Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-03-20 | Ohio -9 v. Nevada | Top | 30-21 | Push | 0 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Friday Potato Bowl Winner. Ohio finished the season 6-6 but it could have been a lot better as four of those losses came by a field goal or less. Ohio quarterback Nathan Rourke is arguably one of the greatest quarterbacks in program history, owning the record for most touchdowns accounted for in a career with 110 (60 passing, 48 rushing, 2 receiving). This season, Rourke ranks 16th in the FBS in points accounted for per game with 16.5. He is also one of the most productive rushers in MAC history as his career average of 6.1 ypc is tied for 8th in the MAC since 1962. Because of his production, Ohio has been one of the most productive offenses in the FBS in the last three seasons, finishing 9th, 12th, and 20th in scoring offense each season, respectively culminating with an average of 34.7 ppg this season. Nevada will have a tough time finding a way to overcome the loss of four key defensive players from a defense already allowing 32.1 ppg as those players were suspended for this game. The offense will be challenged as well as Nevada averaged just 21.3 ppg on the season and even that is skewed with big numbers against bad teams. They finished 1-4 against bowl teams while getting outgained by 211 ypg which is the most of any team in a bowl game this season. The Wolf Pack won three of their last four games to become bowl eligible but the schedule was in their favor as three of three of those four teams finished 4-8 or worse. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 390 and 440 ypg, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 38-9 ATS (80.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (275) Ohio Bobcats |
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01-02-20 | Boston College v. Cincinnati -7 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CFB Thursday Birmingham Bowl Winner. Boston College ended the season 6-6 and it will be without a couple key pieces. Head coach Steve Addazio was fired after the regular season and has since been hired by Colorado St. Wide receivers coach Rich Gunnell will serve as the interim coach for this game. Additionally, they will not have star running back AJ Dillon, who rushed for 1,685 yards and scored 14 touchdowns this season and is the Boston College all-time leading rusher. He has declared for the draft and is sitting out the game. That puts a lot of pressure on quarterback Dennis Grosel who completed under 50 percent of his passes, sometimes turning the Boston College offense one-dimensional. On the other side, the Eagles defense is allowing 480.3 ypg which is tied for fourth worst in the country. The Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. In just three seasons, Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickell took his team from four wins to less than 90 seconds away from a conference championship. The Bearcats lost only three games this season, one to Ohio St. and the final two against Memphis, the eventual AAC Champion. Cincinnati is led offensively by running back Michael Warren and dual-threat quarterback Desmond Ridder. Warren collected 1,160 yards and 14 touchdowns on the ground, while Ridder threw for 2,069 yards and 17 touchdowns while rushing for 545 yards and two scores. Cincinnati allowed 21.7 ppg, leading the conference in scoring defense for a second consecutive year. Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS against defenses allowing 8 or more passing ypa over the last two seasons. 10* (272) Cincinnati Bearcats |
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01-01-20 | Baylor +5 v. Georgia | Top | 14-26 | Loss | -107 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS for our CFB Sugar Bowl Winner. This line has come down considerably and for good reason. Georgia is depleted in key areas whether it be by injury or other factors. Starting offensive linemen Andrew Thomas and Isaiah Wilson will miss the game after declaring early for the NFL draft, while right guard Ben Cleveland will miss the game, reportedly for academic reasons. Second-leading rusher Brian Herrien also won't play for undisclosed reasons, and it's believed several other players won't be on hand. Additionally, the status of leading rusher D'Andre Swift is also uncertain due to a shoulder injury he suffered late in the year. That is a lot to overcome and it was so bad that head coach Kirby Smart closed all 11 of the team's practices prior to arriving in New Orleans. It was a remarkable season for Baylor that on one saw coming. The Bears finished 1-11 in 2017, improved to 7-6 in 2018 before this year's 11-2 campaign, their only losses coming to Oklahoma. No. 7 Baylor lost to the Sooners in the regular season and later 30-23 in overtime of the Big 12 championship game. While Georgia is shorthanded, Baylor head coach Matt Rhule said that he will have his entire team at his disposal, including starting quarterback Charlie Brewer, who left the Big 12 championship game on Dec. 7 with a concussion. Being down 15 scholarship players is a big deal and you know that Baylor is going to have a ton of fight and energy coming into this game. Rhule coached teams are 14-2 ATS after three or more consecutive wins against the spread. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a rushing defense allowing 100 or less rushing ypg, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 56-24 ATS (70 percent) since 1992. 10* (269) Baylor Bears |
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01-01-20 | Wisconsin v. Oregon +3 | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Rose Bowl Winner. Wisconsin offensive coordinator Joe Rudolph was quick to point out the Badgers haven’t seen a scheme as multiple as the Ducks. Their use of three and four-down fronts, pre-snap movement and pass rush packages that include two and even one true defensive lineman will put the Badgers to the test. Wisconsin relies heavily on its run game and while Taylor leads the Big Ten in rushing yards, quarterback Jack Coan ranks second to last in passing yards per game, a weakness that has the potential to be exploited. Seven times this season Coan has failed to reach 200 passing yards. Ranked eighth and 10th, respectively, Oregon is giving up just 15.7 ppg and Wisconsin 16.1 ppg but the Badgers have surrendered 20-plus points in six of their last seven games. While the Wisconsin offensive line gets the pub, Oregon enters the game with one of the best offensive lines in the country. Sophomore left tackle Penei Sewell gained some consideration for the Heisman Trophy and he also took home the biggest honor for an offensive lineman, the Outland Trophy, becoming the first player in Oregon football history to do so. This is a big and quiet reason the Ducks offense is so dynamic as they also possess a talented wide receiver group and a first-round NFL Draft pick in quarterback Justin Herbert. Herbert looks to cap his final season, currently completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 3,333 yards, 32 touchdowns and five interceptions. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 74-32 ATS (69.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (268) Oregon Ducks |
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12-31-19 | Kansas State v. Navy -2.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. This is a great spot for Navy which comes in loads of momentum following three straight wins and going 8-1 over its last 10 games, the lone loss coming against Notre Dame. Midshipmen quarterback Malcolm Perry broke a lot of school records this season and he will be a nightmare matchup for Kansas St. as not only is Navy the No. 1 rushing offense in the country but they own the No. 2 redzone offense and will square off against the No. 130 in redzone defense in Kansas St. Additionally, the Wildcats rushing defense is mediocre as they are ranked No. 61 and allow an average of 4.9 ypc. Kansas St. closed the season with a little bit of momentum as it defeated Texas Tech and Iowa St. over its final two games to finish third in the Big XII Conference. Kansas St. split its six games against bowl teams but that is misleading as the Wildcats were outgained by an average of 106 ypg which is the fourth most among bowl teams from the Power 5 conferences. Overall, Navy outgained nine of 12 opponents while the Wildcats outgained just five of 12 foes. Navy is 40-19 ATS in its last 59 games after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards in two straight games. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 116-56 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (258) Navy Midshipmen |
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12-31-19 | Kentucky +3 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS for our CFB Tuesday Afternoon Dominator. Kentucky comes in riding a three-game winning streak including a 32-point win over rival Louisville in its regular season finale. The Wildcats were 4-5 but vaulted into a bowl game with their strong finish. The defense is the strength as they are ranked No. 20 overall and No. 12 in scoring. Kentucky is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against non-conference opponents. While going just 2-4 against fellow bowl teams, Kentucky outgained those six teams by an average of 24 ypg. Conversely, Virginia Tech went 4-3 against bowlers but were outgained by 27 ypg on average. While those margins are not overwhelming, the strength of schedules actually make those numbers skewed as the ACC as a conference ranked lower than the Pac 12 and the AAC. A big storyline here is that this is the last game for Hokies defensive coordinator Bud Foster so while they will be jacked up the matchup is not a good one. Virginia Tech has struggled against running quarterbacks this season and Kentucky quarterback Lynn Bowden Jr. is an electric athlete. He has averaged 174.3 ypg during the three-game winning streak. Here, we play against teams off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite going up against an opponent off two consecutive home wins by 14 points or more. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (291) Kentucky Wildcats |
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12-30-19 | Virginia +15 v. Florida | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CFB Orange Bowl Winner. Even though they were dismantled in the ACC Championship by Clemson, the Cavaliers are clearly the second best team in the conference and while that might not be saying much to some, this is a solid team with a solid coach that wants to rebound from that defeat. Scoring hasn't been a problem for the Cavaliers, whose 421 total points and 32.4 ppg average are both the second-highest marks in school history. The Cavaliers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Florida is an overrated No. 9 in the CFP Rankings as it has defeated hardly anyone. A win over No. 12 Auburn was nice but that is the only win over a team ranked within the top 30. The Gators finished the season just +57 ypg against bowl teams so there was no domination to make them a two-touchdown favorite here. Florida won't have cornerback C.J. Henderson, who is sitting out after declaring for the draft and he is a big piece of the secondary that decided to give up on his team despite a high profile bowl game. Bowl favorites are a dismal 9-36 ATS in the last 45 occurrences when coming off three or more ATS wins and facing an opponent that scored 21 or fewer points last time out. Additionally, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 46-18 ATS (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (251) Virginia Cavaliers |
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12-29-19 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | 26-21 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Bettors have very short memories and that plays into this game. The Seahawks lost at home last week to the Cardinals and the public overreaction to that has forced linesmakers to not only make the 49ers the favorites, but to make them overpriced favorites. This is a huge matchup for both sides. But the 11-4 Seahawks have a chance to completely thwart where San Francisco sits in the standings, as a Seattle win would give the Seahawks the tiebreaker, the NFC West crown while pushing the 49ers down to the No. 5 seed in the conference. The Seattle offensive line will be a big factor as Russell Wilson has been sacked 47 times this season but the 49ers have just two sacks over their last three games. On the other side, Jadeveon Clowney looks to return to action after missing the last two weeks. The Seahawks are giving up an average of 4.8 ypc, which ranks fifth worst among defenses but they held San Francisco to 3.2 ypc in the first meeting. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in the last two weeks of the regular season. This situation is 53-24 ATS (68.8 percent) since 1983. 9* (130) Seattle Seahawks |
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12-29-19 | Eagles v. Giants +4.5 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This is another instance of going against a team that needs to win and one simple belief for that is if a team needs to win in Week 17 to get into the playoffs, it cannot be that good of a team to begin with. That is certainly the case for the Eagles which are coming off a must win game against the Cowboys. We are not here saying the Eagles cannot or will not win this game but this line is simply too high. The Giants have won two straight games, albeit against Miami and Washington and they would like nothing more than to finish with three straight wins and knock their rival from the playoffs. Daniel Jones is coming off the best game of his rookie season where he threw for 352 yards and five touchdowns. He has another good matchup here and while the Eagles help Dak Prescott in check last week, clearly he was not close to 100 percent. Additionally, Saquon Barkley is back as he has two straight 100-yard games, including a career-best 189 yards rushing last week. He finished with a franchise-record 279 yards from scrimmage. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (116) New York Giants |
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12-29-19 | Raiders v. Broncos -3 | Top | 15-16 | Loss | -124 | 47 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our AFC West Game of the Year. Oakland still has an outside shot at a playoff berth as it needs a win here plus losses by Pittsburgh and Tennessee, a win by Indianapolis and a win or tie from either Chicago, Detroit, Los Angeles Chargers or New England. The scenario for the final four teams would give the Raiders the strength of schedule tiebreaker over Pittsburgh. That being said, this is a very inconsistent team and one that should not be trusted on the road. The Raiders are 2-5 away from home and their -105 scoring differential of fifth worst in the NFL. Denver has played well of late by winning three of its last four games has played very well in those wins. The game against Kansas City can be tossed out since it was being played in a snowstorm. Oakland has some horrible history heading into this game. The Raiders are 0-12 ATS in their last 12 games as divisional underdogs coming off a SU/ATS Win, 0-18 ATS in their last 18 games following a win in which they had less than 400 yards of offense and did not commit a single turnover and 0-11 ATS in their last 11 road games following a win. This includes losses this season at the Packers 42-24 and at the Jets 34-2. 10* (132) Denver Broncos |
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12-29-19 | Bears -3 v. Vikings | 21-19 | Loss | -108 | 44 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Afternoon Dominator. This game is meaningless for the Vikings and as expected the line has the Bears favored in this one. Courtney Cronin of ESPN is reporting that the Vikings are leaning heavily towards resting their starters against the Bears on Sunday afternoon. With the Vikings locked into the #6 spot in the NFC playoff field and several key players already dealing with injury issues, the team appears to have decided that getting healthy for the postseason will outweigh the potential for getting to a record of 11-5. It has been a lost season for Chicago after winning the division a year ago with a 12-4 record. The Bears will be out to finish 8-8 and this is the final chance for quarterback Mitchell Trubisky to prove he's the right player to commit to for the future, giving him plenty to play for against the Vikings. In week 17, teams which have between one and three wins fewer than their opponent are 136-75-5 ATS (64.5 percent). Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in December games. This situation is 48-19 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (105) Chicago Bears |
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12-28-19 | Clemson -1.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 52 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Fiesta Bowl Winner. The Buckeye defense has not seen a quarterback all season long that even comes close to the talent level of Trevor Lawrence. This will be a massive adjustment for the Ohio St. defenders. Lawrence for the season has over 3,100 yards passing and 34 touchdowns. But he also gets it done on the ground as he has rushed for 407 yards and seven scores. While the Buckeyes will be focused to slow Lawrence down, there is another big weapon they have to worry about. Travis Etienne is a monster in the backfield as he averages 8.2 ypc and scores a touchdown about every 11th time he takes a handoff. His 19 plays of 20 or more yards are tied for fifth among all non-receivers. The three running backs ahead of him on the list all have considerably more offensive touches than his 211. Etienne seems like a new challenge altogether in that the Buckeyes cannot make him the focal point of their defensive plan, nor can they afford to overlook him. This Ohio St. roster is one of the best in recent memory. The Buckeyes also have one of the most talented backfields in the country, comprised with Heisman finalist quarterback Justin Fields and Doak Walker Award finalist running back J.K. Dobbins. But Clemson is clearly the best defense that the Buckeyes will have faced this season. Defensive coordinator Brent Venables has had multiple weeks to prepare for the Buckeyes and we have seen what he has done in the past when given extra time to prepare. Clemson is a team that has won 28 straight games with CFP experience matched up with a group not all that familiar with the big stage. 10* (243) Clemson Tigers |
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12-28-19 | Oklahoma +14 v. LSU | 28-63 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Saturday Peach Bowl Winner. What LSU accomplished this season was very special but to be favored by two touchdowns over the No. 4 team in the country is overaggressive. LSU could be without one of its primary weapons in running Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who has rushed for 1,290 yards and an SEC-best 16 touchdowns. He's also a big part of the passing game. Edwards-Helaire suffered a hamstring injury in practice last week and even if he does go, he will not be close to 100 percent. Following losses to Clemson in the 2015 season (37-17 in the Orange Bowl), Georgia in the 2017 season (54-48 in the Rose Bowl) and Alabama last year (45-34 in the Orange Bowl), there remains a major step they haven’t taken on the big stage. The keys for Oklahoma are not only its defense but quarterback Jalen Hurts. He enters the weekend with 3,634 passing yards, 32 touchdowns and seven interceptions. But he can offer an added dimension with his legs having rushed for a team-high 1,255 yards and 18 touchdowns this season. On the other side, the Sooners defense held Baylor to 265 yards of total offense in the rematch, with 159 of those coming on two long pass plays. The defense has allowed just 25.4 ppg which is pretty solid in the offensive-heavy Big 12 and over a touchdown less from a season ago. The LSU staff has labeled Oklahoma as the fastest defense on the schedule, Kenneth Murray as the best linebacker in the country and the offense as intricate as you'll find. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg. This situation is 37-13 ATS (74 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (241) Oklahoma Sooners |
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12-28-19 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Notre Dame | 9-33 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our CFB Saturday Camping World Bowl Winner/ Notre Dame had another very successful season under head coach Brian Kelly as it posted 10 wins for the third straight season but expectations of heading back to the CFP fell short once again. Motivation could come in question here in a lower level bowl and it will have to face off against a Big 12 team with lots of offensive firepower, a talented young coach, and a desire to prove themselves on a national stage against a blue blood program. Iowa St. is looking for a successful ending to its third consecutive bowl appearance under head coach Matt Campbell. It comes in 7-5 and while it lost its regular season finale against Kansas St., there is still a lot to be excited about here especially getting points. The Cyclones five losses came by a total of 21 points, including one-point losses to ranked opponents Iowa and Oklahoma and a two-point loss to Baylor. Iowa St. is going for an eight-win season for the third straight year and this would be just the second time in school history this would take place. Iowa St. ranks as the number nine passing offense in the FBS at 318.3 ypg, and the Cyclones are 21st in yards per passing attempt thanks to sophomore Brock Purdy. No quarterback Notre Dame has faced this year comes close to his passing numbers and his completion percentage is second to only USC's Kedon Slovis. Only five Notre Dame opponents have a passing offense ranked in the top 75 and just USC (No. 5) is in the top 25. 9* (237) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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12-27-19 | USC +3 v. Iowa | Top | 24-49 | Loss | -125 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CFB Friday Holiday Bowl Winner. USC opened the season 3-3 but the Trojans came to life by winning five of their last six games to bounce back from a disappointing 2018 season where they went 5-7. The four USC losses have largely come against solid competition with three of the four at the hands of ranked opponents. The poise of USC quarterback Kedon Slovis the last few games and the growth of the wide receivers into Graham Harrell’s scheme has really shown that this is a deadly offense. It is ranked as one of the best for a reason. Slovis ended up missing only one full game and was named Pac 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year after completing 260 of 362 passes. He has a QB rating of 167.60 and averages 294.7ypg. The Hawkeyes surrender an average of only 184.2 ypg through the air, hold opposing quarterbacks to a passer rating of 113.08, and have allowed only twelve passing touchdowns while picking off eleven passes. But they have not faced a passing offense such as this. Iowa is totally dependent on its defense, which is ranked 3rd and 12th in scoring and total defense. The offense has been a different story as the Hawkeyes are ranked 96th, 97th, & 98th in scoring, rushing, and total offense respectively. Seven of last 10 games have been decided by one possession. While it may seem off because of the Pac 12, the Trojans played the 11th toughest schedule in the nation. 10* (233) USC Trojans |
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12-27-19 | North Carolina -5 v. Temple | 55-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CFB Friday Military Bowl Winner. While a 6-6 record may not seem very impressive, it was a great resurgent season for North Carolina which won only two games last season prior to head coach Mack Brown making his return to Chapel Hill. All six of those losses came against bowl teams and all of those losses came by just one possession. Additionally, all six of those teams are ranked well ahead of Temple and while the Owls had a nice win against Memphis, the other six FBS wins came against non-bowl teams that finished a combined 22-50. Tar Heels true freshman quarterback Sam Howell set an NCAA-record with 35 touchdown passes for a true freshman and with 15 extra practices should only get better here. Injuries derailed the defense, especially in the secondary, but North Carolina is hopeful the extended time off will allow some of their defensive stars back for this bowl game. While that unit is the weakness, the Owls may not be able to take advantage. Temple quarterback Anthony Russo passed for 21 touchdowns and 11 interceptions and has connected on just 58.6 percent of passes. Certainly not a big edge there and the Owls average 142.2 rushing ypg which is ranked 91st out of 130 FBS teams so this offense has no clear advantage. 9* (227) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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12-26-19 | Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 | Top | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 54 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Thursday Independence Bowl Winner. This line has come down a point from opening but it is not enough. Miami has little interest in playing in this game as it comes in 6-6 after an underachieving regular season and the proof of not wanting to show up is evidenced by the top players. Defensive ends Jonathan Garvin and Trevon Hill, junior wide receiver Jeff Thomas, and linebacker Michael Pinckney have all decided to skip the Independence Bowl to prepare for the NFL draft. That says a lot. Louisiana Tech meanwhile would like nothing more than to secure a win over a major program to gain its first 10-win season since 1984. The Bulldogs are led by quarterback J'Mar Smith, Conference USA's Offensive Player of the Year and one of the most dynamic quarterbacks the Hurricanes have faced this season. The Hurricanes defense was one of the best this season but they are down their three best players and that will be a huge difference here. On the other side, the quarterback situation for Miami is so bad, a starter has yet to be names as it was an open tryout heading into the bowl game. The Louisiana Tech's campus in Ruston is located about an hour away from Shreveport, where the Independence Bowl will be played. Needless to say, the Bulldogs should have a distinct home-field advantage on Thursday. 10* (224) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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12-24-19 | BYU -1 v. Hawaii | Top | 34-38 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Tuesday Hawaii Bowl Blockbuster. Hawaii finished the regular season strong with a run of four straight wins but three of those were against non-bowl teams while the other was an ugly win against San Diego St. and of its nine total wins, only three came against bowl teams. The Warriors lost the yardage battle in five of the seven games against bowlers and in the four outright losses, they lost by an average of 26.3 ppg. BYU finished the season 7-5 with four of those wins coming against bowl teams including a win over Boise St., the Broncos only regular season loss of the season. The Cougars finished strong on the field as they outgained seven of their last eight opponents including the last five but that did not pay off at the ticket window as BYU dropped its last four games against the number. How important is the outcome of the Hawaii Bowl to BYU coach Kalani Sitake, his staff and the Cougar players? According to BYU Insiders, very important. This will be a business trip, not a vacation, to be sure. Here, we play on road favorites after allowing 14 points or less last game going up against an opponent after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 107-60 ATS (64.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (221) BYU Cougars |
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12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings -4.5 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Even though we are 14 games into the season, it is hard to get a grasp on the Packers and how good their 11-3 record really is. They've been outscored in the second and fourth quarters, only four of their 11 wins have come by more than one score and their team rankings in rushing and passing yardage on both offense and defense are all in the bottom half of the league. Green Bay has been outgained in five of its last six and seven of its last 10 games and just two of the 11 wins are against teams in current playoff positions. The Vikings have won eight of their last 10 games after an uneven 2-2 start to the season. There is a lot on the line for Minnesota as well even though it clinched a playoff berth with the Rams loss on Saturday. The only way Minnesota can win the NFC North is if the sputtering Lions beat the Packers in addition to Vikings victories in their last two games. They host Chicago on Dec. 29, with the chance to go 8-0 at home for the first time in 10 years. It is well documented that Kirk Cousins is 0-8 on Monday Night Football but he is not solely to blame. He has completed 191 of 292 passes (65.4 percent) for 2,153 yards with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions, and his passer rating is 92.7 in those games. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. This situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (482) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-22-19 | Cardinals +9 v. Seahawks | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Seahawks know two wins will at the very least give them a first-round bye in the postseason. But a loss here would still mean a first round bye should they defeated the 49ers next week to win the NFC West. And based on how the year has gone with 10 of Seattle's 11 wins being decided by one score, this week will probably be close as well. The Seattle defense is in bad shape right now with the status of Jadeveon Clowney, Qunadre Diggs, Ziggy Ansah, Mychal Kendricks and Shaquill Griffin all in question. The first two have been downgraded to doubtful while the others are listed as questionable. Arizona snapped a six-game losing streak with a win over the Browns last week. The offense was balanced and that will be important here, especially against the Seahawks defense that is undermanned. It is important for that consistency to remain as it will keep the Seattle offense off the field and take some pressure off the worst defense in the NFL. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a scoring defense allowing 27 or more ppg. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (477) Arizona Cardinals |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys v. Eagles +2.5 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. We won with Dallas last week as a home underdog and now it comes into this week as a road favorite which is a complete overreaction to the win last week. Couple that with the Eagles needing a late comeback to defeat to the Redskins and the public will be all over the Cowboys this week.0020Dallas is top ten in scoring offense, total offense, scoring defense and total defense yet it is just 7-7 on the season. The Cowboys can win the NFC East with a win no matter what happens next week but a playoff berth is still in play for the Eagles. Beat the Cowboys and win in Week 17 against the Giants, and they're in so clearly there is a lot at stake for both sides. Carson Wentz is playing one of the true must-win games of his career. He tossed a two-yard touchdown pass to Zach Ertz in overtime to beat the Giants and followed up on the road with a touchdown pass to Greg Ward to beat the Redskins. He is down his top three receivers so expect big games from Ertz and Ward as the Cowboys struggle to defend the middle of the field. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) Philadelphia Eagles |
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12-22-19 | Panthers +7 v. Colts | Top | 6-38 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Colts put up a dud for us on Monday night as the Saints used the Drew Brees record setting night as a means for motivation. Now there is nothing to play for as a rash of injuries, a flurry of costly special teams mistakes, and back-to-back sub-par defensive performances led to a fourth consecutive loss at New Orleans, sealing their playoff fate. They've been outscored 31-7 in the fourth quarter of the last three games to go along with no running game. The Panthers have given up on the Kyle Allen experiment that actually started out good but has failed miserably of late. They have lost six straight games but four of those losses came by just one possession and there is no wat the Colts should be laying this number with nothing on the line especially facing Christian McCaffrey. He needs 186 yards receiving over the final two games to become the third player to have 1,000 yards both rushing and receiving so he will be a heavy part of the passing game with new starter Will Grier. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 off a road loss, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 49-18 ATS (73.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (471) Carolina Panthers |
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12-21-19 | UAB +17 v. Appalachian State | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 30 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Appalachian St. lost just once this season but it is in a terrible spot here. The Mountaineers will be playing without head coach Eli Drinkwitz who jetted for Missouri after just one season and they simply do not want to be here. This is a lackluster bowl game for a team that is considered one of the best non-Power 5 teams in the country. They were one Memphis loss away from playing in the Cotton Bowl so it shows how big the bowl disparity is. UAB, meanwhile, had its worst performance of the season in the biggest moment, as the Blazers were trounced by Florida Atlantic in the C-USA title game 49-6. That result should not overshadow what was a successful year for Bill Clark's team, reaching the conference championship a year after losing a number of key playmakers to graduation on both sides of the football. The Blazers will be out to bounce back from that is they are impressive considering they made it to a championship game from a stronger conference than the Sun Belt. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points with a winning percentage of .800 or more after having won eight or more out of their last 10 games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 63-31 ATS (67 percent) since 1992. 9* (217) UAB Blazers |
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12-21-19 | Rams +7 v. 49ers | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 32 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Punisher. The Rams are coming off a loss last week in Dallas which severely hurt their playoff chances. They have to win out in their final two games, here and then next week at home against the Cardinals. Additionally, Los Angeles needs Minnesota to love this Monday and then next week at home against the Bears. All scenarios are more than possible so it is up to the Rams to do its job. The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. San Francisco is coming off a bad loss against Atlanta last Sunday and while it can still lock down the No. seed in the NFC, it can also fall to the No. 5 seed which is where it currently sits. The 49ers are just 3-2 against the top 10 in the league while playing the No. 17 ranked schedule. While these teams are separated by three games, San Francisco seems pretty overpriced here and this is just the second time the Rams have been road underdogs and by far by the biggest amount. The 49ers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset loss as a road favorite, in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (451) Los Angeles Rams |
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12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State +3.5 | Top | 38-7 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Game of the Week. The storyline here is that this is the final game for Washington head coach Chris Peterson and he squares off against his former team which he directed a complete turnaround to where they are now. It is a great feel good story but the game is played on the field and the Broncos will not have any less motivation. Boise St. lost once this season, a three-point loss at BYU, and was favored in every game it played. Granted, they are now playing a team from a Power 5 conference but the Pac 12 is the worst of the bunch. Since 2006, the Broncos are 5-3 as neutral-site underdogs and two of those losses came back to back with an interim coach in the 2013 Hawaii Bowl vs. Oregon St. and in the first game under head coach Bryan Harsin in 2014 against Ole Miss. The Broncos are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. Washington struggled down the stretch, going 3-4 in its last seven games and two of those losses came against teams not playing in a bowl game. Pac 12 teams are 2-20 ATS in bowl games over the last three years while the Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 10* (216) Boise St. Broncos |
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12-21-19 | Bills +7 v. Patriots | Top | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Saturday Afternoon Dominator. This is a game where you have to trust the eye test and not the history lesson. New England is making its 11th straight playoff appearance but this could be the worst of the bunch despite an 11-3 record. The defense is great but the offense has struggled as Tom Brady looks slow and inaccurate and he has no weapons to throw to. Facing one of the best defenses in the league will be a challenge and the Patriots struggled in the first meeting as they won by six points but mustered a mere 224 yards of total offense and the difference was a blocked punt returned for a touchdown. Playing at home with a chance to win the division in tough to go against but the Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo will not be intimidated here just like last week when they were not against the Steelers. They held Pittsburgh to 229 total yards and the site of Brady is not going to scare them off. The offense has certainly been inconsistent but Josh Allen has the ability to confuse the Patriots with his mobility. The Bills are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, in the last two weeks of the regular season. This situation is 38-14 ATS (73.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (453) Buffalo Bills |
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12-21-19 | Central Michigan +3.5 v. San Diego State | 11-48 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. A year after going 1-11, Central Michigan has improved to 8-5 and won the MAC West division title in Jim McElwain's first season. The Chippewas enter this game averaging 32 ppg but that will be tested going up against San Diego State's physical, stingy defense. It will be up to the experience of seniors Quinten Dormady and Jonathan Ward, Central Michigan's sharp quarterback and top running back respectively, to lead the way. The Chippewas are 7-0 ATS after covering the spread in two out of their last three games this season. The Aztecs offense struggled all season and there is no reason to think they found the secret to turn it around here. They are averaging just 19.0 ppg and making matters worse. running back Juwan Washington is not expected to play because of a nagging ankle injury. That's a big loss since the senior has been a workhorse for three seasons, rushing for more than 500 yards every year during that span. The Aztecs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. While the Aztecs are 12-1-1 in their history against the MAC, the lone loss came last year, a 27-0 shutout courtesy of Ohio in the Frisco Bowl. 9* (207) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 | Top | 51-41 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH ST. AGGIES for our CFB Friday Frisco Bowl Winner. Kent St. snuck into the postseason with a 6-6 record thanks to winning its final three games of the regular season. The Golden Flashes lost the yardage battle in two of those games and on the season, they were outgained in all seven games against current bowl teams and by an average of 192 ypg. Utah St. had a below average season by its standards as it went 7-5 and four of those five losses came by at least 24 points. Of course, those were all against teams much better than Kent St. and three of those are currently ranked. One of the big reasons for the pedestrian season was the average play of quarterback Jordan Love who crushed it last season with 28 touchdowns and five interceptions compared to a 17:16 split this season. He is pegged as a high draft NFL quarterback and this is his showcase. For the Aggies, beating the Golden Flashes would represent ending 2019 on a high note after missing their goal of winning a Mountain West Conference championship. Here, we play on teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games. This situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (204) Utah St. Aggies |
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12-16-19 | Colts +10 v. Saints | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -122 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The money and the public is on the Saints here which comes as no surprise and that has driven this line up to double-digits in some places. The Saints are coming off a tough loss against the 49ers last Sunday but have still clinched the division but they can win out and still get the third seed if they don't receive some extra help. The New Orleans defense has regressed and that is not ideal when laying a number this big as the Saints enter this game ranked 13th in total defense, surrendering 338 ypg and 17th in points allowed at 22.8 ppg. New Orleans is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 home games as favorites coming off a home loss including 0-7 ATS when laying more than a touchdown. Indianapolis needs to win out and get some help for the postseason as it is a game and a half out of the final Wild Card spot in the AFC. The Colts are 2-4 on the road but three of those losses came by a combined eight points and the other came in overtime. Indianapolis is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games against NFC teams .500 or better. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems off a road loss by three points or less, in the last four weeks of the regular season. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (333) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-15-19 | Rams v. Cowboys | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 147 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Game of the Year. The advanced line for this game was Dallas -3.5 which was released on Tuesday but after the Dallas loss on Thursday, the number came down to -3 and then after the Rams blowout winner over Seattle on Sunday night, the line came down once again and this is the time to buy. The Cowboys have lost three straight games to fall to 6-7 and this is a must win game with their following contest taking place at Philadelphia which will most likely decide the NFC East. In the loss against the Bears, Dallas still won the yardage battle for the ninth straight game. Dallas is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 home games after having lost three out of their last four games. The Rams are coming off the impressive win over Seattle to remain in the Wild Card hunt. They are one game behind the Vikings for the second Wild Card spot and the Rams are going to have to get some help from the Vikings. While the offense has looked good the last two games, quarterback Jared Goff is having a mediocre season, posting 3712 passing yards with a 15:14 TD to INT ratio. The Rams are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. The game will be a rematch of the NFC Divisional round matchup from last season, when Dallas traveled to Los Angeles and got their pride handed to them. Head coach Sean McVay used a combination of Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson to rush for over 250 yards on the Dallas defense and the Cowboys were outgained 459-308 making revenge a big factor. Here, we play on home favorites after having lost four or five out of their last six games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Dallas Cowboys |
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12-15-19 | Vikings v. Chargers +1.5 | 39-10 | Loss | -109 | 46 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Los Angeles is coming off a much needed win last week at Jacksonville. The Chargers have already been eliminated from playoff contention, but they've got more than enough talent and motivation to worry the Vikings in their final road game of the regular season. Los Angeles' eight losses have all been by seven points or fewer, leaving the Chargers out of the playoff race despite a plus-38 point differential and elite talent on both sides of the ball. The Chargers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Minnesota is coming off a win against Detroit last week to make it three wins in its last four games to keep hold of the top Wild Card spot in the NFC. This is not the ideal spot as after losing 37-30 at Seattle two games ago, they're 1-6 on the road in the Mountain and Pacific time zones in six seasons under coach Mike Zimmer. The Vikings are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after four consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers. This situation is 40-15 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1983. 9* (332) Los Angeles Chargers |
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12-15-19 | Jaguars v. Raiders -6.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -106 | 46 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. After three straight losses, the Raiders are nearly eliminated from playoff contention so one could argue there is little motivation on the Oakland sideline. That could be the furthest from the truth. This is the final game being played in Oakland as it will be calling Las Vegas home starting next season so there will be plenty of motivation to pull out one final victory for the home crowd. It was a rough second half last week for the Raiders but they are in a great bounce back spot here facing a team that has mailed it in. The Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Jacksonville has lost five straight games and none have been close as those losses have all come by at least 17 points and by an average of 23.4 ppg. The Jaguars are officially out of the playoff mix and are ready for the season to end. The Jaguars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, after the first month of the season. This situation is 105-67 ATS (61 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (324) Oakland Raiders |
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12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans -3 | 24-21 | Loss | -103 | 43 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Sunday Afternoon Dominator. Tennessee put on a second half show last week as it broke open a 21-21 tie at halftime by scoring 21 unanswered points. Coupled with the Houston loss, the Titans moved into a tie for first place in the AFC South so this is a big game for both sides. Tennessee is playing excellent right now as its four straight wins trail only Baltimore for the longest active streak in the league. The Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a winning road record. Houston is coming off a bad loss against the Broncos and while it has been solid coming off a loss, there is one significant factor. The Texans are 4-0 following a defeat but all four of those follow up wins came at home. This is a bad spot as the Texans are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, a playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (314) Tennessee Titans |
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12-14-19 | Army +10.5 v. Navy | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Saturday Army/Navy Enforcer. It has been a tough season for Army that came in with high expectations following an 11-2 season a year ago. The Black Knights opened 3-1 with the lone loss coming at Michigan in overtime. It has been a 2-6 finish but five of those losses came by single digits. Army has won the last three games in the series. Although the Black Knights (5-7) are having an off-year compared with Navy (9-2), a victory for the Midshipmen is certainly not guaranteed. Another win over Navy on Saturday would give the Black Knights their first four-game winning streak in the rivalry since 1993 to 1996. Navy turned things around after going 3-10 last season as it is 9-2 with the tow losses coming against Memphis and Notre Dame. Army has outgained four of its last five opponents so it is playing better than the record shows which makes the points being a premium. Seven of the nine Army-Navy Games in this decade have been decided by a touchdown or less. The only two to get out of hand in Navy's favor came before Army hired Jeff Monken. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) since 1992 including a perfect 15-0 ATS over the last five seasons. 10* (303) Army Black Knights |
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12-09-19 | Giants +9.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Giants have lost eight in a row but could spoil Philadelphia's playoff hopes with a victory. Eli Manning is expected to make his first start since Week 2 because rookie Daniel Jones has a high ankle sprain. Manning struggled in his first two starts but there was a lot of pressure on him to keep his job and now with that pressure being lifted, he should be able to go out and just play. The Giants are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. Despite their poor record, the Eagles would win the NFC East by winning their last four games. But when you lose 7 of 12, three in a row, and at the woeful Dolphins, nothing is guaranteed. The Eagles have not shown the ability to put a team away aside from their life-draining drive against the Bears in Week Nine, their win over the Bills in Week Eight and the rout of the Jets in Week Five. The Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more last game going up against an opponent after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (159) New York Giants |
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12-08-19 | Titans v. Raiders +3 | 42-21 | Loss | -107 | 45 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Afternoon Dominator. The Raiders were looking good for a playoff spot just three weeks ago but laid a pair of eggs on the road against the Jets and Chiefs, getting outscored by a combined 74-12. The schedule has been brutal from a travel aspect as the Raiders went six weeks without a home game between September and the end of October and after a three-game homestand, had to travel the last two weeks. Oakland did go 3-0 in those three home games and it is far from done in the AFC as a win here puts them in a tie with the Titans and possibly the Steelers if they lose at Arizona for the second Wild Card spot. Tennessee has won three straight and five of six but four of those wins were at home and had the fluke road win last week. The Titans host Houston next week so there is the possibility of a lookahead which makes this a flat spot if that is the case. They are getting outgained by over 60 ypg and even with Ryan Tannehill at quarterback, there is inconsistencies. Here, we play on teams after scoring nine points or less in two straight games. This situation is 33-14 ATS (70.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (156) Oakland Raiders |
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12-08-19 | Broncos +9.5 v. Texans | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 41 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Denver has struggled on the road to a 1-5 record but only one of those losses was it never in it, a 20-3 loss to the Bills. The Broncos 3-3 against the number in those games and going back, they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs. Drew Lock posted a decent 84.5 passer rating in his first career start and he showed signs that he can be a really good option at quarterback. Houston is coming off a massive win against New England to make it two straight wins to retain its one game lead over Tennessee in the AFC South. Speaking of Tennessee, the Texans travel there next week so this is a classic sandwich spot. The Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. 76 percent of the money is on Denver yet this line has not moved as just the juice has fluctuated and while it is not a reverse line movement, it is as close as you can get without the line actually moving. Here, we play against favorites off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 64-29 ATS (68.8 percent) since 1983. 9* (135) Denver Broncos |
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12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills +6.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. We bet against Baltimore again last week as it finally paid off as the Ravens snuck by a quality opponent. While some may not think it, Buffalo is another quality opponent as its 9-3 record indicates. The line is inflated once again as the book want to avoid liability after getting crushed for five straight games. The San Francisco defense did a great job on the Ravens offense, holding them to a season low 20 points. The Bills defense is built similarly to the 49ers and it is a legit unit. On the other side, Josh Allen has been sensational since the Patriots game with just the one hiccup against Cleveland. Buffalo gained the early action causing the line to go from -6 to -5 on Sunday. When Monday hit, the action switched and the Ravens were getting hit hard moving the line to 5.5 and the action has remained on the Baltimore side yet the line has increased to -6 as of Friday night. Here, we plat on home teams off an upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .750 or better. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (132) Buffalo Bills |
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12-08-19 | Colts +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 42 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Colts burned us last week as they were ready to take the lead against Tennessee but had their field goal blocked and returned for a touchdown and then another turned sealed the game. The Colts outgained the Titans by 99 total yards and have won the yardage battle in five of their last six games despite going 2-4. The Colts are in must win mode and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home. The Buccaneers are on a two-game winning streak but are just 1-3 at home with the lone won coming by a field goal against Arizona. They were favored by 5.5 points in that game and are now 0-4 ATS at home not including the London game where they were the designated home team and lost by 11 points. At 5-7, Tampa Bay is out of the playoff mix yet is favored again. Here, we play against home favorites after having won two out of their last three games, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 in the second half of the season. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-07-19 | Georgia +7.5 v. LSU | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS for our SEC Championship Winner. The LSU Tigers and Georgia Bulldogs square off for the SEC Championship from Atlanta. This is the most highly anticipated of the conference championship games as both are currently in the top four and either could leave with a loss. The LSU offense is no joke. The Tigers lead the SEC in total offense and scoring offense, and quarterback Joe Burrow has set the SEC single-season passing yardage record. Georgia leads the SEC in every major defensive statistical category, allowing just one rushing touchdown all season and no plays over 30 yards the second half of the regular season. The Bulldogs have not allowed more than 17 points in regulation in any game, ranking second in the country in scoring defense. While the offense averages nearly 16 ppg less than the Tigers, the Bulldogs defense allows nearly 12 ppg less than LSU and that is where this game comes down to. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (117) Georgia Bulldogs |
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12-07-19 | Hawaii v. Boise State -13.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our MWC Championship Winner. The Hawaii Warriors and Boise St. Broncos will play for the Mountain West Championship on Saturday. Hawaii played at Boise St. in October for a cross-divisional matchup, falling 59-37 as the Broncos jumped out to a 37-7 lead in the second quarter. Boise St. would go on to fall 28-25 at BYU the following week after but has rattled off five straight wins going into the championship game. Boise St. is once again in the conversation for making it to a big bowl game with the highest ranked team from a non-power five conference. Both teams have strong offenses, ranking first and second in the conference, but the Broncos have been significantly better defensively. Boise St. ranks 36th nationally in total defense, allowing 348.9 ypg, while Hawaii is ranked 95th and allows 430.8 ypg. Here, we play against underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points revenging a loss where opponent scored 42 or more points, after a home game where both teams scored 31 or more points. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (116) Boise St. Broncos |
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12-07-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -6 | Top | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 67 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Game of the Week. The 2019 Sun Belt Championship Game is set with the Appalachian St. Mountaineers hosting the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns. Appalachian St. clinched the Sun Belt East Division title after finishing 7-1 in conference play and 11-1 overall, two games ahead of Georgia Southern. The Mountaineers have won three-consecutive Sun Belt titles including last season when they defeated Louisiana 30-19 on this same field. Louisiana has had no trouble moving the ball the season, as evidenced by a sixth-ranked offense in yards per play. On the other side, the Appalachian State defense is a top-25 unit in regard to yards per play, which sets up for an interesting battle of strength vs. strength. If short history is any indication, the Mountaineers have the edge as they held the Cajuns to just 5.5 yppl in the first meeting in a 17-7 win and that game was in Lafayette. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 57-25 ATS (69.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (108) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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12-07-19 | Miami-OH +7 v. Central Michigan | Top | 26-21 | Win | 100 | 67 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB 10* Star Attraction. Miami will be going to a bowl game for the first time since 2016-17 after winning five of its last six games to win the MAC East Division. The RedHawks finished the regular season 7-5 and while it is coming off a loss in its last game, it was a meaningless game on the road. On paper, the RedHawks bring in one of the best overall defenses in the MAC and arguably the best special teams unit in the country. Offensively, the RedHawks are excellent in the red zone as they are 34-for-39 in red-zone opportunities and have scored 21 touchdowns (53.8 percent).Central Michigan turned its season around and is one of the biggest stories in the country. The Chippewas went 1-11 last season including 0-8 in the MAC and then opened this year 2-3 but went on to win six of their last seven games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having won four or five out of their last six games, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 of their games on the season. This season is 37-10 ATS (78.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Miami Ohio RedHawks |
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12-07-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma -8 | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Big XII Championship Winner. Oklahoma and Baylor will meet for the second time this season, yet again with both of their College Football Playoff hopes on the line. The first one was an epic comeback for the Sooners as they rallied from a 31-10 halftime deficit. Turnover were the story as Oklahoma won the yardage battle by 218 total yards so the outcome should not have been that close. The Sooners offense has been riding high as usual and the defense has improved from recent years so a big showing here could propel them into the CFP should Georgia lose. Baylor feels it still has a shot as we but it is slim as it is ranked No. 9 and would need a win and a lot of help. The Bears only loss came against the Sooners where Oklahoma was a 10.5-point favorite but now Oklahoma is actually favored by less on a neutral field. This is the first time all season that the Sooners have been single-digit favorites. Here, we play on any team after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games. This situation is 44-16 ATS (73.3 percent) since 1992. 9* (110) Oklahoma Sooners |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys -3 v. Bears | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Dallas has lost two straight games and is 3-5 0ver its last eight games but there has been one common denominator and that is the Cowboys have outgained all eight opponents in those games. The problem is not on the offense as they have the top ranked offense in the NFL with 432.8 ypg and the defense has not been bad either as they are ranked No. 8 overall with 321.6 ypg. But on that side of the ball, they have just 12 takeaways which is tied for fourth fewest in the NFL and the eight teams they are grouped with that have 14 or fewer takeaways, seven have no chance for the playoffs. A lot of this is luck and can turn around quickly as we are backing a team that is one of only two ranked in the top eight in both offense and defense, San Francisco being the other and the 49ers are 10-2. Chicago was fortunate to get out of Detroit with a win on Thanksgiving as it had its best game on offense on the season with 419 yards yet won by just four points. Mitchell Trubisky had his best game of the season but that was against the third worst passing defense in the NFL and we do not expect a big effort Thursday. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a defense forcing one or fewer tpg, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) Dallas Cowboys |
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12-02-19 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-37 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Seattle has won four straight games including three on the road where it is a perfect 6-0 on the season. The Seahawks are just 3-2 at home with those three wins being an overtime win over Tampa Bay, a one-point win over the Rams and a one-point win over the Bengals. They are outgaining opponents by just 17 ypg at home and going back, the Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Minnesota has won two straight games and is coming off its bye week which is a big edge this late in the season. The Vikings are a half-game behind Green Bay in the NFC North and they hold onto a game and a half lead over the Rams for the final Wild Card slot in the NFC and can take over the first spot with a win tonight. Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games, in December games. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (475) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-01-19 | Chargers v. Broncos +3.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Afternoon Dominator. The Chargers are a mess as they have been crushed with turnovers of late with a lot of that being the fault of Philip Rivers. They have lost five of their last seven games with the offense averaging just 19.1 ppg and faces a formidable Broncos defense that is ranked seventh in the league, allowing just 321.1 ypg. The Chargers are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall and are a false favorite here against a team that is just one game worse. The Broncos were hammered by Buffalo last week as Brandon Allen threw for just 82 yards and they managed only 134 total yards of offense. Allen has been benched and Drew Lock will get the start and even though he has not seen any action, it has to be an upgrade. The Broncos are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 51-22 ATS (69.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (470) Denver Broncos |
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12-01-19 | Jets v. Bengals +3.5 | 6-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Jets have turned the corner and have won three straight games, all as underdogs. Now they go into Cincinnati as road favorites which seems reasonable considering the Bengals are 0-11 but there is an issue with this line. It opened at -3.5 and it was announced that Andy Dalton has been named the starting quarterback yet the line has only come down by a half-point. Dalton is by no means a great quarterback but he is a huge upgrade from Ryan Finley whose passer rating was 62.1 in his three games he started. The Bengals defense has played well the last two games, allowing just 16.5 ppg and should be able to slow down the Jets offense that has overachieved against bad offenses during their winning streak. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1983. 9* (466) Cincinnati Bengals |
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12-01-19 | Titans v. Colts -1 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Game of the Week. Indianapolis and Tennessee are both squarely in the playoff mix as both come in at 6-5, one game behind Houston in the NFC South and with the Texans playing the Patriots, the winner of this game could be in a first place tie. Tennessee is coming off a pair of impressive wins as it defeated Kansas City and then Jacksonville in a blowout but both were at home. Tennessee is just 1-3 in its last four road games yet is getting just one point as of Saturday. The Colts stumbled in Houston for their third loss in four games but against the Texans, it broke a streak of outgaining their opponents in four straight games. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season averaging between 335 and 370 ypg going up against teams averaging between 295 and 335 ypg, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (458) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-01-19 | 49ers +6 v. Ravens | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Baltimore is coming off another impressive win last week against the Rans but it came with a cost and now the Ravens are playing on short rest. Center Matt Skura got hurt on Monday night and now the Ravens weak at left guard and center and San Francisco can take advantage of this. Baltimore has now won seven straight games, the last five coming by double-digits so it is no surprise the public is loving the Ravens yet the line has actually come down. San Francisco is coming off a pair of impressive wins as it defeated Arizona and Green Bay, outgaining them by 176 yards and 141 yards respectively. The 49ers are 10-1 but are not getting the deserved respect because of the dominant Baltimore run. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 27 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (455) San Francisco 49ers |
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11-30-19 | UAB -3 v. North Texas | 26-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. UAB can wrap up the C-USA West Division with a victory over North Texas on Saturday as it owns the tiebreaker over Louisiana Tech thanks to its win over the Bulldogs last week. The Blazers are just 2-3 on the road but this is clearly the biggest one of them all with so much on the line. The Blazers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a losing record. It has been a very disappointing season for North Texas which came in with high expectations after going 9-4 last season. The Mean Green have dropped two straight games, including a bad loss to Rice last week, to deny them a chance at a bowl game this season. They still could get in at 5-7 if there are not enough 6-6 teams but that is very unlikely. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 excellent passing team averaging 8.3 or more ypa going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (421) UAB Blazers |
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11-30-19 | Miami-FL -8.5 v. Duke | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our CFB Game of the Week. We have two huge factors going the Hurricanes way here. Miami lost at home to Florida International last week prompting head coach Manny Diaz to say it was one of the worst losses in program history so making amends from that is paramount. Second, the Hurricanes lost home to Duke last season for the first time since 1976 so revenge is in play. The loss last week was misleading as Miami outgained the Panthers by 116 total yards but lost the turnover battle 3-0 and missed two crucial fourth and one conversions. It has been a rough stretch for Duke as it has lost five straight games and six of seven while getting outgained in all of those. At 4-7, the Blue Devils will miss out on a bowl game for the first time since 2011-12. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games going up against an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (425) Miami Hurricanes |
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11-30-19 | Northwestern +8.5 v. Illinois | 29-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Northwestern has had a difficult season at 2-9 and while it has been out of bowl consideration for a while, this is considered their bowl game. They have actually been better than the record shows as they have been outgained by just 67.4 ypg and have outgained the opposition in five of 11 games this season. This is the most points Northwestern has gotten in this series since 2011 and going back, the Wildcats are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games following a double-digit loss at home. Illinois has already secured a bowl berth at 6-5 but this could be one of the worst winning teams in the country. The Illini have covered six straight games which is helping with this line but they have been outgained eight of their last nine games with the only positive differential coming against Rutgers. Overall, they are getting outgained by 74.9 ypg. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams averaging between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc. This situation is 57-31 ATS (64.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (403) Northwestern Wildcats |
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11-30-19 | Indiana -6.5 v. Purdue | Top | 44-41 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Purdue is another team that has had a rough season after coming in with high expectations. The Boilermakers are 4-7 and will miss out on a bowl game after making the postseason the last two years. The door was officially shut last week in a 45-24 loss to Wisconsin but it was the loss of starting quarterback Elijah Sindelar after three games that really hurt them and this was the second straight season he did not come close to play a full season. Indiana is going bowling after missing out the last two seasons despite losing its last two games. The Hoosiers had a four-game losing streak snapped with a loss at Penn St. where they actually outgained the Nittany Lions and then lost last week against Michigan. The Hoosiers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on road favorites after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (391) Indiana Hoosiers |
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11-29-19 | Washington State +8 v. Washington | 13-31 | Loss | -107 | 47 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Washington St. has won two straight games to become bowl eligible and it has some solid momentum heading into the Apple Cup where it looks to snap a six-game losing streak against its rival. The Cougars offense has come to life the last two games, averaging 51.5 ppg and while this will be a test, this is the best opportunity to keep it going as the Washington defense has slipped over the second half of the season. The Cougars are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Huskies are coming off a loss to Colorado and while they head back home, they have not been dominant here, going just 3-3 on the season. Washington has been outgained in five of its last seven games while losing four of its last six games, three of those coming against teams that are not bowl eligible. For Washington, the biggest question is quarterback Jacob Eason as he has thrown 11 touchdowns and six picks in his last six games after a solid start to the season. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are coming off a loss as a road favorite of seven or more points, in November games. This situation is 38-11 ATS (77.6 percent) since 1992. 9* (339) Washington St. Cougars |
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11-29-19 | Cincinnati +12 v. Memphis | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 46 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Temple won for us last Saturday as it stayed within the big number at Cincinnati but now we will be backing the Bearcats as a big road underdog. Cincinnati has won nine straight games and its only loss on the season came at Ohio St. back in early September. The Bearcats already clinched the AAC East title but there is still a lot on the line as a win here and win next week likely gets them into a major bowl being the highest ranked non-power conference team. Slowing down the Memphis offense is the key and Cincinnati can do that as the Bearcats are allowing just 19.9 ppg which is 23rd in the nation. The Tigers have won five straight games and they bring in an identical 10-1 record yet are double-digit favorites. These teams are separated by just three points in the power rankings so the line is definitely inflated in favor of the home team. While it may seem dominating, Memphis has actually been outgained in four of its last eight games so a lot of the games have been fairly competitive. Here, we play on road underdogs after two or more consecutive losses against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .800 or better. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (331) Cincinnati Bearcats |
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11-29-19 | Missouri -12.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 24-14 | Loss | -109 | 45 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. We played on Missouri last week and it lost at home for its fifth straight loss but now with the season on the line, the Tigers come out strong. They fell to 5-6 so a win here is necessary to gain a bowl berth and facing the worst team in the SEC is the cure. The offense remains a liability as the early season potent unit has fallen apart. A lot of that has to do with playing some tough defenses but that will not be the case this week. The Tigers have failed to cover six straight games but that is keeping this line in check. Arkansas has lost eight straight games to remain winless in the SEC and the other defeats came against San Jose St. and Western Kentucky. The Razorbacks are allowing 38 ppg on the season including 50.8 ppg over their last five games. Additionally, they have been outgained by an average of 260.8 ypg over that stretch so the scores are no fluke. A coaching change has done no good and it is safe to say Arkansas just wants this miserable season to end. Here, we play against underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (329) Missouri Tigers |
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11-28-19 | Saints -6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 26-18 | Win | 100 | 53 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans and Atlanta meet on Thanksgiving night for the second straight season with the Saints looking to wrap up the NFC South division. They have a four-game lead over Carolina following their win over the Panthers this past Sunday. New Orleans has won two straight games to improve to 9-2 on the season and it had a six-game winning streak snapped three games back at home against Atlanta. Revenge will be in play here against an inconsistent Atlanta team which pulled off stunning back-to-back road wins only to fall flat at home last week against the Buccaneers. The Falcons have lost four straight home games and while they have the edge in not having to travel following a home game, the defense will struggle here. The Saints are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 road games while Atlanta is 0-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Additionally, the Falcons are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing six or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game going up against teams with forcing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after four consecutive games where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 30-10 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 10* (309) New Orleans Saints |
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11-28-19 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -2.5 | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -109 | 48 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. With the Mississippi loss to LSU two weeks ago, the Rebels have officially been eliminated from bowl contention. Because this is a big rivalry game, they will be out to play spoiler but sitting at 0-4 on the road, it will be difficult to achieve. Mississippi, which has not reached a bowl since 2015, will finish with a losing record for the second straight season. The Rebels are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. Hope is still alive on the home side as the Bulldogs need a win Thursday to become eligible for a 10th straight bowl appearance. Mississippi St. has been outgained only twice at home and those came against LSU and Alabama. There might be added pressure with everything on the line for the Bulldogs but they have proven that they can get it done as Mississippi St. has achieved a perfect 3-0 record over the last decade when entering the Egg Bowl with bowl eligibility on the line. The Bulldogs are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining their last opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 73-31 ATS (70.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (312) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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11-28-19 | Bears v. Lions +3 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for out NFL Thursday Afternoon Dominator. The Bears are coming off a home win over the lowly Giants by it was by just by five points. Since a 3-1 start to the season, Chicago is only 2-5 in its last seven games including a 0-3 record on the road. Three games back, they defeated Detroit by a touchdown for its third straight win in this series so the Lions will be out for payback. This offense remains incredibly inconsistent as they are ranked No. 29, averaging a mere 269.3 ypg and 17.1 ppg. Chicago has outgained only four of 11 opponents while on the other side, Detroit has outgained six of its 11 opponents. This includes outgaining the Redskins by 134 total yards this past Sunday but lost late. Quarterback Jeff Driskel has not been great but he is no worse than Mitchell Trubisky yet the Lions come in as the road underdog here. The defense has struggled overall but their worst games have come against premier offenses as they have gone against the top ten units. Detroit held Chicago to 226 yard offense in the first meeting. The Bears are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 86-43 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1983. 9* (306) Detroit Lions |
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11-26-19 | Western Michigan -8.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. This is the last game of the regular season for both teams and the final game of the season entirely for Northern Illinois as its loss last week against Eastern Michigan prevented a bowl berth and this will be just the second losing season since 2009 for the Huskies. With nothing to play for except for pride, they are in a tough spot tonight. The Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. It is pretty simple for Western Michigan. A win and the Broncos claim the MAC West Division while a loss gives Central Michigan the chance to win it with a victory over Toledo on Friday. Western Michigan has won three straight games and is coming off its bye week so it is in great shape to put it away. The difference here will be in the running game as the Broncos average nearly two more ypc than the Huskies and that is what puts these games away late in the season. Western Michigan is 5-1 ATS this season when favored by a touchdown or more. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost two out of their last three games going up against an opponent after having won four out of their last five games. This situation is 37-10 ATS (78.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (303) Western Michigan Broncos |
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11-25-19 | Ravens v. Rams +4 | Top | 45-6 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Everyone is in love with Baltimore right now and rightfully so. The Ravens opened the season by hanging 59 points on the Dolphins, and have also enjoyed 49, 40, and 37 point outbursts. The Ravens defense has also enjoyed some success this season as they have allowed the 6th fewest points in the league and are 14th in yardage allowed. This is a bad matchup though. The Rams defense is stout and ranks 10th overall. They have given up 10 or fewer points three of the past four weeks. Offensively, the Rams need some work. In 10 games this season, they totaled only 243 ppg and 24 offensive touchdowns. Los Angeles has coughed up the ball 18 times,15 times by Jared Goff in the form of 10 interceptions and five lost fumbles. And a ground attack that finished with the third-most yards in the league a year ago ranks 20th in the NFL. Still, only five quarterbacks have thrown for more yards than Goff (2,783) so he will give the Ravens a big test. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 53-18 ATS (74..6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) Los Angeles Rams |
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11-24-19 | Packers v. 49ers -3 | 8-37 | Win | 100 | 32 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. The 49ers took advantage of an easy schedule in the first half of the season and while it gets much tougher going forward, the spot here is a good one. San Francisco got a miracle push last week against the Cardinals despite winning the yardage battle by 176 total yards and on the season, it has outgained its opponent in eight of ten games. The 49ers are 4-1 at home with the lone loss coming against Seattle in overtime. The Packers have not been a dominant team despite their 8-2 record. Green Bay has outgained only four of 10 opponents this season including just one on the road which came at Kansas City with no Patrick Mahomes. The Packers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. Here, we play on favorites after having won three out of their last four games going up against an opponent, after having won eight or more out of their last 10 games. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (272) San Francisco 49ers |
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11-24-19 | Cowboys +6 v. Patriots | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Patriots are a M*A*S*H unit right now on offense as the three top receiving targets Mohamed Sanu, Julian Edelman and Philip Dorsett are all questionable and even Tom Brady popped up on the injury report with an elbow issue. New England has gained 342 yards or less in its last four games while playing the second easiest schedule in the NFL. We all know New England has won 20 straight home games but being favored by this much against one of the best rosters in the league is too much. The Cowboys have underachieved this season as they are just 3-4 over their last seven games. Despite this, they have outgained their opponents by 133.0 ypg over their last six games. Here, we lay against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having won six or seven out of their last eight games, , in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-10 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (269) Dallas Cowboys |
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11-24-19 | Giants +6.5 v. Bears | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday ultimate Underdog. The Bears are overpriced as there is no way a team that has gained more than 300 yards of offense only once on the season should be favored by this much. The Bears have been outgained in seven of 10 games thanks to an anemic offense that is third worst in the NFL with 262.7 ypg. Additionally, they are allowing close to 30 more ypg than in 2018. The Giants are coming off their bye week following six straight losses but they have been competitive of late, losing three of their last four games by just one possession. As much heat vas Daniel Jones has gotten for his trouble holding onto the ball, he has a 9:1 TD:INT ratio over his last three games and is No. 17 in QBR. Going back, the Giants are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after six or more consecutive losses, in weeks 10 through 13. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (257) New York Giants |
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11-24-19 | Broncos +4 v. Bills | Top | 3-20 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Game of the Week. Despite a 7-3 record, Buffalo is No. 23 in the latest power rankings as it has played the easiest schedule in the NFL. After outgaining their opponents in their first five games, Buffalo has outgained only two of their last five opponents. The Bills wins have come against the Jets, Giants, Bengals, Titans, Redskins and Dolphins twice. We can throw Denver into this mix as it is just 3-7 but the Broncos are the best losing team in the NFL. Five of the seven losses have been by just one possession which includes four coming within the final minute. Denver is just -25 points in scoring differential while outgaining half of its opponents and not being outgained by more than 84 yards in any game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (253) Denver Broncos |
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11-23-19 | San Diego State +3 v. Hawaii | Top | 11-14 | Push | 0 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. We won with San Diego St. last Friday as it improved to 5-2 in the MWC. The Aztecs are a perfect 5-0 on the road and are led by a defense that is ranked No. 8 overall and in scoring defense. A win here gets them into the MWC Championship game. Hawaii can also wrap up a berth in the championship game with a victory. The offense can give San Diego St. a challenge but the same was said last week about Fresno St. and it managed just seven points. The Warriors are 3-2 at home against FBS teams. Here, we play against home teams after failing to cover the spread in four or five out of their last six games, in a game involving two teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 52-21 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (215) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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11-23-19 | Utah v. Arizona +23 | 35-7 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA WILDCATS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Utah remains in the conversation for the CFP as it has won six straight games to move to 9-1 on the season. The Utes have to win out to win the Pac 12 South Division and the chance to meet Oregon in the championship. They have covered all six of these games as well and they come in here with an overpriced tag. Arizona is still fighting for a bowl berth as it is 4-6 which includes five straight losses both straight up and against the number and that is also playing into this line. Here, we play on teams after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 43-19 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (154) Arizona Wildcats |
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11-23-19 | Tennessee v. Missouri -3.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -104 | 31 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Missouri is in a funk as it has lost four straight games and has failed to cover any of its last five games. The Tigers are still just one win away from bowl eligibility as they are 5-5 and the offense has a chance to bust out of its funk as they have scored just 27 points during the skid. Quarterback Kelly Bryant will be back for his second straight start. Tennessee is also sitting at 5-5 thanks to a three-game winning streak following a putrid start to the season where it lost five of its first six games against FBS competition. Here, we play on teams after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 43-19 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (196) Missouri Tigers |
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11-23-19 | Temple +10.5 v. Cincinnati | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Cincinnati has won eight straight games to take control of the AAC East Division but they are overpriced once again as the Bearcats have dropped three of their last four against the number. Additionally, they have been outgained in five of their last six games. Temple has won two straight games to become bowl eligible at 7-3 which is a nice bounceback following a pair of blowout losses. The Owls have been outgained only three times in their 10 games. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points with a winning percentage of .800 or better after eight or more consecutive straight up wins, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 48-19 ATS (71.6 percent) since 1992. 9* (135) Temple Owls |
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11-23-19 | Pittsburgh +4 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 0-28 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our ACC Game of the Year. Pittsburgh is coming off an overtime win over North Carolina last Thursday to improve to 7-3 and since a season opening loss against Virginia, the Panthers have outgained all nine opponents. Should the Panthers win here and against Boston College next week and Virginia loses to Virginia Tech next week, they will face Clemson in the ACC Championship. Virginia Tech rolled over Georgia Tech last week 45-0 and it has now won five of its last six games. The problem is the Hokies have been outgained in four of their last seven games. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are +5 to +10 ppg in scoring differential going up against teams that are +/- 5 in scoring differential after 7 or more games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (187) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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11-23-19 | Michigan State -20 v. Rutgers | 27-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Michigan St. is fighting for its postseason life as it comes into Saturday with a 4-6 record following its fifth straight loss with all of those losses coming against teams that are all bowl eligible. The good news is that the Spartans finish the season with two teams that will not be going bowling. Rutgers is coming off a loss against Ohio St. to fall to 0-7 in the Big Ten. The Scarlets Knights two victories came against Liberty and Massachusetts and they are catching Michigan St. at the wrong time. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight up losses, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 31-5 ATS (86.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (183) Michigan St. Spartans |
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11-22-19 | Colorado State +7 v. Wyoming | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -125 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Colorado St. travels to Wyoming for the 110th meeting of the Border War where the teams battle annually for the Bronze Boot, held by Wyoming for the past three seasons. It has been a great season for Wyoming, much better than its 6-4 record indicates. The four losses have come by a combined 15 points so that record could be a lot better than what it is now. The Cowboys are bowl eligible after missing out last season. Wyoming is 0-6 ATS after having lost two out of their last three games over the last two seasons. Colorado St. is coming off a loss against Air Force which snapped a three-game winning streak. The Rams have outgained each of their last four opponents and have outgained seven of ten on the season. Apart from the rivalry, the Rams are seeking to remain in bowl contention this week. A loss would eliminate the Rams for the second consecutive season after reaching bowl eligibility over the previous three seasons. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are +5 to +10 ppg in scoring differential going up against teams that are +/- 5 in scoring differential after 7 or more games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (113) Colorado St. Rams |
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11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans -3.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. We played on Houston last week and got totally destroyed as the Texans lost 41-7 and coupled with the Indianapolis blowout of Jacksonville, they are now tied for first place in the AFC South so this game will go a long way in determining the champion. The running game will be key here. Houston held Indianapolis to just 62 rushing yards in the first meeting, by far the Colts worst showing of the season. The loss of Marlon Mack, who broke his hand against Jacksonville, makes it harder to get the ground game going. On the other side, a Colts run defense that ranks ninth in the NFL will be tested as Houston has rushed for more than 100 yards in six straight games. The Texans are in revenge mode from the 30-23 loss in the first meeting as well as the 21-7 at home in the playoffs last season. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss by seven points or less, off a road loss. This situation is 41-13 ATS (75.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (110) Houston Texans |
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11-21-19 | NC State +2 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 26-28 | Push | 0 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. After suffering a close loss against Virginia two weeks ago to close out any chance of a bowl berth, Georgia Tech laid an egg last week against Virginia Tech 45-0 and with their season completely done, the Yellow Jackets lack any sort of motivation. They have been outgained in all but one game and that was just a six-yard advantage over Duke, a game they still lost 41-23. The Yellow Jackets are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games. There will be plenty of motivation on the NC State sidelines as after suffering through a four-game losing streak, the Wolfpack need to win their final two games to become bowl eligible. NC State has not won on the road but all of those losses came against teams going bowling or still bowl eligible. The Wolfpack are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a losing home record. Here, we play on road underdogs after allowing 31 points or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 17 or more points. This situation is 64-27 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (111) NC State Wolfpack |
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11-20-19 | Akron +32 v. Miami-OH | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CFB Wednesday Star Attraction. Akron is one of the worst teams in college football but we are backing the Zips at this ridiculous number. They are 0-10 straight up and have failed to cover any of those games but this is their first nationally televised game and they will go all out. As bad as they have been, the Zips have not gotten more than 22 points in any game and now all of a sudden they are getting over 31 points. Miami defeated Bowling Green last week to become bowl eligible while increasing its winning streak to four games. The RedHawks also clinched the MAC East title so unlike a lot of other teams in the conference, they actually have nothing to play for here so we could see a lot of rotations with players who have not played much seeing significant action. Two contrarian situations are on our side here. First, we play on teams after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play against favorites of 31.5 or more points off a home win, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (107) Akron Zips |
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11-19-19 | Ohio -20 v. Bowling Green | Top | 66-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. We lost a tough one with Ohio last week as it was defeated in overtime by Western Michigan in its final home game of the season. The Bobcats are still two wins away from bowl eligibility with two games left. That should be a non-issue though as they face the two worst teams in the MAC as they close the season next week at Akron. Their last three losses have been by three points so they should not even be in this position but it is what it is and laying the big number is not a problem. The Bobcats are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Bowling Green lost by 41 points at Miami Ohio last Wednesday to be officially eliminated from bowl contention. It has been a tough year for the Falcons as their three wins came against Morgan St. of the FCS, 0-10 Akron and while the last one came against Toledo, the Rockets lost their starting quarterback in that game. The Falcons are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight up losses, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. This situation is 30-5 ATS (85.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (101) Ohio Bobcats |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs -4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Mexico City hosts a big AFC West divisional game as what once looked like a runaway win for the Chiefs has suddenly become a packed race. Kansas City won its first four games but has dropped four of its past six, allowing Oakland to get within a half-game of the division lead with the Chargers sitting just two games back. The absence of quarterback Patrick Mahomes led to a lot of the struggles for the Chiefs but he claimed this week he feels as healthy as he has been since Week One. He had a monster game last week in his return but the Chiefs lost at Tennessee despite outgaining the Titans by 159 total yards as a fumble return for the touchdown was the ultimate difference. The Chargers fell to 4-6 after a loss to the Raiders and that was the sixth loss by one possession. That would entice a play on the Chargers as those numbers point to a close game However, while the Chargers were among the league's better teams in not committing turnovers the past two seasons, their 16 giveaways this season are tied for seventh in the league. And that adds to a great situation as we play on teams after three consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 46-18 ATS (71.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (475) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-17-19 | Bears v. Rams -6 | Top | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. The Rams have been catching a lot of heat for their 5-4 record after going 13-3 last season and making it to the Super Bowl. They have been one of the unluckiest teams in the NFL however as they have 16 giveaways to just 14 takeaways compared to a +11 turnover margin last season. Los Angeles has outgained eight of nine opponents this season which shows they are playing better than their record shows. The fell short at Pittsburgh last week 17-12 and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Chicago is in the same situation as they already have one more loss than all of last season but its 4-5 record is s true indication of how it has played. The Bears have been outgained in six of nine games thanks to an anemic offense that is fourth worst in the NFL with 262.2 ypg. Additionally, they are allowing close to 30 more ypg than in 2018. The Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 after having lost four or five out of their last six games. This situation is 23-5 (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (474) Los Angeles Rams |
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11-17-19 | Broncos +10.5 v. Vikings | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Minnesota is turning some heads with its 7-3 start as it has won five of its last six games to remain one game behind the Packers in the NFC North. The Vikings defense gets a lot of credit, maybe a little too much as they have allowed 24, 26 and 30 points in three of their last four games. The only exception was allowing nine points to lowly Washington. After being first in third down percentage defense each of the last two years, Minnesota is just No. 16 in that category this season. The Vikings are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. With the exception of getting blown out against Kansas City a few Thursdays ago, the Broncos have held their own as four of the other five losses came by one possession with three of those coming by two points and in the other only double-digit loss, they were outgained by just two yards by the Packers. Broncos quarterback Brandon Allen, who won his first NFL start in the team's most recent game on Nov. 3 against Cleveland, played a very efficient game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (459) Denver Broncos |
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11-17-19 | Texans +5 v. Ravens | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Underdog Game of the Month. Baltimore remains the talk of the NFL, namely Lamar Jackson, and because of all of the positive pub, the lines are remaining inflated. Coming off a divisional win and a winner over the Patriots prior to that, this could be the letdown finally especially with a Monday night game with the Rams on deck. Baltimore has outgained six of nine opponents, the same as Houston, so they may have overachieved slightly based on their 7-2 record that consists of wins over the Bengals twice, the Cardinals and the Dolphins. The Ravens are 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Houston is coming off its bye week with a chance for extra preparation for Jackson. The Texans are 6-3 with all three losses coming by one possession and they were tied or had the lead going into the fourth quarter in two of those. Not much respect in this line with a strong Houston team. The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (465) Houston Texans |
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11-16-19 | Stanford v. Washington State -10.5 | 22-49 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Washington St. is coming off a pair of losses but both of those were on the road where it fell to 0-4 on the season, all coming in the Pac 12. The Cougars are 3-1 at home with the lone loss coming against UCLA where they squandered a 32-point lead. At 4-5, they have to win two more games to become bowl eligible and with the finale being at Washington, this game and the home game against Oregon St. are must wins. The Cougars are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games. It has been a very disappointing season for Stanford which came in with higher expectations but currently sits at 4-5 following a loss at Colorado last week. The Cardinal are 1-3 on the road with the lone win coming at Oregon St. but they were favored in that game. While they also need to win two of their final three games to become bowl eligible, it is hard no to look ahead to their rivalry game next week against California and then Notre Dame two weeks from now, both of which are at home. Cardinal are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight up losses, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 29-5 ATS (85.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (404) Washington St. Cougars |
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11-16-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa -3 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. We won with Minnesota last weekend as it defeated undefeated Penn St. and that puts the Gophers in a huge letdown spot especially after seeing the fans rush the field afterwards. It has been a magical season for Minnesota as it is ranked in the top ten for the first time in 57 years and are 9-0 for the first time since 2004 but we expect it to be a short stay. Prior to the win over Penn St., there was not a solid win within the conference and we think the Nittany Lions are overrated to begin with. Iowa is coming off a loss against Wisconsin by two points to make it three losses by a total of 14 points. The Iowa defense is ranked in the FBS top 20 in rushing, passing, scoring and total defense. The Hawkeyes have given up only 12 touchdowns, behind only Ohio State (eight) and Georgia (10) in the FBS and have shut out Rutgers and Northwestern. Facing a strong offense has been an issue in the past for Iowa teams as it is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 games against teams averaging 37 or more ppg. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. this situation is 43-17 over the last five seasons. 9* (336) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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11-16-19 | UTEP v. UAB -17.5 | Top | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 115 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Game of the Year. This is a clear mismatch on paper and UAB will come into this game seething. The Blazers are coming off a pair of losses, one against Tennessee and last week against 6-3 Southern Mississippi. The offense was shut down both times, scoring a total of nine points. In addition to that, UAB allowed its two highest points totals, 30 and 37 points respectively. That increased the defensive numbers slightly on a defense that is stout. The Blazers are allowing 263 ypg which is 6th in the nation and are giving up just 19.7 ppg which is 22nd in the country. They have absolutely dominated the Miners over the last two seasons, allowing an average of 164 ypg and yielding only seven points total. We should see another domination this week as UTEP is averaging just 19.3 ppg on offense, 115th in the nation while racking up just 307.7 ypg, 120th in the country. The Miners have lost eight straight games and have been outgained in every one of those. Their only victory came against Houston Baptist, which is 4-6 in the FCS, by just two points. This is a bad team and catches UAB at the wrong time. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage of .250 or less of 10.5 to 21 points after six or more consecutive straight up losses, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (368) UAB Blazers |
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11-16-19 | Indiana +15 v. Penn State | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. This is a great spot for Indiana. Playing against teams that were previously undefeated and lost in their previous game has always been a great situation. Reason being those teams tend to come out flat following their first loss of late into the season. Penn St. fell at Minnesota last week following wins in its first eight games and it has dropped its last six games against number coming off a straight up loss as a favorite. The Nittany Lions played three tough opponents prior to Minnesota - Pittsburgh, Iowa and Michigan - and they won those games by seven, five and seven points so this line is severely inflated. Indiana has won four straight games and is 7-2 on the season, garnering the Hoosiers their first trip inside the top 25 since 1994. Granted, they have not beaten anyone of note but past Hoosiers teams would have lost at least a few of those. Indiana has outgained six of nine opponents and are outgaining opponents by 136.4 ypg. Here, we play on road underdogs excellent offensive team averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams averaging between 390 and 440 ypg, after outgaining its last opponent by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (325) Indiana Hoosiers |
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11-15-19 | Fresno State v. San Diego State | Top | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Both Fresno St. and San Diego St. are coming off losses in their last game as underdogs and we think it is the home team that has the edge to bounce back. The Aztecs were favored by 2.5 points early in the week, but as of Thursday evening the Bulldogs were a 1-point chalk. The Aztecs need to beat Fresno St. this week and Hawaii in Honolulu next week in order to secure the MWC West Division. The Bulldogs are in the interesting position of being in control of the division with a victory and out of the race with a loss. The Fresno St. defense is allowing 32.4 ppg (103rd in the nation), which opens up the possibility for success for the Aztecs offense that has struggled with inconsistencies all season. The inability to slow down opposing offenses in 2019 is a big reason why the Bulldogs have fallen back to the pack in the MWC. On the other side, the Aztecs are allowing just 277.2 ypg and 14.4 ppg which are both 8th in the country so they have a clear edge in that department. The Aztecs have not allowed more than 23 points (in a 23-17 loss to Utah State) to an opponent all season. Here, we play against road favorites with a scoring defense allowing 31 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 70-35 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (318) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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11-14-19 | Steelers v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. We played on Cleveland last Sunday and it resulted in a push for most and we are backing the Browns again this week in their back-to-back home spot. It was a must win then and it is a must win again this week and the Browns catch Pittsburgh coming off an upset win as a home underdog and now has to travel. With Mason Rudolph failing to exceed 200 passing yards in four of his seven starts, the Steelers will likely feature a run-heavy offensive attack. The key is whether Cleveland will be able to limit Pittsburgh on the ground on a short week. The money is coming in on the Steelers which is because of their recent success but they have played only one road game over the past seven weeks and they have been outgained in seven of nine games on the season. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 22-3 (88 percent) since 1983. 10* (310) Cleveland Browns |
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11-14-19 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. North Carolina has been one of the unluckiest teams in college football this season. The Tar Heels are 4-5 with all five losses coming by just one possession. This includes three losses by a field goal or less highlighted by the one-point loss to Clemson. The Pittsburgh defense is no joke but this is one matchup that the Panthers can get burned. North Carolina is 14th nationally with 20 passing plays of more than 30 yards and 8th with 13 completions for more than 40 yards. The Panthers are 76th in the country with 10 passes of 30 or more yards allowed and 110th with 10 completions of more than 40 yards allowed. Running the ball is key as well. With the exception of Week Two against Miami, North Carolina has rushed for at least 144 yards in every game and racked up 186 yards against a good Virginia defense in their most recent contest. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (313) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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11-13-19 | Northern Illinois v. Toledo -2 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Wednesday Star Attraction. This is a big game for both sides and we like the home team which has a lot more on the line. Toledo is tied with Ball St. at 3-2 in the conference and is a half-game behind Central Michigan and a game behind Western Michigan. The Rockets would need help from Ball St. but would hold the tiebreaker over Western Michigan because of a 31-24 win over the Broncos. Quarterback Mitchell Guadagni is again questionable and is probably another no go. Starting in his place has been Eli Peters, who is no stranger to starting. Peters played in 11 games last season where he threw for 1,837 yards, 18 touchdowns and seven interceptions. The Huskies have to win out to become bowl eligible and it will not be easy with all three games coming against teams .500 or better. For Northern Illinois, quarterback Ross Bowers has given them a boost to their passing offense, throwing for 1947 yards and six touchdowns but he has also been forced into a lot of tough situations which has led to bad throws, resulting in eight interceptions. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record while the Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. 10* (308) Toledo Rockets |
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11-12-19 | Western Michigan v. Ohio -1.5 | Top | 37-34 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. We played against Ohio last week as it lost outright to Miami as a touchdown favorite but the value has shifted to the Bobcats this week as they are only short favorites now despite facing a team that is actually lower vin the power rankings than the RedHawks. There is not much room left for Ohio to make it to the postseason as it has to win two of its last three games and while the last two should be win, nothing can be taken for granted. Both of those games are on the road so this is the final home game of the season for the Bobcats which gives it some extra meaning as well as looking to break their 0-5 ATS record at Peden Stadium. For Western Michigan, it is simple. The Broncos are bowl eligible following a pair of wins at home where they are 6-0 on the season. Conversely, they are 0-4 on the road where they have to play their final two games as the last game against Ball St. was their final home game of the season. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 where the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off a home win against a conference rival. This situation is 34-7 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (304) Ohio Bobcats |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks +6.5 v. 49ers | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Night Primetime Punisher. A once heated rivalry is restored with a lot on the line in the NFC West. It is hard to believe but this is the first time since Thanksgiving night in 2014 where both teams have a winning record. Seattle has won two straight games including a thrilling overtime win last week against Tampa Bay. The Seahawks rushed for 145 yards against the Buccaneers which has the top raked rushing defense in the NFL and while the San Francisco defense is highly praised, it is just No. 14 against the run while allowing 4.7 ypc which is near the bottom of the league. The Seahawks are 7-2 and going back, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. The 49ers are the lone remaining undefeated team in the NFL at 8-0 but they have played the third easiest schedule in the league. The 49ers suffered a big loss last week when linebacker Kwon Alexander went down with a season-ending torn left pectoral muscle. Additionally, standout tight end George Kittle likely will not see the field as he is listed as doubtful. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or higher off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (273) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-10-19 | Vikings +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our Sunday Night Primetime Punisher. Minnesota had a four-game winning streak snapped with a loss in Kansas City last week as it allowed two field goals over the last 2:30 including one with no time remaining to lose by three. This is a very solid team with one of the best rosters in the NFL and the Vikings come in as the No. 6 ranked team in the latest power ratings which is three spots higher than the Cowboys making this line off by two points. The Vikings trail Green Bay by a game in the NFC North and currently hold the last playoff spot in the conference. The Cowboys are coming off a pair of divisional wins over the Eagles and Giants. Four of their five wins have come against teams with two or fewer wins so it is hard to gage how good this team really is. Dallas is playing on a short week coming off a Monday night game and the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss, in November games. This situation is 64-32 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (271) Minnesota Vikings |
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11-10-19 | Bills v. Browns -2.5 | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. This is it for Cleveland. This is a must win game to salvage its season which may already be done. The Browns are 2-6 and have lost four straight games. The loss last week against the Broncos was a bad one in a game they should have won and even with that game, they have played the third toughest schedule in the NFL. Cleveland will be looking to get off the schneid at home where it is winless at 0-3. Buffalo ha had the opposite first half of the season as it is 6-2 in part thanks to playing the easiest schedule in the NFL. The Bills have played only two teams with a winning record and those resulted in losses. Additionally, the Bills are coming off three straight home games and a bye before that making this their first road game since Oct. 6. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after four consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers. This situation is 40-15 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1983. 9* (254) Cleveland Browns |
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11-10-19 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Bucs | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. Arizona is 3-5-1 on the season but it is in a great spot here as the Cardinals are playing with additional rest after their game last Thursday against San Francisco. They have played a middle of the road schedule but have taken advantage when available as Arizona is 0-5 against teams ranked within the top 16 and 3-0-1 against teams outside that ranking. Two of those wins came on the road against the giants and Bengals and Tampa Bay can certainly be grouped with those two teams. The Buccaneers have lost four straight games, failing to cover any of those. They are coming off a devastating loss last week in Seattle in overtime as they led for most of the game, tied the game with less than a minute left before succumbing in the extra period. That is hard to get through and the hangover will remain. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season. This situation is 35-12 ATS (74.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (255) Arizona Cardinals |
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11-10-19 | Lions v. Bears -2.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. Everyone is down on Mitchell Trubisky and rightfully so. The Bears were counting on him to take another step forward and an offense that showed promise in coach Matt Nagy's first season to make more big plays. That has not happened. He has just five touchdown passes after throwing for 24 last season but this game can turn things around. The Bears have lost four straight games and not covering any of those. This is giving us great line value against a team that is struggling just as bad. The Lions have lost four of their last five games with the lone victory coming against the 2-7 Giants. Detroit has the second worst passing defense in the NFL, allowing 288.4 ypg and this is where Trubisky has to take advantage. Additionally, they are allowing 27.1 ppg. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (266) Chicago Bears |
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11-10-19 | Ravens v. Bengals +10.5 | Top | 49-13 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC North Game of the Year. We won with Baltimore last week as it won as a home underdog over previously undefeated New England. Now hitting the road and facing a winless team, this presents the perfect letdown spot. Additionally, the Ravens next three games are against the Texans, Rams and 49ers. It has been an ugly season for the Bengals which are 0-8 and finally decided to make a change at quarterback as Andy Dalton has likely played his last game as a Bengal. Ryan Finley will get the start and while some will think this is a bad idea against an elite Baltimore defense, the defense is not elite like it used to be. Baltimore allows 348.3 ypg which is middle of the pack and its 22 ppg allowed is also right in the middle. Look for the Bengals to play an inspired game for Finley. Here, we play against favorites coming off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 62-28 ATS (68.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (262) Cincinnati Bengals |
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11-09-19 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma -14 | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Blowout Game of the Year. This is a bad time for Iowa St. to have to face Oklahoma. The Sooners will rediscover a fifth gear after a bye week spent stewing over the Kansas St. loss. It was a game it never should have lost as Oklahoma outgained the Wildcats but it lost the turnover battle and allowed Kansas St. to run off 24 consecutive points in the third and fourth quarter. This team will be out for blood. Overall, the Iowa St. defense is having a solid season, ranking 17th nationally in Defensive SP+ and 29th in the ESPN defensive efficiency metric. That should not stop the Sooners from exploiting a handful of matchup advantages on Saturday. Despite the Cyclones success stopping the run this season, Oklahoma may have an advantage on the ground. Playing so many hybrid defenders on the back end involves trading size for versatility. Here, we play on home favorites that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 330 and 390 ypg, after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games. This situation is 64-22 ATS (74.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (174) Oklahoma Sooners |
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11-09-19 | Clemson v. NC State +33.5 | Top | 55-10 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. This game is reminiscent of the meeting two years ago when Clemson came into escaped with a seven-point win and now the Tigers are being asked to lay well over four touchdowns. Clemson entered at No. 5 in the CFP Rankings but there is nothing to fear as if it wins out, it will be in the playoff. Both offense and defense have been playing at a high level since that scare against North Carolina so NC State will have to play a perfect game to pull off the upset. We are not asking for that though. NC State has had a rough go of it of late but their struggles have come on the road. The Wolfpack are 0-4 on the road but 4-0 at home and a night game in Raleigh will have Carter-Finley Stadium jacked up. The Wolfpack are 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against favorites of 31.5 or more points coming off a home win, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (118) NC State Wolfpack |
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11-09-19 | Maryland +44 v. Ohio State | 14-73 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MARYLAND TERRAPINS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Ohio St. has been rolling along this season as it is 8-0 while covering its last seven games and that is a streak we are stepping in front of. The Buckeyes are laying their biggest number of the season and this is even higher than what they were favored by over Miami Ohio and Maryland has a much higher power ranking. The Terrapins have lost four straight and six of its last seven games and is one loss away from staying home for the bowl season. While we do not expect the Terrapins to win, this number is severely inflated based on the streaks. Expect the Buckeyes to lay off the gas here considering they have Rutgers on deck before Penn St. and staying healthy is the biggest concern. Here, we play against favorites of 31.5 or more points off a home win, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (129) Maryland Terrapins |
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11-09-19 | Penn State v. Minnesota +7 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. A battle of undefeated teams takes place in Minnesota with a lot on the line. The Gophers have outgained all but one opponent but they have played a rather soft schedule. That being said, there is a lot of talent on this team. They rank eighth in offensive SP+ as they play a lot of inside zone behind a monstrous offensive line. The defense has quite a bit to offer, even if the degree of difficulty hasn't been incredibly high. Penn St. is Penn St. so we know what we are going against but the Nittany Lions have shown some vulnerabilities and they will be facing a team brimming with confidence. Penn St. has actually been outgained in four of its games and those were not all against heavyweights as two were against Pittsburgh and Buffalo. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 42 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 45-15 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (142) Minnesota Golden Gophers |