Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-08-18 | Wright State v. Kent State OVER 140 | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Wright State is 4-5 on the year having lost four of their last five. They have struggled to score as of late and are not getting the stops when it matters. This is a team that has played two true road games losing at Indiana State 69-63 and Murray State 73-54. They want to play a slower game despite having some very solid talent. Kent State is quite the opposite as they've scored 70 or more in every game this season. Jaylin Walker has been an impact player as expected averaging almost 25 points per game over his first three. Now they have four double digit scorers. I think this is a very good team who already has a win at Vanderbilt. The money in this one is on the under and I think we're getting a good value on the over now. Wright State has gone over in 10 of their last 14 games when the total is in the low 140s on the road. KSU will play with their pace and this one goes over. |
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12-07-18 | James Madison v. George Mason OVER 143 | 53-66 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
It's a state rivalry as George Mason hosts JMU. These two have played a lot of overs in their history including six of their last seven in Fairfax. Last year Mason won 76-72 in Harrisonburg and beat the Dukes 80-77 at home two years ago. James Madison has gone over in eight of their 10 games as they play with a moderate pace and struggle on defense. They've scored 70 or more seven times and have allowed at least that much six times. Stuckey Mosley leads a trio of scorers who put up 10 points per game or more. George Mason is 4-6 and has been a massive disappointment on the year. They have the scorers and the talent to make a run in the conference, but they've got to play more defense. The Pats have scored 80 or more three times and have allowed 70 or more in five straight and eight of 10 overall. It would really help if Jaire Grayer was going to play. No word yet on his availability. I think though this one will be close and higher scoring. |
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12-07-18 | NC-Greensboro v. Elon OVER 145 | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
Elon has won just three games this season with wins over Manhattan, Milligan and Central Penn College. They've struggled with defense especially against the better teams on their slate. Furman just put up 98 on them and UNC scored 116. The Phoenix have a decent offense although they've only topped 70 points three times. Steve Santa Ana and Tyler Seibring put up over 14 per game. Greensboro is one of my favorite mid-majors. The Spartans have Francis Alonso and Isaiah Miller. They've cracked 80 points or more six times this season and have shot 50% or better in all but two contests. Their defense could be better although they've done well against their lesser opponents. I think this one is a higher scoring game. |
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12-05-18 | Ball State v. Loyola-Chicago OVER 144 | 75-69 | Push | 0 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Ball State has been an over machine this season and in the past. They've hit in four straight and six of their seven lined games. The Cardinals have a potent offense scoring 80 or more in four straight and five of their eight games this season. The defense has been a little bit of an issue too giving up 75 to IUPUI at their place last time out. I really like the trio of Tayler Persons, KJ Walton and Tahjai Teague. There's some interior work along with some solid guard play there. The Ramblers are a little more methodical, but they've still been able to score some buckets when they need to. The team has scored 70 or more five times this season. They've also struggled with their defense with a period where three straight opponents shot 50% or better from the field. I like the over and think Ball State could get an upset in this one. |
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12-05-18 | Brown v. Butler OVER 142 | 55-70 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Brown has won six of their last seven as they embark to Butler. The Bears have dried up a bit offensively on the road, but they had a stretch of six of their first seven where they scored 80 or more. This team has had a little bit of an issue at times with defense giving up 71 to Rhode Island on the road and 83 at Long Island. Desmond Cambridge, Brandon Anderson and Tamenang Choh are the team's three best scorers. Butler is coming off a rough loss at St. Louis 64-52. They've played just three home games with the Bulldogs scoring 83, 84 and 90 as they've got a really good offense. Butler has gone over in 21 of their last 33 home games. I think this one goes over too. |
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12-05-18 | VMI v. Virginia Tech OVER 143 | 68-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Keydets have been a hot and cold team this season on the road. We tried to fade them at Kentucky and VMI shot 50% from long range in a 92-82 loss to the Wildcats. They won at Stetson 87-79 and have also put up over 90 points against two other lower level opponents. The team has struggled big time on defense allowing 94 at Pittsburgh to go along with the other two scores. Virginia Tech has been fantastic at home scoring 94, 75 and 87 against lesser teams, playing good defense in the process. The Hokies don't really have any reason to lookahead, but this one could get really ugly. Back in November of 2016, this was an 88-72 game. I don't expect as much, but we should see the over hit. |
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12-04-18 | Detroit v. Dayton OVER 144 | 59-98 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
Detroit has covered seven straight since their opener. The Titans have struggled on the defensive end allowing 70 points in three straight and six of their eight contests overall. Antoine Davis is a very impressive player on this bad squad as he's been able to score with not a lot of help around him. The team has put up 70 or more in four of their last five and five contests overall. Dayton's offense has been atrocious as of late scoring less then 60 in their last three games against solid opponents. We had the over in Dayton's game against Fort Wayne and it went over easily. This team is capable of a lot more. They did hit the gates fast with easy blowouts over North Florida and Coppin State. Detroit has gone over in 42 of their last 66 games when the total is in the 140s. Dayton has gone over in 11 of their last 16 games against teams with a losing record. I think this one is an over. |
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12-03-18 | Troy State v. Florida State OVER 144 | 67-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Troy has lost four of their last six games. They've got a lot of talent for a Sun Belt team and an offense that has scored 75 or more four times this season. Jordon Varnado is one of four double digit scorers along with Alex Hicks and Javan Johnson. Florida State is 6-1 and has their typically deep team. Terence Mann and Mfiondu Kabengele are the two double digit scorers, but four others average seven per game or more. The Seminoles have a nice little sandwich with a trip to UConn next and a nice win over Purdue last time out. Florida State has faced LSU, Villanova and Purdue all in a row so pardon them if they aren't the most focused for this game. FSU has gone over in 20 of their last 32 home games. I think this one is an over. |
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12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers UNDER 52 | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an important game for seeding in the AFC. Both of these teams have solid offenses with very good defenses. Vegas is telling you that this will be a shootout and I don't necessarily agree. Pittsburgh has scored just 37 points their last two games, but they've held six of their last seven opponents to 21 points or less. I don't think the Steelers D gets enough credit for what they've done this season after a rough start to the year. The Chargers offense broke a four game streak of 20-25 points last week when they put up 45 on Arizona. That probably won't happen here with Melvin Gordon on the shelf. That puts a little bit more on Philip Rivers and Austin Ekeler who will try to pick up the slack. Five of the Chargers last seven have gone under the total. Unders in this league are tough to get, but I'll take a shot here. |
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12-02-18 | Oral Roberts v. SMU OVER 144 | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
SMU's offense is hot right now with three straight performances shooting 50% from the field or better. They have scored 70 or more in five of their last six contests. Jahmal McMurray, Ethan Chargois and Jimmy Whitt Jr are the team's pick three with several other guys contributing. It does concern me that they are one of the slowest teams in the country, but Oral Roberts shouldn't put up much resistance defensively. The Golden Eagles have allowed less then 70 points just twice all season. In true road games they've played games of 87-76, 85-65, 79-62 and 84-50 which were all losses. There's some decent talent here, but this one seems to be an over as I think SMU has a chance to hit 90. |
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12-01-18 | Texas State v. Texas-San Antonio OVER 139.5 | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
Texas State is 6-1 with wins over Air Force, Cal Poly and Portland. The Bobcats are one of the slower teams in the country, but they've struggled to set that pace away from home in two of their three road games. They played a 54-42 game against Cal Poly who is also methodical. The team lost 75-69 at Drake, but won 91-68 at Portland. The Bobcats are led by Nijal Pearson and Tre'Larenz Nottingham. UTSA has won two straight and is starting to play better with Jhivvan Jackson in the lineup. He makes a difference with Keaton Wallace and Nick Allen. The Roadrunners play with some pace as a team scoring 75 or more in three straight. The problem is on the defensive end where they've allowed 80 or more four times. Last year, this was a 79-78 game when the total was 129 in Texas State. I think this one goes over the lower total as Texas State won't be able to play as slow away from home. |
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12-01-18 | Colorado State v. Colorado OVER 152 | 80-86 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
Colorado is smoking hot right now offensively scoring 93 in their last two victories over Air Force and Portland. The Buffaloes put up 100 in their victory over Drake. McKinley Wright IV, Lucas Siewert and Namon Wright are the team's top three scorers and each of them are shooting 50% or better from the field. Colorado State has lost three of their last four games because of a porous defense. They allowed 91 points to Lafayette, 82 to Southern Illinois and 78 to South Dakota State. The Rams have six players who score 10 points per game or more and aren't as deep as they'd like. CSU has gone over in 24 of their last 37 as an underdog. I think this rivalry game goes over too. |
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12-01-18 | Oakland v. Xavier OVER 151.5 | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
The Musketeers are getting better with six guys who score eight points per game or more. They've won two straight since losing three in a row. This team has scored 70 or more in every game except for one against Wisconsin. Xavier has had some defensive problems at times giving up 85 to Evansville, 77 to the Badgers, 88 to Auburn and 79 to San Diego State. Oakland is 4-4 on the year and they've got an offense that has scored 80 or more four times. Their problem comes on the defensive end where they've allowed 80 or more three times. Xavier Hill-Mais and Jaevin Cumberland combine for over 40 points per game. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-28-18 | Pacific v. Fresno State OVER 141.5 | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
I really like Fresno State and so far they've been 3-2 with three overs in four lined games. They have a ton of talent led by Braxton Huggins and Deshon Taylor. The Bulldogs have scored 75 or more in four of the five contests. Pacific is 5-3 on the year and has mixed some overs with some unders. The team has played four road games with two of those going over the total. They allowed 96 to UNLV and 83 to Nevada in looser games. The Tigers have four double digit scorers and have also struggled on the defensive end against teams with talent. I think this one is another over. |
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11-28-18 | Cleveland State v. DePaul OVER 145.5 | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
DePaul is back home after a 95-70 loss to Notre Dame on the road. The Blue Demons had won their first three against Penn State, Morgan State and Bethune Cookman. In those games they scored 72, 91 and 80 with some good defensive numbers mixed in as well. The problem with those numbers are they are a bit hollow considering the competition. Cleveland State has a modest offense and a true lack of want to play defense. They've allowed 80 or more four times with two of those being on the road at Ohio State and Davidson. The Vikings are led by Tyree Appleby and Stefan Kenic along with four others who average 7 ppg or more. DePaul is 10-6-2 to the over in their last 18 as a favorite. I think this one is played with some pace and there's some scoring. |
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11-27-18 | Southern Illinois v. Colorado State OVER 141 | Top | 82-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
Southern Illinois has won three of their last four and they continue their road trip at Colorado State as part of the MWC/MVC challenge. The Salukis play good defense and want to play a slower game although that's harder to do on the road. They played two overs in their three games outside of Carbondale. The Salukis have six scorers of eight points per game or more. They have a very efficient offense and will be challenged by CSU on defense. The Rams have seven players who score double digits per game or more making them absolutely deadly. Colorado State has scored 100, 92 and 81 in their three home games. Their defense leaves a little bit to be desired as well. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-27-18 | Boise State v. Drake OVER 144 | 74-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
This is the MVC/Mountain West Challenge and it's a good opportunity for Drake to get a solid opponent at home. Boise State is a hard team to figure out because they have a ton of talent but have started 2-3. Justinian Jessup, Zach Haney, RJ Williams, Cam Christon and Alex Hobbs are all banged up to some extend although the team's leading scorer will play in this one. Drake is 3-1 and has seven players who score eight points per game or more. They are led by Nick Norton and Nick McGlynn. Boise State was in the Cayman Islands and is now dealing with this adversity of injury as well. Drake has gone over in 17 of their last 24 at home and 20 of their last 31 when the total is in the 140s. Give me the over. |
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11-26-18 | Santa Clara v. California OVER 134 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
California hosts Santa Clara on Monday night in a game that won't put any ripples in the college basketball world. The Golden Bears beat Hampton 80-66 in their only win of the season. In their losses, they've struggled to score and have had defensive issues. This team has actually lost 76-59 twice already. Paris Austin, Justice Sueing, Darius McNeill and Andre Kelly are the team's double digit scorers. Santa Clara is coming off a 71-63 win at San Jose State. They've had defensive issues against several teams this season giving up 80 or more to Minnesota, Washington and Prairie View. They've been on the road for the past 11 days so maybe there is some road weariness. This is a really low total and I just think that both of these teams could play a little bit of a looser game. Give me the over. |
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11-26-18 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Iowa State OVER 147.5 | 55-82 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
Iowa State is 5-1 and playing without four of their players right now. They are coming off a tournament appearance where they beat San Diego State and Illinois while losing to Arizona. ISU has scored 80 or more in three of their last four and that's because of the likes of Marial Shayok, Michael Jacobson and Talen Horton-Tucker. The Mavericks are 3-3, but have won two straight beating Montana State and Bethune Cookman. This team has had some issues on defense against the better opponents allowing 79 at Colorado and 104 at Minnesota. Zach Jackson and JT Gibson are averaging 35 points per game combined and there's five other guys who average at least 7 ppg. A lot of the trends say this one is an under, but I think we'll see plenty of points on both sides in this one. |
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11-25-18 | Steelers v. Broncos UNDER 47 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 114 h 45 m | Show | |
You can read the full preview I wrote for this game when it gets published, but I really think this one will be a lower scoring battles. Pittsburgh's defense has held six straight opponents to 21 points or less. Their offense has had their issues a little bit on the road scoring just 20 at Jacksonville and 23 at Baltimore the last two times away from home. Denver has scored 23 points or less in six of their last seven games. Case Keenum could be on the run often. I think Denver's D does it's job and keeps this within one score late. |
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11-25-18 | Northern Illinois v. Oakland OVER 144.5 | 92-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Oakland has very interest in playing defense and they've shown it this season. They've actually been getting good offensive production too. The team has scored 70 or more in all but one contest and that was at UNLV which was their only road game. Xavier Hill-Mais is averaging 25 points per game with Jaevin Cumberland adding 15. NIU is also an over team scoring over 70 in every contest. This total is curiously low for two teams who struggle at times on defense and can light it up. Give me the trap then and let me have the over. |
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11-25-18 | Oral Roberts v. James Madison OVER 143 | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts has been terrible on defense giving up 87 points in both games so far in this tournament. James Madison has been really good offensively and should be able to do what they want on ORU. This one should be played in the 70s. I think it's an up and down affair at noon. |
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11-24-18 | Dartmouth v. San Francisco OVER 142 | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a really big number for Dartmouth to cover considering they've already won at Loyola Maryland and nearly knocked off Davidson. Yes, they got blown out by Buffalo, but that's a tough place to play and they played no defense whatsoever in that one. The Big Green have four guys shooting 50% or better from the field and six players who score eight points per game or more. San Francisco is undefeated this season, but they've also beaten no one and not left home either. They have a really good group of scorers as well. Their best aspect is the defense which has clamped down on all five opponents. The problem is that all five opponents have not presented the challenge that Dartmouth will. I think this one is higher scoring and the underdog has a shot to cover. |
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11-24-18 | St. Joe's v. William & Mary OVER 155.5 | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
William and Mary has gone over in 19 of their last 21 home games and 24 of their last 39 against teams with a winning record. The Tribe has allowed three of their last four opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. They've given up 80 or more in each of those contests and could do it once again against a St. Joe's team that has the ability to score a ton with the likes of Funk, Brown and Kimble. The Hawks have had no problems putting up points on everyone outside of UCF. They've also struggled at times to stop their opponents with their last two opponents shooting it really well. I used to make a lot of money on Tribe overs so we'll try it again here too. |
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11-24-18 | Evansville v. Ball State OVER 145 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Evansville is feeling good on a two game win streak having beaten Texas Southern and Kentucky Wesleyan. The Purple Aces have scored 60, 85, 92 and 85 this season. They have been rather porous on the road allowing 99 to Illinois and 91 to Xavier. Evansville has five double digit scorers and a little bit of depth behind that. Ball State's offense is very good with a 94 point output against App State and 75 against Purdue. They also scored 86 vs. Indiana State in the opener. The over has hit in four of their five contests overall. The Cardinals are led by Tayler Persons and KJ Walton who average nearly 33 points per game combined. Ball State has gone over in 24 of their last 35 as favorites and 17 of their last 22 lined non-conference games. |
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11-24-18 | Navy v. Tulane UNDER 53.5 | 28-29 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
Two like minded offenses that want to run means both teams will be somewhat familiar with each other. Long drives means less possessions too. I think this one is an under. |
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11-23-18 | James Madison v. Oakland OVER 143.5 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
James Madison had their four game win streak snapped last time out in an 91-82 home loss to the Citadel. This team has a very good offense scoring 70 or more in all but one contest. Darius Banks leads four double digit scorers with several others chipping in as well. Oakland's lost a ton of talent, but is still managing to score with some pace. They've put up over 85 points three times this season. Xavier Hill-Mais is their number one weapon by far and he's shooting almost 70% from the field. This one has over written all over it. |
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11-23-18 | Buffalo v. Bowling Green OVER 60 | 44-14 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
It's a win and your in scenario for Buffalo who travels to Bowling Green on Friday. The Bulls were embarrassed in Ohio last time out and lost 52-17 to the Bobcats. Now they take on a Bowling Green team whose defense is absolutely horrific against anyone with a pulse. The Falcons did do well against Central Michigan and Akron the last two weeks but before that allowed 35 to Kent State, 49 to Ohio, 42 to Western Michigan and 52 to Toledo. The Bulls had scored 120 points over a three week span before that loss to Ohio. Their defense has been up and down themselves too. I could see Bowling Green putting up some points too. This was a 38-28 game last year. I think Buffalo puts up more then that and we go over the total. |
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11-22-18 | La Salle v. Miami-FL OVER 143.5 | 49-85 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Miami's offense is a lot better then La Salle's and so is their defense. Chris Lykes is having a fantastic season and he's getting help from Dejan Vasiljevic and Anthony Lawrence II. The Canes have scored 78, 96 and 83 so far this season while allowing 70, 58 and 62. It was against weak competition so maybe those numbers get adjusted a little bit. La Salle's defense has been terrible allowing 75, 77, 82 and 89 with that last number coming against Drexel at home. The Dragons offense isn't that good. La Salle is led by Pookie Powell and Isiah Deas who average double digits. The two of them are going to have their hands full with the Canes. The Explorers have gone over in 20 of their last 30 when the total is in the 140s. Miami trends to the under, but I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-21-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Boston College OVER 140 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
Loyola Chicago is coming off an efficient 82-66 win over Richmond down in Fort Myers Florida. The Ramblers are relying on their big three to carry them the year after a final four appearance. They've shot 50% or better in four of their five games this season scoring 75 points or more in each of the contests. BC's win in this tournament was 88-76 over Wyoming. The Eagles have struggled at times losing 76-59 at home to IUPUI two contests ago. Ky Bowman will be the best player on the court, but not having Nik Popovic will be tough. I think this one will be tight with some free throws late to push this thing over. BC has gone over in eight of their last 10 games when the total is in the 130s. |
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11-21-18 | Dartmouth v. Buffalo OVER 151 | 71-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Dartmouth takes a step up in competition as they play at Buffalo. The Big Green have wins over Newbury, Loyola Maryland and Elms College scoring 100 or more in two of those games. The team did lose 79-76 at Davidson earlier in a game that saw them nearly outshoot the Wildcats. The team has six guys who score nine points per game or more and have several long range threats which will make things difficult. Buffalo already has wins over West Virginia, Southern Illinois and St. Francis of PA. The Bulls have played some solid defense although in game one they allowed SFA to shoot 50% from long range. You can't let that happen against Dartmouth. CJ Massinburg has been fantastic so far this season. He's averaging nearly a double-double with 20.3 ppg and 9.3 rpg. Buffalo has gone over in 26 of their last 44 games against teams with a winning record. I think this one sees a ton of points. |
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11-20-18 | South Carolina State v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 162 | 68-72 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
I love taking the overs in Fort Wayne games because they have a really potent offense and their defense is leaky at times. In five games this season, they've scored 71, 112, 61, 111 and 80 this season. Jon Konchar is their best player, but he's only been the team's leading scorer twice so that tells you about the depth that they have. South Carolina State has lost four straight after a season opening win over a lower level opponent. During this losing skid the Bulldogs have allowed 74, 89, 84 and 89 points. Yes, the offensive production was lacking in those games, but I think this one goes up and down a bit. Damni Applewhite and Janai Raynor Powell are the team's leading scorers. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-20-18 | Western Carolina v. Jacksonville State OVER 144 | 53-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State is looking for their first win of the season as they begin the Cancun Challenge. The Gamecocks have losses at Samford, Penn State and Bradley on their resume. The team has struggled offensively allowing two of those opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. I like the offensive potential of these guys though with transfers Detrick Mostella and Ty Hudson mixing in with Jason Burnell and Marlon Hunter. They can come at you in a lot of different ways. Western Carolina has losses to Wright State, Charleston and SMU to go with a 94-55 win over Hiwassee. The Catamounts play with a little bit of pace and have three double digit scorers led by Matt Halvorsen, Kameron Gibson and Carlos Dotson. Western Carolina has gone over in all three lined games. I think this one does too. |
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11-19-18 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Tulsa OVER 140 | 78-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Little Rock is 2-1 on the season with wins over Tennessee State and SE Oklahoma State. The Trojans have given up 80 points or more in two of those contests and are playing their third straight road game. They have four double digit scorers led by Rayjon Tucker and Markquis Nowell who put up over 30 points combined. Tulsa has their own quartet of double digit scorers led by DaQuan Jeffries. The Golden Hurricane has scored 70 points or more in all three contests and is coming off a narrow three point win over California Baptist 82-79. Tulsa has gone over in 20 of their last 31 games as a favorite and 17 of their last 28 at home. I think this one is an over too. |
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11-19-18 | UL-Lafayette v. Colorado State OVER 154.5 | 91-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Louisiana is looking for their first win of the season and one can understand why they are 0-2. The team has lost 87-65 at Tennessee and 89-76 at Kansas. The Ragin Cajuns have a trio of scorers of JaKeenan Gant, Justin Miller and Malik Marquetti. Colorado State has five really good scorers with some depth elsewhere. The Rams have wins over Montana State, Arkansas Pine Bluff and Colorado Christian scoring 80 points or more in every game. They are embracing the new system that is being run. Yes, it's a neutral court, but these two offenses should be able to score. I think this one goes over. |
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11-18-18 | Northern Arizona v. Hawaii OVER 141.5 | 68-85 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
Hawaii is 2-1 on the season with wins over Portland and Humboldt to go with a loss to North Texas. The Mean Green successfully slowed them down at home. The other two games were a little bit higher scoring with the home team getting 82 and 90. Hawaii is led by Zigmars Raimo and Jack Purchase who average double digits. They have three others who chip in at least 8. The Lumberjacks have six guys who average eight points per game and have spent quite a bit of time on the road. Their defensive numbers aren't very good and you can see why. Their wins were 76-66 at Omaha and 97-82 over Jacksonville with the loss coming at South Dakota 90-74. The road weariness could get to them a little bit in this matchup on the defensive side of the ball. I think this one goes over this total with a small chance that the underdog is worth a look. |
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11-18-18 | Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 46.5 | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 90 h 44 m | Show | |
The Chargers and Broncos each have good defenses who are putting up good numbers in different ways. Denver's secondary is one of the best while the Chargers are clamping down on both the run and the pass. Denver's offense is very underwhelming with Case Keenum under center. He doesn't scare too many people as the offense has scored 20 points or less four times since September 23rd. This one just feels like an under. |
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11-18-18 | St. Joe's v. West Virginia OVER 143 | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
It's been a rough start for West Virginia who is 1-2 on the year with losses to Western Kentucky and Buffalo. The team couldn't make the stops against the Bulls and couldn't get enough offense vs. the Hilltoppers. Coach Bobby Huggins talked about how the press isn't working and how they may not use it much more. Esa Ahmad is doing the legwork with James Bolden and Sagaba Konate chipping in double digit points. Offense has not been an issue for the Hawks who are 3-1 and have scored 79, 78, 89 and 57 this season. They've been led by Charlie Brown, but also have Kimble and several others who can get buckets for them. Their problem has been in the defensive side of things allowing everyone to score 63 points or more. To me, they are the perfect elixir for WVU to get some things going on offense. I think this one is an over. |
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11-17-18 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech UNDER 51.5 | 38-14 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
This was supposed to be for the ACC Coastal and instead it's for respectability and bowl berths. Miami's quarterback play has been brutal and it's killing their offense which has scored 21 points or less in four straight. It's also their fourth road game over a six week span. The best unit on the field will be the defense which has held opponents in check for the most part lately. Virginia Tech's offense has hot and cold spurts but they are lacking the talent to make a difference. The defense has been terrible as of late allowing 30 points or more in three straight. I think this one is an under mostly because I think the home team will struggle to score. |
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11-17-18 | Iowa v. Illinois UNDER 58.5 | 63-0 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
It's been a rough season for the Illini who are 4-6 and are giving up over 500 yards of offense per game. Luckily for them, they are facing an anemic Iowa attack who has struggled to get a lot going. Iowa has lost three straight because they've suddenly sprung a leak against the run. Last time out they had just 10 points against Northwestern. This is a team that also scored just 23 points at home against Maryland. Don't look at Illinois' defensive numbers, because they'd make you want to cry. It's actually the Illini offense that has been pretty good as of late. I don't see that happening on Saturday though. Illinois has gone under in 12 of their last 20 home games. I think this one is a little bit lower scoring. |
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11-17-18 | Florida International v. Charlotte UNDER 47.5 | 42-35 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
Charlotte has lost three of their last four games. The offense has been pretty bad the past few weeks scoring just 49 points over their last four. They haven't been the same since Chris Reynolds left at quarterback. The good thing for the 49ers has been their defense which has held four of their last five opponents to 21 points or less. FIU can clinch their half of the C-USA with two wins. Their offense will be tested against this 49ers group. FIU has put up very good numbers with James Morgan under center. Still, this is a tough road game that I don't think sees a lot of points. Charlotte has gone under in four of their last six. |
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11-17-18 | Virginia Military v. Old Dominion OVER 73.5 | 14-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
It's been a rough year for both teams as VMI takes on ODU. The Monarchs have gained some momentum after their huge comeback win last week at home. There won't be a bowl in their future, but the offense should be able to do whatever it wants. VMI's defense has struggled with FCS level opponents and should have issues here too. The Keydets have gone to a spread air raid offense and it's worked for a lot of the season. I think they can put up some points in this one, but the Monarchs will do a lot of the legwork. |
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11-17-18 | South Florida v. Temple OVER 60.5 | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
USF's defense has gone away during the team's three game losing streak. They gave up 57 to Houston, 41 to Tulane and 35 to Cincinnati. The team's offense has dried up a little bit and that won't help against a Temple team that plays well at home. The Owls split the tough two game trip through UCF and Houston with a 52-40 loss to the Golden Knights and a 59-49 win to Houston. Ryquell Armstead had a bunch of touchdowns in that one. He should continue to pop against USF on Saturday. The Owls still have a small chance at winning the division. USF has gone over in 20 of their last 35 games including five straight as an underdog. This one should be a fun one between these two AAC schools. |
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11-16-18 | Louisiana Tech v. LSU OVER 155.5 | 67-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
LSU has been rolling offensively so far with six guys averaging nine points per game or more this season. Naz Reid has been fantastic shooting 61.1% from the field while averaging 19 points and six rebounds per contest. Skylar Mays and Tremont Waters are pretty efficient from the field. They've scored 85, 97 and 94 points this season. The problem has come on the defensive side of the ball where they've allowed 76, 91 and 63. Louisiana Tech is 3-0 with wins over Wichita State, Sam Houston State and Harding. The big question will be if DaQuan Bracey will play after he has missed the last two contests with an ankle injury. Still, they've scored pretty well while playing some good defense. This is a rare meeting between schools in the same area. I think this one will be a bit of a track meet. |
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11-16-18 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Cincinnati UNDER 133 | 63-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Bearcats are continuing their tradition of great defense this season as they hold opponents to 57.5 points per game. After giving up 64 points to Ohio State in the season opener, they held NC Central to 51 in a 73-51 win. Outside of Jarron Cumberland, they don't have a ton of scoring options. Cane Broome has been a little disappointing so far averaging just 2.5 points per game. Wisconsin Milwaukee is 0-3 so far and have been rather anemic offensively. They scored 53 points at Boston College and 60 at home vs. North Dakota. Yes, this team blew up with 80 against FIU, but that's to be expected against the Golden Panthers. Cincinnati has gone under in 38 of their last 68 games and nine of their last 11 lined November games. I think this one is an under too. |
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11-16-18 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Richmond OVER 144 | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Richmond is 1-1 with two completely different efforts this season. The Spiders lost 63-58 to Longwood in their opener but followed it up with an 88-66 win over St. Francis NY. They go as Gilyard, Golden and Sherod go. This team wants to run a bit whenever they can and they play pretty awful defense. IUPUI has won two straight since falling 82-69 to Xavier in game one. Since then they beat Eastern Illinois 71-65 and won at Boston College 76-69 just a few days ago. Camron Justice, Evan Hall and Jaylen Minnett are the Jaguars leading scorers. Richmond has gone over in 19 of their last 28 home games and 23 of their last 37 when the total is in the 140s. I think this one is an over. |
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11-16-18 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Dayton OVER 152.5 | 80-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Mastodons are an over team and have done so in all three of their lined games. They are shooting almost 47% from the field and are allowing opponents to do the same. Jon Konchar is one of the best players in the country that people just don't know much about. They have scored 71, 112, 61 and 111 points this season. The problems have come on the other end allowing 107 to Ohio State and 96 to UCLA. Dayton will get Josh Cunningham back in the lineup. They beat Coppin State 76-46 and North Florida 78-70. Yes, the Flyers defensive nature scares me a bit in this one, but I think Fort Wayne will do a lot of the heavy lifting on both ends of the court. Fort Wayne has gone over in 18 of their last 25 games with the total in the 150s. I think that trend continues here. |
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11-15-18 | CS Bakersfield v. Central Michigan OVER 144.5 | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
A ton of returning talent is in this game as Central Michigan and Bakersfield play on a neutral court once again. Last year these two played a 75-72 CMU win in which both shot over 50% from the field. The Chippewas are running and gunning to the tune of over 90 points although the competition has been garbage so far. CMU has gone over in 39 of their last 59 contests. Bakersfield lost a low scoring game to TCU and then came back and crushed a lower level opponent. They've brought back all five starters from a team that struggled last year. The neutral court is a bit of a scary thing for this wager because it could take time to get used to the rims. UCSB has gone over in nine of their last 13 as an underdog. I think we see a ton of points in this one. |
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11-14-18 | Montana State v. Colorado State OVER 152.5 | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is the rare combination of a good offensive team against a really bad defensive team. Colorado State is averaging 96 points per game and is shooting 53% from the field. They have six guys who average double digit points in wins over Arkansas Pine Bluff and Colorado Christian. They want to get up and down the court and so far they have. Montana State's best player is Tyler Hall. They've lost 80-35 at Indiana and 101-71 to Utah State. The team's only win was 83-68 to a school called Presentation. I think we see both teams score tonight and this one sail over the total. |
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11-14-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Duke OVER 149 | 46-84 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
Duke is going to be a hard team to put down offensively. They could struggle a little early against the 2-3 zone of EMU, but the Eagles don't have the athletes or the talent to keep up. The Blue Devils are shooting over 50% from the field and are averaging over 100 points per game. They will get up and down the court with relative ease against the lesser opponents. Their problem is going to be a commitment to defense which they struggled in the first half against Army. EMU has a decent offense with some returning talent. They have beaten up on two lower level teams along with Drexel. They are averaging 80 points per game. I think we could see Duke crack 100 again and get this easily. |
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11-14-18 | Toledo v. Wright State OVER 143 | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The money move is on the under, but I think there's some value now with the over considering how potent Toledo is. The Rockets are averaging 93 points per game while shooting nearly 56% from the field. They have a problem with defense as well so a team like Wright State who prefers a lower scoring game to put up some points. WSU has a 96-73 win over Western Carolina and is coming off a 73-54 loss at Murray State. I think this is a bit of a back and forth affair so I want to be on the over with late foul shooting potentially coming into play. |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan v. Oakland OVER 152 | 85-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Western Michigan has struggled mightily on the defensive end so far allowing 83 points per game over their first two contests. The offense has come up a little bit short although the loss was at Ole Miss. Josh Davis, Bryce Moore and Seth Dugan are a solid trio of players who will stress the Golden Grizzlies. Oakland is replacing a bunch of their top scorers from last year so it's on the likes of Brad Brechting and Xavier Hill-Mais to take over. Oakland beat Kalamazoo 99-45, but lost to Toledo 87-86 last time out after the Rockets shot 60% from the field. Oakland is traditionally an over team and I think this trend continues on Tuesday. |
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11-12-18 | Detroit v. Butler OVER 151.5 | 63-84 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
To me, this seems like a rather easy over for us to hit. Butler won their first game 90-68 at home shooting 60.3% from the field. The Bulldogs are replacing a bunch of players from last year so they are still trying to work things out. In comes Detroit who has allowed an average of 86 points so far this season. Opponents are shooting nearly 47% from the field against them. The one thing I really like about the Titans is Antoine Davis who scored over 30 against Temple. He's instant offense. Butler has gone over in 20 of their last 31 home games. I think this one is an over with these two scoring at will on one another. |
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11-11-18 | Appalachian State v. Alabama OVER 144.5 | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Alabama beat Southern 82-62 in their first game of the season. In that one we saw a balanced effort with four players putting up double digits led by Donta Hall's 20 points. John Petty chipped in with 17 while Tevin Mack and Galin Smith each added 10. App State beat Mars Hill 125-62 in their opener with Justin Forrest, Ronshad Shabazz and Adrian Delph all doing their part. This team is a veteran bunch that won't be intimidated by the road atmosphere. The Mountaineers have the balance and the depth to push the pace and make this closer then people would think. Over half of the Crimson Tide's roster is freshmen and sophomores. I think this total is a little low and the underdog might be worth a look too. |
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11-11-18 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Ohio State OVER 151.5 | 61-107 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
The Mastadons are an over team because they score and they play literally no defense. The team beat Earlham College 112-51 after allowing a boatload of points to UCLA. Now Ohio State, doesn't necessarily want to run, but I think they'll find it rather easy to get to the basket. They played a very low scoring game with Cincinnati as their opener so at home, they'll want to open things up a bit. The starting five features four guys who put up double digits in their first contest. This one should go over the total with OSU potentially hitting in the 80s or 90s. |
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11-11-18 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 45 | 22-34 | Loss | -109 | 99 h 8 m | Show | |
These two teams will play twice in an 11 day span this month. The Lions have lost two straight and three of their last five as the offense has bottomed out a bit. They scored just 23 points the last two weeks against the Seahawks and Vikings. The loss of Golden Tate is a big one and the offensive line had a terrible time trying to block Minnesota. Chicago's offense is scoring points, yet the yardage numbers aren't staggering. I still don't trust Mitch Trubisky who doesn't have a ton of weapons to throw to. I do love their defense and think they will put the clamps down on the Lions in this one. The Bears have gone under in 22 of their last 40 including 17 of their last 28 against the rest of the conference. |
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11-10-18 | Colorado State v. Nevada OVER 62.5 | 10-49 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 16 m | Show | |
Nevada has won two straight and three of their last five games. The Wolf Pack offense has been getting the ground game going and is playing solid enough defense. Ty Gangi is a very good quarterback and should have his way against Colorado State which has given up 56 at Boise, 30 at San Jose State and 48 at Florida. The Rams allowed 34 points to lowly Wyoming at home last time they took the field. The thing is CSU's offense isn't horrible. They've scored 20 points or more in four straight tilts. Nevada's defense isn't lock down and can give up some points. CSU has gone over in 14 of their last 21 Mountain West games. I think these two can light up the scoreboard. |
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11-10-18 | Ball State v. Purdue OVER 145 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Both of these teams are coming in off wins last time out. Purdue crushed Fairfield 90-57 in a game that saw the Stags struggle to score and the Boilermarkers flashing their depth. Ball State picked up an 86-69 win and will be a team I'll be on often this year. They've got several returning starters in Tahaj Teague, Taylor Persons and more. They like to get up and down, but struggle a bit on the defensive end because of that. Ball State has gone over in 35 of their last 57 games including 16 of 26 when the total is in the 140s. They've also gone over in 14 of their last 18 lined non-conference games. Purdue will try to slow this game down a bit, but I think they'll find it easy to get some buckets. I think this one is an over. |
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11-10-18 | Western Michigan v. Ole Miss OVER 144 | 64-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Michigan picked up a win 89-76 over Detroit Mercy already this season. They'll take a step up in competition when they travel to Oxford to play Ole Miss in their first game under Kermit Davis. The Broncos have a lot of talent to make this interesting. Seth Dugan and Josh Davis are a pretty solid duo in the front court. Bryce Moore is the third starter, but he's out until December. Ole Miss won their exhibition game 101-52 over Fayetteville State and went 3-1 in Canada in August. Kermit wants his teams to play defense, but don't mind to run when possible. I think this one goes over the total with a chance that the underdog may be worth a look. |
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11-10-18 | Rhode Island v. James Madison OVER 54 | 31-48 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Rhode Island is relevant in college football now as their offense is putting up over 30 points per game. The problems have come on the defensive side where they allow nearly 27. Any time they've faced a tough offense, they have struggled giving up 56 to UConn whose offense is good compared to an FCS school, 38 to Maine and 52 to Stony Brook. JaJuan Lawson is healthy now so that should be able to help their offense improve a bit as he's been really good under center. JMU is coming off a really frustrating 35-24 loss to New Hampshire where they had six turnovers and couldn't make key defensive stops. This offense is capable of so much more especially since they had a stretch where they scored 187 points over three weeks. It's the final home game of the regular season and a lot is still at stake. I think we're due for a Dukes offensive explosion and this one sails over the total with JMU potentially providing all the points. |
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11-10-18 | Liberty v. Virginia OVER 60 | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
The Wahoos take a break from ACC play to host Liberty on Saturday. UVA had an extra day to prepare for this one after the loss to Pitt last week. The defense struggled with the Panthers run game and didn't move the ball very well on offense either. Still, they get an opponent to should allow them to run their offense easily. Liberty allows 38.2 points per game and 524.5 yards. Their offense is actually pretty good and could get some points on the UVA defense that lost Mandy Alonso and Malcolm Cook as well as potentially one or more defensive backs. UVA is 7-2 against the spread this season, but I think the over could be worth a look. I think we see something in the neighborhood of 47-20 maybe. The Flames gave up 41 to Idaho State so I expect UVA to potentially get to 50. Take the over. |
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11-09-18 | NC-Greensboro v. LSU OVER 144 | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
LSU is feeling good after a 94-63 win to start out the season. The Tigers shot almost 50% from the field and held their opponent to just 18 points in the first half. This is a deep team with Tremont Waters and Naz Reid out there. They want to get up and down the court whenever they can. UNC Greensboro was one of the slowest teams in the country last year, but they won their first game 74-66 against North Carolina A&T. They were losing in the first half and played better in half #2. This is a veteran team that won't be intimidated by the road atmosphere. They struggle to get their pace on the road where they've gone over in 15 of their last 28. I think this one is an over. |
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11-09-18 | Toledo v. Oakland OVER 155 | 87-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
It's game one for two of the higher scoring teams in the country from 2017 on Friday. These two played an 87-74 game in Toledo last season. Oakland has lost most of it's top talent from last year and will be building around Brad Brechting and Xavier Hill-Mais along with Brailen Neely. This team loves to get up and go and even with less offensive talent, I still think they'll do so. They've struggled with defense in the past and will do so against Jaelan Sanford and Luke Knapke who will be patrolling the middle once again. This one should see some fantastic pace so the over is worth a look. |
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11-08-18 | Chicago State v. Notre Dame OVER 148.5 | 62-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Chicago State's defense leaves a lot to be desired. They gave up 104 points to the Hoosiers last time out and could see that kind of output from the Irish who are running a free easy style of offense. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-07-18 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois UNDER 55.5 | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
NIU's defense should be able to keep Toledo in check and the Huskies offense certainly doesn't scare me all that much. |
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11-06-18 | La Salle v. Temple OVER 147 | 67-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
Defense was not really the calling card for either Temple or La Salle last season although the Owls did flash some at times last season. The Explorers return Pookie Powell who was one of their best scorers averaging almost 17 points per game. Traci Carter gets involved as well after coming over from Marquette. Isiah Deas, Saul Phiri and Jamir Moultrie are some other weapons. Temple has more returning talent led by Quintin Rose and Shizz Alston. They'll have the backcourt advantage, but the questions come in the front court where they'll have to replace Obi. Last year this game was a 87-83 Explorers home win with the two teams playing a 97-92 game at Temple in 2016. Temple has gone over in 22 of their last 34 games as a favorite. La Salle has gone over in 19 of their last 28 contests when the total is in the 140s. I think this one is close and higher scoring. |
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11-06-18 | Chattanooga v. Charlotte UNDER 143 | 80-69 | Loss | -130 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
Ron Sanchez comes over to coach a very young Charlotte team who saw a lot of talent depart. He is going to bring the pack line defense to the team and a much much slower pace. He realizes that they don't have the talent to keep up with most teams unless he reduces the number of possessions. Chattanooga is another young team that wouldn't mind playing a slower game. These two played in Chattanooga in December of 2017 with the Mocs winning 64-50. Chattanooga has gone under in 16 of their last 28 on the road. I think this one goes under the total. |
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11-04-18 | Texans v. Broncos UNDER 46 | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 75 h 11 m | Show | |
Two teams going in different directions as the Broncos host the Texans. Denver began the year 2-0, but then lost five of the next six. Case Keenum has been really disappointing and now Demaryius Thomas is on the other sideline with Houston. The Broncos' defense has been good though against teams outside of Kansas City and the odd, non-existent effort vs. the Jets. I like them to match up well with Houston, winners of five in a row. Deshaun Watson is playing fantastically and the defense has been awesome holding four straight opponents to 24 points or fewer. The under has hit in 24 of Houston's last 42 games, including 13 of the last 20 on the road. Denver has gone under in 22 of its last 40, including 11 of the last 20 at home. I think this one is a bit lower scoring than expected. |
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11-04-18 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 47.5 | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 72 h 7 m | Show | |
It's game two in the rivalry this season as the Ravens host the Steelers. Baltimore took the first game back in late September, 26-14 in Pittsburgh as the Ravens held the Steelers to just 19 rushing yards. Since then, Baltimore has gone 1-3 with losses to Cleveland, New Orleans and Carolina. The Ravens have struggled a bit on defense the last two weeks allowing teams to run on their suddenly leaky defense. The offense has been pretty consistent, scoring 21 points or more in three straight. On the other side, Pittsburgh has won three straight against the Falcons, Bengals and Browns. The Steelers have seen their defense improve greatly, especially against the run as they've held five straight opponents to fewer than 100 yards on the ground. The Steelers have gone under in 15 of their last 20 road games and 24 of their last 42 overall. Baltimore has gone under in 11 of its last 19 at home. I think this one continues that trend. |
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11-03-18 | Villanova v. Richmond UNDER 53.5 | 45-21 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Villanova has been shut out their last two games as they continue to deal with uncertainty at quarterback. The Wildcats just don't have the weapons anymore and it's hurting them. The one thing they do have is a good defense that will keep them in the ballgame if they get a little rest. Richmond is really banged up in certain spots so I can see this being a lower scoring game. |
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10-28-18 | Ravens v. Panthers UNDER 44 | 21-36 | Loss | -108 | 73 h 40 m | Show | |
Two of the better defenses in the league play in Carolina with the Panthers hosting the Ravens. Baltimore is holding opponents to 14.4 points per contest and 280.6 yards per game. They've played five unders in seven contests this season. Carolina's offense is predicated on Christian McCaffrey as that helps Cam Newton out. People will forget that the Panthers offense was stuck in the mud for three quarters of that game. Baltimore's offense isn't that scary either to me despite their offensive numbers. They can't really run it that well and probably won't be able to against Carolina's front seven which has held opponents to 95 yards per game on the ground. This number is generously high to me. |
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10-28-18 | Eagles v. Jaguars UNDER 42.5 | 24-18 | Win | 100 | 69 h 11 m | Show | |
The Eagles defense has been highly underwhelming against the pass this season as the team is coming off gagging a 17 point lead in the 4th quarter. They've been disappointing as a team this season proving that the Super Bowl hangover is 100% real. The good thing for them is that Blake Bortles and Cody Kessler can't pass the ball. The Jags have thrown for less then 200 yards four times this season and have had massive issues with turnovers. Jacksonville's defensive issue is against the run and the Eagles just won't do it. They have run for 120 yards or less in every game this season despite having a solid group of running backs to use. None of them are Adrian Peterson, but Corey Clement, Wendell Smallwood and Josh Adams aren't that bad. This is Philly's first trip to London while the Jags are regulars at doing this. To me, this one could be a punt fest and the first team to 20 could win if either of them actually make it to 20. Give me the under in this one. |
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10-27-18 | UMass v. Connecticut OVER 64 | 22-17 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
In a game that won't make any sort of ripples on the college football landscape, UConn hosts UMass. The Huskies are allowing almost 700 yards of offense although they nearly knocked off South Florida last week. The numbers are really ugly, but they are running into a UMass team. David Pindell makes some mistakes but I think he'll find some holes against the Minutemen. UMass has allowed 30 points or more in six of their seven games with Coastal Carolina scoring only 24. The over is probably worth a look, but there's no reason for UMass to be favored on the road over almost anyone this season. |
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10-27-18 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern UNDER 52.5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
Alex Hornibrook is in concussion protocol for the Badgers as they get ready for a trip to Northwestern. On the road, Wisky scored 28 at Iowa and 13 at Michigan. This is an inconsistent offense that has looked good in two of their last three weeks, but that was at home. Northwestern's defense has been very good against the run for the most part and has held all but two of their opponents to 27 points or less. Their problem is the offense which hasn't been the same since losing their top running back. The Wildcats will run into some resistance with the Badgers allowing 24 points or less to everyone but Michigan. NW has gone under in 13 of their last 18 home games and 18 of their last 33 overall. I think this one is an under. |
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10-27-18 | Clemson v. Florida State UNDER 50 | 59-10 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
Two really good defenses in this one with one really good offense and another that is struggling to find consistency. Clemson has been steamrolling opponents and really has no reason to lookahead. This is Florida State's Super Bowl since they really have no shot in the conference. I think this one is a bit lower scoring. |
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10-21-18 | Titans v. Chargers UNDER 45.5 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 62 h 3 m | Show | |
The London game has seen several unders in it's past including the one last week that saw Seattle win 27-3 over the Raiders. Last year four of the losing teams in the overseas games scored single digit points. The Titans offense has struggled terribly as of late without a solid run game and a terrible offensive line. The good thing is that the defense has been good. I think they can matchup up alright with the Chargers offense. Tennessee has gone under in four of their five games against conference opponents. LA has gone under in 15 of their last 28 conference contests. I think this one is an under as well. |
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10-20-18 | Central Florida v. East Carolina OVER 64 | 37-10 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 17 m | Show | |
UCF needed quite a lot to pick up a comeback victory over Memphis last week. They won 31-30 over the Tigers in a game that saw them struggle on defense yet make the plays needed to win the game late. That was the lowest point total of the season for UCF and I expect that to change in this one because ECU is one of the worst defenses in college football. They allowed 42 to Houston and 49 to Temple the last two weeks. ECU's offense is nothing special, but outside of two road games, they've been competent at home. I think we get a semi-unfocused effort from the road team who will probably expect to coast in this one. I think it becomes a bit of a shootout and UCF wins this thing by 3 or 4 scores late. |
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10-20-18 | Georgia Southern v. New Mexico State OVER 54.5 | 48-31 | Win | 100 | 40 h 15 m | Show | |
New Mexico State allowed almost 800 yards of offense last week against ULL in a 66-38 loss. They have been gashed by the run which means that Georgia Southern should run wild after struggling against Texas State. The Aggies offense has held it's own as of late and should be able to contribute to this total. They've gone over in five of their last six. Georgia Southern has scored 30 points or more and has a huge home game against App State ahead of them. I think they give up some points along the way and we get a mini shootout in this one. GSU won't be focused and could struggle early. I think this one is an over. |
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10-14-18 | Panthers v. Redskins UNDER 45 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
The Redskins offense may be without Jamison Crowder and Chris Thompson today with several other key players playing banged up. This means a stout Carolina defense should have little trouble stopping them. On the other side, I expect Washington to play better defensively against a Carolina offense that doesn't scare me much even with Greg Olsen back. |
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10-13-18 | Virginia Military v. Samford OVER 71 | 22-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
VMI is allowing over 50 points per game, but their offense has started to rock and roll under the new spread system. Samford can score as evidenced by last week and their defense is a little leaky. I think this one is an over. |
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10-13-18 | Ohio v. Northern Illinois UNDER 52 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 40 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois has a very anemic offense that averages just 17.7 points and 278.3 yards per game. The good thing is that their defense has been awesome especially at home. They held Utah to 17 and Central Michigan to 16 there. NIU's offense has a season high of 26 points with three other efforts of less then 20. Ohio's defense has been god awful all year long, but they've also seen several pretty good offenses. I think Ohio could struggle to score especially if their starting QB is not 100%. Ohio has gone under in 13 of their last 18 conference games. NIU has gone under in eight of their last 13 at home. This one is a lower scoring game. |
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10-13-18 | Kent State v. Miami-OH OVER 59 | 6-31 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 19 m | Show | |
The Redhawks scored 31 points over their first three weeks. The last three weeks they've put up 38, 39 and 41 points overall. Gus Ragland is cruising now under center and rushing the ball has gone better. The defense is playing a little better though although they gave up 40 points to Western Michigan in their last home game two weeks ago. Kent State has lost four straight since beating Howard in week two. KSU's offense hasn't been that bad with 50 points the last two weeks. The defense has been that bad especially against the pass. Four straight opponents have put up 280 yards or more through the air. |
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10-13-18 | Troy v. Liberty OVER 63.5 | 16-22 | Loss | -107 | 39 h 50 m | Show | |
Sawyer Smith is taking over for Kaleb Barker under center for a Troy team that is averaging just under 37 points per game and 433 yards per contest. Troy has gone over in five of their six tilts this season. They've been alright on defense this season holding Nebraska to 19 and Florida A&M to 7. Liberty has been rather middling since the season opening win against ODU. Their defense has been gashed since then allowing 38, 47, 43 and 49 points. The 49 came against the highly mediocre New Mexico State Aggies. Liberty's offense can score led by Buckshot Calvert. The team has some run and pass capability. I think this one has shootout potential on Saturday. |
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10-13-18 | Florida v. Vanderbilt UNDER 50.5 | 37-27 | Loss | -108 | 37 h 52 m | Show | |
Florida has won four straight entering this one against Vanderbilt. The Gators defense has been fantastic this season holding all of their opponents to 27 points or less. The team has been locked in for conference play. They want to run the ball and mix in the pass when they can. Vanderbilt's offense has gone dry since the competition has gotten better. They've scored 20 points or less in three of their last four contests as Shurmur has struggled to get going. There is no Ralph Webb to keep teams honest. The defense has been alright but perhaps we don't get a focused UF effort with Georgia up next. Vandy has gone under in five of their six contests. Florida has gone under in 17 of their last 30 games. I think this one is an under. |
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10-11-18 | Georgia Southern v. Texas State OVER 51 | 15-13 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern's offense has been rolling outside a trip to Death Valley to take on Clemson. The Eagles have scored 37, 34, 28 and 48 points so far as the triple option has made a triumphant return this year. Their defense has been very good although leaky at times. Arkansas State put up 376 yards passing while Clemson ran for 309 yards. Texas State's only win was against Texas Southern in week two. They have allowed 35, 20, 41, 25 and 42 points so far and allowed Rutgers and Lafayette to rush for over 200 yards. The good thing is that their offense has perked up scoring 21 or more in four straight. This series has seen plenty of unders and money has come in on the under, but I think this one sees more points. I think GSU lets some late touchdowns up in a game that they'll have in hand early. |
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10-07-18 | Broncos v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | 16-34 | Loss | -109 | 74 h 50 m | Show | |
On paper this looks like a bit of a mismatch, but the line says that it's not. New York's defense is actually allowing fewer total yards per game then the Broncos' much more heralded group. The Jets have lost three straight since beating the Lions in Week 1. They've struggled to get much going offensively with Sam Darnold under center. The defense has been able to keep the Jets in games and has done a decent job of creating takeaways. Denver has now lost two straight including a tough one at home Monday night to the Chiefs. Case Keenum has had his issues, especially missing a wide-open Demaryius Thomas late in that game that could have been the game winner. At first I really wanted to take the Jets, but I think both teams will struggle to score. Denver has gone under in 10 of its last 12 games against teams with a losing record and in eight of its last 10 October matchups. |
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10-06-18 | Old Dominion v. Florida Atlantic OVER 64 | 33-52 | Win | 100 | 41 h 37 m | Show | |
FAU is trying to bounce back after two straight losses to UCF and MTSU on the road. The Owls offense has been very prolific as of late with 270 rushing yards or more in three straight games. Devin Singletary is getting on track after a really slow start to the season. The team needs to score a ton because their defense is pretty bad and is struggling to stop teams on the ground and through the air. ODU's defense might be worse as they've allowed 28 points or more to everyone. They will have problems slowing down Singletary and Chris Robison. The good thing for the Monarchs is that their offense has perked up as of late. With Blake LaRussa under center they've scored 84 points. ODU has gone over in four of five games this season and FAU has gone over in three of five. Last year Lane Kiffin's bunch scored 58 points. Now the total is that much...give me the over. |
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10-06-18 | Navy v. Air Force UNDER 49 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 39 h 9 m | Show | |
The matchups between the academies used to be huge unders because each team would be playing against their mirror image. Air Force is 1-3 with the win coming in week one against Stony Brook. Their offense has been a mixed bag this season and the defense has struggled against the pass, but that won't be an issue against Navy. 11 of the last 14 matchups have gone under the total including six of the last seven. Last year's game was a 48-45 high scoring affair and that snapped a nice under streak. Navy's offense has worked this season and they've had an extra week to prepare. The defense struggled against Hawaii and SMU but once again it was the pass that did them in for those. I think we see some nice time consuming drives and get back to the under trend. |
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10-06-18 | Bowling Green v. Toledo OVER 70.5 | 36-52 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show | |
Bowling Green is consistently one of the worst defenses in football. They've allowed 58, 45, 35, 38 and 63 points so far this season. Toledo has scored over 60 twice against VMI and Nevada. They have a really good group of wide receivers that should have their way with the Falcons. Ironically, most of the damage has been done on the ground against them. Bowling Green's offense is capable of scoring too as they've put up 24, 14, 42, 23 and 17. Toledo's defense has been ridiculously shaky the last few weeks giving up at least 40 to Miami, Nevada and Fresno State. The last two years this game has seen scores of 66-37 and 42-35. I think we could see scores around that. |
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10-06-18 | Northern Illinois v. Ball State UNDER 54 | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 39 h 37 m | Show | |
NIU's offense has been very anemic all season and it's put pressure on a very good defense. The Huskies have scored 82 points over five games. Most of those contests were against better teams, but they just don't do a lot well. The passing attack has had 215 yards or less in each contest. The defense has forced a bunch of turnovers, but has had to be on the field a lot more then they should due to time of possession. Ball State has a good offense that has shown up against weaker opponents Central Connecticut and Kent State. They had issues against Notre Dame, Indiana and Western Kentucky. Ball State has gone under in three of four games while NIU has done so in four of their five. Neither team has impressed me that much and I think this one goes under the total. |
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10-06-18 | Kansas v. West Virginia OVER 61 | 22-38 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 33 m | Show | |
Last week I wanted to take the over in the Kansas game, but didn't. I'm not making this mistake again. The Jayhawks have been ripped through the air allowing nearly 600 passing yards to Baylor and Oklahoma State. The Jayhawks actually put up 28 points on Oklahoma State at home and have shown pulses at times on offense. West Virginia is going through everyone offensively. They've scored 169 points in four games and should continue that trend. The team did just allow 34 points to Texas Tech. The last two years, this score was 56-34 and 48-21 so I see plenty of points once again. The Jayhawks just won't be able to slow down the Mountaineers. |
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09-30-18 | Lions v. Cowboys UNDER 43.5 | 24-26 | Loss | -107 | 88 h 26 m | Show | |
The Lions are feeling good after their Sunday night win over the Patriots. In that one they showed a rare run game with Kerryon Johnson finally eclipsing the 100 yard mark. It took some pressure off Matt Stafford which is what he needs. The defense has stood tall so far this season as no one has put up over 200 yards passing. That streak should continue considering the Cowboys haven't gotten to that mark yet either. If they are smart, they'd give the ball to Ezekiel Elliott 35 times and force teams to have to deal with that pounding. Dallas has actually played pretty good defense, but they are getting no help out there from the other side of the ball. Sean Lee is a little banged up, but they've got experience playing without him. All three Cowboys games have gone under the total in 2018 and I think that trend continues. Dallas has gone under in 22 of their last 36 games. |
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09-30-18 | Eagles v. Titans UNDER 41.5 | 23-26 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 24 m | Show | |
Carson Wentz gets his first road game of the season as they play at Tennessee. The Titans have held their opponents to 16.7 points per contest and 337 yards per game. Philly may get their running backs back as well as Alshon Jeffery, but who knows how healthy they all are. Until everyone is healthy and in shape, I think they continue to struggle. Good thing the defense has been incredible. It'll be very difficult for the Titans to run the ball on the front seven that has held their opponents to just 185 yards on the ground total. Marcus Mariota will start, but he's not 100% so I can't see how the Titans score a ton of points either. To me, this will be a field position game and a low-scoring Eagles win. |
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09-29-18 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Florida International OVER 64.5 | 9-55 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 48 m | Show | |
Arkansas Pine Bluff has had a fascinating season so far. They lost week one to Morehouse 34-30, followed that up with a 55-0 win over Cumberland before getting blasted 90-6 by South Dakota State and 62-13 by Prairie View. The team has a decent quarterback and a good wide receiver but both are banged up and may not play. FIU has shown no mercy in terms of scoring 63 against UMass. They are coming off a 31-17 loss at Miami and have Middle Tennessee next. FIU is getting at least 60 in this one. The question is if the opponent will score at all. |
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09-29-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Middle Tennessee State OVER 60 | 24-25 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 20 m | Show | |
MTSU is 1-2 to start the season. They've had two weeks to prepare for this one as they finally hit conference play. It's hard to accurately describe the Blue Raiders because they got crushed at Vanderbilt and Georgia and beat UT-Martin as well. The Blue Raiders have a very good passing game that should be able to take advantage of a mediocre FAU secondary. The Raiders defense has struggled at times even against UT-M whom they allowed nearly 500 yards to. FAU's Devin Singletary should get fat and happy against the Blue Raiders. FAU's offense has put up 33, 49 and 36 the last three weeks. Two years ago this game was 77-56 at Murfreesboro and 38-20 at FAU last year. I think this one is an over. |
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09-29-18 | Michigan v. Northwestern UNDER 47 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show | |
This one has the makings of a classic Big 10 game. Michigan has allowed 14.2 points per game and 240.2 yards per contest as well. Northwestern's offense took a major hit once Larkin went down. The Wildcats put up only 7 points on Duke and have had a bye week to prepare. Their defense hasn't been too bad although they need to get more pressure up front. Michigan's offense put up 49, 45, 56 the last three weeks at home against some weak defenses. I think they find things a little more difficult on the road against a team with extra time to prepare. Northwestern has gone under in 12 of their last 16 at home and 16 of their last 29 overall. |
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09-29-18 | Mercer v. Virginia Military OVER 57 | Top | 48-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
I very rarely dip into the FCS level for my selections, but this one stood out to me. VMI is 0-4 on the season, but their spread offense is starting to take flight. The Keydets put up 50 in a 52-50 loss at Western Carolina last week. This came after they scored 24 at home against East Tennessee State. The problem for them is that their defense has been a major issue allowing 52, 27, 59 and 66 already this season. In comes Mercer who has had some mixed bag results themselves. The Bears beat Jacksonville 45-3 and Samford 30-24 on the road. They also lost 38-31 to the Citadel and 66-14 to Memphis. I think this one is a bit of a shootout. Mercer has been vulnerable to the pass as evidenced by the Memphis and Samford road games. Jacksonville and the Citadel want to run it so the numbers are skewed a bit there. |
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09-29-18 | Cincinnati v. Connecticut OVER 58 | 49-7 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
The UConn Huskies are allowing 54.5 points per game and 664 yards per contest as well. It's a shame because their offense is semi-competent with David Pindell under center. This is a Huskies team that allowed 49 points at home to Rhode Island who is from the FCS level. The offense would be putting up more points if they didn't have a turnover issue. The team has coughed it up 10 times in four contests. The Bearcats defense has been fantastic, but hasn't really been stressed this season. They did give up 30 points to Ohio last time out, but were beaten more on the ground then through the air. The offense has the opportunity to break out having scored 97 points the last two weeks. My worry is that they won't do as well on the road as they would on home. This one has the potential to be a shootout with both teams contributing a ton. I think this one is an over. |
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09-29-18 | South Alabama v. Appalachian State OVER 56 | 7-52 | Win | 100 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
App St is rolling offensively putting up almost 52 points and 530 yards of offense. They've also had a great defense that has held teams to under 300 yards of offense. The Mountaineers lost by 7 at Penn State, but also beat Charlotte and Gardner Webb by healthy margins. The team is able to run the ball well and pass it as well. South Alabama's offense has been good lately with 76 points the last two weeks against Texas State and Memphis. These two have gone over in seven of seven possible games between the two of them. The Jaguars defense will probably struggle, but I think they'll get some points. This one should be a shootout on Saturday. |
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09-29-18 | Florida State v. Louisville UNDER 46 | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 51 m | Show | |
Somebody has to win this one as both teams have seen some low points already this season. Florida State lost their opener to Virginia Tech before nearly falling to Samford at home. The Seminoles followed that up with a horrible effort at Syracuse before bouncing back against NIU at home. It's the inconsistencies that have driven their fanbase nuts. The defense is putting up fantastic numbers, but they've had to be on the field too long with the offense struggling to get going. The offensive line can't block anyone and Deondre Francois is getting skittish in the pocket. Louisville looked pretty feeble last week against the Hoos. They also got crushed by Alabama in week one with the victories coming after against Indiana State and Western Kentucky. To me, there's only one way to go in this one and it's taking the under. FSU has gone under in 12 of their last 18 ACC contests and 15 of their last 29 overall. I think we could see this one being a 21-17 affair as I don't have faith in either offense. |