Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-09-19 | Baylor -2.5 v. TCU | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. This is obviously a big game for Baylor to remain undefeated and it knows it cannot slip up before playing host to Oklahoma next week. The Bears are 8-0 and entered the CFP Rankings at No. 12 so they have to run the table and get some help. They have outgained every opponent and by an average of nearly 140 ypg. TCU is one of many teams dealing with a stream of QB injury issues. The question is how effective Max Duggan will be throwing the ball. The Frogs cannot afford balls floating out of his hand and turning into possible interceptions for the Bears. But Duggan is the guy for now and TCU will have to take its chance. Walk-on Matthew Downing is the backup. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game going up against an opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (161) Baylor Bears |
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11-08-19 | Washington v. Oregon State +10.5 | Top | 19-7 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. After getting annihilated by Utah, Oregon St. has reeled off two straight wins to move to .500 on the season with a very good possibility to become bowl eligible for the first time since 2013. This team can score in multiple ways and in a hurry which is what you want playing underdogs. Their two talented running backs have them 2nd in the conference in ypc, and while they are only 8th in ypa, Jake Luton has led them to a 21/2 TD/INT ratio. Meanwhile, Washington has lost two straight games, a pair of heartbreaking home underdog defeats and this team has to be shot at this point. The Huskies blew a 14-point lead against Oregon to lose by four points and then last week, they blew a 14-3 lead against Utah and lost by five points. Two great situations are in play here. First, we play against road teams that are outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 84-43 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Second, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points averaging between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl going up against teams allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 44-14 ATS (75.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (116) Oregon St. Beavers |
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11-07-19 | Chargers v. Raiders +1.5 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Raiders are only half a game ahead of the Chargers, but they have shown all season that they are a better team. The Raiders schedule was incredibly tough in the first half of the season as they have played the second toughest slate behind Tampa Bay. They are 0-4 against the top 10 but 4-0 against everyone else. One big factor here will be the rushing game. For Oakland, Josh Jacobs has been great all season and is coming off an awesome game against the Lions where he rushed for 120 yards and scored two touchdowns. He goes up against a Chargers run defense that allows 114.1 ypg on 4.2 ypc. On the other side, the Chargers averaging just 79.4 rushing ypg on 3.6 ypc, both of which are fifth worst in the NFL. Meanwhile, Oakland is allowing only 92.5 ypg on 3.7ypc, seventh and fifth respectively in the league. The Raiders have plenty of revenge to play for as they have been swept by the Chargers in each of the last two seasons. The Chargers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Raiders have covered six of their last seven home games. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (108) Oakland Raiders |
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11-07-19 | Temple v. South Florida +1.5 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. With wins in the three of their last four, including a 27-23 win against BYU in their last home game, the Bulls have righted the ship. Going back further, since losing by a combined 63-10 margin in their first two games, the Bulls have won four of six with both losses coming to currently ranked teams. They are 4-4 and this is a massive game as they need two wins to become bowl eligible and their final three games are against Cincinnati, Memphis and UCF which are a combined 22-4. South Florida is a run heavy offense led by Senior Jordan Cronkrite leads the team with 587 yards rushing on 5.4 ypc. Temple is a good pass-rushing team but that will be limited against the Bulls in this matchup. The Owls allow 167.5 ypg on the ground which is just 75th in the country. Statistically, South Florida is a middle-of-the-pack defensive team in the AAC, but the Bulls have forced 20 turnovers through eight games which is second most in the country. While the contest will be played under the lights, the game-time temperature is still expected to be in the low-to-mid 80s with high humidity. Those conditions favor the Bulls as Temple is not used to it and will wear down late in the game. The Owls are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games while the Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (112) South Florida Bulls |
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11-06-19 | Miami-OH +7.5 v. Ohio | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Both Miami and Ohio come in riding two-game winning streaks and both are tied for first place in the MAC East with 3-1 records. The Redhawks lone loss in the conference came at Western Michigan despite outgaining the Broncos by 55 total yards. A look at the stats overall shows Miami in a hole but it took on a challenging nonconference slate, losing games at Iowa, Cincinnati, and Ohio St. so the numbers are skewed. The RedHawks defense ranks 5th in the MAC giving up just 395.3 ypg on average, a number which drops down dramatically to 349.0 ypg if only MAC games are figured in. Ohio is just 2-2 at home yet is favored by what a dominant home team should be favored by. The Ohio defense ranks 10th in the MAC giving up 446.4 ypg. That stat also ranks them towards the bottom of the total defense chart nationally at 111th and this unit is on track to be the worst defense ever in the Frank Solich era. In conference play, the Miami offense has fared better, averaging 364 ypg, including a season-best 467 yards in its last game against Kent St. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, in weeks 10 through 13. This situation is 65-29 ATS (69.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Miami Ohio RedHawks |
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11-05-19 | Kent State +7 v. Toledo | Top | 33-35 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Every game is big at this point in the MAC as 11 of the conference's 12 teams sit between 3-6 and 6-4 overall and 10 teams are within 1.5 games of each other in conference play. Kent St. is 2-2 in MAC play with both defeats (Ohio and Miami) coming by seven points or less. The Golden Flashes are near the bottom of the MAC in scoring offense at 23.9 ppg but if you eliminate a brutal non-conference slate that featured Auburn, Wisconsin, and Arizona St., Kent St. leads the MAC in scoring at 35.5 ppg in conference-only matchups. Toledo quarterback Mitchell Guadagni was downgraded to doubtful last night so Carter Bradley and Eli Peters occupy the top spots on the depth chart this week. That is great news for the Kent St. defense as neither has shown the ability to stretch the field. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams averaging between 330 and 390 ypg, after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (101) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +7 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Night Primetime Punisher. The debut of Daniel Jones was a resounding success in a win over Tampa Bay, the first of two straight victories but the Giants have now lost four straight games. He is coming off a great game last week however against the Lions where he threw for 322 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions and now he heads back home where New York has outgained two of its three opponents. Dallas is coming off a win over the Eagles, which snapped a three-game losing streak, and then had its bye week last week. The Cowboys have owned the Giants in recent seasons, winning five straight, including a 35-17 victory in Dallas in the season opener so that brings the revenge angle into play for tonight. The Giants are 17-3 ATS after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games while the Cowboys are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage of .250 or below after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last three games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 133-77 ATS (63.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) New York Giants |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 52 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. New England is off to an 8-0 start but we are still not completely sold. The Patriots have played the easiest schedule in the NFL as they have played only one team with a winning record and that resulted in a six-point win over Buffalo where they were outgained by 151 total yards. The defense is putting up record numbers but again, we are still not completely sure how good they are. The Patriots have struggled against versatile quarterbacks and Lamar Jackson fits the bill. He has passed for 1,650 yards and rushed for 576 yards and has led Baltimore to a 5-2 record. The Ravens are coming off a bye following a big win in Seattle to increase their winning streak to three games. The extra time off is key here in facing the Patriots and the Ravens have won 10 straight primetime games. Here we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 52-18 ATS (74.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (474) Baltimore Ravens |
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11-03-19 | Bucs +6 v. Seahawks | Top | 34-40 | Push | 0 | 48 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Underdog Game of the Month. The Seahawks have won four of their last five games to improve to 6-2 overall but this team has its flaws. They have been outgained in three of their wins, two of which were against Cincinnati and Atlanta which are a combined 1-15. Seattle lost starting center Justin Britt for the season last week and that is huge for an offensive line that was bad to begin with. The Seahawks are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. The Buccaneers have lost three straight games including a loss against Tennessee last week that was misleading. They outgained the Titans by 143 total yards but lost the turnover battle 4-1. The week before, they lost to Carolina despite outgaining the Panthers by 139 total yards but lost that turnover battle 7-1. Keep the mistakes in check and they will be fine here. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg differential., after allowing three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (467) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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11-03-19 | Titans +3.5 v. Panthers | 20-30 | Loss | -104 | 45 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. We made the mistake of playing on Carolina last weekend. And it got hammered by San Francisco51-13. It was the third straight game the Panthers have been outgained and that is not a good sign for a team now laying over a field goal. Quarterback Kyle Allen was finally exposed as he threw his first three interceptions of the season against the second best defense in the NFL. Now he faces the ninth best defense in the league, an underrated Titans unit that allows just 335.6 ypg and allows the eighth lowest quarterback rating. The Titans are coming off a pair of home wins to improve to 4-4 on the season. Tennessee is 2-2 on the road and going back, the Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against home favorites averaging 4.5 ypc going up against teams allowing between 3.5 and 4.5 ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 51-18 ATS (73.9 percent) since 1983. 9* (455) Tennessee Titans |
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11-02-19 | SMU +6 v. Memphis | 48-54 | Push | 0 | 50 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SMU MUSTANGS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. There are two games featuring a matchup of top 25 teams and early in the season, not many would have predicted this would be one of those. SMU is off to an 8-0 start and that perfect record was put in jeopardy last week against Houston as it escaped with a three-point win despite getting outgained by 125 total yards. The Mustangs are extremely balanced as they are throwing for just over 300 ypg while averaging 202.8 ypg on the ground. Memphis was almost upset last week as well as it escaped Tulsa thanks to a missed field by the Golden Hurricane. The Tigers' defense was gashed for 584 yards and was on the field for a whopping 101 plays, but Memphis managed to stagger off with the win. Memphis is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 games as a home favorite of seven points or less while the Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on road underdogs averaging between 190 and 230 ypg rushing going up against teams averaging between 140 and 190 ypg rushing. This situation is 131-73 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (359) SMU Mustangs |
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11-02-19 | UAB +12.5 v. Tennessee | 7-30 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. UAB is off to a 6-1 start with the lone loss coming against Western Kentucky by a touchdown. The record is no fluke as the Blazers have outgained every opponent they have faced and while the schedule has been soft, doing that is still impressive on a weekly basis. They are buoyed by a strong defense that is allowing just 248.6 ypg which is good for fifth best in the country. Tennessee picked up a big win last week against South Carolina to move to 3-5 on the season so every game is big at this point. This is the first time the Volunteers have been favored against an FBS team since Sept. 7 and the number is on the rise. An SEC team is clearly more athletic from top to bottom but UAB is undervalued yet again. Tennessee is 4-21 ATS in its last 25 home games against teams allowing 285 or fewer ypg. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after having won two out of their last three games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 34-8 ATS (81 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (367) UAB Blazers |
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11-02-19 | Mississippi State -7.5 v. Arkansas | 54-24 | Win | 100 | 47 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Arkansas is the second worst team among Power Five teams, ahead of only Rutgers this is a bad situation right now on Fayetteville. The Razorbacks are 2-6 on the season with one win coming against Portland St. by only seven points and the other coming against Colorado St. thanks to a 21-0 advantage in the fourth quarter. Overall, they have lost five straight games so they have to win out to become bowl eligible and with a game at LSU on the horizon, that is not happening. Mississippi St. is not playing any better with losses in four straight games and with the exception of a loss at Tennessee, the defeats were against top caliber teams. Mississippi St. is 0-4 against top 30 teams but 3-1 against every other team so that basically tells the story. Additionally, three of those losses were on the road so the schedule has been brutal. Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. This situation is 36-10 ATS (78.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (379) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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11-02-19 | Utah v. Washington +3.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -114 | 47 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Utah will be a very popular pick here by laying a short number as a top ten team. The Utes have won and covered four straight games thanks to a defense that has allowed an average of 5.8 ppg over that stretch. Those four straight covers is a reason for the public backing but this is the ideal situation to go against that. The Utes are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. It has not been an ideal season for the Huskies but we feel they break out here coming off a loss followed by a bye. Chris Peterson is 18-0 in his last 18 games coming off a bye. Per the Bear from ESPN, since October 2016, there have been eight top-10 teams that were less than a 5-point favorite on the road against an unranked team. Those eight teams went 1-7 straight up. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 28-9 ATS (75.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (392) Washington Huskies |
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11-02-19 | Army +16 v. Air Force | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Game of the Month. Army has lost four straight games to fall to 3-5 on the season and the last three losses were as favorites. The Black Knights have dropped five straight games against the number and that puts them in a positive spot here as the line is inflated because of that. All five losses have come by single digits so the record could be a lot better than what it is and there will be plenty of motivation to take the first step toward the Commander-In-Chief Trophy. Air Force has won three straight games, all by double digits as a small favorite. Now the Falcons are laying over two touchdowns for the second time this season after failing to cover the first time as 19.5-point favorites against San Jose St. The Falcons are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games as double-digit favorites. Meanwhile, Army is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game. Here, we play on teams after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (363) Army Black Knights |
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10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals +10.5 | Top | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. San Francisco has been favored by six or more points this season and has failed to cover both times. The latest came in Washington and while the weather played a big role in that game, the 49ers were favored by 10 points and now they are favored by that same amount. Against a team that is much better and playing much better of late sans last week against New Orleans. Taking nothing away from the 7-0 start but San Francisco has played the fifth easiest schedule in the NFL so that has skewed some of its outstanding defensive numbers. That goes along the same line as some of the quarterbacks they have faced. While Kyler Murray is having an average season, he has improved immensely over his last four games compared to his first four games. The 49ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while the Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 27 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (302) Arizona Cardinals |
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10-27-19 | Panthers +6 v. 49ers | Top | 13-51 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Another surprise in the first half of the season in San Francisco which is one of just two undefeated teams in the league. The 49ers are coming off a 9-0 win at Washington where the weather played a role in the outcome of that although it likely would have resulted in a bigger win had the weather been good. A win over the Rams was nice but the other five wins came against teams a combined 7-19 and overall, the schedule is ranked No 27 in the league. The defense has allowed only 10 points over the last three games but should get tested here. Carolina is ranked No. 5 in scoring offense in the NFL and has won four straight games, averaging 31.3 ppg over that stretch. The Panthers have not been as good defensively as in years past but it is still a strong unit. When above .500, Carolina 7-1 ATS coming off a bye and coming off back-to-back wins. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 370 or more ypg going up against teams allowing between 335 and 370 ypg. This situation is 64-29 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (269) Carolina Panthers |
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10-27-19 | Chargers +4 v. Bears | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 43 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. It was a crazy ending in Tennessee as the Chargers took the lead only to have review move the all back to the one-yard line. Los Angeles failed to punch it in on two chances, the second resulting in a Melvin Gordon fumble. It was the third straight loss for the Chargers as they fell to 2-5 with all five losses coming by one possession. They have outgained their opponent in three of those losses and almost every game is a must at this point. They are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games after one or more consecutive ATS losses. Chicago is a mess as well as it has dropped two straight games with a bye in-between. The Bears have been outgained in four of their last five games and the defense has taken a hit with the loss of defensive tackle Akiem Hicks. The offense is in worse shape as it is fourth to last in total offense in the NFL. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 off a road loss. This situation is 114-67 ATS (63 percent) since 1983. 9* (255) Los Angeles Chargers |
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10-27-19 | Broncos +6 v. Colts | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 43 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. This can be considered a hold your nose play after the performance Denver gave us last Thursday night. The Broncos had won two straight games prior to that but mustered just 205 total yards and allowed nine sacks, not exactly what you want against a struggling defense. Three of their five losses have by just one possession and they have outgained four of their seven opponents. Denver is outgaining opponents by 17.5 ypg which is pretty good for a team that sits 2-5. The Broncos are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Indianapolis has won two straight games and is in a prime letdown spot here as the wins came in Kansas City and at home against division rival Houston last Sunday. Jacoby Brissett has been great in taking over for Andrew Luck and is coming off his best game of the season where he threw for 326 yards and four touchdowns. But now he faces a Denver defense that is ranked fourth in total defense eighth in scoring defense. The Colts are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing record. 9* (271) Denver Broncos |
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10-27-19 | Eagles +2.5 v. Bills | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 44 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Non-Conference Game of the Year. The surprise of the first half in the NFL has to include Buffalo which is off to a 5-1 start thanks to a strong defensive presence. The Bills are third in the NFL in total defense and scoring defense but have not played any team with a strong offense and that even includes New England which is a middle of the pack offense. This is a tough spot this week coming off a hard fought divisional win and going up a team that is desperate for a win to turn its season around. Buffalo is 14-28 ATS in its last 42 games coming off a home win against a division rival. The Eagles were embarrassed on national TV last Sunday night and nobody wants a part of this team at the betting window right now. Philadelphia has dropped two straight games and sits a game behind Dallas in the NFC East. The season is far from lost and this is their fifth road game of the season including this being their third straight. Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing against a l team with a winning percentage of .750 or better. 10* (261) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-26-19 | Washington State +14.5 v. Oregon | Top | 35-37 | Win | 100 | 53 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. Washington St. bounced back from three straight losses with a resounding win over Colorado last week to improve to 4-3 on the season. The Cougars were likely hungover from that UCLA loss in their games against Utah and Arizona St. but their season will be completely turned around here with a win here which is not as unlikely as it may seem based off this line. Washington St. is 7-0 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70 over the last three seasons. Oregon has won six straight games after suffering a season opening loss against Auburn and has taken control of the Pac 12 North with a two-game lead over Oregon St. This has not been a good matchup for the Ducks as they have lost four straight in this series while going 0-9 ATS in the last nine meetings. Going back, the Ducks are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after gaining 6.0 or more ypc last game. This situation is 92-45 ATS (67.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (153) Washington St. Cougars |
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10-26-19 | Memphis v. Tulsa +11 | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 49 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Tulsa put in a great effort last weekend against Cincinnati as it lost by 11 points but actually outgained the Bearcats by 60 total yards. The Golden Hurricane were done in by five turnovers as it was a rough day for quarterback Zach Smith, who lost three fumbles and threw two interceptions, one in the end zone. The Golden Hurricane are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Memphis bounced back from its first loss of the season with a thumping of Tulane last week. The Tigers are now 6-1 on the season and while they are 2-1 on the road, one win came against a bad South Alabama team and the other came against UL-Monroe in a game where they were outgained by 40 total yards. Tulsa uses a 3-3-5 scheme that has three defensive linemen, three linebackers and five defensive backs and it is a look Memphis has yet to see this season. Additionally, this is a Memphis team that might be looking ahead to SMU next week. Memphis is 15-34 ATS in its last 49 games after scoring 42 points or more last game. 9* (118) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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10-26-19 | Central Florida v. Temple +11 | 63-21 | Loss | -116 | 49 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Following an upset win over Memphis two weeks ago, Temple put up a clunker last week in a 45-21 loss at undefeated SMU last week. We played on the Owls in that Memphis game and now they are getting a touchdown more here against a team that is only slightly better than the Tigers. Temple is a perfect 4-0 at home and the Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Central Florida is just 2-2 over its last four games and it has failed to cover any of those. This is due to the Knights being overvalued still from the previous two seasons especially last year where they covered all but three regular season games. They have yet to defeat a team with a winning record and going back, the Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home underdogs in the second half of the season coming off a double-digit loss while allowing 30 or fewer ppg, a bowl team from last season that won eight or fewer games going up against an opponent of an ATS loss. This situation is 19-2 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1992. 9* (124) Temple Owls |
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10-26-19 | Duke +3.5 v. North Carolina | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DUKE BLUE DEVILS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Duke fell to 4-3 on the season following a blowout loss at Virginia last week and also fell to 2-2 on the road. Whether or not the Blue Devils were looking ahead to their rival this week, they will be out to rebound in a big way. They lost to Pittsburgh at home three games back and bounced back with a big win over Georgia Tech. While Georgia Tech is garbage, the Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. North Carolina is also coming off a loss, a 43-41 six-overtime loss against Virginia Tech and that can really take its toll next time out as teams losing in overtime struggle in their next game. The Tar Heels have now lost four of their last five games after a 2-0 start which came by a combined seven points. Overall, six of their seven games have been decided by six points or less. North Carolina is 12-33 ATS in its last 35 games after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games. Duke has won three straight games in this series Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after having won four or five out of their last six games on the season. This situation is 28-6 ATS (82.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (159) Duke Blue Devils |
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10-26-19 | Oklahoma State +10.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 46 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Oklahoma St. came up small last week as it lost at Baylor which was its second straight setback. Two games back, they were a nine-point favorite on the road at Texas Tech and now they are double-digit road underdogs and there is no chance Iowa St. is nearly 20 points better than Texas Tech. The Cowboys can light it up on offense and they face a Cyclones defense that allows a 66.5 percent completion rate which is No. 118 in the nation. Oklahoma St. is on a 7-3 SU/9-1 ATS run as an underdog with an average cover of 13.4 ppg. Additionally, the Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Iowa St. is riding a three-game winning streak and it has covered all of those games as well. The Cyclones are now 5-2 on the season with the two losses coming by just three points combined. This is no doubt a good football team but they cannot be trusted laying double digits as they are 2-5-1 in their last eight games and also 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a home loss by 14 or more points, playing a winning team. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (169) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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10-25-19 | USC -13 v. Colorado | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Colorado has dropped three straight games after a 3-1 start to the season. The three wins have been suspect as the Buffaloes defeated both Colorado St. and Nebraska despite getting outgained and snuck by Arizona St., hitting a game-winning field goal with two minutes remaining. The offense has stalled under quarterback Steven Montez who through seven games, he's thrown for 1,723 yards with a 63.8 completion percentage and 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He is going through a bad slump with six interceptions and one touchdown in his last two games. Colorado is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after allowing 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. USC snapped a two-game slide with a blowout win over Arizona. The Trojans are now 4-3 and they could be a lot better than that as two of those losses were by a field goal and in the 14-point loss against Washington, they actually outgained the Huskies but three turnovers did them in. USC has not lost to Colorado since the Buffaloes entered the Pac 12, going 8-0 with six of those wins coming by more than what it is favored by here. The Trojans are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams who give up 34 or more. Here, we play on road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 63-24 ATS (72.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) USC Trojans |
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10-20-19 | Saints v. Bears -3.5 | 36-25 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Since Drew Brees went down and Teddy Bridgewater has taken over at quarterback, the Saints are a perfect 4-0. The offense has been hit or miss however as special teams and a defensive touchdown were the difference against Seattle where they were outgained by 249 total yards. They did put up 31 points against a bad Tampa Bay defense but in the other two games, they scored just 12 and 13 points and now face the best defense they have seen. Chicago is coming off its bye week after losing to Oakland in London which snapped a three-game winning streak. This is just their third home game of the season where Chicago is 1-1 on the season but won the yardage battle in both games. The Bears are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against road teams after allowing six points or less last game going up against an opponent after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 47-21 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (472) Chicago Bears |
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10-20-19 | Raiders +5 v. Packers | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Raiders rough travel schedule continues as they hit the highway again against the Packers. This is not overly difficult however as they are coming off their London game followed by a week off and the team actually took the entire week off so they are well rested. At 3-2, Oakland is one of the early season surprises especially coming off that win over Chicago and even with the week off, it brings in some solid momentum on both sides of the ball. Green Bay was fortunate to walk away with a win against Detroit on Monday as it was aided by a couple late flags to improve to 5-1 on the season. Prior to that, the Packers defeated Dallas by 10 points but were outgained by 228 total yards and on the season, they have been outgained in three of their six games. Overall, they are getting outgained on average for the season. Here, we play against favorites after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 50-21 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (459) Oakland Raiders |
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10-20-19 | Vikings v. Lions +2.5 | Top | 42-30 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Game of the Month. Detroit got hosed on Monday night as a couple late penalties cost them a chance at winning at Green Bay and improving to 3-1-1. The Lions could be 5-0 as they had Kansas City on the ropes and let Arizona back late in the game in their opener. Now they are catching points at home because of recency bias. The other part of that is how good Minnesota looked against the Eagles last week but the Vikings outgained Philadelphia by just 47 yards and were fortunate in facing a ravaged Eagles secondary. They been able to take advantage of suspect offensive lines but that will not be the case here as the Lions possess an under the radar solid offensive line. The Vikings are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (458) Detroit Lions |
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10-20-19 | Texans v. Colts | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We lost playing against the Texans last week and this is another situation of recency bias. Houston is coming off a pair of big wins over Atlanta and Kansas City so this line had to be placed where it is knowing the public would be all over the Texans side. While they have been playing well, it was not that long ago that Houston put up 10 and 13 points against Carolina and Jacksonville respectively and that has been forgotten. The Colts are coming off that win over the Chiefs and had a bye last week so they have a solid scheduling edge this week as well. While Jacoby Brissett is no Andrew Luck, he lines up behind arguably the best offensive line in the NFL so the solid Houston pass rush will be limited here. Houston is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games off an upset win as an underdog while the Colts are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (454) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-19-19 | Air Force -2.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 56-26 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. Hawaii got roughed up last week at Boise St. and that was with the Broncos losing their starting quarterback. The Warriors are 3-0 at home but playing against the Warriors in Hawaii has been a mixed bag and while it is widely thought of that they are profitable at home, they are a below average 31-38 ATS since 2012. The Warriors are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. Air Force is coming off a win last week against Fresno St. as the defense came up strong again. The triple option rushing game is averaging 296.5 ypg which is good for second best in the country and Hawaii has not had any extra time to prepare for this unique attack. The Falcons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more rushing ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 to 4.8 ypc), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 80-36 ATS (69 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (423) Air Force Falcons |
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10-19-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | Top | 45-27 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Year. We played against Baylor last week as it failed to cover the number but it still won in overtime to improve to 6-0 on the season. Three of the last four games have been decided by one possession however so the undefeated record is a bit skewed. This will be the biggest test on the road as the first two road wins came against Rice and Kansas St. The Bears are 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Oklahoma St. is coming off a loss at Texas Tech two weeks ago so it has the benefit of facing the Bears coming off their bye week. The offense is again off the charts as the Cowboys are averaging 528.3 ypg which is good for No. 8 in the country. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings in the series including last year so revenge is in play this week. The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning record while going 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (390) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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10-19-19 | Central Michigan -10.5 v. Bowling Green | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Central Michigan is coming off a pair of wins against Eastern Michigan and New Mexico St. by a combined 40 points so it carries a lot of momentum into this Saturday. The Chippewas are 0-3 on the road but two of those losses came against Wisconsin and Miami Fla., the latter coming by just five points. The Chippewas are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Bowling Green is coming off an upset win over Toledo 20-7 as a 26.5-point home underdog. It was the first win for the Falcons against a team with a winning record since the 2015 MAC Championship against Northern Illinois. The Falcons are 4-18 ATS in their last 22 home games. Here, we play on road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 61-24 ATS (71.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (335) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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10-19-19 | NC State -3 v. Boston College | 24-45 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. NC State improved to 4-2 with a win over Syracuse last Thursday and it also snapped a four-game losing streak against the number. The Wolfpack hit the road where they are 0-2, compared to 4-0 at home, but they catch a solid break here against a banged up Boston College team. The Wolfpack are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. On Monday, Boston College announced starting quarterback Anthony Brown had suffered his second season-ending knee injury. In its last game against Louisville, the Eagles allowed a season high 428 yards through the air. On the season, Boston College ranks 117th in the country and next to last in the ACC against the pass. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost two out of their last three games going up against an opponent after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games. This situation is 49-20 (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (341) NC State Wolfpack |
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10-19-19 | Florida -4.5 v. South Carolina | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Florida suffered its first loss of the season as it went toe-to-toe with LSU as the game was tied at 28 late in the third quarter but the Tigers were able to pull away for the 14-point win. Getting up for this game following that defeat is a question by some but the season is far from done. The Gators control their own destiny to win the SEC East so a trip to the SEC Championship is still very much in play and it starts by not losing here. The Gators are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. South Carolina is coming off the biggest upset of the season as it defeated Georgina on the road last week in double-overtime. The fact the Gamecocks pulled out that win is shocking considering they were outgained by 171 total yards. They have been outgained by at least 112 total yards in four of five games against FBS teams. This is a big letdown spot for South Carolina and head coach Will Muschamp is 6-17 ATS in home games in the second half of the season in all games he has coached. 9* (373) Florida Gators |
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10-18-19 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +3.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Syracuse is playing its second straight weeknight game, losing last Thursday at NC State. The Orange could not get out of their own way in the first half with six straight punts to open the game but ended up in NC State territory four of the next five drives but managed only 10 points as a missed field goal and a missed fourth down killed them. Syracuse is back home where it is 2-1, the lone loss coming against Clemson and going back, the Orange are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams averaging 120 or fewer rushing ypg. Pittsburgh has won three straight games after a 1-2 start and the Panthers have been cashing, winning four of their last five against the number. That is a big reason they are favored on the road in this one. Pittsburgh is coming off an impressive win over Duke two weeks ago as a road underdog and now the roles switch despite Syracuse and Duke being fairly even in the power rankings. The Panthers are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense allowing 100 or less rushing ypg, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 55-21 ATS (72.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (312) Syracuse Orange |
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10-17-19 | Chiefs v. Broncos +3.5 | Top | 30-6 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. After opening the season 0-4, the Broncos have won their last two games as the defense has really stepped up, allowing just one touchdown over that span and recording their first shutout since 2017 last week. Part of the reason for this recent success on defense is that the Broncos have five takeaways the last two weeks after having none in their first four games. New head coach Vic Fangio a defensive guy so his system looks to be finally taking hold. Denver has been a bit unlucky along the way as it has outgained four of six opponents and three of the four losses were by one possession including as pair by just two points. Denver is +31.5 ypg in yardage differential while the Chiefs are -15.8 ypg and both have played similar ranked schedules. Kansas City has dropped two straight games as it has on the negative side of time of possession by a combined 77:03-42:57 so the secret could be out. Denver has the ability to smash it and can keep control of the ball. The public is all over Kansas City which comes as no surprise being a high profile team that has dropped two straight games yet the line has come down, going from as much as -5.5 down to -3. Here, we play against road teams off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (304) Denver Broncos |
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10-17-19 | UL-Lafayette -6 v. Arkansas State | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN CAJUNS for our CFB Thursday High Roller. Louisiana is coming off a tough loss against Appalachian St. last week but all is not lost in the conference. The Cajuns are in the West Division where they are 1-1 and trail UL-Monroe by just a half-game so they can control their own destiny for a rematch with the Mountaineers in the Sun Belt Conference Championship. Arkansas St. is 3-3 following a loss against Georgia St. by 14 points that was actually worse than that as the Red Wolves were outgained by 301 total yards. Louisiana has huge advantages on both sides of the ball in this matchup. The Cajuns are outgaining opponents by 147.5 ypg while Arkansas St. is getting outgained by 106.5 ypg. The Red Wolves have an atrocious defense as they are allowing 537.3 ypg which is second to last in all of college football. Louisiana is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite while the Red Wolves are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a scoring defense allowing 35 or more ppg, after two straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (305) Louisiana Ragin Cajuns |
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10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers -3 | Top | 22-23 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. First place is on the line tonight in the best division in football which is the only one in the NFL that boasts four winning teams. Detroit suffered its first loss of the season two weeks ago against Kansas City and that defeat is looking worse now with the Chiefs having lost their last two games, both coming at home. We think the Lions are a little overrated at this point as they are ranked No. 21 in the current power rankings. After sweeping the season series the last two years, Detroit has won four in a row against Green Bay for the first time since the 1982 and 1983 seasons and that certainly has the attention of the Packers. Green Bay is coming off a big win over Dallas last Sunday to remain in first place in the NFC North. The lone loss came here against the Eagles in a game where it actually outgained the Eagles by 155 total yards. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems that are averaging 5.8 or more yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (276) Green Bay Packers |
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10-13-19 | 49ers v. Rams -3 | 20-7 | Loss | -119 | 49 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. This is similar to the Cleveland/Seattle matchup as we have one team with extra rest going up against a team playing on short rest. The difference here is that the team playing on short rest has to travel, albeit not very far and the extended rest team does not have to travel. The Rams are coming off a tough loss against Seattle and they have now lost two straight games. They are a game and a half behind San Francisco so that makes this a huge game for Los Angeles. The Rams are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. The 49ers are coming off a thumping of the Browns on Monday night to improve to 4-0 and while they have been dominating, this is their biggest test on the road against a desperate team. Going back, the 49ers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. 9* (266) Los Angeles Rams |
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10-13-19 | Falcons -1 v. Cardinals | 33-34 | Loss | -128 | 49 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Atlanta got crushed at Houston last week as the defense got gashed for 592 total yards. The public is very low on the Falcons now 1-4 which includes three straight losses so this is a perfect time to buy low. Additionally, last week was the first time Atlanta got outgained so the record can be considered skewed. Atlanta is 9-0 in its last nine road games following a road loss of 21 or more points. The Cardinals picked up their first win of the season last Sunday against Cincinnati, the third to last ranked team in the NFL. It was also just the opposite for Arizona as it was outgained in each of its first four games before last week against the Bengals. The Cardinals are 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road favorites averaging 255 or more passing ypg, after allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa in three straight games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 9* (267) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-13-19 | Texans v. Chiefs -4 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -103 | 46 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our AFC Game of the Year. All week, the media has been crushing Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes following the poor performance against the Colts and when elite teams are coming off games like that, bounce back efforts happen more often than not. The Chiefs were outgained by just seven yards against Indianapolis so there is no reason to take the loss from last week too serious. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Houston put up 53 points last week against Atlanta which was 43 more points than what they put up in their previous game against Carolina. The feedback is the opposite of Kansas City as everyone is gushing about Houston now. The Texans hit the road and going back, they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record. Remember, no team is as good as it looked or as bad as it looked in its previous game. 10* (258) Kansas City Chiefs |
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10-13-19 | Seahawks v. Browns +2.5 | Top | 32-28 | Loss | -115 | 46 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is coming off a big divisional win over the Rams last Thursday and while they have had extra time to prepare, this presents a letdown opportunity. Even more so, west coast teams traveling east for an early game. The Seahawks are 4-1 on the season despite getting outgained in two of their wins including a one-point win over lowly Cincinnati. The Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. Cleveland will be an unpopular play this week based on its awful performance Monday night as well as the fact it will have had for less days than Seattle to get ready. The Browns outgained three of their first four opponents so the game against the 49ers is an aberration and a dropped to touchdown pass by Antonio Calloway, who was rusty following a four-game suspension, impacted the game completely. The Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. 10* (256) Cleveland Browns |
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10-12-19 | Texas Tech +11.5 v. Baylor | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Baylor is a perfect 5-0 and has entered the AP Top 25 for the first time since last 2016. It is surprising considering the Bears were 1-11 just two seasons ago but give head coach Matt Rhule for turning this program around, at least for now as the schedule has been very easy. The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. This is the first time that Texas Tech has ever opened Big 12 play with three consecutive games against Top 25 teams. They were blown out by Oklahoma but rebounded last week by beating Oklahoma St. Red Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs that are averaging 400 or more total yards/game, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 144-87 ATS (62.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (165) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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10-12-19 | Washington State +1 v. Arizona State | 34-38 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Washington St. opened the season 3-0 but then came the debacle against UCLA where it blew a 49-17. The Cougars could not recover from that as they went to Utah and lost 38-13 but they are coming off a bye week which will help their cause here. Head coach Mike Leach is 12-2 ATS in road games off a conference loss by 21 points or more. Arizona St. is also coming off a bye week following an upset win at California. They lost their previous game at home against Colorado and while their marquee win is against Michigan St., they were outgained by 188 yards. The Sun Devils are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams off a loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. This situation is 63-29 ATS (68.5 percent) since 1992. 9* (147) Washington St. Cougars |
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10-12-19 | Northern Illinois +7 v. Ohio | 39-36 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Northern Illinois and Ohio have had great success in the MAC over the years but both teams come into this game with losing records. The Huskies have lost four straight games but three of those were against Utah, Nebraska and Vanderbilt, three Power 5 teams, and in the seven-point loss to Ball St. last week, they actually outgained the Cardinals by 120 total yards. Hitting the road again is not an issue as the Huskies are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games against teams with a losing home record. Ohio had lost three straight games before a fortunate overtime win against Buffalo as the Bulls missed the PAT. The Bobcats have been outgained in all four of these games and by an average of 122 ypg. The only game they won the yardage battle was against Rhode Island of the FCS. Going back, the Bobcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing record. 9* (161) North Illinois Huskies |
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10-12-19 | Cincinnati v. Houston +7.5 | Top | 38-23 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Game of the Year. Since suffering a 42-0 loss against Ohio St., Cincinnati has won three straight games and has climbed into the AP Top 25 for the first time this season. The Bearcats are coming off an upset win over UCF but were outgained by 82 total yards and we are finding out that this Knights team is overrated when being compared from the last two years. The Bearcats are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Houston snapped a two-game losing streak with a 46-25 win over North Texas two weeks ago so it has the advantage here of having an extra week of preparation. The Cougars were outgained as they scored touchdowns on both punt and kickoff returns. The Cougars are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while going 6-0 ATS in their last six games coming off a road win. 10* (172) Houston Cougars |
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10-12-19 | Memphis v. Temple +5.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Memphis heads into Philadelphia with a perfect 5-0 record but it has not been as dominant as the scoreboard has shown. The Tigers are coming off double-digit wins over Navy and UL-Monroe but they were outgained in both of those. Memphis is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games after scoring 50 points or more last game. Temple has won two straight games to improve to 4-1 on the season with the lone loss coming at Buffalo where turnovers were the difference. Temple has outgained all five opponents so it I playing at a very high level. The Owls are 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 51-20 (71.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (128) Temple Owls |
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10-11-19 | Colorado v. Oregon -21 | Top | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. We lost with Oregon last Saturday as it won but failed to cover against California as the Ducks shot themselves in the foot too many times. They turned the ball over in Golden Bears territory in their first three possessions and then missed a field goal late in the second quarter to get shut out in the first half. Give credit to the California defense as it stepped up when needed to keep the game close but Oregon does not have to worry about that on Friday and it is not laying many more points than last week. Colorado is coming off a loss against Arizona as it led for much of the game but gave up the winning touchdown with just over six minutes left. The Buffaloes are 1-2 following a 2-0 start and both of those losses came at home. They did upset Arizona St. in their lone road game on the season but they will be facing a much more difficult task here. Colorado is 4-18 ATS in its last 22 games after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game while Oregon is 19-5 ATS in its last 24 games against teams allowing 275 or more passing ypg. 10* (114) Oregon Ducks |
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10-10-19 | Giants +17.5 v. Patriots | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. This is the ultimate contrarian play as the Giants are now up to a 17-point underdog against New England as they looks to bounce back from a poor effort against the Vikings following a two-game winning streak. Many are pointing to injuries for New York as it will be without Saquon Barkley once again and will also be missing wide receiver Sterling Shephard and tight end Evan Engram. With the struggles of the Giants defense, Tom Brady is going to put up some points and Daniel Jones is going to have to hang with him. This is the fourth time already this season New England has been favored by more than two touchdowns which tells us one of two things. The Patriots are exceptionally good or the schedule has been exceptionally soft. We can all it a mix of both as New England has covered two of the three big spreads but those were against awful teams and taking out the game against the 4-1 Bills which they easily could have lost, the Patriots four other opponents are a combined 1-17. Here, we play against teams averaging 27 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 23-27 ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 10* (103) New York Giants |
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10-10-19 | Syracuse +4.5 v. NC State | Top | 10-16 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. After suffering two straight blowout losses, the Orange have record a pair of blowout wins to get back on track and move back over .500 on the season. Granted, the most recent came against Holy Cross of the FCS to close out September but it was a needed win for momentum and now Syracuse looks to jump out of a 0-2 hole in the ACC. The Orange are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. NC State is coming off a loss at Florida St. and it has not been in good form after opening with a pair of blowout wins against East Carolina and Nicholas St. The Wolfpack were dominated by West Virginia and then were outgained at home against Ball St. despite pulling out the win. The Wolfpack are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we plat against home favorites allowing between 16-21 ppg going up against teams allowing between 21-28 ppg, after scoring 14 points or less last game. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (107) Syracuse Orange |
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10-09-19 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette +1 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAFAYETTE RAGIN CAJUNS for our CFB Wednesday High Roller. This has been one of the crazy line moves of the week as Lafayette opened as a one-point favorite on Sunday night, got bet up to as high as -3 -108 the next day only to go to +1 -106 early Tuesday. It once again shifted at the Cajuns were laying small chalk and again this morning, it shifted the other way in what is a big revenge game on National TV. Wednesday is a rematch of the first-ever Sun Belt championship game, which Appalachian St. won 30-19 at home. The Ragin Cajuns feature a powerful ground-oriented offense that poses plenty of problems for a Mountaineers defense that has allowed an average of 29 ppg. Lafayette leads the Sun Belt, averaging 314 rushing ypg while only surrendering five sacks all season, which also tops in the conference. While this is not considered a rivalry, it does pair the two best teams in the conference from the last few years and the Cajuns have never been on top, losing all six meetings and all coming by at least 10 points. So it comes as no surprise the public is feasting on the road team tonight. Lafayette is 17-3 ATS in its last 20 games after gaining 475 or more total ypg over their last three games. Here, we play against road teams that are outscoring opponents by 7.0 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 80-39 ATS (67.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (102) Lafayette Ragin Cajuns |
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10-07-19 | Browns +5 v. 49ers | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. San Francisco is off to a 3-0 start it is not overly impressive. The 49ers have defeated a poor Tampa Bay team, a winless Cincinnati team and a Pittsburgh team without its starting quarterback. Overall, those teams are a combined 3-12 and the strength of schedule is ranked No. 24. Even coming off a bye week, they are banged up. The 49ers suffered a significant loss in their latest win with a foot injury that will sideline cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon for at least a month. The other major injury the 49ers are dealing with is at left tackle, where veteran Joe Staley will miss at least six weeks with a broken leg. Cleveland is now 2-2 following its big win in Baltimore last Sunday and a win here is necessary to remain in first place in the AFC North which is now just a two-team race with Cincinnati and Pittsburgh out of it. This line opened at -3 and has steadily increased throughout the week so we are getting some great value. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 370 or more ypg on offense going up against a team with a defense allowing between 335 and 370 ypg. This situation is 61-28 ATS (68.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (477) Cleveland Browns |
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10-06-19 | Colts +11.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 59 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Kansas City is rolling along again as it is off to a 4-0 start although it did fail to cover for the first time last Sunday against the Lions. The Chiefs have now scored 25 points in all 23 games he has been under center which is pretty extraordinary when you think about it. The problem is, Kansas City has not had a defense for him. That is the case again this season. Over the last two games, the Chiefs had Baltimore subdued but allowed a couple late scores to make things more interesting and needed a last minute touchdown last week after giving up 30 points to the Lions. Over the last two seasons, the Chiefs have been double-digit favorites only twice, both last year, going 1-1 ATS but those were against Arizona and Oakland, two of the worst teams in the league at the time. Indianapolis is not a bad team and this line is simply too high. In the playoff game last year, the line was -4 so this line is saying Andrew Luck is worth seven points and that is a bit inflated. 10* (475) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-06-19 | Vikings -4.5 v. Giants | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 52 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Daniel Jones has turned some heads by posting a pair of wins for the Giants. He was incredible against Tampa Bay but he put up a 78 passer rating last week against a bad Redskins defense and now he faces the sixth best defense in the league. New York is expected to get Saquon Barkley back earlier than expected but this week will not be that week. Wayne Gallman had a decent game in his place against Washington but that same success will be hard to come by here. The Giants defense played well last week, holding Washington just three points, but again, it was the Redskins which have the fifth lowest offensive output in the league. Minnesota has not done much better on offense but the three bad games came against defenses ranked in the top ten in the NFL. Kirk Cousins has been getting a lot of flack but this is the type of game he can flourish in, similar to his most recent solid outing against the Raiders. Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs can both go off against the Giants suspect secondary. 9* (459) Minnesota Vikings |
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10-06-19 | Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 52 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our AFC North Game of the Year. Why is everybody so high on Baltimore? The Ravens opened the season with a 59-10 win over the Dolphins and we know what they are made of. They then struggled to beat the Cardinals, fell down big against Kansas City before a couple late scores and were blasted by Cleveland. The defense has been awful as they have allowed 500 yards in two straight games for the first time in franchise history and the 40 points allowed last week were the second most under head coach John Harbaugh. Offensively, Lamar Jackson has digressed since the first two games as last week, a 50-yard touchdown in the final minute skewed his numbers. The Steelers picked up their first win of the season over the Bengals as quarterback Mason Rudolph led a very efficient offense. There have been critics about how much he checked down but he got the job done and he will air it out more downfield against a banged up secondary. Pittsburgh has had trouble running the ball but Baltimore cannot stop the run, allowing 4.9 ypc which is fifth worst in the NFL. 10* (452) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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10-05-19 | Washington v. Stanford +16.5 | Top | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 77 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the STANFORD CARDINAL for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Stanford snapped a three-game slide with a win at Oregon St. last week and the Cardinal hope to build off that as they head home. The Cardinal amassed four sacks and pitched a first-half shutout against Oregon St., but the final four drives of the game for the Beavers ended in touchdowns, making what was a comfortable affair in Corvallis a 31-28 nail-biter for the Cardinal. Stanford's defense isn't quite as stingy as it has been in the past. They're currently 92nd in total defense and 127th in third-down percentage defense but that is a big reason they are getting over two touchdowns at home. Additionally, Stanford has played the toughest schedule in the country. Washington took care of USC last week and it has now won three straight games following its lone loss of the season, a one-point setback at home. In their only other road game, the Huskies were favored by 6.5 points at BYU and this line is telling us the Cougars are 10 points better than Stanford? No way. The defense is looking excellent and always, and the offense is doing fine but this is a tough environment in a night games. 10* (352) Stanford Cardinal |
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10-05-19 | California v. Oregon -17.5 | 7-17 | Loss | -112 | 74 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Oregon is 3-1 on the season and very well could be 4-0 had Auburn not come back from a big deficit in the season opener. The Ducks have had an extra week of rest and preparation for Cal thanks to an early bye week. They are led by quarterback Justin Herbert who returned for his senior year rather than turning pro early last offseason. He has already tossed 14 touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Going back to last season, he has 43 touchdowns and eight interceptions. The offense is firing on high cylinders right now but the Oregon's defense also ranks statistically as one of the nation's best after holding each of their last three opponents to six points or less. California is coming off its first loss of the season, a touchdown loss at home against Arizona St. While they did start 4-0, the Golden Bears were outgained by all three of their FBS opponents and now to make matters worse, they are without starting quarterback Chase Garbers and will turn to Devon Modster who was dreadful last week, going 5 of 14 for 23 yards with an interception during the second half. The defense is solid but this will be the toughest test to date. 9* (350) Oregon Ducks |
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10-05-19 | Michigan State +21 v. Ohio State | 10-34 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Ohio St. is off to a 5-0 start including four straight covers and they have not even been close as the Buckeyes have covered all of those by at least 25 points. We are stepping in front of this run this week however as they face their toughest opponent to date although many consider Michigan St. a team on the decline. Quarterback Justin Fields has 16 touchdowns and 1,092 yards through five games so he is the real deal no doubt but this will be a test. The Spartans defense is allowing just 254.4 ypg which is exactly only 30 more ypg than what the Buckeyes give up. Michigan St. gets criticized for its offense but it has been better of late. With wins over Northwestern and Indiana, the Spartans opened conference play 2-0 for the first time in two years, largely due to better execution. Michigan St. gained over 770 yards of offense, while going 4 of 4 in the red zone last Saturday against the Hoosiers. Brian Lewerke is showing he is fully healed from last season's shoulder injury, ranking fourth in the Big Ten with 265.0 passing yards per game and throwing 10 TDs with just one interception. 9* (391) Michigan St. Spartans |
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10-05-19 | Tulsa +13 v. SMU | 37-43 | Win | 100 | 74 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. We played against SMU last week and it took care of South Florida and now the Mustangs head home as one of only three teams without a blemish at the window. They are a perfect 5-0 ATS and the public is loving them once again yet the line is back to where it was after going down a point and a half earlier in the week because of sharp money. This is a fun team to watch with an offense that is averaging 44.4 ppg but it will face a defense that has been stingy at times. The Mustangs are in the AP Top 25 for the first time since 1986 and 5-0 for the first time since 1983. Tulsa is in a great position here for its conference opener as it has had two weeks to prepare for SMU which is a big deal against a high-powered offense. Head coach Philip Montgomery said Tulsa started the week focusing on itself, especially taking advantage of the time to rest and heal minor injuries. Quarterback Zach Smith has shown improvement each game. With the run game halted in its last game against Wyoming, Tulsa had its best day through the air this season as Smith passed for 354 yards and two touchdowns. 9* (353) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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10-05-19 | Illinois +14 v. Minnesota | Top | 17-40 | Loss | -109 | 70 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI for our Big Ten Game of the Year. Minnesota has been getting it done but it has been far from dominant. The Golden Gophers are just two games short of bowl eligibility at 4-0 despite the fact they are 1-2-1 ATS, with their first cover coming last week in a 38-31 win at Purdue. They have won those games by an average of 5.0 ppg, have won all four by seven points or less and now are being asked to lay two touchdowns. Purdue ran it pretty well on Minnesota last week, and the Boilermakers had not previously been able to run it all on anyone and this is good news for Illinois which averages 182 ypg and 4.6 ypc. The Illini are 2-2 and while the wins were against two poor teams, the losses were against decent teams and by a combined seven points. Illinois has scored 30 or more points in each of the first four games this season, and Brandon Peters is the best quarterback Lovie Smith has had in Champaign. The Illini are coming off their bye week and while Smith did not get into too many specifics about what Illinois focused on most during its off week last week, the team earned a few extra practices to gameplan for the Gophers. 10* (357) Illinois Fighting Illini |
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10-05-19 | TCU v. Iowa State -3 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 68 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. TCU bounced back from its first loss of the season against rival SMU with a blowout win over Kansas. The offense has put up a ton of points but it is not because of spectacular quarterback play. Alex Delton and Max Duggan have split time and are completing just 52 percent of their passes combined. The defense is solid as ever but this will be a solid test against a quality quarterback. Iowa St. is coming off a tough 23-21 loss against Baylor as it fell in the final seconds on a Bears made field goal. Now at 2-2, the Cyclones other loss came against rival Iowa by just one point. One can look at their overtime win over Northern Iowa as a bad win but they outgained the Panthers by 201 total yards as a fumble recovery for a touchdown kept the game close for Northern Iowa. Much like TCU, Iowa St. has staked its claim on being a strong defensive team. The Cyclones have not allowed more than 21 points in regulation this year and have yet to give up a fourth quarter touchdown. The Cyclones have only two three-and-outs all season long and their 100 first downs are eighth most in the country among teams that have played only four games. 9* (374) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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10-03-19 | Rams +2 v. Seahawks | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. This line opened at a pickem and has been driven up a couple points as everyone is down on the Rams now after their pathetic defensive performance against the Buccaneers last Sunday. Los Angeles still outgained Tampa Bay by 54 total yards but they were undone by four turnovers that included three interceptions by Jared Goff. The Rams are now 3-1 on the season as they have outgained all four opponents. The Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. A lot of people are sold on Seattle but we are not one of those. The Seahawks beat a bad Cincinnati team by one point, beat a Pittsburgh team that lost Ben Roethlisberger, lost to New Orleans and beat a bad Arizona team. Many will talk about how Seattle has the distinct rushing advantage here but that is not the case based upon the ypc model. Based on ypc averages, the Rams have a better ypc average on offense, allow fewer ypc on defense and have a positive differential between its offense and defense. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Los Angeles Rams |
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10-03-19 | Temple -11.5 v. East Carolina | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -100 | 52 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CFB Thursday High Roller. Temple enters Thursday with a 3-1 record which includes a pair of win over ACC teams in Georgia Tech and Maryland. The Owls have outgained all four opponents thanks to a stingy defense once again as Temple is ranked No. 19 in total defense. The Owls are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game while going 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. East Carolina has won two straight games and it is 3-2 on the season. The problem is two of those wins came against teams from the FCS while the third win came against 1-3 Old Dominion last week by just three points. Do not be fooled by the winning record as the Pirates strength of schedule is No. 150 in the country. East Carolina is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 home games after playing two straight non-conference games while going 0-8 ATS in its last eight games when playing against a team with a winning record. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa in three straight games, with an experienced quarterback returning as starter. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (305) Temple Owls |
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09-30-19 | Bengals +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 3-27 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. A few years ago this would have been a marquee Monday night game but now last place is on the line. Ben Roethlisberger's season-ending right-elbow injury and a defense that's been unable to get critical stops has Pittsburgh facing just its second 0-4 start in 1968. Not much was expected of Cincinnati this season and that has proven to be correct as the Bengals are also 0-3 but they have been more consistent of the two teams. Cincinnati had a chance last week against Buffalo but allowed a late touchdown to remain winless. It also could have won the season opener against Seattle but lost by a point despite outgaining the Seahawks by 197 total yards. The Bengals have lost eight straight and 11 of 12 against the Steelers but of course there is no Roethlisberger this time around. The Bengals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games while the Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams that are getting outrushed by their opponents by 40 or more ypg on the season, after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (277) Cincinnati Bengals |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | Top | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 52 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Dallas looks like one of the top teams in the league right now after starting the season 3-0 straight up and against the number. Digging deeper however shows this might not be the case. The Cowboys are ranked No. 8 in the Sagarin power rankings and this is due to the schedule they have seen as they have played the easiest schedule in the NFL as they have faced teams that are a combined 1-8. Certainly, this is not their fault but because of the record, they are being overvalued and that is the case here being listed as road favorites in one of the toughest environments in the league. New Orleans is 2-1 on the season which includes an impressive win over Seattle last week to conclude a two-game roadtrip. The stats were not pretty but things will get better. The Saints are entering their second full game with quarterback Teddy Bridgewater taking first-team snaps in place of the injured Drew Brees and expect to see progress from a unit that gained 265 yards and accounted for three of the Saints' five touchdowns. In those same Sagarin power rankings, New Orleans is actually one spot higher than Dallas which again proves the wrong team is favored. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 5.7 or more yppl, after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (276) New Orleans Saints |
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09-29-19 | Jaguars v. Broncos -3 | 26-24 | Loss | -107 | 48 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Broncos are off to a surprising 0-3 start following a loss in Green Bay last week. We played on Denver last week but failed to get the cover despite getting outgained by just two yards. The Broncos lost by eight points at Oakland in the season opener but outgained the Raiders and two weeks ago, they lost at home by two points against Chicago yet still outgained the Bears.. another surprise is that the Broncos are still seeking their first sack and first takeaway even though Von Miller and Bradley Chubb have played 96 percent of the snaps. This is just the second home game of the season where the Broncos notoriously have a big advantage. Jacksonville is coming off its first win over the season as it defeated Tennessee at home last Thursday night and while it has the edge because of the scheduling that comes with extra rest, the situation is not good at all. The Jaguars were outgained by 48 yards against the Titans and were outplayed for three quarters after building a 14-0 lead after the first quarter. Denver is in desperation mode right now by having gone 8-23 over its last 31 games which is the worst stretch in half of a century and we feel the home team comes through here at a short price, Jacksonville is 9-24 ATS in its last 33 road games after a win by 10 or more points. 9* (274) Denver Broncos |
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09-29-19 | Chiefs v. Lions +7 | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 44 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. It comes as no surprise that the largest of amount of the money is on the Chiefs this week at 67 percent yet this line has not budged. Bettors will not be stepping in front of this Chiefs train with the exception of us as there is too much value based on what we have seen from each side. Kansas City is coming off a big emotional win over Baltimore last Sunday and with a pair of big home games against Indianapolis and Houston so the Chiefs are in a tricky spot here. Detroit should also be 3-0 but allowed Arizona to come back from an 18-point deficit that resulted in a tie in its season opener. The Lions are coming off a pair of upset wins against the Chargers and Eagles and this makes it three straight games where they are the underdog. The victory over the Chargers snapped a three-game losing streak at home going back to last season and we think the winning culture that Matt Patricia brought over from New England is finally taking over. Kansas City is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games after gaining 450 or more ypg over its last three games and here, we play on home teams coming off an upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of 75 percent or higher. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1983. 9* (262) Detroit Lions |
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09-29-19 | Panthers v. Texans -3.5 | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Game of the Month. The world got a taste of Kyle Allen last week in place of Cam Newton and he was great by going 19-26 for 261 yards and four touchdowns but that came against one of the projected worst defenses in the NFL. Additionally, there was not much tape on Allen so Arizona was prepared for what was coming but Houston has the luxury of a pair of game tapes. The Panthers put up a season-high 38 points last week and that output is keeping this line in check as the Texans are giving just a point and a half more than the Cardinals laid and there is no way those two teams are a difference of a point and a half. The Panthers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Houston is off to a 2-1 start following an upset win at Los Angeles last week over the Chargers. They could and should be 3-0 but allowed the Saints to drive downfield in under a minute to kick the game winning field goal. This is the first of two straight home games and Houston could take early charge in the AFC South with a sweep. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems coming off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 141-87 ATS (61.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (252) Houston Texans |
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09-28-19 | Mississippi State +10.5 v. Auburn | 23-56 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Auburn is off to a 4-0 start but it has been a non-dominating 4-0 as a couple of those games could have gone the other way. The Tigers rely on a stout defense and with the exception of a game against a weak Kent St. team, the offense has not looked very good behind freshman quarterback Bo Nix who is completing just 53.8 percent of his passes while averaging 5.5 ypa in the other three games. Auburn is also a perfect 4-0 ATS but now it is laying its biggest number against a high quality opponent. Mississippi St. is 3-1 and very well could also be 4-0 as in its game against Kansas St., the Bulldogs took a 24-17 lead but allowed the Wildcats to return the ensuing kickoff for a touchdown and then allowed a late touchdown. Quarterback Tommy Stevens remains questionable but he did not play last week and backup Garrett Shrader was great in the win over Kentucky. Shrader had 305 yards of total offense (180 passing, 125 rushing) in his starting debut. Here we play against, home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points committing one or fewer turnovers per game, after three consecutive games where they forced one or fewer turnovers. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1992. 9* (167) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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09-28-19 | New Mexico +7.5 v. Liberty | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 58 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our CFB Revenge Game of the Year. New Mexico is coming off a win over rival New Mexico St. 55-52 in a game that should not have been that close. The Lobos outgained the Aggies by 109 total yards to improve to 2-1 with the lone loss coming at Notre Dame which is no surprise. They now hit the road as significant road underdogs against a team that should not be laying a number this big in just its second year in the FBS. Liberty is 2-2 coming off a pair of home wins against Buffalo and Hampton. The Flames were actually getting six points against the Bulls and Buffalo is a comparable team to New Mexico yet there is over a two-touchdown line differential. Additionally, they only outgained the Bulls by 31 total yards. The revenge factor comes into play, even on the road in this situation, after Liberty won in Albuquerque by nine points despite the Lobos winning the yardage battle. Four interceptions did them in and that was the ultimate difference. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are allowing 6.1 or more yppl, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (181) New Mexico Lobos |
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09-28-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Georgia Southern +3.5 | Top | 37-24 | Loss | -102 | 57 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against Louisiana last week but the rushing game was too much for Ohio as the Bobcats surrendered 285 yards on the ground in a 45-25 loss. The Cajuns hit the road for the second straight week and it happens to be their conference opener and against a team that has proven to be able to stop the run. It also helps that Louisiana has played the No. 92 ranked schedule in the country. Georgia Southern is coming off a bye week which gives it the situational edge here. Prior to that, the Eagles lost a tough one in Minnesota by just three points. They have played the No. 19 ranked schedule in the nation which also includes a game at LSU. Back to the rushing defense, in the two games against Power Five teams, Georgia Southern has allowed a total of 215 rushing yards on 81 carries (2.7 ypc)\. The Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games while going 6-0 ATS after playing a non-conference game. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 230 or more rushing ypg after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in two straight games going up against a team allowing 100 or less rushing ypg. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (140) Georgia Southern Eagles |
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09-28-19 | SMU v. South Florida +8 | 48-21 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. We played against SMU last week and lost despite TCU winning the yardage battle as three fumbles did the Horned Frogs in. That play was made mostly on the matchups and the edges TCU had but this go against is based on the situation. The Mustangs snapped a seven-game losing streak in the battle for the Iron Skillet so this presents a big letdown for SMU let the linesmakers do not think that based on this line. This is rare territory for the Mustangs which are 4-0 for the first time since 1984. Going back, the Mustangs have won just three of their last 16 games when coming off a win as an underdog. Additionally, they are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 games coming off a win by three points or less. South Florida is off to a 1-2 start as it opened the season getting shutout against Wisconsin and then lost a close one at Georgia Tech by four points despite winning the yardage battle against the Yellow Jackets. The Bulls rolled in their last game over South Carolina St. to right the ship heading into their bye week so the extra week of preparation is big here against a quality offense. The Bulls are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 9* (122) South Florida Bulls |
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09-28-19 | Florida Atlantic +1.5 v. Charlotte | 45-27 | Win | 100 | 49 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. After two very tough tests against Ohio St. and UCF, South Florida went on the road and defeated Ball St. before heading home last Saturday to easily take out Wagner. This is a big game for both sides but there will be plenty of extra motivation for the Owls. They hit their season finale last year needing a win to because bowl eligible and were hosting Charlotte as 16.5-point favorites. The result? A 27-24 49ersc victory which kept Florida Atlantic out of the postseason. Charlotte got hammered at Clemson last Saturday which came as no surprise to fall to 2-2 on the season. We played on the 49ers two games back as they won and covered against Massachusetts, arguably the worst team in the country, with the other victory coming against Gardner Webb of the FCS. The offense was trucking along before facing Clemson and while the 49ers are averaging 38.0 ppg, we think that is inflated based on who they faced in the first three games. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 where the line is +3 to -3 after having lost two out of their last three games. This situation is 57-24 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (171) Florida Atlantic Owls |
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09-28-19 | Virginia +12.5 v. Notre Dame | 20-35 | Loss | -103 | 49 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Notre Dame put forth an inspired effort last Saturday in a tough environment in Georgia as it lost by six points and was outgained by only 20 total yards. Seeing the Irish go eye-to-eye with one of the top five teams in the country will make many steer clear of Virginia, especially when they also saw the Cavaliers struggle with Old Dominion. This is a big letdown spot for Notre Dame after the close call last week and while winning is a very good possibility, they are laying a big number to a quality team. Virginia is getting half of the public action yet the line has risen a point and a half since opening. We played against the Cavaliers because of this game and the lookahead factor and it came to fruition as they came very close to losing that game if not for an interception returned for a touchdown and two scores in the fourth quarter. They were also coming off a big win over Florida St. but this week, it is full focus. Here, we play against home favorites off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 60-26 ATS (69.8 percent) since 1992. 9* (173) Virginia Cavaliers |
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09-28-19 | Northern Illinois v. Vanderbilt -6 | 18-24 | Push | 0 | 50 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a play on the VANDERBILT COMMODORES for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Vanderbilt is off to a 0-3 start and has been destroyed on the stat sheet, getting outgained by an average of 177 ypg but the schedule has played a big role in this as the Commodores have played the toughest schedule in the country. Having to face Georgia and LSU out of the SEC in their first three games is completely unfair where a team like Alabama has not had to face quality opponent through four games. The fact that Vanderbilt is 0-3 ATS is keeping this number at a reasonable one and despite 79 percent of action on the home team, the juice has actually come down in most cases with the number standing firm at -6.5 as of Thursday morning. Northern Illinois is off to a 1-2 start as it too has played a tough schedule facing the likes of Utah and Nebraska and getting hammered in both of those games. The Huskies do get the scheduling edge here coming off a bye week but this is the third straight road game leading up to their conference opener next week at home against Ball St. the Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. 9* (162) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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09-27-19 | San Jose State v. Air Force -18 | Top | 24-41 | Loss | -114 | 57 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Friday High Roller. We played on Air Force two weeks ago as it won in Colorado in overtime but it failed to follow up with a win as lost in Boise by 11 points to the Broncos. The Falcons actually outgained Boise St. but a costly interception midway through the fourth quarter set up the Broncos for a short 27-yard touchdown drive. The Falcons are 9-1 ATS in home games under Troy Calhoun in games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. San Jose St. is coming off a massive upset as it defeated Arkansas on the road by a touchdown as a 20-point underdog. The Spartans should not have won that game as they benefited from five turnovers that took a lot of yards and long drives away from the Razorbacks. San Jose St. got thumped by Tulsa by 18 points and it was outgained by 191 yards in its previous game when it was heading to a bye week prior to playing Arkansas. The Spartans are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game while the Falcons are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (110) Air Force Falcons |
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09-26-19 | Eagles +5 v. Packers | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. We love this spot for the Eagles on Thursday night. They have dropped two straight games by a combined seven points including a loss at home against Detroit this past Sunday despite outgaining the Lions by 86 total yards. Dropping to 1-3 will not completely kill their season, but it will not help matters as it is still a sizeable hole to climb out of. Only 27 teams that started the season 1-3 have made the playoffs so it is a challenge. The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning record. Green Bay is off to a perfect 3-0 start and it is being led by the defense that is allowing just 11.7 ppg which is second best in the NFL. The issue is the Packers have been fortunate to keep the points off the board as they are No. 13 in total defense, allowing 328.3 ypg. A big reason for this variance is that Green Bay is +6 in turnover differential and this positive uptake will not last throughout the season. The Packers are getting outgained by 41.7 ypg which is not a good sign but the fact they are 3-0 straight up and ATS is putting the public behind them and in a big way. 10* (101) Philadelphia Eagles |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins +5.5 | Top | 31-15 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. The Bears go into Monday night's matchup with the third-worst offense in the NFL through the first two weeks of the season. Chicago's offense has produced just one touchdown through two games, a one-yard-run by David Montgomery last week, and Mitch Trubisky is a combined 42 of 72 for 348 yards and an interception. They do get to face the third worst defense in the NFL and while some of that can be attributed to bad play, facing the Eagles and Cowboys the first two weeks did not help. On the other side, we know all about the stout Bears defense but the Washington offense has been pretty solid as Case Keenum has done his part, throwing for 601 yards and five touchdown passes with no interceptions. The Redskins have been solid in these spots are they are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games against winning teams when coming off a pair of losses. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a losing home record. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems that allowed 335 or more total ypg, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 34-13 ATS (72.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (490) Washington Redskins |
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09-22-19 | Bengals +6 v. Bills | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 44 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Bills are off to a 2-0 start for the first time since 2014 but we have to pump the breaks here. The wins came against the Giants and Jets, arguably two of the worst rosters in the NFL and they caught a break with the travel of the two road games. Both were played at MetLife Stadium so they actually stayed in town between games and did not even have to move hotels so those were two very unique back-to-back road games. The Bengals are 0-2 after getting pounded by San Francisco last week. They did play very well in their opener as they lost in Seattle by just a point and outgained the Seahawks by 197 yards. This is another overinflated line based on records that are not really indicative of the teams as coming into the season, Buffalo was a three-point favorite in this game. Here we play against home favorites that had a losing record last season, in conference games. This situation is 149-91 ATS (62.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (467) Cincinnati Bengals |
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09-22-19 | Jets +23 v. Patriots | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 44 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Plug your nose for this one. New England is once again the best team in the NFL as it is off to a 2-0 start by a combined score of 76-3. Not many will want to step in front of this team but laying over three touchdowns in the NFL is pretty much unheard of. Since 2003, there have been five favorites of 20 or more points and those teams went 0-5 ATS and coincidentally, New England was involved in four of those. The Jets are 0-2 which includes a loss last Monday against the Browns as Sam Darnold was ruled out during the week with mono and then having Trevor Siemian get injured early in the game. Luke Falk played really well going 20-25 for 198 yards and that was with never practicing with the starters. Here, we play against teams after two straight wins by 21 or more points against opponent after scoring three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1983. Also, we play on divisional road underdogs heading into their bye week. This situation is 44-19-1 ATS (69.8 percent) since 2002. 9* (473) New York Jets |
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09-22-19 | Broncos +7.5 v. Packers | Top | 16-27 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Game of the Week. Denver is 0-2 for the first time since 1999 but it has played better than that 0-2 record indicates. The Broncos lost by eight points at Oakland in the season opener but outgained the Raiders and last week, they lost at home by two points against Chicago yet still outgained the Bears. Joe Flacco has been criticized but he has been very good with 280 ypg while tossing two touchdowns and just one pick. Green Bay is off to the opposite start with a 2-0 record but it has also been opposite in the stats. The Packers were outgained by both Chicago and Minnesota and coming of a pair of divisional wins, they are in for a letdown as well as a lookahead to the Eagles on a short week as they face Philadelphia next Thursday night. The line is way too big as records alone cannot dictate a line. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in the first month of the season. This situation is 78-37 ATS (67.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (461) Denver Broncos |
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09-22-19 | Ravens v. Chiefs -5.5 | Top | 28-33 | Loss | -100 | 44 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The Chiefs head back to Kansas City for their home opener after posting a pair of double-digit wins on the road. Playing Jacksonville and Oakland helps but those are not horrible teams. Patrick Mahomes has been sensational with 821 passing yards, seven touchdowns and no interceptions. They have looked very impressive as expected and this has been a very odd line move as the number has come down from initial opening. The Chiefs are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win. The line movement is due to the start of the Baltimore Ravens which are also off to a 2-0 start. Their level of opposition has been much worse though that has definitely played into the record. Lamar Jackson has been a pleasant early surprise but the jury is still out as facing the Dolphins, with the worse roster in the league, and the Cardinals, with the worst passing defense in the league last season, has played a role. Here we play on home favorites off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, team that had a winning record last season. This situation is 37-12 (75.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (466) Kansas City Chiefs |
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09-21-19 | Old Dominion +29 v. Virginia | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 53 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OLD DOMINION MONARCHS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. We often see fans storm the court in college basketball following a big win but we do not see if as much in college football however we saw it this past week in Charlottesville. The Cavaliers defeated Florida St. and a big celebration ensued but the Seminoles are not a good team so it was a big overreaction considering Virginia won by seven as a seven-point favorite. The Cavaliers are 3-0 and are favored by close to as many points as they were favored against William & Mary. Old Dominion is coming off a bye week following a solid performance against Virginia Tech where it was a one possession game in the fourth quarter. The Monarchs were outgained by just 78 yards. The Monarchs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning record. With Virginia travelling to Notre Dame next week, this is a brutal sandwich spot. 9* (329) Old Dominion Monarchs |
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09-21-19 | Temple v. Buffalo +14 | 22-38 | Win | 100 | 50 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BULLS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. We won with Temple last week as it upset Maryland as a home underdog and it heads into this week as a double-digit road favorite. We liked the Owls situation last week as they were coming off a bye and facing an overrated team but the situation is not nearly as good as it hits the road for the first time this season and then faces Georgia Tech next week. The Owls are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against the MAC. Buffalo is coming off a pair of losses on the road which came after a season opening home win over Robert Morris. The road losses were not nearly as bad as the scores indicate as the Bulls actually outgained Penn St. by 72 yards and they were outgained by Liberty by just 31 yards. Expectations are down on the Bulls mainly because of the loss of quarterback Tyree Jackson but this team has the 25th most experienced offensive line in the country. The Bulls are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. 9* (326) Buffalo Bulls |
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09-21-19 | Washington -6 v. BYU | 45-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Washington bounced back from a loss to California by a point with a blowout win over Hawaii last week. The Huskies hit the road for the first time this season and while that can be a tricky endeavor when laying points but they go to Provo in a good situational spot. The Huskies are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. BYU has won two straight games, both in overtime by three points as an underdog. The Cougars were catching 4.5 points at home against USC last week and are getting just two points more this week and Washington is more than two points better than the Trojans. Despite a 2-1 record, BYU has been outgained in all three games and going back, it is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 home games against teams averaging 450 or more ypg. 9* (349) Washington Huskies |
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09-21-19 | SMU v. TCU -9.5 | 41-38 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TCU HORNED FROGS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. SMU comes in with a 3-0 record and has dominated the opposition so getting this many points seems surprising but it is this big for a reason. The Mustangs have piled up the points this season but those games were against teams with porous defense and they take a big step up in class on Saturday. SMU has not defeated a ranked opponent since 1986 and the Mustangs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. TCU is off to a 2-0 start as it followed up a bye week with an impressive blowout win over Purdue on the road as a short chalk. The Horned Frogs held the highly-productive Purdue offense to just 256 total yards and 13 points. TCU heads back home where it has dominated this series with seven straight wins, the last six coming by at least 19 points. The Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. 9* (380) TCU Horned Frogs |
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09-21-19 | Wyoming v. Tulsa -3 | Top | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 50 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Game of the Month. While this is a play on Tulsa, it is also a play against Wyoming. The Cowboys are arguably the worst 3-0 team in the country as their three wins have come by a combined 20 points and those wins were against Missouri, Texas St. and Idaho. Making matters worse, they were outgained in all three games two of which were by 148 and 151 yards. Tulsa is 1-2 but its losses came against Michigan St. and Oklahoma St. The loss to the Cowboys last week came by 19 points but the game was a lot closer than that as the Golden Hurricane actually led at halftime but were done in by a 90-yard touchdown pass. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss while the Golden Hurricane are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (370) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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09-21-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Ohio -3 | 45-25 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Ohio has dropped its last two games but both were legit as the first came against Pittsburgh by just 10 points and the second last week against Marshall by just two points, both of which were on the road. The Bobcats head back home where they have won 10 straight games going back to the 2017 season. Going back further, they are 14-1 in their last 15 home games with the lone loss coming by just three points. The Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Lafayette is coming off a 77-6 blowout win over Texas Southern where they outgained the Tigers by 512 yards which came on the heels of a 35-14 win over Liberty. Sitting at 2-1 overall, the Cajuns hit the road for the first time this season and going back, they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 9* (322) Ohio Bobcats |
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09-21-19 | Western Michigan v. Syracuse -4.5 | Top | 33-52 | Win | 100 | 46 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Coming off a pair of big losses, expect Syracuse to come out with fire Saturday and the fact it is an early kickoff, it helps the Orange as taking the field as early as possible benefits them emotionally. The loss to Maryland was a surprise, more so by the final score while the loss to Clemson was expected and now is the time to rise to the challenge. The Orange are 16-3-1 ATS in their last 20 games against the MAC. Western Michigan is off to a 2-1 start but the two wins came against Monmouth and Georgia St.. The only real team they faced was Michigan St. who has shown to be offensively challenged but put up 51 points on the Broncos. The Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. 10* (340) Syracuse Orange |
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09-19-19 | Titans -1 v. Jaguars | Top | 7-20 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. We would normally take a look at the home underdog in a primetime game but not in this case as the Jaguars are a mess right now. They are down to their second string quarterback and last week, Jalen Ramsey got into a sideline fight with Doug Marrone and has now demanded a trade. From a matchup standpoint, the defenses should decide this game. Jacksonville is allowing 119.5 rushing ypg through two weeks, and with the Titans being a team that relies heavily on their running game, that is good news for Tennessee. On the other side, the Titans ranked eighth in the league in defense last year, and through two games in 2019, they have allowed just 32 points, and they have played some potent offenses. Offensively, look for Marcus Mariota to target tight end Delanie Walker and wide receiver Adam Humphries more than last week, especially on third down. Here, we play on road teams against division opponents, first month of the season, non-playoff team from last season who won four or more of their last five games. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Tennessee Titans |
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09-19-19 | Houston v. Tulane -4.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 31 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. We won with Houston last week as it covered against Washington St. but the Cougars are in a brutal spot here. They go from playing against a prolific passing team to facing a spread option team so getting ready for this game is a challenge, especially on a short week. Tulane is 2-1 with the lone loss coming against Auburn which was a one possession game late in the third quarter. Since making a quarterback change last season, the Green Wave are 7-2 with Justin McMillan under center. they are coming off a big win over Missouri St. and going back, Tulane is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games following a win by 28 or more points. This is the third time in four games that Houston has played on a non-Saturday and that really messes up the preparation schedule. Here, we play on teams after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in their previous game, with eight defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (304) Tulane Green Wave |
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09-15-19 | Bears -2.5 v. Broncos | 16-14 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Road Warrior. The Bears hit the road following their disappointing home loss to the Packers last Thursday night. The offense looked pretty bad, especially the rushing game where they managed only 46 yards on 15 carries (3.1 ypc) but Chicago faced a vastly improved Packers defense. The rest advantage is a huge edge going from a Thursday game and facing a team coming off a late Monday night game. The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Denver did not look good either as it lost in Oakland with the secondary getting lit up by Derek Carr. Joe Flacco did have a good debut for the Broncos but he faces a defense that is on a different level. The Broncos are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams that allowed 7.0 or more passing ypa last season, in non-conference games. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (285) Chicago Bears |
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09-15-19 | Saints v. Rams -1 | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 74 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This is the rematch of that controversial NFC Championship Game and while the word revenge will be tossed around leading up to the game, we are not a fan of road revenge in this spot. The Rams are coming off a win in Carolina last Sunday by three points and while the offense did not look very good, we can expect a bounce back this week against a Saints defense that allowed 414 total yards against the Texans. New Orleans defeated Houston on Monday Night Football but we still cashed on the Texans and the Saints are now on a 1-10 ATS run in the first two weeks of the season the last six years. The Saints now hit the road for the first time where they were excellent last season but going back, they have failed to cover four straight games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home favorites that outscored opponents by 4.0 or more ppg last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (284) Los Angeles Rams |
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09-15-19 | Cowboys v. Redskins +6 | 31-21 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Dallas looked great last week, falling behind 7-0 only to outscore the Giants 35-3 before allowing a late touchdown. The Cowboys were actually -2 in first downs and outgained New York by just 24 total years to it was a skewed final score. Taking a look at this line shows that Dallas would be an 11.5-point favorite at home and it was favored by 7.5-points over the Giants last week and the Redskins are four points worse than the Giants. Washington blew a 17-0 lead against Philadelphia and got a fortunate backdoor cover with a touchdown with just a few seconds remaining. Despite nearly 90 percent of bets laying the points with Dallas, we have seen a steady flow of sharp Redskins money hit the market, causing big reverse line movement that dropped the line down to 4.5 early in the week. Washington falls into a simple yet very effective situation as we play against road favorites off a home win, in September games. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (272) Washington Redskins |
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09-15-19 | Seahawks v. Steelers -3.5 | Top | 28-26 | Loss | -111 | 70 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Game of the Week. Pittsburgh got hammered in New England last week by 30 points as the offense managed a mere field goal on 15 first downs. Playing that New England defense can do that to a team and we expect the Steelers to come out with a lot more fire than they showed last week. Returning home certainly helps where the Steelers are 23-9 over the last four seasons. Seattle is coming off a one-point win over Cincinnati at home and it did not look good in doing so. The Seahawks were outgained by 196 total yards and Ben Roethlisberger is licking his chops after Andy Dalton threw for a career high 418 yards. The public is down on the Steelers and is rushing to grab the points with Seattle as fast as they can. However, we have actually seen the line move to -4 in some places even though 75 percent of the bets are backing Seattle. Here, we play on teams that lost their opening game on the road and are back home in Week Two. This situation is 41-25-1 ATS (62.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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09-14-19 | Texas Tech -2 v. Arizona | 14-28 | Loss | -105 | 59 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. This is a bad matchup for Arizona, similar to the one we exploited when the Wildcats faced Hawaii and were gashed for 595 total yards by the Warriors. Arizona possesses the worst secondary in the Pac 12 and that was evidenced even last week against Northern Arizona where it allowed 373 yards passing to the Lumberjacks. They were 5-7 last season and there is not expected to be much improvement this season. Texas Tech possesses an even more explosive offense than what Arizona has seen as it has put up 1,104 yards through its first two games, albeit a pair of cupcakes. Matt Wells is the new coach here so there is a reason the offense has not gone down as his offense was great in his time at Utah St. here, we play against home underdogs after allowing 37 points or more last game going up against an opponent after two straight wins by 28 or more points. This situation is 59-26 ATS (69.4 percent) since 1992. 9* (197) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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09-14-19 | UMass v. Charlotte -20 | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 54 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Massachusetts scored 21 first quarter points against Rutgers but it has been all downhill since then. The Minutemen have been outscored 86-20 over their last seven quarters including an embarrassing 45-20 home loss against Southern Illinois last week. This is arguably the worst team in the country and not many people would contend that. They have only 10 starters back from the 4-8 team from last season and even that record was skewed. Charlotte opened its season with a big win against Gardner Webb and actually played better than the 15-point loss against Appalachian St. last week. The 49ers outgained the Mountaineers by 68 yards and were down by just one score before allowing a touchdown on a kickoff return. This is one of the best defenses in the nation that finished No. 11 against the run last season so last week was an aberration against the best team in the Sun Belt Conference and the 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 9* (170) Charlotte 49ers |
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09-14-19 | Colorado State +10 v. Arkansas | 34-55 | Loss | -108 | 52 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Colorado St. is coming off a win over Western Illinois by 25 points and winning the yardage battle by 370 total yards. While it did come against an FCS team, it was a big win following a disappointing 3-9 season. It their first game of the season, the Rams lost to Colorado by 21 points but they outgained the Buffaloes by 30 yards. It was just a one possession game midway through the fourth quarter but losing the turnover battle did them in. Arkansas is coming off a 14-point loss in its SEC opener against Mississippi as it was outgained by 122 yards. Prior to that, they defeated Portland St. by just a touchdown as the Razorbacks benefited from three interceptions by the Vikings. Here, we play on road teams after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game going up against an opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 102-47 ATS (68.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (155) Colorado St. Rams |
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09-14-19 | East Carolina v. Navy -7 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 52 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. It was a disaster for Navy last season as it went 3-10, its worst finish since 202 when it went 2-10. The schedule is an interesting one as Navy is coming off a win over Holy Cross, had a bye, has East Carolina this week and then another bye. That puts the Midshipmen in a great motivational spot this week in their AAC opener. East Carolina is expected to be better than its 3-9 team from last season but we are not sure how much better. The Pirates rolled over Gardner Webb last week but that does not tell a true story. Their 34-6 loss against NC State where they were outgained by 236 yards tells a better story. They made a great hire in Mike Houston who comes over from James Madison but he never faced a triple option team in his five years there. The Midshipmen are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. 9* (140) Navy Midshipmen |