Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-23-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +3 | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have rallied to go up 2-1 in this series. But I don't see a significant talent gap between these two teams. The Timberwolves, in fact, have three of the four best players on the court in Karl-Anthony Towns, Anthony Edwards and D'Angelo Russell. The strength of Memphis is its depth. But that's not such a factor here early in the postseason. This series has a certain Zig-Zag feel to it. The Timberwolves should be the more fired-up team after letting a 26-point lead slip away in Game 3 and trying to protect home-court. That was Minnesota's playoff inexperience showing in blowing that lead. The Timberwolves should learn from that to maintain their intensity. Towns had a monster Game 1. He's been quiet the past two games. He's the best big man on the court by far and is due for another huge performance. |
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04-23-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +3.5 | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
This line would be quite different if the Raptors didn't blow a 17-point lead and lose, 104-101, in overtime to the 76ers at home this past Wednesday. That put Toronto down 3-0 in the series. So obviously the Raptors are in must-win mode being on the verge of elimination. The 76ers never led in regulation during Game 3. It was a tough beat for those taking plus two like myself because the 76ers won by three when Joel Embiid made a 3-pointer with less than a second left. I have confidence in Nick Nurse, though. I trust his Raptors will come out and play hard while the 76ers have to be feeling very fat after stealing Game 3. There's a good chance the Raptors get star rookie Scottie Barnes back for this matchup. He's missed the last two games with an ankle injury. Embiid, meanwhile, is dealing with a sore right thumb. He's expected to play, but he was wearing a brace on his right hand and thumb during Friday's practice. He might have a torn ligament in his thumb. |
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04-22-22 | Capitals -1.5 v. Coyotes | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Unless they're playing the Blackhawks, the Coyotes aren't even competitive. They are 2-14 in their last 16 games. One of those victories was against the Blackhawks. The other win came against the Sharks. Arizona just lost by one goal to Chicago in its last game this past Wednesday. The Coyotes lost all the other games during this span by multiple goals. Arizona has lost eight in a row with six of those defeats occurring by four or more goals. The Coyotes have been outscored by 34 goals during their last eight games. The Capitals should be in a kill mood after a tough 4-3 overtime loss to the Golden Knights two days ago. The Capitals are one of the best road teams in the league. They are 7-2 in their last nine away contests. Washington is fighting for playoff seeding so this game has meaning.
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04-20-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +2 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
Even though they are down 2-0 in their series against the 76ers, I see no panic from the Raptors and their coach, Nick Nurse. I like Nurse a lot. Enough to feel confident backing the Raptors to beat the 76ers in Game 3 now that they are back in Toronto after losing the first two games in Philadelphia. Even though the Raptors are more banged-up than the 76ers, I don't see a talent gap between the two teams. Toronto actually outscored the 76ers by nine points during the fourth quarter of Game 2. Nurse is known for making shrewd adjustments and the Raptors should be super intense while the 76ers can't help but subconsciously let up. The 76ers failed to cover in their last five regular season road games. They also are 1-5 ATS during their last six visits to Toronto. |
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04-19-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6.5 | 96-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Still fresh from their play-in game victory against the Clippers, the Timberwolves ambushed the rusty Grizzlies in Game 1. Memphis hadn't played in six days before losing, 130-117, this past Saturday to Minnesota. I don't expect the Grizzlies to go down 0-2 in the series losing both games at home. The Timberwolves are much improved. But the Grizzlies did win the second-most games in the NBA. They are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games even with that first game loss. Minnesota was 2-8 ATS the past 10 times as a road 'dog before surprising Memphis. The Timberwolves pulled down 11 more rebounds and were more physical than the Grizzlies in Game 1. Memphis isn't going to be intimidated at home. Grizzlies big man Steven Adams is a much better defender than he showed in Game 1. I see a physical, intense all-out effort from the Grizzlies to even this series while the Timberwolves, in the playoffs for only the second time in the last 18 years, are fat and happy having accomplished getting a split in Memphis. |
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04-19-22 | Wild v. Canadiens +1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Wild are in danger of suffering a letdown after clinching a playoff spot this past Sunday during their last game. All of Minnesota's last three games have been decided by one goal. The Wild would be 0-4 in their last four road games if laying 1 1/2 goals. Montreal shouldn't lack motivation and effort after an embarrassing, 8-4, home loss to the Capitals in their last game this past Saturday. The Canadiens have not been playing well, but they are capable of getting up for big games. They upset the Lightning as larger underdogs than this earlier this month. |
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04-18-22 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Coyotes | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
Arizona has become an auto-fade on the puck line. The combination of injuries, inexperience and just wanting to get their season finished have rendered the Coyotes noncompetitive. The Coyotes are 2-13 in their last 15 games with their only victories during this time frame coming against non-playoff teams the Blackhawks and Sharks. Arizona has lost six in a row. All of these defeats have been by at least four goals! In fact, 12 of the Coyotes' last 13 losses have occurred by multiple goals. The Hurricanes can't afford to sleep against the Coyotes being in a tight race with the Rangers for the Metropolitan Division title. Carolina has beaten the Coyotes during seven of their last nine visits. |
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04-16-22 | Raptors +4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 111-131 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
The 76ers finished ahead of the Raptors during the regular season, but I'm far from convinced they are the superior team. Toronto went 3-1 against the 76ers during the regular season covering all four games. The latest was on April 7 in Toronto. Despite missing OG Anunoby and Fred VanVleet, the Raptors defeated the 76ers, 119-114. VanVleet is Toronto's second-leading scorer and top assists guy. Anunoby is fourth in scoring on the Raptors. Toronto is 24-17 on the road. That's the same record as the 76ers' home mark. The Raptors have covered seven of their last nine road games and are 26-9 (74 percent) ATS the last 35 times when playing an opponent with a winning record. The Raptors enter this matchup 8-1 excluding a meaningless regular-season finale loss to the Knicks. Both teams haven't played in six days. I give the Raptors a coaching edge with Nick Nurse against Doc Rivers.
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04-13-22 | Kings v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 105 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
This is a kill spot for the Avalanche. Colorado is tied with Florida for the most points in the NHL at 110. The Avalanche have won six in a row. They've been idle since Saturday. The Kings halted a three-game losing streak with a 5-2 victory against the hapless Blackhawks Tuesday night. The Kings' reward? They go into high altitude to face the rested and ready Avalanche. Not only are the Kings playing without rest, but it's their third game in four days and they have a cluster injury problem on defense. One of the defensemen out for LA is Drew Doughty. The Avalanche has dominated the Kings winning the past eight times against them. |
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04-12-22 | Clippers +3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 104-109 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
I like the way the Clippers are playing. LA has won five in a row beating the Bucks and Suns during this span. Paul George has looked great in five games since returning from a 3-month elbow injury. Norman Powell has looked good, too, this month after missing March with a foot injury. The Clippers have that needed postseason experience reaching the Western Conference Finals last season. Minnesota last competed in the postseason four years ago. The Clippers have held their last four opponents to 98 points a game. The Timberwolves have allowed 128 points to their last seven foes. LA is 3-1 against Minnesota this season winning those games by an average of more than 19 points. |
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04-08-22 | Cavs +8.5 v. Nets | 107-118 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Playoff seedings are at stake here. So the Cavaliers are going to be up for this game. That's enough reason for me to stay on the fade-the-Nets-as-chalk bandwagon. How bad have the Nets been against the spread whey laying points at home? They are 1-20 ATS the last 21 as home favorites! If taking more than eight points, the Cavaliers would have covered 73 percent of their last 22 games. |
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04-07-22 | Blazers +17 v. Pelicans | 94-127 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
I understand it's difficult to get behind the decimated Trail Blazers, losers of 18 of their last 20 games, even with a point spread in this range. But the Pelicans are not some elite team and this isn't a kill spot for them. New Orleans has clinched a spot in the play-in tournament. The Pelicans will meet the Spurs in that game. The Pelicans also haven't been at home since March 27. They just concluded a four-game West Coast trip and then go right back on the road to play the Grizzlies in Memphis on Saturday. So focus could be an issue for them. The Pelicans also could be minus their best big man as Jonas Valanciunas is questionable with an ankle injury.
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04-06-22 | Thunder +17.5 v. Jazz | 101-137 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
We've been down this road before with Oklahoma City. The Thunder have been tremendous this season on the road and as an underdog. The pattern fits again in this matchup especially with the Jazz slipping past the Grizzlies, 121-115 in overtime, last night. That victory clinched a playoff spot in the top six for Utah. The Thunder are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 away contests. They have covered eight of the last 10 times when getting points. Utah is 1-6-1 ATS the past eight times when playing without rest. The Jazz host the Suns Friday. So the backdoor should swing open if Utah were to build a big early lead.
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04-06-22 | Nets -6 v. Knicks | 110-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The Nets have been far better on the road this season and they'll be taking the Knicks seriously in this matchup. Brooklyn is battling for playoff positioning. The Knicks are out of playoff contention and don't have their best player, injured Julius Randle. The last time the Knicks played an opponent this good was six games ago. The Nets have defeated the Knicks during the past six times. Brooklyn didn't play well in a 118-105 home win against the Rockets last night. But Kyrie Irving did break out of his shooting slump. I'm expecting the Nets to play better against New York. The Nets are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road contests, while the Knicks have only covered two of their last 12 home games. |
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04-06-22 | Mavs v. Pistons +8.5 | Top | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
The Mavericks are coming off a highly-satisfying, 118-112, road upset win against the Bucks. So a letdown could be in store. The Mavericks encounter the hottest point spread team in the league - the Pistons. Detroit is an amazing 19-3 ATS in its last 22 games. The Pistons are 8-1 ATS as a home 'dog and 10-1 ATS versus above .500 opponents. So have to ride the Pistons while they are this point spread-hot.
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04-05-22 | Bucks -4.5 v. Bulls | Top | 127-106 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show |
The Bucks dominate the Bulls when playing in Chicago covering 10 of the last 11 times. Look for that trend to hold up in this meeting. Milwaukee is in circle-the-wagons mode having lost two in a row, both at home. The Bucks are at full strength and are at their best laying points on the road covering seven of the past nine times as road chalk. The Bulls are struggling defensively and are only 1-10 ATS the past 11 times when taking on foes with a winning percentage above .600. The Bulls have allowed an average of 128.5 points during their last two games. Milwaukee has beaten the Bulls in all three games this season, including 126-98 on March 22 during the past meeting. |
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04-05-22 | Rockets +18 v. Nets | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
Not even against the Rockets can the Nets get away with trying to cover this large of a spread. Brooklyn just isn't playing well right now. The Nets are 11-22 in their last 33 games. This includes going just 8-7 since superstar Kevin Durant returned from a knee injury. The Nets are 17-21 at home. They are a dreadful 4-23 ATS as a home favorite. Kyrie Irving can play in home games now, but he's in a shooting slump making just 26.6 percent of his last 105 shots from the floor during the past five games. The Rockets have been competitive lately going 2-4. Their four losses during this span have come by a combined 18 points for an average loss of six points. |
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04-05-22 | Cavs v. Magic +8.5 | 115-120 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
Realistically, the Cavaliers really don't have much to play for as they just about are locked in as one of the play-in tournament teams in the Eastern Conference. Cleveland isn't playing well with six losses in its last eight games. The Cavaliers continue to be missing their two best big men and keys to their defense with Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley both out. So taking this many points with the home 'dog Magic makes sense. Orlando is on a six-game losing skid, but is a more respectable 9-10 ATS in its last 19 games. The Magic should be counted on to provide an all-out effort after being embarrassed by 30 points by the Knicks this past Sunday. The Magic are coached by Jamahl Mosley, who is a former Cavaliers assistant. Cleveland has failed to cover the past four times when favored and is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games against Orlando. |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas -4 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 31 m | Show |
Despite all the upsets, the NCAA Tournament championship game comes down to two familiar teams - North Carolina and Kansas. No surprise the Jayhawks have reached the title game being the No. 1 Midwest seed. Kansas deserves to be here. The Jayhawks rank in the top 30 in scoring and have the 20th best 3-point defense. They blew out Villanova in their semifinal game Saturday. The Jayhawks can be devastating both in the paint and from the perimeter. North Carolina isn't as strong defensively and relies on its 3-point shooting. So this isn't a good matchup, nor spot, for the Tar Heels. North Carolina has way overachieved being a No. 8 seed. The Tar Heels reached their pinnacle with an upset semifinal victory against arch-rival Duke. Each of the Tar Heels' last five defeats have come by nine or more points. So a Kansas blowout would not be a surprise. |
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04-04-22 | Coyotes v. Blues -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Arizona is out of playoff contention. Yet the Coyotes still could be fat and happy having upset the Blackhawks, 3-2, in overtime on the road Sunday. The Coyotes are without their top goal scorer and points leader, injured Clayton Keller. Arizona is 2-7 in its last nine games. The Blues are an overtime loss to the Oilers away from being 4-0 in their last four games. |
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04-03-22 | Pelicans +2.5 v. Clippers | 100-119 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
The Clippers are well satisfied coming off a franchise regular season scoring record in a 153-119 victory against the Bucks, who rested their three best players. That win clinched a playoff spot for the Clippers. The Pelicans are 3 1/2 games out of the eighth playoff spot. New Orleans has really come on especially on the road covering 12 of its last 15 away contests. CJ McCollum has been a great and underrated addition to the Pelicans.
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04-02-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Duke | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 50 h 29 m | Show | |
Duke often is overvalued. I find that to be the case once again here. The Tar Heels knocked off Duke, 94-81, as 11-point road 'dogs on March 5 in Mike Krzyzewski's final home game. So I'm not buying into the Tar Heels being an underdog in New Orleans on a neutral court. If Duke were laying four or more points to North Carolina during the team's past 10 meetings, the Blue Devils would be 2-8 ATS. North Carolina has come on strong, winning 16 of its last 19 games. The Tar Heels have defeated many elite foes during this span, not just Duke. Among North Carolina's victories were wins against UCLA, Baylor, Virginia, Syracuse, Virginia Tech, Clemson, Marquette and surprising St. Peter's. Duke ranks 13th in the nation in field goal percentage at 48.9 percent. Yet Duke has shot far better during its four NCAA Tournament games never dipping below 52 percent from the floor. The Blue Devils are shooting a combined 53.8 percent from the floor during their last four games. I can't see Duke sustaining that sizzling shooting especially given the tough shooting environment in the spacious New Orleans Superdome. The Tar Heels have stepped up their defense, too, holding their last two opponents - St. Peter's and UCLA - to a combined average of 57.5 points. |
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04-01-22 | Raptors v. Magic +10.5 | Top | 102-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Toronto needs to be careful here. The Raptors are fat and happy having just concluded a 4-0 homestand with the last two games being a blowout of the Timberwolves and a huge overtime win against the Celtics. Now the Raptors take to the road to face the lowly Magic. The last time the Raptors were on the road they lost by 14 points to the Bulls on March 21. Orlando has covered six of the last eight times it has been a 'dog. Toronto is 4-10 ATS the past 14 times playing below .400 opponents. Both meetings this season have been close. The Raptors edged the Magic, 110-109, back in late October and Orlando defeated the Raptors, 103-97, on March 4. |
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03-31-22 | Clippers v. Bulls -3.5 | Top | 130-135 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show |
Paul George played for the first time in three-plus months against the Jazz this past Tuesday helping the Clippers defeat Utah. LA rallied from 25 points to win, 121-115. George looked great in scoring 34 points in 31 minutes. Three things about that, though. The game was played in LA. The Clippers had lost five in a row before that victory and George still may not have his full conditioning. The Clippers are 1-5 in their last six road games, 2-4 ATS, with their lone victory during this span coming against the lowly Pistons by four points. The Clippers lost by 12 points to the Nuggets and by 29 to the Jazz during their past two away contests. If George isn't at peak efficiency - and it's hard to imagine he would be playing in just his second game back - the Bulls would have the three best players on the court in DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine and Nikola Vucevic. Chicago is 26-10 at home. The Bulls are 23-7 ATS the past 30 times as a home favorite. They beat the Raptors by 14 points and Cavaliers by 10 during their last two home contests. The Clippers are 16-23 on the road. They are 1-6 ATS the past seven times when facing an above .500 team. |
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03-30-22 | Hawks v. Thunder +12.5 | 136-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
The Hawks aren't some elite team that can cover margins like this. In fact, their point spread record is terrible given these circumstances while the Thunder have a tremendous ATS mark. Atlanta is 2-12 ATS following a victory. The Hawks have failed to cover in seven of their last nine road games. Twice in the last three weeks the Hawks have been favored by double-digits. They didn't cover either time. The Hawks are not playing well defensively giving up 116.5 points during their last five games. Oklahoma City has the second-best point spread mark in the NBA at 46-25-4 for 65 percent. The Thunder have multiple injuries, but can be counted on to play hard. The Hawks host the Cavaliers on Thursday and then host the Nets on Saturday. Those are more challenging games for the Hawks. So the backdoor could swing open for the Thunder if the Hawks were to build a big lead.
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03-29-22 | Pistons +14 v. Nets | 123-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
It just may be the best angle going in the NBA: The Detroit Pistons are 15-1 ATS the past 16 times as an underdog for 94 percent! The Nets are a terrible home favorite covering only five of the past 28 times in that role for 18 percent. This is enough for me to ride the Pistons and fade the Nets.
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah +8 v. Fresno State | Top | 48-67 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
I understand why Fresno State is such a large favorite here. The Bulldogs are an elite defensive team, playing at home and going against a Big Sky Conference opponent. But that doesn't mean this point spread is right. Southern Utah is on a roll having fun and enjoying one of its finest seasons with a 23-11 mark. The Thunderbirds have been sizzling in reaching the semifinals of The Basketball Classic by averaging 80.6 points in posting victories against Kent State, UTEP and Portland. The Thunderbirds are 89-for-161 from the floor in the tournament shooting 55.2 percent from the field. The Thunderbirds averaged 78.8 points during the regular season, 26th-best in the country and 13 points more per game than Fresno State. The Bulldogs are one of the top defensive teams in the country. But they haven't demonstrated that during the tournament giving up 71 and 74 points during their last two games after holding foes to an average of 58.4 points entering this tournament. Fresno State hasn't been playing that well going 5-7 in its last 12 games. The Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS the past six times as a home favorite and 2-9 ATS the last 11 times when facing an above .500 opponent.
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03-28-22 | Magic +9.5 v. Cavs | 101-107 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
The Magic are proving feisty in this role covering five of the last six times they've been an underdog. Cleveland's defense has slipped a great deal since big man Jarrett Allen was lost due to injury. Bottom line here is that the Cavaliers aren't playing well enough to lay this large of a number. They are 3-6 SU in their last nine games. It has been 20 games since the Cavaliers last won a game by more than nine points.
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03-27-22 | Hornets +7 v. Nets | Top | 119-110 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
This handicap is simple. The Hornets are playing well and have been huge money-makers on the road. The Nets are off a big Saturday night road victory against the Heat. They are at their point spread worst as a home favorite. Charlotte is 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS in its last seven games. Among the Hornets' victories during this span are wins against the Jazz, Mavericks and Hawks. Charlotte is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 road contests. Brooklyn has performed much better away from home. The Nets are 16-19 at home. The Hornets have a better road mark at 18-18 than Brooklyn does at home. |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -5.5 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a bad matchup for Miami due to Kansas' height, athleticism and transition defense. The Hurricanes thrive in transition. That's not going to happen against the Jayhawks, though. Providence hung against Kansas in its 66-61 loss this past Friday, by getting 16 offensive rebounds. Miami doesn't have the size to do that. The Hurricanes aren't good rebounders on either side of the court ranking 311th in defensive rebounds. Kansas is plus 32 on the boards during the NCAA Tournament. Miami will need to make its share of 3-pointers. That hasn't been happening for the Hurricanes. They are 13-of-40 from beyond the arc during the tournament. |
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03-26-22 | Arkansas +4 v. Duke | Top | 69-78 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
Arkansas has knocked off outstanding teams all season, culminating with the Razorbacks taking down Gonzaga. All the Razorbacks do is win games - 18-3 in their last 21 - and cover spreads - 15-5-1 ATS during this span. I get the Mike Krzyewski narrative that things are fated for the Blue Devils to win the national championship in this Krzyewski's final season. I admit, too, that I get a little suspicious whenever I see a referee smile at Krzyewski. But I have to go with my numbers and matchup analysis. And it doesn't add up to the Blue Devils being favorites in this point spread range let alone favorites at all. Duke bettors often have to deal with inflated lines. The Blue Devils have failed to cover seven of their last nine NCAA Tournament games. Duke is as talented as ever. The Blue Devils don't have that much experience, though. Musselman devised an effective plan to limit Gonzaga star Chet Holmgren. The Razorbacks held Holmgren to 11 points. They held the Zags to nearly 20 points below their season average. Musselman has had a day and a half to come up with something to thwart Duke star Paolo Bachero. I trust him and I trust Arkansas' defense. |
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03-25-22 | Knicks v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
This is my NBA March Game of the Month. The 31-42 Knicks are back to being a bottom-feeder this season. The only way they can win is to catch an opponent in a letdown spot. That's what the Knicks did on Wednesday upsetting the Hornets. But that's not the situation in this matchup. The Heat are in stop-the-pain mode having lost two in a row. They are especially angry after falling to the short-handed Warriors, 118-104, at home this past Wednesday. Miami is going to be up for this matchup. The Heat are healthy. The Knicks are not. New York has been without Julius Randle, its best player, and center Mitchell Robinson. Randle, who leads the Knicks in scoring, rebounding and assists, has a quad injury. The Knicks are not in a hurry to rush him back into the lineup with their season down the drain. If Randle remains out, the Heat would field the three best players on the court in Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo and Kyle Lowery. It's an added bonus if Tyler Herro returns to Miami's lineup. The Heat have owned the Knicks recently covering eight of the past 10 meetings. Miami has defeated New York five consecutive times, including twice this season by a combined 29 points. |
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03-25-22 | Jazz -3.5 v. Hornets | 101-107 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
There's too much of a class difference here. Utah is a top-five Western Conference club. The Hornets are a mediocre .500 type Eastern Conference team. I don't see the Hornets staying close in this matchup. Utah should be fired-up after an embarrassing, 125-97, setback to the Celtics in Boston two days ago. The Celtics have been sizzling. The Hornets are not in that class and usually acquit themselves poorly at home where they are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games. The Jazz took care of the Hornets, 112-02, at home on Dec. 20 in the first meeting this season. The Hornets have a poor history when stepping up against steep competition going 7-18-2 ATS versus opponents with a winning percentage above .600.
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03-24-22 | Pacers +12.5 v. Grizzlies | 103-133 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
You can't blame the Grizzlies for being fat and happy. They've won six of their last seven and just defeated the Nets, 132-120, without their best player, Ja Morant, last night. You can't blame the Grizzlies either if they are overconfident for this game against the 25-48 Pacers. The teams just met nine days ago and the Grizzlies buried the Pacers, 135-102, shooting 51 percent from the floor. Memphis was a 6 1/2-point road favorite in that game. Now the line is nearly doubled. I don't believe that is justified. The Pacers not only have short revenge, but they should be fired up after having their two-game win streak end in heartbreaking fashion with a one-point home loss to the Kings last night. The Kings pulled the game out on a tip-in with less than one second left. Indiana is 15-5 ATS the past 20 times when playing on zero rest. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS following a double-digit victory and probably will be missing Morant again. Memphis also has a far bigger matchup on deck hosting the Bucks Saturday. |
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03-23-22 | Youngstown State +13.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show |
Often the best line value comes in the minor postseason basketball tournaments rather than the NCAA Tournament. That's the case in this quarterfinal matchup in The Basketball Classic. Fresno State should not be this large of a favorite. The Bulldogs are just 4-7 in their last 11 games. They are 0-5 ATS the past five times as home chalk and 2-8 ATS the last 10 times facing an above .500 foe. Youngstown State is a prideful and competitive team bidding to win its 20th game of the season. That would tie the Penguins' school record for most Division I victories in a season matching their 1997-98 team. The Penguins average seven points more per game than the Bulldogs. Expect a competitive match up here and not a blowout.
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03-23-22 | Magic v. Thunder +2.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 0 m | Show | |
Revenge and a great situation line up well for Oklahoma City. Just three days ago, Orlando beat the Thunder, 90-85, at home. The Thunder hung in despite shooting just 33 percent from the floor, getting six fewer free throws than Orlando while missing star guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Now the Thunder get the Magic at home in this short revenge spot. The Magic are in a rare and monster letdown spot having upset the Warriors, 94-90, Tuesday night at home. Orlando has lost 27 of its 37 road games this season. The Magic are 1-6 ATS the last seven times facing Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 28-14-4 ATS (67%) in their last 46 games all as an underdog. The Thunder also is 22-9-1 (71%) the past 32 times when going against a sub .500 opponent. |
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03-23-22 | Hawks v. Pistons +5 | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The won/lost record shows the Pistons losing six of their last seven games. A betting reality, though, is the Pistons have been one of the hottest point spread teams covering 13 of their last 16 games, including going 5-1 ATS as a home 'dog. One of Detroit's rare non-covers during this time frame occurred in its last game, an embarrassing, 119-115, loss to the Trail Blazers two days ago to open their homestand. Star rookie Cade Cunningham committed a season-high nine turnovers in that loss. Cunningham and his young teammates should be motivated following that bad performance against Portland. They draw the Hawks at an opportune time. Atlanta is off a highly-satisfying, emotional, 117-111, win against the Knicks last night. This was at Madison Square Garden. The setting and mood was playoff-like. Here's the reality about the Hawks, though. They are 1-7 ATS the past eight times as favorites. They were 1-5 SU, 0-6 ATS during their last six road contests prior to defeating the Knicks. Oh, yes, Atlanta is 1-11 ATS following a victory. The Hawks also carry a fatigue factor in action for the fourth time in six days. |
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03-22-22 | Vanderbilt +4 v. Xavier | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
Even with Xavier the host team in this NIT quarterfinal matchup, I still believe the wrong team is favored. Xavier has underachieved all season and a victory against Florida in its last game doesn't change that. Unlike Xavier, Vanderbilt improved as the season went on. The Commodores buried Georgia and knocked off Alabama in the SEC Conference Tournament before falling to Kentucky in a close game. Vanderbilt has stayed hot defeating Belmont and Dayton as short favorites in its first two NIT games. The Musketeers have had a different trajectory this season. They finished the regular season going 2-8 and then lost to Butler in the opening round of the Big East Tournament. The Musketeers didn't come close to covering against Cleveland State in their first-round NIT matchup before rolling past Florida. Xavier might have had some extra incentive against the Gators because it was the first game for Jonas Hayes as interim head coach after Travis Steele resigned following the Cleveland State game after four years of heading Xavier's program. The timing of this move was curious and surprising. It could have a negative effect in this game for Xavier. I'm always more comfortable when the team I back has the best player on the court. Vanderbilt has that with Scottie Pippin Jr. The Commodores also have a good center in Liam Robbins. These teams actually met this season. That was back in October during a scrimmage, which Vanderbilt won. I don't put a whole lot of stock in that. But there are other indications that point to Vanderbilt faring well here. The Commodores are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. They also are 10-2 ATS the past dozen times when facing above .500 competition. On the flip side, Xavier is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 home games and 1-9 ATS following a straight-up victory. The Musketeers have also been awful as a favorite failing to cover 11 of the last 15 times in that role.
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03-21-22 | Wolves v. Mavs -3 | Top | 108-110 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 25 m | Show |
It's not a fluke the Timberwolves are 42-30. They are a much improved team with a lot of young talent. But I want the Mavericks going for me in this matchup. Dallas is trying to prevent its first three-game losing streak in more than three months following consecutive losses to the 76ers and Hornets. The Mavericks are 13-3 ATS following a loss. Minnesota is off a huge 138-119 home victory against the defending world champion Bucks. The Timberwolves defeated the Mavericks in the first meeting this season, 111-105, at home on Dec. 19. The Mavericks beat the Timberwolves, 114-102, in Dallas two days later. It was the eighth time in their last 11 visits to Dallas that the Timberwolves failed to cover. Dallas is 23-12 at home this season. The Timberwolves are 18-18 on the road. The Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS the past six times they've been a road 'dog. The Timberwolves will host the Mavericks on Friday. Dallas has the history, motivation and situation to hold court today by covering this small number. |
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03-21-22 | Northern Colorado +1.5 v. North Carolina-Asheville | 87-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm surprised this line is where it is. My power ratings have Northern Colorado as the much better team. So I'll be on the Bears in this CBI Tournament quarterback matchup. Northern Colorado averages 78.7 points a game, which ranks 27th in the country. The Bears are the 11th most accurate 3-point shooting team in the nation. Asheville is strong defensively against the 3-pointer, but its offense can't match the Bears and it gives up a lot of two-pointers. Senior guard Daylen Kountz is the best player on the court giving Northern Colorado that edge. |
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03-20-22 | TCU v. Arizona -9.5 | 80-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
I see a blowout here. Arizona didn't have to show much in its 87-70 first-round tournament win against Wright State. The Wildcats are too explosive for TCU. Arizona has won seven in a row. The Wildcats rank No. 3 in the country in scoring at 84.7 points a game. That's 16 more points per game than TCU. The Horned Frogs were impressive against Seton Hall. Impressive enough to garner Arizona's full attention and commitment. Look for the Wildcats to win by double-digits.
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03-20-22 | Texas +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
Texas beat Kansas and Tennessee this season. The Longhorns certainly are capable of defeating Purdue. The key is the Longhorns' ninth-ranked defense and the tremendous coaching of Chris Beard. Purdue coach Matt Painter has gone against Beard twice in the NCAA Tournament and lost both times. Beard bested Painter when he was at Arkansas Little Rock and at Texas Tech in a Sweet 16 victory against Purdue in 2018. Beard led Texas Tech to the NCAA Tourney title game 2019 and Elite Eight in 2018. I trust Beard to neutralize 7-foot-4 Zach Edey inside and fluster Jaden Ivey forcing him to do too much. On the offensive end, Beard's motion offense can exploit Purdue's defensive liabilities, freeing up Timmy Allen and others to get open looks. The Boilermakers rank 207th in 3-point defense. Purdue is just 1-8-2 ATS in its last 11 games and 7-18-2 ATS the past 27 times when favored. Purdue had failed to cover in its last six games before burying an overmatched Yale squad in its first-round NCAA Tourney game. |
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03-20-22 | Celtics v. Nuggets +2.5 | 124-104 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The Celtics are playing well. But so has Denver, which has won 14 of its last 19 games. The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS the past five times they've been underdogs. I don't believe they should be a home 'dog here. The Nuggets have the best player on the court, Nikola Jokic, and should be the hungrier team following an overtime road loss to the Cavaliers two days ago. Denver also has revenge for a 108-102 road loss to the Celtics on Feb. 11. The Nuggets shot 11 of 44 (25 percent) from 3-point range in that loss. Denver has bolstered its rotation with DeMarcus Cousins and Bryn Forbes. Boston is a bit fat and happy with consecutive road victories against the Warriors and Kings. |
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03-20-22 | NC-Wilmington v. VMI | 93-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
It's a big drop from just missing out on going to the NCAA Tournament to participating in the College Basketball Tournament. I don't think UNC Wilmington is too excited playing in this tourney after coming within one win of reaching the NCAA Tournament. The Seahawks fell to Delaware, 59-55, in the Colonial Athletic Association Conference Tournament title game. The Keydets rank 19th in the country in scoring at 79.5 points. That's more than eight points per game than what Wilmington averages. VMI is strong in the middle with center Jake Stephens and has a dangerous 3-point shooter in Kamdyn Curfman. The Keydets are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games.
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03-19-22 | New Mexico State v. Arkansas -6.5 | Top | 48-53 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
Great upset win by New Mexico State beating Connecticut, 70-63, as a six-point 'dog on Thursday. That halted a 12-game NCAA Tourney losing streak for the Aggies and gave them their first NCAA Tourney victory in 29 years. Teddy Allen scored 37 points to spark the Lobos. That was 13 points more than his season average. Jabari Rice averages 13.7 points. No other New Mexico State player averages even eight points a game. Realistically the Lobos have accomplished a major goal. They not only made the NCAA Tournament, but finally won a game. Arkansas has been a covering machine going 11-3-1 ATS (79%) in its last 15 games. The Razorbacks, however, didn't cover their opening NCAA Tourney game beating Vermont, 75-71, as a five-point favorite. Teams that won but didn't cover in their opening NCAA Tourney game are 57 percent against the spread in their second-round game during the past 229 instances. New Mexico State still could be floating on Cloud 9 while Arkansas knows what it's like to go deep into the NCAA Tourney reaching the Elite Eight last year before losing to eventual champion Baylor. |
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03-19-22 | Pistons +6 v. Cavs | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Below-the-radar, the Pistons have been huge money-makers covering 12 of their last 13 games. Detroit is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog. Scheduling dynamics work in Detroit's favor here, too. The Cavaliers just defeated the Nuggets, 119-116 in overtime, as a short home underdog last night. The Cavaliers are a scrappy team not talented enough to lay mid-size points like this without rest. Cleveland is 0-5-1 ATS the past six times it has played without rest.
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03-19-22 | North Carolina v. Baylor -5 | 93-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
I want defending national champion Baylor going for me and the point spread is reasonable enough to back the Bears. Baylor has won seven straight NCAA Tournament games, covering the spread in its past six. This game is being played in Fort Worth, Texas so Baylor has a home state advantage. Both teams have short rotations usually using just seven players. The Bears are off a 85-49 blowout victory against Norfolk State on Thursday and had less traveling than North Carolina. The Bears give up nine fewer points per game than North Carolina. They rank 12th in the nation in 3-point defense compared to the Tar Heels placing 256th in that category. It's worth noting that streak shooter Matthew Mayer scored a career-high 22 points against Norfolk State hitting 8 of 12 shots from the floor and 4 of 7 3-pointers. |
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03-18-22 | Colgate +7.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 32 h 43 m | Show |
There are many red flags waving against the Badgers in this matchup. Wisconsin is 1-8 ATS the last nine times it has been favored. The Badgers enter the tournament losers of two in a row, including a shocking home loss to Nebraska. So they are not in peak form by any means. Johnny Davis, the Big Ten Player of the Year, was hurt against Nebraska and was terrible when he returned against Michigan State missing 16 of 19 shots from the field in Wisconsin's 69-63 loss to the Spartans in the Big Ten Conference Tournament. If Davis isn't 100 percent, the Badgers are in huge trouble. Colgate has come on very strong winning 19 of its last 20 games, including the last 15. The unsung Raiders have the veteran savvy, scoring depth and 3-point shooting to defeat the Badgers straight-up. Colgate has made the NCAA Tournament in three of the past four years. The Raiders have five players scoring in double figures and rank No. 4 in the nation in 3-point shooting percentage. Wisconsin gave up the highest percentage of open 3-point shots in the Big Ten. The Raiders are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games. Wisconsin is overhyped right now. The line is inflated, too, because the game is in Milwaukee. But Colgate has the experience to handle that. |
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03-18-22 | TCU v. Seton Hall | 69-42 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
I don't like nor trust TCU's offense against Seton Hall's defense, which ranks 26th in the nation in defensive efficiency. The Horned Frogs are 249th in scoring at 68.4 points per game. They are one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the country. Seton Hall has won eight of its last 10 games. I like the Pirates' backcourt of Jared Rhoden and point guard Kadary Richmond, who is past his thumb injury. I see them carrying the Pirates to victory. |
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03-18-22 | Chattanooga +8 v. Illinois | 53-54 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
I suspected the Big Ten to be overrated with overinflated lines in this NCAA Tournament. Judging by Thursday's results that perception could be true. Iowa was upset by Richmond and Indiana was blown out by St. Mary's. That's a danger sign for Illinois, which was upset by the Hooisers in the Big Ten Conference Tournament quarterfinals. There's also recent history. The Illini were a No. 1 seed last season in the NCAA Tourney and lost to Loyola of Chicago in the second round as a seven-point favorite. Illinois is just 4-3 in its last seven games with none of its victories during this time frame coming by more than eight points. Tennessee Chattanooga is a dangerous opponent for Illinois because the Mocs can keep Kofi Cockburn from dominating the paint with 6-foot-10 Avery Diggs and 6-9 Silvio De Sousa. They also have a dominant scorer in guard Malachi Smith, who averages 20.1 points while shooting 50.5 percent from the floor. The Mocs are 16-6-1 ATS the past 23 times as an underdog. |
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03-18-22 | Yale v. Purdue -16 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
Yale has a decent player in fifth-year senior Azar Swain. But other than Swain, the Bulldogs are no match talent-wise height-wise and athletic-wise against Jaden Ivey, 7-foot-4 Zach Edey, Trevion Williams and the rest of the Boilermakers. There's a clear class difference here, much more than this point spread indicates. Yale had a losing record outside of the Ivy League. The Bulldogs were blasted whenever they stepped up in class. Among their non-conference losses was 80-44 to Seton Hall, 86-64 to Auburn, 61-53 to Vermont and 87-60 to St. Mary's. Purdue has 11 victories by at least 15 points, beating much better teams than Yale.
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03-17-22 | Pistons v. Magic -3 | 134-120 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a rarity - laying points with the Magic. But I see Orlando having some intensity at home after giving up 150 points at home in a 42-point loss to the Nets at home two days ago. They couldn't handle Kyrie Irving. Also Orlando is playing Detroit, a fellow bottom-feeder. The Pistons don't have a player the caliber of Irving. The Pistons have lost four in a row. They are 7-28 on the road and may not have their star rookie, Cade Cunningham. He missed Detroit's last game because of illness. The Magic actually had been playing well before that embarrassing loss to the Nets. During their previous four games, the Magic lost to the 76ers by two points in overtime, knocked off the much improved Timberwolves by eight points, defeated the Pelicans on the road and lost by only three to the Suns. |
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03-16-22 | Raptors v. Clippers +1.5 | 103-100 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Kudos to the Raptors on their four-game win streak, all of which have come on the road against the Spurs, Suns, Nuggets and Lakers. It's extremely tough to win five consecutive away games in the NBA. The Raptors are going to draw an aroused Clippers team tonight. Toronto is dealing with a fatigue factor, too, playing for the fourth time in six days. The Clippers are off a 120-111 overtime road loss to the Cavaliers. LA came back from a nine-point deficit with 6:14 left in that game before falling in overtime. Neither Reggie Jackson nor Marcus Morris played in Monday's loss to the Cavaliers. They were rested in anticipation of this matchup. This is the Clippers' lone home game in a six-game span. They are 13-6 ATS the past 19 times as a home underdog. |
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03-16-22 | Dayton v. Toledo | Top | 74-55 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
I thought the Mid-American Conference was strong this season. Toledo was the class of that conference going 26-7, including 17-3 in league. But the Rockets were upset in the semifinals of the MAC Tournament by Akron. So the Rockets didn't get an NCAA Tournament berth. Instead they are in the NIT. Unfair? Probably. The key is how will the Rockets react? That's a difficult question. I do think the Rockets, though, will win this game. They catch a huge break getting to be the host team. Toledo is 13-1 at home this season. The Rockets are 12-5 ATS the past 17 times when favored. Dayton is a slow-paced Atlantic-10 Conference team that averages 12 points fewer per game than Toledo. The Flyers are tough defensively. But they don't have the scoring to keep up with the Rockets with the game in Toledo. The Rockets are the sixth-highest scoring team in the nation at 81.5 points. They rank 16th in field goal percentage and 21st in free throw percentage. They also are 16th in the country in assist/turnover ratio. |
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03-15-22 | Indiana v. Wyoming +4.5 | 66-58 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
Wyoming is 25-8 finishing fourth in a very tough Mountain West Conference this season. The Cowboys have a tremendous pair in center Graham Ike and guard Hunter Maldonado. Wyoming is 11-4 the past 15 times as an underdog. Indiana had a very strong Big Ten Tournament covering all three of its games posting upset wins against Michigan and Illinois before falling by three points to Iowa as a 5 1/2-point 'dog. Perhaps the Hooisers peaked in the tournament as they were 2-7 during their past nine regular season games. Indiana is a very poor free throw shooting team and I don't trust its offense. Wyoming outscored Indiana by nearly three points per game. The Cowboys also have the better 3-point defense. |
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03-15-22 | Cleveland State +12.5 v. Xavier | Top | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
Every year there are great spots in the NIT featuring favorites who are overpriced because they are off disappointing seasons and suffer letdowns in their first round game. This matchup is a perfect example. Xavier dropped six of its last seven games, including an overtime loss to Butler in the Big East Tournament. The result is no NCAA Tournament bid for the Musketeers. That's a huge disappointment for Xavier. Cleveland State doesn't feel that way about competing in the NIT. The Vikings are anxious to show their wares. They are a solid team that shared the Horizon League regular season title. The Vikings, though, were upset in the league tournament by eventual champion Wright State. The Vikings average 75.6 points. Xavier's defense collapsed, giving up an average of 83.4 points during the last seven games. Xavier has been terrible as a favorite and when playing at home. The Musketeers are 3-10 ATS as chalk and 2-9 ATS in their past 11 home contests. |
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03-15-22 | Belmont +4 v. Vanderbilt | 71-82 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt had an impressive SEC Tournament knocking off Georgia and Alabama before falling to Kentucky by six points while covering as 11-point underdogs. That helped earn Vanderbilt its first postseason invitation in five years. Vanderbilt is 15-15, which is a nice improvement on last season's nine win team. But I'm not sure how motivated the Commodores will be now in this first round NIT matchup. Belmont should be fired-up, though. The Bruins also are located in Nashville and would like nothing more than to upset their neighborhood rival. Belmont has excelled when getting points covering 12 of the last 16 times it has been a 'dog. The Bruins, unlike Vanderbilt, also have NIT experience having competed five times in the tournament during the past six years. |
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03-12-22 | Raptors v. Nuggets -5.5 | 127-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Bad timing here for the Raptors. Toronto just upset the Suns, 117-112, on the road last night. Now the Raptors go into high altitude to face the Nuggets with no rest. The Raptors have a poor recent history versus the Nuggets on the road failing to cover during their last six visits to Denver. Toronto also will be without OG Anunoby, who averages 17.5 points. He's out with a finger injury. Denver has been playing well going 12-3 in its last 15 games. The Nuggets, though, are off a 113-102 loss to the Warriors this past Thursday. So they should be ready for this matchup.
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03-12-22 | Pacers +5.5 v. Spurs | 119-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Can you say letdown? That's what the Spurs have to avoid after they upset the Jazz at home last night, 104-102. As an added bonus, the victory gave Gregg Popovich the most regular season coaching wins in NBA history. All in all, a tremendous night in San Antonio basketball history. The Spurs accomplished the victory by rallying from 15 points down in the fourth quarter. However, now San Antonio draws a rested Pacers team that is desperate for a victory having lost three in a row. The Pacers blew an eight-point fourth quarter lead in a 127-124 home loss to the Cavaliers this past Tuesday. They've had three full days to stew about that defeat and be ready for this matchup. The Pacers have some underrated young talent. That talent level is raised with the return of Chris Durate. Indiana has covered during its last five visits to San Antonio. The Spurs are just 3-11 ATS following a point spread cover. |
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03-12-22 | Monmouth +3 v. St. Peter's | 54-60 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
I understand the oddsmaker making St. Peter's the favorite against Monmouth in this Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Tournament title game. The Peacocks won both regular-season meetings, although the games were close. St. Peter's combined winning margin in the two games was 10 points. But I consider these two teams even. Monmouth has more victories with a season record of 21-12 compared to St. Peter's 18-11. Points are going to be hard to come by in this matchup played in spacious Boardwalk Hall. The Hawks have covered the past seven times they've been underdogs and are 11-3 ATS the last 14 times going against above .500 teams. |
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03-11-22 | Wizards +4.5 v. Lakers | 109-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Simply put, the Lakers can't be laying a mid-range number like this. LA is 2-9 SU, 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games. The Lakers have been favored four times during this span - and lost each game straight-up. Even LeBron James admitted the Lakers, ''...don't have a lot of room for error.'' The retooled Wizards, with newcomer Kristaps Porzingis upgrading their frontcourt, have been a competitive 3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS record in their last seven games. One of those point spread losses occurring in double overtime to the Spurs. |
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03-11-22 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Long Beach State +4.5 | Top | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
These have been two hot, play-on teams. At this point spread range, though, I have to get involved and back Long Beach State. All the Beach have done is go 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games. They've won eight of their last 10 games and are 20-7 ATS the past 27 times when getting points. Santa Barbara is the No. 5 seed in this Big West Tournament. Long Beach State is the No. 1 seed. |
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03-11-22 | Mavs -10.5 v. Rockets | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
I want the Mavericks in this spot and am willing to lay double-digits to back them here. Dallas had its five-game win streak come to a rough end with a 107-77 loss at home to the Knicks two days ago. The Rockets, on the other hand, are off a highly-satisfying 139-130 overtime home win against the Lakers from Wednesday. The Mavericks are 23-9 ATS following a defeat. They are 2-0 versus the Rockets this season and 4-1 ATS during their past five visits to Houston. The Rockets not only have the second-worst record in the NBA, but they also have a terrible point spread mark just 11-27 the past 38 times as an underdog. |
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03-11-22 | Pistons +14 v. Celtics | Top | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
Boston playing well. But so is Detroit except the Pistons don't get nearly the attention the Celtics do. The Celtics are looking for their sixth consecutive victory. The Pistons are looking for their 10th straight point spread cover. Cade Cunningham is making a spirited bid to earn Rookie of the Year honors scoring 20 or more points in his last five games. The Pistons upset the Celtics, 112-111, at Boston on Feb. 16 as 12-point 'dogs. Now the line is even higher. That was the seventh straight time Detroit has covered against Boston. The Celtics host the Mavericks on Sunday in a much more challenging game. So a Boston letdown/look ahead situation could exist. Even if the Celtics take this matchup seriously, the Pistons are playing well enough and the line is inflated enough to back Detroit. |
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03-11-22 | Miami-FL +9 v. Duke | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
A case of food poisoning and lack of defense makes Duke an unattractive favorite. The Blue Devils lost at home to North Carolina in their final regular season game and were unimpressive in an 88-79 ACC Tournament quarterfinal win against undermanned Syracuse yesterday. This is what Duke coach Mike Kryzewski said following the Syracuse game: ''We're not playing very good defense right now. We did not against North Carolina and we did not in this game. We're missing a lot of assignments. Kryzewski also said some Duke players were dealing with food poisoning. Miami is 9-3 ATS as an underdog this season, including upsetting Duke, 76-74, on the road in January. |
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03-11-22 | Iowa -6.5 v. Rutgers | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Iowa is peaking at the right time. The Hawkeyes have won and covered six of their last seven games with the only blemish being a two-point road loss to Illinois. Iowa just blew out Northwestern, 112-76, on Thursday. The Hawkeyes entered the Big Ten Conference Tournament as the fifth-highest scoring team in the nation averaging 83.3 points. That's 16 points more per game than Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights average 67 points. That average shrinks to 62 if you count just their last four games. This is a big revenge spot for Iowa. The Scarlet Knights held them to a season-low when they beat Iowa, 48-46, at home on Jan. 19. |
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03-10-22 | Nets v. 76ers -4 | 129-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Joel Embiid and James Harden trump Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. That's especially so in this emotional home game for the 76ers. Philadelphia is 5-0 in games Harden and Embiid have played together. The 76ers have won four of those five games by 15 or more points with the latest being a 121-106 home victory against the Bulls this past Monday. Harden opens up the 76ers' offense. Embiid is now the favorite to win MVP honors with Harden on board. Brooklyn hasn't been playing well with six losses in its last eight games. Perhaps the Nets will get it together and make a move with Durant back. But it hasn't happened yet. Right now the 76ers are the clear superior team. So I find this point spread short. |
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03-10-22 | South Carolina State +4 v. Morgan State | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Power rating-wise I have these two Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference teams ranked close to even. If anything, a slight edge to South Carolina State. So seeing this point spread, I'm compelled to get involved with South Carolina State. The Bulldogs are 15-15, while Morgan State is 12-13. South Carolina State is 12-5-2 ATS when going against opponents with a losing record. |
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03-09-22 | Delaware State +16.5 v. Norfolk State | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
Norfolk State is the top team in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference. Delaware State is the worst team. But I'm going to be on the Hornets because this line is too inflated. These teams just met in mid-February and Norfolk State won, 69-66. Delaware State hasn't lost by more than 13 points during its last 12 games. The Hornets have played a number of close games. They are 6-1 ATS the past seven times as underdogs. The Hornets nearly upset Maryland-Eastern Shore in their last game six days ago losing, 63-59, as 10-point 'dogs after trailing by only one point at halftime. |
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03-09-22 | Idaho +2 v. CS Sacramento | 54-57 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Idaho outscored Sacramento State by nearly eight points a game during the season and will have a crowd advantage with this matchup being in Boise where the Big Sky Tournament is being held. The Vandals are the higher seed. The Vandals won one fewer game than Sacramento State, but have a much better point spread record at 17-10-1. The Hornets are 11-13-1 ATS. Idaho is at its point spread-best as a 'dog covering 19 of the past 28 times in that role. I make the Vandals the favorite in this game. So taking points is a bonus.
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03-08-22 | Bucks v. Thunder +14 | 142-115 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
The Bucks are due for a letdown after pulling out three narrow victories the past six days edging the Heat by one point at home, defeating the Bulls by six on the road and beating the Suns at home this past Sunday in a game that was much more intense and closer than the final score indicated. After this game, the Bucks go back home to meet the Hawks on Wednesday. So the backdoor should swing open for Oklahoma City if the Bucks were to build a big lead. The Thunder are capable of pulling upsets. Just three games ago they knocked off the Nuggets in Denver by 12 points as a 15 1/2-point 'dog. Oklahoma City has the second-best ATS mark in the NBA at 38-22-4 (63 percent). |
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03-08-22 | Nets -2.5 v. Hornets | 132-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Now that Kevin Duran is back, I'm expecting the Nets to make a move. This is especially so when they are on the road when Kyrie Irving can play. The Hornets can't match that 1-2 superstar punch. The Nets have a winning road record. They have either covered or pushed in five of their last six away contests. The Hornets are a below .500 team that ranks 28th defensively. They are 2-8 SU, 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. Brooklyn has covered during 10 of its last 13 visits to Charlotte. |
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03-07-22 | Knicks v. Kings -3.5 | 131-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Death, taxes and the Kings have a losing season. Sacramento is going to finish below .500 for the 16th consecutive season. However, look for the Kings to soundly beat the Knicks here as this spot sets up well for them. New York is playing its fourth road game in six days. The Knicks are fat and happy after a 116-93 victory against the Clippers last night that halted a seven-game losing streak. That win isn't likely to prevent Tom Thibodeau from getting fired. The Kings are more respectable since they acquired Domantas Sabonis and fired Luke Walton. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games. Sacramento would be 5-5 in its last 10 games if not for a late 3-pointer by Dorian Finney-Smith in a 114-113 loss two days ago to Dallas. The Kings should be placing a lot of emphasis on winning this game because after this matchup they meet the Nuggets, Jazz, Bulls, Bucks, Celtics and Suns. |
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03-07-22 | Lakers v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
It's getting to the crucial stage for the Spurs. San Antonio is in stop-the-pain mode having lost four in a row while falling 3 1/2 games out of postseason contention. San Antonio has played nine of its last 10 games on the road, though. This is the first of seven straight home contests. They are 6-2-1 ATS the past nine times when favored. The Lakers are off a satisfying, 124-116, home win against the Warriors this past Saturday. LeBron James scored 56 points in that game. James is a freak of nature, but he is 37. How much will he have left for this game? Prior to defeating the Warriors, the Lakers had gone 1-7 SU, 2-5-1 ATS. The Spurs have a solid bench and rate a huge coaching edge with Gregg Popovich. |
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03-07-22 | Jazz +1.5 v. Mavs | 103-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Except for the questionable status of Mike Conley, the Jazz are at full strength. That makes them a better team than the Mavericks. Dallas has won four in a row. But look at who those victories were against: The Kings by one point on a late 3-point basket. A victory against the 2-7 slumping Lakers and two victories against the slumping 2-8 Warriors. Before those victories the Mavericks lost, 114-109, as 6 1/2-point road 'dogs to the Jazz. Utah kept Luka Doncic in check while holding Dallas to just 42 points in the second half. Doncic missed the Mavericks last game with a toe injury. I expect him to play here, but it would be a nice bonus if he didn't. Underrated Dallas guard Jalen Brunson also is a game-time decision due to a foot injury. |
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03-06-22 | Albany +5 v. Hartford | Top | 49-61 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
Just because Hartford is playing in its home arena doesn't mean the Hawks should be favored against this opponent, let alone by this many points. Albany is 13-17. Hartford is 11-19. The teams split their two meetings this season. Albany beat the Hawks on the road, 71-52. Hartford got its revenge this past Tuesday defeating the Great Danes, 67-55. The Hawks shot 13 more free throws in that contest. They also made 13 of 24 3-pointers for 54 percent. Hartford shoots 37.7 percent from beyond the arc on the season. The Great Danes are 8-1-2 ATS in their past 11 away games. This has been an underdog series with the 'dog covering six of the last seven. |
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03-05-22 | UNLV v. New Mexico +4 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show |
UNLV has come on strong, but the Rebels still failed to finish among the top four teams in the Mountain West Conference. This is UNLV's final regular season game and last matchup before the Mountain West Conference Tournament. It's a flat spot for the Rebels. Not so for New Mexico, which has revenge for a 29-point loss to the Rebels earlier in the season. The Lobos have a winning home record. The Rebels have a losing road mark. |
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03-05-22 | Spurs +4 v. Hornets | 117-123 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The Spurs are in the playoff hunt. The Hornets are a mediocre Eastern Conference team with a horrendous home record lately. Charlotte has lost nine of its last 10 home games. The Hornets are 1-9-1 ATS during their past 11 home contests. The Spurs are 7-1-1 ATS the past nine times when playing a below .500 opponent. San Antonio has revenge and stop-the-pain motivation with three straight losses. Charlotte is a bit fat and happy having pulled off a 119-98 road win against the Cavaliers this past Wednesday. Sparked by Gordon Hayward's 41 points, the Hornets embarrassed the Spurs, 131-115, at San Antonio on Dec. 15. Hayward is out and the Hornets' rotation is in transition. |
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03-05-22 | UL - Lafayette +5.5 v. Texas State | 79-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Upset special here. Texas State enters the Sun Belt Conference Tournament as the No. 1 seed. But the Bobcats face danger. They haven't played since Feb. 25. Louisiana Lafayette is playing its best ball winning four of its last five games. This includes a 67-64 victory against Texas Arlington on Thursday in a first-round Sun Belt Conference Tournament game. The Ragin' Cajuns won't be rusty. They also won't have the pressure on them like the Bobcats will. The Bobcats aren't a big scoring team. They've produced fewer than 70 points in 10 of their last 12 games. |
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03-04-22 | Western Carolina v. Mercer -5.5 | 53-81 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
I have Mercer power-rated high than this so I'm going to back the Bears in this first round matchup of the Southern Conference Tournament This game is at a neutral site. More reason not to like Western Carolina. The Catamounts are 3-13 in away/neutral site games. Mercer should face little resistance putting up points. Western Carolina has one of the worst defenses in the nation ranking 337th giving up 77.1 points per game. |
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03-04-22 | Hawks v. Wizards +4.5 | 117-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a key matchup for the Wizards, who trail the Hawks and Hornets by 1 1/2 games for the final playoff position in the East. The spot should work for the Wizards. They've beaten the Hawks eight of the past 11 times at home, including 122-111 on Oct. 28 the last time they hosted them. The Wizards have been idle since Tuesday. The Hawks are playing for the third time in four days and second in two nights. Atlanta is off an impressive, 130-124, victory against the Bulls. Atlanta remains without John Collins, its best big man and second-leading scorer. He's out with a foot injury. Washington is without Bradley Beal. So the Wizards kind of lack an identity. But Kyle Kuzma has emerged as an excellent player and steady presence averaging 17 points, 8.8 rebounds and 3.2 assists. |
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03-04-22 | Richmond +4 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 65-72 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
Richmond defeated St. Bonaventure, 71-61, earlier this season. I see the Spiders repeating that performance in the rematch. Taking points is a nice bonus. St. Bonaventure began conference play slowly before rolling off seven straight wins. However, the Bonnies' streak was snapped in brutal fashion with a 74-51 road loss to VCU this past Tuesday. The Bonnies were minus Osun Osunniyi in that game due to an ankle injury and could be missing him again in this matchup. He averages 11 points and is the Bonnies' leading rebounder. Richmond is experienced, solid on both sides of the ball, ranks ninth nationally in turnover rate and hasn't lost two straight games since Dec. 30-Jan. 2. The Spiders also are road tested going 14-5-1 ATS during their past 20 away games, including 8-3 ATS in their past 11. St. Bonaventure is 4-9 ATS the past 13 times against opponents with a winning record. |
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03-03-22 | Kings +7 v. Spurs | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
This has to feel weird for the Spurs. This is their first home game since Feb. 4. San Antonio has concluded its annual rodeo-related road trip. Now the Spurs are home where they are just 11-18 this season, including 2-5 ATS during their past seven games at AT&T Center. Neither team is playing well. The Kings are four games out of the final playoff spot. So any game against an average-type of opponent, such as the Spurs, is crucial to them. Sacramento doesn't lack for talent with Domantas Sabonis, De'Aaron Fox and Harrison Barnes. The Kings are 11-7 ATS the past 18 times when the underrated Fox has been in their lineup. |
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03-02-22 | Thunder +14.5 v. Nuggets | 119-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
There are two ways of looking at Oklahoma City. One is the conventional way where the Thunder have the fourth-worst record in the NBA. The second way is the point spread route where lo and behold the Thunder have the second-best ATS mark in the NBA. The Thunder have been at their point spread finest as a road 'dog and off a lopsided loss. Oklahoma City was just embarrassed by the Kings in a 21-point home loss. The Thunder are 8-2 ATS following a double-digit defeat. The Thunder also are 21-7 ATS the past 28 times they are a road 'dog. Denver is fat and happy, winners of six in a row, including a blowout road win against the Trail Blazers in its last game. Twice since mid-January have the Nuggets been favored by 10 or more points. They are 0-2 ATS in those games. Denver also has failed to cover in seven of its past nine home contests. |
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03-02-22 | Presbyterian v. Campbell -2.5 | Top | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
Campbell is the better team. Power rating-wise, I have the Fighting Camels as a mid-size favorite at a neutral site in this Big South Tournament matchup. Presbyterian is 12-19. Campbell is 15-12. The Fighting Camels have a far superior defense giving up fewer than 62 points per game. They rank 22nd in the nation defensively. Presbyterian is one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the country. |
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03-01-22 | Warriors +1 v. Wolves | Top | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
Minnesota is much improved this season. That's evident by the oddsmaker opening this game in the pick range. But I really want Golden State in this situation. The Warriors are coming off a frustrating, 107-101, home loss to the Mavericks from Sunday. Golden State let a 21-point lead slip in that game. Needless to say, Steve Kerr was not happy. The Timberwolves are off a satisfying, 127-122, road win against the Cavaliers last night. Minnesota is 0-5 ATS the past five times when playing without rest. |
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03-01-22 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -14.5 | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
This is a kill spot for Ohio State. The Buckeyes are looking for redemption after getting upset this past Sunday at Maryland. Ohio State still has much to play for trying to secure a top-four seed into the Big Ten Tournament and the bye into the quarterfinals that goes with it. The Buckeyes are 12-1 at home this season, including 8-1 in the Big Ten. They also are 8-2 ATS following a point spread loss. Nebraska has been bad again this season going 8-21 with a 2-16 Big Ten record. The Cornhuskers, though, are in a rare flat spot having stunned Penn State as a 10 1/2-point road 'dog, 93-70, this past Sunday. |
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03-01-22 | Eastern Kentucky +4.5 v. Kennesaw State | 73-82 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
I rate these two teams as even. So this is a generous point spread. The teams met four weeks ago. Eastern Kentucky was a 3 1/2-point home favorite and prevailed, 82-81, in triple overtime. Kennesaw State is 12-17. Eastern Kentucky is 13-17. It's not like Kennesaw State is something special at home. The Owls have failed to cover during their past six home games.
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03-01-22 | Green Bay v. Detroit -9.5 | 62-79 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
The oddsmaker knows how bad Green Bay is. But he might be a little behind the curve recognizing the improvement with Detroit Mercy. The Titans have won and covered three of their last four games beating Northern Kentucky, Wright State and Cleveland State during this time span. Those are three of the top four teams in the Horizon League. Green Bay is 5-24. The Phoenix play their worst on the road, too, going 1-12. They are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games. Detroit is 8-1 at home. Detroit won't be showing any mercy as Green Bay beat the Titans, 70-63, at home in the first meeting. Detroit's star player, Antoine Davis, had a rare terrible shooting game in that loss. The Titans are 18-7-1 ATS the past 26 times versus sub .500 foes. |
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02-28-22 | San Diego State v. Wyoming +2 | Top | 73-66 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 26 m | Show |
San Diego State has the No. 2 defense in the country. I have great respect for the Aztecs. But I'm not buying Wyoming as a home underdog. The Cowboys have won all 14 of their home games this season. They have the two best players on the court in Graham Ike and Hunter Maldonado. Wyoming averages nearly 10 more points per game than San Diego State and also has a respectable defense giving up 65.6 points, which ranks 74th, and is 24th in 3-point defense. Wyoming is 23-5 overall and 12-3 in the Mountain West Conference. San Diego State is 18-7 overall and 10-4 in the Mountain West. The Cowboys are proven, too, against good competition going 22-8-1 ATS versus opponents with a winning record. |
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02-28-22 | Raptors -4 v. Nets | 133-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Toronto is off two ugly losses to the Hornets and Hawks. The Raptors haven't lost three in a row since late November. The Nets return home after a huge 126-123 road win against the Bucks two days ago with Kyrie Irving scoring a season-high 38 points in that victory. I have to believe the Raptors are going to up for this game while the Nets come home fat and happy. Irving won't play because of local mandates against unvaccinated players being unvaccinated. The Nets have been below par at home all season with a 13-16 record. Toronto has a winning road mark. |
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02-27-22 | Illinois v. Michigan | 93-85 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
Illinois is the better team. Says who? Respected rankings and statistics. The Illini are ranked 15th in the BPI ratings and 16th according to KenPom ratings. Illinois is 20th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency and 27th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Michigan ranks 27th in the BPI ratings and 30th in the KenPom rankings. The Wolverines are 24th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 68th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Illinois has the best player on the court if not the entire Big Ten Conference in center Kofi Cockburn, who averages 21.2 points and 10.8 rebounds per game. Michigan is 1-5 ATS in its last six home games against opponents with a winning road record. |
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02-26-22 | Kings +8 v. Nuggets | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
The Kings have upgraded their depth and have motivation for this matchup after losing, 128-110, at home to the Nuggets two days ago. Denver is 2-6 ATS in its last eight home games. Sacramento played Denver tough last season winning all three games. The Kings have better coaching with Alvin Gentry replacing Luke Walton. They also have a better rotation after being very active at the trade deadline. The key for the Kings is Domantas Sabonis, who is not outclassed by Nikola Jokic. The new Kings players are getting more acclimated and morale is up in Sacramento. So I'm expecting a competitive effort from the Kings. The Nuggets have to be careful about their rotation since they are in action at Portland on Sunday. |
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02-26-22 | Arizona v. Colorado +10.5 | Top | 63-79 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
Barring winning the Pac-12 Conference Tournament, Colorado won't be going to the NCAA Tournament. So this revenge spot is the Buffaloes' game of the year. The Wildcats have a bigger game on deck playing at USC. Colorado has been playing well with five victories in its last six games. This is the Buffaloes' final home game of the season so it's senior night. This has been a home team series with the host covering six of the last seven times. |
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02-26-22 | Louisiana Tech +5 v. North Texas | 49-56 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
North Texas has won 13 in a row. A fact the oddsmaker is well aware of. So there is line inflation with the Mean Green. Louisiana Tech has won four of its last five games. The Bulldogs were favored in the first meeting this season between these teams and should have won the game. They blew a 17-point second-half lead and lost, 63-62. So there is strong revenge motivation. The Bulldogs might have the Conference USA Player of the Year in big man Kenneth Lofton Jr., who averages 16.7 points and 10.7 rebounds. North Texas likes to pound inside. That's a big part of the Mean Green offense. Lofton, a huge wide body at 275 pounds, can make that difficult. Discounting a 63-60 loss to UTEP, the Bulldogs are averaging 86.5 points in their last four games. Louisiana Tech has been strong on the road covering 16 of its last 22 away contests. |
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02-26-22 | Seton Hall +3.5 v. Xavier | 82-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Xavier is in a slump. Seton Hall has stepped up its game. I see the wrong team being favored here. The Musketeers may not be fully recovered from their triple overtime loss to Providence this past Wednesday night. That loss was Xavier's fifth in its last six games. The Musketeers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games. Seton Hall has won five of its past seven games. The Pirates' only two losses during this stretch occurred on the road to Connecticut and Villanova. Seton Hall covered both of those games. The Pirates are 4-0 ATS in their last four away games. |
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02-25-22 | San Jose State +22.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 52-77 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
San Diego State is in fourth place in the Mountain West Conference. The Aztecs just lost to first-place Boise State by one point this past Tuesday. The Aztecs have second-place Wyoming on deck following this opponent - San Jose State. San Jose State is last in the conference. So San Diego State can't be blamed if they take the Spartans for granted while in the middle of a conference sandwich. The Aztecs haven't been good lately in this role. They've been favored by 14 points or more three times in their past six games. They are 0-3 ATS in those games. The Aztecs' 0-3 ATS mark laying big points isn't a fluke. San Diego State plays great defense, but only averages 65.1 points a game. That ranks 306th. San Jose State hung in during the first meeting between the two teams losing, 72-62, on Feb. 9 as a 17-point home 'dog. The Spartans should be loose and confident having upset New Mexico, 71-55, as a 5 1/2-point home 'dog during their previous game. That snapped a 14-game losing streak. The Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games and have covered in five of their past six road contests. |
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02-25-22 | 76ers -2.5 v. Wolves | 133-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
I trust the 76ers more on the road than at home. Philly is a top away club with a 19-10 road record. The 76ers have covered seven of their past nine away games. Minnesota is 1-5 ATS the past six times as a 'dog. The Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS the last seven times hosting the 76ers, too. Philly is sure to have plenty of energy coming off the long All-Star break. James Harden is expected to make his 76ers debut. That's sure to pump up the 76ers, too. |
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02-25-22 | Heat -5 v. Knicks | 115-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Clearly a tale of two teams here. The Heat have the second-best record in the Eastern Conference at 38-21. They come out of All-Star break 6-1. Their big three of Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo and Kyle Lowry are once again healthy. The Knicks have lost 33 of their last 53 games, losers of seven of their last eight games. Kemba Walker is out for the season and morale is low. Tom Thibodeau may be out as head coach. So I'm going to ride the Heat here. |
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02-24-22 | USC -10 v. Oregon State | 94-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Talk about train wrecks. That's Oregon State. The Beavers have gone from Elite Eight of last season to 3-22 this season. They've lost 12 in a row with 10 of the past 11 defeats occurring by double-digits. They are a team that can't even be trusted to put forth a full effort. They have yet to post a victory in 2022. Making things worse for the Beavers is a number of their players are hurt. The Trojans, on the other hand, are healthy and strong on the road covering seven of their last nine away contests. |