Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-01-20 | Titans v. Bengals +6 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 69 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Tennessee suffered its first loss of the season last week against the Steelers as it nearly rallied from a 27-7 deficit but just fell short and this despite a 3-0 turnover advantage. The Titans now hit the road for the first time since September 27 and as a significant favorite. Only one of their five wins has been by more than six points and even in that game against the Bills, they were outgained. The Titans are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against teams with a losing home record. Cincinnati is coming off a tough loss against Cleveland and despite the 1-5-1 record, the Bengals have been more competitive than anyone would have thought. They had a bad loss at Baltimore but the other four losses have come by an average of 3.8 ppg and none by more than five points. Joe Burrow has proven to be the right choice for the No. 1 pick as he has been sensational as he has thrown for 300 or more yards in five of his last six games. Cincinnati is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 home games after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .250 or less off a loss by three points or less to a division rival, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (258) Cincinnati Bengals |
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11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our AFC North Game of the Year. This is a rescheduled game as both Pittsburgh and Baltimore were supposed to be on their bye week. Instead the Steelers had their bye week in Week Four while the Ravens had their bye week last week which is a significant edge in this matchup. Pittsburgh is now the lone undefeated team in the NFL but we expect that to end abruptly on Sunday after coming of a physical game against the Titans only to face an ever tougher test against the Baltimore defense. The lookahead line in this game was -6 so the Steelers are getting a lot of credit with a lot of that based on the undefeated record obviously but also because they have covered four straight games. Pittsburgh is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games after a win by six or less points. Baltimore failed to cover its last game against the Eagles as it had a big lead only to let Philadelphia get back into it. Under head coach John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 12-3 after a bye wile going 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 72-34 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (282) Baltimore Ravens |
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10-31-20 | Boise State v. Air Force +14.5 | 49-30 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Boise St. opened its season with a resounding 42-13 win over rebuilding Utah St. which had to break in a new quarterback to replace Jordan Love. The Broncos are the team to beat in the Mountain West Conference, but they are definitely overvalued here as they were -17 at home last week and are now -14 on the road against a much better team than the Aggies. Name recognition plays a big role in this and that is surely taking place here. Air Force did itself no favors last week as it went to San Jose St. as more than a touchdown favorite only to leave with a 17-6 loss against the Spartans. It has been a weird season for the Falcons which opened with a big win over Navy by 33 points after not playing in September and then having 21 days off after that game so this being its first back-to-back game of the season is a big deal. Air Force has been great in these situations as it has gone 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games against undefeated teams and playing with revenge adds to that. Here, we play against road favorites off a home win by 17 points or more going up against an opponent off a loss as a road favorite of seven or more. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1992. 9* (152) Air Force Falcons |
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10-31-20 | Northwestern v. Iowa -2 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -117 | 71 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our Big Ten Game of the Year. We are only one game into the Big Ten season, yet we are seeing overreactions, and this is one of those. Iowa got upset by Purdue in its season opener and it hopes to avoid their first 0-2 start in over a decade. The Hawkeyes return home and while home field advantage is not the same as it is in normal years, it is still a thing and Iowa is very undervalued here. While the Hawkeyes lost to Purdue, they outgained the Boilermakers by 74 yards but two lost fumbles were costly as were 10 penalties for 100 yards so it was a game they should have won. Northwestern is coming off a blowout victory over Maryland and it looks for their first 2-0 start since the 2015 season. The Wildcats offense rolled up 537 yards and the defense held the Terrapins to just 207 yards on 4.1 per play. A big win for sure but Maryland is arguably the worst power five team in the country. The offense will play with tempo and look to keep defenses off balance as it did against Maryland, but Iowa is a different animal in this situation which has turned into a must win spot. Under Kirk Ferentz, the Hawkeyes are 8-1 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite while the Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. 10* (162) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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10-31-20 | Indiana v. Rutgers +11 | 37-21 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. The Hoosiers are coming off a massive win over Penn St. as a touchdown home underdog. It was a controversial win for Indiana as a two-point conversion was upheld even though it could have gone either way. That being said, the Hoosiers snapped a 42-game losing streak against top ten teams, so it is safe to say it is letdown time and facing Rutgers even enhances that theory. While the win over the Nittany Lions was impressive, Indiana was outgained by 277 total yards and managed just 211 yards of offense. Rutgers is coming off a big win as well as it went on the road to defeat Michigan St. by 11 points. The Scarlet Knights snapped a 21-game Big Ten losing streak with victory for the return of head coach Greg Schiano. No letdown here though as this is a huge jump and Schiano has been here before so he knows how to handle the situation. Rutgers was getting 9.5 points at Michigan St. and is now getting 10 points at home against Indiana. What? Here, we play against road teams coming off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of six or more points going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 60-25 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1992. 9* (134) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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10-31-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Georgia State +2.5 | 51-0 | Loss | -109 | 67 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a play on the GEORGIA ST. PANTHERS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Coastal Carolina is off to a perfect 5-0 start while covering four of those five games and the Chanticleers already have matched win totals from each of the past two seasons. Coastal Carolina football coach Jamey Chadwell is cautiously optimistic that injured starting quarterback Grayson McCall could play Saturday, but he is not close to 100 percent. This is another big conference road test and while it passed the first one at Louisiana, this one will be difficult. Georgia St. beat Coastal Carolina 31-21 a year ago and set a school record with 350 yards rushing, with three runners topping 100 yards. Georgia State is 0-7 against ranked opponents and lost to then-No. 19 Louisiana in overtime to open the season but is Coastal Carolina really a ranked team? Georgia St. is back home following a 1-1 road split as the offense continues to hum. The Panthers have scored at least 30 points in every game this season while quarterback Cornelious Brown IV is second in total offense in the Sun Belt with 275.8 ypg. Here, we play on home teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after allowing 100 or fewer rushing yards last game. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (130) Georgia St. Panthers |
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10-31-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 67 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Cincinnati is coming off a big win at SMU last weekend but that does not mean a letdown is in order as the Bearcats now control their own destiny to make it to a New Years Six bowl game and with the uncertainty of everything, a CFP big is not out of the question should they run the table. A win here will amplify that against a solid Memphis team and there is extra incentive here as well. The Bearcats are out for revenge for not one, but two losses against the Tigers last season including a defeat in the AAC Championship. All four victories have come by double-digits and while the last win came against a solid SMU team, another win came against Army which is the Black Knights only loss of the season. Memphis is 3-1 with its lone loss coming against SMU by a field goal so the Tigers could very well be 4-0 as well. After the loss to the Mustangs, Memphis defeated UCF and Temple but was outgained in both games so wins could have turned into losses. Here, we play on home teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after allowing 100 or fewer rushing yards last game. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (138) Cincinnati Bearcats |
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10-30-20 | Hawaii -1 v. Wyoming | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -107 | 58 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Hawaii is coming off a win in its season opener at Fresno St. as the Warriors racked up 552 total yards with 323 on the ground, while the defense forced four turnovers for a plus-3 ratio. The Warriors hit the mainland for a second straight week which is typically not a great thing, but the matchup situation is on their side again. The Hawaii offense is led by quarterback Chevan Corderio, as he led the team in rushing with 116 yards and two touchdowns while going 20-31 through the air for 229 yards. The Warriors outgained the Bulldogs by 143 yards. Wyoming lost at Nevada in overtime, but the game was not that close as the Cowboys were outgained by 135 total yards. Wyoming quarterback Levi Williams is stepping into the starting role in place of Sean Chambers following yet another injury to Chambers. There is plenty of room for improvement for the offense after the Cowboys struggled to muster much of anything last week before a big fourth quarter. This will be just the second career start for Williams, and this will be the second straight game to begin the season for Hawaii to face an inexperienced quarterback in its war dog defense. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (141) Hawaii Warriors |
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10-29-20 | Falcons +3 v. Panthers | Top | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Atlanta is coming off another brutal loss to fall to 1-6 in this already lost season. Detroit drove down the field, 75 yards in eight plays, and scored on an 11-yard touchdown pass as time expired. Give this team credit however as the Falcons continue to fight every week as they have been outgained by just 174 total yards and they are only -23 in scoring differential as four of their six losses have come by just one possession including three by four points or less. Atlanta will be out for revenge following a seven-point loss to the Panthers in Week Five, but it was without Julio Jones and Matt Ryan had his worst game of the season as he threw for just 226 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. The Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. Carolina is coming off a loss at New Orleans to fall to 3-4. While the Panthers lost by just three points, they were outgained by 132 total yards and managed just 283 total yards. Running back Christian McCaffrey is off the IR but is a longshot to play. The Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games, playing a losing team. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-29-20 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern -5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama is 3-2 on the season following a pair of wins the last two weeks. It is a very skewed record however as the Jaguars have defeated Texas St., UL-Monroe and Southern Mississippi which are a combined 2-16 this season. This is a horrible scheduling situation as South Alabama has played four straight home games so this will be its first road game in 56 days, and it has to do it on a short week. South Alabama is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. Georgia Southern is coming off a loss to fall to 3-2 on the season with the losses coming against Coastal Carolina and Louisiana which are a combined 9-1. Georgia Southern averages 248.6 ypg on the ground which in No. 13 in the country, and South Alabama has given up 396 rushing yards in its two losses so the Panthers will be able to control the line of scrimmage similar to last season where they rushed for 310 yards. The Panthers will have to pass the ball to open up that running game and they will have success here against a Jaguars defense that is horrible against the pass. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (104) Georgia Southern Eagles |
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10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams -5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Nobody is talking about the 5-1 Bears and for good reason. Their defense is particularly good as usual, but the offense is one of the worst in the league as they are ranked No. 27 or lower in total offense, rushing offense, passing offense and scoring offense. Chicago does own a win over Tampa Bay, but it was outgained in that game by 96 yards and overall, it has been outgained in five of six games on the season. The Rams are coming off a loss to the 49ers to fall to 4-2 on the season but with the Seahawks loss last night, they can stay right in the mix with a victory tonight. Chicago ranks top-10 in pass yards allowed per game and has surrendered a league-best one touchdown to a wide receiver, but the Robert Woods/Cooper Kupp duo will be their toughest test to date. The Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record while going 8-24 in their last 32 road games against teams averaging 375 or more ypg. The Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. 10* (476) Los Angeles Rams |
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10-25-20 | Seahawks v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is one of three remaining undefeated teams in the league and we fell that there will be just one after Sunday as the other two teams square off against each other. The Seahawks are the worst of the undefeated teams as they have been outgained in all five games and by an average of 75 ppg. They are dead last in total defense and while it is a small sample size, it is the worst defense in yards allowed in the history of the league should this pace continue. Seattle will be missing All-Pro safety Jamal Adams who has been ruled out for the third straight game due to a groin injury. Arizona is rolling along as following a 31-10 win over the Cowboys last week, the Cardinals are 4-2 which is their best start since 2015. Possessing one of the most productive offenses led by Kyler Murray and receiver DeAndre Hopkins as well as the No. 2 scoring defense, Arizona has arrived as a contender. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in its last six games against teams allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa. 10* (468) Arizona Cardinals |
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10-25-20 | Bucs v. Raiders +4.5 | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Late Afternoon Winner. This is an ADD ON due to the Raiders offensive line being cleared to play after it was possible that the entire starting linemen would miss this game due to COVID-19. Tampa Bay is coming off an upset win over previously undefeated Green Bay and now the Buccaneers head west in a possible trap game. They are now 4-2 and sit atop the NFC South thanks mostly to the top ranked defense in the NFL. The Raiders offense is ranked No. 6 in both total offense and scoring offense and with the entire offensive line able to play, they can have success here. On the other side, the pass rush will be the most important element of the Raiders defense. Here, we play against road teams coming off an upset win by 21 or more points as an underdog going up against an opponent off a win against a division rival. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (474) Las Vegas Raiders |
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10-25-20 | Packers -3 v. Texans | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Packers dropped their first game of the season last week against Tampa Bay as they built a 10-0 lead, but a pair of interceptions changed momentum and the Buccaneers scored 38 unanswered points. Expect Green Bay to bounce back here, especially Aaron Rodgers. He is coming off a dreadful performance as he committed his first turnovers of the season while completing just 47.5 percent of his passes. He goes up against a Houston passing defense that has allowed 13 touchdowns, tied for No. 25 in the league while picking off just one pass, tied for lowest in the NFL. Additionally, the Texans are allowing a 69.6 completion percentage. Houston is coming off an overtime loss against Tennessee to fall to 1-5 on the season and even with a strong passing game, they are outmatched in this one. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems that are averaging 5.7 or more yppl, after being outgained 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 92-49 ATS (65.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (465) Green Bay Packers |
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10-25-20 | Steelers +1.5 v. Titans | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. This is the game of the day as both Pittsburgh and Tennessee come in at 5-0. The Titans may be a bit overrated however as four of the five wins have come by a combined 12 points, and all against losing teams, while in the lone blowout win, they were outgained by Buffalo. Pittsburgh has played a weak schedule as well, but it has been more dominant with a +65 scoring differential, which is second best in football. The Steelers defense is second-best in the league as well as second against the rush which is important against the Titans. A big reason the Steelers defense has forced and capitalized on turnovers is their elite pass-rushing abilities as the unit leads the league with 24 sacks. On the other side, Tennessee allows 129 more ypg on defense than the Steelers. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (477) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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10-24-20 | South Carolina v. LSU -5.5 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LSU TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. South Carolina is coming off an upset win against Auburn to improve to 2-2 on the season. Auburn had 27-20 first down and 481-297 yardage advantage but had three costly turnovers that led to three South Carolina touchdowns. The only other win came against lowly Vanderbilt. LSU is just 1-2 with the only win coming against that same Vanderbilt team but this is a great situational spot. The Tigers are coming off a bye week following a loss at Missouri in a game that was supposed to be a home one but had to be moved because of the hurricane. The run defense has not been a major problem in 2020. It is the pass defense that is the issue. The Tigers currently rank No. 20 in run defense. On offense, LSU absolutely must run the ball. That starts with the Tigers getting back one of their best overall players in offensive guard Ed Ingram. But the Tigers also need to throw the football early in the game to prove to South Carolina it cannot just stay in an aggressive defensive front. The Gamecocks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game while the Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 9* (362) LSU Tigers |
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10-24-20 | Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +10 | 45-3 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Notre Dame is off to a great start but the four teams it has beaten are a combined 3-16 against FBS teams this year. The Irish have played their first four games at home, so this is the first time they have travelled. While the Panthers have dropped three straight games following a 3-0 start, they feature one of the best pass rushes in the nation and have developed a habit under sixth-year head coach Pat Narduzzi of pulling off the occasional stunner. A pair of one-point losses to North Carolina St. and Boston College cooled the early momentum and you know the Panthers will be fired up with Notre Dame making the visit. It is a pass-heavy offense, with Pittsburgh averaging 39.3 pass attempts per game and this will be the second start for Joey Yellen at quarterback over an injured Kenny Pickett. Yellen through for 277 yards last week. The Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game while the Panthers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. 9* (318) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +10 | Top | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB ACC Game of the Year. Virginia Tech is off to a 3-1 start, but it is just +51 in total yards in those four games. The Hokies are coming off a 40-14 win over Boston College, but they won the yardage battle by only 26 points but benefitted from a +5-turnover differential. Wake Forest is 2-2 and has arguably played better than that. The Demon Deacons have won two straight games following an opening loss against Clemson and then a three-point loss against NC State. The Wake Forest defense came out of the halftime locker room and executed its adjustments to hold Virginia to three second-half points last week. After struggling defensively in games against Clemson and NC State, it was more of the same in the first half against Virginia, which used three different quarterbacks. The Demon Deacons will do all they can to prevent the comfort of normalcy. While the Hokies forced five turnovers by the Eagles, Wake Forest has committed one all season. The Hokies are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games as a road favorite while the Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. 10* (324) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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10-24-20 | Florida State v. Louisville -4 | 16-48 | Win | 100 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Florida St. is coming off an upset win against North Carolina last week, but it had 11 fewer first downs and was outgained by 126 total yards. The Seminoles are now 2-3 and the only time they have won the yardage battle came against Jacksonville St. of the FCS. Tackling effectively has been such an issue in their losses, especially when a team like Notre Dame ran right through them in the opening half. Louisville is off to a disappointing 1-4 start but played Notre Dame and Pittsburgh extremely tough, losing by a combined eight points, and actually outgained Miami in its first loss of the season. The Cardinals have not been as explosive as expected so the margin of error for the Cardinals is slim, and it is not helping it with penalties and negative plays. If Louisville can finally win the turnover margin, something it has yet to do this season, it gives itself a good chance to snap its losing streak. The Seminoles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games off an upset win as an underdog while the Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. 9* (314) Louisville Cardinals |
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10-23-20 | UL-Lafayette v. UAB +2.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Following an opening loss against Miami, UAB has run off three straight wins, outgaining all three opponents and by an average of 143.7 ypg. The defense once again leads the way as opposing offenses have only converted six of their last 37 attempts on third down. In the last three games, UAB is only allowing 12.3 ppg. The Blazers are 17th overall in total defense, ninth with 15 sacks, third in passing defense and 10th in tackles for losses. The Blazers have gone from slight home favorites to slight home underdogs which is surprising considering UAB is getting the majority of bets, so we are benefiting from the reverse line move. The Blazers have won 21 straight home games, going 15-4-2 ATS over that stretch. Louisiana is coming off a lost against Coastal Carolina and has failed to cover three straight games. Louisiana is 0-5 ATS in its last five games against winning teams while the Blazers are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games as a home underdog. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 31 or more ppg, after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (310) UAB Blazers |
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10-22-20 | Giants v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. While the Giants have looked better over their last two games, losing a close game against Dallas and defeating Washington last week, this offense remains extremely limited. They were outgained both times and put up just 240 yards against Washington. The Eagles put together a comeback last week against the Ravens but still fell short and are now 1-4-1. Injuries are the story for both teams, so the depth of the Eagles is an advantage. The New York offensive line might be in worse shape than the Eagles and the Giants are also without star running back Saquon Barkley, wide receiver Sterling Shepard, and thanks to an injury sustained in Week Six, they could possibly be without wide receiver Darius Slayton. Carson Wentz having a trustworthy receiver like Travis Fulgham opens up the playbook as the offense has been decimated with injuries. Still, in the end, they put up an average of 28.5 ppg against two of the best defenses in the league over the last two weeks. The Giants are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five Thursday games. 10* (304) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-22-20 | Arkansas State +13.5 v. Appalachian State | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Arkansas St. started the season with an admiral effort against Memphis and then went on the road to defeat Kansas St. but followed that up with a clunker against Coastal Carolina. Since then, the Red Wolves have two straight games, putting up 50 and 59 points in the process. An offense as dynamic as this, being a double-digit underdog is a sure take. Appalachian St. has yet to play a game in October as it went 2-1 in September but has failed to cover any of those games. Not playing for three weeks and not practicing for two weeks is n issue. The Red Wolves are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game while the Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Arkansas St. Red Wolves |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys -1 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Cowboys are off to a 2-3 start but still lead the NFC East thanks to the other three teams possessing just one victory. The string of 72 straight starts for Dak Prescott to begin his career will end Monday when Andy Dalton makes his initial start as a Cowboy and his first start in anything other than a Bengals uniform. We saw last week what he is still capable of and with the weapons around him, he can thrive in this situation. So, the Cowboys not only get a proven starter but one with something still to prove. Dallas comes in with the No. 1 offense in the league and it has outgained each of its last four opponents. The Cowboys can help ease the sting of losing Prescott by being more balanced on offense and having running back Ezekiel Elliott shoulder a larger share of the load. The Cardinals present a good opportunity for the Cowboys to establish a strong running game as they are allowing 4.5 ypg on the ground. The Cardinals are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games. 10* (276) Dallas Cowboys |
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10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The 49ers are off to a rough 2-3 start with both wins coming against the winless Jets and Giants. Injuries have played a big role in this, but they are getting healthier and this is a must win to stay alive in the NFC West. San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has a sprained right ankle and while it might not be at full strength just yet, it is as close as it has been since before he injured it back in Week Two. According to Pro Football Focus, Garoppolo threw just 13 percent of his total passes accurately, and he ended up with a 32.6 passing grade, which was good for the second-worst grade of the season. The Rams are 4-1 but all four wins have come against teams from the NFC East, easily the worst division in the NFL. The 49ers defense has been banged up but is still ranked No. 5 overall and No. 3 against the pass. The Rams are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games after allowing 3.5 or less yppl in their previous game while the 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. 10* (274) San Francisco 49ers |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs +1.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Tampa Bay is coming off a loss at Chicago last Thursday to fall to 3-2, snapping a three-game winning streak. The Buccaneers have won the yardage battle in four of their five games and the passing game is starting to click and receiver Chris Godwin is back this week. The Buccaneers are 2-0 when running for 115 yards or more, and Green Bay has allowed more than that in two of its four games. Overall, the Packers defense is 29th in efficiency which is not a good sign heading into this game. The Packers are 4-0 following their bye week and Aaron Rodgers has been outstanding. This is the toughest defense he will face however as Tampa Bay is ranked No. 2 in total defense and No. 1 in rushing defense. Tampa Bay is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 that are coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (272) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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10-18-20 | Washington Football Team v. Giants -2.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The two worst teams in the NFC East square off as the winless Giants face Washington which has lost four straight games by two or more touchdowns. The New York offense showed some life last Sunday against the Cowboys as the game was theirs for the taking but allowed a pair of field goals. The Giants defense has quietly seen solid as they are second the NFL with 31 stops behind the line of scrimmage. Meanwhile the Washington offense is ranked last in the NFL averaging just 263 ypg. Kyle Allen was able to get nothing going last week and he will be making the start again this week. Washington is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games after 1 or more consecutive losses while the Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road teams averaging between 70 and 95 rushing ypg going up against a team allowing between 95 and 125rushing ypg, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in two straight games. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1983. 9* (260) New York Giants |
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10-18-20 | Lions -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Detroit is coming off its bye week following a 35-29 loss against New Orleans and it is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following a bye. The Lions have been competitive in two of their three losses and they have faced some tough defenses. That is not the case here as Jacksonville has allowed 30 or more points in four straight games. Matthew Stafford has not been great by his standards, but he picked up the aggression in the loss heading into the bye week, averaging a season-high 11 intended air yards per throw. In the lone win over the Colts, the Jaguars were actually outgained by 204 total yards but benefitted from three turnovers. Jacksonville is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 in home games after allowing 30 points or more last game. Here, we play against home underdogs or pickems that are being outgained by their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (253) Detroit Lions |
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10-17-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State +14 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 51 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. North Carolina is off to a 3-0 start and is now ranked No. 5 in the country which is a bit of a stretch at this point. Now the Tar Heels are overinflated on the road following a 56-45 win over Virginia Tech last week. That is a jump from No. 12 and while it is a unique season, the jump is unprecedented without a signature win. This is its highest ranking in more than two decades, even though they have yet to have a strong performance from their offense and defense in the same game. Florida St. is coming off its third ACC loss, the first time it is 0-3 in the conference since 2009. It is one of 14 teams nationally to rush for at least 250 yards and pass for at least 250 yards in a game this season. The Seminoles are much improved at quarterback with Jordan Travis as he was 13 of 24 for 204 yards while leading the Seminoles with 96 rushing yards and a touchdown last week against Notre Dame. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a losing home record. While the fall at Florida St. has been big, getting double digits at home is a must take against a still unproven team. 9* (126) Florida St. Seminoles |
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10-17-20 | Marshall v. Louisiana Tech +13.5 | 35-17 | Loss | -105 | 49 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Marshall is off to a 3-0 start and has covered all three games by an average of 22.3 ppg and this line is reflecting that, but it is too much of an overreaction. Last week, Marshall beat Western Kentucky 38-14, but it was a misleading final score as the Thundering Herd had just two more first downs and a 343-294 total yard edge. They were +3 in turnovers and all three led to touchdowns. This is the first 3-0 start for Marshall since 2014. The day before the game against UTEP last Saturday, Louisiana Tech lost both starting edge linemen due to COVID-19 related issues but both are expected to return this week. Those losses led to a smaller than anticipated win against the Miners by just four points. Nonetheless, the Bulldogs are 3-1 and catching double digits at home in what could be considered a preview for the C-USA Championship. This is a revenge game for Louisiana Tech, and it is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 revenge games as underdogs including 13-1 ATS in conference games while going 6-1 ATS in its last seven games after a loss by 20 or more points. Marshall is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 road games off a win by 21 points or more over a conference rival. 9* (162) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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10-17-20 | North Texas +6.5 v. Middle Tennessee State | 52-35 | Win | 100 | 48 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. North Texas and Middle Tennessee St. are both off to rough starts to the season, yet we are getting great value here with the Mean Green. North Texas heads into its game struggling defensively and ranks last in the conference in scoring defense (46.5 ppg), rushing defense (237 ypg) and passing defense (341.8 ypg). This is not necessarily a bad thing here as the Blue Raiders are averaging just 19.4 ppg as they are off to a 1-4 start. Things are better for the Mean Green offense as they are averaging 36 ppg behind quarterback Austin Aune who has completed 56 percent of his passes for 1,108 yards and eight touchdowns to just two interceptions. Receiver Jaelon Darden is a playmaker as last week, he caught 13 passes for 244 yards and three touchdowns against Charlotte. Overall, North Texas is ranked sixth in the country in total offense. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 37 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 37-10 ATS (78.7 percent) over the last five seasons. Definite upset ability here in this spot with the Blue Raiders favored for the first time this season. 9* (157) North Texas Mean Green |
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10-17-20 | Texas A&M v. Mississippi State +5.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB SEC Game of the Year. Texas A&M kicked a field goal on the final play last week against Florida, notching its first win over a top-five team since 2014. This spells a big letdown for the Aggies and they are now favored on the road. After handing reigning national champion LSU its first loss since Nov. 24, 2018, Mississippi St. has dropped its last two contests to Arkansas and Kentucky. The Bulldogs fell to the Wildcats 24-2 last week but had a 18-10 first down edge and 295-157 total yard advantage but were -5 in turnovers. A loss like that can provide great motivation especially when the coach calls out the players after. The Aggies allowed have allowed 897 passing yards and nine touchdowns through the first three games of the season so we can expect Mississippi St. to get back on track on offense. Texas A&M is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 road games after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a turnover margin of -2 per game or worse on the season, after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (144) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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10-16-20 | SMU v. Tulane +6.5 | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 51 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. SMU comes in with a 4-0 record including a big win over Memphis last time out. While the win was big, the Mustangs lost leading wide receiver Reggie Roberson (22 catches, second-in-the-nation 474 yards, five touchdowns) and starting running back TJ McDaniel (60 carries, 297 yards) to season-ending injuries. Those are two huge losses for Houston which comes in ranked No. 4 in total offense. We feel the Mustangs are overinflated in this role as road favorites. Tulane is coming off a blowout loss against Houston as it jumped ahead 24-7 but then was outscored 42-7 the rest of the game. The issues have come in the second half this year, dropping Tulane to 0-2 in the conference for the first time since 2016. Tulane had its 56-game streak of rushing for at least 100 yards snapped last week at Houston. The 56-game streak dated back to the end of the 2015 season. The Green Wave are still averaging 242.8 ypg on the ground and the rushing attack should get back on trach here against a below average Houston rushing defense. SMU is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 road games against teams averaging 4.75 or more ypc while going 3-16 ATS in its last 19 games after a win by three or less points. Here, we play against teams after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 3.25 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 45-17 ATS (72.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (108) Tulane Green Wave |
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10-15-20 | Georgia State v. Arkansas State -3.5 | Top | 52-59 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Arkansas St. opened the season with a loss at Memphis that was closer than the 13-point deficit indicates and followed that up with a huge upset at Kansas St. Then the pandemic came into play with two straight weeks off before getting blown out by Coastal Carolina, but the Red Wolves bounced back with a 23-point win over Central Arkansas backed by a season high 573 yards on offense. Teams that are playing their fifth game of the season and playing their second straight home game following three straight road games are 15-3-1 ATS if their opponent is coming off a win. Georgia St. opened the season with a pair of losses before blowing out East Carolina by 20 points two weeks ago. The rushing offense leads the way, but the Panthers have been outrushed in two of three games and that is key for Arkansas St. which has been inconsistent in the running game but can get it going here which can help their passing game even more that is currently eighth in the country, averaging 342.5 ypg. The Red Wolves will be out to avenge a 52-38 loss last season where they allowed 722 total yards. The Panthers are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 road games while the Red Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* (106) Arkansas St. Red Wolves |
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10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette -7.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Both Coastal Carolina and Louisiana come in at 3-0 but we fell there is a significant edge for the Cajuns as they have played the better schedule and has a better defense. Louisiana is ranked for the first time since 1943 as it owns a big win over Iowa St. to open the season and followed that up with a pair of close wins over Georgia St. and Georgia Southern. Those close wins came as double-digit favorites and now the line is significantly lower based on that and the hot start for the Chanticleers. They have won their three games by an average of 22 ppg albeit against much weaker competition. The Cajuns have a star in quarterback Levi Lewis while featuring a pair of running back weapons in Trey Ragas and Elijah Mitchell. On the other side, Coastal Carolina has gotten a lot of production from quarterback Grayson McCall, but he is just a freshman, and this will be his biggest test of the season. The Louisiana defense has allowed just a 53.3 completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks while allowing less than one passing touchdown per game so far. Here, we play against conference road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 6.2 or more yppl going up against teams with a defense allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last 5fiveseasons. 10* (170) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns |
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10-13-20 | Bills -3.5 v. Titans | Top | 16-42 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Tennessee is off to a 3-0 start, but it has not been overly dominating as the three wins have come by a combined six points and it has needed a game-winning field goal in each. Buffalo has more wins than the three teams Tennessee has beaten combined. Plus, the Titans have to play this game after an unexpected bye and an abbreviated practice schedule. The defense has been awful as the Titans are ranked 30th in total defense and 31st in rushing defense. They have taken a hit on offense as the Titans are without several key players, including top receivers Adam Humphries and Corey Davis, who have been placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list. Overall, Tennessee is down five starters based on positive tests. Buffalo is 4-0 and rolling along on offense as it possesses the No. 3 total offense and No. 5 scoring offense. Buffalo offensive coordinator Brian Daboll has scripted some tremendous drives to open games, first and foremost, which has led to Buffalo scoring before their opposition in all four games this year. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 26-6 (81.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (461) Buffalo Bills |
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10-12-20 | Chargers +8 v. Saints | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
10-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. Seahawks | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is off to a perfect 4-0 start, both straight up and ATS. That being said, the Seahawks are overinflated here as in the last four meetings, they have been favored by no more than four points. The Vikings offense is tied for eighth in the NFL in goal-to-go touchdown rate (87.5 percent) and fifth in inside-the-20 touchdown rate (76.9 percent) while the defense is seventh in goal-to-go touchdown rate (58.3%) and second in inside-the-20 touchdown rate (41.2%). Dalvin Cook leads the league with 424 yards rushing and is averaging 5.7 ypc and this is a big part to Sunday night. He will be facing a Seattle defense that ranks third in the league in yards rushing allowed but has not necessarily been tested. Todd Gurley in Week 1 and Ezekiel Elliott in Week 3 both had only 14 carries against Seattle. The Vikings have given up more points and yards than has been the norm for a Mike Zimmer team and struggled with turnovers for the first few weeks, but this is a talented unit that can slow down the Seattle offense. The Vikings are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while the Seahawks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. 9* (475) Minnesota Vikings |
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10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns +1 | 23-32 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. Everyone is all about the Colts right now and their defense, but we are not quite sold just yet. Indianapolis has played the Jaguars, Jets, Vikings and Bears, four of the worst offenses in the league. The Colts have not played an offensive line like the Browns and they have not faced a running game like the Browns even without Nick Chubb. Not only are the Browns using zone run schemes successfully, but Cleveland also is one of the best gap running teams in football as well and ranks second in gap run play calls. If there was a silver lining in the Chubb injury, it is that the Browns played most of last week without him and thrived. The Colts offense has been inconsistent and ranked 21st in total offense. The Cleveland defense, led by a rejuvenated Miles Garrett, has forced eight turnovers the past two weeks and leads the league with 11 takeaways. Indianapolis is shorthanded as well as starting left tackle Anthony Castonzo and All-Pro linebacker Darius Leonard have officially been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, coach Frank Reich said Friday. Despite money coming in on the Colts, the line has dropped so we have a solid reverse line move to back the slight home underdog. 9* (474) Cleveland Browns |
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10-11-20 | Bengals +13 v. Ravens | 3-27 | Loss | -118 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Cincinnati is coming off its first win on the season as it defeated the Jaguars by eight points. The Bengals are now 1-2-1 with the two losses coming by a combined eight points. Joe Burrow has been great this season as he is the first rookie quarterback in NFL history to throw for 300-plus yards in three consecutive games. The Bengals have averaged 28.6 ppg over their past three games, with Burrow throwing for a cumulative 928 yards with six touchdown passes and just one interception. The difference in this game will be on the Cincinnati defense as the Bengals have the 27th ranked run defense in the NFL entering Week Five, giving up 181.7 yards a game. Baltimore bounced back with a win last week against Washington following a loss against Kansas City. In that lone defeat, the Chiefs did a commendable job at keeping Lamar Jackson in the pocket and they limited him to a meager 97 yards passing. Baltimore last year set an NFL record for rushing yards and averaged 206 ypg on the ground. So far this year, the Ravens have averaged 160.8 rushing ypg. Here, we play against home favorites of 10.5 or more points after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in October games. This situation is 40-13 ATS (75.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (467) Cincinnati Bengals |
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10-11-20 | Panthers v. Falcons -1 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Falcons are off to their first 0-4 start since 1999 and are out to save the job of head coach Dan Quinn. Atlanta remains solid on offense as it is ranked ninth in total offense. The Atlanta defense has had a lot of guys banged up and this week, they could see three starters return to the lineup (S Keanu Neal, S Ricardo Allen, DL Takk McKinley) and getting those guys back should help the production of their defense The Falcons are hoping to continue recent success in their division as they have four straight seasons with winning records in the NFC South, including a 4-2 record each of last three years. Carolina has won two straight games following a 0-2 start. The offense had a good showing last week against the Cardinals, but they were outgained by 134 total yards in their win against the Chargers two weeks ago. The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game while the Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 and coming off an upset win by 10 or more as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 42-16 (72.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (452) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-10-20 | Kansas State +9 v. TCU | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 49 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Year. The TCU defense had a goal-line fumble recovery to stun Texas 33-31 in a game that had 26 penalties and ended when TCU took a safety as time ran out. Because of the win, the Horned Frogs are now overinflated in what is a classic letdown spot. Head coach Gary Patterson is anti-Texas and that is the one game he gets his players fired up for and it showed once again but it has been a letdown of late as TCU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following the Texas game. The Horned Frogs are 129th in rushing defense, allowing seven YPC. That is a problem here as Kansas St. running back Deuce Vaughn averages 5.7 ypc on 36 carries after three games behind a strongly improved offensive line. On the other side, with one of the better pass rushes in the country, Kansas St. has the ability to pressure TCU quarterback Max Duggan which makes life easier for its secondary. This is a potent TCU offense, but the Wildcats can definitely slow it down. TCU is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games off an upset win as a road underdog. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) since 1992. 10* (335) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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10-10-20 | Texas Tech +12.5 v. Iowa State | 15-31 | Loss | -103 | 48 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. We lost with Texas Tech last week as it fell by 10 points despite outgaining the Wildcats by 67 total yards. It was the second straight loss for the Red Raiders which lost against Texas in overtime in a shootout. Iowa St. is coming off a huge win over Oklahoma to improve to 2-0 in the Big 12 and this presents a big letdown spot. It was the first win over Oklahoma at home since 1960 which shows how big it was. The Cyclones lead the Big 12 in sacks, but the Red Raiders live on its quick-hitting attack that gets the ball out in a hurry. Texas Tech has allowed only one sack through its first three games this season despite 153 pass attempts, the third-highest total currently in the country. Opponents have totaled 853 yards of passing against the Cyclones so far this year, which is about an average of 284 per game allowed by the defense. That is almost 60 yards per game more than the pass defense allowed on average last season. The Red Raiders have converted 27 of their 49 third-down conversions thus far (55 percent), which leads the Big 12 and ranks eighth nationally. The Red Raiders are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while the Cyclones are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. 9* (325) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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10-10-20 | Duke v. Syracuse +2.5 | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Syracuse is coming off a bye week following its first win on the season, a 37-20 victory over Georgia Tech to move to 1-2. The Orange remain home which is a significant edge on a three-week stretch. Duke is still looking for its first win this college football season, but oddsmakers think it is possible that win might come Saturday in Syracuse. After rushing for 68 yards against North Carolina and 51 against an exceptionally good Pittsburgh defense, the Orange had 163 yards against the Yellow Jackets. Stopping the run is a weakness for the Blue Devils. They crowded the box to stop the run against the Hokies and yet Virginia Tech still gained over 300 yards on the ground. On offense, Duke did score 31 points but had just 200 yards through three quarters and was able to wear down the Hokies defense. Quarterback Chase Brice has not been particularly good at quarterback for the Blue Devils. Between his poor decisions, such as his forced balls, and his inaccuracy, he is completing just 52.7 percent of his passes and has thrown seven interceptions and only three touchdowns. Here, we play on home teams coming off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, in weeks 5 through 9. This situation is 47-18 ATS (72.3 percent) since 1992. 9* (310) Syracuse Orange |
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10-10-20 | Florida v. Texas A&M +7 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 44 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. This is a weird line as Florida comes in ranked No. 4 in the nation yet are laying under a touchdown against Texas A&M which was hammered by Alabama last week. The Aggies were outgained by just 94 total yards as they put up 450 yards of offense and they should flourish here. The Aggies hope their potent passing game will have success against a Florida defense that has recorded only one interception in two games and is allowing 327.5 ypg which is 68th in the country. The Gators defense though needs some work as a week after allowing 613 yards to Mississippi, they could not get off the field vs South Carolina. Aggies quarterback Kellen Mond has thrown for 507 yards, four touchdowns and one interception in his first two games and against a tough Alabama defense, he completed 25 of 44 passes for 318 yards and three touchdowns. Texas A&M has two weapons on offense that, historically, give Todd Grantham defenses fits which are a pass-catching tight end and a pass-catching running back. Florida plays LSU next week and is looking for revenge from a 42-28 loss last season. The Aggies are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game while going 15-3-3 ATS as home conference underdogs against teams of a win by 14 or more points. 9* (334) Texas A&M Aggies |
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10-09-20 | Louisville -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 27-46 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS four our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Both Louisville and Georgia Tech are coming off a bye week while riding two-game losing streaks. After gaining 516 total yards against Miami, the Cardinals mustered just 223 yards against Pittsburgh. Despite their issues, Louisville can score against anyone with its offensive weapons. And the Georgia Tech defense has proven to be one of the worst teams in the FBS as they are allowing 441.3 ypg. Louisville will need to rely on running back Javian Hawkins, who has rushed for 313 yards this season. Hawkins will look to have a big game against Georgia Tech defense that is giving up big yards on the ground as the Yellow Jackets are 51st in rushing defense at 171.7 ypg. In the two losses to UCF and Syracuse, Georgia Tech quarterback Jeff Sims has thrown for a combined two touchdowns and six interceptions. The Yellow Jackets have shown the ability to be able to run the ball, but leading rusher Jordan Mason remains questionable. Georgia Tech is on a 1-10 ATS run as a home dog. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams with turnover differentials of -0.75 or worse, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 48-18 (72.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Louisville Cardinals |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears +4 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Bears are coming off their first loss of the season as the offense could get nothing going. One bright spot on Sunday was wide receivers Allen Robinson and Darnell Mooney, who combined for 12 receptions and 153 receiving yards. Nick Foles needs to be more consistent but as much as the Buccaneers get after the quarterback, establishing a run game will be the key to moving the ball. Tampa Bay improved to 3-1 with a comeback win over the Chargers last week and it has now won three in a row. This is a tough spot having to travel on a short week as a favorite no less. While the offense is slowly coming into its own, it is still pretty banged up and the Chicago defense is for real once again as after four games, the Bears are ranked seventh in scoring defense and eighth in total defense. Last week, the defense had nine plays in which it stopped a Colts run for a loss or no gain. Five came on first down to put the Colts behind the chains, and that was significant as the Bears entered the game allowing an average of 7.34 yards on first down, which ranked 29th. Chicago is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse while the Buccaneers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. 10* (302) Chicago Bears |
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10-08-20 | Tulane v. Houston -6.5 | Top | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. It will be the season opener for the Cougars, who have had five games delayed or canceled because of coronavirus issues with their opponents. While it may seem a disadvantage, it could work in their favor as Tulane has already played a quarter of its season. The pluses and minuses of having three games under its belt extend to personnel. Tulane lost its top running back, Tyjae Spears, to a torn ACL in its last game. Freshman quarterback Michael Pratt will make his first career start after coming off the bench and was 8-of-18 passing for 142 yards against Southern Miss. Additionally, a pair of freshmen start on the right side of the offensive line. Not only is Houston eager to get onto the field, but it is out for some revenge the Green Wave won last year 38-31 on a 53-yard touchdown pass with three seconds left. They bring back a ton of experience with 19 starters returning that have not forgotten about that game. The Green Wave are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (304) Houston Cougars |
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10-05-20 | Falcons +7 v. Packers | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The 3-0 Packers take on the 0-3 Falcons with money going to be all over the former based on the two recent meltdowns from Atlanta. The Falcons have lost their last two games after leading in the fourth quarter by more than two touchdowns. This offense is still clearly capable of putting up big numbers and it is up to the team to put those last two games behind them. Matt Ryan is expected to have a big game with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley expected to both suit up. While the Packers have not allowed a lot of completions, they are 28th with 7.88 ypa and 30th with an opponent passer rating of 113.4. Green Bay is the first team in NFL history to have at least 35 points and no turnovers in each of its first three games, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. The Packers average 6.9 yppl to lead the NFL. The Packers cannot sustain this however and this is a great opportunity for a possible lookahead while catching a big number. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games while going 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs. 10* (279) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-04-20 | Eagles +7.5 v. 49ers | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 58 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Philadelphia is off to a 0-2-1 start following a tie with the lowly Bengals last Sunday. The Eagles are a better team than this as turnovers have killed them on both as they have eight on offense and none on defense through three games which are both dead last in the NFL. Quarterback Carson Wentz has been a shell of his normal self with six interceptions and while he will be facing a typically tough 49ers defense, he gets a break. 49ers defensive linemen Nick Bosa and Solomon Thomas are already out for the year while defensive end Dee Ford is dealing with back problems. One bright spot for the Eagles offensive line has been the return of Lane Johnson from injury. He did not allow a single pressure in 43 pass-blocking efforts against the Bengals. On defense, the Eagles defensive line was ranked No. 2 by Pro Football Focus coming into the season and have produced 12 sacks, good for fourth in the league. The 49ers would like to have quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo return from injury, but those plans do not appear to be very realistic. The Eagles are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while the 49ers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite. 9* (277) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-04-20 | Bills v. Raiders +3.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -120 | 54 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. We played against the Raiders last Sunday as they were outrushed by 124 yards against the Patriots. They take a step down in class in that regard as the Bills are ranked just 24th in rushing offense. Quarterback Josh Allen has been unconscious as he has tossed 10 touchdowns with no interceptions and in all three games, he has surpassed 300 yards. He has tossed four touchdowns in two straight games and he became the only Buffalo quarterback to do so in back-to-back games. He cannot sustain this production, however. Against the Rams, the Bills run defense allowed 167 rushing yards. The defense needs to fix things like missed tackles and gap problems quickly because they will play more teams with talented offensive lines and running backs and that includes the Raiders. Las Vegas quarterback Derek Carr has thrown for six touchdowns and no interceptions while completing 74 percent of his passes. He has posted a passer rating over 100 in all three games. The Las Vegas defense is better than what was on the field last week and it must reorganize its defense and find consistency. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in the first month of the season. This situation is 81-43 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (276) Las Vegas Raiders |
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10-04-20 | Vikings +4 v. Texans | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 51 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Minnesota and Houston both enter this game 0-3 which makes it a must win for each team. The Vikings are coming off a tough loss by a point against Tennessee as Stephen Gostkowski kicked field goals of 54 and 55 yards late in the fourth quarter. The once stout defense has struggled but they catch a break here. On the other side, the Vikings lead the NFL with an average of 6.03 ypc. Minnesota running back Dalvin Cook had a career-high 181 yards rushing last week and the Texans have the worst run defense in the NFL, allowing 188.3 ypg. Quarterback Kirk Cousins has covered all eight games he has played following consecutive losses. Minnesota is 9-0 ATS in non-division games when coming off a loss of six points or less. While the run defense has stunk in up for the Texans, the rushing offense has been just as bad. Houston is averaging 3.67 ypc which is 29th in the NFL and its 66.0 ypg is 31st in the league. Deshawn Watson has not been as successful eluding the pressure, taking 13 sacks. Here, we play on teams averaging between 125 and 150 rushing ypg going and after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game up against averaging 70 or fewer rushing ypg. This situation is 21-3 ATS (87.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (261) Minnesota Vikings |
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10-04-20 | Saints -4 v. Lions | Top | 35-29 | Win | 100 | 51 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. New Orleans has lost two straight games, both in primetime, and people are hitting the panic button but that should not be the case. The Saints now take on a 28th ranked Lions defense that has given up an average of 409 ypg and 30 ppg this season. The Lions enter their fourth game of the season ranked 30th in the NFL in rush defense, surrendering 170+ yards per game. New Orleans should take note that Detroit has struggled against shifty scat backs like Alvin Kamara. Success on the ground will help open up the passing game which has been inconsistent this season. Detroit won their first game of the season upsetting the Cardinals on the road on a last second field goal and that broke an 11-game losing streak dating back to last year. While the defense has been inconsistent, the offense has struggled also. The Detroit offense has scored a touchdown on six of their 13 trips into the red zone through the first three weeks and its red zone efficiency rate of 46.2 percent ranks 27th in the NFL. Here, we play on road favorites with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 coming off a loss as a home favorite, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1983. 10* (253) New Orleans Saints |
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10-03-20 | Navy -6.5 v. Air Force | Top | 7-40 | Loss | -120 | 72 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Game of the Month. Navy comes in as a road favorite and for very good reason. Air force has yet to play a game this season and a key challenge for the Falcons will be establishing depth. Turnbacks, generally explained as the option to leave the academy for a semester for medical reasons, and in this case, offered to cadets in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, have decimated the football roster, especially on defense. None of the five eligible returning starters are back and four freshmen appear on the two-deep list. And on offense, starting quarterback Donald Hammond III is not expected to suit up, as he is not in good standing as a cadet, the Colorado Springs Gazette reported. Navy put together the largest comeback in school history, scoring 27 unanswered points in the second half to overtake Tulane 27-24 two weeks ago. Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo is seeking his 100th career victory, and the first leg of the Commander-in-Chief Trophy series provides an ideal opportunity. Having two games under their belt going up against a depleted roster is a huge edge. Navy is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 road games after a win by three or less points. 10* (131) Navy Midshipmen |
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10-03-20 | Memphis v. SMU +2.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 69 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SMU MUSTANGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. SMU hosts Memphis as it looks to avenge a 54-48 loss at Memphis last season. The Mustangs are off to a 3-0 start and they possess one of the most powerful offenses in the country. They are led by quarterback Shane Buechele who is off to a great start for the Mustangs, completing 64 of 94 passes for 852 yards with seven touchdowns after throwing for 3,929 yards and 34 scores last year. The Tigers have not played since their season-opening 37-24 win over Arkansas State on Sept. 5 due to COVID-19 cases that caused the program to pause activities and cancel games against Houston and UTSA. They are not 100 percent however as players are missing still and the team will have to rotate more players in and out in all three phases of the game. Another hurdle to overcome throughout this process has been the conditioning of the players. With multiple players testing positive, they likely have not been able to do much activity. Here, we play on home teams in conference games, after two straight covers as a double-digit favorite. This situation is 44-15 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (126) SMU Mustangs |
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10-03-20 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Kansas State | 21-31 | Loss | -104 | 69 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. The Red Raiders are coming off a tough loss against Texas in overtime. Texas Tech led 56-41 with 3:31 left, only to see Texas score two touchdowns and a two-point conversion to tie the score with 40 seconds left. This is a good bounce back spot with a very balanced team as three players, KeSean Carter, Erik Ezukanma and T.J. Vasher, have at least 150 receiving yards, while SaRodorick Thompson leads the way on the ground with 222 yards and four touchdowns. The Wildcats are primed for a letdown as they went to Oklahoma as four-touchdowns underdogs and upset the Sooners. Kansas St. was behind by 21 points in the second half on two different occasions and no unranked team in the last 15 years had trailed a top-5 team by 21 points on the road and come back to win until then. The Red Raiders are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while the Wildcats are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 in conference games, off a road win by 3 points or less. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (135) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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10-03-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia +3 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 66 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. West Virginia is coming off a loss at Oklahoma St. last week and now it heads home as an underdog. The Mountaineers actually outgained the Cowboys, but they lost the turnover battle 2-0 which includes a 56-yard fumble return for a touchdown by Oklahoma St. Additionally, West Virginia had 12 penalties, seven which took place in the second quarter where it fell behind by 17 points. Junior quarterback Jarret Doege passed for 285 yards against Oklahoma St. which was his second-highest passing total in five starts for the Mountaineers. Baylor cruised to a 47-14 victory over Kansas in its season opener under new head coach Dave Aranda. It was an inflated outcome however as the Bears outgained the Jayhawks by just 24 total yards but had two kickoff returns for touchdowns as well as recording a safety. The outcomes are making the Bears a false favorite here. The Bears are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while the Mountaineers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. 9* (118) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech +23.5 v. BYU | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -108 | 78 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. BYU is off to a dominant start as it has defeated Navy and Troy by a combined score of 103-10 and all that is doing is inflating this line. Due to an outbreak of COVID-19 in Provo, state and local health officials have prohibited fans from attending the BYU game this week in an effort to prevent the spread of the virus. The Bulldogs are coming off a blowout win to improve to 2-0 on the season. Louisiana Tech began the season with a 31-30 victory at Southern Miss, then routed Houston Baptist 66-38 in its home opener as Luke Anthony threw five touchdowns and ran for another. Louisiana Tech allowed 406 yards passing, but that is not as bad as it might seem. Houston Baptist quarterback Bailey Zappe, who completed 37 of 58 passes against the Bulldogs, had passed for more than 1,000 yards combined with seven touchdowns and no interceptions against North Texas and Texas Tech. The Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (103) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 37-28 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Jets have opened 0-3 and have arguably been the worst team in football with all three losses coming by double-digits. The play of Sam Darnold has been bad but there is reason for optimism. Last year, Darnold had a bad three-game stretch when he went 59-of-101 (58.42 percent) for 564 yards with three touchdowns and eight interceptions with a 50.9 quarterback rating. He bounced back in the final eight games of the season with 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. After losing to the Buccaneers on Sunday, Denver is now 0-3 and the Broncos have started consecutive years 0-3 for the first time in franchise history. They will reportedly turn to their third different starting quarterback this season as Brett Rypien is expected to start in place of the injured Drew Lock. Denver has now seen six starters go down to injuries just three weeks into the season. The Broncos are 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 or more points. This situation is 72-35 ATS (67.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) New York Jets |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs +4 v. Ravens | Top | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. A pair of streaks are on the line Monday. Baltimore closed the regular season with 12 straight wins and have now won 14 straight regular season games while the Chiefs will be bringing an 11-game winning streak into the game. Both teams come in a perfect 2-0 and the Ravens home field advantage is taken away here yet the Ravens come in as an overpriced favorite. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is 21-3 during the regular season but two of those losses came against the Chiefs. Pass protection is an issue for Baltimore as in a win over the Texans last week, Jackson went down for four sacks, his highest single-game total since Week Five of last season and the Chiefs got him on the ground three times last season. While the Baltimore defense was and still is solid, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 377 yards and two touchdowns in that 2018 game, and last year pierced the Ravens for 374 yards and three scores. Kansas City is one of three teams in the NFL to not turn the ball over in the first two weeks which is right in line with their 2019 season where they were third in fewest giveaways. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems that averaged 275 or more passing ypg last season, after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 22-3 ATS (88 percent) since 1983. 10* (489) Kansas City Chiefs |
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09-27-20 | Texans +4 v. Steelers | 21-28 | Loss | -103 | 45 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Houston has gotten off to a 0-2 start but to its defense, it has had to open with the two best teams in the NFL. Losses to Kansas City and Baltimore were expected and this becomes the most winnable game on the early schedule. Deshaun Watson has thrown for 528 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions this season and is looking to do more to help the offense improve and help the team get in the win column. While the Steelers are the most blitzing team in the league, the Texans have the tools to beat the blitz. Watson is nimble and shifty enough to avoid pass rushers and running back David Johnson is one of the better pass-catching backs in the league. Pittsburgh has defeated the Giants, who are not expected to do much this season, and the Steelers got a break last week when Denver quarterback Drew Lock left the game early with an injury. The Texans are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a double-digit loss at home while the Steelers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in September games. This situation is 69-32 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (465) Houston Texans |
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09-27-20 | 49ers v. Giants +3.5 | 36-9 | Loss | -103 | 45 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Giants are off to a 0-2 start and now face the 49ers who went to the Super Bowl last season. This is not the same San Francisco team however as it will be without its quarterback, top running back and two best defensive players who were all injured in its win over the Jets last week. Tight end George Kittle has also been ruled out for a second consecutive week. This is the second straight trip to the east coast for the 49ers and there has been some hesitation about the turf at MetLife Stadium and with the injuries that happened last week, there could be some apprehension. The Giants are not healthy either as no Saquon Barkley puts even more pressure on the offense, especially quarterback Daniel Jones. He has shown the ability to get it done and against a banged-up 49ers defense, he can definitely get it done. Also, without Sterling Shepard (turf toe), the Giants will need Golden Tate and Evan Engram to have big games. The 49ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Giants are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 9* (468) New York Giants |
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09-27-20 | Bears v. Falcons -3 | 30-26 | Loss | -116 | 44 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Atlanta is coming off a brutal loss against Dallas last week as a special team miscue led to an on-sides kick recovery for the Cowboys. While that could cause concern for a letdown, it should give the Falcons plenty of motivation. Atlanta has scored 64 points and put up 886 yards of total offense but are 0-2 as the defense, and special teams, have let them down. In the opener, they actually outgained the Seahawks by 123 total yards. There should be no cause for concern here facing a Bears offense that has faced two poor defenses in the Lions and Giants and yet have averaged just 333.5 ypg. Over the last 18 games, Chicago has scored 24 or more points just four times. Quarterback Mitch Trubisky threw three fourth-quarter touchdowns against Detroit and was sharp in the first half against the Giants, but the other five quarters have not gone as well for him. Additionally, the defense is going to have to get off the field against a significantly better offense than it faced the first two weeks. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win while the Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. 9* (476) Atlanta Falcons |
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09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 45 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Raiders are coming off a very emotional win as an underdog at home on Monday night which puts them in a tough spot here. They are now working on a short week and are travelling to the east coast for the second time in three weeks. Las Vegas is dealing with some key injuries as running back Josh Jacobs, tight end Darren Waller and offensive tackle Trent Brown all did not practice Thursday. That is a problem for the offense if these players are not 100 percent because bailing out the defense will be a problem. The passing defense for the Raiders has allowed the third most passing yards in the NFL. Cam Newton looked brilliant in Week Two, passing for 397 yards, the third-highest total of his career, while rushing for two scores and he has learned this system and looks very comfortable. This is a big game for the Patriots coming off that loss as they have to travel the Kansas City next week and sitting at 1-3 after the first quarter of the season is not is not ideal. Look for a big bounce back effort from New England. The Raiders are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win while the Patriots are 48-23-1 ATS in their last 72 games following a straight up loss. 10* (462) New England Patriots |
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09-26-20 | Troy +14 v. BYU | 7-48 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TROY TROJANS for our CFB Saturday Late Night Bomb. BYU is coming off a 55-3 win over Navy to open its season but by the time this game kicks off, the Cougars will have been idle for 19 days. While the win was impressive, Navy came into that game not prepared as they did no tackling prior to the game and it showed on both sides. The Cougars come in overpriced and at this point, we really do not know how good they are not 14 points better than Troy. Troy offensive coordinator Ryan Pugh, previously the BYU offensive line coach in 2018, led the Trojans successful offensive front in 2019. Last season, the Trojans averaged 34 ppg and they finished in the top 20 in the nation in total yards. In 2019, the Trojans defense allowed an average of 35 ppg but the defense proved productive during the 2020 season opener against Middle Tennessee St. BYU was supposed to play Army last week but 10 players had tested positive for COVID-19 and as many as 22 had to be quarantined. Some practices were canceled while others were broken into groups of 10 or fewer players. The Trojans are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game while the Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. 9* (409) Troy Trojans |
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09-26-20 | Mississippi State +16.5 v. LSU | 44-34 | Win | 100 | 49 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. The SEC is finally back in action and the defending national champions are hosting their season opener. LSU is still going to be very good, but it was gutted during the offseason when they had 14 players depart via the NFL Draft, including five in the first-round while also losing offensive coordinator Joe Brady. For Mississippi St. there is defensive experience overall, and the parts filling in for the lost producers might just be better. As long as the passing game and the offense do what they are expected to, the defense just has to hold serve once in a while. KJ Costello came over from Stanford and while Mike Leach has not fully committed to him just yet, he is going to start, and he can make this offense roll. He has thrown for over 6,000 yards in his college career and his next touchdown will be his 50th. Numbers like that breed confidence. LSU should take a big step down on offense so the somewhat inexperienced Bulldogs defense will not be as bad off. Death Valley will not be the same as it normally is on top of it. Leach is also 20-8 ATS as a dog of 14-plus points in his CFB career. 9* (433) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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09-26-20 | Army +13.5 v. Cincinnati | 10-24 | Loss | -107 | 48 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Army is 2-0 this season with home wins against Middle Tennessee and Louisiana-Monroe by a combined 79-7 and it has moved into the latest top 25 poll at No. 22. The Black Knights run the triple-option offense and that that offense led by quarterback Christian Anderson has scored touchdowns on all six tries inside the red zone while holding the ball just over 36 minutes per game. In their first two games, the Army defense has displayed unusual speed and cunning. The Black Knights swarm to the ball and seem decidedly adept at preventing the big play. The continuity of this team cannot be underestimated as the team has been in the West Point bubble since June and while most teams would not be able to conquer that, players from Army can as that is what they are about. The Cincinnati run defense is solid, but they have not faced an option attack since 2018. The offense is dynamic, but Cincinnati receiver Alec Pierce will miss several weeks due to a knee issue. He had 37 receptions for a team-leading 652 yards in 2019. Black Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game while the Bearcats are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. 9* (445) Army Black Knights |
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09-26-20 | Florida International v. Liberty -7.5 | Top | 34-36 | Loss | -106 | 47 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the LIBERTY FLAMES for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year. The Flames took to the road as 15-point underdogs and won outright against Western Kentucky, winning the time of possession by almost 10 minutes and the yardage battle by 196 yards without turning the ball over. They have quarterback Malik Willis, who was the Auburn second-string quarterback in 2017 and 2018 so you know he has legit talent. He proved that in his debut rushing for 168 yards, three touchdowns while also completing 13 of 21 passes for 133 yards. The Liberty offensive line is its under-the-radar weapon. Florida International begins its season finally and it will be looking for young inexperienced players to continue its recent success under head coach Butch Davis. Quarterback James Morgan and cornerback Stanley Thomas-Oliver were drafted in the fourth and seventh round of the 2020 NFL Draft, respectively. Thomas-Oliver and Sage Lewis were selected as second-team All-C-USA for the 2019 season. The Panthers did not have any spring practices, so it might be tough to keep up with Willis and the Flames who have a game under their belt. Here, we play on favorites of a touchdown or more in their second game of the season coming off a win as a double-digit underdog. This situation is 11-5 ATS since 1996. 10* (442) Liberty Flames |
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09-26-20 | Louisville +3 v. Pittsburgh | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 45 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Louisville is coming off a tough loss against Miami and while it lost by 13 points, it outgained the Hurricanes by 31 total yards. The Cardinals were hurt by three turnovers and Miami scored on two plays that were both 75 yards each. This is a loaded offense that will continue to get stronger. Quarterback Malik Cunningham has topped 300 yards in both games to date, running back Javian Hawkins is averaging 5.1 ypc and is coming off of a 164-yard game. The Pittsburgh defense has been impressive, but the opposition has been horrific, so the numbers are skewed. The Panthers offense has not seen a real defense yet and the running game still is not playing well. They have a committee backfield that is averaging 3.47 ypc against Austin Peay and Syracuse, after posting just 3.5 ypc in 2019. Their passing attack remains largely dink and dunk, completing 68.8 percent but their 8.2 yards per attempt average is skewed by their Week One dismantling of Austin Peay. The Panthers are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite while the Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. 9* (401) Louisville Cardinals |
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09-25-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. UTSA -6.5 | Top | 35-37 | Loss | -108 | 76 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTSA Roadrunners for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. UTSA is off to a 2-0 start and while the schedule has not been tough, confidence goes a long way. The Roadrunners have outgained opponents by an average of 89.5 ypg and they get another great matchup here on Friday night where they have edges on both sides of the ball. While they have been outpassed in both games, the running game has been tough to defend. Middle Tennessee St. returned just five starters on defense and it is showing as the Blue Raiders are dead last in both yards allowed and points allowed per game. They were outgained by 184 yards against Army and 255 yards against Troy last week. The big issue has been the run defense as they are allowing 290.0 ypg and this is another horrible matchup as UTSA is averaging 282.5 ypg with is seventh in the country. The offense is not much better as they are also dead last in total yards and points scored and the opposition has not been overwhelming. Here, we play on home teams after gaining 450 or more total yards in five consecutive games, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 30-4 ATS (88.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* 456) UTSA Roadrunners |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. We like what we have seen out of Miami as it fought hard in two divisional losses. This is a team on the rise, and this is its first winnable game of the season and quite frankly, should not be an underdog here. These teams are even in the power rankings and the three points assigned for home field advantage is overinflated since the stadium will seat only 14,000 fans and this is one of the worst home field advantages anyway. Ryan Fitzpatrick is 7-0-1 ATS in his career as an underdog coming off consecutive losses. The Jaguars can be considered impressive as well, but it is a bit misleading. They defeated the Colts in the season opener, but they were outgained by 204 total yards. It was a narrow loss last week against Tennessee, but it was more the Titans letting the foot off the gas as they had a 30-17 lead after three quarters but allowed Jacksonville to sneak back in it. The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game while the Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against home favorites that allowed 24 or more ppg last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Miami Dolphins |
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09-24-20 | UAB v. South Alabama +7.5 | Top | 42-10 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. We like what we have seem from South Alabama thus far as we won with them in their opener against Southern Mississippi and then lost by just three points against Tulane. There are some new faces from the squad that got slaughtered by UAB last season, and maybe that is a good thing. Chance Lovertich will take over at quarterback and he has played in both games this season, completing 20 of 32 passes for 311 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions. The Jaguars have a solid running back in Carlos Davis who is averaging 5.4 ypc to go along with a veteran offensive line. The Blazers will also start a new quarterback on Thursday in redshirt freshman Bryson Lucero, who replaces the injured Tyler Johnston, out indefinitely with an injury to his non-throwing shoulder. The defensive line for the Blazers has shown susceptibility against the run as the rebuilt defensive line has yet to get it going. Here, we play on teams off a home loss by three points or less, in the first month of the season. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (418) South Alabama Jaguars |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +6 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Raiders won their season opener over Carolina 34-30 and head home for their first game ever in Las Vegas albeit with no fans. While the Saints won their opener last Sunday, they were actually outgained by Tampa Bay by 39 yards. They took a bigger hit as they lost wide receiver Michael Thomas for a few weeks with a high ankle sprain and he is an obviously a big part of this offense. The Saints run defense has been one of the best in the league the last few years but they will be tested here as running back Josh Jacobs ran for 93 yards and three touchdowns and caught four passes for 46 yards in the opener. The offensive line did a great job from that standpoint and Derek Carr was under pressure on only 10 percent of his dropbacks for the game, the best rate in the league in Week One, according to Pro Football Focus. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in the first month of the season. This situation is 77-37 ATS (67.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (290) Las Vegas Raiders |
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09-20-20 | Patriots +4 v. Seahawks | 30-35 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. New England is coming off a win in its first game without Tom Brady as his replacement Cam Newton looked very solid as he has this offense down. Overall, the Patriots racked up 357 yards of offense including 217 yards on the ground and it needs to be noted that six players had at least 22 yards with five averaging at least 4.0 ypg. Russell Wilson and the Seahawks offense looked great, though that was against a below-average defense in Atlanta. They face a much tougher test against the Patriots. One of the loudest venues in the NFL will be silent for the Seattle home opener. No fans will be allowed in CenturyLink Field for at least the first three home games for the Seahawks and that is a big disadvantage for one of the loudest venues in the NFL. Here, we play against home favorites that allowed 24 or more ppg last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 24-2 ATS (92.3 percent) since 1983. 9* (287) New England Patriots |
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09-20-20 | Vikings +3 v. Colts | 11-28 | Loss | -100 | 48 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Minnesota and Indianapolis are both coming off disappointing losses in their season openers and we expect the Vikings to be the team that rebounds. They lost to Green Bay 43-34 as they were thoroughly outgained until a late fourth quarter surge and while a lot can be blamed on the defense, the offense was on the field for just 18:44, the lowest in franchise history. That led to a gassed defense that just could not keep up. They will be in better shape here against Philip Rivers that struggled against Jacksonville in a 27-0 loss. He threw two interceptions and Pro Bowl receiver T.Y. Hilton dropped the last two passes of the game while Marlon Mack was lost for the season. Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer is 12-4 ATS off a loss against a division rival. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems allowed 335 or more ypg last season, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 9* (273) Minnesota Vikings |
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09-20-20 | 49ers -7 v. Jets | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 48 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Game of the Month. The 49ers are coming off a disappointing season opener as they lost to the Cardinals, continuing the trend of the Super Bowl loser hangover. A big part of the 49ers loss to the Cardinals was the scrambling of quarterback Kyler Murray, but Sam Darnold will be a relative sitting duck for the San Francisco pass rush. This San Francisco defense will be playing with a chip on its shoulder after allowing 404 yards to the Cardinals. Jimmy Garoppolo had an efficient game and can thrive against the Jets which allowed 404 yards against Buffalo. Tight end George Kittle is upgraded to probable after having just four catches last week. Here, we play on teams in Week Two after losing in Week One as favorites of six points or more. This situation is 15-4 ATS (78.9 percent) since 2002. 10* (269) San Francisco 49ers |
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09-19-20 | Louisiana Tech v. Southern Miss -5 | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against Southern Miss in its season opener and the Golden Eagles lost outright as 12-point favorites. Now after a bye week, they catch a great spot. It should be noted that head coach Jay Hopson resigned after that loss but because of the week off, Southern Miss has had plenty of time to prepare under former receiver coach Scott Walden who was given the interim head coach tag. Louisiana Tech has yet to play a game this season and are at a big disadvantage here based on experience as the Bulldogs have just eight starters back including two on defense. Expect them to struggle early in the season and that includes here against a team with a game under their belt and one that brings back double the starters. 10* (126) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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09-19-20 | Tulsa v. Oklahoma State -23 | 7-16 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. The Oklahoma St. and Tulsa game was postponed last week because of positive COVID tests and has been moved to this week. The Cowboys are loaded on offense as they bring back quarterback Spencer Sanders and his top three receivers along with running back Chuba Hubbard who rushed for over 2,000 yards last season. Defensively, they were not great last season but should take a big step up as they return 10 starters on that side of the ball. Tulsa will be overwhelmed on defense as it was horrible a season ago and returns just four starters. The offense has a chance to be good led by quarterback Zack Smith, but not in this spot against that experienced stop unit of Oklahoma St. The Cowboys should be able to name the score. 9* (142) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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09-19-20 | Navy +7 v. Tulane | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Navy got hammered on Labor Day against BYU as it lost 55-3 and it was thoroughly dominated as much as that score shows. The Midshipmen were outgained 580-150 and they managed only seven first downs. It was the worst loss under head coach Ken Niumatalolo, and he took full responsibility sighting the fact he did not allow tackling during preseason practices. Expect a major rebound here. Tulane is coming off a win over South Alabama, but it was a narrow three-point win as 11.5-point favorites. The Green Wave outgained the Jaguars by just four total yards and they actually trailed in this game 24-6 before needing to score 21 unanswered points to put the game away. Expect Tulane to struggle against the Navy ground attack in this one. 9* (133) Navy Midshipmen |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns -6 | Top | 30-35 | Loss | -104 | 53 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Cleveland got hammered in its opener 38-6 at Baltimore but the score is a bit skewed. The Browns were outgained by just 71 total yards, had only three fewer first downs and won the time of possession. Four of the six Baltimore scoring drives started at midfield or in Cleveland territory, so field position played a big role. The defense needs to step up and they can do so here against a rookie quarterback. Joe Burrow was decent but unspectacular as he threw for just 193 yards while tossing an interception and having no touchdown passes although he did run for one. The defense played surprisingly well but the Bengals will be facing a more loaded roster this time around. The Browns will be out for revenge as one of the Bengals two wins last season came in the season finale. The Browns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite while the Bengals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. 10* (102) Cleveland Browns |
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09-14-20 | Titans v. Broncos +3 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 103 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. We are getting exceptional value with Denver here as Tennessee is going to be a heavy bet team early on based on its run at the end of last season. The Titans went 9-4 in their last 13 games and jumped out to an early double-digit lead at Kansas City before succumbing 35-24 to the soon-to-be Super Bowl champs. Now they are road favorites and they go to a place where it has not been good for opponents early in the season. At home in the first two weeks of the season, Denver is 33-4 straight up and 22-11-4 ATS since 1989 and this is based on teams having trouble early on due to the altitude. Additionally, Denver is 18-2 straight up and 16-3-1 ATS in its last thirty games in home openers against non-division opponents. The Broncos finished 7-9 last season, but they have a strong chance to improve upon that this season with a strong defense, sans Von Miller, and the continued improvement of quarterback Drew Lock. 10* (482) Denver Broncos |
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09-13-20 | Cowboys v. Rams +3 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 77 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This is a situation where the lack of a full stadium does not hurt the home team as the crowd here would have been at least 50 percent Dallas. Most talk about the Rams focuses on the personnel they lost after last season, including Todd Gurley, Brandin Cooks, Dante Fowler, Cory Littleton, Eric Weddle and Clay Matthews. This is still a great roster with one of the top head coaches in the NFL in Sean McVey. Dallas is the favorite in the NFC East as it brings back nearly everything from last season where it went a disappointing 8-8. It also brings in a new head coach in Mike McCarthy, but he is fortunate that he has a loaded roster. That being said, the Cowboys are overpriced here laying a price on the road. Quarterback Dak Prescott is often a no-show in key road games and it will not be surprising if he struggles here. Los Angeles also has contrarian value in a primetime game, receiving only one-third of tickets on Sunday Night Football. The Rams are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games against NFC teams. 9* (478) Los Angeles Rams |
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09-13-20 | Bucs +3.5 v. Saints | Top | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. With home field advantage taken away for most teams this season for the foreseeable future, Tampa Bay gets a big edge in the season opener. The fact the Buccaneers added so much on both sides of the ball, they are the trendy pick to win the division. We all know what happened with the offense with the additions on offense where they will be much more efficient, but the other side is what should get the job done here. The Buccaneers defense finished 14th in defensive DVOA according to Football Outsiders and they should be even better this season as turnovers on offense will likely be down meaning less time on the field. New Orleans went 13-3 last season, tied for the second-best record in the NFL and expectations are high there as well but the Saints are laying more than expected. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems that averaged 360 or more ypg last season, versus division opponents. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (475) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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09-13-20 | Raiders -3 v. Panthers | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 70 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. These are two teams that are in opposite stability heading into the season. The Raiders are in their third year under head coach Jon Gruden and have a quarterback in that system with a lot of weapons. The entire offense is essentially intact from last season and they added Henry Ruggs as another weapon. Only the Dolphins allowed more points than the Panthers 470 in 2019 and they lost All Pro linebacker Luke Kuechly to retirement. Carolina will be starting nearly from scratch with a new head coach, new coordinators and a new quarterback and with no preseason, that hurts teams in this situation. They still have the unstoppable Christian McCaffrey, but this offense will struggle early on. The Raiders have won three of their last four openers, and in the game that they lost, outgained their opponent and led at halftime. Our numbers project Carolina to produce 344 yards of offense and going back, the Panthers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games when gaining between 300 and 350 total yards. 9* (459) Las Vegas Raiders |
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09-12-20 | Western Kentucky v. Louisville -11.5 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 77 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUSVILLE CARDINALS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Louisville had an excellent season last year, going 9-5 under first year head coach Scott Satterfield after a 2-10 season in 2018 under Bobby Petrino and now returns eight starters on each side of the ball. This is a loaded offense that should only be better. Micale Cunningham is a productive dual threat at quarterback who had 22 touchdown passes with only five picks while running for 482 yards and six scores. Running back Javian Hawkins finished second in the ACC with 1,525 yards, ringing up eight 100-yard games. Tutu Atwell led the ACC with 98.2 receiving ypg while Dez Fitzpatrick would have been highly drafted but decided to come back. Western Kentucky relies on a particularly good pass rush to keep things in front of them but that is not always easy when you have the play action game that Louisville has. The Hilltoppers are solid on offense but they are replacing quarterback Ty Storey and 1,000-yard receiver Lucky Jackson. The Cardinals need to get more pressure on the opposing quarterbacks, which will lead to more turnovers. Louisville only had seven interceptions and recovered 11 fumbles last season in 13 games. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that averaged 6.4 or more yppl last season, with an experienced quarterback returning as starter. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (406) Louisville Cardinals |
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09-12-20 | UTSA +9.5 v. Texas State | 51-48 | Win | 100 | 72 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UTSA ROADRUNNERS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. The is some excellent value here with UTSA that has 13 starters back and now it is up to new head coach Jeff Traylor to try giving the program a kickstart. The Roadrunners get back eight starters from an offense that averaged just 345 ypg and 20 ppg. It is going to all start with an improvement up front even though the offensive lines opened lanes for a strong run game. Sincere McCormick was the Conference USA Freshman of the Year, leading the team with 983 yards and eight scores, and catching 24 passes for 194 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, eight of the 10 top tacklers return and UTSA led Conference USA in tackles for loss last season. Texas St. is coming off a loss last week against SMU by just seven points, but it was a misleading final score as the Bobcats were outgained 544-396 including just 217 yards through the air. It does not be a surprise the offense struggles as it averaged just 318 ypg and 18.4 ppg with no ground game and not enough of a downfield passing threat to make up for it. The defense got gashed as the top three tacklers, six of the top eight, nine of the top 13, and 13 of the top 20 are gone. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that allowed 425 or more ypg, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (421) UTSA Roadrunners |
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09-12-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Iowa State -11 | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Optimism is extremely high in Ames this season. Since 1996, only four Iowa St. teams have finished league play with a winning record. During Matt Campbell's four-year tenure, the Cyclones have achieved this feat three seasons in a row. They are loaded with 13 returning starters including quarterback Brock Purdy who led an offense that ranked second in 2019 in the Big 12 with an average of 311.3 ypg through the air while running back Breece Hall rushed for 897 yards as a freshman, averaging just over 100 ypg over his last eight games. While the defense was not great last season, they should be a much more improved unit this year with nine starters back. Iowa St. went 7-6 last season but three of those losses were by a combined four points and those were against Iowa, Baylor and Oklahoma. Louisiana is no pushover as it went 9-3 and has a ton of experience coming back but the talent gap between the two rosters is pretty big. The offense is loaded once again but the loss of two key offensive linemen will be felt hard. Louisiana is 1-7 under Billy Napier when going under 200 yards rushing and has lost ten of its last 11 when it fails to get there. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that averaged 6.4 or more yppl last season, with an experienced quarterback returning as starter. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (416) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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09-10-20 | Texans +10 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -125 | 53 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Houston will face the Chiefs for a second straight time after blowing a 24-0 second-quarter lead in the playoffs last season, eventually losing 51-31. Revenge is obviously in play and there is too much value on the Texans and do not forget that they defeated the Chiefs once last season. While that was at home, only 22 percent of the seats will be filled this Thursday, knocking down the homer field advantage. Houston head coach Bill O'Brien likes having one featured back in his offense, so David Johnson should get plenty of opportunities as the Texas want to milk the clock and keep the Kansas City offense off the field as much as possible. The matchup favors Houston as the Chiefs gave up 4.9 ypc last season, fourth most in the league, and allowed running backs to total 1,039 yards receiving, second most in the NFL. Additionally, with all five starters on the offensive line returning, including Pro Bowl left tackle Laremy Tunsil, they should take a big step forward protecting Deshaun Watson. We all know what the Chiefs offense is so it will be up to Houston to slow the attack down because they cannot stop it completely. A healthy J.J. Watt is a big boost to the unit a well. The last 20 games in Week One where there was an underdog of eight or more points, the underdog covered 15 times. 10* (451) Houston Texans |
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09-10-20 | UAB +14 v. Miami-FL | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. UAB has a huge edge of already having a game under its belt as it defeated Central Arkansas 45-35 last Thursday. The Blazers dominated even what seemed like it was a close game as they outgained the Bears 459-293. Central Arkansas scored a touchdown on a fumble recovery and two others in the final six minutes when UAB reserves were in. Spencer Brown is the star of the offense over the first two years with well over 2,500 rushing yards and 26 touchdowns but was dinged last season. He finished with 127 yards on 24 carries (5.3 ypc). Defensively, this team will be great once again. The Blazers were ranked second in the league in total and scoring defense, third in the nation in third down stops, and 11th in sacks and eight of the top 10 tacklers are back. They also got the best defensive player at South Alabama via transfer. Rhett Lashlee, Miami's new offensive coordinator, has installed a high-tempo attack, and rebuilt an offensive line that was among the worst in college football last season. While the offense can be effective, it might take a while and that gives the stout UAB defense an edge. Last year, Miami surrendered 51 sacks, the most among Power 5 teams. Defensively, the back seven is a question mark. At linebacker, the Hurricanes must replace 99 combined starts with a group of mostly unproven linebackers and lost their best defensive back. 10* (393) UAB Blazers |
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09-05-20 | Arkansas State +19.5 v. Memphis | Top | 24-37 | Win | 100 | 30 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Arkansas St. has 14 returning starters including nine on offense and it is expected to score points in bunches once again. The Red Wolves scored 30 or more points in 10 of their 13 games last season and they bring back both quarterbacks along with the entire offensive line. Additionally, leading rusher Marcel Murray is back after running for 820 yards and six scores. They went 8-5 last season which was exceptional given the rebuilding job that had going on and expectations are higher this season. Arkansas St. has a nice groove under head coach Blake Anderson with six straight bowl appearances and six straight winning seasons. Memphis has a strong offense back as well but the defense struggled and will have a tough time holding down the Red Wolves offense. One huge factor here is the preseason schedule where Arkansas St. had 11 practices and Memphis had none and that is a huge issue considering the Tigers have a new head coach. Additionally, the Red Wolves had 18 days of fall practice compared to just nine days before school started for both teams and practice time became limited. 10* (237) Arkansas St. Red Wolves |
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09-03-20 | South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Opening Night Star Attraction. South Alabama went just 2-10 last season but should be a much-improved team with 15 starters back. It was a woeful offense last year, but quarterback Desmond Trotter started as a freshman late and had eight touchdown passes and two picks, while moving the offense and pushing the ball down the field. The receiving corps should get back six of the top seven wideouts while the offensive line returns four starters. Defensively, seven of the top eight tacklers are back from a unit that finished fifth in the SBC in points allowed and yards allowed. While Southern Miss was supposed to bring back a lot of starters, some key ones will not be here Thursday. Former first-team All-Conference USA defensive end Jacques Turner, former freshman All-America linebacker Racheem Boothe, wide receiver and return man Jaylond Adams and running back Steven Anderson have all opted out of this season. For the third time in three years with Jack Abraham at quarterback, Southern Miss has a new offensive coordinator so there will a whole new playbook to learn. 10* (235) South Alabama Jaguars |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -103 | 79 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Super Bowl Winner. While it is hard to go against the dynamic Kansas City offense, the 49ers possess a defense that can slow it down while also posing problems with its own offense against the Chiefs defense. Defensively, the 49ers are powered by a star-studded line that features five former first-round picks in the rotation and the pass rush has made the secondary even better. San Francisco allowed the fewest passing yards (2,707) and defensed the 10th-most passes (74). They only intercepted 12 passes, admittedly an improvement over picking off two in 2018, but San Francisco allowed the fewest completions exceeding 20 yards in the NFL this season, according to Pro Football Focus. On the other side, San Francisco had the second-best rushing offense in the NFL in 2019 at 144.6 ypg while it finished tied for second in the NFL with 16 runs of 20-plus yards. Against the Chiefs, San Francisco needs to continue to pound the ball given the Chiefs struggles against the run, particularly against runs preceded by shifts or motions, when Kansas city has allowed 5.2 ypc. Although Jimmy Garoppolo hasn't been asked to throw it much in the playoffs, he put together a highlight reel of pinpoint passes during the regular season with games hanging in the balance. On deep balls, according to Next Gen Stats, Garoppolo actually led the NFL in completion percentage (58.1) and yards per attempt (20.3), while also totaling seven passing touchdowns and posting a 102.6 passer rating on such throws. 10* (101) San Francisco 49ers |
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01-19-20 | Packers +7.5 v. 49ers | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFC Championship Winner. San Francisco is an overpriced favorite here as it is now favored by more points than it was against Minnesota which ended the regular season three games worse than the Packers. Green Bay is a sneaky live dog here as they are getting no credit. Matt LaFleur came in and tinkered with the offense, and they brought in key additions such as pass-rushing duo Preston Smith and Za'Darius Smith, who combined for 25.5 sacks on the season. Many will point to the first meeting where San Francisco dominated in a 37-8 win but that is a thing of the past. Aaron Rodgers had the worst day of his career, averaging 3.2 yards per attempt and getting sacked five times so do not think there is not a chip on his shoulder. The Packers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning record while the 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after two consecutive covers as a favorite going up against opponent off a home win. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (311) Green Bay Packers |
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01-19-20 | Titans +7.5 v. Chiefs | 24-35 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our AFC Championship Winner. Tennessee has shown that given the right gameplan, it can go out and do what it needed to do. This is the fourth road game in four weeks for the Titans while the Chiefs have not left Kansas City since before Christmas. Who cares? This is a tough matchup for the Chiefs as they struggle stopping the run. On offense, that means pounding away with running back Derrick Henry, just as the Titans did during a back-and-forth Week 10 win over the Chiefs. Since week Seven, the titans redzone offense has been incredible, scoring 30 touchdowns in 31 attempts. The Titans have gotten back to the stingy defense they played much of the season, including the first seven games, when they didn't allow an opponent to score more than 20 points. They've allowed only two touchdowns on seven chances inside their 20. The Titans are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .50 or better after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, in the second half of the season. This situation is 37-14 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (313) Tennessee Titans |
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01-13-20 | Clemson +6.5 v. LSU | Top | 25-42 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFP Championship Winner. LSU remains a sizable favorite for this game which just does not seem right. Clemson is the defending national champion, winner of 29 consecutive games, and looking for its third national championship in four seasons. Clemson has been an underdog in each of its previous three trips to the title game under head coach Dabo Swinney and has won outright or covered the spread in each instance. The Tigers are led by Trevor Lawrence who has been overshadowed by his opponent Joe Burrow. After being intercepted eight times in his first seven games, Lawrence has attempted a school-record 202 consecutive passes without an interception in seven games since. He has 22 touchdowns during that span. On the other side, Clemson allows the fewest points of any team in the country (11.5 ppg) and the second-fewest yards (264.1 ypg). Brent Venables may have turned in the top coaching performance of his career this season, taking a defense that lost seven starters, including its entire defensive front, and molding a youthful group into the top scoring defense in the country. Clemson is 7-0 ATS against teams averaging 31 or more ppg this season while LSU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season. This situation is 38-15 ATS (71.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (283) Clemson Tigers |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Packers | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. We were hoping to get some earlier injury news and while there is positive news, it is not official. Seattle left tackle Duane Brown, who has missed the past three games with a knee injury, is hoping to get back. Brown was able to practice on a limited basis on Friday, his first practice action since having surgery and will be a game-day decision, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll said. The offensive line is the weakness for the Seahawks so this could be a big upgrade. Green Bay is very overrated. The Packers did have a pair of solid wins over Minnesota but they were outgained in one of those and the Vikings were not healthy in the second one and the win over Kansas City was against Matt Moore and not Patrick Mahomes. This is the smallest of the spreads in the Divisional round yet it is arguably too high. This is a spot Russell Wilson has excelled in as he is 10-4 ATS as an underdog of three or more points, while going 6-2 ATS when the line is four or more points. The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-8 ATS (76.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (307) Seattle Seahawks |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens -9.5 | 28-12 | Loss | -109 | 74 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Punisher. As much as we do not like laying doubles in the postseason, this looks to be a mismatch all down the line. First off, of all the teams in the AFC playoffs, the Ravens drew the one team they have not yet faced this season as their divisional game opponent and that is a big edge for the Ravens never having a team face this offense. Baltimore has shown it can score in bunches and Tennessee ranked 31st in the NFL this year in the redzone, allowing touchdowns on 68.1 percent of opponents trips inside the 20-yard line. Rust will be a talking point considering key players have not suited up since Dec. 22 but for a team that has played at a high level for three months, rust is not an issue. Baltimore is the most healthy team in the postseason as Mark Ingram is the lone player on the 53-man roster that is dealing with any sort of injury. Tennessee relies heavily on its running game, led by the leading NFL rusher Derrick Henry but it will be facing the No. 5 ranked run defense, as the Ravens are allowing just 93.4 ypg. That could lead to Ryan Tannehill needing to take over and while he has been the top rated quarterback in the NFL since taking over, the Ravens have an outstanding secondary. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off two consecutive road wins, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (304) Baltimore Ravens |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. 49ers | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -105 | 70 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The Vikings showed they can go on the road and win a big game and if there was any pressure on Kirk Cousins, he did not show it and any hint of that theory is long gone. While the 49ers defense is thought to be the better defense when compared to the Saints, they are actually in a worse position based on this matchup and the strengths of the Vikings offense. Minnesota has a healthy Dalvin Cook, Adam Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs for the first time in a long time and that is a dangerous trio. On the other side, the main focus for the 49ers against the Vikings should be protecting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo against one of the best front sevens in the NFL. Coming into last week, Saints starting offensive tackles Terron Armstead and Ryan Ramczyk had not given up a sack all season but they gave up three Sunday. Quarterbacks making their first playoff start are 16-34 straight up and 15-34-1 ATS since 2002 and while that 30.6 percent record may seem skewed based on the fact that first-time starters are more likely to be on the road, home favorites in this scenario are just 5-16 ATS (23.8 percent). Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Minnesota Vikings |
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01-06-20 | Miami-OH +14 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB Monday Lending Tree Bowl Winner. The RedHawks are not getting any respect here with this being tied for the third biggest spread of all the bowl games. Miami finds itself as an underdog tonight against Louisiana, but that is nothing unusual for the RedHawks, who in their 12 previous games against FBS opponents were underdogs in all but two of those games despite their 8-5 record and 6-2 mark in MAC games. While the RedHawks may not score a lot of points, most of the season they have made the points they score in games count. Entering tonight, Miami holds a 5-0 record this season in games decided by one score. They have made a season, and won a Mid-American Conference championship, out of winning close games. Louisiana is coming off a loss to Appalachian St. in the Sun Belt Conference Championship. The Cajuns possess a very potent offense so Miami will be tested but has proved to be able to slow teams down. Through 13 games in 2019, Louisiana ranks eighth in country and leads the conference in total offense per game (501.3) and 10th in the nation in scoring offense (38.8). After raising the New Orleans Bowl trophy four straight seasons under coach Mark Hudspeth, the Cajuns have lost their past two bowl games and have not won a bowl game outside of Alabama since 1944. 10* (279) Miami Ohio RedHawks |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks -1 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle was inches away from winning the NFC West but lost in the final seconds to the 49ers and were handed the No. 5 seed. While the Seahawks have to travel, that is not a bad thing for this team as they finished 7-1 on the road and get to face a banged up Eagles team that is lucky to be here. Seattle is banged up in its own right but is not as depleted as the Eagles are. Russell Wilson is healthy, and he threw for 4,110 yards and 31 touchdowns this season with just five interceptions. he finished sixth in the NFL in passing yards despite attempting just 516 passes, which ranked 12th. Travel is certainly no issue for him. Since the beginning of the 2018 season, Wilson is 7-0 in the Eastern time zone, with a 72.2 completion percentage, a 15-1 intercept touchdown ratio and a 128.0 pin rating. Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer said more of the playbook should be available to Marshawn Lynch on Sunday now that he has another week of work under his belt. Carson Wentz guided the Eagles to four straight wins to close out the season, albeit all against the moribund NFC East. Now facing a team with a pulse, Philadelphia will have its hands full despite playing at home. He has limited targets at receiver and tight end Zach Ertz is still listed as questionable. Making matters worse, starting right tackle Lane Johnson will not play. Here, we play on road favorites averaging 335 or more total ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 44-20 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Seattle Seahawks |
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01-04-20 | Bills +3 v. Texans | Top | 19-22 | Push | 0 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The first Wild Card game of the playoffs takes place in Houston as the Bills hit the road in the postseason for the second time in three years. Buffalo leaned on their defense to reach 10 wins this season. The Bills defense finished second in points allowed (16.2), fourth in passing yards allowed (195.2), 10th in rushing yards allowed (103.1) and third in total yards allowed (298.2) this season. They were one of only three teams that held opposing quarterbacks to under an 80.0 QB rating (To put that in perspective opposing quarterbacks had a 95.3 rating against the Texans this year). The Texans are an offense-first squad which explodes at unpredictable times. It did not happen enough in the second half of the season, and it usually happens when Will Fuller is on the field but he has been downgraded to doubtful. Houston averages over 25 ppg when Fuller plays and less than 20 when he is missing so he is a big factor in this offense. J.J. Watt will be back on Saturday but the Texans defense has major issues lately even though Watt will be back. Look for Buffalo to try and pound the ball as Devin Singletary had 775 yards, two touchdowns, on 151 carries, which is an average of 5.1 ypc, fifth-best in the NFL. Get the running game going and Josh Allen should be able to take some shots against this Texans secondary. Here, we play against home favorites that are averaging 4.5 ypc going up against teams allowing between 3.5 and 4.5ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 54-20 ATS (73 percent) since 1983. 10* (141) Buffalo Bills |