01-28-10 |
Boston Celtics v. Orlando Magic -3 |
|
94-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Punisher on Magic -3 Bottom Line: The Magic will be out for revenge here tonight after falling to the Celtics at home on Christmas Day. The Celtics have lost 5 in a row ATS and they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. We'll grab Orlando at home tonight.
|
01-27-10 |
Atlanta Hawks v. San Antonio Spurs -3 |
Top |
90-105 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Favorite of the Month on Spurs -3 Bottom Line: After 3 straight defeats, expect a Spurs team that is 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games against the Hawks to be motivated enough to get the job done tonight. The Spurs recent struggles have been as much to do with poor shooting as anything, but they are on a 17-4 ATS run in home games after 3 straight games where they made 42% of their shots or worse, winning in these spots by an average score of 98 to 84.3. Plus, Atlanta is just 3-15 ATS in road games versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 87.6 to 105.8. Lay the points.
|
01-27-10 |
Philadelphia 76ers +2.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
|
88-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Dog of the Night on 76ers +2.5 Bottom Line: Look for the more rested 76ers to pull the upset here against a Bucks team that just had a tough one in Dallas last night. Philly has owned the Bucks, going 7-1 SU & ATS the last 3 seasons, including 3-0 SU & ATS at Milwaukee during that span. The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Take the points.
|
01-26-10 |
Milwaukee Bucks +7 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
107-108 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Bucks +7 Bottom Line: Dallas is 13-7 at home but only 5-15 ATS in those games. Plus, the Mavs have struggled with up-tempo teams. In fact, Dallas is 0-7 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game this season, winning these games by just 2.1 ppg. The Mavericks are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points, 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Take the points.
|
01-26-10 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. New York Knicks -5.5 |
|
105-132 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
4* Major Tuesday NBA Blowout on Knicks -5.5 Bottom Line: After getting completely embarrassed by the Mavs at home Sunday, look for the Knicks to bounce back strong against a T-Wolves team losing by an average of 13.1 points in road games this season. The Knicks are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Look for the Knicks to win by double digits tonight.
|
01-25-10 |
Indiana Pacers +4.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
Top |
109-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Pacers +4.5 Bottom Line: The Pacers just fell at home to the 76ers Saturday, but I expect them to return the favor tonight. The team that loses the first game of these home and home matchups usually bounces back with a solid effort, and I expect no less from Indy here. Philly is just 5-16 ATS in home games this season, losing by an average score of 95.2 to 98.3. The 76ers are also just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win. The Pacers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 day
|
01-24-10 |
Dallas Mavericks -3 v. New York Knicks |
|
128-78 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Early Cash Cow on Mavs -3 Bottom Line: Dallas is 12-1 ATS on the road after an upset defeat over the last two seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 100.4 to 92.2. Look for the Mavs to bounce back from Friday's upset loss to Philly today.
|
01-23-10 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Indiana Pacers -3 |
Top |
107-97 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Pacers -3 Bottom Line: The 76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. Lay the points.
|
01-22-10 |
Houston Rockets v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 194 |
|
116-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Rockets/Spurs UNDER 194 Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (HOUSTON) revenging a loss where they scored less than 85 points against an opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 34-9 the last 5 seasons. We have seen an average posted total of 193.9 in these spots with the average total score coming in at just 185 points for a nearly a 9-point under the total margin of victory. 17 of the L24 games played in San Antonio in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL. Bet the Under.
|
01-22-10 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. New York Knicks +6 |
|
115-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
3* ESPN Prime Time Pounder on Knicks +6 Bottom Line: The Lakers haven't played many games on the road this season, and it will be especially difficult for them to find a rhythm tonight after such an emotionally and physically draining defeat last night in Cleveland. The Knicks will be the much fresher and better prepared team having not played since the 18th. Plus, they will be plenty motivated to stop Kobe Bryant after allowing him to score 61 points in his last visit to MSG. The Knicks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 26-12-1 ATS in their last 39 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Plus, the Lakers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Take the points.
|
01-22-10 |
Dallas Mavericks -2.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
Top |
81-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Public Opinion Game of the Year on Mavs -2.5 Bottom Line: The Mavs are 15-7 SU & 14-8 ATS on the road this season while the 76ers are just 6-14 SU & 4-16 ATS at home. Naturally, the public is all over Dallas in this spot, and I'm going to have to agree. Dallas needed a game-winning shot to post a 2-point victory over the 76ers earlier this season, but keep in mind that the Mavs held an 11-point 4th quarter lead in that game. They'll learn from that game tonight by not letting off the gas pedal. We can't ignore the fact that Philly is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog this season, losing these games by an average score of 91.4 to 102.7. Take the Mavs.
|
01-21-10 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Denver Nuggets -9 |
|
85-105 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 12 m |
Show
|
3* NBA on TNT Bailout on Nuggets -9 Bottom Line: Eric Gordon will either not play for LA tonight, or he will play but not at 100%. Either way, without him at 100%, it's going to be very difficult for the Clippers to keep this one close tonight. Denver is 18-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons and 13-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons. The home team is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. With this being a back-to-back for both teams, the edge has to go to a Nuggets team that is 18-3 at home and winning by an average of 10.1 points in those games.
|
01-21-10 |
Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers |
Top |
87-93 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +3.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers were embarrassed at home by the Cavs on Christmas Day so they will be plenty motivated to return the favor tonight. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Lakers are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 games as an underdog. The Cavaliers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Expect L.A. to win round two tonight. Take the points.
|
01-20-10 |
Utah Jazz +6.5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
Top |
105-98 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month (ESPN) on Utah Jazz +6.5 Bottom Line: Utah has won 3 straight over the Spurs and has lost by 6 or fewer points in the last 5 meetings. While the road struggles of the Jazz have been well documented, they haven't had those struggles of late, and they have showed up on the road against quality competition. In fact, the Jazz are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The thing I really like about Utah is that it is a great bounce back team. Following a loss to the Nuggets, I expect the Jazz to give the Spurs all they want and more tonight. The Jazz are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss. While the Spurs will be out for revenge here, they are just 5-17 ATS when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent over the last 2 seasons, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 97.5 to 99.1. Take the points.
|
01-20-10 |
Memphis Grizzlies +4 v. New Orleans Hornets |
|
111-113 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Southwest Division Game of the Week on Grizzlies +4 Bottom Line: Memphis is one of the hottest teams in the NBA, having won 4 in a row and 12 of its last 15, and I'll ride the Grizz here tonight. New Orleans is a good home team at 15-4 on the season, but it has not proven that it can be trusted laying points. The Hornets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. The Grizzlies are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. We'll take the points.
|
01-19-10 |
Indiana Pacers +6.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
83-113 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Tuesday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pacers +6.5 Bottom Line: The Pacers are a completely different team than they were when they were crushed by the Heat just before the New Year as they now have their best player, Danny Granger, back in the lineup. Right away you have to like Indy's chances of covering this number when you consider that road teams revenging a road blowout loss of 30 points or more are 29-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the underdog is 20-6-2 ATS in the last 28 meetings. You also have to love the fact that the Heat are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite and only 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. We'll take the points tonight.
|
01-18-10 |
Phoenix +2 v. Memphis |
|
118-125 |
Loss |
-103 |
13 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Super System of the Week (TNT) on Suns +2 Bottom Line: This is an extremely motivated spot for the Suns, who have lost 3 in a row and were embarrassed by Charlotte in their last game. Plus, the Suns will be especially hungry tonight as they were defeated at home by the Grizzlies 128-103 earlier this month. Now it's pay back time. Plays on road teams (PHOENIX) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half, are 25-3 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is already off to a 2-0 start this season. Take the Suns.
|
01-18-10 |
Orlando Magic +6.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
Top |
92-98 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year (TNT) on Magic +6.5 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back embarrassing losses, expect the Magic to finally show up tonight in a big way against the team that defeated them in last year's NBA Finals. Plays on any team (ORLANDO) off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest, are 26-5 ATS the last 3 seasons. The rest seems to be the key here as the Magic are 14-3 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons. But motivation is clearly a key as well, as the Magic are 16-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. It is also worth noting that the Underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. We'll take the points.
|
01-18-10 |
Sacramento Kings v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 196.5 |
|
103-105 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
|
4* Major "Total" Blowout on Kings/Bobcats UNDER 196.5 Bottom Line: Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, are 84-47 since 1996. This system is also 22-10 the last 3 seasons. The Kings have now played to the Under in 7 straight and I expect them to again tonight in this fatigued spot.
|
01-17-10 |
Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets -6.5 |
Top |
112-119 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets -6.5 Bottom Line: A couple things really stand out here. The first is the Jazz are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5 to 10.5 points. The second is the Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing with 3 or more day's rest. With Utah having just played Saturday, I look for a fresh Nuggets team to run the Jazz off the court tonight. Lay the points.
|
01-16-10 |
Phoenix Suns v. Charlotte Bobcats -2 |
Top |
99-125 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bobcats -2 Bottom Line: I'll take the Bobcats at home, where they are 15-4 on the season, against a Suns team that has lost 9 of its last 10 on the road. Plus, the Suns are coming off s heartbreaker in Atlanta last night which will make it very difficult to get up for this one. Playing the back-to-back should hurt a Suns team which relies on an uptempo offense far worse here. In fact, the Bobcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Also, the Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take the Cats.
|
01-15-10 |
Orlando Magic -4.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
|
87-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
3* Friday Night NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Magic -4.5 Bottom Line: The reason why we are seeing this line is because Brandon Roy is listed as doubtful for the Blazers, and rightfully so, as I give the banged up Blazers no shot without him healthy tonight. The Magic will be very hungry in this spot following an embarrassing loss to Denver. The Magic are 60-28-1 ATS in their last 89 games following a loss and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games when following a loss of more than 10 points. The Magic are also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series. Take Orlando.
|
01-15-10 |
Phoenix Suns +5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
Top |
101-102 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Suns +5 Bottom Line: I think Atlanta is the better team, but it has struggled with the Phoenix and its uptempo game. In fact, Atlanta has lost three straight to Phoenix and nine of the last 11 meetings. The Suns enter Atlanta as motivated as ever, too, after blowing a 24-point lead and losing to the Pacers in their last game. I expect Phoenix's defense to be much better tonight after that performance and history would agree with me. The Suns are 13-3 ATS after allowing 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 112.3 to 105.5. The Suns are also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. This is a gut check game for the Suns, and I believe they will rise to the occasion.
|
01-15-10 |
Sacramento Kings +3 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
|
86-98 |
Loss |
-101 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Major Line Mistake on Kings +3 Bottom Line: The Kings lost by 10 points at home to the 76ers on Dec. 30th, but Tyreke Evans and Kevin Martin did not play in that game. Martin, who averaged 30.6 points in five games before injuring his left wrist, is expected to return to action tonight. I expect a big game from Evans tonight, playing close to where he grew up in Chester, PA. He is averaging 20.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.0 assists. Philly is 1-9 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game this season, losing to these teams by an average score of 96.2 to 102.5. Take the points.
|
01-14-10 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Utah Jazz +1 |
|
96-97 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 22 m |
Show
|
3* NBA on TNT Bailout on Utah Jazz +1 Bottom Line: The Jazz are rolling with back-to-back blowout wins over Dallas and Miami and I like them to get past the Cavs at home tonight. The Jazz are an impressive 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points (Utah listed at -1 at some books), 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games period, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. Utah is one of the toughest places in the NBA to win, and the Cavs will find that out first hand tonight. Take the Jazz.
|
01-14-10 |
Chicago Bulls +7 v. Boston Celtics |
Top |
96-83 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Bulls +7 Bottom Line: I really like the Bulls tonight. Chicago is quietly playing much better basketball and has covered the spread in 8 of its last 9 and 11 of its last 14 as a result. The Bulls will be especially motivated here because they have been crushed by Boston twice already this season. The shorthanded Celtics, who are playing without Kevin Garnett and Rasheed Wallace, just played last night, and it is worth mentioning that the Celtics are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without any rest. The Celtics are just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. The Bulls haven't played since the 11th so they'll be ready to go here, but the Celtics have been playing a lot of basketball in few days. In fact, Boston is on a 5-16 ATS slide in home games when playing its 5th game in 7 days, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 94.5 to 95.7. Take the Bulls.
|
01-13-10 |
San Antonio Spurs +2 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
109-108 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Underdog of the Week on Spurs +2 Bottom Line: I know the Spurs are coming off a big win over the Lakers last night, but I expect no letdown tonight as they look to pay the Thunder back for handing them a loss earlier this season. Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO), an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more, are 27-6 ATS since 1996. Take the Spurs.
|
01-12-10 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
102-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Clippers/Grizzlies UNDER 200.5 Bottom Line: The Clippers are 12-4 Under versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game this season and 14-5 Under when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points this season (line opened at 199). The Under is also 11-4 in the Grizzlies' last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. The last 2 meetings have both came in Under this number with the teams combining for just 186 points in the last. Bet the Under.
|
01-12-10 |
Houston Rockets v. Charlotte Bobcats -2.5 |
|
94-102 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Side of the Night on Bobcats -2.5 Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Charlotte is 13-4 at home this season and I look for it to continue its strong play on its home floor tonight.
|
01-11-10 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Phoenix Suns -8.5 |
Top |
101-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Suns -8.5 Bottom Line: The Bucks were crushed 95-77 by the Lakers last night to fall to 4-12 on the road this season. Now, they get a rested and motivated Suns team that is 14-4 at home on the season. The Suns haven't played since the 8th and they will be motivated to get back in the win column following a home loss to Miami in their last game. Phoenix has flat out had Milwaukee's number, having won 21 straight home games against the Bucks. To make matters worse, the Bucks are expected to be without starting guard Michael Redd who continues to have problems with his knees. Take the Suns.
|
01-10-10 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Los Angeles Lakers -8.5 |
|
77-95 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Major Sunday NBA Blowout on Lakers -8.5 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back defeats, expect the Lakers to roll at home tonight against a Bucks team that is only 4-11 on the road this season. The Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and we'll lay the points in this highly motivated spot.
|
01-09-10 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Orlando Magic -3.5 |
|
81-113 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Magic -3.5 Bottom Line: Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 1 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 73-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. Look for the Magic to get the cover here as they improve to 5-0 SU & ATS in their last 5 games against the Hawks.
|
01-08-10 |
Boston Celtics v. Atlanta Hawks -3 |
|
85-93 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
3* SUREFIRE on Hawks -3 Bottom Line: Boston is not the same team without Kevin Garnett and that's why Atlanta gets the nod laying a small number at home here. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the Celtics are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Plus, the Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less and 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games as a home favorite period. Lay the number.
|
01-08-10 |
Utah Jazz v. Memphis Grizzlies -3 |
Top |
89-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Friday Night NBA Double Digit Blood Bath on Grizzlies -3 Bottom Line: Memphis is 7-0 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs. an opponent this season, winning these games by an average score of 108.7 to 98.6. Utah really crushed the Grizzlies in Utah on Wednesday, but Memphis had just played a tough one in Portland the night before. The Grizzlies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and I look for them to bounce back strong here.
|
01-08-10 |
Orlando Magic -7.5 v. Washington Wizards |
|
97-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
|
3* SUREFIRE on Magic -7.5 Bottom Line: Off 3 straight losses, expect the Magic to bounce back strong with a big win over the struggling Wizards. Washington is just 4-17 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average score of 87.0 to 97.2. Take the Magic.
|
01-06-10 |
Boston Celtics v. Miami Heat UNDER 188 |
|
112-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Miami UNDER 188 Bottom Line: Plays Under on any team, Boston in this case, playing with 3 or more days rest, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, are 84-44 the last 5 seasons. Expect a well rested Boston team to really tighten the screws on the defensive end tonight to keep this one Under.
|
01-05-10 |
Detroit Pistons +8.5 v. Dallas Mavericks |
|
93-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
3* NBA Side of the Night on Pistons +8.5 Bottom Line: The fact that the Pistons have lost 9 in a row SU & ATS has forced odds makers to undervalue them. Detroit hasn't played since December 31st so it will be well rested and well prepared for this one. While Dallas is 11-5 at home this season, it is just 5-11 ATS in those games. Plays on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 8 or more consecutive losses, with a losing record, are 30-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.
|
01-05-10 |
Chicago Bulls v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 187 |
|
108-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* NBA "Total" Blowout on Bulls/Bobcats UNDER 187 Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 40-15 the last 5 seasons. The average posted total in these games has been 185.8 and we are seeing an average combined total score of just 181.4. This system is already 1-0 this season. This one gets the nod as a "Total" Blowout because I like it to finish at least 10 points Under the number. In fact, the last time these two teams faced off in Charlotte, we saw just 176 total points scored. Bet the Under.
|
01-04-10 |
Atlanta Hawks -120 v. Miami Heat |
|
75-92 |
Loss |
-120 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Hawks pk Bottom Line: Both teams have lost 3 in a row so motivation will not be an issue on either side, but I'll side with the better team in this spot, which has had an extra day to rest. The Hawks have won 4 of the last 5 games in this matchup with those 4 wins all coming by 10 points or more. Plus, the Heat are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. We'll take the Hawks.
|
01-03-10 |
San Antonio Spurs -1 v. Toronto Raptors |
Top |
86-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Spurs -1 (still like it up to -4) Bottom Line: The Spurs have already defeated the Raptors by 7 points this season in a game that Duncan and Parker didn't play in. Both are expected in the lineup today, and with that in mind, I feel San Antonio should be laying more than 1-point here. Toronto is on a 1-12 ATS slide versus very good shooting teams making >=48% of their shots over the last 3 seasons and on a 1-6 ATS skid when playing on 0 day's rest. Take the Spurs again today.
|
01-02-10 |
San Antonio Spurs -5.5 v. Washington Wizards |
|
97-86 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
4* Major Saturday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -5.5 Bottom Line: The Spurs have defeated the Wizards 8 straight times by at least 7 points, and I expect this trend to continue tonight. Washington is in disarray on and off the court while the Spurs are playing their best ball of the season, winning 10 of their last 12 with 9 of those 10 wins coming by at least 7 points. Take the Spurs.
|
12-31-09 |
Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs -8 |
Top |
78-108 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Blowout of the Month on Spurs -8 Bottom Line: Tough spot for Miami here after losing a tough one in New Orleans last night, especially since it is going up against a Spurs team playing its best ball of the season. San Antonio has won 9 of its last 11 games, and it has owned the Heat at home, winning 10 of its last 12 against them in San Antonio. The Spurs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Southeast. Look for them to drop the hammer on Miami tonight.
|
12-30-09 |
Atlanta Hawks +6.5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers |
|
101-106 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Hawks +6.5 Bottom Line: It's normally good practice to take the team that lost in the first game of a home-and-home in the second, and that's what we'll do here as Cleveland is clearly being overvalued against a Hawks team hungry to avenge last night's loss. Plus, the Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Take the points.
|
12-29-09 |
Indiana Pacers +7 v. Chicago Bulls |
Top |
95-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division GOTY on Pacers +7 Bottom Line: I think the Bulls are getting too much respect with this line against a Pacers team extremely motivated to win after suffering 6 straight defeats. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, the Bulls are 2-10-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite, and just 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the points.
|
12-28-09 |
Washington Wizards +6 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
|
111-116 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Wizards +6 Bottom Line: We'll play against any team (Memphis) off a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog against an opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite as this situation is 31-8 ATS since 1996. This system in 12-3 ATS the last 5 seasons and already 2-0 ATS this season. Washington isn't getting enough respect here. Take the points.
|
12-27-09 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 209 |
Top |
104-96 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/Nuggets UNDER 209 Bottom Line: This matchup has seen 4 straight play to the Over, which has driven this number up, to create value in taking the Under. The public is all over the Over here which is precisely where the books want it to be. We'll go against the grain to cut into the house profits today. Consider that George Karl's teams are 22-7 Under in home games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1996 with the average combined score totaling just 194.5 in these spots. Expect Denver to do a better job of digging in defensively tonight. Bet the Under.
|
12-26-09 |
Los Angeles Lakers -5.5 v. Sacramento Kings |
Top |
112-103 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on LA Lakers -5.5 Bottom Line: I know the Lakers are playing back-to-back here, but they were embarrassed last night by the Cavs. Expect them to be extremely hungry in this spot against a team they defeated by 18 points the last time they visited. Here's the key: Plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are 31-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take LA.
|
12-25-09 |
Cleveland Cavaliers +5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
102-87 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Major Christmas Day Marquee Matchup (ABC) on Cavs +5 Bottom Line: This is a statement game for Cleveland to show that it belongs in the title discussion. The Cavs will especially be hungry to hand LA a loss here after losing both meetings last season. I expect Shaquille O'Neal to especially play with a chip on his shoulder as he goes up against his former team. The public is all over the Lakers here, but they have dropped 5 of their last 7 ATS. Plus, Cleveland is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 against LA. And lastly, the Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Cleveland.
|
12-23-09 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Denver Nuggets -3.5 |
|
104-124 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Major Wednesday NBA BLOOD BATH on Nuggets -3.5 Bottom Line: I'll back a rested Nuggets team at home, where it is 12-1 this season, in a highly motivated spot off back-to-back losses against a Hawks team that just played last night. Plus, Atlanta crushed Denver by 25 in Atlanta earlier this season and you can bet the Nuggets haven't forgotten. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take Denver.
|
12-23-09 |
Washington Wizards v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 202 |
Top |
109-97 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Wizards/Bucks UNDER 202 Bottom Line: Washington is 12-1 UNDER in a road game where the total opens between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The average total score in these games is 186.6. Plus, the UNDER is 4-1 in the Wizards' last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Pound the Under tonight.
|
12-22-09 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
108-111 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Thunder +9.5 Bottom Line: OKC is a perfect 10-0 ATS after a game where it failed to cover the spread this season. The Thunder are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. Plus, they will be looking to avenge a 16-point loss in LA last month. Expect OKC to keep this one close.
|
12-21-09 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 209 |
|
109-91 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 4 m |
Show
|
4* Major Monday NBA "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Suns UNDER 209 Bottom Line: The Suns have played to the Under in 9 of their last 11 games and I expect this trend to continue as odds makers continue to set the bar too high. Plus, plays Under on any team (CLEVELAND) - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-12 since 1996. This system is also 11-2 over the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.
|
12-18-09 |
Utah Jazz v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 206.5 |
Top |
83-96 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Friday NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Hawks UNDER 206.5 Bottom Line: Atlanta has been an Overs machine at home this season, but much of that is because of a favorable home slate to this point. Consider that Atlanta is 16-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons, with the average combined score totaling just 179.9 points in these games. The last 3 meetings in this matchup have gone Under and we'll ride that wave again here.
|
12-17-09 |
Phoenix Suns v. Portland Trail Blazers -2 |
|
102-105 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT Game of the Week on Blazers -2 Bottom Line: Portland is 9-4 at home this season and I expect it to defend its home court tonight. The Blazers have been dominant in the small chalk at 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. The Suns have lost 5 in a row on the road and are actually allowing 2.2 more points on the road than they are scoring while the Blazers are outscoring their opponents by 7.2 ppg at home. Take Portland.
|
12-16-09 |
Utah Jazz v. New Jersey Nets UNDER 200 |
Top |
108-92 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Nets UNDER 200 Bottom Line: This series has been an Unders machine with the Under going 10-3 in the last 13 meetings. Plus, New Jersey has been an Unders machine this season at 16-7-2 Under in all games with the average score totaling just 189.2 points. And lastly, the Under is 5-0 in the Nets' last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Bet the Under.
|
12-15-09 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 194 |
Top |
96-87 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Lakers/Bulls UNDER 194 Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CHICAGO) - cold team having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against a hot team having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 44-18 ATS the last 5 seasons. The books are cashing in big while the Lakers have played to the Under in 4 straight as the public continues to pound the Over. Last week, we cashed in on the Lakers Under twice, including our "Total" Blowout of the Month on the T-Wolves/Lakers Under on Friday night. We'll ride it again here.
|
12-14-09 |
Golden State Warriors v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 210 |
|
101-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major Monday NBA "Total" Blowout on Warriors/76ers UNDER 210 Bottom Line: The Warriors have gone Under in 4 straight, not even cracking the century mark in 3 of those games as they have not been the same high-scoring team away from home. The 76ers have been Under in 3 straight as they have failed to score more than 91 points during this stretch. Plus, Philly is 7-0 Under off a home loss this season. With all these factors in mind, these teams should struggle to reach the century mark tonight. Bet the Under.
|
12-12-09 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Utah Jazz UNDER 203.5 |
|
94-102 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Jazz UNDER 203.5 Bottom Line: I had the Under on this matchup Wednesday for an easy win. The books had the line set at 206.5 and we saw just 178 total points scored. Now the line is just 3 points lower and that is not enough of an adjustment to keep this one from going Under by double digits. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and I expect this trend to continue.
|
12-12-09 |
Phoenix Suns v. Denver Nuggets -8.5 |
Top |
99-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit Blood Bath Game of the Month on Nuggets -8.5 Bottom Line: After back-to-back road losses where the Nuggets failed to score 100 points, I expect them to really run up the score at home tonight against a tired Phoenix team. Denver is 9-1 at home where it is winning by 13.9 points on average. Phoenix is a terrible 6-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 100.9 to 111.5 while Denver is is 12-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 113 to 97.4. Take Denver as it takes this one by double digits.
|
12-11-09 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 201 |
Top |
92-104 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on T-Wolves/Lakers UNDER 201 Bottom Line: The public is all over the Over here, but the lowly T-Wolves have been an Unders machine. They have gone Under the number in 5 of their last 6 games and 10 of their last 13. In fact, Minnesota has played to the Under in 7 of 10 road games this season. Also, the Lakers have no real incentive to run up the score tonight as they play again tomorrow night in Utah to start a 5-game road trip and they'll want to be fresh for that. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in this series in Los Angeles. The Under is 34-15-2 in the Timberwolves last 51 overall and 6-0 in their last 6 road games. The Under is also 10-3-2 in the Lakers last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Pound the Under.
|
12-11-09 |
New York Knicks v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 209 |
|
113-96 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
3* Surefire on Knicks/Hornets UNDER 209 Bottom Line: The Under is 20-7 in the Hornets' last 27 home games and 21-5 in their last 26 Friday games. The odds makers have set the bar too high here. With as much of an Unders machine as the Hornets have been at home, I'll bet the Under tonight.
|
12-10-09 |
Boston Celtics v. Washington Wizards OVER 193.5 |
|
104-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Wizards OVER 193.5 Bottom Line: We've seen the last 4 meetings between these two teams sail over the number and I expect this trend to continue tonight. The Over is also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington between these two sides and 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Washington knows it can't beat the Celtics in the half court. The Wiz are well rested and I expect them to get out and run tonight to give them their best chance of winning. Bet the Over.
|
12-09-09 |
Utah Jazz v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 206.5 |
|
77-101 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Lakers UNDER 206.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers have done a good job of putting the clamps on defensively against the best teams in the league. In fact, the Lakers are 16-6 UNDER in home games versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Only 196.4 total points are being scored on average in these games. Bet the UNDER.
|
12-08-09 |
Phoenix Suns v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 215 |
|
101-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Suns/Mavs UNDER 215 Bottom Line: Both teams are struggling offensively as they are missing key players Leandro Barbosa and Josh Howard. The Suns are still getting overvalued because of the way they started the season and they are on a 5-0 run to the Under as a result. Looking back further, they are 9-2 Under their last 11. Plays Under on road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHOENIX); an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are 28-5 the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 2-0 this season and we'll ride it again here.
|
12-04-09 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Detroit Pistons -4 |
|
96-105 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* Major Friday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pistons -4 Bottom Line: The Bucks have the better record on the season, but they are only 2-6 on the road. They also defeated Detroit back on Halloween so the Pistons will be hungry to return the favor here. Detroit is 6-3 SU & ATS versus the Bucks the last 3 seasons, including 3-1 SU & ATS at home during this span. The favorite is now 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. I'll go against the public here and grab the Pistons at home.
|
12-02-09 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Washington Wizards -2.5 |
|
102-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Major Wednesday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Wizards -2.5 Bottom Line: The Bucks have lost 3 straight on the road and they were clearly pretenders while getting off to a fast start. Plus, they find themselves shorthanded tonight with Michael Redd out indefinitely (which really hurts) and both Luc Richard Mbah a Moute and Luke Ridnour listed as questionable. Washington has won 3 of 4 and I look for it to hold serve at home tonight. Plays against road teams (Bucks), a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) going up against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after a close win by 3 points or less, are 41-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the Wiz.
|
12-01-09 |
Phoenix Suns v. New York Knicks UNDER 225.5 |
|
99-126 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Suns/Knicks UNDER 225.5 Bottom Line: Mike D'Antoni is 13-2 Under after having lost 8 or more of his last 10 games as the coach of the Knicks. The average total combined score in these spots is 205 points. D'Antoni, who coached the Suns when they were one of the elite teams in the West, knows he doesn't have the talent to beat them in an uptempo contest. Plus, the Suns have the Cavs tomorrow night so they will look to rest players when possible. And also, their second unit takes a major hit without Leandro Barbosa. Lastly, the Under is 6-1-1 in the Suns last 8 games as a road favorite. Bet the Under.
|
11-27-09 |
New Jersey Nets +4.5 v. Sacramento Kings |
|
96-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Dog of the Week on Nets +4.5 Bottom Line: Nets don't want their name in the NBA record books for the worst start ever. The Nets are two losses shy of tying that mark heading into tonight's game. But if they lose tonight, they will match the record for the worst start in franchise history and they don
|
11-25-09 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 184 |
|
98-88 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
3* SUREFIRE on Cavs/Pistons UNDER 184 Bottom Line: Both of these teams are well rested and that means they will have plenty of energy for the defensive end. This series has been an Unders machine with 23 of the last 24 going Under the number. All 6 meetings at Detroit have gone Under the last 2 seasons and I expect this trend to continue tonight.
|
11-25-09 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Boston Celtics UNDER 189 |
Top |
110-113 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on 76ers/Celtics UNDER 189 Bottom Line: Philly just played a fast paced game last night and I don't see the 76ers putting many points on the board tonight against one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, especially when that team is well rested and coming off a game where it gave up 105 points. The Under is 6-0 in 76ers last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-0 in 76ers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Under is also 6-0 in Celtics last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Pound the Under.
|
11-20-09 |
Portland Trail Blazers -7.5 v. Golden State Warriors |
Top |
94-108 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Game of the Month on Blazers -7.5 Bottom Line: The injuries are piling up early for the Warriors and that leaves them at a huge disadvantage tonight. Portland has been money in the road chalk at 24-11 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons. Plus, the Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Friday games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Pacific Division, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Lay the number.
|
11-19-09 |
Utah Jazz v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 199.5 |
Top |
90-83 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Spurs UNDER 199.5 Bottom Line: Both of these teams just played last night so I highly doubt they will have the legs to carry this one over. But even if they were rested, I still think this number is way too high. It is almost certain that Ginobli and Parker will not play tonight. That takes away a good chunk of points and most all of San Antonio's transition game. That means we will likely see the Spurs play even slower than normal. Get ready for the old school San Antonio offense that gave the ball to Duncan on the block and watched him maneuver all game. The Spurs have played 4 straight to the Under when playing back-to-back and I expect this trend to continue. Really think this one goes Under by double digits.
|
11-18-09 |
Golden State Warriors v. Boston Celtics UNDER 210.5 |
Top |
95-109 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Week on Warriors/Celtics UNDER 210.5 Bottom Line: Perfect Unders situation in my opinion. The Warriors just played an uptempo game last night with a 7-man rotation so I can't seen them having the legs to run the full 48 minutes tonight. Plus, Boston is rested and ready to bounce back after being let down by its defense the last two games. Defense will be the focus tonight and I expect Boston to completely shut the Warriors down. Offensively, Boston prefers to play in the halfcourt. Boston holds the Warriors well under the century mark as the Under comes through.
|
11-17-09 |
Indiana Pacers v. New Jersey Nets +4.5 |
Top |
91-83 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Nets +4.5 Bottom Line: The Nets may be 0-10 on the season, but they are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games and they'll be especially hungry for their first win of the year tonight after playing Miami to a 1-point game last time out. During New Jersey's 4-1 ATS stretch, it has played Philly to a 3-point game twice in addition to its 1-point loss to Miami. Both of those teams are better than the Pacers and 2 of those games were on the road. Indiana is coming off a big upset win over Boston so this one has letdown written all over it for the Pacers as well. The Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less points. Take the Nets.
|
11-13-09 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets -4 |
Top |
79-105 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Nuggets -4 Bottom Line: Extremely tough spot for the Lakers traveling to play back-to-back here against a Nuggets team coming off a bad loss to Milwaukee and happy to be back home after a long road trip. Plus, the Nuggets will be out for revenge here after getting knocked out of the playoffs by LA last season. Pau Gasol is still expected to be out and that leaves the Lakers shorthanded against a deep and athletic Nuggets squad. The Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and we'll back them in a very strong spot tonight.
|
11-12-09 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Miami Heat UNDER 180.5 |
|
111-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Total on Cavs/Heat UNDER 180.5 Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for a Cavs team that just exacted revenge on the Magic last night. I can't see Cleveland getting up for this game the same way and that breathes life into the Under tonight. Both of these teams prefer to play a more half court style of hoops and the result has been combined 12-3 Under tally this season. The Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Miami. The Under is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 games as a favorite, 6-0 in Heat last 6 games playing on 1 days rest, 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog, 5-0 in Heat last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, and 4-0 in Heat last 4 home games. Bet the Under.
|
11-11-09 |
Golden State Warriors v. Indiana Pacers OVER 222 |
Top |
94-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Warriors/Pacers OVER 222 Bottom Line: We've seen each of the last 3 meetings in this matchup produce total scores of 237 or higher and with Golden State allowing 121.5 ppg on the road this season I expect another high scoring affair tonight. Plus, plays Over on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (Pacers) - extremely well rested team playing 5 or less games in 14 days against an opponent - extremely tired team playing its 3rd game in 4 days, are 23-3 the last 5 seasons. Bet the Over.
|
11-10-09 |
Denver Nuggets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 204.5 |
|
90-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Nuggets/Bulls UNDER 204.5 Bottom Line: The Bulls are only scoring 88.5 ppg and allowing just 85.3 ppg at home this season. Look for Chicago to control the tempo tonight to keep this one well under the number. Plays Under on road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200; an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a blowout loss by 20 points or more, are 23-4 since 1996. Gotta take the Under here.
|
11-09-09 |
Utah Jazz v. New York Knicks +6 |
|
95-93 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* Major Upset Special on Knicks +6 Bottom Line: I fully expect the Knicks to win this one straight up tonight against a Jazz team that has typically struggled away from home in recent years. In fact, NY is 2-0 SU & ATS at home versus Utah the last 2 seasons and a perfect 4-0 ATS in all meetings the last 2 seasons. Utah is 0-2 SU & ATS on the road this season and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games. Take the Knicks.
|
11-06-09 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Minnesota Timberwolves -2 |
|
87-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Side Slaughter on T-Wolves -2 Bottom Line: Can't see the Bucks winning on the road tonight without go-to guy Michael Redd in the lineup. The Wolves have covered 4 of 5 this season, playing everyone down to the wire but Cleveland. This young and talented Minnesota team will draw a great deal of confidence from a narrow 2-point defeat to the Celtics, the team most experts think is the best in the NBA right now, last game. The Timberwolves are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss while the Bucks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss loss. Plus, the Bucks are 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take the T-Wolves.
|
11-06-09 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 187 |
Top |
87-72 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Bucks/T-Wolves UNDER 187 Bottom Line: I liked the Under when this one was at 184.5 and I love it now that it has rose to 187. Minnesota has been over the century mark only once this season and that came against the uptempo Suns. The Wolves have scored 90 or fewer points in 3 of 5 games and the Bucks have been under 86 points in 2 of 3 games. The Under is 13-3 in the Timberwolves last 16 home games and 23-7 in their last 30 overall. I'll take the Under here.
|
11-05-09 |
Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 187.5 |
|
86-85 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Total on Bulls/Cavs UNDER 187.5 Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (Cavs); good team outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, against a team that scored 90 points or less last game and that team's opponent scored 90 points or less last game as well, are 41-16 the last 5 seasons. The Under is also 12-4 in the Cavaliers last 16 vs. the NBA Central. Take the Under.
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11-04-09 |
Los Angeles Lakers -1.5 v. Houston Rockets |
|
103-102 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
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4* Major on Lakers -1.5 Bottom Line: Look for the Lakers to get their first cover of the season as the Rockets miss Artest, who is now on the other side, in this one. The Lakers are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Houston. Lay the small number.
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11-04-09 |
Boston Celtics v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 186 |
Top |
92-90 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on Celtics/T-Wolves UNDER 186 Bottom Line: The Under is 22-7 in the Timberwolves last 29 overall as this team has really struggled offensively. I can't see Minnesota getting much of anything tonight against a strong Celtics defense. The Under is also 5-0 in the Timberwolves last 5 games as a home underdog. While I expect Boston to shut down the Wolves, it doesn't have any incentive to run up the score. Boston is playing a back-to-back so expect Doc not to over extend his starters' minutes. This one comes in way Under.
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11-04-09 |
Phoenix Suns +8 v. Orlando Magic |
|
100-122 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
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4* Major on Suns +8 Bottom Line: This line is representative of last year's Suns and not the team we have seen in the early going. Nash is playing great and the Suns should be getting more respect here, especially since the Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take the points.
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11-03-09 |
Utah Jazz v. Dallas Mavericks -5.5 |
|
85-96 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
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4* Major Tuesday Night NBA *DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH* on Mavericks -5.5 Bottom Line: I'll take a rested Dallas team at home against a Utah team that just played last night as Utah is only 5-16 ATS when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 109.1 to 101.5. The Jazz are also 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Conversely, Dallas have been great when rested, going 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 2 days rest. Lastly, the home team is a terrific 21-5-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Take Dallas.
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11-02-09 |
Houston Rockets v. Utah Jazz -7.5 |
|
113-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
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3* NBA Game of the Night on Jazz -7.5 The Jazz are 102-22 at home since the start of the 2006-07 season and they are 31-6 at home in their last 37 against the Rockets. Expect Utah's home dominance to continue against a Houston team lacking the star power to compete tonight. The Jazz are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 13-3 ATS in home games off a home win while scoring 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 108.2 to 92.5. Take Utah.
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10-30-09 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Minnesota Timberwolves +12 |
|
104-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
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3* SUREFIRE on T-Wolves +12 Bottom Line: We have a lot going for us here. This line is inflated due to Clevland's results from a season ago and the public have taken the bait thinking that the Cave will finally snap out of it tonight. While I do think Cleveland finally gets its first win of the season here, I don't expect it to cover this generous number. It's going to take time for the Cavs to adjust to life with Shaq both offensively and defensively and that is why you see Cleveland 0-2 out of the gate. The Timberwolves are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. Take the points.
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10-30-09 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers -1 |
|
96-83 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
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3* SUREFIRE on Pacers -1 Bottom Line: The home team is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and I expect this trend to continue. Indiana is 4-0 at home against the Heat the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 9 points per game. Take Indy at home tonight to get their first win of the year.
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10-29-09 |
San Antonio Spurs -4 v. Chicago Bulls |
Top |
85-92 |
Loss |
-102 |
11 h 51 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy TNT Prime Time Pounder on Spurs -4 Bottom Line: The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup and a dominant 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. Plus, the road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Spurs have won 4 straight in this series over the last 3 seasons by at least 5 points each time, with 3 of those wins coming by at least 10 points. San Antonio looked good last night in blowing out the Hornets and I like them to continue their dominance over Chicago here. The starters played low minutes last night so tired legs should not be an issue and the new acquisitions add even more quality depth to an already deep Spurs 2nd unit. Lay the number.
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10-28-09 |
New York Knicks v. Miami Heat UNDER 207 |
|
93-115 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA "Total" Line Mistake on Knicks/Heat UNDER 207 Bottom Line: This line is set for the 2008-09 Knicks and not the 2009-10 team which has placed a much bigger emphasis on defense. In fact, the under is 11-1 in the Knicks last 12 vs. the Eastern Conference as it so often faced inflated lines. The Under is also 10-2 in the Knicks last 12 games as an underdog and 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in this matchup in Miami. In the preseason, Miami averaged a total of 181.5 points in its games and New York averaged a total of 193.5 points in its games. I'll take the under here.
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10-27-09 |
Boston Celtics +4.5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers |
|
95-89 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
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4* Major TNT Prime Time Pounder on Celtics +4.5 Bottom Line: This is a statement game for the Celtics to show Cleveland that adding Shaq is not enough to get past them this season. Shaq still has a big name in the NBA but I'm beginning to question the size of his game. There will certainly be kinks to work out in the offense in the early going. This current Boston team has played with each other for 2 years now and it adds Rasheed Wallace to give the second group an offensive lift. The Celtics enter the season 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 45-19-1 ATS in their last 65 games as a road underdog period. Take the C's tonight as I like them to win this one outright.
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06-14-09 |
Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 v. Orlando Magic |
Top |
99-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 5 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +3.5 The Lakers delivered a dagger to the heart of the Magic with their Game 4 OT win and I like them to take home the title tonight. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando, the Road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the Underdog is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Lakers are 24-8-2 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog while the Magic are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Orlando hangs tough for the majority of this game, but in the end the Lakers just have too many weapons. Plus, you can underestimate the added motivation that Mickael Pietrus gave the Lakers by putting two fists in the back of Gasol. Take the points.
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06-11-09 |
Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 v. Orlando Magic |
Top |
99-91 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy 2009 NBA Finals *BLOOD BATH* of the Year on Lakers +2.5 The Lakers are 6-0 SU and ATS off a loss this postseason, winning by an average margin of 16.8 ppg in these spots. With Kobe out to prove he hasn't hit a wall, I have no doubts the Lakers bounce back strong with a win tonight. Pound LA!
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06-09-09 |
Los Angeles Lakers +4 v. Orlando Magic |
|
104-108 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
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4* Major Gm 3 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +4 I like the Lakers to win a close one in Orlando tonight as they get a huge confidence boost from winning Game 2 without playing their best. Plays against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. an opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 38-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. In this spot, the double revenge does not go in Orlando's favor. Take the points!
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06-09-09 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 198.5 |
Top |
104-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Total of the Year on Lakers/Magic UNDER 198.5 Plays under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 36-11 the last 5 seasons. Expect to see another Under tonight as the defensive intensity is high in this one.
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06-07-09 |
Orlando Magic v. Los Angeles Lakers -6.5 |
Top |
96-101 |
Loss |
-106 |
22 h 37 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy Game 2 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers -6.5 Kobe Bryant and the Lakers are hungry for a title after being denied last season. There's no way they lose Game 2 at home to give the Magic any inkling of hope. You have to expect the Magic to shoot better than they did in Game 1, but I don't expect it to be a night and day difference. LA's defense was responsible for Orlando's poor shooting and that "D" is not going anywhere. LA will make Dwight Howard beat them from the free throw line (the weakest part of his game) and it will chase the rest of the Magic off the three point line with hard close outs. Plays On Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against an opponent that just scored 80 points or less are 41-16 ATS since 1996. Bet the Lakers.
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06-04-09 |
Orlando Magic v. Los Angeles Lakers -6 |
Top |
75-100 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 1 BLOOD BATH on Lakers -6 The experience gained in last year's Finals loss to the Celtics gives LA a big edge in Game 1 against a Magic team that has not been here before. Another huge key that not many will talk about is the layoff in between series. In this case, it hurts the Magic more as it has cooled them off, while it has helped the more veteran Lakers, who have thrived with extra rest. In fact, LA is 8-1 ATS when playing only its 2nd game in 7 days this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 110.9 to 96.3. Cash in with the Lakers!
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05-30-09 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Orlando Magic -2 |
Top |
90-103 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 0 m |
Show
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5* Game 6 *BLOOD BATH* (TNT) on Magic -2 There's no way the Magic let this thing go back to Cleveland for a Game 7. Orlando have outplayed the Cavs in this series and LeBron won't get enough help tonight to get the job done. Here's the key: The Magic are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last 5 home games against the Cavs and 10-1 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Magic.
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05-29-09 |
Los Angeles Lakers +5.5 v. Denver Nuggets |
Top |
119-92 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 60 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* of the Week on Lakers +5.5 Denver was left crying about the officiating after Game 5 and also questioned the decision of their coaching staff to double Kobe Bryant all over the floor as he was able to find his teammates time and time again. I dare the Nuggets to play Kobe straight up tonight because they can kiss their season goodbye if they do. These points are just too good to refuse with LA heading into Game 6 extremely confident, especially X-factor Lamar Odom, who is coming off his best game of the postseason. I'll back the best road team in the NBA tonight as the Lakers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Bet the Lakers!
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