Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-20-21 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -4 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 43 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Clemson has had a disappointing season by its standards as it is 7-3 and has hurt its backers the majority of the time. The Tigers are 2-8 ATS and those covers were fortunate as one came on a fluke fumble recovery for a touchdown as time expired and the other came against Louisville that ended in a goal line stand. The record against the number is adding to the Clemson value here as the Tigers look to end its home schedule with a big win over a quality team. The defense leads the way and has picked up an offense that has struggled for the most part but has come on of late. They will be facing one of the worse defenses in the conference so the success should continue and the Tigers are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Wake Forest is 9-1 on the season with the lone loss coming at North Carolina by three points. 2021 marks the first time the Demon Deacons have ever achieved a top-10 ranking as they rely on a potent offense but this will be toughest test to date. Wake Forest has won three games by three points, including one in overtime, and it had to hold off Army in a game that was only a seven-point margin midway through the fourth quarter. The offense is one of the best in the country but the defense has struggled, especially against the run, which is problem here, and the Demon Deacons have been bailed out with their turnover margin. They have been outgained in two of four road games and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against road underdogs outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 50-17 ATS (746 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (362) Clemson Tigers |
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11-20-21 | Texas v. West Virginia -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 43 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our Big XII Game of the Month. Texas has lost five straight games which is its longest losing streak since 1955 and that includes a loss last week against Kansas, which had not won a Big XII road game since 2008. The losing streak started against Oklahoma where the Longhorns blew a huge lead and they clearly have not recovered. The body language of the Texas players after the loss last Saturday shows that they may be done even though a bowl berth is still on the line by winning out. The defense has been atrocious as Texas has allowed 41 ppg during this losing skid and overall, the Longhorns are ranked No. 106 in total defense and No. 107 in scoring defense. The Longhorns are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. West Virginia is also two wins away from bowl eligibility and despite losses in its last two games against Kansas St. and Oklahoma St., those teams are a combined 16-4 and the Mountaineers are in much better shape. This is the final home game of the season for West Virginia and it will be fired up knowing that this will be last home game against Texas as part of conference action with the Longhorns pending move to the SEC. The offense has struggled over the past two games but West Virginia has the athletes on offense to put up big numbers and run away with this game. The Mountaineers are ranked in the middle of the pack in most Big XII defensive categories and can limit the opposing offense. The Mountaineers are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season averaging 34 or more ppg on offense going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 ppg after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (348) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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11-19-21 | Air Force v. Nevada -1.5 | Top | 41-39 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Both Air Force and Nevada come into this Friday matchup on the same path as they are 7-3 including 4-2 in the MAC and both are one game out of first place in their respective divisions. The Wolf Pack had a chance to take over first place in the MAC West but lost by two points at San Diego St. last week and they will need to win out and get some help along the way. Both conference losses came by two points and both were on the road where they are 2-3. Nevada is playing its final home game before travelling to Colorado St. next week in the season finale and the Wolf Pack look to end the season 6-0 at home and extend the overall home winning streak to 10 games going back to last season. The Wolf Pack are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. The Falcons snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at Colorado St. last Saturday. Like Nevada, they have to win out and get some help to take the MWC East Division but with Utah St. facing Wyoming and New Mexico, both of which are 1-5 in the conference, that seems unlikely. Air Force comes in a perfect 4-0 on the road but only one of those has been against a team with a winning record. The Falcons lead the country in rushing, averaging 311.1 ypg but they are ranked No. 51 in third down conversion percentage which has hurt keeping drives alive and the ability to score more than they should. Nevada is one of the top team in third down conversion percentage, allowing just 35.9 percent including 28.3 percent at home. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off one or more consecutive unders, outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg. This situation is 32-17 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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11-18-21 | Patriots v. Falcons +7 | Top | 25-0 | Loss | -108 | 53 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. New England seems to be hitting its stride as it has won four straight games and has covered all of those, three by double-digits with two of those beating the number by over 33 points. The Patriots have won all four road games this season but three of those came against the Jets, Texans and Panthers which are a combined 8-20 and the record is part of the reason this line has gone up by 2.5 points in some places. They are still just a half-game behind Buffalo in the AFC East with games against the Titans, Colts and Bills twice upcoming in the next four games. Overall, they have played the second easiest schedule in the NFL and the backend will present a challenge and Thursday is no easy out. The Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while going 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games against passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 64 percent or worse in the second half of the season. This is just the second home game for the Falcons since October 3rd as they have played three road games as well as a game in London. Atlanta has won three of its last five games and one of those victories definitely was not last Sunday as it got embarrassed at Dallas 43-3, getting outgained by 217 total yards. While Atlanta played like garbage, that was more of a statement game for the Cowboys that was coming off a bad game against the Broncos. The Falcons are 4-5 on the season and there are now six teams with record between 5-4 and 4-6 so the Wild Card race is still wide open. Atlanta is -5 in turnover margin which is the big reason it is getting outscored by over nine ppg. The Falcons are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game while going 6-0 ATS in their last six games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 10* (312) Atlanta Falcons |
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11-17-21 | Northern Illinois -1.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our MAC Game of the Year. Northern Illinois improved to 5-1 in the MAC with a one-point win over Ball St. last week and now the West Division is theirs to win. A victory over Buffalo secures the title and a trip to the MAC Championship as they cannot be caught no matter what Ball St. and Central Michigan do down the stretch as the Huskies own both tiebreakers. Northern Illinois has been outrushed in its last two games which are the only two times it has been outrushed against non-Power Five teams. Still, the Huskies are averaging 220.4 ypg on the ground which is No. 15 in the country and face a porous defense when trying to stop the run. Northern Illinois is 3-2 on the road with one loss coming against Michigan and the other coming against 4-2 Kent St. by five points. The Huskies are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. There is motivation for Buffalo as it will become bowl eligible if it wins its final two games but there is not a lot of confidence backing the Bulls here. In their four wins, one came against Wagner of the FCS, two other came against Old Dominion and Ohio by one point apiece and the last one came against Akron which is 2-8 on the season including 1-5 in the MAC. The Buffalo defense has been solid at home by allowing only 365.6 ypg but that is a severely skewed average as included is a 97-yard defensive effort in that Wagner game. The Bulls allow 4.6 ypc on the ground in their five home games and 4.8 ypc overall. On offense, they do run the ball well but a lot of that is due to play calling as they average just 4.4 ypc. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 73-33 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (309) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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11-16-21 | Western Michigan -5 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Western Michigan snapped a two-game losing streak with a closer than expected win over Akron last Tuesday but they are still unable to win the MAC West because of tiebreakers. If the Broncos win out, including a victory at first place Northern Illinois next week, they will finish 5-3 but there is no chance to surpass them because of upcoming matchups. Against the Zips, Western Michigan rushed for 316 yards on the night, led by Sean Tyler with 16 carries for 147 yards and a touchdown, while adding a receiving score and a 96-yard kick return for a touchdown. Overall, the Broncos are No. 29 in total offense and No. 34 in rushing defense and will face an Eagles defense that is ranked No. 103 and No. 107 in those categories respectively. Western Michigan is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 road games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread. Eastern Michigan entered last week 3-2 in the MAC West and had the possibility to control its own destiny for the title but lost against Ohio and have been mathematically eliminated. The Eagles were outrushed for the fifth time in six games, the one was dead even, and they are losing the rushing battle by an average of 136.2 ypg. Eastern Michigan, while struggling mightily in stopping the run, cannot get it done on offense either as they are ranked No. 109 in rushing offense. The Eagles have lost two straight home games and of the three wins, one came by just one point against Miami while the other two came against St. Francis of the FCS and Texas St. which is 3-7 on the season. Eastern Michigan is 3-16 ATS in its last 19 home games after allowing 7.25 or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game going up against teams allowing between 390 and 440 ypg. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Western Michigan Broncos |
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11-15-21 | Rams -3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Rams are coming off a bad loss against Tennessee but it really was not as bad as the score shows. Los Angeles outgained the Titans by 153 total yards as the defense allowed only 194 yards and 14 of the 28 points allowed were off of back-to-back interceptions. San Francisco fell to 3-5 and the schedule has been the reason this record is even this good. The three wins came against teams a combined 7-20-1 with the wins coming by an average of 8.3 ppg while the losses have come against four winning teams and those defeats are by an average of 8.4 ppg. The Rams are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home while the 49ers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. One key stat in this matchup that shows these teams are closer than the records indicate is that the Rams are averaging 6.4 yppl on offense while the 49ers are averaging 6.3 yppl. Defensively, both teams are allowing 5.5 yppl and when it comes to total yards, Los Angeles is +50 ypg in differential while San Francisco is +27 ypg and that difference is pretty insignificant. That being said, the 49ers are stepping on their own feet and the point differential shows that. San Francisco is No. 24 in points allowed and No. 17 in points scored and that due to mistakes as the 49ers have the worst turnover margin in the NFL. For the Rams, the loss of Robert Woods is big but he has a capable replacement in Van Jefferson who has averaged 5.2 targets per game and he has three games of 80-plus receiving yards. Odell Beckham Jr. could provide a spark as well. On the other side, Von Miller is expected to make his Rams debut. The Rams are 15-6 ATS after a loss under Sean McVay. Here ,we play against home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after having lost four out of their last five games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 34-12 ATS (73.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (265) Los Angeles Rams |
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11-14-21 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Raiders | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 51 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. It is safe to say that everyone is off the Chiefs at this point as they have won two straight games but barely and have failed to cover their last three games and are just 2-7 ATS on the season. This is a good spot to buy low as they are favored on the road but by less than a field goal and this is the first time since 2018 that they have been favored by less than a touchdown against the Raiders, a span of six games. Granted, this team has struggled to score points and Las Vegas is a much better team now but not this much as the linesmakers have no choice but to bring this number down to avoid too much exposer on the Raiders. Kansas City is ranked No. 7 in total offense but the points are not coming because of turnovers and that will eventually reverse itself. The Kansas city defense is improving as it has allowed 17 or fewer points in three of its last four games. The Raiders are in first place in the AFC West, tied with the Chargers. They are coming off a loss against the Giants and have lost three of their last five games after a 3-0 start with two of those early victories coming in overtime. This is definitely a tough team to decipher and while the matchup seems to favor Las Vegas, we cannot look past the recent head-to-head domination. As far as current form, the Raiders rushing offense has been abysmal so that will not be a disadvantage for the Chiefs which have had their issues stopping the run. On the other side, Las Vegas cannot stop the run so as long as the Chiefs remain balanced, they have the big advantage in the trenches. The Raiders are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 games in the second half of the season against teams allowing 7.5 or more passing ypa. Here, we play against teams averaging 385 or more total ypg, after gaining 400 or more total yards in three consecutive games. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (263) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-14-21 | Eagles +2.5 v. Broncos | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 48 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Philadelphia continues its inconsistent season as it is coming off a home loss against the Chargers which was its third defeat this season when trying to back up a win. The Eagles are No. 17 in total offense and No. 11 in scoring and they have scored 21 or more points in eight of nine games. Philadelphia has a great chance to keep the offense rolling against a defense that is missing pieces and while the Eagles are only 3-6, they are still in the hunt for a Wild card spot as eight teams in the NFC have either three or four wins and the upcoming schedule is mostly a cakewalk. Philadelphia is 29-15 ATS in its last 44 games after two straight games where 50 total points or more were scored. Everyone saw Denver dismantle Dallas last week and we all know that no team is as good as it looked the previous week, especially average teams, and vice versa. The Broncos are now 5-4 but it is misleading as the Broncos finally won the yardage battle after getting outyarded in its previous five games. As mentioned, the Broncos defense is missing a ton as the injury list includes four of their linebackers, a defensive lineman and two of the top three cornerbacks. Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts should have success in the passing game and with the Denver injuries, he will be able to bounce out of the pocket and get his legs going. The Eagles defense matches up well as they should stop the Broncos running game and Denver is also beat up on the offensive line. The Broncos are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season, averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game going up against teams forcing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they committed no turnovers. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent. 9* (261) Philadelphia Eagles |
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11-14-21 | Falcons v. Cowboys -9 | 3-43 | Win | 100 | 45 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFC Game of the Week. Dallas is coming off its worst game of the season as it clearly did not show up and quarterback Dak Prescott did not look like he was fully back. The good news is that he did not miss practice this week and he should bounce back and also gets Michael Gallup back at receiver. The offense looked like one of the worst in the league last week yet the Cowboys are still ranked No. 1 in total yards and No. 3 in points scored and they are very balanced with the No. 3 ranked rushing offense and No. 4 ranked passing offense. Last week was the first game that Dallas was outgained and after that embarrassing defeat, the Cowboys will not be taking the Falcons lightly. Dallas has Kansas City, Las Vegas on a short week and New Orleans in its next three games so this is actually a big game now. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. The Falcons defeated New Orleans to move to 4-4 and they are in a horrible spot here. Not only the situation they are in but the matchup as well. They were able to slow down the New Orleans passing game but that is not saying much against Trevor Siemian and things will be different this week as they will have to respect the run and the pass. Atlanta is ranked No. 24 in rushing defense and No. 28 in scoring defense. Matt Ryan was very solid last week but duplicating that will be difficult. The Cowboys will shut down the pathetic Falcons rushing offense so they can concentrate on stopping Ryan. The Falcons are 9-25 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points averaging between 70 and 95 rushing ypg after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 95 and 125 rushing ypg. This situation is 49-19 ATS (72.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (246) Dallas Cowboys |
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11-14-21 | Saints +3 v. Titans | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 45 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Month. We played against New Orleans and played on Tennessee last week and now we are going opposite this week as they match up against each other. Tennessee has won five straight games and to no surprise, the public is all over the Titans (looking at consensus sites and offshore numbers). The last four wins have come against teams all in playoff contention and all of those wins were outright as underdogs. Now they come in as a small home favorite which is part of the reason for the public sentiment and despite this, the line has not moved. Tennessee has the No. 4 ranked rushing offense but Derrick Henry is out and it managed only 69 yards on the ground against the Rams last week and now faces the top ranked rushing defense in the league. the Titans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The Saints lost to the Falcons at home last week which snapped a three-game winning streak. At 5-3, New Orleans is a game behind Tampa Bay in the NFC South and the Saints bring in a 3-1 road record that includes three straight victories. The offense has been inconsistent but face a below average Titans defense that allowed 347 yards but benefitted from a pair of costly Rams turnovers. New Orleans has allowed only 19.4 ppg and while it has been outpassed in six of eight games, the Saints face the No. 26 ranked passing offense in the league. The Saints are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games against teams with a winning home record and this is credit to head coach Sean Payton. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 62-28 ATS (68.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (249) New Orleans Saints |
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11-13-21 | Texas A&M v. Ole Miss +2.5 | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 71 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS for our CFB Saturday Night Dominator. Mississippi has a chance to jump into second place in the SEC West with a victory as it looks to improve upon its 5-0 home record. The Rebels are coming off a heated win against Liberty as they welcomed back former head coach Hugh Freeze in the 27-14 victory and cover. They do own quality home wins over LSU and Arkansas and overall, they are outscoring opponents by 21 ppg at home. Mississippi possesses the No. 4 ranked offense in the country while sitting at No. 16 in scoring offense and while this will be one of the best defenses it has seen, the home field advantage will have a big edge at night. Conversely, this is the best offense that the Aggies have faced. The Rebels are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Texas A&M has won four straight games and has covered all of those as it has moved into No. 11 in the CFP Rankings, moving up two spots from last week. The Aggies own a big win over Alabama which was the start of this winning streak but this is not an easy spot. This is just their second true road game of the season, the first coming against Missouri which is 1-4 in the conference. They have picked it up of late by outgaining their last three opponents which came after losing the yardage battle in their three previous games and by an average of 153.3 ypg. Despite the recent resurgence, the Aggies are just No. 68 in total offense and No. 67 in scoring offense. Texas A&M is 13-27 ATS in its last 40 road games against teams averaging 37 or more ppg. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 off one or more consecutive unders, outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg. This situation is 31-15 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (196) Mississippi Rebels |
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11-13-21 | Hawaii -2.5 v. UNLV | 13-27 | Loss | -125 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our MWC Game of the Week. UNLV is coming off its first win of the season after a 0-8 start and there no chance for a bowl game, that was their bowl game. The Rebels have played some tight games but prior to the game against the Lobos, they were outgained in all eight games and on the season, they are getting outgained by 133.6 ypg while getting outscored by almost two touchdowns. They have been pathic on both sides of the ball. UNLV is ranked No. 124 in total offense and No. 115 in scoring offense while on defense, it is No. 102 overall and No. 113 in points allowed. They have scored 20 points or less in regulation in six of their nine games. The Rebels are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Hawaii still has a chance for bowl eligibility as it is 3-6 and the final three games are all against teams with losing conference records. All six losses have come against teams that are all .500 or better so the Warriors are in a good spot here after coming off consecutive losses against Utah St. and San Diego St. which are a combined 8-2 in the conference and a combined 15-3 overall. Hawaii put up a great effort last week against the Aztecs as they lost by just seven point while winning the yardage battle. The Warriors are just 1-4 on the road but two losses came against Pac 12 teams while the other two came against the two division leaders in the MWC and the one victory came against a similar 1-8 team. The Warriors are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are +/- 5 in ppg differential going up against teams -10 or worse in ppg differential, in conference games. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (165) Hawaii Warriors |
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11-13-21 | Miami-FL v. Florida State +2.5 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 68 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES for our CFB Saturday Rivalry Annihilator. Miami has won three straight games to move over .500 for the first time this season and is now playing just its third road game of the season. The Hurricanes were over touchdown underdogs in both of those games and while facing an inferior opponent, this is no normal game. The three recent victories came by a combined eight points and the Hurricanes four FBS wins came by a total of 10 points. While the offense looks good by sitting at No. 24 overall and No. 31 in scoring, those ranking are severely skewed due to a 69-0 win over Central Connecticut St. where they put up 739 yards of offense. While they have scored a lot of points recently, they have allowed 34.8 ppg over their last four games. The Hurricanes are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite. Florida St. is having a rough season at 3-6 and it will need to win out to make it to a bowl game. It will not be easy as the final two games are on the road which makes this the final home game of the season and closing out with a win over its most hated rival only adds to the motivation. A loss against Jacksonville St. in September was horrible and that was part of a 0-4 start but a recent 3-2 run with the two losses coming against Clemson and NC State, which are a combined 13-5, has shown some fight in the Seminoles. This is a quadruple revenge game for Florida St. after winning six straight meetings. This includes a 52-10 loss last season and that has not been forgotten. Here, we play on home teams in the second half of the season averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (202) Florida St. Seminoles |
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11-13-21 | UAB v. Marshall -4.5 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our C-USA Game of the Year. Marshall is in a tie for first place in the C-USA East Division with Western Kentucky at 4-1 so this is a must win game with Charlotte on deck and then the finale against the Hilltoppers. Marshall has outgained its opponent in eight of nine games this season with the lone exception coming against Appalachian St. where it lost by just one point. The Thundering Hern own the best defense in the conference in terms of scoring as they are allowing 19 ppg which is No. 19 in the nation. The lone conference loss came against Middle Tennessee St. despite winning the yardage battle by 193 total yards. Marshall committed six turnovers including four fumbles, one which was returned 90 yards for a touchdown. The Thundering Herd are 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams with a winning road record. The Blazers are 4-1 in the C-USA West Division with the loss coming against Rice as a 23.5-point favorite and they bounced back with a win over Louisiana Tech last week. The defense has been solid but they have allowed 30 or more points in three of their last five games and while they have two shutouts, one came against Jacksonville St. from the FCS and the other came against 1-8 Southern Mississippi. This will be the toughest test for the defense as Marshall is No. 8 in total offense. UAB is 3-1 on the road but those three wins have come against teams that are a combined 5-22. The Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams off two consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800. this situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (204) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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11-12-21 | Wyoming +14 v. Boise State | Top | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 79 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CFB Friday Night Lights Winner. Boise St. is still alive in the MWC Mountain Division after a pair of road wins as it now trails Utah St. by one game for first place. The Broncos have had an up and down season and they are favored by their biggest amount since a September game against UTEP. They are just 1-3 at home which is the most losses in over a decade so the intimidation factor is no longer there. To put it is perspective, Boise St. has lost 13 home games since 2000 and three of them have come this season. Not much has been going good on either side of the ball as the Broncos are No. 81 in total defense and No. 76 in total offense and the running game rankings are even worse at No. 96 and No. 117 respectively. The Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Wyoming had lost four straight games before coming off a big win against Colorado St. last week for its first conference victory. While the Cowboys are just 1-4 in the MWC, they are still in line for a bowl game after coming into the season with a shot at winning the division so they have definitely underachieved but the win over the Rams can build some much needed confidence. The offense gained a season high 477 total yards last week and the defense remains a strength as Wyoming is No. 21 overall and No. 4 against the pass which is the strength of the Boise St. offense so they should be in good shape here. The rushing game on offense will need to keep up its recent success as it is No. 37 in the country. Here, we play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (119) Wyoming Cowboys |
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11-11-21 | Ravens v. Dolphins +7.5 | Top | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 77 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Baltimore is coming off another come-from-behind win to improve to 6-2 on the season and remains in first place in the AFC North. The schedule has been one of the most favorable ones we have seen in a long time as the Ravens have played four straight home games with a bye week sandwiched in-between there and this will be their first road game since October 3rd. During this four-game stretch, Baltimore needed overtime twice to win and were crushed by Cincinnati in another. The Ravens are 2-1 on the road as they lost in overtime against Las Vegas and needed a record breaking field goal to beat lowly Detroit as they had to come back in the last minute. The Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Dolphins were able sneak out a win against Houston which is not saying much but this is a good spot as they get to remain home on a short week facing a team travelling from home and got the first time in five weeks. Miami snapped a seven-game losing streak and it has been competitive of late as it lost two games by five points combined and was in it against Buffalo until the Bills scored nine points late in the fourth quarter. The Ravens do have a big edge on offense against the Miami defense but the Dolphins can move the ball here as the Ravens defense is nothing special, ranked in the bottom third of the league in total defense and scoring defense. The Dolphins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense forcing one or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (114) Miami Dolphins |
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11-11-21 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -6 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 78 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. North Carolina is coming off a win over rival Wake Forest which put an end to the Demon Deacons undefeated season and a situation like that, the home fans stormed the field everyone is still celebrating which makes playing on a short week that much more difficult. The Tar Heels have lost their last three games following a win and two of those losses were against losing teams that are now a combined 6-12 overall and 4-9 in the ACC. The offense has been solid but they have been unable to stop anyone as the defense No. 96 in total yards allowed with 421.4 ypg while giving up 33.4 ppg which is No. 111 in the nation. This is a real problem going into a hostile environment against one of the top offenses in the country. The Tar Heels are 1-9 ATS in their last ten games off a win against a conference rival. Pittsburgh rolled over Duke on Saturday as it reeled off 638 total yards, its fifth game where it put up at least 580 total yards. The Panthers are No. 2 in the country in total offense and No. 1 in scoring offense and over their last six games, they have outgained their opponents by an average of 230.3 ypg. Pittsburgh remains in first place in the ACC Coastal at 4-1, a half-game ahead of Virginia and a game ahead of Miami and North Carolina. Unlike the Tar Heels defense, Pittsburgh actually has a solid unit as it is ranked No. 37 overall and No. 45 in points allowed. Pittsburgh is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 home games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. Here, we play against road underdogs in the second half of the season averaging 6.2 or more yppl and after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last two games going up against teams allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 41-14 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (116) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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11-10-21 | Kent State v. Central Michigan -2.5 | Top | 30-54 | Win | 100 | 56 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Central Michigan picked up a big win at Western Michigan last Wednesday as it won by 12 points as a nine-point underdog which has now put the MAC West totally up for grabs. There are four teams separated by just one game and that includes the Chippewas as they are tied for second place, a game behind Northern Illinois which suffered its first loss of the season last week. Central Michigan is 3-1 at home with that lone defeat coming against the Huskies so another loss basically knocks it out of a chance for the representing the division in the MAC Championship. Central Michigan brings in a solid offense and will square off against one of the worst defenses in the country. The Chippewas are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. We won with Kent St. last week as it defeated Northern Illinois to keep its first place lead in the MAC East. The Golden Flashes improved to 4-0 at home with the victory but now they hit the road where they are 1-4, the one win coming against 2-7 Ohio as they benefitted from a 3-0 turnover advantage, two of which the Bobcats committed inside the Kent St. redzone. The Golden Flashes do have a strong offense with a solid rushing game but they cannot stop anyone on the other side of the ball as they are dead last in total defense, allowing 495.8 ypg and they are second worst in scoring defense, giving up 34.9 ppg. They have allowed 45.5 ppg in two MAC road games. The Golden Flashes are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (110) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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11-08-21 | Bears +6.5 v. Steelers | Top | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Bears have lost three straight games following a two-game winning streak and they are now 3-5 overall but all hope is not lost. Entering Week Nine, the Bears are only one game back in the win column from the No. Seven seed in the NFC with a lot of football remaining. There is no denying the offense has been up and down and the passing game needs to improve. The magic number is 20 points for Chicago as it is 3-1 on the season when scoring 20 or more points while going 0-4 when scoring fewer than that. Justin Fields had a solid game against San Francisco and he will have to continue his running success if the Bears want to keep the Steelers off balance. Chicago is 19-5 ATS in its last 24 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. Pittsburgh has won three straight games to move to within a game of Baltimore for first place in the AFC South. The Steelers have gotten it done on the defensive end as they have allowed 16.3 ppg over the winning streak after giving up 23.3 ppg through their first four games. The offense continues to be a struggle similar to Chicago as the Steelers have scored more than 20 points in regulation only once in their last six games. Pittsburgh has been favored by more than 2.5 points only twice this season and it has gone 1-1 while failing to cover in that victory as it was a three-point win over Seattle in overtime as a 5.5-point chalk. Fading overpriced favorites that has a limited offense is the way to go. The Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. Here, we play on road teams averaging 285 or fewer total ypg, after allowing 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (475) Chicago Bears |
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11-07-21 | Titans +7.5 v. Rams | 28-16 | Win | 100 | 51 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. The Rams are humming along with four straight wins but they have been fortunate along the way. The first win came against the Seahawks where Seattle lost Russell Wilson halfway through the game. The next three wins came against the Giants. Lions and Texans which are a combined 3-21 which has turned a respectable strength of schedule into the No. 26 ranked slate. The offense has been nearly unstoppable but it has faced four of the 10 worst defenses in the NFL. The acquisition of Von Miller is a big pickup for the defense that is ranked No. 21 overall and No. 21 against the pass but how much he impacts the stop unit is still an unknown this early on. Los Angeles is outgaining opponents by just 38.4 ypg which is not great. The Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after a win by 14 or more points. Tennessee has won three straight games over quality opposition and four straight games throwing Jacksonville into the mix. Adrian Peterson and Jeremy McNichols will take over for Derrick Henry and while they will not replicate what Henry brings to the table, they should be able to keep the Rams defense honest. The lone loss over their last seven games was an overtime loss against the Jets and while that defeat looked bad at the time and still should have been a win, the Jets actually have a pulse now and that was a bad spot in-between two divisional games. The Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against home favorites outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yppl, after gaining 400 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (473) Tennessee Titans |
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11-07-21 | Chargers -1 v. Eagles | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 47 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Chargers have lost two straight games and their lead has vanished in the AFC West as they now trail the Raiders by a game. Los Angeles has shown regression on defense over the last three games as it has allowed 34.3 ppg over that stretch. The Chargers are solid against the pass with a great secondary that is ranked No. 5 in passing defense and a fierce pass rush as they just frustrated Mac Jones and figure to do the same with Jalen Hurts. Justin Herbert put together three straight passer ratings of 107.6, 122.0 and 125.0 but has not broken 68 over his last two games. He faces a good defense here but he should get back on track and the Chargers are definitely undervalued. They are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games after a loss by three or less points. The Eagles are coming over a blowout win over Detroit which is not saying much and that snapped a two-game slide and a 1-5 run with that lone win coming against Carolina by three points and that came on a late touchdown. That win over the Lions is working against Philadelphia and it really should have no effect on this game. The Eagles beat the Falcons by 26 points in Week One then lost at home to the 49ers the following week and we expect a similar result here. The Eagles are ranked No. 7 in rushing offense but that number is skewed after gaining 236 yards on the ground against the Lions. The Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing six points or less last game going up against an opponent after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (467) Los Angeles Chargers |
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11-07-21 | Broncos +10 v. Cowboys | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 45 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Week. Dallas is coming off another close victory to improve to 6-1 on the season and a perfect 7-0 against the number. This line has jumped considerably due to the fact that Dak Prescott has been a full participant in practice this week after missing the last game against the Vikings. The Cowboys are at 3-0 home and the offense remains No. 1 in the NFL despite its second lowest output Sunday night against Minnesota. In its last home game, Dallas was favored by 7.5 points over the 2-6 Giants and now it is favored by more over a better team and it is the unblemished ATS record that is coming into play as the public will continue to back the Cowboys so there is no choice but to inflate this number. The Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as nonconference favorites of 10 or more points. Denver snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Washington last week to move back to .500 and it remains alive in the division and is very much in the Wild Card chase. The Broncos traded Von Miller earlier this week which puts the pressure on the rest of the defense but this unit is solid all around as the Broncos are No. 6 overall and No. 2 in points allowed. The offense has been up and down but having Teddy Bridgewater in this spot is ideal as he has been one of the best, going a perfect 10-0 ATS on the road against winning teams and catching double-digits is a bonus. The Broncos are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites averaging 385 or more total ypg, after gaining 450 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 32-7 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (453) Denver Broncos |
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11-07-21 | Falcons +6.5 v. Saints | Top | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 45 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFC South Game of the Year. The Saints are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last Sunday in a big upset that put New Orleans just a half-game behind the Buccaneers in the NFC South. They did it with Trevor Siemian who was not great but the Saints benefitted from three Tampa Bay turnovers, scoring 17 points off those, and 11 penalties. This offense is not good to begin with a New Orleans is No. 29 in total offense including No. 31 in passing and Michael Thomas is officially done for the season. The defense is playing very well but getting up for a second straight week after that big win will be a challenge. Despite the winning record, the Saints are getting outgained by close to 40 yards per game. The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. Atlanta is coming off a loss against Carolina to fall to 3-5 and the Panthers did catch a break when Matt Ryan got his left hand stomped on and he clearly was not the same. He will be fine this week and the Falcons are getting a bigger number than they should be. After a pair of blowout wins to open the season, Atlanta has been playing much better by going 3-2 over its last five games with the two losses coming by just a possession each. There are six teams in the NFC that are between 3-5 and 4-4 so Atlanta is still very much alive in the Wild Card race and these are those marginal games that need to be one, unlike last week against the Panthers. The Falcons are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (465) Atlanta Falcons |
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11-06-21 | UTSA v. UTEP +11.5 | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our CFB Late Night Dominator. UTEP is coming off its first conference loss of the season as it was defeated by just three points at Florida Atlantic despite outgaining the Owls by 163 total yards as turnovers and penalties did them in. They held Florida Atlantic to just 280 total yards and it is the defense that has led the Miners to make some noise in the conference this season. They are ranked No. 8 in the country overall including No. 11 against the run yet are undervalued once again which is shown in their perfect 5-0 ATS run. The Miners are unbeaten at the Sun Bowl in the last two years, going 6-0 with Gavin Hardison as starting quarterback. UTEP controls their own destiny in the C-USA West Division as if it can win out in the final four games, the title is theirs. UTSA has been a bigger surprise as it is undefeated and ranked No. 18 in the nation. The Roadrunners have had a favorable schedule however as all seven of their FBS wins have come against teams at .500 or worse. Taking nothing away from their undefeated record but the Roadrunners will be heading into their toughest environment of the season. There is some extra incentive for the Miners as the lost to UTSA by 31 points last season while getting outgained 600-246. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 16 and 21, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (406) UTEP Miners |
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11-06-21 | Clemson v. Louisville +4.5 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our ACC Game of the Year. Clemson is finally coming off its first cover of the season and in unlikely fashion but it got into the ATS win column and now comes in overpriced on the road. The Tigers offense remains a work in progress despite playing eight games as the Tigers are ranked No. 114 in total yards at 330.6 and No. 113 in scoring at 21.3 ppg. Taking away that fumble recovery and overtime scores and Clemson has averaged 17.5 ppg over its last six games on offense. The defense has kept this team respectable but even that unit is down a notch from the previous years although the Tigers have done a good job of keeping points off the board. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Louisville is coming off a loss at NC State despite outgaining the Wolfpack and the Cardinals are now 1-3 away from home. They are 3-1 at home with the lone defeat coming against Virginia by a single point on a last minute touchdown. Overall, they are No. 30 in total offense and can get things rolling again at home. The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-2 ATS (92 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Louisville Cardinals |
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11-06-21 | Tennessee v. Kentucky | 45-42 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS as part of our CFB Saturday Triple Play. Kentucky suffered its first loss of the season three weeks ago against Georgia and after a bye week, it was unable to bounce back against Mississippi St. last week in a 31-17 loss. Those were the first two games all season that they were outgained but now they are back home where they are 5-0 and outgaining opponents by over 100 ypg. Running back Chris Rodriguez Jr. has apparently been battling a health issue but he is back to full strength and the leading rusher in the SEC averages 5.8 ypc on first down which helps the entire offense avoiding long down and distance situations. This will help with the passing game that is relatively efficient and Tennessee is allowing 249 passing ypg, 13th in the SEC, ahead of only Vanderbilt. The Wildcats are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Tennessee has also lost two straight games to fall to 4-4 and it has been outgained in four of its last six games against FBS opposition. Despite having an efficient passing attack, The Volunteers have allowed 28 sacks, dead last in the SEC. They are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against road underdogs outscoring opponents by 7.0 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 49-17 ATS (74.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (388) Kentucky Wildcats |
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11-06-21 | Baylor -6.5 v. TCU | 28-30 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS as part of our CFB Saturday Triple Play. Baylor has won three straight games to improve to 7-1 including 4-1 in the Big XII. The Bears still have an outside shot for the Conference Championship but they will need some help as their one loss came against Oklahoma St. which is also tied for second place. The Bears offense continues to hum as they are ranked No. 18 in total yards and also No. 18 in scoring. They were held to a season low 14 points against the Cowboys which possess the best defense in the conference and it be the complete opposite here. Baylor has also been solid on defense as it has allowed the second fewest points in the conference and should once against step up here. The Bears are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win. The Horned Frogs have struggled to a 3-5 start following three straight losses and things should only get worse. TCU let go of head coach Gary Patterson this week after a bad run of late as the Horned Frogs are 21-22 since 2018 as the once stout defense has regressed considerably. TCU is ranked No. 111 in total defense, No. 116 in rushing defense and 104 in scoring defense. The Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (357) Baylor Bears |
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11-06-21 | Oklahoma State -3.5 v. West Virginia | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 49 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS as part of our CFB Saturday Triple Play. Oklahoma St. bounced back with a loss at Iowa St. with a 55-3 blowout of Kansas and it still remains in the thick of the Big XII title as it trails Oklahoma by a game and a half and hosts the Sooners in three weeks. The offense has been average but the defense has carried the Cowboys as they have allowed the fewest points in the conference and have not given up more than 24 points in any game this season. They average 7.1 tackles for a loss per game which is tied for best in the conference and No. 18 nationally. Oklahoma St. has held its opponent to fewer than 20 first downs in seven straight games. On offense, they rely on the running game and Jaylen Warren ranks in the top five in rushing in the conference with an average of 106.3 ypg. The Cowboys are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. West Virginia is now 4-4 om the season as the Mountaineers beat the Cyclones for their second win over a ranked team this year. As was the case last Saturday, the youthful Mountaineers are going to have to figure out a way to beat a football team that is considerably older and more experienced. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 390 and 440 ypg going up against teams allowing between 330 and 390 ypg, after allowing 3.75 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) since 1992. 9* (385) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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11-05-21 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +3 | Top | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 76 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CFB Friday Night Lights. After a 4-0 start, Boston College has lost four straight games which has put it at the bottom of the ACC Atlantic Division at 4-0. Three of those losses came on the road while the only home game in that stretch came against 6-2 NC State. The Eagles have an above average defense as they are ranked No. 42 overall and No. 33 in scoring defense and will be facing a very inconsistent offense. They are No. 14 in the nation in third down defense, and third in the ACC behind NC State and Pittsburgh. Additionally, Boston College has allowed an ACC-low seven touchdown passes. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games. Virginia Tech was on a three-game losing streak and was able to put that to a halt with a win over Georgia Tech this past Saturday to even its record at 4-4. The Hokies are coming off their best offensive game of the season but that came against a Yellow Jackets defense that is ranked No. 105 in the country in yards allowed. They have been outgained in five of eight games and will face a substantially better defense as they hit road for the second straight game on a short week. They have struggled to defend the run as they are ranked No. 12 in the conference with 179.6 ypg allowed. Virginia Tech is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after two consecutive game where they committed no turnovers. Here, we play against road team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypa in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (316) Boston College Eagles |
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11-04-21 | Jets v. Colts -10.5 | Top | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 56 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Colts are coming off a tough loss against Tennessee on Sunday in overtime as they blew a 14-0 lead and had some costly turnovers down the stretch. They now trail the Titans by three games in the AFC South and they have some work to do to get back into the playoff picture. This is a big two-game home stretch against the Jets and Jaguars and they have to win both and they also need to dominate to get some confidence back before facing the Bills and Buccaneers. The Colts are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. After getting outgained in six of their previous seven games, New York outgained the Bengals by 193 total yards in a 34-31 win. While it was a solid Jets win, it can considered a bad Cincinnati loss as they still seemed to be relishing in their win over Baltimore the previous week. New York is 0-3 in true road games and has failed to cover any of those and has been outgained by close to 200 ypg while getting outscored by 24 ppg. Quarterback Matt White had a game for the ages as he threw for 405 yards and three touchdowns but he comes back down to earth here. In the four major statistical categories, total yards, rushing yards, passing yards and points per game, the Jets are ranked No. 27 or worse in six of eight of those eight categories on offense and defense. Conversely, Indianapolis is ranked No. 15 or better in those categories. The Jets are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games against teams allowing 235 or more passing ypg. Here, we play on favorites that are allowing between 18 and 23 ppg and after scoring 30 points or more last game going up against teams allowing 27 or more ppg. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (312) Indianapolis Colts |
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11-03-21 | Northern Illinois v. Kent State -3.5 | Top | 47-52 | Win | 100 | 51 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Northern Illinois has won five straight games including the last four in the MAC to build a two-game lead in the MAC West Division. The Huskies have covered four of those five games and in the four MAC games, they have been outgained overall with all four being decided by one possession including two by a combined three points. Five of the Huskies eight games have been decided by a touchdown or less and Northern Illinois won the Georgia Tech, Toledo and Central Michigan games by scoring in the last minute of play. Northern Illinois leans on its strong rushing attack as it is averaging 232.8 ypg which is No. 10 in the country and while that would normally be a big edge, Kent St. is not far behind. Northern Illinois is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. The Golden Flashes average 220.1 ypg on the ground which is No. 17 in the country and should feast on the Huskies defense. They are one of the youngest units in the nation with 10 second year freshmen and three true freshmen playing key roles across every level. Kent St. has won three of its last four games to sit in a first place tie with Miami Ohio in the MAC East Division. The Golden Flashes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win against a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 84-42 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (308) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan v. Toledo -8.5 | Top | 52-49 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Toledo is coming off an upset win over Western Michigan to move into a tie for second Place in the MAC West, two games behind 4-0 Northern Illinois. Catching the Huskies is unlikely as they lost the meeting but getting bowl eligible is the goal now and they are two wins away. The 4-4 record could be a lot better as three of those losses came by three, two and three points against Notre Dame, Northern Illinois and Central Michigan respectively and those three teams are a combined 17-7. The strength for the Rockets is their defense as they are No. 25 overall and No. 15 in scoring. Toledo is 25-11 ATS in its last 36 home games after a win by 17 or more points. Eastern Michigan is ranked fifth in the MAC and No. 79 in the country in total defense, allowing 393.3 ypg. The Eagles have been good against the pass but their rushing defense has been horrible as they allow 184.1 ypg which is No. 101 in the nation and they allowed 17 rushing touchdowns which is near the botto4 across all teams. The offense has been below average as they are No. 90 in total offense and No. 109 in rushing offense. Eastern Michigan is dead even in turnover margin at 10-10 while Toledo is 11-4 and that +7 differential is tied for No. 11 in the country. The Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in conference games, off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Toledo Rockets |
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11-01-21 | Giants v. Chiefs -10 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Kansas City has lost two of its last three and four of its last six games to fall to 3-4 overall which has the Chiefs in last place in the AFC West. They have struggled within the conference but at 2-0 against the NFL, both coming against NFC East team Washington and Philadelphia and by a combined score of 73-43 and this is a statement game to close the first half on a positive before hitting a tough stretch of three straight games against division leaders. The offense has not lost a step but turnovers have been an issue. They led the NFL in total offense in 2020, averaging 414.7 ypg and this year, they are averaging 419.3 ypg, third in the NFL behind Dallas and Tampa Bay. The defense has been dreadful but in the four losses, Kansas City has faced offenses ranked No. 4, No. 5, No. 11 and No. 12 and the Giants are well below those rankings. New York continues to be ravaged with injuries at the wide receiver position so it will be hard pressed to take advantage of the Chiefs defense. They did put up 25 points against Carolina last week but managed only 302 total yards and while the defense played well, it came against the Panthers which have the eighth worst offense in the NFL. The Giants had a top-10 defense last season under coordinator Patrick Graham but this year, they were a bottom 10 unit and are allowing 25.7 ppg. The Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. The Giants are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while going 1-8 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. 10* (278) Kansas City Chiefs |
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10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings -2.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -109 | 58 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Minnesota has won two straight games to improve to 3-3 on the season following an overtime win against Carolina prior to its bye week. The record could be better as the Vikings lost to Cincinnato in overtime to open the season and then lost to now 7-0 Arizona by two points and both of those were on the road. They have outgained all but two opponents and with the public all over the Dallas, the Vikings are in a good spot with a good matchup. While the story is of course Kirk Cousins and his lack of success in primetime games, he faces a weak secondary and has a chance for a breakout game as he has been very solid. He has completed close to 70 percent of his passes while throwing 13 touchdown passes and just two interceptions for a 105.4 passer rating. Trevon Diggs is having a breakout year as an exceptional cornerback but he will have his work cut out for him against Justin Jefferson, who has been a tough matchup since hitting the starting lineup for the Vikings early last year. Minnesota is 26-11 ATS in its last 37 home games after a win by 6 or fewer points. Dallas has won six straight games and has covered all seven which is a big reason public money will be all over them. The Cowboys defense has improved, but they can still exposed to the run as they did not have to face . Christian McCaffrey or Saquon Barkley so Dalvin Cook could also have a big game running the ball. Dallas s 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games where the line is +3 to -3. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing 24 or more ppg, after scoring 25 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (276) Minnesota Vikings |
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10-31-21 | Panthers +3 v. Falcons | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 67 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFC South Game of the Week. Carolina has lost four straight games, failing to cover any of those, and not many people will be wanting to back the Panthers because of that. The play of quarterback Sam Darnold is also part of that as he has been pretty bad of late and was benched last week against the Giants. After four solid games, he has posted passer ratings of 44.5, 55.6 and 57.3 over his last three games and after being sent to the sidelines, we expect him to be playing with a chip on his shoulder and he will be facing a defense that has been very inconsistent. Carolina does have a very strong defense as it is third overall including second against the pass and the Panthers are No. 9 in scoring defense. They have a tremendous pass rush, and the Falcons have one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL. Pressure was not an issue last week because Miami does not get to the quarterback as frequently as Carolina does. Carolina is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games off an upset loss as a road favorite. Atlanta has won two straight games sandwiched around a bye week and the Falcons have won the yardage battle only twice this season. Atlanta has lost both home games this season so the once strong home edge has been lost and there is no reason to think that the Falcons continue to struggle here. Atlanta is 0-6 ATS in its last six games as a home favorite of three points or less. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation 34-7 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (253) Carolina Panthers |
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10-31-21 | 49ers -3.5 v. Bears | 33-22 | Win | 100 | 67 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The 49ers have now lost four straight games, losing all four against the number, after a 2-0 start and there is now talk about head coach Kyle Shannahan being on the hot seat and whether true or not, we expect a huge effort from San Francisco here. Injuries have hurt San Francisco for yet another season so this does not all fall on Shannahan. The defense still remains one of the best in the NFL as the 49ers are ranked No. 6 in total defense and No. 5 against the pass so Justin Fields will be handcuffed yet again. On the other side, the 49ers have a solid rushing attack and for reason gave up on it early last week against the Colts and they can take advantage here with the Bears having key players hut. With games against the Cardinals and Rams on deck, this is a must win game for the 49ers as a 2-5 record likely ends any sort of playoff chances. Chicago got bludgeoned last week against Tampa Bay and the Bears have been outgained in all but one game this season and that was against winless Detroit. The offense has scored more than 20 points only once, again Detroit, as the offense remains dead last in total offense and No. 30 in scoring offense. On the other side, Aiken Hicks was out last week and he is one of the top defensive linemen in the NFL, as the entire dynamics of the defense change when he's not in the lineup. He will be limited this week while Khalil Mack has been ruled out. The Bears are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road favorites with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 off an upset loss as a home favorite, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (265) San Francisco 49ers |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -1.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our AFC South Game of the Month. Tennessee is coming off its second straight big win as it followed up its win against Buffalo with a victory over Kansas City last week. Both were far from dominant as the Titans outgained Kansas City by just 35 yards and were outgained by Buffalo by 55 yards. Both of those were at home and Tennessee has struggled on the road. They are 2-1 on the highway, with two games going into overtime and the third being a win over Jacksonville where they were actually outgained by 86 yards. The Colts defense has been playing at a high level with the exception of late in the game against Baltimore. Tennessee is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. The Colts have won two straight games to move to 3-4 to get back into the playoff picture. While the defense has been playing better, quarterback Carson Wentz is again playing at a high level. He has posted four straight games with a passer rating of 106.3 or better with last week being the most impressive against a tough 49ers defense in awful weather and he has tossed eight touchdowns and no interceptions over this stretch. The Colts are 1-2 at home but the two losses came early in the season when they were banged up and both were one possession games. Four of the previous five games were on the road and with the Jets and Jaguars on deck at home, getting to 6-4 is more than likely. Indianapolis 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games against teams averaging 350 or more ypg. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (258) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-30-21 | North Carolina v. Notre Dame -3.5 | 34-44 | Win | 100 | 73 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH as part of our CFB Nighttime Triple Play. Notre Dame is coming off a win over USC last week and while that could spell a letdown but the Irish are still in the mix with a 6-1 record as its lone loss came against No. 2 Cincinnati. The remaining schedule is very doable to win out so they will need some help at the top for some teams to fall. This is the second of three straight home games for Notre Dame and it will definitely be tested in its passing defense but it is the other matchup that will go a long way. The Notre Dame offense has not lived up to expectations and the North Carolina defense has been just as bad this season as it was last season. The Irish are 9-3 ATS against teams with a winning record. North Carolina is 4-3 on the season after escaping with a win over Miami two weeks ago. The Tar Heels lost a ton of talent on offense and it has been a slow process to get readjusted and this will be their toughest test. Just like last year, the Irish defense needs to take away the running ability of quarterback Sam Howell. This is just the second true road game for the Tar Heels with the first coming at Virginia Tech which resulted in a loss. The Tar Heels are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Here, we play against road underdogs outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. this situation is 47-17 ATS (73.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (210) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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10-30-21 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS as part of our CFB Nighttime Triple Play. Kentucky is coming off its first loss of the season as it lost at No. 1 Georgia but it stayed within the number for its fourth straight cover. They were down by just seven points at halftime and the Wildcats second quarter touchdown is the only first-half touchdown the Georgia defense has allowed all year. They are coming off a bye and it comes at the right time off that defeat. Their strength is their running game led by Chris Rodriguez Jr., who leads the SEC in rushing yards and yards per game despite getting handcuffed last week against the Bulldogs. Kentucky is currently No. 3 in the SEC behind Georgia and Alabama in total defense as it allows just 321 ypg and only 19.3 ppg. The Wildcats are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Mississippi St. is coming off a win over Vanderbilt, which is 0-4 in the SEC, to improve to 2-2 in the conference and 4-3 overall. The Bulldogs have not won back-to-back games since opening the season 2-0 and they are a very one dimensional team as they are No. 4 in passing offense but dead last in rushing in the country. The Bulldogs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Here, we play on road teams averaging 6.1 or more yppl, after gaining 3.75 or fewer yppl in their previous game. This situation is 27-4 ATS (87.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (185) Kentucky Wildcats |
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10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 73 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS as part of our CFB Nighttime Triple Play. SMU and Houston, two of the three remaining undefeated teams in conference action, square off Saturday night with first place in the AAC on the line. The Mustangs are a perfect 7-0 on the season and with the exception of a win over TCU, there have not been many good wins. They do have the advantage of extra rest over the last three weeks but it should not be a big edge on the road. This one will come down to strength against strength as the SMU offense is ranked No. 5 in the country while the Houston defense comes in at No. 4 in the nation. The Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Houston did not look great last week but there was a reason. Inclement weather delayed kickoff several hours and given the circumstances and the underrated quality of the Pirates defense, it is no shocker that Houston struggled offensively in a 31-24 win that took overtime to win. The Cougars are coming off a pair of underachieving seasons but they have plenty of talent and experience to make a run at the championship as they do not have to face Cincinnati during the regular season. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive straight up wins going against an opponent after five or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (192) Houston Cougars |
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10-30-21 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -19 | Top | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 70 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Big XII Game of the Year. This might be considered a steep number but Oklahoma should come out with a huge sense of urgency. The Sooners defeated Kansas last week and they clearly did not show up as they trailed 10-0 at halftime and while they rallied to win by 12 points, it was their worst game of the season. The Sooners dropped in the ranking because of their uneven effort and with games against Baylor, Iowa St. and Oklahoma St, all of which are ranked and are right behind the Sooners in the Big XII, this is a big game to get right. The Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The Red Raiders have dropped three of their last five games, including a 25-24 home loss to Kansas St. last week where they were held scoreless after halftime. That led to a change on the sideline as Sonny Cumbie was named the Red Raiders interim coach Monday after Matt Wells was fired in the middle of his third season at the helm. Texas Tech has won two road games on the season but those came against West Virginia and Kansas which are a combined 1-7 in the conference. The Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg after a loss by three or fewer points going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 in the second half of the season. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (188) Oklahoma Sooners |
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10-30-21 | Rutgers -1.5 v. Illinois | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 65 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Illinois is coming off a upset as it took down Penn St. in nine-overtimes and the Illini are likely still celebrating. It was the second win in three games for Illinois as it defeated Charlotte and then got shut out against Wisconsin. The Illini are 2-3 at home and have been outgained in four of those games and by an average of 108.2 ypg. Illinois lost starting quarterback Art Sitkowski to a broken arm last weak which is not ideal as they are ranked No. 118 in the country in passing offense. On the other side of the ball, All Big Ten linebacker Jake Hansen suffered a season ending knee injury in the loss to Wisconsin and that hurts a defense that is already thin. The Illini are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Rutgers has lost four straight games but it has been a brutal stretch as the first three games came against Michigan, Ohio St. and Michigan St., which are a combined 12-0 in the conference and 20-1 overall, before facing Northwestern where it was simply out of gas. The Scarlet Knights had a bye last week so they come in fresh and ready to bounce back. The Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .250 to .450 where the line is +3 to -3 off a road conference win, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (139) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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10-29-21 | Navy v. Tulsa -10.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Tulsa opened the season 0-3 including a questionable loss against Cal Davis in its first game but the other two losses came against Ohio St. and Oklahoma St., both on the road, and the Golden Hurricane were outgained by just seven yards against Ohio St. and actually outgained Oklahoma St. by 34 yards. They have won three of their last four games and while the last victory was by just a point over South Florida, they outgained the Bulls by 267 total yards but three turnovers kept it close as South Florida returned an interception for a touchdown and on top of that, returned a kickoff 100 yards for another score. Going back, the Golden Hurricane are 16-2 ATS in their last 18 games after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. Coming off a bye, they will be fresh and ready to go. Navy is coming off one of its best games of the season as it left it all on the field in a tough seven-point loss against No. 2 Cincinnati. Obviously this was its biggest game of the season and that will be tough to recover from and now the Midshipmen have to travel a good distance for just their third road game of the season. The Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 16 and 21 ppg going up against teams allowing between 28 and 34 ppg. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (114) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6 v. Cardinals | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 58 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Publisher. Green Bay has won six straight games to keep pace in the NFC and this could be a preview of the NFC Championship. The Packers have covered all six of these games, winning their lone game as underdogs and this number has gone up which is adding value even though the offense looks like it could be down a key player. The Green Bay offense took a hit early in the week as Davante Adams tested positive for COVID and is likely out but could be in the lineup as long as he registers two negative tests 48 hours apart. The return of Marquez Valdes-Scantling would be huge in case Adams is definitely out. Aaron Rodgers has thrown multiple touchdown passes in every game this season except the season opener against the Saints and on the season, he has 15 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Arizona is the lone remaining undefeated team in the NFL as it is off to a surprising 7-0 start with both sides of the ball playing great. The Cardinals are No. 4 in the league in scoring offense and No. 7 in total offense and tied for first in scoring defense and No. 4 in total defense. Quarterback Kyler Murray has 17 touchdown passes this season to go with five interceptions and is a mid-season MVP candidate. The Cardinals are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (107) Green Bay Packers |
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10-28-21 | Troy +18.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 77 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the TROY TROJANS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. Troy is 4-3 this season following a pair of close wins in its last two games. The Trojans are coming off a bye week which is a huge edge here to prepare for this big game against a team playing on a short week and they come into this game part of a four-way tie for first place in the Sun Belt East Division. The first loss came against Liberty by eight points, the second came against ULM but turnovers did them in as they outgained the Warhawks and the third came against South Carolina from the SEC. On the season, it has been favored five times and the two times it has been an underdog, it was by single digits so we are not only playing the situation, but the number as well. Coastal Carolina is coming off its first loss of the season as it went down at Appalachian St by a field goal but the game was not that close as it was outgained by 229 yards and was able to keep it close thanks to four Mountaineers turnovers. The Chanticleers will come out to avenge that loss last week and while the offense is potent, they will be facing the No. 7 ranked defense in the country and that will be a big part for Troy in covering this big number. Coastal Carolina and Troy have played the No. 143 and No. 140 ranked schedules respectively. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (109) Troy Trojans |
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10-25-21 | Saints v. Seahawks +4.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans is off to a 3-2 start following a win over Washington and the Saints are coming off a bye which means they could get some key pieces back. But they are still banged up in some key areas and this line has risen since opening which is more fading Seattle because of no Russell Wilson. New Orleans did beat Green Bay in its season opener 38-3 but the Packers simply did not show up and since then, the Saints have been outgained in each of their last four games and by an average of 96.8 ypg and that is not a favorable differential heading out against a desperate team in need of a win. The Saints have failed to cover four of their last five Monday night games and are an overpriced favorite here. Seattle is coming off a big second half against the Steelers to send the game into overtime before losing by three points. The Seahawks were getting 5.5 points in Pittsburgh and are now getting roughly just a point less at home and that line differential makes no sense as the value is clearly on the home underdog. This will be the second game for Geno Smith to have a full week of preparation and he was pretty good with the exception of a lost fumble as he went 23-32 for 209 yards and a touchdown with no picks. The Seahawks are 34-15-4 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up loss. 10* (474) Seattle Seahawks |
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10-24-21 | Colts +4 v. 49ers | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 99 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Indianapolis rolled over Houston last week and it should have a three-game winning streak as it had Baltimore against the ropes before losing in overtime. The Colts are now 2-4 with another one of those losses coming against the Rams by just three points so they took two of the best teams in the NFL down to the wire. Offensively they have found their rhythm as Carson Wentz is getting comfortable with this offense as over the last three games, he has six touchdowns and no interceptions while posting passer ratings of 115.1, 128.5 and 127.7. San Francisco still possesses a great defense but it has allowed 28 or more points in three of its five games. The 49ers are coming off their bye week which was good to mend some injuries. The offense has been inconsistent and they will be facing a Colts defense ranked No. 11 in the NFL in scoring defense. Jimmy Garoppolo is expected to return under center but he is still not 100 percent. Indianapolis is 18-6 ATS in its last 25 road games after scoring 25 points or more in three straight games while the 49ers are 5-22-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off a road loss, playing a bad team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. this situation is 57-21 ATS (73.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (471) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-24-21 | Lions +16 v. Rams | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We have some double-revenge going on each side as Matthew Stafford and Jared Goff will be facing their former teams. While this looks like a blowout on paper, the points here are worth taking despite the Lions sitting at 0-6. There is no quit with Detroit as three of those games were winnable as the Lions blew a halftime lead against the Packers and lost two games on last second field goals. Goff has put up pedestrian numbers this season but the Rams secondary is pretty thin and we can expect the Lions to run the ball as the Rams are allowing 4.4 ypc which is No. 23 and allowing first downs on rushes 30.4 percent of the time which is No. 29. The quarterback trade has been beneficial for the Rams as through six weeks, Stafford ranks second in the NFL in yards per attempt, second in passer rating, first in QBR, third in DYAR, and first in DVOA. Not too bad. The running game has not been great as the Rams are averaging just 3.8 ypc. Detroit is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 road games after scoring 17 points or less in three straight games while the Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against home favorites that are outgaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing ypa, after gaining 6.75 or more passing ypa in four straight games. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (463) Detroit Lions |
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10-24-21 | Bengals +6.5 v. Ravens | Top | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 92 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC North Game of the Month. The Bengals are 4-2 on the season with both losses coming by just three points each. The Ravens were able to fluster Justin Herbert last week but while he struggles versus the blitz, Joe Burrow flourishes against it as he is second in the league in passer rating (136.8) against the blitz. Cincinnati has built its offense around Burrow, which produced significant ripple effects. He has four touchdown passes of 30+ air yards this season, most in the NFL. The Bengals can also beat teams on the ground, as running back Joe Mixon ranks fourth in the league with 480 rushing yards. Baltimore has won five straight games but three of those have been decided by a total of nine points and this will not be a dominant win like it has been recently in this series. Statistically, these two match up pretty well as the Ravens are seventh in the league at 28.3 ppg while the Bengals 11th at 24.7 ppg. On the other side, Cincinnati is fifth in the NFL with 18.5 ppg allowed and Baltimore seventh with 20.5 ppg allowed. The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record while the Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. Here, we play against home teams outgaining their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after gaining 400 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (451) Cincinnati Bengals |
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10-23-21 | UTSA v. Louisiana Tech +7 | 45-16 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against Louisiana Tech last week against UTEP in a 19-3 loss. This comes after averaging 33.4 ppg in its first five games so we can chalk up last week as an aberration. The Bulldogs are 2-4 and those four losses have come against teams a combined 20-5. The Bulldogs are having struggles on defense, but they represent a team that has been a bowl team for the better part of the last decade so the experience is big. This is an interesting line as Louisiana Tech was favored by close to a touchdown last week on the road and is now a home underdog against a team with a similar record, separated by just one game. UTSA comes in a perfect 7-0 and ranked No 24 in the nation, the first time the program has ever been ranked. The UTSA win over Memphis was solid but it was only by three points and the other five games came against teams a combined 8-23. The Roadrunners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game while the Bulldogs are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (402) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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10-23-21 | San Diego State v. Air Force -3.5 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -108 | 83 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our MWC Game of the Year. This is definitely the game of the week in the Mountain West Conference as 6-0 San Diego St. travels to Colorado Springs to take on 6-1 Air Force. The Falcons have won and covered four straight games, following its lone loss of the season, a 49-45 defeat against Utah St. Air Force brings in the top ranked rushing offense in the nation, averaging 336.4 ypg and this triple option is a tough offense to defend. The Saturday 24-17 victory over Boise St. on the Blue Turf made the Falcons the winningest team in the Mountain Division, where Colorado St. and Utah St. are the only other teams with winning conference records. The Falcons are averaging 37 minutes in time of possession, second only to Army. The Falcons are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a winning road record. San Diego St. remained unblemished but got a scare against San Jose St. last week as it won in overtime and was actually outgained by 105 total yards, the third time in six games it has been outgained. The Aztecs have the best defense in the country against the run so something will have to give. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset win as a road underdog going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 41-16 ATS (71.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (406) Air Force Falcons |
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10-23-21 | Clemson +3.5 v. Pittsburgh | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. Clemson was involved in yet another close game at won by three points at Syracuse last Friday to fall to 0-6 against the number. Herein is where the difference lies. The Tigers were favorites in all six of those games, five by double-digits and now they are underdogs for the first time this season. This breaks a streak of 60 consecutive regular season games where Clemson has been the favorite. The offense is dead last in the ACC, averaging just 20.5 ppg but the defense has made up for it, allowing a mere 12.5 ppg which is tops in the ACC and No. 2 in the country. Pittsburgh brings in a high-powered offense which has led to a 5-1 overall record including 2-0 in the ACC. The Panthers have not faced a defense like this however as the best defense they have faced led them to a season low in points. If Clemson wins, this could very well be a preview of the ACC Championship as Pittsburgh has a game and a half lead in the Coastal Division while the Tigers are just a game out in the Atlantic Division with a 3-1 ACC record which is good despite some struggles. The Tigers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games. Here, we play on road teams with a defense that allows 8.0 or fewer ppg in the first half, after a win by six or less points. This situation is 31-11 ATS (73.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (343) Clemson Tigers |
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10-23-21 | Oregon +2.5 v. UCLA | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 79 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. Oregon is coming off a win over California but it was by just a touchdown and the Ducks have now failed to cover their last four games. They were favored in all of those games, three by double digits. Oregon has been fairly average on both sides of the ball but will be going up against an opponent with similar stat lines. Besides the loss at Stanford, the only other road game resulted in a win at Ohio St. The Ducks have done well recently as underdogs, including wins in the Rose Bowl against Wisconsin, the Pac-12 Championship against USC last year and the win over aforementioned Ohio St. The Bruins, now 5-2 and 3-1 in the Pac 12, went to Seattle, playing a game against a desperate Washington team and coming away with a touchdown win. The victory over LSU early in the season looked good then but the Tigers are not what they were a couple years ago. The Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record while the Bruins are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 7.5 and 8.3 ypa going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (377) Oregon Ducks |
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10-23-21 | Wisconsin -3 v. Purdue | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 78 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. We won with Purdue last week as the Boilermakers dominated then No. 2 Iowa in a 24-7 win on the road. That makes this a slight letdown spot despite what is on the line. They had the benefit of having a bye week to prepare for the Hawkeyes so that was a big edge and Wisconsin is a tough team to prepare for with its multiple running sets. Wisconsin slipped past Army 20-14 last Saturday and with the Iowa loss, the Badgers now control their own destiny in the Big Ten West as if they win out, they are in the Big Ten Conference Championship game. Wisconsin is 2-4 against the number as it has been favored in all of its games and it is laying a small number here. The other two games where the Badgers were laying a single-digit number came against Notre Dame and Michigan, which are a combined 11-1. Despite the win over Iowa, Purdue cannot be put into that group. The Badgers still have a solid defense as they are ranked No. 2 overall, No. 3 against the run and No. 8 against the pass. Here, we play against home underdogs off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. The Badgers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a road favorite. 9* (393) Wisconsin Badgers |
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10-22-21 | Memphis v. Central Florida -2 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the UCF KNIGHTS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Memphis snapped a three-game losing streak with an 18-point win over Navy this past Saturday to move back over .500 on the season. The Tigers are just 1-2 on the road compared to 3-1 at home and they are now catching a pissed off team Friday night. This is a solid team on offense but the one thing that they do not do is utilize the legs of its quarterback which has hurt a few times this season for the UCF defense as it has struggled against mobile quarterbacks. The focus is now the big play receivers. The Tigers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. UCF is coming off a blowout loss at Cincinnati on Saturday which was its third loss in four games and the Knights have now failed to cover four straight games. They are 3-0 at home which includes an impressive win over Boise St at the start of the season. The Knights are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a turnover defense forcing one or fewer tpg, after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (320) UCF Knights |
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10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns -3.5 | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -100 | 58 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Denver has come back down to earth following a 3-0 start as the Broncos have lost their last three games, all as favorites. They have actually been favored in all six games this season so this marks their first game as underdogs. It has to be noted that those three wins to open the season came against the Giants, Jaguars and Jets which are a combined 3-14 and none of which have more than one victory. To their credit, the defense has been playing at a high level overall but that success is during those first three games where they allowed an average of 8.7 ppg but Denver has allowed an average of 28.0 ppg over its last three games. The Browns opened 3-1 both straight up and against the number, but they have dropped two straight against playoff bound teams. Injuries are mounting for Cleveland as the list keeps getting longer but come Thursday, they should be in better shape. Running back Nick Chubb has been ruled out so the running game is thin but Baker Mayfield said after the loss Sunday that he expects to play through his injury and be ready for Thursday. Instead. Case Keenum will get the start which is actually the better move. The defense has been a huge disappointment over the last two games but those offenses are both ranked in the top 11. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams forcing 1.25 or fewer tpg, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (310) Cleveland Browns |
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10-21-21 | Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte +6 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -103 | 77 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Charlotte is off to a 4-2 start halfway through the season and after a winning season and a bowl game in 2019, the 49ers went just 2-4 last season, the third fewest games in the conference because of cancellations. Charlotte is 3-0 at home which includes a season opening win over Duke and while the Blue Devils are not a good team, they are still from a Power Five conference so it is still an impressive victory. This year, the 49ers have covered each of their two games as underdogs of 5.5 points or more. Florida Atlantic is 3-3 following a blowout loss against UAB and the home team has won all six games the Owls have played. The defense has been up and down and has allowed 27.7 ppg over their last three games. While Florida Atlantic brings in the most experienced team in C-USA, it has no Preseason First Team players and while it has three Second Team C-USA players, that is the same as Charlotte. Here, we play against road teams off a road loss against a conference rival going against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 41-11 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. 10* (316) Charlotte 49ers |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +4 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 54 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Appalachian St. got boat raced by Louisiana last Tuesday, losing 41-13 while getting outgained in the process by 244 total yards. Unfortunately, we were on the wrong side of that one but even though the opposition is better this week, a return home should get things pointed in the right direction. The Mountaineers are 2-0 at home and while they failed to cover those games as favorites, they outgained both opponents and by a total of 406 yards. Obviously, they take a step up in class here but they are getting a good number and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight. games as an underdog. The Chanticleers are a perfect 6-0 but it might be slightly flawed. Coastal Carolina has rolled in its last three games, outscoring opponents 164-29 but those three opponents are a combined 5-13. The other two wins against FBS competition were against teams with a losing record so they have not been really tested yet. Overall, they have played a schedule ranked No. 159 in the nation. Here, we play against road favorites after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning. This situation 35-15 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (308) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 57 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo will be out for road revenge following a 42-16 loss last season and while the Bills are better this season, this is a tough spot following a 4-1 start including a big road win last week at Kansas City. They have covered all four games and they have not been close as the cover margins have been +31.5, +14.5, +21.0 and +20.5. in the loss last season, Bills quarterback Josh Allen finished 26-41 for 263 passing yards, throwing for two touchdowns and two interceptions. Buffalo has done a good job of limiting Derrick Henry over the last three matchups but he could be due for a breakout. Henry leads the league with 640 rushing yards, seven rushing touchdowns and 34 rushing first downs. Last year, the defense limited Henry to only 57 rushing yards but allowed touchdowns on all six red zone possessions. In addition to having the 10th best total offense averaging 389.2 ypg and 10th best scoring offense averaging 26.4 ppg, Tennessee is averaging 25.4 first downs per game which bis good for third in the NFL. Here, we play against favorites with an offense averaging 385 or more ypg, after gaining 450 or more ypg over their last three games. This situation is 29-7 (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (276) Tennessee Titans |
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10-17-21 | Seahawks +5 v. Steelers | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 99 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS with our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. The Seahawks took a big hit last Thursday as Russell Wilson has been ruled out because of the finger injury he suffered against the Rams last Thursday night and will likely be out until early December. Geno Smith will take over as the starter and he looked solid coming in for Wilson last week and now he has had extra preparation time to get ready for the Steelers. The Seahawks are 2-3 on the season including three losses in their last four games although the one victory was an impressive one over the 49ers on the road. Pittsburgh snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over Denver last week as it looks to have turned the corner but we are still not buying it. The offensive line looked solid last week against Denver but we see a regression here that should overlook the Seahawks sans Wilson. Ben Roethlisberger was fortunate to have three passes that should have been picked off but were not. The Seahawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog while the Steelers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .400 and .499. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (273) Seattle Seahawks |
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10-17-21 | Raiders v. Broncos -3.5 | 34-24 | Loss | -103 | 95 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. This is going to be a very tough spot for the Raiders as the firing of Jon Gruden will be a huge distraction in what was already a bad situation. They were clearly distracted last week as they managed just nine points against the Bears defense and they will be facing another stellar defense this week. Las Vegas has lost two straight games following a 3-0 start with two of those wins coming in overtime and the other coming against an inconsistent Pittsburgh team. They have dropped three straight against the spread. Denver has also dropped two straight games following a 3-0 start and while those three wins came against three of the worst teams in the NFL, we see a big effort here at home to get back to its winning ways. The lone home loss came against Baltimore which has been playing at a peak level. The Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Broncos are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on favorites in a game involving two teams with less than 1.25 tpg forced, after four consecutive games where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 29-10 ATS (74.4 percent) since 1983. 9* (270) Denver Broncos |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +4 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -121 | 96 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Month. New England snapped a two-game losing streak with a less than impressive effort against Houston as it held on for a three point win as an eight-point road favorite. Now, the Patriots return home as a home underdog and justifiably so but we feel the spot is good as early money has been pouring in on Dallas and has already moved this line two points. The Patriots are 0-3 at home and the road team is 5-0 in their five games and the streak looks to be broken this week. The Cowboys have won four straight games following an opening loss against Tampa Bay and they are a perfect 5-0 against the number and that is a contrarian spot we love to go against. The offense has been rolling, averaging 40.3 ppg over their last three games, all coming at home. They will be facing a sneaky good defense as the Patriots are ranked No. 5 in total defense and No. 5 in scoring defense. The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog while the Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (272) New England Patriots |
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10-17-21 | Chargers +3 v. Ravens | 6-34 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS with his AFC Game of the Week. Baltimore is coming off an epic comeback over Indianapolis in overtime on Monday night as it overcame an 18-point second half deficit to win by six points. This could be considered a letdown spot on a short week but we cannot bank on that angle when one of the best teams in the NFL is coming to town. The Ravens have won four straight games following an opening loss against Las Vegas in overtime and they have looked dominant only once this season as three of those wins came by a combined nine points. The Chargers are coming off a shootout win over Cleveland to also improve to 4-1 on the season with the lone loss coming against the Cowboys by just three points. Los Angeles is 2-0 on the road and while this is not an easy spot playing on the east coast, that is negated with the shorter week for the Ravens. The Ravens are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record while the Chargers are 12-3-3 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing 360 or more total ypg, after gaining 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (261) Los Angeles Chargers |
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10-16-21 | Louisiana Tech v. UTEP +7 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 97 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our C-USA Game of the Month. UTEP has won and covered three straight games to improve to 5-1 on the season and are now two wins away from bowl eligibility as one of those victories came against Bethune Cookman of the FCS. The Miners finished 3-5 last season and had two close losses and were close to being a .500 team. While not much was expected this season, they are very experienced with every starter back on offense and eight starters back on defense. They are a sizeable home underdog here as many are still not trusting UTEP based on what transpired the prior three years from last season where it went 2-34. UTEP is 16-5 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. Louisiana Tech is coming off a bye week following a solid effort at NC State where it lost by a touchdown. The Bulldogs are expected to contend in the C-USA West Division but we are not sure about laying this number on the road against a very confident team. The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road teams (off a road loss going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (206) UTEP Miners |
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10-16-21 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee +3 | 31-26 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Tennessee is off to a solid 4-2 start following a pair of blowout wins over Missouri and South Carolina. The offense is ranked No. 19 overall and No. 7 in rushing offense and this is big as they face a defense that is ranked No. 102 overall and No. 106 against the run. Tennessee is 3-1 at home, outscoring opponents by close to 27 ppg. Last season, they went 3-7 and had the tough task of facing five ranked opponents, four of which were top six or better. With Alabama on deck, this is a big game to win. Mississippi was in a shootout last week against Arkansas and dodged a bullet as Arkansas went for two on its last touchdown and did not convert and the Rebels prevailed by just one point. One big thing that stands out is that they allowed 350 yards rushing last week and that will bite them here. The Rebels are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams off two consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800. this situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (194) Tennessee Volunteers |
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10-16-21 | Alabama -17 v. Mississippi State | 49-9 | Win | 100 | 95 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE for our Blowout Game of the Week. Alabama got shocked last weekend by Texas A&M on a last second field goal and you can bet that it will be out for blood this Saturday. The loss against the unranked Aggies ended an incredible streak of 100 straight victories against unranked opponents which went back to 2007. It also snapped an overall 19-game winning streak. While the Crimson Tide defeated Florida by just two points, the other four victories have all been blowouts. In 2019 after losing to LSU, they travelled to Starkville and defeated Mississippi St. 38-7 and we are expecting the same here. The Crimson Tide are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. The Bulldogs are off to a 3-2 start following a win over Texas A&M prior to their bye week and while the extra prep time is normally a good thing, they are in a horrible spot here. Two of its wins came by a combined five points including a one-point win over Louisiana Tech at home. The Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. Here, we play against home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games, off a win against a conference rival. This situation is 42-14 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (183) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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10-16-21 | Bowling Green +9.5 v. Northern Illinois | 26-34 | Win | 100 | 92 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BOWLING GREEN FALCONS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. Bowling Green opened the season 0-2 and then won two straight games including a big win at Minnesota and now has dropped its last two games including an awful loss against Akron at home as a two-touchdown favorite. The Falcons are 2-0 in the MAC so this is a big game to try and stay within pace in the MAC East. They were predicted to finish last in the division but will be facing a team that was picked to finish last in the MAC West so this game is very winnable despite the spread no indicating that. The Falcons are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games off an upset loss as a favorite. Northern Illinois has won three straight games after a 1-2 start and it is coming off an upset win at Toledo this past Saturday by two points as a 13-point underdog. The Huskies are very average on both sides of the ball and are ranked No. 120 in passing offense, going up against a Bowling Green passing defense that is ranked No. 10 so running the ball will kill clock. Here, we play on conference road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss as a double digit home favorite. This situation is 50-19 ATS (72.5 percent) since 1992. 9* (123) Bowling Green Falcons |
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10-16-21 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +5 | 28-7 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. After a 3-0 start to the season, Virginia Tech has lost two of its last three games and has gone 3-0 ATS over that stretch. The Hokies lost a tough one last week against Notre Dame as they blew an 8-point lead with just over two minutes left including the Irish go ahead field goal with 17 seconds remaining. Virginia Tech is 3-1 at home with that lone loss coming against Notre Dame by two points. The Hokies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Pittsburgh is coming off a pair of blowout wins although one of those was against New Hampshire of the FCS. The Panthers are 4-1 on the season with the lone defeat coming against Western Michigan as two touchdown favorites. They have one of the best offenses in the country but face a formidable Hokies defense and Virginia Tech has a big edge in turnover margin. The Panthers are 2-5 ATS against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 330 and 390 ypg, after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 73-34 ATS (68.2 percent) since 1992. 9* (128) Virginia Tech Hokies |
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10-16-21 | Purdue +12 v. Iowa | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 92 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. We won with Iowa last week as it overcame a 10-point deficit to score the final 13 points of the game to win by three. The Hawkeyes may still be celebrating that victory which vaulted them to No. 2 in the country as they are now 6-0 on the season including a 3-0 record in the Big Ten. They have covered all but one game this season and now they are laying double-digits to a dangerous team. The team defense has been great but Iowa is ranked No. 119 in total offense so trying to outscore a team by putting up a ton of points is not likely an option. The Hawkeyes are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as favorites of 10.5-14 points. Scoring could be even more difficult as Purdue is ranked No. 14 in the country in total defense which is not a surprise as it brought back nine starters. The Boilermakers are 3-2 but have failed to cover their last three games which adds value. Purdue is ranked No. 10 in passing offense so it does have an opportunity to move the ball down the field. Head coach Jeff Brohm is 14-3 ATS against teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg on the season in all games he has coached. 9* (181) Purdue Boilermakers |
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10-15-21 | Clemson -14 v. Syracuse | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our ACC Game of the Month. Clemson has gotten off to a rough start as it is just 3-2 with two of those wins coming by just six points each. The Tigers have been horrible on offense but the good news is that they are coming off a bye week to try and get things straightened out which they should be able to do with the talent on this roster. Because of the slow start, Clemson is 0-5 against the number but this is a great spot with great value to put an end to that. The Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. Syracuse is coming off a brutal loss as it fell to Wake Forest in overtime by three points in overtime. That puts the Orange in a tough spot here not only because of that but because they are on a short week and playing a powerhouse off a bye. They have been competitive but they are getting Clemson at the wrong time. Syracuse has covered four straight games which is also adding to the value in this number. Syracuse is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games off a loss by seven points or less to a conference rival. Here we play on road favorites with a first half defense allowing 8.0 or less, after a win by six or less points. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (115) Clemson Tigers |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | Top | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 59 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFC Thursday Primetime Punisher. Philadelphia sits at 2-3 following a 21-18 win at Carolina on Sunday. The Eagles have actually played better than the record shows as they have outgained three opponents and the two games in which they were outgained, they were just by 10 and 13 yards against Kansas City and Dallas respectively. The Philadelphia passing defense has been very average but came up big against the Panthers as they held Sam Darnold to just 177 passing yards, with three interceptions and three sacks. Darnold is no Tom Brady but after coming off his best game of the season, expect some regression here. Tampa Bay has been rolling with a 4-1 record but two of those wins came by just two points apiece. Since the start of last season, the Buccaneers are 4-6 ATS with just a +4.3 cover average. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. While the Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against favorites averaging 385 or more total ypg, after averaging 450 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent over the last five seasons. 10* (110) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-14-21 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama -3 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 76 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama opened the season 3-0 but has dropped its last two games. The Jaguars could easily be 5-0 though as the two losses came by two points each including a loss at Texas St. in overtime this past Saturday. They have outgained their opponent in four of five games including two times of over 100 total yards. Part of the success has been the offensive line where four of five starters returned and overall, they bring back 17 starters to go along with key transfers at quarterback, running back and tight end. The Jaguars are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. Georgia Southern is 2-4 halfway through the season and it has covered three straight games which gives some value to South Alabama here. The Eagles are 0-3 on the road while getting outscored by 12.4 ppg and they are averaging just 13.3 ppg on offense. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a defense forcing one or less tpg, after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (112) South Alabama Jaguars |
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10-12-21 | Appalachian State +1 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 13-41 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Tuesday Game of Month. This could be a preview of the Sun Belt Conference title game as both of these teams are expected to win their respective divisions. Both the Mountaineers and Cajuns come in at 4-1 with both being undefeated within the conference. Appalachian St. is 8-1 SU in its last nine games against Louisiana with the lone loss coming last year at home by three points so revenge is in play here. Louisiana has won four straight games but three of those have been by just one possession including a three-point win over Nichols St of the FCS and the one blowout came against 1-5 Ohio. Looking at the overall numbers, the Cajuns have been below average on both sides of the ball as they are ranked No. 85 in total defense and No. 70 in total offense. Conversely, the Mountaineers are ranked slightly better on defense at No. 59 but are significantly better on offense, ranked No. 17, averaging 481.4 ypg. Here, we play against home underdogs with a turnover defense forcing one or less tpg, after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (107) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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10-11-21 | Colts v. Ravens -7 | Top | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our AFC Monday Game of the Year. We will be laying the price Monday night as this is a horrible spot for the Colts. They are coming off their first win of the season as they pretty much dominated the Dolphins last week and while that could provide momentum, the spot is just too poor. After opening the season with two straight home games, this is the third straight road game for Indianapolis and even though it has an extra day to prepare, it is not ideal. Baltimore has won three straight games following a season opening loss at Las Vegas in overtime. The defense has led the way of late and they should be able to dominate again here. The Ravens have allowed fewer points in every game this season and after two straight road games, heading home is a great opportunity to stay atop the AFC North. The Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road teams that are coming off two straight road games including a win in the last one, going up against teams coming off two straight wins. This situation is 22-7 ATS (75.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (480) Baltimore Ravens |
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10-10-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 52 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Primetime Punisher. The Chiefs have one of the best offenses in the NFL but that is not going to be difference here. Kansas City has allowed at least 29 points in every game this season and the Bills offense is no slouch as they are No. 7 in the NFL. Buffalo has won three straight games following a bad opening day loss against Pittsburgh. This includes a pair of shutouts and they will give the Chiefs fits. The Bills are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. The Bills are ranked No. 1 in total defense while the Chiefs are ranked No. 31 in total defense and the differential is huge as the yardage differential in 221 ypg. The Chiefs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win. Here, we play against home favorites with an offense averaging 385 or more ypg, after gaining 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (477) Buffalo Bills |
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10-10-21 | 49ers +5 v. Cardinals | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFC West Game of the Month. The Cardinals are the only undefeated team in the NFL at 4-0 following a big win at Los Angeles last weekend but they are in a tough spot to keep that unblemished record alive. They lead the NFL in total offense but will face a big test here against the 49ers. The Cardinals are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite. San Francisco has lost two straight games to Green Bay and Seattle, both by just one possession each. The 49ers are now 2-2 in arguably the toughest division in the NFL so this is a huge game to keep pace. San Francisco may have to depend on rookie quarterback Trey Lance to go into Arizona and pull out a win and his scrambling ability could be a big asset. San Francisco is 11-3-1 ATS following back-to-back losses as a favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games against opponent after covering the spread in three out of their last four games. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (475) San Francisco 49ers |
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10-10-21 | Saints -2 v. Washington Football Team | 33-22 | Win | 100 | 46 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. New Orleans is coming off an overtime loss against the Giants at home to fall to 2-2 on the season. The Saints now travel to Washington to try and get back on track and this has been a great situation in the past. Under Sean Payton, the Saints are 49-28-1 when coming off a loss including the one spot this season. The Saints are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite. Washington is coming off a win over Atlanta and is also 2-2 on the season. The Football Team was supposed to rely on its defense but they have allowed 43 and 30 points over their last two games and New Orleans is capable of putting up a big offensive game. The Football Team are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last three games, in the first half of the season. This situation is 64-26 ATS (71.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (457) New Orleans Saints |
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10-09-21 | Utah +3 v. USC | 42-26 | Win | 100 | 47 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our Pac 12 Game of the Month. Utah is 2-2 following a win over Washington St. but it has yet to cover a game thins season, going 0-4 ATS. The Utes have 19 starters back and rely on a strong defense where it is No. 25 overall and No. 13 against the pass. Utah will be playing for safety Aaron Lowe who was killed in a shooting so this will be a motivated bunch. Utah is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games off a win against a conference rival while going 8-0 ATS in its last eight games as an underdog of three or more points. USC is coming of a win at Colorado to move to 3-2 on the season. USC has yet to win consecutive games this season, but the Trojans have lost back-to-back home games despite being double-digit favorites against Stanford and Oregon St. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams allowing between 4.3 and 4.8 ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 72-35 ATS (67.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (347) Utah Utes |
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10-09-21 | LSU +3 v. Kentucky | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play of LSU TIGERS for our SEC Game of the Year. LSU is coming off a loss against Auburn at home to fall to 3-2 and that loss snapped a three-game winning streak. Scoring is not an issue for the Tigers as LSU is averaging just over 30 ppg this season. Quarterback Max Johnson has thrown four interception to go along with his 16 touchdowns and the Tigers have yet to lose a fumble. LSU is 17-4 in its last 21 games as an underdog following a loss as a favorite. Additionally, the Tigers are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games after being outrushed by 125 or more yards. Kentucky is off to a perfect 5-0 start after an upset win over Florida last week as a 7.5-point underdog. While undefeated, Kentucky has a turnover problem. Quarterback Will Levis has thrown six interceptions. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a turnover margin of -1.5 tpg or worse on the season, after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (359) LSU Tigers |
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10-09-21 | Penn State v. Iowa -1.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 44 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our Big 10 Game of the Month. Two top four teams square off on Saturday as Penn St. heads to Iowa to take on the Hawkeyes. The Nittany Lions roll in with a 5-0 record including a 24-0 shutout of Indiana last Saturday and they now hit the road after four straight home games. Penn St. is 2-17 ATS in its last 19 games against teams who give up 12 or less ppg since 1992. Iowa also comes in at 5-0 following a 51-14 trouncing of Maryland last Friday. The Hawkeyes return home where they are 3-0, winning by an average of 20.3 ppg. A short number only enhances this play on the Hawkeyes. The Hawkeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive straight up wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 26-5 (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (396) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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10-09-21 | San Jose State +3 v. Colorado State | 14-32 | Loss | -111 | 43 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our Ultimate Underdog. San Jose St. is 3-2 on the season following a 37-31 win over New Mexico St. and they are getting a short number here and an outright win is likely. The Spartans have failed to cover four straight games so we are going contrarian here. They have 19 starters back from the team that went 7-0 and won the MWC title last season. San Jose St. is 30-13 ATS in its last 43 road games after gaining 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game. Colorado St. is 1-3 and coming off a bye week following a solid performance at Iowa last time out. The Rams are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after four consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 48-19 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (345) San Jose St. Spartans |
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10-09-21 | Arkansas +6 v. Ole Miss | 51-52 | Win | 100 | 41 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Arkansas opened the season 4-0 before getting shutout 37-0 at Georgia last week. The offense should bounce back here after facing a stout Bulldogs defense as the Rebels are 12th in the SEC in total defense, giving up 371.3 ypg while ranking 12th in rushing defense, giving up 154.5 ypg. Arkansas is 27-13 ATS in its last 40 road games after being outgained by 125 or more total yards last game and the Razorbacks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog. The Rebels are coming off a 21-point loss against Alabama which snapped a four-game winning streak. Mississippi is 129th in the country as the second-most penalized team in FBS, including eight last week against Alabama. The Rebels are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams with an offense averaging 6.1 or more yppl, after gaining 3.75 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation 26-4 ATS (86.7 percent) since 1992. 9* (389) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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10-09-21 | Oklahoma -3 v. Texas | 55-48 | Win | 100 | 40 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Red River Shootout. The Red River Shootout takes place this Saturday between Oklahoma and Texas, both of which are ranked. The Sooners are a small favorite and the run defense will be key here. The Sooners have been strong against the run. Kansas St., West Virginia and Nebraska did not do much on the ground against Oklahoma and all of those teams have strong running games. Texas will try and slow down the Sooners offense that came to life last week. Oklahoma quarterback Spencer Rattler was fantastic on Saturday going 22 of 25 and side from the high completion percentage, it was his most comfortable, and confident performance. Oklahoma is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games coming off three consecutive ATS losses. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 3.25 or less rushing ypc, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 50-21 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (379) Oklahoma Sooners |
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10-08-21 | Stanford +13.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 10-28 | Loss | -112 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the STANFORD CARDINAL for our Friday Pac 12 Game of the Month. Stanford is coming off an upset win over Oregon last Saturday in overtime to improve to 3-2. Stanford is 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 overall in games when it puts up more than 24 points. The Cardinal average 11.6 more ppg (29.0) than the Sun Devils allow (17.4). The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. Arizona St. is also coming off an upset win as it defeated UCLA as three-point underdogs to move to 4-1 on the year. The Sun Devils are just 1-2 when favored by 10 points or more. Arizona St. is 3-0 at home but this is a tough spot laying this number coming off that conference win The Sun Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite. Here, we play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points off an upset win by 10 or more as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1992. (83.3 percent). 10* ( 311) Stanford Cardinal |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -103 | 32 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our Thursday Night Game of the Month. The Rams are coming off their first loss of the season as they were hammered in Arizona 37-20 last Sunday as after jumping out to a 1-07 lead, they fell behind by 11 points at halftime. In four games, they are -22 yards in differential so they have been far from dominating as opposed to what their 3-1 record indicates. Los Angeles is a surprising favorite here as it heads to one of the toughest places to play in all of the league. The difference could be he Seattle offense. DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett have certainly helped production of Russell Wilson, and that should continue in this contest. This Rams secondary was just absolutely torched by the Cardinals last time out as Kyler Murray threw for 268 yards and two scores. The Rams are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home while the Seahawks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a terrible defense allowing 360 or more total ypg, after gaining 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (302) Seattle Seahawks |
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10-07-21 | Houston -6 v. Tulane | Top | 40-22 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Game of the Year. We won with Houston last week as it rolled over Tulsa to make it four straight wins and improve to 2-0 in the AAC. While quarterback Clayton Tune is the leader of this team, of the Cougars 21 touchdowns on offense, 12 have come on the ground. Tulane enters Week six in the bottom 20 nationally in yards allowed through the air and on the ground and only seven teams have allowed more total yards per game. The Cougars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. Tulane has lost three straight games, the last two as a favorite. Quarterback Michael Pratt has tossed four touchdowns and five interceptions so he has been inconsistent and that is a problem against a defense that has allowed 9.25 ppg over its last four games. The Green Wave are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (303) Houston Cougars |
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10-01-21 | Houston +5 v. Tulsa | Top | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 50 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Houston is off to a 1-0 AAC start after coming back to take down Navy last Saturday night. One week after injuring his hamstring, Clayton Tune returned to action as the starting quarterback. The Cougars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. The Golden Hurricane are coming off a win last Saturday to snap a three-game losing streak. Tulsa currently falls nearly the lower end of the spectrum as the 94th ranked pass defense, allowing 247.5 ypg. The Golden Hurricane are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams with 1.25 or more turnovers per game forced, after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 47-16 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Houston Cougars |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals -7.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC Game of the Month. Cincinnati is coming off a 24-10 win over Pittsburgh on Sunday and the question is are the Bengals vastly improved or are the Steelers on a decline and we think it’s a mix of the two. The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Jacksonville has one of the worst rosters in the NFL and it has shown already as the Jaguars are 0-3 straight up and ATS. Trevor Lawrence has struggled as he has completed just 54.2 percent of his passes while throwing five touchdowns and seven interceptions. The Jaguars are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing between 18 and 23 ppg going up against a team allowing 27 ppg or more. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (102) Cincinnati Bengals |
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09-27-21 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 21-41 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Monday Game of the Month. Dallas, who lost in the season opener against Tampa Bay in Week One, bounced back last Sunday with a 20-17 road win over the Chargers and now head back to Dallas for its home opener. The money is coming in heavily on the Cowboys yet the line has not moved which shows the smart money is on the Eagles. The Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. Philadelphia is coming off a loss against San Francisco but actually outgained the 49ers. This came after a win over Atlanta where they outgained the Falcons by 174 yards. The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. Here, we play against home divisional favorites that were outscored by opponents by four or more ppg last season. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (497) Philadelphia Eagles |
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09-26-21 | Packers +3 v. 49ers | Top | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS four our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Green Bay is coming off a win over Detroit on Monday as they outscored the Lions 21-0 after trailing at halftime. The Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The 49ers are playing their home opener after coming off two road wins. The 49ers are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against home favorites that had a losing record last season, in conference games. This situation is 161-94 ATS (63.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (495) Green Bay Packers |
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09-25-21 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -17 | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Blowout. We are laying the wood with Oklahoma which is off to a 3-0 start. The Sooners struggled against Tulane and Nebraska but the motivation was probably a reason for that. The motivation will be here now. West Virginia has won two straight games following an opening loss to Maryland. The Mountaineers are 7-17-2 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. The Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after one or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with three or more straight wins. This situation is 29-9 ATS (76.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (378) Oklahoma Sooners |
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09-24-21 | Liberty v. Syracuse +6.5 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our Friday Game of the Week. Liberty is off to a 3-0 straight up and ATS start but the schedule has not been tough. Syracuse is 2-1 and its schedule has been equal. A Friday home game at night is an is an advantage. The Orange are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two passing teams averaging 8.3 ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent)over the last 10 seasons. 10* (310) Syracuse Orange |
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09-23-21 | Panthers -7.5 v. Texans | Top | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 38 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our Thursday Primetime Punisher. Houston is a mess at this point on offense and on a short week, it will not get better. Deshawn Watson is inactive again. Davis Mills, the third-round draft pick, completed just 8 of 18 passes for 102 yards with a touchdown and an interception in the loss to the Browns. We are not sure that he can carry this team at this point. The addition of Sam Darnold so far looks like a great pick up for Carolina, which is now 2-0 to start the season. Coaching is huge and the Panthers have that here. Here, we play against home teams with a scoring defense last season that allowed 24 or more ppg, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 56-22 ATS (71.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Carolina Panthers |
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09-20-21 | Lions +12 v. Packers | Top | 17-35 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Monday Game of the Month. This is the perfect bounce back spot for Green Bay to get back on track but it is laying way too much on Monday night. We should expect a much better performance from the offence that scored just three points against the Saints but defensively, the Packers will continue to experience some growing pains. Detroit put up a solid effort against the 49ers and while the defense stunk, the offense had a great showing with 33 points. Jared Goff went off for 338 yards with three touchdowns against one of the best defenses in the NFL. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going ip against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 55-23 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (297) Detroit Lions |
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09-19-21 | Vikings +3.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Game of the Month. Arizona is coming off a 38-13 blowout win over Tennessee in Week One and heads back to Arizona for its home opener. On offense, quarterback Kyler Murray threw four touchdown passes while also running for another. Minnesota is coming off a poor loss at Cincinnati as it fell 27-24 in overtime. This team is talented enough to overcome that and this is a good number. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems poor passing defense from last season that allowed 230 or more passing ypg, after allowing eight or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (287) Minnesota Vikings |
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09-19-21 | Raiders +6.5 v. Steelers | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. Pittsburgh is coming off an upset over Buffalo in Week One and now host the Raiders in Week Two. They beat Buffalo despite having just 252 yards of offense as the Steelers were outgained by 119 total yards. The Raiders are coming off an overtime win against the Ravens Monday night. Derek Carr is coming off a monster game as he threw the ball 56 times for 409 yards and two touchdowns. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems that averaged 275 or more passing ypg last season, after allowing seven or more passing ypa last game. This situation is 29-5 ATS (85.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (275) Las Vegas Raiders |
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09-18-21 | Alabama v. Florida +15 | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. This is a rematch of the SEC Championship from last season where Alabama won 52-46. Sophomore Bryce Young has taken over at quarterback for Davey O'Brien Award winner Mac Jones. This week Florida players said the loss motivated them throughout the offseason, knowing they would get another crack at the Crimson Tide this fall. Florida coach Dan Mullen is going for his first career win against Nick Saban. He beat Saban in 2008 as the Florda offensive coordinator but is winless against him as a head coach. Here, we play on home teams after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games, with five defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 26-5 ATS (8i3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (144) Florida Gators |
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09-12-21 | Steelers v. Bills -6.5 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. We think Buffalo will have a chip on its shoulder this season and why not take it out on one of the perennial AFC top teams. Buffalo returns 20 of 22 starters which is one of the best percentages in the NFL while the Steelers have plenty of new faces on both sides of the ball and are already dinged up with injuries. The Bills offense had the no. 2 passing offense in the NFL last season, and quarterback Josh Allen had a record season that helped Buffalo score more than 500 points in a season for the first time franchise history. Allen completed 9 of his first 10 passes against the Packers in the only preseason action and should be ready to go full force from the start. The Steelers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week One while the Bills are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in Week One. 10* (454) Buffalo Bills |
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09-11-21 | Houston -7.5 v. Rice | Top | 44-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Game of the Week. Houston finished 3-5 last season and is coming off a loss in its opener against Texas Tech. The Cougars are one of the most talented teams in the AAC and they return 18 starters. Rice is coming off a blowout loss to Arkansas which is projected to finish last in the SEC West. The Owls bring back a lot of experience as well but they are pegged to finish last in the C-USA West Division. Here, we play on teams in the first two weeks of the year, bowl team from last season who lost four or more of their last five games, team that had a losing record last season. This situation is 37-13 ATS (74 percent) since 1992. 10* (355) Houston Cougars |