Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-25-20 | Panthers +7.5 v. Saints | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 24 m | Show | |
New Orleans has not looked very cohesive this season and are barely above .500 with a 3-2 record on the season with just the one win by more than six points and nothing has come easy for them , and today laying this many points is not a favorable situation again. I know Carolina may not inspire bettors, but it must be noted that Panthers QB Teddy Bridgewater, is 15-2 ATS as a underdog in his career. Teams like the Saints which are more than TD favorites which have a record of less than .625 of are 302-398-14 ATS . Long term divisional road dogs in the NFL are profitable bets - Divisional Road Dogs: 544-479-33 ATS. .New Orleans are 28-56 ATS since 1980 at home as favorite. Play on Carolina Panthers to cover |
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10-25-20 | Cowboys +1 v. Washington Football Team | 3-25 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
I know Dalton is not getting alot of respect from linesmakers despite of his vast NFL starting experience. /Yes, he looked horrible last time out in a 38-10 loss to the Cards. But in week 6 when he took over for Prescott he got the W for the Cowboys, and and is more than capable of a bounce back effort here today vs a suspect Washington football team. The NFC East is a bad division and at 2-4 the Cowboys are not out of a play off appearance, so their alot more motivated than the pundits might think. there is alot of talent in this Dallas lineup and a feel confident backing them here today as they look to get some long lost respect and dignity back. Note: Washington is 0-8-1 ATS L/9 coming off a road loss where they allowed at least 100 rushing yards which was the case last week. Dallas to cover |
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10-25-20 | Cowboys v. Washington Football Team OVER 44.5 | 3-25 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
10-24-20 | Texas State v. BYU UNDER 60.5 | 14-52 | Loss | -109 | 38 h 17 m | Show | |
The Cougars are averaging 3.2 sacks per game, which is 15th-best in the nation. They have 16 sacks through five games. Im betting Texas States offense ill have issues flowing in this tilt. BYU’s defense is allowing 14 points per game. Meanwhile, after annihilating Houston on the road last week Im betting this will be a game where alot of starters get rested as they game progresses, as bigger fish are on deck. This Im betting results in a more muted effort offensively from the Cougars in a game that they will use like a week off. TEXAS ST is 8-1 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.5 ppg going on the board. TEXAS ST is 13-3 UNDER L/16 vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season with a combined average of 50.2 ppg. TEXAS ST is 8-1 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 48.9 ppg going on the board. BYU is 0-13-1 UNDER as a favorite coming off a game where they covered by at least five points with the highest combined score total coming in at 59 points and. the overall combined average score clicking in at 41.9 ppg.BYU is 7-0 UNDER off a road win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 44.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-24-20 | Cincinnati +2.5 v. SMU | 42-13 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati D is tops in the AAC, ranking first in both total and scoring defense while giving up just 12.3 points per game and are well rested as they have been off since Oct 3. Thats extremely important vs a explosive SMU offense that ranks among the top attacks in the nation. However, that offense Im betting will not be as efficient here this week against this type of D, and with receiver Reggie Roberson and starting running back TJ McDaniel out will find themselves less fluid. These teams have played very closely contested games in recent meetings, and Im sure another one is at hand, but my projections make the Bearcats the superior tea, and with the wrong side favored will take a stance with the points. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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10-24-20 | Louisiana Tech -2 v. UTSA | 26-27 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 26 m | Show | |
UTSA has played valiantly of late, however, putting in so much hard work and still losing, three straight they are now exhausted. Army was last weeks opponent and before that BYU and UAB on the road. Those were all physical grinding affairs, and now against a hungry LATech squad, off an embarrassing 35-17 home loss to Marshall last time out, Im betting they wont have the needed energy to get across the finish line again. Louisiana Tech is 12-0 ATS/SU as a favorite coming off a home loss where they scored less than 35 points. UTSA is 0-6 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Play on LA Tech |
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10-24-20 | Utah State v. Boise State -16.5 | 13-42 | Win | 100 | 36 h 60 m | Show | |
Broncos have owned this series against the Aggies clicking on 16 of the L/17 meetings straight up and have been an ATM for their betting backers cashing on 13 of those games against the spread. Last season when these teams met at Utah State the Broncos teed of on the Aggies winning by a 56-21 count and that was with Utah States star QB in the lineup (Jordan Love). I know the Aggies will be out looking for revenge, but Im betting Bryan Harsins group just don't have same quality guns as the Broncos needed to get the job done. Key: .QB Bachmeier started eight games as a true freshman last season. He recorded a 7-1 record as a starter and threw for 1,879 yards and 9 touchdowns while completing 63 percent of his passes and today Im betting he continues his ascension. Play on Boise State to cover |
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10-24-20 | South Carolina v. LSU -5.5 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 37 h 2 m | Show | |
Missouri according to my power rankings is being over rated here today. Yes, they beat Auburn last time out, but despite of getting the W, they were out yarded by a 481-297 count, which tells a truer tale of their abilities . Here today vs a very hungry defending national champion Im betting their vulnerabilities will be exposed. Missouri is 0-6-1 L/7 in this series vs LSU. LSU is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 2 seasons. Defending National Champions are 50-9-1 SU in games with a below .500 record, including 9-1 ATS in conference games. CFB home team vs. the money line (LSU) - struggling defensive team (440 or more YPG) against an average defensive team (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 26-7 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.8 ppg. CFB home team vs. the money line (LSU) - excellent passing team (8.3 or more PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 9 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 31-8 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.8 ppg. Play on LSU to cover |
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10-24-20 | Baylor +9.5 v. Texas | 16-27 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas has fallen in my power rankings thanks in part to a defense that has allowed 456 yards and 36 points per game. Meanwhile, Baylor is up-trending and took out Texas, 24-10, in Waco last season and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 visits to Austin. I know the Longhonrs have revenge on board, but the way they are playing nothing will come easy for them , thus getting points here makes for a viable wager. TEXAS is 0-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 over the last 3 season. Herman is 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 as the coach of TEXAS. BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.( Failed to cover their last time out on Oct 3 to W.Virginia is. a 27-21 loss) CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, in the second half of the season are 27-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFB college football home favorite like Texas with a week of rest in Game Five if they allow 30 or more points per game are just 3-21 ATS L/30 seasons. Play on Baylor to cover |
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10-24-20 | Houston v. Navy +15 | 37-21 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 46 m | Show | |
Navy at 3-0 in AAC play is huge underdog here at home. I know Navy does not look as cohesive as past carnations of this program, but Houston is over rated as well, as was evident when BYU ran over them as visitors , and that fact the team has given up as many yards as they have accumulated. With that said, and knowing how Military colleges dont take to being embarrassed or disrespected by the linesmakers, Ill make a stand here with the Middies and the points. NAVY is 9-2 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. NAVY is 7-0 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Navy is 11-0 ATS L/12 as a dog facing a team allowing at least 29 points per game. The only 3 losses in this set came by 3 points exact. Play on Navy to cover |
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10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +10.5 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
After a muted 13-point effort against Clemson to open the season, the Demon Deacon offense has looked explosive . Wake Forests QB Hartman, has been in top form in his last three tilts, connecting through the air for an average of 9.0 yards per attempt with no interceptions. Thats the kind of team and QB you want to back as underdogs getting points. My own projections make this to many points for Vtech to be favored by, and Im buying in to the Deacons ability to cover vs a side that has failed to cover its last 4 in back to back road games. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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10-24-20 | Tulane v. Central Florida OVER 70 | 34-51 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knights behind the big arm of quarterback Dillon Gabriel, who became the first UCF signal-caller to throw for over 500 yards last Saturday against Memphis Im betting will once again be ready to explode on offense vs a suspect Tulane D. Meanwhile, Tulane also has a top tier dual threat QB in Michael Pratt who Im betting will also tee off on a UCF D that ranks 74th in total defense out of 77 FBS teams. Play on the OVER |
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10-23-20 | Tulsa v. South Florida UNDER 50.5 | 42-13 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
Tulsa’s showing us a strong defensive structure this season . Ranking third in Havoc ratings lead by Linebacker Zaven Collins who has owned the opposition with three sacks, three hurries and a top-10 tackles for loss On the flipside, the Canes offense has been below average ranking in the bottom 10 in Success Rate with a Finishing Drives rank of 63rd. .Meanwhile, USF while trying to move at an accelerated pace offense , still have huge problems as their Offensive Finishing Drives rank a lowly 75th. Thats not a good omen for Bulls fluidity against a Tulsa defense that allows just three points per trip in past the 40-yard line. All in all my projections estimate a total closer to 46 whihc gives us great value on a under wager. |
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10-22-20 | Giants +4.5 v. Eagles | 21-22 | Win | 100 | 36 h 48 m | Show | |
The Giants are really hyped for this national TV game in a key divisional confrontation. If they win they will be 2nd in the division so their motivation factors are clear. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is over rated and their one win vs a banged up 49ers team was not as impressive as one might think or the media might have us believe as is evident by their favorite status in 3 games this season in which they did not win. The Giants are 19-0 ATS L/19 vs a divisional opponent that has at least one victory on the season and has forced fewer than 1.2 turnovers and has allowed 70-plus rushing yards per game season-to-date with no loss coming by more than 3 points. NY GIANTS are 10-1 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons. NY GIANTS are 10-0 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. The Giants are 10-0 ATS as road dogs when coming off a division home victory. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against for a 83% conversion rate. Play on NY Giants to cover |
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10-22-20 | Arkansas State v. Appalachian State -12.5 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 34 h 22 m | Show | |
Arkansas State has an explosive offense but the App State Mountaineers defense is showing themselves to be as tough as nails, as is evident by holding their opposition to 19.3 PPG and in their only loss allowed another top tier explosive offense to just 17 points on the road vs Marshall. Tonight I expect the Mountaineers D, to own the line of scrimmage vs the Wolves and for the Mounties offense to tee off on a Arkansas St D, that is allowing 39.8 ppg. APPALACHIAN ST is 7-0 ATS /SU versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 season with average margin of victory coming by an average of just under 22 ppg. Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (ARKANSAS ST) - with a poor first half defense - 16 or more points per game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored 39-82 ATS L/28 years for a 68% go against conversion rate. Play on App State to cover |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys +1.5 | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 15 m | Show | |
Only 31 teams have failed to cover a single point spread through the first five weeks of a season. But here we are with Dallas on the edge of such a precipice. The good news for Boyz betting betting backers are that teams are 22-9 (ATS) under those perimeters, with underdogs like Dallas holding an even bigger edge cashing 19 of 25 times for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. It must also be noted that sides with sub par ATS records at 30% or less going against the teams with winning ATS records are 174-110-11 in Weeks 6-17 for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. I know top gun QB Dak Prescott is out for the Boyz, but his backup Andy Dolton has had top tier success in this league, and has a boatload full of experience and respected by his teammates making him a viable pivot to back in this spot vs a up-trending but still not top tier Arizona side, that is 0-7 ATS in Monday night affairs sporting a .500 or better record. Dallas is 5-1 ATS as a home dog dating back 40 seasons, and tonight Im betting they add to those positive numbers. DALLAS is 12-2 straight up against ARIZONA since 1992 Play on Dallas to cover |
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10-19-20 | Chiefs v. Bills UNDER 57.5 | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 69 h 11 m | Show | |
Im not letting recency bias take away from my own projections that estimate this total to be closer to 54 giving us top tier value with an under wager. v KC has gone under in 12 of their L/14 after playing the Raiders. Buffalo has gone under in 5 of their L/6 as conference home dogs. BUFFALO is 9-1 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 34.8 ppg scored.BUFFALO is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 31.6 ppg scored. NFL Home teams against the total (BUFFALO) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 25-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-19-20 | Chiefs v. Bills +5 | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 7 m | Show | |
The defending Super Bowl Champs suffered their first loss last time out against Las Vegas, and with that said it must be noted, that when that has happened in the past these elite teams are just 12-25 straight up in their following game . Thats not a good omen for the Chiefs vs a hungry Buffalo team with something to prove. Ill be taking points here all the way against Mahomes in company. |
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10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers +3.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 55 m | Show | |
Jimmy G had a crap game last week connecting on just 7 of 17 passes. However, he must not be counted out in his ability to bounce back even on a bum ankle. You have to remember Garoppolo is 25-8 in his career and 7-3 SU/8-2 ATS as a dog and 1-0 SU/ATS when hosting as a pup. Add to that the embarrassment associated with being benched , and you have a motivated talented competitor to deal with. Also after three straight home losses, the 49ers as a team will be ready to avert another embarrassing effort. There is not such thing as due, but Im betting on the Jimmy G train steaming into the proverbial station tonight and for the Niners to give the Rams more of a battle than the lines-makers expect them to. Play in San Francisco to cover |
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10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 52 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 52 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting on a rockem sockem hard fought affair that will be played fairly conservatively. I know after Miami upset the Niners and made their D, look lazy a huge bounce back effort will be on the agenda. Rams hardcore D, remains ready to adjust on the road here which Im betting leads to a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. LA RAMS are 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 45 ppg going on the board. NFLHome teams against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 25-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams against the total (LA RAMS) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a team with a losing record are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-18-20 | Bears v. Panthers -1 | 23-16 | Loss | -106 | 45 h 9 m | Show | |
My projections make the Panthers -3 favs at home this week, thus giving us value on the line. Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.Panthers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS off a upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival are 2-28 L/10 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (CHICAGO) - off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 29-63 ATS L/37 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate. Play on the Carolina Panthers to win |
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10-18-20 | Browns +4 v. Steelers | 7-38 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is 4-0 for first time since 1978 and 1979 but make no mistake this team is not a tough as the steel curtain group that dominated opponents and won Super Bowls, and are being over rated here based on recency bias. Meanwhile, Cleveland has finally gotten to a point where they deserve respect , behind top tier QB Baker Mayfield. With Browns bring sporting a 5-0 ATS record as division road underdogs of 7 or less points Im betting they bring the heat here in this important early season game and get us the cover.
Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama OVER 56.5 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The Georgia Bulldogs take on the Alabama Crimson Tide in SEC action this Saturday in a game I have projected to eclipse this total. Ill state the obvious by saying that both teams possess explosive offenses with the Tide averaging 51 ppg and the Dawgs 36 ppg, and despite of viable defenses, it will take a boat load full of points for one of these teams to come out on top here, with OT also being a higher percentage possibility. These teams have seen the over eclisped in 8 of their L/10 meetings and last year they took part in a tilt that combined for 63 points. Rinse and repeat folks. |
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10-17-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State +14 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
UNC showed its vulnerabilities on defense against the Hokies, allowing 46 points last week and now Im betting incumbent QB Jordan Travis will exploit those issues here this week for Florida State. I know Florida State never seems to inspire bettors, but N.Carolina is being over rated here on the line, thus giving us value with the home underdog. Florida State is 15-3-1 SU in this series since joining the ACC. and are 5-0-1 ATS when facing a undefeated Tar Heels. Play on Florida State to cover |
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10-17-20 | Marshall v. Louisiana Tech +14 | 35-17 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
This is just to many points for Marshall to be laying on the road especially with the The Bulldogs showing a 16-4 ATS record as underdogs with revenge , including 13-1 ATS in conference tilts. Last year Fritz and company lost 31-10 at Marshall and now with payback on the agenda they will be at their best. MARSHALL is 6-17 ATS L/23 in road games off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival . LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. LA Tech to cover |
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10-17-20 | Central Florida -146 v. Memphis | 49-50 | Loss | -146 | 30 h 38 m | Show | |
The Central Florida Golden Knights have owned this series vs Memphis , winning 13 straight times and Im betting nothing changes here today. Considering Memphis has played just two games this season due to COVID-19 protocols Im betting their cohesiveness is in question, and that they have not reached peak performance capacity yet as was the case in a loss to SMU last time out. Needless to say the Tigers are vulnerable against a Central Florida football program that wants badly to bounce back after a off game last time out that resulted in their first loss of the season. Play on Central Florida to win and cover/split line pick and -3 |
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10-17-20 | Army v. UTSA +7.5 | 28-16 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 34 m | Show | |
Army lit up their two first opponents of the season recording crushing win vs MTSU and UL-Monroe, However since than Army has lost to Cincinnati by 14 points , allowed Abilene Christian to score 23 points on them and barley got by a less than stellar Citadel by just 4 points. Meanwhile, the Roadrunners have captured three wins this season and gave BYU and UAB hard fought close tilts on the road. From a matchup perspective this line is slightly tainted based on Army's reputation which gives us value with a home pup that has cashed 5 of their L/6 as single digit dogs at home. Play on UTSA to cover |
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10-17-20 | Texas State v. South Alabama -3 | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show | |
South Alabama got beat by UAB at home on September 24th and have now had plenty of time to recuperate and be fully rested for this tilt vs Texas State(1-4) and have an edge. CFB home team vs. the money line (S ALABAMA) - excellent passing team (8.3 or more PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 9 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 ppg. Play on South Alabama to cover |
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10-16-20 | BYU v. Houston +5.5 | 43-26 | Loss | -109 | 63 h 17 m | Show | |
Houston after a long delay played their first game of the season vs the Tulane Green Wave last week in successful fashion out gaining them by a 476-211 count rolling to a 49-31 victory. Meanwhile, BYU had a much harder time vs a physical UTSA squad winning by 7 points but failing to cover as 34+ point chalk. Now this week, BYU makes its first trip away from Provo , and are being pegged as favorites. However, the Mormons are just 2-12 ATS L/14 away as 4 point or more chalk, and in my humble opinion are being over estimated in their abilities at this point in the season. Tonight Im betting on Holgerson's heros to get us the cover. It must be noted the HC of Houston has seen his team cover 3 straight times vs undefeated sides. Meanwhile, Sitake is 0-6 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games as the coach of BYU. Play on Houston to cover |
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10-16-20 | BYU v. Houston OVER 62 | 43-26 | Win | 100 | 63 h 9 m | Show | |
10-16-20 | SMU v. Tulane +6.5 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
The SMU Mustangs travel to play the Tulane Green Wave in College Football action this Friday night. Which side has the edge? Get the scholastic gridiron info the books do not want you to have. kick off after 6:00 pm et |
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10-15-20 | Georgia State v. Arkansas State UNDER 73 | 52-59 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
The Arkansas State Red Wolves’ explosive offense will be in tough here against the Georgia State Panthers’ top tier defense. My projections say they will have success , but not on par with the linesmakers estimates. Yes both teams run fast paced offences, but the totals number, is just a tad high considering one of these sides defence is of the top tier variety Note:Georgia State ranks second in the nation in defensive Havoc and has registered 17 tackles for a loss. Georgia State, ranks first in Stuff Rate, Power Success and against pass explosiveness. Im betting the Panthers dont make life easy for the Red Wolves, and their 50/50 attack might turn to the run more often and eat clock time because of the problems that the Panthers secondary will provide. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring tilt that the linesmakers expect. GEORGIA ST is 7-0 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive overs with a combined average of 53.8 ppg scored.GEORGIA ST is 10-1 UNDER after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game with a combined average of 48 ppg going on the score board. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (ARKANSAS ST/GEORGIA ST) - when playing on a Thursday are 48-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette -7 | 30-27 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Louisiana moved up in the national rankings this week, ranked No. 21 in the AP Top 25 poll and No. 21 in the USA Today Amway Coaches poll and deserve respect. I like Coastal Carolina football program and they are up trending, but according to my graphical data charts should be closer to -10 underdogs, thus giving us value with the favorite at home. Im betting on Levi Lewis to be key in their victory tonight. The Qb has thrown for 723 yards through three games this year. The yardage total ranks him 34th in the nation . CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - excellent offensive team (6.2 YPP or more ) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), in conference games are 11-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play ON UL Lafayette. |
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10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 60 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
In a battle of two undefeated teams, Im betting we see a closely contested affair that is conservative in nature. Neither of these teams plays to tempo. For example :UL Lafayette's offense averages 26 seconds per play while Coastal Carolina moves at a snails pace behind one the slowest offenses in the nation at 30.2 seconds per play. The Ragin’ Cajuns have had alot of problems converting opportunity into points, with a Finishing Drives rank of 70th in the nation. Meanwhile, UL Lafayette's under appreciated defense has done a fantastic job of limiting explosive plays, ranking seventh in opposition plays from scrimmage of plus 20 yards. Everything for me points to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this number. My projections estimate this total closer to 56 which gives credence to my recommended under bet. COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. LA LAFAYETTE is 6-0 UNDER as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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10-11-20 | Vikings v. Seahawks -7 | 26-27 | Loss | -102 | 35 h 3 m | Show | |
Seattle has owned this series in the recent past winning 6 of the L/7 meetings. The Vikings are 0-10 ATSL/10 coming off a win as a dog where they scored at least 24 points. The Vikings are 0-8 ATS L/8 coming off a win as a dog where they gained at least 400 yards. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - team with a turnover diff. of +0.75/game or better against a team with a diff of -0.75/game or worse, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 23-1 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.8 which qualifies for a ATS selection. NFL- Road underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 1-25 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.3 which qualifies under a ATS selection. Play on Seattle to cover |
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10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns +1.5 | 23-32 | Win | 100 | 69 h 26 m | Show | |
Indianapolis is 1-9 SUL/10 on the AFC North road, including 1-5 SU and 0-6 SU/ATS when coming off a victory. Considering Cleveland actually looks viable and up-trending in my power rankings Im betting on them bringing us home cash here tonight. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better) are 32-6 L/37 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-11-20 | Dolphins v. 49ers UNDER 50.5 | 43-17 | Loss | -103 | 44 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami QB Fitzpatrick has thrown five interceptions, tied for third most in the NFL. His passer rating ranks 28th and now this week I expect he will be out to protect the ball and make shorter smarter passes buoyed by his teams running game which Im betting eats up alot of clock time. Meanwhile, the Niners struggled on the offensive line last week, allowing 16 pressures, which is not a good omen for offensive flow here today. With that said, Im betting this number is just a bit bloated and should be closer to 47.5/ giving us value to the under. Jimmy Garoppolo is questionable Sunday vs Miami ( Ankle ) and if he does play will be less than 100%. MIAMI is 34-19 UNDER versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or more yards/play with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored.MIAMI is 27-10 L/37 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. Play on the UNDER |
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10-11-20 | Raiders +12.5 v. Chiefs | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Raiders-Chiefs has long been one of the NFL's bitter rivalries. The teams have met 122 times since their days together in the AFL, and the animosity has been there regardless whether the Raiders played in Oakland, Los Angeles or now Las Vegas. With that said, Im betting on this being a closely contested and very physical game. NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (KANSAS CITY) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in weeks 5 through 9 are 14-44 ATS L/37 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on LAS Vegas to cover |
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10-11-20 | Eagles +7.5 v. Steelers | 29-38 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
Philadelphia after floundering for much of their earlier games finally got things going with a impressive 25-20 win over San Francisco as 8 point dogs . It must be noted that the Eagles are 9-0-1 ATS L/10 covering by more than 10 ppg off a game as a dog where they covered. Meanwhile, last time out the Steelers, came back to beat Houston 28-21 covering as short chalk. But its interesting to note the Steelers are just 0-8 ATS L/8 as a favorite of more than three points off a game as a favorite that they covered. the Eagles look to be up-trending following a ugly start and thanks to a defense that's nearly Pittsburgh's equal when it comes to getting after the quarterback we have value taking points . .... take the points with the under rated underdog vs a very big public favorite. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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10-10-20 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -13.5 | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 61 h 24 m | Show | |
Miami may be improved but their still not in the same category as the Clemson Tigers.Dabo has won 24 straight at home and in my humbler betting opinion will be motivated to romp here today. The last two meetings in this series, were 58-0 and 38-3 victories for Clemson. Rinse and repeat. CLEMSON is 11-2 ATS vs. sub par/average passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons with Clemson scoring an average of 50.2 ppg while allowing 12,2 ppg.CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by just under 30 ppg. Play on Clemson to cover |
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10-10-20 | Marshall v. Western Kentucky +7 | 38-14 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 18 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky does not have great numbers, but must not be underestimated as home dogs vs a Marshall side in a letdown situation after a huge win vs Appalachian State last time out. W KENTUCKY is 16-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992. Holliday is 8-18 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of MARSHALL. CFB home team (W KENTUCKY) - off a road win against a conference rival against opponent off a double digit upset win as an underdog of 6 more are 38-13 ATS L/28 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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10-10-20 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky -125 | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 36 h 24 m | Show | |
10-10-20 | Temple v. Navy +3.5 | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 72 h 38 m | Show | |
This will be Temples first game of the season, while Navy will play their 4th game of the season. I know Navy has looked uneven to this point, but with this being the Owls first real game, the Midshipman could easily have an edge .With that said, Im recommending we take the points. NAVY is 10-2 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. NAVY is 10-2 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Midshipmen are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Midshipmen are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Midshipmen are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Navy to cover |
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10-10-20 | Kansas State +9 v. TCU | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 55 h 22 m | Show | |
My projections estimate this game to be decided by one score or less. I also wont be surprised if the Wildcats win this game SU. I know QB Skylar Thompson's arm injury might be a problem, but according to some insiders he should still be able to play if things go south for his backup. Also after TCUs huge win vs Texas last time out I expect them to be in a letdown situation. In the past playing the Longhorns has not been a good come for TCU betting backers as they have lost the cash in 11 of 12 tilts. Patterson is 2-12 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog as the coach of TCU.The Wildcats have won four of the last five meetings with the Frogs and get my support here taking points. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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10-10-20 | Kansas State v. TCU OVER 50 | 21-14 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 15 m | Show | |
QB Skylar Thompson's arm injury is not as bad as had earlier been anticipated and he will probably play and if he does not Will Howard who is extremely capable will admirably fill in. Kansas State has proven they can move the ball and Im betting they do it again today vs a TCU D in a letdown spot after a big win vs Texas last time out. On the flip side, the Frogs can also light up the board , behind QB Duggan, a sophomore, who has thrown for 472 yards and three touchdown. Patterson is 20-9 OVER after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs as the coach of TCU with a combined average of 60.2 ppg scored. Kansas State is 19-0-1 OVER L/20 dating back to the 2006 season as a dog of at least three points coming off a home game where they allowed at least two points fewer than expected with a combined average of 69.6 ppg scored with none of the 20 tilts seeing less a combined score at less than this total. Play OVER |
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10-10-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. Florida International -3.5 | 31-28 | Loss | -118 | 56 h 44 m | Show | |
Neither of these teams inspire confidence in most bettors, but according to my projections FIU is the superior side by 6 + points. CFB Road underdogs (MIDDLE TENN ST) - in conference games, off 2 covers where the team lost as an underdog are 4-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (MIDDLE TENN ST) - in conference games, off 2 covers where the team lost as an underdog are 3-34 L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -20.4 ppg. Play on Florida International to cover |
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10-10-20 | UTSA +35.5 v. BYU | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 55 h 2 m | Show | |
The Roadrunners are much improved and deserve respect here . With that said, Im betting on them to continue their viable ATS profit run that has seen them cover 7 of their L/9 9 vs. FBS programs and 4 of their last 5 as visitors. Hey BYU looks powerful, but this spread is just to big in my humble betting opinion. BYU has covered on 2 of their L/13 as 30 plus point chalk. UTSA has covered all 5 of their games where they were made 30+ point underdogs. CFB Home favorites (BYU) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (28-34 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points are 20-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTSA |
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10-10-20 | Tennessee +12.5 v. Georgia | 21-44 | Loss | -109 | 55 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a Tennessee side that has won 6 straight SEC tilts and 8 wins overall, must be respected here getting points vs Georgia . My projections actually make this a very close game that will be decided by 1 score or less. The Vols have also cashed 4 of their L/6 on the road as 10 or more point dogs and look like solid underdogs in this spot play. Also with revenge on board board for a ugly 43-14 loss in Knoxville last season, there will be lots of motivation for the Vols here on the road vs a Dawgs side that has failed to cash in 4 of their L/5 at home as DD SEC home favs. Note: Tennessee is 8-2 ATS in this series when out looking for revenge, including 5-0 ATS as a underdog. Smart is 4-12 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of GEORGIA. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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10-10-20 | Duke v. Syracuse +3 | 38-24 | Loss | -120 | 73 h 32 m | Show | |
. Duke enters this contest winless in 4 trips to the gridiron and are being over rated here vs a Cuse side that looked good recently in a win vs GTech by a 37-20 victory. The Orange smashed Duke , 49-6 last season, and even though the Blue Devils might want revenge, Im betting their effort to avenge that loss wont come easily. It must be noted the Devils are just 2-7 ATS in their L/9 attempts when playing with ACC revenge. SYRACUSE is 16-5 ATS L/21 in home games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry. SYRACUSE is 16-6 ATS L/22 in home games off a home win by 17 points or more. DUKE is 2-11 ATS L/13 in road games after allowing 37 points or more in 2 straight games. CFB home team (SYRACUSE) - off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, in weeks 5 through 9 are 47-18 L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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10-10-20 | Florida v. Texas A&M +7 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 72 h 43 m | Show | |
Im one of these guys who believes Florida is over rated. You have to remember that this is a Gators side that did not play well against South Carolina winning by a 38-24 count while failing to cover as 18 point favs and also gave up a crap load full of points in the 51-35 victory at Ole Miss. I know Texas A&M were soundly beaten by Alabama. But hey that was Alabama , so Im giving them a break . Note: Aggies HC Jimbo Fisher is 6-0 SU all-time when coming off a loss of more than 17 points. These teams have split their last four meetings with the last game in 2017 ending in a 19-17 A&M victory. With that said, I;ll take the points here in what Im betting will be a closely contested affair. Texas A&M are 15-3-3 ATS as conference home underdogs against opposition coming off a victory of 14 or more points, including 12-1 ATS as underdogs of less than 15 points. Take the the points with Texas A&M |
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10-10-20 | Virginia Tech +5 v. North Carolina | 45-56 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 52 m | Show | |
Both teams enter with 2-0 records overall and in ACC play. Virginia Tech despite of being short handed on a regular basis has found ways to win while North Carolina had played twice since Sept 12 and looked average at best this past Saturday in a 26-22 win at Boston College . The Hokies lead the ACC (3rd nationally) with 319 yards rushing yards per game, behind Khalil Herbert who leads the nation with a 156-yard per-game average. North Carolina leads the ACC, and the nation, in rushing defense at 54 yards per game. Strength against strength has me envisioning a stalemate type of tilt that will be closely contested. VIRGINIA TECH is 15-5 ATS L/20 as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. Virginia Tech has covered 6 of the L/7 meetings in this series. CFB team (VIRGINIA TECH) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 75-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears UNDER 45 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Tom Brady and company have accumulated a whopping 97 points (32.3 points per game) in their L/3 trips to the gridiron. Knowing this Im betting on the Bears coming up with a very conservative game plan here on the road and try to slow this tilt down to a crawl. Note: With Tarik Cohen out for season the Bears offense in no way behind QB Foles is going to be fluid. (The Bears ran for just 28 yards last week) Also with Buccaneers WRs Chris Godwin (hamstring) and Mike Evans (ankle) missing this week TBs offense may not be as fluid. CHICAGO is 12-4 UNDER in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 34.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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10-08-20 | Tulane v. Houston UNDER 60 | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
My numbers suggest this total should be closer to 54.5. So when looking at this game and trying to dissect value I see the under as a viable wager. This is Houstons first game of the season, and Im betting their offensive flow will be less than fluent out of the gate. Meanwhile, as is almost always the case defenses have an edge in preparedness early on in a teams season, I can see Houston ready to play on that front with 93% production back from last season on the defensive side of the ball. Also look for Tulane to pound the ball on the ground and to eat up plenty of clock time. The Green Wave have rushed on more than 52% of its plays and its become obvious to me QB Keon Howard is not a guy to go to the air much, giving credence to a much more subdued offensive performance. In 57 passes Howard has yet to throw a TD pass and has complete just 48% off 44 drops backs. Play on the UNDER |
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10-05-20 | Falcons +7 v. Packers | 16-30 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
These teams record are the polar opposite of each other with the Packers at 3-0 and the Falcons at 0-3. Truth is though neither side is as good or bad as their records might indicate. Bottom line here is the Falcons behind star QB Ryan will be able to move the ball fluently vs a Packers defense that has allowed an NFL-worst 6.9 yards per play so far this season. I know Atlantas defence and coaching have looked atrocious from a defensive perspective blowing tow huge DD leads for losses, but getting points in this situation behind an explosive offense has me taking points here tonight. GREEN BAY is 8-20 ATS in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 6 or more yards/play since 1992.ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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10-04-20 | Eagles v. 49ers -7 | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 50 m | Show | |
The deep Niners rallied around backup QB Nick Mullens last week as the pivot was 25-of-36 for 343 yards and was exceptional in key down situations. I cannot say the same about Carson Wentz of the Eagles. Traveling from East to west is not an easy task especially in a letdown state after a come from behind 23-23 OT tilt last week. Niners all the way here. The Eagles are 1-5 ATS L/6 seasons as road dogs against NFC West opposition. NFL away teams, following an overtime tie like the Philadelphia Eagles – are 0-15 SU dating back 32 seasons. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a turnover diff. of +0.75/game or better against a team with a diff of -0.75/game or worse, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 27-1 L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average margin deficit clicking in at +12.8 ppg which qualifies under this side call. Play on San Francisco to cover |
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10-04-20 | Bills v. Raiders UNDER 53.5 | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
I know we have to good QBs on the field today with Carr and Allen taking snaps, but because of this and some recency bias we have a total that is bloated and only good for public consumption. BUFFALO is 9-0 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 30.2 ppg scored. McDermott is 6-0 UNDER in road games after a win by 6 or less points as the coach of BUFFALO with a combined average of 33 points per game going on the board. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (LAS VEGAS) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 22-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-04-20 | Bills v. Raiders +3.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 14 m | Show | |
The Bills built a 28-3 lead last week vs the Rams before running out of gas, and finally had to come from behind in their last drive of the game to come up with a win. Now winded and in a emotional letdown spot, Im betting the Raiders who will be primed to bounce back off a loss to make a game out of this here in Vegas in their new diggs and get us the cover. NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - off a home win, in the first month of the season are just 43-81 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 65% for bettors. Raiders are 5-0 SU L/5 meetings in this series. Play on Las Vegas to cover |
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10-04-20 | Colts v. Bears +3 | 19-11 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Acquired from Jacksonville in the offseason, Foles took over in the third quarter at Atlanta last week and threw three touchdowns in the fourth as Chicago wiped out a 16-point deficit to win 30-26 and now the team feels confident and re-energized and are viable home underdogs here today. |
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10-04-20 | Jaguars +3 v. Bengals | 25-33 | Loss | -106 | 53 h 30 m | Show | |
Bengals rookie QB Joe Burrow gets little to no protection from his offensive line. The kid was sacked 8 times last week and the pressure he faces from DLs is fascinatingly ugly. This no 1 draft pick spends more time on his back than a Bunny Ranch sub -contractor. After getting public money and being favored in both their games so far this season and falling flat on their faces, I wont be surprised if their upset again, and more importantly I really dont believe they should be chalk against anyone in the NFL just yet despite of the promise of their young pivot. Note: The Jags are 9-0-3 ATS against the AFC North while the Bengals are 0-4 ATS L/4 vs AFC south as hosts. NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (JACKSONVILLE) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 49-20 L/37 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jacksonville Jags to cover |
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10-04-20 | Browns +5 v. Cowboys | 49-38 | Win | 100 | 47 h 18 m | Show | |
10-03-20 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State +7 | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 52 h 31 m | Show | |
The Sooners (1-1, 0-1 Big 12) have won five consecutive conference titles and have reached the College Football Playoff for three consecutive seasons, but their ability to continue either of those streaks is in doubt after last week's 38-35 loss to Kansas State. Now in desperation mode, Im betting they will come out here ready to play, but the linesmakers knowing this and playing to public sentiment have over evaluated this line giving us value with the underdog. The series has been largely lopsided with the Sooners winning 20 of the last 21 meetings and 24 consecutive games in Ames since 1961. But since Matt Campbell's arrival, the Cyclones have been competitive against Oklahoma. Each of the last four meetings has been decided by 10 or fewer points and Iowa State pulled off an upset at Oklahoma in 2017. CFB road team vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA) - after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 4-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate. CFB Road favorites (OKLAHOMA) - excellent offensive team (440 ot more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 33-69 ATS L/28 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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10-03-20 | Southern Miss v. North Texas -120 | 41-31 | Loss | -120 | 51 h 20 m | Show | |
North Texas plays their best football at home where they have won 16 of their L/20 games, ande must be respected vs a Southern Miss team that has lost their first 3 games of the season. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (NORTH TEXAS) - excellent offensive team (440 or moreYPG) against a team with a terrible defense (440 or more YPG), after allowing 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 33-1 L/10 years for a 97% conversion rate. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SOUTHERN MISS) - with a terrible rushing D - allowing 225 or more rushing yards/game, after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game are 6-28 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on North Texas to cover |
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10-03-20 | Arkansas +17 v. Mississippi State | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Arkansas' offense Im betting will flow against Mississippi State and have more favorable results than it did against Georgia's top tier D. Meanwhile, Miss State off a huge win last week vs LSU will now find themselves in a letdown spot. With that said we have value with the Arkansas Razorbacks to cover . Play on Arkansas to cover |
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10-03-20 | Navy v. Air Force UNDER 46 | 7-40 | Loss | -104 | 50 h 50 m | Show | |
Both these sides Air Force and Navy key on running the ball which grinds down alot of clock time. Both sides also know how to defend against the run especially from a similar opponent like they will face today. This adds up to a tilt that Im betting lands under this totals number. It must be noted that in games involving two of the three service academy programs a 35-9-1 record to the under has been registered for a 80% conversion rate. Last time out Navy made a huge comeback to win 27-24 after being down 24-0 at the half. Now in a huge letdown situation and rusty after a extended two week break Im also betting their offense has another Narcoleptic episode. Niumatalolo is 17-3 UNDER after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game as the coach of NAVY. Also Niumatalolo is 20-4 UNDER in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest as the coach of NAVY while averaging just 19.8 ppg on offense. Play UNDER |
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10-03-20 | Navy v. Air Force +7 | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 50 h 49 m | Show | |
The Air Force Falcons have won eight consecutive games going back to last season, which matches Notre Dame for the nation's longest active winning streak. Navy has lost three consecutive games in Colorado Springs and Im betting if they win today it will not come easily. Niumatalolo is 7-16 ATS in road games after a bye week as the coach of NAVY CFB Road favorites (NAVY) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 22-55 ATS L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Air Force to cover |
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10-03-20 | Memphis v. SMU +2.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 47 h 21 m | Show | |
This SMU side deserves respect here vs Memphis as they ride a 12-2 SU record that dates back to last season. This season they are 3-0 averaging 562 yards per game and 49 points. Note: SMU HC Sonny Dykes owns a 5-0 SU record when coming off three wins-exact and get the nod again today. SMU is 6-0 ATS after playing a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. Dykes is 6-0 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games as the coach of SMU. CFB home team vs. the money line (SMU) - after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite, after the first month of the season are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. CFB home team vs. the money line (SMU) - after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 40-5 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SMU |
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10-03-20 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -2.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 47 h 18 m | Show | |
CFB home team vs. the money line (KANSAS ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.6 YPP), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 27-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Kansas State to cover |
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10-03-20 | South Florida +21 v. Cincinnati | 7-28 | Push | 0 | 47 h 16 m | Show | |
10-03-20 | North Carolina v. Boston College +14 | 26-22 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show | |
Boston College behind HC Jeff Hafley are off to a 2-0 start, including victories against Duke and Texas State. With the Golden Eagles 6-1-1 ATS as a conference home dog I looked closely at them to get us the cover today vs North Carolina . Considering since game day, it will be three weeks since UNC last played with this being their first road game Im betting they will be rusty and less cohesive than they need to be vs a scarppy side giving us the edge we need with BC to cover at home as DD dogs. |
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10-03-20 | NC State +14 v. Pittsburgh | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
NC State's defense despite of some hickups had success pressuring the quarterback in the Wake Forest game, registering six sacks in that outing and Im betting they can replicate that here today on their way to a cover vs a hyped 3-0 public favorite( Pittsburgh) The L/4 times that Pittsburgh found themselves at 3-0 they failed to cash for their backers. I know Pitts D, looks strong but NC States offense looks capable of keeping pace . Take the points with NC State to cover |
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10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech +24.5 v. BYU | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Thanks to recency bias of a 2-0 and 103-10 winning deficit to start their season BYU has been raised to its highest bar in seasons. However, a natural letdown is expected by me vs a Skip Holtz side that must not be underestimated in its ability to stay within the 24 point plus line . Holtz as a Road Underdog is 23-9 ATS L/32 for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Louisiana Tech can really make a game fast and their pace right now is at 24.8 seconds per play. The offense has run 90% of plays through the 10 formation, and have gone to the air in 60% of those downs and overall ranked top 20 through two games in passing success rate behind the arm of Luke Anthony. When your looking to back a underdog like this I truly have always believed that that teams needs to be offensively efficient with a quick strike ability, and we have that with LA Tech. BYU s 0-7 ATS as double-digit favorite when playing off back-to-back wins against an opponent coming off a double-digit victory like LA Tech. Play on LA Tech to cover |
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10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets UNDER 41.5 | 37-28 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Denver and the NY Jets have showed very little flow on offence this season. Denver ranks 30th in DVOA and the NY Jets ranks 31st in DVOA. Both sides have offensive ,line and QB issues, not a good recipe for a high scoring affair, which favors the under. DENVER is 6-0 UNDER in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37.2 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 7-0 UNDER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons for a combined average of 33.9 ppg scored. NY JETS are 6-0 UNDER in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 33 ppg going on the score board. NFL Home teams against the total (NY JETS) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after 3 straight losses by 10 or more points are 26-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 57 h 9 m | Show | |
I really feel comfortable taking points with the Chiefs . You have to remember Mahomes has in his pro football career never lost a game in the month of September , going 9-0 SU and must be respected getting points here vs a huge public favorite in Baltimore. Baltimore is 0-10 ATS as a single-digit favorite when coming off consecutive SUATS victories. Chiefs’ 11-0 ATS mark away off consecutive wins when facing AFC. KANSAS CITY is 12-4 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. NFL Underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 28-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. NFL Road underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) - poor defense from last season - allowed 335 or more total yards/game, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on KC Chiefs to cover |
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09-27-20 | Packers v. Saints -3 | 37-30 | Loss | -108 | 59 h 7 m | Show | |
Saints lost to Vegas last time out, which to some was surprising. I was not surprised after an emotional win vs Tom Brady in week one that had the Saints in a let down state vs aa Raiders side that wanted to make a big impression out of the gate in their new diggs. Now Im betting QB Drew Bress will be ready to bounce back here against a Green Bay team getting alot of media play after huge offensive outputs in their first two tilts. It must be noted that Saints QB Brees is 24-10 ATS in his career in non-division games when coming off a non-division defeat and the Saints are a perfect 8-0 SUATS in their last eight home games on Sunday night football. Payton is 20-10 ATS against NFC North division opponents as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Payton is 34-17 ATS off a non-conference game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Payton is 28-13 ATS off a road loss as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NFL team against the total (GREEN BAY) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a division rival, in September games are 18-47 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. New Orleans to cover |
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09-27-20 | Cowboys +5 v. Seahawks | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 25 m | Show | |
Seattle QB Russell Wilson has looked explosive in the early going this season and Dallas has been less than sizzling and that in part is why we getting an off line to bet into here with the underdog Cowboys. It also must be noted that the Seahawks despite of their offensive fireworks behind a deep flow offense has been blitzed defensively and out-gained in each of their two wins as is evident by allowing a whopping 970 yards . Key to this game: Dallas leads the NFL with 41 plays of 10 yards or more through the first two games. Seattle has allowed the most plays of 10 yards or more with 47. Cowboys are a live dog based on current status of both sides real data. DALLAS is 16-4 ATS in road games after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half since 1992. (They came back big last time and carry that momen tun into this tilt) McCarthy is 14-4 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1992. NFLHome favorites (SEATTLE) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after scoring 30 points or more last game are 3-25 ATS L/37 years for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. NFLUnderdogs or pick (DALLAS) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 28-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Dallas to cover |
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09-27-20 | Bengals +4.5 v. Eagles | 23-23 | Win | 100 | 51 h 22 m | Show | |
The Bengals have had success for their betting backers in this series covering 10 straight times and get my support here again today.PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Im not liking what I see from the Eagles so far, and according to my power rankings this game should be closer to the FG thus giving us a line advantage edge. Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover |
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09-27-20 | Bengals v. Eagles UNDER 47.5 | 23-23 | Win | 100 | 51 h 20 m | Show | |
Both teams have been plagued by injuries on the offensive line and because of this Im betting offensive flow will be hampered here this week. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score clicking in at 40.4 ppg. PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 UNDER in home games after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37.8 ppg scored. Pederson is 8-1 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average score of 35.8 ppg going on the board. CINCINNATI is 9-1 UNDER in road games off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog since 1992 with a combined average of 32.2 ppg scored. NFL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 24-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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09-27-20 | Rams v. Bills -1 | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 51 h 59 m | Show | |
Quarterback Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills - a team previously known for having a defense-first reputation now look to have an offense to go with their defense and good easily be in my humble opinion dark horse for a super bowl win. Don't laugh to loud, but it took him some time but Allen after looking NFL ready in his final College campaign with Wyoming is finally coming of age after a slow start to his career as is evident by his 729 yards passing, which ranks the Bills first in yards passing, third in yards gained and are tied for sixth in scoring 58 points. Im a believer and will take my stand with them today at home as short favs. BUFFALO is 21-9 ATS against NFC West division opponents since 1992. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (LA RAMS) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival are 2-27 L/10 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate. Play on Buffalo to win |
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09-26-20 | Troy +14 v. BYU | 7-48 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 6 m | Show | |
BYU started fast this season against a Navy team that was not prepared to play. The final 55-3 score was indicative of a side with more practice vs one that did not even take part in full contact drills. So Im not going to take alot from the Mormons game 1 win and crown them a top tier side just yet. Now after more than two weeks rest, BYU may also exhibit some rust, vs a well coached Troy team. Note: BYU is just 2-9 ATS L/11 with rest. It must be noted that Troys HC was the offensive coordinator at Auburn and a former quarterback coach at Troy and knows how to push a offense into warp speed. BYU is 23-41 ATS after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. The Trojans, are 10-0 ATS when coming off a non-conference win which was the case in the DD victory vs Midd Tenn State last time out. Play on Troy to cover |
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09-26-20 | Tennessee -3 v. South Carolina | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 36 h 10 m | Show | |
Gamecocks are just 2-9 ATS in the last eleven series meetings at home, and Im betting against them here today, as Tennessee according to my numbers should be closer to -6 favs. Yes even here on the road. Note: The Vols won their final 6 games of last season, and 17 starters back look like a viable bet vs a downtrending S.Carolina side that is 3-12 SU L/15 as a home dog. TENNESSEE is 18-6 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less since 1992. CFB team (S CAROLINA) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins are 10-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.\ Play on Tennessee to cover |
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09-26-20 | Duke v. Virginia -5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
Duke brought in Trevor Lawrences backup from Clemson (Chase Brice) in the offseason, and the offense has sputtered accumulating just 19 points and two ugly losses. The duke D, ha also been horrendous allowing 825 yards in the two defeats, and Im betting things wont get much better today vs Virginia. The Cavaliers have owned this series of late winning 5 straight SU/ATS and considering Dukes 1-7 SU record in their L/8 ACC battles, it wont be a hard decision to bet against them here this Saturday. Play on Virginia to cover |
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09-26-20 | Army +13 v. Cincinnati | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The undefeated No. 14 Bearcats host the 22nd-ranked Black Knights on Saturday. Cincinnati has lost 15 of its last 16 games against ranked teams and today Im betting if they get a win, it wont come so easily. ARMY is 5-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992. CFB road team vs. the money line (ARMY) - allowing 200 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games against opponent after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 20-7 L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Army to cover |
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09-26-20 | Florida International +7.5 v. Liberty | 34-36 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show | |
Liberty has just 9 returning starters and lost their leading rusher from last season , as well as their quarterback and top receiver in addition to its 3 top tacklers on D. I know Florida International also lost some experience from last season, but their defense now bolstered by the return of of twin Dames brothers make them a tough group to move the ball against. In my opinion we have value with the underdog to cover. CFB road team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games, game between two teams with 5 or less offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 32-8 ATS L/28 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Florida Int to cover |
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09-26-20 | Louisville +3 v. Pittsburgh | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 40 h 14 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is 2-0 so far with wins vs Austin Peay and Syracuse. Meanwhile, Louisville was beaten by Miami Fl,last time out but proved that they can score and are more than capable of hanging with the Panthers here today. Note: Pittsburgh as home favs , are less than a consistent bet as they sport a lowly 8-15-1 ATS L/24 record. Also Cardinal HC Scott Satterfield is 17-4 SU when coming off a loss, including 8-0 ATS when off a double-digit ATS loss. Play on the Louisville Cards to cover |
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09-26-20 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse +8 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech as road favs did not sit well with me knowing the school is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine away trips when favored. GTech is up-trending but laying wood with them on the road is not a recipe for success this early in their development. I know Syracuse is a side that no one loves these days, but now in desperation mode Dino Babers Orange Im betting come out here and leave everything on the field and get us the cover. Syracuse has covered 3 of their L/4 at home as 7 or more point dogs. CFB team (GEORGIA TECH) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 10+ PPG, after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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09-26-20 | Kentucky +7.5 v. Auburn | 13-29 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 32 m | Show | |
Auburn has owned this overall series but have not played each other since 2015 . Dating back to 2009 these teams have played 3 times. Kentucky's last victory in this series in 2009 ended a 15-game winning streak in the series for the Tigers. Both games played since that game were decided by a field goal and Im betting on another close affair here. I know Auburn is a top tier SEC team, but Bob Stoops group is ascending quickly and after looking at their recruiting class could be on the verge of something big. Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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09-25-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. UTSA -6.5 | 35-37 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Midd Tenn State looked bad in its first two games of the season, while 2-0 UTSA has looked very good converting on 11 of 11 red zone opportunities. With these sides operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum its an easy decision for me to take the hungrier uptrending side playing at home. Key will be a Road runners ground game thats cranking out 5.6 ypc. CFB home team vs. the money line (UTSA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 26-4 L/5 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at 17. CFB home team (UTSA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season is 30-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on UTSA to cover |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
Miami has started their season at 0-2 despite of a big game vs Buffalo last week where they almost pulled off the upset. Note: QB Fitzpatrick is 7-0-1 ATS in his last eight games as a underdog when coming off consecutive losses. Meanwhile, the Jaguars have played like their hair is on fire in their first two games, behind franchise QB Minshew and could easily be energetically drained making them susceptible to being upset as favs. NFL Road underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - poor defense from last season - allowed 5.4 or more yards/play, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 22-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites (JACKSONVILLE) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after scoring 30 points or more last game are 3-24 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +5.5 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 85 h 44 m | Show | |
The Las Vegas Raiders debut at Allegiant Stadium this Monday night will come against the explosive New Orleans Saints who took out Tom Brady and company last week. .The Saints now in a letdown spot are 0-5 ATS on the Monday Night road tilts when coming off a victory. Im betting a very motivated Raiders side to play lights-out here and get us a cover as home dogs. Play on the LV Raiders to cover |
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09-20-20 | Patriots +4 v. Seahawks | 30-35 | Loss | -109 | 61 h 42 m | Show | |
Seattle looked amazing last week and really exploded in their win vs Atlanta. But it must be noted that HC Carrol is is just 0-4 ATS in his NFL career as a home favorite against AFC East foes when they are off a victory. Meanwhile, Belichick is 22-9 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of NEW ENGLAND and must not be disrespected here this week. SEATTLE is 8-19 ATS off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog since 1992. Seattle is 1-4 ATS L/5 at home in this series as favs. NFL Home favorites (SEATTLE) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after scoring 30 points or more last game are 2-24 ATS L/37 seasons for a 92% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the New England Patriots to cover |
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09-20-20 | Vikings +3 v. Colts | 11-28 | Loss | -106 | 69 h 38 m | Show | |
The Vikings lost last week and now they are in a bounce back mode. It must be noted that the Minnesota Vikings are 19-3-1 ATS in games off a loss under HC Mike Zimmer when facing non-division opposition. This is two good of a team to lay down again this week and get my support getting points vs a good but slightly over rated Colts team. Zimmer is 30-19 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MINNESOTA. NFL Road underdogs or pick (MINNESOTA) - poor defense from last season - allowed 335 or more total yards/game, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-3 ATS L/37 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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09-20-20 | Falcons +4.5 v. Cowboys | 39-40 | Win | 100 | 50 h 55 m | Show | |
QB Matt Ryan played a great game last despite of his team losing to Seattle,. He connected on 37-of 54 for 450 yards and two TDs and according to my O-line/QB vs D-line/secondary power rankings matches ups well in this matchup vs Dallas. Dallas’ 0-7 ATS as non-division home chalk of 7 or less. points . NFL Road underdogs or pick (ATLANTA) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 21-3 ATS L/37 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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09-19-20 | Wake Forest +2.5 v. NC State | 42-45 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 53 m | Show | |
Wake Forest got blasted last week 37-13 vs Clemson , and despite of the result played decently and now have a game under their belts. . This will the opener for North Carolina State after having to cancel their Virginia Tech tilt on Sept. 5 due to Covid problems. Wake Forest in game time experience will have an edge here today vs a Wolfpack side that they have beaten 3 straight times SU. Wake Forest HC Dave Clawson i in conference games in his career, 5-0 ATS as a underdog of 3 or less points. CFB Road underdogs (WAKE FOREST) - in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games, returning an inexperienced QB and 5 or less offensive starters are 39-12 L/28 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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09-19-20 | Miami-FL v. Louisville -2.5 | 47-34 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 1 m | Show | |
Forgive me if I dont buy into the Miami hype. Ya the Canes took game 1 of their season against UAB , but make no mistake the uptrending Cardinal are a much more potent opponent than they faced last week and in their own diggs in front of 18000 fans Im betting Louisville take control of this game and get the cover. Note The Cardinal also have the added motivation of revenge for a 52-27 loss to Miami last season. UM is 2-8 SU and 2-7-1 ATS L/10 as a dog in road openers. Louisville is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series. NCAAF home team vs. the money line (LOUISVILLE) - after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 32-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average margin clicking in at +19.8 ppg. Play on the Louisville Cardinal to cover |
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09-19-20 | Texas State v. UL-Monroe +6 | 38-17 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 55 m | Show | |
UL-Monroe had their butts handed to them in a 37-7 loss at Army last week. While Texas State lost in OT by a 51-48 count to UTSA. I know the Warhawks did not look good, but Army looks explosive and must not be disrespected . With that said, despite of Texas State looking much improved this season, that OT game last week will have them in a letdown spot . Note: The Warhawks have won 4 straight tilts vs UTSA Bobcats who have dropped 6 straight road games, 8 of their last 9 vs. FBS schools, and 5 straight overall. Texas State is just 2-11 overall vs. FBS teams under HC Jake Spivital and are fade material this week and 1-13 L/14 as visitors. Play on UL Monroe to cover |
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09-19-20 | Boston College +6 v. Duke | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show | |
Duke lost by 14-points last week at Notre Dame and looked very average the entire time vs a Irish squad that looked like they had alot of rust. Today against new HC Jeff Hafley's BC Im betting things wont come much easier. The Golden Eagles return 9 starters on a defense that is up trending in my rankings . I know the BC offense no longer has RB A.J. Dillon and QB Anthony Brown in the lineup, but they look good with QB Phil Jurkovec in from Notre Dame. He will operate behind a big strong O-line that must be respected. Duke is 0-13 ATS as conference home favs of 17 points or less. Eagles are 11-1 ATS as road dogs of 10 or less points. The visitor in this series has cashed 4 straight times. CFB Home favorites (DUKE) - after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first month of the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on Boston College to cover
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09-19-20 | Tulsa v. Oklahoma State -23 | 7-16 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show | |
No.\11 ranked OSU is an explosive side behind RB Chubba Hubbard , WR Tylan Wallace , QB Spencer Sanders and enter this season with a huge amount of experience as 18 returning starters come back for what should be a peak year for the school. Meanwhile Tulsa, owns a D. that returns just 4 starters. That inexperienced D Im betting will get completely ripped apart today. Note: Oklahoma State HC Mike Gundy in non- conference action is 12-0 ATS L/12 overall. OKLAHOMA ST is 18-6 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992. Golden Hurricane have lost and failed to cover the last 4 meetings in this series and have been horrendous in Big 12 meetings losing 23 of 24 tilts straight up while covering just 6 times . Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 43.5 | 30-35 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
The Browns averaged just 4.5 yards per play in offence and scored just 6 points in Week 1 while the Bengals produced data that came in at 4.4 yards per play and just 13 points . Im betting both sides offensive woes will continue here this Thursday night and this total will stay on the low side of the number. Week one and two non divisional games have been ATMs for totals bettors hotting the under as is evident by a 44-23-1 record dating back to the 2005 season for a 66% conversion rate. Under is 8-1-1 in Bengals last 10 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 Thursday games. Under is 15-5-1 in Browns last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 20-7 in Browns last 27 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland. Play UNDER |
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09-14-20 | Titans v. Broncos +3 | 16-14 | Win | 103 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
The Titans reached the AFC championship game last season thanks to a second-half surge that followed a shutout loss in Denver in which coach Mike Vrabel benched Marcus Mariota for Ryan Tannehill. For whatever reason it seems that this Titans franchise has not faired well vs the Broncos and have now lost the last 4 road meetings in this series straight up dating back to 1992. Note: the key to the Titans offence is Derrick Henry who was the NFL's rushing leader last season with 1,540 yards, but he has struggled in two games against Denver. Henry ran 12 times for 42 yards backing up DeMarco Murray as a rookie in a Titans' win on Dec. 11, 2016, and he was held to 28 yards on 15 rushes in a 16-0 loss in Denver last October. That easily was Henry's worst game last season. I know the Titans now want payback, but it will not come easily vs a side that maybe vastly under rated by the linesmakers here tonight with QB Drew Lock under center. Remember when this line opened the Broncos were 3 point favs and now its turned all the way around to Tennessee being favored. Just to much of swing in my humble opinion and now Im taking the Broncos plus the points. Denver to cover |
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09-14-20 | Steelers v. Giants UNDER 46 | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 80 h 53 m | Show | |
New York has revamped one of the NFL's worst defenses under new coordinator Pat Graham. Defence will now be their priority behind what is expected to be a slower paced offence that will key on using RB Barkley to move the chains consistently. Meanwhile ,the Steelers Im betting will have flow problems behind the wobbled Roethlisberger who returns after another season of injuries. It must also be noted The Steelers led the NFL with 54 sacks, 18 fumble recoveries and 38 takeaways last season, finishing ranked fifth overall on defense and that will Im betting remain consistent in a tilt I have projected to stay under the the total. PITTSBURGH is 7-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons. Play UNDER |