoots 52.1% from 3 while Robert Franks and Viont'e Daniels also can light it up too. Wazzu has lost six of their last eight because either their defense was too leaky (89 allowed to USC and 96 to UCLA) or their offense just wasn't up to snuff. This series saw a pair of games played in the 70's last year and in the 90's in 2016. I think this one is a tight high scoring game that the home team could win. |
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01-06-18 | Northern Illinois v. Ohio OVER 152 | 68-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Ohio has gone over in all but one game so far this season. They've scored 84, 89, 80, 88 and 96 in five of their seven home contests with two clunkers thrown in as well. Mike Laster, Teyvion Kirk, Jordan Dartis and Kevin Mickle average nearly 60 points per game combined for the Bobcats who want to get up and down the court. Their defense has been an issue at times hence the overs. NIU has played four true road games this season with scores of 98-75, 79-70, 94-80 and 95-77. The team has several options on the offensive end and have had their own problems on defense. NIU is 16-4 to the over the last three seasons on Saturday. These two have gone over in five of their last six lined meetings in Ohio. I think the trend continues. |
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01-06-18 | Buffalo v. Ball State OVER 162.5 | 83-63 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
A pair of teams who don't mind playing with pace play as Ball State hosts Buffalo. The Bulls first conference game was a 104-94 victory at home against Toledo. On the road UB has struggled with defense allowing 89, 81, 72 and 87. They've played three straight overs and six of their last eight have gone over as well. The addition of Wes Clark to the lineup has helped stabilize things and gives the team another shooter on the court. Ball State has scored 70 or more in every game except for one when they put up 69 at Oklahoma. The Cardinals defense has gotten better so that's a worry, but I think they'll struggle with Buffalo. The Cards have gone over in 26 of their last 40 games against teams with a winning record. Last year the road team won each game in this series with Ball State winning 92-77 while Buffalo took the later meeting 96-69. I think this one is close and sees a ton of points. |
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01-05-18 | James Madison v. Hofstra OVER 147 | 81-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
James Madison's defense has been pretty awful this season. They've allowed 70 points or more in all but four games with one of those coming against a non division one opponent. They don't man to man well or zone and that's a problem against the potent Hofstra offense. The Dukes do have some scorers and have shown some offensive explosion themselves. They have scored 70 or more in seven of their last eight. Hofstra has allowed 80 or more seven times this season. They've played six overs in their last eight lined games. These two have gone over in six of their last 10 lined meetings in New York. I think this one is high scoring. |
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01-04-18 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Cal Poly OVER 140.5 | 79-80 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
Cal Poly had their five game losing streak snapped last time out as they enter Big West play against my favorite team UCSB. Cal Poly has played five overs in their last six lined games as they've struggled horribly on defense against teams that are potent. The Gauchos are awesome offensively led by Max Heidegger and Leland King II. They've got three other scorers who average 7 points per game or more. They've gone over in eight of their 11 lined games. On the road the defense has struggled to slow teams down. They allowed 72 points at Sacramento State and 69 at mediocre Montana State. I think this one sees a lot of points and maybe an outright UCSB win. |
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01-04-18 | Charlotte v. North Texas OVER 145 | 70-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Charlotte is 1-5 on the road and is being outscored almost 76-66 in those contests. In their first conference game they lost 89-58 in a game that showed how far away they were from their competition. This is their fifth straight road contest so weariness could occur. They are one of the quicker teams in the country in terms of pace. North Texas has won five of their last six and are playing their first home game in almost a month. At home they've been scoring well although against lesser competition. The slate in Denton has featured McNeese State, Indiana State, Grambling, Rogers State and UTRGV. They've got a lot more balance when it comes to scoring. The Mean Green has gone over in 18 of their last home games. These two played some high scoring games last year with scores of 82-81 and 101-76. I think we could see something similar potentially in this one. |
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01-04-18 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Oral Roberts OVER 150.5 | 60-76 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
Fort Wayne has won five of their last six and it's because of an incredibly potent offense led by Bryson Scott and Jon Konchar. The Dons have gone over 90 points six times this season and the defense has struggled to be consistent as well. They've allowed over 80 nine times as well. They've played seven true road games with five of them going over the total. Oral Roberts has won three of their last five games. Their offense has been very good at home this season. They are coming off a 93-74 win at home against Omaha in a game that saw the two teams going back and forth. The team's defense is pretty bad too. Fort Wayne has gone over in 44 of their last 67 games overall including 24 of their last 35 in conference play. Last year this game was 87-83 on the road. I think the Dons win and this goes over. |
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01-03-18 | Fresno State v. Utah State OVER 142 | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Fresno State is putting up nearly 80 points per game while shooting just over 50% from the field. They've gone over seven times already this season. The Bulldogs have played just three true road games beating Cal Poly 83-63, Long Beach State 106-70 and losing at Arkansas 83-75. They have an impressive group of scorers with five guys putting up double digits. The defense has been a problem at times especially away from home. Utah State has won three of their last four and have gone over in two straight home contests. They are scoring better right now and have played teams tough at home. Sam Merrill, Koby McEwen and DeAngelo Isby are their double digit scorers. Utah State has gone over in 18 of their last 30 home games including three of five this season. I think this one is an over. |
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01-03-18 | Valparaiso v. Bradley UNDER 135.5 | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
Valpo has lost three straight and six of their last seven. The Crusaders offense has struggled as they've failed to crack the 65 point mark in five of their last seven. The loss of Joe Burton has been bad for this team as he's the point guard and the guy who made things go. Tevonn Walker and Bakari Evelyn are the team's two biggest scorers, but there's not much help other then that. The Crusaders have been a team that has relied heavily on their defense in the past and for the most part they've been able to accomplish that. Bradey crushes it on the defensive end especially at home where they've allowed 53, 46, 56, 57, 47, 53 and 53. They don't mind a slower paced game and will grind possessions out if they have to. Their offense has been hit or miss this season, but at home it's been pretty good. This team has only gone over the total twice this season with one being at home and one on the road. To me, this one has a lower score coming. |
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01-03-18 | Clemson v. Boston College OVER 141 | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
BC has been a huge surprise so far this ACC season with a win over Duke at home and then last weekend they lost by one at UVA. This is a team that has won every true home game this season and has scored 75 or more in all but one of those contests. Jerome Robinson, Ky Bowman and Jordan Chatman are as good a trio of scorers as you can find. Clemson's got five double digit scorers led by Marcquise Reed and Donte Grantham. This is Clemson's second true road game after winning 79-65 at Ohio State. The Tigers have cracked the 70 point mark in all but two games this season so scoring isn't an issue for them. Both of these teams play good defense, but I think they'll both light up the scoreboard. BC has gone over in 16 of their last 28 home lined games. I think this one's an over. |
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01-02-18 | San Diego State v. Colorado State OVER 143 | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Colorado State has won four of their last five entering this one and return home where they've been very good as an offense. The Rams have been awful defensively with six of their opponents shooting 50% from the field or better. Prentiss Nixon and Deion James are the team's best two scorers and they aren't deep as a team. The Aztecs are quite the opposite with four double digit scorers and a couple of other contributors. They are playing with a faster pace nowadays and are trying to beat teams with that. San Diego State has not played as well on the road where they have lost at Wyoming and at Arizona State. The defense has proven at times to be leaky and CSU is a bad place for that to happen. You can't look at too many historical trends considering how slow the Aztecs played under Coach Fisher. This time though I think they speed their way to a win potentially on the road. |
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01-02-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Ball State OVER 149 | 62-72 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan continues a stretch of road games at Ball State on Tuesday. The Eagles have played some high scoring road contests at Oakland, Long Beach State, North Florida and Indiana. EMU is led by the potent trio of Elijah Minnie, James Thompson IV and Paul Jackson who each average around 16 points per contest. After starting the year 1-4, Ball State has won eight straight games. In each of those victories they've scored 70 points or more and have done so in every game except one against Oklahoma in which they put up 69. The Cardinals are shooting it well, and have to considering their struggles on defense. The team has allowed 80 or more eight times this season. They have a lot more balance with six players who average 7.5 points per game or more. These two have played three overs in their last four meetings. It was a 79-72 contest at Ball State last year which was 2.5 points less then the given total. Ball State has gone over in 41 of their last 65 lined games including 17 of their last 29 home contests. This one should be close and a high scoring game. |
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12-31-17 | Memphis v. Cincinnati OVER 131.5 | 48-82 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
Memphis is playing just their second true road game of the season. They lost their first one 71-56 at UAB. Against the better teams on the schedule, the Tigers have had problems allowing 71 to LSU, 81 to Louisville and 82 to Alabama. The offense isn't great, but with such a low total, I don't need as much help from them. Jeremiah Martin, Kyvon Davenport and Jimario Rivers are the leading scorers. Cincinnati's going to win this game. They've scored 81, 77, 77 their last three games and have averaged 87.4 points per game at home this season. The defense has been fantastic so I worry about how much Memphis scores. The Bearcats have gone over in 19 of their last 32 at home while the Tigers have gone over in 14 of their last 22 road contests. I think this one can sneak over the total with an 80 something to 50 something type score. |
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12-31-17 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama OVER 140 | 67-69 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
South Alabama is coming off a great effort at home over Georgia State in which it won 86-64 as a seven point underdog. This is a team whose offense is very hit-or-miss. They've scored 73 points or more in three of their last four contests and have gone over in four of their last five lined games. Rodrick Sikes, Josh Ajayi and Jordan Andrews are the biggest threats for the Jaguars. Georgia Southern is playing their sixth straight road game and is coming off an 86-80 win at Troy. GSU's offense has scored 70 or more 10 times this season. The Eagles are a veteran group with four double digit scorers led by Tookie Brown. South Alabama has gone over in 25 of their last 42 Sun Belt games. Georgia Southern has gone over in 19 of their last 33 road contests. Both teams play with a modest pace so I think this one should go over the total. |
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12-30-17 | Utah State v. San Diego State OVER 142.5 | 59-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Utah State has won four of their last five contests entering this one against the revamped Aztecs. The Aggies want to run and have put up some good offensive numbers against lesser opponents as of late. On the road, they have played at Utah, Valpo, Portland State and Gonzaga already. One common thread is a struggle on defense in those games. San Diego State wants to play faster under their new head coach. They have certainly done so with eight efforts of 70 points or better this season. They are using their talent and getting it into space. The defense has been pretty good for the most part although they did just allow 82 points at Wyoming. This team has gone over in six of their 10 lined contests. I think this one goes over too. |
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12-30-17 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Oral Roberts OVER 152.5 | 74-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
These two teams play next to no defense so there should be plenty of points put up. The Mavericks have allowed 90 points or more five times already this season away from home with a few others being 86, 87 and 89. This roster was ravaged in the offseason and is now led by Zach Jackson and Daniel Norl. They have some offensive weapons so points on their end won't be an issue. Albert Owens gets some help with the Golden Eagles from Emmanuel Nzekwesi and Javan White. ORU has gone over in six of their last seven lined games and it's mostly because of a lack of defense. They have some interesting road wins but have struggled to defend homecourt. Last year, the home matchup between these two was a 103-86 affair. These two have gone over in four of their last six meetings. I think this one sees a ton of points. |
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12-30-17 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International OVER 144 | 57-58 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
The Florida schools play on Saturday as FIU hosts FAU. The Golden Panthers have lost three of their last four after a three game win streak. They are coming off a headscratching 79-72 home loss to Hartford in which they allowed them to shoot 62% from the field. This is a team that has a pretty good offense led by Trejon Jacob, Eric Lockett and Brian Beard Jr who put up nearly 47 points per game. They want the game to go faster and have gone over in four of their six lined games with many others probably going over if there were lines. FAU has lost three straight falling at Minnesota, Texas Tech and Arkansas State. Their defense is pretty bad allowing 80 points or more in three of their last five contests. The offense probably needs work, but they did have a stretch starting at the end of November scoring 91, 93, 92 and 108. FIU has gone over in 15 of their last 24 home games. Three of the last four meetings between these two have gone over the total. |
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12-30-17 | Miami-OH v. Ohio State OVER 140 | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
We've seen a lot of blowouts by Big 10 teams in their last non-conference weekend and I think Ohio State joins the party. They've crushed the bad teams at home with wins by 29, 35, 25, 18 and 31 over lesser teams including the Citadel, William and Mary and Robert Morris. They are coming off a 14 point loss over North Carolina so there's a need for a really good effort here. The Redhawks are good enough to score some points and allow a ton more. They lost 83-66 at DePaul, 80-59 at Tulane and 70-51 at Missouri. This is a team that can score some points and play at a decent pace which will probably have to be quicker when they get down big. Miami-Ohio has gone over in 19 of their last 34 road games. I think this one goes over the total and maybe we see the Buckeyes join the 100 point Big 10 club. |
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12-29-17 | Colorado v. Oregon State OVER 141.5 | 57-76 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
A pair of the mediocre PAC-12 schools play as Oregon State hosts Colorado. Oregon State has won six of their last seven games after a slow start to the season. The Beavers have four double digit scorers and little else as injuries and other things have reduced the roster. They've scored 70 points or more in five of their last six games. The Buffs have lost four of their last six after an undefeated start to their season. The team has played just two true road games losing 96-69 at Xavier and 72-63 at Colorado State. The Buffs are similar in that they play at a similar pace and have a good offense that has problems on defense sometimes. Colorado has gone over in six of their seven games against teams with a winning record and all three games as an underdog |
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12-29-17 | Northern Illinois v. Iowa OVER 151.5 | 75-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
In another non-conference Big 10 game, Iowa hosts Northern Illinois. The Huskies have had some tastes of real opponents this season losing at Marquette 79-70 and at Iowa State 94-80. They are a high scoring team who also struggles on defense at times. NIU is a smallish team with good athletes and one decent guy in the post. Iowa has won four in a row after losing four in a row. They've done so against weaker opponents for the most part, but they've scored 80 or more in all of those contests. This is a team that is a mixed bag in terms of offense and defense with each struggling at some point this season. Any offense they've played with a pulse has been able to score on them. NIU has gone over in 19 of their last 30 games as an underdog. Iowa has gone over in 23 of their last 42 as a favorite. I think this one sees plenty of points. |
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12-29-17 | Cleveland State v. Michigan State OVER 139.5 | 61-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
This is going to be a massive blowout as Sparty is crushing teams and shooting 51.2% from the field. They are rolling right now with a 42 point win over Long Beach State (102-60), a 45 point win over Houston Baptist (107-62) and a 13 point win over Oakland (86-73). Michigan State beats up on the bad teams at home and scores a ton of points in the process. The worry here is Cleveland State's offense isn't very good. The Vikings lost at Cincinnati 81-62 which was hard to believe considering the Bearcats defense is pretty good. They also lost 78-67 at Western Michigan and 72-69 at East Carolina. The crowd won't be great for this one so maybe we don't get as motivated an effort. Still, I think the over is worth a look here. |
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12-29-17 | Toledo v. Pennsylvania OVER 146.5 | 85-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
Penn has won four straight and six of their last seven as they host Toledo on Friday afternoon. The Quakers are coming off a 105-52 win over Delaware State last time out. Their offense is very good with four straight efforts of 70 points or more. They've also put up 90 or more three times in November. Toledo has a potent offense and has had their problems on defense too. They've gone over in three of their last four lined games. On the road, the Rockets have allowed 86 to Detroit, 96 to Kansas, 80 to Cornell and 72 to Syracuse. Penn has gone over in seven of their eight lined games. Toledo plays with a decent pace. In an afternoon game, I think we get a light atmosphere and plenty of points. |
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12-28-17 | North Texas v. UTEP OVER 135.5 | 63-62 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
North Texas is 7-6 on the season and they've got four scorers who average 10 points per game or more. The Mean Green have already played at Georgetown, UT-Arlington, Oklahoma, Georgia Tech and Nebraska this season. Defense has been an issue in those contests for the most part, but their offense can get clicking too. In their 86-83 win at San Diego they shot almost 50% as a 10 point underdog. UTEP is expected to get Devin Wade back to a team that has won four of their last five. The Miners offense isn't great, but they've scored 70 points or more three times during this seven game homestand. The defense has been good, but the opponents have been. North Texas has gone over in 29 of their last 46 games as an underdog. These two played a 77-71 game last year. I don't know if that will happen again but I do think it's an over. |
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12-28-17 | Bradley v. Drake OVER 140 | 64-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Betting overs in Bradley games has been a losing proposition for the most part this season as the under has hit in 10 of 11 lined contests. Traditionally though on the road, their fantastic defense has been a little lax as evidenced by the 17 overs in their last 29 contests. A quick look at some of the road unders this season shows that they were 1 basket short of a push at Ole Miss, 1 three pointer away from an over at SEMO and 5 points away from an over at San Diego State. The Braves offense has been fantastic this season scoring 75 or more in three of their last four already. They've got some balance and can come at you in many ways. Drake has gone over in five of their last six and seven of their 10 lined games this season. They are shooting it a lot better and are scoring at home with relative ease. The Bulldogs have put up 81, 93, 79 and 101 in their four true home games. Defense has been an issue at times as well which is another reason that the over has hit. Six opponents have shot 50% or better this season. Last year, these two played a 82-74 contest at Drake and a 79-72 game at Bradley. I think the over is worth the look. |
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12-27-17 | Colorado State v. Boise State OVER 140 | 71-93 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
Boise State had their six game win streak snapped last time out before the holidays in an 86-63 road loss at SMU. The Broncos are 10-2 and are led by Chandler Hutchison and Justinian Jessup who average just over 15 points per game each. At home, they've scored 85, 77, 77, 87, 68, 90 and 104. The team is a mixed bag defensively with some good and bad efforts sprinkled in. Colorado State lost a lot of talent from last year, but has won three straight entering this one. Their defense is pretty bad on the road allowing 95, 92, 77 and 89 away from Fort Collins. Prentiss Nixon is their biggest threat with three others scoring 10 points per game or more. The Rams have gone over in 21 of their last 34 games as an underdog including four of five this season. This series has seen five straight overs in Taco Bell Arena. I think this one is an over as well. |
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12-25-17 | Princeton v. Hawaii OVER 134.5 | 77-63 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
Hawaii and Princeton try to pick up their second win in the tournament on Christmas. The host school beat Davidson 79-71 after losing 75-57 to Miami. Hawaii is a decently paced offense that has around 70 possessions per game. They've scored 70 or more eight times this season. Sheriff Drammeh leads six scorers who average seven points per game or more. Princeton is one of the slowest teams in the country and is coming off a 64-62 win over Akron. They also lost 69-67 against Middle Tennessee in this tournament. This is a Tigers team that is playing their fifth game on the road with two of those going over the total. They've struggled defensively sometimes away from home giving up 71 at St. Joe, 76 at Fairleigh Dickinson and 71 at GW. Devin Cannday, Myles Stephens and Amir Bell are a solid trio. Hawaii has gone over in 15 of their last 24 games when the total is in the 130s. |
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12-24-17 | Jaguars v. 49ers UNDER 42 | 33-44 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 44 m | Show | |
This is arguably one of the most intriguing games of the weekend. The 49ers are smoking hot having won three straight and four of their last five. San Francisco is getting solid play from Jimmy Garoppolo who has infused some excitement into this offense. The defense has also held four straight teams to under 100 yards rushing and under 250 yards passing. The Jaguars have a big game next week at Tennessee and are coming off three straight home wins. Blake Bortles is in a good spot too right now with three straight solid efforts. The Jags have gone under in four of their six road games. San Fran has gone under in eight of their last 13 games as an underdog. |
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12-24-17 | Falcons v. Saints OVER 52.5 | 13-23 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 39 m | Show | |
Just two weeks ago we saw these two teams play on a Thursday night in Atlanta. That one went to the home team 20-17 in a game that saw the Saints prolific run game manage only 50 yards while Matt Ryan threw three interceptions and nearly blew the game. I expect to see a better effort from both sides in this one. These two have played 14 overs in their last 25 meetings in New Orleans. I expect the Saints to run the ball better and I expect or at least hope Matt Ryan is better. The Falcons do have one less day to prepare for this one coming off their Monday Night Football win over the Bucs. New Orleans has scored 30, 34, 31 and 31 in their last four home contests. They've gone over in 15 of their last 23 home games. This one will see plenty of points. |
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12-23-17 | UC-Santa Barbara v. CS Sacramento OVER 142 | 82-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
UCSB has been on my card often because of a fantastic offense and the ability to cover on the road where they have gone 5-1 against the spread. They've also gone over in five contests because of a good balanced offense. Max Heidegger, Leland King II, Jalen Canty and Gabe Vincent average over 60 points per game and are a lot to handle. The Hornets have just three wins on the season beating CS-Northridge, Antelope Valley and Notre Dame De Namur. Their defense is bad allowing 70 or more in five of their last six contests. I think the Gauchos get the road win and this one is played with a bit of pace and some points. |
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12-23-17 | Long Beach State v. Colorado State OVER 152 | 66-68 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Long Beach State plays their fourth road game over their last five as they travel to Fort Collins to play Colorado State. The 49ers play no defense allowing 102 to Michigan State last time out, 94 to Southern Utah, 91 to Arizona and 91 at West Virginia. Their offense has shown flashes as they had scored 70 or more in five straight before Sparty slowed them down. The Rams play with a decent pace and have gone over in three of their last five lined games. At home, they've scored 70 or more five times and they've struggled on defense against the better teams on the slate. Back in 2015, these two played an 83-77 game in Fort Collins. I think we see something similar on Saturday. |
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12-23-17 | Richmond v. Boston College OVER 145 | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
BC has won four straight including a victory at home over Duke. At home this season, they've scored 80 points or more in all but one contest. Jerome Robinson and Ky Bowman are a fantastic backcourt who have had to do a little more without Deontae Hawkins. Their defense is pretty good holding seven opponents to less then 70 points. Richmond's offense has perked up a bit as of late scoring 78 against Bucknell and 74 against James Madison. They've allowed all but two opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field this season. It's a team that can't stop anyone defensively and has to be low on confidence. These two teams should be able to top this lower total. |
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12-22-17 | Georgia Southern v. East Tenn State OVER 142 | 59-79 | Loss | -114 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
East Tennessee State hosts Georgia Southern on Friday. The Bucs have won five of their last six with the loss being by two points at Xavier. ETSU's offense is clicking with six efforts of 80 points or more in their last eight contests. They've got some balance and don't mind playing with a little pace. Georgia Southern has won four of their last five. This is their fourth straight road contest, but they are veteran enough to handle that. GSU has balanced scoring and has scored 70 or more in four of their last five. ETSU has gone over in 20 of their last 28 at home. That trend continues on Friday. |
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12-22-17 | Bradley v. Ole Miss OVER 140.5 | 59-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Bradley hits the road for their third straight game away from home against Ole Miss. The Braves has won three straight and have lost just two games overall. They fell by one on a neutral court against Vermont and lost by 23 at San Diego State. Bradley is known for their defense, but the offense has scored 75 or more in three straight games. Ole Miss is not exactly known for their defense as they've allowed 101 to Illinois State, 83 to Virginia Tech, 99 to South Dakota State and 83 to Utah. They can score as well and have been very efficient at times. Bradley has gone over in 17 of their last 28 road games while Ole Miss has gone over in 25 of their last 39 home contests. I think the Braves struggle on the defensive end and we get another over. |
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12-22-17 | Elon v. Indiana State OVER 138.5 | 73-68 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
Defense is a bit of an issue for Indiana State who is hosting Elon on Friday night. ISU is allowing teams to score nearly 75 points per game and their coach has said his team has an issue with scouting reports and doing the right thing consistently. They played a school called Indianapolis earlier this month and only won 79-75. They have gone over the total in three straight and five of their last six lined games. The offense isnt the issue, but the ability to stop opponents is. Elon is playing their fourth straight on the road having lost two of the first three. Their offense is very inconsistent especially if they are not hitting the three pointer. They play a mediocre pace, but this total is accounting for that. Their offense works at home and has worked on the road as well. ISU has gone over in 20 of their last 29 at home. This one should continue that trend. |
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12-21-17 | Tennessee Tech v. Indiana OVER 150.5 | 59-87 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Tennessee Tech may not be getting Indiana at a good time after they lost to Fort Wayne. Tech has lost three of their last four and has already played seven games away from home this season. They've got some balanced scoring with at least four guys scoring nine points or more. They've had their problems against the better teams on their schedule allowing 100 to TCU, 96 to New Mexico and 79 to Dayton. The Hoosiers allowed IPFW to shoot 51.7% from the field and scoring 92 points. They bounced back with an 86-77 win over Howard after an opening season loss to Indiana State. The Hoosiers have gone over in eight of their 12 contests. Their offense can be pretty good, but their defense is leaky as can be. I think we get a really focused effort out of IU and we see this one above the total. |
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12-21-17 | Long Beach State v. Michigan State OVER 152 | 60-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Long Beach State continues to play one of the toughest schedules in the season. They played at Arizona (91-56 loss), at West Virginia (91-62), at Oregon State (89-81) and took on Missouri on a neutral court (95-58). The 49ers offense has played well for the most part this season although against some lesser competition. Their problem is on defense where they've allowed 90 or more five times. Michigan State has pounded on their lesser opponents with a 107-62 win over Houston Baptist, 88-63 over Southern Utah, 98-66 over North Florida and 93-71 over Stony Brook. They are shooting over 50% from the field and should be able to get whatever shot they want. LBSU has gone over in 29 of their last 43 games as an underdog. I think Sparty gets to 100 in this one. |
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12-21-17 | Tenn Chattanooga v. Jacksonville State OVER 128.5 | 70-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Chattanooga is looking for their first road win of the season. They have struggled defensively and are coming off an 82-76 loss at Tennessee Tech. The team has been close with a four point loss at Marshall, five point loss at Akron and a 9 point loss at Wyoming. They don't play with a ton of pace, but the offense has been efficient at times as well. Jacksonville State has won five of their last six games. They are pretty good offensively having scored 70 or more in nine contests this season. One of those was a game against the Mocs at their place back on November 21st in a 77-75 win. Both teams shot at or near 50% for the game which helped. JSU has gone over in four of their six lined games and they are shooting better then 50% from the field. I know it's an early start, but I think we get a solid offensive effort and an over. |
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12-21-17 | Liberty v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 144 | 64-75 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Fort Wayne is coming off their second straight win over Indiana and now has to fly to New Orleans to begin a tournament with Liberty. The Mastodons have one of the most potent offenses in the country while Liberty has one of the best defenses and is a lot more methodical. Focus has got to be an issue for IPFW who has been getting a lot of attention in the state after the win. Their defense was better then it has been in the past. This is a team that allowed 84 at home to Stetson and 81 at Miami Ohio. Liberty has some talent with wins over Georgia State and Wake Forest already to go with a close loss to Houston. They play good defense against the three pointer so Fort Wayne could struggle there. IPFW has gone over in 43 of their last 65 lined games. This is an intriguing game and I think it'll be close and higher scoring even on a neutral court that figures to be empty. |
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12-20-17 | Wofford v. North Carolina OVER 154 | 79-75 | Push | 0 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
UNC has Ohio State next but before then they get Wofford in a decent little sandwich. The Heels are coming off a 78-73 win at Tennessee so focus could be an issue in this one. They've played a lot of these home games against teams with big point spreads. It went over against Western Carolina, Tulane and Northern Iowa with the Bucknell game probably going over as well if there was a line. Wofford has played two power five schools on the road losing 79-65 at California and 79-56 at Texas Tech. The Terriers offense isn't that bad and UNC usually allows teams to score especially when the game gets out of hand. The Heels won't let them play slow in this one so that's where the over comes into play. I think we get some good pace and good scoring. |
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12-20-17 | Georgia State v. Massachusetts OVER 133 | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
A pair of defensively based teams play as UMass hosts Georgia State. The two squads have similar profiles with both averaging around 72-73 points per game while allowing around 66. Last year these two teams played in Atlanta with the Minutemen winning 74-65. The Panthers are coming off a tough 88-83 loss at Dayton as a six point underdog. They've also lost by five at Ole Miss 77-72. GSU has road wins in lower scoring games against Alabama A&M and Rice. UMass has won three in a row after a four game losing streak. They beat Georgia 72-62 and Providence 72-63 at home. They've also picked up home wins of 85-76 and 101-76 over Western Carolina and Niagara. This one should be a victory for UMass and probably an over in a close contest |
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12-20-17 | Bradley v. SE Missouri State OVER 141 | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Bradley is a defensive team and has played great D all season long holding opponents to 58.5 points per game. The Braves have played two true road games allowing 75 to San Diego State and 58 to Chicago State although they scored 84 in that one. You really can't set the total low enough for their home games. The offense is actually doing pretty well too. On the other side you have the RedHawks who wants to run and has scored 70 or more in all of their home games. Bradley has gone over in 17 of their last 27 road games because they don't play defense as well away from home. These two played an 84-78 game last November in a game that had a 134 total. I think this one goes over too. |
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12-19-17 | UC-Davis v. Nevada OVER 139 | 73-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
UC Davis has lost just three times this season falling at San Francisco, Washington and Utah Valley State. In those games they couldn't compete with the athleticism of their opponents allowing 74, 77 and 80 points. The Aggies want a slower game, but it's harder to do away from home. They've gone over in three straight and four of their last five. Chima Moneke is averaging nearly 20 points per game and he's fantastic. Nevada's offense is fantastic and have scored 80 points or more in all but four games this season. They are deep and want to run. They've gone over in seven of their 10 lined games. I think this one goes over the total. |
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12-19-17 | Oral Roberts v. Arkansas OVER 152.5 | 69-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts has won two straight entering this one against Arkansas. The offense is picking up and that was without their best player Albert Owens who is back after serving a suspension. On the road, they've had massive defensive issues allowing 90 at Tulsa, 91 at Oklahoma State, 80 at Pepperdine, 86 at Penn State and 92 at UNLV. The Razorbacks are rolling offensively especially at home where they've scored 95, 92, 83, 101 and 95. ORU has gone over in seven of their 10 lined games and 24 of their last 37 road contests. This one should be an over. |
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12-17-17 | Texas State v. Colorado State OVER 135 | 58-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Colorado State has lost six of their last eight as they host the Bobcats. The Rams have had some offensive issues as of late struggling to score on their last road trip through Oregon and Arkansas. At home, they've been very good putting up 72, 72, 80 and 72. Defensively, they've struggled against some teams. They've allowed five teams to shoot 50% or better from the field. Texas State has won three of their last five. They are one of the slowest teams in the league, but they've struggled at times to set that pace on the road. They won at Pacific 85-78 and allowed 72 at Abilene Christian and 71 at Houston Baptist. TSU has gone over in 17 of their last 27 road games. CSU has gone over in 20 of their last 31 as a favorite. I think this one is an over. |
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12-17-17 | Patriots v. Steelers OVER 53 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 26 m | Show | |
The best game of the week features two teams fighting for the number one spot in the AFC. The Patriots struggled mightily against the Dolphins on Monday Night Football and get Gronk back which will instantly help things out. Pittsburgh's defense has gone downhill the last few weeks allowing 28 to Green Bay without ARod and 38 to a mediocre Baltimore offense. The good thing for them is that Big Ben, Antonio Brown and LeVeon Bell are hot so they'll be able to keep up with the Pats who are playing their third straight and five of their last six on the road. These two have gone over in 11 of their last 19. I think this is a shootout. |
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12-17-17 | Tenn Chattanooga v. Tennessee Tech OVER 140 | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Tennessee Tech is finally home after a long time on the road. The Golden Eagles offense has been fantastic at home with wins over Lipscomb, Kennesaw State, Boyce and Midway in which they scored 80 points or more. They've done that seven times overall with four players averaging double digits. This is a balanced OVC squad that should be able to score on a Mocs team that struggles on the road. They lost 70-66 at Marshall, 75-70 at Akron, 89-47 at UAB and 74-65 at Wyoming. Offensively they aren't that good, but I think Tennessee Tech's defense isn't that great. These two played an 80-69 game two years ago. We could see something similar in this one. |
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12-17-17 | Eagles v. Giants UNDER 40 | 34-29 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 2 m | Show | |
Philly needs one more win to clinch a bye and two more potentially to get the number one seed overall. They'll have to do so without their starting quarterback who got hurt against the Rams. Now Nick Foles takes over and that means a bigger emphasis on the run game and the defense. The Giants are allowing nearly 400 yards of offense per game and have not managed much offensively. Eli Manning's return last week seemed like a feel good story when in reality it produced the team's fourth straight effort of 20 points or less. The first game between these two back in September was Jake Elliott's coming out party. It also featured Odell Beckham who has been long gone. To me, until I see something from the Eagles, I'll fade them especially at this bloated number. |
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12-16-17 | James Madison v. Florida International OVER 141 | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
James Madison is getting so close to putting it together as they travel to Florida to play FIU. The Dukes have lost four of their last five, but those losses were by 3, 2, 4 and 1 with three of those on the road. The offense is getting better, but the defense is still porous. They've given up 69 points or more in every game except for one against Bridgewater in the opener. FIU is kind of the same team as JMU with an offense that has performed, but also a defense that has struggled at times against potent teams. North Florida put up 87, South Carolina 78 and Elon 95 already this season. The lower point spread means a tighter game late and foul shots and the even better chance to go over. The Golden Panthers have gone over in both their lined home games and 14 of their last 23 there. Give me the over in this one. |
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12-16-17 | Manhattan v. Tulsa OVER 144 | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Manhattan has not gone over a single total yet this year. The Jaspers are shooting 46.3% from the field, but their defense has been leaky. They prefer their games in the 60s, but it's hard to install your tempo on the road. Manhattan has played just one true road game losing 70-57 to Fordham. They've scored 70 or more four times this season with a lot of contests played on neutral courts. Tulsa is quite the opposite as they want a faster game and don't mind shootouts. At home they've scored 77, 100, 92, 90 and 67 already this season. Their offense is quite balanced, and the defense can be quite leaky. Tulsa has gone over in 24 of their last 37 games as a favorite. Junior Etou and Sterling Taplin are a great duo. I think this one should go over that total. |
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12-16-17 | Appalachian State v. Ohio State OVER 152.5 | 67-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Ohio State's looking to move their win streak to four after a 97-62 win over William and Mary last week. Their offense has been spectacular and there's a chance that Kyle Young and Micah Potter are available as well. They've played good defense as well this season. App State has no interest in playing defense especially on the road. They are coming off a 94-89 loss at Akron. They've also allowed 85 at VCU, 105 at James Madison and also gave up 104 to Iowa State on a neutral court. The good thing for them is that their offense is capable of scoring a bit. They've put up 70 or more in seven straight games. I think the Buckeyes crack the 80 or 90 point mark in this one. |
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12-16-17 | Marshall v. Colorado State UNDER 58 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 11 m | Show | |
You've got a classic case of a good offense vs. a good defense. The Rams enter this one having lost three of their last four while Marshall has lost four of their last five. The Thundering Herd's offense is pretty awful and CSU has been able to shut down some of their lesser offensive teams. Marshall's defense is really good and has been able to rack up the unders as a squad. The Herd have gone under in 22 of their last 37 games. I think CSU gets the win, but the under hits as well. |
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12-16-17 | Oakland v. Michigan State OVER 150 | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Michigan State takes on Oakland on a neutral court on Saturday. Sparty is averaging over 80 points per game and is shooting nearly 50% from the field. They play some fantastic defense although that has struggled against the better offenses they've played. Oakland has some talent with Martez Walker and Jalen Hayes accounting for over 40 points per contest. Their defense is terrible having allowed 102 to Kansas, 74 to Syracuse and 87 to Toledo. Sparty took this game last year 77-65 and 99-93 two years ago. I think Michigan State does a lot of the heavy lifting and this one goes over the total. |
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12-16-17 | Wright State v. Toledo OVER 139.5 | 77-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Toledo is hosting Wright State on Saturday afternoon. The Rockets are getting Willie Jackson on the court for the first time and it will help an offense that has rock and rolled a lot this season. They've scored 70 points or more in three straight and four of their last five. Tre'Shaun Fletcher and Jaelan Sanford combine for 35.3 points per game. Wright State will add Cole Gentry to their lineup. They play fantastic defense and slow the pace down although it's been hard for both to occur on the road. The Raiders lost 78-60 at Western Kentucky, 73-67 at Miami-Ohio and 84-80 at Loyola-Chicago. Grant Benzinger is one of three double digit scorers with three others scoring nine points per game or more. Last year these two played a 82-78 game. I don't think we see that many points, but I do see it as an over. |
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12-14-17 | South Dakota v. Northern Arizona OVER 144.5 | 90-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
NAU is one of the worst teams in college basketball. Teams are shooting nearly 50% against them this season. Their two wins have come against San Diego Christian and Cal-State Bakersfield. They lost by 12 at home to Embry Riddle who is not a division one program. Just once have they allowed less then 70 points so you have to think a potent South Dakota offense should find some success. The Coyotes are 9-3 this season with losses at Duke, TCU and against Northern Colorado. They've scored 75 points or more in all but two games so far this season. Their defense is pretty good although it has struggled on the road allowing 96 at Duke, 76 at TCU and 79 at Bowling Green. They've gone over in 21 of their last 31 road games. I think this one is an over too. |
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12-13-17 | Denver v. Northern Colorado OVER 140 | 63-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Northern Colorado is 7-3 on the season and a lot of that is because of their offense that has scored 80 or more five times this season. They are averaging over 70 possessions per game which puts them in the middle of the pack. Denver has won three of their last four and can be efficient on offense themselves. They've scored 80 or more three times with none of those coming on the road. The Pioneers want to play a bit slower, but have been unable to do so in their two true road games losing 79-71 to Florida Gulf Coast and 89-62 to Colorado. Now, the Bears aren't as good as either of those two teams, but I think they can push the pace. Five of the last eight meetings between the two have gone over the total. Denver has gone over in 17 of their last 29 road games. I think this one is as well. |
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12-13-17 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Bradley UNDER 129 | 46-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
One of the better defensive teams plays one of the worst offensive teams as Bradley hosts UALR. The Braves are 7-2 and have gone under in eight games this season. It's because they are holding teams to 59.9 points per game and 36.4% shooting. They've gone under in 20 of their last 30 at home including all four lined games there this season. Bradley isn't exactly gifted offensively, but they are certainly better then the Trojans who are shooting 40.8% from the field and scoring 63.2 points per game. They've scored 54, 52, 51 and 62 in their road games this season. UALR has gone under in 18 of their last 22 games as an underdog and 20 of their last 29 on the road. This one is an under and a low scoring affair. |
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12-12-17 | Green Bay v. Indiana State OVER 144.5 | 63-85 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
Indiana State hosts Green Bay on Tuesday. ISU is 4-5 on the season and you can point to it's defense as a reason why. They are averaging 75.7 points per game while allowing 75.4. Opponents actually shoot better from the field then they do. They've gone over in 19 of their last 28 home games and 19 of their last 30 as a favorite. Wisconsin Green Bay is 0-4 on the road and are allowing teams to shoot almost 50% from the field and average 87 points per contest. They are one of the fastest teams averaging over 70 possessions per game. When the total is in the 140's they've gone over in 15 of their last 20. I think this is a bad line. |
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12-10-17 | James Madison v. Richmond OVER 141 | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a matchup of two lesser teams in college basketball right now. The Dukes have wins over Charlotte, App State and Bridgewater this season. Their offense has put up 75 or more six times this season and has allowed that many points five times. Richmond is allowing opponents to shoot over 50% for the season and that trend figures to continue on Sunday. The Spiders offense is pretty pathetic, but they've had some success at home where they did manage to put up 76 against Georgetown. I think the extra day off will take some of the starch out of the crowd |
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12-09-17 | San Jose State v. Portland OVER 142.5 | 55-64 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
A pair of middling teams play in Portland. The Pilots have lost five of their last six and are pretty awful defensively. They've allowed 70 points or less just three times this season. Josh McSwiggan, Franklin Porter and Marcus Shaver Jr are the team's leading scorers. San Jose State has just two wins this season over Idaho State and Antelope Valley. They have just just one double digit scorer in Ryan Welage who needs help from others. The Spartans have also struggled on defense against their better opponents. Last year these two teams played a 79-66 game. I think we could see a similar effort. |
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12-09-17 | Army v. Navy UNDER 48 | 14-13 | Win | 100 | 134 h 20 m | Show | |
The Army/Navy under is one of my favorite bets all season long. You've got to get in early on this one because some of the value is already gone with the opener starting at 51. These two teams run the same type of offense which reduces the amount of possessions in this game. The under has hit in 17 of their last 25 meetings. The last two years we've seen 21-17 games which is about right considering each side has familiarity. Army has gone under in 17 of their last 19 games as an underdog. They probably have a good shot at winning this one, but I'll take the under. |
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12-06-17 | CS-Fullerton v. Portland OVER 134.5 | 76-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Portland looks to slow down a losing skid of four of their last five. The Pilots wins have been over Walla Walla, Oregon Tech and Multnomah Bible with none of those being division one victories. They did lose three times in the PK80 giving up 82 to DePaul, 93 to Oklahoma and 102 to North Carolina. This team has a ton of size and not much of a commitment to the defensive side of the ball. That's quite the opposite of Cal State Fullerton who has won three straight and four of their last five. The Titans prefer a lower scoring game considering they've gone under in all five games so far this season that have had a line. This is their first true road game since losses at St. Mary's and USC. Kyle Allman, Jackson Rowe and Khalil Ahmad are double digit scorers. Last year this game was 77-72 in California. I think we could see some scoring in this one. |
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12-06-17 | Illinois State v. BYU OVER 144 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
BYU is trying to play a more deliberate style and so far at home it's resulted in two overs in their two lined games. The Cougars have put up over 70 five times and have allowed that much three times. Yoeli Childs and Elijah Bryant are each putting up over 16 points per game. Illinois State has struggled on defense on in their two true road games allowing 98 to Nevada and Florida Gulf Coast. Their offense has some potential although they are a really young team. Keyshawn Evans, Phil Fayne and Milik Yarbrough average almost 50 points per game. These two teams should play with some pace and I think it'll be close which means FTs and an over. |
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12-06-17 | Cal-Irvine v. Utah State OVER 139.5 | 59-62 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Utah State is looking to end a two game losing streak as they host UC Irvine. The Aggies are playing just their fourth home game of the season. They've scored 66, 83 and 81 there. The problem has been defense which has allowed 70 points or more five times. Koby McEwen is back and that helps them out as he's an important piece. UC Irvine is coming off a home loss to Nevada and has won just three games this season. Their once vaunted defense has been shredded the majority of the season. They allowed 87 at UCLA, 99 at Arizona State, 71 at Kansas State and 69 at Denver. Still, the Anteaters are averaging 75.4 points per game. Utah State has gone over in 27 of their last 39 home games where the total is in the 130s. They've gone over in 17 of their last 26 as a favorite. I think this one is an over. |
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12-05-17 | Colorado State v. Arkansas OVER 154 | 66-92 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
There should be plenty of pace in this one as Arkansas is coming off an embarrassing effort last time out. The Razorbacks lost 91-65 at Houston and has lost two of their last three. The offense hasn't had the success they had to start and the defense continued to be leaky. They allowed 91 to the Cougars and 87 to North Carolina. Colorado State is feeling good after a 72-63 home win over rival Colorado. They've shown some offensive punch and have also failed at defense. CSU allowed 89 to New Mexico State and 90 to Florida State. To me, this is a get right game for Arkansas who shoots 53.2% at home where they are averaging 93 points per game. I think this is an over. |
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12-05-17 | Ball State v. Notre Dame OVER 150 | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
Ball State's offense hits the road to play Notre Dame and their stout defense. The Cardinals are putting up 80.5 points per contest while they allow 81.2. Unfortunately their defense is not very good with opponents shooting 45.6% from the field. Notre Dame is coming off a 71-53 home win over St. Francis of NY. They've embarrassed some bad teams at home putting up 105 against Chicago State and 88 against Mount St. Mary's. BSU's step up in competition resulted in a 95-71 loss at Oregon, 108-69 at Oklahoma and 78-77 at Dayton. They have won three straight though including a 93-85 win at Indiana State. The Cardinals have gone over in 21 of their last 31 road games and 25 of their last 37 in contests against teams with a winning record. I think this one is another over. |
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12-03-17 | Bradley v. San Diego State OVER 135.5 | 52-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Bradley's stiff defense gets a test in this one against an Aztecs team that is scoring 81.5 points per game. Trey Kell is expected back for this one after missing last game with an injury. The Braves want to slow things down, but it's hard to do on the road. They've gone over in 17 of their last 26 road games. San Diego State has gone over in five of their six lined games overall. At home they've scored 94 against EIU, 83 vs. McNeese State and 91 vs. SD Christian. I think this one is going to go over the lower total. |
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12-03-17 | Portland v. Boise State OVER 141.5 | 54-77 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Portland is 3-4 on the season with some of the losses coming to DePaul, Oklahoma and UNC. The Pilots offense isn't terrible with Franklin Porter and Josh McSwiggan being their double digit scorers. The problem has been on defense where they've allowed over 80 points four times. This is their first true road game of the season against a Boise team who probably won't be 100% focused after their huge win at Oregon. The Broncos have a very good offense that is getting better with several options. This is all happening with Chandler Hutchison not being at his best either. I think focus is an issue and that this one will be higher scoring. |
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12-03-17 | Tulane v. North Carolina OVER 158.5 | 73-97 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Tulane is 6-1 on the season and playing one of the faster tempos in the league. They are scoring nearly 80 points per game and are playing good defense, but the competition steps up big time here. They allowed 96 points to Long Island who is nowhere near the talent of the Heels. UNC's offense is cruising for the most part outside of a poor effort vs. Sparty. We've seen the Heels struggle on defense at times so I think this one is going to see a lot of points. Things could loosen up towards the end when the game is no longer in doubt too. The Green Wave have gone over in 28 of their last 45 games as an underdog. |
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12-03-17 | Colts v. Jaguars UNDER 41 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 69 h 16 m | Show | |
Round one of this matchup went to the Jaguars 27-0 in Indy back in October. The Colts offense sputtered terribly as they struggled to block the Jags pass rush. Since then, Indy has lost three of their last four and has continued to have offensive issues. On the positive side, the defense has been pretty good despite a distinct lack of talent. The Jaguars defense is one of the best in the league and they've allowed just 58 points over their last five weeks. Blake Bortles is unimpressive and that means teams are ganging up on Leonard Fournette. The Colts have gone under in three straight while the Jags have gone under in four of their last five. |
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12-03-17 | Lions v. Ravens UNDER 43.5 | 20-44 | Loss | -109 | 69 h 15 m | Show | |
The Ravens are one of the most woeful offenses in the country, but they are buoyed by a defense that holds their opponents to just 305.7 yards per contest. They throw for an anemic 164.3 yards per game and Joe Flacco has not been good. The Lions offense is better, but the defense has been leaky as well. Basically, any chance I can get a total in the 40s in a game with Baltimore, I'll jump on the under. They've scored just 66 points over their last three weeks. Detroit has gone under in 13 of their last 21 road games. |
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12-02-17 | Old Dominion v. VCU OVER 136 | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Monarchs once trusted defense has shown some cracks this season especially away from home. They gave up 79 at William and Mary allowing them to shoot 58.3% from the field and 76 to Temple down in Charleston. The teams they've shut down were pretty weak offensively. ODU's offense has put up over 70 in three straight and VCU's defense has been leaky especially against long range shooters. At home, the Rams have allowed 72 to App State, 76 to UVA, 85 to North Florida and 65 to Grambling. Justin Tillman and Brandan Stith inside will be an interesting matchup. VCU wants to run at home and they'll probably be able to do so as the Monarchs struggle to set tempo away from home. They've gone over in 17 of their last 27 road games. This one usually sees a ton of fouls which will help as well. I think this is an over. |
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12-02-17 | South Florida v. Appalachian State OVER 140.5 | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
A contrast in styles as ASU wants to get up and down while USF is one of the slower teams in the country. The Mountaineers have scored 90 or more four times this season and have already knocked off Davidson at home this season. They've got a lot of weapons to throw at an underwhelming USF team. The problem is on defense where they've been mighty leaky allowing 105 to JMU and 104 to Iowa State. The Bulls have struggled on the road this season losing to Elon and Indiana while beating Stetson. They've shown flashes of offensive success with four efforts of 70 points or more. It is a concern that they've also had 60 or less four times, but I think they get more points on the road then at home. |
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12-02-17 | Richmond v. Wake Forest OVER 146.5 | 53-82 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
I'll continue to pound the over in Richmond games as long as they continue to fail miserably on defense. The Spiders have allowed every team but one to put up at least 70 and every one shot 50% or better except UAB. They struggle with size and athleticism and Wake has both of those. From time to time, the Spiders offense shows up too although they don't have a ton of consistent scorers outside of De'Monte Buckingham. Wake has put up 80 or more three times all at home, but they've also struggled allowing at least 70 to everyone except Quinnipiac. Wake has gone over in 17 of their last 28 at home. I think this one gets played in the 70s or 80s. |
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12-02-17 | UC-Davis v. Washington State OVER 138 | 81-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
We played the over in the UCD/Washington game and it hit for us and I'm going to do so again in this one. The Cougars are 6-0 and are averaging 82.7 points per game while shooting 46.2% from the field. They managed to put up 84 on St. Mary's vaunted defense and 93 on San Diego State. Robert Franks and Malachi Flynn average over 36 points per game combined and will be tough for Davis to handle. Chima Moneke and Siler Schneider have been really good for the Aggies who have had their issues putting their pace in place on the road. They lost 77-70 at Washington and 80-71 at Utah Valley State. I think both teams find some offense and this one goes over the total. |
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12-02-17 | Youngstown State v. DePaul OVER 155 | 73-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Two teams not interested in any defense play as DePaul hosts Youngstown State. The Penguins are allowing teams to shoot 50.3% from the field and 82.1 points per contest. Two opponents, Canisius and Kent State, actually managed to go over 100 points on them. The offense is very inconsistent, but as you'll see DePaul can be pretty leaky. The Blue Demons have allowed four opponents to score 70 or more. Their offense will probably get on track for this one. YSU has gone over in 18 of their last 30 road games and 31 of their last 53 as an underdog. This one should be a track meet. |
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12-02-17 | UMass v. Florida International OVER 55.5 | 45-63 | Win | 100 | 36 h 58 m | Show | |
A hurricane rescheduled game features FIU hosting UMass. The Golden Panthers have cruised offensively putting up 95 points over their last three weeks against ODU, FAU and Western Kentucky. The defense has been a problem and it doesn't stop the run or the pass. UMass has not played since November 18th so they'll be fresh for this one. The offense can move the ball, and usually it has to because the defense isn't that good. FIU has gone over in 10 of their last 18 home games and UMass has gone over in 14 of their last 24 contests as an underdog. I think this is a higher scoring game. |
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12-01-17 | Boise State v. Oregon OVER 145.5 | 73-70 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
The Ducks will be without Troy Brown for this one due to a concussion. The Ducks are scoring at will on most of their opponents putting up 80 or more five times this season. Payton Pritchard and Elijah Brown lead the way with Paul White and Victor Bailey Jr also helping out. They play with a good pace and have had issues with defense as of late as well. The Broncos have four double digit scorers themselves led by Justinian Jessup. This is their first true road game of the year so I expect the defense to struggle. These two have played some close games in their series. Last year it was a 68-63 game and I expect more scoring in 2017. |
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11-30-17 | Weber State v. Fresno State OVER 141 | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Weber State has gone over in 18 of their last 25 road games and that figures to happen again in this one. They've been putting up some good offensive numbers at times this season with Jerrick Harding and Ryan Richardson leading the way. The Wildcats helped me out big time in their win over James Madison. They've been bad on defense certain times this season. Fresno State is a potent bunch offensively with just one effort less then 75 points on the season. The Bulldogs have also had their issues with defense and for some reason continue to get lower totals even though they've gone over in four of their last five. I think this one sails over the total. |
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11-30-17 | North Texas v. Oklahoma OVER 155.5 | 72-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Oklahoma is fourth in KenPom's adjusted tempo measurement and third in average possession length at 13.1 seconds. The Sooners have been steamrolling teams offensively with four efforts of 90 points or more. They've also been a little bit leaky at times on defense allowing 80 or more three times. They shouldn't be threatened too much in this one by a North Texas squad that isn't that good. The Mean Green have wins over Grambling, Rogers State, Bethune Cookman and Eureka. They've struggled against any of their better competition, but UNT has gone over in 27 of their last 41 games as an underdog. This one is going to go over the total. |
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11-29-17 | Louisiana Tech v. Alabama OVER 143 | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
Louisiana Tech has not lost yet this season, but their schedule hasn't exactly been filled with tough teams. They've beaten Texas-Tyler, SEMO, Montana State, George Mason and Evansville. The constant so far was good defense and an offense that has potential. Outside of the game against the MVC, they scored 70 points or more. Alabama made headlines for nearly knocking off Minnesota with three players. They've been an offensive juggernaut led by Collin Sexton who has been awesome as a freshman. They've scored 70 points or more in every game and have played good defense too. I'm guessing this lower total is going to assume that effort continues. The Bulldogs have gone over in 16 of their last 25 road games and 11 of their last 15 as an underdog. I think this one goes over. |
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11-29-17 | Michigan v. North Carolina OVER 145.5 | 71-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Michigan is a fascinating team in terms of how they play. They are coldly efficient offensively at times while they also play good defense. They've scored 70 or more in all but two contests and will need to do so against a potent UNC team that is hurting after the loss to Michigan State. The Wolverines have been fantastic defensively. The Tar Heels have scored 86 points or more in every game outside of the stinker against Sparty. To me, games in Chapel Hill are always faster pace and it's harder to play slower in that environment. The Wolverines have gone over in 17 of their last 22 road games. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-29-17 | Air Force v. Indiana State OVER 143.5 | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
It's the Mountain West/Missouri Valley challenge as Indiana State hosts Air Force. The Falcons have lost two straight after three early wins. This is their second straight road game after losing 81-69 at Colorado. The Air Force offense has struggled to score at times, but they should be able to find their footing in this one. The problem has been their defense against some of the better opponents. The Sycamores are 2-4 on the season and are playing their third straight home game. ISU has not been able to capture the magic they had at Indiana to open up the year. This team's defense has allowed over 90 points twice an the offense has done so twice as well. When the total is in the 140s, Air Force has gone over in 19 of their last 29. ISU has gone over in 19 of their last 27 home games. I think this one is an over. |
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11-28-17 | UC-Santa Barbara v. San Francisco OVER 141.5 | 79-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
We've made a lot of money off UCSB this season and will try to do so this time with the over. The Gauchos are 4-2 this season and are playing their fifth game away from home. So far the defense has struggled at times giving up 70 or more times this season. The good thing is that their offense features several weapons and should be able to keep up in a shootout. San Francisco is 3-1 this season with the loss being to Long Beach State at home. The defensive numbers for the Dons are pretty good, but it's also a reduction in quality of opponents. Souley Boum and Chase Foster are a solid scoring duo. Last year these two played a 75-63 game in UCSB. I think we see more scoring in this one. |
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11-28-17 | Iona v. Ohio OVER 151.5 | 93-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Ohio is 3-2 on the season and is coming off back to back 96 point performances over Mt St Mary's and Indiana State. They've played well this season with the losses coming to Dayton and Clemson. Jordan Dartis, Teyvion Kirk and Mike Laster all put up over 14 points per game. Iona is having a rough season considering they have not played a home game yet. They've lost to Syracuse, Northern Kentucky and Coastal Carolina so far. The reason is a struggle on defense despite a solid offense. Rickey McGill and TK Edogi are the leading scorers for the Gaels. Last year this was a 79-75 game at Iona because both teams are good offensively. Iona has gone over in 18 of their last 28 road games. Give me the over. |
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11-27-17 | Texans v. Ravens UNDER 38.5 | 16-23 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
This might have been a better matchup with Deshaun Watson under center. Instead it's Tom Savage and an offense that has struggled mightily without their star signal caller. Baltimore's defense has been fantastic holding opponents to just 306 yards per game and 23 points over their last three contests. The Ravens have held their last three opponents to just 2.56 rushing yards per game. I'm betting they stack the box against Lamar Miller. Joe Flacco hasn't been that good this season so you know that Houston will try to stack the box themselves. This one is going to feature a lot of long drives potentially and not a lot of points. |
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11-27-17 | Oakland v. Oral Roberts OVER 148 | 93-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts has lost five straight and one can point to their lack of defense as a main reason why. They have allowed 80 points or more four times already this season and each of those teams shot 50% or more from the field. Oakland's road trip continues after already playing at Toledo, Syracuse and Kansas. They've lost all three games, but have shown offensive spunk putting up 87 and 85 already this season. They've had issues with defense too so I think this one is going over the total. ORU has gone over in 13 of their last 21 at home and 17 of their last 34 non-conference games. |
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11-26-17 | Portland v. DePaul OVER 142.5 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Portland has struggled with the step up in competition in the PK80. The Pilots lost 102-78 to UNC and 93-71 to Oklahoma. The one thing that's been constant is that their offense is working. They've scored 70 points or more in every game so far this season and are doing it with balance. DePaul has just one win and it came against Delaware State. They've struggled mightily shooting the ball from long range, but have the athletic advantage in this one. DePaul has scored over 70 points three times this season while the defense has been leaky as well. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-26-17 | Oregon State v. Marist OVER 146.5 | 65-46 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Oregon State and Marist are both looking for their first win in this Advocare Tournament. The Beavers lost to St. John's and Long Beach State in games that showed their lack of defense. OSU has four double digit scorers and not much after them. Marist got smoked by Nebraska after a close loss to West Virginia. The Red Foxes have allowed 76 points or more in all five of their games. Their offense has been pretty good outside of the 59 points scored against Nebraska. OSU has gone over in 14 of their last 19 games when the total is in the 140s. This one is going to feature a lot of points. |
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11-26-17 | Temple v. La Salle OVER 138 | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
It's a Big 5 battle as Temple takes on La Salle. The Owls have played just three games and have had some time off to prepare for this one. They are shooting 42.9% from the field and are cranking out the three pointers. Obi Enechionya and Quinton Rose are their leading scorers. The over has hit in 16 of their last 29 non-conference games. La Salle's offense has scuffled a bit other then BJ Johnson and Pookie Powell. The Explorers have been bad defensively especially during this recent losing stretch. Last year these two played a 97-92 game. It won't be that high scoring, but I think it goes over this lower total. |
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11-26-17 | Air Force v. Colorado OVER 145.5 | 69-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Colorado hosts Air Force on Sunday afternoon. The Buffaloes are 5-0 and are shooting 49.1% from the field. They are putting up 78 points per game and are led by McKinley Wright and George King. The Buffs play some good defense, but have also been leaky as of late allowing 70 to Mercer and 81 to Drake. There's also a matchup with Colorado State on deck so focus could be an issue. Air Force is 3-1 and is playing their first road game of the season. They've had two good defensive games and two stinkers against Pacific and Canisius. Air Force's offense is inconsistent, but they have been playing with pace from time to time. The Falcons have gone over in 18 of their last 28 when the totals are in the 140s. These two played a 75-68 game on the road. I think we get a similar game this year. |
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11-26-17 | Montana State v. Fresno State OVER 145 | 67-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Montana State took the title in the tournament they were in and are traveling to Fresno State. Tyler Hall has been part of a potent backcourt that has scored 80 points or more three times this season. The Bobcats have struggled on the road against the better teams losing at Utah State 81-73 and at Louisiana Tech 71-58. Fresno has scored 70 points or more in four of their five games. They've got a lot of weapons and their defense hasn't been that great either. MSU has gone over in 12 of their last 17 when the total is in the 140s. I think this one does too. |
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11-26-17 | Bears v. Eagles UNDER 44 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 84 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm going to go back to this well even though it didn't go well when the 49ers came to Philadelphia. The Eagles are coming off an emotional win in Dallas on Sunday night and are staring at a road trip that will take them to Seattle, LA and New York coming up. The problem with this is that the team is steamrolling the opposition on the scoreboard and against the spread. Chicago has lost three straight as the offense has bogged down with Mitchell Trubisky under center. He doesn't have weapons on the outside and teams are loading up against the run, which won't be an option against the Eagles. The Bears’ defense held New Orleans to 20 points on the road a couple of weeks ago. They've gone under in six of their nine games as an underdog. |
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11-26-17 | Titans v. Colts OVER 45.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 3 m | Show | |
The Titans beat the Colts 36-22 just over a month ago at home. In that game they relied on the run game and racked up nearly 500 yards of offense. That started a four-game winning streak that came to a rather sudden end last time out vs. the Steelers. Tennessee's defense doesn't exactly scare me so I think Indianapolis should be able to put up some points against the Titans especially if Jacoby Brissett plays. The Colts’ offense has scored 60 points over their last three games. They need to score as their defense has been leaky at times especially against the pass following the parting of ways with Vontae Davis, far and away the team’s top cornerback. Marcus Mariota is getting healthier and that makes the Tennessee offense more explosive. The Titans have gone over in three straight and four of their last five. |
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11-25-17 | UTSA v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 51 | 6-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 56 m | Show | |
UTSA has played six straight unders and it's because of their fantastic defense which has allowed 95 points over that span. They are good against the run and the pass. The offense has been pretty bad as of late with just 35 points against FIU, UAB and Marshall. Louisiana Tech has the better offense, but the worse defense in this one. Still, I think we see a lot of running plays and that helps the pace of this one move along. The home team is playing for a potential bowl bid while the road team is playing for momentum. I think this is close and low scoring. |
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11-25-17 | Georgetown v. Richmond OVER 144 | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
The Spiders have a quick turnaround from their three day stay in the Cayman Islands where they went 1-2. Georgetown comes to town and they figure to have some offensive success. Richmond has allowed all but one opponent to shoot 50% from the field. They allowed 75 points or more in each of those games. On the positive side, Khwan Fore is back so the team has another weapon for their own offense which has struggled. Jesse Govan leads a Georgetown team that has crushed each of their first three unlined opponents. They've played good defense in those games, but the teams weren't very good. To me, this is going to be a very physical game and I think it goes over the total. |
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11-25-17 | Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte OVER 64 | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 27 m | Show | |
FAU has gone over in five of their last six and should do so here against a Charlotte team that can't stop the run. The Owls are averaging over 40 points per game during this current win streak. They are doing so with a lethal running attack. Charlotte just gave up 363 yards on the ground to Southern Miss in a 66-21 loss. The 49ers offense isn't very good, but they've managed 21 points in each of the last two weeks. Lane Kiffin doesn't let off the pedal either so I think that FAU gets a big lead and keeps pounding it. |